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The polling that shows that Boris is NOT the right UK leader to protect the union – politicalbetting

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  • Options
    MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 50,190
    IshmaelZ said:

    BBC News - Harriet Tubman: Biden moves to put anti-slavery activist on $20 bill
    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-us-canada-55808324

    A Royal Navy warship captain?

    No?
    Yes, you don't ship 3.2 million bodies across the Atlantic without some serious professionals watching your back. Credit where credit is due.
    Who did more to save Africans/Americans from slavery - Hariet Tubman or the Royal Navy?
  • Options
    MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 37,667

    Israel new cases 30 days. Doesn't seem that encouraging at the moment.


    Let's see how that feeds into the hospitalisation rate, we know a single dose may not be enough to prevent people from getting it, but should be enough to prevent severe symptoms that require hospitalisation.
  • Options
    LeonLeon Posts: 47,725
    MaxPB said:

    Leon said:

    MaxPB said:

    kinabalu said:

    kinabalu said:

    Leon said:

    Leon said:

    MaxPB said:

    MaxPB said:

    If the EU block export of Pfizer vaccines to UK, while demanding queue jumping of AZN ones made in the UK....that will go down well.

    Don't worry, the EU will still have it's defenders in the UK, either out loud or by staying quiet.
    Everyone needs to stop frothing.

    The EU are not going to block export of Pfizer vaccines.

    What is wrong with everyone?
    So why are they putting a notification and approval process in place for exports?
    We can discuss the behaviour of the EU if and when they actually do something. Otherwise everyone is just frothing about a few tweets from EU knobheads.

    I know first-hand how integrated EU and UK pharma supply chains are. Britain therefore has significant leverage and any trade war would have awful consequences for both parties.

    Everyone just needs to calm down.
    You think that Commissioner Kyriakides is a knobhead?

    A little undiplomatic but OK . . .
    If the UK had been behaving with the chaotic, flailing incompetence of the EU and its media friends, in the last couple of weeks, they would have had squirting orgasms of delight.

    The Handelsblatt error is just mind-bogglingly stupid, world class levels of irresponsible, and it could lead to actual deaths as people read the fake news (still being retweeted by Told You So anti-vaxxers) and avoid the jab.

    How has the journalist wo wrote it still got a job? In the UK he'd now be collecting Universal Credit.
    No, in the UK people who publish lies in newspapers become Prime Minister.
    Whataboutery of the first water,

    FFS this is a lie - sorry "journalistic error" - on a cosmic level; the 8% meme is now out there, and it will possibly cause deaths.

    To make it worse, Handelsblatt were told last night be multiple experts - virologists, epidemiologists, everyone - that the "8% thing" was almost certainly wrong, damaging and dangerous, and should be immediately retracted. Did they? No. They doubled down.

    It was still on their website just an hour ago.
    In a spirit of genuine intellectual curiosity rather than whataboutery -

    Do we think this will cost more lives than the Cummings scandal?
    Obviously.
    Sorry, forgot to add - the question is not to be attempted by people who lost their integrity over the Cummings scandal. To assess it properly you need (i) some core data, (ii) a set of reasonable assumptions about behaviour, (iii) a calculator, and (iv) your integrity.
    I quit the Tory party over it, and this anti-vaxxer bullshit from Germany is way, way worse than Cummings. The effect on global vaccine take up in the developing world is going to be a disaster once the Russian "8%" memes start to spread all over African and Asian WhatsApp.
    I suppose there is still the tiny possibility that the 8% "fact" is true; though it seems vanishingly unlikely, from all I've read about vaccines, and it has been vehemently denied by AZ, and is now denied by the German government.


    It's not true, the German government has already said it was down to a misunderstanding of the report the German regulator has received from the EMA saying that 56-69 year olds only made up 8% of the trial. That's where the number comes from. It has nothing to do with efficacy.
    If you are right (and I am sure you are) I do not understand why Handelsblatt themselves have not come out with a grovelling retraction. Because they haven't.

    Their last tweet on this reiterated the 8% claim, and merely added that the company itself (AZ) disagreed.

    https://twitter.com/handelsblatt/status/1353992634570854402?s=20
  • Options
    RobDRobD Posts: 59,022

    Israel new cases 30 days. Doesn't seem that encouraging at the moment.


    What happened yesterday? :o

    Maybe people letting their guard down?
  • Options
    MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 50,190

    felix said:

    MaxPB said:

    Leon said:

    kinabalu said:

    kinabalu said:

    Leon said:

    Leon said:

    MaxPB said:

    MaxPB said:

    If the EU block export of Pfizer vaccines to UK, while demanding queue jumping of AZN ones made in the UK....that will go down well.

    Don't worry, the EU will still have it's defenders in the UK, either out loud or by staying quiet.
    Everyone needs to stop frothing.

    The EU are not going to block export of Pfizer vaccines.

    What is wrong with everyone?
    So why are they putting a notification and approval process in place for exports?
    We can discuss the behaviour of the EU if and when they actually do something. Otherwise everyone is just frothing about a few tweets from EU knobheads.

    I know first-hand how integrated EU and UK pharma supply chains are. Britain therefore has significant leverage and any trade war would have awful consequences for both parties.

    Everyone just needs to calm down.
    You think that Commissioner Kyriakides is a knobhead?

    A little undiplomatic but OK . . .
    If the UK had been behaving with the chaotic, flailing incompetence of the EU and its media friends, in the last couple of weeks, they would have had squirting orgasms of delight.

    The Handelsblatt error is just mind-bogglingly stupid, world class levels of irresponsible, and it could lead to actual deaths as people read the fake news (still being retweeted by Told You So anti-vaxxers) and avoid the jab.

    How has the journalist wo wrote it still got a job? In the UK he'd now be collecting Universal Credit.
    No, in the UK people who publish lies in newspapers become Prime Minister.
    Whataboutery of the first water,

    FFS this is a lie - sorry "journalistic error" - on a cosmic level; the 8% meme is now out there, and it will possibly cause deaths.

    To make it worse, Handelsblatt were told last night be multiple experts - virologists, epidemiologists, everyone - that the "8% thing" was almost certainly wrong, damaging and dangerous, and should be immediately retracted. Did they? No. They doubled down.

    It was still on their website just an hour ago.
    In a spirit of genuine intellectual curiosity rather than whataboutery -

    Do we think this will cost more lives than the Cummings scandal?
    Since there's not the slightest particle of evidence that even one additional person died as a result of that supposed scandal, the Handelsblatt Affair has every chance of prevailing.
    None of this is provable in a hard scientific sense but it lends itself to insightful speculation for those with the head and stomach for it.
    Here we are stacking up: (i) loss of trust in government lockdown messaging due to senior government advisor pissing all over it VERSUS (ii) loss of trust in AZ vaccine due to fake news story in German newspaper.
    I don't have the answer. Was hoping to hear from others first. Particularly those who are talking about lives lost due to (ii).
    Here is an example of why the Handelsblatt Affair is much more damaging.

    The original tweets claiming "8% efficacy" were retweeted by multiple journalists, and experts, in Germany

    Like this guy. Here he is explaining why he has now deleted the retweet

    https://twitter.com/hendrikstreeck/status/1354038073001205762?s=20


    Why does he matter? Because he has 100,000 followers and he is:


    "Professor and Director of the Institute of Virology and German Center of HIV & AIDS
    @UniBonn
    Former:
    @HarvardMed"

    Many of his followers will automatically believe him, this is his field. They would have read this very alarming news last night, and told everyone on Facebook, and thus it now spreads around the world.

    Yes, loss of trust in a government adviser and maybe the government maybe has a small effect in one country. People aren't burning cars in the Netherlands and France at the moment because if Cummings, at least. Undermining trust in the main vaccine for the developing world is completely unforgivable, the Russian bot farms will be in overdrive making "8%" memes for social media and WhatsApp that will spread through Africa and South Asia like wildfire, all of it with real quotes from a real respected German newspaper and real Tweets from respected German scientists questioning the efficacy of the vaccine.

    It's genuinely a disaster for the world IMO.

    I disagree. The story was killed quickly and categorically. It will have some effect. But not a disastrous one. Quotes can be made up. Tweets can be manufactured. Most people will not know a genuine German scientist from a fake one. Very few people outside of Germany will have heard of Handelsblatt. Bollocks will spread whatever.

    EU good - nothing to see here. Next.

    What on earth has it got to do with the EU? Are people really seeing this story in those terms? Bloody hell.

    Are you not? Bloody hell.
  • Options
    GallowgateGallowgate Posts: 19,117
    edited January 2021

    MaxPB said:

    Leon said:

    kinabalu said:

    kinabalu said:

    Leon said:

    Leon said:

    MaxPB said:

    MaxPB said:

    If the EU block export of Pfizer vaccines to UK, while demanding queue jumping of AZN ones made in the UK....that will go down well.

    Don't worry, the EU will still have it's defenders in the UK, either out loud or by staying quiet.
    Everyone needs to stop frothing.

    The EU are not going to block export of Pfizer vaccines.

    What is wrong with everyone?
    So why are they putting a notification and approval process in place for exports?
    We can discuss the behaviour of the EU if and when they actually do something. Otherwise everyone is just frothing about a few tweets from EU knobheads.

    I know first-hand how integrated EU and UK pharma supply chains are. Britain therefore has significant leverage and any trade war would have awful consequences for both parties.

    Everyone just needs to calm down.
    You think that Commissioner Kyriakides is a knobhead?

    A little undiplomatic but OK . . .
    If the UK had been behaving with the chaotic, flailing incompetence of the EU and its media friends, in the last couple of weeks, they would have had squirting orgasms of delight.

    The Handelsblatt error is just mind-bogglingly stupid, world class levels of irresponsible, and it could lead to actual deaths as people read the fake news (still being retweeted by Told You So anti-vaxxers) and avoid the jab.

    How has the journalist wo wrote it still got a job? In the UK he'd now be collecting Universal Credit.
    No, in the UK people who publish lies in newspapers become Prime Minister.
    Whataboutery of the first water,

    FFS this is a lie - sorry "journalistic error" - on a cosmic level; the 8% meme is now out there, and it will possibly cause deaths.

    To make it worse, Handelsblatt were told last night be multiple experts - virologists, epidemiologists, everyone - that the "8% thing" was almost certainly wrong, damaging and dangerous, and should be immediately retracted. Did they? No. They doubled down.

    It was still on their website just an hour ago.
    In a spirit of genuine intellectual curiosity rather than whataboutery -

    Do we think this will cost more lives than the Cummings scandal?
    Since there's not the slightest particle of evidence that even one additional person died as a result of that supposed scandal, the Handelsblatt Affair has every chance of prevailing.
    None of this is provable in a hard scientific sense but it lends itself to insightful speculation for those with the head and stomach for it.
    Here we are stacking up: (i) loss of trust in government lockdown messaging due to senior government advisor pissing all over it VERSUS (ii) loss of trust in AZ vaccine due to fake news story in German newspaper.
    I don't have the answer. Was hoping to hear from others first. Particularly those who are talking about lives lost due to (ii).
    Here is an example of why the Handelsblatt Affair is much more damaging.

    The original tweets claiming "8% efficacy" were retweeted by multiple journalists, and experts, in Germany

    Like this guy. Here he is explaining why he has now deleted the retweet

    https://twitter.com/hendrikstreeck/status/1354038073001205762?s=20


    Why does he matter? Because he has 100,000 followers and he is:


    "Professor and Director of the Institute of Virology and German Center of HIV & AIDS
    @UniBonn
    Former:
    @HarvardMed"

    Many of his followers will automatically believe him, this is his field. They would have read this very alarming news last night, and told everyone on Facebook, and thus it now spreads around the world.

    Yes, loss of trust in a government adviser and maybe the government maybe has a small effect in one country. People aren't burning cars in the Netherlands and France at the moment because if Cummings, at least. Undermining trust in the main vaccine for the developing world is completely unforgivable, the Russian bot farms will be in overdrive making "8%" memes for social media and WhatsApp that will spread through Africa and South Asia like wildfire, all of it with real quotes from a real respected German newspaper and real Tweets from respected German scientists questioning the efficacy of the vaccine.

    It's genuinely a disaster for the world IMO.

    I disagree. The story was killed quickly and categorically. It will have some effect. But not a disastrous one. Quotes can be made up. Tweets can be manufactured. Most people will not know a genuine German scientist from a fake one. Very few people outside of Germany will have heard of Handelsblatt. Bollocks will spread whatever.

    I tend to agree - this is annoying but not ultimately a disaster. It is more of a concern that the EU has asked for British vaccine supplies to be diverted to itself, and is threatening to block the export of vaccines. We need to do everything possible to ensure that vaccines are manufactured in the UK. Does anyone know where the J&J one is being manufactured?
    Where's its manufactured doesn't really matter though. It's no good if it's made in the UK if a critical filter or sensor is being imported from Germany, for example, and without which manufacture is not possible.

    I do admit that home manufacture, even with a foreign supply chain, gives us more control over the finished product. It doesn't however prevent "the enemy" from cutting off supply.
  • Options
    SouthamObserverSouthamObserver Posts: 38,986
    edited January 2021

    MaxPB said:

    Leon said:

    kinabalu said:

    kinabalu said:

    Leon said:

    Leon said:

    MaxPB said:

    MaxPB said:

    If the EU block export of Pfizer vaccines to UK, while demanding queue jumping of AZN ones made in the UK....that will go down well.

    Don't worry, the EU will still have it's defenders in the UK, either out loud or by staying quiet.
    Everyone needs to stop frothing.

    The EU are not going to block export of Pfizer vaccines.

    What is wrong with everyone?
    So why are they putting a notification and approval process in place for exports?
    We can discuss the behaviour of the EU if and when they actually do something. Otherwise everyone is just frothing about a few tweets from EU knobheads.

    I know first-hand how integrated EU and UK pharma supply chains are. Britain therefore has significant leverage and any trade war would have awful consequences for both parties.

    Everyone just needs to calm down.
    You think that Commissioner Kyriakides is a knobhead?

    A little undiplomatic but OK . . .
    If the UK had been behaving with the chaotic, flailing incompetence of the EU and its media friends, in the last couple of weeks, they would have had squirting orgasms of delight.

    The Handelsblatt error is just mind-bogglingly stupid, world class levels of irresponsible, and it could lead to actual deaths as people read the fake news (still being retweeted by Told You So anti-vaxxers) and avoid the jab.

    How has the journalist wo wrote it still got a job? In the UK he'd now be collecting Universal Credit.
    No, in the UK people who publish lies in newspapers become Prime Minister.
    Whataboutery of the first water,

    FFS this is a lie - sorry "journalistic error" - on a cosmic level; the 8% meme is now out there, and it will possibly cause deaths.

    To make it worse, Handelsblatt were told last night be multiple experts - virologists, epidemiologists, everyone - that the "8% thing" was almost certainly wrong, damaging and dangerous, and should be immediately retracted. Did they? No. They doubled down.

    It was still on their website just an hour ago.
    In a spirit of genuine intellectual curiosity rather than whataboutery -

    Do we think this will cost more lives than the Cummings scandal?
    Since there's not the slightest particle of evidence that even one additional person died as a result of that supposed scandal, the Handelsblatt Affair has every chance of prevailing.
    None of this is provable in a hard scientific sense but it lends itself to insightful speculation for those with the head and stomach for it.
    Here we are stacking up: (i) loss of trust in government lockdown messaging due to senior government advisor pissing all over it VERSUS (ii) loss of trust in AZ vaccine due to fake news story in German newspaper.
    I don't have the answer. Was hoping to hear from others first. Particularly those who are talking about lives lost due to (ii).
    Here is an example of why the Handelsblatt Affair is much more damaging.

    The original tweets claiming "8% efficacy" were retweeted by multiple journalists, and experts, in Germany

    Like this guy. Here he is explaining why he has now deleted the retweet

    https://twitter.com/hendrikstreeck/status/1354038073001205762?s=20


    Why does he matter? Because he has 100,000 followers and he is:


    "Professor and Director of the Institute of Virology and German Center of HIV & AIDS
    @UniBonn
    Former:
    @HarvardMed"

    Many of his followers will automatically believe him, this is his field. They would have read this very alarming news last night, and told everyone on Facebook, and thus it now spreads around the world.

    Yes, loss of trust in a government adviser and maybe the government maybe has a small effect in one country. People aren't burning cars in the Netherlands and France at the moment because if Cummings, at least. Undermining trust in the main vaccine for the developing world is completely unforgivable, the Russian bot farms will be in overdrive making "8%" memes for social media and WhatsApp that will spread through Africa and South Asia like wildfire, all of it with real quotes from a real respected German newspaper and real Tweets from respected German scientists questioning the efficacy of the vaccine.

    It's genuinely a disaster for the world IMO.

    I disagree. The story was killed quickly and categorically. It will have some effect. But not a disastrous one. Quotes can be made up. Tweets can be manufactured. Most people will not know a genuine German scientist from a fake one. Very few people outside of Germany will have heard of Handelsblatt. Bollocks will spread whatever.

    I tend to agree - this is annoying but not ultimately a disaster. It is more of a concern that the EU has asked for British vaccine supplies to be diverted to itself, and is threatening to block the export of vaccines. We need to do everything possible to ensure that vaccines are manufactured in the UK. Does anyone know where the J&J one is being manufactured?

    Yes, the vaccine nationalism is far more concerning. The EU has buggered up its procurement process.

  • Options
    RobDRobD Posts: 59,022

    MaxPB said:

    Leon said:

    kinabalu said:

    kinabalu said:

    Leon said:

    Leon said:

    MaxPB said:

    MaxPB said:

    If the EU block export of Pfizer vaccines to UK, while demanding queue jumping of AZN ones made in the UK....that will go down well.

    Don't worry, the EU will still have it's defenders in the UK, either out loud or by staying quiet.
    Everyone needs to stop frothing.

    The EU are not going to block export of Pfizer vaccines.

    What is wrong with everyone?
    So why are they putting a notification and approval process in place for exports?
    We can discuss the behaviour of the EU if and when they actually do something. Otherwise everyone is just frothing about a few tweets from EU knobheads.

    I know first-hand how integrated EU and UK pharma supply chains are. Britain therefore has significant leverage and any trade war would have awful consequences for both parties.

    Everyone just needs to calm down.
    You think that Commissioner Kyriakides is a knobhead?

    A little undiplomatic but OK . . .
    If the UK had been behaving with the chaotic, flailing incompetence of the EU and its media friends, in the last couple of weeks, they would have had squirting orgasms of delight.

    The Handelsblatt error is just mind-bogglingly stupid, world class levels of irresponsible, and it could lead to actual deaths as people read the fake news (still being retweeted by Told You So anti-vaxxers) and avoid the jab.

    How has the journalist wo wrote it still got a job? In the UK he'd now be collecting Universal Credit.
    No, in the UK people who publish lies in newspapers become Prime Minister.
    Whataboutery of the first water,

    FFS this is a lie - sorry "journalistic error" - on a cosmic level; the 8% meme is now out there, and it will possibly cause deaths.

    To make it worse, Handelsblatt were told last night be multiple experts - virologists, epidemiologists, everyone - that the "8% thing" was almost certainly wrong, damaging and dangerous, and should be immediately retracted. Did they? No. They doubled down.

    It was still on their website just an hour ago.
    In a spirit of genuine intellectual curiosity rather than whataboutery -

    Do we think this will cost more lives than the Cummings scandal?
    Since there's not the slightest particle of evidence that even one additional person died as a result of that supposed scandal, the Handelsblatt Affair has every chance of prevailing.
    None of this is provable in a hard scientific sense but it lends itself to insightful speculation for those with the head and stomach for it.
    Here we are stacking up: (i) loss of trust in government lockdown messaging due to senior government advisor pissing all over it VERSUS (ii) loss of trust in AZ vaccine due to fake news story in German newspaper.
    I don't have the answer. Was hoping to hear from others first. Particularly those who are talking about lives lost due to (ii).
    Here is an example of why the Handelsblatt Affair is much more damaging.

    The original tweets claiming "8% efficacy" were retweeted by multiple journalists, and experts, in Germany

    Like this guy. Here he is explaining why he has now deleted the retweet

    https://twitter.com/hendrikstreeck/status/1354038073001205762?s=20


    Why does he matter? Because he has 100,000 followers and he is:


    "Professor and Director of the Institute of Virology and German Center of HIV & AIDS
    @UniBonn
    Former:
    @HarvardMed"

    Many of his followers will automatically believe him, this is his field. They would have read this very alarming news last night, and told everyone on Facebook, and thus it now spreads around the world.

    Yes, loss of trust in a government adviser and maybe the government maybe has a small effect in one country. People aren't burning cars in the Netherlands and France at the moment because if Cummings, at least. Undermining trust in the main vaccine for the developing world is completely unforgivable, the Russian bot farms will be in overdrive making "8%" memes for social media and WhatsApp that will spread through Africa and South Asia like wildfire, all of it with real quotes from a real respected German newspaper and real Tweets from respected German scientists questioning the efficacy of the vaccine.

    It's genuinely a disaster for the world IMO.

    I disagree. The story was killed quickly and categorically. It will have some effect. But not a disastrous one. Quotes can be made up. Tweets can be manufactured. Most people will not know a genuine German scientist from a fake one. Very few people outside of Germany will have heard of Handelsblatt. Bollocks will spread whatever.

    I tend to agree - this is annoying but not ultimately a disaster. It is more of a concern that the EU has asked for British vaccine supplies to be diverted to itself, and is threatening to block the export of vaccines. We need to do everything possible to ensure that vaccines are manufactured in the UK. Does anyone know where the J&J one is being manufactured?

    Aren't UK AZN vaccines manufactured in the UK?

    Mostly, but they've still asked for UK doses to be diverted.
  • Options
    OmniumOmnium Posts: 9,826

    Omnium said:

    ydoethur said:

    Pulpstar said:

    They'll be busted with a group visit to the doughnut shop next.

    https://twitter.com/MargaretDavisPA/status/1354086077875834896

    £200 for a haircut is quite a lot, although for some barbers it would be a mere snip.
    I don't know a single barber who's *not* cutting people's hair on the sly. They claim they need to to survive.
    How many barbers can you possibly know?
    Just ask yourself how all these footballers and instagram influencers still have perfect hair.
    Yeah but let's suppose you know 10 footballers, each with 10 hair stylists. It's still not enough to conclude much.

  • Options
    TimTTimT Posts: 6,328
    MaxPB said:

    Israel new cases 30 days. Doesn't seem that encouraging at the moment.


    Let's see how that feeds into the hospitalisation rate, we know a single dose may not be enough to prevent people from getting it, but should be enough to prevent severe symptoms that require hospitalisation.
    I also wonder whether we will see that sort of spike in new infections once vaccination programmes reach a reasonable proportion of the population, as people start to relax. Or maybe it will only happen in countries like Israel where their rollout is fast, so a good proportion have been jabbed but have yet to develop full protective effect.
  • Options
    GallowgateGallowgate Posts: 19,117
    MaxPB said:

    Israel new cases 30 days. Doesn't seem that encouraging at the moment.


    Let's see how that feeds into the hospitalisation rate, we know a single dose may not be enough to prevent people from getting it, but should be enough to prevent severe symptoms that require hospitalisation.
    I hope so. That would be a good outcome.
  • Options
    RobDRobD Posts: 59,022
    Leon said:

    MaxPB said:

    Leon said:

    MaxPB said:

    kinabalu said:

    kinabalu said:

    Leon said:

    Leon said:

    MaxPB said:

    MaxPB said:

    If the EU block export of Pfizer vaccines to UK, while demanding queue jumping of AZN ones made in the UK....that will go down well.

    Don't worry, the EU will still have it's defenders in the UK, either out loud or by staying quiet.
    Everyone needs to stop frothing.

    The EU are not going to block export of Pfizer vaccines.

    What is wrong with everyone?
    So why are they putting a notification and approval process in place for exports?
    We can discuss the behaviour of the EU if and when they actually do something. Otherwise everyone is just frothing about a few tweets from EU knobheads.

    I know first-hand how integrated EU and UK pharma supply chains are. Britain therefore has significant leverage and any trade war would have awful consequences for both parties.

    Everyone just needs to calm down.
    You think that Commissioner Kyriakides is a knobhead?

    A little undiplomatic but OK . . .
    If the UK had been behaving with the chaotic, flailing incompetence of the EU and its media friends, in the last couple of weeks, they would have had squirting orgasms of delight.

    The Handelsblatt error is just mind-bogglingly stupid, world class levels of irresponsible, and it could lead to actual deaths as people read the fake news (still being retweeted by Told You So anti-vaxxers) and avoid the jab.

    How has the journalist wo wrote it still got a job? In the UK he'd now be collecting Universal Credit.
    No, in the UK people who publish lies in newspapers become Prime Minister.
    Whataboutery of the first water,

    FFS this is a lie - sorry "journalistic error" - on a cosmic level; the 8% meme is now out there, and it will possibly cause deaths.

    To make it worse, Handelsblatt were told last night be multiple experts - virologists, epidemiologists, everyone - that the "8% thing" was almost certainly wrong, damaging and dangerous, and should be immediately retracted. Did they? No. They doubled down.

    It was still on their website just an hour ago.
    In a spirit of genuine intellectual curiosity rather than whataboutery -

    Do we think this will cost more lives than the Cummings scandal?
    Obviously.
    Sorry, forgot to add - the question is not to be attempted by people who lost their integrity over the Cummings scandal. To assess it properly you need (i) some core data, (ii) a set of reasonable assumptions about behaviour, (iii) a calculator, and (iv) your integrity.
    I quit the Tory party over it, and this anti-vaxxer bullshit from Germany is way, way worse than Cummings. The effect on global vaccine take up in the developing world is going to be a disaster once the Russian "8%" memes start to spread all over African and Asian WhatsApp.
    I suppose there is still the tiny possibility that the 8% "fact" is true; though it seems vanishingly unlikely, from all I've read about vaccines, and it has been vehemently denied by AZ, and is now denied by the German government.


    It's not true, the German government has already said it was down to a misunderstanding of the report the German regulator has received from the EMA saying that 56-69 year olds only made up 8% of the trial. That's where the number comes from. It has nothing to do with efficacy.
    If you are right (and I am sure you are) I do not understand why Handelsblatt themselves have not come out with a grovelling retraction. Because they haven't.

    Their last tweet on this reiterated the 8% claim, and merely added that the company itself (AZ) disagreed.

    https://twitter.com/handelsblatt/status/1353992634570854402?s=20
    Their lawyers have told them to shut up about it while they do damage control?
  • Options
    kinabalukinabalu Posts: 39,473

    kinabalu said:

    kinabalu said:

    Leon said:

    Leon said:

    MaxPB said:

    MaxPB said:

    If the EU block export of Pfizer vaccines to UK, while demanding queue jumping of AZN ones made in the UK....that will go down well.

    Don't worry, the EU will still have it's defenders in the UK, either out loud or by staying quiet.
    Everyone needs to stop frothing.

    The EU are not going to block export of Pfizer vaccines.

    What is wrong with everyone?
    So why are they putting a notification and approval process in place for exports?
    We can discuss the behaviour of the EU if and when they actually do something. Otherwise everyone is just frothing about a few tweets from EU knobheads.

    I know first-hand how integrated EU and UK pharma supply chains are. Britain therefore has significant leverage and any trade war would have awful consequences for both parties.

    Everyone just needs to calm down.
    You think that Commissioner Kyriakides is a knobhead?

    A little undiplomatic but OK . . .
    If the UK had been behaving with the chaotic, flailing incompetence of the EU and its media friends, in the last couple of weeks, they would have had squirting orgasms of delight.

    The Handelsblatt error is just mind-bogglingly stupid, world class levels of irresponsible, and it could lead to actual deaths as people read the fake news (still being retweeted by Told You So anti-vaxxers) and avoid the jab.

    How has the journalist wo wrote it still got a job? In the UK he'd now be collecting Universal Credit.
    No, in the UK people who publish lies in newspapers become Prime Minister.
    Whataboutery of the first water,

    FFS this is a lie - sorry "journalistic error" - on a cosmic level; the 8% meme is now out there, and it will possibly cause deaths.

    To make it worse, Handelsblatt were told last night be multiple experts - virologists, epidemiologists, everyone - that the "8% thing" was almost certainly wrong, damaging and dangerous, and should be immediately retracted. Did they? No. They doubled down.

    It was still on their website just an hour ago.
    In a spirit of genuine intellectual curiosity rather than whataboutery -

    Do we think this will cost more lives than the Cummings scandal?
    Obviously.
    Sorry, forgot to add - the question is not to be attempted by people who lost their integrity over the Cummings scandal. To assess it properly you need (i) some core data, (ii) a set of reasonable assumptions about behaviour, (iii) a calculator, and (iv) your integrity.
    So you mean people who agree with you and your assumptions. Lets see your "core data" considering the Cummings "scandal" came while lockdown was being lifted and many months before the second wave began.

    Don't be ridiculous claiming that cost lives while antivax BS doesn't. Show some "core data" to substantiate that. 🙄
    It's the comparison I'm interested in. They both will have cost lives. This is undeniable to all with integrity. Definition of integrity here being people who seek to neither downplay and excuse Cummings nor downplay and excuse this. So, I can play (although I'm not) but you and ilk can't.
  • Options
    GallowgateGallowgate Posts: 19,117
    edited January 2021
    Omnium said:

    Omnium said:

    ydoethur said:

    Pulpstar said:

    They'll be busted with a group visit to the doughnut shop next.

    https://twitter.com/MargaretDavisPA/status/1354086077875834896

    £200 for a haircut is quite a lot, although for some barbers it would be a mere snip.
    I don't know a single barber who's *not* cutting people's hair on the sly. They claim they need to to survive.
    How many barbers can you possibly know?
    Just ask yourself how all these footballers and instagram influencers still have perfect hair.
    Yeah but let's suppose you know 10 footballers, each with 10 hair stylists. It's still not enough to conclude much.

    Well my barber told me that they have to as they do not qualify for any government help.

    Anecdotally I hear the same from elsewhere.
  • Options
    RobD said:

    MaxPB said:

    Leon said:

    kinabalu said:

    kinabalu said:

    Leon said:

    Leon said:

    MaxPB said:

    MaxPB said:

    If the EU block export of Pfizer vaccines to UK, while demanding queue jumping of AZN ones made in the UK....that will go down well.

    Don't worry, the EU will still have it's defenders in the UK, either out loud or by staying quiet.
    Everyone needs to stop frothing.

    The EU are not going to block export of Pfizer vaccines.

    What is wrong with everyone?
    So why are they putting a notification and approval process in place for exports?
    We can discuss the behaviour of the EU if and when they actually do something. Otherwise everyone is just frothing about a few tweets from EU knobheads.

    I know first-hand how integrated EU and UK pharma supply chains are. Britain therefore has significant leverage and any trade war would have awful consequences for both parties.

    Everyone just needs to calm down.
    You think that Commissioner Kyriakides is a knobhead?

    A little undiplomatic but OK . . .
    If the UK had been behaving with the chaotic, flailing incompetence of the EU and its media friends, in the last couple of weeks, they would have had squirting orgasms of delight.

    The Handelsblatt error is just mind-bogglingly stupid, world class levels of irresponsible, and it could lead to actual deaths as people read the fake news (still being retweeted by Told You So anti-vaxxers) and avoid the jab.

    How has the journalist wo wrote it still got a job? In the UK he'd now be collecting Universal Credit.
    No, in the UK people who publish lies in newspapers become Prime Minister.
    Whataboutery of the first water,

    FFS this is a lie - sorry "journalistic error" - on a cosmic level; the 8% meme is now out there, and it will possibly cause deaths.

    To make it worse, Handelsblatt were told last night be multiple experts - virologists, epidemiologists, everyone - that the "8% thing" was almost certainly wrong, damaging and dangerous, and should be immediately retracted. Did they? No. They doubled down.

    It was still on their website just an hour ago.
    In a spirit of genuine intellectual curiosity rather than whataboutery -

    Do we think this will cost more lives than the Cummings scandal?
    Since there's not the slightest particle of evidence that even one additional person died as a result of that supposed scandal, the Handelsblatt Affair has every chance of prevailing.
    None of this is provable in a hard scientific sense but it lends itself to insightful speculation for those with the head and stomach for it.
    Here we are stacking up: (i) loss of trust in government lockdown messaging due to senior government advisor pissing all over it VERSUS (ii) loss of trust in AZ vaccine due to fake news story in German newspaper.
    I don't have the answer. Was hoping to hear from others first. Particularly those who are talking about lives lost due to (ii).
    Here is an example of why the Handelsblatt Affair is much more damaging.

    The original tweets claiming "8% efficacy" were retweeted by multiple journalists, and experts, in Germany

    Like this guy. Here he is explaining why he has now deleted the retweet

    https://twitter.com/hendrikstreeck/status/1354038073001205762?s=20


    Why does he matter? Because he has 100,000 followers and he is:


    "Professor and Director of the Institute of Virology and German Center of HIV & AIDS
    @UniBonn
    Former:
    @HarvardMed"

    Many of his followers will automatically believe him, this is his field. They would have read this very alarming news last night, and told everyone on Facebook, and thus it now spreads around the world.

    Yes, loss of trust in a government adviser and maybe the government maybe has a small effect in one country. People aren't burning cars in the Netherlands and France at the moment because if Cummings, at least. Undermining trust in the main vaccine for the developing world is completely unforgivable, the Russian bot farms will be in overdrive making "8%" memes for social media and WhatsApp that will spread through Africa and South Asia like wildfire, all of it with real quotes from a real respected German newspaper and real Tweets from respected German scientists questioning the efficacy of the vaccine.

    It's genuinely a disaster for the world IMO.

    I disagree. The story was killed quickly and categorically. It will have some effect. But not a disastrous one. Quotes can be made up. Tweets can be manufactured. Most people will not know a genuine German scientist from a fake one. Very few people outside of Germany will have heard of Handelsblatt. Bollocks will spread whatever.

    I tend to agree - this is annoying but not ultimately a disaster. It is more of a concern that the EU has asked for British vaccine supplies to be diverted to itself, and is threatening to block the export of vaccines. We need to do everything possible to ensure that vaccines are manufactured in the UK. Does anyone know where the J&J one is being manufactured?

    Aren't UK AZN vaccines manufactured in the UK?

    Mostly, but they've still asked for UK doses to be diverted.

    Blimey - I had not heard that.

  • Options
    SandpitSandpit Posts: 50,024
    Leon said:

    MaxPB said:

    Leon said:

    MaxPB said:

    kinabalu said:

    kinabalu said:

    Leon said:

    Leon said:

    MaxPB said:

    MaxPB said:

    If the EU block export of Pfizer vaccines to UK, while demanding queue jumping of AZN ones made in the UK....that will go down well.

    Don't worry, the EU will still have it's defenders in the UK, either out loud or by staying quiet.
    Everyone needs to stop frothing.

    The EU are not going to block export of Pfizer vaccines.

    What is wrong with everyone?
    So why are they putting a notification and approval process in place for exports?
    We can discuss the behaviour of the EU if and when they actually do something. Otherwise everyone is just frothing about a few tweets from EU knobheads.

    I know first-hand how integrated EU and UK pharma supply chains are. Britain therefore has significant leverage and any trade war would have awful consequences for both parties.

    Everyone just needs to calm down.
    You think that Commissioner Kyriakides is a knobhead?

    A little undiplomatic but OK . . .
    If the UK had been behaving with the chaotic, flailing incompetence of the EU and its media friends, in the last couple of weeks, they would have had squirting orgasms of delight.

    The Handelsblatt error is just mind-bogglingly stupid, world class levels of irresponsible, and it could lead to actual deaths as people read the fake news (still being retweeted by Told You So anti-vaxxers) and avoid the jab.

    How has the journalist wo wrote it still got a job? In the UK he'd now be collecting Universal Credit.
    No, in the UK people who publish lies in newspapers become Prime Minister.
    Whataboutery of the first water,

    FFS this is a lie - sorry "journalistic error" - on a cosmic level; the 8% meme is now out there, and it will possibly cause deaths.

    To make it worse, Handelsblatt were told last night be multiple experts - virologists, epidemiologists, everyone - that the "8% thing" was almost certainly wrong, damaging and dangerous, and should be immediately retracted. Did they? No. They doubled down.

    It was still on their website just an hour ago.
    In a spirit of genuine intellectual curiosity rather than whataboutery -

    Do we think this will cost more lives than the Cummings scandal?
    Obviously.
    Sorry, forgot to add - the question is not to be attempted by people who lost their integrity over the Cummings scandal. To assess it properly you need (i) some core data, (ii) a set of reasonable assumptions about behaviour, (iii) a calculator, and (iv) your integrity.
    I quit the Tory party over it, and this anti-vaxxer bullshit from Germany is way, way worse than Cummings. The effect on global vaccine take up in the developing world is going to be a disaster once the Russian "8%" memes start to spread all over African and Asian WhatsApp.
    I suppose there is still the tiny possibility that the 8% "fact" is true; though it seems vanishingly unlikely, from all I've read about vaccines, and it has been vehemently denied by AZ, and is now denied by the German government.


    It's not true, the German government has already said it was down to a misunderstanding of the report the German regulator has received from the EMA saying that 56-69 year olds only made up 8% of the trial. That's where the number comes from. It has nothing to do with efficacy.
    If you are right (and I am sure you are) I do not understand why Handelsblatt themselves have not come out with a grovelling retraction. Because they haven't.

    Their last tweet on this reiterated the 8% claim, and merely added that the company itself (AZ) disagreed.

    https://twitter.com/handelsblatt/status/1353992634570854402?s=20
    Hope they don’t mind the wrath of AZ’s lawyers.

    I know newspapers are used to dealing with lawyers and disputes, but do they really want all that Legal Big Pharma has to throw at them, from a $130bn company?
  • Options
    FF43FF43 Posts: 15,843
    edited January 2021

    MaxPB said:

    Leon said:

    kinabalu said:

    kinabalu said:

    Leon said:

    Leon said:

    MaxPB said:

    MaxPB said:

    If the EU block export of Pfizer vaccines to UK, while demanding queue jumping of AZN ones made in the UK....that will go down well.

    Don't worry, the EU will still have it's defenders in the UK, either out loud or by staying quiet.
    Everyone needs to stop frothing.

    The EU are not going to block export of Pfizer vaccines.

    What is wrong with everyone?
    So why are they putting a notification and approval process in place for exports?
    We can discuss the behaviour of the EU if and when they actually do something. Otherwise everyone is just frothing about a few tweets from EU knobheads.

    I know first-hand how integrated EU and UK pharma supply chains are. Britain therefore has significant leverage and any trade war would have awful consequences for both parties.

    Everyone just needs to calm down.
    You think that Commissioner Kyriakides is a knobhead?

    A little undiplomatic but OK . . .
    If the UK had been behaving with the chaotic, flailing incompetence of the EU and its media friends, in the last couple of weeks, they would have had squirting orgasms of delight.

