politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » My 100/1 tip to win the 2020 London Mayoral election
Comments
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Utah will go McMullin.TheScreamingEagles said:
Not yet.rottenborough said:
Has Texas fallen yet?TheScreamingEagles said:
It's almost like people aren't aware that the Democrats have won the popular vote in five out the last six elections, and that the demographics are trending towards the Dems.Alistair said:
That's almost exactly spot on for American Demographics.PlatoSaid said:
And the Dems are +8 in the sample. Shocker.nunu said:
So 37% will vote for him no matter what. Same share Tories got for a majority, that's why I've changed my mind on fptp. I don't want a Labour majority government with 37% of the vote.Theuniondivvie said:
Trump = Travis
Hillary = Santa Anna
Honestly, I cannot believe people are talking about Utah and Texas going blue.
Which raises an interesting point. Betfair settle the states on a Democract/Republican basis no third parties. Would McMullin winning be a Republican win?0 -
Alistair said:
This one? https://wikileaks.org/podesta-emails/emailid/1637
As higlighted in this article you posted? http://www.thegatewaypundit.com/2016/10/wikileaks-bombshell-racist-hillary-trashes-african-americans-calls-losers/
That's a spam e-mail.
As I have told you on multiple occasions now.
It was a spam e-mail sent by some random Netherlands e-mail address.
It wasn't even sent to Clinton never mind sent by her.
Why do you keep repeating the lie that this was sent by Clinton?
lol, someone actually tried to claim that was written by Clinton?
This is one dire electoral cycle.0 -
A third party would mean both bets lose, surely.Alistair said:
Utah will go McMullin.TheScreamingEagles said:
Not yet.rottenborough said:
Has Texas fallen yet?TheScreamingEagles said:
It's almost like people aren't aware that the Democrats have won the popular vote in five out the last six elections, and that the demographics are trending towards the Dems.Alistair said:
That's almost exactly spot on for American Demographics.PlatoSaid said:
And the Dems are +8 in the sample. Shocker.nunu said:
So 37% will vote for him no matter what. Same share Tories got for a majority, that's why I've changed my mind on fptp. I don't want a Labour majority government with 37% of the vote.Theuniondivvie said:
Trump = Travis
Hillary = Santa Anna
Honestly, I cannot believe people are talking about Utah and Texas going blue.
Which raises an interesting point. Betfair settle the states on a Democract/Republican basis no third parties. Would McMullin winning be a Republican win?
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Was it? I did not know that. Oh well. Great minds etc.....geoffw said:
The idea was put forward in an LSE blog in AugustCyclefree said:Well, for those who think that my suggestion in my thread header on Friday (http://www2.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2016/10/14/cyclefree-with-a-mischievous-suggestion/) was away with the fairies, they might like to read Philip Aldrick's column in yesterday's Times.
Apparently a paper has been written by Norbert Rottgen, chairman of the German Parliament's foreign affairs committee, Jean Pisani-Ferry, head of a think tank reporting to the French PM and Sir Paul Tucker, former deputy-governor of the BoE. The European think tank, Breugel, has also contributed.
They start from the position that it is possible for Britain to remain part of the single market and regain sovereignty over its borders (though there will be costs for Britain, obviously) and they state that "free movement of workers is not indispensable for the smooth functioning of economic integration". The assumptions behind the paper is that both Britain and the rest of the EU have much to lose from Brexit and their suggestion is that there should be an inner core of EU states and "an outer circle of countries involved in a structured intergovernmental partnership".
Worth reading the whole column.
But, ahem, some of us with less illustrious bona fides, are feeling quite vainglorious this morning.
*Buffs nails and awaits garlands of flowers*
http://blogs.lse.ac.uk/brexit/2016/08/29/europe-after-brexit-a-proposal-for-a-new-continental-partnership/
Anyway, the more interesting news for me is that I've decided to take a much needed break, Amalfi being a long time ago, and am flying off to Rome to meet some friends and then we will go where the fancy takes us. No plans - no hotels booked, no flights, just clean underwear, winning smiles and the intention to have some fun......!
