Howdy, Stranger!

It looks like you're new here. Sign in or register to get started.

2022 for Johnson’s departure looks good value at up to 9/1 – politicalbetting.com

135

Comments

  • MaxPB said:

    Have to say there must have been an unfathomable amount of incompetency with the app design given that it isn't compatible with NHS, PHE and ONS testing. I'm probably going to uninstall it if this doesn't change in the next few days, doesn't seem worth it if 50% of testing isn't being logged into it.

    How / why have they made it incompatible. Given all positive tests get compiled every day by the government, there must be some centralised system where all this gets entered.
    Probably lots of different systems with different APIs and due to time constraints or incompetence they couldn't put it all into place
  • MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 38,868

    MaxPB said:

    Have to say there must have been an unfathomable amount of incompetency with the app design given that it isn't compatible with NHS, PHE and ONS testing. I'm probably going to uninstall it if this doesn't change in the next few days, doesn't seem worth it if 50% of testing isn't being logged into it.

    How / why have they made it incompatible. Given all positive tests get compiled every day by the government, there must be some centralised system where all this gets entered.
    It's user based test result entry, you get a code in a text which you enter into the app and that lets you see your result. The NHS and ONS also use text delivery for test results so I'm not sure why they don't use the same system.
  • nichomarnichomar Posts: 7,483

    MaxPB said:

    Have to say there must have been an unfathomable amount of incompetency with the app design given that it isn't compatible with NHS, PHE and ONS testing. I'm probably going to uninstall it if this doesn't change in the next few days, doesn't seem worth it if 50% of testing isn't being logged into it.

    Dido Harding, Software Eng extraordinaire
    Probably not interested or aware about anything outside the private sector.
  • If Rishi wanted to be ultra cautious he'd sit and wait until after the Tories are next in opposition and then do a Cameron

    You really do not understand political ambition do you Horse
    Are we going to have a falling out Big G? Let's kiss and make up honey boo
    I do not fall out with anyone just provide unbiased thoughts
    That's okay, you just seem a bit angry with me lately - I guess we've hit a rocky patch in our relationship
    I am not angry with you Horse, just trying to be constructively critical
  • nichomar said:

    My prediction for first Labour lead - whenever we see it - is Labour 42, Tories 40

    Polls are irrelevant. Should not waste money conducting them, let parties do so if they want the info, restart them when an election is four months away.
    It's fun though - and I'm not having a lot of fun at the moment
    If there is one thing that will accelerate Boris leaving or being removed from office it will be a big fall in opinion polls.

    His mps are already restless and rumours abound.

    First 6 months of 2021 is my bet for the end of his premiership
    Completely agree
  • GallowgateGallowgate Posts: 19,468
    Mahoosive Tory lead I reckon
  • CorrectHorseBatteryCorrectHorseBattery Posts: 21,436
    edited September 2020

    Mahoosive Tory lead I reckon
    Yeah, I am not betting on a Labour lead for this evening.
  • If Rishi wanted to be ultra cautious he'd sit and wait until after the Tories are next in opposition and then do a Cameron

    You really do not understand political ambition do you Horse
    Are we going to have a falling out Big G? Let's kiss and make up honey boo
    I do not fall out with anyone just provide unbiased thoughts
    That's okay, you just seem a bit angry with me lately - I guess we've hit a rocky patch in our relationship
    I am not angry with you Horse, just trying to be constructively critical
    I think it's just the tone, "you're hero Keir" in every other post, you need to find a new angle I reckon.
  • This 10PM curfew nonsense is going to do absolutely sod all and we're going to have to get tougher.

    Close the pubs completely, seems the next step

    For whatever reason Boris is following the same racheting up as March i.e. here are some new rules, please try and modify your behaviour, because if you don't I will have to ground you.

    I don't get it. I would have banned things household mixing.
    The problem now is that we will never have the same following of the rules we had in the past.

    This is why opening up so quickly was a poor decision and I think I said so at the time.

    They should have stuck with outdoor meeting in small groups and left it at that.
    The increase in infections are directly caused by the return of schools and universities.

    You could shut down the rest of the country and that infection increase would still have happened.
    Then shut down the schools as well then.

    I think we're headed for a full lockdown anyway
    What level of infections and deaths are you prepared to accept rather than having a full lockdown ?

    And how much damage to people's health, the economy and society in general from a full lockdown are you prepared to accept ?
    Well if we continue as we are we're headed for a repeat of March.

    The R consistently below 1 and cases not rising would be a good start, so let's get back to where we were sometime in June. Just after the first lockdown - and then keep the rules strictly in place.

    I would have a full second lockdown and then allow only meetings outdoors for a while
    If things continue - though actually the rate of increase is much slower than in March and is also concentrated among the least vulnerable.

    Plus some things are very different to March - knowledge about infection and treatment are greater, there is no PPE problem, testing is almost infinitely superior and hopefully more care is being taken with care homes.

    And with a lockdown comes costs - cost to people's health, costs to the economy, costs to education, costs to society as a whole.

    That's a trade off people need to be open about and willing to accept.
  • This 10PM curfew nonsense is going to do absolutely sod all and we're going to have to get tougher.

    Close the pubs completely, seems the next step

    For whatever reason Boris is following the same racheting up as March i.e. here are some new rules, please try and modify your behaviour, because if you don't I will have to ground you.

    I don't get it. I would have banned things household mixing.
    The problem now is that we will never have the same following of the rules we had in the past.

    This is why opening up so quickly was a poor decision and I think I said so at the time.

    They should have stuck with outdoor meeting in small groups and left it at that.
    The increase in infections are directly caused by the return of schools and universities.

    You could shut down the rest of the country and that infection increase would still have happened.
    Then shut down the schools as well then.

    I think we're headed for a full lockdown anyway
    What level of infections and deaths are you prepared to accept rather than having a full lockdown ?

    And how much damage to people's health, the economy and society in general from a full lockdown are you prepared to accept ?
    Well if we continue as we are we're headed for a repeat of March.

    The R consistently below 1 and cases not rising would be a good start, so let's get back to where we were sometime in June. Just after the first lockdown - and then keep the rules strictly in place.

    I would have a full second lockdown and then allow only meetings outdoors for a while
    If things continue - though actually the rate of increase is much slower than in March and is also concentrated among the least vulnerable.

    Plus some things are very different to March - knowledge about infection and treatment are greater, there is no PPE problem, testing is almost infinitely superior and hopefully more care is being taken with care homes.

    And with a lockdown comes costs - cost to people's health, costs to the economy, costs to education, costs to society as a whole.

    That's a trade off people need to be open about and willing to accept.
    Things are not very different to March.

    Cases are rising exponentially so given enough time we will be back to where we were in March.

    What would you like to do?
  • OldKingColeOldKingCole Posts: 33,463
    Just seen this on the BBC News page 'A song about a former Labour MP (Dennis Skinner) has been topping the Amazon download charts ahead of Lady Gaga, Kylie Minogue and Bruce Springsteen.
  • If Rishi wanted to be ultra cautious he'd sit and wait until after the Tories are next in opposition and then do a Cameron

    You really do not understand political ambition do you Horse
    Are we going to have a falling out Big G? Let's kiss and make up honey boo
    I do not fall out with anyone just provide unbiased thoughts
    That's okay, you just seem a bit angry with me lately - I guess we've hit a rocky patch in our relationship
    I am not angry with you Horse, just trying to be constructively critical
    I think it's just the tone, "you're hero Keir" in every other post, you need to find a new angle I reckon.
    Maybe just go back to Starmer if that helps Horse
  • MaxPB said:

    MaxPB said:

    Have to say there must have been an unfathomable amount of incompetency with the app design given that it isn't compatible with NHS, PHE and ONS testing. I'm probably going to uninstall it if this doesn't change in the next few days, doesn't seem worth it if 50% of testing isn't being logged into it.

    I installed it yesterday and it seems fine to me so far
    It works, but it's a bit pointless if pillar 1 (NHS/PHE) and pillar 4 (ONS) test results aren't compatible, that's 50% of daily testing.
    https://twitter.com/jaggeree/status/1309774685853413377
  • GallowgateGallowgate Posts: 19,468
    edited September 2020

    If Rishi wanted to be ultra cautious he'd sit and wait until after the Tories are next in opposition and then do a Cameron

    You really do not understand political ambition do you Horse
    Are we going to have a falling out Big G? Let's kiss and make up honey boo
    I do not fall out with anyone just provide unbiased thoughts
    That's okay, you just seem a bit angry with me lately - I guess we've hit a rocky patch in our relationship
    I am not angry with you Horse, just trying to be constructively critical
    I think it's just the tone, "you're hero Keir" in every other post, you need to find a new angle I reckon.
    Maybe just go back to Starmer if that helps Horse
    My WhatsApp profile photo is a picture of me shaking hands with super hero Keir. B)
  • "New York Times columnist Thomas Friedman told CNN’s Anderson Cooper on Thursday that he had started his career covering the Lebanese civil war and added, “I’m terrified to find myself ending my career as a journalist covering America’s potential second civil war in its history.”

    Friedman also described Trump’s recent comments as a “six-alarm fire.” "

    The Hill
  • If Rishi wanted to be ultra cautious he'd sit and wait until after the Tories are next in opposition and then do a Cameron

    You really do not understand political ambition do you Horse
    Are we going to have a falling out Big G? Let's kiss and make up honey boo
    I do not fall out with anyone just provide unbiased thoughts
    That's okay, you just seem a bit angry with me lately - I guess we've hit a rocky patch in our relationship
    I am not angry with you Horse, just trying to be constructively critical
    I think it's just the tone, "you're hero Keir" in every other post, you need to find a new angle I reckon.
    Maybe just go back to Starmer if that helps Horse
    Well if you call Boris, Johnson as he should be called, absolutely
  • Can anyone help please? I'm having problems navigating the new "grey" version of PB.com in that I can't get back to the earlier comments of a ny particular thread, i.e. I can only read the most recent comments and clicking on the the "More Comments" wording at the foot of the latest batch of comments (adjacent to the "Vanilla" logo) no longer seems to function as it used to on the previous "green" version of the site.
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 54,599
    Scott_xP said:

    Sandpit said:

    HP Laserjet series are excellent. Colour MFP 281 is the latest all-in-one I think.

    Another vote for the HP laserjets

    Still using one I bought in 2002. Doesn't have WiFi but it does have an Ethernet card

    My parents also have a newer one, bought maybe 5 years ago. Does have WiFi. Just works. Never had a support call...
    I recommend them professionally to SMEs and home workers. They just keep working, and I say this as someone who has always hated printers with a passion, due to the number of usually pointless support calls they generate.
  • MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 38,868

    MaxPB said:

    MaxPB said:

    Have to say there must have been an unfathomable amount of incompetency with the app design given that it isn't compatible with NHS, PHE and ONS testing. I'm probably going to uninstall it if this doesn't change in the next few days, doesn't seem worth it if 50% of testing isn't being logged into it.

    I installed it yesterday and it seems fine to me so far
    It works, but it's a bit pointless if pillar 1 (NHS/PHE) and pillar 4 (ONS) test results aren't compatible, that's 50% of daily testing.
    https://twitter.com/jaggeree/status/1309774685853413377
    How was this not caught in testing? Why was the NHS not part of the conversation, and if it was why did we go with a method of reporting that doesn't work easily for 50% of testing?
  • If Rishi wanted to be ultra cautious he'd sit and wait until after the Tories are next in opposition and then do a Cameron

    You really do not understand political ambition do you Horse
    Are we going to have a falling out Big G? Let's kiss and make up honey boo
    I do not fall out with anyone just provide unbiased thoughts
    That's okay, you just seem a bit angry with me lately - I guess we've hit a rocky patch in our relationship
    I am not angry with you Horse, just trying to be constructively critical
    I think it's just the tone, "you're hero Keir" in every other post, you need to find a new angle I reckon.
    Maybe just go back to Starmer if that helps Horse
    My WhatsApp profile photo is a picture of me shaking hands with super hero Keir. B)
    Hardie ????
  • Can anyone help please? I'm having problems navigating the new "grey" version of PB.com in that I can't get back to the earlier comments of a ny particular thread, i.e. I can only read the most recent comments and clicking on the the "More Comments" wording at the foot of the latest batch of comments (adjacent to the "Vanilla" logo) no longer seems to function as it used to on the previous "green" version of the site.

    https://vf.politicalbetting.com
  • If Rishi wanted to be ultra cautious he'd sit and wait until after the Tories are next in opposition and then do a Cameron

    You really do not understand political ambition do you Horse
    Are we going to have a falling out Big G? Let's kiss and make up honey boo
    I do not fall out with anyone just provide unbiased thoughts
    That's okay, you just seem a bit angry with me lately - I guess we've hit a rocky patch in our relationship
    I am not angry with you Horse, just trying to be constructively critical
    I think it's just the tone, "you're hero Keir" in every other post, you need to find a new angle I reckon.
    Maybe just go back to Starmer if that helps Horse
    My WhatsApp profile photo is a picture of me shaking hands with super hero Keir. B)
    Hardie ????
    Ohhh

    So when you say Boris

    You mean Boris Yeltsin
  • If Rishi wanted to be ultra cautious he'd sit and wait until after the Tories are next in opposition and then do a Cameron

    You really do not understand political ambition do you Horse
    Are we going to have a falling out Big G? Let's kiss and make up honey boo
    I do not fall out with anyone just provide unbiased thoughts
    That's okay, you just seem a bit angry with me lately - I guess we've hit a rocky patch in our relationship
    I am not angry with you Horse, just trying to be constructively critical
    I think it's just the tone, "you're hero Keir" in every other post, you need to find a new angle I reckon.
    Maybe just go back to Starmer if that helps Horse
    Well if you call Boris, Johnson as he should be called, absolutely
    I will continue to call Boris Boris as everyone knows that name

  • alex_alex_ Posts: 7,518

    This 10PM curfew nonsense is going to do absolutely sod all and we're going to have to get tougher.

    Close the pubs completely, seems the next step

    For whatever reason Boris is following the same racheting up as March i.e. here are some new rules, please try and modify your behaviour, because if you don't I will have to ground you.

    I don't get it. I would have banned things household mixing.
    The problem now is that we will never have the same following of the rules we had in the past.

    This is why opening up so quickly was a poor decision and I think I said so at the time.

    They should have stuck with outdoor meeting in small groups and left it at that.
    The increase in infections are directly caused by the return of schools and universities.

    You could shut down the rest of the country and that infection increase would still have happened.
    Then shut down the schools as well then.

    I think we're headed for a full lockdown anyway
    What level of infections and deaths are you prepared to accept rather than having a full lockdown ?

    And how much damage to people's health, the economy and society in general from a full lockdown are you prepared to accept ?
    Well if we continue as we are we're headed for a repeat of March.

    The R consistently below 1 and cases not rising would be a good start, so let's get back to where we were sometime in June. Just after the first lockdown - and then keep the rules strictly in place.