    The Handelsblatt error is just mind-bogglingly stupid, world class levels of irresponsible, and it could lead to actual deaths as people read the fake news (still being retweeted by Told You So anti-vaxxers) and avoid the jab.

    How has the journalist wo wrote it still got a job? In the UK he'd now be collecting Universal Credit.
    No, in the UK people who publish lies in newspapers become Prime Minister.
    Whataboutery of the first water,

    FFS this is a lie - sorry "journalistic error" - on a cosmic level; the 8% meme is now out there, and it will possibly cause deaths.

    To make it worse, Handelsblatt were told last night be multiple experts - virologists, epidemiologists, everyone - that the "8% thing" was almost certainly wrong, damaging and dangerous, and should be immediately retracted. Did they? No. They doubled down.

    It was still on their website just an hour ago.
    In a spirit of genuine intellectual curiosity rather than whataboutery -

    Do we think this will cost more lives than the Cummings scandal?
    Since there's not the slightest particle of evidence that even one additional person died as a result of that supposed scandal, the Handelsblatt Affair has every chance of prevailing.
    None of this is provable in a hard scientific sense but it lends itself to insightful speculation for those with the head and stomach for it.
    Here we are stacking up: (i) loss of trust in government lockdown messaging due to senior government advisor pissing all over it VERSUS (ii) loss of trust in AZ vaccine due to fake news story in German newspaper.
    I don't have the answer. Was hoping to hear from others first. Particularly those who are talking about lives lost due to (ii).
    Here is an example of why the Handelsblatt Affair is much more damaging.

    The original tweets claiming "8% efficacy" were retweeted by multiple journalists, and experts, in Germany

    Like this guy. Here he is explaining why he has now deleted the retweet

    https://twitter.com/hendrikstreeck/status/1354038073001205762?s=20


    Why does he matter? Because he has 100,000 followers and he is:


    "Professor and Director of the Institute of Virology and German Center of HIV & AIDS
    @UniBonn
    Former:
    @HarvardMed"

    Many of his followers will automatically believe him, this is his field. They would have read this very alarming news last night, and told everyone on Facebook, and thus it now spreads around the world.

    Yes, loss of trust in a government adviser and maybe the government maybe has a small effect in one country. People aren't burning cars in the Netherlands and France at the moment because if Cummings, at least. Undermining trust in the main vaccine for the developing world is completely unforgivable, the Russian bot farms will be in overdrive making "8%" memes for social media and WhatsApp that will spread through Africa and South Asia like wildfire, all of it with real quotes from a real respected German newspaper and real Tweets from respected German scientists questioning the efficacy of the vaccine.

    It's genuinely a disaster for the world IMO.

    I disagree. The story was killed quickly and categorically. It will have some effect. But not a disastrous one. Quotes can be made up. Tweets can be manufactured. Most people will not know a genuine German scientist from a fake one. Very few people outside of Germany will have heard of Handelsblatt. Bollocks will spread whatever.

    The sensible thing is to wait until the EMA delivers its expected authorisation and conditions for the Astrazeneca vaccine on Friday. They are not going to make mistakes like this. The problem is the widespread repetition as fact of unsubstantiated and unattributed assertion. Not just a German problem, I have to say...

    There is speculation that the EMA will not authorise the AZ vaccine for over 65s. If this happens, I suspect a risk of people coming to the conclusion that the vaccine is unsafe, rather than that the EMA lacks the data to support authorisation, hopefully a temporary situation until the data can be procured.
  • Options

    felix said:

    MaxPB said:

    Leon said:

    kinabalu said:

    kinabalu said:

    Leon said:

    Leon said:

    MaxPB said:

    MaxPB said:

    If the EU block export of Pfizer vaccines to UK, while demanding queue jumping of AZN ones made in the UK....that will go down well.

    Don't worry, the EU will still have it's defenders in the UK, either out loud or by staying quiet.
    Everyone needs to stop frothing.

    The EU are not going to block export of Pfizer vaccines.

    What is wrong with everyone?
    So why are they putting a notification and approval process in place for exports?
    We can discuss the behaviour of the EU if and when they actually do something. Otherwise everyone is just frothing about a few tweets from EU knobheads.

    I know first-hand how integrated EU and UK pharma supply chains are. Britain therefore has significant leverage and any trade war would have awful consequences for both parties.

    Everyone just needs to calm down.
    You think that Commissioner Kyriakides is a knobhead?

    A little undiplomatic but OK . . .
    If the UK had been behaving with the chaotic, flailing incompetence of the EU and its media friends, in the last couple of weeks, they would have had squirting orgasms of delight.

    The Handelsblatt error is just mind-bogglingly stupid, world class levels of irresponsible, and it could lead to actual deaths as people read the fake news (still being retweeted by Told You So anti-vaxxers) and avoid the jab.

    How has the journalist wo wrote it still got a job? In the UK he'd now be collecting Universal Credit.
    No, in the UK people who publish lies in newspapers become Prime Minister.
    Whataboutery of the first water,

    FFS this is a lie - sorry "journalistic error" - on a cosmic level; the 8% meme is now out there, and it will possibly cause deaths.

    To make it worse, Handelsblatt were told last night be multiple experts - virologists, epidemiologists, everyone - that the "8% thing" was almost certainly wrong, damaging and dangerous, and should be immediately retracted. Did they? No. They doubled down.

    It was still on their website just an hour ago.
    In a spirit of genuine intellectual curiosity rather than whataboutery -

    Do we think this will cost more lives than the Cummings scandal?
    Since there's not the slightest particle of evidence that even one additional person died as a result of that supposed scandal, the Handelsblatt Affair has every chance of prevailing.
    None of this is provable in a hard scientific sense but it lends itself to insightful speculation for those with the head and stomach for it.
    Here we are stacking up: (i) loss of trust in government lockdown messaging due to senior government advisor pissing all over it VERSUS (ii) loss of trust in AZ vaccine due to fake news story in German newspaper.
    I don't have the answer. Was hoping to hear from others first. Particularly those who are talking about lives lost due to (ii).
    Here is an example of why the Handelsblatt Affair is much more damaging.

    The original tweets claiming "8% efficacy" were retweeted by multiple journalists, and experts, in Germany

    Like this guy. Here he is explaining why he has now deleted the retweet

    https://twitter.com/hendrikstreeck/status/1354038073001205762?s=20


    Why does he matter? Because he has 100,000 followers and he is:


    "Professor and Director of the Institute of Virology and German Center of HIV & AIDS
    @UniBonn
    Former:
    @HarvardMed"

    Many of his followers will automatically believe him, this is his field. They would have read this very alarming news last night, and told everyone on Facebook, and thus it now spreads around the world.

    Yes, loss of trust in a government adviser and maybe the government maybe has a small effect in one country. People aren't burning cars in the Netherlands and France at the moment because if Cummings, at least. Undermining trust in the main vaccine for the developing world is completely unforgivable, the Russian bot farms will be in overdrive making "8%" memes for social media and WhatsApp that will spread through Africa and South Asia like wildfire, all of it with real quotes from a real respected German newspaper and real Tweets from respected German scientists questioning the efficacy of the vaccine.

    It's genuinely a disaster for the world IMO.

    I disagree. The story was killed quickly and categorically. It will have some effect. But not a disastrous one. Quotes can be made up. Tweets can be manufactured. Most people will not know a genuine German scientist from a fake one. Very few people outside of Germany will have heard of Handelsblatt. Bollocks will spread whatever.

    EU good - nothing to see here. Next.

    What on earth has it got to do with the EU? Are people really seeing this story in those terms? Bloody hell.

    Are you not? Bloody hell.

    No, I'm not. As someone who has bee involved in journalism for 30 years I am seeing it as a story about a newspaper and a journalist who have got something terribly, terribly wrong. I don't see what the EU has to do with this at all. It does not own the newspaper or control its output.

  • Options
    GallowgateGallowgate Posts: 19,117
    FF43 said:

    MaxPB said:

    Leon said:

    kinabalu said:

    kinabalu said:

    Leon said:

    Leon said:

    MaxPB said:

    MaxPB said:

    If the EU block export of Pfizer vaccines to UK, while demanding queue jumping of AZN ones made in the UK....that will go down well.

    Don't worry, the EU will still have it's defenders in the UK, either out loud or by staying quiet.
    Everyone needs to stop frothing.

    The EU are not going to block export of Pfizer vaccines.

    What is wrong with everyone?
    So why are they putting a notification and approval process in place for exports?
    We can discuss the behaviour of the EU if and when they actually do something. Otherwise everyone is just frothing about a few tweets from EU knobheads.

    I know first-hand how integrated EU and UK pharma supply chains are. Britain therefore has significant leverage and any trade war would have awful consequences for both parties.

    Everyone just needs to calm down.
    You think that Commissioner Kyriakides is a knobhead?

    A little undiplomatic but OK . . .
    If the UK had been behaving with the chaotic, flailing incompetence of the EU and its media friends, in the last couple of weeks, they would have had squirting orgasms of delight.

    The Handelsblatt error is just mind-bogglingly stupid, world class levels of irresponsible, and it could lead to actual deaths as people read the fake news (still being retweeted by Told You So anti-vaxxers) and avoid the jab.

    How has the journalist wo wrote it still got a job? In the UK he'd now be collecting Universal Credit.
    No, in the UK people who publish lies in newspapers become Prime Minister.
    Whataboutery of the first water,

    FFS this is a lie - sorry "journalistic error" - on a cosmic level; the 8% meme is now out there, and it will possibly cause deaths.

    To make it worse, Handelsblatt were told last night be multiple experts - virologists, epidemiologists, everyone - that the "8% thing" was almost certainly wrong, damaging and dangerous, and should be immediately retracted. Did they? No. They doubled down.

    It was still on their website just an hour ago.
    In a spirit of genuine intellectual curiosity rather than whataboutery -

    Do we think this will cost more lives than the Cummings scandal?
    Since there's not the slightest particle of evidence that even one additional person died as a result of that supposed scandal, the Handelsblatt Affair has every chance of prevailing.
    None of this is provable in a hard scientific sense but it lends itself to insightful speculation for those with the head and stomach for it.
    Here we are stacking up: (i) loss of trust in government lockdown messaging due to senior government advisor pissing all over it VERSUS (ii) loss of trust in AZ vaccine due to fake news story in German newspaper.
    I don't have the answer. Was hoping to hear from others first. Particularly those who are talking about lives lost due to (ii).
    Here is an example of why the Handelsblatt Affair is much more damaging.

    The original tweets claiming "8% efficacy" were retweeted by multiple journalists, and experts, in Germany

    Like this guy. Here he is explaining why he has now deleted the retweet

    https://twitter.com/hendrikstreeck/status/1354038073001205762?s=20


    Why does he matter? Because he has 100,000 followers and he is:


    "Professor and Director of the Institute of Virology and German Center of HIV & AIDS
    @UniBonn
    Former:
    @HarvardMed"

    Many of his followers will automatically believe him, this is his field. They would have read this very alarming news last night, and told everyone on Facebook, and thus it now spreads around the world.

    Yes, loss of trust in a government adviser and maybe the government maybe has a small effect in one country. People aren't burning cars in the Netherlands and France at the moment because if Cummings, at least. Undermining trust in the main vaccine for the developing world is completely unforgivable, the Russian bot farms will be in overdrive making "8%" memes for social media and WhatsApp that will spread through Africa and South Asia like wildfire, all of it with real quotes from a real respected German newspaper and real Tweets from respected German scientists questioning the efficacy of the vaccine.

    It's genuinely a disaster for the world IMO.

    I disagree. The story was killed quickly and categorically. It will have some effect. But not a disastrous one. Quotes can be made up. Tweets can be manufactured. Most people will not know a genuine German scientist from a fake one. Very few people outside of Germany will have heard of Handelsblatt. Bollocks will spread whatever.

    The sensible thing is to wait until the EMA delivers its expected authorisation and conditions on Friday. They are not going to make mistakes like this. The problem is the widespread repetition as fact of unsubstantiated and unattributed assertion. Not just a German problem, I have to say...

    There is speculation that the EMA will not authorise the AZ vaccine for over 65s. If this happens, I suspect a risk of people coming to the conclusion that the vaccine is unsafe, rather than that the EMA lacks the data to support authorisation, hopefully a temporary situation until the data can be procured.
    By that time all our over 65s will already be vaccinated!
  • Options
    OmniumOmnium Posts: 9,826

    Omnium said:

    Omnium said:

    ydoethur said:

    Pulpstar said:

    They'll be busted with a group visit to the doughnut shop next.

    https://twitter.com/MargaretDavisPA/status/1354086077875834896

    £200 for a haircut is quite a lot, although for some barbers it would be a mere snip.
    I don't know a single barber who's *not* cutting people's hair on the sly. They claim they need to to survive.
    How many barbers can you possibly know?
    Just ask yourself how all these footballers and instagram influencers still have perfect hair.
    Yeah but let's suppose you know 10 footballers, each with 10 hair stylists. It's still not enough to conclude much.

    Well my barber told me that they have to as they do not qualify for any government help.

    Anecdotally I hear the same from elsewhere.
    You would agree that this makes a sample of two though.

    As you're 'gallowgate' I'll allow a most excellent sample. Not sure that your argument, even with my endorsement, gets you through the gates though.
  • Options
    GallowgateGallowgate Posts: 19,117

    felix said:

    MaxPB said:

    Leon said:

    kinabalu said:

    kinabalu said:

    Leon said:

    Leon said:

    MaxPB said:

    MaxPB said:

    If the EU block export of Pfizer vaccines to UK, while demanding queue jumping of AZN ones made in the UK....that will go down well.

    Don't worry, the EU will still have it's defenders in the UK, either out loud or by staying quiet.
    Everyone needs to stop frothing.

    The EU are not going to block export of Pfizer vaccines.

    What is wrong with everyone?
    So why are they putting a notification and approval process in place for exports?
    We can discuss the behaviour of the EU if and when they actually do something. Otherwise everyone is just frothing about a few tweets from EU knobheads.

    I know first-hand how integrated EU and UK pharma supply chains are. Britain therefore has significant leverage and any trade war would have awful consequences for both parties.

    Everyone just needs to calm down.
    You think that Commissioner Kyriakides is a knobhead?

    A little undiplomatic but OK . . .
    If the UK had been behaving with the chaotic, flailing incompetence of the EU and its media friends, in the last couple of weeks, they would have had squirting orgasms of delight.

    The Handelsblatt error is just mind-bogglingly stupid, world class levels of irresponsible, and it could lead to actual deaths as people read the fake news (still being retweeted by Told You So anti-vaxxers) and avoid the jab.

    How has the journalist wo wrote it still got a job? In the UK he'd now be collecting Universal Credit.
    No, in the UK people who publish lies in newspapers become Prime Minister.
    Whataboutery of the first water,

    FFS this is a lie - sorry "journalistic error" - on a cosmic level; the 8% meme is now out there, and it will possibly cause deaths.

    To make it worse, Handelsblatt were told last night be multiple experts - virologists, epidemiologists, everyone - that the "8% thing" was almost certainly wrong, damaging and dangerous, and should be immediately retracted. Did they? No. They doubled down.

    It was still on their website just an hour ago.
    In a spirit of genuine intellectual curiosity rather than whataboutery -

    Do we think this will cost more lives than the Cummings scandal?
    Since there's not the slightest particle of evidence that even one additional person died as a result of that supposed scandal, the Handelsblatt Affair has every chance of prevailing.
    None of this is provable in a hard scientific sense but it lends itself to insightful speculation for those with the head and stomach for it.
    Here we are stacking up: (i) loss of trust in government lockdown messaging due to senior government advisor pissing all over it VERSUS (ii) loss of trust in AZ vaccine due to fake news story in German newspaper.
    I don't have the answer. Was hoping to hear from others first. Particularly those who are talking about lives lost due to (ii).
    Here is an example of why the Handelsblatt Affair is much more damaging.

    The original tweets claiming "8% efficacy" were retweeted by multiple journalists, and experts, in Germany

    Like this guy. Here he is explaining why he has now deleted the retweet

    https://twitter.com/hendrikstreeck/status/1354038073001205762?s=20


    Why does he matter? Because he has 100,000 followers and he is:


    "Professor and Director of the Institute of Virology and German Center of HIV & AIDS
    @UniBonn
    Former:
    @HarvardMed"

    Many of his followers will automatically believe him, this is his field. They would have read this very alarming news last night, and told everyone on Facebook, and thus it now spreads around the world.

    Yes, loss of trust in a government adviser and maybe the government maybe has a small effect in one country. People aren't burning cars in the Netherlands and France at the moment because if Cummings, at least. Undermining trust in the main vaccine for the developing world is completely unforgivable, the Russian bot farms will be in overdrive making "8%" memes for social media and WhatsApp that will spread through Africa and South Asia like wildfire, all of it with real quotes from a real respected German newspaper and real Tweets from respected German scientists questioning the efficacy of the vaccine.

    It's genuinely a disaster for the world IMO.

    I disagree. The story was killed quickly and categorically. It will have some effect. But not a disastrous one. Quotes can be made up. Tweets can be manufactured. Most people will not know a genuine German scientist from a fake one. Very few people outside of Germany will have heard of Handelsblatt. Bollocks will spread whatever.

    EU good - nothing to see here. Next.

    What on earth has it got to do with the EU? Are people really seeing this story in those terms? Bloody hell.

    Are you not? Bloody hell.

    No, I'm not. As someone who has bee involved in journalism for 30 years I am seeing it as a story about a newspaper and a journalist who have got something terribly, terribly wrong. I don't see what the EU has to do with this at all. It does not own the newspaper or control its output.

    The EU live rent free in @MarqueeMark 's head so everything is about them, unfortunately.
  • Options
    RobDRobD Posts: 59,022

    RobD said:

    MaxPB said:

    Leon said:

    kinabalu said:

    kinabalu said:

    Leon said:

    Leon said:

    MaxPB said:

    MaxPB said:

    If the EU block export of Pfizer vaccines to UK, while demanding queue jumping of AZN ones made in the UK....that will go down well.

    Don't worry, the EU will still have it's defenders in the UK, either out loud or by staying quiet.
    Everyone needs to stop frothing.

    The EU are not going to block export of Pfizer vaccines.

    What is wrong with everyone?
    So why are they putting a notification and approval process in place for exports?
    We can discuss the behaviour of the EU if and when they actually do something. Otherwise everyone is just frothing about a few tweets from EU knobheads.

    I know first-hand how integrated EU and UK pharma supply chains are. Britain therefore has significant leverage and any trade war would have awful consequences for both parties.

    Everyone just needs to calm down.
    You think that Commissioner Kyriakides is a knobhead?

    A little undiplomatic but OK . . .
    If the UK had been behaving with the chaotic, flailing incompetence of the EU and its media friends, in the last couple of weeks, they would have had squirting orgasms of delight.

    The Handelsblatt error is just mind-bogglingly stupid, world class levels of irresponsible, and it could lead to actual deaths as people read the fake news (still being retweeted by Told You So anti-vaxxers) and avoid the jab.

    How has the journalist wo wrote it still got a job? In the UK he'd now be collecting Universal Credit.
    No, in the UK people who publish lies in newspapers become Prime Minister.
    Whataboutery of the first water,

    FFS this is a lie - sorry "journalistic error" - on a cosmic level; the 8% meme is now out there, and it will possibly cause deaths.

    To make it worse, Handelsblatt were told last night be multiple experts - virologists, epidemiologists, everyone - that the "8% thing" was almost certainly wrong, damaging and dangerous, and should be immediately retracted. Did they? No. They doubled down.

    It was still on their website just an hour ago.
    In a spirit of genuine intellectual curiosity rather than whataboutery -

    Do we think this will cost more lives than the Cummings scandal?
    Since there's not the slightest particle of evidence that even one additional person died as a result of that supposed scandal, the Handelsblatt Affair has every chance of prevailing.
    None of this is provable in a hard scientific sense but it lends itself to insightful speculation for those with the head and stomach for it.
    Here we are stacking up: (i) loss of trust in government lockdown messaging due to senior government advisor pissing all over it VERSUS (ii) loss of trust in AZ vaccine due to fake news story in German newspaper.
    I don't have the answer. Was hoping to hear from others first. Particularly those who are talking about lives lost due to (ii).
    Here is an example of why the Handelsblatt Affair is much more damaging.

    The original tweets claiming "8% efficacy" were retweeted by multiple journalists, and experts, in Germany

    Like this guy. Here he is explaining why he has now deleted the retweet

    https://twitter.com/hendrikstreeck/status/1354038073001205762?s=20


    Why does he matter? Because he has 100,000 followers and he is:


    "Professor and Director of the Institute of Virology and German Center of HIV & AIDS
    @UniBonn
    Former:
    @HarvardMed"

    Many of his followers will automatically believe him, this is his field. They would have read this very alarming news last night, and told everyone on Facebook, and thus it now spreads around the world.

    Yes, loss of trust in a government adviser and maybe the government maybe has a small effect in one country. People aren't burning cars in the Netherlands and France at the moment because if Cummings, at least. Undermining trust in the main vaccine for the developing world is completely unforgivable, the Russian bot farms will be in overdrive making "8%" memes for social media and WhatsApp that will spread through Africa and South Asia like wildfire, all of it with real quotes from a real respected German newspaper and real Tweets from respected German scientists questioning the efficacy of the vaccine.

    It's genuinely a disaster for the world IMO.

    I disagree. The story was killed quickly and categorically. It will have some effect. But not a disastrous one. Quotes can be made up. Tweets can be manufactured. Most people will not know a genuine German scientist from a fake one. Very few people outside of Germany will have heard of Handelsblatt. Bollocks will spread whatever.

    I tend to agree - this is annoying but not ultimately a disaster. It is more of a concern that the EU has asked for British vaccine supplies to be diverted to itself, and is threatening to block the export of vaccines. We need to do everything possible to ensure that vaccines are manufactured in the UK. Does anyone know where the J&J one is being manufactured?

    Aren't UK AZN vaccines manufactured in the UK?

    Mostly, but they've still asked for UK doses to be diverted.

    Blimey - I had not heard that.

    I should be clear. Their claim is that EU-destined vaccines have been sent to the UK, which they want stopped.
  • Options
    IshmaelZIshmaelZ Posts: 21,830

    IshmaelZ said:

    BBC News - Harriet Tubman: Biden moves to put anti-slavery activist on $20 bill
    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-us-canada-55808324

    A Royal Navy warship captain?

    No?
    Yes, you don't ship 3.2 million bodies across the Atlantic without some serious professionals watching your back. Credit where credit is due.
    Who did more to save Africans/Americans from slavery - Hariet Tubman or the Royal Navy?
    Are you mad? First, it isn't a competition. If H Tubman saved some Americans from slavery why shouldn't other Americans celebrate the fact by putting her on their banknotes, because somebody else allegedly saved more? Secondly do you dispute the 3.2m figure, and what do you think that figure might have been reduced to in the absence of RN domination of the seas over the relevant period? That seems to me to give the RN a net deficit of about 3m, counting just first generation slaves. What are you setting against that?
  • Options
    kinabalukinabalu Posts: 39,473
    TimT said:

    kinabalu said:

    TimT said:

    kinabalu said:

    Farage is beside himself.

    He told you so. He really did.

    Surely you think this is all a load of nonsense because it's no worse than a bad cold and we should all get back to normal?
    Tell you what. I will admit covid is a serious issue.

    But then you have to admit that lockdowns have devastating consequences. On children. On young people. On people in poverty. On jobs and the economy. on mental health. On the fabric of society. On human rights. Its eminently clear today.

    I at least have tried to have a debate about whether lockdowns are worth it and whether the extent to which the young are being sacrificed is worth it.

    All you and others like you have tried to do is shut down debate.
    It's a non-debate in terms of the big picture. Every single thing you mention would have been worse with no lockdown. There is no "cost of lockdown" because it was not an either/or choice. Or the cost is negative if you like. It's large and negative.

    The valid debate has been - still is - around the details of the restrictions. The timing. The scope. Border control. The balance between trust and law. The extent to which it should be policed. All of this.

    You have shown not the slightest interest in having a debate like that. All you've done on this whole topic since the virus emerged is spread lies and write fatuously pretentious faux "man of the world" drivel.
    More correctly, the debate should not be about lockdown or not, but about what level of non-medical interventions (social distancing, hand and respiratory hygiene, PPE) is required to minimize the net impact of the outbreak. And that has to include consideration of all the issues Contrarian lists.

    It so happens, lockdowns seem to be about the most socially doable mechanism. It need not have been the only option, or even the best one. For example, we could all have agreed to wear full PPE (full Tyvek body suit, booties, gloves, hood, N95, goggles, face shield - assuming no shortages), and gone about our normal business (except eating and drinking in public) and learnt how to don and doff our PPE correctly and decontaminate at the appropriate points in our activities.

    There may well have been a better optimal mix of policies. Unfortunately, we'll never know, because this is not an experiment that can be re-run. And no, the UK's experience cannot really be directly compared with that of other nations because a pandemic is a complex adaptive system, a type of system which is extremely sensitive to initial states and inputs - i.e. where outcomes vary massively based on changes of initial state and input below the level at which measurements can be made. I think that drawing any inference from international comparisons is fraught, other than
    1. timing is important, and
    2. level of compliance with government guidelines/rules is much, much more important for effectiveness than the actual guidelines/rules themselves.
    (1) for sure. As for (2) imo the messaging is more important than the precise legal rules since (least here) it's not aggressively policed. It's about getting the public to do the right thing. Which in turn means communicating a proper understanding of the virus and the risks, plus generating a sense of trust in government.
    Not sure you are right on the last point - at least not fully so. Messaging - quality, consistency, and multiple channels with multiple champions - is clearly important. But some societies are just better at trusting and hence implementing governmental orders (whether they are good governments or not) and are better about thinking about others rather than themselves. The US and UK are bad (judged in pandemic response terms - these can be good qualities in other fields, such as scientific research and innovation) on both these cultural parameters.
    Agree with that. A collectivist - "there's nothing special about me" - mindset is better is these circumstances. Indeed it is in most circumstances imo but that's another story.
  • Options
    MattWMattW Posts: 18,862

    MaxPB said:

    Leon said:

    kinabalu said:

    kinabalu said:

    Leon said:

    Leon said:

    MaxPB said:

    MaxPB said:

    If the EU block export of Pfizer vaccines to UK, while demanding queue jumping of AZN ones made in the UK....that will go down well.

    Don't worry, the EU will still have it's defenders in the UK, either out loud or by staying quiet.
    Everyone needs to stop frothing.

    The EU are not going to block export of Pfizer vaccines.

    What is wrong with everyone?
    So why are they putting a notification and approval process in place for exports?
    We can discuss the behaviour of the EU if and when they actually do something. Otherwise everyone is just frothing about a few tweets from EU knobheads.

    I know first-hand how integrated EU and UK pharma supply chains are. Britain therefore has significant leverage and any trade war would have awful consequences for both parties.

    Everyone just needs to calm down.
    You think that Commissioner Kyriakides is a knobhead?

    A little undiplomatic but OK . . .
    If the UK had been behaving with the chaotic, flailing incompetence of the EU and its media friends, in the last couple of weeks, they would have had squirting orgasms of delight.

    The Handelsblatt error is just mind-bogglingly stupid, world class levels of irresponsible, and it could lead to actual deaths as people read the fake news (still being retweeted by Told You So anti-vaxxers) and avoid the jab.

    How has the journalist wo wrote it still got a job? In the UK he'd now be collecting Universal Credit.
    No, in the UK people who publish lies in newspapers become Prime Minister.
    Whataboutery of the first water,

    FFS this is a lie - sorry "journalistic error" - on a cosmic level; the 8% meme is now out there, and it will possibly cause deaths.

    To make it worse, Handelsblatt were told last night be multiple experts - virologists, epidemiologists, everyone - that the "8% thing" was almost certainly wrong, damaging and dangerous, and should be immediately retracted. Did they? No. They doubled down.

    It was still on their website just an hour ago.
    In a spirit of genuine intellectual curiosity rather than whataboutery -

    Do we think this will cost more lives than the Cummings scandal?
    Since there's not the slightest particle of evidence that even one additional person died as a result of that supposed scandal, the Handelsblatt Affair has every chance of prevailing.
    None of this is provable in a hard scientific sense but it lends itself to insightful speculation for those with the head and stomach for it.
    Here we are stacking up: (i) loss of trust in government lockdown messaging due to senior government advisor pissing all over it VERSUS (ii) loss of trust in AZ vaccine due to fake news story in German newspaper.
    I don't have the answer. Was hoping to hear from others first. Particularly those who are talking about lives lost due to (ii).
    Here is an example of why the Handelsblatt Affair is much more damaging.

    The original tweets claiming "8% efficacy" were retweeted by multiple journalists, and experts, in Germany

    Like this guy. Here he is explaining why he has now deleted the retweet

    https://twitter.com/hendrikstreeck/status/1354038073001205762?s=20


    Why does he matter? Because he has 100,000 followers and he is:


    "Professor and Director of the Institute of Virology and German Center of HIV & AIDS
    @UniBonn
    Former:
    @HarvardMed"

    Many of his followers will automatically believe him, this is his field. They would have read this very alarming news last night, and told everyone on Facebook, and thus it now spreads around the world.

    Yes, loss of trust in a government adviser and maybe the government maybe has a small effect in one country. People aren't burning cars in the Netherlands and France at the moment because if Cummings, at least. Undermining trust in the main vaccine for the developing world is completely unforgivable, the Russian bot farms will be in overdrive making "8%" memes for social media and WhatsApp that will spread through Africa and South Asia like wildfire, all of it with real quotes from a real respected German newspaper and real Tweets from respected German scientists questioning the efficacy of the vaccine.

    It's genuinely a disaster for the world IMO.

    I disagree. The story was killed quickly and categorically. It will have some effect. But not a disastrous one. Quotes can be made up. Tweets can be manufactured. Most people will not know a genuine German scientist from a fake one. Very few people outside of Germany will have heard of Handelsblatt. Bollocks will spread whatever.

    I tend to agree - this is annoying but not ultimately a disaster. It is more of a concern that the EU has asked for British vaccine supplies to be diverted to itself, and is threatening to block the export of vaccines. We need to do everything possible to ensure that vaccines are manufactured in the UK. Does anyone know where the J&J one is being manufactured?
    Where's its manufactured doesn't really matter though. It's no good if it's made in the UK if a critical filter or sensor is being imported from Germany, for example, and without which manufacture is not possible.

    I do admit that home manufacture, even with a foreign supply chain, gives us more control over the finished product. It doesn't however prevent "the enemy" from cutting off supply.
    I think that Macron (PPE) and whoever is currently being Chief Goon at the EU have demonstrated that it very much matters where it is manufactured.
  • Options
    CarlottaVanceCarlottaVance Posts: 59,855

    RobD said:

    MaxPB said:

    Leon said:

    kinabalu said:

    kinabalu said:

    Leon said:

    Leon said:

    MaxPB said:

    MaxPB said:

    If the EU block export of Pfizer vaccines to UK, while demanding queue jumping of AZN ones made in the UK....that will go down well.

    Don't worry, the EU will still have it's defenders in the UK, either out loud or by staying quiet.
    Everyone needs to stop frothing.

    The EU are not going to block export of Pfizer vaccines.

    What is wrong with everyone?
    So why are they putting a notification and approval process in place for exports?
    We can discuss the behaviour of the EU if and when they actually do something. Otherwise everyone is just frothing about a few tweets from EU knobheads.

    I know first-hand how integrated EU and UK pharma supply chains are. Britain therefore has significant leverage and any trade war would have awful consequences for both parties.

    Everyone just needs to calm down.
    You think that Commissioner Kyriakides is a knobhead?

    A little undiplomatic but OK . . .
    If the UK had been behaving with the chaotic, flailing incompetence of the EU and its media friends, in the last couple of weeks, they would have had squirting orgasms of delight.

    The Handelsblatt error is just mind-bogglingly stupid, world class levels of irresponsible, and it could lead to actual deaths as people read the fake news (still being retweeted by Told You So anti-vaxxers) and avoid the jab.

    How has the journalist wo wrote it still got a job? In the UK he'd now be collecting Universal Credit.
    No, in the UK people who publish lies in newspapers become Prime Minister.
    Whataboutery of the first water,

    FFS this is a lie - sorry "journalistic error" - on a cosmic level; the 8% meme is now out there, and it will possibly cause deaths.

    To make it worse, Handelsblatt were told last night be multiple experts - virologists, epidemiologists, everyone - that the "8% thing" was almost certainly wrong, damaging and dangerous, and should be immediately retracted. Did they? No. They doubled down.

    It was still on their website just an hour ago.
    In a spirit of genuine intellectual curiosity rather than whataboutery -

    Do we think this will cost more lives than the Cummings scandal?
    Since there's not the slightest particle of evidence that even one additional person died as a result of that supposed scandal, the Handelsblatt Affair has every chance of prevailing.
    None of this is provable in a hard scientific sense but it lends itself to insightful speculation for those with the head and stomach for it.
    Here we are stacking up: (i) loss of trust in government lockdown messaging due to senior government advisor pissing all over it VERSUS (ii) loss of trust in AZ vaccine due to fake news story in German newspaper.
    I don't have the answer. Was hoping to hear from others first. Particularly those who are talking about lives lost due to (ii).
    Here is an example of why the Handelsblatt Affair is much more damaging.

    The original tweets claiming "8% efficacy" were retweeted by multiple journalists, and experts, in Germany

    Like this guy. Here he is explaining why he has now deleted the retweet

    https://twitter.com/hendrikstreeck/status/1354038073001205762?s=20


    Why does he matter? Because he has 100,000 followers and he is:


    "Professor and Director of the Institute of Virology and German Center of HIV & AIDS
    @UniBonn
    Former:
    @HarvardMed"

    Many of his followers will automatically believe him, this is his field. They would have read this very alarming news last night, and told everyone on Facebook, and thus it now spreads around the world.

    Yes, loss of trust in a government adviser and maybe the government maybe has a small effect in one country. People aren't burning cars in the Netherlands and France at the moment because if Cummings, at least. Undermining trust in the main vaccine for the developing world is completely unforgivable, the Russian bot farms will be in overdrive making "8%" memes for social media and WhatsApp that will spread through Africa and South Asia like wildfire, all of it with real quotes from a real respected German newspaper and real Tweets from respected German scientists questioning the efficacy of the vaccine.

    It's genuinely a disaster for the world IMO.

    I disagree. The story was killed quickly and categorically. It will have some effect. But not a disastrous one. Quotes can be made up. Tweets can be manufactured. Most people will not know a genuine German scientist from a fake one. Very few people outside of Germany will have heard of Handelsblatt. Bollocks will spread whatever.

    I tend to agree - this is annoying but not ultimately a disaster. It is more of a concern that the EU has asked for British vaccine supplies to be diverted to itself, and is threatening to block the export of vaccines. We need to do everything possible to ensure that vaccines are manufactured in the UK. Does anyone know where the J&J one is being manufactured?

    Aren't UK AZN vaccines manufactured in the UK?

    Mostly, but they've still asked for UK doses to be diverted.

    Blimey - I had not heard that.

    https://twitter.com/b_judah/status/1354050644416602113?s=20
  • Options
    GallowgateGallowgate Posts: 19,117
    Omnium said:

    Omnium said:

    Omnium said:

    ydoethur said:

    Pulpstar said:

    They'll be busted with a group visit to the doughnut shop next.

    https://twitter.com/MargaretDavisPA/status/1354086077875834896

    £200 for a haircut is quite a lot, although for some barbers it would be a mere snip.
    I don't know a single barber who's *not* cutting people's hair on the sly. They claim they need to to survive.
    How many barbers can you possibly know?
    Just ask yourself how all these footballers and instagram influencers still have perfect hair.
    Yeah but let's suppose you know 10 footballers, each with 10 hair stylists. It's still not enough to conclude much.

    Well my barber told me that they have to as they do not qualify for any government help.

    Anecdotally I hear the same from elsewhere.
    You would agree that this makes a sample of two though.

    As you're 'gallowgate' I'll allow a most excellent sample. Not sure that your argument, even with my endorsement, gets you through the gates though.
    I mean, I didn't claim that every single barber is cutting hair on the sly. Just that clearly some of them are.
  • Options
    SandpitSandpit Posts: 50,024

    felix said:

    MaxPB said:

    Leon said:

    kinabalu said:

    kinabalu said:

    Leon said:

    Leon said:

    MaxPB said:

    MaxPB said:

    If the EU block export of Pfizer vaccines to UK, while demanding queue jumping of AZN ones made in the UK....that will go down well.

    Don't worry, the EU will still have it's defenders in the UK, either out loud or by staying quiet.
    Everyone needs to stop frothing.

    The EU are not going to block export of Pfizer vaccines.

    What is wrong with everyone?
    So why are they putting a notification and approval process in place for exports?
    We can discuss the behaviour of the EU if and when they actually do something. Otherwise everyone is just frothing about a few tweets from EU knobheads.

    I know first-hand how integrated EU and UK pharma supply chains are. Britain therefore has significant leverage and any trade war would have awful consequences for both parties.

    Everyone just needs to calm down.
    You think that Commissioner Kyriakides is a knobhead?

    A little undiplomatic but OK . . .
    If the UK had been behaving with the chaotic, flailing incompetence of the EU and its media friends, in the last couple of weeks, they would have had squirting orgasms of delight.

    The Handelsblatt error is just mind-bogglingly stupid, world class levels of irresponsible, and it could lead to actual deaths as people read the fake news (still being retweeted by Told You So anti-vaxxers) and avoid the jab.

    How has the journalist wo wrote it still got a job? In the UK he'd now be collecting Universal Credit.
    No, in the UK people who publish lies in newspapers become Prime Minister.
    Whataboutery of the first water,

    FFS this is a lie - sorry "journalistic error" - on a cosmic level; the 8% meme is now out there, and it will possibly cause deaths.

    To make it worse, Handelsblatt were told last night be multiple experts - virologists, epidemiologists, everyone - that the "8% thing" was almost certainly wrong, damaging and dangerous, and should be immediately retracted. Did they? No. They doubled down.

    It was still on their website just an hour ago.
    In a spirit of genuine intellectual curiosity rather than whataboutery -

    Do we think this will cost more lives than the Cummings scandal?
    Since there's not the slightest particle of evidence that even one additional person died as a result of that supposed scandal, the Handelsblatt Affair has every chance of prevailing.
    None of this is provable in a hard scientific sense but it lends itself to insightful speculation for those with the head and stomach for it.
    Here we are stacking up: (i) loss of trust in government lockdown messaging due to senior government advisor pissing all over it VERSUS (ii) loss of trust in AZ vaccine due to fake news story in German newspaper.
    I don't have the answer. Was hoping to hear from others first. Particularly those who are talking about lives lost due to (ii).
    Here is an example of why the Handelsblatt Affair is much more damaging.

