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Snap Savanta poll on BoJo isolation plan finds most saying it was unfair – politicalbetting.com

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  • Philip_ThompsonPhilip_Thompson Posts: 65,826

    First dose percentage in Lambeth of 70-90 year olds is ~80%. Quite a few of the 20% are going to die.

    Such a senseless waste when we have the vaccines available.

    Anyone got a list of the highest and lowest areas for vaccination ?

    Might show some interesting correlations to demographics, housing, voting etc.
    There does seem to be quite some correlation between a high Remain vote and the lowest rates of vaccination.
  • ChrisChris Posts: 11,746
    edited July 2021

    Foxy said:

    Are we counting Prof Ferguson's 200,000 cases at peak as a late entry to the PB prediction competition?

    Only if we know his PB name.
    Chris or Alistair?
    You don't even read - or perhaps can't even understand - the posts in the place where you hold forth obsessively. No surprise.
  • FF43FF43 Posts: 17,208
    Leon said:

    Andy_JS said:

    Must be Johnson's worst day in office and there have been some humdingers.

    Will it move the polls though? I wouldn't bet on it.
    Yes, he will get away with it

    Just watched MSM TV news for the first time in ages

    General jollity at his incompetence, plus the gorgeous weather, the Germans are drowning (always a nice distraction), suddenly loads of British sport - with big crowds - golf, F1, cricket - and we won at least two of those - then more nice weather news, then the thought of total unlockdown, yay!

    The British people want to relax and to drink beer in the sun. Boris will be forgiven. He's Charles II, the Merry Monarch.

    Of course, if Covid returns to ravage us.....
    Maybe that's as good an explanation for Johnson's bulletproof poll ratings as any. Personally I can't stand the man, even when he was Mayor of London and supposedly a liberal and my kind of politician. Basically it boils down to not finding him funny. I will forgive a lot of someone who makes me laugh. If you play for laughs and it falls dead, what else have you got? You just look false.

    But others are clearly charmed.
  • Philip_ThompsonPhilip_Thompson Posts: 65,826
    Chris said:

    Foxy said:

    Are we counting Prof Ferguson's 200,000 cases at peak as a late entry to the PB prediction competition?

    Only if we know his PB name.
    Chris or Alistair?
    You don't even read - or perhaps can't even understand - the posts in the place where you hold forth obsessively. No surprise.
    Perhaps the smartest guy in the room can explain what's not been understood?
  • another_richardanother_richard Posts: 26,585
    gealbhan said:

    First dose percentage in Lambeth of 70-90 year olds is ~80%. Quite a few of the 20% are going to die.

    Such a senseless waste when we have the vaccines available.

    In order to turn that around, what is the reason for as high as 20%
    In Lambeth's case, race and religion.

    Cousin Alice from Nigeria told them not to be vaccinated and Jesus / Allah will save them anyway.
  • BigRichBigRich Posts: 3,492
    gealbhan said:

    First dose percentage in Lambeth of 70-90 year olds is ~80%. Quite a few of the 20% are going to die.

    Such a senseless waste when we have the vaccines available.

    In order to turn that around, what is the reason for as high as 20%
    I don't know the situation in Lambeth, so there may be some percularalatys, but i suspect that overall teh rats are vaccination are higher than reported but the number of people is suspect.

    for the 70-90 age groups, in England 95% or slightly over are reported as having had the vaccine, but when ONS did their big antibody servery 98% of that age group had antibody's.

    One answer that 3 out of 5 of unvaccinated have had it already, which does not sound credible.

    Another is that would be that 98%ish have had the vaccine and the population extimant is about 3% to high.

  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 57,112

    First dose percentage in Lambeth of 70-90 year olds is ~80%. Quite a few of the 20% are going to die.

    Such a senseless waste when we have the vaccines available.

    Anyone got a list of the highest and lowest areas for vaccination ?

    Might show some interesting correlations to demographics, housing, voting etc.
    There does seem to be quite some correlation between a high Remain vote and the lowest rates of vaccination.
    Age being the dominant factor, I suspect: younger people are less likely to be vaccinated (both because of likely effects of covid being milder, and because they've had less opportunity to do so) and to vote Remain.
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 57,112
    I like the Johnson as Charles II analogy - mistresses, fun, bluster, secret treaties, great art and the like.

    Of course, it came tumbling down for the Stuarts a few years later when we let the Europeans take over. Who is James II?
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 57,112

    Charles said:

    Taz said:

    Leon said:

    geoffw said:

    tlg86 said:

    On topic, how reliable do we think a poll taken on a (very nice) Sunday is? @Isam always says that the politically engaged are always over represented in polls; it may be even more true for this one.

    Ah, @Isam still banned. Don't know why, but more's the pity.
    yes it's bollocks. STOP BANNING ISAM
    You could offer to take his place on the banned list, like some sort of hostage exchange?
    It seems pretty easy going here. What do you have to do to get a ban ?
    Repeatedly point out the boss is wrong
    Suggest radiohead are a crap band or python isn't the best programming language.....
    Python isn't always the best programming language.