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McMullin is a Republican though.IanB2 said:
A third party would mean both bets lose, surely.Alistair said:
Utah will go McMullin.TheScreamingEagles said:
Not yet.rottenborough said:
Has Texas fallen yet?TheScreamingEagles said:
It's almost like people aren't aware that the Democrats have won the popular vote in five out the last six elections, and that the demographics are trending towards the Dems.Alistair said:
That's almost exactly spot on for American Demographics.PlatoSaid said:
And the Dems are +8 in the sample. Shocker.nunu said:
So 37% will vote for him no matter what. Same share Tories got for a majority, that's why I've changed my mind on fptp. I don't want a Labour majority government with 37% of the vote.Theuniondivvie said:
Trump = Travis
Hillary = Santa Anna
Honestly, I cannot believe people are talking about Utah and Texas going blue.
Which raises an interesting point. Betfair settle the states on a Democract/Republican basis no third parties. Would McMullin winning be a Republican win?0 -
and there is a huge difference between majority power and being in power alongside other parties. Which is kind of the point?tyson said:
Contrary to expectation, the Coalition Government was remarkably successful. Similarly, the Lib-Lab coalition produced a period of stability during a turbulent period in the 70's. I think on the whole the British electorate would like more of it whether centre right or centre left.Richard_Tyndall said:
Oh indeed. But my whole point was Nunu seeming to claim he wanted rid of FPTP because Labour could be on power on 37%. I am simply pointing out that with PR they could be in power on a lot less than that. Dislike of one party or another is no basis for supporting a change in voting system..OldKingCole said:
Democracy means that sometimes you are on the losing side.Richard_Tyndall said:
My point being that PR doesn't stop those parties we oppose getting into power. Indeed to some extent it makes it easier.OldKingCole said:
As have been the Tories. Under FPTP.Richard_Tyndall said:
Trouble is that with PR they could be in power with a lot less than 37%nunu said:
So 37% will vote for him no matter what. Same share Tories got for a majority, that's why I've changed my mind on fptp. I don't want a Labour majority government with 37% of the vote.Theuniondivvie said:0 -
Yes, it was one of the first bombshells of the Podesta e-mails that lovers of the far right blogoshpere have gobbled up unquestioningly. I an amazing display of chutzpah The Gateway Pundit even links to the e-mail so that anyone doing half a second of fact checking can see the claims about it are a lie.Andrew said:Alistair said:
This one? https://wikileaks.org/podesta-emails/emailid/1637
As higlighted in this article you posted? http://www.thegatewaypundit.com/2016/10/wikileaks-bombshell-racist-hillary-trashes-african-americans-calls-losers/
That's a spam e-mail.
As I have told you on multiple occasions now.
It was a spam e-mail sent by some random Netherlands e-mail address.
It wasn't even sent to Clinton never mind sent by her.
Why do you keep repeating the lie that this was sent by Clinton?
lol, someone actually tried to claim that was written by Clinton?
This is one dire electoral cycle.0 -
I would be surprised if Galloway is teetotal.FrancisUrquhart said:
I thought Galloway had converted to Islam 15 years or so ago, but doesn't like to talk about it?Speedy said:On Topic.
Two problems about Galloway replacing Khan.
1. Khan is a muslim and London has a high share of muslims (though that didn't stop Galloway beating a muslim in a majority muslim seat in a by-election).
2. London was the Remain Heartland, Galloway supported Leave.
This assumption though is why Khan will never be Labour leader:
" Of course there is the possibility with the current make up the Labour membership and the trend of the NEC becoming more in Corbyn’s image "
Khan is a committed anti-Corbyn politician, and even with his position as Mayor he failed to swing London to Owen Smith.
Anyhow Londoners would never vote him in as Mayor, end of debate.
