Howdy, Stranger!

It looks like you're new here. Sign in or register to get started.

politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » A minority government by another name

12346

Comments

  • AlanbrookeAlanbrooke Posts: 25,787

    Slagging off a fellow member of NATO, and a candidate for Membership of the EU too.
    well I fail to see why making fun of the less developed country is clever.

    why not just write bongo bongo land and have done with it.
  • LayneLayne Posts: 163

    surprisingly xenophobic for the so called internationalists
    It is a moronic poster. It is clearly nonsense that anyone on either side wants us to be like Albania, so no one will believe it. It merely shows the paucity of the Remain campaign, and how it is run by clever dick political anoraks. They are the sort of people who went into politics because they were sad losers, and have never progressed past the one-upping mentality you get at school. I am glad they are wasting time and money on such a poster.
  • IndigoIndigo Posts: 9,966
    rcs1000 said:

    Most?

    As in what proportion?

    http://www.wsj.com/articles/young-men-in-senegal-join-migrant-wave-despite-growing-prosperity-at-home-1434127244
    In the three months to March, 1,187 Senegalese crossed into Italy, outnumbering the refugees from even war-torn Syria and Somalia and totalitarian Eritrea, according to the Geneva-based Institute of Migration, though those countries surpassed Senegal in April.
    So that would be Senegal, Somalia and Eritrea, all sub saharan African countries, and all individually outnumbering the Syrians at least some of the time.
  • IndigoIndigo Posts: 9,966
    rcs1000 said:

    Ummm: I think a lot of those people might have already voted UKIP at the last election.
    I think quite a lot didn't because they were persuaded to "trust" Dave on the referendum, not a mistake I suspect they will be making again.
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,356
    That Remain poster is pretty crap, and I think I would be quite offended if I was an Albanian. On the other hand, the leave.eu one comparing the situation to US independence was quite amusing.
  • AlanbrookeAlanbrooke Posts: 25,787

    I thought hitting rock bottom was when SeanT called me a traitor.

    But no, hitting rock bottom is when an Ulsterman calls you xenophobic :lol:
    now your just being silly, Ulster has always had a warm welcome for people from overseas - there's nothing the warmth of a burning cross on a cold evening to get the party started.
  • timetrompettetimetrompette Posts: 111
    edited April 2016

    well I fail to see why making fun of the less developed country is clever.

    why not just write bongo bongo land and have done with it.
    So do I. Remain need to have a serious rethink about that poster.

  • GIN1138GIN1138 Posts: 22,867
    edited April 2016

    I'm fighting hard for Leave, and I've heard a few interesting thoughts this weekend on the trail that, on reflection, are consistent with what I've heard earlier:

    (1) "This is the hardest decision I've ever had to make"
    (2) "I just don't know"
    (3) "I want to stick two fingers up to Brussels"
    (4) "I'm worried"

    (by the way, no-one mentioned Obama)

    And it's splitting friends, families and colleagues - all over the place. Most people are really struggling with that due to no clear party labels, misinformation and conflicting gut instincts as to what the Right Thing To Do is.

    Putting it altogether I think the message to the EU and HMG is "we don't like you, we don't like the direction the EU is going in, the deal was crap - the EU needs big reform, now, which we haven't got - but we are going to vote to stay (just) to keep the sword of Damocles over your head, and, coincidentally, remove any short-term economic risk, and give you one last chance.. Don't f**k it up.)

    So I think to some extent the referendum result may be self-correcting: if Remain look like they are going to win big, a lot of waverers will vote Leave to ensure both Brussels and our own pro-EU establishment get the message. Floating voters do not view a heavy Remain result as in the national interest.

    By contrast, if it looks very close indeed, I expect turnout of soft Remainers will be higher, and some waverers may vote Remain, to ensure the UK votes to stay in. Just. Because a majority won't vote themselves to be out of pocket, if they believe it to be a real risk.

    So the final polls in the last fortnight will be crucial.

    Personally, by a strange process of osmosis, I think the British people will conspire to give a relatively narrow Remain result <10% - 52/48 or 54/46 - which is what they want, for now.

    But we will see.</p>
    Shame they don't realize they will never be given another vote and their currency will history in a decade (almost certainly without a referendum)...
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,356
    Layne said:


    They are the sort of people who went into politics because they were sad losers, and have never progressed past the one-upping mentality you get at school.