    But it usually is.
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 81,966
    edited July 2021
    rcs1000 said:

    Charles said:

    Taz said:

    Leon said:

    geoffw said:

    tlg86 said:

    On topic, how reliable do we think a poll taken on a (very nice) Sunday is? @Isam always says that the politically engaged are always over represented in polls; it may be even more true for this one.

    Ah, @Isam still banned. Don't know why, but more's the pity.
    yes it's bollocks. STOP BANNING ISAM
    You could offer to take his place on the banned list, like some sort of hostage exchange?
    It seems pretty easy going here. What do you have to do to get a ban ?
    Repeatedly point out the boss is wrong
    Suggest radiohead are a crap band or python isn't the best programming language.....
    Python isn't always the best programming language.

    But it usually is.
    We don't have to worry now with GPT3 powered github copilot.....
  • Philip_ThompsonPhilip_Thompson Posts: 65,826
    rcs1000 said:

    First dose percentage in Lambeth of 70-90 year olds is ~80%. Quite a few of the 20% are going to die.

    Such a senseless waste when we have the vaccines available.

    Anyone got a list of the highest and lowest areas for vaccination ?

    Might show some interesting correlations to demographics, housing, voting etc.
    There does seem to be quite some correlation between a high Remain vote and the lowest rates of vaccination.
    Age being the dominant factor, I suspect: younger people are less likely to be vaccinated (both because of likely effects of covid being milder, and because they've had less opportunity to do so) and to vote Remain.
    Yes its the oft-mentioned 'education' effect again.

    Its not about education or willingness to be vaccinated, its a proxy for age.
  • dixiedeandixiedean Posts: 29,397

    First dose percentage in Lambeth of 70-90 year olds is ~80%. Quite a few of the 20% are going to die.

    Such a senseless waste when we have the vaccines available.

    Anyone got a list of the highest and lowest areas for vaccination ?

    Might show some interesting correlations to demographics, housing, voting etc.
    There does seem to be quite some correlation between a high Remain vote and the lowest rates of vaccination.
    I know that is mischievous. I fear that wouldn't hold up ceteris paribus.
  • MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 28,368
    Just 30 minutes to Freedom Day. Boris 30 points ahead in the polls?

    Johnson is a lucky General, we'll all be fine.

    Oh and I've deleted the NHS app.
  • dixiedeandixiedean Posts: 29,397

    Chris said:

    Foxy said:

    Are we counting Prof Ferguson's 200,000 cases at peak as a late entry to the PB prediction competition?

    Only if we know his PB name.
    Chris or Alistair?
    You don't even read - or perhaps can't even understand - the posts in the place where you hold forth obsessively. No surprise.
    Perhaps the smartest guy in the room can explain what's not been understood?
    Sorry. But I haven't been paying attention.
  • NickPalmerNickPalmer Posts: 21,522
    FF43 said:

    Leon said:

    Andy_JS said:

    Must be Johnson's worst day in office and there have been some humdingers.

    Will it move the polls though? I wouldn't bet on it.
    Yes, he will get away with it

    Just watched MSM TV news for the first time in ages

    General jollity at his incompetence, plus the gorgeous weather, the Germans are drowning (always a nice distraction), suddenly loads of British sport - with big crowds - golf, F1, cricket - and we won at least two of those - then more nice weather news, then the thought of total unlockdown, yay!

    The British people want to relax and to drink beer in the sun. Boris will be forgiven. He's Charles II, the Merry Monarch.

    Of course, if Covid returns to ravage us.....
    Maybe that's as good an explanation for Johnson's bulletproof poll ratings as any. Personally I can't stand the man, even when he was Mayor of London and supposedly a liberal and my kind of politician. Basically it boils down to not finding him funny. I will forgive a lot of someone who makes me laugh. If you play for laughs and it falls dead, what else have you got? You just look false.

    But others are clearly charmed.
    I saw the same broadcast (BBC evening news) as Leon and the public didn't look amused at all, nor especially surprised or angry - just politely exasperated. I also tend to think it'll have no poll impact, but it will reinforce the general impression of incompetence, which has its long-term risks.
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 32,541
    Another brilliant article today by Matthew Syed in the Sunday Times. Worth reading.
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 57,112

    rcs1000 said:

    I like the Johnson as Charles II analogy - mistresses, fun, bluster, secret treaties, great art and the like.

    Of course, it came tumbling down for the Stuarts a few years later when we let the Europeans take over. Who is James II?

    The analogy extends backwards:

    Protectorate - May; both authoritarian and lacking authority
    Charles I - Cameron; caused the referendum civil wars in England and Scotland
    James I - Brown; Scottish, dour, wisest fool
    Elizabeth I - Blair; bit iffy this comparison but Andrew Adonis would like it
    Edward VI / Mary - Major; turbulent unhappy time
    Henry VIII - Thatcher; transforming game changer
    15th century - 1970s; unhappy time of failure and civil strife

    So who is James II ?

    Well he was known as Seamus an Chaca after his desertion of his Irish supporters.

    So who's the biggest shit in British politics ?

