An NHS London source - the new health secretary is giving "unnecessarily tough" scrutiny to the data models being provided by SAGE and other advisory bodies. He expects that Javid will ram through full reopening on July 19th regardless of the numbers and expect the NHS to "just cope" with whatever happens.
He's not a happy bunny.
‘Bout feckin’ time the models got some hard scrutiny.
How many of the cases we're picking up are asymptomatic?
As its mostly in young people and a very large propotion of the cases are Asyptomatic.
The the UKs mass testing in schools collages and University's. is probably a big factor in the number of cases.
Yes, that will skew things enormously. But is there not a good estimate of the number of current cases in the country, whether tested or not? Surely there must be. There must be a capability for getting a good estimate of that number (and an assessment of distribution geographically and demographically) for biowar defence reasons as well as health provision in peacetime. I wonder what the CFR for delta is when "C" is estimated like that, rather than obtained with false precision by totting up positive test results. "Confirmed cases" isn't such a useful statistic really.
I think the issue isn’t that we don’t have reasonable estimates in the U.K. it’s the suspicion that we aren’t quite the European outlier that the case numbers would suggest.
How many of the cases we're picking up are asymptomatic?
As its mostly in young people and a very large propotion of the cases are Asyptomatic.
The the UKs mass testing in schools collages and University's. is probably a big factor in the number of cases.
Yes, that will skew things enormously. But is there not a good estimate of the number of current cases in the country, whether tested or not? Surely there must be. There must be a capability for getting a good estimate of that number (and an assessment of distribution geographically and demographically) for biowar defence reasons as well as health provision in peacetime. I wonder what the CFR for delta is when "C" is estimated like that, rather than obtained with false precision by totting up positive test results. "Confirmed cases" isn't such a useful statistic really.
the ONS does random samplings of people to estimate the number of people in the general population with COVID each week, however there is a time lag in the repotting of this number.
An NHS London source - the new health secretary is giving "unnecessarily tough" scrutiny to the data models being provided by SAGE and other advisory bodies. He expects that Javid will ram through full reopening on July 19th regardless of the numbers and expect the NHS to "just cope" with whatever happens.
He's not a happy bunny.
What on earth is “unnecessarily tough” when you consider what has been enacted, justifiably or otherwise, on the back of these models over the past 15 months? They should welcome such challenge, if it hasn’t been happening before. The scientists are always keen to emphasise that they advise, politicians decide. Well if you expect politicians to follow your advice then you’d better be damn prepared to defend it robustly.
Now if he’s just blithely dismissing all modelling and telling them that he will do what he wasn’t s regardless, then that’s a different issue. But robust challenge that make them uncomfortable? Tough.
He didn't say, just that people at the top of the NHS are worried that he's ignoring the data modelling because the models have had inconsistent results. Basically from what I could tell Javid is asking the same questions anyone who is data literate has been asking for months and the scientists are struggling to answer and are now briefing the NHS bods who will in turn go running to the media this weekend about how Javid is going to put the NHS at risk etc...
Ok, votes for weirdly good regional or National cuisines
(I’m bored but drunk and happy)
My three
1. Without question: the solovetsky islands of the White Sea. A microclimate. Everything grown there. Cattle that live on salt grass. Dill. Omg. The best fish and chips ever
2. The seafood of east anglia
3. Calabria. The home of nduja. Desperately poor but the local and highly violent mafia recruit the best chefs. Or kidnap them
Go to any Taiwanese night market. Eat from the stall with the biggest crowd.
Ooh. Good call. I’ve heard Taiwanese food is superb. It makes sense. Chinese with money!
The food in Singapore is generally brilliant. Malaysia might have the best cuisine in the world I reckon - an incredible mix of Chinese, Thai and Indian, possibly superior to Vietnam
Malaysian food is great. Suriname has amazing food for similar reasons - mix of European, Creole, Javanese, Indian and Chinese. Trinidadian rotis and doubles are some of the best street food I've ever eaten, washed down with plenty of cold beers at Carnival. But Sri Lanka has the best food I've ever eaten. Everything there is amazing.
How weird. I had generally terrible food in Sri Lanka. And we tried everywhere. Not just tourist traps. It was so bad we made an extra effort. But no. The best we got was an ok curry with an egg on top
Whereas almost anywhere in India you get great food
However so many people have taken your position I think we were just very unlucky
Fascinating about Surinam. I have yet to find a South American country with good food. Perhaps that is it.
