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How the PM’s leader ratings are moving – politicalbetting.com

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  • another_richardanother_richard Posts: 26,612
    nico679 said:

    Even if you could sort out social care in terms of more money who exactly is going to be doing the caring . Unless you increase foreign workers which this cesspit government won’t do where are these carers going to come from .

    Perhaps we should get the refugees to do it.
  • IshmaelZ said:

    Sleazy broken Tories on the slide

    Hartlepool = peak Johnson
    Hey mate how are you?
  • That Labour lead bet is looking tasty
  • TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 42,983
    Just rewatched S1E1 of The West Wing.

    Fantastic.

    Such sharp dialogue might well watch the whole thing again.

    Oh and a sub plot of some Cubans making their way to America some of whom died on the way and Pres. Bartlett says let the survivors in. That's how to do it.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,126
    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    Leon said:

    The images of 450 migrants simply beaching in Kent, in one single day, and then scattering are absolutely appalling for the Tories

    TAKE BACK CONTROL?!

    If they don't get a grip on this the government is fucked

    Voters who are most appalled by that will obviously stick with Boris over Labour or the LDs, so unless Farage returns it will not be a major issue.

    There is only so much they can do anyway without Macron's help in keeping them in France otherwise all they can do is pick them up where they can
    I assume that Macron is the one supplying them with boats.
    Macron's focus is obviously getting as many out of France as possible to keep his 2017 vote from going to Le Pen
    He may need to be careful, if she loses enough might not Macron face someone who would actually beat him in the second round?
  • TazTaz Posts: 14,419
    Leon said:

    MaxPB said:

    Taz said:

    Leon said:

    Taz said:

    Leon said:

    Taz said:

    Leon said:

    The images of 450 migrants simply beaching in Kent, in one single day, and then scattering are absolutely appalling for the Tories

    TAKE BACK CONTROL?!

    If they don't get a grip on this the government is fucked

    Labour needs to make the most of this and push to welcome these people to the UK and help them. Their moral cowardice in not doing so shames left wing politics
    Interesting. Is there a limit to the numbers we should take? 10,000? 100,000? 10 million?
    We should take our fair share. Obviously we cannot take 10 million but 80 - 100K is feasible.
    100,000

    We should take 100,000

    You are literally saying 100,000 illegal migrants making insanely dangerous crossings should be prioritised over the other hundreds of thousands of migrants who want to come here, but who do so legally and safely (which takes years). You want to reward human trafficking, you want to reward evil

    And besides, once we reach the 100,000, what you gonna do then? Shoot the next boats? Or let them next boats in as well, because your enormous heart is bleeding?
    We should have a co ordinated approach with the EU and the rest of the western world and agree quotas and take the full quota amount.

    By adopting my suggestion, of setting up processing centres in France to review and approve/reject applications it should remove the illegal,element.
    Not our problem. Let them rot in Calais or go back and apply for asylum from there. As soon as they left the unsafe country the need went away. Everything after that was want which makes them an economic migrant and we have legal routes of migration for anyone who wants to come and work and settle in the UK.
    There is actually a Darwinian argument that agrees with Taz. Tho I suspect he won't like it


    If you want to take immigrants, take the youngest, toughest, smartest, richest - take the best, but make them go through some kind of awful Hunger Games-esque trial, to see who the fittest are - like, say, illegally crossing half of Africa, sorting out a trafficker, then surviving a horrible Channel crossing in a dinghy

    If they make it, let them in, because you have then successfully selected for the fittest, most enterprising migrants, who will prosper in the UK

    Perhaps we should close down all legal routes of migration, and only allow crossings of the Channel. They could be televised, in front of live audiences, as people cheer on their favourites

    FOR THE AVOIDANCE OF DOUBT, THIS IS SATIRE, I DO NOT THINK THIS IS A GOOD, KIND OR WISE THING. But it is the weird Ayn Randy upshot of Taz's Let Them Come philosophy
    My philosophy is we should help those in need and I’ve said the amount we could, and should, take as part of an international and co ordinated effort.

    These are human beings at the end of the day. There but for,the grace of god.
  • pigeonpigeon Posts: 4,839

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    Leon said:

    The images of 450 migrants simply beaching in Kent, in one single day, and then scattering are absolutely appalling for the Tories

    TAKE BACK CONTROL?!

    If they don't get a grip on this the government is fucked

    Voters who are most appalled by that will obviously stick with Boris over Labour or the LDs, so unless Farage returns it will not be a major issue.

    There is only so much they can do anyway without Macron's help in keeping them in France otherwise all they can do is pick them up where they can
    I assume that Macron is the one supplying them with boats.
    Macron's focus is obviously getting as many out of France as possible to keep his 2017 vote from going to Le Pen
    Actually, it's in Macron's interests to help the British.

    If crossing the channel was utterly futile then far fewer migrants, if any, would congregate in the Pas De Calais area.

    There'd be no point.
    I've sympathy with this view. The French (and the Belgians) don't want organised crime operating on their shores supplying desperate people with dinghies in exchange for a lot of cash, and they don't want the shanty towns either.

    Active attempts to stop people smuggling are made; most asylum seekers in the UK do not, in fact, come across on the leaky dinghies; and, if the UK Government were to agree to throw more money at the continental authorities to pay for more rigorous policing, I suspect that this would be met with a positive response.

    Beyond that, in the long run Europe will continue to find itself dealing with a constant flow of irregular migrants (some actual refugees, some economic, all jumbled up together) which rights groups waving copies of the relevant conventions will want to let in and electorates will want to keep out. The democratic will of voters not to have an open door, and the international rules on asylum and refugee status - which were largely drafted in the aftermath of WW2, when movements of the scale we now see from developing to developed countries were unheard of and unimagined - and that practically demand an open door, are fundamentally irreconcilable. Something has to give.
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,201
    Leon said:

    MaxPB said:

    Taz said:

    Leon said:

    Taz said:

    Leon said:

    Taz said:

    Leon said:

    The images of 450 migrants simply beaching in Kent, in one single day, and then scattering are absolutely appalling for the Tories

    TAKE BACK CONTROL?!

    If they don't get a grip on this the government is fucked

    Labour needs to make the most of this and push to welcome these people to the UK and help them. Their moral cowardice in not doing so shames left wing politics
    Interesting. Is there a limit to the numbers we should take? 10,000? 100,000? 10 million?
    We should take our fair share. Obviously we cannot take 10 million but 80 - 100K is feasible.
    100,000

    We should take 100,000

    You are literally saying 100,000 illegal migrants making insanely dangerous crossings should be prioritised over the other hundreds of thousands of migrants who want to come here, but who do so legally and safely (which takes years). You want to reward human trafficking, you want to reward evil

    And besides, once we reach the 100,000, what you gonna do then? Shoot the next boats? Or let them next boats in as well, because your enormous heart is bleeding?
    We should have a co ordinated approach with the EU and the rest of the western world and agree quotas and take the full quota amount.

    By adopting my suggestion, of setting up processing centres in France to review and approve/reject applications it should remove the illegal,element.
    Not our problem. Let them rot in Calais or go back and apply for asylum from there. As soon as they left the unsafe country the need went away. Everything after that was want which makes them an economic migrant and we have legal routes of migration for anyone who wants to come and work and settle in the UK.
    There is actually a Darwinian argument that agrees with Taz. Tho I suspect he won't like it


    If you want to take immigrants, take the youngest, toughest, smartest, richest - take the best, but make them go through some kind of awful Hunger Games-esque trial, to see who the fittest are - like, say, illegally crossing half of Africa, sorting out a trafficker, then surviving a horrible Channel crossing in a dinghy

    If they make it, let them in, because you have then successfully selected for the fittest, most enterprising migrants, who will prosper in the UK

    Perhaps we should close down all legal routes of migration, and only allow crossings of the Channel. They could be televised, in front of live audiences, as people cheer on their favourites

    FOR THE AVOIDANCE OF DOUBT, THIS IS SATIRE, I DO NOT THINK THIS IS A GOOD, KIND OR WISE THING. But it is the weird Ayn Randy upshot of Taz's Let Them Come philosophy
    You're certainly selecting the migrants most likely to disappear into the black economy.
  • NickPalmerNickPalmer Posts: 21,531

    nico679 said:

    Even if you could sort out social care in terms of more money who exactly is going to be doing the caring . Unless you increase foreign workers which this cesspit government won’t do where are these carers going to come from .

    Perhaps we should get the refugees to do it.
    Not the worst idea, actually. If I was a refugee uncertain of my chances of staying and knew that looking after some elderly folk was a passport to stay, I'd do it like a shot. But it's not the unskilled profession that some people think, so training would be needed.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,126
    Taz said:

    MaxPB said:

    Taz said:

    MaxPB said:

    Leon said:

    The images of 450 migrants simply beaching in Kent, in one single day, and then scattering are absolutely appalling for the Tories

    TAKE BACK CONTROL?!

    If they don't get a grip on this the government is fucked

    The UK is far to weak. We need to do what the European countries are doing. Fuck middle class sensibilities, push them back out to sea like French and Greeks and house the ones that do make it in Algeria until they are processed. No right to enter the UK until asylum is granted. The UK needs to become a fortress island.
    Fortunately our courts wouldn’t allow it and someone like the good law project would soon stop it.
    Change the law, legislate, do whatever it takes. If it means burning the HRA then so be it. Enough is enough.
    We take,a fraction compared to other nations, it’s time we did our bit after all we started or helped fuel many of the conflicts that saw these people forces to leave their home nations where they all would rather be.
    "we started or helped fuel many of the conflicts"

    That sounds like a very patronising approach to problems in other places. I dare say we don't help much and used to do even worse, but it seems to infantilise them to take on all responsibilty like that.

  • LeonLeon Posts: 55,428
    edited July 2021
    Actually, a TV series or a high concept thriller based on a Hunger Games style sieving of migration could be a cracking drama, weaving together leftwing "care" with right wing pragmatics, plus lots of climate change drama
  • dixiedeandixiedean Posts: 29,410
    edited July 2021
    TOPPING said:

    Just rewatched S1E1 of The West Wing.

    Fantastic.

    Such sharp dialogue might well watch the whole thing again.

    Oh and a sub plot of some Cubans making their way to America some of whom died on the way and Pres. Bartlett says let the survivors in. That's how to do it.

    I recommend it. Am near the end of Series 3 now.
    Amazing to see how politics has changed for the worse over there in 20 years.
    Yes, I know it's fictionalised.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,126
    Pagan2 said:

    Taz said:

    Pagan2 said:

    Taz said:

    MaxPB said:

    Taz said:

    Andy_JS said:

    Taz said:

    Leon said:

    The images of 450 migrants simply beaching in Kent, in one single day, and then scattering are absolutely appalling for the Tories

    TAKE BACK CONTROL?!

    If they don't get a grip on this the government is fucked

    Labour needs to make the most of this and push to welcome these people to the UK and help them. Their moral cowardice in not doing so shames left wing politics
    Why won't you address the point that France is a safe country and that therefore there's no reason for migrants to risk their lives crossing the channel?
    They are not obliged to apply to stay in France. They want to come here. We should give them safe passage as long as they are genuine and most are.
    Asylum is about need, not want. Economic migration is about want, not need. If they want to migrate here for economic reasons then they can do so legally. Push the boats back out and send them to Algeria or Morocco etc...
    These are not economic migrants. Surely we should, as a nation, be proud they want to come here as they see us as safe, warm and welcoming to,vulnerable people.
    They are absolutely economic migrants. They fled war. They are in a safe country. Further movement is economic based not safety based
    Yet many are accepted as genuine and of those rejected a large proportion have the rejections overturned.
    Thats because we have shit courts with lefty judges. That can be changed and will be if they keep doing it.
    I suspect the number of issues caused by activist judges is a lot less than problems caused by a confused legal situation which happens to be inconvenient to swift administration.
  • Pagan2Pagan2 Posts: 9,876
    Leon said:

    Actually, a TV series or a high concept thriller based on a Hunger Games style sieving of migration could be a cracking drama, weaving together leftwing care with right wing pragmatics, plus lots of climate change drama

    Can we put the most bleeding heart guardianista's in with them?
  • IshmaelZIshmaelZ Posts: 21,830

    IshmaelZ said:

    Sleazy broken Tories on the slide

    Hartlepool = peak Johnson
    Hey mate how are you?
    Not too ropey, good to see you
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 34,667

    MaxPB said:

    Taz said:

    MaxPB said:

    Leon said:

    The images of 450 migrants simply beaching in Kent, in one single day, and then scattering are absolutely appalling for the Tories

    TAKE BACK CONTROL?!

    If they don't get a grip on this the government is fucked

    The UK is far to weak. We need to do what the European countries are doing. Fuck middle class sensibilities, push them back out to sea like French and Greeks and house the ones that do make it in Algeria until they are processed. No right to enter the UK until asylum is granted. The UK needs to become a fortress island.
    Fortunately our courts wouldn’t allow it and someone like the good law project would soon stop it.
    Change the law, legislate, do whatever it takes. If it means burning the HRA then so be it. Enough is enough.
    I don't like to be the bringer of bad news but that's ultimately where we'll end up if a solution is not found.

    People won't accept legal niceities as an excuse for doing nothing - they'll vote for those who'll drive a cart and horses through them.
    On the other hand, I don't think people will vote for asylum-seekers being left to drown off the English coast.

    It's a very difficult issue, there are no easy solutions.
  • Pagan2Pagan2 Posts: 9,876
    kle4 said:

    Pagan2 said:

    Taz said:

    Pagan2 said:

    Taz said:

    MaxPB said:

    Taz said:

    Andy_JS said:

    Taz said:

    Leon said:

    The images of 450 migrants simply beaching in Kent, in one single day, and then scattering are absolutely appalling for the Tories

    TAKE BACK CONTROL?!

    If they don't get a grip on this the government is fucked

    Labour needs to make the most of this and push to welcome these people to the UK and help them. Their moral cowardice in not doing so shames left wing politics
    Why won't you address the point that France is a safe country and that therefore there's no reason for migrants to risk their lives crossing the channel?
    They are not obliged to apply to stay in France. They want to come here. We should give them safe passage as long as they are genuine and most are.
    Asylum is about need, not want. Economic migration is about want, not need. If they want to migrate here for economic reasons then they can do so legally. Push the boats back out and send them to Algeria or Morocco etc...
    These are not economic migrants. Surely we should, as a nation, be proud they want to come here as they see us as safe, warm and welcoming to,vulnerable people.
    They are absolutely economic migrants. They fled war. They are in a safe country. Further movement is economic based not safety based
    Yet many are accepted as genuine and of those rejected a large proportion have the rejections overturned.
    Thats because we have shit courts with lefty judges. That can be changed and will be if they keep doing it.
    I suspect the number of issues caused by activist judges is a lot less than problems caused by a confused legal situation which happens to be inconvenient to swift administration.
    Yes its true not just the fault of judges but the whole system. We should be able to process refugees within a week including appeal and either let them become productive citizens or get rid of them. The biggest loophole we need to close is the no papers where do we deport them too one
  • another_richardanother_richard Posts: 26,612
    Taz said:

    Taz said:

    Taz said:

    Taz said:

    Leon said:

    The images of 450 migrants simply beaching in Kent, in one single day, and then scattering are absolutely appalling for the Tories

    TAKE BACK CONTROL?!

