Williamson voted by ten points for Trump in 2016. In 2020, Biden has won it by 3.
Fingers crossed. 🤞🏻
Before anyone gets excited re TX (and you can take a screenshot of this) - some of the highest increases in turnout have come from the deep red rural counties in TX.
The two counties that have completed counting in Texas both show swings sufficient to give the Lone Star state to Biden.
BUT. It's only two counties.
Biden is only up on Clinton by a few % in Harris County.
I was looking at the two 98% counties.
But if you want to look at the 80-82% counties - Tarrant is a nine point improvement for Biden, Dallas is six points, and Harris is (as you say) bugger all.
Whilst the magic wall thing is nice... I feel like they could just aggregate the rural counties to give us a better idea of what's going on in a state.
It's weird to hear CNN being very cautious still about Florida while the NYT time has it 95% change for Trump, 1.7-5 lead.
CNN seems very reluctant to recognise how much of the panhandle is left compared to the rest of the state.
I think that is correct.
So I was skeptical about this whole idea that PA would count their mail-in ballots late and the networks would talk as if Trump was leading on the grounds that the networks didn't have cornflakes for brains, but I'm watching CNN and they really are ooh-ing and ah-ing as if they have cornflakes for brains.
Given how disparate the territory is, and how inconsistently areas count and declare, it is rather impressive one side or another does not by chance rack up huge leads early on, like the tranche of Sunderland declarations over here.
So the results so far confirm the two things I already expected, Biden is doing well in the suburbs compared to Clinton 4 years ago and he's also racking up votes and good results in places it may well not matter, which would explain the national polls. I'm tempted to go to sleep and wake up when PA is called for the winner , even if its not for days!!
Huh is this going as people expected? Not how I thought things would go
Seems a bit disappointing for Biden in several states early on to me, though still with a good path to victory if he gets the Rust belt, as MaxPB says.
He's going to get tantalisingly close in Texas. We're 37% in, with no votes from San Antonio, Austin, Corpus Christi or Galveston, and Trump is four points adrift.
Williamson voted by ten points for Trump in 2016. In 2020, Biden has won it by 3.
Fingers crossed. 🤞🏻
Before anyone gets excited re TX (and you can take a screenshot of this) - some of the highest increases in turnout have come from the deep red rural counties in TX.
Comments
2016 Trump won by 9%
Even if you exclude Others he won by 9.4%
So a 6.5% swing would lead to Biden +3 would it not?
Trump 49%
Biden 47%
But if you want to look at the 80-82% counties - Tarrant is a nine point improvement for Biden, Dallas is six points, and Harris is (as you say) bugger all.
Is WI, MI and A. N. Other a winning combo for Biden?
Trump 13,114,782
Biden 13,106,017
https://edition.cnn.com/election/2020/results/president
I assume most would say the Senate overall won't see anything dramatic now then.
NEW THREAD
So we're looking at a very narrow Biden win.
Question is where the remaining 38% are..