    And thanks to Casino and Dixie who added input to the analogy previously.
    That's really rather good... I like Cameron as Charles I.

    When do we get to execute him?
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 57,112
    rcs1000 said:

    rcs1000 said:

    I like the Johnson as Charles II analogy - mistresses, fun, bluster, secret treaties, great art and the like.

    Of course, it came tumbling down for the Stuarts a few years later when we let the Europeans take over. Who is James II?

    The analogy extends backwards:

    Protectorate - May; both authoritarian and lacking authority
    Charles I - Cameron; caused the referendum civil wars in England and Scotland
    James I - Brown; Scottish, dour, wisest fool
    Elizabeth I - Blair; bit iffy this comparison but Andrew Adonis would like it
    Edward VI / Mary - Major; turbulent unhappy time
    Henry VIII - Thatcher; transforming game changer
    15th century - 1970s; unhappy time of failure and civil strife

    So who is James II ?

    Well he was known as Seamus an Chaca after his desertion of his Irish supporters.

    So who's the biggest shit in British politics ?

    And thanks to Casino and Dixie who added input to the analogy previously.
    That's really rather good... I like Cameron as Charles I.

    When do we get to execute him?
    And can we say Clegg's analog is the Duke of Buckingham? Or is that a bit too mischievous...
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 32,541
    edited July 2021
    rcs1000 said:

    First dose percentage in Lambeth of 70-90 year olds is ~80%. Quite a few of the 20% are going to die.

    Such a senseless waste when we have the vaccines available.

    Anyone got a list of the highest and lowest areas for vaccination ?

    Might show some interesting correlations to demographics, housing, voting etc.
    There does seem to be quite some correlation between a high Remain vote and the lowest rates of vaccination.
    Age being the dominant factor, I suspect: younger people are less likely to be vaccinated (both because of likely effects of covid being milder, and because they've had less opportunity to do so) and to vote Remain.
    It's a good example of how they don't practise what they preach, so-to-speak. On social media they're probably the loudest supporters of vaccination, but somehow they forget to actually get vaccinated in the real world.

    There's no excuse for a place like Cambridge, for example, having such a low vaccination rate the last time I checked the figures.
  • dixiedeandixiedean Posts: 29,397
    rcs1000 said:

    I like the Johnson as Charles II analogy - mistresses, fun, bluster, secret treaties, great art and the like.

    Of course, it came tumbling down for the Stuarts a few years later when we let the Europeans take over. Who is James II?

    https://youtu.be/FA5abHKvUBQ

    My name is, my name is, my name is Boris Johnson.
  • gealbhangealbhan Posts: 2,362
    The Tory media are pretty grumpy and calling on government to bring forward the August date. I have read small print of front pages, it’s almost if the writer is incredulous, it’s a no brainier the government need to do it, by yesterday if possible.

    I have been thinking about pingdemic, and what the way out is. Picking solution isn’t helped by government not really explaining why it’s a month later than freedom day, and their inaction to tackle pingdemic despite the toasting they are getting.

    For example, to say any grouping, jabbed or otherwise no longer need to self isolate if in contact with a case might not actually be simple solution to pingdemic, because firstly it would be the government officially confirming let it rip/herd immunity policy - sure you can say but it is, but if it remains unofficial and needs a u turn they can deny that ever was a policy.

    Secondly, I suspect lots of fierce argument behind scenes on stopping need to self isolate after Covid contact, you can imagine political cabinet in favour, but SAGE not in favour? Why would SAGE not be in favour? Many of them may not at all agree on let it rip/herd immunity, after all the whole point of test trace isolate is that it supports policy of containment, to restrict number of Covid cases, in other words to support the very opposite of herd immunity just let it rip policy. Even though vaccines have worked, the NHS shouldn’t be overwhelmed and death toll suddenly go Brazilian, some SAGE members may still be putting reasons forward not to let rip, the danger of UK spawning a nasty variant is science fact for example, new Boris variant is a huge political risk too, if it happened, just as there is such a thing of vaccine bounce there has to be a ‘you gone and ****** it’ shellacking in opinion polls.

    Thirdly, how set in stone is Freedom Day 2 in August. I’m not convinced it will happen if it means decommission test trace isolate as both policy, app and greatest moon shot project UK has ever achieved (we don’t actually know the full cost yet?) lay people off, drop the infrastructure in a skip or desktop trash, right on the cusp of autumn and winter. You are confident they will do just that in August?
  • SandyRentoolSandyRentool Posts: 22,009

    I can confirm there are Sam Smith's pubs with 'digital detox' signs banning the used of laptops, tablets and mobiles and which also only accept cash.

    Very retro 1995.

    I went to the brewery once back in the 80s. Saw the squares. Drank a lot in the little bar at the end of tour.
    The squares being us lads who prefer brewery visits to nightclubs?

    Night all.
  • StuartinromfordStuartinromford Posts: 17,207

    rcs1000 said:

    I like the Johnson as Charles II analogy - mistresses, fun, bluster, secret treaties, great art and the like.

    Of course, it came tumbling down for the Stuarts a few years later when we let the Europeans take over. Who is James II?

