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Biden’s national poll lead remains and the swing state surveys are looking positive – politicalbetti
Biden’s national poll lead remains and the swing state surveys are looking positive – politicalbetting.com
Latest WH2020 national polling trend chart from @FiveThirtyEight pic.twitter.com/VIQPQIBTRa
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FPT Today, British people were invited to enjoy the spectacle of Johnson shutting pubs – for an hour – and the irony of being hectored that they are “in the last chance saloon” by the very people who herded them back to the saloon and bought them half-price lunches there.
So like 30% chance it swings >2% left, 30% chance it swings 2%> right, 40% chance it stays where it's been for months and Biden is massive, incredible, unbelievable value, no??? What is it about the general consensus that you're disagreeing with? Or do you just want the threads to spend more time saying that although the value is obviously with Biden, it wouldn't be too weird if you made the value bet and lost?
"Stay at home to protect the NHS" was a huge mistake. As I've mentioned a couple of times, I'm very glad this was not the mantra in Germany.
I’m simply saying that PB is underrating the chance of a significant Biden wind, mainly due to shell shock from 2016z
She fell over in her garden a couple of weeks ago, went to hospital for a precautionary x-ray, caught the rona there and was dead 11 days later.
I mention this not to solicit sympathy or commiserations but make two illustrative points. To those who advocate letting it rip because it mainly affects older people I offer a hearty FUCK YOU. Secondly, my mother was usually very careful with hygiene, etc but obviously not careful enough so it behooves us all to take all sensible precautions at all times and never relent.
Some of the actions taken to protect the NHS, such as clearing elderly patients into care homes without testing, proved highly damaging to what should have been the ‘end’, being protecting people and patients.
--AS
I am currently running a clinical audit to see how well our PPE and distancing measures worked in outpatients during the first wave. There is a balance needed to see people but not put them at further risk.
MrEd's resonings are so blatantly pro-Trump and unrealistic. There are maybe a couple more in this category.
RCS makes lots of good points but I still get the impression he is at about 50%
HYUFD is putting huge weight on "the best pollsters last time will be the best pollsters this time" which is misreading the level of ramdomness in pollster's performance (and especially as Rasmussen has over the years been shown to be consistently biassed pro Republican).
The rest of us seem to be of the view 50-50% is a good value bet, possibly one of the best consistently available und justifiable political betting opportunities for years.
Those advocating letting old people die because it’s good for the economy need to ask themselves some difficult questions.
A very good point made in sorrow too about the importance of hygiene for protecting others not just yourself.
The government has been deprofessionalising my calling for years, and too many doctors have collaborated with the rise of poorly supervised non medical clinicians.
And I couldn't care less about reports about developed countries getting access to the vaccines first. No shit Sherlock, we as developed nations also developed the vaccines and will no doubt for a while now be using our aid budgets, charity, foundations etc to pay for vaccines in the less developed world.
Any time you fly you get told if the oxygen mask drops put your own mask on first and then assist with others. Same thing here.
The key is going to be how effectively the potentially more serious issues can be triaged remotely.
Having just spent a couple of hours reading what Fleet Street's finest have to say this morning, I'm now completely convinced that the UK media has either totally lost the plot, or are secretly hoping for another full lockdown and tens of thousands more deaths.
Time to log off for the day and enjoy the sunshine before I get driven mad.
Your last sentence is very, very true. Personal family experience etc.
https://www.amazon.co.uk/s?k=pulse+oximeters&sprefix=pulse&ref=nb_sb_ss_ts-ap-p_1_5
It is why they would be rather miffed if they knew of a big story involving someone important behaving very badly, but were prevented for some legal reason from reporting it. Just as well that isn’t the case, then.
So is the incidence of this much lower than perceived or is my experience typical of the "iceberg" where a number of my friends are somewhat unsure if the bug they had was the virus or not and never sought medical help?
Great for mountaineering, private flying and those visiting high altitudes.
So protect the NHS morphs into "empty the hospitals", and once that is done, turning the ship around becomes very very difficult.
I was talking with someone about testing. Apparently, the "must ration testing" mantra in the early days of the epidemic became another organisation goal.
The argument for telemedicine is really one of efficiency and convenience for both parties rather than the quality of care. There needs to be some trade off, but we should recognise what we are losing too.
And I strongly agree with both your illustrative points.
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2020/09/22/stockholm-mulls-local-restrictions-worrying-infection-signs/
Surely when it comes to the development of vaccines we all have an interest in all countries succeeding. Surely when it comes to track and trace, there is nothing to be gained from having a better system then your neighbours. You need them all to be good, if they are not it presents a risk. If a country finds something that works you share it for the benefit of all.
If the government simply aimed to discover, develop and implement the best possible protection for its citizens, we might do better.
A relation in the Channel Islands has been offered a phone consultation with a specialist on the mainland, but a request, by the patient, for it to take place by some form of video was refused.
The UK has actually been pretty good participating in international efforts to fund and distribute vaccines.
Trump is, unsurprisingly, acting like an arse.
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/sep/01/us-covid-19-vaccine-refuses-international-effort-coronavirus
World beating things the UK has developed, like our best in the world testing capacity and our best in the world vaccine orders help develop testing procedures and vaccine capabilities that can apply elsewhere too.
There absolutely is something to be gained from seeking to have a better system than your neighbours, both for you and your neighbours. Especially if they're trying to be the best too then they are innovating and improving which you can learn from. This doesn't mean sabotaging others.
Competition is fantastic.
I am very grateful for his attention and alertness but I honestly do not believe this would have happened on a video consultation. When I do these with my own work you just don't get the same level of feedback, its much harder to be confident that the client understands what you are saying and is making a properly informed choice. I think doctors, especially those dealing with chronic conditions, would find it even harder.
- solid early travel restrictions, when it actually mattered
- good clear nationwide communications
- proactive test and trace, using rapid pool testing as an initial screen
- mandatory masks
- previous experience of handling infection disease by population and healthcare workers
- three weeks’ tight lockdown, and again when a second wave loomed
- forced quarantine of all suspected cases
- youthful population
I send you and your family my deepest sympathy and thoughts
And it does highlight just how vulnerable my wife, who is also 81, and I are to catching it due to an innocent hospital admission
Surely if the clue was your not having contacted the doctor about anything for ages, the same clue would have triggered had you suddenly requested a video cons?
Thankfully the Italian singing to your neighbours out of your windows did not.
It seems to be a fairly common phenomenon that the readings start to go haywire if the batteries aren’t on good order.
But the devices certainly aren’t infallible anyway.
Video is a lot better than telephone. I have done remote court hearings by both now and telephone is hopeless for anything more than procedural stuff. But it is still way short of being able to read your decision maker properly.
His comment about how liberals have got used to a left leaning court was just astounding. Even ignoring that the GOP have lost the popular vote every time bar one since '88 there is the fact that the SC had had a majority of justices appointed by Republicans since 1970. For 50 years it has been a majority Republican appointed court.
The Romney is pretending stealing Obama's pick and then shoving through someone now is redressing a longstanding imbalance is vomit inducing shit.
Accurate temperature, BP and O2 saturation add a lot to a remote consultation in times of COVID19.