Mexico, bewilderingly, is great
Why is it bewildering? Mexican is one of the world's great cuisines, if a little salty at times.
Brazilian food is pretty good, and the steaks and pasta in Argentina are of course first class.
Bewildering because food throughout Latin America is terrible - and it is, despite the steaks in Buenos Aires - but Mexico has a magnificent and multivarious cuisine. An exception which proves the rule
I don’t know how to explain it. Ok Mexico is massive with much climate variation and an ancient culture. But all this is true of Peru, and Peruvian food is dreadful, despite a couple of trendy restaurants in Lima, and ceviche (which is wildly overrated)
And then there is Cuba. Oh my fucking giddy aunt. Possibly the worst food in the world
In Colombia ajiaco is a very rich and satisfying soup/stew. Bandeja paisa is like an English breakfast with avocado and rice. The fruit juices are incredible from literally hundreds of different fruits many of which like lulu feijoa and guanavana are rarely seen outside the country.
I've never been to Colombia (would dearly like to go) but one of my favourite travel books EVER is The Fruit Palace
Probably very dated now (travel writing often dates quicker than comedy) but a gorgeous book - and particularly good on the wild variety of tropical fruit in Colombia
It is a beautiful country and lovely people. But not a good time to go right now. The police have been killing dozens of peaceful protesters and vigilante gangs killing with impunity. The president is a puppet of ex presideny Uribe and the regime makes Pinochet look like a saint. It is not so long ago that i remember visiting Colombia and seeing the incessant groups of broken refugees fleeing Venezuela when Corbyn and his cronies held it up as an example of successful socialism. Well those of us on the right of the spectrum who may have mocked this naivety are now sickened by the cruelty of the right wing regime in Colombia which in many ways is much worse.
So much of South America should be amazing, and so much isn’t. It is a stark contrast with North America and - to be jingoistic - rare for me - reflects very well on British imperialism and very badly on the Iberian version. I accept that indigenous peoples in both continents might quite violently disagree
Chile is the sanest place in South America. It shows the way forward. Still got shite food tho
EXCL: Supporters of Angela Rayner are canvassing support from MPs and trade unions in the hope she challenges Keir Starmer for the leadership post-Batley
Unite is among trade unions ready to support her if she pulls the trigger
Ok, votes for weirdly good regional or National cuisines
(I’m bored but drunk and happy)
My three
1. Without question: the solovetsky islands of the White Sea. A microclimate. Everything grown there. Cattle that live on salt grass. Dill. Omg. The best fish and chips ever
2. The seafood of east anglia
3. Calabria. The home of nduja. Desperately poor but the local and highly violent mafia recruit the best chefs. Or kidnap them
Go to any Taiwanese night market. Eat from the stall with the biggest crowd.
Ooh. Good call. I’ve heard Taiwanese food is superb. It makes sense. Chinese with money!
The food in Singapore is generally brilliant. Malaysia might have the best cuisine in the world I reckon - an incredible mix of Chinese, Thai and Indian, possibly superior to Vietnam
Malaysian food is great. Suriname has amazing food for similar reasons - mix of European, Creole, Javanese, Indian and Chinese. Trinidadian rotis and doubles are some of the best street food I've ever eaten, washed down with plenty of cold beers at Carnival. But Sri Lanka has the best food I've ever eaten. Everything there is amazing.
How weird. I had generally terrible food in Sri Lanka. And we tried everywhere. Not just tourist traps. It was so bad we made an extra effort. But no. The best we got was an ok curry with an egg on top
Whereas almost anywhere in India you get great food
However so many people have taken your position I think we were just very unlucky
Fascinating about Surinam. I have yet to find a South American country with good food. Perhaps that is it.
Mexico, bewilderingly, is great
Why is it bewildering? Mexican is one of the world's great cuisines, if a little salty at times.
Brazilian food is pretty good, and the steaks and pasta in Argentina are of course first class.
