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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Why the Johnson/Cummings “ignore the treaty” move sets bad pre

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  • Options
    CyclefreeCyclefree Posts: 25,205
    rpjs said:

    Cyclefree said:

    MaxPB said:

    HYUFD said:

    MaxPB said:

    Scott_xP said:
    Very interested to see whether we get a typical Boris U-turn under these kind of circumstances, or whether it's Cummings-protected territory.

    Either way, it ensures another few weeks of bad headlines and more erosion of support.
    You think the UK government standing up for the UK is a bad headline? Interesting.
    UK government breaks law is a very, very poor headline. Even my fairly staunchly conservative dad has been pretty concerned about this latest turn of events, he was a member for 35 years and has voted Conservative since he was of voting age. If they're losing his vote to Starmer "he seems to be more reasonable" then the party is in serious trouble. He voted Tory in 1997, Boris is losing his vote with this stuff. I've already decided not to vote Tory if Boris leads the party into the next election, but I admit my vote is atypical, but my dad is basically core middle England aspirational working class voter personified. Losing his vote means Boris is losing millions elsewhere in the country.
    The Tories got 43.6% at GE19, they are on 40% today, a small swing to Starmer Labour yes but hardly losing millions across the country on a 1997 scale

    https://twitter.com/britainelects/status/1303356183508668419?s=20
    We're not at 2024 yet and this is today's news, it's not going to be in the polling. Hand on heart, this is the first time in my voting life I won't be voting Tory if Boris is still there. I couldn't bring myself to support the party any more.

    Backsliding on international agreements is a really, really bad look for any government. It's what people expect from China, not the UK. What's your personal view on it?
    And this is why we get screwed over. The French and the rest of Europe are more than content to backslide if it's in their interests. But us? Oh no we're English it wouldn't be the done thing for us to do what every civilised country elsewhere does too.
    Whatever people have done in the past or will do in the future, as mentioned by many posters on here today, when it comes to international law this is not done openly or as a point of pride. This posture belongs to a Trumpian politics that may be short-lived, leaving Britain isolated.
    The whole world can see this is a part of Brexit. Any country that has undergone its own independence will have had far bigger ructions than this.

    The French cheerfully disregard the rules they've signed up to whenever they want. Do you honestly think that if the French were in our position they wouldn't do the exact same thing?
    When Slovakia and the Czech Republic broke away from each other to become independent, did they announce that they would break their agreements and international law?
    Actually, the Czechs did violate their breakup agreement with the Slovaks. The two countries agreed that neither would inherit or use the national symbols of Czechoslovakia, but the Czechs decided to keep the Czechoslovak national flag. They claimed not to be in violation of the agreement because they changed the colour tones slightly and used a different length to breadth proportion. The Slovaks didn’t agree and protested, but they decided not to take it further.
    Interesting, thank you.
  • Options
    Barnesian said:

    Cyclefree said:



    So even Government ministers worry about this action.

    Yet they do nothing, cowardice

    They don’t worry about legality. So they’ll fold.

    The only Tory MP who today, both inside and outside Parliament, spoke with any shred of integrity and understanding was Sir Bob Neill.
    I would almost add Mrs May to that list of one.
    Thank goodness she's not PM anymore.
    As you know, I am not a Conservative, but I would happily agree to another 25 years of a Mrs May Government over another 25 days of the Dangerous Brothers (Johnson and Cummings).
    That kind of says it all doesn't it?
    What it says is despite not approving of Mrs May, she is preferable to Johnson. I am scared stiff as to what Johnson is doing to my country.
    Whereas I'm delighted. Considering we have opposing POVs on politics that's quite reasonable.

    Boris is shaping up to be the best PM since Thatcher.
    Philip - I know you are enjoying this but don't push it too far!
    It's not difficult to be fair.

    In reverse order:
    May and Brown were unmitigated disasters.
    Blair was a reverse Midas, he seemed fine at the time but everything he touched turned to shit.
    Major was fine but weak.
    Cameron was good.

    So the only question to me is if Boris will end up between Major and Cameron or best of the bunch.
  • Options
    The numbers must be looking bad, Boris is doing a "daily" presser.
  • Options
    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 116,992
    edited September 2020

    https://twitter.com/MsHelicat/status/1303428999662776322?s=19

    No indoors or outdoors, so i guess that means restarting of attending sports and arts in person is now off again.

    Social gatherings of more than 6 both indoors and outdoors to be banned from Monday Boris to announce tomorrow in private homes, pubs, restaurants and even the park so yes that also means an end to live audiences for sports and arts and weddings of more than 6. Fines of £100 for breach.

    Have invited 30 to our wedding next March and livestreaming for the rest so hopefully will have ended by then otherwise we will livestream for virtually everyone bar parents
  • Options
    Scott_xP said:
    You want Dominic Raab in charge instead?.
  • Options
    alex_ said:

    Cyclefree said:

    MaxPB said:

    HYUFD said:

    MaxPB said:

    Scott_xP said:
    Very interested to see whether we get a typical Boris U-turn under these kind of circumstances, or whether it's Cummings-protected territory.

    Either way, it ensures another few weeks of bad headlines and more erosion of support.
    You think the UK government standing up for the UK is a bad headline? Interesting.
    UK government breaks law is a very, very poor headline. Even my fairly staunchly conservative dad has been pretty concerned about this latest turn of events, he was a member for 35 years and has voted Conservative since he was of voting age. If they're losing his vote to Starmer "he seems to be more reasonable" then the party is in serious trouble. He voted Tory in 1997, Boris is losing his vote with this stuff. I've already decided not to vote Tory if Boris leads the party into the next election, but I admit my vote is atypical, but my dad is basically core middle England aspirational working class voter personified. Losing his vote means Boris is losing millions elsewhere in the country.
    The Tories got 43.6% at GE19, they are on 40% today, a small swing to Starmer Labour yes but hardly losing millions across the country on a 1997 scale

    https://twitter.com/britainelects/status/1303356183508668419?s=20
    We're not at 2024 yet and this is today's news, it's not going to be in the polling. Hand on heart, this is the first time in my voting life I won't be voting Tory if Boris is still there. I couldn't bring myself to support the party any more.

    Backsliding on international agreements is a really, really bad look for any government. It's what people expect from China, not the UK. What's your personal view on it?
    And this is why we get screwed over. The French and the rest of Europe are more than content to backslide if it's in their interests. But us? Oh no we're English it wouldn't be the done thing for us to do what every civilised country elsewhere does too.
    Whatever people have done in the past or will do in the future, as mentioned by many posters on here today, when it comes to international law this is not done openly or as a point of pride. This posture belongs to a Trumpian politics that may be short-lived, leaving Britain isolated.
    The whole world can see this is a part of Brexit. Any country that has undergone its own independence will have had far bigger ructions than this.

    The French cheerfully disregard the rules they've signed up to whenever they want. Do you honestly think that if the French were in our position they wouldn't do the exact same thing?
    When Slovakia and the Czech Republic broke away from each other to become independent, did they announce that they would break their agreements and international law?
    Well it kills another argument against Scottish Independence. That they would have to take on their fair share of assets and liabilities (including national debt) post independence.

    But then of course as usual you presumably have no problem with that, being a supporter of Scottish Independence. The fact that the current UK govt would is a matter of supreme indifference to you. They're basically your useful idiots.
    In the end HMG didn't make that argument against Scottish Independence in 2014. Of course the current bunch aren't bound by the commitments of previous governments or leaders, as Eck and Nicola would agree. The current bunch don't seem that bound by their own commitments, mind..

    'Treasury promises to honour UK debts up to date of Scottish independence'

    https://tinyurl.com/j5lpx8y
  • Options
    RobDRobD Posts: 58,964

    https://twitter.com/MsHelicat/status/1303428999662776322?s=19

    No indoors or outdoors, so i guess that means restarting of attending sports and arts in person is now off again.

    Seems sensible. Roll on next year for a vaccine.
  • Options
    Scott_xPScott_xP Posts: 32,938

    You want Dominic Raab in charge instead?.

    If he tells Cummings to fuck off, yes.
  • Options
    BarnesianBarnesian Posts: 7,989

    Does anyone share my view that there might conceivably be a problem in the relationship between Boris and Carrie Symonds? She seems to have been almost totally invisible since the couple first moved into No.10 and I don't even recall the customary Press pictures when they left for or returned from their recent holiday in Scotland.
    I'm probably entirely wrong of course, but it all just seems a tad strange.

