One of the common themes following the Chesham by-election is that 40% of those in the constituency are graduates – a proportion that is markedly higher than in either Hartlepool (CON GAIN) and Batley & Spen (Election July 1). This was a key part of the Curtice post election analysis which was a big reason why it was vulnerable to the LDs.
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https://twitter.com/HasanSari7/status/1406662801997828103
#Iran's State TV: Emergency closure of Bushehr nuclear power plant underway.
Schools to weigh pupils over fears of obesity spike
https://twitter.com/hendopolis/status/1406724216163029002?s=20
I had never heard of aegrotat until this post. Had to google it. Must be some problem with my education.
‘Educated’ just means ‘brainwashed’ now anyway - universities are communist factories
dixiedean said:
A record low of between 66 and 68%!
We'd be lucky to get that.
No, that's the abstention rate! - 32-34% voted. At previous regionals it was 50+.
https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/just-1-in-200-amber-list-travellers-have-coronavirus-558t5f6kv
To me that seems quite high a high proportion.
https://eu.usatoday.com/story/news/health/2021/06/19/covid-19-vaccine-mrna-tech-cure-cancer-tumors/7711271002/
I'm shocked...SHOCKED!
Johnson is also good at appealing to ordinary people, he should get some credit for that.
1) change the pitch to aim for the "somewhat uneducated" rather than the "highly uneducated"?
2) aim some messaging at the intersection of "uneducated" and "don't vote"?
3) try to alter the demography itself, pushing the "moderately educated/uneducated" towards the "highly uneducated" part of the spectrum?
The problem with 1) is the effect it might have on the "highly uneducated"? Can't take their votes for granted. They're unlikely to become enamoured with Keir Starmer, but there are quite a few uneducated Leavers who may not need much encouragement to vote for a new right-wing party that gives voice to their feeling of being betrayed.
2) might win ground for a "Pirate" party, but I doubt it's much of a goer for the Tories.
Which leaves 3).
And they may have some success with it. It's not easy for Labour to make progress saying "use your loaf and please actually think about this" when the Tories are saying "haven't you heard enough from the interlecktchuals"?
Hartlepool 38.5
Bately and Spen 36.5
So C and A have the oldest, yet best educated population.
So not a particularly young population. Peaks with the Boomers, and plenty of older voters, just better educated ones.
Quite obviously most would have been to university several decades ago too, not in the current supposedly Woke era.
We can see in the polls the Tories win the old by a huge margin, only about 10% of those went to uni vs 50% that go now. As the discussion on the previous thread, according to Angela Rayner we shouldn't be considering non-science degrees as any indication of being educated these days.
I wouldn't be surprised if Labour win the other by-election, thus going against the "trend", for a whole load of other reasons.
Hmm....
The insanity of modern Labour. Their leader, his family and their candidate in Batley are being subjected to anti-Semitic and homophobic abuse. But for fear of offending a section of their base, they prefer to focus on those highlighting the attacks, than the attacks themselves.
https://twitter.com/DPJHodges/status/1406616600204165120
https://twitter.com/DPJHodges/status/1406618961941348356?s=20
"Sid and Doris vote Boris'
It's almost as if the Tories are attempting to lose the working age vote forever. Once again generation selfish has decided it's better to stuff the prospects of the next generation and the one after us.
The whole nation will be zombified to keep the baby boomer generation comfortable with multiple rental properties, defined benefit pensions and a triple lock state pension. All of our productivity gains are being wasted on these three things because the wankers over 60 decided that leeching off the young was easier than actually saving for their own retirements.
It's time to impoverish them significantly, make their rental properties worthless, tax pension income above £50k at a windfall rate to reduce income tax paid by working age people, axe the triple lock.
The UK has an incredible and dynamic economy. I fear that the baby boomer generation will keep treating the under 50s that have made it like that as a free money cash cow whilst simultaneously locking under 30s out of the housing market with landlording, leechcraft and NIMBYism.
The nation's most selfish generation, they've only ever been about themselves. Their parents fought and won a war in a collective act of selflessness. They've lumbered their children and grandchildren with decades of debt and tax because they couldn't bear to stay at home for a year and still can't exercise restraint so are contriving to keep the nation locked up in case anyone younger than them actually has some fun.