Bewildering because food throughout Latin America is terrible - and it is, despite the steaks in Buenos Aires - but Mexico has a magnificent and multivarious cuisine. An exception which proves the rule
I don’t know how to explain it. Ok Mexico is massive with much climate variation and an ancient culture. But all this is true of Peru, and Peruvian food is dreadful, despite a couple of trendy restaurants in Lima, and ceviche (which is wildly overrated)
And then there is Cuba. Oh my fucking giddy aunt. Possibly the worst food in the world
In Colombia ajiaco is a very rich and satisfying soup/stew. Bandeja paisa is like an English breakfast with avocado and rice. The fruit juices are incredible from literally hundreds of different fruits many of which like lulu feijoa and guanavana are rarely seen outside the country.
I've never been to Colombia (would dearly like to go) but one of my favourite travel books EVER is The Fruit Palace
Probably very dated now (travel writing often dates quicker than comedy) but a gorgeous book - and particularly good on the wild variety of tropical fruit in Colombia
I was friends for a time with his son at school in Hereford. Will Nicholl. Wonder what he’s doing now.
I remember reading the book to see what Will’s dad did in his youth, and it was…enlightening.
An NHS London source - the new health secretary is giving "unnecessarily tough" scrutiny to the data models being provided by SAGE and other advisory bodies. He expects that Javid will ram through full reopening on July 19th regardless of the numbers and expect the NHS to "just cope" with whatever happens.
He's not a happy bunny.
I hadn't realised "unnecessarily tough" was a synonym for "some".
It's like management buzzspeak - people will say they want to be open and transparent, or decentralise, or welcome scrutiny or whatever, because that's what you're supposed to say, but no one really means it.
Footballers from amber list countries have been exempted from quarantine rules in a controversial move aimed at allowing Premier League clubs to play friendlies against sides from abroad.
Sportsmail can reveal that legislation has been passed which will open the door for overseas teams to head to these shores without the requirement for 10-day self-isolation faced by the public.
The top flight has been in discussions with the Football Association and Department for Culture, Media and Sport, with clubs desperate to take on sides from overseas as part of their pre-season preparations.
Currently, members of the public heading to the UK from an amber list country have to quarantine for 10 days and take two Covid tests. Should similar rules have applied to footballers it would have made friendly matches impossible.
@hzeffman EXCL: Supporters of Angela Rayner are canvassing support from MPs and trade unions in the hope she challenges Keir Starmer for the leadership post-Batley
Unite is among trade unions ready to support her if she pulls the trigger
"I feel very let down by Boris, for him to call me a thug. I actually voted for him as well."
That's a big price he's paid, losing his job. I think everyone should move on from the incident now.
I just watched the vid for the first time - annoying drunken pricks, but they weren’t violent or threatening were they? It would be intimidating I guess, but to get sacked is indeed a big price to pay
What is it about estate agents? I always had it down as a sedate profession. One of them once smashed Liam Gallagher's teeth out.
@hzeffman EXCL: Supporters of Angela Rayner are canvassing support from MPs and trade unions in the hope she challenges Keir Starmer for the leadership post-Batley
Unite is among trade unions ready to support her if she pulls the trigger
Footballers from amber list countries have been exempted from quarantine rules in a controversial move aimed at allowing Premier League clubs to play friendlies against sides from abroad.
Sportsmail can reveal that legislation has been passed which will open the door for overseas teams to head to these shores without the requirement for 10-day self-isolation faced by the public.
The top flight has been in discussions with the Football Association and Department for Culture, Media and Sport, with clubs desperate to take on sides from overseas as part of their pre-season preparations.
Currently, members of the public heading to the UK from an amber list country have to quarantine for 10 days and take two Covid tests. Should similar rules have applied to footballers it would have made friendly matches impossible.
Footballers from amber list countries have been exempted from quarantine rules in a controversial move aimed at allowing Premier League clubs to play friendlies against sides from abroad.
Sportsmail can reveal that legislation has been passed which will open the door for overseas teams to head to these shores without the requirement for 10-day self-isolation faced by the public.
The top flight has been in discussions with the Football Association and Department for Culture, Media and Sport, with clubs desperate to take on sides from overseas as part of their pre-season preparations.
Currently, members of the public heading to the UK from an amber list country have to quarantine for 10 days and take two Covid tests. Should similar rules have applied to footballers it would have made friendly matches impossible.
C'mon man! The dreaded lurgy is spreading by the week and we are unlocking even more in two weeks whatever the figures show. The policy is get vaccinated or get covid, or get both.