And that cat video would get a lot of re-showing if he ever got near a contest.0 -
And Trump put a man in the teen girls changing room.GeoffM said:
1969 ... Moon landings. Which is very depressing as a sign of the lack of progress for mankind.Theuniondivvie said:
What especially significant event took place in 1969?Moses_ said:
To be fair it appears that the majority seem to think that is what has happened over the last 47 years. Including the promise and non appearance of referendums. It's not nice but winging after 47 days seems a particular spectacular hubris I grant you.OldKingCole said:Am I alone in beginning to notice a bit of a “jack-boot tendency” among Leavers.”We’re in control, shut up"
JFK put a Man on the Moon, and Obama has put a Man in the Girls' Bathroom.0 -
Oh dear me
Paul Joseph Watson
"Dinner at Podesta's": Full list of colluding fake "journalists". https://t.co/2InWdhW5tN #PodestaEmails9
No wonder they're all ignoring it.0 -
surely to win the bet the victor would need to be the official candidate?Alistair said:
McMullin is a Republican though.IanB2 said:
A third party would mean both bets lose, surely.Alistair said:
Utah will go McMullin.TheScreamingEagles said:
Not yet.rottenborough said:
Has Texas fallen yet?TheScreamingEagles said:
It's almost like people aren't aware that the Democrats have won the popular vote in five out the last six elections, and that the demographics are trending towards the Dems.Alistair said:
That's almost exactly spot on for American Demographics.PlatoSaid said:
And the Dems are +8 in the sample. Shocker.nunu said:
So 37% will vote for him no matter what. Same share Tories got for a majority, that's why I've changed my mind on fptp. I don't want a Labour majority government with 37% of the vote.Theuniondivvie said:
Trump = Travis
Hillary = Santa Anna
Honestly, I cannot believe people are talking about Utah and Texas going blue.
Which raises an interesting point. Betfair settle the states on a Democract/Republican basis no third parties. Would McMullin winning be a Republican win?0 -
IIRC the terms say if it the state is won by someone who isn't the official Dem, Republican, Green etc candidate, then the bet would be settled as an independent win.Alistair said:
Utah will go McMullin.TheScreamingEagles said:
Not yet.rottenborough said:
Has Texas fallen yet?TheScreamingEagles said:
It's almost like people aren't aware that the Democrats have won the popular vote in five out the last six elections, and that the demographics are trending towards the Dems.Alistair said:
That's almost exactly spot on for American Demographics.PlatoSaid said:
And the Dems are +8 in the sample. Shocker.nunu said:
So 37% will vote for him no matter what. Same share Tories got for a majority, that's why I've changed my mind on fptp. I don't want a Labour majority government with 37% of the vote.Theuniondivvie said:
Trump = Travis
Hillary = Santa Anna
Honestly, I cannot believe people are talking about Utah and Texas going blue.
Which raises an interesting point. Betfair settle the states on a Democract/Republican basis no third parties. Would McMullin winning be a Republican win?0 -
There's a separate betfair market with McMullin.Alistair said:
Utah will go McMullin.TheScreamingEagles said:
Not yet.rottenborough said:
Has Texas fallen yet?TheScreamingEagles said:
It's almost like people aren't aware that the Democrats have won the popular vote in five out the last six elections, and that the demographics are trending towards the Dems.Alistair said:
That's almost exactly spot on for American Demographics.PlatoSaid said:
And the Dems are +8 in the sample. Shocker.nunu said:
So 37% will vote for him no matter what. Same share Tories got for a majority, that's why I've changed my mind on fptp. I don't want a Labour majority government with 37% of the vote.Theuniondivvie said:
Trump = Travis
Hillary = Santa Anna
Honestly, I cannot believe people are talking about Utah and Texas going blue.
