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CNN reporting that McConnell is privately saying he wants Trump gone – politicalbetting.com
CNN reporting that McConnell is privately saying he wants Trump gone – politicalbetting.com
This is from a CNN report this evening:
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My £20 at 5.4 is showing a loss atm
Any criminal and civil trials his lawyers, Messrs Hutz and Giulianim, can argue that Trump cannot get a fair trial following the Senate conviction.
So it might be in his best interests to be convicted by the Senate.
So if it's in his best interests, democracies best interests and the GOPs best interests then get it done.
Washington Post: "Denmark is sequencing all coronavirus samples and has an alarming view of the U.K. variant
Like a speeding car whose brake lines have been cut, the coronavirus variant first spotted in Britain is spreading at an alarming rate and isn’t responding to established ways of slowing the pandemic, according to Danish scientists who have one of the world’s best views into the new, more contagious strain.
Cases involving the variant are increasing 70 percent a week in Denmark, despite a strict lockdown, according to Denmark’s State Serum Institute, a government agency that tracks diseases and advises health policy.
“We’re losing some of the tools that we have to control the epidemic,” said Tyra Grove Krause, scientific director of the institute, which has begun sequencing every positive coronavirus test to check for mutations. By contrast, the United States is sequencing 0.3 percent of cases, ranking it 43rd in the world and leaving it largely blind to the variant’s spread.
..."
https://www.theguardian.com/business/2021/jan/22/betfair-apologise-after-keeping-punter-100000-pounds-out-of-pocket-for-months
I’d have called the police had that happened to me.
The reason I ask is, when I was suffering with 'long Covid' between March and April (and May, June, July etc.) and updating politcalbetting about my long Covid (before the term had even been coined and before I gave up on the site) I was castigated by a certain member here, basically implying that I was telling one great big porkie. As if lying about your life falling apart is the sort of thing you just do.. Unfortunately I wasn't and I was seriously ill for a long time, despite being young and having no 'underlying health conditions'.
So anyway, Covid is the real deal. It is a horrific virus, in the wrong person/immunological response. You wouldn't wish on your worst enemy. Even on the deniers.
On the positive side, there were many posters on this site that do/did restore my faith in humanity. God bless you guys.
https://twitter.com/Adam_SH69/status/1352606875368480772
https://www.politico.com/news/2021/01/21/liz-cheneys-problems-pile-up-461218
"The most immediate threat to Cheney — a push by Trump loyalists to oust her as conference chair — has gained momentum inside the House GOP, although the process is complicated and could still sputter out. But at least 107 Republicans, or just over a majority, have communicated to the leaders of that effort that they would support removing Cheney from leadership on a secret ballot, according to multiple GOP sources involved in the effort. Others are threatening to boycott future conference meetings if she remains in power."
"And at least two members have privately signaled interest in replacing Cheney as the No. 3 Republican, sources say: Reps. Elise Stefanik and Lee Zeldin, two New Yorkers who both sprang to popularity in the party after fiercely defending Trump during his first impeachment." . . .
"But several other senior Republicans think Cheney ultimately hangs on to her post, arguing most Republicans will have little appetite for creating more chaos in the conference at a time when the party is desperate to unite."
Sadly we saw the ludicrous claim in the previous thread that for the non-vulnerable covid is "essentially harmless."
Then
https://twitter.com/VictoriaLIVE/status/1053287512033103873
Now
https://twitter.com/WritesBright/status/1352597757857566722
Are you 100% now I hope?
A kid using a landline? I mean really? They'd be on a mobile.
Consider these two scenarios:
(1) there are 50 people on the plane, and they've all tested negative two days before flight, on arrival and five days after arrival
(2) there are 50 people on the plane, and on arrival two people test positive for CV19
The second group, you definitely want to quarantine the entire flight for 14 days.
But the first, it seems highly unlikely any of them caught it on the plane (which would be by far the highest risk period).
Hard to unify under those circumstances.
Therefore, whilst I know that the Government is not exactly renowned for its consistency, I don't see them turning on a sixpence and deciding its suddenly safe to let all the primary school kids go back to their petri dishes and start enthusiastically stirring again in March. The risk of yet another tsunami wave of Plague is not a price worth paying for letting little Tiffany learn her times tables sat in a classroom rather than on Zoom.
New variant 10-50% more fatal? Most of the new variant patients have been treated in England's most crowded hospitals.
Not sure R is getting below 1. It seems to be consistent everywhere, and the figures are by now reflecting, not only the post-Christmas lull, but 30% or so of the primary pupils staying back in in the New Year (albeit infection rates in this cohort are up from around 1.8 -> 2.1% in the ONS study and this subset could exponent.
Could be locked down for a long time? Let's wait on the figures there. Especially with vaccination accelerating.
The vaccine may not stop transmission? C'mon hasn't every vaccine in history disrupted transmission, else why are we now flu jabbing kids. And premature results from Israel? Let's wait.