What on earth is “unnecessarily tough” when you consider what has been enacted, justifiably or otherwise, on the back of these models over the past 15 months? They should welcome such challenge, if it hasn’t been happening before. The scientists are always keen to emphasise that they advise, politicians decide. Well if you expect politicians to follow your advice then you’d better be damn prepared to defend it robustly.
Now if he’s just blithely dismissing all modelling and telling them that he will do what he wasn’t s regardless, then that’s a different issue. But robust challenge that make them uncomfortable? Tough.
In the US many prestigious universities and national laboratories produced models of the pandemic that were not even as good as simply extrapolating the current trends. i.e. A layman would have outperformed many of the expert groups.
The idea that a model should go unchallenged because of who produced it is completely nuts. If a modeller can't wind the clock back on their model and do a half-decent job of predicting what happened, within reasonable margins, as many models have failed to do, they need to bin their model and produce something better, or maybe even seek other employment.
An NHS London source - the new health secretary is giving "unnecessarily tough" scrutiny to the data models being provided by SAGE and other advisory bodies. He expects that Javid will ram through full reopening on July 19th regardless of the numbers and expect the NHS to "just cope" with whatever happens.
He's not a happy bunny.
It would be much safer IMHO to just open up fully now.
If we assume that there is a remote possibility that fully opening will lead to the WOW increases going for 70% to 700%, I'm pretty shore this will not happen, but in the words of the late Rumsfeld, Known Unknowns and all that.
well if its going to go to 700% or whatever, it would be better to start that off with todays number of cases, not let it rise for another 2 weeks probably more than double and then have the risk of 700% increases.
This idea that we have to be shore we never need to lockdown again is just silly, if its going to overwhelm the NHS, then ok Lockdown, then. If you really mean never end restrictions until we know they will never be needed again, that's really just a new way of saying Zero-Covid, because we will never be in that position, we don't know how fast it will rise until we lift and we never know if it will mutate it to an ever worse strain so long as one person has it.
Williamson’s continued presence in the Cabinet can only surely date back to his time as Chief Whip. If he’s perfectly prepared to spread gossip and false rumour that he’s picked up about Conservative MPs for political and/or personal gain, then he’s hardly likely to hold back on anything genuinely true and scandalous.
I remember when it was rumoured that Lennox Lewis and Sol Campbell were having a gay relationship; one of my mates said ‘Fuck me, imagine the size of the kids!”
@hzeffman EXCL: Supporters of Angela Rayner are canvassing support from MPs and trade unions in the hope she challenges Keir Starmer for the leadership post-Batley
Unite is among trade unions ready to support her if she pulls the trigger
As unite is in the midal of an election for a new leader, anybody who is saying that the union is ready to support ..... in an election is just making stuff up, IMHO
@hzeffman EXCL: Supporters of Angela Rayner are canvassing support from MPs and trade unions in the hope she challenges Keir Starmer for the leadership post-Batley
Unite is among trade unions ready to support her if she pulls the trigger
As unite is in the midal of an election for a new leader, anybody who is saying that the union is ready to support ..... in an election is just making stuff up, IMHO
As an ex shop steward herself, Rayner is likely to get a lot of support from the unions.
I thought The Italian Job was set in Turin, not Rome?
Not sure the basic plot of The Italian Job is quite the analogy we want for a match in which we are overwhelming favourites and expected on paper to win quite comfortably.
I thought The Italian Job was set in Turin, not Rome?
Not sure the basic plot of The Italian Job is quite the analogy we want for a match in which we are overwhelming favourites and expected on paper to win quite comfortably.
I think spelling Kane’s name as Caine is unnecessary
I thought The Italian Job was set in Turin, not Rome?
Not sure the basic plot of The Italian Job is quite the analogy we want for a match in which we are overwhelming favourites and expected on paper to win quite comfortably.
We'll be left teetering on the precipice of disaster? As a dishonest, wildly over ambitious and optimistic plan in Europe goes tits up? It's not an analogy for a match, it is State of the Nation stuff.
Some jump in spanish cases today. Wonder if it's a backfill blip or the start of a delta driven wave.
