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Johnson gets negative satisfaction ratings from Tory party members – politicalbetting.com
Johnson gets negative satisfaction ratings from Tory party members – politicalbetting.com
WOW. Boris now getting NEGATIVE satisfaction ratings from Tory Party members. From ConservativeHome. https://t.co/gsofPlkQc3 pic.twitter.com/6ugy8AfxZq
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Edit: but the same applies to Mr Ross, who is equally not Ms D.
I reckon the only names Conservative members are likely to have a strong view on are the likes of Rishi, Priti Patel, Hancock, Johnson and Williamnson. Jenrick probably gets in there as well because he wants to build over the countryside and he has got himself in hot water.
Contest between Rishi and Patel for the Conservative leadership I reckon.
If a tradesman comes to your house to repair your fridge and has nothing but a hammer with him, it is obvious to everyone, even Boris, that he is unfit to be a fridge repairman, professional or amateur.
If a data scientist tries to compile the official government SARS-COV2 data and has nothing but Excel, it is obvious ....
https://www.bbc.com/news/business-54387856
https://twitter.com/SevillaFC_ENG/status/1313101312020680705?s=20
What a joke!
It is not getting better anytime soon as covid takes hold again and brexit looking touch and go
Rishi's endorsement of Boris today is no doubt an attempt to shore him up but it is not going to work
I hope he sees the writing on the wall and decides to stand down, or the MP's send in the 40 letters to the 1922 Committee
Having said that Macron has plummeted in the polls even more than Boris and Ireland is looking at a new full lockdown
The time must be coming for a GNU and if the politicians were putting the country first they would do it now.
And at the same time do a deal (any deal) with the EU and get a six month implementation extension
Older folk need to shoulder at least some of the enormous burden the lock down they mostly support is placing on the economy and the taxpayer.
Hopefully they will see sense, or very least the players chip in 0.000001% of their wage packet.
That is not life in the real world and it is not sustainable.
Expect some seriously weird behaviour this week.
'What do you think they're smoking over there at The Emirates?'
https://tinyurl.com/y6yts9yu
Any concrete Brexit will be a disappointment to some, maybe many people. If it's a GNU doing the climbdown, we won't be able to move for Stab In The Back theories. So Johnson, however much he's a flabby faced coward, has got to be the one who goes through with that, and takes the mountain of ordure that will come his way.
The only answer I see is to lock Johnson, Gove and Cummings in a room, with a BEANO deal awaiting their signatures. Along with the customary tumblers of whisky and loaded revolvers.
The present outfit is not short of votes. It is short of rational policies and of competent politicians. The problem is that any rational policy would not be acceptable to Johnson and his gang of incompetents. And they would not be happy at being obliged to move out and maake way for some competent Lib Dem miinisters (and even some Labour ones too, if their party bosses let them).
Come on, Mr Wales. You voted for them (I think). You must take the responsibility.
Opens up the possibility that, contrary to most opinion, it might be Biden ahead on polling night with Trump catching up in the days that follow. Worth a read.
https://electproject.github.io/Early-Vote-2020G/Early_Vote_Analysis_10_4.html
Dele Alli rather amusing says he had to make food for himself for the first time during lockdown and never realised how easy baked beans were.
Controversial rightwing commentator Katie Hopkins has been forced to publicly apologise to Finsbury Park mosque in north London after inaccurately linking it to a violent incident in May.
The mosque had brought a legal action against Hopkins after she tweeted footage of five men attacking Met police officers, implying wrongly that the perpetrators were members of the mosque’s community.
Although she deleted the tweet, the mosque was told by Hopkins that she would be unable to pay damages if she lost in court, having already applied for insolvency in 2018 after losing a costly libel case to the food writer Jack Monroe.
The mosque then pressed for an apology. A period of negotiations resulted in Hopkins saying on Monday that she was “genuinely sorry for any hurt or offence felt by Finsbury Park mosque” for making “a clear factual error”.
https://www.theguardian.com/media/2020/oct/05/katie-hopkins-forced-to-apologise-for-wrongly-linking-mosque-to-attack-on-police
Hmm.
On behalf of the Quandt family, the Evil Empress is about to issue orders to immediately cave in to all of Mighty Blighty's demands.
All is well on the Brexit front. Hail Boris.
We have an incompetent PM.
A recently unemployed dinosaur.
Prime Minister Gunnersaurus?
I appreciate that he'll have a far greater political understanding and grasp of detail than the incumbent, but I don't think that's a reason to oppose this sensible swapping of roles.
This Monday we are back to Eat Popcorn Out to Help Out.
' I suppose it's quite encouraging that these ConHome party members have begun to understand that in respect of Boris and Gavin Williamson.'
Presumably ConHome was the bedrock of support for both, no?
As you say, at least it shows a willingness to change views and recognise realities. In that respect it is considerably more enlightened than its Labour equivalent.