Which raises an interesting point. Betfair settle the states on a Democract/Republican basis no third parties. Would McMullin winning be a Republican win?0 -
It's most unlikely that Trump can win, but interesting that he remains not far behind, in percentage terms.Speedy said:
Forget RCP, they are getting slow because there are not many polls compared with 2012.OldKingCole said:
RCP now says Clinton’s ahead in Ohio. Trailing in Iowa, though.Speedy said:What we see in the 2016 race looks like a repetition of 2012.
Hillary leading by 4 nationally, and by 4-5 points in all swing states bar two (Iowa and Ohio this time, N.Carolina and Florida in 2012).
In my assumption looking at the polls, Trump should be leading just in Iowa, and a tie in Ohio.
After that there is a big gap of about 4-5 points till another half-dozen states, just like in 2012 where you had 6 states clustered at around 5-7% Obama leads.0 -
Cool, I'm on McMullin at 25/1 from Wills and am looking for a market where I can lay off if need be.TheWhiteRabbit said:
There's a separate betfair market with McMullin.Alistair said:
Utah will go McMullin.TheScreamingEagles said:
Not yet.rottenborough said:
Has Texas fallen yet?TheScreamingEagles said:
It's almost like people aren't aware that the Democrats have won the popular vote in five out the last six elections, and that the demographics are trending towards the Dems.Alistair said:
That's almost exactly spot on for American Demographics.PlatoSaid said:
And the Dems are +8 in the sample. Shocker.nunu said:
So 37% will vote for him no matter what. Same share Tories got for a majority, that's why I've changed my mind on fptp. I don't want a Labour majority government with 37% of the vote.Theuniondivvie said:
Trump = Travis
Hillary = Santa Anna
Honestly, I cannot believe people are talking about Utah and Texas going blue.
Which raises an interesting point. Betfair settle the states on a Democract/Republican basis no third parties. Would McMullin winning be a Republican win?0 -
Utah will either go for Hillary if Trump if is close to winning the presidency, or for Trump if Hillary is close to winning the presidency.Alistair said:
Utah will go McMullin.TheScreamingEagles said:
Not yet.rottenborough said:
Has Texas fallen yet?TheScreamingEagles said:
It's almost like people aren't aware that the Democrats have won the popular vote in five out the last six elections, and that the demographics are trending towards the Dems.Alistair said:
That's almost exactly spot on for American Demographics.PlatoSaid said:
And the Dems are +8 in the sample. Shocker.nunu said:
So 37% will vote for him no matter what. Same share Tories got for a majority, that's why I've changed my mind on fptp. I don't want a Labour majority government with 37% of the vote.Theuniondivvie said:
Trump = Travis
Hillary = Santa Anna
Honestly, I cannot believe people are talking about Utah and Texas going blue.
Which raises an interesting point. Betfair settle the states on a Democract/Republican basis no third parties. Would McMullin winning be a Republican win?
Eggs McMuffin would take 20% in Utah and lose.0 -
Another insight
I feel ya #PodestaEmails9 #wikileaks #wikileakemails https://t.co/nnZj54S8bC
Seriously, who'd believe a word now?
"Wow. Journo Budowsky's plan is to "make love" to #Bernie fans to reel in vote & "beat the crap out of Rep women & Hispanics" #PodestaEmails9 https://t.co/jCSwjS6B6E0 -
Trump passed a law forcing that to happen across the country? Link, please?nunu said:
And Trump put a man in the teen girls changing room.GeoffM said:
1969 ... Moon landings. Which is very depressing as a sign of the lack of progress for mankind.Theuniondivvie said:
What especially significant event took place in 1969?Moses_ said:
To be fair it appears that the majority seem to think that is what has happened over the last 47 years. Including the promise and non appearance of referendums. It's not nice but winging after 47 days seems a particular spectacular hubris I grant you.OldKingCole said:Am I alone in beginning to notice a bit of a “jack-boot tendency” among Leavers.”We’re in control, shut up"
JFK put a Man on the Moon, and Obama has put a Man in the Girls' Bathroom.0 -
I may well be talking my bookSpeedy said:
Utah will either go for Hillary if Trump if is close to winning the presidency, or for Trump if Hillary is close to winning the presidency.Alistair said:
Utah will go McMullin.TheScreamingEagles said:
Not yet.rottenborough said:
Has Texas fallen yet?TheScreamingEagles said:
It's almost like people aren't aware that the Democrats have won the popular vote in five out the last six elections, and that the demographics are trending towards the Dems.Alistair said:
That's almost exactly spot on for American Demographics.PlatoSaid said:
And the Dems are +8 in the sample. Shocker.nunu said:
So 37% will vote for him no matter what. Same share Tories got for a majority, that's why I've changed my mind on fptp. I don't want a Labour majority government with 37% of the vote.Theuniondivvie said:
Trump = Travis
Hillary = Santa Anna
Honestly, I cannot believe people are talking about Utah and Texas going blue.