    Alright, no need to rub it in :(
  • AlanbrookeAlanbrooke Posts: 25,787
    chestnut said:

    image

    I wonder how Cameron will look in Merkel's pocket/handbag.

    Obama's pocket would hit home harder
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 83,491
    edited April 2016
    Louis theroux show on drinking very very good. Master of his craft.
  • TykejohnnoTykejohnno Posts: 7,362
    edited April 2016
    @Alanbrooke posted - surprisingly xenophobic for the so called internationalists

    I can see some on the remain left not liking this.
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,356
    GIN1138 said:



    Shame they don't realize they will never be given another vote and their currency will history in a decade (almost certainly without a referendum)...

    You really think we'd scrap Sterling without a referendum? The party doing that would face annihilation at the ballot box.
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 79,232
    surbiton said:



    You mix with the wrong crowd. I have not come across a single person who wants out !

    What circles do you mix in ?!?
  • now your just being silly, Ulster has always had a warm welcome for people from overseas - there's nothing the warmth of a burning cross on a cold evening to get the party started.
    Excellent, I've got this green suit I'll wear to an Orange Order meeting.
  • AlanbrookeAlanbrooke Posts: 25,787

    @Alanbrooke posted - surprisingly xenophobic for the so called internationalists

    Just imagine if leave put out a poster like that.I can see some on the remain left not liking this.

    Twitter would explode with accusations of racism.
  • Indigo said:

    Who is "Leave" ? We are two political geeks sitting at our computers. I don't speak for Leave any more than you speak for Remain, so I find your line of questioning, curious.

    You miss the point entirely anyway, I am talking about realpolitik, if there are a couple of bombs in London, god forbid, our borders will close, not because Cameron wants it, or you want it, or I want it, but because an enraged and fearful population will demand it. That is how fragile our "open borders" is, and yet people talk about it as if it was an eternal verity.

    I do not see closing our borders will happen even, God forbid, there are attacks in the UK. The obvious threat re-emphasises the need for close and deeper co-operation with all European security services and indeed the US
  • midwintermidwinter Posts: 1,112
    Indigo said:

    Another Cameroon writes off a third or more of the electorate as the wrong sort of (ghastly) people. But since you say you are a Tory loyalist I guess that is what we should expect... well until an Leaver is elected leader in a few months, then leaving will be the new hotness.
    I waited a long time for a conservative government. Its sad that some of those on the right of the party are so quick to forget why they were unelectable for so long. Perhaps I feel a leader whose personal popularity carried his party to a majority deserves a bit more respect than he's getting from some of his mps.

    And as for writing of the ghastly people who disagree with me....I'm a betting shop manager on the south coast of Sussex in a town full of Eastern Europeans,, hardly a member of the Notting Hill set.

    Do you even live in the UK?
  • AlanbrookeAlanbrooke Posts: 25,787

    Excellent, I've got this green suit I'll wear to an Orange Order meeting.
    you'll be fine...

    ... as long as youre not wearing red shoes.
  • Living up to the BSE initials

    Stronger In ‎@StrongerIn
    The Leave Campaign want us to leave Europe and be like Albania. There's nothing British about Brexit.
    8:06 PM - 24 Apr 2016
  • I thought hitting rock bottom was when SeanT called me a traitor.

    But no, hitting rock bottom is when an Ulsterman calls you xenophobic :lol:
    Yes but it was not the full TPD status.
  • AlanbrookeAlanbrooke Posts: 25,787

    Living up to the BSE initials

    Stronger In ‎@StrongerIn
    The Leave Campaign want us to leave Europe and be like Albania. There's nothing British about Brexit.
    8:06 PM - 24 Apr 2016

    it's actually a bit daft, last time I looked Albania was firmly in Europe.
  • GIN1138GIN1138 Posts: 22,867
    edited April 2016
    RobD said:

    You really think we'd scrap Sterling without a referendum? The party doing that would face annihilation at the ballot box.
    Given the contortions we're seeing from the Establishment, yes, absolutely.

    Nothing will ever be allowed to get in the way of the USE. They will not dare risk another referendum after this one and the USE is the end game (always has been)

    So yes. We'll join the Euro (and the European army and ultimately the USE) and it will all happen without another referendum.

