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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » ComRes poll finds voters feel more positive about leaving t

ComRes have conducted an online poll for the Independent on Sunday/People, whilst the poll doesn’t ask a EU referendum voting intention question, because ComRes prefer their phone polls for the EURef, the supplementaries are fascinating.
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I think there will be a negative impact for LEAVE from what happened to poor Jo Cox but it will be small and might even be gone by polling day anyway.
Seems like a desperate attempt to generate interest. The handsome Adam should know better.
Ergo, you are NOT a vegetarian, and that makes ME the only vegetarian in the PB village!
Should also be pointed out that post 2pm polling would have clashed with the England game.
I trust you enjoyed the AV thread.
1. If we lose passporting rights the trade doesn't disappear, our market just becomes deregulated and the BoE will stand behind EUR trading.
2. The ECB, Bundesbank and BdF are still going to be hostile to "Casino banking" while the BoE will take the same friendly approach.
3. Leaving will allow insurance companies to cast their nets towards LatAm and Asian markets, many of which are currently off limits.
4. The City will innovate. When the Fed tried to claim jurisdiction over global USD trading the City innovated and we still have huge USD trading. The idea that the ECB can regulate the City out of existence or destroy our EUR markets if we leave are a EU fantasy that they know are not close to reality.
PLEASE>
PS. It also clashed with the Wales game.
And welcome aboard HMS PB!
We have the money markets, the courts, lawyers and innovation that means we trade more USD and Renembi than anyone else. Is the USA and China in effect need London, the EU certainly does.
1) R Wishful thinking?
I do reckon Remainers have great faith (hope) that the murder will affect the result.
Mind you, if that causes them to neglect debate & reasoning (as opposed to insults, threats & doom mongering), then they should not complain when they end up like Kinnock in 92 or Paddy Ashdown in 2015.
Besides which with a bit of luck someone has learnt the lesson.
And we're both Leavers. #HerbivoresforBritain
The teams shuffled their working week and had the afternoon off to watch the game
Can you name say 3 larger money markets than London? Or perhaps 1?
I felt mildly sad, but grief no. Why would I feel grief for someone I didn't know existed until the news broke ?
Not because of the Leave campaign, but because I think it will have a nasty corroding effect on the validity result, and greatly sour the milk. Either way.
Well, it's lucky there won't be a whole evening dedicated to micro-analysing poll entrails and obscure 1980s pop references.
Hmm...
I read Cyclefree's thread on the way home from visiting Mr Stodge Senior (me today, Brother Stodge and family tomorrow so the old boy will be well fed and watered this weekend).
As with the Austro-Hungarian thread the other day, I thought the analysis slightly incorrect.
The Europeans wanted us to be involved in the early 50s but instead of sending a Minister to the Messina Conference in 1955, we sent a civil servant with no power to do anything. That was a huge mistake for which we have suffered ever since. The Europeans saw it as an affront and a sign we were unwilling to fully engage with Europe.
As far as the consequences of Suez were concerned, I think it's fair to say Macmillan followed a twin track approach and especially from 1960 onward. Heath was sent to prepare the way for Britain to join the then EEC only for De Gaulle to veto the application in 1963 and of course in 1967 as well. I don't know if that veto was related to Messina but I've always wondered.
You are evidently a persuasive debater amongst your friends.
Conversely, what the murder may well do is increase the number of shy leavers. I was going to do a Facebook post on the 23rd explaining (to my mainly young, liberal, remain friends) why I was voting leave. Now I don't think I'll bother. So a decline in the leave shares and increase in don't knows may well reflect this phenomenon.
Bah. Who knows. I'll be glad when it's over though!
He wants a victory on his terms, with him leading it, or none at all.
His behaviour over the last 13-14 months tells you everything you need to know.