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BBC Sports Personality of the Year – Doubting Dina Asher Smith – politicalbetting.com
BBC Sports Personality of the Year – Doubting Dina Asher Smith – politicalbetting.com
With less than a week to go to the Olympic opening ceremony, the race for BBC Sports Personality of the Year (aka SPotY) is heating up nicely. Every 4 years the award is dominated by Olympic champions. You have to go back to 1996 to find a non-Olympic winner (Damon Hill, F1 Champion), though some winners are Olympians whose biggest achievement that year was outside the Olympics (Andy Murray in 2016, for example, won Wimbledon too).
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Experts hope for a record-breaking rollout reaching more than 35 million people, including more teenagers than ever before.
https://twitter.com/bnodesk/status/1416183234283675649
https://www.jpost.com/breaking-news/for-first-time-since-march-855-new-coronavirus-cases-in-israel-674084
UK strategy is based on the fact there isn't any real reduction overall when full vaccinated....if that isn't true...tellytubbies says uh oh....
Football? If you knew who would be shortlisted from England's Euro 2020 team, he'd be a short price, but we don't. There was no outstanding performer. Raheem Sterling possibly but wait for the shortlist and remember Scots, Welsh and Northern Irish viewers also get to vote.
So against the header, I think Dina Asher-Smith probably ought now to be favourite and 6/1 (Skybet) is arguably a good price (9/2 next best). I say arguably because as @Quincel notes in the header, she does need to win at the Olympics.
Although he doesn't seem in a very good mood...
https://twitter.com/MaxBets001/status/1416078449857507333?s=20
Surely it’s time now. Who says it isn’t?
I always said the betting markets would prove good for such a thing.
Can I make such a joke in this day and age? When I wake in the morning, will I find myself ‘cancelled’ ? So if I don’t get a chance to say it, thanks for helping me along through lockdown, you’ve all been great. Enjoy your life, your freedom. And take care of yourselves. 👋🏻
I Alone Can Fix It: Donald J. Trump's Catastrophic Final Year
The anti-vaxxers have pretty much shown economists that you can't assume people will act rationally and in their own self interest.
https://twitter.com/GeorgeTakei/status/1414829564048646150
F1: we've had qualifying. And next up is... practice 2. But there's no changing the car setups... and then a sprint race.
I dislike this. I'm not a fan of change generally and this just seems like nonsense.
https://twitter.com/SarahDawkins23/status/1416260373569806337
Bright and sunny, though.
An entire industry and millions of people are being *****d about based on the governments capricious whim and next to no logic whatsoever.
Just decide whether people can travel or not. And have some consistency based on comparable risk to the range of activities now permissible in the UK.
I saw the ad on YouTube and (not having any interest in athletics) was wondering who on earth she was.
On the subject of women not winning it, I got burnt thinking the BBC would go all out to help Laura Trott/Kenny in 2016. Had Ennis-Hill won gold in Rio, I think she would have won it having become a mother. I think the same applies to Laura Kenny this year. But she has to win.
I don’t think it will be a footballer. Had Sterling been one of three getting abuse for missing a penalty, then he’d have a chance. Now I know it wasn’t his call, but not taking a penalty counts against him.
So I think Cavendish is probably right to be the favourite at this stage.
Not content with destroying the livelihoods of Hauliers, Farmers, Fishermen, Actors & Musicians, Lying @BorisJohnson has now turned his attention to Authors & Publishers. The ‘post Brexit’ plan will significantly impact intellectual property rights & smother the book industry.
🤬
https://twitter.com/Jgs_x/status/1416281211526340610
“I was very, very surprised at how poor Johnson’s speech was,” said Tim Bale, professor of politics at Queen Mary, University of London. “I would have thought that was an opportunity to set out the government’s stall and go back to the manifesto that won them the election in 2019.
But as I posted at the time, I was actually impressed by Boris’s analysis of the problem, and if you could strip away the waffle - the high level solutions he outlined.
It’s just that it was highly rambling and peppered with bathetic nuggets about “£10m to remove chewing gum”, and he totally lost his audience.
My fear now is that the whole speech was so badly received that he has managed to spike the levelling up agenda - especially as he has surrounded himself with folks like Rishi, Javid and Kwarteng who are ideologically hostile.
That would be a crying shame for the 60% of people who don’t live in the “South”.
https://twitter.com/MichaelLamberta/status/1416043650811891726
Government comms actually seems to be gettting worse.
