Remember Mrs May's Lancaster House speech or any of Boris Johnson's speeches on Brexit, their rhetoric met reality.
I am not at all sure the EU will win this.
Boris seems set on taking them on and in his speech today he made an excellent case on how the UK standards are higher, that France and Germany have broken state aid rules on dozens of occasions, and we lead on environment issues
Reading the threads since friday the same stale arguments drift backward and forward between both sides unfortunately still entrenched, but things are very different now and Boris has an 80 seat majority to call the EU's bluff
One thing is certain it is going to be a fascinating year
Are you actually praising the vacuous speech Boris gave today? Now is the time for detail not bravado.
Up front is absolutely not the time for detail in any negotiation. Detail comes last.
Tell that to the EU who are far better negotiators than the idiots on ‘our’ side.
Different team, different majority - you should have noticed. Can you please enlighten me on the detail the EU offering.
Do you mean apart from all their public presentations on their negotiating objectives and the 33 page document released today?
Since when are guidelines details? They're chat. Details come out of negotiations. Even red lines are negotiable until both sides determine that they're not.
So where’s the UK chat apart from “we want everything or we’ll shoot ourselves in the face”?
I think that I spent more time and effort campaigning for the Union in 2014 than anyone else on this site I am aware of. Certain things are indisputable: (1) the decision as to whether or not to be an independent country is a decision for the Scots alone, even although it affects others. (2) it is because we are fortunate enough to live in a country that recognises that that the majority of us wanted to remain in this great country. Spain is a good example of the alternative and it is not attractive. (3) the logic of (1) is that it is the Scottish people who decide when we have another referendum, if we do, not the SNP and not Nicola Sturgeon. (4) if Scots vote by a majority for parties committed to holding that referendum within the next term of the Scottish Parliament that is their democratic choice. (5) an attempt by non Scots to defy that choice will destroy the unionist cause in Scotland. The union would be doomed.
It really is as simple and stark as that.
I am with you 100% on this David and it matters to my Scots wife, myself and all my family that Scotland stays in the union. Can anyone start to imagine if we had to exchange pounds for euros at the border when we go to Lossiemouth and other parts of Scotland visiting family and vice versa
Comments like HYUFD's infuriate me as he has no intellect to see the damage his incendiary comments make to the future of the union which is so precious to many of us
I think that I spent more time and effort campaigning for the Union in 2014 than anyone else on this site I am aware of. Certain things are indisputable: (1) the decision as to whether or not to be an independent country is a decision for the Scots alone, even although it affects others. (2) it is because we are fortunate enough to live in a country that recognises that that the majority of us wanted to remain in this great country. Spain is a good example of the alternative and it is not attractive. (3) the logic of (1) is that it is the Scottish people who decide when we have another referendum, if we do, not the SNP and not Nicola Sturgeon. (4) if Scots vote by a majority for parties committed to holding that referendum within the next term of the Scottish Parliament that is their democratic choice. (5) an attempt by non Scots to defy that choice will destroy the unionist cause in Scotland. The union would be doomed.
It really is as simple and stark as that.
What do you think the Unionists will do if the SNP decide to hold an unlawful* referendum?
Boycott it or fight tooth and nail?
*For the purposes of this discussion, unlawful means a referendum without a Section 30 order.
I think that they will split both ways giving leave the majority.
Thanks.
I did read somewhere last year (cannot find the link now) that logistically it is nigh on impossible for the SNP to hold a unlawful referendum because they don't control every council in Scotland so cannot compel them to conduct the referendum which means large swathes of Scots will not be able to take part in it.
The Scottish government would have the capability to organise such a thing and could pass legislation requiring local authorities to cooperate. No doubt the courts would get involved too. There are no good outcomes for unionism on such a path.
So 51% Yes 49% No at weekend and now 50%/50% , easy to see why Boris is running scared. Once they start campaigning that will be 60% - 40% for certain.
Except Boris
That's not what the Tory manifesto says.
What it says is "We are opposed to a second independence referendum and stand with the majority of people in Scotland, who do not want to return to division and uncertainty. Nicola Sturgeon and the SNP promised that the 2014 referendum would be a ‘once in a generation’ vote and the result was decisive. We believe that outcome should be respected."
If the SNP + Greens win a majority of seats and voteshare in next May's Holyrood election with a promise of an indyref rerun
(OK OK, I know a majority in Britain as a whole last month voted for not leaving the EU without another Brexit referendum, but there's PR at Holyrood and also independence is a Yes/No issue so it's different.)
There almost certainly will be one, so we will probably get one.