    I would have a full second lockdown and then allow only meetings outdoors for a while
    During late autumn/start of winter? Well I suppose it’s an alternative way of killing everyone off...
  • dixiedean said:

    https://twitter.com/adamhamdy/status/1309539236710944768

    Seems like this is turning into a disaster.

    On this particular issue, I continue to believe it was right to send kids back to school but it seems like not enough is being done to keep the cases under control.

    If it was me I'd lock everything down except schools

    They had a whole summer to organise education. Could have found additional buildings or built Nightingale schools, brought back retired teachers, set up the infrastructure for a blend of distance and at school learning, enabled education to continue with real social distancing maintained. But presumably it was too expensive, or perhaps our fractured system made it too complex. In all honesty, the efforts at social distancing in schools are utterly laughable and all of this could have been predicted - and indeed was by many of us on here.
    Problem was getting schools back was used as a political weapon to beat Labour and the Unions all Summer.
    Therefore we got "perfectly safe" and "Covid secure".
    The howlingly obvious fact that it would be a trade off was never mentioned.
    Except on here. Frequently.
    Also, there's been huge dollops of wishful thinking throughout, that the virus will basically be under control by September.
    And that wishful thinking starts at the top.
  • This 10PM curfew nonsense is going to do absolutely sod all and we're going to have to get tougher.

    Close the pubs completely, seems the next step

    For whatever reason Boris is following the same racheting up as March i.e. here are some new rules, please try and modify your behaviour, because if you don't I will have to ground you.

    I don't get it. I would have banned things household mixing.
    The problem now is that we will never have the same following of the rules we had in the past.

    This is why opening up so quickly was a poor decision and I think I said so at the time.

    They should have stuck with outdoor meeting in small groups and left it at that.
    The increase in infections are directly caused by the return of schools and universities.

    You could shut down the rest of the country and that infection increase would still have happened.
    Then shut down the schools as well then.

    I think we're headed for a full lockdown anyway
    What level of infections and deaths are you prepared to accept rather than having a full lockdown ?

    And how much damage to people's health, the economy and society in general from a full lockdown are you prepared to accept ?
    Well if we continue as we are we're headed for a repeat of March.

    The R consistently below 1 and cases not rising would be a good start, so let's get back to where we were sometime in June. Just after the first lockdown - and then keep the rules strictly in place.

    I would have a full second lockdown and then allow only meetings outdoors for a while
    If things continue - though actually the rate of increase is much slower than in March and is also concentrated among the least vulnerable.

    Plus some things are very different to March - knowledge about infection and treatment are greater, there is no PPE problem, testing is almost infinitely superior and hopefully more care is being taken with care homes.

    And with a lockdown comes costs - cost to people's health, costs to the economy, costs to education, costs to society as a whole.

    That's a trade off people need to be open about and willing to accept.
    Things are not very different to March.

    Cases are rising exponentially so given enough time we will be back to where we were in March.

    What would you like to do?
    But not all exponentially is the same - they vary depending on the initial starting point and the rate of increase.

    And September is very different to March in those respects.

    What I support is giving people advice and guidelines but letting them have choice and responsibility.

    And if that leads to people getting infected then that is what will happen with the benefit of greater herd immunity to those people who make more careful choices.
  • If Rishi wanted to be ultra cautious he'd sit and wait until after the Tories are next in opposition and then do a Cameron

    You really do not understand political ambition do you Horse
    Are we going to have a falling out Big G? Let's kiss and make up honey boo
    I do not fall out with anyone just provide unbiased thoughts
    That's okay, you just seem a bit angry with me lately - I guess we've hit a rocky patch in our relationship
    I am not angry with you Horse, just trying to be constructively critical
    I think it's just the tone, "you're hero Keir" in every other post, you need to find a new angle I reckon.
    Maybe just go back to Starmer if that helps Horse
    Well if you call Boris, Johnson as he should be called, absolutely
    I will continue to call Boris Boris as everyone knows that name

    And everyone knows who Keir is, you're just being silly now G
  • This 10PM curfew nonsense is going to do absolutely sod all and we're going to have to get tougher.

    Close the pubs completely, seems the next step

    For whatever reason Boris is following the same racheting up as March i.e. here are some new rules, please try and modify your behaviour, because if you don't I will have to ground you.

    I don't get it. I would have banned things household mixing.
    The problem now is that we will never have the same following of the rules we had in the past.

    This is why opening up so quickly was a poor decision and I think I said so at the time.

    They should have stuck with outdoor meeting in small groups and left it at that.
    The increase in infections are directly caused by the return of schools and universities.

    You could shut down the rest of the country and that infection increase would still have happened.
    Then shut down the schools as well then.

    I think we're headed for a full lockdown anyway
    What level of infections and deaths are you prepared to accept rather than having a full lockdown ?

    And how much damage to people's health, the economy and society in general from a full lockdown are you prepared to accept ?
    Well if we continue as we are we're headed for a repeat of March.

    The R consistently below 1 and cases not rising would be a good start, so let's get back to where we were sometime in June. Just after the first lockdown - and then keep the rules strictly in place.

    I would have a full second lockdown and then allow only meetings outdoors for a while
    If things continue - though actually the rate of increase is much slower than in March and is also concentrated among the least vulnerable.

    Plus some things are very different to March - knowledge about infection and treatment are greater, there is no PPE problem, testing is almost infinitely superior and hopefully more care is being taken with care homes.

    And with a lockdown comes costs - cost to people's health, costs to the economy, costs to education, costs to society as a whole.

    That's a trade off people need to be open about and willing to accept.
    Things are not very different to March.

    Cases are rising exponentially so given enough time we will be back to where we were in March.

    What would you like to do?
    But not all exponentially is the same - they vary depending on the initial starting point and the rate of increase.

    And September is very different to March in those respects.

    What I support is giving people advice and guidelines but letting them have choice and responsibility.

    And if that leads to people getting infected then that is what will happen with the benefit of greater herd immunity to those people who make more careful choices.
    Choice and responsibility in Britain will lead to hundreds of thousands of deaths and the NHS getting overwhelmed.
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 54,599

    Sandpit said:

    Dunno about you guys, but the Scottish TV remake of 'Fresh Meat' is going to be pretty boring I reckon.

    I’m rewatching Fresh Meat as we speak and I had forgotten how hilarious it was.
    Indeed, but do you find it difficult to laugh when you know what some students are going through now? brutal.
    They’re being quarantined for a fortnight in groups, the way people are going on you’d think they were being sent entered to lifetime time of solitary with extra torture.

    These young adults are old enough to be sent abroad to serve their country.
    Why did they go back at all?

    Massive debt to do learning online, Freshers Week and partying is basically out the window on a normal scale
    That’s a different question, but it seems that the universities only thought about the residence income and not sufficiently about virus suppression.

    If it were me in that position now, I’d be the one working out how to find someone who’ll deliver a case of vodka, a case of coca-cola and a case of Pringles. A house full of freshers can happily live for a fortnight on that!
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 49,868

    Good piece by Graham Brady in Telegraph.


    "We risk forsaking liberties so many died to preserve"

    "Suddenly we were "flattening the curve" instead. Now we have moved from "flattening the second hump of the camel" to "suppressing the virus until we have a vaccine" within a week. All of this has been decided behind closed doors without parliamentary debate or approval."

    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/opinion/2020/09/26/risk-forsaking-liberties-many-died-preserve/



    Parliaments must debate these restrictions on our lives.



    I'm in favour, I suppose, of Parliament voting on any new COVID-19 restrictions. But let's have less of this "people died for these freedoms" stuff. I do have relatives who died in WW2, as I suspect most of us do. I think it unlikely, and offensive, to suggest that they died in order that I could have 5 people to dinner.
    Surely they died for you to be able to exercise your own judgement on how many people you have to dinner, based on the circumstances as you see them.

    And not be dictated to by, in one case, a person with a large financial interest in a certain policy.
    I don't recall restricting the size of dinner parties as a key plank of Nazi ideology?
  • dixiedeandixiedean Posts: 29,411
    Relax folks. Eminent epidemiologist Professor Richard Madeley is on hand with the answers to your fears.

    https://www.express.co.uk/comment/columnists/richard-and-judy/1340247/coronavirus-lockdown-second-wave-boris-johnson-restrictions
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 54,599

    Has covid been revealing about 'national obsessions' in other countries.

    In the UK it seems some people are obsessed with bog roll and foreign holidays.

    Don’t forget the national religion that is “The NHS”.
  • OldKingColeOldKingCole Posts: 33,463

    dixiedean said:

    https://twitter.com/adamhamdy/status/1309539236710944768

    Seems like this is turning into a disaster.

    On this particular issue, I continue to believe it was right to send kids back to school but it seems like not enough is being done to keep the cases under control.

    If it was me I'd lock everything down except schools

    They had a whole summer to organise education. Could have found additional buildings or built Nightingale schools, brought back retired teachers, set up the infrastructure for a blend of distance and at school learning, enabled education to continue with real social distancing maintained. But presumably it was too expensive, or perhaps our fractured system made it too complex. In all honesty, the efforts at social distancing in schools are utterly laughable and all of this could have been predicted - and indeed was by many of us on here.
    Problem was getting schools back was used as a political weapon to beat Labour and the Unions all Summer.
    Therefore we got "perfectly safe" and "Covid secure".
    The howlingly obvious fact that it would be a trade off was never mentioned.
    Except on here. Frequently.
    Also, there's been huge dollops of wishful thinking throughout, that the virus will basically be under control by September.
    And that wishful thinking starts at the top.
    My teacher grandchildren reported that they weren't sure what was going to happen until just about the time they went back. Grandson has some special responsibilities in his school, too.
  • AlistairAlistair Posts: 23,670
    Sandpit said:

    Scott_xP said:

    Sandpit said:

    HP Laserjet series are excellent. Colour MFP 281 is the latest all-in-one I think.

    Another vote for the HP laserjets

    Still using one I bought in 2002. Doesn't have WiFi but it does have an Ethernet card

    My parents also have a newer one, bought maybe 5 years ago. Does have WiFi. Just works. Never had a support call...
    I recommend them professionally to SMEs and home workers. They just keep working, and I say this as someone who has always hated printers with a passion, due to the number of usually pointless support calls they generate.
    The HP1020 was so good it started eating into HP's business sales so they discontinued it.

    By far the best tech purchase I've made.
  • One early data point that has Democrats feeling good: money. Since Justice Ginsburg’s death, contributions have come pouring into progressive groups and individual campaigns at a level that political veterans say is unlike anything they’ve ever seen.

    NYTimes
  • This 10PM curfew nonsense is going to do absolutely sod all and we're going to have to get tougher.

    Close the pubs completely, seems the next step

    For whatever reason Boris is following the same racheting up as March i.e. here are some new rules, please try and modify your behaviour, because if you don't I will have to ground you.

    I don't get it. I would have banned things household mixing.
    The problem now is that we will never have the same following of the rules we had in the past.

    This is why opening up so quickly was a poor decision and I think I said so at the time.

    They should have stuck with outdoor meeting in small groups and left it at that.
    The increase in infections are directly caused by the return of schools and universities.

    You could shut down the rest of the country and that infection increase would still have happened.
    Then shut down the schools as well then.

    I think we're headed for a full lockdown anyway
    What level of infections and deaths are you prepared to accept rather than having a full lockdown ?

    And how much damage to people's health, the economy and society in general from a full lockdown are you prepared to accept ?
    Well if we continue as we are we're headed for a repeat of March.

    The R consistently below 1 and cases not rising would be a good start, so let's get back to where we were sometime in June. Just after the first lockdown - and then keep the rules strictly in place.

    I would have a full second lockdown and then allow only meetings outdoors for a while
    If things continue - though actually the rate of increase is much slower than in March and is also concentrated among the least vulnerable.

    Plus some things are very different to March - knowledge about infection and treatment are greater, there is no PPE problem, testing is almost infinitely superior and hopefully more care is being taken with care homes.

    And with a lockdown comes costs - cost to people's health, costs to the economy, costs to education, costs to society as a whole.

    That's a trade off people need to be open about and willing to accept.
    Things are not very different to March.

    Cases are rising exponentially so given enough time we will be back to where we were in March.

    What would you like to do?
    But not all exponentially is the same - they vary depending on the initial starting point and the rate of increase.

    And September is very different to March in those respects.

    What I support is giving people advice and guidelines but letting them have choice and responsibility.

    And if that leads to people getting infected then that is what will happen with the benefit of greater herd immunity to those people who make more careful choices.
    Choice and responsibility in Britain will lead to hundreds of thousands of deaths and the NHS getting overwhelmed.
    I doubt it.

    But its time for more choice and responsibility.

    We cannot damage people's health, the education of the young, the economy and society as a whole to save fat slobs who have done nothing to improve their health and lifestyle during the last six months.
  • OllyTOllyT Posts: 5,006

    Not sure people are getting the message that the plague is back...

    https://twitter.com/charliehtweets/status/1309605815125454848?s=19

    Johnson's authority is collapsing by the hour....
    From Day 1 10% of the population have behaved irresponsibly, ignored the rules and not given a damn whether they spread the disease. This is nothing new. Don't assume that it is what the majority of people are doing.
  • https://twitter.com/YouGov/status/1309523544334835713

    Lol of course over 60s support students being locked in their rooms, "we won the war"!

    The iron rule of politics is that the over 60s are wrong about everything.
    Only until next March when I turn 60.
  • MaxPB said:

    MaxPB said:

    MaxPB said:

    Have to say there must have been an unfathomable amount of incompetency with the app design given that it isn't compatible with NHS, PHE and ONS testing. I'm probably going to uninstall it if this doesn't change in the next few days, doesn't seem worth it if 50% of testing isn't being logged into it.

    I installed it yesterday and it seems fine to me so far
    It works, but it's a bit pointless if pillar 1 (NHS/PHE) and pillar 4 (ONS) test results aren't compatible, that's 50% of daily testing.
    https://twitter.com/jaggeree/status/1309774685853413377
    How was this not caught in testing? Why was the NHS not part of the conversation, and if it was why did we go with a method of reporting that doesn't work easily for 50% of testing?
    https://twitter.com/psychemedia/status/1309794984065986560
  • This 10PM curfew nonsense is going to do absolutely sod all and we're going to have to get tougher.

    Close the pubs completely, seems the next step

    For whatever reason Boris is following the same racheting up as March i.e. here are some new rules, please try and modify your behaviour, because if you don't I will have to ground you.

    I don't get it. I would have banned things household mixing.
    The problem now is that we will never have the same following of the rules we had in the past.

    This is why opening up so quickly was a poor decision and I think I said so at the time.

    They should have stuck with outdoor meeting in small groups and left it at that.
    The increase in infections are directly caused by the return of schools and universities.

    You could shut down the rest of the country and that infection increase would still have happened.
    Then shut down the schools as well then.

    I think we're headed for a full lockdown anyway
    What level of infections and deaths are you prepared to accept rather than having a full lockdown ?

    And how much damage to people's health, the economy and society in general from a full lockdown are you prepared to accept ?
    Well if we continue as we are we're headed for a repeat of March.

