Is Sturgeon going to survive? – politicalbetting.com
Is Sturgeon going to survive? – politicalbetting.com
When the bookies start opening markets on your survival then you know that a political leader is in trouble. Ladbrokes now make it 7/4 that she will be out this year following the latest revelations over the Salmond affair.
0
This discussion has been closed.
Comments
Godless woman.....
https://www.scottishparliament.tv/
I was offered a one bed modest 400 sqft flat in a 1870s brick block in the quiet part of the City (just into Hackney) behind Wesley's Chapel for about 100k (70k but would need 15k extend lease + 15k to refurb) in very late 1990s. Called Victoria Chambers - I always thought it was a Victorian slum clearance -> workers flats project. All the streets are named after apostles.
Prices for a similar sold 4 times have gone:
1998 99,950
2001 160,000
2006 220,000
2017 450,000
Another similar sold 4 times has gone:
2000 130,000
2005 220,000
2008 250,000
2013 345,000
Sales in 2019/2020 are back around 345-350k.
That is a decent rep of London prices with the Financial Crash smoothed out, for a very modest basic flat 5 minutes from Finsbury Square.
By comparison, in a part of the Red Wall I know well, trad terraces were 25-30k ish in 1990, pretty flat until 2000, doubled by 2004-5 with most of that in the 18 months 2003-4, then fell back again by 2/3 of that rise, and are now up to something like 70-90k depending.
Candy Brothers first project was a one bed flat bought in 1995 in Fulham for £122k. Refurbed and sold for £170k.
From 2015.
https://twitter.com/dj_forrester/status/1366538694245687300
Discretion is the better part of valour here: you need the scandal to do all the talking, and the public to call for the resignation once its magnitude dawns on them.
https://twitter.com/ianjamesparsley/status/1367037294516068352?s=20
https://twitter.com/ianjamesparsley/status/1367037655809196037?s=20
And at the moment that doesn't exist - this story is currently too complex and needs some simpler sound bites.
She may but she is being damaged by all this and is unlikely to have a long term future
https://twitter.com/RossPolitics/status/1366877487700062210
The skill here is to lead the horse to water so it chooses to drink. If you try and force its head underwater with your foot on it then it'll bolt.
I do not believe there is enough of substance to deflect either her or her party from their path to another victory. The supposed conspiracy against Salmond which has a whole load of people lying to the police and in court for internecine gain is laughable - everything else is heat and light generated from that.
Do I think the Scottish Government fucked up the investigation into the initial complaints? Absolutely. Do I think there was political interference in the process to make it happen at an opportune time? Absolutely. Are these sufficient to bring her/them down? No - have worse brought down Tory ministers or their government? No. Or even dented their popularity? No.
https://twitter.com/NYTHealth/status/1366397635217809411
The only game in town at the moment is the short one: stopping an SNP-Green majority in May.
https://www.betfair.com/exchange/politics/event/30298288/multi-market?marketIds=1.179554856
Needs to be for the money!
Spanish royals letting the side down.
It makes it sounds chaotic.
I don't believe it for a team of 20 nurses and umpteen support staff including the army doing 1700 vaccines over an entire day.
"it wisnae me!"
The UK understands full well how herd immunity works and according to the polls 90% of the adult public will take their jab. That is genuinely "world leading". We will reach herd immunity, so its a case of ensuring the rollout goes as smoothly as it can while message now are targeting the holdout communities like ethnic minorities that risk being pooled communities without herd immunity otherwise.
The USA is going to really struggle to reach herd immunity if 30% of blacks and a majority of white Republicans are unvaccinated. This is what the USA is trying to deal with that the UK doesn't have to.
Sturgeon can easily outwit the Scottish press, and the SLAB and SCON. She has been doing it all her life.
But, Salmond is different & this is now very personal. I can't see Salmond letting this go.
I was surprised when I looked up Salmond's age -- he is only 66. He looks a good deal older.
I am sure Alex thinks he could come roaring back again -- and perhaps he can.
What about "lie"?
Winning here !
My wife and I support the union and obviously oppose Sturgeon and it is clear that she is in considerable trouble
Blair survived Iraq, though he was mortally wounded. He hopped around like a sparrow with a wounded wing for a few year more, but the magic was gone.
That is the real question. If Sturgeon survives ... has the magic gone ?
Because once the magic has gone, it never comes back.
That's been well hushed up!
These allegations may or may not be true but I can't think of worse before, this makes all other scandals I can recall pale into insignificance - but its Scotland so it won't get that much attention. Had this been the PM allegedly doing this to a political rival, with the DPP in his Cabinet abusing processes etc - this would rightly be headline if not worldwide news.
All politicians and parties suffer malfeasance and to be honest at this moment in time I am content with HMG
In the US they're struggling to get to that point so its like a carrot being put out "get yours and protect yourself and help build herd immunity".
The fact we're at 90% and rising wanting the vaccine is incredible. No need to rock the boat, just keep jabbing on, while convincing as many refuseniks as possible.
Sturgeon clearly intends to waffle her way to survival, using her gender to deflect and justify, and by attacking Salmond continuously, in an inquiry which is meant to be about her government, not Alex Salmond. Who has been acquitted.
It’s fairly ghastly but I can see it working. But she will be significantly damaged. I cannot see her striding the Scottish stage in the same way ever again, and the election campaign will be grueling as this is brought up time and again.
What’s more, she’s further antagonizing Salmond, who is not going away and is a lethal foe
Hopefully Rishi doesn't back down when some small section of ultra low risk investors moan about it.
As for the alleged conspiracy, its a joke. Her government fucked up an investigation, used political considerations to mess with timings and process and That's Bad. But hardly unique.
It may be best for the Union if CON, LAB and LD MSPs allow her to stay in place but allow this to continue up to election day. I'm sure GRN can be relied on to change sides for a little bit of power if the numbers justify it.
But she shouldn't.