I’m with HYUFD. The Tories will deny a vote even if the Nats get a maj in Holyrood. They will dare Sturgeon to legally overreach, like the catalunyans.
High stakes.
That would be unwise. Salmond and Sturgeon n most.
I’m not saying it’s a good call - or a bad one. I’m just reading the runes as I see them. I I? Fatal mistake if she does.
She would probably go for a referendum without Westminster consent. She would probably win it. We would be in a terrible mess.
In which case the big Tory majorf (the Spanish also imposing direct rule on Catalonia)
HYUFD.
You talk so much nonsense about the Scots and indyref2 and actively incite anger against so many reasonable Scots and supporters of the union like myself. We are ashamed of your exteme claptrap but are confident more wise voices will realise that the way to save the union is to grant the referendum in the autumn of 2021, if the SNP win on the manifesto of holding a referendum
Nope, most Scots do not want indyref2 even if the SNP win a majority next year, sorry BigG but time to get tough with the Nats and tell them a firm 'No means No'.
Indyref2 will have to wait for a full generation after 2014 as Salmond promised
They do, however, support one within the next 5 years
I think that I spent more time and effort campaigning for the Union in 2014 than anyone else on this site I am aware of. Certain things are indisputable: (1) the decision as to whether or not to be an independent country is a decision for the Scots alone, even although it affects others. (2) it is because we are fortunate enough to live in a country that recognises that that the majority of us wanted to remain in this great country. Spain is a good example of the alternative and it is not attractive. (3) the logic of (1) is that it is the Scottish people who decide when we have another referendum, if we do, not the SNP and not Nicola Sturgeon. (4) if Scots vote by a majority for parties committed to holding that referendum within the next term of the Scottish Parliament that is their democratic choice. (5) an attempt by non Scots to defy that choice will destroy the unionist cause in Scotland. The union would be doomed.
It really is as simple and stark as that.
Were that to happen on a turnout of 65% - 70% , I would tend to agree. However, the more typical Holyrood turnout of circa 50% might not be sufficient to negate the 2014 Referendum result obtained on circa 85%.
The Saj has seriously underperformed to date. Being so precipitate on HS2 was unwise unless he had cover from No 10. His Autumn statement was just embarrassing. A lot depends on his budget. He really has to seize the moment and epitomise the Boris revolution.
Sajid is the most uncharismatic, untelegenic politician ever. He makes Teresa May look like a young, more compelling Marlon Brando.
It’s a shame cause I think he’s smart and he has a great and inspiring backstory. He’s an impressive dude CV-wise. But he’s so wooden he may get the chop, daboomtish
The Tories need more persuasive voices, and he doesn’t cut it.
Since becoming Chancellor , he has come across as surprisingly dim - Javid does not look the part at all and has little natural authority.With hindsight, I am finding it difficult to understand why Stephen Crabbe supported him for the leadership.
Compared with labour leadership and deputy leadership candidates he looks a fine statesman
I strongly disagree - Starmer has far more gravitas - and even beats him in terms of charisma.
Remember Mrs May's Lancaster House speech or any of Boris Johnson's speeches on Brexit, their rhetoric met reality.
May wasn't prepared to walk away nor would Parliament let Johnson do so. If it comes to it then whoever is prepared to walk away is in the stronger position. This time Parliament will be on the UK's side.
I don't think Ireland will want the talks to collapse.
Ireland may well elect a government that includes the party that was planting plastic explosives in British streets twenty-five years ago. I think maximising cheese exports will not be their main motive.
Remember Mrs May's Lancaster House speech or any of Boris Johnson's speeches on Brexit, their rhetoric met reality.
I am not at all sure the EU will win this.
Boris seems set on taking them on and in his speech today he made an excellent case on how the UK standards are higher, that France and Germany have broken state aid rules on dozens of occasions, and we lead on environment issues
Reading the threads since friday the same stale arguments drift backward and forward between both sides unfortunately still entrenched, but things are very different now and Boris has an 80 seat majority to call the EU's bluff
One thing is certain it is going to be a fascinating year
Are you actually praising the vacuous speech Boris gave today? Now is the time for detail not bravado.
Up front is absolutely not the time for detail in any negotiation. Detail comes last.
Tell that to the EU who are far better negotiators than the idiots on ‘our’ side.
Different team, different majority - you should have noticed. Can you please enlighten me on the detail the EU offering.
Do you mean apart from all their public presentations on their negotiating objectives and the 33 page document released today?
Since when are guidelines details? They're chat. Details come out of negotiations. Even red lines are negotiable until both sides determine that they're not.