* this is supposed from an economist, not a social policy wonk.
The attitude to inflation is a thing that was particularly worrying, because if US starts seeing it, we will all suffer.
My father in law has now drawn more from his pension (in real terms!) then he ever earned in his entire working life.
However. C+A could drift into the LD column.
Depends on 2 things. What the government does, and how popular and hard working the new MP is. 8k is a decent majority.
As 1 of only 12 she'll have a higher profile than 1 of 360 odd.
I'd go 75-25.
LD 42%
Lab 6%
Others 4%
The accusation “you’ve taken our votes for granted” was repeatedly levelled at Leadbeater and Lisa Nandy, the shadow foreign secretary and Wigan MP, who joined her on the campaign trail.
https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2021/jun/20/muslims-keir-starmer-leaves-batley-voters-disaffected-labour
Vallance, who has become a household name following his appearances at coronavirus press conferences, will take on the new title of national technology adviser, serving alongside his current roles.
Johnson has been fixated on the success of the vaccine taskforce, which was led by the venture capitalist Kate Bingham and operated with relative autonomy outside the existing civil service structures.
https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2021/jun/20/sir-patrick-vallance-national-technology-adviser
Ohhhh goody more dodgy models / graphs.
Biology isn't really a softer science even if there are some descriptive parts. Quite a lot of it is pretty hard science, particularly the biochemistry. Even the description and cataloguing of species has been reduced to DNA analysis these days.
What's doubly impressive, of course, is that probably a third or more of those who are travelling from amber countries are double vaccinated. The vast majority of US travellers will be, most from Canada, and an increasing proportion of European visitors.
So, it's probably more like 1% of unvaccinated travellers.
Answer what is this poet trying to say has many yet if you deviate from one of the accepted answers you will get no points no matter how well you answer and what your reasons. Yes its true some stem is unproved theories that could turn out to be wrong but most of it there is one and only one correct answer. There are not multiple answers for example for ohm's law
I studied philosophy at University with a brilliant woman (who sadly ended up making a late career change and is now a lawyer). On a number of her exams, she savaged current thinking, often making very sarcastic digs at her own tutors.
And she got a Starred First, and was top of the class. She did this, it is worth noting, while simultaneously getting Firsts in English and Music.
So the idea that you need to agree with your tutors and the groupthink is - in many subjects at least - complete bullisht.
"Analysis from the Muslim Council of Britain (MCB), using 2018 data from the ONS, suggests Batley and Spen is one of the top 15 seats where Muslim voters have high impact. With turnout estimates, MCB say that about 8,600 voters on 1 July will be Muslim. Labour is defending a 3,525 majority."
(1) generally low turnout except for:
(2) Muslim vote that is organised and swings for Galloway
(3) Heavy Woollen vote not going to the Tories but staying at home / fringe candidates
(4) Tories not inspiring people
Look for BJ going there as he did with Hartlepool pre-election. If the Tories are confident, he will be up there.
Is that expressing sadness that she wasted her talents becoming spawn of Satan i.e. a lawyer? ;-)
Frankly, I doubt there are enough call girls in Batley & Spen to make a big difference to the result.
public class WinstonSmith {
public static void main(String[] args) throws Exception {
Class access = Integer.class.getDeclaredClasses()[0];
Field cacheField = access.getDeclaredField("cache");
cacheField.setAccessible(true);
Integer[] array = (Integer[]) cacheField.get(access);
array[132] = array[133];
System.out.printf("2 + 2 = %d",2 + 2);
}
}
If you'd stuck with just the first paragraph, it would have been a good point. With the second, it ended up saying more about you than about universities or graduates.
And of course, it's not the Mosquito, because that has a rounded cockpit and no gun turret.
{
printf("2+2 = %d",2+2);
}
much simpler
I do hope we aren't going to wind the programme down.
suggests it is harder than you think :-)
EDIT - found this on the web... https://github.com/pythonanywhere/dirigible-spreadsheet - long time since I visited your office...