Alba just get 3% in first Scottish poll since Salmond launched his new party – politicalbetting.com
Survation has ALBA at 3%, the SNP likely to get a majority on its own (49% in the constituencies and 37% in the lists), and the Greens in with a strong showing at 11% in the lists. ALBA is going the way of Change UK. https://t.co/Evj4yhM6fw
Presumably under this electoral system, the public themselves have to believe you’re going to win seats in order to cast a vote for you? Not being in the tv debates and the like won’t help there. On the other hand, he’s clever enough to turn his fuss over not being in the debates into a significant amount of publicity anyway.
I'm looking to book a few nights in a smart hotel in the central London in September to belatedly celebrate our ruby wedding anniversary. I'm thinking £400-£500 per night - a cut above our usual Novotel.
I'm looking to book a few nights in a smart hotel in the central London in September to belatedly celebrate our ruby wedding anniversary. I'm thinking £400-£500 per night - a cut above our usual Novotel.
I'm looking to book a few nights in a smart hotel in the central London in September to belatedly celebrate our ruby wedding anniversary. I'm thinking £400-£500 per night - a cut above our usual Novotel.
Anybody got any recommendations?
Thanks!
Go to Cardiff instead?
I love Cardiff. But it's not in the same league as London from a tourist perspective.
I think this summer and autumn might be the best ever time to be a tourist in London - everything open (hopefully) but no foreign tourists competing for space.
I'm looking to book a few nights in a smart hotel in the central London in September to belatedly celebrate our ruby wedding anniversary. I'm thinking £400-£500 per night - a cut above our usual Novotel.
Anybody got any recommendations?
Thanks!
Go to Cardiff instead?
I love Cardiff. But it's not in the same league as London from a tourist perspective.
I think this summer and autumn might be the best ever time to be a tourist in London - everything open (hopefully) but no foreign tourists competing for space.
The Nomad Hotel is opening in London in May, and in my travelling days I always loved staying in their New York mothership.
I'm looking to book a few nights in a smart hotel in the central London in September to belatedly celebrate our ruby wedding anniversary. I'm thinking £400-£500 per night - a cut above our usual Novotel.
Anybody got any recommendations?
Thanks!
I can only imagine what £400-£500 per night gets you... I assume someone is available to dress and bathe you?
I'm looking to book a few nights in a smart hotel in the central London in September to belatedly celebrate our ruby wedding anniversary. I'm thinking £400-£500 per night - a cut above our usual Novotel.
As expected Alba is a damp squib. I predicted as much.
It is REALLY hard to get over 5% as a new party, especially when your leader is a known (but legally unblemished) sex pest.
What is disappointing from a Unionist perspective is no obvious “bounce” for Anas Sarwar and little damage to the SNP. And the Greens appear completely unscathed.
As expected Alba is a damp squib. I predicted as much.
It is REALLY hard to get over 5% as a new party, especially when your leader is a known (but legally unblemished) sex pest.
What is disappointing from a Unionist perspective is no obvious “bounce” for Anas Sarwar and little damage to the SNP. And the Greens appear completely unscathed.
Probably a tad too early to look at Sawars impact, but no doubt labour are in a better place than they’ve been historically.
I'm looking to book a few nights in a smart hotel in the central London in September to belatedly celebrate our ruby wedding anniversary. I'm thinking £400-£500 per night - a cut above our usual Novotel.
Anybody got any recommendations?
Thanks!
Go to Cardiff instead?
I love Cardiff. But it's not in the same league as London from a tourist perspective.
I think this summer and autumn might be the best ever time to be a tourist in London - everything open (hopefully) but no foreign tourists competing for space.
The Nomad Hotel is opening in London in May, and in my travelling days I always loved staying in their New York mothership.
But, I suspect it’s a bit wanky for you.
I've not heard of it before. I'll take a look, thanks.
Anyhoo top shout to Scotch experts who said Alba was going to be a bit rubbish as opposed to resident Scots who said I think 12% support was the level of Alba
I'm looking to book a few nights in a smart hotel in the central London in September to belatedly celebrate our ruby wedding anniversary. I'm thinking £400-£500 per night - a cut above our usual Novotel.
Anybody got any recommendations?
Thanks!
I can only imagine what £400-£500 per night gets you... I assume someone is available to dress and bathe you?
It's way above what I'd normally spend but it is a special occasion.
I'm looking to book a few nights in a smart hotel in the central London in September to belatedly celebrate our ruby wedding anniversary. I'm thinking £400-£500 per night - a cut above our usual Novotel.
I'm looking to book a few nights in a smart hotel in the central London in September to belatedly celebrate our ruby wedding anniversary. I'm thinking £400-£500 per night - a cut above our usual Novotel.
Greensill Capital’s administrator has failed to verify invoices underpinning loans to Sanjeev Gupta, after companies listed on the documents denied that they had ever done business with the metals magnate.
If this is true, then things are likely to end very poorly for GFG, Liberty, and for various politicians who guaranteed GFG loans.