    The analogy extends backwards:

    Protectorate - May; both authoritarian and lacking authority
    Charles I - Cameron; caused the referendum civil wars in England and Scotland
    James I - Brown; Scottish, dour, wisest fool
    Elizabeth I - Blair; bit iffy this comparison but Andrew Adonis would like it
    Edward VI / Mary - Major; turbulent unhappy time
    Henry VIII - Thatcher; transforming game changer
    15th century - 1970s; unhappy time of failure and civil strife

    So who is James II ?

    Well he was known as Seamus an Chaca after his desertion of his Irish supporters.

    So who's the biggest shit in British politics ?

    And thanks to Casino and Dixie who added input to the analogy previously.
    Well, we don't know because it hasn't happened yet- but any successor who recalibrates the UK-EU relationship would no doubt be seen that way by many Conservatives...

    But that's not going to happen. The next PM we all need is small, cute and can self-isolate by burrowing into a pile of straw and rolling up in a ball.

    No quibbles, vote Nibbles.
  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 51,812

    kinabalu said:

    Taz said:

    Leon said:

    geoffw said:

    tlg86 said:

    On topic, how reliable do we think a poll taken on a (very nice) Sunday is? @Isam always says that the politically engaged are always over represented in polls; it may be even more true for this one.

    Ah, @Isam still banned. Don't know why, but more's the pity.
    yes it's bollocks. STOP BANNING ISAM
    You could offer to take his place on the banned list, like some sort of hostage exchange?
    It seems pretty easy going here. What do you have to do to get a ban ?
    I think he gets banned for saying Enoch was right when the topic is something else entirely.

    Or maybe it's something else. Truth is I'm not sure.
    https://vf.politicalbetting.com/discussion/comment/3469943#Comment_3469943

    This seems to be his last post.
    Maybe this was more cancel-worthy:

    https://vf.politicalbetting.com/discussion/comment/3469938/#Comment_3469938

    :lol:
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 57,112
    Andy_JS said:

    rcs1000 said:

    First dose percentage in Lambeth of 70-90 year olds is ~80%. Quite a few of the 20% are going to die.

    Such a senseless waste when we have the vaccines available.

    Anyone got a list of the highest and lowest areas for vaccination ?

    Might show some interesting correlations to demographics, housing, voting etc.
    There does seem to be quite some correlation between a high Remain vote and the lowest rates of vaccination.
    Age being the dominant factor, I suspect: younger people are less likely to be vaccinated (both because of likely effects of covid being milder, and because they've had less opportunity to do so) and to vote Remain.
    It's a good example of how they don't practise what they preach, so-to-speak. On social media they're probably the loudest supporters of vaccination, but somehow they forget to actually get vaccinated in the real world.

    There's no excuse for a place like Cambridge, for example, having such a low vaccination rate the last time I checked the figures.
    That'll also be because students are registered there, but not resident.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 55,231
    Ran out of good Greek white wine, thought I'd have a whisky

    Rarely drink it these days. Even tho I got a stock in years ago. Just guzzled two large tumblers of Macallan 18 while watching "Midway" - peak Late Middle Age Male? - and thought "ooh, this is unusually nice scotch"

    So I checked the price. £300 a bottle
  • LeonLeon Posts: 55,231

    Leon said:

    Andy_JS said:

    Must be Johnson's worst day in office and there have been some humdingers.

    Will it move the polls though? I wouldn't bet on it.
    Yes, he will get away with it

    Just watched MSM TV news for the first time in ages

    General jollity at his incompetence, plus the gorgeous weather, the Germans are drowning (always a nice distraction), suddenly loads of British sport - with big crowds - golf, F1, cricket - and we won at least two of those - then more nice weather news, then the thought of total unlockdown, yay!

    The British people want to relax and to drink beer in the sun. Boris will be forgiven. He's Charles II, the Merry Monarch.

    Of course, if Covid returns to ravage us.....
    He's Charles II, the Merry Monarch.

    I'll point out that I made the Boris / Charles II comparison last week.

    Very happy for others to use it but if it enters into general circulation I want my 15 minutes :wink:
    No offence mate but I made the comparison when he got the job, and I sincerely doubt I was the first. Some analogies are just obvs
  • LostPasswordLostPassword Posts: 18,352

    rcs1000 said:

    I like the Johnson as Charles II analogy - mistresses, fun, bluster, secret treaties, great art and the like.

    Of course, it came tumbling down for the Stuarts a few years later when we let the Europeans take over. Who is James II?

    The analogy extends backwards:

    Protectorate - May; both authoritarian and lacking authority
    Charles I - Cameron; caused the referendum civil wars in England and Scotland
    James I - Brown; Scottish, dour, wisest fool
    Elizabeth I - Blair; bit iffy this comparison but Andrew Adonis would like it
    Edward VI / Mary - Major; turbulent unhappy time
    Henry VIII - Thatcher; transforming game changer
    15th century - 1970s; unhappy time of failure and civil strife

    So who is James II ?

    Well he was known as Seamus an Chaca after his desertion of his Irish supporters.

    So who's the biggest shit in British politics ?