    The R consistently below 1 and cases not rising would be a good start, so let's get back to where we were sometime in June. Just after the first lockdown - and then keep the rules strictly in place.

    I would have a full second lockdown and then allow only meetings outdoors for a while
    If things continue - though actually the rate of increase is much slower than in March and is also concentrated among the least vulnerable.

    Plus some things are very different to March - knowledge about infection and treatment are greater, there is no PPE problem, testing is almost infinitely superior and hopefully more care is being taken with care homes.

    And with a lockdown comes costs - cost to people's health, costs to the economy, costs to education, costs to society as a whole.

    That's a trade off people need to be open about and willing to accept.
    Things are not very different to March.

    Cases are rising exponentially so given enough time we will be back to where we were in March.

    What would you like to do?
    But not all exponentially is the same - they vary depending on the initial starting point and the rate of increase.

    And September is very different to March in those respects.

    What I support is giving people advice and guidelines but letting them have choice and responsibility.

    And if that leads to people getting infected then that is what will happen with the benefit of greater herd immunity to those people who make more careful choices.
    Choice and responsibility in Britain will lead to hundreds of thousands of deaths and the NHS getting overwhelmed.
    I doubt it.

    But its time for more choice and responsibility.

    We cannot damage people's health, the education of the young, the economy and society as a whole to save fat slobs who have done nothing to improve their health and lifestyle during the last six months.
    Choice and responsibility with the new pubs curfew has made the situation worse and not better.

    We don't follow the rules, that is the problem. And that's why comparisons to Sweden are pointless, because they follow their rules.

    We need another lockdown.
  • CorrectHorseBatteryCorrectHorseBattery Posts: 21,436
    edited September 2020
    Frankly I blame the media and the Government for the idea this would all be over by Christmas
  • OldKingColeOldKingCole Posts: 33,463

    https://twitter.com/YouGov/status/1309523544334835713

    Lol of course over 60s support students being locked in their rooms, "we won the war"!

    The iron rule of politics is that the over 60s are wrong about everything.
    Only until next March when I turn 60.
    There appear to be serious questions about the wisdom of those under 75!
  • This 10PM curfew nonsense is going to do absolutely sod all and we're going to have to get tougher.

    Close the pubs completely, seems the next step

    For whatever reason Boris is following the same racheting up as March i.e. here are some new rules, please try and modify your behaviour, because if you don't I will have to ground you.

    I don't get it. I would have banned things household mixing.
    The problem now is that we will never have the same following of the rules we had in the past.

    This is why opening up so quickly was a poor decision and I think I said so at the time.

    They should have stuck with outdoor meeting in small groups and left it at that.
    The increase in infections are directly caused by the return of schools and universities.

    You could shut down the rest of the country and that infection increase would still have happened.
    Then shut down the schools as well then.

    I think we're headed for a full lockdown anyway
    What level of infections and deaths are you prepared to accept rather than having a full lockdown ?

    And how much damage to people's health, the economy and society in general from a full lockdown are you prepared to accept ?
    Well if we continue as we are we're headed for a repeat of March.

    The R consistently below 1 and cases not rising would be a good start, so let's get back to where we were sometime in June. Just after the first lockdown - and then keep the rules strictly in place.

    I would have a full second lockdown and then allow only meetings outdoors for a while
    If things continue - though actually the rate of increase is much slower than in March and is also concentrated among the least vulnerable.

    Plus some things are very different to March - knowledge about infection and treatment are greater, there is no PPE problem, testing is almost infinitely superior and hopefully more care is being taken with care homes.

    And with a lockdown comes costs - cost to people's health, costs to the economy, costs to education, costs to society as a whole.

    That's a trade off people need to be open about and willing to accept.
    Things are not very different to March.

    Cases are rising exponentially so given enough time we will be back to where we were in March.

    What would you like to do?
    But not all exponentially is the same - they vary depending on the initial starting point and the rate of increase.

    And September is very different to March in those respects.

    What I support is giving people advice and guidelines but letting them have choice and responsibility.

    And if that leads to people getting infected then that is what will happen with the benefit of greater herd immunity to those people who make more careful choices.
    Choice and responsibility in Britain will lead to hundreds of thousands of deaths and the NHS getting overwhelmed.
    I doubt it.

    But its time for more choice and responsibility.

    We cannot damage people's health, the education of the young, the economy and society as a whole to save fat slobs who have done nothing to improve their health and lifestyle during the last six months.
    Choice and responsibility with the new pubs curfew has made the situation worse and not better.

    We don't follow the rules, that is the problem. And that's why comparisons to Sweden are pointless, because they follow their rules.

    We need another lockdown.
    Some people don't follow the rules, that's always been the case.

    But most do - which is why people now wear masks in shops whereas they didn't before the rule changed.

    By having another lockdown you damage people's health, you damage the education of the young, you damage the economy, you damage society as a whole.

    And its the people who follow the rules who would be damaged, not those who break the rules.

    How much damage are you prepared to do ?
  • This 10PM curfew nonsense is going to do absolutely sod all and we're going to have to get tougher.

    Close the pubs completely, seems the next step

    For whatever reason Boris is following the same racheting up as March i.e. here are some new rules, please try and modify your behaviour, because if you don't I will have to ground you.

    I don't get it. I would have banned things household mixing.
    The problem now is that we will never have the same following of the rules we had in the past.

    This is why opening up so quickly was a poor decision and I think I said so at the time.

    They should have stuck with outdoor meeting in small groups and left it at that.
    The increase in infections are directly caused by the return of schools and universities.

    You could shut down the rest of the country and that infection increase would still have happened.
    Then shut down the schools as well then.

    I think we're headed for a full lockdown anyway
    What level of infections and deaths are you prepared to accept rather than having a full lockdown ?

    And how much damage to people's health, the economy and society in general from a full lockdown are you prepared to accept ?
    Well if we continue as we are we're headed for a repeat of March.

    The R consistently below 1 and cases not rising would be a good start, so let's get back to where we were sometime in June. Just after the first lockdown - and then keep the rules strictly in place.

    I would have a full second lockdown and then allow only meetings outdoors for a while
    If things continue - though actually the rate of increase is much slower than in March and is also concentrated among the least vulnerable.

    Plus some things are very different to March - knowledge about infection and treatment are greater, there is no PPE problem, testing is almost infinitely superior and hopefully more care is being taken with care homes.

    And with a lockdown comes costs - cost to people's health, costs to the economy, costs to education, costs to society as a whole.

    That's a trade off people need to be open about and willing to accept.
    Things are not very different to March.

    Cases are rising exponentially so given enough time we will be back to where we were in March.

    What would you like to do?
    But not all exponentially is the same - they vary depending on the initial starting point and the rate of increase.

    And September is very different to March in those respects.

    What I support is giving people advice and guidelines but letting them have choice and responsibility.

    And if that leads to people getting infected then that is what will happen with the benefit of greater herd immunity to those people who make more careful choices.
    Choice and responsibility in Britain will lead to hundreds of thousands of deaths and the NHS getting overwhelmed.
    I doubt it.

    But its time for more choice and responsibility.

    We cannot damage people's health, the education of the young, the economy and society as a whole to save fat slobs who have done nothing to improve their health and lifestyle during the last six months.
    Choice and responsibility with the new pubs curfew has made the situation worse and not better.

    We don't follow the rules, that is the problem. And that's why comparisons to Sweden are pointless, because they follow their rules.

    We need another lockdown.
    Some people don't follow the rules, that's always been the case.

    But most do - which is why people now wear masks in shops whereas they didn't before the rule changed.

    By having another lockdown you damage people's health, you damage the education of the young, you damage the economy, you damage society as a whole.

    And its the people who follow the rules who would be damaged, not those who break the rules.

    How much damage are you prepared to do ?
    We're already in a hole - and it's getting worse.

    May as well get the inevitable hard job over quickly.
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 49,868
    dixiedean said:

    MaxPB said:

    dixiedean said:

    MaxPB said:

    MaxPB said:

    Excellent. It's about time that parliament got a say on the biggest issue facing the country. The way the executive gas overriden parliamentary sovereignty on this is extremely worrying. Good to know there are still MPs with a spine in the house.
    Parliament should have a say, but I am not going to get too excited about this.

    Johnson has a majority of 80. Are they going to do anything other than rubberstamp whatever he puts in front of them?

    I am not holding my breath...
    At the moment there is a one sided debate on all of the issues of the day, no dissent on the official line has been allowed to air, only dissent on process. Opening up the conversation to people who have a more sceptical line on this new zero COVID strategy we've adopted changes the dynamic hugely. The government will be forced to to justify measures to the house (and the people) and provide a basis of evidence for what they are doing. At the moment they don't have to do anything, this is a vast improvement.
    With respect, as one who has found himself agreeing more and more with your posts, we don't have a "zero Covid" strategy. If we did we would have vigorous enforcement and travel bans and would be more like Taiwan or New Zealand. With the aim of elimination.
    We have a "virus suppression" policy. The aim being get the numbers down and an R rate substantially below 1.
    General thrust of point agreed that said.
    The government has said we're going to do this for 6 months, if that's not pursuing a zero COVID strategy I don't know why they're bothering. Surely it should be until we get the R back down to below 1 and sustained for a month or so afterwards.
    I know I know. The 6 months was curious. A month of hard lockdown with vigorous enforcement would surely have been more effective at suppression.
    And also played better with the public, being a far more manageable time frame to get ones head around. But there we are.
    I took it as serious overestimating, i.e. under promising
  • MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 38,868

    This 10PM curfew nonsense is going to do absolutely sod all and we're going to have to get tougher.

    Close the pubs completely, seems the next step

    For whatever reason Boris is following the same racheting up as March i.e. here are some new rules, please try and modify your behaviour, because if you don't I will have to ground you.

    I don't get it. I would have banned things household mixing.
    The problem now is that we will never have the same following of the rules we had in the past.

    This is why opening up so quickly was a poor decision and I think I said so at the time.

    They should have stuck with outdoor meeting in small groups and left it at that.
    The increase in infections are directly caused by the return of schools and universities.

    You could shut down the rest of the country and that infection increase would still have happened.
    Then shut down the schools as well then.

    I think we're headed for a full lockdown anyway
    What level of infections and deaths are you prepared to accept rather than having a full lockdown ?

    And how much damage to people's health, the economy and society in general from a full lockdown are you prepared to accept ?
    Well if we continue as we are we're headed for a repeat of March.

    The R consistently below 1 and cases not rising would be a good start, so let's get back to where we were sometime in June. Just after the first lockdown - and then keep the rules strictly in place.

    I would have a full second lockdown and then allow only meetings outdoors for a while
    If things continue - though actually the rate of increase is much slower than in March and is also concentrated among the least vulnerable.

    Plus some things are very different to March - knowledge about infection and treatment are greater, there is no PPE problem, testing is almost infinitely superior and hopefully more care is being taken with care homes.

    And with a lockdown comes costs - cost to people's health, costs to the economy, costs to education, costs to society as a whole.

    That's a trade off people need to be open about and willing to accept.
    Things are not very different to March.

    Cases are rising exponentially so given enough time we will be back to where we were in March.

    What would you like to do?
    But not all exponentially is the same - they vary depending on the initial starting point and the rate of increase.

    And September is very different to March in those respects.

    What I support is giving people advice and guidelines but letting them have choice and responsibility.

    And if that leads to people getting infected then that is what will happen with the benefit of greater herd immunity to those people who make more careful choices.
    Choice and responsibility in Britain will lead to hundreds of thousands of deaths and the NHS getting overwhelmed.
    I doubt it.

    But its time for more choice and responsibility.

    We cannot damage people's health, the education of the young, the economy and society as a whole to save fat slobs who have done nothing to improve their health and lifestyle during the last six months.
    Choice and responsibility with the new pubs curfew has made the situation worse and not better.

    We don't follow the rules, that is the problem. And that's why comparisons to Sweden are pointless, because they follow their rules.

    We need another lockdown.
    No, the pubs situation has been to take away people's choice which is why it's a disaster. People who would go home from 10pm to midnight now all have to leave at 10pm and it's causing overcrowding in the transport system and on the streets.

    Removing choice has never worked.
  • another_richardanother_richard Posts: 26,617
    edited September 2020
    dixiedean said:
    I’m interrupted by a call from my local authority. Could I make sure children who are off school in “isolation” stay at home instead of congregating at the shopping centre?

    ...

    One teacher nervous about possible contact has never knowingly met the child, but is keen to self-isolate regardless. This is the same member of staff I had to speak to sternly on the first day back because of enthusiastic hugging of colleagues.
  • Did Cameron lead Blair in best PM polling or other polling?
  • MaxPB said:

    This 10PM curfew nonsense is going to do absolutely sod all and we're going to have to get tougher.

    Close the pubs completely, seems the next step

    For whatever reason Boris is following the same racheting up as March i.e. here are some new rules, please try and modify your behaviour, because if you don't I will have to ground you.

    I don't get it. I would have banned things household mixing.
    The problem now is that we will never have the same following of the rules we had in the past.

    This is why opening up so quickly was a poor decision and I think I said so at the time.

    They should have stuck with outdoor meeting in small groups and left it at that.
    The increase in infections are directly caused by the return of schools and universities.

    You could shut down the rest of the country and that infection increase would still have happened.
    Then shut down the schools as well then.

    I think we're headed for a full lockdown anyway
    What level of infections and deaths are you prepared to accept rather than having a full lockdown ?

    And how much damage to people's health, the economy and society in general from a full lockdown are you prepared to accept ?
    Well if we continue as we are we're headed for a repeat of March.

    The R consistently below 1 and cases not rising would be a good start, so let's get back to where we were sometime in June. Just after the first lockdown - and then keep the rules strictly in place.

    I would have a full second lockdown and then allow only meetings outdoors for a while
    If things continue - though actually the rate of increase is much slower than in March and is also concentrated among the least vulnerable.

    Plus some things are very different to March - knowledge about infection and treatment are greater, there is no PPE problem, testing is almost infinitely superior and hopefully more care is being taken with care homes.

    And with a lockdown comes costs - cost to people's health, costs to the economy, costs to education, costs to society as a whole.

    That's a trade off people need to be open about and willing to accept.
    Things are not very different to March.

    Cases are rising exponentially so given enough time we will be back to where we were in March.

    What would you like to do?
    But not all exponentially is the same - they vary depending on the initial starting point and the rate of increase.

    And September is very different to March in those respects.

    What I support is giving people advice and guidelines but letting them have choice and responsibility.

    And if that leads to people getting infected then that is what will happen with the benefit of greater herd immunity to those people who make more careful choices.
    Choice and responsibility in Britain will lead to hundreds of thousands of deaths and the NHS getting overwhelmed.
    I doubt it.

    But its time for more choice and responsibility.

    We cannot damage people's health, the education of the young, the economy and society as a whole to save fat slobs who have done nothing to improve their health and lifestyle during the last six months.
    Choice and responsibility with the new pubs curfew has made the situation worse and not better.