    Search Twitter for Zac and Carrie
  • Options
    alex_alex_ Posts: 7,518

    alex_ said:

    Cyclefree said:

    MaxPB said:

    HYUFD said:

    MaxPB said:

    Scott_xP said:
    Very interested to see whether we get a typical Boris U-turn under these kind of circumstances, or whether it's Cummings-protected territory.

    Either way, it ensures another few weeks of bad headlines and more erosion of support.
    You think the UK government standing up for the UK is a bad headline? Interesting.
    UK government breaks law is a very, very poor headline. Even my fairly staunchly conservative dad has been pretty concerned about this latest turn of events, he was a member for 35 years and has voted Conservative since he was of voting age. If they're losing his vote to Starmer "he seems to be more reasonable" then the party is in serious trouble. He voted Tory in 1997, Boris is losing his vote with this stuff. I've already decided not to vote Tory if Boris leads the party into the next election, but I admit my vote is atypical, but my dad is basically core middle England aspirational working class voter personified. Losing his vote means Boris is losing millions elsewhere in the country.
    The Tories got 43.6% at GE19, they are on 40% today, a small swing to Starmer Labour yes but hardly losing millions across the country on a 1997 scale

    https://twitter.com/britainelects/status/1303356183508668419?s=20
    We're not at 2024 yet and this is today's news, it's not going to be in the polling. Hand on heart, this is the first time in my voting life I won't be voting Tory if Boris is still there. I couldn't bring myself to support the party any more.

    Backsliding on international agreements is a really, really bad look for any government. It's what people expect from China, not the UK. What's your personal view on it?
    And this is why we get screwed over. The French and the rest of Europe are more than content to backslide if it's in their interests. But us? Oh no we're English it wouldn't be the done thing for us to do what every civilised country elsewhere does too.
    Whatever people have done in the past or will do in the future, as mentioned by many posters on here today, when it comes to international law this is not done openly or as a point of pride. This posture belongs to a Trumpian politics that may be short-lived, leaving Britain isolated.
    The whole world can see this is a part of Brexit. Any country that has undergone its own independence will have had far bigger ructions than this.

    The French cheerfully disregard the rules they've signed up to whenever they want. Do you honestly think that if the French were in our position they wouldn't do the exact same thing?
    When Slovakia and the Czech Republic broke away from each other to become independent, did they announce that they would break their agreements and international law?
    Well it kills another argument against Scottish Independence. That they would have to take on their fair share of assets and liabilities (including national debt) post independence.

    But then of course as usual you presumably have no problem with that, being a supporter of Scottish Independence. The fact that the current UK govt would is a matter of supreme indifference to you. They're basically your useful idiots.
    In the end HMG didn't make that argument against Scottish Independence in 2014. Of course the current bunch aren't bound by the commitments of previous governments or leaders, as Eck and Nicola would agree. The current bunch don't seem that bound by their own commitments, mind..

    'Treasury promises to honour UK debts up to date of Scottish independence'

    https://tinyurl.com/j5lpx8y
    Not sure that's quite right. They expected Scotland to take on a share of the debt. But they said they'd guarantee them if they refused.
  • Options
    WhisperingOracleWhisperingOracle Posts: 8,503
    edited September 2020
    HYUFD said:

    https://twitter.com/MsHelicat/status/1303428999662776322?s=19

    No indoors or outdoors, so i guess that means restarting of attending sports and arts in person is now off again.

    Social gatherings of more than 6 both indoors and outdoors to be banned from Monday Boris to announce tomorrow in private homes, pubs, restaurants and even the park so yes that also means an end to live audiences for sports and arts and weddings of more than 6. Fines of £100 for breach.

    Have invited 30 to our wedding next March and livestreaming for the rest so hopefully will have ended by then otherwise we will livestream for virtually everyone bar parents
    This is a disaster for the sports, arts, music, and hospitality worlds, just at the moment the furlough scheme is ending. If the government is re-imposing measures, it's going to reasonably come under pressure to change its policy in at least some of these professional areas, debt or not.
  • Options
    From Metro, is unclear, are they going to try and keep pubs open but somewhat ask only groups of 6 or less to form together? That isn't going to fly in anywhere but country pubs that you go to get a sunday lunch.
  • Options
    Nate's a bit behind the curve on this one. A few days ago on here I had already (rather predictably) bashed my head against a brick wall trying to persuade HYUFD of exactly the same point.

    I think the Wisconsin, Michigan, Arizona and NE-2 pick-up option is increasingly looking like Biden's bottom line if the polls turn against him a bit henceforth. Just as good a chance now for Biden as Wisconsin, Michigan and Pennysylvania in my view.

    The relatively unknown quantity in all this is NE-2. It's incredible given its potential importance that there have been just two polls in NE-2 all year. By contrast there have already been 9 conducted in Wisconsin with fieldwork in September.
  • Options

    HYUFD said:

    https://twitter.com/MsHelicat/status/1303428999662776322?s=19

    No indoors or outdoors, so i guess that means restarting of attending sports and arts in person is now off again.

    Social gatherings of more than 6 both indoors and outdoors to be banned from Monday Boris to announce tomorrow in private homes, pubs, restaurants and even the park so yes that also means an end to live audiences for sports and arts and weddings of more than 6. Fines of £100 for breach.

    Have invited 30 to our wedding next March and livestreaming for the rest so hopefully will have ended by then otherwise we will livestream for virtually everyone bar parents
    This is a disaster for the sports, arts and music worlds, just at the moment the furlough scheme is ending. If the government is re-imposing measures, it's going to reasonably come under pressure to change its policy in at least some areas, debt or not.
    Perhaps this is going to be their opportunity to u-turn on furlough scheme without losing face, by claiming it will continue for industries effected by the reimposed measures.
  • Options
    dixiedeandixiedean Posts: 27,964
    RobD said:

    dixiedean said:

    RobD said:

    https://twitter.com/Keir_Starmer/status/1303425166073102339

    The Labour narrative of the next five years is going to be to attempt to do what the Tories did from 2008, 2008 onwards was Labour crashed the car, Labour is going to try incompetence is holding Britain back

    Being at capacity means it is on the verge of collapse? A bit of a stretch!
    It means it is unable to cope with a further increase in demand. Yes.
    But collapse implies it will cease functioning. I don't think that's the case here.
    If the hospitals are "at capacity" and you or I had a heart attack and could not be seen then we would consider it to have collapsed.
    That was very much the situation in Italy at the height of the pandemic.
    It does not mean absolutely no one receives a service.
    Just that it cannot cope with demand.
    That is how I understand it anyways.
  • Options
    RobDRobD Posts: 58,964
    dixiedean said:

    RobD said:

    dixiedean said:

    RobD said:

    https://twitter.com/Keir_Starmer/status/1303425166073102339

    The Labour narrative of the next five years is going to be to attempt to do what the Tories did from 2008, 2008 onwards was Labour crashed the car, Labour is going to try incompetence is holding Britain back

    Being at capacity means it is on the verge of collapse? A bit of a stretch!
    It means it is unable to cope with a further increase in demand. Yes.
    But collapse implies it will cease functioning. I don't think that's the case here.
    If the hospitals are "at capacity" and you or I had a heart attack and could not be seen then we would consider it to have collapsed.
    That was very much the situation in Italy at the height of the pandemic.
    It does not mean absolutely no one receives a service.
    Just that it cannot cope with demand.
    That is how I understand it anyways.
    Seems an odd word to use in that situation. When a building collapses it is not usable, but when a health service does it is?
  • Options
    Sounds like we are basically going back into lockdown in all but name.
  • Options
    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 116,992

    Nate's a bit behind the curve on this one. A few days ago on here I had already (rather predictably) bashed my head against a brick wall trying to persuade HYUFD of exactly the same point.

    I think the Wisconsin, Michigan, Arizona and NE-2 pick-up option is increasingly looking like Biden's bottom line if the polls turn against him a bit henceforth. Just as good a chance now for Biden as Wisconsin, Michigan and Pennysylvania in my view.

    The relatively unknown quantity in all this is NE-2. It's incredible given its potential importance that there have been just two polls in NE-2 all year. By contrast there have already been 9 conducted in Wisconsin with fieldwork in September.
    I don't think I have ever disagreed Wisconsin and Michigan are key must win states for both Biden and Trump
  • Options
    Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 55,328
    edited September 2020
    MaxPB said:

    Scott_xP said:
    Very interested to see whether we get a typical Boris U-turn under these kind of circumstances, or whether it's Cummings-protected territory.