From the Telegraph
France facing fourth wave as Europe races to vaccinate against delta surge Germany's delta share doubling by the week, and Italy warns variant is likely to become dominant
Probably very dated now (travel writing often dates quicker than comedy) but a gorgeous book - and particularly good on the wild variety of tropical fruit in Colombia
It is a beautiful country and lovely people. But not a good time to go right now. The police have been killing dozens of peaceful protesters and vigilante gangs killing with impunity. The president is a puppet of ex presideny Uribe and the regime makes Pinochet look like a saint. It is not so long ago that i remember visiting Colombia and seeing the incessant groups of broken refugees fleeing Venezuela when Corbyn and his cronies held it up as an example of successful socialism. Well those of us on the right of the spectrum who may have mocked this naivety are now sickened by the cruelty of the right wing regime in Colombia which in many ways is much worse.
It's been bad in different ways for a long time, hasn't it? I went over there for my first post-MP job (2013 or so), invited to speak in the Senate when they weren't in formal session. That was fine, but Bogota felt damaged and slightly sinister - though I've never been sure if that was because I knew about the death squads and terrorism and was projecting that onto people innocently going shopping.
By contrast I really liked Mexico City, though SeanT at the time urged me to get out fast, as there was a lot of violence in the background there too.
What's he supposed to say? "We're gonna win, man." could be disproved in hours, making him look silly. "No comment" would be reported as "Doesn't rule out".
An NHS London source - the new health secretary is giving "unnecessarily tough" scrutiny to the data models being provided by SAGE and other advisory bodies. He expects that Javid will ram through full reopening on July 19th regardless of the numbers and expect the NHS to "just cope" with whatever happens.
Won't they be returning to normal by, erm,.closing for 6 weeks on July 19?
1) My daughters' schools will have at least a week still at school after July 19.
2) Anecdotally, one of the reasons for school closures is some of the less scrupulous teachers are going out of their way to get pinged - finding someone with covid and waving their phone in their general direction. Bingo, ten days off. Not all teachers, obviously - but it only takes five or six in a school to cause serious problems.
Lots of cities have had a face lift..... which major UK one hasn't or has been done so poorly its still a shit hole?
Coventry.
Plymouth.
Portsmouth.
Bradford, as in "We hit the enemy bunker with GBU-47s then went back and bradforded it with our miniguns until nothing moved."
It is some time since I was last in Bradford. Not really inspired to return.
Nottingham is a lot grottier than it was 3 decades ago.
Bradford is much nicer than it was twelve years ago. Basically they've knocked down all the ugly buildings, leaving only fine Victoriana and numerous well kept new public open spaces. Quite radical, really, and very successful.
Another straw in the wind to make of what you will: Labour has now spoken to EVERY Batley and Spen voter for whom we have phone numbers. I resumed phoning this evening and after a few (including 2 don't-know to Labour switchers, yay) I got the message that everyone had now been called.
This has to be a lot more than the Galloway effort. I think it's now really come down to a Tory-Labour battle and Galloway is marginalised.
Can you fill us in on how Labour campaign managers believe Labour will fare tomorrow? I was intrigued by Mike's final paragraph in the header. Can Labour realistically hold this seat?
Maybe GG would be more likely to beat 7%, denting Labour something rotten, had Anne Marie Waters of For Britain put up more of a showing, helped by her pal Tommy Robinson, and had Muslim voters in the constituency considered themselves to be under threat rather than incensed by SKS's not being good on Palestine. Good for almost everyone not on the extreme right (or GG) that this hasn't happened. Could Friday's news be "damp squib; no big swings from anyone to anyone else; Labour hold"?
I'm not in direct touch with the campaign managers, so can only offer my view. It's possible - I actually think that 5-10% chance report is accurate. It requires several things. Galloway implodes (quite likely). The Muslim vote mostly turns out loyally for Labour (hmm). Tories voters are underwhelmed by their invisible candidate and stay at home (doubtful). Kim's personal vote is even bigger than we thought (quite likely). The LibDem/Green vote mostly comes over (very likely). The Woolens stay at home or go Waters (possible).
I think we'll come reasonably close but no cigar - 47-42-6? Could be wildly out.
GB News is still having streaming problems, now during the adverts. I have seen this with ITV as well. Perhaps adverts are played in from a different server.
Comments
Absolutely deserve what has come their way.
Fulham reach provisional agreement with Marco Silva to replace Scott Parker
https://theathletic.com/news/fulham-marco-silva-new-manager/QkSyFgDbYCLC
*What* Did Deutsche Do?
I work in regulatory affairs.