    The original tweets claiming "8% efficacy" were retweeted by multiple journalists, and experts, in Germany

    Like this guy. Here he is explaining why he has now deleted the retweet

    https://twitter.com/hendrikstreeck/status/1354038073001205762?s=20


    Why does he matter? Because he has 100,000 followers and he is:


    "Professor and Director of the Institute of Virology and German Center of HIV & AIDS
    @UniBonn
    Former:
    @HarvardMed"

    Many of his followers will automatically believe him, this is his field. They would have read this very alarming news last night, and told everyone on Facebook, and thus it now spreads around the world.

    Yes, loss of trust in a government adviser and maybe the government maybe has a small effect in one country. People aren't burning cars in the Netherlands and France at the moment because if Cummings, at least. Undermining trust in the main vaccine for the developing world is completely unforgivable, the Russian bot farms will be in overdrive making "8%" memes for social media and WhatsApp that will spread through Africa and South Asia like wildfire, all of it with real quotes from a real respected German newspaper and real Tweets from respected German scientists questioning the efficacy of the vaccine.

    It's genuinely a disaster for the world IMO.

    I disagree. The story was killed quickly and categorically. It will have some effect. But not a disastrous one. Quotes can be made up. Tweets can be manufactured. Most people will not know a genuine German scientist from a fake one. Very few people outside of Germany will have heard of Handelsblatt. Bollocks will spread whatever.

    EU good - nothing to see here. Next.

    What on earth has it got to do with the EU? Are people really seeing this story in those terms? Bloody hell.

    Are you not? Bloody hell.

    No, I'm not. As someone who has bee involved in journalism for 30 years I am seeing it as a story about a newspaper and a journalist who have got something terribly, terribly wrong. I don't see what the EU has to do with this at all. It does not own the newspaper or control its output.

    The EU have asked companies for advance notification of all exports of vaccines, and an Irish minister on Euro News this morning said that the EU should be looking after their own first, before allowing the export of vaccines.
  • Options
    MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 50,190

    ydoethur said:

    Pulpstar said:

    They'll be busted with a group visit to the doughnut shop next.

    https://twitter.com/MargaretDavisPA/status/1354086077875834896

    £200 for a haircut is quite a lot, although for some barbers it would be a mere snip.
    I don't know a single barber who's *not* cutting people's hair on the sly. They claim they need to to survive.
    How many barbers do you know personally? Sample of 2, 1, 0 or what?

    I think he knows a few more making a living at the fringes of society.
    The risks? They just brush it off....
  • Options
    MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 37,667
    edited January 2021

    MaxPB said:

    MaxPB said:

    Leon said:

    kinabalu said:

    kinabalu said:

    Leon said:

    Leon said:

    MaxPB said:

    MaxPB said:

    If the EU block export of Pfizer vaccines to UK, while demanding queue jumping of AZN ones made in the UK....that will go down well.

    Don't worry, the EU will still have it's defenders in the UK, either out loud or by staying quiet.
    Everyone needs to stop frothing.

    The EU are not going to block export of Pfizer vaccines.

    What is wrong with everyone?
    So why are they putting a notification and approval process in place for exports?
    We can discuss the behaviour of the EU if and when they actually do something. Otherwise everyone is just frothing about a few tweets from EU knobheads.

    I know first-hand how integrated EU and UK pharma supply chains are. Britain therefore has significant leverage and any trade war would have awful consequences for both parties.

    Everyone just needs to calm down.
    You think that Commissioner Kyriakides is a knobhead?

    A little undiplomatic but OK . . .
    If the UK had been behaving with the chaotic, flailing incompetence of the EU and its media friends, in the last couple of weeks, they would have had squirting orgasms of delight.

    The Handelsblatt error is just mind-bogglingly stupid, world class levels of irresponsible, and it could lead to actual deaths as people read the fake news (still being retweeted by Told You So anti-vaxxers) and avoid the jab.

    How has the journalist wo wrote it still got a job? In the UK he'd now be collecting Universal Credit.
    No, in the UK people who publish lies in newspapers become Prime Minister.
    Whataboutery of the first water,

    FFS this is a lie - sorry "journalistic error" - on a cosmic level; the 8% meme is now out there, and it will possibly cause deaths.

    To make it worse, Handelsblatt were told last night be multiple experts - virologists, epidemiologists, everyone - that the "8% thing" was almost certainly wrong, damaging and dangerous, and should be immediately retracted. Did they? No. They doubled down.

    It was still on their website just an hour ago.
    In a spirit of genuine intellectual curiosity rather than whataboutery -

    Do we think this will cost more lives than the Cummings scandal?
    Since there's not the slightest particle of evidence that even one additional person died as a result of that supposed scandal, the Handelsblatt Affair has every chance of prevailing.
    None of this is provable in a hard scientific sense but it lends itself to insightful speculation for those with the head and stomach for it.
    Here we are stacking up: (i) loss of trust in government lockdown messaging due to senior government advisor pissing all over it VERSUS (ii) loss of trust in AZ vaccine due to fake news story in German newspaper.
    I don't have the answer. Was hoping to hear from others first. Particularly those who are talking about lives lost due to (ii).
    Here is an example of why the Handelsblatt Affair is much more damaging.

    The original tweets claiming "8% efficacy" were retweeted by multiple journalists, and experts, in Germany

    Like this guy. Here he is explaining why he has now deleted the retweet

    https://twitter.com/hendrikstreeck/status/1354038073001205762?s=20


    Why does he matter? Because he has 100,000 followers and he is:


    "Professor and Director of the Institute of Virology and German Center of HIV & AIDS
    @UniBonn
    Former:
    @HarvardMed"

    Many of his followers will automatically believe him, this is his field. They would have read this very alarming news last night, and told everyone on Facebook, and thus it now spreads around the world.

    Yes, loss of trust in a government adviser and maybe the government maybe has a small effect in one country. People aren't burning cars in the Netherlands and France at the moment because if Cummings, at least. Undermining trust in the main vaccine for the developing world is completely unforgivable, the Russian bot farms will be in overdrive making "8%" memes for social media and WhatsApp that will spread through Africa and South Asia like wildfire, all of it with real quotes from a real respected German newspaper and real Tweets from respected German scientists questioning the efficacy of the vaccine.

    It's genuinely a disaster for the world IMO.

    I disagree. The story was killed quickly and categorically. It will have some effect. But not a disastrous one. Quotes can be made up. Tweets can be manufactured. Most people will not know a genuine German scientist from a fake one. Very few people outside of Germany will have heard of Handelsblatt. Bollocks will spread whatever.

    Speaks someone who hasn't seen fake news about this first hand. I've watched videos forwarded to my parents full of this bullshit already, it won't be long until the Russian bot farms start to produce these memes and have direct quotes from German scientists to back up their bullshit claims. They've muddied the waters over the cheapest and easiest to transport vaccine that is being produced at a rate of 2bn per year in India for the developing world. It is unforgivable.

    The whole point about fake news is that it is fake. It can be made up. Those susceptible to fake news will believe it whatever. The story was appalling. The newspaper and the journalist deserve every bit of crap they are getting. But in the great scheme of things it will make very little practical difference because it was killed too quickly to make it into any mainstream media coverage.

    No, the best/worst fake news always has an element of truth, that how it takes off. Well maybe not truth, a verifiable claim. It's how it establishes itself as authoratitive. One of the reasons QAnon took off is because the person who originated it definitely did at one point work in the Whitehouse and there were verifiable pictures of this person taking pictures from inside the west wing of the Whitehouse with their 4Chan tripcode. It established QAnon as authoritative when literally everything related to it is bullshit.

    Now we have a respected newspaper authoritatively claiming that this vaccine has got just 8% efficacy. Unfortunately it's exactly the kind of thing that will snowball on Asian and African WhatsApp with pictures and videos claiming a coverup by the German government.

    I've had years of explaining to my own mum that these videos are poison and she shouldn't watch them, luckily my sister and I succeeded in convincing her before the pandemic started but loads of my aunts and uncles are deep into these 5G conspiracies and vaccine fake news, one of them messaged in our family group the other day that men under 50 shouldn't get it because it causes infertility according to Japanese scientists.
  • Options
    Sandpit said:

    Leon said:

    MaxPB said:

    Leon said:

    MaxPB said:

    kinabalu said:

    kinabalu said:

    Leon said:

    Leon said:

    MaxPB said:

    MaxPB said:

    If the EU block export of Pfizer vaccines to UK, while demanding queue jumping of AZN ones made in the UK....that will go down well.

    Don't worry, the EU will still have it's defenders in the UK, either out loud or by staying quiet.
    Everyone needs to stop frothing.

    The EU are not going to block export of Pfizer vaccines.

    What is wrong with everyone?
    So why are they putting a notification and approval process in place for exports?
    We can discuss the behaviour of the EU if and when they actually do something. Otherwise everyone is just frothing about a few tweets from EU knobheads.

    I know first-hand how integrated EU and UK pharma supply chains are. Britain therefore has significant leverage and any trade war would have awful consequences for both parties.

    Everyone just needs to calm down.
    You think that Commissioner Kyriakides is a knobhead?

    A little undiplomatic but OK . . .
    If the UK had been behaving with the chaotic, flailing incompetence of the EU and its media friends, in the last couple of weeks, they would have had squirting orgasms of delight.

    The Handelsblatt error is just mind-bogglingly stupid, world class levels of irresponsible, and it could lead to actual deaths as people read the fake news (still being retweeted by Told You So anti-vaxxers) and avoid the jab.

    How has the journalist wo wrote it still got a job? In the UK he'd now be collecting Universal Credit.
    No, in the UK people who publish lies in newspapers become Prime Minister.
    Whataboutery of the first water,

    FFS this is a lie - sorry "journalistic error" - on a cosmic level; the 8% meme is now out there, and it will possibly cause deaths.

    To make it worse, Handelsblatt were told last night be multiple experts - virologists, epidemiologists, everyone - that the "8% thing" was almost certainly wrong, damaging and dangerous, and should be immediately retracted. Did they? No. They doubled down.

    It was still on their website just an hour ago.
    In a spirit of genuine intellectual curiosity rather than whataboutery -

    Do we think this will cost more lives than the Cummings scandal?
    Obviously.
    Sorry, forgot to add - the question is not to be attempted by people who lost their integrity over the Cummings scandal. To assess it properly you need (i) some core data, (ii) a set of reasonable assumptions about behaviour, (iii) a calculator, and (iv) your integrity.
    I quit the Tory party over it, and this anti-vaxxer bullshit from Germany is way, way worse than Cummings. The effect on global vaccine take up in the developing world is going to be a disaster once the Russian "8%" memes start to spread all over African and Asian WhatsApp.
    I suppose there is still the tiny possibility that the 8% "fact" is true; though it seems vanishingly unlikely, from all I've read about vaccines, and it has been vehemently denied by AZ, and is now denied by the German government.


    It's not true, the German government has already said it was down to a misunderstanding of the report the German regulator has received from the EMA saying that 56-69 year olds only made up 8% of the trial. That's where the number comes from. It has nothing to do with efficacy.
    If you are right (and I am sure you are) I do not understand why Handelsblatt themselves have not come out with a grovelling retraction. Because they haven't.

    Their last tweet on this reiterated the 8% claim, and merely added that the company itself (AZ) disagreed.

    https://twitter.com/handelsblatt/status/1353992634570854402?s=20
    Hope they don’t mind the wrath of AZ’s lawyers.

    I know newspapers are used to dealing with lawyers and disputes, but do they really want all that Legal Big Pharma has to throw at them, from a $130bn company?

    This is the key point. Astra Zeneca would not have issued such a categorical, all-encompassing denial if there was anything in the sorry. To do so and then to be shown to be wrong would be a disaster for them even bigger than the one Handelsblatt is now facing -as their lawyers would have pointed out before the denial was issued.

  • Options
    LostPasswordLostPassword Posts: 15,583

    Israel new cases 30 days. Doesn't seem that encouraging at the moment.


    Christ. Get vaccinated. Party to celebrate vaccination. Catch virus at party since immunity not yet created by vaccine.

    What a bummer.
  • Options
    GallowgateGallowgate Posts: 19,117
    For completeness: Israel deaths 30 days.


  • Options
    LeonLeon Posts: 47,725

    felix said:

    MaxPB said:

    Leon said:

    kinabalu said:

    kinabalu said:

    Leon said:

    Leon said:

    MaxPB said:

    MaxPB said:

    If the EU block export of Pfizer vaccines to UK, while demanding queue jumping of AZN ones made in the UK....that will go down well.

    Don't worry, the EU will still have it's defenders in the UK, either out loud or by staying quiet.
    Everyone needs to stop frothing.

    The EU are not going to block export of Pfizer vaccines.

    What is wrong with everyone?
    So why are they putting a notification and approval process in place for exports?
    We can discuss the behaviour of the EU if and when they actually do something. Otherwise everyone is just frothing about a few tweets from EU knobheads.

    I know first-hand how integrated EU and UK pharma supply chains are. Britain therefore has significant leverage and any trade war would have awful consequences for both parties.

    Everyone just needs to calm down.
    You think that Commissioner Kyriakides is a knobhead?

    A little undiplomatic but OK . . .
    If the UK had been behaving with the chaotic, flailing incompetence of the EU and its media friends, in the last couple of weeks, they would have had squirting orgasms of delight.

    The Handelsblatt error is just mind-bogglingly stupid, world class levels of irresponsible, and it could lead to actual deaths as people read the fake news (still being retweeted by Told You So anti-vaxxers) and avoid the jab.

    How has the journalist wo wrote it still got a job? In the UK he'd now be collecting Universal Credit.
    No, in the UK people who publish lies in newspapers become Prime Minister.
    Whataboutery of the first water,

    FFS this is a lie - sorry "journalistic error" - on a cosmic level; the 8% meme is now out there, and it will possibly cause deaths.

    To make it worse, Handelsblatt were told last night be multiple experts - virologists, epidemiologists, everyone - that the "8% thing" was almost certainly wrong, damaging and dangerous, and should be immediately retracted. Did they? No. They doubled down.

    It was still on their website just an hour ago.
    In a spirit of genuine intellectual curiosity rather than whataboutery -

    Do we think this will cost more lives than the Cummings scandal?
    Since there's not the slightest particle of evidence that even one additional person died as a result of that supposed scandal, the Handelsblatt Affair has every chance of prevailing.
    None of this is provable in a hard scientific sense but it lends itself to insightful speculation for those with the head and stomach for it.
    Here we are stacking up: (i) loss of trust in government lockdown messaging due to senior government advisor pissing all over it VERSUS (ii) loss of trust in AZ vaccine due to fake news story in German newspaper.
    I don't have the answer. Was hoping to hear from others first. Particularly those who are talking about lives lost due to (ii).
    Here is an example of why the Handelsblatt Affair is much more damaging.

    The original tweets claiming "8% efficacy" were retweeted by multiple journalists, and experts, in Germany

    Like this guy. Here he is explaining why he has now deleted the retweet

    https://twitter.com/hendrikstreeck/status/1354038073001205762?s=20


    Why does he matter? Because he has 100,000 followers and he is:


    "Professor and Director of the Institute of Virology and German Center of HIV & AIDS
    @UniBonn
    Former:
    @HarvardMed"

    Many of his followers will automatically believe him, this is his field. They would have read this very alarming news last night, and told everyone on Facebook, and thus it now spreads around the world.

    Yes, loss of trust in a government adviser and maybe the government maybe has a small effect in one country. People aren't burning cars in the Netherlands and France at the moment because if Cummings, at least. Undermining trust in the main vaccine for the developing world is completely unforgivable, the Russian bot farms will be in overdrive making "8%" memes for social media and WhatsApp that will spread through Africa and South Asia like wildfire, all of it with real quotes from a real respected German newspaper and real Tweets from respected German scientists questioning the efficacy of the vaccine.

    It's genuinely a disaster for the world IMO.

    I disagree. The story was killed quickly and categorically. It will have some effect. But not a disastrous one. Quotes can be made up. Tweets can be manufactured. Most people will not know a genuine German scientist from a fake one. Very few people outside of Germany will have heard of Handelsblatt. Bollocks will spread whatever.

    EU good - nothing to see here. Next.

    What on earth has it got to do with the EU? Are people really seeing this story in those terms? Bloody hell.

    Because the EU, in charge of EU vaccine procurement, is going nuts about AZ not providing enough vaccine to the EU, and this fake news can easily be seen as an organised attack on AZ. Handelsblatt claimed it got the fact from multiple sources in the German government. And, of course, these two things - the EU shouting at AZ, and the fake news about AZ, coincidentally happened on the same day.

    https://twitter.com/alexwickham/status/1354006295637078016?s=20

  • Options
    Richard_NabaviRichard_Nabavi Posts: 30,820
    edited January 2021

    Israel new cases 30 days. Doesn't seem that encouraging at the moment.

    On the other hand:

    Israel, which has already given a full set of Pfizer/BioNTech vaccinations to over 6% of its citizens, has not registered a single serious COVID-19 case among them, even as infections surge in the wider population, the government said on Tuesday.

    https://www.reuters.com/article/health-coronavirus-israel-pfizer-int/no-serious-covid-19-cases-among-israelis-given-pfizer-shot-minister-says-idUSKBN29V1DV
  • Options
    RobDRobD Posts: 59,022

    RobD said:

    MaxPB said:

    Leon said:

    kinabalu said:

    kinabalu said:

    Leon said:

    Leon said:

    MaxPB said:

    MaxPB said:

    If the EU block export of Pfizer vaccines to UK, while demanding queue jumping of AZN ones made in the UK....that will go down well.

    Don't worry, the EU will still have it's defenders in the UK, either out loud or by staying quiet.
    Everyone needs to stop frothing.

    The EU are not going to block export of Pfizer vaccines.

    What is wrong with everyone?
    So why are they putting a notification and approval process in place for exports?
    We can discuss the behaviour of the EU if and when they actually do something. Otherwise everyone is just frothing about a few tweets from EU knobheads.

    I know first-hand how integrated EU and UK pharma supply chains are. Britain therefore has significant leverage and any trade war would have awful consequences for both parties.

    Everyone just needs to calm down.
    You think that Commissioner Kyriakides is a knobhead?

    A little undiplomatic but OK . . .
    If the UK had been behaving with the chaotic, flailing incompetence of the EU and its media friends, in the last couple of weeks, they would have had squirting orgasms of delight.

    The Handelsblatt error is just mind-bogglingly stupid, world class levels of irresponsible, and it could lead to actual deaths as people read the fake news (still being retweeted by Told You So anti-vaxxers) and avoid the jab.

    How has the journalist wo wrote it still got a job? In the UK he'd now be collecting Universal Credit.
    No, in the UK people who publish lies in newspapers become Prime Minister.
    Whataboutery of the first water,

    FFS this is a lie - sorry "journalistic error" - on a cosmic level; the 8% meme is now out there, and it will possibly cause deaths.

    To make it worse, Handelsblatt were told last night be multiple experts - virologists, epidemiologists, everyone - that the "8% thing" was almost certainly wrong, damaging and dangerous, and should be immediately retracted. Did they? No. They doubled down.

    It was still on their website just an hour ago.
    In a spirit of genuine intellectual curiosity rather than whataboutery -

    Do we think this will cost more lives than the Cummings scandal?
    Since there's not the slightest particle of evidence that even one additional person died as a result of that supposed scandal, the Handelsblatt Affair has every chance of prevailing.
    None of this is provable in a hard scientific sense but it lends itself to insightful speculation for those with the head and stomach for it.
    Here we are stacking up: (i) loss of trust in government lockdown messaging due to senior government advisor pissing all over it VERSUS (ii) loss of trust in AZ vaccine due to fake news story in German newspaper.
    I don't have the answer. Was hoping to hear from others first. Particularly those who are talking about lives lost due to (ii).
    Here is an example of why the Handelsblatt Affair is much more damaging.

    The original tweets claiming "8% efficacy" were retweeted by multiple journalists, and experts, in Germany

    Like this guy. Here he is explaining why he has now deleted the retweet

    https://twitter.com/hendrikstreeck/status/1354038073001205762?s=20


    Why does he matter? Because he has 100,000 followers and he is:


    "Professor and Director of the Institute of Virology and German Center of HIV & AIDS
    @UniBonn
    Former:
    @HarvardMed"

    Many of his followers will automatically believe him, this is his field. They would have read this very alarming news last night, and told everyone on Facebook, and thus it now spreads around the world.

    Yes, loss of trust in a government adviser and maybe the government maybe has a small effect in one country. People aren't burning cars in the Netherlands and France at the moment because if Cummings, at least. Undermining trust in the main vaccine for the developing world is completely unforgivable, the Russian bot farms will be in overdrive making "8%" memes for social media and WhatsApp that will spread through Africa and South Asia like wildfire, all of it with real quotes from a real respected German newspaper and real Tweets from respected German scientists questioning the efficacy of the vaccine.

    It's genuinely a disaster for the world IMO.

    I disagree. The story was killed quickly and categorically. It will have some effect. But not a disastrous one. Quotes can be made up. Tweets can be manufactured. Most people will not know a genuine German scientist from a fake one. Very few people outside of Germany will have heard of Handelsblatt. Bollocks will spread whatever.

    I tend to agree - this is annoying but not ultimately a disaster. It is more of a concern that the EU has asked for British vaccine supplies to be diverted to itself, and is threatening to block the export of vaccines. We need to do everything possible to ensure that vaccines are manufactured in the UK. Does anyone know where the J&J one is being manufactured?

    Aren't UK AZN vaccines manufactured in the UK?

    Mostly, but they've still asked for UK doses to be diverted.

    Blimey - I had not heard that.

    https://twitter.com/b_judah/status/1354050644416602113?s=20
    Ah, they have asked directly. Thanks.
  • Options
    Sandpit said:

    felix said:

    MaxPB said:

    Leon said:

    kinabalu said:

    kinabalu said:

    Leon said:

    Leon said:

    MaxPB said:

    MaxPB said:

    If the EU block export of Pfizer vaccines to UK, while demanding queue jumping of AZN ones made in the UK....that will go down well.

    Don't worry, the EU will still have it's defenders in the UK, either out loud or by staying quiet.
    Everyone needs to stop frothing.

    The EU are not going to block export of Pfizer vaccines.

    What is wrong with everyone?
    So why are they putting a notification and approval process in place for exports?
    We can discuss the behaviour of the EU if and when they actually do something. Otherwise everyone is just frothing about a few tweets from EU knobheads.

    I know first-hand how integrated EU and UK pharma supply chains are. Britain therefore has significant leverage and any trade war would have awful consequences for both parties.

    Everyone just needs to calm down.
    You think that Commissioner Kyriakides is a knobhead?

    A little undiplomatic but OK . . .
    If the UK had been behaving with the chaotic, flailing incompetence of the EU and its media friends, in the last couple of weeks, they would have had squirting orgasms of delight.

    The Handelsblatt error is just mind-bogglingly stupid, world class levels of irresponsible, and it could lead to actual deaths as people read the fake news (still being retweeted by Told You So anti-vaxxers) and avoid the jab.

    How has the journalist wo wrote it still got a job? In the UK he'd now be collecting Universal Credit.
    No, in the UK people who publish lies in newspapers become Prime Minister.
    Whataboutery of the first water,

    FFS this is a lie - sorry "journalistic error" - on a cosmic level; the 8% meme is now out there, and it will possibly cause deaths.

    To make it worse, Handelsblatt were told last night be multiple experts - virologists, epidemiologists, everyone - that the "8% thing" was almost certainly wrong, damaging and dangerous, and should be immediately retracted. Did they? No. They doubled down.

    It was still on their website just an hour ago.
    In a spirit of genuine intellectual curiosity rather than whataboutery -

    Do we think this will cost more lives than the Cummings scandal?
    Since there's not the slightest particle of evidence that even one additional person died as a result of that supposed scandal, the Handelsblatt Affair has every chance of prevailing.
    None of this is provable in a hard scientific sense but it lends itself to insightful speculation for those with the head and stomach for it.
    Here we are stacking up: (i) loss of trust in government lockdown messaging due to senior government advisor pissing all over it VERSUS (ii) loss of trust in AZ vaccine due to fake news story in German newspaper.
    I don't have the answer. Was hoping to hear from others first. Particularly those who are talking about lives lost due to (ii).
    Here is an example of why the Handelsblatt Affair is much more damaging.

    The original tweets claiming "8% efficacy" were retweeted by multiple journalists, and experts, in Germany

    Like this guy. Here he is explaining why he has now deleted the retweet

    https://twitter.com/hendrikstreeck/status/1354038073001205762?s=20


    Why does he matter? Because he has 100,000 followers and he is:


    "Professor and Director of the Institute of Virology and German Center of HIV & AIDS
    @UniBonn
    Former:
    @HarvardMed"

    Many of his followers will automatically believe him, this is his field. They would have read this very alarming news last night, and told everyone on Facebook, and thus it now spreads around the world.

    Yes, loss of trust in a government adviser and maybe the government maybe has a small effect in one country. People aren't burning cars in the Netherlands and France at the moment because if Cummings, at least. Undermining trust in the main vaccine for the developing world is completely unforgivable, the Russian bot farms will be in overdrive making "8%" memes for social media and WhatsApp that will spread through Africa and South Asia like wildfire, all of it with real quotes from a real respected German newspaper and real Tweets from respected German scientists questioning the efficacy of the vaccine.

    It's genuinely a disaster for the world IMO.

    I disagree. The story was killed quickly and categorically. It will have some effect. But not a disastrous one. Quotes can be made up. Tweets can be manufactured. Most people will not know a genuine German scientist from a fake one. Very few people outside of Germany will have heard of Handelsblatt. Bollocks will spread whatever.

    EU good - nothing to see here. Next.

    What on earth has it got to do with the EU? Are people really seeing this story in those terms? Bloody hell.

    Are you not? Bloody hell.

    No, I'm not. As someone who has bee involved in journalism for 30 years I am seeing it as a story about a newspaper and a journalist who have got something terribly, terribly wrong. I don't see what the EU has to do with this at all. It does not own the newspaper or control its output.

    The EU have asked companies for advance notification of all exports of vaccines, and an Irish minister on Euro News this morning said that the EU should be looking after their own first, before allowing the export of vaccines.

    But that's not what the Handelsblatt story was about, is it?

    Vaccine nationalism is another, far more disturbing, if not entirely predictable, development.

  • Options
    MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 44,778

    Sandpit said:

    Leon said:

    MaxPB said:

    Leon said:

    MaxPB said:

    kinabalu said:

    kinabalu said:

    Leon said:

    Leon said:

    MaxPB said:

    MaxPB said:

    If the EU block export of Pfizer vaccines to UK, while demanding queue jumping of AZN ones made in the UK....that will go down well.

    Don't worry, the EU will still have it's defenders in the UK, either out loud or by staying quiet.
    Everyone needs to stop frothing.

    The EU are not going to block export of Pfizer vaccines.

    What is wrong with everyone?
    So why are they putting a notification and approval process in place for exports?
    We can discuss the behaviour of the EU if and when they actually do something. Otherwise everyone is just frothing about a few tweets from EU knobheads.

    I know first-hand how integrated EU and UK pharma supply chains are. Britain therefore has significant leverage and any trade war would have awful consequences for both parties.

    Everyone just needs to calm down.
    You think that Commissioner Kyriakides is a knobhead?

    A little undiplomatic but OK . . .
    If the UK had been behaving with the chaotic, flailing incompetence of the EU and its media friends, in the last couple of weeks, they would have had squirting orgasms of delight.

    The Handelsblatt error is just mind-bogglingly stupid, world class levels of irresponsible, and it could lead to actual deaths as people read the fake news (still being retweeted by Told You So anti-vaxxers) and avoid the jab.

    How has the journalist wo wrote it still got a job? In the UK he'd now be collecting Universal Credit.
    No, in the UK people who publish lies in newspapers become Prime Minister.
    Whataboutery of the first water,

    FFS this is a lie - sorry "journalistic error" - on a cosmic level; the 8% meme is now out there, and it will possibly cause deaths.

    To make it worse, Handelsblatt were told last night be multiple experts - virologists, epidemiologists, everyone - that the "8% thing" was almost certainly wrong, damaging and dangerous, and should be immediately retracted. Did they? No. They doubled down.

    It was still on their website just an hour ago.
    In a spirit of genuine intellectual curiosity rather than whataboutery -

    Do we think this will cost more lives than the Cummings scandal?
    Obviously.
    Sorry, forgot to add - the question is not to be attempted by people who lost their integrity over the Cummings scandal. To assess it properly you need (i) some core data, (ii) a set of reasonable assumptions about behaviour, (iii) a calculator, and (iv) your integrity.
    I quit the Tory party over it, and this anti-vaxxer bullshit from Germany is way, way worse than Cummings. The effect on global vaccine take up in the developing world is going to be a disaster once the Russian "8%" memes start to spread all over African and Asian WhatsApp.
    I suppose there is still the tiny possibility that the 8% "fact" is true; though it seems vanishingly unlikely, from all I've read about vaccines, and it has been vehemently denied by AZ, and is now denied by the German government.


    It's not true, the German government has already said it was down to a misunderstanding of the report the German regulator has received from the EMA saying that 56-69 year olds only made up 8% of the trial. That's where the number comes from. It has nothing to do with efficacy.
    If you are right (and I am sure you are) I do not understand why Handelsblatt themselves have not come out with a grovelling retraction. Because they haven't.

    Their last tweet on this reiterated the 8% claim, and merely added that the company itself (AZ) disagreed.

    https://twitter.com/handelsblatt/status/1353992634570854402?s=20
    Hope they don’t mind the wrath of AZ’s lawyers.

    I know newspapers are used to dealing with lawyers and disputes, but do they really want all that Legal Big Pharma has to throw at them, from a $130bn company?

    This is the key point. Astra Zeneca would not have issued such a categorical, all-encompassing denial if there was anything in the sorry. To do so and then to be shown to be wrong would be a disaster for them even bigger than the one Handelsblatt is now facing -as their lawyers would have pointed out before the denial was issued.

    With respect to Handelsblatt, the quote "They have nailed their trousers to the masthead. And so can't climb down" comes to mind.

    Imagine the situation - Who wants to admit to the boss that you and your subordinates have just screwed up spectacularly? And probably put your company in legal jeopardy.
  • Options
    OmniumOmnium Posts: 9,826
    kinabalu said:

    TimT said:

    kinabalu said:

    TimT said:

    kinabalu said:

    Farage is beside himself.

    He told you so. He really did.

    Surely you think this is all a load of nonsense because it's no worse than a bad cold and we should all get back to normal?
    Tell you what. I will admit covid is a serious issue.

    But then you have to admit that lockdowns have devastating consequences. On children. On young people. On people in poverty. On jobs and the economy. on mental health. On the fabric of society. On human rights. Its eminently clear today.

    I at least have tried to have a debate about whether lockdowns are worth it and whether the extent to which the young are being sacrificed is worth it.

    All you and others like you have tried to do is shut down debate.
    It's a non-debate in terms of the big picture. Every single thing you mention would have been worse with no lockdown. There is no "cost of lockdown" because it was not an either/or choice. Or the cost is negative if you like. It's large and negative.

    The valid debate has been - still is - around the details of the restrictions. The timing. The scope. Border control. The balance between trust and law. The extent to which it should be policed. All of this.

    You have shown not the slightest interest in having a debate like that. All you've done on this whole topic since the virus emerged is spread lies and write fatuously pretentious faux "man of the world" drivel.
    More correctly, the debate should not be about lockdown or not, but about what level of non-medical interventions (social distancing, hand and respiratory hygiene, PPE) is required to minimize the net impact of the outbreak. And that has to include consideration of all the issues Contrarian lists.

    It so happens, lockdowns seem to be about the most socially doable mechanism. It need not have been the only option, or even the best one. For example, we could all have agreed to wear full PPE (full Tyvek body suit, booties, gloves, hood, N95, goggles, face shield - assuming no shortages), and gone about our normal business (except eating and drinking in public) and learnt how to don and doff our PPE correctly and decontaminate at the appropriate points in our activities.

    There may well have been a better optimal mix of policies. Unfortunately, we'll never know, because this is not an experiment that can be re-run. And no, the UK's experience cannot really be directly compared with that of other nations because a pandemic is a complex adaptive system, a type of system which is extremely sensitive to initial states and inputs - i.e. where outcomes vary massively based on changes of initial state and input below the level at which measurements can be made. I think that drawing any inference from international comparisons is fraught, other than
    1. timing is important, and
    2. level of compliance with government guidelines/rules is much, much more important for effectiveness than the actual guidelines/rules themselves.
    (1) for sure. As for (2) imo the messaging is more important than the precise legal rules since (least here) it's not aggressively policed. It's about getting the public to do the right thing. Which in turn means communicating a proper understanding of the virus and the risks, plus generating a sense of trust in government.
    Not sure you are right on the last point - at least not fully so. Messaging - quality, consistency, and multiple channels with multiple champions - is clearly important. But some societies are just better at trusting and hence implementing governmental orders (whether they are good governments or not) and are better about thinking about others rather than themselves. The US and UK are bad (judged in pandemic response terms - these can be good qualities in other fields, such as scientific research and innovation) on both these cultural parameters.
    Agree with that. A collectivist - "there's nothing special about me" - mindset is better is these circumstances. Indeed it is in most circumstances imo but that's another story.
    Making the statement "there's nothing special about me" is almost self-defeating though isn't it?

    If I was of the left I'd argue that the things that make everyone special don't make them unequal. I quite like that emotionally. but is of course ridiculous.

    Some people are special. (Horrid though it sounds)
  • Options
    SandpitSandpit Posts: 50,024

    Sandpit said:

    felix said:

    MaxPB said:

    Leon said:

    kinabalu said:

    kinabalu said:

    Leon said:

    Leon said:

    MaxPB said:

    MaxPB said:

    If the EU block export of Pfizer vaccines to UK, while demanding queue jumping of AZN ones made in the UK....that will go down well.

    Don't worry, the EU will still have it's defenders in the UK, either out loud or by staying quiet.
    Everyone needs to stop frothing.

    The EU are not going to block export of Pfizer vaccines.

    What is wrong with everyone?
    So why are they putting a notification and approval process in place for exports?
    We can discuss the behaviour of the EU if and when they actually do something. Otherwise everyone is just frothing about a few tweets from EU knobheads.

    I know first-hand how integrated EU and UK pharma supply chains are. Britain therefore has significant leverage and any trade war would have awful consequences for both parties.

    Everyone just needs to calm down.
    You think that Commissioner Kyriakides is a knobhead?

    A little undiplomatic but OK . . .
    If the UK had been behaving with the chaotic, flailing incompetence of the EU and its media friends, in the last couple of weeks, they would have had squirting orgasms of delight.

    The Handelsblatt error is just mind-bogglingly stupid, world class levels of irresponsible, and it could lead to actual deaths as people read the fake news (still being retweeted by Told You So anti-vaxxers) and avoid the jab.

    How has the journalist wo wrote it still got a job? In the UK he'd now be collecting Universal Credit.
    No, in the UK people who publish lies in newspapers become Prime Minister.
    Whataboutery of the first water,

    FFS this is a lie - sorry "journalistic error" - on a cosmic level; the 8% meme is now out there, and it will possibly cause deaths.

    To make it worse, Handelsblatt were told last night be multiple experts - virologists, epidemiologists, everyone - that the "8% thing" was almost certainly wrong, damaging and dangerous, and should be immediately retracted. Did they? No. They doubled down.

    It was still on their website just an hour ago.
    In a spirit of genuine intellectual curiosity rather than whataboutery -

    Do we think this will cost more lives than the Cummings scandal?
    Since there's not the slightest particle of evidence that even one additional person died as a result of that supposed scandal, the Handelsblatt Affair has every chance of prevailing.
    None of this is provable in a hard scientific sense but it lends itself to insightful speculation for those with the head and stomach for it.
    Here we are stacking up: (i) loss of trust in government lockdown messaging due to senior government advisor pissing all over it VERSUS (ii) loss of trust in AZ vaccine due to fake news story in German newspaper.
    I don't have the answer. Was hoping to hear from others first. Particularly those who are talking about lives lost due to (ii).
    Here is an example of why the Handelsblatt Affair is much more damaging.

    The original tweets claiming "8% efficacy" were retweeted by multiple journalists, and experts, in Germany

    Like this guy. Here he is explaining why he has now deleted the retweet

    https://twitter.com/hendrikstreeck/status/1354038073001205762?s=20


    Why does he matter? Because he has 100,000 followers and he is:


    "Professor and Director of the Institute of Virology and German Center of HIV & AIDS
    @UniBonn
    Former:
    @HarvardMed"

    Many of his followers will automatically believe him, this is his field. They would have read this very alarming news last night, and told everyone on Facebook, and thus it now spreads around the world.

    Yes, loss of trust in a government adviser and maybe the government maybe has a small effect in one country. People aren't burning cars in the Netherlands and France at the moment because if Cummings, at least. Undermining trust in the main vaccine for the developing world is completely unforgivable, the Russian bot farms will be in overdrive making "8%" memes for social media and WhatsApp that will spread through Africa and South Asia like wildfire, all of it with real quotes from a real respected German newspaper and real Tweets from respected German scientists questioning the efficacy of the vaccine.

    It's genuinely a disaster for the world IMO.

    I disagree. The story was killed quickly and categorically. It will have some effect. But not a disastrous one. Quotes can be made up. Tweets can be manufactured. Most people will not know a genuine German scientist from a fake one. Very few people outside of Germany will have heard of Handelsblatt. Bollocks will spread whatever.

    EU good - nothing to see here. Next.

    What on earth has it got to do with the EU? Are people really seeing this story in those terms? Bloody hell.

    Are you not? Bloody hell.

    No, I'm not. As someone who has bee involved in journalism for 30 years I am seeing it as a story about a newspaper and a journalist who have got something terribly, terribly wrong. I don't see what the EU has to do with this at all. It does not own the newspaper or control its output.

    The EU have asked companies for advance notification of all exports of vaccines, and an Irish minister on Euro News this morning said that the EU should be looking after their own first, before allowing the export of vaccines.

    But that's not what the Handelsblatt story was about, is it?

    Vaccine nationalism is another, far more disturbing, if not entirely predictable, development.

    No, it’s two separate stories that broke on the same day.

    One story about the AZ vaccine being a bit rubbish, and the other about making sure the EU have enough of it, and the Pfizer one too. (The EU haven’t yet approved the AZ vaccine).
  • Options
    LeonLeon Posts: 47,725
    FF43 said:

    MaxPB said:

    Leon said:

    kinabalu said:

    kinabalu said:

    Leon said:

    Leon said:

    MaxPB said:

    MaxPB said:

    If the EU block export of Pfizer vaccines to UK, while demanding queue jumping of AZN ones made in the UK....that will go down well.

    Don't worry, the EU will still have it's defenders in the UK, either out loud or by staying quiet.
    Everyone needs to stop frothing.

    The EU are not going to block export of Pfizer vaccines.

