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If Johnson wants a sacrificial lamb Raab looks the best choice – politicalbetting.com
If Johnson wants a sacrificial lamb Raab looks the best choice – politicalbetting.com
After yesterday’s devastating emergency debate on Afghanistan Johnson’s government looks more bruised than ever and he needs to do something to re-assert his fading authority within the party. But in his whole career Johnson has found it difficult to sack people that he has appointed even when this appears necessary.
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Quite a good conversation for once
Raab should stay put. He has done excellent service during the pandemic, having to battle those who would steal our vaccines. He deserved a holiday.
And loving the spectacle of the media lynching Raab for being on his holidays - when for the past year, being able to go on holiday was all our media were fixated upon.
* well, what passed for it for 20 years.
Just politics but I expect him to stay
https://twitter.com/peterwalker99/status/1428323117080977414
Whether Raab was on the beach or not would have made no difference to the US led withdrawal, he cut short his holiday pretty soon after to deal with the consequences anyway
How shallow is that?
The only question was how it was done.
I suppose Labour have to act outraged about everything, scoring political points is what they need to do to win power.
Trump’s take on events seems crazy given he wanted troops out earlier. Biden could have scrapped Trump’s plans if he’d wanted to. Blair could have not gone in. Brown, Cameron & May could have taken us out,
Hard to see what Boris could have done differently, given we are pegged to the decisions of the US. I suppose that means Brown, Cameron and May couldn’t have taken us out.
And May was ‘hand in hand’ with Trump, of course
My own view is we shouldn’t meddle in these matters anyway. Not Iraq, Afghanistan, Libya, Syria, anywhere, unless they’re bombing us. Be pacifists. But I suppose it’s not as easy as that either
Does the deputy PM have any other responsibilities apart from, you know, being there to deputise when the PM is on holiday or ill?
You on the other hand have a self appointed anti brexit whine that starts as soon as you get up and continues till close of play and has gone on since Brexit occurred Most of it, in fact nearly all of it is other people's opinions.. as I said or rather Tim late of this parish said.. Scott' n paste....
Still not tempted at 9/1 though. There are plenty of better people for the media to go after - Biden, Trump, Johnson. If the pro-Johnson media start a Raab pile-on then I'll believe it.
https://twitter.com/peterwalker99/status/1428328324477198341?s=20
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hikawa_Maru
That said someone, whatever they are called, would be around to deal with urgent stuff when the PM is away, and Raab was clearly designated last year as being the one who would deputise (ie he is a deputy, but not a Deputy).
I suppose here someone else was the point of call if both were away.
"... and he needs to act soon to make sure that it is not his head that is on the chopping block."
It seems as though even OGH has joined the Taliban.
After the beheadings comes the sex slaves
If you believe in something you will argue for it, live by its tenets and back that up with force if necessary.
We may argue for our Western way, but we have not lived by it in recent times , don't intend to in the future and have no stomach for a fight.
"Decadence and hubris have finally brought down the American Empire
The US is in retreat on all fronts, and its incompetent politicians are incapable of reversing the decline
ALLISTER HEATH"
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2021/08/18/witnessing-collapse-american-empire/
"Not coming home was his biggest mistake," they say - arguing the foreign secretary should have cut short his holiday several days earlier.
https://twitter.com/breeallegretti/status/1428328573404844035
I believe Raab was away in Cyprus at the time but as Boris was in the UK I do not see the issue
I just think there is a whole lot of politics and not much factual evidence
Unless of course you have more detail
“ This is a tough read (be warned).
The court documents, obtained by @TheAthleticUK, about culture of ‘racist bullying’ at Chelsea in the 1990s.
One coach, Graham Rix, accused of throwing scalding coffee over the head of a black youth-team player.”
https://twitter.com/dtathletic/status/1428250498465927168?s=21
https://twitter.com/jayobtv/status/1428203523636932609
That could well be his presidential hopes going up in smoke.
Speculation follows as to who
Wake up
Spam PB.com
Go to bed
Still everyone needs a hobby.
https://twitter.com/AircraftYTube/status/1427967261873147904?s=20
Its a super easy sell, urging on the side of caution, we know oldies most at risk and most likely
group that vaccines won't have produced antibodies / have comprised immune systems.
And of course we will just hear more and more about Israel, USA and others doing this.
It is like a holiday village for the posh I guess.
OK so to defend my position on Southwold I did a google search and found the following headlines describing Southwold:
East Anglian Times - Don't call us snobs
The Daily Mail - Snooty-on-sea
The Telegraph - Is Southwold our snobbiest town?