    My ten year time scale to join the Euro might be a little "ambitious" but it's going happen in the end. As clear as night follows day.
  • IndigoIndigo Posts: 9,966
    midwinter said:

    Leave would do considerably better with a less needy message and better leadership and a more focused message.
    The whole campaign has been deeply unattractive since Duncan Smiths carefully choreographed resignation. Sorry
    Unattractive to a Cameron loyalist, excuse us while we draw breathe in shocked surprise ;)
  • @Alanbrooke posted - surprisingly xenophobic for the so called internationalists

    I can see some on the remain left not liking this.

    I am on the remain centre and do not like it
  • foxinsoxukfoxinsoxuk Posts: 23,548
    edited April 2016

    I'm not sure Johnny Turk was regarded as a natural enemy. Many of the men at the Dardenelles thought highly of them. However, he did have curious habits, especially with regards to women.
    My grandfather was an infantryman at the second battle of Kut and the capture of Baghdad in 1917. Despite being locked in combat with Johnny Turk including hand to hand fighting he was very complimentary about them. In particular he thought them brave and honourable fighters, never resorting to the tactics he had seen on the Western front. His opinion on the French would come as no surprise to TSE though.
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 51,107
    @Casino I also think there's a dim but growing awareness that 'Leave' appears to have gathered in all the loners and eccentrics from British politics, who can't agree amongst themselves and indeed appear to enjoy fighting each other just as much; what few friends they have abroad are distinctly unpleasant, and some of their interventions (Obama's father, various from Farage etc) have also verged on the unpleasant. If you are right and Remain win (and I think the margin will be significantly greater than you predict) there will be plenty to take apart in post-analysis of why Leave didn't win through.
  • timetrompettetimetrompette Posts: 111
    edited April 2016
    RobD said:

    You really think we'd scrap Sterling without a referendum? The party doing that would face annihilation at the ballot box.
    Listen to Justine Greening on Friday's 'Any Questions'. You're not getting another referendum in the next decade.

    The campaign to enter the Euro will be fought with the same ferocity and ruthlessness as Remain, lest there be any doubt.
  • MP_SEMP_SE Posts: 3,642
    Pulpstar said:

    What circles do you mix in ?!?
    I really struggle to believe it to be honest. I go out of my way to avoid talking about the referendum and have come across countless people who want to leave. Tradesmen doing work on the house, waiting in line at the supermarket, dinner parties, work colleagues, etc.
  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 53,661
    surbiton said:

    Of course. Turkey is a market of 80m hard working people. Practically on the door step to the Middle East. Think like your great=grandfather would have done.
    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-36124329
  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 53,661
    MP_SE said:

    I really struggle to believe it to be honest. I go out of my way to avoid talking about the referendum and have come across countless people who want to leave. Tradesmen doing work on the house, waiting in line at the supermarket, dinner parties, work colleagues, etc.
    Anecdotally, both my mum and dad are leaning towards LEAVE.
  • LayneLayne Posts: 163
    A good ten to twenty million Turks are full-on "stone the gays" head banging Islamists. We already have substantial problems with a Muslim minority that refuses to integrate. You would have to be a fool to support adding to this population.
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 79,232
    edited April 2016
    MP_SE said:

    I really struggle to believe it to be honest. I go out of my way to avoid talking about the referendum and have come across countless people who want to leave. Tradesmen doing work on the house, waiting in line at the supermarket, dinner parties, work colleagues, etc.
    My other half has gone from remain to undecided. Another friend from brexit to undecided.

    Quite alot of remainers on my social media friends list.
  • david_herdsondavid_herdson Posts: 18,214
    rcs1000 said:

    The Austrian presidency is essentially a ceremonial role (like in Ireland), and there is still a run off to come.

    His opponent is the son of an immigrant, who thinks Austria should take more asylum seekers.

    So, it'll be interesting to see the end result.

    But, it is also irrelevant as e Austrian president has no power.
    It might only be symbollic but symbollism packs power itself. At the minium, it's a shot from the electorate across the mainstream's bows.
  • IndigoIndigo Posts: 9,966
    edited April 2016

    But I am happy for it to be Leave policy, it will boost the Remain vote significantly.