    If they don't get a grip on this the government is fucked

    Labour needs to make the most of this and push to welcome these people to the UK and help them. Their moral cowardice in not doing so shames left wing politics
    Sorry, but are you fecking radge?

    Wave goodbye to the Red Wall forever.
    Sorry but SKS and his team need to do what is right and if that means losing the red wall to gain other seats so be it.
    Why is it right to allow a bunch of young, fit blokes who have blagged their way across Europe to come and live here?

    Those in genuine need are languishing in camps near to the conflict zones.

    They are men, women and children. Many are unaccompanied children. It is right because they are desperate people,fleeing torture, wars, bigotry, prejudice and persecution. Look where they come from. Places like Somalia, Iran, Eritrea, Syria, S Sudan. They don’t tend to come from stable nations. God bless them all.
    They're more likely to need Allah's blessing from that set of countries.
    Why is that an issue worthy of comment ?
    Perhaps people might assimilate better in countries culturally similar ?

    Or if they still have the values of countries which are failed states they might not be as deserving to settle here as you think ?

    I suppose there could be a test - pork chops and alcohol while their asylum claims were being processed.
  • MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 38,865
    pigeon said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    Leon said:

    The images of 450 migrants simply beaching in Kent, in one single day, and then scattering are absolutely appalling for the Tories

    TAKE BACK CONTROL?!

    If they don't get a grip on this the government is fucked

    Voters who are most appalled by that will obviously stick with Boris over Labour or the LDs, so unless Farage returns it will not be a major issue.

    There is only so much they can do anyway without Macron's help in keeping them in France otherwise all they can do is pick them up where they can
    I assume that Macron is the one supplying them with boats.
    Macron's focus is obviously getting as many out of France as possible to keep his 2017 vote from going to Le Pen
    Actually, it's in Macron's interests to help the British.

    If crossing the channel was utterly futile then far fewer migrants, if any, would congregate in the Pas De Calais area.

    There'd be no point.
    I've sympathy with this view. The French (and the Belgians) don't want organised crime operating on their shores supplying desperate people with dinghies in exchange for a lot of cash, and they don't want the shanty towns either.

    Active attempts to stop people smuggling are made; most asylum seekers in the UK do not, in fact, come across on the leaky dinghies; and, if the UK Government were to agree to throw more money at the continental authorities to pay for more rigorous policing, I suspect that this would be met with a positive response.

    Beyond that, in the long run Europe will continue to find itself dealing with a constant flow of irregular migrants (some actual refugees, some economic, all jumbled up together) which rights groups waving copies of the relevant conventions will want to let in and electorates will want to keep out. The democratic will of voters not to have an open door, and the international rules on asylum and refugee status - which were largely drafted in the aftermath of WW2, when movements of the scale we now see from developing to developed countries were unheard of and unimagined - and that practically demand an open door, are fundamentally irreconcilable. Something has to give.
    Yes it's time to reform those rules or withdraw from them as well as setting fire to the HRA and fucking off the asylum industry that has sprouted from it. All those wanky lawyers no longer able to suckle on the public teat. It's a wonderful thought.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 55,428
    Baroness Kennedy completely ridiculous on Newsnight

    "Cummings is a fantastic evil liar but suddenly absolutely truthful!"

    Strasbourg Syndrome. Again. God help them
  • AslanAslan Posts: 1,673

    MaxPB said:

    Taz said:

    MaxPB said:

    Leon said:

    The images of 450 migrants simply beaching in Kent, in one single day, and then scattering are absolutely appalling for the Tories

    TAKE BACK CONTROL?!

    If they don't get a grip on this the government is fucked

    The UK is far to weak. We need to do what the European countries are doing. Fuck middle class sensibilities, push them back out to sea like French and Greeks and house the ones that do make it in Algeria until they are processed. No right to enter the UK until asylum is granted. The UK needs to become a fortress island.
    Fortunately our courts wouldn’t allow it and someone like the good law project would soon stop it.
    Change the law, legislate, do whatever it takes. If it means burning the HRA then so be it. Enough is enough.
    I don't like to be the bringer of bad news but that's ultimately where we'll end up if a solution is not found.

    People won't accept legal niceities as an excuse for doing nothing - they'll vote for those who'll drive a cart and horses through them.
    On the other hand, I don't think people will vote for asylum-seekers being left to drown off the English coast.

    It's a very difficult issue, there are no easy solutions.
    The easiest solution is to have their claims processed somewhere outside the UK. So they cross the Sahara, the Med, continental Europe, the Channel and then get put on a plane to Cape Verde.
  • IshmaelZ said:

    IshmaelZ said:

    Sleazy broken Tories on the slide

    Hartlepool = peak Johnson
    Hey mate how are you?
    Not too ropey, good to see you
    You too, Keir is doing fantastic work this week, Labour is slowly getting back into the game
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,126
    Taz said:

    Leon said:

    Taz said:

    Leon said:

    Taz said:

    Leon said:

    The images of 450 migrants simply beaching in Kent, in one single day, and then scattering are absolutely appalling for the Tories

    TAKE BACK CONTROL?!

    If they don't get a grip on this the government is fucked

    Labour needs to make the most of this and push to welcome these people to the UK and help them. Their moral cowardice in not doing so shames left wing politics
    Interesting. Is there a limit to the numbers we should take? 10,000? 100,000? 10 million?
    We should take our fair share. Obviously we cannot take 10 million but 80 - 100K is feasible.
    100,000

    We should take 100,000

    You are literally saying 100,000 illegal migrants making insanely dangerous crossings should be prioritised over the other hundreds of thousands of migrants who want to come here, but who do so legally and safely (which takes years). You want to reward human trafficking, you want to reward evil

    And besides, once we reach the 100,000, what you gonna do then? Shoot the next boats? Or let them next boats in as well, because your enormous heart is bleeding?
    We should have a co ordinated approach with the EU and the rest of the western world and agree quotas and take the full quota amount.

    By adopting my suggestion, of setting up processing centres in France to review and approve/reject applications it should remove the illegal,element.
    What's in it for France? Politically it seems to be a useful stick to beat us with to get money and a political distraction.

    And I do think 'we should have a coordinated approach' is along the same lines as politicians talking about how great it is that everyone agrees there is a problem, but that does nothing for coming up with a solution. Lots of people will agree a coordinated approach is a good idea, but actually doing it is a rare thing indeed. Indeed, on this issue some of those who tended to look down on unilateral actions by others deciced to act so themselves.
  • GallowgateGallowgate Posts: 19,467
    HYUFD said:

    Taz said:

    Leon said:

    The images of 450 migrants simply beaching in Kent, in one single day, and then scattering are absolutely appalling for the Tories

    TAKE BACK CONTROL?!

    If they don't get a grip on this the government is fucked

    Labour needs to make the most of this and push to welcome these people to the UK and help them. Their moral cowardice in not doing so shames left wing politics
    So, you don't want Labour re-elected then?
    He does but only in Islington and Hampstead and Cambridge etc where the decent Labour voters live, he would rather lose but with dignity than have to appeal to anti migration sensibilities.

    It is a view if not a very practical one
    I’m sure @Taz lives in or around Co. Durham?
  • IshmaelZIshmaelZ Posts: 21,830
    Leon said:

    MaxPB said:

    Taz said:

    Leon said:

    Taz said:

    Leon said:

    Taz said:

    Leon said:

    The images of 450 migrants simply beaching in Kent, in one single day, and then scattering are absolutely appalling for the Tories

    TAKE BACK CONTROL?!

    If they don't get a grip on this the government is fucked

    Labour needs to make the most of this and push to welcome these people to the UK and help them. Their moral cowardice in not doing so shames left wing politics
    Interesting. Is there a limit to the numbers we should take? 10,000? 100,000? 10 million?
    We should take our fair share. Obviously we cannot take 10 million but 80 - 100K is feasible.
    100,000

    We should take 100,000

    You are literally saying 100,000 illegal migrants making insanely dangerous crossings should be prioritised over the other hundreds of thousands of migrants who want to come here, but who do so legally and safely (which takes years). You want to reward human trafficking, you want to reward evil

    And besides, once we reach the 100,000, what you gonna do then? Shoot the next boats? Or let them next boats in as well, because your enormous heart is bleeding?
    We should have a co ordinated approach with the EU and the rest of the western world and agree quotas and take the full quota amount.

    By adopting my suggestion, of setting up processing centres in France to review and approve/reject applications it should remove the illegal,element.
    Not our problem. Let them rot in Calais or go back and apply for asylum from there. As soon as they left the unsafe country the need went away. Everything after that was want which makes them an economic migrant and we have legal routes of migration for anyone who wants to come and work and settle in the UK.
    There is actually a Darwinian argument that agrees with Taz. Tho I suspect he won't like it


    If you want to take immigrants, take the youngest, toughest, smartest, richest - take the best, but make them go through some kind of awful Hunger Games-esque trial, to see who the fittest are - like, say, illegally crossing half of Africa, sorting out a trafficker, then surviving a horrible Channel crossing in a dinghy

    If they make it, let them in, because you have then successfully selected for the fittest, most enterprising migrants, who will prosper in the UK

    Perhaps we should close down all legal routes of migration, and only allow crossings of the Channel. They could be televised, in front of live audiences, as people cheer on their favourites

    FOR THE AVOIDANCE OF DOUBT, THIS IS SATIRE, I DO NOT THINK THIS IS A GOOD, KIND OR WISE THING. But it is the weird Ayn Randy upshot of Taz's Let Them Come philosophy
    That sounds spookily like the spiel I was non satirically (i think) given by the guide showing me the slave dungeons in Zanzibar about how the slaves who made it alive as far as this were the best of the best, natural survivors, etc.
  • TazTaz Posts: 14,419

    nico679 said:

    Even if you could sort out social care in terms of more money who exactly is going to be doing the caring . Unless you increase foreign workers which this cesspit government won’t do where are these carers going to come from .

    Perhaps we should get the refugees to do it.
    Not the worst idea, actually. If I was a refugee uncertain of my chances of staying and knew that looking after some elderly folk was a passport to stay, I'd do it like a shot. But it's not the unskilled profession that some people think, so training would be needed.
    We should be doing it then. More of this.

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-56936400
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,126
    Pagan2 said:

    kle4 said:

    Pagan2 said:

    Taz said:

    Pagan2 said:

    Taz said:

    MaxPB said:

    Taz said:

    Andy_JS said:

    Taz said:

    Leon said:

    The images of 450 migrants simply beaching in Kent, in one single day, and then scattering are absolutely appalling for the Tories

    TAKE BACK CONTROL?!

    If they don't get a grip on this the government is fucked

    Labour needs to make the most of this and push to welcome these people to the UK and help them. Their moral cowardice in not doing so shames left wing politics
    Why won't you address the point that France is a safe country and that therefore there's no reason for migrants to risk their lives crossing the channel?
    They are not obliged to apply to stay in France. They want to come here. We should give them safe passage as long as they are genuine and most are.
    Asylum is about need, not want. Economic migration is about want, not need. If they want to migrate here for economic reasons then they can do so legally. Push the boats back out and send them to Algeria or Morocco etc...
    These are not economic migrants. Surely we should, as a nation, be proud they want to come here as they see us as safe, warm and welcoming to,vulnerable people.
    They are absolutely economic migrants. They fled war. They are in a safe country. Further movement is economic based not safety based
    Yet many are accepted as genuine and of those rejected a large proportion have the rejections overturned.
    Thats because we have shit courts with lefty judges. That can be changed and will be if they keep doing it.
    I suspect the number of issues caused by activist judges is a lot less than problems caused by a confused legal situation which happens to be inconvenient to swift administration.
    Yes its true not just the fault of judges but the whole system. We should be able to process refugees within a week including appeal and either let them become productive citizens or get rid of them. The biggest loophole we need to close is the no papers where do we deport them too one
    Well I don't actually agree that it should be quite that swift, nor indeed on specific things that should not be permitted, I haven't looked into it enough but am inclined to be overly soft on the matter, but I agree that problems, such as people think they are, are a systemic issue.
  • AslanAslan Posts: 1,673
    Taz said:

    Leon said:

    MaxPB said:

    Taz said:

    Leon said:

    Taz said:

    Leon said:

    Taz said:

    Leon said:

    The images of 450 migrants simply beaching in Kent, in one single day, and then scattering are absolutely appalling for the Tories

    TAKE BACK CONTROL?!

    If they don't get a grip on this the government is fucked

    Labour needs to make the most of this and push to welcome these people to the UK and help them. Their moral cowardice in not doing so shames left wing politics
    Interesting. Is there a limit to the numbers we should take? 10,000? 100,000? 10 million?
    We should take our fair share. Obviously we cannot take 10 million but 80 - 100K is feasible.
    100,000

    We should take 100,000

    You are literally saying 100,000 illegal migrants making insanely dangerous crossings should be prioritised over the other hundreds of thousands of migrants who want to come here, but who do so legally and safely (which takes years). You want to reward human trafficking, you want to reward evil

    And besides, once we reach the 100,000, what you gonna do then? Shoot the next boats? Or let them next boats in as well, because your enormous heart is bleeding?
    We should have a co ordinated approach with the EU and the rest of the western world and agree quotas and take the full quota amount.

    By adopting my suggestion, of setting up processing centres in France to review and approve/reject applications it should remove the illegal,element.
    Not our problem. Let them rot in Calais or go back and apply for asylum from there. As soon as they left the unsafe country the need went away. Everything after that was want which makes them an economic migrant and we have legal routes of migration for anyone who wants to come and work and settle in the UK.
    There is actually a Darwinian argument that agrees with Taz. Tho I suspect he won't like it


    If you want to take immigrants, take the youngest, toughest, smartest, richest - take the best, but make them go through some kind of awful Hunger Games-esque trial, to see who the fittest are - like, say, illegally crossing half of Africa, sorting out a trafficker, then surviving a horrible Channel crossing in a dinghy

    If they make it, let them in, because you have then successfully selected for the fittest, most enterprising migrants, who will prosper in the UK

    Perhaps we should close down all legal routes of migration, and only allow crossings of the Channel. They could be televised, in front of live audiences, as people cheer on their favourites

    FOR THE AVOIDANCE OF DOUBT, THIS IS SATIRE, I DO NOT THINK THIS IS A GOOD, KIND OR WISE THING. But it is the weird Ayn Randy upshot of Taz's Let Them Come philosophy
    My philosophy is we should help those in need and I’ve said the amount we could, and should, take as part of an international and co ordinated effort.

    These are human beings at the end of the day. There but for,the grace of god.
    If we do that then we should do those most in need and least likely to cause trouble for the UK. That means people actually facing genocide, not people just escaping poverty or leaving a war zone.

