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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » As CON MPs get increasingly concerned about Boris the 3/2 that he won’t be leader at the next election starts to look tempting
With the Tory voting lead dropping sharply in the polls and Boris trailing some way behind Starmer in the leader ratings there have been increasing reports of growing doubts about him amongst Tory MPs. This is what the excellent Stephen Bush writes in today’s I Newspaper:
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Edit: And Zeroth, like the law of thermodynamics.
Let's go offtopic from the start. One of the better headlines of the lockdown I have seen:
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/av/uk-england-hampshire-52939812/coronavirus-people-harassed-by-rats-during-lockdown
(There are these things called rat traps, and these other things called cats. Presumably Great Jumping Jolyon does it like Yogi.)
And praise to Sandy for leaving me "first".
I very frequently find people coming within 2 metres of me while I'm walking on the street or shopping etc - and I have no doubt it'd be the same in bars. If you say two metres people may stand a metre apart, if you say a metre people will get closer.
Restaurants with laid out tables to be fair it probably does make more of a real world difference since they're pre spaced out.
Since the virus spreads more when you're face-to-face but the only people face-to-face at a restaurant table will be those sharing the same table (and thus not distancing) it would make a lot of sense to put tables 1 metre apart side-to-side.
I still expect he may go due to health reasons by mid 2021 or if his and HMG ratings tank then no doubt letters will be going in to Graham Brady
However, I am not sure how the BLM issues and the threat to statues, literature and films together will law and order will play out as well, which may sustain his and HMG ratings
In supermarkets, two trolley lengths should have been the specified distance.
I found this article quite interesting. I would definitely 100% side with Liz Truss and the Lidl free marketeers over the Waitrose protectionists - the comparison with the Corn Laws was quite interesting too.
Personally I think Liz Truss is one of the more impressive and underrated members of the Cabinet.
It's important to note that governments are *NOT* telling them to do this.
This is private businesses deciding to do it for themselves.
Very small state approach which presumably will be welcomed by conservatives
3/2 doesn't exist in any betting persons terminology, it's 6/4 all day long and always will be
Disgraceful
https://twitter.com/britainelects/status/1271057897196306433?s=20
There's no reason to relax the 2 metre guidance spacing for queueing for the shops that I can see. In practice it's around 6 feet, which is fine.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Rain_Man#Qantas_and_airline_controversy
Keir bores for England remember
I was at University when the Eminem released his song Stan and I remember being in the JCR of my Halls with MTV on and a censored version of Stan came on - with the censored words and phrases silenced. I found it funny and laughed at it towards the end as Stan is driving drunk in the car and pretty much half the song of it was just silenced out. I got some filthy looks shot at me for laughing at it by a couple of girls, I don't think they understood what I'd found funny.
As for ephemeral polls, the current orgy of cultural vandalism has interrupted Labour’s rise as the public wakes up to what the fuck they may be voting into power, as yesterday’s Survation suggests...
https://twitter.com/britainelects/status/1271057897196306433
The reason they voted Tory was not to stop Corbyn, that was more southern Tory Remainers, it was to deliver Brexit and hard Brexit given most of them want to end free movement
The next few polls will be interesting as they may or may not confirm a trend and will of course include the schools crisis and the protests
If two mates want to sit next to each other and have a conversation in the pub then I don't think the pub or the government should get involved with that.
Until I read the unexpurgated version a few years ago, I hadn't realised how heavily bowdlerised my school version of The Three Musketeers had been. In places, the misogyny is jaw-dropping.
If businesses do something their consumers don't like the consumers can vote with their wallets.
To go back to Fawlty Towers, the use of the n word is part of the joke (on the Major, I might add) so that scene wouldn't really work without it. But I guess that's not enough to save it.
For the Conservatives, party and national interest coincides with the removal of the incumbent PM.
In fact, if Boris' image is tarnished, but not enough to actually force him out, he may end up in the same position as May, clinging on desperately while he tries to redeem his legacy.