Bloody hell, this is Wirecard level of awful. The auditor is going to be in big trouble too.
According to the FT article, there are invoices to firms that do not even have trading relationships with GFG.
That's a major, major issue. Because auditors should check pretty much all major trading relationships actually exist, and then should spot check invoices.
(I don't personally think this is quite as bad as Wirecard, because GFG/Greensill didn't get the UK regulator to threaten journalists who asked awkward questions.)
Middle class white guy off twitter thinking he understands race better than Tony Sewell. Not a great look.
Problem is, many black and mixed race people also disagree with Tony Sewell. I don’t get the impression from conversations with my family and friends, as well as my social media feeds that he has credibility within black communities in this country.
I think it is an excellent debate to have, and will get around to reading the report. That some of the single issue campaigners are getting a bit of pushback is excellent. It will help keep them honest.
On this report it is quite noticeable that the people complaining have pivoted away from evidence to anecdotes aka "Lived Experience".
There's plenty of hard data that can be used to support a conclusion that racism remains a significant issue for many people in the UK. As for lived experience, it shouldn't be treated lightly. If large numbers of people say they experience racism in their daily life, you have to take that very very seriously. Not everything can be measured and independently verified. In fact many things in society can't. And not being able to measure and independently something does not mean it isn't a problem or can't be responded to.
Thinking about this report a little bit, the difference between outcomes for people of Afro Carribean descent and more recent African immigrants does seem important. I'm only speculating but having slavery as an integral part of you heritage and the reason you are where you are would seem likely to me to have a big effect on how you perceive society and your place in it. Also your parents and grandparents having experienced the UK when institutional and more general societal racism were definitely things must be an influence.
It's definitely an area worth exploring; running a gormless 'the upsides of slavery' line is the absolute opposite of that though.
Yep, that (and similar) is definitely an important thing to look at. I absolutely get the need to not lump all minority groups together and just proclaim that our society is endemically racist and rigged against everyone who isn't white. Also, being white myself and not facing any of these issues, I don't feel right in attempting to lay the law down on this any which way. But an important point to stress (imo) is that racism can hold you back in ways other than experiencing very obvious and regular discrimination from white people here in 2021. Like you say, there is surely a legacy from the shameful past. How can there not be.
I don't believe the "if I am not suffering from XYZ myself, I can't talk about it" line. To me that is just an acceptance for single issue lobby groups to run riot with whatever they want to make up. Campaigners need to be kept honest.
One blatant example that sticks out is the people lobbying from 2017 that the HoC only has 1% of disabled people as MPs to represent the 20% or so of people who can theoretically be identified as disabled. And therefore do what we say ... disability quotas ... yadda yadda yadda.
When examined, the 1% list seemed to consist of people in wheelchairs, and even excluded Theresa May herself.
Yet they made it as far as contributing a video report to the Daily Politics without being called on it.
Anybody can have a view on anything and its weight derives from knowledge, empathy, imagination and insight. That's how I assess other people's opinions. How much of those 4 things they are bringing to the subject.
The shorter you are on the knowledge (eg topic is racism and you are white) the longer you need to be on the empathy, imagination and insight.
Does knowledge for example include reading every available study and police report on racism incidence?
Gosh yes. Are you quite clued up then?
Sorry to be late to this.
You said that the important factors are knowledge, empathy, imagination and insight. If you acknowledge that anyone, black or white could have knowledge, and you previously said that the other factors had to be good (implying that white or black people could have these) then you accept that the colour of your skin is unimportant when it comes to understanding racism.
I'm looking to book a few nights in a smart hotel in the central London in September to belatedly celebrate our ruby wedding anniversary. I'm thinking £400-£500 per night - a cut above our usual Novotel.
Anybody got any recommendations?
Thanks!
The Goring is nice.
The Corinthia in Northumberland Avenue.
Both the Goring and the Corinthia are very good, also consider The Connaught
I'm looking to book a few nights in a smart hotel in the central London in September to belatedly celebrate our ruby wedding anniversary. I'm thinking £400-£500 per night - a cut above our usual Novotel.
Anybody got any recommendations?
Thanks!
You don’t need to pay anything like that to get somewhere decent. Do a search on one of the main booking websites, ideally via a cashback page like Quidco. Some special hotels to look at: 41, Charlotte St Hotel, the Soho Hotel, the Cadogan, the Langham, the Bloomsbury.
Agree but (1) the victim is not a white middle class woman living in Zones 1-2 London and working in a media industry job and (2) the perpetrator is an illegal asylum seeker who should have been kicked out of the country but wasn't so both the authorities and the left are not too keen on having the story being publicised.
Dukes, in St James' Place, for a classy, quiet hotel in a superb location
Where they only allow you two martinis and where once I was sitting when a fellow stood up, walked to the door, and then fell into a table before he made it.
Dukes was actually one of my very few socialising events post March 2020. And no I didn't fall over but damn those martinis are good.
I think the pro-Indy majority much be more comfortable than these polls suggest.