    We don't follow the rules, that is the problem. And that's why comparisons to Sweden are pointless, because they follow their rules.

    We need another lockdown.
    No, the pubs situation has been to take away people's choice which is why it's a disaster. People who would go home from 10pm to midnight now all have to leave at 10pm and it's causing overcrowding in the transport system and on the streets.

    Removing choice has never worked.
    The pubs policy is a disaster I agree but the solution is now to close the pubs entirely.
  • Can anyone help please? I'm having problems navigating the new "grey" version of PB.com in that I can't get back to the earlier comments of a ny particular thread, i.e. I can only read the most recent comments and clicking on the the "More Comments" wording at the foot of the latest batch of comments (adjacent to the "Vanilla" logo) no longer seems to function as it used to on the previous "green" version of the site.

    https://vf.politicalbetting.com
    Many thanks for the link CHB ... I think I've got the hang of it now, the only difference being that the comments are now in the reverse order, i.e. the more recent ones appear as one scrolls DOWN the page, as opposed to UP the page as previously but I guess I'll soon get used to that!
  • IshmaelZIshmaelZ Posts: 21,830

    If Rishi wanted to be ultra cautious he'd sit and wait until after the Tories are next in opposition and then do a Cameron

    You really do not understand political ambition do you Horse
    Are we going to have a falling out Big G? Let's kiss and make up honey boo
    I do not fall out with anyone just provide unbiased thoughts
    That's okay, you just seem a bit angry with me lately - I guess we've hit a rocky patch in our relationship
    I am not angry with you Horse, just trying to be constructively critical
    I think it's just the tone, "you're hero Keir" in every other post, you need to find a new angle I reckon.
    Maybe just go back to Starmer if that helps Horse
    Well if you call Boris, Johnson as he should be called, absolutely
    I will continue to call Boris Boris as everyone knows that name

    And everyone knows who Keir is, you're just being silly now G
    Silly name. You don't have to remember whether it's Boris or Biros every time, do you?
  • Can anyone help please? I'm having problems navigating the new "grey" version of PB.com in that I can't get back to the earlier comments of a ny particular thread, i.e. I can only read the most recent comments and clicking on the the "More Comments" wording at the foot of the latest batch of comments (adjacent to the "Vanilla" logo) no longer seems to function as it used to on the previous "green" version of the site.

    https://vf.politicalbetting.com
    Many thanks for the link CHB ... I think I've got the hang of it now, the only difference being that the comments are now in the reverse order, i.e. the more recent ones appear as one scrolls DOWN the page, as opposed to UP the page as previously but I guess I'll soon get used to that!
    My pleasure, friend. I think in time you'll come to like Vanilla a lot more than the main site, for discussion.
  • MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 38,868

    MaxPB said:

    This 10PM curfew nonsense is going to do absolutely sod all and we're going to have to get tougher.

    Close the pubs completely, seems the next step

    For whatever reason Boris is following the same racheting up as March i.e. here are some new rules, please try and modify your behaviour, because if you don't I will have to ground you.

    I don't get it. I would have banned things household mixing.
    The problem now is that we will never have the same following of the rules we had in the past.

    This is why opening up so quickly was a poor decision and I think I said so at the time.

    They should have stuck with outdoor meeting in small groups and left it at that.
    The increase in infections are directly caused by the return of schools and universities.

    You could shut down the rest of the country and that infection increase would still have happened.
    Then shut down the schools as well then.

    I think we're headed for a full lockdown anyway
    What level of infections and deaths are you prepared to accept rather than having a full lockdown ?

    And how much damage to people's health, the economy and society in general from a full lockdown are you prepared to accept ?
    Well if we continue as we are we're headed for a repeat of March.

    The R consistently below 1 and cases not rising would be a good start, so let's get back to where we were sometime in June. Just after the first lockdown - and then keep the rules strictly in place.

    I would have a full second lockdown and then allow only meetings outdoors for a while
    If things continue - though actually the rate of increase is much slower than in March and is also concentrated among the least vulnerable.

    Plus some things are very different to March - knowledge about infection and treatment are greater, there is no PPE problem, testing is almost infinitely superior and hopefully more care is being taken with care homes.

    And with a lockdown comes costs - cost to people's health, costs to the economy, costs to education, costs to society as a whole.

    That's a trade off people need to be open about and willing to accept.
    Things are not very different to March.

    Cases are rising exponentially so given enough time we will be back to where we were in March.

    What would you like to do?
    But not all exponentially is the same - they vary depending on the initial starting point and the rate of increase.

    And September is very different to March in those respects.

    What I support is giving people advice and guidelines but letting them have choice and responsibility.

    And if that leads to people getting infected then that is what will happen with the benefit of greater herd immunity to those people who make more careful choices.
    Choice and responsibility in Britain will lead to hundreds of thousands of deaths and the NHS getting overwhelmed.
    I doubt it.

    But its time for more choice and responsibility.

    We cannot damage people's health, the education of the young, the economy and society as a whole to save fat slobs who have done nothing to improve their health and lifestyle during the last six months.
    Choice and responsibility with the new pubs curfew has made the situation worse and not better.

    We don't follow the rules, that is the problem. And that's why comparisons to Sweden are pointless, because they follow their rules.

    We need another lockdown.
    No, the pubs situation has been to take away people's choice which is why it's a disaster. People who would go home from 10pm to midnight now all have to leave at 10pm and it's causing overcrowding in the transport system and on the streets.

    Removing choice has never worked.
    The pubs policy is a disaster I agree but the solution is now to close the pubs entirely.
    No it isn't, that's a drastic overreaction which would put thousands of businesses and a million jobs in jeopardy. We just needed to enforce the rule of 6, have a proper contact tracing app and table service. It works in Italy and Germany.
  • MaxPB said:

    MaxPB said:

    This 10PM curfew nonsense is going to do absolutely sod all and we're going to have to get tougher.

    Close the pubs completely, seems the next step

    For whatever reason Boris is following the same racheting up as March i.e. here are some new rules, please try and modify your behaviour, because if you don't I will have to ground you.

    I don't get it. I would have banned things household mixing.
    The problem now is that we will never have the same following of the rules we had in the past.

    This is why opening up so quickly was a poor decision and I think I said so at the time.

    They should have stuck with outdoor meeting in small groups and left it at that.
    The increase in infections are directly caused by the return of schools and universities.

    You could shut down the rest of the country and that infection increase would still have happened.
    Then shut down the schools as well then.

    I think we're headed for a full lockdown anyway
    What level of infections and deaths are you prepared to accept rather than having a full lockdown ?

    And how much damage to people's health, the economy and society in general from a full lockdown are you prepared to accept ?
    Well if we continue as we are we're headed for a repeat of March.

    The R consistently below 1 and cases not rising would be a good start, so let's get back to where we were sometime in June. Just after the first lockdown - and then keep the rules strictly in place.

    I would have a full second lockdown and then allow only meetings outdoors for a while
    If things continue - though actually the rate of increase is much slower than in March and is also concentrated among the least vulnerable.

    Plus some things are very different to March - knowledge about infection and treatment are greater, there is no PPE problem, testing is almost infinitely superior and hopefully more care is being taken with care homes.

    And with a lockdown comes costs - cost to people's health, costs to the economy, costs to education, costs to society as a whole.

    That's a trade off people need to be open about and willing to accept.
    Things are not very different to March.

    Cases are rising exponentially so given enough time we will be back to where we were in March.

    What would you like to do?
    But not all exponentially is the same - they vary depending on the initial starting point and the rate of increase.

    And September is very different to March in those respects.

    What I support is giving people advice and guidelines but letting them have choice and responsibility.

    And if that leads to people getting infected then that is what will happen with the benefit of greater herd immunity to those people who make more careful choices.
    Choice and responsibility in Britain will lead to hundreds of thousands of deaths and the NHS getting overwhelmed.
    I doubt it.

    But its time for more choice and responsibility.

    We cannot damage people's health, the education of the young, the economy and society as a whole to save fat slobs who have done nothing to improve their health and lifestyle during the last six months.
    Choice and responsibility with the new pubs curfew has made the situation worse and not better.

    We don't follow the rules, that is the problem. And that's why comparisons to Sweden are pointless, because they follow their rules.

    We need another lockdown.
    No, the pubs situation has been to take away people's choice which is why it's a disaster. People who would go home from 10pm to midnight now all have to leave at 10pm and it's causing overcrowding in the transport system and on the streets.

    Removing choice has never worked.
    The pubs policy is a disaster I agree but the solution is now to close the pubs entirely.
    No it isn't, that's a drastic overreaction which would put thousands of businesses and a million jobs in jeopardy. We just needed to enforce the rule of 6, have a proper contact tracing app and table service. It works in Italy and Germany.
    Well the rule of 6 was an improvement, I'll give you that.

    But I think you're wrong to say it was all that was needed. I think lockdown 2.0 is inevitable, now it seems to be I think.

    I think you're probably right to say we should have enforced the rule of 6 longer - but I would have enforced that from when we came out of the original lockdown, or even a smaller number, starting with visits outside only and then moving to indoors only if it was safe.
  • IshmaelZ said:

    If Rishi wanted to be ultra cautious he'd sit and wait until after the Tories are next in opposition and then do a Cameron

    You really do not understand political ambition do you Horse
    Are we going to have a falling out Big G? Let's kiss and make up honey boo
    I do not fall out with anyone just provide unbiased thoughts
    That's okay, you just seem a bit angry with me lately - I guess we've hit a rocky patch in our relationship
    I am not angry with you Horse, just trying to be constructively critical
    I think it's just the tone, "you're hero Keir" in every other post, you need to find a new angle I reckon.
    Maybe just go back to Starmer if that helps Horse
    Well if you call Boris, Johnson as he should be called, absolutely
    I will continue to call Boris Boris as everyone knows that name

    And everyone knows who Keir is, you're just being silly now G
    Silly name. You don't have to remember whether it's Boris or Biros every time, do you?
    Maybe they mean Boris Yeltsin when they say Boris
  • https://twitter.com/EleniCourea/status/1309813913341526017

    Good, hopefully this reduces the impact of UNITE.

    I am a Union supporter but not whist McCluskey continues to run things
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,205
    MaxPB said:

    Excellent. It's about time that parliament got a say on the biggest issue facing the country. The way the executive gas overriden parliamentary sovereignty on this is extremely worrying. Good to know there are still MPs with a spine in the house.
    I'm happy with parliament getting a vote on the measures. Starmer will consider the measures on their merits; Corbyn would probably have opposed the Gov't just for the sake of it even that wasn't in line with the national good.
  • I wonder how much Blair is advising Keir, there seems to be a lot of Blairite tactics of late
  • MaxPB said:

    MaxPB said:

    This 10PM curfew nonsense is going to do absolutely sod all and we're going to have to get tougher.

    Close the pubs completely, seems the next step

    For whatever reason Boris is following the same racheting up as March i.e. here are some new rules, please try and modify your behaviour, because if you don't I will have to ground you.

    I don't get it. I would have banned things household mixing.
    The problem now is that we will never have the same following of the rules we had in the past.

    This is why opening up so quickly was a poor decision and I think I said so at the time.

    They should have stuck with outdoor meeting in small groups and left it at that.
    The increase in infections are directly caused by the return of schools and universities.

    You could shut down the rest of the country and that infection increase would still have happened.
    Then shut down the schools as well then.

    I think we're headed for a full lockdown anyway
    What level of infections and deaths are you prepared to accept rather than having a full lockdown ?

    And how much damage to people's health, the economy and society in general from a full lockdown are you prepared to accept ?
    Well if we continue as we are we're headed for a repeat of March.

    The R consistently below 1 and cases not rising would be a good start, so let's get back to where we were sometime in June. Just after the first lockdown - and then keep the rules strictly in place.

    I would have a full second lockdown and then allow only meetings outdoors for a while
    If things continue - though actually the rate of increase is much slower than in March and is also concentrated among the least vulnerable.

    Plus some things are very different to March - knowledge about infection and treatment are greater, there is no PPE problem, testing is almost infinitely superior and hopefully more care is being taken with care homes.

    And with a lockdown comes costs - cost to people's health, costs to the economy, costs to education, costs to society as a whole.

    That's a trade off people need to be open about and willing to accept.
    Things are not very different to March.

    Cases are rising exponentially so given enough time we will be back to where we were in March.

    What would you like to do?
    But not all exponentially is the same - they vary depending on the initial starting point and the rate of increase.

    And September is very different to March in those respects.

    What I support is giving people advice and guidelines but letting them have choice and responsibility.

    And if that leads to people getting infected then that is what will happen with the benefit of greater herd immunity to those people who make more careful choices.
    Choice and responsibility in Britain will lead to hundreds of thousands of deaths and the NHS getting overwhelmed.
    I doubt it.

    But its time for more choice and responsibility.

    We cannot damage people's health, the education of the young, the economy and society as a whole to save fat slobs who have done nothing to improve their health and lifestyle during the last six months.
    Choice and responsibility with the new pubs curfew has made the situation worse and not better.

    We don't follow the rules, that is the problem. And that's why comparisons to Sweden are pointless, because they follow their rules.

    We need another lockdown.
    No, the pubs situation has been to take away people's choice which is why it's a disaster. People who would go home from 10pm to midnight now all have to leave at 10pm and it's causing overcrowding in the transport system and on the streets.

    Removing choice has never worked.
    The pubs policy is a disaster I agree but the solution is now to close the pubs entirely.
    No it isn't, that's a drastic overreaction which would put thousands of businesses and a million jobs in jeopardy. We just needed to enforce the rule of 6, have a proper contact tracing app and table service. It works in Italy and Germany.
    I think there needed to be restrictions on household mixing. Its no good having 6 people round one day, a different 6 the next.

    Also, i think there is this weird belief that you are safe if you are outside. It is definitely safer, but we have seen outbreaks from pub beer gardens. And i see it all the time, outside a shop, no masks, stand there chatting in a group, then they whip out their mask to then go into it.
  • MaxPB said:

    MaxPB said:

    This 10PM curfew nonsense is going to do absolutely sod all and we're going to have to get tougher.

    Close the pubs completely, seems the next step

    For whatever reason Boris is following the same racheting up as March i.e. here are some new rules, please try and modify your behaviour, because if you don't I will have to ground you.

    I don't get it. I would have banned things household mixing.
    The problem now is that we will never have the same following of the rules we had in the past.

    This is why opening up so quickly was a poor decision and I think I said so at the time.

    They should have stuck with outdoor meeting in small groups and left it at that.
    The increase in infections are directly caused by the return of schools and universities.

    You could shut down the rest of the country and that infection increase would still have happened.
    Then shut down the schools as well then.

    I think we're headed for a full lockdown anyway
    What level of infections and deaths are you prepared to accept rather than having a full lockdown ?

    And how much damage to people's health, the economy and society in general from a full lockdown are you prepared to accept ?
    Well if we continue as we are we're headed for a repeat of March.

    The R consistently below 1 and cases not rising would be a good start, so let's get back to where we were sometime in June. Just after the first lockdown - and then keep the rules strictly in place.