    Either way, it ensures another few weeks of bad headlines and more erosion of support.
    You think the UK government standing up for the UK is a bad headline? Interesting.
    UK government breaks law is a very, very poor headline. Even my fairly staunchly conservative dad has been pretty concerned about this latest turn of events, he was a member for 35 years and has voted Conservative since he was of voting age. If they're losing his vote to Starmer "he seems to be more reasonable" then the party is in serious trouble. He voted Tory in 1997, Boris is losing his vote with this stuff. I've already decided not to vote Tory if Boris leads the party into the next election, but I admit my vote is atypical, but my dad is basically core middle England aspirational working class voter personified. Losing his vote means Boris is losing millions elsewhere in the country.
    I'm not voting Tory if Boris is leader at the next election either.
  • Options
    alex_ said:

    alex_ said:

    Cyclefree said:

    MaxPB said:

    HYUFD said:

    MaxPB said:

    Scott_xP said:
    Very interested to see whether we get a typical Boris U-turn under these kind of circumstances, or whether it's Cummings-protected territory.

    Either way, it ensures another few weeks of bad headlines and more erosion of support.
    You think the UK government standing up for the UK is a bad headline? Interesting.
    UK government breaks law is a very, very poor headline. Even my fairly staunchly conservative dad has been pretty concerned about this latest turn of events, he was a member for 35 years and has voted Conservative since he was of voting age. If they're losing his vote to Starmer "he seems to be more reasonable" then the party is in serious trouble. He voted Tory in 1997, Boris is losing his vote with this stuff. I've already decided not to vote Tory if Boris leads the party into the next election, but I admit my vote is atypical, but my dad is basically core middle England aspirational working class voter personified. Losing his vote means Boris is losing millions elsewhere in the country.
    The Tories got 43.6% at GE19, they are on 40% today, a small swing to Starmer Labour yes but hardly losing millions across the country on a 1997 scale

    https://twitter.com/britainelects/status/1303356183508668419?s=20
    We're not at 2024 yet and this is today's news, it's not going to be in the polling. Hand on heart, this is the first time in my voting life I won't be voting Tory if Boris is still there. I couldn't bring myself to support the party any more.

    Backsliding on international agreements is a really, really bad look for any government. It's what people expect from China, not the UK. What's your personal view on it?
    And this is why we get screwed over. The French and the rest of Europe are more than content to backslide if it's in their interests. But us? Oh no we're English it wouldn't be the done thing for us to do what every civilised country elsewhere does too.
    Whatever people have done in the past or will do in the future, as mentioned by many posters on here today, when it comes to international law this is not done openly or as a point of pride. This posture belongs to a Trumpian politics that may be short-lived, leaving Britain isolated.
    The whole world can see this is a part of Brexit. Any country that has undergone its own independence will have had far bigger ructions than this.

    The French cheerfully disregard the rules they've signed up to whenever they want. Do you honestly think that if the French were in our position they wouldn't do the exact same thing?
    When Slovakia and the Czech Republic broke away from each other to become independent, did they announce that they would break their agreements and international law?
    Well it kills another argument against Scottish Independence. That they would have to take on their fair share of assets and liabilities (including national debt) post independence.

    But then of course as usual you presumably have no problem with that, being a supporter of Scottish Independence. The fact that the current UK govt would is a matter of supreme indifference to you. They're basically your useful idiots.
    In the end HMG didn't make that argument against Scottish Independence in 2014. Of course the current bunch aren't bound by the commitments of previous governments or leaders, as Eck and Nicola would agree. The current bunch don't seem that bound by their own commitments, mind..

    'Treasury promises to honour UK debts up to date of Scottish independence'

    https://tinyurl.com/j5lpx8y
    Not sure that's quite right. They expected Scotland to take on a share of the debt. But they said they'd guarantee them if they refused.
    They said they'd guarantee it 'in all circumstances', not sure how much more unequivocal you can get than that. Anyhoo, now it's different players, different ground, different rules to a degree.
  • Options
    MrEdMrEd Posts: 5,578

    Nate's a bit behind the curve on this one. A few days ago on here I had already (rather predictably) bashed my head against a brick wall trying to persuade HYUFD of exactly the same point.

    I think the Wisconsin, Michigan, Arizona and NE-2 pick-up option is increasingly looking like Biden's bottom line if the polls turn against him a bit henceforth. Just as good a chance now for Biden as Wisconsin, Michigan and Pennysylvania in my view.

    The relatively unknown quantity in all this is NE-2. It's incredible given its potential importance that there have been just two polls in NE-2 all year. By contrast there have already been 9 conducted in Wisconsin with fieldwork in September.
    There was an interview with Trump's new Campaign Manager who said one of the things he is very encouraged by is their internal polling showing an increasing number of people in AZ and NV who see Biden as "very liberal".
  • Options
    alex_alex_ Posts: 7,518

    alex_ said:

    alex_ said:

    Cyclefree said:

    MaxPB said:

    HYUFD said:

    MaxPB said:

    Scott_xP said:
    Very interested to see whether we get a typical Boris U-turn under these kind of circumstances, or whether it's Cummings-protected territory.

    Either way, it ensures another few weeks of bad headlines and more erosion of support.
    You think the UK government standing up for the UK is a bad headline? Interesting.
    UK government breaks law is a very, very poor headline. Even my fairly staunchly conservative dad has been pretty concerned about this latest turn of events, he was a member for 35 years and has voted Conservative since he was of voting age. If they're losing his vote to Starmer "he seems to be more reasonable" then the party is in serious trouble. He voted Tory in 1997, Boris is losing his vote with this stuff. I've already decided not to vote Tory if Boris leads the party into the next election, but I admit my vote is atypical, but my dad is basically core middle England aspirational working class voter personified. Losing his vote means Boris is losing millions elsewhere in the country.
    The Tories got 43.6% at GE19, they are on 40% today, a small swing to Starmer Labour yes but hardly losing millions across the country on a 1997 scale

    https://twitter.com/britainelects/status/1303356183508668419?s=20
    We're not at 2024 yet and this is today's news, it's not going to be in the polling. Hand on heart, this is the first time in my voting life I won't be voting Tory if Boris is still there. I couldn't bring myself to support the party any more.

    Backsliding on international agreements is a really, really bad look for any government. It's what people expect from China, not the UK. What's your personal view on it?
    And this is why we get screwed over. The French and the rest of Europe are more than content to backslide if it's in their interests. But us? Oh no we're English it wouldn't be the done thing for us to do what every civilised country elsewhere does too.
    Whatever people have done in the past or will do in the future, as mentioned by many posters on here today, when it comes to international law this is not done openly or as a point of pride. This posture belongs to a Trumpian politics that may be short-lived, leaving Britain isolated.
    The whole world can see this is a part of Brexit. Any country that has undergone its own independence will have had far bigger ructions than this.

    The French cheerfully disregard the rules they've signed up to whenever they want. Do you honestly think that if the French were in our position they wouldn't do the exact same thing?
    When Slovakia and the Czech Republic broke away from each other to become independent, did they announce that they would break their agreements and international law?
    Well it kills another argument against Scottish Independence. That they would have to take on their fair share of assets and liabilities (including national debt) post independence.

    But then of course as usual you presumably have no problem with that, being a supporter of Scottish Independence. The fact that the current UK govt would is a matter of supreme indifference to you. They're basically your useful idiots.
    In the end HMG didn't make that argument against Scottish Independence in 2014. Of course the current bunch aren't bound by the commitments of previous governments or leaders, as Eck and Nicola would agree. The current bunch don't seem that bound by their own commitments, mind..

    'Treasury promises to honour UK debts up to date of Scottish independence'

    https://tinyurl.com/j5lpx8y
    Not sure that's quite right. They expected Scotland to take on a share of the debt. But they said they'd guarantee them if they refused.
    They said they'd guarantee it 'in all circumstances', not sure how much more unequivocal you can get than that. Anyhoo, now it's different players, different ground, different rules to a degree.
    Well fair enough. I read it as a guarantee in the sense of underwriting it. Banks underwriting debts don't necessarily usually expect to have to pay them.
  • Options
    CyclefreeCyclefree Posts: 25,205

    HYUFD said:

    https://twitter.com/MsHelicat/status/1303428999662776322?s=19

    No indoors or outdoors, so i guess that means restarting of attending sports and arts in person is now off again.

    Social gatherings of more than 6 both indoors and outdoors to be banned from Monday Boris to announce tomorrow in private homes, pubs, restaurants and even the park so yes that also means an end to live audiences for sports and arts and weddings of more than 6. Fines of £100 for breach.

    Have invited 30 to our wedding next March and livestreaming for the rest so hopefully will have ended by then otherwise we will livestream for virtually everyone bar parents
    This is a disaster for the sports, arts, music, and hospitality worlds, just at the moment the furlough scheme is ending. If the government is re-imposing measures, it's going to reasonably come under pressure to change its policy in at least some of these professional areas, debt or not.
    So you can have one table of 6 people. Or 2 tables of 3 or 4 + 2.