Which raises an interesting point. Betfair settle the states on a Democract/Republican basis no third parties. Would McMullin winning be a Republican win?
Eggs McMuffin would take 20% in Utah and lose.
0 -
He is 4-5 % away from victory assuming a uniformal move from the position today.Sean_F said:
It's most unlikely that Trump can win, but interesting that he remains not far behind, in percentage terms.Speedy said:
Forget RCP, they are getting slow because there are not many polls compared with 2012.OldKingCole said:
RCP now says Clinton’s ahead in Ohio. Trailing in Iowa, though.Speedy said:What we see in the 2016 race looks like a repetition of 2012.
Hillary leading by 4 nationally, and by 4-5 points in all swing states bar two (Iowa and Ohio this time, N.Carolina and Florida in 2012).
In my assumption looking at the polls, Trump should be leading just in Iowa, and a tie in Ohio.
After that there is a big gap of about 4-5 points till another half-dozen states, just like in 2012 where you had 6 states clustered at around 5-7% Obama leads.
However with 3 weeks to go, only the 3rd debate might switch enough numbers to him.
He is in the same position as Romney but running out of time.0 -
No. there's two separate markets for Utah,Alistair said:
Utah will go McMullin.TheScreamingEagles said:
Not yet.rottenborough said:
Has Texas fallen yet?TheScreamingEagles said:
It's almost like people aren't aware that the Democrats have won the popular vote in five out the last six elections, and that the demographics are trending towards the Dems.Alistair said:
That's almost exactly spot on for American Demographics.PlatoSaid said:
And the Dems are +8 in the sample. Shocker.nunu said:
So 37% will vote for him no matter what. Same share Tories got for a majority, that's why I've changed my mind on fptp. I don't want a Labour majority government with 37% of the vote.Theuniondivvie said:
Trump = Travis
Hillary = Santa Anna
Honestly, I cannot believe people are talking about Utah and Texas going blue.
Which raises an interesting point. Betfair settle the states on a Democract/Republican basis no third parties. Would McMullin winning be a Republican win?
one with McMullin https://www.betfair.com/exchange/#/politics/event/27865723/market?marketId=1.127658163
and one without him, only Dem and Rep. https://www.betfair.com/exchange/#/politics/event/27865723/market?marketId=1.125855743
the latter market will be voided if McMullin wins. He can be backed at 4.7 in 'his' market.0 -
Why would anyone use the "without" market - the odds (returns) are worse, and your chance of winning identicalSandpit said:
No. there's two separate markets for Utah,Alistair said:
Utah will go McMullin.TheScreamingEagles said:
Not yet.rottenborough said:
Has Texas fallen yet?TheScreamingEagles said:
It's almost like people aren't aware that the Democrats have won the popular vote in five out the last six elections, and that the demographics are trending towards the Dems.Alistair said:
That's almost exactly spot on for American Demographics.PlatoSaid said:
And the Dems are +8 in the sample. Shocker.nunu said:
So 37% will vote for him no matter what. Same share Tories got for a majority, that's why I've changed my mind on fptp. I don't want a Labour majority government with 37% of the vote.Theuniondivvie said:
Trump = Travis
Hillary = Santa Anna
Honestly, I cannot believe people are talking about Utah and Texas going blue.