    I would have a full second lockdown and then allow only meetings outdoors for a while
    If things continue - though actually the rate of increase is much slower than in March and is also concentrated among the least vulnerable.

    Plus some things are very different to March - knowledge about infection and treatment are greater, there is no PPE problem, testing is almost infinitely superior and hopefully more care is being taken with care homes.

    And with a lockdown comes costs - cost to people's health, costs to the economy, costs to education, costs to society as a whole.

    That's a trade off people need to be open about and willing to accept.
    Things are not very different to March.

    Cases are rising exponentially so given enough time we will be back to where we were in March.

    What would you like to do?
    But not all exponentially is the same - they vary depending on the initial starting point and the rate of increase.

    And September is very different to March in those respects.

    What I support is giving people advice and guidelines but letting them have choice and responsibility.

    And if that leads to people getting infected then that is what will happen with the benefit of greater herd immunity to those people who make more careful choices.
    Choice and responsibility in Britain will lead to hundreds of thousands of deaths and the NHS getting overwhelmed.
    I doubt it.

    But its time for more choice and responsibility.

    We cannot damage people's health, the education of the young, the economy and society as a whole to save fat slobs who have done nothing to improve their health and lifestyle during the last six months.
    Choice and responsibility with the new pubs curfew has made the situation worse and not better.

    We don't follow the rules, that is the problem. And that's why comparisons to Sweden are pointless, because they follow their rules.

    We need another lockdown.
    No, the pubs situation has been to take away people's choice which is why it's a disaster. People who would go home from 10pm to midnight now all have to leave at 10pm and it's causing overcrowding in the transport system and on the streets.

    Removing choice has never worked.
    The pubs policy is a disaster I agree but the solution is now to close the pubs entirely.
    No it isn't, that's a drastic overreaction which would put thousands of businesses and a million jobs in jeopardy. We just needed to enforce the rule of 6, have a proper contact tracing app and table service. It works in Italy and Germany.
    I think there needed to be restrictions on household mixing. Its no good having 6 people round one day, a different 6 the next.

    Also, i think there is this weird belief that you are safe if you are outside. It is definitely safer, but we have seen outbreaks from pub beer gardens. And i see it all the time, outside a shop, no masks, stand there chatting in a group, then they whip out their mask to then go into it.
    Enforced social distancing meetings outside, up to 6 people (or less) at most. That's what we should have and should have had since end of lockdown, IMHO
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 50,366
    OllyT said:

    Not sure people are getting the message that the plague is back...

    https://twitter.com/charliehtweets/status/1309605815125454848?s=19

    Johnson's authority is collapsing by the hour....
    From Day 1 10% of the population have behaved irresponsibly, ignored the rules and not given a damn whether they spread the disease. This is nothing new. Don't assume that it is what the majority of people are doing.
    Quite.

    I have a friend, for example, who in between damning the government/scientists, invites likeminded friends and their families round for BBQs, parties etc. And has done through the lockdown.

    Quite simply, he is one of those people who existence is affirmed by socialisation. If there isn't something happening with him at the centre, then he doesn't feel he exists.

    Same for his holidays to slightly unusual destinations - a complex plot of air miles, vouchers and upgrades. Unless he has got his holiday to Guatemala (say), complete with discounts and upgrades, his life is part empty.

    What is interesting, when talking to him, is how the blame slides off.
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,205
    MaxPB said:

    People who would go home from 10pm to midnight now all have to leave at 10pm and it's causing overcrowding in the transport system and on the streets.

    Removing choice has never worked.

    The street overcrowding is a general city issue and the transport situation is very London specific I think ?
  • This 10PM curfew nonsense is going to do absolutely sod all and we're going to have to get tougher.

    Close the pubs completely, seems the next step

    For whatever reason Boris is following the same racheting up as March i.e. here are some new rules, please try and modify your behaviour, because if you don't I will have to ground you.

    I don't get it. I would have banned things household mixing.
    The problem now is that we will never have the same following of the rules we had in the past.

    This is why opening up so quickly was a poor decision and I think I said so at the time.

    They should have stuck with outdoor meeting in small groups and left it at that.
    The increase in infections are directly caused by the return of schools and universities.

    You could shut down the rest of the country and that infection increase would still have happened.
    Then shut down the schools as well then.

    I think we're headed for a full lockdown anyway
    What level of infections and deaths are you prepared to accept rather than having a full lockdown ?

    And how much damage to people's health, the economy and society in general from a full lockdown are you prepared to accept ?
    Well if we continue as we are we're headed for a repeat of March.

    The R consistently below 1 and cases not rising would be a good start, so let's get back to where we were sometime in June. Just after the first lockdown - and then keep the rules strictly in place.

    I would have a full second lockdown and then allow only meetings outdoors for a while
    If things continue - though actually the rate of increase is much slower than in March and is also concentrated among the least vulnerable.

    Plus some things are very different to March - knowledge about infection and treatment are greater, there is no PPE problem, testing is almost infinitely superior and hopefully more care is being taken with care homes.

    And with a lockdown comes costs - cost to people's health, costs to the economy, costs to education, costs to society as a whole.

    That's a trade off people need to be open about and willing to accept.
    Things are not very different to March.

    Cases are rising exponentially so given enough time we will be back to where we were in March.

    What would you like to do?
    But not all exponentially is the same - they vary depending on the initial starting point and the rate of increase.

    And September is very different to March in those respects.

    What I support is giving people advice and guidelines but letting them have choice and responsibility.

    And if that leads to people getting infected then that is what will happen with the benefit of greater herd immunity to those people who make more careful choices.
    Choice and responsibility in Britain will lead to hundreds of thousands of deaths and the NHS getting overwhelmed.
    I doubt it.

    But its time for more choice and responsibility.

    We cannot damage people's health, the education of the young, the economy and society as a whole to save fat slobs who have done nothing to improve their health and lifestyle during the last six months.
    Choice and responsibility with the new pubs curfew has made the situation worse and not better.

    We don't follow the rules, that is the problem. And that's why comparisons to Sweden are pointless, because they follow their rules.

    We need another lockdown.
    Some people don't follow the rules, that's always been the case.

    But most do - which is why people now wear masks in shops whereas they didn't before the rule changed.

    By having another lockdown you damage people's health, you damage the education of the young, you damage the economy, you damage society as a whole.

    And its the people who follow the rules who would be damaged, not those who break the rules.

    How much damage are you prepared to do ?
    We're already in a hole - and it's getting worse.

    May as well get the inevitable hard job over quickly.
    You're assuming it would be over let alone over quickly.

    And for that you seem to be prepared to accept any level of damage to people's health, to the education of the young, to the economy and to society as whole.
  • OldKingColeOldKingCole Posts: 33,463

    MaxPB said:

    MaxPB said:

    This 10PM curfew nonsense is going to do absolutely sod all and we're going to have to get tougher.

    Close the pubs completely, seems the next step

    For whatever reason Boris is following the same racheting up as March i.e. here are some new rules, please try and modify your behaviour, because if you don't I will have to ground you.

    I don't get it. I would have banned things household mixing.
    The problem now is that we will never have the same following of the rules we had in the past.

    This is why opening up so quickly was a poor decision and I think I said so at the time.

    They should have stuck with outdoor meeting in small groups and left it at that.
    The increase in infections are directly caused by the return of schools and universities.

    You could shut down the rest of the country and that infection increase would still have happened.
    Then shut down the schools as well then.

    I think we're headed for a full lockdown anyway
    What level of infections and deaths are you prepared to accept rather than having a full lockdown ?

    And how much damage to people's health, the economy and society in general from a full lockdown are you prepared to accept ?
    Well if we continue as we are we're headed for a repeat of March.

    The R consistently below 1 and cases not rising would be a good start, so let's get back to where we were sometime in June. Just after the first lockdown - and then keep the rules strictly in place.

    I would have a full second lockdown and then allow only meetings outdoors for a while
    If things continue - though actually the rate of increase is much slower than in March and is also concentrated among the least vulnerable.

    Plus some things are very different to March - knowledge about infection and treatment are greater, there is no PPE problem, testing is almost infinitely superior and hopefully more care is being taken with care homes.

    And with a lockdown comes costs - cost to people's health, costs to the economy, costs to education, costs to society as a whole.

    That's a trade off people need to be open about and willing to accept.
    Things are not very different to March.

    Cases are rising exponentially so given enough time we will be back to where we were in March.

    What would you like to do?
    But not all exponentially is the same - they vary depending on the initial starting point and the rate of increase.

    And September is very different to March in those respects.

    What I support is giving people advice and guidelines but letting them have choice and responsibility.

    And if that leads to people getting infected then that is what will happen with the benefit of greater herd immunity to those people who make more careful choices.
    Choice and responsibility in Britain will lead to hundreds of thousands of deaths and the NHS getting overwhelmed.
    I doubt it.

    But its time for more choice and responsibility.

    We cannot damage people's health, the education of the young, the economy and society as a whole to save fat slobs who have done nothing to improve their health and lifestyle during the last six months.
    Choice and responsibility with the new pubs curfew has made the situation worse and not better.

    We don't follow the rules, that is the problem. And that's why comparisons to Sweden are pointless, because they follow their rules.

    We need another lockdown.
    No, the pubs situation has been to take away people's choice which is why it's a disaster. People who would go home from 10pm to midnight now all have to leave at 10pm and it's causing overcrowding in the transport system and on the streets.

    Removing choice has never worked.
    The pubs policy is a disaster I agree but the solution is now to close the pubs entirely.
    No it isn't, that's a drastic overreaction which would put thousands of businesses and a million jobs in jeopardy. We just needed to enforce the rule of 6, have a proper contact tracing app and table service. It works in Italy and Germany.
    I think there needed to be restrictions on household mixing. Its no good having 6 people round one day, a different 6 the next.

    Also, i think there is this weird belief that you are safe if you are outside. It is definitely safer, but we have seen outbreaks from pub beer gardens. And i see it all the time, outside a shop, no masks, stand there chatting in a group, then they whip out their mask to then go into it.
    Enforced social distancing meetings outside, up to 6 people (or less) at most. That's what we should have and should have had since end of lockdown, IMHO
    I must say it would be very difficult the dance the way we did back in 50's and 60's. Getting up close and personal was the object of the exercise!
  • This 10PM curfew nonsense is going to do absolutely sod all and we're going to have to get tougher.

    Close the pubs completely, seems the next step

    For whatever reason Boris is following the same racheting up as March i.e. here are some new rules, please try and modify your behaviour, because if you don't I will have to ground you.

    I don't get it. I would have banned things household mixing.
    The problem now is that we will never have the same following of the rules we had in the past.

    This is why opening up so quickly was a poor decision and I think I said so at the time.

    They should have stuck with outdoor meeting in small groups and left it at that.
    The increase in infections are directly caused by the return of schools and universities.

    You could shut down the rest of the country and that infection increase would still have happened.
    Then shut down the schools as well then.

    I think we're headed for a full lockdown anyway
    What level of infections and deaths are you prepared to accept rather than having a full lockdown ?

    And how much damage to people's health, the economy and society in general from a full lockdown are you prepared to accept ?
    Well if we continue as we are we're headed for a repeat of March.

    The R consistently below 1 and cases not rising would be a good start, so let's get back to where we were sometime in June. Just after the first lockdown - and then keep the rules strictly in place.

    I would have a full second lockdown and then allow only meetings outdoors for a while
    If things continue - though actually the rate of increase is much slower than in March and is also concentrated among the least vulnerable.

    Plus some things are very different to March - knowledge about infection and treatment are greater, there is no PPE problem, testing is almost infinitely superior and hopefully more care is being taken with care homes.

    And with a lockdown comes costs - cost to people's health, costs to the economy, costs to education, costs to society as a whole.

    That's a trade off people need to be open about and willing to accept.
    Things are not very different to March.

    Cases are rising exponentially so given enough time we will be back to where we were in March.

    What would you like to do?
    But not all exponentially is the same - they vary depending on the initial starting point and the rate of increase.

    And September is very different to March in those respects.

    What I support is giving people advice and guidelines but letting them have choice and responsibility.

    And if that leads to people getting infected then that is what will happen with the benefit of greater herd immunity to those people who make more careful choices.
    Choice and responsibility in Britain will lead to hundreds of thousands of deaths and the NHS getting overwhelmed.
    I doubt it.

    But its time for more choice and responsibility.

    We cannot damage people's health, the education of the young, the economy and society as a whole to save fat slobs who have done nothing to improve their health and lifestyle during the last six months.
    Choice and responsibility with the new pubs curfew has made the situation worse and not better.

    We don't follow the rules, that is the problem. And that's why comparisons to Sweden are pointless, because they follow their rules.

    We need another lockdown.
    Some people don't follow the rules, that's always been the case.

    But most do - which is why people now wear masks in shops whereas they didn't before the rule changed.

    By having another lockdown you damage people's health, you damage the education of the young, you damage the economy, you damage society as a whole.

    And its the people who follow the rules who would be damaged, not those who break the rules.

    How much damage are you prepared to do ?
    We're already in a hole - and it's getting worse.

    May as well get the inevitable hard job over quickly.
    You're assuming it would be over let alone over quickly.

    And for that you seem to be prepared to accept any level of damage to people's health, to the education of the young, to the economy and to society as whole.
    Economy is in the toilet already and long term all these things will be damaged more by COVID and its impacts if we don't get it under control now
  • MaxPB said:

    This 10PM curfew nonsense is going to do absolutely sod all and we're going to have to get tougher.

    Close the pubs completely, seems the next step

    For whatever reason Boris is following the same racheting up as March i.e. here are some new rules, please try and modify your behaviour, because if you don't I will have to ground you.

    I don't get it. I would have banned things household mixing.
    The problem now is that we will never have the same following of the rules we had in the past.

    This is why opening up so quickly was a poor decision and I think I said so at the time.

    They should have stuck with outdoor meeting in small groups and left it at that.
    The increase in infections are directly caused by the return of schools and universities.

    You could shut down the rest of the country and that infection increase would still have happened.
    Then shut down the schools as well then.

    I think we're headed for a full lockdown anyway
    What level of infections and deaths are you prepared to accept rather than having a full lockdown ?

    And how much damage to people's health, the economy and society in general from a full lockdown are you prepared to accept ?
    Well if we continue as we are we're headed for a repeat of March.

    The R consistently below 1 and cases not rising would be a good start, so let's get back to where we were sometime in June. Just after the first lockdown - and then keep the rules strictly in place.

    I would have a full second lockdown and then allow only meetings outdoors for a while
    If things continue - though actually the rate of increase is much slower than in March and is also concentrated among the least vulnerable.

    Plus some things are very different to March - knowledge about infection and treatment are greater, there is no PPE problem, testing is almost infinitely superior and hopefully more care is being taken with care homes.

    And with a lockdown comes costs - cost to people's health, costs to the economy, costs to education, costs to society as a whole.

    That's a trade off people need to be open about and willing to accept.
    Things are not very different to March.

    Cases are rising exponentially so given enough time we will be back to where we were in March.