    We should also have a pretty hard line on taking anyone from the Middle East until their Arab brothers in the Gulf take their fair share.
  • GallowgateGallowgate Posts: 19,467
    Pagan2 said:

    kle4 said:

    Pagan2 said:

    Taz said:

    Pagan2 said:

    Taz said:

    MaxPB said:

    Taz said:

    Andy_JS said:

    Taz said:

    Leon said:

    The images of 450 migrants simply beaching in Kent, in one single day, and then scattering are absolutely appalling for the Tories

    TAKE BACK CONTROL?!

    If they don't get a grip on this the government is fucked

    Labour needs to make the most of this and push to welcome these people to the UK and help them. Their moral cowardice in not doing so shames left wing politics
    Why won't you address the point that France is a safe country and that therefore there's no reason for migrants to risk their lives crossing the channel?
    They are not obliged to apply to stay in France. They want to come here. We should give them safe passage as long as they are genuine and most are.
    Asylum is about need, not want. Economic migration is about want, not need. If they want to migrate here for economic reasons then they can do so legally. Push the boats back out and send them to Algeria or Morocco etc...
    These are not economic migrants. Surely we should, as a nation, be proud they want to come here as they see us as safe, warm and welcoming to,vulnerable people.
    They are absolutely economic migrants. They fled war. They are in a safe country. Further movement is economic based not safety based
    Yet many are accepted as genuine and of those rejected a large proportion have the rejections overturned.
    Thats because we have shit courts with lefty judges. That can be changed and will be if they keep doing it.
    I suspect the number of issues caused by activist judges is a lot less than problems caused by a confused legal situation which happens to be inconvenient to swift administration.
    Yes its true not just the fault of judges but the whole system. We should be able to process refugees within a week including appeal and either let them become productive citizens or get rid of them. The biggest loophole we need to close is the no papers where do we deport them too one
    Lol the legal system has been starved of money since 2010 there is no quick administration of justice
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 34,667
    Aslan said:

    MaxPB said:

    Taz said:

    MaxPB said:

    Leon said:

    The images of 450 migrants simply beaching in Kent, in one single day, and then scattering are absolutely appalling for the Tories

    TAKE BACK CONTROL?!

    If they don't get a grip on this the government is fucked

    The UK is far to weak. We need to do what the European countries are doing. Fuck middle class sensibilities, push them back out to sea like French and Greeks and house the ones that do make it in Algeria until they are processed. No right to enter the UK until asylum is granted. The UK needs to become a fortress island.
    Fortunately our courts wouldn’t allow it and someone like the good law project would soon stop it.
    Change the law, legislate, do whatever it takes. If it means burning the HRA then so be it. Enough is enough.
    I don't like to be the bringer of bad news but that's ultimately where we'll end up if a solution is not found.

    People won't accept legal niceities as an excuse for doing nothing - they'll vote for those who'll drive a cart and horses through them.
    On the other hand, I don't think people will vote for asylum-seekers being left to drown off the English coast.

    It's a very difficult issue, there are no easy solutions.
    The easiest solution is to have their claims processed somewhere outside the UK. So they cross the Sahara, the Med, continental Europe, the Channel and then get put on a plane to Cape Verde.
    Why would Cape Verde agree to take them?
  • another_richardanother_richard Posts: 26,612
    Leon said:

    MaxPB said:

    Taz said:

    Leon said:

    Taz said:

    Leon said:

    Taz said:

    Leon said:

    The images of 450 migrants simply beaching in Kent, in one single day, and then scattering are absolutely appalling for the Tories

    TAKE BACK CONTROL?!

    If they don't get a grip on this the government is fucked

    Labour needs to make the most of this and push to welcome these people to the UK and help them. Their moral cowardice in not doing so shames left wing politics
    Interesting. Is there a limit to the numbers we should take? 10,000? 100,000? 10 million?
    We should take our fair share. Obviously we cannot take 10 million but 80 - 100K is feasible.
    100,000

    We should take 100,000

    You are literally saying 100,000 illegal migrants making insanely dangerous crossings should be prioritised over the other hundreds of thousands of migrants who want to come here, but who do so legally and safely (which takes years). You want to reward human trafficking, you want to reward evil

    And besides, once we reach the 100,000, what you gonna do then? Shoot the next boats? Or let them next boats in as well, because your enormous heart is bleeding?
    We should have a co ordinated approach with the EU and the rest of the western world and agree quotas and take the full quota amount.

    By adopting my suggestion, of setting up processing centres in France to review and approve/reject applications it should remove the illegal,element.
    Not our problem. Let them rot in Calais or go back and apply for asylum from there. As soon as they left the unsafe country the need went away. Everything after that was want which makes them an economic migrant and we have legal routes of migration for anyone who wants to come and work and settle in the UK.
    There is actually a Darwinian argument that agrees with Taz. Tho I suspect he won't like it


    If you want to take immigrants, take the youngest, toughest, smartest, richest - take the best, but make them go through some kind of awful Hunger Games-esque trial, to see who the fittest are - like, say, illegally crossing half of Africa, sorting out a trafficker, then surviving a horrible Channel crossing in a dinghy

    If they make it, let them in, because you have then successfully selected for the fittest, most enterprising migrants, who will prosper in the UK

    Perhaps we should close down all legal routes of migration, and only allow crossings of the Channel. They could be televised, in front of live audiences, as people cheer on their favourites

    FOR THE AVOIDANCE OF DOUBT, THIS IS SATIRE, I DO NOT THINK THIS IS A GOOD, KIND OR WISE THING. But it is the weird Ayn Randy upshot of Taz's Let Them Come philosophy
    Might be useful if you wanted to create an Unsullied style military force.

    I suppose you could adapt it to allow any refugee a right to stay but first they had to do ten years work as specified by the government.
  • Pagan2Pagan2 Posts: 9,876
    kle4 said:

    Pagan2 said:

    kle4 said:

    Pagan2 said:

    Taz said:

    Pagan2 said:

    Taz said:

    MaxPB said:

    Taz said:

    Andy_JS said:

    Taz said:

    Leon said:

    The images of 450 migrants simply beaching in Kent, in one single day, and then scattering are absolutely appalling for the Tories

    TAKE BACK CONTROL?!

    If they don't get a grip on this the government is fucked

    Labour needs to make the most of this and push to welcome these people to the UK and help them. Their moral cowardice in not doing so shames left wing politics
    Why won't you address the point that France is a safe country and that therefore there's no reason for migrants to risk their lives crossing the channel?
    They are not obliged to apply to stay in France. They want to come here. We should give them safe passage as long as they are genuine and most are.
    Asylum is about need, not want. Economic migration is about want, not need. If they want to migrate here for economic reasons then they can do so legally. Push the boats back out and send them to Algeria or Morocco etc...
    These are not economic migrants. Surely we should, as a nation, be proud they want to come here as they see us as safe, warm and welcoming to,vulnerable people.
    They are absolutely economic migrants. They fled war. They are in a safe country. Further movement is economic based not safety based
    Yet many are accepted as genuine and of those rejected a large proportion have the rejections overturned.
    Thats because we have shit courts with lefty judges. That can be changed and will be if they keep doing it.
    I suspect the number of issues caused by activist judges is a lot less than problems caused by a confused legal situation which happens to be inconvenient to swift administration.
    Yes its true not just the fault of judges but the whole system. We should be able to process refugees within a week including appeal and either let them become productive citizens or get rid of them. The biggest loophole we need to close is the no papers where do we deport them too one
    Well I don't actually agree that it should be quite that swift, nor indeed on specific things that should not be permitted, I haven't looked into it enough but am inclined to be overly soft on the matter, but I agree that problems, such as people think they are, are a systemic issue.
    The main problem is time and that hurts refugees too, it can't be right some have to wait a year or more to find out if they have been accepted. It is in their best interests, those at least accepted that it is done quickly it also avoids one of the favourites of refugee lawyers "the right to family life" as they dont have time to meet and marry etc.
  • StuartDicksonStuartDickson Posts: 12,146
    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    Closer with Survation tonight

    Tories 39%
    Labour 35%
    LDs 11%

    https://twitter.com/Survation/status/1417559489700630541?s=20

    Interesting labour and lib dems managing better numbers. Normally it is one or the other.
    Electoral Calculus gives a hung parliament on those numbers from Survation with Tories 310, Labour 247, SNP 55, LDs 15.

    So Starmer could be PM with SNP, LD and Green and PC support, the Tories would certainly need the DUP to have a chance of staying in office.

    IDS, Raab, Villiers and Steve Baker would lose their seats

    https://www.electoralcalculus.co.uk/fcgi-bin/usercode.py?scotcontrol=Y&CON=39&LAB=35&LIB=11&Reform=3&Green=5&UKIP=&TVCON=&TVLAB=&TVLIB=&TVReform=&TVGreen=&TVUKIP=&SCOTCON=23&SCOTLAB=19.6&SCOTLIB=6&SCOTReform=0.4&SCOTGreen=2.1&SCOTUKIP=&SCOTNAT=47.7&display=AllChanged&regorseat=(none)&boundary=2019base
    Where are you getting these figures from?

    Scotnat 47.7%
    Scotcon 23%
    Scotlab 19.6%
    Scotlib 6%
    Scotgreen 2.1%
    Scotreform 0.4%
    Which would still see a hung parliament on the UK Survation numbers and PM Starmer propped up by the SNP and LDs, the SDLP, PC, Alliance and Greens despite another Tory majority in England.

    The DUP would not support the Tories again unless they removed the Irish Sea border
    Err… yes. Thanks. Hate to be a pain, but I repeat my question:

    Where are you getting these figures from?

    Scotnat 47.7%
    Scotcon 23%
    Scotlab 19.6%
    Scotlib 6%
    Scotgreen 2.1%
    Scotreform 0.4%
    Scottish figures are largely irrelevant to the UK total unless the SCons take the lead as the SNP will prop up Labour anyway, so your Scottish subsample demand is also largely irrelevant.

    However the Scottish figures are SNP 39%, Tories 22%, Labour 19%, Greens 5%, LDs 4%

    https://www.survation.com/survation-19-july-2021-uk-politics-survey/
    Nope. Now you’re answering a question I did not ask. I know it’s terribly old-fashioned, but could you give a straight answer to a straight question? Please inform us where you got the figures you pumped in to Martin Baxter’s ElectoralCalculus calculator:

    Scotnat 47.7%
    Scotcon 23%
    Scotlab 19.6%
    Scotlib 6%
    Scotgreen 2.1%
    Scotreform 0.4%
  • LeonLeon Posts: 55,428

    HYUFD said:

    Taz said:

    Leon said:

    The images of 450 migrants simply beaching in Kent, in one single day, and then scattering are absolutely appalling for the Tories

    TAKE BACK CONTROL?!

    If they don't get a grip on this the government is fucked

    Labour needs to make the most of this and push to welcome these people to the UK and help them. Their moral cowardice in not doing so shames left wing politics
    So, you don't want Labour re-elected then?
    He does but only in Islington and Hampstead and Cambridge etc where the decent Labour voters live, he would rather lose but with dignity than have to appeal to anti migration sensibilities.

    It is a view if not a very practical one
    I’m sure @Taz lives in or around Co. Durham?
    Quite a long way from Kent, then

    It would be fascinating - genuinely - to hear the views of the Labour voters of Dungeness and Dover. I somehow feel they would disagree with Taz, but who knows?
  • dixiedeandixiedean Posts: 29,410

    Aslan said:

    MaxPB said:

    Taz said:

    MaxPB said:

    Leon said:

    The images of 450 migrants simply beaching in Kent, in one single day, and then scattering are absolutely appalling for the Tories

    TAKE BACK CONTROL?!

    If they don't get a grip on this the government is fucked

    The UK is far to weak. We need to do what the European countries are doing. Fuck middle class sensibilities, push them back out to sea like French and Greeks and house the ones that do make it in Algeria until they are processed. No right to enter the UK until asylum is granted. The UK needs to become a fortress island.
    Fortunately our courts wouldn’t allow it and someone like the good law project would soon stop it.
    Change the law, legislate, do whatever it takes. If it means burning the HRA then so be it. Enough is enough.
    I don't like to be the bringer of bad news but that's ultimately where we'll end up if a solution is not found.

    People won't accept legal niceities as an excuse for doing nothing - they'll vote for those who'll drive a cart and horses through them.
    On the other hand, I don't think people will vote for asylum-seekers being left to drown off the English coast.

    It's a very difficult issue, there are no easy solutions.
    The easiest solution is to have their claims processed somewhere outside the UK. So they cross the Sahara, the Med, continental Europe, the Channel and then get put on a plane to Cape Verde.
    Why would Cape Verde agree to take them?
    Herein lies the issue.
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 49,868
    Andy_JS said:

    Taz said:

    Leon said:

    The images of 450 migrants simply beaching in Kent, in one single day, and then scattering are absolutely appalling for the Tories

    TAKE BACK CONTROL?!

    If they don't get a grip on this the government is fucked

    Labour needs to make the most of this and push to welcome these people to the UK and help them. Their moral cowardice in not doing so shames left wing politics
    Why won't you address the point that France is a safe country and that therefore there's no reason for migrants to risk their lives crossing the channel?
    How can it be safe if we have to quarantine for days after even driving through it just briefly in our own car?
  • MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 38,865
    edited July 2021

    MaxPB said:

    Taz said:

    MaxPB said:

    Leon said:

    The images of 450 migrants simply beaching in Kent, in one single day, and then scattering are absolutely appalling for the Tories

    TAKE BACK CONTROL?!

    If they don't get a grip on this the government is fucked

    The UK is far to weak. We need to do what the European countries are doing. Fuck middle class sensibilities, push them back out to sea like French and Greeks and house the ones that do make it in Algeria until they are processed. No right to enter the UK until asylum is granted. The UK needs to become a fortress island.
    Fortunately our courts wouldn’t allow it and someone like the good law project would soon stop it.
    Change the law, legislate, do whatever it takes. If it means burning the HRA then so be it. Enough is enough.
    I don't like to be the bringer of bad news but that's ultimately where we'll end up if a solution is not found.

    People won't accept legal niceities as an excuse for doing nothing - they'll vote for those who'll drive a cart and horses through them.
    On the other hand, I don't think people will vote for asylum-seekers being left to drown off the English coast.

    It's a very difficult issue, there are no easy solutions.
    Take them to an Algerian processing centre to await the decision. It could take up to 5 years of waiting and people who fail will have to go back to their own country by their own means from Algeria. Pay the Algerians whatever we currently spend on it via the aid budget. If the lawyers don't like it then change the law, if the HRA is incompatible then amend or repeal it. It's time to take a scorched earth approach or we'll see thousands of arrivals per day the same as Greece and Italy, except we don't have Lesbos or Lampedusa to keep them bottled up.
  • GallowgateGallowgate Posts: 19,467
    Aslan said:

    Taz said:

    Leon said:

    MaxPB said:

    Taz said:

    Leon said:

    Taz said:

    Leon said:

    Taz said:

    Leon said:

    The images of 450 migrants simply beaching in Kent, in one single day, and then scattering are absolutely appalling for the Tories

    TAKE BACK CONTROL?!