Which raises an interesting point. Betfair settle the states on a Democract/Republican basis no third parties. Would McMullin winning be a Republican win?
one with McMullin https://www.betfair.com/exchange/#/politics/event/27865723/market?marketId=1.127658163
and one without him, only Dem and Rep. https://www.betfair.com/exchange/#/politics/event/27865723/market?marketId=1.125855743
the latter market will be voided if McMullin wins. He can be backed at 4.7 in 'his' market.0 -
Latest 538 Forecasts : Clinton - Trump
Now Cast - 88.5 - 11.5
Polls Only - 86.1 - 13.9
Polls Plus - 83.1 - 16.9
http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/?ex_cid=rrpromo#plus
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I disagree about it being successful but that isn't actually the point. The point is that many on the Left thought that coalition was a way to keep the Tories out of power and so had a strong sense of betrayal when Clegg entered Government with Cameron. No side can assume- as Nunu seems to do in his original posting - that moving away from FPTP will make it harder for their opponents to get into power.tyson said:
Contrary to expectation, the Coalition Government was remarkably successful. Similarly, the Lib-Lab coalition produced a period of stability during a turbulent period in the 70's. I think on the whole the British electorate would like more of it whether centre right or centre left.Richard_Tyndall said:
Oh indeed. But my whole point was Nunu seeming to claim he wanted rid of FPTP because Labour could be on power on 37%. I am simply pointing out that with PR they could be in power on a lot less than that. Dislike of one party or another is no basis for supporting a change in voting system..OldKingCole said:
Democracy means that sometimes you are on the losing side.Richard_Tyndall said:
My point being that PR doesn't stop those parties we oppose getting into power. Indeed to some extent it makes it easier.OldKingCole said:
As have been the Tories. Under FPTP.Richard_Tyndall said:
Trouble is that with PR they could be in power with a lot less than 37%nunu said:
So 37% will vote for him no matter what. Same share Tories got for a majority, that's why I've changed my mind on fptp. I don't want a Labour majority government with 37% of the vote.Theuniondivvie said:0 -
This appears to be endemic
"Lanny Davis, columnist w/ @newsmax, @thehill, guarantees to write an HRC puff piece, more media collusion https://t.co/iB6OkyRmtK https://t.co/ernkfHoPDA0 -
All the news that fits.Alistair said:
This one? https://wikileaks.org/podesta-emails/emailid/1637PlatoSaid said:
Google the Wikileaks - it's all there, don't like Roma or Muslims eitherAlistair said:
Got a link for that?PlatoSaid said:
professionally welfare blacksPaul_Bedfordshire said:
That is the first one I have seen that is really incendiary. Suspect more will be heard about that.PlatoSaid said:Wikileaks Podesta 9 is WTF +
Podesta wished that San Bernardino shooter had been white. #PodestaEmails9 https://t.co/BOnWqkOiOH https://t.co/fsVscaGjWi
And how do Democrats appear to care about blacks.
As higlighted in this article you posted? http://www.thegatewaypundit.com/2016/10/wikileaks-bombshell-racist-hillary-trashes-african-americans-calls-losers/
That's a spam e-mail.
As I have told you on multiple occasions now.
It was a spam e-mail sent by some random Netherlands e-mail address.
It wasn't even sent to Clinton never mind sent by her.