    What would you like to do?
    But not all exponentially is the same - they vary depending on the initial starting point and the rate of increase.

    And September is very different to March in those respects.

    What I support is giving people advice and guidelines but letting them have choice and responsibility.

    And if that leads to people getting infected then that is what will happen with the benefit of greater herd immunity to those people who make more careful choices.
    Choice and responsibility in Britain will lead to hundreds of thousands of deaths and the NHS getting overwhelmed.
    I doubt it.

    But its time for more choice and responsibility.

    We cannot damage people's health, the education of the young, the economy and society as a whole to save fat slobs who have done nothing to improve their health and lifestyle during the last six months.
    Choice and responsibility with the new pubs curfew has made the situation worse and not better.

    We don't follow the rules, that is the problem. And that's why comparisons to Sweden are pointless, because they follow their rules.

    We need another lockdown.
    No, the pubs situation has been to take away people's choice which is why it's a disaster. People who would go home from 10pm to midnight now all have to leave at 10pm and it's causing overcrowding in the transport system and on the streets.

    Removing choice has never worked.
    I wonder if they were thinking in terms of 'old blokes down the local pub' rather than the '18-30 crowd' in city centres.
  • felixfelix Posts: 15,164
    OllyT said:

    Not sure people are getting the message that the plague is back...

    https://twitter.com/charliehtweets/status/1309605815125454848?s=19

    Johnson's authority is collapsing by the hour....
    From Day 1 10% of the population have behaved irresponsibly, ignored the rules and not given a damn whether they spread the disease. This is nothing new. Don't assume that it is what the majority of people are doing.
    You are identifying correctly the Twitter/Westminster/PB bubble effect. In pandemics most people get on with doing the right thing while the idiots who like the sounds of their own voices make a lot of noise and do a fair bit of damage. Exactly the same here in Spain.
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 49,868

    Good piece by Graham Brady in Telegraph.


    "We risk forsaking liberties so many died to preserve"

    "Suddenly we were "flattening the curve" instead. Now we have moved from "flattening the second hump of the camel" to "suppressing the virus until we have a vaccine" within a week. All of this has been decided behind closed doors without parliamentary debate or approval."

    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/opinion/2020/09/26/risk-forsaking-liberties-many-died-preserve/



    Parliaments must debate these restrictions on our lives.



    I'm in favour, I suppose, of Parliament voting on any new COVID-19 restrictions. But let's have less of this "people died for these freedoms" stuff. I do have relatives who died in WW2, as I suspect most of us do. I think it unlikely, and offensive, to suggest that they died in order that I could have 5 people to dinner.
    Surely they died for you to be able to exercise your own judgement on how many people you have to dinner, based on the circumstances as you see them.

    And not be dictated to by, in one case, a person with a large financial interest in a certain policy.
    I doubt it. Restrictions on how many people you have to dinner is a first-world 21st centuiry problem. Not having half the people in your city killed by enemy action (one relative starved in the siege of Leningrad), not having the whole of Asia enslaved (another was executed after capture by the Japanese) were 20th century problems. I have no idea what my lost relatives would have thought about dinner party restrictions. But we do not represent our lost families fairly by calling them in aid to whatever political thoughts we may be having. Let's all give WW2 parallels a rest except in cases of actual mass murder.

    Including our 1940 obsessed PM whose knee jerk reaction when asked about Italy and Germany v the UK was to wibble on about freedom
  • BarnesianBarnesian Posts: 8,604
    edited September 2020

    Mahoosive Tory lead I reckon
    LibDem lead thanks to passing our new Universal Basic Income policy
    LibDem conference has just passed a motion making LibDem policy federalism rather than devolution for the UK. I.e. power given upwards rather than downwards. Distinct from Tory and Labour positions and might appeal more in Scotland and Wales.
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 50,366
    felix said:

    OllyT said:

    Not sure people are getting the message that the plague is back...

    https://twitter.com/charliehtweets/status/1309605815125454848?s=19

    Johnson's authority is collapsing by the hour....
    From Day 1 10% of the population have behaved irresponsibly, ignored the rules and not given a damn whether they spread the disease. This is nothing new. Don't assume that it is what the majority of people are doing.
    You are identifying correctly the Twitter/Westminster/PB bubble effect. In pandemics most people get on with doing the right thing while the idiots who like the sounds of their own voices make a lot of noise and do a fair bit of damage. Exactly the same here in Spain.
    It is interesting (for example) to look at the "panic photos" of people in parks etc.

    In 99% of them, small groups, multiple metres apart.
  • Pulpstar said:

    MaxPB said:

    Excellent. It's about time that parliament got a say on the biggest issue facing the country. The way the executive gas overriden parliamentary sovereignty on this is extremely worrying. Good to know there are still MPs with a spine in the house.
    I'm happy with parliament getting a vote on the measures. Starmer will consider the measures on their merits; Corbyn would probably have opposed the Gov't just for the sake of it even that wasn't in line with the national good.
    Interestingly, I think such a vote would benefit Labour. Currently, they would whip to support the measures and would, I think, get virtually all to support the whip. By contrast, the Tories may look divided with several backbenchers opposing the measures.
  • RochdalePioneersRochdalePioneers Posts: 28,902
    edited September 2020
    Another couple having a look around our house. We had a buyer for all of 3 days - we accepted an offer. Then lockdown & Sunak and the lass suddenly is likely to lose her job so she pulled out. I also went up to Aberdeenshire this week to have a look at the house palace we want to buy. Should be mega stressful this house buying, but the happy pills leave me chilled out :)
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 50,366
    Barnesian said:

    Mahoosive Tory lead I reckon
    LibDem lead thanks to passing our new Universal Basic Income policy
    LibDem conference has just passed a motion making LibDem policy federalism rather than devolution for the UK. I.e. power given upwards rather than downwards. Distinct from Tory and Labour positions and might appeal more in Scotland and Wales.
    What level of UBI are they talking about.

    One way that the politicians love to row back on UBI, is on the universality. Keep lots of there benefits to fiddle with...

    My view is a single replacement for

    1) The tax free allowance
    2) Benefit
    3) State pension

    Paid monthly, directly by the state.
  • FishingFishing Posts: 5,052

    Good piece by Graham Brady in Telegraph.


    "We risk forsaking liberties so many died to preserve"

    "Suddenly we were "flattening the curve" instead. Now we have moved from "flattening the second hump of the camel" to "suppressing the virus until we have a vaccine" within a week. All of this has been decided behind closed doors without parliamentary debate or approval."

    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/opinion/2020/09/26/risk-forsaking-liberties-many-died-preserve/



    Parliaments must debate these restrictions on our lives.



    I'm in favour, I suppose, of Parliament voting on any new COVID-19 restrictions. But let's have less of this "people died for these freedoms" stuff. I do have relatives who died in WW2, as I suspect most of us do. I think it unlikely, and offensive, to suggest that they died in order that I could have 5 people to dinner.
    Surely they died for you to be able to exercise your own judgement on how many people you have to dinner, based on the circumstances as you see them.

    And not be dictated to by, in one case, a person with a large financial interest in a certain policy.
    I doubt it. Restrictions on how many people you have to dinner is a first-world 21st centuiry problem. Not having half the people in your city killed by enemy action (one relative starved in the siege of Leningrad), not having the whole of Asia enslaved (another was executed after capture by the Japanese) were 20th century problems. I have no idea what my lost relatives would have thought about dinner party restrictions. But we do not represent our lost families fairly by calling them in aid to whatever political thoughts we may be having. Let's all give WW2 parallels a rest except in cases of actual mass murder.

    I agree. Everybody does it though.

    I've heard neo-Nazis saying that the cold war means that Hitler was right, Communists saying that the Soviet Union won it single-handedly, the French pretending they liberated themselves, British Conservatives saying that 1940 is all that matters, British socialists saying that it somehow validates state intervention in everything. Brexiteers say it shows we can go it alone, Remainers say that the Polish pilots in Fighter Command show we need Europe ....

    However, I don't think there's the slightest chance that people will stop referring to be bits of it that suit whatever point they're pushing. World War 2 is such a vast subject that you can get more or less whatever moral you want out of it anyway.
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,205

    Another couple having a look around our house. We had a buyer for all of 3 days - we accepted an offer. Then lockdown & Sunak and the lass suddenly is likely to lose her job so she pulled out. I also went up to Aberdeenshire this week to have a look at the house palace we want to buy. Should be mega stressful this house buying, but the happy pills leave me chilled out :)

    Your property looks correctly priced if it's the one I think it is on Rightmove, it'll sell if there's anyone at all looking to buy a 3? bed semi in your area.
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 49,868

    MaxPB said:

    MaxPB said:

    This 10PM curfew nonsense is going to do absolutely sod all and we're going to have to get tougher.

    Close the pubs completely, seems the next step

    For whatever reason Boris is following the same racheting up as March i.e. here are some new rules, please try and modify your behaviour, because if you don't I will have to ground you.

    I don't get it. I would have banned things household mixing.
    The problem now is that we will never have the same following of the rules we had in the past.

    This is why opening up so quickly was a poor decision and I think I said so at the time.

    They should have stuck with outdoor meeting in small groups and left it at that.
    The increase in infections are directly caused by the return of schools and universities.

    You could shut down the rest of the country and that infection increase would still have happened.
    Then shut down the schools as well then.

    I think we're headed for a full lockdown anyway
    What level of infections and deaths are you prepared to accept rather than having a full lockdown ?

    And how much damage to people's health, the economy and society in general from a full lockdown are you prepared to accept ?
    Well if we continue as we are we're headed for a repeat of March.

    The R consistently below 1 and cases not rising would be a good start, so let's get back to where we were sometime in June. Just after the first lockdown - and then keep the rules strictly in place.

    I would have a full second lockdown and then allow only meetings outdoors for a while
    If things continue - though actually the rate of increase is much slower than in March and is also concentrated among the least vulnerable.

    Plus some things are very different to March - knowledge about infection and treatment are greater, there is no PPE problem, testing is almost infinitely superior and hopefully more care is being taken with care homes.

    And with a lockdown comes costs - cost to people's health, costs to the economy, costs to education, costs to society as a whole.

    That's a trade off people need to be open about and willing to accept.
    Things are not very different to March.

    Cases are rising exponentially so given enough time we will be back to where we were in March.

    What would you like to do?
    But not all exponentially is the same - they vary depending on the initial starting point and the rate of increase.

    And September is very different to March in those respects.

    What I support is giving people advice and guidelines but letting them have choice and responsibility.

    And if that leads to people getting infected then that is what will happen with the benefit of greater herd immunity to those people who make more careful choices.
    Choice and responsibility in Britain will lead to hundreds of thousands of deaths and the NHS getting overwhelmed.
    I doubt it.

    But its time for more choice and responsibility.

    We cannot damage people's health, the education of the young, the economy and society as a whole to save fat slobs who have done nothing to improve their health and lifestyle during the last six months.
    Choice and responsibility with the new pubs curfew has made the situation worse and not better.

    We don't follow the rules, that is the problem. And that's why comparisons to Sweden are pointless, because they follow their rules.

    We need another lockdown.
    No, the pubs situation has been to take away people's choice which is why it's a disaster. People who would go home from 10pm to midnight now all have to leave at 10pm and it's causing overcrowding in the transport system and on the streets.

    Removing choice has never worked.
    The pubs policy is a disaster I agree but the solution is now to close the pubs entirely.
    No it isn't, that's a drastic overreaction which would put thousands of businesses and a million jobs in jeopardy. We just needed to enforce the rule of 6, have a proper contact tracing app and table service. It works in Italy and Germany.
    I think there needed to be restrictions on household mixing. Its no good having 6 people round one day, a different 6 the next.

    Also, i think there is this weird belief that you are safe if you are outside. It is definitely safer, but we have seen outbreaks from pub beer gardens. And i see it all the time, outside a shop, no masks, stand there chatting in a group, then they whip out their mask to then go into it.
    No other country has fiddled about with rules for how many people we can meet where and when. That should tell us something
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 49,868

    OllyT said:

    Not sure people are getting the message that the plague is back...

    https://twitter.com/charliehtweets/status/1309605815125454848?s=19

    Johnson's authority is collapsing by the hour....
    From Day 1 10% of the population have behaved irresponsibly, ignored the rules and not given a damn whether they spread the disease. This is nothing new. Don't assume that it is what the majority of people are doing.
    Quite.

    I have a friend, for example, who in between damning the government/scientists, invites likeminded friends and their families round for BBQs, parties etc. And has done through the lockdown.

    Quite simply, he is one of those people who existence is affirmed by socialisation. If there isn't something happening with him at the centre, then he doesn't feel he exists.

    Same for his holidays to slightly unusual destinations - a complex plot of air miles, vouchers and upgrades. Unless he has got his holiday to Guatemala (say), complete with discounts and upgrades, his life is part empty.

    What is interesting, when talking to him, is how the blame slides off.
    Clearly you know Sean better than the rest of us
  • This 10PM curfew nonsense is going to do absolutely sod all and we're going to have to get tougher.

    Close the pubs completely, seems the next step

    For whatever reason Boris is following the same racheting up as March i.e. here are some new rules, please try and modify your behaviour, because if you don't I will have to ground you.

    I don't get it. I would have banned things household mixing.
    The problem now is that we will never have the same following of the rules we had in the past.

    This is why opening up so quickly was a poor decision and I think I said so at the time.

    They should have stuck with outdoor meeting in small groups and left it at that.
    The increase in infections are directly caused by the return of schools and universities.

    You could shut down the rest of the country and that infection increase would still have happened.
    Then shut down the schools as well then.

    I think we're headed for a full lockdown anyway
    What level of infections and deaths are you prepared to accept rather than having a full lockdown ?

    And how much damage to people's health, the economy and society in general from a full lockdown are you prepared to accept ?
    Well if we continue as we are we're headed for a repeat of March.

    The R consistently below 1 and cases not rising would be a good start, so let's get back to where we were sometime in June. Just after the first lockdown - and then keep the rules strictly in place.

    I would have a full second lockdown and then allow only meetings outdoors for a while
    If things continue - though actually the rate of increase is much slower than in March and is also concentrated among the least vulnerable.

    Plus some things are very different to March - knowledge about infection and treatment are greater, there is no PPE problem, testing is almost infinitely superior and hopefully more care is being taken with care homes.

    And with a lockdown comes costs - cost to people's health, costs to the economy, costs to education, costs to society as a whole.

    That's a trade off people need to be open about and willing to accept.
    Things are not very different to March.

    Cases are rising exponentially so given enough time we will be back to where we were in March.

    What would you like to do?
    But not all exponentially is the same - they vary depending on the initial starting point and the rate of increase.

    And September is very different to March in those respects.

    What I support is giving people advice and guidelines but letting them have choice and responsibility.

    And if that leads to people getting infected then that is what will happen with the benefit of greater herd immunity to those people who make more careful choices.
    Choice and responsibility in Britain will lead to hundreds of thousands of deaths and the NHS getting overwhelmed.
    I doubt it.