    What about a family of 7? Are they meant to split up?
  • Options

    Scott_xP said:
    Cummings didn't want to hear it from Cox, so replaced by a more compliant individual.
    Boris only hires yes-men.
  • Options

    HYUFD said:

    https://twitter.com/MsHelicat/status/1303428999662776322?s=19

    No indoors or outdoors, so i guess that means restarting of attending sports and arts in person is now off again.

    Social gatherings of more than 6 both indoors and outdoors to be banned from Monday Boris to announce tomorrow in private homes, pubs, restaurants and even the park so yes that also means an end to live audiences for sports and arts and weddings of more than 6. Fines of £100 for breach.

    Have invited 30 to our wedding next March and livestreaming for the rest so hopefully will have ended by then otherwise we will livestream for virtually everyone bar parents
    This is a disaster for the sports, arts, music, and hospitality worlds, just at the moment the furlough scheme is ending. If the government is re-imposing measures, it's going to reasonably come under pressure to change its policy in at least some of these professional areas, debt or not.
    I ask again. What is the strategy? We were told it was to save the NHS from being swamped and to flatten the peak. This has been achieved at stunning cost to the economy, people's non-covid health and so on.

    Now ministers have gone straight into panic mode from an mild uptick. Yet as a % of tests the cases are low, and the hospital cases are very low. The NHS sounds virtually empty to me.



  • Options
    Scott_xPScott_xP Posts: 32,938

    They said they'd guarantee it 'in all circumstances', not sure how much more unequivocal you can get than that.

    The White Paper said "Once in a Generation"

    not sure how much more unequivocal you can get than that.
  • Options
    MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 37,607

    MaxPB said:

    Scott_xP said:
    Very interested to see whether we get a typical Boris U-turn under these kind of circumstances, or whether it's Cummings-protected territory.

    Either way, it ensures another few weeks of bad headlines and more erosion of support.
    You think the UK government standing up for the UK is a bad headline? Interesting.
    UK government breaks law is a very, very poor headline. Even my fairly staunchly conservative dad has been pretty concerned about this latest turn of events, he was a member for 35 years and has voted Conservative since he was of voting age. If they're losing his vote to Starmer "he seems to be more reasonable" then the party is in serious trouble. He voted Tory in 1997, Boris is losing his vote with this stuff. I've already decided not to vote Tory if Boris leads the party into the next election, but I admit my vote is atypical, but my dad is basically core middle England aspirational working class voter personified. Losing his vote means Boris is losing millions elsewhere in the country.
    I'm not voting Tory if Boris is leader at the next election either.
    This is what peipleile Philip and HYFUD don't understand, both of us are about as leave as it gets and both of us are naturally conservative, if Boris can't win our votes then he's in serious trouble.
  • Options
    RobDRobD Posts: 58,964
    Cyclefree said:

    HYUFD said:

    https://twitter.com/MsHelicat/status/1303428999662776322?s=19

    No indoors or outdoors, so i guess that means restarting of attending sports and arts in person is now off again.

    Social gatherings of more than 6 both indoors and outdoors to be banned from Monday Boris to announce tomorrow in private homes, pubs, restaurants and even the park so yes that also means an end to live audiences for sports and arts and weddings of more than 6. Fines of £100 for breach.

    Have invited 30 to our wedding next March and livestreaming for the rest so hopefully will have ended by then otherwise we will livestream for virtually everyone bar parents
    This is a disaster for the sports, arts, music, and hospitality worlds, just at the moment the furlough scheme is ending. If the government is re-imposing measures, it's going to reasonably come under pressure to change its policy in at least some of these professional areas, debt or not.
    So you can have one table of 6 people. Or 2 tables of 3 or 4 + 2.

    What about a family of 7? Are they meant to split up?
    As they are a household why would they be split up?
  • Options
    Cyclefree said:

    HYUFD said:

    https://twitter.com/MsHelicat/status/1303428999662776322?s=19

    No indoors or outdoors, so i guess that means restarting of attending sports and arts in person is now off again.

    Social gatherings of more than 6 both indoors and outdoors to be banned from Monday Boris to announce tomorrow in private homes, pubs, restaurants and even the park so yes that also means an end to live audiences for sports and arts and weddings of more than 6. Fines of £100 for breach.

    Have invited 30 to our wedding next March and livestreaming for the rest so hopefully will have ended by then otherwise we will livestream for virtually everyone bar parents
    This is a disaster for the sports, arts, music, and hospitality worlds, just at the moment the furlough scheme is ending. If the government is re-imposing measures, it's going to reasonably come under pressure to change its policy in at least some of these professional areas, debt or not.
    So you can have one table of 6 people. Or 2 tables of 3 or 4 + 2.

    What about a family of 7? Are they meant to split up?
    Says at the bottom of metro about one household if more than 6 is fine.
  • Options
    With the number of people saying they won't vote Tory if Boris is leader, maybe Boris should spend the next three years doing everything he wants to do with his 80 seat majority; fully reset our relations with Europe, set a platform for going forwards, then hand over to Sunak in three years time.

    I could live with that.
  • Options

    MaxPB said:

    Scott_xP said:
    Very interested to see whether we get a typical Boris U-turn under these kind of circumstances, or whether it's Cummings-protected territory.

    Either way, it ensures another few weeks of bad headlines and more erosion of support.
    You think the UK government standing up for the UK is a bad headline? Interesting.
    UK government breaks law is a very, very poor headline. Even my fairly staunchly conservative dad has been pretty concerned about this latest turn of events, he was a member for 35 years and has voted Conservative since he was of voting age. If they're losing his vote to Starmer "he seems to be more reasonable" then the party is in serious trouble. He voted Tory in 1997, Boris is losing his vote with this stuff. I've already decided not to vote Tory if Boris leads the party into the next election, but I admit my vote is atypical, but my dad is basically core middle England aspirational working class voter personified. Losing his vote means Boris is losing millions elsewhere in the country.
    I'm not voting Tory if Boris is leader at the next election either.
    Boris lost me today

    How could any conservative PM seek to break an international treaty

    Shameful
  • Options
    CyclefreeCyclefree Posts: 25,205
    MrBristol said:

    Cyclefree said:

    By the way, how are you doing these days @Cyclefree? I seem to recall you were very down with the whole lockdown thing. Life a little better now hopefully?

    Just a random post (I like to lurk), but a definite shout of to @Cyclefree 's articles - really enjoy them - I thought the 'fisking' one was very good. I too saw your comments earlier in the year and would like to say the articles are definitely appreciated and always give me something to ponder - should have said at the time.

    Only registered to say this.... now back to a lurking like a fish in muddy water :)

    James



    Thank you very much. Really appreciate this.
  • Options
    Scott_xPScott_xP Posts: 32,938

    How could any conservative PM seek to break an international treaty

    Shameful

    He's not a Conservative PM. He purged the Conservatives from the Party.
  • Options
    alex_alex_ Posts: 7,518

    HYUFD said:

    https://twitter.com/MsHelicat/status/1303428999662776322?s=19

    No indoors or outdoors, so i guess that means restarting of attending sports and arts in person is now off again.

    Social gatherings of more than 6 both indoors and outdoors to be banned from Monday Boris to announce tomorrow in private homes, pubs, restaurants and even the park so yes that also means an end to live audiences for sports and arts and weddings of more than 6. Fines of £100 for breach.

    Have invited 30 to our wedding next March and livestreaming for the rest so hopefully will have ended by then otherwise we will livestream for virtually everyone bar parents
    This is a disaster for the sports, arts, music, and hospitality worlds, just at the moment the furlough scheme is ending. If the government is re-imposing measures, it's going to reasonably come under pressure to change its policy in at least some of these professional areas, debt or not.
    I ask again. What is the strategy? We were told it was to save the NHS from being swamped and to flatten the peak. This has been achieved at stunning cost to the economy, people's non-covid health and so on.

    Now ministers have gone straight into panic mode from an mild uptick. Yet as a % of tests the cases are low, and the hospital cases are very low. The NHS sounds virtually empty to me.



    Quite. It's not even as if they are pursuing a strategy of total elimination. Totally unachievable but at least a policy. What did they think was going to happen? That we would somehow bump along at exactly 1000 cases a day for 3 months?