Why do you keep repeating the lie that this was sent by Clinton?0 -
The dates on those emails appear to read 2012.PlatoSaid said:This appears to be endemic
"Lanny Davis, columnist w/ @newsmax, @thehill, guarantees to write an HRC puff piece, more media collusion https://t.co/iB6OkyRmtK https://t.co/ernkfHoPDA0 -
Or Grand Coalition or single party as now.tyson said:
Contrary to expectation, the Coalition Government was remarkably successful. Similarly, the Lib-Lab coalition produced a period of stability during a turbulent period in the 70's. I think on the whole the British electorate would like more of it whether centre right or centre left.Richard_Tyndall said:
Oh indeed. But my whole point was Nunu seeming to claim he wanted rid of FPTP because Labour could be on power on 37%. I am simply pointing out that with PR they could be in power on a lot less than that. Dislike of one party or another is no basis for supporting a change in voting system..OldKingCole said:
Democracy means that sometimes you are on the losing side.Richard_Tyndall said:
My point being that PR doesn't stop those parties we oppose getting into power. Indeed to some extent it makes it easier.OldKingCole said:
As have been the Tories. Under FPTP.Richard_Tyndall said:
Trouble is that with PR they could be in power with a lot less than 37%nunu said:
So 37% will vote for him no matter what. Same share Tories got for a majority, that's why I've changed my mind on fptp. I don't want a Labour majority government with 37% of the vote.Theuniondivvie said:
The result would reflect the electorates wishes and, if resulting in a coalition, would require compromises by the parties involved - which would be a good thing.0 -
All above board
'#PodestaEmails9: Someone here just got a tip that the State Dept may be planning to release her Benghazi emails.0 -
NEW THREAD
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Galloway is a life-long teetotaller like his father before him. As for the Muslim thing, when his old foe Christopher Hitchens died, Galloway was on Iranian TV or some such stating that his religious beliefs prevented him slagging off the dead for a prescribed period. I know this is an edict of Islam. Is it an edict of any other religion does anyone know?IanB2 said:
I would be surprised if Galloway is teetotal.FrancisUrquhart said:
I thought Galloway had converted to Islam 15 years or so ago, but doesn't like to talk about it?Speedy said:On Topic.
Two problems about Galloway replacing Khan.
1. Khan is a muslim and London has a high share of muslims (though that didn't stop Galloway beating a muslim in a majority muslim seat in a by-election).
2. London was the Remain Heartland, Galloway supported Leave.
This assumption though is why Khan will never be Labour leader:
" Of course there is the possibility with the current make up the Labour membership and the trend of the NEC becoming more in Corbyn’s image "
Khan is a committed anti-Corbyn politician, and even with his position as Mayor he failed to swing London to Owen Smith.
Anyhow Londoners would never vote him in as Mayor, end of debate.
And that cat video would get a lot of re-showing if he ever got near a contest.0 -
That's not what is says -- it says "beat the crap out of Republicans *especially about" women and Hispanics". Strange how the missing words completely change the meaning of that sentence!PlatoSaid said:Another insight
I feel ya #PodestaEmails9 #wikileaks #wikileakemails https://t.co/nnZj54S8bC
Seriously, who'd believe a word now?
"Wow. Journo Budowsky's plan is to "make love" to #Bernie fans to reel in vote & "beat the crap out of Rep women & Hispanics" #PodestaEmails9 https://t.co/jCSwjS6B6E0 -
So we'd engineered the perfect compromise pre-Brext. Control of the currency while leaving the impression of pooling sovereignty with our partners.Moses_ said:
"Give me control over a nation's currency and I care not who makes its laws."IanB2 said:
In many ways the Euro was a good idea.Fishing said:
Presumably these are the same people who thought the Euro was a good idea?Roger said:
In the last few weeks I felt a shift. Things are not going to be the same. Even casual visitors to the continent will notice it. We have made a catastrphic mistake. At the time of the vote though I was a remainer I thought it would all work out OK-it always does. Now I am almost certain it wont.
And Roger is right.
- Baron Rothschild (allegedly)0 -
Clinton's lead is more than that according to most poll averages. For example, RCP shows 5.5%, and 538 shows 6.6%. The BBC is using the median of the 5 most recent polls, which currently gives Clinton a lead of 8 points.Speedy said:
He is 4-5 % away from victory assuming a uniformal move from the position today.Sean_F said:
It's most unlikely that Trump can win, but interesting that he remains not far behind, in percentage terms.Speedy said:
Forget RCP, they are getting slow because there are not many polls compared with 2012.OldKingCole said:
RCP now says Clinton’s ahead in Ohio. Trailing in Iowa, though.Speedy said:What we see in the 2016 race looks like a repetition of 2012.