    What is wrong with everyone?
    So why are they putting a notification and approval process in place for exports?
    We can discuss the behaviour of the EU if and when they actually do something. Otherwise everyone is just frothing about a few tweets from EU knobheads.

    I know first-hand how integrated EU and UK pharma supply chains are. Britain therefore has significant leverage and any trade war would have awful consequences for both parties.

    Everyone just needs to calm down.
    You think that Commissioner Kyriakides is a knobhead?

    A little undiplomatic but OK . . .
    If the UK had been behaving with the chaotic, flailing incompetence of the EU and its media friends, in the last couple of weeks, they would have had squirting orgasms of delight.

    The Handelsblatt error is just mind-bogglingly stupid, world class levels of irresponsible, and it could lead to actual deaths as people read the fake news (still being retweeted by Told You So anti-vaxxers) and avoid the jab.

    How has the journalist wo wrote it still got a job? In the UK he'd now be collecting Universal Credit.
    No, in the UK people who publish lies in newspapers become Prime Minister.
    Whataboutery of the first water,

    FFS this is a lie - sorry "journalistic error" - on a cosmic level; the 8% meme is now out there, and it will possibly cause deaths.

    To make it worse, Handelsblatt were told last night be multiple experts - virologists, epidemiologists, everyone - that the "8% thing" was almost certainly wrong, damaging and dangerous, and should be immediately retracted. Did they? No. They doubled down.

    It was still on their website just an hour ago.
    In a spirit of genuine intellectual curiosity rather than whataboutery -

    Do we think this will cost more lives than the Cummings scandal?
    Since there's not the slightest particle of evidence that even one additional person died as a result of that supposed scandal, the Handelsblatt Affair has every chance of prevailing.
    None of this is provable in a hard scientific sense but it lends itself to insightful speculation for those with the head and stomach for it.
    Here we are stacking up: (i) loss of trust in government lockdown messaging due to senior government advisor pissing all over it VERSUS (ii) loss of trust in AZ vaccine due to fake news story in German newspaper.
    I don't have the answer. Was hoping to hear from others first. Particularly those who are talking about lives lost due to (ii).
    Here is an example of why the Handelsblatt Affair is much more damaging.

    The original tweets claiming "8% efficacy" were retweeted by multiple journalists, and experts, in Germany

    Like this guy. Here he is explaining why he has now deleted the retweet

    https://twitter.com/hendrikstreeck/status/1354038073001205762?s=20


    Why does he matter? Because he has 100,000 followers and he is:


    "Professor and Director of the Institute of Virology and German Center of HIV & AIDS
    @UniBonn
    Former:
    @HarvardMed"

    Many of his followers will automatically believe him, this is his field. They would have read this very alarming news last night, and told everyone on Facebook, and thus it now spreads around the world.

    Yes, loss of trust in a government adviser and maybe the government maybe has a small effect in one country. People aren't burning cars in the Netherlands and France at the moment because if Cummings, at least. Undermining trust in the main vaccine for the developing world is completely unforgivable, the Russian bot farms will be in overdrive making "8%" memes for social media and WhatsApp that will spread through Africa and South Asia like wildfire, all of it with real quotes from a real respected German newspaper and real Tweets from respected German scientists questioning the efficacy of the vaccine.

    It's genuinely a disaster for the world IMO.

    I disagree. The story was killed quickly and categorically. It will have some effect. But not a disastrous one. Quotes can be made up. Tweets can be manufactured. Most people will not know a genuine German scientist from a fake one. Very few people outside of Germany will have heard of Handelsblatt. Bollocks will spread whatever.

    The sensible thing is to wait until the EMA delivers its expected authorisation and conditions for the Astrazeneca vaccine on Friday. They are not going to make mistakes like this. The problem is the widespread repetition as fact of unsubstantiated and unattributed assertion. Not just a German problem, I have to say...

    There is speculation that the EMA will not authorise the AZ vaccine for over 65s. If this happens, I suspect a risk of people coming to the conclusion that the vaccine is unsafe, rather than that the EMA lacks the data to support authorisation, hopefully a temporary situation until the data can be procured.
    If they don't authorise it for over 65s, that will crush the vaccination programme in the UK, as oldies refuse AZ and demand Pfizer/Moderna. It will also make AZ unwanted across the world, by all age groups, as everyone decides there must be something fishy about it, remember that "8% thing", and so on and so on.

    Max is right. This is potentially a disaster. AZ was meant to be the global workhorse.

  • Options
    Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 27,138

    MaxPB said:

    MaxPB said:

    Leon said:

    kinabalu said:

    kinabalu said:

    Leon said:

    Leon said:

    MaxPB said:

    MaxPB said:

    If the EU block export of Pfizer vaccines to UK, while demanding queue jumping of AZN ones made in the UK....that will go down well.

    Don't worry, the EU will still have it's defenders in the UK, either out loud or by staying quiet.
    Everyone needs to stop frothing.

    The EU are not going to block export of Pfizer vaccines.

    What is wrong with everyone?
    So why are they putting a notification and approval process in place for exports?
    We can discuss the behaviour of the EU if and when they actually do something. Otherwise everyone is just frothing about a few tweets from EU knobheads.

    I know first-hand how integrated EU and UK pharma supply chains are. Britain therefore has significant leverage and any trade war would have awful consequences for both parties.

    Everyone just needs to calm down.
    You think that Commissioner Kyriakides is a knobhead?

    A little undiplomatic but OK . . .
    If the UK had been behaving with the chaotic, flailing incompetence of the EU and its media friends, in the last couple of weeks, they would have had squirting orgasms of delight.

    The Handelsblatt error is just mind-bogglingly stupid, world class levels of irresponsible, and it could lead to actual deaths as people read the fake news (still being retweeted by Told You So anti-vaxxers) and avoid the jab.

    How has the journalist wo wrote it still got a job? In the UK he'd now be collecting Universal Credit.
    No, in the UK people who publish lies in newspapers become Prime Minister.
    Whataboutery of the first water,

    FFS this is a lie - sorry "journalistic error" - on a cosmic level; the 8% meme is now out there, and it will possibly cause deaths.

    To make it worse, Handelsblatt were told last night be multiple experts - virologists, epidemiologists, everyone - that the "8% thing" was almost certainly wrong, damaging and dangerous, and should be immediately retracted. Did they? No. They doubled down.

    It was still on their website just an hour ago.
    In a spirit of genuine intellectual curiosity rather than whataboutery -

    Do we think this will cost more lives than the Cummings scandal?
    Since there's not the slightest particle of evidence that even one additional person died as a result of that supposed scandal, the Handelsblatt Affair has every chance of prevailing.
    None of this is provable in a hard scientific sense but it lends itself to insightful speculation for those with the head and stomach for it.
    Here we are stacking up: (i) loss of trust in government lockdown messaging due to senior government advisor pissing all over it VERSUS (ii) loss of trust in AZ vaccine due to fake news story in German newspaper.
    I don't have the answer. Was hoping to hear from others first. Particularly those who are talking about lives lost due to (ii).
    Here is an example of why the Handelsblatt Affair is much more damaging.

    The original tweets claiming "8% efficacy" were retweeted by multiple journalists, and experts, in Germany

    Like this guy. Here he is explaining why he has now deleted the retweet

    https://twitter.com/hendrikstreeck/status/1354038073001205762?s=20


    Why does he matter? Because he has 100,000 followers and he is:


    "Professor and Director of the Institute of Virology and German Center of HIV & AIDS
    @UniBonn
    Former:
    @HarvardMed"

    Many of his followers will automatically believe him, this is his field. They would have read this very alarming news last night, and told everyone on Facebook, and thus it now spreads around the world.

    Yes, loss of trust in a government adviser and maybe the government maybe has a small effect in one country. People aren't burning cars in the Netherlands and France at the moment because if Cummings, at least. Undermining trust in the main vaccine for the developing world is completely unforgivable, the Russian bot farms will be in overdrive making "8%" memes for social media and WhatsApp that will spread through Africa and South Asia like wildfire, all of it with real quotes from a real respected German newspaper and real Tweets from respected German scientists questioning the efficacy of the vaccine.

    It's genuinely a disaster for the world IMO.

    I disagree. The story was killed quickly and categorically. It will have some effect. But not a disastrous one. Quotes can be made up. Tweets can be manufactured. Most people will not know a genuine German scientist from a fake one. Very few people outside of Germany will have heard of Handelsblatt. Bollocks will spread whatever.

    Speaks someone who hasn't seen fake news about this first hand. I've watched videos forwarded to my parents full of this bullshit already, it won't be long until the Russian bot farms start to produce these memes and have direct quotes from German scientists to back up their bullshit claims. They've muddied the waters over the cheapest and easiest to transport vaccine that is being produced at a rate of 2bn per year in India for the developing world. It is unforgivable.

    The whole point about fake news is that it is fake. It can be made up. Those susceptible to fake news will believe it whatever. The story was appalling. The newspaper and the journalist deserve every bit of crap they are getting. But in the great scheme of things it will make very little practical difference because it was killed too quickly to make it into any mainstream media coverage.

    I hope you're right.
  • Options
    FF43FF43 Posts: 15,843

    FF43 said:

    MaxPB said:

    Leon said:

    kinabalu said:

    kinabalu said:

    Leon said:

    Leon said:

    MaxPB said:

    MaxPB said:

    If the EU block export of Pfizer vaccines to UK, while demanding queue jumping of AZN ones made in the UK....that will go down well.

    Don't worry, the EU will still have it's defenders in the UK, either out loud or by staying quiet.
    Everyone needs to stop frothing.

    The EU are not going to block export of Pfizer vaccines.

    What is wrong with everyone?
    So why are they putting a notification and approval process in place for exports?
    We can discuss the behaviour of the EU if and when they actually do something. Otherwise everyone is just frothing about a few tweets from EU knobheads.

    I know first-hand how integrated EU and UK pharma supply chains are. Britain therefore has significant leverage and any trade war would have awful consequences for both parties.

    Everyone just needs to calm down.
    You think that Commissioner Kyriakides is a knobhead?

    A little undiplomatic but OK . . .
    If the UK had been behaving with the chaotic, flailing incompetence of the EU and its media friends, in the last couple of weeks, they would have had squirting orgasms of delight.

    The Handelsblatt error is just mind-bogglingly stupid, world class levels of irresponsible, and it could lead to actual deaths as people read the fake news (still being retweeted by Told You So anti-vaxxers) and avoid the jab.

    How has the journalist wo wrote it still got a job? In the UK he'd now be collecting Universal Credit.
    No, in the UK people who publish lies in newspapers become Prime Minister.
    Whataboutery of the first water,

    FFS this is a lie - sorry "journalistic error" - on a cosmic level; the 8% meme is now out there, and it will possibly cause deaths.

    To make it worse, Handelsblatt were told last night be multiple experts - virologists, epidemiologists, everyone - that the "8% thing" was almost certainly wrong, damaging and dangerous, and should be immediately retracted. Did they? No. They doubled down.

    It was still on their website just an hour ago.
    In a spirit of genuine intellectual curiosity rather than whataboutery -

    Do we think this will cost more lives than the Cummings scandal?
    Since there's not the slightest particle of evidence that even one additional person died as a result of that supposed scandal, the Handelsblatt Affair has every chance of prevailing.
    None of this is provable in a hard scientific sense but it lends itself to insightful speculation for those with the head and stomach for it.
    Here we are stacking up: (i) loss of trust in government lockdown messaging due to senior government advisor pissing all over it VERSUS (ii) loss of trust in AZ vaccine due to fake news story in German newspaper.
    I don't have the answer. Was hoping to hear from others first. Particularly those who are talking about lives lost due to (ii).
    Here is an example of why the Handelsblatt Affair is much more damaging.

    The original tweets claiming "8% efficacy" were retweeted by multiple journalists, and experts, in Germany

    Like this guy. Here he is explaining why he has now deleted the retweet

    https://twitter.com/hendrikstreeck/status/1354038073001205762?s=20


    Why does he matter? Because he has 100,000 followers and he is:


    "Professor and Director of the Institute of Virology and German Center of HIV & AIDS
    @UniBonn
    Former:
    @HarvardMed"

    Many of his followers will automatically believe him, this is his field. They would have read this very alarming news last night, and told everyone on Facebook, and thus it now spreads around the world.

    Yes, loss of trust in a government adviser and maybe the government maybe has a small effect in one country. People aren't burning cars in the Netherlands and France at the moment because if Cummings, at least. Undermining trust in the main vaccine for the developing world is completely unforgivable, the Russian bot farms will be in overdrive making "8%" memes for social media and WhatsApp that will spread through Africa and South Asia like wildfire, all of it with real quotes from a real respected German newspaper and real Tweets from respected German scientists questioning the efficacy of the vaccine.

    It's genuinely a disaster for the world IMO.

    I disagree. The story was killed quickly and categorically. It will have some effect. But not a disastrous one. Quotes can be made up. Tweets can be manufactured. Most people will not know a genuine German scientist from a fake one. Very few people outside of Germany will have heard of Handelsblatt. Bollocks will spread whatever.

    The sensible thing is to wait until the EMA delivers its expected authorisation and conditions on Friday. They are not going to make mistakes like this. The problem is the widespread repetition as fact of unsubstantiated and unattributed assertion. Not just a German problem, I have to say...

    There is speculation that the EMA will not authorise the AZ vaccine for over 65s. If this happens, I suspect a risk of people coming to the conclusion that the vaccine is unsafe, rather than that the EMA lacks the data to support authorisation, hopefully a temporary situation until the data can be procured.
    By that time all our over 65s will already be vaccinated!
    Including my mum, on the AZ vaccine. Problem (and bear in mind we are speculating that the EMA might not authorise for over 65s) is that "We don't have the data to support authorisation" sounds like "this thing is unsafe" to people who aren't paying attention. If so, that's a far bigger problem than a random journalist inventing facts in a German paper that hardly anyone has heard of.
  • Options
    kinabalukinabalu Posts: 39,473
    edited January 2021

    kinabalu said:

    kinabalu said:

    Leon said:

    Leon said:

    MaxPB said:

    MaxPB said:

    If the EU block export of Pfizer vaccines to UK, while demanding queue jumping of AZN ones made in the UK....that will go down well.

    Don't worry, the EU will still have it's defenders in the UK, either out loud or by staying quiet.
    Everyone needs to stop frothing.

    The EU are not going to block export of Pfizer vaccines.

    What is wrong with everyone?
    So why are they putting a notification and approval process in place for exports?
    We can discuss the behaviour of the EU if and when they actually do something. Otherwise everyone is just frothing about a few tweets from EU knobheads.

    I know first-hand how integrated EU and UK pharma supply chains are. Britain therefore has significant leverage and any trade war would have awful consequences for both parties.

    Everyone just needs to calm down.
    You think that Commissioner Kyriakides is a knobhead?

    A little undiplomatic but OK . . .
    If the UK had been behaving with the chaotic, flailing incompetence of the EU and its media friends, in the last couple of weeks, they would have had squirting orgasms of delight.

    The Handelsblatt error is just mind-bogglingly stupid, world class levels of irresponsible, and it could lead to actual deaths as people read the fake news (still being retweeted by Told You So anti-vaxxers) and avoid the jab.

    How has the journalist wo wrote it still got a job? In the UK he'd now be collecting Universal Credit.
    No, in the UK people who publish lies in newspapers become Prime Minister.
    Whataboutery of the first water,

    FFS this is a lie - sorry "journalistic error" - on a cosmic level; the 8% meme is now out there, and it will possibly cause deaths.

    To make it worse, Handelsblatt were told last night be multiple experts - virologists, epidemiologists, everyone - that the "8% thing" was almost certainly wrong, damaging and dangerous, and should be immediately retracted. Did they? No. They doubled down.

    It was still on their website just an hour ago.
    In a spirit of genuine intellectual curiosity rather than whataboutery -

    Do we think this will cost more lives than the Cummings scandal?
    Since there's not the slightest particle of evidence that even one additional person died as a result of that supposed scandal, the Handelsblatt Affair has every chance of prevailing.
    None of this is provable in a hard scientific sense but it lends itself to insightful speculation for those with the head and stomach for it.
    Here we are stacking up: (i) loss of trust in government lockdown messaging due to senior government advisor pissing all over it VERSUS (ii) loss of trust in AZ vaccine due to fake news story in German newspaper.
    I don't have the answer. Was hoping to hear from others first. Particularly those who are talking about lives lost due to (ii).
    My take on Cummings is that it didn't change people's behaviour, but it allowed wankers who were always going to break the rules to point and say 'look, he did it, so why shouldn't I?'. Basically - it gave them an excuse to justify why they were being wankers.
    I'd have thought it would have changed behaviour on the margins too. People who were not too scared of the virus but were just about complying. Yhey see that, then the pathetic Johnson response, and go "fuck it then". Lots of those, I reckon.
  • Options
    Leon said:

    felix said:

    MaxPB said:

    Leon said:

    kinabalu said:

    kinabalu said:

    Leon said:

    Leon said:

    MaxPB said:

    MaxPB said:

    If the EU block export of Pfizer vaccines to UK, while demanding queue jumping of AZN ones made in the UK....that will go down well.

    Don't worry, the EU will still have it's defenders in the UK, either out loud or by staying quiet.
    Everyone needs to stop frothing.

    The EU are not going to block export of Pfizer vaccines.

    What is wrong with everyone?
    So why are they putting a notification and approval process in place for exports?
    We can discuss the behaviour of the EU if and when they actually do something. Otherwise everyone is just frothing about a few tweets from EU knobheads.

    I know first-hand how integrated EU and UK pharma supply chains are. Britain therefore has significant leverage and any trade war would have awful consequences for both parties.

    Everyone just needs to calm down.
    You think that Commissioner Kyriakides is a knobhead?

    A little undiplomatic but OK . . .
    If the UK had been behaving with the chaotic, flailing incompetence of the EU and its media friends, in the last couple of weeks, they would have had squirting orgasms of delight.

    The Handelsblatt error is just mind-bogglingly stupid, world class levels of irresponsible, and it could lead to actual deaths as people read the fake news (still being retweeted by Told You So anti-vaxxers) and avoid the jab.

    How has the journalist wo wrote it still got a job? In the UK he'd now be collecting Universal Credit.
    No, in the UK people who publish lies in newspapers become Prime Minister.
    Whataboutery of the first water,

    FFS this is a lie - sorry "journalistic error" - on a cosmic level; the 8% meme is now out there, and it will possibly cause deaths.

    To make it worse, Handelsblatt were told last night be multiple experts - virologists, epidemiologists, everyone - that the "8% thing" was almost certainly wrong, damaging and dangerous, and should be immediately retracted. Did they? No. They doubled down.

    It was still on their website just an hour ago.
    In a spirit of genuine intellectual curiosity rather than whataboutery -

    Do we think this will cost more lives than the Cummings scandal?
    Since there's not the slightest particle of evidence that even one additional person died as a result of that supposed scandal, the Handelsblatt Affair has every chance of prevailing.
    None of this is provable in a hard scientific sense but it lends itself to insightful speculation for those with the head and stomach for it.
    Here we are stacking up: (i) loss of trust in government lockdown messaging due to senior government advisor pissing all over it VERSUS (ii) loss of trust in AZ vaccine due to fake news story in German newspaper.
    I don't have the answer. Was hoping to hear from others first. Particularly those who are talking about lives lost due to (ii).
    Here is an example of why the Handelsblatt Affair is much more damaging.

    The original tweets claiming "8% efficacy" were retweeted by multiple journalists, and experts, in Germany

    Like this guy. Here he is explaining why he has now deleted the retweet

    https://twitter.com/hendrikstreeck/status/1354038073001205762?s=20


    Why does he matter? Because he has 100,000 followers and he is:


    "Professor and Director of the Institute of Virology and German Center of HIV & AIDS
    @UniBonn
    Former:
    @HarvardMed"

    Many of his followers will automatically believe him, this is his field. They would have read this very alarming news last night, and told everyone on Facebook, and thus it now spreads around the world.

    Yes, loss of trust in a government adviser and maybe the government maybe has a small effect in one country. People aren't burning cars in the Netherlands and France at the moment because if Cummings, at least. Undermining trust in the main vaccine for the developing world is completely unforgivable, the Russian bot farms will be in overdrive making "8%" memes for social media and WhatsApp that will spread through Africa and South Asia like wildfire, all of it with real quotes from a real respected German newspaper and real Tweets from respected German scientists questioning the efficacy of the vaccine.

    It's genuinely a disaster for the world IMO.

    I disagree. The story was killed quickly and categorically. It will have some effect. But not a disastrous one. Quotes can be made up. Tweets can be manufactured. Most people will not know a genuine German scientist from a fake one. Very few people outside of Germany will have heard of Handelsblatt. Bollocks will spread whatever.

    EU good - nothing to see here. Next.

    What on earth has it got to do with the EU? Are people really seeing this story in those terms? Bloody hell.

    Because the EU, in charge of EU vaccine procurement, is going nuts about AZ not providing enough vaccine to the EU, and this fake news can easily be seen as an organised attack on AZ. Handelsblatt claimed it got the fact from multiple sources in the German government. And, of course, these two things - the EU shouting at AZ, and the fake news about AZ, coincidentally happened on the same day.

    https://twitter.com/alexwickham/status/1354006295637078016?s=20

    But hasn't the German government entirely repudiated the story? If the EU really wanted to attack AZN it would not be demanding more of its vaccines. It would be cancelling orders.

    That the EU has ballsed up is indisputable. But that is another issue entirely.
  • Options
    LeonLeon Posts: 47,725
    edited January 2021
    MaxPB said:

    MaxPB said:

    MaxPB said:

    Leon said:

    kinabalu said:

    kinabalu said:

    Leon said:

    Leon said:

    MaxPB said:

    MaxPB said:

    If the EU block export of Pfizer vaccines to UK, while demanding queue jumping of AZN ones made in the UK....that will go down well.

    Don't worry, the EU will still have it's defenders in the UK, either out loud or by staying quiet.
    Everyone needs to stop frothing.

    The EU are not going to block export of Pfizer vaccines.

    What is wrong with everyone?
    So why are they putting a notification and approval process in place for exports?
    We can discuss the behaviour of the EU if and when they actually do something. Otherwise everyone is just frothing about a few tweets from EU knobheads.

    I know first-hand how integrated EU and UK pharma supply chains are. Britain therefore has significant leverage and any trade war would have awful consequences for both parties.

    Everyone just needs to calm down.
    You think that Commissioner Kyriakides is a knobhead?

    A little undiplomatic but OK . . .
    If the UK had been behaving with the chaotic, flailing incompetence of the EU and its media friends, in the last couple of weeks, they would have had squirting orgasms of delight.

    The Handelsblatt error is just mind-bogglingly stupid, world class levels of irresponsible, and it could lead to actual deaths as people read the fake news (still being retweeted by Told You So anti-vaxxers) and avoid the jab.

    How has the journalist wo wrote it still got a job? In the UK he'd now be collecting Universal Credit.
    No, in the UK people who publish lies in newspapers become Prime Minister.
    Whataboutery of the first water,

    FFS this is a lie - sorry "journalistic error" - on a cosmic level; the 8% meme is now out there, and it will possibly cause deaths.

    To make it worse, Handelsblatt were told last night be multiple experts - virologists, epidemiologists, everyone - that the "8% thing" was almost certainly wrong, damaging and dangerous, and should be immediately retracted. Did they? No. They doubled down.

    It was still on their website just an hour ago.
    In a spirit of genuine intellectual curiosity rather than whataboutery -

    Do we think this will cost more lives than the Cummings scandal?
    Since there's not the slightest particle of evidence that even one additional person died as a result of that supposed scandal, the Handelsblatt Affair has every chance of prevailing.
    None of this is provable in a hard scientific sense but it lends itself to insightful speculation for those with the head and stomach for it.
    Here we are stacking up: (i) loss of trust in government lockdown messaging due to senior government advisor pissing all over it VERSUS (ii) loss of trust in AZ vaccine due to fake news story in German newspaper.
    I don't have the answer. Was hoping to hear from others first. Particularly those who are talking about lives lost due to (ii).
    Here is an example of why the Handelsblatt Affair is much more damaging.

    The original tweets claiming "8% efficacy" were retweeted by multiple journalists, and experts, in Germany

    Like this guy. Here he is explaining why he has now deleted the retweet

    https://twitter.com/hendrikstreeck/status/1354038073001205762?s=20


    Why does he matter? Because he has 100,000 followers and he is:


    "Professor and Director of the Institute of Virology and German Center of HIV & AIDS
    @UniBonn
    Former:
    @HarvardMed"

    Many of his followers will automatically believe him, this is his field. They would have read this very alarming news last night, and told everyone on Facebook, and thus it now spreads around the world.

    Yes, loss of trust in a government adviser and maybe the government maybe has a small effect in one country. People aren't burning cars in the Netherlands and France at the moment because if Cummings, at least. Undermining trust in the main vaccine for the developing world is completely unforgivable, the Russian bot farms will be in overdrive making "8%" memes for social media and WhatsApp that will spread through Africa and South Asia like wildfire, all of it with real quotes from a real respected German newspaper and real Tweets from respected German scientists questioning the efficacy of the vaccine.

    It's genuinely a disaster for the world IMO.

    I disagree. The story was killed quickly and categorically. It will have some effect. But not a disastrous one. Quotes can be made up. Tweets can be manufactured. Most people will not know a genuine German scientist from a fake one. Very few people outside of Germany will have heard of Handelsblatt. Bollocks will spread whatever.

    Speaks someone who hasn't seen fake news about this first hand. I've watched videos forwarded to my parents full of this bullshit already, it won't be long until the Russian bot farms start to produce these memes and have direct quotes from German scientists to back up their bullshit claims. They've muddied the waters over the cheapest and easiest to transport vaccine that is being produced at a rate of 2bn per year in India for the developing world. It is unforgivable.

    The whole point about fake news is that it is fake. It can be made up. Those susceptible to fake news will believe it whatever. The story was appalling. The newspaper and the journalist deserve every bit of crap they are getting. But in the great scheme of things it will make very little practical difference because it was killed too quickly to make it into any mainstream media coverage.

    No, the best/worst fake news always has an element of truth, that how it takes off. Well maybe not truth, a verifiable claim. It's how it establishes itself as authoratitive. One of the reasons QAnon took off is because the person who originated it definitely did at one point work in the Whitehouse and there were verifiable pictures of this person taking pictures from inside the west wing of the Whitehouse with their 4Chan tripcode. It established QAnon as authoritative when literally everything related to it is bullshit.

    Now we have a respected newspaper authoritatively claiming that this vaccine has got just 8% efficacy. Unfortunately it's exactly the kind of thing that will snowball on Asian and African WhatsApp with pictures and videos claiming a coverup by the German government.

    I've had years of explaining to my own mum that these videos are poison and she shouldn't watch them, luckily my sister and I succeeded in convincing her before the pandemic started but loads of my aunts and uncles are deep into these 5G conspiracies and vaccine fake news, one of them messaged in our family group the other day that men under 50 shouldn't get it because it causes infertility according to Japanese scientists.
    Yep. I have anti-vaxxer friends. They live for Fake News like this. It gives them joy. "See, I am not mad, I was right!"
  • Options
    felixfelix Posts: 15,125
    Omnium said:

    felix said:

    DavidL said:

    Omnium said:

    ydoethur said:

    Pulpstar said:

    They'll be busted with a group visit to the doughnut shop next.

    https://twitter.com/MargaretDavisPA/status/1354086077875834896

    £200 for a haircut is quite a lot, although for some barbers it would be a mere snip.
    I don't know a single barber who's *not* cutting people's hair on the sly. They claim they need to to survive.
    How many barbers can you possibly know?
    He'll be trimming that position soon enough.
    The shear stupidity of that comment.
    You'd have to comb the internet for such hair-brained stuff.
    I hear it's full of hairheads so you're right.
  • Options
    eekeek Posts: 25,093
    Sandpit said:

    Sandpit said:

    felix said:

    MaxPB said:

    Leon said:

    kinabalu said:

    kinabalu said:

    Leon said:

    Leon said:

    MaxPB said:

    MaxPB said:

    If the EU block export of Pfizer vaccines to UK, while demanding queue jumping of AZN ones made in the UK....that will go down well.

    Don't worry, the EU will still have it's defenders in the UK, either out loud or by staying quiet.
    Everyone needs to stop frothing.

    The EU are not going to block export of Pfizer vaccines.

    What is wrong with everyone?
    So why are they putting a notification and approval process in place for exports?
    We can discuss the behaviour of the EU if and when they actually do something. Otherwise everyone is just frothing about a few tweets from EU knobheads.

    I know first-hand how integrated EU and UK pharma supply chains are. Britain therefore has significant leverage and any trade war would have awful consequences for both parties.

    Everyone just needs to calm down.
    You think that Commissioner Kyriakides is a knobhead?

    A little undiplomatic but OK . . .
    If the UK had been behaving with the chaotic, flailing incompetence of the EU and its media friends, in the last couple of weeks, they would have had squirting orgasms of delight.

    The Handelsblatt error is just mind-bogglingly stupid, world class levels of irresponsible, and it could lead to actual deaths as people read the fake news (still being retweeted by Told You So anti-vaxxers) and avoid the jab.

    How has the journalist wo wrote it still got a job? In the UK he'd now be collecting Universal Credit.
    No, in the UK people who publish lies in newspapers become Prime Minister.
    Whataboutery of the first water,

    FFS this is a lie - sorry "journalistic error" - on a cosmic level; the 8% meme is now out there, and it will possibly cause deaths.

    To make it worse, Handelsblatt were told last night be multiple experts - virologists, epidemiologists, everyone - that the "8% thing" was almost certainly wrong, damaging and dangerous, and should be immediately retracted. Did they? No. They doubled down.

    It was still on their website just an hour ago.
    In a spirit of genuine intellectual curiosity rather than whataboutery -

    Do we think this will cost more lives than the Cummings scandal?
    Since there's not the slightest particle of evidence that even one additional person died as a result of that supposed scandal, the Handelsblatt Affair has every chance of prevailing.
    None of this is provable in a hard scientific sense but it lends itself to insightful speculation for those with the head and stomach for it.
    Here we are stacking up: (i) loss of trust in government lockdown messaging due to senior government advisor pissing all over it VERSUS (ii) loss of trust in AZ vaccine due to fake news story in German newspaper.
    I don't have the answer. Was hoping to hear from others first. Particularly those who are talking about lives lost due to (ii).
    Here is an example of why the Handelsblatt Affair is much more damaging.

    The original tweets claiming "8% efficacy" were retweeted by multiple journalists, and experts, in Germany

    Like this guy. Here he is explaining why he has now deleted the retweet

    https://twitter.com/hendrikstreeck/status/1354038073001205762?s=20


    Why does he matter? Because he has 100,000 followers and he is:


    "Professor and Director of the Institute of Virology and German Center of HIV & AIDS
    @UniBonn
    Former:
    @HarvardMed"

    Many of his followers will automatically believe him, this is his field. They would have read this very alarming news last night, and told everyone on Facebook, and thus it now spreads around the world.

    Yes, loss of trust in a government adviser and maybe the government maybe has a small effect in one country. People aren't burning cars in the Netherlands and France at the moment because if Cummings, at least. Undermining trust in the main vaccine for the developing world is completely unforgivable, the Russian bot farms will be in overdrive making "8%" memes for social media and WhatsApp that will spread through Africa and South Asia like wildfire, all of it with real quotes from a real respected German newspaper and real Tweets from respected German scientists questioning the efficacy of the vaccine.

    It's genuinely a disaster for the world IMO.

    I disagree. The story was killed quickly and categorically. It will have some effect. But not a disastrous one. Quotes can be made up. Tweets can be manufactured. Most people will not know a genuine German scientist from a fake one. Very few people outside of Germany will have heard of Handelsblatt. Bollocks will spread whatever.

    EU good - nothing to see here. Next.

    What on earth has it got to do with the EU? Are people really seeing this story in those terms? Bloody hell.

    Are you not? Bloody hell.

    No, I'm not. As someone who has bee involved in journalism for 30 years I am seeing it as a story about a newspaper and a journalist who have got something terribly, terribly wrong. I don't see what the EU has to do with this at all. It does not own the newspaper or control its output.

    The EU have asked companies for advance notification of all exports of vaccines, and an Irish minister on Euro News this morning said that the EU should be looking after their own first, before allowing the export of vaccines.

    But that's not what the Handelsblatt story was about, is it?

    Vaccine nationalism is another, far more disturbing, if not entirely predictable, development.

    No, it’s two separate stories that broke on the same day.

    One story about the AZ vaccine being a bit rubbish, and the other about making sure the EU have enough of it, and the Pfizer one too. (The EU haven’t yet approved the AZ vaccine).
    It's actually 3 different stories

    The AZ vaccine being a bit rubbish (with fake statistics added for good measure)
    The EU version of the AZ vaccine having manufacturing issues
    The EU reacting to that by looking at how to see what vaccines are being manufactured (with the add on that the EU want AZ to provide vaccine from the UK and may wish to stop fulfillment of other vaccine exports).
  • Options
    TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 41,533
    edited January 2021
    MaxPB said:

    TOPPING said:

    felix said:

    TOPPING said:

    Leon said:

    kinabalu said:

    kinabalu said:

    Leon said:

    Leon said:

    MaxPB said:

    MaxPB said:

    If the EU block export of Pfizer vaccines to UK, while demanding queue jumping of AZN ones made in the UK....that will go down well.

    Don't worry, the EU will still have it's defenders in the UK, either out loud or by staying quiet.
    Everyone needs to stop frothing.

    The EU are not going to block export of Pfizer vaccines.

    What is wrong with everyone?
    So why are they putting a notification and approval process in place for exports?
    We can discuss the behaviour of the EU if and when they actually do something. Otherwise everyone is just frothing about a few tweets from EU knobheads.

    I know first-hand how integrated EU and UK pharma supply chains are. Britain therefore has significant leverage and any trade war would have awful consequences for both parties.

    Everyone just needs to calm down.
    You think that Commissioner Kyriakides is a knobhead?

    A little undiplomatic but OK . . .
    If the UK had been behaving with the chaotic, flailing incompetence of the EU and its media friends, in the last couple of weeks, they would have had squirting orgasms of delight.

    The Handelsblatt error is just mind-bogglingly stupid, world class levels of irresponsible, and it could lead to actual deaths as people read the fake news (still being retweeted by Told You So anti-vaxxers) and avoid the jab.

    How has the journalist wo wrote it still got a job? In the UK he'd now be collecting Universal Credit.
    No, in the UK people who publish lies in newspapers become Prime Minister.
    Whataboutery of the first water,

    FFS this is a lie - sorry "journalistic error" - on a cosmic level; the 8% meme is now out there, and it will possibly cause deaths.

    To make it worse, Handelsblatt were told last night be multiple experts - virologists, epidemiologists, everyone - that the "8% thing" was almost certainly wrong, damaging and dangerous, and should be immediately retracted. Did they? No. They doubled down.

    It was still on their website just an hour ago.
    In a spirit of genuine intellectual curiosity rather than whataboutery -

    Do we think this will cost more lives than the Cummings scandal?
    Since there's not the slightest particle of evidence that even one additional person died as a result of that supposed scandal, the Handelsblatt Affair has every chance of prevailing.
    None of this is provable in a hard scientific sense but it lends itself to insightful speculation for those with the head and stomach for it.
    Here we are stacking up: (i) loss of trust in government lockdown messaging due to senior government advisor pissing all over it VERSUS (ii) loss of trust in AZ vaccine due to fake news story in German newspaper.
    I don't have the answer. Was hoping to hear from others first. Particularly those who are talking about lives lost due to (ii).
    Here is an example of why the Handelsblatt Affair is much more damaging.

    The original tweets claiming "8% efficacy" were retweeted by multiple journalists, and experts, in Germany

    Like this guy. Here he is explaining why he has now deleted the retweet

    https://twitter.com/hendrikstreeck/status/1354038073001205762?s=20


    Why does he matter? Because he has 100,000 followers and he is:


    "Professor and Director of the Institute of Virology and German Center of HIV & AIDS
    @UniBonn
    Former:
    @HarvardMed"

    Many of his followers will automatically believe him, this is his field. They would have read this very alarming news last night, and told everyone on Facebook, and thus it now spreads around the world.

    Huh? He deletes the tweet and says wait for the manufacturers.

    What's wrong with that?
    Your reading comprehension! I guess you understood around 8 % of that post.
    Google translate is your friend here.

    Yes the first tweet (not seen) might have been bad but this is addressing that.

    And as for @Leon's fake news fear, and others, yes of course there may be some damage but if people are only going to look at one tweet by some German guy as their criterion for having the jab or not perhaps it's best to let them do their thing.
    Let's put the shoe on the other foot, it's The Sun making the report and it's about the Belgian Janssen vaccine. The government is experiencing difficulties in procuring it to the extent we wanted and then briefs a journalist to say "it's shite anyway" and that journalist with no investigation simply repeats that as "this is shit" with no presentation of any evidence to support it other than "trust us, we have a source".

    Everyone on here playing it down right now would be spitting with rage at Boris and everyone else involved with this.
    I think I would care as much as I do about the Handelsblatt thing.

    We are a bit "close" to social media and the idea of "fake news" here on PB so we think it's the end of the world. Whereas the vast, vast majority of people wouldn't come close to fake news (what is the Russian bot penetration in Hartlepool?) and this story, by the time it hits these people (of course it won't hit them) will have been amended and corrected in their mode of news consumption.
  • Options
    MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 25,470

    RobD said:

    MaxPB said:

    Leon said:

    kinabalu said:

    kinabalu said:

    Leon said:

    Leon said:

    MaxPB said:

    MaxPB said:

    If the EU block export of Pfizer vaccines to UK, while demanding queue jumping of AZN ones made in the UK....that will go down well.

    Don't worry, the EU will still have it's defenders in the UK, either out loud or by staying quiet.
    Everyone needs to stop frothing.

    The EU are not going to block export of Pfizer vaccines.

    What is wrong with everyone?
    So why are they putting a notification and approval process in place for exports?
    We can discuss the behaviour of the EU if and when they actually do something. Otherwise everyone is just frothing about a few tweets from EU knobheads.

    I know first-hand how integrated EU and UK pharma supply chains are. Britain therefore has significant leverage and any trade war would have awful consequences for both parties.

    Everyone just needs to calm down.
    You think that Commissioner Kyriakides is a knobhead?

    A little undiplomatic but OK . . .
    If the UK had been behaving with the chaotic, flailing incompetence of the EU and its media friends, in the last couple of weeks, they would have had squirting orgasms of delight.

    The Handelsblatt error is just mind-bogglingly stupid, world class levels of irresponsible, and it could lead to actual deaths as people read the fake news (still being retweeted by Told You So anti-vaxxers) and avoid the jab.

    How has the journalist wo wrote it still got a job? In the UK he'd now be collecting Universal Credit.
    No, in the UK people who publish lies in newspapers become Prime Minister.
    Whataboutery of the first water,

    FFS this is a lie - sorry "journalistic error" - on a cosmic level; the 8% meme is now out there, and it will possibly cause deaths.