The Euros in 2019 did get decent numbers of Remainders working out how to tactically vote n multi member constituencies, an element of the remain campaign which was broadly successful with smallish numbers of people.
What Alba have done is thrown open the supermajority idea, and what may actually happen is greater SNP / Green splitting where that is helpful: both as a positive attempt at a supermajority and a defensive move to prevent Alba's odd success bringing them the balance of power.
Don't get me wrong, this won't be loads, but could be enough Green list votes to get the SNP/Green comfortably over the line.
One local by-election today - Con defence in Monmouthshire. Also a rumour that there are 13 Loony candidates in the Chessington South by- election in Kingston.
Because he's not someone who is employed with the full power of the state to protect us.
Quis custodiet ipsos custodes...
Didn't we hear a lot about the Everard murder even before it came out that a serving officer was the suspect?
We did and absolutely right, it wasn't known for days about the possible police suspect. We heard a lot because she had the same background as many of the people who worked in the media, so it was frontpage news. Lorraine Cox didn't and doesn't.
I'm looking to book a few nights in a smart hotel in the central London in September to belatedly celebrate our ruby wedding anniversary. I'm thinking £400-£500 per night - a cut above our usual Novotel.
Anybody got any recommendations?
Thanks!
Rocco Forte Brown's Hotel. Amazing location in Westminster, good food and old school English ambience. About that price.
I'm looking to book a few nights in a smart hotel in the central London in September to belatedly celebrate our ruby wedding anniversary. I'm thinking £400-£500 per night - a cut above our usual Novotel.
Anybody got any recommendations?
Thanks!
I stayed at a hotel called The Landmark last January, the Winter Gardens were cool, that’s the reason I booked it, and it’s convenient for Regents Park, Hampstead & the WestEnd shops. My girlfriend ordered a drink and the bottom fell out of the glass and soaked her clothes, which ruined the night a bit. I’m not a London hotel expert, the only other one I’ve stayed in is the Soho, which might be a bit young for you I’m guessing.
One local by-election today - Con defence in Monmouthshire. Also a rumour that there are 13 Loony candidates in the Chessington South by- election in Kingston.
I hope we have masses of loony candidates all over the country given lower signature requirements. That is an impressive number for a counci by election though.
I'm looking to book a few nights in a smart hotel in the central London in September to belatedly celebrate our ruby wedding anniversary. I'm thinking £400-£500 per night - a cut above our usual Novotel.
Anybody got any recommendations?
Thanks!
I stayed at a hotel called The Landmark last January, the Winter Gardens were cool, that’s the reason I booked it, and it’s convenient for Regents Park, Hampstead & the WestEnd shops. My girlfriend ordered a drink and the bottom fell out of the glass and soaked her clothes, which ruined the night a bit. I’m not a London hotel expert, the only other one I’ve stayed in is the Soho, which might be a bit young for you I’m guessing.
Here’s a pic of the Winter Gardens from my insta!
Used to use the Landmark for breakfast meetings - mainly because Marylebone station is opposite so I could be there for 8am without any issue.
1. Far too early to write off Salmond. Firstly his party has only just become a thing. Secondly we ought to know better than to read anything into a single opinion poll. Polls are potentially deeply unreliable as it is - the least we can therefore do is look at a whole series of them and try to spot trends.
2. However, because it's no fun not joining in the game of wild guesses, I'm going to do it anyway. A possible explanation for the list vote changes is as follows:
(a) Younger pro-independence voters - particularly likely to be raring to dump the English and about the Greens' platform - are voting Green in larger numbers. They can pick something they approve of *and* follow the logic of Salmond's supermajority plan without having to go anywhere near the man himself: what's not to like? (b) The decline in Tory support is the product of some Yes/Leave voters, who dislike the SNP even more than they approve of nationalism as a concept, going to Alba, and some wet centrists who liked Ruth deserting to the Lib Dems. (c) Regardless of how much of an improvement Anas Sarwar is over his predecessor, he's making no progress because Labour has a low, and gradually declining, ceiling of support. Left voters are predominantly pro-independence and the more elderly unionist ones are disappearing through, ahem, natural wastage
1859, if we’re talking about their longest lived ancestral party.
1679, if we’re talking about *their* longest lived ancestral party.
So ‘over a century’ is technically untrue, and even if it were technically true, it would be true only on a technicality.
‘It’s bollocks’ is quicker.
Meh. We still have Tories despite no formal Tory party. Yes it's wrong, especially as unlike the Tories it's so much more recent that the LDs were formed, but I don't think the point is diminished.
And technically true would still be true, you don't lose points on a technicality (but this one it is technically untrue anyway).
I'm looking to book a few nights in a smart hotel in the central London in September to belatedly celebrate our ruby wedding anniversary. I'm thinking £400-£500 per night - a cut above our usual Novotel.
I'm looking to book a few nights in a smart hotel in the central London in September to belatedly celebrate our ruby wedding anniversary. I'm thinking £400-£500 per night - a cut above our usual Novotel.
Isn't it a little premature to be writing off a party launched less than a week ago?