    But its time for more choice and responsibility.

    We cannot damage people's health, the education of the young, the economy and society as a whole to save fat slobs who have done nothing to improve their health and lifestyle during the last six months.
    Choice and responsibility with the new pubs curfew has made the situation worse and not better.

    We don't follow the rules, that is the problem. And that's why comparisons to Sweden are pointless, because they follow their rules.

    We need another lockdown.
    Some people don't follow the rules, that's always been the case.

    But most do - which is why people now wear masks in shops whereas they didn't before the rule changed.

    By having another lockdown you damage people's health, you damage the education of the young, you damage the economy, you damage society as a whole.

    And its the people who follow the rules who would be damaged, not those who break the rules.

    How much damage are you prepared to do ?
    We're already in a hole - and it's getting worse.

    May as well get the inevitable hard job over quickly.
    You're assuming it would be over let alone over quickly.

    And for that you seem to be prepared to accept any level of damage to people's health, to the education of the young, to the economy and to society as whole.
    Economy is in the toilet already and long term all these things will be damaged more by COVID and its impacts if we don't get it under control now
    Again you are both assuming that covid will go away with another lockdown and ignoring all the damage another lockdown would cause.

    And no, the economy is not in the toilet - it has been damaged but is recovering. Another lockdown will cause more damage. That damage means people losing their jobs.

    Why should people lose their jobs, why should people's health be damaged, why should the young have the education disrupted just so that fat slobs have a slightly reduced chance of dying in the next few months ?
  • BarnesianBarnesian Posts: 8,604
    edited September 2020

    Barnesian said:

    Mahoosive Tory lead I reckon
    LibDem lead thanks to passing our new Universal Basic Income policy
    LibDem conference has just passed a motion making LibDem policy federalism rather than devolution for the UK. I.e. power given upwards rather than downwards. Distinct from Tory and Labour positions and might appeal more in Scotland and Wales.
    What level of UBI are they talking about.

    One way that the politicians love to row back on UBI, is on the universality. Keep lots of there benefits to fiddle with...

    My view is a single replacement for

    1) The tax free allowance
    2) Benefit
    3) State pension

    Paid monthly, directly by the state.
    The key is removing conditionality. It is for everyone, regardless of wealth or income, like access to the NHS or schools. Of course much of it it will be clawed back from the well-off by taxation.

    I agree there shouldn't be lots of additional means-tested benefits. Keep it simple.

    The LibDem vote was on a policy motion i.e. the principle of UBI. The detailed proposals on the level and financing of it will come much later in a costed manifesto for the next election.
  • novanova Posts: 692

    Barnesian said:

    Mahoosive Tory lead I reckon
    LibDem lead thanks to passing our new Universal Basic Income policy
    LibDem conference has just passed a motion making LibDem policy federalism rather than devolution for the UK. I.e. power given upwards rather than downwards. Distinct from Tory and Labour positions and might appeal more in Scotland and Wales.
    What level of UBI are they talking about.

    One way that the politicians love to row back on UBI, is on the universality. Keep lots of there benefits to fiddle with...

    My view is a single replacement for

    1) The tax free allowance
    2) Benefit
    3) State pension

    Paid monthly, directly by the state.
    If it replaces all benefits, then it would have to be high enough to live on, and take into account children, disabilities etc.

    You've then created a non-means tested universal benefit. Very brave :)
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 50,366
    IanB2 said:

    OllyT said:

    Not sure people are getting the message that the plague is back...

    https://twitter.com/charliehtweets/status/1309605815125454848?s=19

    Johnson's authority is collapsing by the hour....
    From Day 1 10% of the population have behaved irresponsibly, ignored the rules and not given a damn whether they spread the disease. This is nothing new. Don't assume that it is what the majority of people are doing.
    Quite.

    I have a friend, for example, who in between damning the government/scientists, invites likeminded friends and their families round for BBQs, parties etc. And has done through the lockdown.

    Quite simply, he is one of those people who existence is affirmed by socialisation. If there isn't something happening with him at the centre, then he doesn't feel he exists.

    Same for his holidays to slightly unusual destinations - a complex plot of air miles, vouchers and upgrades. Unless he has got his holiday to Guatemala (say), complete with discounts and upgrades, his life is part empty.

    What is interesting, when talking to him, is how the blame slides off.
    Clearly you know Sean better than the rest of us
    Ha.

    No. It interesting to see such fault lines in people. Someone who is generous to a fault, outgoing, friendly, helpful etc. suddenly fractures selfishly (in effect) on the issue of self isolation.

    I'm told by a trick cyclist of my aquaintance that this isn't uncommon - it's to do with how people measure their self image internally, IIRC.
  • This 10PM curfew nonsense is going to do absolutely sod all and we're going to have to get tougher.

    Close the pubs completely, seems the next step

    For whatever reason Boris is following the same racheting up as March i.e. here are some new rules, please try and modify your behaviour, because if you don't I will have to ground you.

    I don't get it. I would have banned things household mixing.
    The problem now is that we will never have the same following of the rules we had in the past.

    This is why opening up so quickly was a poor decision and I think I said so at the time.

    They should have stuck with outdoor meeting in small groups and left it at that.
    The increase in infections are directly caused by the return of schools and universities.

    You could shut down the rest of the country and that infection increase would still have happened.
    Then shut down the schools as well then.

    I think we're headed for a full lockdown anyway
    What level of infections and deaths are you prepared to accept rather than having a full lockdown ?

    And how much damage to people's health, the economy and society in general from a full lockdown are you prepared to accept ?
    Well if we continue as we are we're headed for a repeat of March.

    The R consistently below 1 and cases not rising would be a good start, so let's get back to where we were sometime in June. Just after the first lockdown - and then keep the rules strictly in place.

    I would have a full second lockdown and then allow only meetings outdoors for a while
    If things continue - though actually the rate of increase is much slower than in March and is also concentrated among the least vulnerable.

    Plus some things are very different to March - knowledge about infection and treatment are greater, there is no PPE problem, testing is almost infinitely superior and hopefully more care is being taken with care homes.

    And with a lockdown comes costs - cost to people's health, costs to the economy, costs to education, costs to society as a whole.

    That's a trade off people need to be open about and willing to accept.
    Things are not very different to March.

    Cases are rising exponentially so given enough time we will be back to where we were in March.

    What would you like to do?
    But not all exponentially is the same - they vary depending on the initial starting point and the rate of increase.

    And September is very different to March in those respects.

    What I support is giving people advice and guidelines but letting them have choice and responsibility.

    And if that leads to people getting infected then that is what will happen with the benefit of greater herd immunity to those people who make more careful choices.
    Choice and responsibility in Britain will lead to hundreds of thousands of deaths and the NHS getting overwhelmed.
    I doubt it.

    But its time for more choice and responsibility.

    We cannot damage people's health, the education of the young, the economy and society as a whole to save fat slobs who have done nothing to improve their health and lifestyle during the last six months.
    Choice and responsibility with the new pubs curfew has made the situation worse and not better.

    We don't follow the rules, that is the problem. And that's why comparisons to Sweden are pointless, because they follow their rules.

    We need another lockdown.
    Some people don't follow the rules, that's always been the case.

    But most do - which is why people now wear masks in shops whereas they didn't before the rule changed.

    By having another lockdown you damage people's health, you damage the education of the young, you damage the economy, you damage society as a whole.

    And its the people who follow the rules who would be damaged, not those who break the rules.

    How much damage are you prepared to do ?
    We're already in a hole - and it's getting worse.

    May as well get the inevitable hard job over quickly.
    You're assuming it would be over let alone over quickly.

    And for that you seem to be prepared to accept any level of damage to people's health, to the education of the young, to the economy and to society as whole.
    Economy is in the toilet already and long term all these things will be damaged more by COVID and its impacts if we don't get it under control now
    Again you are both assuming that covid will go away with another lockdown and ignoring all the damage another lockdown would cause.

    And no, the economy is not in the toilet - it has been damaged but is recovering. Another lockdown will cause more damage. That damage means people losing their jobs.

    Why should people lose their jobs, why should people's health be damaged, why should the young have the education disrupted just so that fat slobs have a slightly reduced chance of dying in the next few months ?
    The economy is not recovering now COVID is going back up again
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 51,703
    edited September 2020

    This 10PM curfew nonsense is going to do absolutely sod all and we're going to have to get tougher.

    Close the pubs completely, seems the next step

    For whatever reason Boris is following the same racheting up as March i.e. here are some new rules, please try and modify your behaviour, because if you don't I will have to ground you.

    I don't get it. I would have banned things household mixing.
    The problem now is that we will never have the same following of the rules we had in the past.

    This is why opening up so quickly was a poor decision and I think I said so at the time.

    They should have stuck with outdoor meeting in small groups and left it at that.
    The increase in infections are directly caused by the return of schools and universities.

    You could shut down the rest of the country and that infection increase would still have happened.
    Then shut down the schools as well then.

    I think we're headed for a full lockdown anyway
    What level of infections and deaths are you prepared to accept rather than having a full lockdown ?

    And how much damage to people's health, the economy and society in general from a full lockdown are you prepared to accept ?
    Well if we continue as we are we're headed for a repeat of March.

    The R consistently below 1 and cases not rising would be a good start, so let's get back to where we were sometime in June. Just after the first lockdown - and then keep the rules strictly in place.

    I would have a full second lockdown and then allow only meetings outdoors for a while
    If things continue - though actually the rate of increase is much slower than in March and is also concentrated among the least vulnerable.

    Plus some things are very different to March - knowledge about infection and treatment are greater, there is no PPE problem, testing is almost infinitely superior and hopefully more care is being taken with care homes.

    And with a lockdown comes costs - cost to people's health, costs to the economy, costs to education, costs to society as a whole.

    That's a trade off people need to be open about and willing to accept.
    Things are not very different to March.

    Cases are rising exponentially so given enough time we will be back to where we were in March.

    What would you like to do?
    But not all exponentially is the same - they vary depending on the initial starting point and the rate of increase.

    And September is very different to March in those respects.

    What I support is giving people advice and guidelines but letting them have choice and responsibility.

    And if that leads to people getting infected then that is what will happen with the benefit of greater herd immunity to those people who make more careful choices.
    Choice and responsibility in Britain will lead to hundreds of thousands of deaths and the NHS getting overwhelmed.
    I doubt it.

    But its time for more choice and responsibility.

    We cannot damage people's health, the education of the young, the economy and society as a whole to save fat slobs who have done nothing to improve their health and lifestyle during the last six months.
    Choice and responsibility with the new pubs curfew has made the situation worse and not better.

    We don't follow the rules, that is the problem. And that's why comparisons to Sweden are pointless, because they follow their rules.

    We need another lockdown.
    Some people don't follow the rules, that's always been the case.

    But most do - which is why people now wear masks in shops whereas they didn't before the rule changed.

    By having another lockdown you damage people's health, you damage the education of the young, you damage the economy, you damage society as a whole.

    And its the people who follow the rules who would be damaged, not those who break the rules.

    How much damage are you prepared to do ?
    We're already in a hole - and it's getting worse.

    May as well get the inevitable hard job over quickly.
    You're assuming it would be over let alone over quickly.

    And for that you seem to be prepared to accept any level of damage to people's health, to the education of the young, to the economy and to society as whole.
    Economy is in the toilet already and long term all these things will be damaged more by COVID and its impacts if we don't get it under control now
    Again you are both assuming that covid will go away with another lockdown and ignoring all the damage another lockdown would cause.

    And no, the economy is not in the toilet - it has been damaged but is recovering. Another lockdown will cause more damage. That damage means people losing their jobs.

    Why should people lose their jobs, why should people's health be damaged, why should the young have the education disrupted just so that fat slobs have a slightly reduced chance of dying in the next few months ?
    How much do you think the economy would be affected by the policy of doing nothing?
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 49,868
    edited September 2020
    nova said:

    Barnesian said:

    Mahoosive Tory lead I reckon
    LibDem lead thanks to passing our new Universal Basic Income policy
    LibDem conference has just passed a motion making LibDem policy federalism rather than devolution for the UK. I.e. power given upwards rather than downwards. Distinct from Tory and Labour positions and might appeal more in Scotland and Wales.
    What level of UBI are they talking about.

    One way that the politicians love to row back on UBI, is on the universality. Keep lots of there benefits to fiddle with...

    My view is a single replacement for

    1) The tax free allowance
    2) Benefit
    3) State pension

    Paid monthly, directly by the state.
    If it replaces all benefits, then it would have to be high enough to live on, and take into account children, disabilities etc.

    You've then created a non-means tested universal benefit. Very brave :)
    I havent studied the LD policy, but surely the logic is to hand it to everyone and take it back in tax from the majority who don't need it
    Link the system to electoral registration, and another problem solved
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 49,868
    I am sitting here in warm sunshine high above Bergamo with a hundred mile view from the terrace of a Michelin starred restaurant, and nothing I am reading here makes me want to hurry home. Sadly on Monday we will be heading north
  • This 10PM curfew nonsense is going to do absolutely sod all and we're going to have to get tougher.

    Close the pubs completely, seems the next step

    For whatever reason Boris is following the same racheting up as March i.e. here are some new rules, please try and modify your behaviour, because if you don't I will have to ground you.

    I don't get it. I would have banned things household mixing.
    The problem now is that we will never have the same following of the rules we had in the past.

    This is why opening up so quickly was a poor decision and I think I said so at the time.

    They should have stuck with outdoor meeting in small groups and left it at that.
    The increase in infections are directly caused by the return of schools and universities.

    You could shut down the rest of the country and that infection increase would still have happened.
    Then shut down the schools as well then.

    I think we're headed for a full lockdown anyway
    What level of infections and deaths are you prepared to accept rather than having a full lockdown ?

    And how much damage to people's health, the economy and society in general from a full lockdown are you prepared to accept ?
    Well if we continue as we are we're headed for a repeat of March.

    The R consistently below 1 and cases not rising would be a good start, so let's get back to where we were sometime in June. Just after the first lockdown - and then keep the rules strictly in place.

    I would have a full second lockdown and then allow only meetings outdoors for a while
    If things continue - though actually the rate of increase is much slower than in March and is also concentrated among the least vulnerable.

    Plus some things are very different to March - knowledge about infection and treatment are greater, there is no PPE problem, testing is almost infinitely superior and hopefully more care is being taken with care homes.

    And with a lockdown comes costs - cost to people's health, costs to the economy, costs to education, costs to society as a whole.

    That's a trade off people need to be open about and willing to accept.
    Things are not very different to March.

    Cases are rising exponentially so given enough time we will be back to where we were in March.

    What would you like to do?
    But not all exponentially is the same - they vary depending on the initial starting point and the rate of increase.

    And September is very different to March in those respects.

    What I support is giving people advice and guidelines but letting them have choice and responsibility.

    And if that leads to people getting infected then that is what will happen with the benefit of greater herd immunity to those people who make more careful choices.
    Choice and responsibility in Britain will lead to hundreds of thousands of deaths and the NHS getting overwhelmed.
    I doubt it.