    Even the stuff about localisation seems to have gone out of the window? Where is this big nationwide uptick in cases that justifies shutting everything again countrywide?
  • Options
    Scott_xPScott_xP Posts: 32,938
    BoZo teeing it up nicely for Nicola.

    https://twitter.com/MsHelicat/status/1303443415808520193

    Twat.
  • Options
    RazedabodeRazedabode Posts: 2,977

    MaxPB said:

    Scott_xP said:
    Very interested to see whether we get a typical Boris U-turn under these kind of circumstances, or whether it's Cummings-protected territory.

    Either way, it ensures another few weeks of bad headlines and more erosion of support.
    You think the UK government standing up for the UK is a bad headline? Interesting.
    UK government breaks law is a very, very poor headline. Even my fairly staunchly conservative dad has been pretty concerned about this latest turn of events, he was a member for 35 years and has voted Conservative since he was of voting age. If they're losing his vote to Starmer "he seems to be more reasonable" then the party is in serious trouble. He voted Tory in 1997, Boris is losing his vote with this stuff. I've already decided not to vote Tory if Boris leads the party into the next election, but I admit my vote is atypical, but my dad is basically core middle England aspirational working class voter personified. Losing his vote means Boris is losing millions elsewhere in the country.
    I'm not voting Tory if Boris is leader at the next election either.
    Same. Plus the governemnt as a whole has been an utter shambles
  • Options
    FoxyFoxy Posts: 44,608
    Cyclefree said:

    IshmaelZ said:

    Cyclefree said:

    HYUFD said:

    Cyclefree said:

    HYUFD said:

    Cyclefree said:

    HYUFD said:

    Cyclefree said:

    HYUFD said:

    What does HYUFD stand for

    Nothing in particular
    Never was a truer word spoken.
    Well if you could cut your articles in half to make basically the same points it would help matters too
    When you are editor then you can give me instructions. OGH publishes them because he likes them.

    Perhaps you could offer us a header so that we can see the quality of your writing and thought.
    I give plenty of my writing on here already, a header would not really add much if you want to do one that is up to you but you made the first insult so don't be surprised if it was returned
    You insulted me some time ago and refused to retract despite me asking you to do so. You did it again at the time of the VE celebrations this year. I have simply bided my time for the right opportunity.

    I don’t consider your opinion on my headers an insult.

    Comments below the line are not remotely comparable to constructing and writing an argument capable of being read by someone with an attention span longer than a gnat.

    No doubt an article from you on opinion polls would be of interest to some.
    I have never personally insulted you to my knowledge at all, you may disagree with what I have posted but that is not the same thing or my opinion of your views on an issue but that is not the same thing either.

    I have too much to do in terms of work and being branch party chairman and in my personal life to research and write lots of article headers here, if you wish to do so fine but posts is all I will do

    You have. But since I have now responded to my satisfaction, I consider the matter over.

    Fair enough re headers. Not everyone has the time or inclination. One small piece of advice: it is very easy to criticise but much harder to do, something you might bear in mind in future.
    "You may abuse a tragedy, though you cannot write one. You may scold a carpenter who has made you a bad table, though you cannot make a table. It is not your trade to make tables." Samuel Johnson

    To publish anything is to invite criticism, surely? That is rather the point. And most of your headers seem to be about how irredeemably awful something or other is, so I would have thought a sauce for the goose argument applied.
    Oh I don’t mind criticism in the slightest. Here I write to provoke and stimulate debate.

    On my own blog I write very differently.
    Having written a few headers myself, it is difficult to curtail a line of argument, and there is often a need for supporting citations to a point. OGH is great at writing short punchy headers, but it is an art.
  • Options
    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 116,992
    edited September 2020
    MaxPB said:

    MaxPB said:

    Scott_xP said:
    Very interested to see whether we get a typical Boris U-turn under these kind of circumstances, or whether it's Cummings-protected territory.

    Either way, it ensures another few weeks of bad headlines and more erosion of support.
    You think the UK government standing up for the UK is a bad headline? Interesting.
    UK government breaks law is a very, very poor headline. Even my fairly staunchly conservative dad has been pretty concerned about this latest turn of events, he was a member for 35 years and has voted Conservative since he was of voting age. If they're losing his vote to Starmer "he seems to be more reasonable" then the party is in serious trouble. He voted Tory in 1997, Boris is losing his vote with this stuff. I've already decided not to vote Tory if Boris leads the party into the next election, but I admit my vote is atypical, but my dad is basically core middle England aspirational working class voter personified. Losing his vote means Boris is losing millions elsewhere in the country.
    I'm not voting Tory if Boris is leader at the next election either.
    This is what peipleile Philip and HYFUD don't understand, both of us are about as leave as it gets and both of us are naturally conservative, if Boris can't win our votes then he's in serious trouble.
    The Tories are on 40% today with Survation, the gold standard pollster and still ahead of Labour.

    Most governments would have killed for that rating.

    Yes it would be close if there were an election tomorrow but there is no general election for 4 years

    https://twitter.com/britainelects/status/1303356183508668419?s=20
  • Options
    RobDRobD Posts: 58,964
    Scott_xP said:
    OK, now I don't know what would happen to the household of seven. Bizarre why they can live together but can't go outside together.
  • Options
    MaxPB said:

    MaxPB said:

    Scott_xP said:
    Very interested to see whether we get a typical Boris U-turn under these kind of circumstances, or whether it's Cummings-protected territory.

    Either way, it ensures another few weeks of bad headlines and more erosion of support.
    You think the UK government standing up for the UK is a bad headline? Interesting.
    UK government breaks law is a very, very poor headline. Even my fairly staunchly conservative dad has been pretty concerned about this latest turn of events, he was a member for 35 years and has voted Conservative since he was of voting age. If they're losing his vote to Starmer "he seems to be more reasonable" then the party is in serious trouble. He voted Tory in 1997, Boris is losing his vote with this stuff. I've already decided not to vote Tory if Boris leads the party into the next election, but I admit my vote is atypical, but my dad is basically core middle England aspirational working class voter personified. Losing his vote means Boris is losing millions elsewhere in the country.
    I'm not voting Tory if Boris is leader at the next election either.
    This is what peipleile Philip and HYFUD don't understand, both of us are about as leave as it gets and both of us are naturally conservative, if Boris can't win our votes then he's in serious trouble.
    I get it, I just don't panic midterm. Even if the polls change and show a Starmer lead.

    What's the point of winning an 80 seat majority if you're not going to do what needs to be done, even if it breaks a few eggs? Thatcher was exactly the same and good on her, good on Boris too if he can ride out some bad headlines and not kowtow to every bit of criticism to keep everyone happy.
  • Options
    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 75,926
    Scott_xP said:
    You really want Raab in charge ?!
  • Options
    CyclefreeCyclefree Posts: 25,205
    RobD said:

    Cyclefree said:

    HYUFD said:

    https://twitter.com/MsHelicat/status/1303428999662776322?s=19

    No indoors or outdoors, so i guess that means restarting of attending sports and arts in person is now off again.

    Social gatherings of more than 6 both indoors and outdoors to be banned from Monday Boris to announce tomorrow in private homes, pubs, restaurants and even the park so yes that also means an end to live audiences for sports and arts and weddings of more than 6. Fines of £100 for breach.

    Have invited 30 to our wedding next March and livestreaming for the rest so hopefully will have ended by then otherwise we will livestream for virtually everyone bar parents
    This is a disaster for the sports, arts, music, and hospitality worlds, just at the moment the furlough scheme is ending. If the government is re-imposing measures, it's going to reasonably come under pressure to change its policy in at least some of these professional areas, debt or not.
    So you can have one table of 6 people. Or 2 tables of 3 or 4 + 2.

    What about a family of 7? Are they meant to split up?
    As they are a household why would they be split up?
    How the hell is a restaurant supposed to know if they are from one household? They ring up, asking for a table for 7 for the Smith household? Is this OK or not?
  • Options
    Government have informed the media...

    BBC News - Coronavirus: Social gatherings above six banned in England from 14 September
    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-54081131
  • Options
    alex_alex_ Posts: 7,518

    MaxPB said:

    MaxPB said:

    Scott_xP said:
    Very interested to see whether we get a typical Boris U-turn under these kind of circumstances, or whether it's Cummings-protected territory.