    To make it worse, Handelsblatt were told last night be multiple experts - virologists, epidemiologists, everyone - that the "8% thing" was almost certainly wrong, damaging and dangerous, and should be immediately retracted. Did they? No. They doubled down.

    It was still on their website just an hour ago.
    In a spirit of genuine intellectual curiosity rather than whataboutery -

    Do we think this will cost more lives than the Cummings scandal?
    Since there's not the slightest particle of evidence that even one additional person died as a result of that supposed scandal, the Handelsblatt Affair has every chance of prevailing.
    None of this is provable in a hard scientific sense but it lends itself to insightful speculation for those with the head and stomach for it.
    Here we are stacking up: (i) loss of trust in government lockdown messaging due to senior government advisor pissing all over it VERSUS (ii) loss of trust in AZ vaccine due to fake news story in German newspaper.
    I don't have the answer. Was hoping to hear from others first. Particularly those who are talking about lives lost due to (ii).
    Here is an example of why the Handelsblatt Affair is much more damaging.

    The original tweets claiming "8% efficacy" were retweeted by multiple journalists, and experts, in Germany

    Like this guy. Here he is explaining why he has now deleted the retweet

    https://twitter.com/hendrikstreeck/status/1354038073001205762?s=20


    Why does he matter? Because he has 100,000 followers and he is:


    "Professor and Director of the Institute of Virology and German Center of HIV & AIDS
    @UniBonn
    Former:
    @HarvardMed"

    Many of his followers will automatically believe him, this is his field. They would have read this very alarming news last night, and told everyone on Facebook, and thus it now spreads around the world.

    Yes, loss of trust in a government adviser and maybe the government maybe has a small effect in one country. People aren't burning cars in the Netherlands and France at the moment because if Cummings, at least. Undermining trust in the main vaccine for the developing world is completely unforgivable, the Russian bot farms will be in overdrive making "8%" memes for social media and WhatsApp that will spread through Africa and South Asia like wildfire, all of it with real quotes from a real respected German newspaper and real Tweets from respected German scientists questioning the efficacy of the vaccine.

    It's genuinely a disaster for the world IMO.

    I disagree. The story was killed quickly and categorically. It will have some effect. But not a disastrous one. Quotes can be made up. Tweets can be manufactured. Most people will not know a genuine German scientist from a fake one. Very few people outside of Germany will have heard of Handelsblatt. Bollocks will spread whatever.

    I tend to agree - this is annoying but not ultimately a disaster. It is more of a concern that the EU has asked for British vaccine supplies to be diverted to itself, and is threatening to block the export of vaccines. We need to do everything possible to ensure that vaccines are manufactured in the UK. Does anyone know where the J&J one is being manufactured?

    Aren't UK AZN vaccines manufactured in the UK?

    Mostly, but they've still asked for UK doses to be diverted.

    Blimey - I had not heard that.

    It seems to be a tit-for-tat exercise between a UK supplier favouring the UK, and in response the EU demand EU suppliers favour the EU. The whole affair appears rather unappealing, however as this is PB, it is a case of evil EU bad, plucky England/Boris Johnson good.
  • Options
    CarlottaVanceCarlottaVance Posts: 59,855
    Cases and admissions down, increase in deaths slowing:


  • Options
    Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 27,138
    Leon said:

    MaxPB said:

    MaxPB said:

    MaxPB said:

    Leon said:

    kinabalu said:

    kinabalu said:

    Leon said:

    Leon said:

    MaxPB said:

    MaxPB said:

    If the EU block export of Pfizer vaccines to UK, while demanding queue jumping of AZN ones made in the UK....that will go down well.

    Don't worry, the EU will still have it's defenders in the UK, either out loud or by staying quiet.
    Everyone needs to stop frothing.

    The EU are not going to block export of Pfizer vaccines.

    What is wrong with everyone?
    So why are they putting a notification and approval process in place for exports?
    We can discuss the behaviour of the EU if and when they actually do something. Otherwise everyone is just frothing about a few tweets from EU knobheads.

    I know first-hand how integrated EU and UK pharma supply chains are. Britain therefore has significant leverage and any trade war would have awful consequences for both parties.

    Everyone just needs to calm down.
    You think that Commissioner Kyriakides is a knobhead?

    A little undiplomatic but OK . . .
    If the UK had been behaving with the chaotic, flailing incompetence of the EU and its media friends, in the last couple of weeks, they would have had squirting orgasms of delight.

    The Handelsblatt error is just mind-bogglingly stupid, world class levels of irresponsible, and it could lead to actual deaths as people read the fake news (still being retweeted by Told You So anti-vaxxers) and avoid the jab.

    How has the journalist wo wrote it still got a job? In the UK he'd now be collecting Universal Credit.
    No, in the UK people who publish lies in newspapers become Prime Minister.
    Whataboutery of the first water,

    FFS this is a lie - sorry "journalistic error" - on a cosmic level; the 8% meme is now out there, and it will possibly cause deaths.

    To make it worse, Handelsblatt were told last night be multiple experts - virologists, epidemiologists, everyone - that the "8% thing" was almost certainly wrong, damaging and dangerous, and should be immediately retracted. Did they? No. They doubled down.

    It was still on their website just an hour ago.
    In a spirit of genuine intellectual curiosity rather than whataboutery -

    Do we think this will cost more lives than the Cummings scandal?
    Since there's not the slightest particle of evidence that even one additional person died as a result of that supposed scandal, the Handelsblatt Affair has every chance of prevailing.
    None of this is provable in a hard scientific sense but it lends itself to insightful speculation for those with the head and stomach for it.
    Here we are stacking up: (i) loss of trust in government lockdown messaging due to senior government advisor pissing all over it VERSUS (ii) loss of trust in AZ vaccine due to fake news story in German newspaper.
    I don't have the answer. Was hoping to hear from others first. Particularly those who are talking about lives lost due to (ii).
    Here is an example of why the Handelsblatt Affair is much more damaging.

    The original tweets claiming "8% efficacy" were retweeted by multiple journalists, and experts, in Germany

    Like this guy. Here he is explaining why he has now deleted the retweet

    https://twitter.com/hendrikstreeck/status/1354038073001205762?s=20


    Why does he matter? Because he has 100,000 followers and he is:


    "Professor and Director of the Institute of Virology and German Center of HIV & AIDS
    @UniBonn
    Former:
    @HarvardMed"

    Many of his followers will automatically believe him, this is his field. They would have read this very alarming news last night, and told everyone on Facebook, and thus it now spreads around the world.

    Yes, loss of trust in a government adviser and maybe the government maybe has a small effect in one country. People aren't burning cars in the Netherlands and France at the moment because if Cummings, at least. Undermining trust in the main vaccine for the developing world is completely unforgivable, the Russian bot farms will be in overdrive making "8%" memes for social media and WhatsApp that will spread through Africa and South Asia like wildfire, all of it with real quotes from a real respected German newspaper and real Tweets from respected German scientists questioning the efficacy of the vaccine.

    It's genuinely a disaster for the world IMO.

    I disagree. The story was killed quickly and categorically. It will have some effect. But not a disastrous one. Quotes can be made up. Tweets can be manufactured. Most people will not know a genuine German scientist from a fake one. Very few people outside of Germany will have heard of Handelsblatt. Bollocks will spread whatever.

    Speaks someone who hasn't seen fake news about this first hand. I've watched videos forwarded to my parents full of this bullshit already, it won't be long until the Russian bot farms start to produce these memes and have direct quotes from German scientists to back up their bullshit claims. They've muddied the waters over the cheapest and easiest to transport vaccine that is being produced at a rate of 2bn per year in India for the developing world. It is unforgivable.

    The whole point about fake news is that it is fake. It can be made up. Those susceptible to fake news will believe it whatever. The story was appalling. The newspaper and the journalist deserve every bit of crap they are getting. But in the great scheme of things it will make very little practical difference because it was killed too quickly to make it into any mainstream media coverage.

    No, the best/worst fake news always has an element of truth, that how it takes off. Well maybe not truth, a verifiable claim. It's how it establishes itself as authoratitive. One of the reasons QAnon took off is because the person who originated it definitely did at one point work in the Whitehouse and there were verifiable pictures of this person taking pictures from inside the west wing of the Whitehouse with their 4Chan tripcode. It established QAnon as authoritative when literally everything related to it is bullshit.

    Now we have a respected newspaper authoritatively claiming that this vaccine has got just 8% efficacy. Unfortunately it's exactly the kind of thing that will snowball on Asian and African WhatsApp with pictures and videos claiming a coverup by the German government.

    I've had years of explaining to my own mum that these videos are poison and she shouldn't watch them, luckily my sister and I succeeded in convincing her before the pandemic started but loads of my aunts and uncles are deep into these 5G conspiracies and vaccine fake news, one of them messaged in our family group the other day that men under 50 shouldn't get it because it causes infertility according to Japanese scientists.
    Yep. I have anti-vaxxer friends. They live for Fake News like this. It gives them joy. "See, I am not mad, I was right!"
    I recently watched David Icke's interviews with Brian Rose, not because I agree with Icke but because I was fascinated to know why he's so popular with a significant number of people.
  • Options
    MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 50,190
    Leon said:

    felix said:

    MaxPB said:

    Leon said:

    kinabalu said:

    kinabalu said:

    Leon said:

    Leon said:

    MaxPB said:

    MaxPB said:

    If the EU block export of Pfizer vaccines to UK, while demanding queue jumping of AZN ones made in the UK....that will go down well.

    Don't worry, the EU will still have it's defenders in the UK, either out loud or by staying quiet.
    Everyone needs to stop frothing.

    The EU are not going to block export of Pfizer vaccines.

    What is wrong with everyone?
    So why are they putting a notification and approval process in place for exports?
    We can discuss the behaviour of the EU if and when they actually do something. Otherwise everyone is just frothing about a few tweets from EU knobheads.

    I know first-hand how integrated EU and UK pharma supply chains are. Britain therefore has significant leverage and any trade war would have awful consequences for both parties.

    Everyone just needs to calm down.
    You think that Commissioner Kyriakides is a knobhead?

    A little undiplomatic but OK . . .
    If the UK had been behaving with the chaotic, flailing incompetence of the EU and its media friends, in the last couple of weeks, they would have had squirting orgasms of delight.

    The Handelsblatt error is just mind-bogglingly stupid, world class levels of irresponsible, and it could lead to actual deaths as people read the fake news (still being retweeted by Told You So anti-vaxxers) and avoid the jab.

    How has the journalist wo wrote it still got a job? In the UK he'd now be collecting Universal Credit.
    No, in the UK people who publish lies in newspapers become Prime Minister.
    Whataboutery of the first water,

    FFS this is a lie - sorry "journalistic error" - on a cosmic level; the 8% meme is now out there, and it will possibly cause deaths.

    To make it worse, Handelsblatt were told last night be multiple experts - virologists, epidemiologists, everyone - that the "8% thing" was almost certainly wrong, damaging and dangerous, and should be immediately retracted. Did they? No. They doubled down.

    It was still on their website just an hour ago.
    In a spirit of genuine intellectual curiosity rather than whataboutery -

    Do we think this will cost more lives than the Cummings scandal?
    Since there's not the slightest particle of evidence that even one additional person died as a result of that supposed scandal, the Handelsblatt Affair has every chance of prevailing.
    None of this is provable in a hard scientific sense but it lends itself to insightful speculation for those with the head and stomach for it.
    Here we are stacking up: (i) loss of trust in government lockdown messaging due to senior government advisor pissing all over it VERSUS (ii) loss of trust in AZ vaccine due to fake news story in German newspaper.
    I don't have the answer. Was hoping to hear from others first. Particularly those who are talking about lives lost due to (ii).
    Here is an example of why the Handelsblatt Affair is much more damaging.

    The original tweets claiming "8% efficacy" were retweeted by multiple journalists, and experts, in Germany

    Like this guy. Here he is explaining why he has now deleted the retweet

    https://twitter.com/hendrikstreeck/status/1354038073001205762?s=20


    Why does he matter? Because he has 100,000 followers and he is:


    "Professor and Director of the Institute of Virology and German Center of HIV & AIDS
    @UniBonn
    Former:
    @HarvardMed"

    Many of his followers will automatically believe him, this is his field. They would have read this very alarming news last night, and told everyone on Facebook, and thus it now spreads around the world.

    Yes, loss of trust in a government adviser and maybe the government maybe has a small effect in one country. People aren't burning cars in the Netherlands and France at the moment because if Cummings, at least. Undermining trust in the main vaccine for the developing world is completely unforgivable, the Russian bot farms will be in overdrive making "8%" memes for social media and WhatsApp that will spread through Africa and South Asia like wildfire, all of it with real quotes from a real respected German newspaper and real Tweets from respected German scientists questioning the efficacy of the vaccine.

    It's genuinely a disaster for the world IMO.

    I disagree. The story was killed quickly and categorically. It will have some effect. But not a disastrous one. Quotes can be made up. Tweets can be manufactured. Most people will not know a genuine German scientist from a fake one. Very few people outside of Germany will have heard of Handelsblatt. Bollocks will spread whatever.

    EU good - nothing to see here. Next.

    What on earth has it got to do with the EU? Are people really seeing this story in those terms? Bloody hell.

    Because the EU, in charge of EU vaccine procurement, is going nuts about AZ not providing enough vaccine to the EU, and this fake news can easily be seen as an organised attack on AZ. Handelsblatt claimed it got the fact from multiple sources in the German government. And, of course, these two things - the EU shouting at AZ, and the fake news about AZ, coincidentally happened on the same day.

    https://twitter.com/alexwickham/status/1354006295637078016?s=20

    And also on the same day that the French Pasteur Institute gave up on their own Coovid vaccine trials.
  • Options
    FF43 said:

    MaxPB said:

    Leon said:

    kinabalu said:

    kinabalu said:

    Leon said:

    Leon said:

    MaxPB said:

    MaxPB said:

    If the EU block export of Pfizer vaccines to UK, while demanding queue jumping of AZN ones made in the UK....that will go down well.

    Don't worry, the EU will still have it's defenders in the UK, either out loud or by staying quiet.
    Everyone needs to stop frothing.

    The EU are not going to block export of Pfizer vaccines.

    What is wrong with everyone?
    So why are they putting a notification and approval process in place for exports?
    We can discuss the behaviour of the EU if and when they actually do something. Otherwise everyone is just frothing about a few tweets from EU knobheads.

    I know first-hand how integrated EU and UK pharma supply chains are. Britain therefore has significant leverage and any trade war would have awful consequences for both parties.

    Everyone just needs to calm down.
    You think that Commissioner Kyriakides is a knobhead?

    A little undiplomatic but OK . . .
    If the UK had been behaving with the chaotic, flailing incompetence of the EU and its media friends, in the last couple of weeks, they would have had squirting orgasms of delight.

    The Handelsblatt error is just mind-bogglingly stupid, world class levels of irresponsible, and it could lead to actual deaths as people read the fake news (still being retweeted by Told You So anti-vaxxers) and avoid the jab.

    How has the journalist wo wrote it still got a job? In the UK he'd now be collecting Universal Credit.
    No, in the UK people who publish lies in newspapers become Prime Minister.
    Whataboutery of the first water,

    FFS this is a lie - sorry "journalistic error" - on a cosmic level; the 8% meme is now out there, and it will possibly cause deaths.

    To make it worse, Handelsblatt were told last night be multiple experts - virologists, epidemiologists, everyone - that the "8% thing" was almost certainly wrong, damaging and dangerous, and should be immediately retracted. Did they? No. They doubled down.

    It was still on their website just an hour ago.
    In a spirit of genuine intellectual curiosity rather than whataboutery -

    Do we think this will cost more lives than the Cummings scandal?
    Since there's not the slightest particle of evidence that even one additional person died as a result of that supposed scandal, the Handelsblatt Affair has every chance of prevailing.
    None of this is provable in a hard scientific sense but it lends itself to insightful speculation for those with the head and stomach for it.
    Here we are stacking up: (i) loss of trust in government lockdown messaging due to senior government advisor pissing all over it VERSUS (ii) loss of trust in AZ vaccine due to fake news story in German newspaper.
    I don't have the answer. Was hoping to hear from others first. Particularly those who are talking about lives lost due to (ii).
    Here is an example of why the Handelsblatt Affair is much more damaging.

    The original tweets claiming "8% efficacy" were retweeted by multiple journalists, and experts, in Germany

    Like this guy. Here he is explaining why he has now deleted the retweet

    https://twitter.com/hendrikstreeck/status/1354038073001205762?s=20


    Why does he matter? Because he has 100,000 followers and he is:


    "Professor and Director of the Institute of Virology and German Center of HIV & AIDS
    @UniBonn
    Former:
    @HarvardMed"

    Many of his followers will automatically believe him, this is his field. They would have read this very alarming news last night, and told everyone on Facebook, and thus it now spreads around the world.

    Yes, loss of trust in a government adviser and maybe the government maybe has a small effect in one country. People aren't burning cars in the Netherlands and France at the moment because if Cummings, at least. Undermining trust in the main vaccine for the developing world is completely unforgivable, the Russian bot farms will be in overdrive making "8%" memes for social media and WhatsApp that will spread through Africa and South Asia like wildfire, all of it with real quotes from a real respected German newspaper and real Tweets from respected German scientists questioning the efficacy of the vaccine.

    It's genuinely a disaster for the world IMO.

    I disagree. The story was killed quickly and categorically. It will have some effect. But not a disastrous one. Quotes can be made up. Tweets can be manufactured. Most people will not know a genuine German scientist from a fake one. Very few people outside of Germany will have heard of Handelsblatt. Bollocks will spread whatever.

    The sensible thing is to wait until the EMA delivers its expected authorisation and conditions for the Astrazeneca vaccine on Friday. They are not going to make mistakes like this. The problem is the widespread repetition as fact of unsubstantiated and unattributed assertion. Not just a German problem, I have to say...

    There is speculation that the EMA will not authorise the AZ vaccine for over 65s. If this happens, I suspect a risk of people coming to the conclusion that the vaccine is unsafe, rather than that the EMA lacks the data to support authorisation, hopefully a temporary situation until the data can be procured.

    If they do not authorise it there will be a very good reason. As far as I can tell there isn't one, so they will.

  • Options
    RobDRobD Posts: 59,022
    edited January 2021

    RobD said:

    MaxPB said:

    Leon said:

    kinabalu said:

    kinabalu said:

    Leon said:

    Leon said:

    MaxPB said:

    MaxPB said:

    If the EU block export of Pfizer vaccines to UK, while demanding queue jumping of AZN ones made in the UK....that will go down well.

    Don't worry, the EU will still have it's defenders in the UK, either out loud or by staying quiet.
    Everyone needs to stop frothing.

    The EU are not going to block export of Pfizer vaccines.

    What is wrong with everyone?
    So why are they putting a notification and approval process in place for exports?
    We can discuss the behaviour of the EU if and when they actually do something. Otherwise everyone is just frothing about a few tweets from EU knobheads.

    I know first-hand how integrated EU and UK pharma supply chains are. Britain therefore has significant leverage and any trade war would have awful consequences for both parties.

    Everyone just needs to calm down.
    You think that Commissioner Kyriakides is a knobhead?

    A little undiplomatic but OK . . .
    If the UK had been behaving with the chaotic, flailing incompetence of the EU and its media friends, in the last couple of weeks, they would have had squirting orgasms of delight.

    The Handelsblatt error is just mind-bogglingly stupid, world class levels of irresponsible, and it could lead to actual deaths as people read the fake news (still being retweeted by Told You So anti-vaxxers) and avoid the jab.

    How has the journalist wo wrote it still got a job? In the UK he'd now be collecting Universal Credit.
    No, in the UK people who publish lies in newspapers become Prime Minister.
    Whataboutery of the first water,

    FFS this is a lie - sorry "journalistic error" - on a cosmic level; the 8% meme is now out there, and it will possibly cause deaths.

    To make it worse, Handelsblatt were told last night be multiple experts - virologists, epidemiologists, everyone - that the "8% thing" was almost certainly wrong, damaging and dangerous, and should be immediately retracted. Did they? No. They doubled down.

    It was still on their website just an hour ago.
    In a spirit of genuine intellectual curiosity rather than whataboutery -

    Do we think this will cost more lives than the Cummings scandal?
    Since there's not the slightest particle of evidence that even one additional person died as a result of that supposed scandal, the Handelsblatt Affair has every chance of prevailing.
    None of this is provable in a hard scientific sense but it lends itself to insightful speculation for those with the head and stomach for it.
    Here we are stacking up: (i) loss of trust in government lockdown messaging due to senior government advisor pissing all over it VERSUS (ii) loss of trust in AZ vaccine due to fake news story in German newspaper.
    I don't have the answer. Was hoping to hear from others first. Particularly those who are talking about lives lost due to (ii).
    Here is an example of why the Handelsblatt Affair is much more damaging.

    The original tweets claiming "8% efficacy" were retweeted by multiple journalists, and experts, in Germany

    Like this guy. Here he is explaining why he has now deleted the retweet

    https://twitter.com/hendrikstreeck/status/1354038073001205762?s=20


    Why does he matter? Because he has 100,000 followers and he is:


    "Professor and Director of the Institute of Virology and German Center of HIV & AIDS
    @UniBonn
    Former:
    @HarvardMed"

    Many of his followers will automatically believe him, this is his field. They would have read this very alarming news last night, and told everyone on Facebook, and thus it now spreads around the world.

    Yes, loss of trust in a government adviser and maybe the government maybe has a small effect in one country. People aren't burning cars in the Netherlands and France at the moment because if Cummings, at least. Undermining trust in the main vaccine for the developing world is completely unforgivable, the Russian bot farms will be in overdrive making "8%" memes for social media and WhatsApp that will spread through Africa and South Asia like wildfire, all of it with real quotes from a real respected German newspaper and real Tweets from respected German scientists questioning the efficacy of the vaccine.

    It's genuinely a disaster for the world IMO.

    I disagree. The story was killed quickly and categorically. It will have some effect. But not a disastrous one. Quotes can be made up. Tweets can be manufactured. Most people will not know a genuine German scientist from a fake one. Very few people outside of Germany will have heard of Handelsblatt. Bollocks will spread whatever.

    I tend to agree - this is annoying but not ultimately a disaster. It is more of a concern that the EU has asked for British vaccine supplies to be diverted to itself, and is threatening to block the export of vaccines. We need to do everything possible to ensure that vaccines are manufactured in the UK. Does anyone know where the J&J one is being manufactured?

    Aren't UK AZN vaccines manufactured in the UK?

    Mostly, but they've still asked for UK doses to be diverted.

    Blimey - I had not heard that.

    It seems to be a tit-for-tat exercise between a UK supplier favouring the UK, and in response the EU demand EU suppliers favour the EU. The whole affair appears rather unappealing, however as this is PB, it is a case of evil EU bad, plucky England/Boris Johnson good.
    But there is no favouritism. Otherwise the UK wouldn't have faced similar shortfalls in its orders.

    The EU's order came in three months late. Back of the queue.
  • Options
    kinabalukinabalu Posts: 39,473
    Leon said:

    kinabalu said:

    kinabalu said:

    Leon said:

    Leon said:

    MaxPB said:

    MaxPB said:

    If the EU block export of Pfizer vaccines to UK, while demanding queue jumping of AZN ones made in the UK....that will go down well.

    Don't worry, the EU will still have it's defenders in the UK, either out loud or by staying quiet.
    Everyone needs to stop frothing.

    The EU are not going to block export of Pfizer vaccines.

    What is wrong with everyone?
    So why are they putting a notification and approval process in place for exports?
    We can discuss the behaviour of the EU if and when they actually do something. Otherwise everyone is just frothing about a few tweets from EU knobheads.

    I know first-hand how integrated EU and UK pharma supply chains are. Britain therefore has significant leverage and any trade war would have awful consequences for both parties.

    Everyone just needs to calm down.
    You think that Commissioner Kyriakides is a knobhead?

    A little undiplomatic but OK . . .
    If the UK had been behaving with the chaotic, flailing incompetence of the EU and its media friends, in the last couple of weeks, they would have had squirting orgasms of delight.

    The Handelsblatt error is just mind-bogglingly stupid, world class levels of irresponsible, and it could lead to actual deaths as people read the fake news (still being retweeted by Told You So anti-vaxxers) and avoid the jab.

    How has the journalist wo wrote it still got a job? In the UK he'd now be collecting Universal Credit.
    No, in the UK people who publish lies in newspapers become Prime Minister.
    Whataboutery of the first water,

    FFS this is a lie - sorry "journalistic error" - on a cosmic level; the 8% meme is now out there, and it will possibly cause deaths.

    To make it worse, Handelsblatt were told last night be multiple experts - virologists, epidemiologists, everyone - that the "8% thing" was almost certainly wrong, damaging and dangerous, and should be immediately retracted. Did they? No. They doubled down.

    It was still on their website just an hour ago.
    In a spirit of genuine intellectual curiosity rather than whataboutery -

    Do we think this will cost more lives than the Cummings scandal?
    Since there's not the slightest particle of evidence that even one additional person died as a result of that supposed scandal, the Handelsblatt Affair has every chance of prevailing.
    None of this is provable in a hard scientific sense but it lends itself to insightful speculation for those with the head and stomach for it.
    Here we are stacking up: (i) loss of trust in government lockdown messaging due to senior government advisor pissing all over it VERSUS (ii) loss of trust in AZ vaccine due to fake news story in German newspaper.
    I don't have the answer. Was hoping to hear from others first. Particularly those who are talking about lives lost due to (ii).
    Here is an example of why the Handelsblatt Affair is much more damaging.

    The original tweets claiming "8% efficacy" were retweeted by multiple journalists, and experts, in Germany

    Like this guy. Here he is explaining why he has now deleted the retweet

    https://twitter.com/hendrikstreeck/status/1354038073001205762?s=20


    Why does he matter? Because he has 100,000 followers and he is:


    "Professor and Director of the Institute of Virology and German Center of HIV & AIDS
    @UniBonn
    Former:
    @HarvardMed"

    Many of his followers will automatically believe him, this is his field. They would have read this very alarming news last night, and told everyone on Facebook, and thus it now spreads around the world.
    It's bad for sure. But remember all those facebooks about Cummings. That was bad and all over the place too. And that was a (very) senior UK govt official not obscure German fake news.

    This is not whataboutery, I stress again. It's genuine intellectual inquiry.
  • Options
    FairlieredFairliered Posts: 4,049

    ydoethur said:

    Pulpstar said:

    They'll be busted with a group visit to the doughnut shop next.

    https://twitter.com/MargaretDavisPA/status/1354086077875834896

    £200 for a haircut is quite a lot, although for some barbers it would be a mere snip.
    I don't know a single barber who's *not* cutting people's hair on the sly. They claim they need to to survive.
    How many barbers do you know personally? Sample of 2, 1, 0 or what?

    I think he knows a few more making a living at the fringes of society.
    The risks? They just brush it off....
    Can you please give me some time to mullet over?
  • Options
    EndillionEndillion Posts: 4,976
    eek said:

    Sandpit said:

    Sandpit said:

    felix said:

    MaxPB said:

    Leon said:

    kinabalu said:

    kinabalu said:

    Leon said:

    Leon said:

    MaxPB said:

    MaxPB said:

    If the EU block export of Pfizer vaccines to UK, while demanding queue jumping of AZN ones made in the UK....that will go down well.

    Don't worry, the EU will still have it's defenders in the UK, either out loud or by staying quiet.
    Everyone needs to stop frothing.

    The EU are not going to block export of Pfizer vaccines.

    What is wrong with everyone?
    So why are they putting a notification and approval process in place for exports?
    We can discuss the behaviour of the EU if and when they actually do something. Otherwise everyone is just frothing about a few tweets from EU knobheads.

    I know first-hand how integrated EU and UK pharma supply chains are. Britain therefore has significant leverage and any trade war would have awful consequences for both parties.

    Everyone just needs to calm down.
    You think that Commissioner Kyriakides is a knobhead?

    A little undiplomatic but OK . . .
    If the UK had been behaving with the chaotic, flailing incompetence of the EU and its media friends, in the last couple of weeks, they would have had squirting orgasms of delight.

    The Handelsblatt error is just mind-bogglingly stupid, world class levels of irresponsible, and it could lead to actual deaths as people read the fake news (still being retweeted by Told You So anti-vaxxers) and avoid the jab.

    How has the journalist wo wrote it still got a job? In the UK he'd now be collecting Universal Credit.
    No, in the UK people who publish lies in newspapers become Prime Minister.
    Whataboutery of the first water,

    FFS this is a lie - sorry "journalistic error" - on a cosmic level; the 8% meme is now out there, and it will possibly cause deaths.

    To make it worse, Handelsblatt were told last night be multiple experts - virologists, epidemiologists, everyone - that the "8% thing" was almost certainly wrong, damaging and dangerous, and should be immediately retracted. Did they? No. They doubled down.

    It was still on their website just an hour ago.
    In a spirit of genuine intellectual curiosity rather than whataboutery -

    Do we think this will cost more lives than the Cummings scandal?
    Since there's not the slightest particle of evidence that even one additional person died as a result of that supposed scandal, the Handelsblatt Affair has every chance of prevailing.
    None of this is provable in a hard scientific sense but it lends itself to insightful speculation for those with the head and stomach for it.
    Here we are stacking up: (i) loss of trust in government lockdown messaging due to senior government advisor pissing all over it VERSUS (ii) loss of trust in AZ vaccine due to fake news story in German newspaper.
    I don't have the answer. Was hoping to hear from others first. Particularly those who are talking about lives lost due to (ii).
    Here is an example of why the Handelsblatt Affair is much more damaging.

    The original tweets claiming "8% efficacy" were retweeted by multiple journalists, and experts, in Germany

    Like this guy. Here he is explaining why he has now deleted the retweet

    https://twitter.com/hendrikstreeck/status/1354038073001205762?s=20


    Why does he matter? Because he has 100,000 followers and he is:


    "Professor and Director of the Institute of Virology and German Center of HIV & AIDS
    @UniBonn
    Former:
    @HarvardMed"

    Many of his followers will automatically believe him, this is his field. They would have read this very alarming news last night, and told everyone on Facebook, and thus it now spreads around the world.

    Yes, loss of trust in a government adviser and maybe the government maybe has a small effect in one country. People aren't burning cars in the Netherlands and France at the moment because if Cummings, at least. Undermining trust in the main vaccine for the developing world is completely unforgivable, the Russian bot farms will be in overdrive making "8%" memes for social media and WhatsApp that will spread through Africa and South Asia like wildfire, all of it with real quotes from a real respected German newspaper and real Tweets from respected German scientists questioning the efficacy of the vaccine.

    It's genuinely a disaster for the world IMO.

    I disagree. The story was killed quickly and categorically. It will have some effect. But not a disastrous one. Quotes can be made up. Tweets can be manufactured. Most people will not know a genuine German scientist from a fake one. Very few people outside of Germany will have heard of Handelsblatt. Bollocks will spread whatever.

    EU good - nothing to see here. Next.

    What on earth has it got to do with the EU? Are people really seeing this story in those terms? Bloody hell.

    Are you not? Bloody hell.

    No, I'm not. As someone who has bee involved in journalism for 30 years I am seeing it as a story about a newspaper and a journalist who have got something terribly, terribly wrong. I don't see what the EU has to do with this at all. It does not own the newspaper or control its output.

    The EU have asked companies for advance notification of all exports of vaccines, and an Irish minister on Euro News this morning said that the EU should be looking after their own first, before allowing the export of vaccines.

    But that's not what the Handelsblatt story was about, is it?

    Vaccine nationalism is another, far more disturbing, if not entirely predictable, development.

    No, it’s two separate stories that broke on the same day.

    One story about the AZ vaccine being a bit rubbish, and the other about making sure the EU have enough of it, and the Pfizer one too. (The EU haven’t yet approved the AZ vaccine).
    It's actually 3 different stories

    The AZ vaccine being a bit rubbish (with fake statistics added for good measure)
    The EU version of the AZ vaccine having manufacturing issues
    The EU reacting to that by looking at how to see what vaccines are being manufactured (with the add on that the EU want AZ to provide vaccine from the UK and may wish to stop fulfillment of other vaccine exports).
    I think it's one story, around the EU having problems with their vaccine procurement programme, and the various sub-stories are all just expressions of that. The first two appearing on the same day is not a coincidence.
  • Options
    FloaterFloater Posts: 14,195

    RobD said:

    MaxPB said:

    Leon said:

    kinabalu said:

    kinabalu said:

    Leon said:

    Leon said:

    MaxPB said:

    MaxPB said:

    If the EU block export of Pfizer vaccines to UK, while demanding queue jumping of AZN ones made in the UK....that will go down well.

    Don't worry, the EU will still have it's defenders in the UK, either out loud or by staying quiet.
    Everyone needs to stop frothing.

    The EU are not going to block export of Pfizer vaccines.

    What is wrong with everyone?
    So why are they putting a notification and approval process in place for exports?
    We can discuss the behaviour of the EU if and when they actually do something. Otherwise everyone is just frothing about a few tweets from EU knobheads.

    I know first-hand how integrated EU and UK pharma supply chains are. Britain therefore has significant leverage and any trade war would have awful consequences for both parties.

    Everyone just needs to calm down.
    You think that Commissioner Kyriakides is a knobhead?

    A little undiplomatic but OK . . .
    If the UK had been behaving with the chaotic, flailing incompetence of the EU and its media friends, in the last couple of weeks, they would have had squirting orgasms of delight.

    The Handelsblatt error is just mind-bogglingly stupid, world class levels of irresponsible, and it could lead to actual deaths as people read the fake news (still being retweeted by Told You So anti-vaxxers) and avoid the jab.

    How has the journalist wo wrote it still got a job? In the UK he'd now be collecting Universal Credit.
    No, in the UK people who publish lies in newspapers become Prime Minister.
    Whataboutery of the first water,

    FFS this is a lie - sorry "journalistic error" - on a cosmic level; the 8% meme is now out there, and it will possibly cause deaths.

    To make it worse, Handelsblatt were told last night be multiple experts - virologists, epidemiologists, everyone - that the "8% thing" was almost certainly wrong, damaging and dangerous, and should be immediately retracted. Did they? No. They doubled down.

    It was still on their website just an hour ago.
    In a spirit of genuine intellectual curiosity rather than whataboutery -

    Do we think this will cost more lives than the Cummings scandal?
    Since there's not the slightest particle of evidence that even one additional person died as a result of that supposed scandal, the Handelsblatt Affair has every chance of prevailing.
    None of this is provable in a hard scientific sense but it lends itself to insightful speculation for those with the head and stomach for it.
    Here we are stacking up: (i) loss of trust in government lockdown messaging due to senior government advisor pissing all over it VERSUS (ii) loss of trust in AZ vaccine due to fake news story in German newspaper.
    I don't have the answer. Was hoping to hear from others first. Particularly those who are talking about lives lost due to (ii).
    Here is an example of why the Handelsblatt Affair is much more damaging.

    The original tweets claiming "8% efficacy" were retweeted by multiple journalists, and experts, in Germany

    Like this guy. Here he is explaining why he has now deleted the retweet

    https://twitter.com/hendrikstreeck/status/1354038073001205762?s=20


    Why does he matter? Because he has 100,000 followers and he is:


    "Professor and Director of the Institute of Virology and German Center of HIV & AIDS
    @UniBonn
    Former:
    @HarvardMed"

    Many of his followers will automatically believe him, this is his field. They would have read this very alarming news last night, and told everyone on Facebook, and thus it now spreads around the world.

    Yes, loss of trust in a government adviser and maybe the government maybe has a small effect in one country. People aren't burning cars in the Netherlands and France at the moment because if Cummings, at least. Undermining trust in the main vaccine for the developing world is completely unforgivable, the Russian bot farms will be in overdrive making "8%" memes for social media and WhatsApp that will spread through Africa and South Asia like wildfire, all of it with real quotes from a real respected German newspaper and real Tweets from respected German scientists questioning the efficacy of the vaccine.

    It's genuinely a disaster for the world IMO.

    I disagree. The story was killed quickly and categorically. It will have some effect. But not a disastrous one. Quotes can be made up. Tweets can be manufactured. Most people will not know a genuine German scientist from a fake one. Very few people outside of Germany will have heard of Handelsblatt. Bollocks will spread whatever.

    I tend to agree - this is annoying but not ultimately a disaster. It is more of a concern that the EU has asked for British vaccine supplies to be diverted to itself, and is threatening to block the export of vaccines. We need to do everything possible to ensure that vaccines are manufactured in the UK. Does anyone know where the J&J one is being manufactured?

    Aren't UK AZN vaccines manufactured in the UK?

    Mostly, but they've still asked for UK doses to be diverted.

    Blimey - I had not heard that.

    It seems to be a tit-for-tat exercise between a UK supplier favouring the UK, and in response the EU demand EU suppliers favour the EU. The whole affair appears rather unappealing, however as this is PB, it is a case of evil EU bad, plucky England/Boris Johnson good.
    Favours? how so?
  • Options
    Wulfrun_PhilWulfrun_Phil Posts: 4,639
    20,089 cases. Lowest daily figure since 15th Dec.
  • Options

    RobD said:

    MaxPB said:

    Leon said:

    kinabalu said:

    kinabalu said:

    Leon said:

    Leon said:

    MaxPB said:

    MaxPB said:

    If the EU block export of Pfizer vaccines to UK, while demanding queue jumping of AZN ones made in the UK....that will go down well.

    Don't worry, the EU will still have it's defenders in the UK, either out loud or by staying quiet.
    Everyone needs to stop frothing.

    The EU are not going to block export of Pfizer vaccines.

    What is wrong with everyone?
    So why are they putting a notification and approval process in place for exports?
    We can discuss the behaviour of the EU if and when they actually do something. Otherwise everyone is just frothing about a few tweets from EU knobheads.

    I know first-hand how integrated EU and UK pharma supply chains are. Britain therefore has significant leverage and any trade war would have awful consequences for both parties.

    Everyone just needs to calm down.
    You think that Commissioner Kyriakides is a knobhead?

    A little undiplomatic but OK . . .
    If the UK had been behaving with the chaotic, flailing incompetence of the EU and its media friends, in the last couple of weeks, they would have had squirting orgasms of delight.

    The Handelsblatt error is just mind-bogglingly stupid, world class levels of irresponsible, and it could lead to actual deaths as people read the fake news (still being retweeted by Told You So anti-vaxxers) and avoid the jab.

    How has the journalist wo wrote it still got a job? In the UK he'd now be collecting Universal Credit.
    No, in the UK people who publish lies in newspapers become Prime Minister.
    Whataboutery of the first water,

    FFS this is a lie - sorry "journalistic error" - on a cosmic level; the 8% meme is now out there, and it will possibly cause deaths.

