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BoJo slumps to his worst ever Opinium PM approval rating – politicalbetting.com
BoJo slumps to his worst ever Opinium PM approval rating – politicalbetting.com
While just about everybody has been focused on the tennis the fortnightly Opinium poll has been published overnght with some bad news for the PM – his latest approval ratings which are featured in the chart above. As can be seen the PM now has a disapproval rating of 49% with just 32% saying that they approve. The former is the highest it has been since he entered Number 10 and the latter is the lowest.
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Tremendously impressive achievement. Hope she gets SPOTY.
Followed the PB tip last night and now £30 poorer.
I could have had a quarter of one of Leon's bottles of booze.
Betting PostF1: backed Norris at 9.5 and Ricciardo at 12 each way to win.
https://enormo-haddock.blogspot.com/2021/09/italy-pre-race-2021.html
I don't think they will win but have a decent shot, cars together, of preventing Hamilton making much progress.
Congratulations to Miss Raducanu, but I still think prices like 1/10 are ridiculous. Yes she won the tournament, but got an easy run at it. If she’d beaten Serena in the final, I might have thought differently.
I am now praying that Lewis Hamilton wins his record 8th championship on the day of the SPoTY vote, cementing his reputation as the driving GOAT.
His worry will be that MV will be well up the road by the time he can clear the orange cars. Yesterday’s Sprint showed how difficult it actually is to overtake at Monza, the top speeds are all very similar and DRS is ineffective.
Interestingly, the F2 cars had no such problems in the support races, the first of which was an old-school F2 demolition derby! https://youtube.com/watch?v=BKoV22Id1Oc
OK, so the straight sets win in the final belies the fact that it was very close for much of it, but she still won.
Serena is also far from the force she was. It’s Ashleigh Barty et al now.
Government are now back to taking difficult decisions, and it’s always easier to criticise than to present a viable alternative to any given policy persued by those in charge. We have already seen tax rises announced, and there is more unpopularity to come, as the various Covid-related support schemes for furlough and tax credits come to an end, as well at the Budget next month. Expect the whips to be busy holding off rebellions and resignations - on which they did a very good job last week - as things return to normal. The majority should be large enough to see most things get through, so in terms of Commons business we’re not looking like it’s 1996 all over again.
"She has no chance of winning SPoTY."
Sometimes you just need to admit you got something badly wrong.
I'm even beginning to wonder if the real reason you're hell-bent on this stance is that she looks and sounds something other than a WASP?
I hope that's not the case but otherwise you're coming across as ridiculous and a sore loser.
It will be interesting to see how the party reacts if ‘normal’ politics does indeed resume.
Still no tables up. Is that not a breach of BPC rules?
I have friends, Conservative voters, who are seething.
1956 - Jim Laker
1988 - Steve Davis
1992 - Nigel Mansell
1996 - Damon Hill
Notable people who didn’t win:
1968 - Graham Hill (F1 world champion - though, maybe only possible because of Clark’s death, beaten by David Hemmery - 400m hurdles)
1976 - James Hunt (F1 world champion (amongst other things!), beaten by John Curry - figure skating, so winter games, which aren’t a factor these days)
2008 - Lewis Hamilton (F1 world champion, beaten by triple gold medalist Chris Hoy, cycling)
2012 - Andy Murray (US Open winner, beaten by Bradley Wiggins - cycling)
I’m surprised Hunt didn’t win, but maybe Middle England didn’t like his off-track behaviour!
With due apologies to @Marf, I’m not sure why any of the other cartoonists bother.
I think for those of us who know the game of tennis, she is the real deal and then some. A remarkable player with nerves of steel.
If she stays injury-free she will win many more Grand Slams. Tennis moved on last night. A changing of the guard. Emma Raducanu is the face of the new generation and I suspect young players like Leylah will push her hard.
Ten years from now though Sandpit still won't admit he was completely wrong. Nor will Piers Morgan. But that's about them. This is about Emma.