I think Johnson is an absurdity as PM but I also consider the view he is likely to be gone soon to be wildly off beam. Just 10 months ago he won a general election by 80 seats. The best majority for the Conservatives since 1980s Thatcher in her pomp. He did so from a position 6 months prior on assuming the leadership where the party looked to be - was - in a hole. It was a personal triumph. A complete vindication of the ghastly man and his ghastly methods.
He will not be stepping down voluntarily. People in top jobs do not relinquish power and status except for health reasons and there is no reason to expect that here. He does not have long Covid. Neither will he be forced out by his party for the foreseeable future. The earliest it could happen is 2023 and only then if (i) he has become a clear electoral liability and (ii) there is a replacement guaranteed to be more popular.
So, there is a Betfair market, Boris Johnson exit date, and "July 2022 or later" can be backed at 1.8. I think that is outstanding value. It should be more like 1.33.
If any of the punters here take the opposite view and think it should be longer and the value is in the other direction - the lay - I have money there at 1.85 looking for a match. £50 for starters but with appetite for more. Just hit me.
Think about that for a second. Half of people of voting age - and these are the ones who vote - are either retired, or approaching retirement.
Most of these people's savings are in the Bank of Bricks and Mortar. They care about two things:
1. The state pension not being reduced.
2. House prices staying high.
The demographic imbalance, with its appalling consequences for public policy, is the biggest issue that all Western Democracies face.
She's neither marked out for damnation, nor for praise for that act. I can't help but feel that there's some meaning in that.
https://twitter.com/CarlosdelRio7/status/1313107668337336320
So there is one way of defining Nottingham as a Northern City.
Good job the rules aren't arbitrary and stupid. Otherwise there'd be a risk of massive job losses.
Thank god we managed to kill Access. That was a stake-through-the-heart-with-garlix-and-silver-hollowpoints-just-in-case thing.....
And I do think that on covid they have not done unreasonably compared to governments elsewhere
The voter is not necessarily the slowest link in the chain.
I believe the Coronavirus laws allow me to do this.
https://twitter.com/Stoviesplz/status/1313120602094526464?s=20
This time he has got nothing going. Sleepy Joe doesn't really go anywhere, does keep America great. He has tried getting the Harris is a far leftist, Biden is on drugs, but we aren't seeing people really going for them.
I think a lot of voters, particularly on the Democrat side, requested postal ballots because it was the hot topic for a week or two and it became the symbol of resistance to Trump.
Then I think it lost urgency as an issue as it realised that (a) it might be counter-productive and (b) there was another thing to get outraged at. So now they will vote instead in person or before
The truth of the matter is that the Conservatives have been out of power since 2019. The current shower are even remotely Conservative.
Arsenal make move to sign Thomas Partey from Atlético Madrid for £45m
Midfielder’s release clause set to be met before close of window
Partey will sign four-year deal worth £250,000 a week
https://www.theguardian.com/football/2020/oct/05/arsenal-make-move-to-sign-thomas-partey-from-atletico-madrid-for-51m
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_French_presidential_election
You have to go back to his 2017 victory to find a drop, which I assume is the usual midterm effect, and nothing to do with handling of the virus issue.
Problem solved
Anyone with comically low HS or less figures is binned.
But that still leaves a lot of polls and those polls have - based on historic turnout - very, very high HS or less weighting. It is non trivial to the end result, worth a couple of percentage points to Trump and a couple off Biden.
If, in a state where HS or less turnout was less than 20% in 2018 and 2016 it seems rather..... aggressive to me to weight your sample to 34% HS or less for 2020.
If it was in there, you could be 99.9% sure than the spreadsheet would contain major errors.
(True story time. Back in the early 1990s, the most profitable desk at Goldman Sachs London office was Japanese Warrants trading. Every year, it raked up ridiculous, insane profits, despite Japanese warrants only being a pretty small market. Eventually someone worked out why. There was an Excel spreadsheet that calculated how much they needed to hedge their positions. That is, if Goldman Sachs owned lots of Japanese equity warrants, they needed to sell equity futures to balance their risk. And if they were short warrants, then they had to be long the market. Due to an error in the spreadsheet, it was always telling the traders they needed to have massive short positions in the Japanese equity market. As Nikkei was in a serious bear market, this error resulted in the desk making enormous profits.)
Tammy Abraham, Ben Chilwell and Jadon Sancho will not join up with the England squad for this month’s games against Wales, Belgium and Denmark until the Football Association has investigated the trio’s attendance at a party that allegedly breached Covid-19 regulations.
The FA has decided to take precautions and ensure there is no risk to the wider group after footage emerged which appeared to show Abraham, Chilwell and Sancho at a party in London with more than six people – breaking the government’s “rule of six” coronavirus guidelines – on Saturday evening. Abraham has apologised and Chelsea are to remind the striker and Chilwell of their responsibilities.
https://www.theguardian.com/football/2020/oct/05/abraham-chilwell-and-sancho-pictured-at-party-in-apparent-covid-breach-england-fa
https://twitter.com/RossFootball/status/1313125190784737281
https://twitter.com/RossFootball/status/1313126657524465672