    To make it worse, Handelsblatt were told last night be multiple experts - virologists, epidemiologists, everyone - that the "8% thing" was almost certainly wrong, damaging and dangerous, and should be immediately retracted. Did they? No. They doubled down.

    It was still on their website just an hour ago.
    In a spirit of genuine intellectual curiosity rather than whataboutery -

    Do we think this will cost more lives than the Cummings scandal?
    Since there's not the slightest particle of evidence that even one additional person died as a result of that supposed scandal, the Handelsblatt Affair has every chance of prevailing.
    None of this is provable in a hard scientific sense but it lends itself to insightful speculation for those with the head and stomach for it.
    Here we are stacking up: (i) loss of trust in government lockdown messaging due to senior government advisor pissing all over it VERSUS (ii) loss of trust in AZ vaccine due to fake news story in German newspaper.
    I don't have the answer. Was hoping to hear from others first. Particularly those who are talking about lives lost due to (ii).
    Here is an example of why the Handelsblatt Affair is much more damaging.

    The original tweets claiming "8% efficacy" were retweeted by multiple journalists, and experts, in Germany

    Like this guy. Here he is explaining why he has now deleted the retweet

    https://twitter.com/hendrikstreeck/status/1354038073001205762?s=20


    Why does he matter? Because he has 100,000 followers and he is:


    "Professor and Director of the Institute of Virology and German Center of HIV & AIDS
    @UniBonn
    Former:
    @HarvardMed"

    Many of his followers will automatically believe him, this is his field. They would have read this very alarming news last night, and told everyone on Facebook, and thus it now spreads around the world.

    Yes, loss of trust in a government adviser and maybe the government maybe has a small effect in one country. People aren't burning cars in the Netherlands and France at the moment because if Cummings, at least. Undermining trust in the main vaccine for the developing world is completely unforgivable, the Russian bot farms will be in overdrive making "8%" memes for social media and WhatsApp that will spread through Africa and South Asia like wildfire, all of it with real quotes from a real respected German newspaper and real Tweets from respected German scientists questioning the efficacy of the vaccine.

    It's genuinely a disaster for the world IMO.

    I disagree. The story was killed quickly and categorically. It will have some effect. But not a disastrous one. Quotes can be made up. Tweets can be manufactured. Most people will not know a genuine German scientist from a fake one. Very few people outside of Germany will have heard of Handelsblatt. Bollocks will spread whatever.

    I tend to agree - this is annoying but not ultimately a disaster. It is more of a concern that the EU has asked for British vaccine supplies to be diverted to itself, and is threatening to block the export of vaccines. We need to do everything possible to ensure that vaccines are manufactured in the UK. Does anyone know where the J&J one is being manufactured?

    Aren't UK AZN vaccines manufactured in the UK?

    Mostly, but they've still asked for UK doses to be diverted.

    Blimey - I had not heard that.

    https://twitter.com/b_judah/status/1354050644416602113?s=20

    Asking is different to demanding, but it's a terrible look. They have really messed this up big time.
  • Options
    SandpitSandpit Posts: 50,024

    Sandpit said:

    Leon said:

    MaxPB said:

    Leon said:

    MaxPB said:

    kinabalu said:

    kinabalu said:

    Leon said:

    Leon said:

    MaxPB said:

    MaxPB said:

    If the EU block export of Pfizer vaccines to UK, while demanding queue jumping of AZN ones made in the UK....that will go down well.

    Don't worry, the EU will still have it's defenders in the UK, either out loud or by staying quiet.
    Everyone needs to stop frothing.

    The EU are not going to block export of Pfizer vaccines.

    What is wrong with everyone?
    So why are they putting a notification and approval process in place for exports?
    We can discuss the behaviour of the EU if and when they actually do something. Otherwise everyone is just frothing about a few tweets from EU knobheads.

    I know first-hand how integrated EU and UK pharma supply chains are. Britain therefore has significant leverage and any trade war would have awful consequences for both parties.

    Everyone just needs to calm down.
    You think that Commissioner Kyriakides is a knobhead?

    A little undiplomatic but OK . . .
    If the UK had been behaving with the chaotic, flailing incompetence of the EU and its media friends, in the last couple of weeks, they would have had squirting orgasms of delight.

    The Handelsblatt error is just mind-bogglingly stupid, world class levels of irresponsible, and it could lead to actual deaths as people read the fake news (still being retweeted by Told You So anti-vaxxers) and avoid the jab.

    How has the journalist wo wrote it still got a job? In the UK he'd now be collecting Universal Credit.
    No, in the UK people who publish lies in newspapers become Prime Minister.
    Whataboutery of the first water,

    FFS this is a lie - sorry "journalistic error" - on a cosmic level; the 8% meme is now out there, and it will possibly cause deaths.

    To make it worse, Handelsblatt were told last night be multiple experts - virologists, epidemiologists, everyone - that the "8% thing" was almost certainly wrong, damaging and dangerous, and should be immediately retracted. Did they? No. They doubled down.

    It was still on their website just an hour ago.
    In a spirit of genuine intellectual curiosity rather than whataboutery -

    Do we think this will cost more lives than the Cummings scandal?
    Obviously.
    Sorry, forgot to add - the question is not to be attempted by people who lost their integrity over the Cummings scandal. To assess it properly you need (i) some core data, (ii) a set of reasonable assumptions about behaviour, (iii) a calculator, and (iv) your integrity.
    I quit the Tory party over it, and this anti-vaxxer bullshit from Germany is way, way worse than Cummings. The effect on global vaccine take up in the developing world is going to be a disaster once the Russian "8%" memes start to spread all over African and Asian WhatsApp.
    I suppose there is still the tiny possibility that the 8% "fact" is true; though it seems vanishingly unlikely, from all I've read about vaccines, and it has been vehemently denied by AZ, and is now denied by the German government.


    It's not true, the German government has already said it was down to a misunderstanding of the report the German regulator has received from the EMA saying that 56-69 year olds only made up 8% of the trial. That's where the number comes from. It has nothing to do with efficacy.
    If you are right (and I am sure you are) I do not understand why Handelsblatt themselves have not come out with a grovelling retraction. Because they haven't.

    Their last tweet on this reiterated the 8% claim, and merely added that the company itself (AZ) disagreed.

    https://twitter.com/handelsblatt/status/1353992634570854402?s=20
    Hope they don’t mind the wrath of AZ’s lawyers.

    I know newspapers are used to dealing with lawyers and disputes, but do they really want all that Legal Big Pharma has to throw at them, from a $130bn company?

    This is the key point. Astra Zeneca would not have issued such a categorical, all-encompassing denial if there was anything in the sorry. To do so and then to be shown to be wrong would be a disaster for them even bigger than the one Handelsblatt is now facing -as their lawyers would have pointed out before the denial was issued.

    With respect to Handelsblatt, the quote "They have nailed their trousers to the masthead. And so can't climb down" comes to mind.

    Imagine the situation - Who wants to admit to the boss that you and your subordinates have just screwed up spectacularly? And probably put your company in legal jeopardy.
    In that situation, I’d be letting the boss know as quickly as possible. And his boss too.

    AZ aren’t going to just drop this, Handelsblatt has a pretty good chance of becoming the next News of the World or Gawker.
  • Options
    Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 27,138
    HYUFD said:
    2022: China 5.6%, UK 5.0% is notable.
  • Options
    SandyRentoolSandyRentool Posts: 20,787
    HYUFD said:
    Our dead cat bounce is higher than theirs. Because we are dropping ours from a greater height.

    You see, being a PPE wonk comes in handy sometimes.
  • Options
    felixfelix Posts: 15,125

    felix said:

    MaxPB said:

    Leon said:

    kinabalu said:

    kinabalu said:

    Leon said:

    Leon said:

    MaxPB said:

    MaxPB said:

    If the EU block export of Pfizer vaccines to UK, while demanding queue jumping of AZN ones made in the UK....that will go down well.

    Don't worry, the EU will still have it's defenders in the UK, either out loud or by staying quiet.
    Everyone needs to stop frothing.

    The EU are not going to block export of Pfizer vaccines.

    What is wrong with everyone?
    So why are they putting a notification and approval process in place for exports?
    We can discuss the behaviour of the EU if and when they actually do something. Otherwise everyone is just frothing about a few tweets from EU knobheads.

    I know first-hand how integrated EU and UK pharma supply chains are. Britain therefore has significant leverage and any trade war would have awful consequences for both parties.

    Everyone just needs to calm down.
    You think that Commissioner Kyriakides is a knobhead?

    A little undiplomatic but OK . . .
    If the UK had been behaving with the chaotic, flailing incompetence of the EU and its media friends, in the last couple of weeks, they would have had squirting orgasms of delight.

    The Handelsblatt error is just mind-bogglingly stupid, world class levels of irresponsible, and it could lead to actual deaths as people read the fake news (still being retweeted by Told You So anti-vaxxers) and avoid the jab.

    How has the journalist wo wrote it still got a job? In the UK he'd now be collecting Universal Credit.
    No, in the UK people who publish lies in newspapers become Prime Minister.
    Whataboutery of the first water,

    FFS this is a lie - sorry "journalistic error" - on a cosmic level; the 8% meme is now out there, and it will possibly cause deaths.

    To make it worse, Handelsblatt were told last night be multiple experts - virologists, epidemiologists, everyone - that the "8% thing" was almost certainly wrong, damaging and dangerous, and should be immediately retracted. Did they? No. They doubled down.

    It was still on their website just an hour ago.
    In a spirit of genuine intellectual curiosity rather than whataboutery -

    Do we think this will cost more lives than the Cummings scandal?
    Since there's not the slightest particle of evidence that even one additional person died as a result of that supposed scandal, the Handelsblatt Affair has every chance of prevailing.
    None of this is provable in a hard scientific sense but it lends itself to insightful speculation for those with the head and stomach for it.
    Here we are stacking up: (i) loss of trust in government lockdown messaging due to senior government advisor pissing all over it VERSUS (ii) loss of trust in AZ vaccine due to fake news story in German newspaper.
    I don't have the answer. Was hoping to hear from others first. Particularly those who are talking about lives lost due to (ii).
    Here is an example of why the Handelsblatt Affair is much more damaging.

    The original tweets claiming "8% efficacy" were retweeted by multiple journalists, and experts, in Germany

    Like this guy. Here he is explaining why he has now deleted the retweet

    https://twitter.com/hendrikstreeck/status/1354038073001205762?s=20


    Why does he matter? Because he has 100,000 followers and he is:


    "Professor and Director of the Institute of Virology and German Center of HIV & AIDS
    @UniBonn
    Former:
    @HarvardMed"

    Many of his followers will automatically believe him, this is his field. They would have read this very alarming news last night, and told everyone on Facebook, and thus it now spreads around the world.

    Yes, loss of trust in a government adviser and maybe the government maybe has a small effect in one country. People aren't burning cars in the Netherlands and France at the moment because if Cummings, at least. Undermining trust in the main vaccine for the developing world is completely unforgivable, the Russian bot farms will be in overdrive making "8%" memes for social media and WhatsApp that will spread through Africa and South Asia like wildfire, all of it with real quotes from a real respected German newspaper and real Tweets from respected German scientists questioning the efficacy of the vaccine.

    It's genuinely a disaster for the world IMO.

    I disagree. The story was killed quickly and categorically. It will have some effect. But not a disastrous one. Quotes can be made up. Tweets can be manufactured. Most people will not know a genuine German scientist from a fake one. Very few people outside of Germany will have heard of Handelsblatt. Bollocks will spread whatever.

    EU good - nothing to see here. Next.

    What on earth has it got to do with the EU? Are people really seeing this story in those terms? Bloody hell.

    It came from German politicians at ministerial level on the same day that the EU was hinting at AZN dirty tricks over vaccines and asking them to divert supplies meant for the UK. The suggestion was sent to all 27 member states. Where have you been?

  • Options
    FF43FF43 Posts: 15,843

    Leon said:

    felix said:

    MaxPB said:

    Leon said:

    kinabalu said:

    kinabalu said:

    Leon said:

    Leon said:

    MaxPB said:

    MaxPB said:

    If the EU block export of Pfizer vaccines to UK, while demanding queue jumping of AZN ones made in the UK....that will go down well.

    Don't worry, the EU will still have it's defenders in the UK, either out loud or by staying quiet.
    Everyone needs to stop frothing.

    The EU are not going to block export of Pfizer vaccines.

    What is wrong with everyone?
    So why are they putting a notification and approval process in place for exports?
    We can discuss the behaviour of the EU if and when they actually do something. Otherwise everyone is just frothing about a few tweets from EU knobheads.

    I know first-hand how integrated EU and UK pharma supply chains are. Britain therefore has significant leverage and any trade war would have awful consequences for both parties.

    Everyone just needs to calm down.
    You think that Commissioner Kyriakides is a knobhead?

    A little undiplomatic but OK . . .
    If the UK had been behaving with the chaotic, flailing incompetence of the EU and its media friends, in the last couple of weeks, they would have had squirting orgasms of delight.

    The Handelsblatt error is just mind-bogglingly stupid, world class levels of irresponsible, and it could lead to actual deaths as people read the fake news (still being retweeted by Told You So anti-vaxxers) and avoid the jab.

    How has the journalist wo wrote it still got a job? In the UK he'd now be collecting Universal Credit.
    No, in the UK people who publish lies in newspapers become Prime Minister.
    Whataboutery of the first water,

    FFS this is a lie - sorry "journalistic error" - on a cosmic level; the 8% meme is now out there, and it will possibly cause deaths.

    To make it worse, Handelsblatt were told last night be multiple experts - virologists, epidemiologists, everyone - that the "8% thing" was almost certainly wrong, damaging and dangerous, and should be immediately retracted. Did they? No. They doubled down.

    It was still on their website just an hour ago.
    In a spirit of genuine intellectual curiosity rather than whataboutery -

    Do we think this will cost more lives than the Cummings scandal?
    Since there's not the slightest particle of evidence that even one additional person died as a result of that supposed scandal, the Handelsblatt Affair has every chance of prevailing.
    None of this is provable in a hard scientific sense but it lends itself to insightful speculation for those with the head and stomach for it.
    Here we are stacking up: (i) loss of trust in government lockdown messaging due to senior government advisor pissing all over it VERSUS (ii) loss of trust in AZ vaccine due to fake news story in German newspaper.
    I don't have the answer. Was hoping to hear from others first. Particularly those who are talking about lives lost due to (ii).
    Here is an example of why the Handelsblatt Affair is much more damaging.

    The original tweets claiming "8% efficacy" were retweeted by multiple journalists, and experts, in Germany

    Like this guy. Here he is explaining why he has now deleted the retweet

    https://twitter.com/hendrikstreeck/status/1354038073001205762?s=20


    Why does he matter? Because he has 100,000 followers and he is:


    "Professor and Director of the Institute of Virology and German Center of HIV & AIDS
    @UniBonn
    Former:
    @HarvardMed"

    Many of his followers will automatically believe him, this is his field. They would have read this very alarming news last night, and told everyone on Facebook, and thus it now spreads around the world.

    Yes, loss of trust in a government adviser and maybe the government maybe has a small effect in one country. People aren't burning cars in the Netherlands and France at the moment because if Cummings, at least. Undermining trust in the main vaccine for the developing world is completely unforgivable, the Russian bot farms will be in overdrive making "8%" memes for social media and WhatsApp that will spread through Africa and South Asia like wildfire, all of it with real quotes from a real respected German newspaper and real Tweets from respected German scientists questioning the efficacy of the vaccine.

    It's genuinely a disaster for the world IMO.

    I disagree. The story was killed quickly and categorically. It will have some effect. But not a disastrous one. Quotes can be made up. Tweets can be manufactured. Most people will not know a genuine German scientist from a fake one. Very few people outside of Germany will have heard of Handelsblatt. Bollocks will spread whatever.

    EU good - nothing to see here. Next.

    What on earth has it got to do with the EU? Are people really seeing this story in those terms? Bloody hell.

    Because the EU, in charge of EU vaccine procurement, is going nuts about AZ not providing enough vaccine to the EU, and this fake news can easily be seen as an organised attack on AZ. Handelsblatt claimed it got the fact from multiple sources in the German government. And, of course, these two things - the EU shouting at AZ, and the fake news about AZ, coincidentally happened on the same day.

    https://twitter.com/alexwickham/status/1354006295637078016?s=20

    But hasn't the German government entirely repudiated the story? If the EU really wanted to attack AZN it would not be demanding more of its vaccines. It would be cancelling orders.

    That the EU has ballsed up is indisputable. But that is another issue entirely.
    Definitely blameshifting, but also it seems also the EU thinks Astrazeneca is taking it for a ride. Which it quite likely is, but what was a contractual dispute has now spilt over into geopolitical argument.
  • Options
    TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 41,533
    Leon said:

    MaxPB said:

    Leon said:

    MaxPB said:

    kinabalu said:

    kinabalu said:

    Leon said:

    Leon said:

    MaxPB said:

    MaxPB said:

    If the EU block export of Pfizer vaccines to UK, while demanding queue jumping of AZN ones made in the UK....that will go down well.

    Don't worry, the EU will still have it's defenders in the UK, either out loud or by staying quiet.
    Everyone needs to stop frothing.

    The EU are not going to block export of Pfizer vaccines.

    What is wrong with everyone?
    So why are they putting a notification and approval process in place for exports?
    We can discuss the behaviour of the EU if and when they actually do something. Otherwise everyone is just frothing about a few tweets from EU knobheads.

    I know first-hand how integrated EU and UK pharma supply chains are. Britain therefore has significant leverage and any trade war would have awful consequences for both parties.

    Everyone just needs to calm down.
    You think that Commissioner Kyriakides is a knobhead?

    A little undiplomatic but OK . . .
    If the UK had been behaving with the chaotic, flailing incompetence of the EU and its media friends, in the last couple of weeks, they would have had squirting orgasms of delight.

    The Handelsblatt error is just mind-bogglingly stupid, world class levels of irresponsible, and it could lead to actual deaths as people read the fake news (still being retweeted by Told You So anti-vaxxers) and avoid the jab.

    How has the journalist wo wrote it still got a job? In the UK he'd now be collecting Universal Credit.
    No, in the UK people who publish lies in newspapers become Prime Minister.
    Whataboutery of the first water,

    FFS this is a lie - sorry "journalistic error" - on a cosmic level; the 8% meme is now out there, and it will possibly cause deaths.

    To make it worse, Handelsblatt were told last night be multiple experts - virologists, epidemiologists, everyone - that the "8% thing" was almost certainly wrong, damaging and dangerous, and should be immediately retracted. Did they? No. They doubled down.

    It was still on their website just an hour ago.
    In a spirit of genuine intellectual curiosity rather than whataboutery -

    Do we think this will cost more lives than the Cummings scandal?
    Obviously.
    Sorry, forgot to add - the question is not to be attempted by people who lost their integrity over the Cummings scandal. To assess it properly you need (i) some core data, (ii) a set of reasonable assumptions about behaviour, (iii) a calculator, and (iv) your integrity.
    I quit the Tory party over it, and this anti-vaxxer bullshit from Germany is way, way worse than Cummings. The effect on global vaccine take up in the developing world is going to be a disaster once the Russian "8%" memes start to spread all over African and Asian WhatsApp.
    I suppose there is still the tiny possibility that the 8% "fact" is true; though it seems vanishingly unlikely, from all I've read about vaccines, and it has been vehemently denied by AZ, and is now denied by the German government.


    It's not true, the German government has already said it was down to a misunderstanding of the report the German regulator has received from the EMA saying that 56-69 year olds only made up 8% of the trial. That's where the number comes from. It has nothing to do with efficacy.
    If you are right (and I am sure you are) I do not understand why Handelsblatt themselves have not come out with a grovelling retraction. Because they haven't.

    Their last tweet on this reiterated the 8% claim, and merely added that the company itself (AZ) disagreed.

    https://twitter.com/handelsblatt/status/1353992634570854402?s=20
    Blimey - you've been through every Handelsblatt tweet for the past seven hours!

    Good effort.
  • Options
    Leon said:

    MaxPB said:

    MaxPB said:

    MaxPB said:

    Leon said:

    kinabalu said:

    kinabalu said:

    Leon said:

    Leon said:

    MaxPB said:

    MaxPB said:

    If the EU block export of Pfizer vaccines to UK, while demanding queue jumping of AZN ones made in the UK....that will go down well.

    Don't worry, the EU will still have it's defenders in the UK, either out loud or by staying quiet.
    Everyone needs to stop frothing.

    The EU are not going to block export of Pfizer vaccines.

    What is wrong with everyone?
    So why are they putting a notification and approval process in place for exports?
    We can discuss the behaviour of the EU if and when they actually do something. Otherwise everyone is just frothing about a few tweets from EU knobheads.

    I know first-hand how integrated EU and UK pharma supply chains are. Britain therefore has significant leverage and any trade war would have awful consequences for both parties.

    Everyone just needs to calm down.
    You think that Commissioner Kyriakides is a knobhead?

    A little undiplomatic but OK . . .
    If the UK had been behaving with the chaotic, flailing incompetence of the EU and its media friends, in the last couple of weeks, they would have had squirting orgasms of delight.

    The Handelsblatt error is just mind-bogglingly stupid, world class levels of irresponsible, and it could lead to actual deaths as people read the fake news (still being retweeted by Told You So anti-vaxxers) and avoid the jab.

    How has the journalist wo wrote it still got a job? In the UK he'd now be collecting Universal Credit.
    No, in the UK people who publish lies in newspapers become Prime Minister.
    Whataboutery of the first water,

    FFS this is a lie - sorry "journalistic error" - on a cosmic level; the 8% meme is now out there, and it will possibly cause deaths.

    To make it worse, Handelsblatt were told last night be multiple experts - virologists, epidemiologists, everyone - that the "8% thing" was almost certainly wrong, damaging and dangerous, and should be immediately retracted. Did they? No. They doubled down.

    It was still on their website just an hour ago.
    In a spirit of genuine intellectual curiosity rather than whataboutery -

    Do we think this will cost more lives than the Cummings scandal?
    Since there's not the slightest particle of evidence that even one additional person died as a result of that supposed scandal, the Handelsblatt Affair has every chance of prevailing.
    None of this is provable in a hard scientific sense but it lends itself to insightful speculation for those with the head and stomach for it.
    Here we are stacking up: (i) loss of trust in government lockdown messaging due to senior government advisor pissing all over it VERSUS (ii) loss of trust in AZ vaccine due to fake news story in German newspaper.
    I don't have the answer. Was hoping to hear from others first. Particularly those who are talking about lives lost due to (ii).
    Here is an example of why the Handelsblatt Affair is much more damaging.

    The original tweets claiming "8% efficacy" were retweeted by multiple journalists, and experts, in Germany

    Like this guy. Here he is explaining why he has now deleted the retweet

    https://twitter.com/hendrikstreeck/status/1354038073001205762?s=20


    Why does he matter? Because he has 100,000 followers and he is:


    "Professor and Director of the Institute of Virology and German Center of HIV & AIDS
    @UniBonn
    Former:
    @HarvardMed"

    Many of his followers will automatically believe him, this is his field. They would have read this very alarming news last night, and told everyone on Facebook, and thus it now spreads around the world.

    Yes, loss of trust in a government adviser and maybe the government maybe has a small effect in one country. People aren't burning cars in the Netherlands and France at the moment because if Cummings, at least. Undermining trust in the main vaccine for the developing world is completely unforgivable, the Russian bot farms will be in overdrive making "8%" memes for social media and WhatsApp that will spread through Africa and South Asia like wildfire, all of it with real quotes from a real respected German newspaper and real Tweets from respected German scientists questioning the efficacy of the vaccine.

    It's genuinely a disaster for the world IMO.

    I disagree. The story was killed quickly and categorically. It will have some effect. But not a disastrous one. Quotes can be made up. Tweets can be manufactured. Most people will not know a genuine German scientist from a fake one. Very few people outside of Germany will have heard of Handelsblatt. Bollocks will spread whatever.

    Speaks someone who hasn't seen fake news about this first hand. I've watched videos forwarded to my parents full of this bullshit already, it won't be long until the Russian bot farms start to produce these memes and have direct quotes from German scientists to back up their bullshit claims. They've muddied the waters over the cheapest and easiest to transport vaccine that is being produced at a rate of 2bn per year in India for the developing world. It is unforgivable.

    The whole point about fake news is that it is fake. It can be made up. Those susceptible to fake news will believe it whatever. The story was appalling. The newspaper and the journalist deserve every bit of crap they are getting. But in the great scheme of things it will make very little practical difference because it was killed too quickly to make it into any mainstream media coverage.

    No, the best/worst fake news always has an element of truth, that how it takes off. Well maybe not truth, a verifiable claim. It's how it establishes itself as authoratitive. One of the reasons QAnon took off is because the person who originated it definitely did at one point work in the Whitehouse and there were verifiable pictures of this person taking pictures from inside the west wing of the Whitehouse with their 4Chan tripcode. It established QAnon as authoritative when literally everything related to it is bullshit.

    Now we have a respected newspaper authoritatively claiming that this vaccine has got just 8% efficacy. Unfortunately it's exactly the kind of thing that will snowball on Asian and African WhatsApp with pictures and videos claiming a coverup by the German government.

    I've had years of explaining to my own mum that these videos are poison and she shouldn't watch them, luckily my sister and I succeeded in convincing her before the pandemic started but loads of my aunts and uncles are deep into these 5G conspiracies and vaccine fake news, one of them messaged in our family group the other day that men under 50 shouldn't get it because it causes infertility according to Japanese scientists.
    Yep. I have anti-vaxxer friends. They live for Fake News like this. It gives them joy. "See, I am not mad, I was right!"

    Yes, it will confirm the views many people already have. That is the damage.

  • Options
    SandyRentoolSandyRentool Posts: 20,787
    Presumably the wooden-tops all had a Number 1?
  • Options
    felixfelix Posts: 15,125

    RobD said:

    MaxPB said:

    Leon said:

    kinabalu said:

    kinabalu said:

    Leon said:

    Leon said:

    MaxPB said:

    MaxPB said:

    If the EU block export of Pfizer vaccines to UK, while demanding queue jumping of AZN ones made in the UK....that will go down well.

    Don't worry, the EU will still have it's defenders in the UK, either out loud or by staying quiet.
    Everyone needs to stop frothing.

    The EU are not going to block export of Pfizer vaccines.

    What is wrong with everyone?
    So why are they putting a notification and approval process in place for exports?
    We can discuss the behaviour of the EU if and when they actually do something. Otherwise everyone is just frothing about a few tweets from EU knobheads.

    I know first-hand how integrated EU and UK pharma supply chains are. Britain therefore has significant leverage and any trade war would have awful consequences for both parties.

    Everyone just needs to calm down.
    You think that Commissioner Kyriakides is a knobhead?

    A little undiplomatic but OK . . .
    If the UK had been behaving with the chaotic, flailing incompetence of the EU and its media friends, in the last couple of weeks, they would have had squirting orgasms of delight.

    The Handelsblatt error is just mind-bogglingly stupid, world class levels of irresponsible, and it could lead to actual deaths as people read the fake news (still being retweeted by Told You So anti-vaxxers) and avoid the jab.

    How has the journalist wo wrote it still got a job? In the UK he'd now be collecting Universal Credit.
    No, in the UK people who publish lies in newspapers become Prime Minister.
    Whataboutery of the first water,

    FFS this is a lie - sorry "journalistic error" - on a cosmic level; the 8% meme is now out there, and it will possibly cause deaths.

    To make it worse, Handelsblatt were told last night be multiple experts - virologists, epidemiologists, everyone - that the "8% thing" was almost certainly wrong, damaging and dangerous, and should be immediately retracted. Did they? No. They doubled down.

    It was still on their website just an hour ago.
    In a spirit of genuine intellectual curiosity rather than whataboutery -

    Do we think this will cost more lives than the Cummings scandal?
    Since there's not the slightest particle of evidence that even one additional person died as a result of that supposed scandal, the Handelsblatt Affair has every chance of prevailing.
    None of this is provable in a hard scientific sense but it lends itself to insightful speculation for those with the head and stomach for it.
    Here we are stacking up: (i) loss of trust in government lockdown messaging due to senior government advisor pissing all over it VERSUS (ii) loss of trust in AZ vaccine due to fake news story in German newspaper.
    I don't have the answer. Was hoping to hear from others first. Particularly those who are talking about lives lost due to (ii).
    Here is an example of why the Handelsblatt Affair is much more damaging.

    The original tweets claiming "8% efficacy" were retweeted by multiple journalists, and experts, in Germany

    Like this guy. Here he is explaining why he has now deleted the retweet

    https://twitter.com/hendrikstreeck/status/1354038073001205762?s=20


    Why does he matter? Because he has 100,000 followers and he is:


    "Professor and Director of the Institute of Virology and German Center of HIV & AIDS
    @UniBonn
    Former:
    @HarvardMed"

    Many of his followers will automatically believe him, this is his field. They would have read this very alarming news last night, and told everyone on Facebook, and thus it now spreads around the world.

    Yes, loss of trust in a government adviser and maybe the government maybe has a small effect in one country. People aren't burning cars in the Netherlands and France at the moment because if Cummings, at least. Undermining trust in the main vaccine for the developing world is completely unforgivable, the Russian bot farms will be in overdrive making "8%" memes for social media and WhatsApp that will spread through Africa and South Asia like wildfire, all of it with real quotes from a real respected German newspaper and real Tweets from respected German scientists questioning the efficacy of the vaccine.

    It's genuinely a disaster for the world IMO.

    I disagree. The story was killed quickly and categorically. It will have some effect. But not a disastrous one. Quotes can be made up. Tweets can be manufactured. Most people will not know a genuine German scientist from a fake one. Very few people outside of Germany will have heard of Handelsblatt. Bollocks will spread whatever.

    I tend to agree - this is annoying but not ultimately a disaster. It is more of a concern that the EU has asked for British vaccine supplies to be diverted to itself, and is threatening to block the export of vaccines. We need to do everything possible to ensure that vaccines are manufactured in the UK. Does anyone know where the J&J one is being manufactured?

    Aren't UK AZN vaccines manufactured in the UK?

    Mostly, but they've still asked for UK doses to be diverted.

    Blimey - I had not heard that.

    Ah I see now.
  • Options
    eekeek Posts: 25,093
    Endillion said:

    eek said:

    Sandpit said:

    Sandpit said:

    felix said:

    MaxPB said:

    Leon said:

    kinabalu said:

    kinabalu said:

    Leon said:

    Leon said:

    MaxPB said:

    MaxPB said:

    If the EU block export of Pfizer vaccines to UK, while demanding queue jumping of AZN ones made in the UK....that will go down well.

    Don't worry, the EU will still have it's defenders in the UK, either out loud or by staying quiet.
    Everyone needs to stop frothing.

    The EU are not going to block export of Pfizer vaccines.

    What is wrong with everyone?
    So why are they putting a notification and approval process in place for exports?
    We can discuss the behaviour of the EU if and when they actually do something. Otherwise everyone is just frothing about a few tweets from EU knobheads.

    I know first-hand how integrated EU and UK pharma supply chains are. Britain therefore has significant leverage and any trade war would have awful consequences for both parties.

    Everyone just needs to calm down.
    You think that Commissioner Kyriakides is a knobhead?

    A little undiplomatic but OK . . .
    If the UK had been behaving with the chaotic, flailing incompetence of the EU and its media friends, in the last couple of weeks, they would have had squirting orgasms of delight.

    The Handelsblatt error is just mind-bogglingly stupid, world class levels of irresponsible, and it could lead to actual deaths as people read the fake news (still being retweeted by Told You So anti-vaxxers) and avoid the jab.

    How has the journalist wo wrote it still got a job? In the UK he'd now be collecting Universal Credit.
    No, in the UK people who publish lies in newspapers become Prime Minister.
    Whataboutery of the first water,

    FFS this is a lie - sorry "journalistic error" - on a cosmic level; the 8% meme is now out there, and it will possibly cause deaths.

    To make it worse, Handelsblatt were told last night be multiple experts - virologists, epidemiologists, everyone - that the "8% thing" was almost certainly wrong, damaging and dangerous, and should be immediately retracted. Did they? No. They doubled down.

    It was still on their website just an hour ago.
    In a spirit of genuine intellectual curiosity rather than whataboutery -

    Do we think this will cost more lives than the Cummings scandal?
    Since there's not the slightest particle of evidence that even one additional person died as a result of that supposed scandal, the Handelsblatt Affair has every chance of prevailing.
    None of this is provable in a hard scientific sense but it lends itself to insightful speculation for those with the head and stomach for it.
    Here we are stacking up: (i) loss of trust in government lockdown messaging due to senior government advisor pissing all over it VERSUS (ii) loss of trust in AZ vaccine due to fake news story in German newspaper.
    I don't have the answer. Was hoping to hear from others first. Particularly those who are talking about lives lost due to (ii).
    Here is an example of why the Handelsblatt Affair is much more damaging.

    The original tweets claiming "8% efficacy" were retweeted by multiple journalists, and experts, in Germany

    Like this guy. Here he is explaining why he has now deleted the retweet

    https://twitter.com/hendrikstreeck/status/1354038073001205762?s=20


    Why does he matter? Because he has 100,000 followers and he is:


    "Professor and Director of the Institute of Virology and German Center of HIV & AIDS
    @UniBonn
    Former:
    @HarvardMed"

    Many of his followers will automatically believe him, this is his field. They would have read this very alarming news last night, and told everyone on Facebook, and thus it now spreads around the world.

    Yes, loss of trust in a government adviser and maybe the government maybe has a small effect in one country. People aren't burning cars in the Netherlands and France at the moment because if Cummings, at least. Undermining trust in the main vaccine for the developing world is completely unforgivable, the Russian bot farms will be in overdrive making "8%" memes for social media and WhatsApp that will spread through Africa and South Asia like wildfire, all of it with real quotes from a real respected German newspaper and real Tweets from respected German scientists questioning the efficacy of the vaccine.

    It's genuinely a disaster for the world IMO.

    I disagree. The story was killed quickly and categorically. It will have some effect. But not a disastrous one. Quotes can be made up. Tweets can be manufactured. Most people will not know a genuine German scientist from a fake one. Very few people outside of Germany will have heard of Handelsblatt. Bollocks will spread whatever.

    EU good - nothing to see here. Next.

    What on earth has it got to do with the EU? Are people really seeing this story in those terms? Bloody hell.

    Are you not? Bloody hell.

    No, I'm not. As someone who has bee involved in journalism for 30 years I am seeing it as a story about a newspaper and a journalist who have got something terribly, terribly wrong. I don't see what the EU has to do with this at all. It does not own the newspaper or control its output.

    The EU have asked companies for advance notification of all exports of vaccines, and an Irish minister on Euro News this morning said that the EU should be looking after their own first, before allowing the export of vaccines.

    But that's not what the Handelsblatt story was about, is it?

    Vaccine nationalism is another, far more disturbing, if not entirely predictable, development.

    No, it’s two separate stories that broke on the same day.

    One story about the AZ vaccine being a bit rubbish, and the other about making sure the EU have enough of it, and the Pfizer one too. (The EU haven’t yet approved the AZ vaccine).
    It's actually 3 different stories

    The AZ vaccine being a bit rubbish (with fake statistics added for good measure)
    The EU version of the AZ vaccine having manufacturing issues
    The EU reacting to that by looking at how to see what vaccines are being manufactured (with the add on that the EU want AZ to provide vaccine from the UK and may wish to stop fulfillment of other vaccine exports).
    I think it's one story, around the EU having problems with their vaccine procurement programme, and the various sub-stories are all just expressions of that. The first two appearing on the same day is not a coincidence.
    Nope 3 different stories - you can merge them into 1 if you want but there are definitely different.

    1 comes from people not being able to read while seeing what looks like a great story (I would blame their statistically learns but it seems to be an inability to understand what the numbers were before anything else).
    2 is the reason for part 3

    But 3 is a separate story about the reaction to the second story.
  • Options
    RobDRobD Posts: 59,022
    FF43 said:

    Leon said:

    felix said:

    MaxPB said:

    Leon said:

    kinabalu said:

    kinabalu said:

    Leon said:

    Leon said:

    MaxPB said:

    MaxPB said:

    If the EU block export of Pfizer vaccines to UK, while demanding queue jumping of AZN ones made in the UK....that will go down well.

    Don't worry, the EU will still have it's defenders in the UK, either out loud or by staying quiet.
    Everyone needs to stop frothing.

    The EU are not going to block export of Pfizer vaccines.

    What is wrong with everyone?
    So why are they putting a notification and approval process in place for exports?
    We can discuss the behaviour of the EU if and when they actually do something. Otherwise everyone is just frothing about a few tweets from EU knobheads.

    I know first-hand how integrated EU and UK pharma supply chains are. Britain therefore has significant leverage and any trade war would have awful consequences for both parties.

    Everyone just needs to calm down.
    You think that Commissioner Kyriakides is a knobhead?

    A little undiplomatic but OK . . .
    If the UK had been behaving with the chaotic, flailing incompetence of the EU and its media friends, in the last couple of weeks, they would have had squirting orgasms of delight.

    The Handelsblatt error is just mind-bogglingly stupid, world class levels of irresponsible, and it could lead to actual deaths as people read the fake news (still being retweeted by Told You So anti-vaxxers) and avoid the jab.

    How has the journalist wo wrote it still got a job? In the UK he'd now be collecting Universal Credit.
    No, in the UK people who publish lies in newspapers become Prime Minister.
    Whataboutery of the first water,

    FFS this is a lie - sorry "journalistic error" - on a cosmic level; the 8% meme is now out there, and it will possibly cause deaths.

    To make it worse, Handelsblatt were told last night be multiple experts - virologists, epidemiologists, everyone - that the "8% thing" was almost certainly wrong, damaging and dangerous, and should be immediately retracted. Did they? No. They doubled down.

    It was still on their website just an hour ago.
    In a spirit of genuine intellectual curiosity rather than whataboutery -

    Do we think this will cost more lives than the Cummings scandal?
    Since there's not the slightest particle of evidence that even one additional person died as a result of that supposed scandal, the Handelsblatt Affair has every chance of prevailing.
    None of this is provable in a hard scientific sense but it lends itself to insightful speculation for those with the head and stomach for it.
    Here we are stacking up: (i) loss of trust in government lockdown messaging due to senior government advisor pissing all over it VERSUS (ii) loss of trust in AZ vaccine due to fake news story in German newspaper.
    I don't have the answer. Was hoping to hear from others first. Particularly those who are talking about lives lost due to (ii).
    Here is an example of why the Handelsblatt Affair is much more damaging.

    The original tweets claiming "8% efficacy" were retweeted by multiple journalists, and experts, in Germany

    Like this guy. Here he is explaining why he has now deleted the retweet

    https://twitter.com/hendrikstreeck/status/1354038073001205762?s=20


    Why does he matter? Because he has 100,000 followers and he is:


    "Professor and Director of the Institute of Virology and German Center of HIV & AIDS
    @UniBonn
    Former:
    @HarvardMed"

    Many of his followers will automatically believe him, this is his field. They would have read this very alarming news last night, and told everyone on Facebook, and thus it now spreads around the world.