    Erm.. are you "Remain" ? I am certainly not "Leave", I tried growing a shock of blonde hair, but it didn't work out. I understand some topics might be completely unrelated to the EU Referendum entirely.
  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 53,661

    Nah, the poster is this

    twitter.com/StrongerIn/status/724313524793651200
    Even more racist against Albanians than the "Taken" film series!
  • AlanbrookeAlanbrooke Posts: 25,787
    Layne said:

    A good ten to twenty million Turks are full-on "stone the gays" head banging Islamists. We already have substantial problems with a Muslim minority that refuses to integrate. You would have to be a fool to support adding to this population.


    A good ten to twenty million Turks are full-on "stone the gays" head banging Islamists

    probably goat farmers trying to nobble the competition.
  • foxinsoxukfoxinsoxuk Posts: 23,548

    I thought hitting rock bottom was when SeanT called me a traitor.

    But no, hitting rock bottom is when an Ulsterman calls you xenophobic :lol:
    Quite wrong. Ulstermen are very welcoming to strangers. It is other Irishmen they do not like.
  • TykejohnnoTykejohnno Posts: 7,362
    Tim Stanley ‏@timothy_stanley
    The humiliation of watching a British prime minister make the case for why we must do what America tells us to do. This is painful.
  • TykejohnnoTykejohnno Posts: 7,362
    edited April 2016
  • LayneLayne Posts: 163

    it's actually a bit daft, last time I looked Albania was firmly in Europe.
    It actually pleases me as a sign there is a lot of ineptness in the Remain campaign. "Leave Europe and be like Albania"? They are making a mockery of themselves in basic geography, even before you get into the marketing weakness of not playing into a campaign message.
  • IndigoIndigo Posts: 9,966
    midwinter said:

    Do you even live in the UK?

    Not currently, through no fault of my own, although the rest of my family lives in the West Country with plenty of pleasant Poles around. However I am keeping busy teaching in the third world, which helps pass the time until I can see my immigrant wife and children in the UK again. Have you seen Cameron's polling against Corbyn recently ?
  • Quite wrong. Ulstermen are very welcoming to strangers. It is other Irishmen they do not like.
    Well they do have an Englishman as their patron Saint, so you're right.
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 59,385
    edited April 2016
    Indigo said:


    http://www.wsj.com/articles/young-men-in-senegal-join-migrant-wave-despite-growing-prosperity-at-home-1434127244

    In the three months to March, 1,187 Senegalese crossed into Italy, outnumbering the refugees from even war-torn Syria and Somalia and totalitarian Eritrea, according to the Geneva-based Institute of Migration, though those countries surpassed Senegal in April.

    So that would be Senegal, Somalia and Eritrea, all sub saharan African countries, and all individually outnumbering the Syrians at least some of the time.
    Ahhh... so this some entirely new meaning of the word 'most' that I was not previously aware of.
  • AlanbrookeAlanbrooke Posts: 25,787
    Layne said:

    It actually pleases me as a sign there is a lot of ineptness in the Remain campaign. "Leave Europe and be like Albania"? They are making a mockery of themselves in basic geography, even before you get into the marketing weakness of not playing into a campaign message.
    There is no Remain message except scare the shit out of voters. Even their numbers are just made up.

    If Leave had a half decent leader they would cause them serious damage.
  • midwintermidwinter Posts: 1,112
    Indigo said:

    Unattractive to a Cameron loyalist, excuse us while we draw breathe in shocked surprise ;)
    You think he'd have resigned if the referendum wasn't taking place?
  • LayneLayne Posts: 163
    Building on England's green and pleasant land to make room for several million more foreign nationals. How did it come to this?
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 79,232

    There is no Remain message except scare the shit out of voters. Even their numbers are just made up.

    If Leave had a half decent leader they would cause them serious damage.
    Project "Brick Yourself"
  • IndigoIndigo Posts: 9,966
    edited April 2016
    IanB2 said:

    If you are right and Remain win (and I think the margin will be significantly greater than you predict) there will be plenty to take apart in post-analysis of why Leave didn't win through.

    I think he is right as well, but consider for a moment the level of post-mortem analysis that would be required if Leave win! If the government held every card, played every unfair advantage, and still lose. Not to mention I would be able to hear the sound of Mr Meeks' teeth grinding from here in the South Pacific :D

  • AlanbrookeAlanbrooke Posts: 25,787
    Pulpstar said:

    Project "Brick Yourself"
    Remain - sponsored by Immodium
  • TykejohnnoTykejohnno Posts: 7,362

    There is no Remain message except scare the shit out of voters. Even their numbers are just made up.