    If they don't get a grip on this the government is fucked

    Labour needs to make the most of this and push to welcome these people to the UK and help them. Their moral cowardice in not doing so shames left wing politics
    Interesting. Is there a limit to the numbers we should take? 10,000? 100,000? 10 million?
    We should take our fair share. Obviously we cannot take 10 million but 80 - 100K is feasible.
    100,000

    We should take 100,000

    You are literally saying 100,000 illegal migrants making insanely dangerous crossings should be prioritised over the other hundreds of thousands of migrants who want to come here, but who do so legally and safely (which takes years). You want to reward human trafficking, you want to reward evil

    And besides, once we reach the 100,000, what you gonna do then? Shoot the next boats? Or let them next boats in as well, because your enormous heart is bleeding?
    We should have a co ordinated approach with the EU and the rest of the western world and agree quotas and take the full quota amount.

    By adopting my suggestion, of setting up processing centres in France to review and approve/reject applications it should remove the illegal,element.
    Not our problem. Let them rot in Calais or go back and apply for asylum from there. As soon as they left the unsafe country the need went away. Everything after that was want which makes them an economic migrant and we have legal routes of migration for anyone who wants to come and work and settle in the UK.
    There is actually a Darwinian argument that agrees with Taz. Tho I suspect he won't like it


    If you want to take immigrants, take the youngest, toughest, smartest, richest - take the best, but make them go through some kind of awful Hunger Games-esque trial, to see who the fittest are - like, say, illegally crossing half of Africa, sorting out a trafficker, then surviving a horrible Channel crossing in a dinghy

    If they make it, let them in, because you have then successfully selected for the fittest, most enterprising migrants, who will prosper in the UK

    Perhaps we should close down all legal routes of migration, and only allow crossings of the Channel. They could be televised, in front of live audiences, as people cheer on their favourites

    FOR THE AVOIDANCE OF DOUBT, THIS IS SATIRE, I DO NOT THINK THIS IS A GOOD, KIND OR WISE THING. But it is the weird Ayn Randy upshot of Taz's Let Them Come philosophy
    My philosophy is we should help those in need and I’ve said the amount we could, and should, take as part of an international and co ordinated effort.

    These are human beings at the end of the day. There but for,the grace of god.
    If we do that then we should do those most in need and least likely to cause trouble for the UK. That means people actually facing genocide, not people just escaping poverty or leaving a war zone.

    We should also have a pretty hard line on taking anyone from the Middle East until their Arab brothers in the Gulf take their fair share.
    There are a million Syrian refugees in Jordan and over three million in Turkey.
  • Pagan2Pagan2 Posts: 9,876

    Pagan2 said:

    kle4 said:

    Pagan2 said:

    Taz said:

    Pagan2 said:

    Taz said:

    MaxPB said:

    Taz said:

    Andy_JS said:

    Taz said:

    Leon said:

    The images of 450 migrants simply beaching in Kent, in one single day, and then scattering are absolutely appalling for the Tories

    TAKE BACK CONTROL?!

    If they don't get a grip on this the government is fucked

    Labour needs to make the most of this and push to welcome these people to the UK and help them. Their moral cowardice in not doing so shames left wing politics
    Why won't you address the point that France is a safe country and that therefore there's no reason for migrants to risk their lives crossing the channel?
    They are not obliged to apply to stay in France. They want to come here. We should give them safe passage as long as they are genuine and most are.
    Asylum is about need, not want. Economic migration is about want, not need. If they want to migrate here for economic reasons then they can do so legally. Push the boats back out and send them to Algeria or Morocco etc...
    These are not economic migrants. Surely we should, as a nation, be proud they want to come here as they see us as safe, warm and welcoming to,vulnerable people.
    They are absolutely economic migrants. They fled war. They are in a safe country. Further movement is economic based not safety based
    Yet many are accepted as genuine and of those rejected a large proportion have the rejections overturned.
    Thats because we have shit courts with lefty judges. That can be changed and will be if they keep doing it.
    I suspect the number of issues caused by activist judges is a lot less than problems caused by a confused legal situation which happens to be inconvenient to swift administration.
    Yes its true not just the fault of judges but the whole system. We should be able to process refugees within a week including appeal and either let them become productive citizens or get rid of them. The biggest loophole we need to close is the no papers where do we deport them too one
    Lol the legal system has been starved of money since 2010 there is no quick administration of justice
    I wouldn't disagree and possibly a false economy
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 123,098
    edited July 2021

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    Closer with Survation tonight

    Tories 39%
    Labour 35%
    LDs 11%

    https://twitter.com/Survation/status/1417559489700630541?s=20

    Interesting labour and lib dems managing better numbers. Normally it is one or the other.
    Electoral Calculus gives a hung parliament on those numbers from Survation with Tories 310, Labour 247, SNP 55, LDs 15.

    So Starmer could be PM with SNP, LD and Green and PC support, the Tories would certainly need the DUP to have a chance of staying in office.

    IDS, Raab, Villiers and Steve Baker would lose their seats

    https://www.electoralcalculus.co.uk/fcgi-bin/usercode.py?scotcontrol=Y&CON=39&LAB=35&LIB=11&Reform=3&Green=5&UKIP=&TVCON=&TVLAB=&TVLIB=&TVReform=&TVGreen=&TVUKIP=&SCOTCON=23&SCOTLAB=19.6&SCOTLIB=6&SCOTReform=0.4&SCOTGreen=2.1&SCOTUKIP=&SCOTNAT=47.7&display=AllChanged&regorseat=(none)&boundary=2019base
    Where are you getting these figures from?

    Scotnat 47.7%
    Scotcon 23%
    Scotlab 19.6%
    Scotlib 6%
    Scotgreen 2.1%
    Scotreform 0.4%
    Which would still see a hung parliament on the UK Survation numbers and PM Starmer propped up by the SNP and LDs, the SDLP, PC, Alliance and Greens despite another Tory majority in England.

    The DUP would not support the Tories again unless they removed the Irish Sea border
    Err… yes. Thanks. Hate to be a pain, but I repeat my question:

    Where are you getting these figures from?

    Scotnat 47.7%
    Scotcon 23%
    Scotlab 19.6%
    Scotlib 6%
    Scotgreen 2.1%
    Scotreform 0.4%
    Scottish figures are largely irrelevant to the UK total unless the SCons take the lead as the SNP will prop up Labour anyway, so your Scottish subsample demand is also largely irrelevant.

    However the Scottish figures are SNP 39%, Tories 22%, Labour 19%, Greens 5%, LDs 4%

    https://www.survation.com/survation-19-july-2021-uk-politics-survey/
    Nope. Now you’re answering a question I did not ask. I know it’s terribly old-fashioned, but could you give a straight answer to a straight question? Please inform us where you got the figures you pumped in to Martin Baxter’s ElectoralCalculus calculator:

    Scotnat 47.7%
    Scotcon 23%
    Scotlab 19.6%
    Scotlib 6%
    Scotgreen 2.1%
    Scotreform 0.4%
    Here https://twitter.com/Survation/status/1417559489700630541?s=20 and it is UK figures and UK figures alone that matter for UK elections.

    For unless the Scottish Conservatives take the lead in Scotland whether the SNP lead or SLab lead it makes no difference, their MPs will both make Starmer PM
  • LeonLeon Posts: 55,428
    dixiedean said:

    Aslan said:

    MaxPB said:

    Taz said:

    MaxPB said:

    Leon said:

    The images of 450 migrants simply beaching in Kent, in one single day, and then scattering are absolutely appalling for the Tories

    TAKE BACK CONTROL?!

    If they don't get a grip on this the government is fucked

    The UK is far to weak. We need to do what the European countries are doing. Fuck middle class sensibilities, push them back out to sea like French and Greeks and house the ones that do make it in Algeria until they are processed. No right to enter the UK until asylum is granted. The UK needs to become a fortress island.
    Fortunately our courts wouldn’t allow it and someone like the good law project would soon stop it.
    Change the law, legislate, do whatever it takes. If it means burning the HRA then so be it. Enough is enough.
    I don't like to be the bringer of bad news but that's ultimately where we'll end up if a solution is not found.

    People won't accept legal niceities as an excuse for doing nothing - they'll vote for those who'll drive a cart and horses through them.
    On the other hand, I don't think people will vote for asylum-seekers being left to drown off the English coast.

    It's a very difficult issue, there are no easy solutions.
    The easiest solution is to have their claims processed somewhere outside the UK. So they cross the Sahara, the Med, continental Europe, the Channel and then get put on a plane to Cape Verde.
    Why would Cape Verde agree to take them?
    Herein lies the issue.
    Cape Verde, a poor country, would take them because we'd pay them, handsomely

    That is the concept underlying the Rwanda idea, I believe
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 34,667
    MaxPB said:

    MaxPB said:

    Taz said:

    MaxPB said:

    Leon said:

    The images of 450 migrants simply beaching in Kent, in one single day, and then scattering are absolutely appalling for the Tories

    TAKE BACK CONTROL?!

    If they don't get a grip on this the government is fucked

    The UK is far to weak. We need to do what the European countries are doing. Fuck middle class sensibilities, push them back out to sea like French and Greeks and house the ones that do make it in Algeria until they are processed. No right to enter the UK until asylum is granted. The UK needs to become a fortress island.
    Fortunately our courts wouldn’t allow it and someone like the good law project would soon stop it.
    Change the law, legislate, do whatever it takes. If it means burning the HRA then so be it. Enough is enough.
    I don't like to be the bringer of bad news but that's ultimately where we'll end up if a solution is not found.

    People won't accept legal niceities as an excuse for doing nothing - they'll vote for those who'll drive a cart and horses through them.
    On the other hand, I don't think people will vote for asylum-seekers being left to drown off the English coast.

    It's a very difficult issue, there are no easy solutions.
    Take them to an Algerian processing centre to await the decision. It could take up to 5 years of waiting and people who fail will have to go back to their own country by their own means from Algeria. Pay the Algerians whatever we currently spend on it via the aid budget. If the lawyers don't like it then change the law, if the HRA is incompatible then amend or repeal it. It's time to take a scorched earth approach or we'll see thousands of arrivals per day the same as Greece and Italy, except we don't have Lesbos or Lampedusa to keep them bottled up.
    What about if the Algerians don't like it?
  • NickPalmerNickPalmer Posts: 21,531
    Hope so! The poll shows remarkable disillusion with everyone - around 8-10% each think very highly of Johnson, Starmer, Conservatives or Labour. But it might be a turn for the better...
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,126

    Pagan2 said:

    kle4 said:

    Pagan2 said:

    Taz said:

    Pagan2 said:

    Taz said:

    MaxPB said:

    Taz said:

    Andy_JS said:

    Taz said:

    Leon said:

    The images of 450 migrants simply beaching in Kent, in one single day, and then scattering are absolutely appalling for the Tories

    TAKE BACK CONTROL?!

    If they don't get a grip on this the government is fucked

    Labour needs to make the most of this and push to welcome these people to the UK and help them. Their moral cowardice in not doing so shames left wing politics
    Why won't you address the point that France is a safe country and that therefore there's no reason for migrants to risk their lives crossing the channel?
    They are not obliged to apply to stay in France. They want to come here. We should give them safe passage as long as they are genuine and most are.
    Asylum is about need, not want. Economic migration is about want, not need. If they want to migrate here for economic reasons then they can do so legally. Push the boats back out and send them to Algeria or Morocco etc...
    These are not economic migrants. Surely we should, as a nation, be proud they want to come here as they see us as safe, warm and welcoming to,vulnerable people.
    They are absolutely economic migrants. They fled war. They are in a safe country. Further movement is economic based not safety based
    Yet many are accepted as genuine and of those rejected a large proportion have the rejections overturned.
    Thats because we have shit courts with lefty judges. That can be changed and will be if they keep doing it.
    I suspect the number of issues caused by activist judges is a lot less than problems caused by a confused legal situation which happens to be inconvenient to swift administration.
    Yes its true not just the fault of judges but the whole system. We should be able to process refugees within a week including appeal and either let them become productive citizens or get rid of them. The biggest loophole we need to close is the no papers where do we deport them too one
    Lol the legal system has been starved of money since 2010 there is no quick administration of justice
    Funding it properly, even for 'unpopular' things like legal aid could presumably be more effective than any number of grandiose announcements of new laws and procedural hurdles.
  • MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 38,865

    Aslan said:

    MaxPB said:

    Taz said:

    MaxPB said:

    Leon said:

    The images of 450 migrants simply beaching in Kent, in one single day, and then scattering are absolutely appalling for the Tories

    TAKE BACK CONTROL?!

    If they don't get a grip on this the government is fucked

    The UK is far to weak. We need to do what the European countries are doing. Fuck middle class sensibilities, push them back out to sea like French and Greeks and house the ones that do make it in Algeria until they are processed. No right to enter the UK until asylum is granted. The UK needs to become a fortress island.
    Fortunately our courts wouldn’t allow it and someone like the good law project would soon stop it.
    Change the law, legislate, do whatever it takes. If it means burning the HRA then so be it. Enough is enough.
    I don't like to be the bringer of bad news but that's ultimately where we'll end up if a solution is not found.

    People won't accept legal niceities as an excuse for doing nothing - they'll vote for those who'll drive a cart and horses through them.
    On the other hand, I don't think people will vote for asylum-seekers being left to drown off the English coast.

    It's a very difficult issue, there are no easy solutions.
    The easiest solution is to have their claims processed somewhere outside the UK. So they cross the Sahara, the Med, continental Europe, the Channel and then get put on a plane to Cape Verde.
    Why would Cape Verde agree to take them?
    They wouldn't, but Algeria or Morocco probably would.
  • dixiedeandixiedean Posts: 29,410
    Pagan2 said:

    kle4 said:

    Pagan2 said:

    kle4 said:

    Pagan2 said:

    Taz said:

    Pagan2 said:

    Taz said:

    MaxPB said:

    Taz said:

    Andy_JS said:

    Taz said:

    Leon said:

    The images of 450 migrants simply beaching in Kent, in one single day, and then scattering are absolutely appalling for the Tories

    TAKE BACK CONTROL?!