    Either way, it ensures another few weeks of bad headlines and more erosion of support.
    You think the UK government standing up for the UK is a bad headline? Interesting.
    UK government breaks law is a very, very poor headline. Even my fairly staunchly conservative dad has been pretty concerned about this latest turn of events, he was a member for 35 years and has voted Conservative since he was of voting age. If they're losing his vote to Starmer "he seems to be more reasonable" then the party is in serious trouble. He voted Tory in 1997, Boris is losing his vote with this stuff. I've already decided not to vote Tory if Boris leads the party into the next election, but I admit my vote is atypical, but my dad is basically core middle England aspirational working class voter personified. Losing his vote means Boris is losing millions elsewhere in the country.
    I'm not voting Tory if Boris is leader at the next election either.
    This is what peipleile Philip and HYFUD don't understand, both of us are about as leave as it gets and both of us are naturally conservative, if Boris can't win our votes then he's in serious trouble.
    I get it, I just don't panic midterm. Even if the polls change and show a Starmer lead.

    What's the point of winning an 80 seat majority if you're not going to do what needs to be done, even if it breaks a few eggs? Thatcher was exactly the same and good on her, good on Boris too if he can ride out some bad headlines and not kowtow to every bit of criticism to keep everyone happy.
    Yeah, Johnson never changes course because of a few bad headlines.
  • Options
    RobDRobD Posts: 58,964
    Cyclefree said:

    RobD said:

    Cyclefree said:

    HYUFD said:

    https://twitter.com/MsHelicat/status/1303428999662776322?s=19

    No indoors or outdoors, so i guess that means restarting of attending sports and arts in person is now off again.

    Social gatherings of more than 6 both indoors and outdoors to be banned from Monday Boris to announce tomorrow in private homes, pubs, restaurants and even the park so yes that also means an end to live audiences for sports and arts and weddings of more than 6. Fines of £100 for breach.

    Have invited 30 to our wedding next March and livestreaming for the rest so hopefully will have ended by then otherwise we will livestream for virtually everyone bar parents
    This is a disaster for the sports, arts, music, and hospitality worlds, just at the moment the furlough scheme is ending. If the government is re-imposing measures, it's going to reasonably come under pressure to change its policy in at least some of these professional areas, debt or not.
    So you can have one table of 6 people. Or 2 tables of 3 or 4 + 2.

    What about a family of 7? Are they meant to split up?
    As they are a household why would they be split up?
    How the hell is a restaurant supposed to know if they are from one household? They ring up, asking for a table for 7 for the Smith household? Is this OK or not?
    A lot of this is just common sense. You can't expect 100% absolute compliance with all these measures. The idea is that the vast majority comply with them, as with last time.
  • Options
    Scott_xPScott_xP Posts: 32,938
    Pulpstar said:

    You really want Raab in charge ?!

    If he tells Cummings to fuck off, yes.
  • Options
    What the Sam Coates story tells us is that the Chancellor, the Foreign Secretary and the CotDL all together are not as important as Dominic Cummings. It's who he pulls Boris's strings and is the only one he listens to.

    Gove is totally comprised by the fact that Cummings was his man and he feels crippled by guilt over felling him so ruthlessly last time. So he weasels away playing games within games instead of acting as he should.

    The best way he could win my respect now would be to plunge the knife a second time.
  • Options
    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 116,992
    Scott_xP said:
    So weddings, funerals and sports still exempt then after all
  • Options
    FoxyFoxy Posts: 44,608
    edited September 2020

    Pulpstar said:

    MaxPB said:

    MaxPB said:

    If Starmer drops all of the culture war woke stuff I think I'd be comfortable voting for him. As it stands I don't think I could vote for a party or leader that will allow biological men into women only spaces.

    I'm not sure how the British govern their toilets, is the PM in charge of them directly? If so it feels like the kind of decision that could be decentralized
    It's part of the gender recognition act, Labour are in favour of self identification which would allow biological males into women's spaces without a recognised gender recognition certificate or operation. It's woke bullshit.
    But which bathroom should Buck Angel use ?
    Presumably they think Janet Mock should be using the Mens' loo? Perhaps she has a She-Wee ™....

    image
    I don't know who these people are, but surely the issue is of self definition vs official recognition?
  • Options
    £500m on Eat Out to Help Out well spent then
  • Options
    CyclefreeCyclefree Posts: 25,205
    Scott_xP said:
    But presumably if you had 30 people in a pub all sitting at 6 separate tables of 5 that is ok?

    Plus one household of 7.

  • Options
    alex_ said:

    HYUFD said:

    https://twitter.com/MsHelicat/status/1303428999662776322?s=19

    No indoors or outdoors, so i guess that means restarting of attending sports and arts in person is now off again.

    Social gatherings of more than 6 both indoors and outdoors to be banned from Monday Boris to announce tomorrow in private homes, pubs, restaurants and even the park so yes that also means an end to live audiences for sports and arts and weddings of more than 6. Fines of £100 for breach.

    Have invited 30 to our wedding next March and livestreaming for the rest so hopefully will have ended by then otherwise we will livestream for virtually everyone bar parents
    This is a disaster for the sports, arts, music, and hospitality worlds, just at the moment the furlough scheme is ending. If the government is re-imposing measures, it's going to reasonably come under pressure to change its policy in at least some of these professional areas, debt or not.
    I ask again. What is the strategy? We were told it was to save the NHS from being swamped and to flatten the peak. This has been achieved at stunning cost to the economy, people's non-covid health and so on.

    Now ministers have gone straight into panic mode from an mild uptick. Yet as a % of tests the cases are low, and the hospital cases are very low. The NHS sounds virtually empty to me.



    Quite. It's not even as if they are pursuing a strategy of total elimination. Totally unachievable but at least a policy. What did they think was going to happen? That we would somehow bump along at exactly 1000 cases a day for 3 months?

    Even the stuff about localisation seems to have gone out of the window? Where is this big nationwide uptick in cases that justifies shutting everything again countrywide?
    They are all over the place. And I suspect this comes from the very top. Indecision all the way. One day it's back to work, next day it's panic, panic there's a huge wave coming; next day it's we can't carry furlough on, next day it's we are restricting the pubs/concert halls/weddings again and so on and on and on.

    And Track and Test continues to be world beating.

  • Options
    The data throughout the country must looking really bad if the government have effectively abandoned the idea of containment via local lockdown.
  • Options
    BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 31,667
    Cyclefree said:

    RobD said:

    Cyclefree said:

    HYUFD said:

    https://twitter.com/MsHelicat/status/1303428999662776322?s=19

    No indoors or outdoors, so i guess that means restarting of attending sports and arts in person is now off again.

    Social gatherings of more than 6 both indoors and outdoors to be banned from Monday Boris to announce tomorrow in private homes, pubs, restaurants and even the park so yes that also means an end to live audiences for sports and arts and weddings of more than 6. Fines of £100 for breach.

    Have invited 30 to our wedding next March and livestreaming for the rest so hopefully will have ended by then otherwise we will livestream for virtually everyone bar parents
    This is a disaster for the sports, arts, music, and hospitality worlds, just at the moment the furlough scheme is ending. If the government is re-imposing measures, it's going to reasonably come under pressure to change its policy in at least some of these professional areas, debt or not.
    So you can have one table of 6 people. Or 2 tables of 3 or 4 + 2.

    What about a family of 7? Are they meant to split up?
    As they are a household why would they be split up?
    How the hell is a restaurant supposed to know if they are from one household? They ring up, asking for a table for 7 for the Smith household? Is this OK or not?
    It's not the restaurant's responsibility to police this any more than it is their responsibility to make sure their customers don't break the speed limit on the way home; it's the customers' responsibility.
  • Options
    RobDRobD Posts: 58,964

    £500m on Eat Out to Help Out well spent then

    As I understand it restaurants will still be open, it's only larger gatherings that are being restricted.
  • Options
    alex_alex_ Posts: 7,518
    HYUFD said:

    Scott_xP said:
    So weddings, funerals and sports still exempt then after all
    Poker nights ok?
  • Options
    MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 37,607

    MaxPB said:

    MaxPB said:

    Scott_xP said:
    Very interested to see whether we get a typical Boris U-turn under these kind of circumstances, or whether it's Cummings-protected territory.

    Either way, it ensures another few weeks of bad headlines and more erosion of support.
    You think the UK government standing up for the UK is a bad headline? Interesting.
    UK government breaks law is a very, very poor headline. Even my fairly staunchly conservative dad has been pretty concerned about this latest turn of events, he was a member for 35 years and has voted Conservative since he was of voting age. If they're losing his vote to Starmer "he seems to be more reasonable" then the party is in serious trouble. He voted Tory in 1997, Boris is losing his vote with this stuff. I've already decided not to vote Tory if Boris leads the party into the next election, but I admit my vote is atypical, but my dad is basically core middle England aspirational working class voter personified. Losing his vote means Boris is losing millions elsewhere in the country.
    I'm not voting Tory if Boris is leader at the next election either.
    This is what peipleile Philip and HYFUD don't understand, both of us are about as leave as it gets and both of us are naturally conservative, if Boris can't win our votes then he's in serious trouble.
    I get it, I just don't panic midterm. Even if the polls change and show a Starmer lead.