So where’s the UK chat apart from “we want everything or we’ll shoot ourselves in the face”?
Very clever. Learned that in the playgound did we?
Remember Mrs May's Lancaster House speech or any of Boris Johnson's speeches on Brexit, their rhetoric met reality.
I am not at all sure the EU will win this.
Boris seems set on taking them on and in his speech today he made an excellent case on how the UK standards are higher, that France and Germany have broken state aid rules on dozens of occasions, and we lead on environment issues
Reading the threads since friday the same stale arguments drift backward and forward between both sides unfortunately still entrenched, but things are very different now and Boris has an 80 seat majority to call the EU's bluff
One thing is certain it is going to be a fascinating year
Are you actually praising the vacuous speech Boris gave today? Now is the time for detail not bravado.
Up front is absolutely not the time for detail in any negotiation. Detail comes last.
Tell that to the EU who are far better negotiators than the idiots on ‘our’ side.
Different team, different majority - you should have noticed. Can you please enlighten me on the detail the EU offering.
Do you mean apart from all their public presentations on their negotiating objectives and the 33 page document released today?
Since when are guidelines details? They're chat. Details come out of negotiations. Even red lines are negotiable until both sides determine that they're not.
So where’s the UK chat apart from “we want everything or we’ll shoot ourselves in the face”?
Very clever. Learned that in the playgound did we?
Remember Mrs May's Lancaster House speech or any of Boris Johnson's speeches on Brexit, their rhetoric met reality.
I am not at all sure the EU will win this.
Boris seems set on taking them on and in his speech today he made an excellent case on how the UK standards are higher, that France and Germany have broken state aid rules on dozens of occasions, and we lead on environment issues
Reading the threads since friday the same stale arguments drift backward and forward between both sides unfortunately still entrenched, but things are very different now and Boris has an 80 seat majority to call the EU's bluff
One thing is certain it is going to be a fascinating year
Are you actually praising the vacuous speech Boris gave today? Now is the time for detail not bravado.
I just watched that Boris speech. It’s one of the best English language political speeches, I’ve seen, since Obama’s speech on race in Philadelphia (which for me is the benchmark of great modern English language Political speeches)
Witty, clever, firm when necessary, candid, interesting, and occasionally inspiring. Bit dull on eu law versus Uk law, but that was necessary in the circumstances.
Boris is growing into the role. This won’t please his haters, who will never see good in him, but he is gaining in stature.
Only 53 posts in, but you've got the art of spoofing off to a tee. Well done!
Remember Mrs May's Lancaster House speech or any of Boris Johnson's speeches on Brexit, their rhetoric met reality.
I am not at all sure the EU will win this.
Boris seems set on taking them on and in his speech today he made an excellent case on how the UK standards are higher, that France and Germany have broken state aid rules on dozens of occasions, and we lead on environment issues
Reading the threads since friday the same stale arguments drift backward and forward between both sides unfortunately still entrenched, but things are very different now and Boris has an 80 seat majority to call the EU's bluff
One thing is certain it is going to be a fascinating year
Are you actually praising the vacuous speech Boris gave today? Now is the time for detail not bravado.
Up front is absolutely not the time for detail in any negotiation. Detail comes last.
Tell that to the EU who are far better negotiators than the idiots on ‘our’ side.
Different team, different majority - you should have noticed. Can you please enlighten me on the detail the EU offering.
Do you mean apart from all their public presentations on their negotiating objectives and the 33 page document released today?
The power of a political position is not correlated in the number of pages one publishes.
The EU commission can publish a 10000 page document if they want to, but the political balance will not change before the end of 2020. All the relevant governments will still be in place with the same majorities with the exception of the irish one.
I think that I spent more time and effort campaigning for the Union in 2014 than anyone else on this site I am aware of. Certain things are indisputable: (1) the decision as to whether or not to be an independent country is a decision for the Scots alone, even although it affects others. (2) it is because we are fortunate enough to live in a country that recognises that that the majority of us wanted to remain in this great country. Spain is a good example of the alternative and it is not attractive. (3) the logic of (1) is that it is the Scottish people who decide when we have another referendum, if we do, not the SNP and not Nicola Sturgeon. (4) if Scots vote by a majority for parties committed to holding that referendum within the next term of the Scottish Parliament that is their democratic choice. (5) an attempt by non Scots to defy that choice will destroy the unionist cause in Scotland. The union would be doomed.
It really is as simple and stark as that.
What do you think the Unionists will do if the SNP decide to hold an unlawful* referendum?
Boycott it or fight tooth and nail?
*For the purposes of this discussion, unlawful means a referendum without a Section 30 order.