    And thanks to Casino and Dixie who added input to the analogy previously.
    I didn't think James I & VI was dour. I had him down more as a fun-loving kinda guy. But he did have a reputation for not being able to say no when people asked him for money, so he was always running out. Some people might see a parallel there, but I couldn't possibly say.
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 57,112
    Leon said:

    Ran out of good Greek white wine, thought I'd have a whisky

    Rarely drink it these days. Even tho I got a stock in years ago. Just guzzled two large tumblers of Macallan 18 while watching "Midway" - peak Late Middle Age Male? - and thought "ooh, this is unusually nice scotch"

    So I checked the price. £300 a bottle

    "ran out of good Greek wine".

    My god, I hope you are not talking about retsina.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 55,231

    rcs1000 said:

    I like the Johnson as Charles II analogy - mistresses, fun, bluster, secret treaties, great art and the like.

    Of course, it came tumbling down for the Stuarts a few years later when we let the Europeans take over. Who is James II?

    The analogy extends backwards:

    Protectorate - May; both authoritarian and lacking authority
    Charles I - Cameron; caused the referendum civil wars in England and Scotland
    James I - Brown; Scottish, dour, wisest fool
    Elizabeth I - Blair; bit iffy this comparison but Andrew Adonis would like it
    Edward VI / Mary - Major; turbulent unhappy time
    Henry VIII - Thatcher; transforming game changer
    15th century - 1970s; unhappy time of failure and civil strife

    So who is James II ?

    Well he was known as Seamus an Chaca after his desertion of his Irish supporters.

    So who's the biggest shit in British politics ?

    And thanks to Casino and Dixie who added input to the analogy previously.
    I didn't think James I & VI was dour. I had him down more as a fun-loving kinda guy. But he did have a reputation for not being able to say no when people asked him for money, so he was always running out. Some people might see a parallel there, but I couldn't possibly say.
    People are letting off fireworks in London, and driving round playing Sweet Caroline very loudly.

    Maybe Freedom Day is actually a thing??
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 57,112

    rcs1000 said:

    I like the Johnson as Charles II analogy - mistresses, fun, bluster, secret treaties, great art and the like.

    Of course, it came tumbling down for the Stuarts a few years later when we let the Europeans take over. Who is James II?

    The analogy extends backwards:

    Protectorate - May; both authoritarian and lacking authority
    Charles I - Cameron; caused the referendum civil wars in England and Scotland
    James I - Brown; Scottish, dour, wisest fool
    Elizabeth I - Blair; bit iffy this comparison but Andrew Adonis would like it
    Edward VI / Mary - Major; turbulent unhappy time
    Henry VIII - Thatcher; transforming game changer
    15th century - 1970s; unhappy time of failure and civil strife

    So who is James II ?

    Well he was known as Seamus an Chaca after his desertion of his Irish supporters.

    So who's the biggest shit in British politics ?

    And thanks to Casino and Dixie who added input to the analogy previously.
    I didn't think James I & VI was dour. I had him down more as a fun-loving kinda guy. But he did have a reputation for not being able to say no when people asked him for money, so he was always running out. Some people might see a parallel there, but I couldn't possibly say.
    He was big on banning things that gave other people pleasure. I'd tag that as dour.
  • Philip_ThompsonPhilip_Thompson Posts: 65,826
    Five minutes to Freedom.
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 48,615

    The clubs in Newcastle are basically fully booked tonight. One is even holding a delayed new years party.

    Quite a few got off the train in Leicester who looked like they had been prinking, and off to the clubs.
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 81,966
    edited July 2021

    Five minutes to Freedom.

    I'm so excited.....I might have a biccy with my coffee...
  • Philip_ThompsonPhilip_Thompson Posts: 65,826
    gealbhan said:

    The Tory media are pretty grumpy and calling on government to bring forward the August date. I have read small print of front pages, it’s almost if the writer is incredulous, it’s a no brainier the government need to do it, by yesterday if possible.

    I have been thinking about pingdemic, and what the way out is. Picking solution isn’t helped by government not really explaining why it’s a month later than freedom day, and their inaction to tackle pingdemic despite the toasting they are getting.

    For example, to say any grouping, jabbed or otherwise no longer need to self isolate if in contact with a case might not actually be simple solution to pingdemic, because firstly it would be the government officially confirming let it rip/herd immunity policy - sure you can say but it is, but if it remains unofficial and needs a u turn they can deny that ever was a policy.

    Secondly, I suspect lots of fierce argument behind scenes on stopping need to self isolate after Covid contact, you can imagine political cabinet in favour, but SAGE not in favour? Why would SAGE not be in favour? Many of them may not at all agree on let it rip/herd immunity, after all the whole point of test trace isolate is that it supports policy of containment, to restrict number of Covid cases, in other words to support the very opposite of herd immunity just let it rip policy. Even though vaccines have worked, the NHS shouldn’t be overwhelmed and death toll suddenly go Brazilian, some SAGE members may still be putting reasons forward not to let rip, the danger of UK spawning a nasty variant is science fact for example, new Boris variant is a huge political risk too, if it happened, just as there is such a thing of vaccine bounce there has to be a ‘you gone and ****** it’ shellacking in opinion polls.