I’ve not written them off but history suggests that it’s incredibly difficult to start an electorally successful new party, particularly from a standing start. I think that Alba’s main problem is that it and its supporters moving force is detestation of Sturgeon and the SNP while they’re simultaneously trying to persuade SNP voters to give them their list vote. I’m not sure how that circle can be squared.
I'm looking to book a few nights in a smart hotel in the central London in September to belatedly celebrate our ruby wedding anniversary. I'm thinking £400-£500 per night - a cut above our usual Novotel.
Anybody got any recommendations?
Thanks!
Travelodge Ilford...
April Fool! .
To be honest, I would stay somewhere cheaper (probably some great deals with no international tourists!) and blow the budget on dinner, tea at Fornums, Opera House etc...
Took my eldest daughter to get some toys for her new (very adorable) puppy
On the way we somehow got talking about cosmology. My older daughter is 14
Presuming she knew very little of the intricacies, I vaguely mentioned the infinite multiverse theory, expecting her to be gobsmacked or incomprehending or to revert to her default option of "Dad shut up stop talking bollocks"
Instead she said, quite calmly, "Yes but one of the problems with the infinite parallel universes theory is that there must be a universe where this theory does not apply, and thus there is a universe within the multiverse which has no multiverse, so how do you solve that paradox?"
I was simultaneously silenced, but also (without showing her) very very proud.
Isn't it a little premature to be writing off a party launched less than a week ago?
I’ve not written them off but history suggests that it’s incredibly difficult to start an electorally successful new party, particularly from a standing start. I think that Alba’s main problem is that it and its supporters moving force is detestation of Sturgeon and the SNP while they’re simultaneously trying to persuade SNP voters to give them their list vote. I’m not sure how that circle can be squared.
I think that the other thing a party needs is an agenda, not just a has-been wanting a comeback.
Took my eldest daughter to get some toys for her new (very adorable) puppy
On the way we somehow got talking about cosmology. My older daughter is 14
Presuming she knew very little of the intricacies, I vaguely mentioned the infinite multiverse theory, expecting her to be gobsmacked or incomprehending or to revert to her default option of "Dad shut up stop talking bollocks"
Instead she said, quite calmly, "Yes but one of the problems with the infinite parallel universes theory is that there must be a universe where this theory does not apply, and thus there is a universe within the multiverse which has no multiverse, so how do you solve that paradox?"
I was simultaneously silenced, but also (without showing her) very very proud.
I'm looking to book a few nights in a smart hotel in the central London in September to belatedly celebrate our ruby wedding anniversary. I'm thinking £400-£500 per night - a cut above our usual Novotel.
Anybody got any recommendations?
Thanks!
You don’t need to pay anything like that to get somewhere decent. Do a search on one of the main booking websites, ideally via a cashback page like Quidco. Some special hotels to look at: 41, Charlotte St Hotel, the Soho Hotel, the Cadogan, the Langham, the Bloomsbury.
Those all sound like 4-bed House Designs on a slighly not-downmarket new estate in Milton Keynes, if you remove "Hotel".
My next stay in London will be in the Hilton where you take the private ferry. But not at £400 a night.
Took my eldest daughter to get some toys for her new (very adorable) puppy
On the way we somehow got talking about cosmology. My older daughter is 14
Presuming she knew very little of the intricacies, I vaguely mentioned the infinite multiverse theory, expecting her to be gobsmacked or incomprehending or to revert to her default option of "Dad shut up stop talking bollocks"
Instead she said, quite calmly, "Yes but one of the problems with the infinite parallel universes theory is that there must be a universe where this theory does not apply, and thus there is a universe within the multiverse which has no multiverse, so how do you solve that paradox?"
I was simultaneously silenced, but also (without showing her) very very proud.
Then we got new puppy chews
She's not correct. Because the universe is a subset of the multiverse.
Took my eldest daughter to get some toys for her new (very adorable) puppy
On the way we somehow got talking about cosmology. My older daughter is 14
Presuming she knew very little of the intricacies, I vaguely mentioned the infinite multiverse theory, expecting her to be gobsmacked or incomprehending or to revert to her default option of "Dad shut up stop talking bollocks"
Instead she said, quite calmly, "Yes but one of the problems with the infinite parallel universes theory is that there must be a universe where this theory does not apply, and thus there is a universe within the multiverse which has no multiverse, so how do you solve that paradox?"
I was simultaneously silenced, but also (without showing her) very very proud.
Then we got new puppy chews
She's not correct. Because the universe is a subset of the multiverse.
I'm looking to book a few nights in a smart hotel in the central London in September to belatedly celebrate our ruby wedding anniversary. I'm thinking £400-£500 per night - a cut above our usual Novotel.
Anybody got any recommendations?
Thanks!
I stayed at a hotel called The Landmark last January, the Winter Gardens were cool, that’s the reason I booked it, and it’s convenient for Regents Park, Hampstead & the WestEnd shops. My girlfriend ordered a drink and the bottom fell out of the glass and soaked her clothes, which ruined the night a bit. I’m not a London hotel expert, the only other one I’ve stayed in is the Soho, which might be a bit young for you I’m guessing.