    What's the point of winning an 80 seat majority if you're not going to do what needs to be done, even if it breaks a few eggs? Thatcher was exactly the same and good on her, good on Boris too if he can ride out some bad headlines and not kowtow to every bit of criticism to keep everyone happy.
    What's the point in being called a conservative if breaking international treaties is what you're going to do. It's what I expect from Corbyn or Farage, not a Tory PM.

    The UK is turning into a pariah state, investors are taking fright and our premier industry is worrying about what it means for the future.
  • Options
    Pulpstar said:

    Scott_xP said:
    You really want Raab in charge ?!
    They could really jump the shark and replace Boris Johnson with Tony Abbott, followed by Julia Gillard entering UK politics and becoming Labour leader so we can have an Australian-style election to go with our Australian-style trade deal and Australian-style points system.
  • Options
    BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 31,667
    alex_ said:

    HYUFD said:

    Scott_xP said:
    So weddings, funerals and sports still exempt then after all
    Poker nights ok?
    Bugger, that's back to Zoom for the book club then*

    (*Ok first-world problem, I know)
  • Options
    MaxPB said:

    MaxPB said:

    Scott_xP said:
    Very interested to see whether we get a typical Boris U-turn under these kind of circumstances, or whether it's Cummings-protected territory.

    Either way, it ensures another few weeks of bad headlines and more erosion of support.
    You think the UK government standing up for the UK is a bad headline? Interesting.
    UK government breaks law is a very, very poor headline. Even my fairly staunchly conservative dad has been pretty concerned about this latest turn of events, he was a member for 35 years and has voted Conservative since he was of voting age. If they're losing his vote to Starmer "he seems to be more reasonable" then the party is in serious trouble. He voted Tory in 1997, Boris is losing his vote with this stuff. I've already decided not to vote Tory if Boris leads the party into the next election, but I admit my vote is atypical, but my dad is basically core middle England aspirational working class voter personified. Losing his vote means Boris is losing millions elsewhere in the country.
    I'm not voting Tory if Boris is leader at the next election either.
    This is what peipleile Philip and HYFUD don't understand, both of us are about as leave as it gets and both of us are naturally conservative, if Boris can't win our votes then he's in serious trouble.
    Philip knows. He's intelligent and rational enough to know.

    He's just argued himself into a corner on here publicly and pride won't let him revisit it.

    Breaking international law and acting in bad faith simply isn't British. Maintaining that core value under *all circumstances* is more important to me than anything else.

    If we lose our honour we are nothing.
  • Options
    RobDRobD Posts: 58,964

    Pulpstar said:

    Scott_xP said:
    You really want Raab in charge ?!
    They could really jump the shark and replace Boris Johnson with Tony Abbott, followed by Julia Gillard entering UK politics and becoming Labour leader so we can have an Australian-style election to go with our Australian-style trade deal and Australian-style points system.
    You mean we'd have AV after all?
  • Options
    RobD said:

    £500m on Eat Out to Help Out well spent then

    As I understand it restaurants will still be open, it's only larger gatherings that are being restricted.
    My point is that subsidising socialising was a policy that stoked this latest mess. We spent money to get here.
  • Options

    £500m on Eat Out to Help Out well spent then

    Outstanding result. Everyone just starting to come out of their homes and use a restaurant or cafe.

    Now it's panic time again.

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    CyclefreeCyclefree Posts: 25,205
    HYUFD said:
    Well this suggests that if you’re a household of 7 you do have to split up. WTF is going on?
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    MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 37,607

    The data throughout the country must looking really bad if the government have effectively abandoned the idea of containment via local lockdown.

    It's probably partly because the testing isn't able to keep up. The government hasn't rolled out rapid testing quickly enough to schools. If it had we could keep everything open.
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    RobDRobD Posts: 58,964

    RobD said:

    £500m on Eat Out to Help Out well spent then

    As I understand it restaurants will still be open, it's only larger gatherings that are being restricted.
    My point is that subsidising socialising was a policy that stoked this latest mess. We spent money to get here.
    It's been demonstrated that it's been spreading primarily in restaurants?
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    Scott_xP said:

    They said they'd guarantee it 'in all circumstances', not sure how much more unequivocal you can get than that.

    The White Paper said "Once in a Generation"

    not sure how much more unequivocal you can get than that.
    That was then, like HMG saying they'd guarantee UK debt 'in all circumstances' and you supporting a new indy ref in your post Brexit prolapse.

    This is now.
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    RobD said:

    Pulpstar said:

    Scott_xP said:
    You really want Raab in charge ?!
    They could really jump the shark and replace Boris Johnson with Tony Abbott, followed by Julia Gillard entering UK politics and becoming Labour leader so we can have an Australian-style election to go with our Australian-style trade deal and Australian-style points system.
    You mean we'd have AV after all?
    And compulsory voting.
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    The data throughout the country must looking really bad if the government have effectively abandoned the idea of containment via local lockdown.

    Nah. It's just indecision at the top and panic. There is no sign of a strategy anymore.
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    Its going to be from next Monday, so of course loads of people will go on mental benders, meet as many different mates etc over the weekend.
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    CyclefreeCyclefree Posts: 25,205

    RobD said:

    £500m on Eat Out to Help Out well spent then

    As I understand it restaurants will still be open, it's only larger gatherings that are being restricted.
    My point is that subsidising socialising was a policy that stoked this latest mess. We spent money to get here.
    What’s the evidence that restaurants have been the source of the rise in infections?
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    MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 37,607

    Its going to be from next Monday, so of course loads of people will go on mental benders, meet as many different mates etc over the weekend.

    It's almost as if we learned nothing from doing exactly the same thing in march. Boris is a fool.

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    With the number of people saying they won't vote Tory if Boris is leader, maybe Boris should spend the next three years doing everything he wants to do with his 80 seat majority; fully reset our relations with Europe, set a platform for going forwards, then hand over to Sunak in three years time.

    I could live with that.

    I'm nervous about letting him do everything he wants to do even in the next three weeks. It doesn't take long to destroy things. The announcement today alone has probably done years of damage.

    He reminds me of Commodus.
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    BluestBlueBluestBlue Posts: 4,556
    edited September 2020
    Scott_xP said:

    Huge headline, massive splash!

    Oooh, what law is the Government breaking, the public will wonder? Mass internment without trial, confiscation of private property, the army allowed to shoot civilians on sight for littering?

    What that? They're fiddling with bits of the Brexit legislation relating to the Northern Ireland Protocol? Yes, that's very important I'm surezzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzz.......
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    FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 76,285
    edited September 2020
    I can't see freshers sticking to these rules. A load of horny 18/19 year olds away from home for the first time and you are going to tell them to only socialise with their flatmates. Aint going to hold for very long.
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    Philip_ThompsonPhilip_Thompson Posts: 65,826
    edited September 2020
    MaxPB said:

    MaxPB said:

    MaxPB said:

    Scott_xP said:
    Very interested to see whether we get a typical Boris U-turn under these kind of circumstances, or whether it's Cummings-protected territory.

    Either way, it ensures another few weeks of bad headlines and more erosion of support.
    You think the UK government standing up for the UK is a bad headline? Interesting.
    UK government breaks law is a very, very poor headline. Even my fairly staunchly conservative dad has been pretty concerned about this latest turn of events, he was a member for 35 years and has voted Conservative since he was of voting age. If they're losing his vote to Starmer "he seems to be more reasonable" then the party is in serious trouble. He voted Tory in 1997, Boris is losing his vote with this stuff. I've already decided not to vote Tory if Boris leads the party into the next election, but I admit my vote is atypical, but my dad is basically core middle England aspirational working class voter personified. Losing his vote means Boris is losing millions elsewhere in the country.
    I'm not voting Tory if Boris is leader at the next election either.
    This is what peipleile Philip and HYFUD don't understand, both of us are about as leave as it gets and both of us are naturally conservative, if Boris can't win our votes then he's in serious trouble.
    I get it, I just don't panic midterm. Even if the polls change and show a Starmer lead.

    What's the point of winning an 80 seat majority if you're not going to do what needs to be done, even if it breaks a few eggs? Thatcher was exactly the same and good on her, good on Boris too if he can ride out some bad headlines and not kowtow to every bit of criticism to keep everyone happy.
    What's the point in being called a conservative if breaking international treaties is what you're going to do. It's what I expect from Corbyn or Farage, not a Tory PM.