    Yes, loss of trust in a government adviser and maybe the government maybe has a small effect in one country. People aren't burning cars in the Netherlands and France at the moment because if Cummings, at least. Undermining trust in the main vaccine for the developing world is completely unforgivable, the Russian bot farms will be in overdrive making "8%" memes for social media and WhatsApp that will spread through Africa and South Asia like wildfire, all of it with real quotes from a real respected German newspaper and real Tweets from respected German scientists questioning the efficacy of the vaccine.

    It's genuinely a disaster for the world IMO.

    I disagree. The story was killed quickly and categorically. It will have some effect. But not a disastrous one. Quotes can be made up. Tweets can be manufactured. Most people will not know a genuine German scientist from a fake one. Very few people outside of Germany will have heard of Handelsblatt. Bollocks will spread whatever.

    EU good - nothing to see here. Next.

    What on earth has it got to do with the EU? Are people really seeing this story in those terms? Bloody hell.

    Because the EU, in charge of EU vaccine procurement, is going nuts about AZ not providing enough vaccine to the EU, and this fake news can easily be seen as an organised attack on AZ. Handelsblatt claimed it got the fact from multiple sources in the German government. And, of course, these two things - the EU shouting at AZ, and the fake news about AZ, coincidentally happened on the same day.

    https://twitter.com/alexwickham/status/1354006295637078016?s=20

    But hasn't the German government entirely repudiated the story? If the EU really wanted to attack AZN it would not be demanding more of its vaccines. It would be cancelling orders.

    That the EU has ballsed up is indisputable. But that is another issue entirely.
    Definitely blameshifting, but also it seems also the EU thinks Astrazeneca is taking it for a ride. Which it quite likely is, but what was a contractual dispute has now spilt over into geopolitical argument.
    "Which it quite likely is".

    Do you actually have any evidence to back this claim up?
  • Options
    kinabalukinabalu Posts: 39,473

    felix said:

    MaxPB said:

    Leon said:

    kinabalu said:

    kinabalu said:

    Leon said:

    Leon said:

    MaxPB said:

    MaxPB said:

    If the EU block export of Pfizer vaccines to UK, while demanding queue jumping of AZN ones made in the UK....that will go down well.

    Don't worry, the EU will still have it's defenders in the UK, either out loud or by staying quiet.
    Everyone needs to stop frothing.

    The EU are not going to block export of Pfizer vaccines.

    What is wrong with everyone?
    So why are they putting a notification and approval process in place for exports?
    We can discuss the behaviour of the EU if and when they actually do something. Otherwise everyone is just frothing about a few tweets from EU knobheads.

    I know first-hand how integrated EU and UK pharma supply chains are. Britain therefore has significant leverage and any trade war would have awful consequences for both parties.

    Everyone just needs to calm down.
    You think that Commissioner Kyriakides is a knobhead?

    A little undiplomatic but OK . . .
    If the UK had been behaving with the chaotic, flailing incompetence of the EU and its media friends, in the last couple of weeks, they would have had squirting orgasms of delight.

    The Handelsblatt error is just mind-bogglingly stupid, world class levels of irresponsible, and it could lead to actual deaths as people read the fake news (still being retweeted by Told You So anti-vaxxers) and avoid the jab.

    How has the journalist wo wrote it still got a job? In the UK he'd now be collecting Universal Credit.
    No, in the UK people who publish lies in newspapers become Prime Minister.
    Whataboutery of the first water,

    FFS this is a lie - sorry "journalistic error" - on a cosmic level; the 8% meme is now out there, and it will possibly cause deaths.

    To make it worse, Handelsblatt were told last night be multiple experts - virologists, epidemiologists, everyone - that the "8% thing" was almost certainly wrong, damaging and dangerous, and should be immediately retracted. Did they? No. They doubled down.

    It was still on their website just an hour ago.
    In a spirit of genuine intellectual curiosity rather than whataboutery -

    Do we think this will cost more lives than the Cummings scandal?
    Since there's not the slightest particle of evidence that even one additional person died as a result of that supposed scandal, the Handelsblatt Affair has every chance of prevailing.
    None of this is provable in a hard scientific sense but it lends itself to insightful speculation for those with the head and stomach for it.
    Here we are stacking up: (i) loss of trust in government lockdown messaging due to senior government advisor pissing all over it VERSUS (ii) loss of trust in AZ vaccine due to fake news story in German newspaper.
    I don't have the answer. Was hoping to hear from others first. Particularly those who are talking about lives lost due to (ii).
    Here is an example of why the Handelsblatt Affair is much more damaging.

    The original tweets claiming "8% efficacy" were retweeted by multiple journalists, and experts, in Germany

    Like this guy. Here he is explaining why he has now deleted the retweet

    https://twitter.com/hendrikstreeck/status/1354038073001205762?s=20


    Why does he matter? Because he has 100,000 followers and he is:


    "Professor and Director of the Institute of Virology and German Center of HIV & AIDS
    @UniBonn
    Former:
    @HarvardMed"

    Many of his followers will automatically believe him, this is his field. They would have read this very alarming news last night, and told everyone on Facebook, and thus it now spreads around the world.

    Yes, loss of trust in a government adviser and maybe the government maybe has a small effect in one country. People aren't burning cars in the Netherlands and France at the moment because if Cummings, at least. Undermining trust in the main vaccine for the developing world is completely unforgivable, the Russian bot farms will be in overdrive making "8%" memes for social media and WhatsApp that will spread through Africa and South Asia like wildfire, all of it with real quotes from a real respected German newspaper and real Tweets from respected German scientists questioning the efficacy of the vaccine.

    It's genuinely a disaster for the world IMO.

    I disagree. The story was killed quickly and categorically. It will have some effect. But not a disastrous one. Quotes can be made up. Tweets can be manufactured. Most people will not know a genuine German scientist from a fake one. Very few people outside of Germany will have heard of Handelsblatt. Bollocks will spread whatever.

    EU good - nothing to see here. Next.

    What on earth has it got to do with the EU? Are people really seeing this story in those terms? Bloody hell.

    Are you not? Bloody hell.

    No, I'm not. As someone who has bee involved in journalism for 30 years I am seeing it as a story about a newspaper and a journalist who have got something terribly, terribly wrong. I don't see what the EU has to do with this at all. It does not own the newspaper or control its output.
    It's nothing to do with the EU unless you have an appetite for outlandish conspiracy theories.
  • Options
    MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 50,190

    felix said:

    MaxPB said:

    Leon said:

    kinabalu said:

    kinabalu said:

    Leon said:

    Leon said:

    MaxPB said:

    MaxPB said:

    If the EU block export of Pfizer vaccines to UK, while demanding queue jumping of AZN ones made in the UK....that will go down well.

    Don't worry, the EU will still have it's defenders in the UK, either out loud or by staying quiet.
    Everyone needs to stop frothing.

    The EU are not going to block export of Pfizer vaccines.

    What is wrong with everyone?
    So why are they putting a notification and approval process in place for exports?
    We can discuss the behaviour of the EU if and when they actually do something. Otherwise everyone is just frothing about a few tweets from EU knobheads.

    I know first-hand how integrated EU and UK pharma supply chains are. Britain therefore has significant leverage and any trade war would have awful consequences for both parties.

    Everyone just needs to calm down.
    You think that Commissioner Kyriakides is a knobhead?

    A little undiplomatic but OK . . .
    If the UK had been behaving with the chaotic, flailing incompetence of the EU and its media friends, in the last couple of weeks, they would have had squirting orgasms of delight.

    The Handelsblatt error is just mind-bogglingly stupid, world class levels of irresponsible, and it could lead to actual deaths as people read the fake news (still being retweeted by Told You So anti-vaxxers) and avoid the jab.

    How has the journalist wo wrote it still got a job? In the UK he'd now be collecting Universal Credit.
    No, in the UK people who publish lies in newspapers become Prime Minister.
    Whataboutery of the first water,

    FFS this is a lie - sorry "journalistic error" - on a cosmic level; the 8% meme is now out there, and it will possibly cause deaths.

    To make it worse, Handelsblatt were told last night be multiple experts - virologists, epidemiologists, everyone - that the "8% thing" was almost certainly wrong, damaging and dangerous, and should be immediately retracted. Did they? No. They doubled down.

    It was still on their website just an hour ago.
    In a spirit of genuine intellectual curiosity rather than whataboutery -

    Do we think this will cost more lives than the Cummings scandal?
    Since there's not the slightest particle of evidence that even one additional person died as a result of that supposed scandal, the Handelsblatt Affair has every chance of prevailing.
    None of this is provable in a hard scientific sense but it lends itself to insightful speculation for those with the head and stomach for it.
    Here we are stacking up: (i) loss of trust in government lockdown messaging due to senior government advisor pissing all over it VERSUS (ii) loss of trust in AZ vaccine due to fake news story in German newspaper.
    I don't have the answer. Was hoping to hear from others first. Particularly those who are talking about lives lost due to (ii).
    Here is an example of why the Handelsblatt Affair is much more damaging.

    The original tweets claiming "8% efficacy" were retweeted by multiple journalists, and experts, in Germany

    Like this guy. Here he is explaining why he has now deleted the retweet

    https://twitter.com/hendrikstreeck/status/1354038073001205762?s=20


    Why does he matter? Because he has 100,000 followers and he is:


    "Professor and Director of the Institute of Virology and German Center of HIV & AIDS
    @UniBonn
    Former:
    @HarvardMed"

    Many of his followers will automatically believe him, this is his field. They would have read this very alarming news last night, and told everyone on Facebook, and thus it now spreads around the world.

    Yes, loss of trust in a government adviser and maybe the government maybe has a small effect in one country. People aren't burning cars in the Netherlands and France at the moment because if Cummings, at least. Undermining trust in the main vaccine for the developing world is completely unforgivable, the Russian bot farms will be in overdrive making "8%" memes for social media and WhatsApp that will spread through Africa and South Asia like wildfire, all of it with real quotes from a real respected German newspaper and real Tweets from respected German scientists questioning the efficacy of the vaccine.

    It's genuinely a disaster for the world IMO.

    I disagree. The story was killed quickly and categorically. It will have some effect. But not a disastrous one. Quotes can be made up. Tweets can be manufactured. Most people will not know a genuine German scientist from a fake one. Very few people outside of Germany will have heard of Handelsblatt. Bollocks will spread whatever.

    EU good - nothing to see here. Next.

    What on earth has it got to do with the EU? Are people really seeing this story in those terms? Bloody hell.

    Are you not? Bloody hell.

    No, I'm not. As someone who has bee involved in journalism for 30 years I am seeing it as a story about a newspaper and a journalist who have got something terribly, terribly wrong. I don't see what the EU has to do with this at all. It does not own the newspaper or control its output.

    And yet you say "Blimey - I had not heard that." Not seeing the full picture, perhaps?

  • Options
    SandyRentoolSandyRentool Posts: 20,787
    20089 tested positive. Case numbers are bombing.

    Lockdown working. Who'd have thunk it.
  • Options
    MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 44,778
    Sandpit said:

    Sandpit said:

    Leon said:

    MaxPB said:

    Leon said:

    MaxPB said:

    kinabalu said:

    kinabalu said:

    Leon said:

    Leon said:

    MaxPB said:

    MaxPB said:

    If the EU block export of Pfizer vaccines to UK, while demanding queue jumping of AZN ones made in the UK....that will go down well.

    Don't worry, the EU will still have it's defenders in the UK, either out loud or by staying quiet.
    Everyone needs to stop frothing.

    The EU are not going to block export of Pfizer vaccines.

    What is wrong with everyone?
    So why are they putting a notification and approval process in place for exports?
    We can discuss the behaviour of the EU if and when they actually do something. Otherwise everyone is just frothing about a few tweets from EU knobheads.

    I know first-hand how integrated EU and UK pharma supply chains are. Britain therefore has significant leverage and any trade war would have awful consequences for both parties.

    Everyone just needs to calm down.
    You think that Commissioner Kyriakides is a knobhead?

    A little undiplomatic but OK . . .
    If the UK had been behaving with the chaotic, flailing incompetence of the EU and its media friends, in the last couple of weeks, they would have had squirting orgasms of delight.

    The Handelsblatt error is just mind-bogglingly stupid, world class levels of irresponsible, and it could lead to actual deaths as people read the fake news (still being retweeted by Told You So anti-vaxxers) and avoid the jab.

    How has the journalist wo wrote it still got a job? In the UK he'd now be collecting Universal Credit.
    No, in the UK people who publish lies in newspapers become Prime Minister.
    Whataboutery of the first water,

    FFS this is a lie - sorry "journalistic error" - on a cosmic level; the 8% meme is now out there, and it will possibly cause deaths.

    To make it worse, Handelsblatt were told last night be multiple experts - virologists, epidemiologists, everyone - that the "8% thing" was almost certainly wrong, damaging and dangerous, and should be immediately retracted. Did they? No. They doubled down.

    It was still on their website just an hour ago.
    In a spirit of genuine intellectual curiosity rather than whataboutery -

    Do we think this will cost more lives than the Cummings scandal?
    Obviously.
    Sorry, forgot to add - the question is not to be attempted by people who lost their integrity over the Cummings scandal. To assess it properly you need (i) some core data, (ii) a set of reasonable assumptions about behaviour, (iii) a calculator, and (iv) your integrity.
    I quit the Tory party over it, and this anti-vaxxer bullshit from Germany is way, way worse than Cummings. The effect on global vaccine take up in the developing world is going to be a disaster once the Russian "8%" memes start to spread all over African and Asian WhatsApp.
    I suppose there is still the tiny possibility that the 8% "fact" is true; though it seems vanishingly unlikely, from all I've read about vaccines, and it has been vehemently denied by AZ, and is now denied by the German government.


    It's not true, the German government has already said it was down to a misunderstanding of the report the German regulator has received from the EMA saying that 56-69 year olds only made up 8% of the trial. That's where the number comes from. It has nothing to do with efficacy.
    If you are right (and I am sure you are) I do not understand why Handelsblatt themselves have not come out with a grovelling retraction. Because they haven't.

    Their last tweet on this reiterated the 8% claim, and merely added that the company itself (AZ) disagreed.

    https://twitter.com/handelsblatt/status/1353992634570854402?s=20
    Hope they don’t mind the wrath of AZ’s lawyers.

    I know newspapers are used to dealing with lawyers and disputes, but do they really want all that Legal Big Pharma has to throw at them, from a $130bn company?

    This is the key point. Astra Zeneca would not have issued such a categorical, all-encompassing denial if there was anything in the sorry. To do so and then to be shown to be wrong would be a disaster for them even bigger than the one Handelsblatt is now facing -as their lawyers would have pointed out before the denial was issued.

    With respect to Handelsblatt, the quote "They have nailed their trousers to the masthead. And so can't climb down" comes to mind.

    Imagine the situation - Who wants to admit to the boss that you and your subordinates have just screwed up spectacularly? And probably put your company in legal jeopardy.
    In that situation, I’d be letting the boss know as quickly as possible. And his boss too.

    AZ aren’t going to just drop this, Handelsblatt has a pretty good chance of becoming the next News of the World or Gawker.
    Whoever owns up is looking at being in the street in minutes.

    They will be frantically calling their contact in the German government. Who has now dropped his phone in a canal.

    Everyone will be trying to claim it was (a) someone else (b) the story was verified or they were told the story was verified.
  • Options
    MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 37,667

    Leon said:

    MaxPB said:

    MaxPB said:

    MaxPB said:

    Leon said:

    kinabalu said:

    kinabalu said:

    Leon said:

    Leon said:

    MaxPB said:

    MaxPB said:

    If the EU block export of Pfizer vaccines to UK, while demanding queue jumping of AZN ones made in the UK....that will go down well.

    Don't worry, the EU will still have it's defenders in the UK, either out loud or by staying quiet.
    Everyone needs to stop frothing.

    The EU are not going to block export of Pfizer vaccines.

    What is wrong with everyone?
    So why are they putting a notification and approval process in place for exports?
    We can discuss the behaviour of the EU if and when they actually do something. Otherwise everyone is just frothing about a few tweets from EU knobheads.

    I know first-hand how integrated EU and UK pharma supply chains are. Britain therefore has significant leverage and any trade war would have awful consequences for both parties.

    Everyone just needs to calm down.
    You think that Commissioner Kyriakides is a knobhead?

    A little undiplomatic but OK . . .
    If the UK had been behaving with the chaotic, flailing incompetence of the EU and its media friends, in the last couple of weeks, they would have had squirting orgasms of delight.

    The Handelsblatt error is just mind-bogglingly stupid, world class levels of irresponsible, and it could lead to actual deaths as people read the fake news (still being retweeted by Told You So anti-vaxxers) and avoid the jab.

    How has the journalist wo wrote it still got a job? In the UK he'd now be collecting Universal Credit.
    No, in the UK people who publish lies in newspapers become Prime Minister.
    Whataboutery of the first water,

    FFS this is a lie - sorry "journalistic error" - on a cosmic level; the 8% meme is now out there, and it will possibly cause deaths.

    To make it worse, Handelsblatt were told last night be multiple experts - virologists, epidemiologists, everyone - that the "8% thing" was almost certainly wrong, damaging and dangerous, and should be immediately retracted. Did they? No. They doubled down.

    It was still on their website just an hour ago.
    In a spirit of genuine intellectual curiosity rather than whataboutery -

    Do we think this will cost more lives than the Cummings scandal?
    Since there's not the slightest particle of evidence that even one additional person died as a result of that supposed scandal, the Handelsblatt Affair has every chance of prevailing.
    None of this is provable in a hard scientific sense but it lends itself to insightful speculation for those with the head and stomach for it.
    Here we are stacking up: (i) loss of trust in government lockdown messaging due to senior government advisor pissing all over it VERSUS (ii) loss of trust in AZ vaccine due to fake news story in German newspaper.
    I don't have the answer. Was hoping to hear from others first. Particularly those who are talking about lives lost due to (ii).
    Here is an example of why the Handelsblatt Affair is much more damaging.

    The original tweets claiming "8% efficacy" were retweeted by multiple journalists, and experts, in Germany

    Like this guy. Here he is explaining why he has now deleted the retweet

    https://twitter.com/hendrikstreeck/status/1354038073001205762?s=20


    Why does he matter? Because he has 100,000 followers and he is:


    "Professor and Director of the Institute of Virology and German Center of HIV & AIDS
    @UniBonn
    Former:
    @HarvardMed"

    Many of his followers will automatically believe him, this is his field. They would have read this very alarming news last night, and told everyone on Facebook, and thus it now spreads around the world.

    Yes, loss of trust in a government adviser and maybe the government maybe has a small effect in one country. People aren't burning cars in the Netherlands and France at the moment because if Cummings, at least. Undermining trust in the main vaccine for the developing world is completely unforgivable, the Russian bot farms will be in overdrive making "8%" memes for social media and WhatsApp that will spread through Africa and South Asia like wildfire, all of it with real quotes from a real respected German newspaper and real Tweets from respected German scientists questioning the efficacy of the vaccine.

    It's genuinely a disaster for the world IMO.

    I disagree. The story was killed quickly and categorically. It will have some effect. But not a disastrous one. Quotes can be made up. Tweets can be manufactured. Most people will not know a genuine German scientist from a fake one. Very few people outside of Germany will have heard of Handelsblatt. Bollocks will spread whatever.

    Speaks someone who hasn't seen fake news about this first hand. I've watched videos forwarded to my parents full of this bullshit already, it won't be long until the Russian bot farms start to produce these memes and have direct quotes from German scientists to back up their bullshit claims. They've muddied the waters over the cheapest and easiest to transport vaccine that is being produced at a rate of 2bn per year in India for the developing world. It is unforgivable.

    The whole point about fake news is that it is fake. It can be made up. Those susceptible to fake news will believe it whatever. The story was appalling. The newspaper and the journalist deserve every bit of crap they are getting. But in the great scheme of things it will make very little practical difference because it was killed too quickly to make it into any mainstream media coverage.

    No, the best/worst fake news always has an element of truth, that how it takes off. Well maybe not truth, a verifiable claim. It's how it establishes itself as authoratitive. One of the reasons QAnon took off is because the person who originated it definitely did at one point work in the Whitehouse and there were verifiable pictures of this person taking pictures from inside the west wing of the Whitehouse with their 4Chan tripcode. It established QAnon as authoritative when literally everything related to it is bullshit.

    Now we have a respected newspaper authoritatively claiming that this vaccine has got just 8% efficacy. Unfortunately it's exactly the kind of thing that will snowball on Asian and African WhatsApp with pictures and videos claiming a coverup by the German government.

    I've had years of explaining to my own mum that these videos are poison and she shouldn't watch them, luckily my sister and I succeeded in convincing her before the pandemic started but loads of my aunts and uncles are deep into these 5G conspiracies and vaccine fake news, one of them messaged in our family group the other day that men under 50 shouldn't get it because it causes infertility according to Japanese scientists.
    Yep. I have anti-vaxxer friends. They live for Fake News like this. It gives them joy. "See, I am not mad, I was right!"

    Yes, it will confirm the views many people already have. That is the damage.

    And push a lot of people over the edge into that camp. Like everything else in life, it's the incremental effect and unfortunately those c***s sharing this will do a lot to convince others that vaccines are ineffective so why take the risk.
  • Options
    FF43FF43 Posts: 15,843
    edited January 2021

    FF43 said:

    MaxPB said:

    Leon said:

    kinabalu said:

    kinabalu said:

    Leon said:

    Leon said:

    MaxPB said:

    MaxPB said:

    If the EU block export of Pfizer vaccines to UK, while demanding queue jumping of AZN ones made in the UK....that will go down well.

    Don't worry, the EU will still have it's defenders in the UK, either out loud or by staying quiet.
    Everyone needs to stop frothing.

    The EU are not going to block export of Pfizer vaccines.

    What is wrong with everyone?
    So why are they putting a notification and approval process in place for exports?
    We can discuss the behaviour of the EU if and when they actually do something. Otherwise everyone is just frothing about a few tweets from EU knobheads.

    I know first-hand how integrated EU and UK pharma supply chains are. Britain therefore has significant leverage and any trade war would have awful consequences for both parties.

    Everyone just needs to calm down.
    You think that Commissioner Kyriakides is a knobhead?

    A little undiplomatic but OK . . .
    If the UK had been behaving with the chaotic, flailing incompetence of the EU and its media friends, in the last couple of weeks, they would have had squirting orgasms of delight.

    The Handelsblatt error is just mind-bogglingly stupid, world class levels of irresponsible, and it could lead to actual deaths as people read the fake news (still being retweeted by Told You So anti-vaxxers) and avoid the jab.

    How has the journalist wo wrote it still got a job? In the UK he'd now be collecting Universal Credit.
    No, in the UK people who publish lies in newspapers become Prime Minister.
    Whataboutery of the first water,

    FFS this is a lie - sorry "journalistic error" - on a cosmic level; the 8% meme is now out there, and it will possibly cause deaths.

    To make it worse, Handelsblatt were told last night be multiple experts - virologists, epidemiologists, everyone - that the "8% thing" was almost certainly wrong, damaging and dangerous, and should be immediately retracted. Did they? No. They doubled down.

    It was still on their website just an hour ago.
    In a spirit of genuine intellectual curiosity rather than whataboutery -

    Do we think this will cost more lives than the Cummings scandal?
    Since there's not the slightest particle of evidence that even one additional person died as a result of that supposed scandal, the Handelsblatt Affair has every chance of prevailing.
    None of this is provable in a hard scientific sense but it lends itself to insightful speculation for those with the head and stomach for it.
    Here we are stacking up: (i) loss of trust in government lockdown messaging due to senior government advisor pissing all over it VERSUS (ii) loss of trust in AZ vaccine due to fake news story in German newspaper.
    I don't have the answer. Was hoping to hear from others first. Particularly those who are talking about lives lost due to (ii).
    Here is an example of why the Handelsblatt Affair is much more damaging.

    The original tweets claiming "8% efficacy" were retweeted by multiple journalists, and experts, in Germany

    Like this guy. Here he is explaining why he has now deleted the retweet

    https://twitter.com/hendrikstreeck/status/1354038073001205762?s=20


    Why does he matter? Because he has 100,000 followers and he is:


    "Professor and Director of the Institute of Virology and German Center of HIV & AIDS
    @UniBonn
    Former:
    @HarvardMed"

    Many of his followers will automatically believe him, this is his field. They would have read this very alarming news last night, and told everyone on Facebook, and thus it now spreads around the world.

    Yes, loss of trust in a government adviser and maybe the government maybe has a small effect in one country. People aren't burning cars in the Netherlands and France at the moment because if Cummings, at least. Undermining trust in the main vaccine for the developing world is completely unforgivable, the Russian bot farms will be in overdrive making "8%" memes for social media and WhatsApp that will spread through Africa and South Asia like wildfire, all of it with real quotes from a real respected German newspaper and real Tweets from respected German scientists questioning the efficacy of the vaccine.

    It's genuinely a disaster for the world IMO.

    I disagree. The story was killed quickly and categorically. It will have some effect. But not a disastrous one. Quotes can be made up. Tweets can be manufactured. Most people will not know a genuine German scientist from a fake one. Very few people outside of Germany will have heard of Handelsblatt. Bollocks will spread whatever.

    The sensible thing is to wait until the EMA delivers its expected authorisation and conditions for the Astrazeneca vaccine on Friday. They are not going to make mistakes like this. The problem is the widespread repetition as fact of unsubstantiated and unattributed assertion. Not just a German problem, I have to say...

    There is speculation that the EMA will not authorise the AZ vaccine for over 65s. If this happens, I suspect a risk of people coming to the conclusion that the vaccine is unsafe, rather than that the EMA lacks the data to support authorisation, hopefully a temporary situation until the data can be procured.

    If they do not authorise it there will be a very good reason. As far as I can tell there isn't one, so they will.

    Not sure. The FDA aren't authorising at all on this data. Nor the Canadian regulator.
  • Options
    MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 50,190

    felix said:

    MaxPB said:

    Leon said:

    kinabalu said:

    kinabalu said:

    Leon said:

    Leon said:

    MaxPB said:

    MaxPB said:

    If the EU block export of Pfizer vaccines to UK, while demanding queue jumping of AZN ones made in the UK....that will go down well.

    Don't worry, the EU will still have it's defenders in the UK, either out loud or by staying quiet.
    Everyone needs to stop frothing.

    The EU are not going to block export of Pfizer vaccines.

    What is wrong with everyone?
    So why are they putting a notification and approval process in place for exports?
    We can discuss the behaviour of the EU if and when they actually do something. Otherwise everyone is just frothing about a few tweets from EU knobheads.

    I know first-hand how integrated EU and UK pharma supply chains are. Britain therefore has significant leverage and any trade war would have awful consequences for both parties.

    Everyone just needs to calm down.
    You think that Commissioner Kyriakides is a knobhead?

    A little undiplomatic but OK . . .
    If the UK had been behaving with the chaotic, flailing incompetence of the EU and its media friends, in the last couple of weeks, they would have had squirting orgasms of delight.

    The Handelsblatt error is just mind-bogglingly stupid, world class levels of irresponsible, and it could lead to actual deaths as people read the fake news (still being retweeted by Told You So anti-vaxxers) and avoid the jab.

    How has the journalist wo wrote it still got a job? In the UK he'd now be collecting Universal Credit.
    No, in the UK people who publish lies in newspapers become Prime Minister.
    Whataboutery of the first water,

    FFS this is a lie - sorry "journalistic error" - on a cosmic level; the 8% meme is now out there, and it will possibly cause deaths.

    To make it worse, Handelsblatt were told last night be multiple experts - virologists, epidemiologists, everyone - that the "8% thing" was almost certainly wrong, damaging and dangerous, and should be immediately retracted. Did they? No. They doubled down.

    It was still on their website just an hour ago.
    In a spirit of genuine intellectual curiosity rather than whataboutery -

    Do we think this will cost more lives than the Cummings scandal?
    Since there's not the slightest particle of evidence that even one additional person died as a result of that supposed scandal, the Handelsblatt Affair has every chance of prevailing.
    None of this is provable in a hard scientific sense but it lends itself to insightful speculation for those with the head and stomach for it.
    Here we are stacking up: (i) loss of trust in government lockdown messaging due to senior government advisor pissing all over it VERSUS (ii) loss of trust in AZ vaccine due to fake news story in German newspaper.
    I don't have the answer. Was hoping to hear from others first. Particularly those who are talking about lives lost due to (ii).
    Here is an example of why the Handelsblatt Affair is much more damaging.

    The original tweets claiming "8% efficacy" were retweeted by multiple journalists, and experts, in Germany

    Like this guy. Here he is explaining why he has now deleted the retweet

    https://twitter.com/hendrikstreeck/status/1354038073001205762?s=20


    Why does he matter? Because he has 100,000 followers and he is:


    "Professor and Director of the Institute of Virology and German Center of HIV & AIDS
    @UniBonn
    Former:
    @HarvardMed"

    Many of his followers will automatically believe him, this is his field. They would have read this very alarming news last night, and told everyone on Facebook, and thus it now spreads around the world.

    Yes, loss of trust in a government adviser and maybe the government maybe has a small effect in one country. People aren't burning cars in the Netherlands and France at the moment because if Cummings, at least. Undermining trust in the main vaccine for the developing world is completely unforgivable, the Russian bot farms will be in overdrive making "8%" memes for social media and WhatsApp that will spread through Africa and South Asia like wildfire, all of it with real quotes from a real respected German newspaper and real Tweets from respected German scientists questioning the efficacy of the vaccine.

    It's genuinely a disaster for the world IMO.

    I disagree. The story was killed quickly and categorically. It will have some effect. But not a disastrous one. Quotes can be made up. Tweets can be manufactured. Most people will not know a genuine German scientist from a fake one. Very few people outside of Germany will have heard of Handelsblatt. Bollocks will spread whatever.

    EU good - nothing to see here. Next.

    What on earth has it got to do with the EU? Are people really seeing this story in those terms? Bloody hell.

    Are you not? Bloody hell.

    No, I'm not. As someone who has bee involved in journalism for 30 years I am seeing it as a story about a newspaper and a journalist who have got something terribly, terribly wrong. I don't see what the EU has to do with this at all. It does not own the newspaper or control its output.

    The EU live rent free in @MarqueeMark 's head so everything is about them, unfortunately.
    Rent free? What do you think I am - a charity?
  • Options
    Very noisy data, and as I've said before I don't think he should be doing a straight line fit, but arguably there is some preliminary evidence in this chart that the UK vaccination programme is beginning to save lives amongst those vaccinated earliest (the over 80s). Worth watching to see if the ratio falls significantly over the next few days:

    https://twitter.com/george_yarrow/status/1354077547168980992
  • Options
    felix said:

    felix said:

    MaxPB said:

    Leon said:

    kinabalu said:

    kinabalu said:

    Leon said:

    Leon said:

    MaxPB said:

    MaxPB said:

    If the EU block export of Pfizer vaccines to UK, while demanding queue jumping of AZN ones made in the UK....that will go down well.

    Don't worry, the EU will still have it's defenders in the UK, either out loud or by staying quiet.
    Everyone needs to stop frothing.

    The EU are not going to block export of Pfizer vaccines.

    What is wrong with everyone?
    So why are they putting a notification and approval process in place for exports?
    We can discuss the behaviour of the EU if and when they actually do something. Otherwise everyone is just frothing about a few tweets from EU knobheads.

    I know first-hand how integrated EU and UK pharma supply chains are. Britain therefore has significant leverage and any trade war would have awful consequences for both parties.

    Everyone just needs to calm down.
    You think that Commissioner Kyriakides is a knobhead?

    A little undiplomatic but OK . . .
    If the UK had been behaving with the chaotic, flailing incompetence of the EU and its media friends, in the last couple of weeks, they would have had squirting orgasms of delight.

    The Handelsblatt error is just mind-bogglingly stupid, world class levels of irresponsible, and it could lead to actual deaths as people read the fake news (still being retweeted by Told You So anti-vaxxers) and avoid the jab.

    How has the journalist wo wrote it still got a job? In the UK he'd now be collecting Universal Credit.
    No, in the UK people who publish lies in newspapers become Prime Minister.
    Whataboutery of the first water,

    FFS this is a lie - sorry "journalistic error" - on a cosmic level; the 8% meme is now out there, and it will possibly cause deaths.

    To make it worse, Handelsblatt were told last night be multiple experts - virologists, epidemiologists, everyone - that the "8% thing" was almost certainly wrong, damaging and dangerous, and should be immediately retracted. Did they? No. They doubled down.

    It was still on their website just an hour ago.
    In a spirit of genuine intellectual curiosity rather than whataboutery -

    Do we think this will cost more lives than the Cummings scandal?
    Since there's not the slightest particle of evidence that even one additional person died as a result of that supposed scandal, the Handelsblatt Affair has every chance of prevailing.
    None of this is provable in a hard scientific sense but it lends itself to insightful speculation for those with the head and stomach for it.
    Here we are stacking up: (i) loss of trust in government lockdown messaging due to senior government advisor pissing all over it VERSUS (ii) loss of trust in AZ vaccine due to fake news story in German newspaper.
    I don't have the answer. Was hoping to hear from others first. Particularly those who are talking about lives lost due to (ii).
    Here is an example of why the Handelsblatt Affair is much more damaging.

    The original tweets claiming "8% efficacy" were retweeted by multiple journalists, and experts, in Germany

    Like this guy. Here he is explaining why he has now deleted the retweet

    https://twitter.com/hendrikstreeck/status/1354038073001205762?s=20


    Why does he matter? Because he has 100,000 followers and he is:


    "Professor and Director of the Institute of Virology and German Center of HIV & AIDS
    @UniBonn
    Former:
    @HarvardMed"

    Many of his followers will automatically believe him, this is his field. They would have read this very alarming news last night, and told everyone on Facebook, and thus it now spreads around the world.

    Yes, loss of trust in a government adviser and maybe the government maybe has a small effect in one country. People aren't burning cars in the Netherlands and France at the moment because if Cummings, at least. Undermining trust in the main vaccine for the developing world is completely unforgivable, the Russian bot farms will be in overdrive making "8%" memes for social media and WhatsApp that will spread through Africa and South Asia like wildfire, all of it with real quotes from a real respected German newspaper and real Tweets from respected German scientists questioning the efficacy of the vaccine.

    It's genuinely a disaster for the world IMO.

    I disagree. The story was killed quickly and categorically. It will have some effect. But not a disastrous one. Quotes can be made up. Tweets can be manufactured. Most people will not know a genuine German scientist from a fake one. Very few people outside of Germany will have heard of Handelsblatt. Bollocks will spread whatever.

    EU good - nothing to see here. Next.

    What on earth has it got to do with the EU? Are people really seeing this story in those terms? Bloody hell.

    It came from German politicians at ministerial level on the same day that the EU was hinting at AZN dirty tricks over vaccines and asking them to divert supplies meant for the UK. The suggestion was sent to all 27 member states. Where have you been?

    So, the EU directed German government ministers to feed a fake story to a single German newspaper, and no newspaper anywhere else in the EU, designed to discredit Astra Zeneca's vaccine at the same time as it was demanding more supplies of the Astra Zeneca vaccine. Got it.
  • Options
    LeonLeon Posts: 47,725
    FF43 said:

    FF43 said:

    MaxPB said:

    Leon said:

    kinabalu said:

    kinabalu said:

    Leon said:

    Leon said:

    MaxPB said:

    MaxPB said:

    If the EU block export of Pfizer vaccines to UK, while demanding queue jumping of AZN ones made in the UK....that will go down well.

    Don't worry, the EU will still have it's defenders in the UK, either out loud or by staying quiet.
    Everyone needs to stop frothing.

    The EU are not going to block export of Pfizer vaccines.

    What is wrong with everyone?
    So why are they putting a notification and approval process in place for exports?
    We can discuss the behaviour of the EU if and when they actually do something. Otherwise everyone is just frothing about a few tweets from EU knobheads.

    I know first-hand how integrated EU and UK pharma supply chains are. Britain therefore has significant leverage and any trade war would have awful consequences for both parties.

    Everyone just needs to calm down.
    You think that Commissioner Kyriakides is a knobhead?

    A little undiplomatic but OK . . .
    If the UK had been behaving with the chaotic, flailing incompetence of the EU and its media friends, in the last couple of weeks, they would have had squirting orgasms of delight.

    The Handelsblatt error is just mind-bogglingly stupid, world class levels of irresponsible, and it could lead to actual deaths as people read the fake news (still being retweeted by Told You So anti-vaxxers) and avoid the jab.

    How has the journalist wo wrote it still got a job? In the UK he'd now be collecting Universal Credit.
    No, in the UK people who publish lies in newspapers become Prime Minister.
    Whataboutery of the first water,

    FFS this is a lie - sorry "journalistic error" - on a cosmic level; the 8% meme is now out there, and it will possibly cause deaths.

    To make it worse, Handelsblatt were told last night be multiple experts - virologists, epidemiologists, everyone - that the "8% thing" was almost certainly wrong, damaging and dangerous, and should be immediately retracted. Did they? No. They doubled down.

    It was still on their website just an hour ago.
    In a spirit of genuine intellectual curiosity rather than whataboutery -

    Do we think this will cost more lives than the Cummings scandal?
    Since there's not the slightest particle of evidence that even one additional person died as a result of that supposed scandal, the Handelsblatt Affair has every chance of prevailing.
    None of this is provable in a hard scientific sense but it lends itself to insightful speculation for those with the head and stomach for it.
    Here we are stacking up: (i) loss of trust in government lockdown messaging due to senior government advisor pissing all over it VERSUS (ii) loss of trust in AZ vaccine due to fake news story in German newspaper.
    I don't have the answer. Was hoping to hear from others first. Particularly those who are talking about lives lost due to (ii).
    Here is an example of why the Handelsblatt Affair is much more damaging.

    The original tweets claiming "8% efficacy" were retweeted by multiple journalists, and experts, in Germany

    Like this guy. Here he is explaining why he has now deleted the retweet

    https://twitter.com/hendrikstreeck/status/1354038073001205762?s=20


    Why does he matter? Because he has 100,000 followers and he is:


    "Professor and Director of the Institute of Virology and German Center of HIV & AIDS
    @UniBonn
    Former:
    @HarvardMed"

    Many of his followers will automatically believe him, this is his field. They would have read this very alarming news last night, and told everyone on Facebook, and thus it now spreads around the world.

    Yes, loss of trust in a government adviser and maybe the government maybe has a small effect in one country. People aren't burning cars in the Netherlands and France at the moment because if Cummings, at least. Undermining trust in the main vaccine for the developing world is completely unforgivable, the Russian bot farms will be in overdrive making "8%" memes for social media and WhatsApp that will spread through Africa and South Asia like wildfire, all of it with real quotes from a real respected German newspaper and real Tweets from respected German scientists questioning the efficacy of the vaccine.