    Thirdly, how set in stone is Freedom Day 2 in August. I’m not convinced it will happen if it means decommission test trace isolate as both policy, app and greatest moon shot project UK has ever achieved (we don’t actually know the full cost yet?) lay people off, drop the infrastructure in a skip or desktop trash, right on the cusp of autumn and winter. You are confident they will do just that in August?

    If SAGE aren't in favour then the government should still do the right thing.

    Advisors advise, ministers decide.

    Time to end people who aren't even definitely positive from being required to isolate.
  • another_richardanother_richard Posts: 26,585
    Leon said:

    Leon said:

    Andy_JS said:

    Must be Johnson's worst day in office and there have been some humdingers.

    Will it move the polls though? I wouldn't bet on it.
    Yes, he will get away with it

    Just watched MSM TV news for the first time in ages

    General jollity at his incompetence, plus the gorgeous weather, the Germans are drowning (always a nice distraction), suddenly loads of British sport - with big crowds - golf, F1, cricket - and we won at least two of those - then more nice weather news, then the thought of total unlockdown, yay!

    The British people want to relax and to drink beer in the sun. Boris will be forgiven. He's Charles II, the Merry Monarch.

    Of course, if Covid returns to ravage us.....
    He's Charles II, the Merry Monarch.

    I'll point out that I made the Boris / Charles II comparison last week.

    Very happy for others to use it but if it enters into general circulation I want my 15 minutes :wink:
    No offence mate but I made the comparison when he got the job, and I sincerely doubt I was the first. Some analogies are just obvs
    A quick google suggests that the media hasn't noticed it much. There's this from David Starkey:

    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2019/07/13/priapic-emotional-desperate-unite-nation-boris-truly-modern/

    but little else.

    The Guardian compared Boris to Charles I though:

    https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2019/aug/29/boris-johnson-charles-i-king
  • Philip_ThompsonPhilip_Thompson Posts: 65,826
    image...
  • dixiedeandixiedean Posts: 29,397
    Free at last free at last. Thank God Almighty we are free at last!
    Er.
    What do we do now?
  • LeonLeon Posts: 55,231
    rcs1000 said:

    Leon said:

    Ran out of good Greek white wine, thought I'd have a whisky

    Rarely drink it these days. Even tho I got a stock in years ago. Just guzzled two large tumblers of Macallan 18 while watching "Midway" - peak Late Middle Age Male? - and thought "ooh, this is unusually nice scotch"

    So I checked the price. £300 a bottle

    "ran out of good Greek wine".

    My god, I hope you are not talking about retsina.
    Tsk.

    Greek wine is now excellent, and sometimes, now, quite exceptional

    I reckon they are making the most interesting high quality white wines on the planet, with the possible exception of England

    Like England, you have to choose carefully

    https://www.nytimes.com/2018/08/02/dining/drinks/greek-wine-assyrtiko.html
  • LeonLeon Posts: 55,231
    dixiedean said:

    Free at last free at last. Thank God Almighty we are free at last!
    Er.
    What do we do now?

    FUCK EACH OTHER
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 81,966
    dixiedean said:

    Free at last free at last. Thank God Almighty we are free at last!
    Er.
    What do we do now?

    I am trying to decide between a kitkat or a chocolate hobnob.
  • dixiedeandixiedean Posts: 29,397
    edited July 2021
    Leon said:

    dixiedean said:

    Free at last free at last. Thank God Almighty we are free at last!
    Er.
    What do we do now?

    FUCK EACH OTHER
    Pity we are 200 miles away. And the cat's just come in and needs worming.
  • MrEdMrEd Posts: 5,578

    dixiedean said:

    Free at last free at last. Thank God Almighty we are free at last!
    Er.
    What do we do now?

    I am trying to decide between a kitkat or a chocolate hobnob.
    KitKat
  • Philip_ThompsonPhilip_Thompson Posts: 65,826

    dixiedean said:

    Free at last free at last. Thank God Almighty we are free at last!
    Er.
    What do we do now?

    I am trying to decide between a kitkat or a chocolate hobnob.
    I just had a KitKat ice cream.

    It was good.
  • another_richardanother_richard Posts: 26,585
    dixiedean said:

    Free at last free at last. Thank God Almighty we are free at last!
    Er.
    What do we do now?

    Trout tickling ?

    https://youtu.be/unsoSu8xtRg?t=2005
  • LeonLeon Posts: 55,231

    Leon said:

    Leon said:

    Andy_JS said:

    Must be Johnson's worst day in office and there have been some humdingers.

    Will it move the polls though? I wouldn't bet on it.
    Yes, he will get away with it

    Just watched MSM TV news for the first time in ages

    General jollity at his incompetence, plus the gorgeous weather, the Germans are drowning (always a nice distraction), suddenly loads of British sport - with big crowds - golf, F1, cricket - and we won at least two of those - then more nice weather news, then the thought of total unlockdown, yay!