Here’s a pic of the Winter Gardens from my insta!
We had jewelry stolen by the housekeeping staff there, which rather put us off it.
Took my eldest daughter to get some toys for her new (very adorable) puppy
On the way we somehow got talking about cosmology. My older daughter is 14
Presuming she knew very little of the intricacies, I vaguely mentioned the infinite multiverse theory, expecting her to be gobsmacked or incomprehending or to revert to her default option of "Dad shut up stop talking bollocks"
Instead she said, quite calmly, "Yes but one of the problems with the infinite parallel universes theory is that there must be a universe where this theory does not apply, and thus there is a universe within the multiverse which has no multiverse, so how do you solve that paradox?"
I was simultaneously silenced, but also (without showing her) very very proud.
Then we got new puppy chews
Maybe it's a multi-puppy-chew-niverse?
Get her a copy of "The Planiverse" by A K Dewdney, to get the dimensions down to 2.
“It is actually usually a large combination of factors, some of which are under our control, many of which are not. And more of it is chance than I think people are prepared to accept,” - Chris Whitty on the spread of Covid.
Pretty much what I thought really. He could be say the same about almost any aspect of life
Agree but (1) the victim is not a white middle class woman living in Zones 1-2 London and working in a media industry job and (2) the perpetrator is an illegal asylum seeker who should have been kicked out of the country but wasn't so both the authorities and the left are not too keen on having the story being publicised.
As expected Alba is a damp squib. I predicted as much.
It is REALLY hard to get over 5% as a new party, especially when your leader is a known (but legally unblemished) sex pest.
What is disappointing from a Unionist perspective is no obvious “bounce” for Anas Sarwar and little damage to the SNP. And the Greens appear completely unscathed.
No, it's gravy for unionists. The Nationalist cause is schismatized, and seems bitterly divided, and Boris can dismiss the new Holyrood as a gamed system
If Alba do this badly, Salmond has done terrible damage to indy. We shall see
I'm looking to book a few nights in a smart hotel in the central London in September to belatedly celebrate our ruby wedding anniversary. I'm thinking £400-£500 per night - a cut above our usual Novotel.
Anybody got any recommendations?
Thanks!
I stayed at a hotel called The Landmark last January, the Winter Gardens were cool, that’s the reason I booked it, and it’s convenient for Regents Park, Hampstead & the WestEnd shops. My girlfriend ordered a drink and the bottom fell out of the glass and soaked her clothes, which ruined the night a bit. I’m not a London hotel expert, the only other one I’ve stayed in is the Soho, which might be a bit young for you I’m guessing.
Here’s a pic of the Winter Gardens from my insta!
We had jewelry stolen by the housekeeping staff there, which rather put us off it.
Oh dear. Luckily my girlfriend left had her expensive stuff behind in the hospital where our son was born about two months earlier, and I don’t wear any, so we had none for them to steal!
I'm looking to book a few nights in a smart hotel in the central London in September to belatedly celebrate our ruby wedding anniversary. I'm thinking £400-£500 per night - a cut above our usual Novotel.
Anybody got any recommendations?
Thanks!
Travelodge Ilford...
April Fool! .
To be honest, I would stay somewhere cheaper (probably some great deals with no international tourists!) and blow the budget on dinner, tea at Fornums, Opera House etc...
If it is still as excellent, Rasa Thai on Charlotte Street.
As expected Alba is a damp squib. I predicted as much.
It is REALLY hard to get over 5% as a new party, especially when your leader is a known (but legally unblemished) sex pest.
What is disappointing from a Unionist perspective is no obvious “bounce” for Anas Sarwar and little damage to the SNP. And the Greens appear completely unscathed.
No, it's gravy for unionists. The Nationalist cause is schismatized, and seems bitterly divided, and Boris can dismiss the new Holyrood as a gamed system
If Alba do this badly, Salmond has done terrible damage to indy. We shall see
The way this poll in the header looks, the embarrassing and degrading mess over the last months has not dampened enthusiasm for an SNP majority. The SNP are through the worst too and are likely to get stronger.
Agree but (1) the victim is not a white middle class woman living in Zones 1-2 London and working in a media industry job and (2) the perpetrator is an illegal asylum seeker who should have been kicked out of the country but wasn't so both the authorities and the left are not too keen on having the story being publicised.
The left, like the daily tabloid newspapers?
Plenty of coverage on the BBC and other media outlets. Not quite sure what point @MrEd is trying to make.
Re GFG / Greeensill, the other potential casualty out of all of this is Softbank. (Bear in mind that Softbank is the largest external shareholder in Greenshll.)
It appears that Greenshill lent $475m to a Softbank investment just months before its collapse. And that exactly none of that money was repaid.
“It is actually usually a large combination of factors, some of which are under our control, many of which are not. And more of it is chance than I think people are prepared to accept,” - Chris Whitty on the spread of Covid.