    It's genuinely a disaster for the world IMO.

    I disagree. The story was killed quickly and categorically. It will have some effect. But not a disastrous one. Quotes can be made up. Tweets can be manufactured. Most people will not know a genuine German scientist from a fake one. Very few people outside of Germany will have heard of Handelsblatt. Bollocks will spread whatever.

    The sensible thing is to wait until the EMA delivers its expected authorisation and conditions on Friday. They are not going to make mistakes like this. The problem is the widespread repetition as fact of unsubstantiated and unattributed assertion. Not just a German problem, I have to say...

    There is speculation that the EMA will not authorise the AZ vaccine for over 65s. If this happens, I suspect a risk of people coming to the conclusion that the vaccine is unsafe, rather than that the EMA lacks the data to support authorisation, hopefully a temporary situation until the data can be procured.
    By that time all our over 65s will already be vaccinated!
    Including my mum, on the AZ vaccine. Problem (and bear in mind we are speculating that the EMA might not authorise for over 65s) is that "We don't have the data to support authorisation" sounds like "this thing is unsafe" to people who aren't paying attention. If so, that's a far bigger problem than a random journalist inventing facts in a German paper that hardly anyone has heard of.
    The Handelsblatt story was repeated all across global media, eg Reuters, BusinessInsider, Forbes. the Guardian, it must have been relayed through social media around the world in the last 24 hours

    Now, if the EMA says the vaccine can only be used by under 65s, many millions will conclude that the vaccine is rubbish, wait for Pfizer. It's the combination which is so toxic. These are tweets from the last few minutes

    https://twitter.com/Eelze60/status/1354104932182458368?s=20


    https://twitter.com/vasathan8/status/1354105027015667717?s=20

    https://twitter.com/Roby30930350/status/1354107035609165824?s=20
  • Options
    TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 41,533

    felix said:

    felix said:

    MaxPB said:

    Leon said:

    kinabalu said:

    kinabalu said:

    Leon said:

    Leon said:

    MaxPB said:

    MaxPB said:

    If the EU block export of Pfizer vaccines to UK, while demanding queue jumping of AZN ones made in the UK....that will go down well.

    Don't worry, the EU will still have it's defenders in the UK, either out loud or by staying quiet.
    Everyone needs to stop frothing.

    The EU are not going to block export of Pfizer vaccines.

    What is wrong with everyone?
    So why are they putting a notification and approval process in place for exports?
    We can discuss the behaviour of the EU if and when they actually do something. Otherwise everyone is just frothing about a few tweets from EU knobheads.

    I know first-hand how integrated EU and UK pharma supply chains are. Britain therefore has significant leverage and any trade war would have awful consequences for both parties.

    Everyone just needs to calm down.
    You think that Commissioner Kyriakides is a knobhead?

    A little undiplomatic but OK . . .
    If the UK had been behaving with the chaotic, flailing incompetence of the EU and its media friends, in the last couple of weeks, they would have had squirting orgasms of delight.

    The Handelsblatt error is just mind-bogglingly stupid, world class levels of irresponsible, and it could lead to actual deaths as people read the fake news (still being retweeted by Told You So anti-vaxxers) and avoid the jab.

    How has the journalist wo wrote it still got a job? In the UK he'd now be collecting Universal Credit.
    No, in the UK people who publish lies in newspapers become Prime Minister.
    Whataboutery of the first water,

    FFS this is a lie - sorry "journalistic error" - on a cosmic level; the 8% meme is now out there, and it will possibly cause deaths.

    To make it worse, Handelsblatt were told last night be multiple experts - virologists, epidemiologists, everyone - that the "8% thing" was almost certainly wrong, damaging and dangerous, and should be immediately retracted. Did they? No. They doubled down.

    It was still on their website just an hour ago.
    In a spirit of genuine intellectual curiosity rather than whataboutery -

    Do we think this will cost more lives than the Cummings scandal?
    Since there's not the slightest particle of evidence that even one additional person died as a result of that supposed scandal, the Handelsblatt Affair has every chance of prevailing.
    None of this is provable in a hard scientific sense but it lends itself to insightful speculation for those with the head and stomach for it.
    Here we are stacking up: (i) loss of trust in government lockdown messaging due to senior government advisor pissing all over it VERSUS (ii) loss of trust in AZ vaccine due to fake news story in German newspaper.
    I don't have the answer. Was hoping to hear from others first. Particularly those who are talking about lives lost due to (ii).
    Here is an example of why the Handelsblatt Affair is much more damaging.

    The original tweets claiming "8% efficacy" were retweeted by multiple journalists, and experts, in Germany

    Like this guy. Here he is explaining why he has now deleted the retweet

    https://twitter.com/hendrikstreeck/status/1354038073001205762?s=20


    Why does he matter? Because he has 100,000 followers and he is:


    "Professor and Director of the Institute of Virology and German Center of HIV & AIDS
    @UniBonn
    Former:
    @HarvardMed"

    Many of his followers will automatically believe him, this is his field. They would have read this very alarming news last night, and told everyone on Facebook, and thus it now spreads around the world.

    Yes, loss of trust in a government adviser and maybe the government maybe has a small effect in one country. People aren't burning cars in the Netherlands and France at the moment because if Cummings, at least. Undermining trust in the main vaccine for the developing world is completely unforgivable, the Russian bot farms will be in overdrive making "8%" memes for social media and WhatsApp that will spread through Africa and South Asia like wildfire, all of it with real quotes from a real respected German newspaper and real Tweets from respected German scientists questioning the efficacy of the vaccine.

    It's genuinely a disaster for the world IMO.

    I disagree. The story was killed quickly and categorically. It will have some effect. But not a disastrous one. Quotes can be made up. Tweets can be manufactured. Most people will not know a genuine German scientist from a fake one. Very few people outside of Germany will have heard of Handelsblatt. Bollocks will spread whatever.

    EU good - nothing to see here. Next.

    What on earth has it got to do with the EU? Are people really seeing this story in those terms? Bloody hell.

    It came from German politicians at ministerial level on the same day that the EU was hinting at AZN dirty tricks over vaccines and asking them to divert supplies meant for the UK. The suggestion was sent to all 27 member states. Where have you been?

    So, the EU directed German government ministers to feed a fake story to a single German newspaper, and no newspaper anywhere else in the EU, designed to discredit Astra Zeneca's vaccine at the same time as it was demanding more supplies of the Astra Zeneca vaccine. Got it.
    ...is what we're dealing with here on PB.
  • Options
    rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 58,576
    Today Labour sounds like the collective pressure group for the public sector.

    https://www.standard.co.uk/comment/keir-starmer-labour-covid-b901186.html
  • Options

    IshmaelZ said:

    BBC News - Harriet Tubman: Biden moves to put anti-slavery activist on $20 bill
    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-us-canada-55808324

    A Royal Navy warship captain?

    No?
    Yes, you don't ship 3.2 million bodies across the Atlantic without some serious professionals watching your back. Credit where credit is due.
    Who did more to save Africans/Americans from slavery - Hariet Tubman or the Royal Navy?
    The RN of 1546-1808 or thereafter?
  • Options
    kinabalu said:

    felix said:

    MaxPB said:

    Leon said:

    kinabalu said:

    kinabalu said:

    Leon said:

    Leon said:

    MaxPB said:

    MaxPB said:

    If the EU block export of Pfizer vaccines to UK, while demanding queue jumping of AZN ones made in the UK....that will go down well.

    Don't worry, the EU will still have it's defenders in the UK, either out loud or by staying quiet.
    Everyone needs to stop frothing.

    The EU are not going to block export of Pfizer vaccines.

    What is wrong with everyone?
    So why are they putting a notification and approval process in place for exports?
    We can discuss the behaviour of the EU if and when they actually do something. Otherwise everyone is just frothing about a few tweets from EU knobheads.

    I know first-hand how integrated EU and UK pharma supply chains are. Britain therefore has significant leverage and any trade war would have awful consequences for both parties.

    Everyone just needs to calm down.
    You think that Commissioner Kyriakides is a knobhead?

    A little undiplomatic but OK . . .
    If the UK had been behaving with the chaotic, flailing incompetence of the EU and its media friends, in the last couple of weeks, they would have had squirting orgasms of delight.

    The Handelsblatt error is just mind-bogglingly stupid, world class levels of irresponsible, and it could lead to actual deaths as people read the fake news (still being retweeted by Told You So anti-vaxxers) and avoid the jab.

    How has the journalist wo wrote it still got a job? In the UK he'd now be collecting Universal Credit.
    No, in the UK people who publish lies in newspapers become Prime Minister.
    Whataboutery of the first water,

    FFS this is a lie - sorry "journalistic error" - on a cosmic level; the 8% meme is now out there, and it will possibly cause deaths.

    To make it worse, Handelsblatt were told last night be multiple experts - virologists, epidemiologists, everyone - that the "8% thing" was almost certainly wrong, damaging and dangerous, and should be immediately retracted. Did they? No. They doubled down.

    It was still on their website just an hour ago.
    In a spirit of genuine intellectual curiosity rather than whataboutery -

    Do we think this will cost more lives than the Cummings scandal?
    Since there's not the slightest particle of evidence that even one additional person died as a result of that supposed scandal, the Handelsblatt Affair has every chance of prevailing.
    None of this is provable in a hard scientific sense but it lends itself to insightful speculation for those with the head and stomach for it.
    Here we are stacking up: (i) loss of trust in government lockdown messaging due to senior government advisor pissing all over it VERSUS (ii) loss of trust in AZ vaccine due to fake news story in German newspaper.
    I don't have the answer. Was hoping to hear from others first. Particularly those who are talking about lives lost due to (ii).
    Here is an example of why the Handelsblatt Affair is much more damaging.

    The original tweets claiming "8% efficacy" were retweeted by multiple journalists, and experts, in Germany

    Like this guy. Here he is explaining why he has now deleted the retweet

    https://twitter.com/hendrikstreeck/status/1354038073001205762?s=20


    Why does he matter? Because he has 100,000 followers and he is:


    "Professor and Director of the Institute of Virology and German Center of HIV & AIDS
    @UniBonn
    Former:
    @HarvardMed"

    Many of his followers will automatically believe him, this is his field. They would have read this very alarming news last night, and told everyone on Facebook, and thus it now spreads around the world.

    Yes, loss of trust in a government adviser and maybe the government maybe has a small effect in one country. People aren't burning cars in the Netherlands and France at the moment because if Cummings, at least. Undermining trust in the main vaccine for the developing world is completely unforgivable, the Russian bot farms will be in overdrive making "8%" memes for social media and WhatsApp that will spread through Africa and South Asia like wildfire, all of it with real quotes from a real respected German newspaper and real Tweets from respected German scientists questioning the efficacy of the vaccine.

    It's genuinely a disaster for the world IMO.

    I disagree. The story was killed quickly and categorically. It will have some effect. But not a disastrous one. Quotes can be made up. Tweets can be manufactured. Most people will not know a genuine German scientist from a fake one. Very few people outside of Germany will have heard of Handelsblatt. Bollocks will spread whatever.

    EU good - nothing to see here. Next.

    What on earth has it got to do with the EU? Are people really seeing this story in those terms? Bloody hell.

    Are you not? Bloody hell.

    No, I'm not. As someone who has bee involved in journalism for 30 years I am seeing it as a story about a newspaper and a journalist who have got something terribly, terribly wrong. I don't see what the EU has to do with this at all. It does not own the newspaper or control its output.
    It's nothing to do with the EU unless you have an appetite for outlandish conspiracy theories.

    Well, indeed.

  • Options
    LeonLeon Posts: 47,725
    TOPPING said:

    Leon said:

    MaxPB said:

    Leon said:

    MaxPB said:

    kinabalu said:

    kinabalu said:

    Leon said:

    Leon said:

    MaxPB said:

    MaxPB said:

    If the EU block export of Pfizer vaccines to UK, while demanding queue jumping of AZN ones made in the UK....that will go down well.

    Don't worry, the EU will still have it's defenders in the UK, either out loud or by staying quiet.
    Everyone needs to stop frothing.

    The EU are not going to block export of Pfizer vaccines.

    What is wrong with everyone?
    So why are they putting a notification and approval process in place for exports?
    We can discuss the behaviour of the EU if and when they actually do something. Otherwise everyone is just frothing about a few tweets from EU knobheads.

    I know first-hand how integrated EU and UK pharma supply chains are. Britain therefore has significant leverage and any trade war would have awful consequences for both parties.

    Everyone just needs to calm down.
    You think that Commissioner Kyriakides is a knobhead?

    A little undiplomatic but OK . . .
    If the UK had been behaving with the chaotic, flailing incompetence of the EU and its media friends, in the last couple of weeks, they would have had squirting orgasms of delight.

    The Handelsblatt error is just mind-bogglingly stupid, world class levels of irresponsible, and it could lead to actual deaths as people read the fake news (still being retweeted by Told You So anti-vaxxers) and avoid the jab.

    How has the journalist wo wrote it still got a job? In the UK he'd now be collecting Universal Credit.
    No, in the UK people who publish lies in newspapers become Prime Minister.
    Whataboutery of the first water,

    FFS this is a lie - sorry "journalistic error" - on a cosmic level; the 8% meme is now out there, and it will possibly cause deaths.

    To make it worse, Handelsblatt were told last night be multiple experts - virologists, epidemiologists, everyone - that the "8% thing" was almost certainly wrong, damaging and dangerous, and should be immediately retracted. Did they? No. They doubled down.

    It was still on their website just an hour ago.
    In a spirit of genuine intellectual curiosity rather than whataboutery -

    Do we think this will cost more lives than the Cummings scandal?
    Obviously.
    Sorry, forgot to add - the question is not to be attempted by people who lost their integrity over the Cummings scandal. To assess it properly you need (i) some core data, (ii) a set of reasonable assumptions about behaviour, (iii) a calculator, and (iv) your integrity.
    I quit the Tory party over it, and this anti-vaxxer bullshit from Germany is way, way worse than Cummings. The effect on global vaccine take up in the developing world is going to be a disaster once the Russian "8%" memes start to spread all over African and Asian WhatsApp.
    I suppose there is still the tiny possibility that the 8% "fact" is true; though it seems vanishingly unlikely, from all I've read about vaccines, and it has been vehemently denied by AZ, and is now denied by the German government.


    It's not true, the German government has already said it was down to a misunderstanding of the report the German regulator has received from the EMA saying that 56-69 year olds only made up 8% of the trial. That's where the number comes from. It has nothing to do with efficacy.
    If you are right (and I am sure you are) I do not understand why Handelsblatt themselves have not come out with a grovelling retraction. Because they haven't.

    Their last tweet on this reiterated the 8% claim, and merely added that the company itself (AZ) disagreed.

    https://twitter.com/handelsblatt/status/1353992634570854402?s=20
    Blimey - you've been through every Handelsblatt tweet for the past seven hours!

    Good effort.
    They've done about 10 tweets. It's not hard
  • Options
    Looks like Farage has joined the patriot not nationalist fuds. Enjoy him lads!

    https://twitter.com/Nigel_Farage/status/1354060537668247552?s=20
  • Options
    OmniumOmnium Posts: 9,826

    Presumably the wooden-tops all had a Number 1?

    Don't you knock the wooden-tops!

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Woodentops_(TV_series)

    I loved the woodentops.
  • Options
    TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 41,533
    edited January 2021
    Leon said:

    FF43 said:

    FF43 said:

    MaxPB said:

    Leon said:

    kinabalu said:

    kinabalu said:

    Leon said:

    Leon said:

    MaxPB said:

    MaxPB said:

    If the EU block export of Pfizer vaccines to UK, while demanding queue jumping of AZN ones made in the UK....that will go down well.

    Don't worry, the EU will still have it's defenders in the UK, either out loud or by staying quiet.
    Everyone needs to stop frothing.

    The EU are not going to block export of Pfizer vaccines.

    What is wrong with everyone?
    So why are they putting a notification and approval process in place for exports?
    We can discuss the behaviour of the EU if and when they actually do something. Otherwise everyone is just frothing about a few tweets from EU knobheads.

    I know first-hand how integrated EU and UK pharma supply chains are. Britain therefore has significant leverage and any trade war would have awful consequences for both parties.

    Everyone just needs to calm down.
    You think that Commissioner Kyriakides is a knobhead?

    A little undiplomatic but OK . . .
    If the UK had been behaving with the chaotic, flailing incompetence of the EU and its media friends, in the last couple of weeks, they would have had squirting orgasms of delight.

    The Handelsblatt error is just mind-bogglingly stupid, world class levels of irresponsible, and it could lead to actual deaths as people read the fake news (still being retweeted by Told You So anti-vaxxers) and avoid the jab.

    How has the journalist wo wrote it still got a job? In the UK he'd now be collecting Universal Credit.
    No, in the UK people who publish lies in newspapers become Prime Minister.
    Whataboutery of the first water,

    FFS this is a lie - sorry "journalistic error" - on a cosmic level; the 8% meme is now out there, and it will possibly cause deaths.

    To make it worse, Handelsblatt were told last night be multiple experts - virologists, epidemiologists, everyone - that the "8% thing" was almost certainly wrong, damaging and dangerous, and should be immediately retracted. Did they? No. They doubled down.

    It was still on their website just an hour ago.
    In a spirit of genuine intellectual curiosity rather than whataboutery -

    Do we think this will cost more lives than the Cummings scandal?
    Since there's not the slightest particle of evidence that even one additional person died as a result of that supposed scandal, the Handelsblatt Affair has every chance of prevailing.
    None of this is provable in a hard scientific sense but it lends itself to insightful speculation for those with the head and stomach for it.
    Here we are stacking up: (i) loss of trust in government lockdown messaging due to senior government advisor pissing all over it VERSUS (ii) loss of trust in AZ vaccine due to fake news story in German newspaper.
    I don't have the answer. Was hoping to hear from others first. Particularly those who are talking about lives lost due to (ii).
    Here is an example of why the Handelsblatt Affair is much more damaging.

    The original tweets claiming "8% efficacy" were retweeted by multiple journalists, and experts, in Germany

    Like this guy. Here he is explaining why he has now deleted the retweet

    https://twitter.com/hendrikstreeck/status/1354038073001205762?s=20


    Why does he matter? Because he has 100,000 followers and he is:


    "Professor and Director of the Institute of Virology and German Center of HIV & AIDS
    @UniBonn
    Former:
    @HarvardMed"

    Many of his followers will automatically believe him, this is his field. They would have read this very alarming news last night, and told everyone on Facebook, and thus it now spreads around the world.

    Yes, loss of trust in a government adviser and maybe the government maybe has a small effect in one country. People aren't burning cars in the Netherlands and France at the moment because if Cummings, at least. Undermining trust in the main vaccine for the developing world is completely unforgivable, the Russian bot farms will be in overdrive making "8%" memes for social media and WhatsApp that will spread through Africa and South Asia like wildfire, all of it with real quotes from a real respected German newspaper and real Tweets from respected German scientists questioning the efficacy of the vaccine.

    It's genuinely a disaster for the world IMO.

    I disagree. The story was killed quickly and categorically. It will have some effect. But not a disastrous one. Quotes can be made up. Tweets can be manufactured. Most people will not know a genuine German scientist from a fake one. Very few people outside of Germany will have heard of Handelsblatt. Bollocks will spread whatever.

    The sensible thing is to wait until the EMA delivers its expected authorisation and conditions on Friday. They are not going to make mistakes like this. The problem is the widespread repetition as fact of unsubstantiated and unattributed assertion. Not just a German problem, I have to say...

    There is speculation that the EMA will not authorise the AZ vaccine for over 65s. If this happens, I suspect a risk of people coming to the conclusion that the vaccine is unsafe, rather than that the EMA lacks the data to support authorisation, hopefully a temporary situation until the data can be procured.
    By that time all our over 65s will already be vaccinated!
    Including my mum, on the AZ vaccine. Problem (and bear in mind we are speculating that the EMA might not authorise for over 65s) is that "We don't have the data to support authorisation" sounds like "this thing is unsafe" to people who aren't paying attention. If so, that's a far bigger problem than a random journalist inventing facts in a German paper that hardly anyone has heard of.
    The Handelsblatt story was repeated all across global media, eg Reuters, BusinessInsider, Forbes. the Guardian, it must have been relayed through social media around the world in the last 24 hours

    Now, if the EMA says the vaccine can only be used by under 65s, many millions will conclude that the vaccine is rubbish, wait for Pfizer. It's the combination which is so toxic. These are tweets from the last few minutes

    https://twitter.com/Eelze60/status/1354104932182458368?s=20


    https://twitter.com/vasathan8/status/1354105027015667717?s=20

    https://twitter.com/Roby30930350/status/1354107035609165824?s=20
    I haven't totted the whole lot up but that first tweeter, "Eelze60" is followed by 132 people.

    Apres lui le deluge.
  • Options
    DougSealDougSeal Posts: 11,371

    IshmaelZ said:

    BBC News - Harriet Tubman: Biden moves to put anti-slavery activist on $20 bill
    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-us-canada-55808324

    A Royal Navy warship captain?

    No?
    Yes, you don't ship 3.2 million bodies across the Atlantic without some serious professionals watching your back. Credit where credit is due.
    Who did more to save Africans/Americans from slavery - Hariet Tubman or the Royal Navy?
    Harriet Tubman. You need to nett the number of slave ships the RN protected until 1808 against the number of people saved from slavery afterwards. The result would be several million in the negative.
  • Options
    LeonLeon Posts: 47,725

    felix said:

    felix said:

    MaxPB said:

    Leon said:

    kinabalu said:

    kinabalu said:

    Leon said:

    Leon said:

    MaxPB said:

    MaxPB said:

    If the EU block export of Pfizer vaccines to UK, while demanding queue jumping of AZN ones made in the UK....that will go down well.

    Don't worry, the EU will still have it's defenders in the UK, either out loud or by staying quiet.
    Everyone needs to stop frothing.

    The EU are not going to block export of Pfizer vaccines.

    What is wrong with everyone?
    So why are they putting a notification and approval process in place for exports?
    We can discuss the behaviour of the EU if and when they actually do something. Otherwise everyone is just frothing about a few tweets from EU knobheads.

    I know first-hand how integrated EU and UK pharma supply chains are. Britain therefore has significant leverage and any trade war would have awful consequences for both parties.

    Everyone just needs to calm down.
    You think that Commissioner Kyriakides is a knobhead?

    A little undiplomatic but OK . . .
    If the UK had been behaving with the chaotic, flailing incompetence of the EU and its media friends, in the last couple of weeks, they would have had squirting orgasms of delight.

    The Handelsblatt error is just mind-bogglingly stupid, world class levels of irresponsible, and it could lead to actual deaths as people read the fake news (still being retweeted by Told You So anti-vaxxers) and avoid the jab.

    How has the journalist wo wrote it still got a job? In the UK he'd now be collecting Universal Credit.
    No, in the UK people who publish lies in newspapers become Prime Minister.
    Whataboutery of the first water,

    FFS this is a lie - sorry "journalistic error" - on a cosmic level; the 8% meme is now out there, and it will possibly cause deaths.

    To make it worse, Handelsblatt were told last night be multiple experts - virologists, epidemiologists, everyone - that the "8% thing" was almost certainly wrong, damaging and dangerous, and should be immediately retracted. Did they? No. They doubled down.

    It was still on their website just an hour ago.
    In a spirit of genuine intellectual curiosity rather than whataboutery -

    Do we think this will cost more lives than the Cummings scandal?
    Since there's not the slightest particle of evidence that even one additional person died as a result of that supposed scandal, the Handelsblatt Affair has every chance of prevailing.
    None of this is provable in a hard scientific sense but it lends itself to insightful speculation for those with the head and stomach for it.
    Here we are stacking up: (i) loss of trust in government lockdown messaging due to senior government advisor pissing all over it VERSUS (ii) loss of trust in AZ vaccine due to fake news story in German newspaper.
    I don't have the answer. Was hoping to hear from others first. Particularly those who are talking about lives lost due to (ii).
    Here is an example of why the Handelsblatt Affair is much more damaging.

    The original tweets claiming "8% efficacy" were retweeted by multiple journalists, and experts, in Germany

    Like this guy. Here he is explaining why he has now deleted the retweet

    https://twitter.com/hendrikstreeck/status/1354038073001205762?s=20


    Why does he matter? Because he has 100,000 followers and he is:


    "Professor and Director of the Institute of Virology and German Center of HIV & AIDS
    @UniBonn
    Former:
    @HarvardMed"

    Many of his followers will automatically believe him, this is his field. They would have read this very alarming news last night, and told everyone on Facebook, and thus it now spreads around the world.

    Yes, loss of trust in a government adviser and maybe the government maybe has a small effect in one country. People aren't burning cars in the Netherlands and France at the moment because if Cummings, at least. Undermining trust in the main vaccine for the developing world is completely unforgivable, the Russian bot farms will be in overdrive making "8%" memes for social media and WhatsApp that will spread through Africa and South Asia like wildfire, all of it with real quotes from a real respected German newspaper and real Tweets from respected German scientists questioning the efficacy of the vaccine.

    It's genuinely a disaster for the world IMO.

    I disagree. The story was killed quickly and categorically. It will have some effect. But not a disastrous one. Quotes can be made up. Tweets can be manufactured. Most people will not know a genuine German scientist from a fake one. Very few people outside of Germany will have heard of Handelsblatt. Bollocks will spread whatever.

    EU good - nothing to see here. Next.

    What on earth has it got to do with the EU? Are people really seeing this story in those terms? Bloody hell.

    It came from German politicians at ministerial level on the same day that the EU was hinting at AZN dirty tricks over vaccines and asking them to divert supplies meant for the UK. The suggestion was sent to all 27 member states. Where have you been?

    So, the EU directed German government ministers to feed a fake story to a single German newspaper, and no newspaper anywhere else in the EU, designed to discredit Astra Zeneca's vaccine at the same time as it was demanding more supplies of the Astra Zeneca vaccine. Got it.
    No one is claiming the behaviour of the EU, the German government, or Handelsblatt, has been rational over the last 24 hours.
  • Options
    OnlyLivingBoyOnlyLivingBoy Posts: 15,217
    Andy_JS said:

    HYUFD said:
    2022: China 5.6%, UK 5.0% is notable.
    No, China +16.8% (2020-22 cumulative growth) and UK -1.2% is notable. Only Italy is also projected to see its economy shrink over the course of the three years.
    In any case, and with great respect to the IMF, economists only project growth two years out in the midst of an unprecedented economic shock to prove they have a sense of humour.
  • Options
    felixfelix Posts: 15,125

    RobD said:

    MaxPB said:

    Leon said:

    kinabalu said:

    kinabalu said:

    Leon said:

    Leon said:

    MaxPB said:

    MaxPB said:

    If the EU block export of Pfizer vaccines to UK, while demanding queue jumping of AZN ones made in the UK....that will go down well.

    Don't worry, the EU will still have it's defenders in the UK, either out loud or by staying quiet.
    Everyone needs to stop frothing.

    The EU are not going to block export of Pfizer vaccines.

    What is wrong with everyone?
    So why are they putting a notification and approval process in place for exports?
    We can discuss the behaviour of the EU if and when they actually do something. Otherwise everyone is just frothing about a few tweets from EU knobheads.

    I know first-hand how integrated EU and UK pharma supply chains are. Britain therefore has significant leverage and any trade war would have awful consequences for both parties.

    Everyone just needs to calm down.
    You think that Commissioner Kyriakides is a knobhead?

    A little undiplomatic but OK . . .
    If the UK had been behaving with the chaotic, flailing incompetence of the EU and its media friends, in the last couple of weeks, they would have had squirting orgasms of delight.

    The Handelsblatt error is just mind-bogglingly stupid, world class levels of irresponsible, and it could lead to actual deaths as people read the fake news (still being retweeted by Told You So anti-vaxxers) and avoid the jab.

    How has the journalist wo wrote it still got a job? In the UK he'd now be collecting Universal Credit.
    No, in the UK people who publish lies in newspapers become Prime Minister.
    Whataboutery of the first water,

    FFS this is a lie - sorry "journalistic error" - on a cosmic level; the 8% meme is now out there, and it will possibly cause deaths.

    To make it worse, Handelsblatt were told last night be multiple experts - virologists, epidemiologists, everyone - that the "8% thing" was almost certainly wrong, damaging and dangerous, and should be immediately retracted. Did they? No. They doubled down.

    It was still on their website just an hour ago.
    In a spirit of genuine intellectual curiosity rather than whataboutery -

    Do we think this will cost more lives than the Cummings scandal?
    Since there's not the slightest particle of evidence that even one additional person died as a result of that supposed scandal, the Handelsblatt Affair has every chance of prevailing.
    None of this is provable in a hard scientific sense but it lends itself to insightful speculation for those with the head and stomach for it.
    Here we are stacking up: (i) loss of trust in government lockdown messaging due to senior government advisor pissing all over it VERSUS (ii) loss of trust in AZ vaccine due to fake news story in German newspaper.
    I don't have the answer. Was hoping to hear from others first. Particularly those who are talking about lives lost due to (ii).
    Here is an example of why the Handelsblatt Affair is much more damaging.

    The original tweets claiming "8% efficacy" were retweeted by multiple journalists, and experts, in Germany

    Like this guy. Here he is explaining why he has now deleted the retweet

    https://twitter.com/hendrikstreeck/status/1354038073001205762?s=20


    Why does he matter? Because he has 100,000 followers and he is:


    "Professor and Director of the Institute of Virology and German Center of HIV & AIDS
    @UniBonn
    Former:
    @HarvardMed"

    Many of his followers will automatically believe him, this is his field. They would have read this very alarming news last night, and told everyone on Facebook, and thus it now spreads around the world.

    Yes, loss of trust in a government adviser and maybe the government maybe has a small effect in one country. People aren't burning cars in the Netherlands and France at the moment because if Cummings, at least. Undermining trust in the main vaccine for the developing world is completely unforgivable, the Russian bot farms will be in overdrive making "8%" memes for social media and WhatsApp that will spread through Africa and South Asia like wildfire, all of it with real quotes from a real respected German newspaper and real Tweets from respected German scientists questioning the efficacy of the vaccine.

    It's genuinely a disaster for the world IMO.

    I disagree. The story was killed quickly and categorically. It will have some effect. But not a disastrous one. Quotes can be made up. Tweets can be manufactured. Most people will not know a genuine German scientist from a fake one. Very few people outside of Germany will have heard of Handelsblatt. Bollocks will spread whatever.

    I tend to agree - this is annoying but not ultimately a disaster. It is more of a concern that the EU has asked for British vaccine supplies to be diverted to itself, and is threatening to block the export of vaccines. We need to do everything possible to ensure that vaccines are manufactured in the UK. Does anyone know where the J&J one is being manufactured?

    Aren't UK AZN vaccines manufactured in the UK?

    Mostly, but they've still asked for UK doses to be diverted.

    Blimey - I had not heard that.

    https://twitter.com/b_judah/status/1354050644416602113?s=20

    Asking is different to demanding, but it's a terrible look. They have really messed this up big time.
    It's not just the EU - here in Spain as the numbers go through the roof the Health minister buggers off to campaign in the Catalonian election, we've had mayors, army generals, local health officials and today, a Bishop who've all jumped the very long queue! Most people are laughing as the alternative is.....
  • Options
    TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 41,533
    edited January 2021
    Leon said:

    TOPPING said:

    Leon said:

    MaxPB said:

    Leon said:

    MaxPB said:

    kinabalu said:

    kinabalu said:

    Leon said:

    Leon said:

    MaxPB said:

    MaxPB said:

    If the EU block export of Pfizer vaccines to UK, while demanding queue jumping of AZN ones made in the UK....that will go down well.

    Don't worry, the EU will still have it's defenders in the UK, either out loud or by staying quiet.
    Everyone needs to stop frothing.

    The EU are not going to block export of Pfizer vaccines.

    What is wrong with everyone?
    So why are they putting a notification and approval process in place for exports?
    We can discuss the behaviour of the EU if and when they actually do something. Otherwise everyone is just frothing about a few tweets from EU knobheads.

    I know first-hand how integrated EU and UK pharma supply chains are. Britain therefore has significant leverage and any trade war would have awful consequences for both parties.

    Everyone just needs to calm down.
    You think that Commissioner Kyriakides is a knobhead?

    A little undiplomatic but OK . . .
    If the UK had been behaving with the chaotic, flailing incompetence of the EU and its media friends, in the last couple of weeks, they would have had squirting orgasms of delight.

    The Handelsblatt error is just mind-bogglingly stupid, world class levels of irresponsible, and it could lead to actual deaths as people read the fake news (still being retweeted by Told You So anti-vaxxers) and avoid the jab.

    How has the journalist wo wrote it still got a job? In the UK he'd now be collecting Universal Credit.
    No, in the UK people who publish lies in newspapers become Prime Minister.
    Whataboutery of the first water,

    FFS this is a lie - sorry "journalistic error" - on a cosmic level; the 8% meme is now out there, and it will possibly cause deaths.

    To make it worse, Handelsblatt were told last night be multiple experts - virologists, epidemiologists, everyone - that the "8% thing" was almost certainly wrong, damaging and dangerous, and should be immediately retracted. Did they? No. They doubled down.

    It was still on their website just an hour ago.
    In a spirit of genuine intellectual curiosity rather than whataboutery -

    Do we think this will cost more lives than the Cummings scandal?
    Obviously.
    Sorry, forgot to add - the question is not to be attempted by people who lost their integrity over the Cummings scandal. To assess it properly you need (i) some core data, (ii) a set of reasonable assumptions about behaviour, (iii) a calculator, and (iv) your integrity.
    I quit the Tory party over it, and this anti-vaxxer bullshit from Germany is way, way worse than Cummings. The effect on global vaccine take up in the developing world is going to be a disaster once the Russian "8%" memes start to spread all over African and Asian WhatsApp.
    I suppose there is still the tiny possibility that the 8% "fact" is true; though it seems vanishingly unlikely, from all I've read about vaccines, and it has been vehemently denied by AZ, and is now denied by the German government.


    It's not true, the German government has already said it was down to a misunderstanding of the report the German regulator has received from the EMA saying that 56-69 year olds only made up 8% of the trial. That's where the number comes from. It has nothing to do with efficacy.
    If you are right (and I am sure you are) I do not understand why Handelsblatt themselves have not come out with a grovelling retraction. Because they haven't.

    Their last tweet on this reiterated the 8% claim, and merely added that the company itself (AZ) disagreed.

    https://twitter.com/handelsblatt/status/1353992634570854402?s=20
    Blimey - you've been through every Handelsblatt tweet for the past seven hours!

    Good effort.
    They've done about 10 tweets. It's not hard
    No they haven't. I just went onto their twitter, God help me. There are dozens and dozens.

    I call fake news.
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    kinabalukinabalu Posts: 39,473
    Omnium said:

    kinabalu said:

    TimT said:

    kinabalu said:

    TimT said:

    kinabalu said:

    Farage is beside himself.

    He told you so. He really did.

    Surely you think this is all a load of nonsense because it's no worse than a bad cold and we should all get back to normal?
    Tell you what. I will admit covid is a serious issue.

    But then you have to admit that lockdowns have devastating consequences. On children. On young people. On people in poverty. On jobs and the economy. on mental health. On the fabric of society. On human rights. Its eminently clear today.

    I at least have tried to have a debate about whether lockdowns are worth it and whether the extent to which the young are being sacrificed is worth it.

    All you and others like you have tried to do is shut down debate.
    It's a non-debate in terms of the big picture. Every single thing you mention would have been worse with no lockdown. There is no "cost of lockdown" because it was not an either/or choice. Or the cost is negative if you like. It's large and negative.

    The valid debate has been - still is - around the details of the restrictions. The timing. The scope. Border control. The balance between trust and law. The extent to which it should be policed. All of this.

    You have shown not the slightest interest in having a debate like that. All you've done on this whole topic since the virus emerged is spread lies and write fatuously pretentious faux "man of the world" drivel.
    More correctly, the debate should not be about lockdown or not, but about what level of non-medical interventions (social distancing, hand and respiratory hygiene, PPE) is required to minimize the net impact of the outbreak. And that has to include consideration of all the issues Contrarian lists.

    It so happens, lockdowns seem to be about the most socially doable mechanism. It need not have been the only option, or even the best one. For example, we could all have agreed to wear full PPE (full Tyvek body suit, booties, gloves, hood, N95, goggles, face shield - assuming no shortages), and gone about our normal business (except eating and drinking in public) and learnt how to don and doff our PPE correctly and decontaminate at the appropriate points in our activities.

    There may well have been a better optimal mix of policies. Unfortunately, we'll never know, because this is not an experiment that can be re-run. And no, the UK's experience cannot really be directly compared with that of other nations because a pandemic is a complex adaptive system, a type of system which is extremely sensitive to initial states and inputs - i.e. where outcomes vary massively based on changes of initial state and input below the level at which measurements can be made. I think that drawing any inference from international comparisons is fraught, other than
    1. timing is important, and
    2. level of compliance with government guidelines/rules is much, much more important for effectiveness than the actual guidelines/rules themselves.
    (1) for sure. As for (2) imo the messaging is more important than the precise legal rules since (least here) it's not aggressively policed. It's about getting the public to do the right thing. Which in turn means communicating a proper understanding of the virus and the risks, plus generating a sense of trust in government.
    Not sure you are right on the last point - at least not fully so. Messaging - quality, consistency, and multiple channels with multiple champions - is clearly important. But some societies are just better at trusting and hence implementing governmental orders (whether they are good governments or not) and are better about thinking about others rather than themselves. The US and UK are bad (judged in pandemic response terms - these can be good qualities in other fields, such as scientific research and innovation) on both these cultural parameters.
    Agree with that. A collectivist - "there's nothing special about me" - mindset is better is these circumstances. Indeed it is in most circumstances imo but that's another story.
    Making the statement "there's nothing special about me" is almost self-defeating though isn't it?

    If I was of the left I'd argue that the things that make everyone special don't make them unequal. I quite like that emotionally. but is of course ridiculous.

    Some people are special. (Horrid though it sounds)
    As I view it, people are vastly more the same than they are different. They mostly want the same things, their abilities are clustered around the mean, and even the outliers are not as special as they might at first appear.
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    20089 tested positive. Case numbers are bombing.

    Lockdown working. Who'd have thunk it.

    But so many deaths: I guess we're heading for close to 150k in all (only the vaccine might keep it below).

    It's a relief that the cases are coming down, though I never really subscribed to the theory that the new variant was impossible to control through lockdown.

    But there will be plenty of idiots who advance the argument "lockdown is working, therefore it's vital that we end it!".

    --AS
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    kle4kle4 Posts: 92,087

    The distancing from Trump lasted all of 5 minutes.
    https://twitter.com/marcorubio/status/1354056259423580162?s=21

    Accountability equals vengeance. Not unexpected, but still sad to see them lining up to ignore everything now.
This discussion has been closed.