    The British people want to relax and to drink beer in the sun. Boris will be forgiven. He's Charles II, the Merry Monarch.

    Of course, if Covid returns to ravage us.....
    He's Charles II, the Merry Monarch.

    I'll point out that I made the Boris / Charles II comparison last week.

    Very happy for others to use it but if it enters into general circulation I want my 15 minutes :wink:
    No offence mate but I made the comparison when he got the job, and I sincerely doubt I was the first. Some analogies are just obvs
    A quick google suggests that the media hasn't noticed it much. There's this from David Starkey:

    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2019/07/13/priapic-emotional-desperate-unite-nation-boris-truly-modern/

    but little else.

    The Guardian compared Boris to Charles I though:

    https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2019/aug/29/boris-johnson-charles-i-king
    I first made the analogy, on here, when he ascended the throne after Theresa "Charles 1" May - TMay was, like Charles 1, awkward, prickly, quite intelligent, haughty, autistic. Not a natural monarch. Boris Johnson in contrast has the ease and good humour and common touch (and strong libido) of Charles 2, with the same intriguing sense of faint melancholy behind the bonhomie. "Let Not My Poor Nelly Starve".

    People warm to those who seem to love life, even if they do it in a selfish and cavalier way

    For context, Henry VIII, a terrible autocrat, wastrel and tyrant, was arguably better loved than his brilliant but austere dad, Henry VII, who stabilised the English state and set it up for global fame down the line

    The move from Blair to Brown was like the move from Charles 2 to James 1
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 32,541
    dixiedean said:

    Free at last free at last. Thank God Almighty we are free at last!
    Er.
    What do we do now?

    Order a pint from the bar, paying with cash.
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 81,966
    Tom Scott did a video about these robots a couple of weeks ago...

    Thousands of orders cancelled after Ocado robot fire
    https://www.bbc.com/news/business-57883332
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 51,591
    People are already filling up the clubs:

    https://twitter.com/benjaminbutter/status/1416896758106497026
  • another_richardanother_richard Posts: 26,585
    Leon said:

    Leon said:

    Leon said:

    Andy_JS said:

    Must be Johnson's worst day in office and there have been some humdingers.

    Will it move the polls though? I wouldn't bet on it.
    Yes, he will get away with it

    Just watched MSM TV news for the first time in ages

    General jollity at his incompetence, plus the gorgeous weather, the Germans are drowning (always a nice distraction), suddenly loads of British sport - with big crowds - golf, F1, cricket - and we won at least two of those - then more nice weather news, then the thought of total unlockdown, yay!

    The British people want to relax and to drink beer in the sun. Boris will be forgiven. He's Charles II, the Merry Monarch.

    Of course, if Covid returns to ravage us.....
    He's Charles II, the Merry Monarch.

    I'll point out that I made the Boris / Charles II comparison last week.

    Very happy for others to use it but if it enters into general circulation I want my 15 minutes :wink:
    No offence mate but I made the comparison when he got the job, and I sincerely doubt I was the first. Some analogies are just obvs
    A quick google suggests that the media hasn't noticed it much. There's this from David Starkey:

    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2019/07/13/priapic-emotional-desperate-unite-nation-boris-truly-modern/

    but little else.

    The Guardian compared Boris to Charles I though:

    https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2019/aug/29/boris-johnson-charles-i-king
    I first made the analogy, on here, when he ascended the throne after Theresa "Charles 1" May - TMay was, like Charles 1, awkward, prickly, quite intelligent, haughty, autistic. Not a natural monarch. Boris Johnson in contrast has the ease and good humour and common touch (and strong libido) of Charles 2, with the same intriguing sense of faint melancholy behind the bonhomie. "Let Not My Poor Nelly Starve".

    People warm to those who seem to love life, even if they do it in a selfish and cavalier way

    For context, Henry VIII, a terrible autocrat, wastrel and tyrant, was arguably better loved than his brilliant but austere dad, Henry VII, who stabilised the English state and set it up for global fame down the line

    The move from Blair to Brown was like the move from Charles 2 to James 1
    There's something of a Henry VII / Thatcher comparison - both came unexpectedly to power and were highly able modernisers.

    But how many people remember Henry VII now in comparison to his predecessor and successor ? Thatcher will never have that problem.
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 81,966
    Good job UK are starting boosters in a few weeks...I wonder if they need bringing forward and starting now?

    https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/covid-vaccine-may-be-less-effective-on-older-people-say-israeli-experts-g2td6qc60
  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 51,812
    Leon said:

    dixiedean said:

    Free at last free at last. Thank God Almighty we are free at last!
    Er.
    What do we do now?

    FUCK EACH OTHER
    FREEDUMB DAY!
  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 51,812
    dixiedean said:

    Free at last free at last. Thank God Almighty we are free at last!
    Er.
    What do we do now?

    Game over man! Game over! What the fuck are we going to do now? What are we gonna do?
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,169
    🌧 covid on me
  • MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 28,368
    Over half an hour in, are we all still breathing without assisted ventilation?
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,046

    dixiedean said:

    Free at last free at last. Thank God Almighty we are free at last!
    Er.
    What do we do now?