Pretty much what I thought really. He could be say the same about almost any aspect of life
As expected Alba is a damp squib. I predicted as much.
It is REALLY hard to get over 5% as a new party, especially when your leader is a known (but legally unblemished) sex pest.
What is disappointing from a Unionist perspective is no obvious “bounce” for Anas Sarwar and little damage to the SNP. And the Greens appear completely unscathed.
No, it's gravy for unionists. The Nationalist cause is schismatized, and seems bitterly divided, and Boris can dismiss the new Holyrood as a gamed system
If Alba do this badly, Salmond has done terrible damage to indy. We shall see
The way this poll in the header looks, the embarrassing and degrading mess over the last months has not dampened enthusiasm for an SNP majority. The SNP are through the worst too and are likely to get stronger.
Schisms are bad. I know you want the SNP to win so Scotland goes indy to punish us for voting Brexit, but, schisms are bad. They generally hinder the cause
It would be surprising, but not impossible, if this were an exception, but so far it looks like proving the rule
I readily admit that if Alba gets 15 seats on the List (and the SNP gets zillions of constituency seats) then that will boost the indy cause. Boris will still refuse a vote, but there is then a chance that Scotland will surge into passive mass resistance and Mahatama Gandhi stylee bullshit.
And then, after five years, the YES vote could be consistently over 60% and Britain is done for. Certainly possible
Agree but (1) the victim is not a white middle class woman living in Zones 1-2 London and working in a media industry job and (2) the perpetrator is an illegal asylum seeker who should have been kicked out of the country but wasn't so both the authorities and the left are not too keen on having the story being publicised.
The left, like the daily tabloid newspapers?
Plenty of coverage on the BBC and other media outlets. Not quite sure what point @MrEd is trying to make.
Lead story on main news of the day? I didn’t see it.
Agree but (1) the victim is not a white middle class woman living in Zones 1-2 London and working in a media industry job and (2) the perpetrator is an illegal asylum seeker who should have been kicked out of the country but wasn't so both the authorities and the left are not too keen on having the story being publicised.
Point 1 is the first half of the explanation, but the second is that Sarah Everard was abducted. Lorraine Cox appears to have been persuaded to go back to her killer's home. Both were cruel murders, but the former involved, from the point of view of the media and the wider public that consume it, a more sympathetic victim and far more sensational circumstances.
If point 2 had anything to do with it then why would the majority of the press that is NOT particularly forgiving of failed asylum seekers being left at liberty to commit horrendous crimes not pick up the ball and run with this?
Whilst we are fortunate not to live in an atypically brutal society, people are nonetheless murdered regularly, and killings therefore need to be exceptional to achieve notoriety. The depressing monotony of young men stabbed to death on the streets, and women bludgeoned to death by violent partners at home, goes mostly unnoticed because society is used to it. Like deaths from Winter flu or road traffic accidents, if it doesn't involve you personally, it's just background noise. One column at the bottom of page 14 of a newspaper. Statistics.
As expected Alba is a damp squib. I predicted as much.
It is REALLY hard to get over 5% as a new party, especially when your leader is a known (but legally unblemished) sex pest.
What is disappointing from a Unionist perspective is no obvious “bounce” for Anas Sarwar and little damage to the SNP. And the Greens appear completely unscathed.
No, it's gravy for unionists. The Nationalist cause is schismatized, and seems bitterly divided, and Boris can dismiss the new Holyrood as a gamed system
If Alba do this badly, Salmond has done terrible damage to indy. We shall see
The way this poll in the header looks, the embarrassing and degrading mess over the last months has not dampened enthusiasm for an SNP majority. The SNP are through the worst too and are likely to get stronger.
Schisms are bad. I know you want the SNP to win so Scotland goes indy to punish us for voting Brexit, but, schisms are bad. They generally hinder the cause
It would be surprising, but not impossible, if this were an exception, but so far it looks like proving the rule
I readily admit that if Alba gets 15 seats on the List (and the SNP gets zillions of constituency seats) then that will boost the indy cause. Boris will still refuse a vote, but there is then a chance that Scotland will surge into passive mass resistance and Mahatama Gandhi stylee bullshit.
And then, after five years, the YES vote could be consistently over 60% and Britain is done for. Certainly possible
Mahatma Gandhi stylee won in the end. Hardly any Brits were killed by Indian terrorists.
Agree but (1) the victim is not a white middle class woman living in Zones 1-2 London and working in a media industry job and (2) the perpetrator is an illegal asylum seeker who should have been kicked out of the country but wasn't so both the authorities and the left are not too keen on having the story being publicised.
The left, like the daily tabloid newspapers?
Plenty of coverage on the BBC and other media outlets. Not quite sure what point @MrEd is trying to make.
There's this slightly irritating belief that is seen on all sides of the political spectrum that it's all a big conspiracy*.
The reality is that algorithms for selling advertising space, based on time to read story, engagement rates, shares, etc., determine what gets shown.
Sarah Eversted, for one reason or another got traction. This other story did not.