I genuinely doubt they will. 2021 is their best chance to win Holyrood and achieve a legitimate ballot which I believe they will lose.
However, delay by HMG would increase independence month by month and would be an idiotic political position to take
I'm not sure how confident I am Boris will fight tooth and nail for the Union.
Already walked over that abyss in 2016 and the cherry on the parfait, 63% of Tory members would be prepared to see Scotland leave the EU to ensure Brexit.
There's clear evidence that the Conservative and Unionist Party has ceased to be Unionist.
Whilst I thought Brexit might increase the chances of Scotland seceding I did not expect the Tory party to help the process.
The Unionist bit is about Ireland, and conflating it with Scotland is just bonkers. It's like having a single Shaggist policy in regard to Ann Widdecombe and Taylor Swift, rather than take each case on its merits.
And it's not like either question is difficult. Of course Ireland should be united, if you think differently that is because your zoom level needs resetting. Scotland is more complicated but not to you or me it isn't because it is ENTIRELY up to the Scots, and excessive English concern in the matter is borderline creepy. It's like a middle aged man with an implausibly detailed knowledge of the dress requirements of the Girl Guide movement.
So 51% Yes 49% No at weekend and now 50%/50% , easy to see why Boris is running scared. Once they start campaigning that will be 60% - 40% for certain.
Except Boris has made clear he will block indyref2 for his full 5 year term as per the Tory manifesto and most Scots oppose indyref2 for 5 years anyway
That's not what the Tory manifesto says.
If the SNP + Greens win a majority of seats and voteshare in next May's Holyrood election with a promise of an indyref rerun (and both already backed the s30 request), then there will have to be one, because that will be that "the majority of people in Scotland" want. I am sure Boris is well aware of that and he has not ruled it out. It wouldn't surprise me if Dom is even looking forward to indyref2.
(OK OK, I know a majority in Britain as a whole last month voted for not leaving the EU without another Brexit referendum, but there's PR at Holyrood and also independence is a Yes/No issue so it's different.)
There almost certainly will be one, so we will probably get one.
I’m with HYUFD. The Tories will deny a vote even if the Nats get a maj in Holyrood. They will dare Sturgeon to legally overreach, like the catalunyans.
High stakes.
That would be unwise. Salmond and Sturgeon are here today gone tomorrow politicians, who cares what they said? But if the people of Scotland vote by a majority for parties committed to a second referendum it would be undemocratic to refuse it, however much I and others will campaign against such an outcome. Those who have been given a strong majority because of the lying toerags in the remainer Parliament should know that better than most.
I’m not saying it’s a good call - or a bad one. I’m just reading the runes as I see them. I reckon that if the Nats get a maj then Boris will think, fuck it, the union is in great danger anyway, it can’t get any worse if we just say No.
What will Nicola do then? UDI? Fatal mistake if she does.
She would probably go for a referendum without Westminster consent. She would probably win it. We would be in a terrible mess.
We're in danger of walking over the abyss here.
I'm not sure how confident I am Boris will fight tooth and nail for the Union.
Given his past behaviour regarding the Northern Irish, the precedents are not good
Remember Mrs May's Lancaster House speech or any of Boris Johnson's speeches on Brexit, their rhetoric met reality.
I am not at all sure the EU will win this.
Boris seems set on taking them on and in his speech today he made an excellent case on how the UK standards are higher, that France and Germany have broken state aid rules on dozens of occasions, and we lead on environment issues
Reading the threads since friday the same stale arguments drift backward and forward between both sides unfortunately still entrenched, but things are very different now and Boris has an 80 seat majority to call the EU's bluff
One thing is certain it is going to be a fascinating year
Are you actually praising the vacuous speech Boris gave today? Now is the time for detail not bravado.
Up front is absolutely not the time for detail in any negotiation. Detail comes last.
Tell that to the EU who are far better negotiators than the idiots on ‘our’ side.
Predictable comment but you may be in for a very big surprise
I also may not be. At least I’m looking at the evidence. You’re just going on blind hope and ‘optimism’.
Not really. There was a lot of truth in Boris speech today, and even areas that could be agreed with the EU on workers rights, where we are well ahead of the EU, environment issues, and the lack of enforcement of state aid rules in France and Germany
I'm not sure how confident I am Boris will fight tooth and nail for the Union.
Already walked over that abyss in 2016 and the cherry on the parfait, 63% of Tory members would be prepared to see Scotland leave the EU to ensure Brexit.
There's clear evidence that the Conservative and Unionist Party has ceased to be Unionist.