    I am trying to decide between a kitkat or a chocolate hobnob.
    Chocolate Hobnob, the king of biscuits.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,046
    edited July 2021
    Leon said:

    dixiedean said:

    Free at last free at last. Thank God Almighty we are free at last!
    Er.
    What do we do now?

    FUCK EACH OTHER
    It's a bold conversation opener, but in these times could be effective. Everyone try it and report back.

    Better hope maternity services are alright in 9-10 months.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,046

    rcs1000 said:

    I like the Johnson as Charles II analogy - mistresses, fun, bluster, secret treaties, great art and the like.

    Of course, it came tumbling down for the Stuarts a few years later when we let the Europeans take over. Who is James II?

    The analogy extends backwards:

    Protectorate - May; both authoritarian and lacking authority
    Charles I - Cameron; caused the referendum civil wars in England and Scotland
    James I - Brown; Scottish, dour, wisest fool
    Elizabeth I - Blair; bit iffy this comparison but Andrew Adonis would like it
    Edward VI / Mary - Major; turbulent unhappy time
    Henry VIII - Thatcher; transforming game changer
    15th century - 1970s; unhappy time of failure and civil strife

    So who is James II ?

    Well he was known as Seamus an Chaca after his desertion of his Irish supporters.

    So who's the biggest shit in British politics ?

    And thanks to Casino and Dixie who added input to the analogy previously.
    May wishes she had the level of control over the British Isles the Protectorate managed.
  • Ally_B1Ally_B1 Posts: 49

    Leon said:

    Leon said:

    Leon said:

    Andy_JS said:

    Must be Johnson's worst day in office and there have been some humdingers.

    Will it move the polls though? I wouldn't bet on it.
    Yes, he will get away with it

    Just watched MSM TV news for the first time in ages

    General jollity at his incompetence, plus the gorgeous weather, the Germans are drowning (always a nice distraction), suddenly loads of British sport - with big crowds - golf, F1, cricket - and we won at least two of those - then more nice weather news, then the thought of total unlockdown, yay!

    The British people want to relax and to drink beer in the sun. Boris will be forgiven. He's Charles II, the Merry Monarch.

    Of course, if Covid returns to ravage us.....
    He's Charles II, the Merry Monarch.

    I'll point out that I made the Boris / Charles II comparison last week.

    Very happy for others to use it but if it enters into general circulation I want my 15 minutes :wink:
    No offence mate but I made the comparison when he got the job, and I sincerely doubt I was the first. Some analogies are just obvs
    A quick google suggests that the media hasn't noticed it much. There's this from David Starkey:

    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2019/07/13/priapic-emotional-desperate-unite-nation-boris-truly-modern/

    but little else.

    The Guardian compared Boris to Charles I though:

    https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2019/aug/29/boris-johnson-charles-i-king
    I first made the analogy, on here, when he ascended the throne after Theresa "Charles 1" May - TMay was, like Charles 1, awkward, prickly, quite intelligent, haughty, autistic. Not a natural monarch. Boris Johnson in contrast has the ease and good humour and common touch (and strong libido) of Charles 2, with the same intriguing sense of faint melancholy behind the bonhomie. "Let Not My Poor Nelly Starve".

    People warm to those who seem to love life, even if they do it in a selfish and cavalier way

    For context, Henry VIII, a terrible autocrat, wastrel and tyrant, was arguably better loved than his brilliant but austere dad, Henry VII, who stabilised the English state and set it up for global fame down the line

    The move from Blair to Brown was like the move from Charles 2 to James 1
    There's something of a Henry VII / Thatcher comparison - both came unexpectedly to power and were highly able modernisers.

    But how many people remember Henry VII now in comparison to his predecessor and successor ? Thatcher will never have that problem.
    Having completed my ten days self isolation following a positive covid test in a 700sq ft flat without TV or Broadband the only analogy I think our current PM deserves is that of Edward II. If I understand correctly he fled to a "counrty retreat" as soon as things turned bad for him. I won't say 'pass me the poker' but I'll never vote for his party again as long as I live. (FAOD I voted Conservative in the last election).
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 32,541
    edited July 2021
    You couldn't make it up.

    Chester Cathedral tweeted a few hours ago that they were going to ring the bells to celebrate Freedom Day tomorrow (or later today now). After they were subjected to a torrent of criticism on the social media platform, they've now apologised for being insensitive and have decided not to ring the cathedral bells after all.

    Let's all be miserable. Being happy isn't allowed.
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 81,966
    Andy_JS said:

    You couldn't make it up.

    Chester Cathedral tweeted a few hours ago that they were going to ring the bells to celebrate Freedom Day tomorrow (or later today now). After they were subjected to a torrent of criticism on the social media platform, they've now apologised for being insensitive and have decided not to ring the cathedral bells after all.

    Let's all be miserable. Being happy isn't allowed.

    And i bet hardly any of the accounts are in Chester.
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 81,966
    BBC News - Kurt Westergaard, Danish cartoonist behind Muhammad cartoon, dies at 86
    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-57883392
This discussion has been closed.