This was not to do with "The Left" covering it up. It was to do with which stories garnered click throughs and shares and sold advertising.
* See the Left blaming the media for covering up stories about Palestine... when the reality is that stories about Palestine don't sell advertising, when stories about Meghan do.
I'm looking to book a few nights in a smart hotel in the central London in September to belatedly celebrate our ruby wedding anniversary. I'm thinking £400-£500 per night - a cut above our usual Novotel.
Anybody got any recommendations?
Thanks!
I take it you're buying the good lady a ruby also? One night less in your hotel will get you an extremely nice one.
“It is actually usually a large combination of factors, some of which are under our control, many of which are not. And more of it is chance than I think people are prepared to accept,” - Chris Whitty on the spread of Covid.
Pretty much what I thought really. He could be say the same about almost any aspect of life
Covid really is a lottery.
Mrs Foxy had it, I didn't in the same house. I saw a guy today who nearly died of it, in his fifties, who took a couple of months to be able to walk and speak.
I'm looking to book a few nights in a smart hotel in the central London in September to belatedly celebrate our ruby wedding anniversary. I'm thinking £400-£500 per night - a cut above our usual Novotel.
Anybody got any recommendations?
Thanks!
You’re not far off Ritz money, booked in advance.
That's the key question imo.
London's a big place with lots of posh hotels, several of which have already been recommended. The question is whether it is better to choose one and book in advance at a reduced rate, or wait as late as possible and book at lastminute.com or one of the other late booking sites. Usually they describe but not name the hotels but googling phrases from the descriptions can often identify them. So book early, or late. Sorry if that's not much help.
Lead story on main news of the day? I didn’t see it.
Doesn't have to be the main story to get coverage.
Should it have been the lead story of the day? That's an editorial decision for newspapers and the media. It's a terrible crime and yes of course it has been reported.
I'm still not quite sure what's being implied here.
Comments
Not like Salmond, who may have led to many interesting briefs but was not merely of brief interest.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-devon-56569863
Genuine question as this seemed equally horrifying.
Quis custodiet ipsos custodes...
https://twitter.com/JohnRentoul/status/1377672962191544321
I'm looking to book a few nights in a smart hotel in the central London in September to belatedly celebrate our ruby wedding anniversary. I'm thinking £400-£500 per night - a cut above our usual Novotel.
Anybody got any recommendations?
Thanks!
I think this summer and autumn might be the best ever time to be a tourist in London - everything open (hopefully) but no foreign tourists competing for space.
But, I suspect it’s a bit wanky for you.
I predicted as much.
It is REALLY hard to get over 5% as a new party, especially when your leader is a known (but legally unblemished) sex pest.
What is disappointing from a Unionist perspective is no obvious “bounce” for Anas Sarwar and little damage to the SNP. And the Greens appear completely unscathed.
Interesting times ahead
Horses, water cannons, and tear gas.
No doubt some PBers would approve of importing this continental innovation.
https://twitter.com/johnestevens/status/1377667538490916864?s=21
That's a major, major issue. Because auditors should check pretty much all major trading relationships actually exist, and then should spot check invoices.
(I don't personally think this is quite as bad as Wirecard, because GFG/Greensill didn't get the UK regulator to threaten journalists who asked awkward questions.)
You said that the important factors are knowledge, empathy, imagination and insight. If you acknowledge that anyone, black or white could have knowledge, and you previously said that the other factors had to be good (implying that white or black people could have these) then you accept that the colour of your skin is unimportant when it comes to understanding racism.
The only way this election is going to be tight is if all the candidates are locked in a distillery.
The question is whether the SNP are the largest party or win a majority. Anything else is noise.
Dukes, in St James' Place, for a classy, quiet hotel in a superb location
Sadly Le Caprice is no longer around the corner.
Dukes was actually one of my very few socialising events post March 2020. And no I didn't fall over but damn those martinis are good.
And The Stafford has also sadly gone downhill.
As @rcs1000 said, shame about Le Caprice but, for all its faults, The Wolseley is always fun
https://twitter.com/standardnews/status/1377692487918227459?s=19
The Euros in 2019 did get decent numbers of Remainders working out how to tactically vote n multi member constituencies, an element of the remain campaign which was broadly successful with smallish numbers of people.
What Alba have done is thrown open the supermajority idea, and what may actually happen is greater SNP / Green splitting where that is helpful: both as a positive attempt at a supermajority and a defensive move to prevent Alba's odd success bringing them the balance of power.
Don't get me wrong, this won't be loads, but could be enough Green list votes to get the SNP/Green comfortably over the line.
Upside is that if you are in the Shard you can't see it.
* this is not a recommendation - I just wanted to point out the upside
And I agree with @MrEd - nothing wrong with the Wolseley. As long as you can sit in the inner circle...
https://twitter.com/andrewlearmonth/status/1377690692382769152?s=21
Here’s a pic of the Winter Gardens from my insta!
I'd agree with Browns as well as a good spot
1859, if we’re talking about their longest lived ancestral party.