The Sun - If you don't live here f**k off after beauty spot becomes celeb hot spot
Mumsnet - Snobbiest place in the UK
Get the picture.
I must admit that I assumed Southwold was like dozens of similar pretty areas with lots of 2nd homes around the country, and maybe it still it.
I still stick to my point that changes are not always as simple as people think and not always desirable for the local economy which depends on the income from servicing wealthy incomers.
A breakthrough infection does peak at similar viral loading to an unvaccinated infected person, but drops off a lot faster.
For example, taking the derived data and adding in a line at a Ct of 30 (about where the threshold of infectivity lies):
Which implies that a breakthrough-infected person is infectious for about 60% of the length of time that an unvaccinated infected person is. Which does make a difference when we're looking at a population-level R number.
Add to that the fact that breakthrough infections are considerably rarer than straightforward infections. Say, for argument, that AZ is 70% effective at preventing infections long-term against Delta. We can graphically show that like this:
So every 10 unvaccinated people exposed to the point where they would expect to be infected should give 145 person-days of transmissibility.
Every 10 vaccinated people exposed to a similar point should give 25.5 person-days of transmissibility.
That reduction of between 5-fold and 6-fold in transmissibility of a vaccinated population versus an unvaccinated population will be behind a considerable part of the way that cases haven't run away in the UK after such a huge relaxation of restrictions.
Instead we are in a situation where plenty of onward transmission is possible, even if it is reduced from an unvaccinated plague spreader after a few days.
A couple of ex pros talk to mostly other ex-pros, it seems even 10 years ago just incredible behaviour that would be unacceptable in any other work place. Totally standard to have bullying, physical assault, crude (bordering on) racist stereotyping.
It might not go on at the top EPL teams, but it certainly seems that you get to the likes of the Championship and some pretty appalling behaviour (and loads of unprofessional stuff from the players).
I accept that's a profoundly depressing thing to write - that you win by dividing not by unifying - but in political betting terms, particularly for securing the nomination, that's the reality. It's all about choosing your enemies well.
You sound like the proprietor of a high class escort agency.
phone just out of reach, can't hear kabul screaming
raab's not coming home, not coming home, not coming
The ZOE analysis is well worth looking into.
https://covid.joinzoe.com/post/uk-cases-hold-steady
Anyway, I apologise that this isn't the mood music that some wish to read about. But what is great leadership but warning people about the true dangers ahead? In this regard Churchill and Johnson are at opposite ends of the life spectrum. The former was frequently accused of being a doom-mongerer. The latter is full of gloss.
I think we have at least two more years of this pandemic and there will be some bleak times.
Life, huh
Toyota to cut global production by 40%
https://www.bbc.com/news/business-58266794
FFsake
What fresh hell is this ?
Yes, it's tough luck on the unvaxxed, but when the entire population is no longer immunologically naive, it won't take much increase in resistance for the transmissibility impairment population-wide to exceed the R0 of even Delta.
It seems as though vaccination-plus infection provides even greater resistance, so you wouldn't need a very high proportion of the vaxxed population to get breakthrough infections on top of the unvaccinated to all get it for the population-wide transmission reduction to finally exceed R0 and the possibility of significant outbreaks to go away.
PS the locals around Southwold take the piss out of the 2nd home owners. There is an online spoof newspaper, whose name I can't remember which is very funny.
https://video.nest.com/live/ccNmGOpCQS
https://english.elpais.com/society/2021-08-13/coronavirus-crisis-in-spain-will-nursing-home-residents-need-a-third-covid-19-vaccine-shot.html
"This rise in infections has opened a debate about whether a third dose of a Covid-19 vaccine is needed. More than seven months have passed since the first shots were administered to nursing home residents in Spain, and there are questions about whether the vaccines continue to provide the same level of protection. For now, there are no clear answers. Several investigations are trying to assess how the immune system responds to the coronavirus and its mutations, but so far, there is no evidence that backs the use of a third booster shot. People with compromised immune systems, such as cancer patients, however, are an exception, but in this case, a third dose is recommended not to increase protection, but rather because their defense systems do not respond effectively enough to the two shots.
https://english.elpais.com/society/2021-08-17/spain-at-risk-of-missing-august-vaccination-target-as-rate-of-immunization-drive-slows.html
There is a reason why campaigns against second homes are politically brave .....
https://tinyurl.com/4fbbsd6a
https://tinyurl.com/jndz4jp6
.... even if you are a Corbynista.
And the only reason I have not gone after Tory MPs is I expect most own > 2 homes.