Chile is the sanest place in South America. It shows the way forward. Still got shite food tho
Unite is among trade unions ready to support her if she pulls the trigger
https://twitter.com/hzeffman/status/1410354453992153088
I remember reading the book to see what Will’s dad did in his youth, and it was…enlightening.
Footballers from amber list countries have been exempted from quarantine rules in a controversial move aimed at allowing Premier League clubs to play friendlies against sides from abroad.
Sportsmail can reveal that legislation has been passed which will open the door for overseas teams to head to these shores without the requirement for 10-day self-isolation faced by the public.
The top flight has been in discussions with the Football Association and Department for Culture, Media and Sport, with clubs desperate to take on sides from overseas as part of their pre-season preparations.
Currently, members of the public heading to the UK from an amber list country have to quarantine for 10 days and take two Covid tests. Should similar rules have applied to footballers it would have made friendly matches impossible.
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/sport/football/article-9742885/Top-Premier-League-clubs-allowed-play-pre-season-friendlies-against-foreign-sides.html
EXCL: Supporters of Angela Rayner are canvassing support from MPs and trade unions in the hope she challenges Keir Starmer for the leadership post-Batley
Unite is among trade unions ready to support her if she pulls the trigger
https://twitter.com/hzeffman/status/1410354453992153088
https://www.contactmusic.com/liam-gallagher/news/gallagher-beaten-up-by-estate-agents
https://www.spectator.co.uk/article/my-husband-s-gay-affair-with-gove
Might as well let some footy players come too.
The idea that a model should go unchallenged because of who produced it is completely nuts. If a modeller can't wind the clock back on their model and do a half-decent job of predicting what happened, within reasonable margins, as many models have failed to do, they need to bin their model and produce something better, or maybe even seek other employment.
If we assume that there is a remote possibility that fully opening will lead to the WOW increases going for 70% to 700%, I'm pretty shore this will not happen, but in the words of the late Rumsfeld, Known Unknowns and all that.
well if its going to go to 700% or whatever, it would be better to start that off with todays number of cases, not let it rise for another 2 weeks probably more than double and then have the risk of 700% increases.
This idea that we have to be shore we never need to lockdown again is just silly, if its going to overwhelm the NHS, then ok Lockdown, then. If you really mean never end restrictions until we know they will never be needed again, that's really just a new way of saying Zero-Covid, because we will never be in that position, we don't know how fast it will rise until we lift and we never know if it will mutate it to an ever worse strain so long as one person has it.
Nottingham is a lot grottier than it was 3 decades ago.
I am very green on Rayner.
25% of the 1st pick Goalkeepers left in the European Championship made their professional debuts with Darlington Football Club
As a dishonest, wildly over ambitious and optimistic plan in Europe goes tits up?
It's not an analogy for a match, it is State of the Nation stuff.
France facing fourth wave as Europe races to vaccinate against delta surge
Germany's delta share doubling by the week, and Italy warns variant is likely to become dominant
https://www.nytimes.com/2021/06/30/opinion/northern-ireland-centenary.html
The ‘story’ on the front page of @thetimes tomorrow is news to me.
https://twitter.com/AngelaRayner/status/1410359438796537857?s=19
Pity.
By contrast I really liked Mexico City, though SeanT at the time urged me to get out fast, as there was a lot of violence in the background there too.
2) Anecdotally, one of the reasons for school closures is some of the less scrupulous teachers are going out of their way to get pinged - finding someone with covid and waving their phone in their general direction. Bingo, ten days off. Not all teachers, obviously - but it only takes five or six in a school to cause serious problems.
Edit: Well a horror story for me, not necessarily for my industry
In the small print of the article however the polling still shows most Northern Irish voters are still happy to stay in the UK
Mine is:
Everyone: Work from home.
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-9742903/Entrepreneur-offered-images-Matt-Hancocks-clinch-aide-journalist-five-days-before.html
https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-wales-politics-57667929
Screams insecurity.
IKEA unveils quirky Pride-themed couches inspired by different LGBTQ+ identities
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/femail/article-9742417/IKEA-debuts-whimsical-new-Pride-themed-couches-inspired-different-LGBTQ-identity.html
I think we'll come reasonably close but no cigar - 47-42-6? Could be wildly out.
Ignoring the fact every constituency in county Antrim for example not only has a DUP MP but also voted Leave, they will never accept rule from Dublin
This one goes up to eleven.