    If they don't get a grip on this the government is fucked

    Labour needs to make the most of this and push to welcome these people to the UK and help them. Their moral cowardice in not doing so shames left wing politics
    Why won't you address the point that France is a safe country and that therefore there's no reason for migrants to risk their lives crossing the channel?
    They are not obliged to apply to stay in France. They want to come here. We should give them safe passage as long as they are genuine and most are.
    Asylum is about need, not want. Economic migration is about want, not need. If they want to migrate here for economic reasons then they can do so legally. Push the boats back out and send them to Algeria or Morocco etc...
    These are not economic migrants. Surely we should, as a nation, be proud they want to come here as they see us as safe, warm and welcoming to,vulnerable people.
    They are absolutely economic migrants. They fled war. They are in a safe country. Further movement is economic based not safety based
    Yet many are accepted as genuine and of those rejected a large proportion have the rejections overturned.
    Thats because we have shit courts with lefty judges. That can be changed and will be if they keep doing it.
    I suspect the number of issues caused by activist judges is a lot less than problems caused by a confused legal situation which happens to be inconvenient to swift administration.
    Yes its true not just the fault of judges but the whole system. We should be able to process refugees within a week including appeal and either let them become productive citizens or get rid of them. The biggest loophole we need to close is the no papers where do we deport them too one
    Well I don't actually agree that it should be quite that swift, nor indeed on specific things that should not be permitted, I haven't looked into it enough but am inclined to be overly soft on the matter, but I agree that problems, such as people think they are, are a systemic issue.
    The main problem is time and that hurts refugees too, it can't be right some have to wait a year or more to find out if they have been accepted. It is in their best interests, those at least accepted that it is done quickly it also avoids one of the favourites of refugee lawyers "the right to family life" as they dont have time to meet and marry etc.
    A year or more?
    Light speed compared to when I worked in the area.
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 32,585

    MaxPB said:

    Taz said:

    MaxPB said:

    Leon said:

    The images of 450 migrants simply beaching in Kent, in one single day, and then scattering are absolutely appalling for the Tories

    TAKE BACK CONTROL?!

    If they don't get a grip on this the government is fucked

    The UK is far to weak. We need to do what the European countries are doing. Fuck middle class sensibilities, push them back out to sea like French and Greeks and house the ones that do make it in Algeria until they are processed. No right to enter the UK until asylum is granted. The UK needs to become a fortress island.
    Fortunately our courts wouldn’t allow it and someone like the good law project would soon stop it.
    Change the law, legislate, do whatever it takes. If it means burning the HRA then so be it. Enough is enough.
    I don't like to be the bringer of bad news but that's ultimately where we'll end up if a solution is not found.

    People won't accept legal niceities as an excuse for doing nothing - they'll vote for those who'll drive a cart and horses through them.
    On the other hand, I don't think people will vote for asylum-seekers being left to drown off the English coast.

    It's a very difficult issue, there are no easy solutions.
    The solution is for the French to stop them risking their lives by attempting to cross the channel.
  • another_richardanother_richard Posts: 26,612

    nico679 said:

    Even if you could sort out social care in terms of more money who exactly is going to be doing the caring . Unless you increase foreign workers which this cesspit government won’t do where are these carers going to come from .

    Perhaps we should get the refugees to do it.
    Not the worst idea, actually. If I was a refugee uncertain of my chances of staying and knew that looking after some elderly folk was a passport to stay, I'd do it like a shot. But it's not the unskilled profession that some people think, so training would be needed.
    Indeed.

    It would have to be done properly.

    Alternatively there must be plenty of other 'unpleasant' jobs which need doing and which struggle for workers.

    Relatedly is my idea of housing UK criminals in African jails - officially done with money paid to African governments, proper terms and conditions for the warders and opportunities after a length of time for them to apply for British citizenship.
  • MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 38,865

    MaxPB said:

    MaxPB said:

    Taz said:

    MaxPB said:

    Leon said:

    The images of 450 migrants simply beaching in Kent, in one single day, and then scattering are absolutely appalling for the Tories

    TAKE BACK CONTROL?!

    If they don't get a grip on this the government is fucked

    The UK is far to weak. We need to do what the European countries are doing. Fuck middle class sensibilities, push them back out to sea like French and Greeks and house the ones that do make it in Algeria until they are processed. No right to enter the UK until asylum is granted. The UK needs to become a fortress island.
    Fortunately our courts wouldn’t allow it and someone like the good law project would soon stop it.
    Change the law, legislate, do whatever it takes. If it means burning the HRA then so be it. Enough is enough.
    I don't like to be the bringer of bad news but that's ultimately where we'll end up if a solution is not found.

    People won't accept legal niceities as an excuse for doing nothing - they'll vote for those who'll drive a cart and horses through them.
    On the other hand, I don't think people will vote for asylum-seekers being left to drown off the English coast.

    It's a very difficult issue, there are no easy solutions.
    Take them to an Algerian processing centre to await the decision. It could take up to 5 years of waiting and people who fail will have to go back to their own country by their own means from Algeria. Pay the Algerians whatever we currently spend on it via the aid budget. If the lawyers don't like it then change the law, if the HRA is incompatible then amend or repeal it. It's time to take a scorched earth approach or we'll see thousands of arrivals per day the same as Greece and Italy, except we don't have Lesbos or Lampedusa to keep them bottled up.
    What about if the Algerians don't like it?
    I think £1-2bn changes their mind. Probably a lot less. Funnel it through the aid budget.
  • NickPalmerNickPalmer Posts: 21,531
    Taz said:

    nico679 said:

    Even if you could sort out social care in terms of more money who exactly is going to be doing the caring . Unless you increase foreign workers which this cesspit government won’t do where are these carers going to come from .

    Perhaps we should get the refugees to do it.
    Not the worst idea, actually. If I was a refugee uncertain of my chances of staying and knew that looking after some elderly folk was a passport to stay, I'd do it like a shot. But it's not the unskilled profession that some people think, so training would be needed.
    We should be doing it then. More of this.

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-56936400
    Yes, that's brilliant!
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 32,585
    nico679 said:

    Even if you could sort out social care in terms of more money who exactly is going to be doing the caring . Unless you increase foreign workers which this cesspit government won’t do where are these carers going to come from .

    We have millions of unemployed and under-employed people already in the country who could be learning to do jobs like this.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 55,428
    IshmaelZ said:

    Leon said:

    MaxPB said:

    Taz said:

    Leon said:

    Taz said:

    Leon said:

    Taz said:

    Leon said:

    The images of 450 migrants simply beaching in Kent, in one single day, and then scattering are absolutely appalling for the Tories

    TAKE BACK CONTROL?!

    If they don't get a grip on this the government is fucked

    Labour needs to make the most of this and push to welcome these people to the UK and help them. Their moral cowardice in not doing so shames left wing politics
    Interesting. Is there a limit to the numbers we should take? 10,000? 100,000? 10 million?
    We should take our fair share. Obviously we cannot take 10 million but 80 - 100K is feasible.
    100,000

    We should take 100,000

    You are literally saying 100,000 illegal migrants making insanely dangerous crossings should be prioritised over the other hundreds of thousands of migrants who want to come here, but who do so legally and safely (which takes years). You want to reward human trafficking, you want to reward evil

    And besides, once we reach the 100,000, what you gonna do then? Shoot the next boats? Or let them next boats in as well, because your enormous heart is bleeding?
    We should have a co ordinated approach with the EU and the rest of the western world and agree quotas and take the full quota amount.

    By adopting my suggestion, of setting up processing centres in France to review and approve/reject applications it should remove the illegal,element.
    Not our problem. Let them rot in Calais or go back and apply for asylum from there. As soon as they left the unsafe country the need went away. Everything after that was want which makes them an economic migrant and we have legal routes of migration for anyone who wants to come and work and settle in the UK.
    There is actually a Darwinian argument that agrees with Taz. Tho I suspect he won't like it


    If you want to take immigrants, take the youngest, toughest, smartest, richest - take the best, but make them go through some kind of awful Hunger Games-esque trial, to see who the fittest are - like, say, illegally crossing half of Africa, sorting out a trafficker, then surviving a horrible Channel crossing in a dinghy

    If they make it, let them in, because you have then successfully selected for the fittest, most enterprising migrants, who will prosper in the UK

    Perhaps we should close down all legal routes of migration, and only allow crossings of the Channel. They could be televised, in front of live audiences, as people cheer on their favourites

    FOR THE AVOIDANCE OF DOUBT, THIS IS SATIRE, I DO NOT THINK THIS IS A GOOD, KIND OR WISE THING. But it is the weird Ayn Randy upshot of Taz's Let Them Come philosophy
    That sounds spookily like the spiel I was non satirically (i think) given by the guide showing me the slave dungeons in Zanzibar about how the slaves who made it alive as far as this were the best of the best, natural survivors, etc.
    It's not a new concept. Some of the slavers who ran the Middle Passage positively gloated in its cruelties, because they felt it selected for the fittest slaves to sell at the end

    Same for the walk down the Natchez Trace from Nashville to New Orleans. If you made it that far, having walked 1000 miles or more, you would fetch a premium in the slave marts of Louisiana
  • Northern_AlNorthern_Al Posts: 8,388
    edited July 2021
    I see the nasty party is out in force tonight. Asylum seekers and the French are the targets.

    For the record, France takes in a lot more asylum seekers than we do. Those passing through France and heading for the UK are presumably doing so because they have family connections or historical links over here.

    Having said that, I suspect the UK appeals to a minority of economic migrants because it is much easier to make money under the radar and 'hide away' than it is in France, which has much more stringent identity checks for work etc. than we do.
  • Pagan2Pagan2 Posts: 9,876
    MaxPB said:

    Aslan said:

    MaxPB said:

    Taz said:

    MaxPB said:

    Leon said:

    The images of 450 migrants simply beaching in Kent, in one single day, and then scattering are absolutely appalling for the Tories

    TAKE BACK CONTROL?!

    If they don't get a grip on this the government is fucked

    The UK is far to weak. We need to do what the European countries are doing. Fuck middle class sensibilities, push them back out to sea like French and Greeks and house the ones that do make it in Algeria until they are processed. No right to enter the UK until asylum is granted. The UK needs to become a fortress island.
    Fortunately our courts wouldn’t allow it and someone like the good law project would soon stop it.
    Change the law, legislate, do whatever it takes. If it means burning the HRA then so be it. Enough is enough.
    I don't like to be the bringer of bad news but that's ultimately where we'll end up if a solution is not found.

    People won't accept legal niceities as an excuse for doing nothing - they'll vote for those who'll drive a cart and horses through them.
    On the other hand, I don't think people will vote for asylum-seekers being left to drown off the English coast.

    It's a very difficult issue, there are no easy solutions.
    The easiest solution is to have their claims processed somewhere outside the UK. So they cross the Sahara, the Med, continental Europe, the Channel and then get put on a plane to Cape Verde.
    Why would Cape Verde agree to take them?
    They wouldn't, but Algeria or Morocco probably would.
    Or st Helena after all it was good enough for Napolean so they cant complain
  • MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 38,865

    Aslan said:

    Taz said:

    Leon said:

    MaxPB said:

    Taz said:

    Leon said:

    Taz said:

    Leon said:

    Taz said:

    Leon said:

    The images of 450 migrants simply beaching in Kent, in one single day, and then scattering are absolutely appalling for the Tories

    TAKE BACK CONTROL?!

    If they don't get a grip on this the government is fucked

    Labour needs to make the most of this and push to welcome these people to the UK and help them. Their moral cowardice in not doing so shames left wing politics
    Interesting. Is there a limit to the numbers we should take? 10,000? 100,000? 10 million?
    We should take our fair share. Obviously we cannot take 10 million but 80 - 100K is feasible.
    100,000

    We should take 100,000

    You are literally saying 100,000 illegal migrants making insanely dangerous crossings should be prioritised over the other hundreds of thousands of migrants who want to come here, but who do so legally and safely (which takes years). You want to reward human trafficking, you want to reward evil

    And besides, once we reach the 100,000, what you gonna do then? Shoot the next boats? Or let them next boats in as well, because your enormous heart is bleeding?
    We should have a co ordinated approach with the EU and the rest of the western world and agree quotas and take the full quota amount.

    By adopting my suggestion, of setting up processing centres in France to review and approve/reject applications it should remove the illegal,element.
    Not our problem. Let them rot in Calais or go back and apply for asylum from there. As soon as they left the unsafe country the need went away. Everything after that was want which makes them an economic migrant and we have legal routes of migration for anyone who wants to come and work and settle in the UK.
    There is actually a Darwinian argument that agrees with Taz. Tho I suspect he won't like it


    If you want to take immigrants, take the youngest, toughest, smartest, richest - take the best, but make them go through some kind of awful Hunger Games-esque trial, to see who the fittest are - like, say, illegally crossing half of Africa, sorting out a trafficker, then surviving a horrible Channel crossing in a dinghy

    If they make it, let them in, because you have then successfully selected for the fittest, most enterprising migrants, who will prosper in the UK

    Perhaps we should close down all legal routes of migration, and only allow crossings of the Channel. They could be televised, in front of live audiences, as people cheer on their favourites

    FOR THE AVOIDANCE OF DOUBT, THIS IS SATIRE, I DO NOT THINK THIS IS A GOOD, KIND OR WISE THING. But it is the weird Ayn Randy upshot of Taz's Let Them Come philosophy
    My philosophy is we should help those in need and I’ve said the amount we could, and should, take as part of an international and co ordinated effort.

    These are human beings at the end of the day. There but for,the grace of god.
    If we do that then we should do those most in need and least likely to cause trouble for the UK. That means people actually facing genocide, not people just escaping poverty or leaving a war zone.

    We should also have a pretty hard line on taking anyone from the Middle East until their Arab brothers in the Gulf take their fair share.
    There are a million Syrian refugees in Jordan and over three million in Turkey.
    How many in Saudi Arabia or the UAE?
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 34,667
    Andy_JS said:

    MaxPB said:

    Taz said:

    MaxPB said:

    Leon said:

    The images of 450 migrants simply beaching in Kent, in one single day, and then scattering are absolutely appalling for the Tories

    TAKE BACK CONTROL?!

    If they don't get a grip on this the government is fucked

    The UK is far to weak. We need to do what the European countries are doing. Fuck middle class sensibilities, push them back out to sea like French and Greeks and house the ones that do make it in Algeria until they are processed. No right to enter the UK until asylum is granted. The UK needs to become a fortress island.
    Fortunately our courts wouldn’t allow it and someone like the good law project would soon stop it.
    Change the law, legislate, do whatever it takes. If it means burning the HRA then so be it. Enough is enough.
    I don't like to be the bringer of bad news but that's ultimately where we'll end up if a solution is not found.

    People won't accept legal niceities as an excuse for doing nothing - they'll vote for those who'll drive a cart and horses through them.
    On the other hand, I don't think people will vote for asylum-seekers being left to drown off the English coast.

    It's a very difficult issue, there are no easy solutions.
    The solution is for the French to stop them risking their lives by attempting to cross the channel.
    There are a lot of solutions being offered on here tonight... none of which have the slightest chance of working.

    Since the French have no incentive to do what you suggest and have shown next to no willing ness to do so to date, how do you propose to make them start?
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 48,706

    Taz said:

    Taz said:

    Taz said:

    Leon said:

    The images of 450 migrants simply beaching in Kent, in one single day, and then scattering are absolutely appalling for the Tories

    TAKE BACK CONTROL?!

    If they don't get a grip on this the government is fucked

    Labour needs to make the most of this and push to welcome these people to the UK and help them. Their moral cowardice in not doing so shames left wing politics
    Sorry, but are you fecking radge?