1679, if we’re talking about *their* longest lived ancestral party.
So ‘over a century’ is technically untrue, and even if it were technically true, it would be true only on a technicality.
‘It’s bollocks’ is quicker.
And we were right.
1. Far too early to write off Salmond. Firstly his party has only just become a thing. Secondly we ought to know better than to read anything into a single opinion poll. Polls are potentially deeply unreliable as it is - the least we can therefore do is look at a whole series of them and try to spot trends.
2. However, because it's no fun not joining in the game of wild guesses, I'm going to do it anyway. A possible explanation for the list vote changes is as follows:
(a) Younger pro-independence voters - particularly likely to be raring to dump the English and about the Greens' platform - are voting Green in larger numbers. They can pick something they approve of *and* follow the logic of Salmond's supermajority plan without having to go anywhere near the man himself: what's not to like?
(b) The decline in Tory support is the product of some Yes/Leave voters, who dislike the SNP even more than they approve of nationalism as a concept, going to Alba, and some wet centrists who liked Ruth deserting to the Lib Dems.
(c) Regardless of how much of an improvement Anas Sarwar is over his predecessor, he's making no progress because Labour has a low, and gradually declining, ceiling of support. Left voters are predominantly pro-independence and the more elderly unionist ones are disappearing through, ahem, natural wastage
And technically true would still be true, you don't lose points on a technicality (but this one it is technically untrue anyway).
After all, they are all TOSSERS.
April Fool!
.
Puts card back in wallet.
If you want an apostrophe, Brown's. If not, Ritz.
None of it of course matches the Travelodge at Blyth for elegance, romance and pampered comfort.
On the way we somehow got talking about cosmology. My older daughter is 14
Presuming she knew very little of the intricacies, I vaguely mentioned the infinite multiverse theory, expecting her to be gobsmacked or incomprehending or to revert to her default option of "Dad shut up stop talking bollocks"
Instead she said, quite calmly, "Yes but one of the problems with the infinite parallel universes theory is that there must be a universe where this theory does not apply, and thus there is a universe within the multiverse which has no multiverse, so how do you solve that paradox?"
I was simultaneously silenced, but also (without showing her) very very proud.
Then we got new puppy chews
Just a warning about some of your top end hotels in London, they list the nightly rate, but very sneakily add on a circa 5% service charge.
Claridges are arses for that.
But Brown's is pretty good for the price range @Benpointer mentioned, but you have to find the right dates.
My next stay in London will be in the Hilton where you take the private ferry. But not at £400 a night.
And some lettuces to deal with the cosmology.
Pretty much what I thought really. He could be say the same about almost any aspect of life
If Alba do this badly, Salmond has done terrible damage to indy. We shall see
Or Veeraswamy.
It appears that Greenshill lent $475m to a Softbank investment just months before its collapse. And that exactly none of that money was repaid.
It would be surprising, but not impossible, if this were an exception, but so far it looks like proving the rule
I readily admit that if Alba gets 15 seats on the List (and the SNP gets zillions of constituency seats) then that will boost the indy cause. Boris will still refuse a vote, but there is then a chance that Scotland will surge into passive mass resistance and Mahatama Gandhi stylee bullshit.
And then, after five years, the YES vote could be consistently over 60% and Britain is done for. Certainly possible
First against the wall.
If point 2 had anything to do with it then why would the majority of the press that is NOT particularly forgiving of failed asylum seekers being left at liberty to commit horrendous crimes not pick up the ball and run with this?
Whilst we are fortunate not to live in an atypically brutal society, people are nonetheless murdered regularly, and killings therefore need to be exceptional to achieve notoriety. The depressing monotony of young men stabbed to death on the streets, and women bludgeoned to death by violent partners at home, goes mostly unnoticed because society is used to it. Like deaths from Winter flu or road traffic accidents, if it doesn't involve you personally, it's just background noise. One column at the bottom of page 14 of a newspaper. Statistics.
The reality is that algorithms for selling advertising space, based on time to read story, engagement rates, shares, etc., determine what gets shown.
Sarah Eversted, for one reason or another got traction. This other story did not.
This was not to do with "The Left" covering it up. It was to do with which stories garnered click throughs and shares and sold advertising.
* See the Left blaming the media for covering up stories about Palestine... when the reality is that stories about Palestine don't sell advertising, when stories about Meghan do.
Congratulations btw!
Mrs Foxy had it, I didn't in the same house. I saw a guy today who nearly died of it, in his fifties, who took a couple of months to be able to walk and speak.
London's a big place with lots of posh hotels, several of which have already been recommended. The question is whether it is better to choose one and book in advance at a reduced rate, or wait as late as possible and book at lastminute.com or one of the other late booking sites. Usually they describe but not name the hotels but googling phrases from the descriptions can often identify them. So book early, or late. Sorry if that's not much help.
Should it have been the lead story of the day? That's an editorial decision for newspapers and the media. It's a terrible crime and yes of course it has been reported.
I'm still not quite sure what's being implied here.