An abundance of caution going on here and medicine's first do no harm approach. We are hearing more of their fears than their hopes.
Local R values (calculated from cases)
Some say that the deniers bring an interesting perspective. I think that they bring malicious lies. I'm increasingly tempted to call them such.
--AS
If only they hadn't been saying Trump was bad, the GOP might have believed them.
If they hadn't called him a fascist, he might have felt more at liberty to act like a fascist more openly and less in hints, succeeded, and the GOP wouldn't have had to face this. Or he might not have had to act like a fascist to wind them up. Or something.
So, its the Dems fault.
Definitely.
https://twitter.com/SamCoatesSky/status/1352685565477580802
Keep up the good work. Best wishes to all.
Excet, strangely, Laithwaites wine.
I think that it all boils down to the Democrats wanting to have his hide, but knowing that it's perhaps not in their best interests. (Why tie up your opponents loose cannon?). Then for the Republicans, they hate the idea, but they'll stop they'll not have so much to worry about in the rough seas of the future.
I think the Democrats will accidently-on-purpose neglect to follow up. (I'm assuming that's possible?) If it does come to a vote then it'll pass.
So oddly from (perhaps) a different view I'm arriving at the current price being roughly right. I'll admit I was tempted by the Smithson argument! (Haven't we all been!)
Which is quite a big difference if true. But I suspect the uncertainty in this is quite large
(0.3 percentage points, but 30% more lethal)
MattW's remark about Laithwaite's wine reminds me bacon and leek and rice are cooking and it's time to refill my glass. Night all.
The usual Schweppes stuff has bags of sugar in it....
--AS
https://twitter.com/Femi_Sorry/status/1351238123435544582/photo/1
Look at what's happening in the Arizona GOP for example and you may conclude the Party has lost its mind let alone its soul.
A lot more work for me to keep them up to date and still do my own things too this time though.
Last year we didn't do Zoom, they just put some materials on the website and left it at that. This time there's a secure website to log onto, download and upload the work (which seems much more in volume), and they're doing weekly Zoom calls to keep in touch. Today we had a bonus Zoom call arranged so they could sing happy birthday to one of the classmates.
I think this shutdown may be much less disruptive than the last one was. Certainly everyone seems to be working hard to ensure that. 👍
Of the Republican senators:
18 are up in 2022
10 are up in 2024
20 are up in 2026
2 are standing down in 2022
https://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/payette-governor-general-resignation-wherry-1.5883082
"Julie Payette might still want to debate the details of what exactly occurred inside Rideau Hall over the last three and a half years. But she apparently couldn't escape an increasingly obvious conclusion — that for her to continue as governor general would risk inflicting serious damage on the office. . . .
Payette will go down as the first governor general to have to resign in scandal, but Prime Minister Justin Trudeau does not come away unscathed."
Addendum - GG of Canada is QEII's official viceroy as Head of State, appointed by the monarch upon the (binding) advice of the Canadian PM.
Payette was Trudeau's pick, and a spectacularly bad one. Now he's got to find another Guv'nor, hopefully via a MUCH-improved vetting process.
Which is an opportunity to undue some of the damage, to the office of GG and (much more important) to Trudeau himself AND the future of his Liberal Party minority government, which is facing possible general election as soon as this year.
So I believe you have actually perfectly captured their thinking.
The lower case levels might give Scotland and maybe even Wales the opportunity to reopen primary schools a little sooner (if they don't fall too far behind on vaccinations). That could act as a test run for England, or just bump Boris into reopening too soon.
https://twitter.com/ukgovscotland/status/1352603347157659648?s=21
Israeli Covid chief’s claim single vaccine dose less effective ‘inaccurate
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2021/jan/22/israeli-covid-chiefs-remarks-on-vaccine-inaccurate-say-officials
I think a certain poster on the last thread said that COVID was no more severe than a bad cold for the under 60s. That's a dreadful lie and it taints everything else they post. These deniers do exist.
Disagreeing on the best public policy to this threat is perfectly reasonable. (I'm quite surprised that, given how many are currently dying and what is happening in hospitals, there would be much dispute about the current lockdown though.)
--AS
I don't think I could cut out all alcohol right now. Life is too boring and the days are too short. Maybe I could shift to beer to wine, though.
I like the low carbs in the evening. I need to think more about exercise.
Calorie counting and weighing doesn't work for me. I obsess about food and weight and get obsessive/disllusioned too easily. And I'd rather die than just eat plants - I need a balanced diet where I can eat meat too. .
I should probably cut out takeaways and processed food and get on the bike for at least an hour a day. And eat more eggs with meals for the long burn?
Both the increased R rate and the increased death rate matter. Plus I'm assuming if there's more deaths per case there's probably also more hospitalisations per case.
I don't watch or listen to much BBC any more, but do you have a sense of which papers are best represented in the "here's what the papers say" sections?