The logical compromise is to do what Disney have done with Dumbo. They say at the end of the description before you press play: "This film is as originally recorded. It may contain cultural stereotypes." Then the film is 100% as originally recorded, unaltered. Job done.
The official Labour leadership are cooperating with the government to some degree, and are not actively opposing the reopening of the economy, schools and society generally. However it is noticable that the Labour representative on Question Time has often appeared online rather than in person. Many Labour people and trades unionists appear to be quite hostile to getting things restarted.
Also, Labour supporters may find it difficult to campaign in an election as this usually involves going outside, knocking on doors, distributing literature and being seen in public and they seem to be uncomfortable with these activities. To be fair the BLM protesters were out in public, but I am not sure that this type of protest would transfer into campaigning in an election.
Of course, the mice could have found their own way in.
On no definition whatsoever are you a northern Red Wall swing voter who voted for Corbyn and Labour in 2017 but switched to Boris and the Tories in 2019
What's been done so far that has anything to do with them anyway? The statues that have been debated so far are local government matters not central government matters.
So it Boris goes, it's either genuine health reasons, or that he gets fed up with people being mean to him and walks off in a sulk. The latter ought to be unthinkable... but with Boris, who knows?
But that does not mean that Philip's own characterisation of himself as the son of an African chief is not in many ways problematic. You do have to watch the series to get that, not just five minutes of it.
https://twitter.com/NadiaWhittomeMP/status/1269732031128383490
Note her exact words about a future Labour Government:
'I celebrate these acts of resistance.'
'We need a movement that will tear down systemic racism and the slave owner statues that symbolise it. And we need to win a government that will always be on the side of this movement.'
The statue's vandals have published a hit list of dozens more across the country to destroy, and they've already defaced many more, including Churchill, Lincoln, and Gandhi.
Meanwhile, Labour mayors and councils across the country are jumping at the opportunity to 'review' their local monuments, and in the case of Sadiq Khan, to just send in the JCBs as he did with Milligan.
I'm afraid the facts speak for themselves about the left's intentions.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pEBXuhqVSws
Gone with the wind currently Amazon top selling DVD.
https://historicengland.org.uk/listing/
And it's a central government agency - a quango as I suppose it used to be called. Debatable whether you call it a central gmt body but this does mean the matters it deals with are central government in a sense.
How much free publicity have HBO had from pulling Gone With The Wind - and as a two-for-one how much more free publicity are they going to get when Gone With The Wind comes back unaltered in the near future? Very cynical.
They could have just quietly put a Dumbo-style disclaimer on without announcing it and nobody would have cared or noticed. Instead they've had us talking about them for days.
https://twitter.com/keiranpedley/status/1271379764989886469?s=19
As far as I know nobody has suggested pulling down buildings, despite the straw man that people are using about it.
The first quality they need, in m opinion, is to find somebody who is trustworthy. The present gang of cheats, chancers and short-term opportunists has contaminated the entire brand.
So a question for the PB Tories.... Which Tory politician do you think the public actually trusts?
I agree that the 2m distancing rule can't survive for long owing to economic necessity, but abandoning it too soon (and we're talking a matter of perhaps a couple of weeks) is an unnecessary risk.
And it might need to be re-instituted later in the year. That would certainly be vastly preferable to a second lockdown, and with large scale testing now in place, along with track/trace/isolate, probably almost as effective.
You need a farm cat :-)
And listing is not just buildings but structures, gardens, etc. as well. And statues in isolation are listed - abundantly:
https://historicengland.org.uk/listing/the-list/results/?searchType=NHLE+Simple&search=statue
'Living humans or statues' isn't a mutually-exclusive choice, by the way. One can want to save as many lives as possible from the pandemic, as the Government is doing, while deploring the violence and cultural vandalism of the far left. People have noticed what they're about, and it doesn't look as though they like it...
I think it used to be called "Responsiblity" or possibly even "Good manners"