    But its time for more choice and responsibility.

    We cannot damage people's health, the education of the young, the economy and society as a whole to save fat slobs who have done nothing to improve their health and lifestyle during the last six months.
    Choice and responsibility with the new pubs curfew has made the situation worse and not better.

    We don't follow the rules, that is the problem. And that's why comparisons to Sweden are pointless, because they follow their rules.

    We need another lockdown.
    Some people don't follow the rules, that's always been the case.

    But most do - which is why people now wear masks in shops whereas they didn't before the rule changed.

    By having another lockdown you damage people's health, you damage the education of the young, you damage the economy, you damage society as a whole.

    And its the people who follow the rules who would be damaged, not those who break the rules.

    How much damage are you prepared to do ?
    We're already in a hole - and it's getting worse.

    May as well get the inevitable hard job over quickly.
    You're assuming it would be over let alone over quickly.

    And for that you seem to be prepared to accept any level of damage to people's health, to the education of the young, to the economy and to society as whole.
    Economy is in the toilet already and long term all these things will be damaged more by COVID and its impacts if we don't get it under control now
    Again you are both assuming that covid will go away with another lockdown and ignoring all the damage another lockdown would cause.

    And no, the economy is not in the toilet - it has been damaged but is recovering. Another lockdown will cause more damage. That damage means people losing their jobs.

    Why should people lose their jobs, why should people's health be damaged, why should the young have the education disrupted just so that fat slobs have a slightly reduced chance of dying in the next few months ?
    The economy is not recovering now COVID is going back up again
    You are obsessed.

    You seem unwilling to accept that life is about trade-offs.

    Education, health, the economy and society in general are all to be ruined by an authoritarian obsession with covid.
  • FishingFishing Posts: 5,052

    IanB2 said:

    OllyT said:

    Not sure people are getting the message that the plague is back...

    https://twitter.com/charliehtweets/status/1309605815125454848?s=19

    Johnson's authority is collapsing by the hour....
    From Day 1 10% of the population have behaved irresponsibly, ignored the rules and not given a damn whether they spread the disease. This is nothing new. Don't assume that it is what the majority of people are doing.
    Quite.

    I have a friend, for example, who in between damning the government/scientists, invites likeminded friends and their families round for BBQs, parties etc. And has done through the lockdown.

    Quite simply, he is one of those people who existence is affirmed by socialisation. If there isn't something happening with him at the centre, then he doesn't feel he exists.

    Same for his holidays to slightly unusual destinations - a complex plot of air miles, vouchers and upgrades. Unless he has got his holiday to Guatemala (say), complete with discounts and upgrades, his life is part empty.

    What is interesting, when talking to him, is how the blame slides off.
    Clearly you know Sean better than the rest of us
    Ha.

    No. It interesting to see such fault lines in people. Someone who is generous to a fault, outgoing, friendly, helpful etc. suddenly fractures selfishly (in effect) on the issue of self isolation.

    I'm told by a trick cyclist of my aquaintance that this isn't uncommon - it's to do with how people measure their self image internally, IIRC.
    Does he have any good tips for free upgrades?

    Asking for a friend. Who happens to be going to Mexico next month.
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 50,366
    Barnesian said:

    Barnesian said:

    Mahoosive Tory lead I reckon
    LibDem lead thanks to passing our new Universal Basic Income policy
    LibDem conference has just passed a motion making LibDem policy federalism rather than devolution for the UK. I.e. power given upwards rather than downwards. Distinct from Tory and Labour positions and might appeal more in Scotland and Wales.
    What level of UBI are they talking about.

    One way that the politicians love to row back on UBI, is on the universality. Keep lots of there benefits to fiddle with...

    My view is a single replacement for

    1) The tax free allowance
    2) Benefit
    3) State pension

    Paid monthly, directly by the state.
    The key is removing conditionality. It is for everyone, regardless of wealth or income, like access to the NHS or schools. Of course much of it it will be clawed back from the well-off by taxation.

    I agree there shouldn't be lots of additional means-tested benefits. Keep it simple.

    The LibDem vote was on a policy motion i.e. the principle of UBI. The detailed proposals on the level and financing of it will come much later in a costed manifesto for the next election.
    The problem that will occur, then, is this - In the policy drafting stages, lots of special interests will start adding in exemptions for their "pet" benefit.

    After a few rounds, UBI will just be another benefit.

    I call this phenomenon "NASA glove syndrome" - every year NASA invites designs, experiments etc on space suit gloves. Every year (these days) gloves based on the mechanical counter pressure concept win. Every year these ideas are "fixed" by the existing space suit mafia. Who reject all counter pressure systems on principle.

    The resulting impasse is part of the reason that NASA can't field new space suits.
  • This 10PM curfew nonsense is going to do absolutely sod all and we're going to have to get tougher.

    Close the pubs completely, seems the next step

    For whatever reason Boris is following the same racheting up as March i.e. here are some new rules, please try and modify your behaviour, because if you don't I will have to ground you.

    I don't get it. I would have banned things household mixing.
    The problem now is that we will never have the same following of the rules we had in the past.

    This is why opening up so quickly was a poor decision and I think I said so at the time.

    They should have stuck with outdoor meeting in small groups and left it at that.
    The increase in infections are directly caused by the return of schools and universities.

    You could shut down the rest of the country and that infection increase would still have happened.
    Then shut down the schools as well then.

    I think we're headed for a full lockdown anyway
    What level of infections and deaths are you prepared to accept rather than having a full lockdown ?

    And how much damage to people's health, the economy and society in general from a full lockdown are you prepared to accept ?
    Well if we continue as we are we're headed for a repeat of March.

    The R consistently below 1 and cases not rising would be a good start, so let's get back to where we were sometime in June. Just after the first lockdown - and then keep the rules strictly in place.

    I would have a full second lockdown and then allow only meetings outdoors for a while
    If things continue - though actually the rate of increase is much slower than in March and is also concentrated among the least vulnerable.

    Plus some things are very different to March - knowledge about infection and treatment are greater, there is no PPE problem, testing is almost infinitely superior and hopefully more care is being taken with care homes.

    And with a lockdown comes costs - cost to people's health, costs to the economy, costs to education, costs to society as a whole.

    That's a trade off people need to be open about and willing to accept.
    Things are not very different to March.

    Cases are rising exponentially so given enough time we will be back to where we were in March.

    What would you like to do?
    But not all exponentially is the same - they vary depending on the initial starting point and the rate of increase.

    And September is very different to March in those respects.

    What I support is giving people advice and guidelines but letting them have choice and responsibility.

    And if that leads to people getting infected then that is what will happen with the benefit of greater herd immunity to those people who make more careful choices.
    Choice and responsibility in Britain will lead to hundreds of thousands of deaths and the NHS getting overwhelmed.
    I doubt it.

    But its time for more choice and responsibility.

    We cannot damage people's health, the education of the young, the economy and society as a whole to save fat slobs who have done nothing to improve their health and lifestyle during the last six months.
    Choice and responsibility with the new pubs curfew has made the situation worse and not better.

    We don't follow the rules, that is the problem. And that's why comparisons to Sweden are pointless, because they follow their rules.

    We need another lockdown.
    Some people don't follow the rules, that's always been the case.

    But most do - which is why people now wear masks in shops whereas they didn't before the rule changed.

    By having another lockdown you damage people's health, you damage the education of the young, you damage the economy, you damage society as a whole.

    And its the people who follow the rules who would be damaged, not those who break the rules.

    How much damage are you prepared to do ?
    We're already in a hole - and it's getting worse.

    May as well get the inevitable hard job over quickly.
    You're assuming it would be over let alone over quickly.

    And for that you seem to be prepared to accept any level of damage to people's health, to the education of the young, to the economy and to society as whole.
    Economy is in the toilet already and long term all these things will be damaged more by COVID and its impacts if we don't get it under control now
    Again you are both assuming that covid will go away with another lockdown and ignoring all the damage another lockdown would cause.

    And no, the economy is not in the toilet - it has been damaged but is recovering. Another lockdown will cause more damage. That damage means people losing their jobs.

    Why should people lose their jobs, why should people's health be damaged, why should the young have the education disrupted just so that fat slobs have a slightly reduced chance of dying in the next few months ?
    The economy is not recovering now COVID is going back up again
    You are obsessed.

    You seem unwilling to accept that life is about trade-offs.

    Education, health, the economy and society in general are all to be ruined by an authoritarian obsession with covid.
    If we do nothing, the virus is going to get worse, kill thousands of people and it's going to destroy the economy. I am not willing to let that happen
  • BarnesianBarnesian Posts: 8,604
    It looks like the LibDems are going for distinctive, even risky, policies that are different for the other parties. Universal Basic Income, decriminalising possession of drugs, bottom up federalism.

    The common factor is supporting personal autonomy - taking back control at a personal level. With many people feeling they no longer have control over their lives it could be a popular underlying theme for the LibDems. That's what the LibDems are for - helping you take back control of your life.
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 50,366
    Fishing said:

    IanB2 said:

    OllyT said:

    Not sure people are getting the message that the plague is back...

    https://twitter.com/charliehtweets/status/1309605815125454848?s=19

    Johnson's authority is collapsing by the hour....
    From Day 1 10% of the population have behaved irresponsibly, ignored the rules and not given a damn whether they spread the disease. This is nothing new. Don't assume that it is what the majority of people are doing.
    Quite.

    I have a friend, for example, who in between damning the government/scientists, invites likeminded friends and their families round for BBQs, parties etc. And has done through the lockdown.

    Quite simply, he is one of those people who existence is affirmed by socialisation. If there isn't something happening with him at the centre, then he doesn't feel he exists.

    Same for his holidays to slightly unusual destinations - a complex plot of air miles, vouchers and upgrades. Unless he has got his holiday to Guatemala (say), complete with discounts and upgrades, his life is part empty.

    What is interesting, when talking to him, is how the blame slides off.
    Clearly you know Sean better than the rest of us
    Ha.

    No. It interesting to see such fault lines in people. Someone who is generous to a fault, outgoing, friendly, helpful etc. suddenly fractures selfishly (in effect) on the issue of self isolation.

    I'm told by a trick cyclist of my aquaintance that this isn't uncommon - it's to do with how people measure their self image internally, IIRC.
    Does he have any good tips for free upgrades?

    Asking for a friend. Who happens to be going to Mexico next month.
    Without asking him, it involves juggling your flights to optimise air miles, and taking advantage of various credit card air mile offers. Multiplier offers are apparently a big thing.

    One trick is to pick a suitable credit card(s) and put all your spending through that - even if you have the cash in hand.

    I knew a chap who fell down that rabbit hole and got caught doing the following - loading his prepay credit card (Revolut type thing) from his premium credit card. Lots of spending. Then transferring the money from his pre-pay to his bank account and from there paying the balance on his credit card. A washing machine for air miles. And, I believe, fraudulent.
  • Before the Sunak worshiping gets out of hand...

    "In the words of Nobel economist Chris Pissarides, we are witnessing one of the worst policy mistakes in British economic history."

    Telegraph.
  • Barnesian said:

    bottom up federalism.

    You mean top down unionism.
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 49,868

    This 10PM curfew nonsense is going to do absolutely sod all and we're going to have to get tougher.

    Close the pubs completely, seems the next step

    For whatever reason Boris is following the same racheting up as March i.e. here are some new rules, please try and modify your behaviour, because if you don't I will have to ground you.

    I don't get it. I would have banned things household mixing.
    The problem now is that we will never have the same following of the rules we had in the past.

    This is why opening up so quickly was a poor decision and I think I said so at the time.

    They should have stuck with outdoor meeting in small groups and left it at that.
    The increase in infections are directly caused by the return of schools and universities.

    You could shut down the rest of the country and that infection increase would still have happened.
    Then shut down the schools as well then.

    I think we're headed for a full lockdown anyway
    What level of infections and deaths are you prepared to accept rather than having a full lockdown ?

    And how much damage to people's health, the economy and society in general from a full lockdown are you prepared to accept ?
    Well if we continue as we are we're headed for a repeat of March.

    The R consistently below 1 and cases not rising would be a good start, so let's get back to where we were sometime in June. Just after the first lockdown - and then keep the rules strictly in place.

    I would have a full second lockdown and then allow only meetings outdoors for a while
    If things continue - though actually the rate of increase is much slower than in March and is also concentrated among the least vulnerable.

    Plus some things are very different to March - knowledge about infection and treatment are greater, there is no PPE problem, testing is almost infinitely superior and hopefully more care is being taken with care homes.

    And with a lockdown comes costs - cost to people's health, costs to the economy, costs to education, costs to society as a whole.

    That's a trade off people need to be open about and willing to accept.
    Things are not very different to March.

    Cases are rising exponentially so given enough time we will be back to where we were in March.

    What would you like to do?
    But not all exponentially is the same - they vary depending on the initial starting point and the rate of increase.

    And September is very different to March in those respects.

    What I support is giving people advice and guidelines but letting them have choice and responsibility.

    And if that leads to people getting infected then that is what will happen with the benefit of greater herd immunity to those people who make more careful choices.
    Choice and responsibility in Britain will lead to hundreds of thousands of deaths and the NHS getting overwhelmed.
    I doubt it.

    But its time for more choice and responsibility.

    We cannot damage people's health, the education of the young, the economy and society as a whole to save fat slobs who have done nothing to improve their health and lifestyle during the last six months.
    Choice and responsibility with the new pubs curfew has made the situation worse and not better.

    We don't follow the rules, that is the problem. And that's why comparisons to Sweden are pointless, because they follow their rules.

    We need another lockdown.
    Some people don't follow the rules, that's always been the case.

    But most do - which is why people now wear masks in shops whereas they didn't before the rule changed.

    By having another lockdown you damage people's health, you damage the education of the young, you damage the economy, you damage society as a whole.

    And its the people who follow the rules who would be damaged, not those who break the rules.

    How much damage are you prepared to do ?
    We're already in a hole - and it's getting worse.

    May as well get the inevitable hard job over quickly.
    You're assuming it would be over let alone over quickly.

    And for that you seem to be prepared to accept any level of damage to people's health, to the education of the young, to the economy and to society as whole.
    Economy is in the toilet already and long term all these things will be damaged more by COVID and its impacts if we don't get it under control now
    Again you are both assuming that covid will go away with another lockdown and ignoring all the damage another lockdown would cause.

    And no, the economy is not in the toilet - it has been damaged but is recovering. Another lockdown will cause more damage. That damage means people losing their jobs.

    Why should people lose their jobs, why should people's health be damaged, why should the young have the education disrupted just so that fat slobs have a slightly reduced chance of dying in the next few months ?
    The economy is not recovering now COVID is going back up again
    You are obsessed.

    You seem unwilling to accept that life is about trade-offs.

    Education, health, the economy and society in general are all to be ruined by an authoritarian obsession with covid.
    If we do nothing, the virus is going to get worse, kill thousands of people and it's going to destroy the economy. I am not willing to let that happen
    Haven't you noticed the negligible death rate amongst those of economically active age?
This discussion has been closed.