    Wave goodbye to the Red Wall forever.
    Sorry but SKS and his team need to do what is right and if that means losing the red wall to gain other seats so be it.
    Why is it right to allow a bunch of young, fit blokes who have blagged their way across Europe to come and live here?

    Those in genuine need are languishing in camps near to the conflict zones.

    They are men, women and children. Many are unaccompanied children. It is right because they are desperate people,fleeing torture, wars, bigotry, prejudice and persecution. Look where they come from. Places like Somalia, Iran, Eritrea, Syria, S Sudan. They don’t tend to come from stable nations. God bless them all.
    They're more likely to need Allah's blessing from that set of countries.
    Hardly. Indeed they may well be fleeing Islamists in many of those countries.

    Has any country agreed to be our offshore asylum camp? I understood that there are no takers so far.

    I expect there will be a fresh wave of refugees from Afghanistan on the way soon. Anyone who worked for us is surely at risk from the Taliban, as indeed are all women. Do we not have some responsibility for the wars that we have sowed across the world?
  • dixiedeandixiedean Posts: 29,410
    Leon said:

    dixiedean said:

    Aslan said:

    MaxPB said:

    Taz said:

    MaxPB said:

    Leon said:

    The images of 450 migrants simply beaching in Kent, in one single day, and then scattering are absolutely appalling for the Tories

    TAKE BACK CONTROL?!

    If they don't get a grip on this the government is fucked

    The UK is far to weak. We need to do what the European countries are doing. Fuck middle class sensibilities, push them back out to sea like French and Greeks and house the ones that do make it in Algeria until they are processed. No right to enter the UK until asylum is granted. The UK needs to become a fortress island.
    Fortunately our courts wouldn’t allow it and someone like the good law project would soon stop it.
    Change the law, legislate, do whatever it takes. If it means burning the HRA then so be it. Enough is enough.
    I don't like to be the bringer of bad news but that's ultimately where we'll end up if a solution is not found.

    People won't accept legal niceities as an excuse for doing nothing - they'll vote for those who'll drive a cart and horses through them.
    On the other hand, I don't think people will vote for asylum-seekers being left to drown off the English coast.

    It's a very difficult issue, there are no easy solutions.
    The easiest solution is to have their claims processed somewhere outside the UK. So they cross the Sahara, the Med, continental Europe, the Channel and then get put on a plane to Cape Verde.
    Why would Cape Verde agree to take them?
    Herein lies the issue.
    Cape Verde, a poor country, would take them because we'd pay them, handsomely

    That is the concept underlying the Rwanda idea, I believe
    Even if they did.
    What happens if the good folk of Cape Verde decide they no longer have patience with thousands upon thousands being dumped on them, and decide they want to return them whence they came? Here.
  • Stark_DawningStark_Dawning Posts: 9,679
    Leon said:

    HYUFD said:

    Taz said:

    Leon said:

    The images of 450 migrants simply beaching in Kent, in one single day, and then scattering are absolutely appalling for the Tories

    TAKE BACK CONTROL?!

    If they don't get a grip on this the government is fucked

    Labour needs to make the most of this and push to welcome these people to the UK and help them. Their moral cowardice in not doing so shames left wing politics
    So, you don't want Labour re-elected then?
    He does but only in Islington and Hampstead and Cambridge etc where the decent Labour voters live, he would rather lose but with dignity than have to appeal to anti migration sensibilities.

    It is a view if not a very practical one
    I’m sure @Taz lives in or around Co. Durham?
    Quite a long way from Kent, then

    It would be fascinating - genuinely - to hear the views of the Labour voters of Dungeness and Dover. I somehow feel they would disagree with Taz, but who knows?
    If Taz lives in the North East then that's the place where most asylum seekers are relocated - 17 times more than in the South East apparently.
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 32,585
    edited July 2021

    I see the nasty party is out in force tonight. Asylum seekers and the French are the targets.

    For the record, France takes in a lot more asylum seekers than we do. Those passing through France and heading for the UK are presumably doing so because they have family connections or historical links over here.

    Having said that, I suspect the UK appeals to a minority of economic migrants because it is much easier to make money under the radar and 'hide away' than it is in France, which has much more stringent identity checks for work etc. than we do.

    How can you defend the French when the asylum seekers seem to believe France is such an awful country that they're willing to risk their lives trying to leave it in order to get to the UK?
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 34,667
    Pagan2 said:

    MaxPB said:

    Aslan said:

    MaxPB said:

    Taz said:

    MaxPB said:

    Leon said:

    The images of 450 migrants simply beaching in Kent, in one single day, and then scattering are absolutely appalling for the Tories

    TAKE BACK CONTROL?!

    If they don't get a grip on this the government is fucked

    The UK is far to weak. We need to do what the European countries are doing. Fuck middle class sensibilities, push them back out to sea like French and Greeks and house the ones that do make it in Algeria until they are processed. No right to enter the UK until asylum is granted. The UK needs to become a fortress island.
    Fortunately our courts wouldn’t allow it and someone like the good law project would soon stop it.
    Change the law, legislate, do whatever it takes. If it means burning the HRA then so be it. Enough is enough.
    I don't like to be the bringer of bad news but that's ultimately where we'll end up if a solution is not found.

    People won't accept legal niceities as an excuse for doing nothing - they'll vote for those who'll drive a cart and horses through them.
    On the other hand, I don't think people will vote for asylum-seekers being left to drown off the English coast.

    It's a very difficult issue, there are no easy solutions.
    The easiest solution is to have their claims processed somewhere outside the UK. So they cross the Sahara, the Med, continental Europe, the Channel and then get put on a plane to Cape Verde.
    Why would Cape Verde agree to take them?
    They wouldn't, but Algeria or Morocco probably would.
    Or st Helena after all it was good enough for Napolean so they cant complain
    Though the residents of St Helena might do.
  • Pagan2Pagan2 Posts: 9,876

    Andy_JS said:

    MaxPB said:

    Taz said:

    MaxPB said:

    Leon said:

    The images of 450 migrants simply beaching in Kent, in one single day, and then scattering are absolutely appalling for the Tories

    TAKE BACK CONTROL?!

    If they don't get a grip on this the government is fucked

    The UK is far to weak. We need to do what the European countries are doing. Fuck middle class sensibilities, push them back out to sea like French and Greeks and house the ones that do make it in Algeria until they are processed. No right to enter the UK until asylum is granted. The UK needs to become a fortress island.
    Fortunately our courts wouldn’t allow it and someone like the good law project would soon stop it.
    Change the law, legislate, do whatever it takes. If it means burning the HRA then so be it. Enough is enough.
    I don't like to be the bringer of bad news but that's ultimately where we'll end up if a solution is not found.

    People won't accept legal niceities as an excuse for doing nothing - they'll vote for those who'll drive a cart and horses through them.
    On the other hand, I don't think people will vote for asylum-seekers being left to drown off the English coast.

    It's a very difficult issue, there are no easy solutions.
    The solution is for the French to stop them risking their lives by attempting to cross the channel.
    There are a lot of solutions being offered on here tonight... none of which have the slightest chance of working.

    Since the French have no incentive to do what you suggest and have shown next to no willing ness to do so to date, how do you propose to make them start?
    Personally I would take the greek approach
  • StuartDicksonStuartDickson Posts: 12,146
    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    Closer with Survation tonight

    Tories 39%
    Labour 35%
    LDs 11%

    https://twitter.com/Survation/status/1417559489700630541?s=20

    Interesting labour and lib dems managing better numbers. Normally it is one or the other.
    Electoral Calculus gives a hung parliament on those numbers from Survation with Tories 310, Labour 247, SNP 55, LDs 15.

    So Starmer could be PM with SNP, LD and Green and PC support, the Tories would certainly need the DUP to have a chance of staying in office.

    IDS, Raab, Villiers and Steve Baker would lose their seats

    https://www.electoralcalculus.co.uk/fcgi-bin/usercode.py?scotcontrol=Y&CON=39&LAB=35&LIB=11&Reform=3&Green=5&UKIP=&TVCON=&TVLAB=&TVLIB=&TVReform=&TVGreen=&TVUKIP=&SCOTCON=23&SCOTLAB=19.6&SCOTLIB=6&SCOTReform=0.4&SCOTGreen=2.1&SCOTUKIP=&SCOTNAT=47.7&display=AllChanged&regorseat=(none)&boundary=2019base
    Where are you getting these figures from?

    Scotnat 47.7%
    Scotcon 23%
    Scotlab 19.6%
    Scotlib 6%
    Scotgreen 2.1%
    Scotreform 0.4%
    Which would still see a hung parliament on the UK Survation numbers and PM Starmer propped up by the SNP and LDs, the SDLP, PC, Alliance and Greens despite another Tory majority in England.

    The DUP would not support the Tories again unless they removed the Irish Sea border
    Err… yes. Thanks. Hate to be a pain, but I repeat my question:

    Where are you getting these figures from?

    Scotnat 47.7%
    Scotcon 23%
    Scotlab 19.6%
    Scotlib 6%
    Scotgreen 2.1%
    Scotreform 0.4%
    Scottish figures are largely irrelevant to the UK total unless the SCons take the lead as the SNP will prop up Labour anyway, so your Scottish subsample demand is also largely irrelevant.

    However the Scottish figures are SNP 39%, Tories 22%, Labour 19%, Greens 5%, LDs 4%

    https://www.survation.com/survation-19-july-2021-uk-politics-survey/
    Nope. Now you’re answering a question I did not ask. I know it’s terribly old-fashioned, but could you give a straight answer to a straight question? Please inform us where you got the figures you pumped in to Martin Baxter’s ElectoralCalculus calculator:

    Scotnat 47.7%
    Scotcon 23%
    Scotlab 19.6%
    Scotlib 6%
    Scotgreen 2.1%
    Scotreform 0.4%
    Here https://twitter.com/Survation/status/1417559489700630541?s=20 and it is UK figures and UK figures alone that matter for UK elections.

    For unless the Scottish Conservatives take the lead in Scotland whether the SNP lead or SLab lead it makes no difference, their MPs will both make Starmer PM
    Nope, you are still obfuscating. The link you provided does not contain the numbers you yourself pumped into Baxter’s calculator.

    Please inform us where you got the figures you entered in to the ElectoralCalculus calculator:

    Scotnat 47.7%
    Scotcon 23%
    Scotlab 19.6%
    Scotlib 6%
    Scotgreen 2.1%
    Scotreform 0.4%
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 34,667

    I see the nasty party is out in force tonight. Asylum seekers and the French are the targets.

    Yep. True colours and all that.
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 34,667
    Pagan2 said:

    Andy_JS said:

    MaxPB said:

    Taz said:

    MaxPB said:

    Leon said:

    The images of 450 migrants simply beaching in Kent, in one single day, and then scattering are absolutely appalling for the Tories

    TAKE BACK CONTROL?!

    If they don't get a grip on this the government is fucked

    The UK is far to weak. We need to do what the European countries are doing. Fuck middle class sensibilities, push them back out to sea like French and Greeks and house the ones that do make it in Algeria until they are processed. No right to enter the UK until asylum is granted. The UK needs to become a fortress island.
    Fortunately our courts wouldn’t allow it and someone like the good law project would soon stop it.
    Change the law, legislate, do whatever it takes. If it means burning the HRA then so be it. Enough is enough.
    I don't like to be the bringer of bad news but that's ultimately where we'll end up if a solution is not found.

    People won't accept legal niceities as an excuse for doing nothing - they'll vote for those who'll drive a cart and horses through them.
    On the other hand, I don't think people will vote for asylum-seekers being left to drown off the English coast.

    It's a very difficult issue, there are no easy solutions.
    The solution is for the French to stop them risking their lives by attempting to cross the channel.
    There are a lot of solutions being offered on here tonight... none of which have the slightest chance of working.

    Since the French have no incentive to do what you suggest and have shown next to no willing ness to do so to date, how do you propose to make them start?
    Personally I would take the greek approach
    Which is?
  • Pagan2Pagan2 Posts: 9,876

    Pagan2 said:

    MaxPB said:

    Aslan said:

    MaxPB said:

    Taz said:

    MaxPB said:

    Leon said:

    The images of 450 migrants simply beaching in Kent, in one single day, and then scattering are absolutely appalling for the Tories

    TAKE BACK CONTROL?!

    If they don't get a grip on this the government is fucked

    The UK is far to weak. We need to do what the European countries are doing. Fuck middle class sensibilities, push them back out to sea like French and Greeks and house the ones that do make it in Algeria until they are processed. No right to enter the UK until asylum is granted. The UK needs to become a fortress island.
    Fortunately our courts wouldn’t allow it and someone like the good law project would soon stop it.
    Change the law, legislate, do whatever it takes. If it means burning the HRA then so be it. Enough is enough.
    I don't like to be the bringer of bad news but that's ultimately where we'll end up if a solution is not found.

    People won't accept legal niceities as an excuse for doing nothing - they'll vote for those who'll drive a cart and horses through them.
    On the other hand, I don't think people will vote for asylum-seekers being left to drown off the English coast.

    It's a very difficult issue, there are no easy solutions.
    The easiest solution is to have their claims processed somewhere outside the UK. So they cross the Sahara, the Med, continental Europe, the Channel and then get put on a plane to Cape Verde.
    Why would Cape Verde agree to take them?
    They wouldn't, but Algeria or Morocco probably would.
    Or st Helena after all it was good enough for Napolean so they cant complain
    Though the residents of St Helena might do.
    There is only 4000 of them employ them all as prison guards if you pay them a reasonable wage they will all be better off in per capita pay and may even get some olympic class atheletes into the bargain
  • MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 38,865
    Foxy said:

    Taz said:

    Taz said:

    Taz said:

    Leon said:

    The images of 450 migrants simply beaching in Kent, in one single day, and then scattering are absolutely appalling for the Tories

    TAKE BACK CONTROL?!

    If they don't get a grip on this the government is fucked

    Labour needs to make the most of this and push to welcome these people to the UK and help them. Their moral cowardice in not doing so shames left wing politics
    Sorry, but are you fecking radge?

    Wave goodbye to the Red Wall forever.
    Sorry but SKS and his team need to do what is right and if that means losing the red wall to gain other seats so be it.
    Why is it right to allow a bunch of young, fit blokes who have blagged their way across Europe to come and live here?

    Those in genuine need are languishing in camps near to the conflict zones.

    They are men, women and children. Many are unaccompanied children. It is right because they are desperate people,fleeing torture, wars, bigotry, prejudice and persecution. Look where they come from. Places like Somalia, Iran, Eritrea, Syria, S Sudan. They don’t tend to come from stable nations. God bless them all.
    They're more likely to need Allah's blessing from that set of countries.
    Hardly. Indeed they may well be fleeing Islamists in many of those countries.

    Has any country agreed to be our offshore asylum camp? I understood that there are no takers so far.

    I expect there will be a fresh wave of refugees from Afghanistan on the way soon. Anyone who worked for us is surely at risk from the Taliban, as indeed are all women. Do we not have some responsibility for the wars that we have sowed across the world?
    I think most of the Afghans who worked with the UK have already qualified to come under an existing resettlement programme.