I said last week that she had no chance, and I’m now saying she has a much better chance having won the tournament.
I said at the time that you'd written something silly.
The event on Wednesday saw billionaires and investment bankers rub shoulders with the PM and Chancellor https://twitter.com/AVMikhailova/status/1436952124815036419/photo/1
Well guess what, she won the tournament, and she now has a good chance.
I also put my money where my mouth is, and have a £100 bet with @Philip_Thompson on the SPoTY result.
Anyway, more productive uses of my time beckon this fine Sunday morning.
An extraordinary young lady. I'm blown away by her level of tennis as well her mental fortitude.
No Johnson disapproval question.
Pro-independence parties on 60%. Unionist parties on 40%.
But the biggie for me is that - 4 decades later - Clownism has finally utterly buried Thatcherism.
- “Thinking about Boris Johnson and the Conservative Party do you think they do or do not care about keeping taxes low?”
(net do/do not)
Midlands and Wales -30
Rest of South -30
North -42
London -43
Scotland -56
GB -37
We all make mistakes. The secret to success is to admit them, if not to others at least to yourself. To attempt to re-write what you said belittles yourself. Take some time out and reflect.
So, I wonder who will land the big sponsorship deal with Emma? Someone is going to pay her an enormous amount of money for the modern face of a global superstar.
Personally, if he is to relocate I would prefer Outer Mongolia, but Dubai is sort of a start.
Labour accuses ‘reckless’ Priti Patel of serially breaching ministerial code https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2021/sep/11/labour-accuses-reckless-priti-patel-of-serially-breaching-ministerial-code
I too was a Raducanu sceptic, although as stated on pb, I'd backed her to win the US Open. The main reason for doubting her SPotY credentials was that the US Open was not broadcast on terrestrial television. That changed with the last minute sale of television rights for the final to Channel 4 and highlights to the BBC, which latter point means that the SPotY television programme, during which the public votes for the winner, can show her victory.
Since Raducanu was the same price to win the US Open as to win SPotY, and the latter was predicated on the former, the US Open was the more sensible bet, and an each-way bet would have paid out if she'd lost in the final – and if she had lost, it is unlikely she'd have been shortlisted for SPotY. Oh, and as noted on the last thread, she went to the same school as Dina Asher-Smith, who for most of the summer was favourite to win SPotY.
As with Boris, or Gove, we are governed by people who think the rules don't apply to them.
So far they have been able to lie and break the law and have been practically applauded for doing so by the Cult of Boris. Yes its marvellous that he lied to the Queen etc.
So this week's lies - that the tax increase is to pay for social care, and that its progressive - shouldn't have been any concern. Tory voters like being lied to. And yet suddenly it appears they don't.
One possible angle. We saw the zeal for Brexit. That was seen as doing something to someone else - the man, the powers that be, the EU, the bureaucrats. Easy to support something that supposedly only hits Other People.
But this tax hike hits everyone. And the people who felt hard done by when we were in the EU get hard done the hardest. And thats before working families get scalped by the UC cut. And to cap it all off, they can't even see what benefit there is - the NHS will be on its knees again this winter and keep getting worse according to Javid.
Like I said, this is the Tories apocalpseofuck.
https://twitter.com/gabrielmilland/status/1436801559858458625
Which means if Labour gets its messaging right on every payslip there is a deduction to allow the Southern pensioners to keep their home
Serena Williams is on, apparently $210m.
Interesting that in a later post you talk about him adding words he didn't originally put, whilst here you invent rationales he didn't put in those initial words.
https://twitter.com/spectator/status/1436752596954456073?s=21
Sandpit gave his reasons he thought she'd lose and offered a bet to all takers which you could have taken him up with and I did.
Sandpit has had a very sound strategy of laying whoever has just won and been on the news since the Olympics onwards. It's been a very sound and logival strategy until now though I did caution why it might not be a good strategy yesterday. The colour of her skin has nothing to do with it, he's been laying Peaty and Daley and others with the same strategy.