    If Leave had a half decent leader they would cause them serious damage.
    Agree.
  • I am on the remain centre and do not like it
    Yes, likewise. I find it crass and verging on offensive, but I imagine that we aren't the target demographic for this poster.
  • midwintermidwinter Posts: 1,112
    Indigo said:

    Not currently, through no fault of my own, although the rest of my family lives in the West Country with plenty of pleasant Poles around. However I am keeping busy teaching in the third world, which helps pass the time until I can see my immigrant wife and children in the UK again. Have you seen Cameron's polling against Corbyn recently ?
    Are you suggesting Cameron would lose to Corbyn in an election? Or are you of the opinion the Tories would do better with a more right wing eurosceptic leader? That worked well before.

  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 121,665
    edited April 2016

    There is no Remain message except scare the shit out of voters. Even their numbers are just made up.

    If Leave had a half decent leader they would cause them serious damage.
    This is merely an hors d'oeuvre.

    The campaign proper starts 9th of May.

    You ain't see nothing yet.
  • IndigoIndigo Posts: 9,966
    edited April 2016
    rcs1000 said:

    Ahhh... so this some entirely new meaning of the word 'most' that I was not previously aware of.
    Shrug. Hand wave it away if it suits you. You don't know, and I can't be bothered to dig out the figures. You sounds a little bitter, I promise I didn't write to Gove and propose the current Leave offering, in fact as with many here, I think he should have kept his big mouth shut.
  • Yes, likewise. I find it crass and verging on offensive, but I imagine that we aren't the target demographic for this poster.
    Looks like they focussed grouped it to a roomful of chortling Tory boys at CCO and TSE, and thought they were onto a winner.
  • Looks like they focussed grouped it to a roomful of chortling Tory boys at CCO and TSE, and thought they were onto a winner.
    I'm touched you think I'm so influential.
  • timetrompettetimetrompette Posts: 111
    edited April 2016

    This is merely an hors d'oeuvre.

    The campaign proper starts 9th of May.

    You ain't see nothing yet.
    It seems like only a few short week ago that you were a Leaver, and now you're privy to everything Remain.
  • IndigoIndigo Posts: 9,966
    midwinter said:

    Are you suggesting Cameron would lose to Corbyn in an election? Or are you of the opinion the Tories would do better with a more right wing eurosceptic leader? That worked well before.
    I am not suggesting anything, the polls suggest that Cameron is less popular than Corbyn. Being less popular than a marxist takes a bit of talent. The British public still believe in the magic money tree, they have had enough cuts when Osborne has singularly failed to cut anything of substance, we will get another idiotic leftwing government whether you or I like it or not.
  • AlanbrookeAlanbrooke Posts: 25,787

    This is merely an hors d'oeuvre.

    The campaign proper starts 9th of May.

    You ain't see nothing yet.
    Dave blows off Jean claude Junker live on TV while he threatens the UK with a nuclear winter ?

    the Treasury runs out of zeros for their next big scary number ?

    Guided helicopter tours of the Tory party split since it's now bigger than the Grand canyon ?
  • I'm touched you think I'm so influential.
    You like to think you are.
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 121,665
    edited April 2016

    It seems like only a few shorts week ago that you were a Leaver, and now you're privy to everything Remain.
    Only a moron like you would think the campaigns aren't going to kick into higher gear after the local, London Mayoral, and the devolved elections are out the way.

    You don't need to be Sir Lynton Crosby to know that.
  • glwglw Posts: 10,366
    edited April 2016

    There is no Remain message except scare the shit out of voters. Even their numbers are just made up.

    If Leave had a half decent leader they would cause them serious damage.

    What is really striking about the Remain campaign is a) there doesn't seem to be any positive message about the EU (or certainly it is way behind the fear mongering), and b) Cameron's worthless renegotiation has disappeared from view, even Remainers aren't trying to sell that.

    If we weren't already in the EU there is no chance Remain would persuade us to join.
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 121,665
    edited April 2016

    Dave blows off Jean claude Junker live on TV while he threatens the UK with a nuclear winter ?

    the Treasury runs out of zeros for their next big scary number ?

    Guided helicopter tours of the Tory party split since it's now bigger than the Grand canyon ?
    I suspect it will be wall to wall 3 million jobs versus 3 million new migrants for the last few weeks, with the Book of Revelation being cited by both sides.
  • AlanbrookeAlanbrooke Posts: 25,787
    edited April 2016

    Only a moron like you would think the campaigns aren't going to kick into higher gear after the local, London Mayoral, and the devolved elections are out the way.