    Other than that, no, we haven't. Afghanistan was a shithole before and it's still a shithole now.
  • TheuniondivvieTheuniondivvie Posts: 41,988
    Leon said:

    Actually, a TV series or a high concept thriller based on a Hunger Games style sieving of migration could be a cracking drama, weaving together leftwing "care" with right wing pragmatics, plus lots of climate change drama

    Right wing pragmatics? Why can’t it be right wing loonballs barely able to sublimate their racism?
  • Pagan2Pagan2 Posts: 9,876

    Pagan2 said:

    Andy_JS said:

    MaxPB said:

    Taz said:

    MaxPB said:

    Leon said:

    The images of 450 migrants simply beaching in Kent, in one single day, and then scattering are absolutely appalling for the Tories

    TAKE BACK CONTROL?!

    If they don't get a grip on this the government is fucked

    The UK is far to weak. We need to do what the European countries are doing. Fuck middle class sensibilities, push them back out to sea like French and Greeks and house the ones that do make it in Algeria until they are processed. No right to enter the UK until asylum is granted. The UK needs to become a fortress island.
    Fortunately our courts wouldn’t allow it and someone like the good law project would soon stop it.
    Change the law, legislate, do whatever it takes. If it means burning the HRA then so be it. Enough is enough.
    I don't like to be the bringer of bad news but that's ultimately where we'll end up if a solution is not found.

    People won't accept legal niceities as an excuse for doing nothing - they'll vote for those who'll drive a cart and horses through them.
    On the other hand, I don't think people will vote for asylum-seekers being left to drown off the English coast.

    It's a very difficult issue, there are no easy solutions.
    The solution is for the French to stop them risking their lives by attempting to cross the channel.
    There are a lot of solutions being offered on here tonight... none of which have the slightest chance of working.

    Since the French have no incentive to do what you suggest and have shown next to no willing ness to do so to date, how do you propose to make them start?
    Personally I would take the greek approach
    Which is?
    They confine them to a single island officially
  • Northern_AlNorthern_Al Posts: 8,388
    Andy_JS said:

    I see the nasty party is out in force tonight. Asylum seekers and the French are the targets.

    For the record, France takes in a lot more asylum seekers than we do. Those passing through France and heading for the UK are presumably doing so because they have family connections or historical links over here.

    Having said that, I suspect the UK appeals to a minority of economic migrants because it is much easier to make money under the radar and 'hide away' than it is in France, which has much more stringent identity checks for work etc. than we do.

    How can you defend the French when the asylum seekers seem to believe France is such an awful country that they're willing to risk their lives trying to leave it in order to get to the UK?
    Try reading what I've written. The French take more asylum seekers than we do, so obviously some are happy to stay in France. Those who want to come here are highly likely to have to travel through France to get here. There'll be lots of reasons why they prefer the UK to France, if you could be bothered to ask them.
  • dixiedeandixiedean Posts: 29,410
    Andy_JS said:

    nico679 said:

    Even if you could sort out social care in terms of more money who exactly is going to be doing the caring . Unless you increase foreign workers which this cesspit government won’t do where are these carers going to come from .

    We have millions of unemployed and under-employed people already in the country who could be learning to do jobs like this.
    We don't. We have full employment pretty much.
  • Pagan2Pagan2 Posts: 9,876

    Andy_JS said:

    I see the nasty party is out in force tonight. Asylum seekers and the French are the targets.

    For the record, France takes in a lot more asylum seekers than we do. Those passing through France and heading for the UK are presumably doing so because they have family connections or historical links over here.

    Having said that, I suspect the UK appeals to a minority of economic migrants because it is much easier to make money under the radar and 'hide away' than it is in France, which has much more stringent identity checks for work etc. than we do.

    How can you defend the French when the asylum seekers seem to believe France is such an awful country that they're willing to risk their lives trying to leave it in order to get to the UK?
    Try reading what I've written. The French take more asylum seekers than we do, so obviously some are happy to stay in France. Those who want to come here are highly likely to have to travel through France to get here. There'll be lots of reasons why they prefer the UK to France, if you could be bothered to ask them.
    France is four times our size just saying
  • another_richardanother_richard Posts: 26,612
    Foxy said:

    Taz said:

    Taz said:

    Taz said:

    Leon said:

    The images of 450 migrants simply beaching in Kent, in one single day, and then scattering are absolutely appalling for the Tories

    TAKE BACK CONTROL?!

    If they don't get a grip on this the government is fucked

    Labour needs to make the most of this and push to welcome these people to the UK and help them. Their moral cowardice in not doing so shames left wing politics
    Sorry, but are you fecking radge?

    Wave goodbye to the Red Wall forever.
    Sorry but SKS and his team need to do what is right and if that means losing the red wall to gain other seats so be it.
    Why is it right to allow a bunch of young, fit blokes who have blagged their way across Europe to come and live here?

    Those in genuine need are languishing in camps near to the conflict zones.

    They are men, women and children. Many are unaccompanied children. It is right because they are desperate people,fleeing torture, wars, bigotry, prejudice and persecution. Look where they come from. Places like Somalia, Iran, Eritrea, Syria, S Sudan. They don’t tend to come from stable nations. God bless them all.
    They're more likely to need Allah's blessing from that set of countries.
    Hardly. Indeed they may well be fleeing Islamists in many of those countries.

    Has any country agreed to be our offshore asylum camp? I understood that there are no takers so far.

    I expect there will be a fresh wave of refugees from Afghanistan on the way soon. Anyone who worked for us is surely at risk from the Taliban, as indeed are all women. Do we not have some responsibility for the wars that we have sowed across the world?
    How about a swap - we'll take care of the Afghan translators in return we give Blair to the Taliban.

    Blair's property empire can then be used for housing the translators.
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 34,667
    Pagan2 said:

    Pagan2 said:

    MaxPB said:

    Aslan said:

    MaxPB said:

    Taz said:

    MaxPB said:

    Leon said:

    The images of 450 migrants simply beaching in Kent, in one single day, and then scattering are absolutely appalling for the Tories

    TAKE BACK CONTROL?!

    If they don't get a grip on this the government is fucked

    The UK is far to weak. We need to do what the European countries are doing. Fuck middle class sensibilities, push them back out to sea like French and Greeks and house the ones that do make it in Algeria until they are processed. No right to enter the UK until asylum is granted. The UK needs to become a fortress island.
    Fortunately our courts wouldn’t allow it and someone like the good law project would soon stop it.
    Change the law, legislate, do whatever it takes. If it means burning the HRA then so be it. Enough is enough.
    I don't like to be the bringer of bad news but that's ultimately where we'll end up if a solution is not found.

    People won't accept legal niceities as an excuse for doing nothing - they'll vote for those who'll drive a cart and horses through them.
    On the other hand, I don't think people will vote for asylum-seekers being left to drown off the English coast.

    It's a very difficult issue, there are no easy solutions.
    The easiest solution is to have their claims processed somewhere outside the UK. So they cross the Sahara, the Med, continental Europe, the Channel and then get put on a plane to Cape Verde.
    Why would Cape Verde agree to take them?
    They wouldn't, but Algeria or Morocco probably would.
    Or st Helena after all it was good enough for Napolean so they cant complain
    Though the residents of St Helena might do.
    There is only 4000 of them employ them all as prison guards if you pay them a reasonable wage they will all be better off in per capita pay and may even get some olympic class atheletes into the bargain
    Another 'solution' that stands zero chance of working. Fortunately.
  • Andy_JS said:

    MaxPB said:

    Taz said:

    MaxPB said:

    Leon said:

    The images of 450 migrants simply beaching in Kent, in one single day, and then scattering are absolutely appalling for the Tories

    TAKE BACK CONTROL?!

    If they don't get a grip on this the government is fucked

    The UK is far to weak. We need to do what the European countries are doing. Fuck middle class sensibilities, push them back out to sea like French and Greeks and house the ones that do make it in Algeria until they are processed. No right to enter the UK until asylum is granted. The UK needs to become a fortress island.
    Fortunately our courts wouldn’t allow it and someone like the good law project would soon stop it.
    Change the law, legislate, do whatever it takes. If it means burning the HRA then so be it. Enough is enough.
    I don't like to be the bringer of bad news but that's ultimately where we'll end up if a solution is not found.

    People won't accept legal niceities as an excuse for doing nothing - they'll vote for those who'll drive a cart and horses through them.
    On the other hand, I don't think people will vote for asylum-seekers being left to drown off the English coast.

    It's a very difficult issue, there are no easy solutions.
    The solution is for the French to stop them risking their lives by attempting to cross the channel.
    There are a lot of solutions being offered on here tonight... none of which have the slightest chance of working.

    Since the French have no incentive to do what you suggest and have shown next to no willing ness to do so to date, how do you propose to make them start?
    There's also the premise that this government will (a) put real money towards this issue; and (b) have the attention span to see their strategy through.
  • Pagan2Pagan2 Posts: 9,876

    Foxy said:

    Taz said:

    Taz said:

    Taz said:

    Leon said:

    The images of 450 migrants simply beaching in Kent, in one single day, and then scattering are absolutely appalling for the Tories

    TAKE BACK CONTROL?!

    If they don't get a grip on this the government is fucked

    Labour needs to make the most of this and push to welcome these people to the UK and help them. Their moral cowardice in not doing so shames left wing politics
    Sorry, but are you fecking radge?

    Wave goodbye to the Red Wall forever.
    Sorry but SKS and his team need to do what is right and if that means losing the red wall to gain other seats so be it.
    Why is it right to allow a bunch of young, fit blokes who have blagged their way across Europe to come and live here?

    Those in genuine need are languishing in camps near to the conflict zones.

    They are men, women and children. Many are unaccompanied children. It is right because they are desperate people,fleeing torture, wars, bigotry, prejudice and persecution. Look where they come from. Places like Somalia, Iran, Eritrea, Syria, S Sudan. They don’t tend to come from stable nations. God bless them all.
    They're more likely to need Allah's blessing from that set of countries.
    Hardly. Indeed they may well be fleeing Islamists in many of those countries.

    Has any country agreed to be our offshore asylum camp? I understood that there are no takers so far.

    I expect there will be a fresh wave of refugees from Afghanistan on the way soon. Anyone who worked for us is surely at risk from the Taliban, as indeed are all women. Do we not have some responsibility for the wars that we have sowed across the world?
    How about a swap - we'll take care of the Afghan translators in return we give Blair to the Taliban.

    Blair's property empire can then be used for housing the translators.
    I would be quite happy just giving blair to the taliban and call it a win
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 123,098

    Foxy said:

    Taz said:

    Taz said:

    Taz said:

    Leon said:

    The images of 450 migrants simply beaching in Kent, in one single day, and then scattering are absolutely appalling for the Tories

    TAKE BACK CONTROL?!

    If they don't get a grip on this the government is fucked

    Labour needs to make the most of this and push to welcome these people to the UK and help them. Their moral cowardice in not doing so shames left wing politics
    Sorry, but are you fecking radge?

    Wave goodbye to the Red Wall forever.
    Sorry but SKS and his team need to do what is right and if that means losing the red wall to gain other seats so be it.
    Why is it right to allow a bunch of young, fit blokes who have blagged their way across Europe to come and live here?

    Those in genuine need are languishing in camps near to the conflict zones.

    They are men, women and children. Many are unaccompanied children. It is right because they are desperate people,fleeing torture, wars, bigotry, prejudice and persecution. Look where they come from. Places like Somalia, Iran, Eritrea, Syria, S Sudan. They don’t tend to come from stable nations. God bless them all.
    They're more likely to need Allah's blessing from that set of countries.
    Hardly. Indeed they may well be fleeing Islamists in many of those countries.

    Has any country agreed to be our offshore asylum camp? I understood that there are no takers so far.

    I expect there will be a fresh wave of refugees from Afghanistan on the way soon. Anyone who worked for us is surely at risk from the Taliban, as indeed are all women. Do we not have some responsibility for the wars that we have sowed across the world?
    How about a swap - we'll take care of the Afghan translators in return we give Blair to the Taliban.

    Blair's property empire can then be used for housing the translators.
    Blair and Bush to be fair to them paved the way for the removal of Al Qaeda from the country and Bin Laden to be killed.

    It is Biden and Boris who are cutting and running and leaving it open to the Taliban again
  • CookieCookie Posts: 13,821
    Hello everyone again. Report from the real world: everything is lovely. Pakistanis are lovely, despite their cricket team losing and potentially dubious practices being employed to get in to the ground. Cricket is once again lovely. England is lovely, though winning at cricket has little to do with. South Manchester is lovely, beneath a gibbous moon and marinated in the darker beers from the Thornbridge brewery and also a quite improbable amount of lowest common denominator cider. No one i s wearing a mask who doesn't have to. I am quite unaccustomably drunk.
  • justin124justin124 Posts: 11,527
    Not on a GB basis though.
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 48,706
    MaxPB said:

    Aslan said:

    MaxPB said:

    Taz said:

    MaxPB said:

    Leon said:

    The images of 450 migrants simply beaching in Kent, in one single day, and then scattering are absolutely appalling for the Tories

    TAKE BACK CONTROL?!

    If they don't get a grip on this the government is fucked

    The UK is far to weak. We need to do what the European countries are doing. Fuck middle class sensibilities, push them back out to sea like French and Greeks and house the ones that do make it in Algeria until they are processed. No right to enter the UK until asylum is granted. The UK needs to become a fortress island.
    Fortunately our courts wouldn’t allow it and someone like the good law project would soon stop it.
    Change the law, legislate, do whatever it takes. If it means burning the HRA then so be it. Enough is enough.
    I don't like to be the bringer of bad news but that's ultimately where we'll end up if a solution is not found.

    People won't accept legal niceities as an excuse for doing nothing - they'll vote for those who'll drive a cart and horses through them.
    On the other hand, I don't think people will vote for asylum-seekers being left to drown off the English coast.

    It's a very difficult issue, there are no easy solutions.
    The easiest solution is to have their claims processed somewhere outside the UK. So they cross the Sahara, the Med, continental Europe, the Channel and then get put on a plane to Cape Verde.
    Why would Cape Verde agree to take them?
    They wouldn't, but Algeria or Morocco probably would.
    Would they?

    Morocco often refuses to take back its own citizens, let alone other countries?

    https://nltimes.nl/2019/11/22/morocco-refusing-speak-nl-taking-back-failed-asylum-seekers
  • Northern_AlNorthern_Al Posts: 8,388
    Pagan2 said:

    Andy_JS said:

    I see the nasty party is out in force tonight. Asylum seekers and the French are the targets.

    For the record, France takes in a lot more asylum seekers than we do. Those passing through France and heading for the UK are presumably doing so because they have family connections or historical links over here.

    Having said that, I suspect the UK appeals to a minority of economic migrants because it is much easier to make money under the radar and 'hide away' than it is in France, which has much more stringent identity checks for work etc. than we do.