UK looks to extend ivory ban to hippos and other animals
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-57867935
I didn’t realise hippos were big buyers of ivory.
Seems like discipline is breaking down again.
Nobody knows why France has been chosen.
Nobody knows why a new colour has been invented for it.
Nobody knows why the announcement was made at 8pm on a Friday evening.
Events are too unpredictable but the plan for headlines such as "Nation Grateful as Boris Saves Summer" doesn't seem to be going well.
BoZo's Government is chaotic and dangerous without Cummings.
I wonder if anyone can figure out the common factor...
https://www.scotsman.com/news/people/josh-taylor-ranked-alongside-scottish-sporting-greats-as-boxer-eyes-showpiece-edinburgh-fight-3247267
'Do something!'
'Like what?'
''Dunno, anything!'
What are the IOC's rules when the 8 people who qualified for the Mens 100m final all get exposed to Covid because three of them have just tested positive?
Some bright spark thought that this was the next best thing.
The bigger picture is that Johnsonism is all about power- in particular, collecting as much power as possible and putting it on one desk. And whimsically making arbitrary opaque decisions is a great way of displaying that you have power. If your decisions follow logic and reason, you're just a follower.
WSBK has a tiny audience despite JR's immense record. He should have gone to HRC MotoGP when Stoner retired.
Northern Tory voters have looked at the promise of Brexit and bribe money like the Towns Fund, and listened to the new generation of highly intelligent and strategic Tory MPs like Jacob Young and have concluded that their towns are going to get transformed and quickly.
As reality sets in, what cash there is is not anywhere near enough to start with and seems to be promised to multiple towns at the same time. The gormless MPs like Young or Dehenna Davison will be shamelessly hyping every penny, so having been promised transformation people will then see their MPs trying to hype a new link road and a leisure centre as the town now being levelled up.
https://enormo-haddock.blogspot.com/2021/07/uk-pre-sprint-2021.html
We must do something.
This is something.
Therefore, we must do this.
It was compared to:
All cats have four legs.
My dog has four legs.
Therefore my dog is a cat.
For several years he was unbeaten there.
As you say an excellent venue for it and Merckx will be there.
https://www.islandecho.co.uk/red-funnel-announce-a-further-24-cancellations-including-into-summer-holidays/
They might as well (but won't) headline: Tory jitters mount at only having 11%/8%/13% poll lead over hopeless Labour.
The Guardian would be more use if it focussed on why the centre left voter base is shifting in such a way that it is hard to win elections despite having a collective majority, and what to do about it.
There are clubs up and down the country opening at midnight.
Not my cup of coffee nowadays, but its great to see for those that want it.
But it's not just Labour MPs: our last MP-but-one was Andrew Lansley, whose presence in, and perceived interest towards, the constituency was invisible. At least his two successors have been better in that regard.
Its not about needing an ocean of money.
Its just that some of them are truly laughably bad. I supposed Jacob Young is on a hiding to nothing, elected to represent the party who has literally smashed Redcar. The bill needed to level that up is not what he has to play with, and a lick of paint however carefully directed isn't going to make things better.
The logic of the first is impeccable in itself, even though the conclusion is false. Then second will work of course if you start with 'All four legged things are cats'.
A lot of people, like politicians, don't realise that 'logically valid' does not mean 'true'. Do they miss out this stuff in Oxford PPE?
There is one thing they could offer which is free - pride and self-belief. Get people to actually give a shit about where they live and the other people who live there. As an example, educating your feral kids to not smash things up and party in the park then dump their litter on the floor next to the bin.
A lot of problems that people complain about are self-inflicted.
Which party, however, has most reason for electoral jitters? Not only is Boris good at winning elections, there are several PM material people ready to take his place. It is not easy to reel off a list of PM material in the current Labour crop.
Ah, my coat...
Labour will probably need to get its act together at some point, ideally soon but, if not, then next year at the latest.
My strategy for SPOTY has always been to lay whoever just won something, as the market usually over-reacts to recent news.
That said, it’s likely to be an Olympian, and if Dina wins gold she’ll probably be the favourite. Not an easy task though, and there will be plenty of other winners who become household names over the next few weeks.
The outsiders are going to be people competing in events towards the end of the year. If the much-trailled Fury v Joshua fight happens, the winner could well become the next Damon Hill.
am hopeful the sprint quali will be entertaining enough - hoping Russell makes it round it one piece and nabs a place or two
Does anyone remember when people here were saying GB News was going to be the next big thing?