    You don't need to be Sir Lynton Crosby to know that.
    ROFL just what the Tories need - a bit more spite to go with the rancour.

    Really this is probably the worst party campaign in ages.

    The same party tears itself to bits to the applause of it's opponents laughing on the sidelines.
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 121,665
    edited April 2016

    ROFL just what the Tories need - a bit more spite to go with the rancour.

    Really this is probably the worst party campaign in ages.

    The same party tears itself to bits to the applause of it's opponents laughing on the sidelines.
    Mike's on holiday for the last 3 full weeks of the campaign and I'm guest editor.

    I'm already dreading it.
  • AlanbrookeAlanbrooke Posts: 25,787

    I suspect it will be wall to wall 3 million jobs versus 3 million new migrants for the last few weeks, with the Book of Revelation being cited by both sides.
    Except now of course the 3 million jobs is a fiction but Remain have confirmed the 3 million immigrants as a fact.
  • Only a moron like you would think the campaigns aren't going to kick into higher gear after the local, London Mayoral, and the devolved elections are out the way.

    You don't need to be Sir Lynton Crosby to know that.
    After the locals there is AFAIK just 3 weeks and a few days for Govt communications and then purdah kicks in for the last 4 weeks. Am I wrong?
  • AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    edited April 2016
    This is the Europe we are being asked to remain in:

    "The far-Right appeared close to seizing the Austrian presidency on Sunday night, in an election result that will send shockwaves through Europe.
    Norbert Hofer, the gun-toting candidate of the Freedom Party (FPÖ), won almost twice as many votes as his nearest rival, according to exit polls."

    http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2016/04/24/far-right-close-to-seizing-austrian-presidency/

    "Austrian far-right party wins first round of presidential election
    Norbert Hofer of the Freedom party takes 36.7% of the vote as candidates from the two governing parties fail to make runoff"

    http://www.theguardian.com/world/2016/apr/24/austrian-far-right-wins-first-round-presidential-election-norbert-hofer
  • AlanbrookeAlanbrooke Posts: 25,787
    AndyJS said:

    This is the Europe we are being asked to remain in:

    "The far-Right appeared close to seizing the Austrian presidency on Sunday night, in an election result that will send shockwaves through Europe.
    Norbert Hofer, the gun-toting candidate of the Freedom Party (FPÖ), won almost twice as many votes as his nearest rival, according to exit polls."


    http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2016/04/24/far-right-close-to-seizing-austrian-presidency/

    it's the future. What could possibly go wrong ?
  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 53,661

    Only a moron like you
    David Ca-moron?
  • AlanbrookeAlanbrooke Posts: 25,787

    David Ca-moron?
    LOL
  • Looks like they focussed grouped it to a roomful of chortling Tory boys at CCO and TSE, and thought they were onto a winner.
    The rules are that CCO must be neutral and not campaign for either side. The REMAIN campaign at present is largely driven out of number 10 -but if purdah is to be kept they have to hand over to REMAIN 3 and a bit weeks after the locals.
  • AlanbrookeAlanbrooke Posts: 25,787
    German media reporting Obama singing "Smack my bitch up" before UK press conference
  • After the locals there is AFAIK just 3 weeks and a few days for Govt communications and then purdah kicks in for the last 4 weeks. Am I wrong?
    IIRC is a slightly modified purdah. Purdah for the the last four weeks but normal Government/EU dealings and responses are excluded from the purdah.
  • foxinsoxukfoxinsoxuk Posts: 23,548

    I suspect it will be wall to wall 3 million jobs versus 3 million new migrants for the last few weeks, with the Book of Revelation being cited by both sides.
    Immigration (or putting a stop to it) is the only issue that Leave can win on. I am surprised that they have not emphasised it more. I suppose we will get lots of it in the next eight weeks.
  • TykejohnnoTykejohnno Posts: 7,362
    Looks like the leave side going after the NHS on front of the times.
  • TCPoliticalBettingTCPoliticalBetting Posts: 10,819
    edited April 2016

    Except now of course the 3 million jobs is a fiction but Remain have confirmed the 3 million immigrants as a fact.
    re 3 million. It would be rather funny if Osborne's cunning stunt of that Treasury 200 pager delivered the one number that finished him and REMAIN off. Oh deep joy if it came to be.
  • weejonnieweejonnie Posts: 3,820
    Well at least George Osborne will be out of a job - as the EU takes away his powers to reduce taxes.