    The UK is turning into a pariah state, investors are taking fright and our premier industry is worrying about what it means for the future.
    "Pariah state"

    You're exaggerating. France, the EU, the USA all do as we are doing. Are they "pariah states"?
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    BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 31,667
    Cyclefree said:

    HYUFD said:
    Well this suggests that if you’re a household of 7 you do have to split up. WTF is going on?
    I think Tom ND must have that wrong... If you are a household of 7+ how does it help to be split up when out?

    Then again, with this government, who knows?
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    Scott_xPScott_xP Posts: 32,938

    This is now.

    If Scotland votes No, will there be another referendum on independence at a later date?

    The Edinburgh Agreement states that a referendum must be held by the end of 2014. There is no arrangement in place for another referendum on independence.

    It is the view of the current Scottish Government that a referendum is a once-in-a-generation opportunity. This means that only a majority vote for Yes in 2014 would give certainty that Scotland will be independent.
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    alex_alex_ Posts: 7,518
    7 people picnicking in the park. Is it £100 each, or £100 for the group?
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    CyclefreeCyclefree Posts: 25,205

    Cyclefree said:

    RobD said:

    Cyclefree said:

    HYUFD said:

    https://twitter.com/MsHelicat/status/1303428999662776322?s=19

    No indoors or outdoors, so i guess that means restarting of attending sports and arts in person is now off again.

    Social gatherings of more than 6 both indoors and outdoors to be banned from Monday Boris to announce tomorrow in private homes, pubs, restaurants and even the park so yes that also means an end to live audiences for sports and arts and weddings of more than 6. Fines of £100 for breach.

    Have invited 30 to our wedding next March and livestreaming for the rest so hopefully will have ended by then otherwise we will livestream for virtually everyone bar parents
    This is a disaster for the sports, arts, music, and hospitality worlds, just at the moment the furlough scheme is ending. If the government is re-imposing measures, it's going to reasonably come under pressure to change its policy in at least some of these professional areas, debt or not.
    So you can have one table of 6 people. Or 2 tables of 3 or 4 + 2.

    What about a family of 7? Are they meant to split up?
    As they are a household why would they be split up?
    How the hell is a restaurant supposed to know if they are from one household? They ring up, asking for a table for 7 for the Smith household? Is this OK or not?
    It's not the restaurant's responsibility to police this any more than it is their responsibility to make sure their customers don't break the speed limit on the way home; it's the customers' responsibility.
    A restaurant cannot take that risk. What this means is that it will take bookings for no more than 6 people at one table.
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    RobDRobD Posts: 58,964
    alex_ said:

    7 people picnicking in the park. Is it £100 each, or £100 for the group?

    Given each one will be in breach, the former?
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    RobD said:

    RobD said:

    £500m on Eat Out to Help Out well spent then

    As I understand it restaurants will still be open, it's only larger gatherings that are being restricted.
    My point is that subsidising socialising was a policy that stoked this latest mess. We spent money to get here.
    It's been demonstrated that it's been spreading primarily in restaurants?
    Nope. But the point of the policy was to get society comfortable getting out and about and spending money while socialising, back in the habit so to speak. I given them credit that they achieved that objective, and now we need to act again to undo it.
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    Beibheirli_CBeibheirli_C Posts: 7,981
    edited September 2020

    ...
    Now ministers have gone straight into panic mode from an mild uptick. Yet as a % of tests the cases are low, and the hospital cases are very low. The NHS sounds virtually empty to me.

    I know that Labour and various Lefties have, for decades, campaigned on the memes of "24hrs to save the NHS" or "Stop the Tories killing the NHS", but it seems like the NHS has killed itself off in many areas of the country.

    Empty hospitals, empty GPs and apparently they must stay that way "... because of COVID". In many places, there is no Health Service any more.

    Never mind Ministers and Govt. The NHS has a passel of questions of its own to answer...
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    MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 37,607

    MaxPB said:

    MaxPB said:

    MaxPB said:

    Scott_xP said:
    Very interested to see whether we get a typical Boris U-turn under these kind of circumstances, or whether it's Cummings-protected territory.

    Either way, it ensures another few weeks of bad headlines and more erosion of support.
    You think the UK government standing up for the UK is a bad headline? Interesting.
    UK government breaks law is a very, very poor headline. Even my fairly staunchly conservative dad has been pretty concerned about this latest turn of events, he was a member for 35 years and has voted Conservative since he was of voting age. If they're losing his vote to Starmer "he seems to be more reasonable" then the party is in serious trouble. He voted Tory in 1997, Boris is losing his vote with this stuff. I've already decided not to vote Tory if Boris leads the party into the next election, but I admit my vote is atypical, but my dad is basically core middle England aspirational working class voter personified. Losing his vote means Boris is losing millions elsewhere in the country.
    I'm not voting Tory if Boris is leader at the next election either.
    This is what peipleile Philip and HYFUD don't understand, both of us are about as leave as it gets and both of us are naturally conservative, if Boris can't win our votes then he's in serious trouble.
    I get it, I just don't panic midterm. Even if the polls change and show a Starmer lead.

    What's the point of winning an 80 seat majority if you're not going to do what needs to be done, even if it breaks a few eggs? Thatcher was exactly the same and good on her, good on Boris too if he can ride out some bad headlines and not kowtow to every bit of criticism to keep everyone happy.
    What's the point in being called a conservative if breaking international treaties is what you're going to do. It's what I expect from Corbyn or Farage, not a Tory PM.

    The UK is turning into a pariah state, investors are taking fright and our premier industry is worrying about what it means for the future.
    "Pariah state"

    You're exaggerating. France, the EU, the USA all do as we are doing. Are they "pariah states"?
    When? Please give specific examples.
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    alex_alex_ Posts: 7,518
    Cyclefree said:

    Cyclefree said:

    RobD said:

    Cyclefree said:

    HYUFD said:

    https://twitter.com/MsHelicat/status/1303428999662776322?s=19

    No indoors or outdoors, so i guess that means restarting of attending sports and arts in person is now off again.

    Social gatherings of more than 6 both indoors and outdoors to be banned from Monday Boris to announce tomorrow in private homes, pubs, restaurants and even the park so yes that also means an end to live audiences for sports and arts and weddings of more than 6. Fines of £100 for breach.

    Have invited 30 to our wedding next March and livestreaming for the rest so hopefully will have ended by then otherwise we will livestream for virtually everyone bar parents
    This is a disaster for the sports, arts, music, and hospitality worlds, just at the moment the furlough scheme is ending. If the government is re-imposing measures, it's going to reasonably come under pressure to change its policy in at least some of these professional areas, debt or not.
    So you can have one table of 6 people. Or 2 tables of 3 or 4 + 2.

    What about a family of 7? Are they meant to split up?
    As they are a household why would they be split up?
    How the hell is a restaurant supposed to know if they are from one household? They ring up, asking for a table for 7 for the Smith household? Is this OK or not?
    It's not the restaurant's responsibility to police this any more than it is their responsibility to make sure their customers don't break the speed limit on the way home; it's the customers' responsibility.
    A restaurant cannot take that risk. What this means is that it will take bookings for no more than 6 people at one table.
    To be honest, i thought they were doing that anyway. Certainly that was the case in a lot of pubs when they first opened, although maybe the rules have been relaxed since then?
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    FoxyFoxy Posts: 44,608
    Barnesian said:

    Does anyone share my view that there might conceivably be a problem in the relationship between Boris and Carrie Symonds? She seems to have been almost totally invisible since the couple first moved into No.10 and I don't even recall the customary Press pictures when they left for or returned from their recent holiday in Scotland.
    I'm probably entirely wrong of course, but it all just seems a tad strange.

    Search Twitter for Zac and Carrie
    Or violin lessons.
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    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 116,992
    edited September 2020

    Scott_xP said:

    They said they'd guarantee it 'in all circumstances', not sure how much more unequivocal you can get than that.

    The White Paper said "Once in a Generation"

    not sure how much more unequivocal you can get than that.
    That was then, like HMG saying they'd guarantee UK debt 'in all circumstances' and you supporting a new indy ref in your post Brexit prolapse.

    This is now.
    Yes but if it rains tomorrow we know the SNP would use that as grounds for indyref2 too, so who really cares what they claim now
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    WhisperingOracleWhisperingOracle Posts: 8,503
    edited September 2020
    This smells rather as if the government are trying to do the opposite of what they did at the beginning of the last rise in the spring, when they were accused of acting too slowly and not doing enough.

    From drift, dithering and the perception of incompetence, back to decisiveness, Cummings and No.10 maybe hope.
This discussion has been closed.