You should apologise.
I’ve never seen anything in sandpits posts to indicate he holds such views so far. Such a repellent accusation should be justified.
Separately from that is breaking the pensions triple lock, much hated on pb as a subsidy to rich pensioners. The thing is, the state pension is also paid to poor pensioners, and there are a lot more of them.
And common to both is lying to the electorate. Two election pledges broken in one day. It plays into the meme that Boris's word cannot be relied on.
Police Scotland granted warrant to seize evidence in the £600,000 SNP fraud enquiry including accounts and any relevant materials from Johnston Carmichael hired by the SNP
Sturgeon's husband Peter Murrell is to be interviewed by Police Scotland also
And while many others close by might also not care, they don't get caught out so much.
The problem is that people see straight through it. With council tax the complaint is why am I having to pay for something someone else needs (direct repeated horse's mouth quotes from the doorstep before anyone picks at it).
So why would this NI levy be any different? Its a tax. Explicitly called out and supposedly hypothecated. With the money openly wasted.
BTW, southern pensioners DO NOT keep their home. The iniquity of social care was that people have to liquidate their kids inheritance to pay for their own care. They still need to pay £86k - which means selling their home. "Ah but not when they are alive" I heard some clown apologist say on here.
Yes, so after they die the house gets sold to pay for their care. No inheritance.
Its literally the apocalypseofuck. A massive tax rise. On the hardest working (which in punter land is "me"). To fix something that isn't fixed in 3 years. To patch the NHS before then so where the fuck is the Brexit money.
Rishi needs to get his brilliant spin machine on it. Boris produced the plan. Its his team not mine. I warned him not to. Or he goes down with the clown.
Interesting, I wonder how this will play out.
And Good Morning all. We didn't particularly celebrate last night but relief after the stress of watching made us sleep on.
I note she came here aged 2, which would have been 2005 or so. Did her father come on his Romanian passport under FOM, with his Chinese spouse?
Leaving the womb been harsh on the old soul?
The NHS won't be visibly better, at best it will have caught up with the backlog, but perhaps not even that.
Social care coverage will actually be worse.
With hindsight the fairest tax would have been a 1% hypothecated income tax rise shown as such on payslips
I hope that the 100 plus conservative mps angry with Boris force him to reinstate the £20 UC uplift but even if they do it should not have been necessary
The Tories are never going to drop below 35% in the popular vote. The danger they face is that they become so disliked by the other 65% that big time tactical voting kicks in. This is where a bland, rather uninspiring Labour leader is helpful.
Because right now, I'm not sure you're in a position to criticise others for inaccurate predictions.
Edit. And her parents work in the City.
She could only beat the players in front of her. She did so and became the first qualifier ever to win a grand slam event. Great achievement.
I would guess the figure is wrong.
Sturgeon and Blackford would therefore be kingmakers and Starmer would need SNP confidence and supply to form a government
https://www.electoralcalculus.co.uk/fcgi-bin/usercode.py?scotcontrol=Y&CON=38&LAB=38&LIB=8&Reform=2&Green=6&UKIP=&TVCON=&TVLAB=&TVLIB=&TVReform=&TVGreen=&TVUKIP=&SCOTCON=23.6&SCOTLAB=19.2&SCOTLIB=6&SCOTReform=0.3&SCOTGreen=1.5&SCOTUKIP=&SCOTNAT=47.5&display=AllChanged&regorseat=(none)&boundary=2019base
There would be room for a similar advert now showing crowded and miserable care homes due to understaffing transformed by a massive influx of immigrant staff...
2. I don't think Heathener was criticising the accuracy of the forecast.
Who does that help, politically ?
Because it looks like no-one wants to pay the large bills for social care for our ageing population -- neither those receiving the care, nor their immediate family, nor the general population through taxation.
I think it probably helps a liar, who can claim the problem is fixed (when it isn't). Or that no new taxes are required (when they are).