    59. In order to establish a Fiscal Union, the automatic information exchange between national tax authorities should be improved in order to avoid tax planning, base erosion and profit shifting.
    60. Coordinated actions to fight tax heavens should be promoted.
    61. A Common Consolidated Corporate Tax Base directive, with a minimum rate and with common objectives for a progressive harmonization, should be adopted.
    62. The EU should embark on a comprehensive review of existing VAT legislation, addressing as well the issue of reduced rates and the introduction of the country of origin principle.
    63. Furthermore, a partially automatic stabilising mechanism to foster convergence and counter differences in the economic cycles among the Member States should be set up.
  • TheWhiteRabbitTheWhiteRabbit Posts: 12,454
    Indiana Trump +5. A really close one but Trump should benefit from a good showing on Tuesday,
  • it's the future. What could possibly go wrong ?
    Tomorrow belongs to me. can be sung in the bierkellers tonight.
  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 53,661

    Well they do have an Englishman as their patron Saint, so you're right.
    Actually, Patrick could have been born in Scotland or Wales...
  • AlanbrookeAlanbrooke Posts: 25,787
    weejonnie said:

    Well at least George Osborne will be out of a job - as the EU takes away his powers to reduce taxes.

    59. In order to establish a Fiscal Union, the automatic information exchange between national tax authorities should be improved in order to avoid tax planning, base erosion and profit shifting.
    60. Coordinated actions to fight tax heavens should be promoted.
    61. A Common Consolidated Corporate Tax Base directive, with a minimum rate and with common objectives for a progressive harmonization, should be adopted.
    62. The EU should embark on a comprehensive review of existing VAT legislation, addressing as well the issue of reduced rates and the introduction of the country of origin principle.
    63. Furthermore, a partially automatic stabilising mechanism to foster convergence and counter differences in the economic cycles among the Member States should be set up.

    That;s where the whole thing will explode in Remain;s face, but after the vote. The EU will just steamroller on and buyers remorse will set in.
  • BarnesianBarnesian Posts: 9,079
    kle4 said:

    What do they substitute 'posh' with then? I'm genuinely uncertain. Snobbish, I guess?
    Posh allegedly derives from Port Out, Starboard Home, which posh people used to choose their cabins on transatlantic trips (to be in the sunshine).

    If you are American, you travelled the other way so it would be Starboard Out, Port Home. They would be soph people.
  • TCPoliticalBettingTCPoliticalBetting Posts: 10,819
    edited April 2016

    IIRC is a slightly modified purdah. Purdah for the the last four weeks but normal Government/EU dealings and responses are excluded from the purdah.
    But does it not stop any Treasury style documents coming out?
  • midwintermidwinter Posts: 1,112
    Indigo said:

    I am not suggesting anything, the polls suggest that Cameron is less popular than Corbyn. Being less popular than a marxist takes a bit of talent. The British public still believe in the magic money tree, they have had enough cuts when Osborne has singularly failed to cut anything of substance, we will get another idiotic leftwing government whether you or I like it or not.
    As nobody in their right mind desires an idiotic left wing government would it not be eminently sensible for some of the more voluble critics of Mr Cameron showed a little discipline. The frustrating thing to me is that without the naked ambition of Boris and the treachery of Duncan Smith there was a chance of a sensible debate rather than the unseemly melee that's unfolded.

    For all my criticism of leave and it's campaign I'm no fan of the EU. However a referendum was promised, it's taking place and because the PM doesn't support leave I don't think he deserves the opprobrium being heaped on him.

  • bigjohnowlsbigjohnowls Posts: 22,924

    Except now of course the 3 million jobs is a fiction but Remain have confirmed the 3 million immigrants as a fact.
    Surely that shoud be FACT
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 59,385
    Indigo said:

    Shrug. Hand wave it away if it suits you. You don't know, and I can't be bothered to dig out the figures. You sounds a little bitter, I promise I didn't write to Gove and propose the current Leave offering, in fact as with many here, I think he should have kept his big mouth shut.
    The traditional meaning of 'most' is more than 50%.