    How can you defend the French when the asylum seekers seem to believe France is such an awful country that they're willing to risk their lives trying to leave it in order to get to the UK?
    Try reading what I've written. The French take more asylum seekers than we do, so obviously some are happy to stay in France. Those who want to come here are highly likely to have to travel through France to get here. There'll be lots of reasons why they prefer the UK to France, if you could be bothered to ask them.
    France is four times our size just saying
    Eh?? Population is about the same. If it's land mass you're talking about, that's hardly relevant.
  • MikeSmithsonMikeSmithson Posts: 7,382
    Leon said:

    The images of 450 migrants simply beaching in Kent, in one single day, and then scattering are absolutely appalling for the Tories

    TAKE BACK CONTROL?!

    If they don't get a grip on this the government is fucked

    Can't see the point. It is only immigarnt obcessives like you who care.
  • Pagan2Pagan2 Posts: 9,876
    Cookie said:

    Hello everyone again. Report from the real world: everything is lovely. Pakistanis are lovely, despite their cricket team losing and potentially dubious practices being employed to get in to the ground. Cricket is once again lovely. England is lovely, though winning at cricket has little to do with. South Manchester is lovely, beneath a gibbous moon and marinated in the darker beers from the Thornbridge brewery and also a quite improbable amount of lowest common denominator cider. No one i s wearing a mask who doesn't have to. I am quite unaccustomably drunk.

    Cookie said:

    Hello everyone again. Report from the real world: everything is lovely. Pakistanis are lovely, despite their cricket team losing and potentially dubious practices being employed to get in to the ground. Cricket is once again lovely. England is lovely, though winning at cricket has little to do with. South Manchester is lovely, beneath a gibbous moon and marinated in the darker beers from the Thornbridge brewery and also a quite improbable amount of lowest common denominator cider. No one i s wearing a mask who doesn't have to. I am quite unaccustomably drunk.

    Am I lovely?
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 34,667
    Pagan2 said:

    Andy_JS said:

    I see the nasty party is out in force tonight. Asylum seekers and the French are the targets.

    For the record, France takes in a lot more asylum seekers than we do. Those passing through France and heading for the UK are presumably doing so because they have family connections or historical links over here.

    Having said that, I suspect the UK appeals to a minority of economic migrants because it is much easier to make money under the radar and 'hide away' than it is in France, which has much more stringent identity checks for work etc. than we do.

    How can you defend the French when the asylum seekers seem to believe France is such an awful country that they're willing to risk their lives trying to leave it in order to get to the UK?
    Try reading what I've written. The French take more asylum seekers than we do, so obviously some are happy to stay in France. Those who want to come here are highly likely to have to travel through France to get here. There'll be lots of reasons why they prefer the UK to France, if you could be bothered to ask them.
    France is four times our size just saying
    Dear oh dear, by 'our' size you must mean Little England?
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 82,080
    Israel COVID update: Nearly 1,500 new cases, biggest one-day increase since March

    - New cases: 1,491
    - Average: 987 (+42)
    - In hospital: 129 (+2)
    - In ICU: 16 (-1)
    - New deaths: 2

    Population vaccinated:
    - 1st dose: 61.83% (+0.03)
    - 2nd dose: 56.53% (+0.13)
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 123,098
    edited July 2021

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    Closer with Survation tonight

    Tories 39%
    Labour 35%
    LDs 11%

    https://twitter.com/Survation/status/1417559489700630541?s=20

    Interesting labour and lib dems managing better numbers. Normally it is one or the other.
    Electoral Calculus gives a hung parliament on those numbers from Survation with Tories 310, Labour 247, SNP 55, LDs 15.

    So Starmer could be PM with SNP, LD and Green and PC support, the Tories would certainly need the DUP to have a chance of staying in office.

    IDS, Raab, Villiers and Steve Baker would lose their seats

    https://www.electoralcalculus.co.uk/fcgi-bin/usercode.py?scotcontrol=Y&CON=39&LAB=35&LIB=11&Reform=3&Green=5&UKIP=&TVCON=&TVLAB=&TVLIB=&TVReform=&TVGreen=&TVUKIP=&SCOTCON=23&SCOTLAB=19.6&SCOTLIB=6&SCOTReform=0.4&SCOTGreen=2.1&SCOTUKIP=&SCOTNAT=47.7&display=AllChanged&regorseat=(none)&boundary=2019base
    Where are you getting these figures from?

    Scotnat 47.7%
    Scotcon 23%
    Scotlab 19.6%
    Scotlib 6%
    Scotgreen 2.1%
    Scotreform 0.4%
    Which would still see a hung parliament on the UK Survation numbers and PM Starmer propped up by the SNP and LDs, the SDLP, PC, Alliance and Greens despite another Tory majority in England.

    The DUP would not support the Tories again unless they removed the Irish Sea border
    Err… yes. Thanks. Hate to be a pain, but I repeat my question:

    Where are you getting these figures from?

    Scotnat 47.7%
    Scotcon 23%
    Scotlab 19.6%
    Scotlib 6%
    Scotgreen 2.1%
    Scotreform 0.4%
    Scottish figures are largely irrelevant to the UK total unless the SCons take the lead as the SNP will prop up Labour anyway, so your Scottish subsample demand is also largely irrelevant.

    However the Scottish figures are SNP 39%, Tories 22%, Labour 19%, Greens 5%, LDs 4%

    https://www.survation.com/survation-19-july-2021-uk-politics-survey/
    Nope. Now you’re answering a question I did not ask. I know it’s terribly old-fashioned, but could you give a straight answer to a straight question? Please inform us where you got the figures you pumped in to Martin Baxter’s ElectoralCalculus calculator:

    Scotnat 47.7%
    Scotcon 23%
    Scotlab 19.6%
    Scotlib 6%
    Scotgreen 2.1%
    Scotreform 0.4%
    Here https://twitter.com/Survation/status/1417559489700630541?s=20 and it is UK figures and UK figures alone that matter for UK elections.

    For unless the Scottish Conservatives take the lead in Scotland whether the SNP lead or SLab lead it makes no difference, their MPs will both make Starmer PM
    Nope, you are still obfuscating. The link you provided does not contain the numbers you yourself pumped into Baxter’s calculator.

    Please inform us where you got the figures you entered in to the ElectoralCalculus calculator:

    Scotnat 47.7%
    Scotcon 23%
    Scotlab 19.6%
    Scotlib 6%
    Scotgreen 2.1%
    Scotreform 0.4%
    Nope Nats like you have got to realise not all polls revolve around you, I have now given you both the UK and Scottish Survation figures both of which would make Starmer PM with minor parties support, exactly as the 2019 Scottish numbers would.

    You are Labour's little helpers at Westminster so obviously we don't give a toss precisely how many little Nationalists there are at Westminster as you will all be making Starmer PM anyway. Unless the SCons make significant gains in Scotland, Scottish figures are therefore irrelevant for UK elections
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 34,667

    Pagan2 said:

    Andy_JS said:

    I see the nasty party is out in force tonight. Asylum seekers and the French are the targets.

    For the record, France takes in a lot more asylum seekers than we do. Those passing through France and heading for the UK are presumably doing so because they have family connections or historical links over here.

    Having said that, I suspect the UK appeals to a minority of economic migrants because it is much easier to make money under the radar and 'hide away' than it is in France, which has much more stringent identity checks for work etc. than we do.

    How can you defend the French when the asylum seekers seem to believe France is such an awful country that they're willing to risk their lives trying to leave it in order to get to the UK?
    Try reading what I've written. The French take more asylum seekers than we do, so obviously some are happy to stay in France. Those who want to come here are highly likely to have to travel through France to get here. There'll be lots of reasons why they prefer the UK to France, if you could be bothered to ask them.
    France is four times our size just saying
    Eh?? Population is about the same. If it's land mass you're talking about, that's hardly relevant.
    ... and completely false, to boot!
  • Pagan2Pagan2 Posts: 9,876

    Pagan2 said:

    Andy_JS said:

    I see the nasty party is out in force tonight. Asylum seekers and the French are the targets.

    For the record, France takes in a lot more asylum seekers than we do. Those passing through France and heading for the UK are presumably doing so because they have family connections or historical links over here.

    Having said that, I suspect the UK appeals to a minority of economic migrants because it is much easier to make money under the radar and 'hide away' than it is in France, which has much more stringent identity checks for work etc. than we do.

    How can you defend the French when the asylum seekers seem to believe France is such an awful country that they're willing to risk their lives trying to leave it in order to get to the UK?
    Try reading what I've written. The French take more asylum seekers than we do, so obviously some are happy to stay in France. Those who want to come here are highly likely to have to travel through France to get here. There'll be lots of reasons why they prefer the UK to France, if you could be bothered to ask them.
    France is four times our size just saying
    Eh?? Population is about the same. If it's land mass you're talking about, that's hardly relevant.
    What do you mean not relevant land mass is totally relevant if you have 4 times the land mass you can fit 4 times the people without any more crowding
  • Pagan2Pagan2 Posts: 9,876

    Pagan2 said:

    Andy_JS said:

    I see the nasty party is out in force tonight. Asylum seekers and the French are the targets.

    For the record, France takes in a lot more asylum seekers than we do. Those passing through France and heading for the UK are presumably doing so because they have family connections or historical links over here.

    Having said that, I suspect the UK appeals to a minority of economic migrants because it is much easier to make money under the radar and 'hide away' than it is in France, which has much more stringent identity checks for work etc. than we do.

    How can you defend the French when the asylum seekers seem to believe France is such an awful country that they're willing to risk their lives trying to leave it in order to get to the UK?
    Try reading what I've written. The French take more asylum seekers than we do, so obviously some are happy to stay in France. Those who want to come here are highly likely to have to travel through France to get here. There'll be lots of reasons why they prefer the UK to France, if you could be bothered to ask them.
    France is four times our size just saying
    Dear oh dear, by 'our' size you must mean Little England?
    No I meant the greater cornish empire
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 48,706

    Leon said:

    The images of 450 migrants simply beaching in Kent, in one single day, and then scattering are absolutely appalling for the Tories

    TAKE BACK CONTROL?!

    If they don't get a grip on this the government is fucked

    Can't see the point. It is only immigarnt obcessives like you who care.
    I don't think so. The way the numbers of arrivals increase each year is a real vulnerability of this government. Farage has touched a nerve over the issue and it could get very hot for the government.
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 48,706
    Pagan2 said:

    Pagan2 said:

    Andy_JS said:

    I see the nasty party is out in force tonight. Asylum seekers and the French are the targets.

    For the record, France takes in a lot more asylum seekers than we do. Those passing through France and heading for the UK are presumably doing so because they have family connections or historical links over here.

    Having said that, I suspect the UK appeals to a minority of economic migrants because it is much easier to make money under the radar and 'hide away' than it is in France, which has much more stringent identity checks for work etc. than we do.

    How can you defend the French when the asylum seekers seem to believe France is such an awful country that they're willing to risk their lives trying to leave it in order to get to the UK?
    Try reading what I've written. The French take more asylum seekers than we do, so obviously some are happy to stay in France. Those who want to come here are highly likely to have to travel through France to get here. There'll be lots of reasons why they prefer the UK to France, if you could be bothered to ask them.
    France is four times our size just saying
    Dear oh dear, by 'our' size you must mean Little England?
    No I meant the greater cornish empire
    Surely occupied Wales?
  • Pagan2Pagan2 Posts: 9,876

    Pagan2 said:

    Andy_JS said:

    I see the nasty party is out in force tonight. Asylum seekers and the French are the targets.

    For the record, France takes in a lot more asylum seekers than we do. Those passing through France and heading for the UK are presumably doing so because they have family connections or historical links over here.

    Having said that, I suspect the UK appeals to a minority of economic migrants because it is much easier to make money under the radar and 'hide away' than it is in France, which has much more stringent identity checks for work etc. than we do.

    How can you defend the French when the asylum seekers seem to believe France is such an awful country that they're willing to risk their lives trying to leave it in order to get to the UK?
    Try reading what I've written. The French take more asylum seekers than we do, so obviously some are happy to stay in France. Those who want to come here are highly likely to have to travel through France to get here. There'll be lots of reasons why they prefer the UK to France, if you could be bothered to ask them.
    France is four times our size just saying
    Eh?? Population is about the same. If it's land mass you're talking about, that's hardly relevant.
    ... and completely false, to boot!
    ok 3 and a bit aryea of gb = 209,331, area of france 643,801 it wasnt wildly out and suggests pedantry
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 34,667
    Right, off to bed now. Hopefully tonight's little outbreak of zealous xenophobia will have calmed down a little by tomorrow.

    Night all!
  • GallowgateGallowgate Posts: 19,467
    Andy_JS said:

    nico679 said:

    Even if you could sort out social care in terms of more money who exactly is going to be doing the caring . Unless you increase foreign workers which this cesspit government won’t do where are these carers going to come from .

    We have millions of unemployed and under-employed people already in the country who could be learning to do jobs like this.
    Do we? A quick Google suggests only 350k odd claiming jsa/universal credit
  • RobDRobD Posts: 59,930

    Right, off to bed now. Hopefully tonight's little outbreak of zealous xenophobia will have calmed down a little by tomorrow.

    Night all!

    Zealous xenophobia? This is why it's impossible to have a debate on this issue, you immediately get accused of racism.
  • TazTaz Posts: 14,419
    Foxy said:

    Leon said:

    The images of 450 migrants simply beaching in Kent, in one single day, and then scattering are absolutely appalling for the Tories

    TAKE BACK CONTROL?!

    If they don't get a grip on this the government is fucked

    Can't see the point. It is only immigarnt obcessives like you who care.
    I don't think so. The way the numbers of arrivals increase each year is a real vulnerability of this government. Farage has touched a nerve over the issue and it could get very hot for the government.
    It peaked around 100K about 20 years ago. It’s declined since then
  • Pagan2Pagan2 Posts: 9,876

    Andy_JS said:

    nico679 said:

    Even if you could sort out social care in terms of more money who exactly is going to be doing the caring . Unless you increase foreign workers which this cesspit government won’t do where are these carers going to come from .

    We have millions of unemployed and under-employed people already in the country who could be learning to do jobs like this.
    Do we? A quick Google suggests only 350k odd claiming jsa/universal credit
    As wages rise in the care industry people wanting to come will pass the points system
  • MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 38,865

    Andy_JS said:

    nico679 said:

    Even if you could sort out social care in terms of more money who exactly is going to be doing the caring . Unless you increase foreign workers which this cesspit government won’t do where are these carers going to come from .

    We have millions of unemployed and under-employed people already in the country who could be learning to do jobs like this.
    Do we? A quick Google suggests only 350k odd claiming jsa/universal credit
    2.3m

    https://www.ons.gov.uk/employmentandlabourmarket/peoplenotinwork/outofworkbenefits/timeseries/bcjd/unem
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 62,761
    I've been down the pub engaging in some mask/no mask etiquette. So may have missed some detail.

    But seems I may have missed Cummings blowing himself up by claiming him and three mates were about to undertake a coup days after Dec 2019 GE?

This discussion has been closed.