"Richard_Tyndall said: I don't understand the BBC results map.
They are showing that so far 11% of the votes in Indiana have been counted but they are already showing it as a Trump win.
Similarly with a lot of the Congressional seats in various states where they show less than 10% of the vote counted but already say who has won the district."
The exit polls must be showing an overwhelming victory for the candidate in question.
Looking like a comfortable Biden win to me. But I admit it's early and obvs these trends need to be replicated but the Dems ought to be happy right now.
Pasco County, Florida est 79% of vote in: Trump 130,278, Biden 101,252 2016 was with 100%: Trump 142,101, Clinton 90,142
Let's ASSUME an extreme and unplausibly favourable scenario for Trump, that the other 21% breaks 3:1 to Trump. i.e. Trump 46,159, Biden 15,386 2020 total would then be Trump 176,437, Biden 116,638
Even then that's a significant swing to Biden. I think Trump's toast.
"Richard_Tyndall said: I don't understand the BBC results map.
They are showing that so far 11% of the votes in Indiana have been counted but they are already showing it as a Trump win.
Similarly with a lot of the Congressional seats in various states where they show less than 10% of the vote counted but already say who has won the district."
The exit polls must be showing an overwhelming victory for the candidate in question.
It's like calling 4 seats for Labour in Liverpool tbf.
Remember that it was Clinton +1.5ish in 2016. Biden will want it to be at 3-4% at the end of the evening and right now I'd reckon it's looking like +2-2.5ish.
Remember that it was Clinton +1.5ish in 2016. Biden will want it to be at 3-4% at the end of the evening and right now I'd reckon it's looking like +2-2.5ish.
Remember that it was Clinton +1.5ish in 2016. Biden will want it to be at 3-4% at the end of the evening and right now I'd reckon it's looking like +2-2.5ish.
Remember that it was Clinton +1.5ish in 2016. Biden will want it to be at 3-4% at the end of the evening and right now I'd reckon it's looking like +2-2.5ish.
Remember that it was Clinton +1.5ish in 2016. Biden will want it to be at 3-4% at the end of the evening and right now I'd reckon it's looking like +2-2.5ish.
That's real squeaky bum time for everyone.
It was Trump by 1.2
It was! I thought it was the other way around. My bad.
Comments
In Florida, early voting and counted mail ballots, which are likely to be stronger for Democrats, are expected by 8:30 p.m. ET.
Chances of CHB making it to 5AM only at 45%
Biden still a 310 ECV buy ...
"Richard_Tyndall said:
I don't understand the BBC results map.
They are showing that so far 11% of the votes in Indiana have been counted but they are already showing it as a Trump win.
Similarly with a lot of the Congressional seats in various states where they show less than 10% of the vote counted but already say who has won the district."
The exit polls must be showing an overwhelming victory for the candidate in question.
I think.
I may be wrong.
https://twitter.com/pme_politics/status/1323781027840565249?s=21
est 79% of vote in: Trump 130,278, Biden 101,252
2016 was with 100%: Trump 142,101, Clinton 90,142
Let's ASSUME an extreme and unplausibly favourable scenario for Trump, that the other 21% breaks 3:1 to Trump. i.e. Trump 46,159, Biden 15,386
2020 total would then be Trump 176,437, Biden 116,638
Even then that's a significant swing to Biden. I think Trump's toast.
https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/11/03/us/elections/forecast-president.html
https://twitter.com/Nate_Cohn/status/1323781042612903943
https://www.betfair.com/exchange/plus/politics/market/1.170351364
But it's more likely following the running totals which is a pretty daft way of telling what's happening.
Florida: Trump +3.0
Georgia: Biden +0.4
North Carolina: Biden +2.0
https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/11/03/us/elections/forecast-president.html
Remember that it was Clinton +1.5ish in 2016. Biden will want it to be at 3-4% at the end of the evening and right now I'd reckon it's looking like +2-2.5ish.
That's real squeaky bum time for everyone.
I have topped up.
Swinging like an unhappily married couple on their first MDMA.
Well... yes... but!
Overreaction if you ask me.
Legacy of the 2000 shambles?
269-269 here we come.
My bad.
Though over 50% of votes in already seems a lot.