    You came back with the case that Senegalese were sometimes (sometimes) the most common group.
  • AlanbrookeAlanbrooke Posts: 25,787

    Surely that shoud be FACT
    well it is fun. Does Osborne attack his own number and therefore undermine his case or does he keep passing his opponents more ammunition ?
  • bigjohnowlsbigjohnowls Posts: 22,924
    midwinter said:

    As nobody in their right mind desires an idiotic left wing government would it not be eminently sensible for some of the more voluble critics of Mr Cameron showed a little discipline. The frustrating thing to me is that without the naked ambition of Boris and the treachery of Duncan Smith there was a chance of a sensible debate rather than the unseemly melee that's unfolded.

    For all my criticism of leave and it's campaign I'm no fan of the EU. However a referendum was promised, it's taking place and because the PM doesn't support leave I don't think he deserves the opprobrium being heaped on him.

    Didnt realize RN was allowed 2 accounts!!!
  • well it is fun. Does Osborne attack his own number and therefore undermine his case or does he keep passing his opponents more ammunition ?
    Unfortunately for Leave, Gove has given Remain some ammo on that front

    https://twitter.com/SamCoatesTimes/status/722345657160318976
  • YBarddCwscYBarddCwsc Posts: 7,172

    Well they do have an Englishman as their patron Saint, so you're right.
    Given that there were no English on the Island of Britain at the time of St Patrick, this is a remarkably ignorant statement.

    Almost moronic.
  • MrEdMrEd Posts: 5,578
    Completely O/T but I have just been on Amazon and pretty amazed at the lack of any discount for popular titles.

    Seems like Amazon has gone the classic predatory pricing route - cut your prices to kill the bookstores and then discontinue the discounts when you have they are mainly out of business.
  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 53,661
    Barnesian said:

    Posh allegedly derives from Port Out, Starboard Home, which posh people used to choose their cabins on transatlantic trips (to be in the sunshine).

    If you are American, you travelled the other way so it would be Starboard Out, Port Home. They would be soph people.
    Most likely derived from the Romani term posh ‎(“half”), either because posh-kooroona "half a crown" (originally a substantial sum of money) was used metaphorically for anything pricey or upper-class, or because posh-houri "half-penny" became a general term for money.

    A period slang dictionary defines "posh" as a term used by thieves for "money : generic, but specifically, a halfpenny or other small coin".[1] An example is given from Page's Eavesdropper (1888): "They used such funny terms: 'brads,' and 'dibbs,' and 'mopusses,' and 'posh' ... at last it was borne in upon me that they were talking about money."

    Evidence exists for a slang sense from the 1890s meaning "dandy", which is quite possibly related.[2]

    A popular folk etymology holds that the term is an acronym for "port out, starboard home"[3], describing the cooler, north-facing cabins taken by the most aristocratic or rich passengers travelling from Britain to India and back. However, there is no direct evidence for this claim.[4]


    https://en.wiktionary.org/wiki/posh
  • ROFL just what the Tories need - a bit more spite to go with the rancour.

    Really this is probably the worst party campaign in ages.

    The same party tears itself to bits to the applause of it's opponents laughing on the sidelines.
    Cameron seems determined to perform this Samson act.
    Yes, he will win his referendum.
    But at what price?


  • Given that there were no English on the Island of Britain at the time of St Patrick, this is a remarkably ignorant statement.

    Almost moronic.
    Blame Alanbrooke, he raised it yesterday.
  • bigjohnowlsbigjohnowls Posts: 22,924

    well it is fun. Does Osborne attack his own number and therefore undermine his case or does he keep passing his opponents more ammunition ?
    LOL I think Scott P and RN are having an early night.
  • midwinter said:

    As nobody in their right mind desires an idiotic left wing government would it not be eminently sensible for some of the more voluble critics of Mr Cameron showed a little discipline. The frustrating thing to me is that without the naked ambition of Boris and the treachery of Duncan Smith there was a chance of a sensible debate rather than the unseemly melee that's unfolded.

    For all my criticism of leave and it's campaign I'm no fan of the EU. However a referendum was promised, it's taking place and because the PM doesn't support leave I don't think he deserves the opprobrium being heaped on him.

    Had Cameron not chosen to hose £9 million of taxpayers cash printing leaflets for the Remain campaign, he might have had an easier ride.
This discussion has been closed.