Hillary leading by 4 nationally, and by 4-5 points in all swing states bar two (Iowa and Ohio this time, N.Carolina and Florida in 2012).
In my assumption looking at the polls, Trump should be leading just in Iowa, and a tie in Ohio.
After that there is a big gap of about 4-5 points till another half-dozen states, just like in 2012 where you had 6 states clustered at around 5-7% Obama leads.
However with 3 weeks to go, only the 3rd debate might switch enough numbers to him.
He is in the same position as Romney but running out of time.0 -
You are right, we don't believe a word, which is why we check the primary source.PlatoSaid said:Another insight
I feel ya #PodestaEmails9 #wikileaks #wikileakemails https://t.co/nnZj54S8bC
Seriously, who'd believe a word now?
"Wow. Journo Budowsky's plan is to "make love" to #Bernie fans to reel in vote & "beat the crap out of Rep women & Hispanics" #PodestaEmails9 https://t.co/jCSwjS6B6E0 -
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That's an outrageous doctoring of text. Fair play to Mike and his commitment to free speech. The wilful and abundant posting of lies by Trump supporters on this site is doing its reputation no favours. A less tolerant man than Mike would have issued bans by now.DecrepitJohnL said:
That's not what is says -- it says "beat the crap out of Republicans *especially about" women and Hispanics". Strange how the missing words completely change the meaning of that sentence!PlatoSaid said:Another insight
I feel ya #PodestaEmails9 #wikileaks #wikileakemails https://t.co/nnZj54S8bC
Seriously, who'd believe a word now?
"Wow. Journo Budowsky's plan is to "make love" to #Bernie fans to reel in vote & "beat the crap out of Rep women & Hispanics" #PodestaEmails9 https://t.co/jCSwjS6B6E0 -
Kind of telling
Fox
Poll: Will most moderators try to help Clinton, help Trump or be unbiased? https://t.co/KRA9ftWnrG0 -
I think the general view is that that would be a waste of money. Because a line is needed to Torbay, the Okehampton line is little use; the Dawlish line must be secured. A diversion across the valleys west of Dawlish would be the best solution, but wouldn't come cheap.tlg86 said:
Correct. It appears to me that the powers that be will die in a ditch before doing the obvious thing which is to reopen the line between Plymouth and Okehampton as an alternative route.HurstLlama said:
A cost of £500m, Mr. J? Writing a business case for that would be a bit tricky I should have thought. How many people actually use the line? What are the alternative routes? What would be the costs of continuing with the current, imperfect, arrangements? Those are all questions that would have to be answered and on the face of it I suspect it would be difficult to justify the expenditure of such a vast sum of taxpayers' money.JosiasJessop said:
Possibly. AIUI there are three threats to the line: 1) the sea undermining it again, leading to long closures; 2) high tides and spray closing the line, which is happening fairly often; and 3) rock falls from the cliffs, which again are happening fairly often.TCPoliticalBetting said:
Surely that is beyond stupid?JosiasJessop said:Off-topic:
I missed this, but earlier events were discussed on here at length:
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-devon-37639243
Network Rail says an option to protect the rail line at Dawlish will be to build it further out to sea, at a cost of £500 million.
Network Rail have had a lot of weather-related line closures recently, and in two of the biggest: at Dover and at Eden's Brow on the Settle and Carlisle, they have (and are) fixing the problems with covered viaducts: basically build a bridge over the affected area and then cover it up again. The ground (or sea) can move underneath and the track will remain supported.
They therefore know the tech really well.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7WMeoiRCWYs
A major issue might be the effect on the locals and the tourist economy. They like their beach and sea view. But I haven't read NR's proposal, and they may have factored that in.0
