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Even today with the Electoral College meeting Betfair punters rate Trump’s chances at 3% – political
Even today with the Electoral College meeting Betfair punters rate Trump’s chances at 3% – politicalbetting.com
As the Betdarta.io chart shows the Betfair WH2020 is still open more than five weeks after other bookies settled Biden as the winner.
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https://betting.betfair.com/politics/us-politics/us-election-betfair-market-settlement-latest-051120-204.html
https://twitter.com/Survation/status/1338435570587099136?s=20
https://twitter.com/Survation/status/1338435574638776322?s=20
https://twitter.com/Survation/status/1338435578195537922?s=20
And I do think many SNP supporters may have been counting their chickens
Ten days takes her past the end of term, so she doesn`t go back until January.
Otherwise Betfair would appear to be in on the same style of grift as Trump himself, making money out of the lost causers.
New Jersey hits 2,000/million deaths. 14 states and DC now over 1,000/m.
Slovenia also passes 1,000/m. UK next up (currently 943/m).
Meanwhile, one for SPOTY-watchers: what’s going on here? Is this an elaborate plan, a publicity stunt, or an athlete who genuinely doesn’t want to be nominated?
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/boxing/2020/12/14/tyson-fury-takes-legal-action-against-bbc-sports-personality/
https://twitter.com/DPJHodges/status/1338421481651507201
£1.7m billion = 1.7x10^6 x 10^9 = £1.7x10^15 or £1,500 trillion.
That could sort out the UK's national debt and maybe even buy the entire EU in order to make Brexit better
Why hasn't business and industry spent money it hasn't got preparing for something that can't be implemented and may yet be bypassed? Hmmm let me see. They haven't spent money integrating their planning and logistics systems into the new world (18 days away) of doing paperwork because the system to do the paperwork on doesn't exist and the people who will be checking the paperwork haven't been hired.
Business can't prepare for WTO when nobody can tell them definitively what tariffs will be applied. What delays there will be. What oncosts they have to factor in. They literally don't know how much to charge for goods already in transit but do know they can't afford to shoulder the costs themselves and can't afford to pass them on either.
"WTO" is a sticking plaster excuse for us not knowing how we trade in 18 days. It is not a detailed guidance of costs, times, systems. In the retail sector the latest from both the producer and retailer sides of the food industry table is that everyone expects "WTO" to go away as an issue. They aren't preparing for something that will not work.
"London faces a move to tier three - England's highest level of coronavirus restrictions - in the coming days, the BBC has been told."
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-55301192
(Speaking as someone who doesn't give a monkey's about Christmas, except as an excuse for a holiday somewhere sunny.)
I'm not seeing anyone at Christmas but if anyone does I don't think it should be a matter for the Police.
The restrictions that have been put in place for Christmas are still quite draconian compared to normal. If there had been no lifting at all then many would have just totally ignored them and it would have become a free for all.
I've done a short piece that might work as a Header. Not sure. Can always just post as normal of course, no probs doing that, but I'm wondering what the submission procedure is?
Aphiwe Dyantyi: South Africa wing given four-year ban for doping
https://www.bbc.com/sport/rugby-union/55300866
A government with credibility and trust could have laid it out straight. If you meet your friends and family for Christmas you might kill them. I know that its yet another thing we have to endure but endure we must. There will be other Christmases if we stall alive and healthy.
But of course we have this government.
And of course every adult in this country should be a sentient adult. If anyone in this country does not know that meeting people is risky then what kind of rock have they been hiding under for the last nine months? And what message will get through now?
https://projectforpeaceandjustice.com/
i) Withholding payment to Biden backers
ii) Allowing Trump backers to bet into a market which by Betfair's own rules should already be settled.
Today is the limit of what they could push things to, any further and lawyers/IBAS/gambling commission should be called to step in.
Can’t imagine the BBC would let someone stand against their will, nor hand the award to someone refusing to participate in the show, or someone with an unstable personality, known addiction issues and likely to make a total c#@t of the BBC on live TV.
So, is this something stagemanaged between Fury and the BBC to increase ratings when there’s a pretty clear winner, is it Fury trying to embarrass the BBC by having all his fans vote for him and then not turn up, or does he genuinely not want to be considered for the award?
Some of us have been betting on him since almost this time last year, the market was hugely distorted by the postponement of the Olympics.
Disclaimer: I make a lot of money if he wins, and a bit of money if he’s placed.
He is an odd unpredictable character at the best of times, and I don't believe it is all about promotion. He did Joe Rogan podcast a while back and it sounds like at times he has been very unwell.
Am very surprised by this.
I think I can make a wild guess..
As a simple example Nissan have already said that a no deal brexit would make their operation in Sunderland uncompetitive and it would have to close. I can only assume that some people think they should have closed it 'just in case'.
Thing is, if they had taken that action those same people would be insisting that we all have to boycott Nissan for their lack of faith in the ability of the UK to get a good deal. It's all very tedious.
Maybe he’s simply in a bad place at the moment, and doesn’t think he’d get a fair hearing from the Beeb.
I might lay him back half way, definitely a two horse race now, between Hamilton and O’Sullivan.
Not only did he vote Remain he was one of all Two Tory MPs total to reject the Internal Market Bill. He was also strongly against equal marriage and in favour of capital punishment though I don't know if he still is to be fair.
So I don't see why he should be listened to? Takes more than 2 MPs to bring down a PM.
But I wouldn't say that to his face.
I literally couldn't, hes got more than a foot on me.
I had some sympathy with them while legal challenges were ongoing to certification (even though a lot of us knew those were meritless) because there was a tiny chance they may have paid out £1 billion in error. But those are now over, and the market rules state the decisive matter is projected Electoral College votes. We know the projected Electoral College vote and today we will know the actual Electoral College vote (although the Betfair rules also state faithless electors don't count so it should be enough already).
Even if Republicans in Congress were to find a mechanism to overturn the Electoral College result and deny Biden the Presidency when it comes to the floor on 6th January (which is inconceivable in my view, but for the sake of argument) it wouldn't matter. Ditto if Biden were to be incapacitated and unable to take office on 20th January. Under the specific terms of the market, it's now over.
"Won`t settle while it is contested".
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Edit: the link below may not work if you just click on it. Instead, try copy and paste of the link.
twitter.com/NickOwen4/status/1338226962377154562
https://twitter.com/NickOwen4/status/1338226962377154562
I think the Bets Matched stat is very misleading in this respect.
Edit. Yes to your query. The Greens somewhat fulfil that role. Also some people like the extra choice and the option of giving representation to smaller parties with a list vote.
* Arguably an extra system for Council byelections, which are decided on AV.
I disagreed with Peter and others wanting it paid out on projected votes prior to disputes being resolved. Projected votes were not finalised until SCOTUS ruled.
They are finalised now. No if's or buts. Today they become actual votes.
But wow.
It's telling that all the GOP congress critters whilst not saying Biden won all come out with "let the legal process play out". Most of them are playing a fine line with electoral tampering but haven't actually crossed it - Trump is probably over the line with his documented pressuring of vote certifiers mind.
They all know it'll be Biden, just continuing to play their constituents for cash.
This problem is worse for short odds, as here.
If I put £10,000 on Biden, I will win £300, or something like £6 to £15 of commission for Betfair. The starting point is already that a large "bet matched" is less profitable for BF than much smaller money at evens. However it is still £10,000 matched and, as above, if I trade out of it, the difference becomes even more stark.
Blame the stupid US Constitution.
Crivvens and crikey. And: shit