Whilst I thought Brexit might increase the chances of Scotland seceding I did not expect the Tory party to help the process.
The Unionist bit is about Ireland, and conflating it with Scotland is just bonkers. It's like having a single Shaggist policy in regard to Ann Widdecombe and Taylor Swift, rather than take each case on its merits.
And it's not like either question is difficult. Of course Ireland should be united, if you think differently that is because your zoom level needs resetting. Scotland is more complicated but not to you or me it isn't because it is ENTIRELY up to the Scots, and excessive English concern in the matter is borderline creepy. It's like a middle aged man with an implausibly detailed knowledge of the dress requirements of the Girl Guide movement.
I know but it was reinforced to include Scotland when the Scottish Unionist Party merged with the Tory Party.
Remember Mrs May's Lancaster House speech or any of Boris Johnson's speeches on Brexit, their rhetoric met reality.
I am not at all sure the EU will win this.
Boris seems set on taking them on and in his speech today he made an excellent case on how the UK standards are higher, that France and Germany have broken state aid rules on dozens of occasions, and we lead on environment issues
Reading the threads since friday the same stale arguments drift backward and forward between both sides unfortunately still entrenched, but things are very different now and Boris has an 80 seat majority to call the EU's bluff
One thing is certain it is going to be a fascinating year
Are you actually praising the vacuous speech Boris gave today? Now is the time for detail not bravado.
Up front is absolutely not the time for detail in any negotiation. Detail comes last.
Tell that to the EU who are far better negotiators than the idiots on ‘our’ side.
Different team, different majority - you should have noticed. Can you please enlighten me on the detail the EU offering.
Do you mean apart from all their public presentations on their negotiating objectives and the 33 page document released today?
In which case the big Tory majority in the Commons would ensure Boris imposed direct rule on Scotland and suspended Holyrood, Sturgeon should then count herself lucky she would not be arrested for sedition as Catalan nationalists in the Catalan government were by the conservative PP Spanish government when they declared UDI and held an illegal indyref (the Spanish also imposing direct rule on Catalonia)
We’ve been through this. Boris cannot suspend Holyrood without primary legislation so good luck with that. I doubt the Lords would be cooperative. You’d have to wait at least a year.
The biggest problem for the SNP internationally is Spain.
Spain will never support or recognise secessionists due to their own secessionists.
I think they could. We’ve heard all this guff before, like when Macron was going to veto everything.
Spain can simply talk about how their constitution is different to the UK.
Wishcasting...
I like that expression! I shall blatantly steal it...
The Saj has seriously underperformed to date. Being so precipitate on HS2 was unwise unless he had cover from No 10. His Autumn statement was just embarrassing. A lot depends on his budget. He really has to seize the moment and epitomise the Boris revolution.
Sajid is the most uncharismatic, untelegenic politician ever. He makes Teresa May look like a young, more compelling Marlon Brando.
It’s a shame cause I think he’s smart and he has a great and inspiring backstory. He’s an impressive dude CV-wise. But he’s so wooden he may get the chop, daboomtish
The Tories need more persuasive voices, and he doesn’t cut it.
Since becoming Chancellor , he has come across as surprisingly dim - Javid does not look the part at all and has little natural authority.With hindsight, I am finding it difficult to understand why Stephen Crabbe supported him for the leadership.
Compared with labour leadership and deputy leadership candidates he looks a fine statesman
I strongly disagree - Starmer has far more gravitas - and even beats him in terms of charisma.
Starmer, the knighted millionaire human rights lawyer from London who did nothing on anti semitism while sitting alongside Corbyn in cabinet
Starmer is bland, has no charisma at all, and it says a lot at how bankrupt labour are when he is their best hope
I think that I spent more time and effort campaigning for the Union in 2014 than anyone else on this site I am aware of. Certain things are indisputable: (1) the decision as to whether or not to be an independent country is a decision for the Scots alone, even although it affects others. (2) it is because we are fortunate enough to live in a country that recognises that that the majority of us wanted to remain in this great country. Spain is a good example of the alternative and it is not attractive. (3) the logic of (1) is that it is the Scottish people who decide when we have another referendum, if we do, not the SNP and not Nicola Sturgeon. (4) if Scots vote by a majority for parties committed to holding that referendum within the next term of the Scottish Parliament that is their democratic choice. (5) an attempt by non Scots to defy that choice will destroy the unionist cause in Scotland. The union would be doomed.
It really is as simple and stark as that.
What do you think the Unionists will do if the SNP decide to hold an unlawful* referendum?
Boycott it or fight tooth and nail?
*For the purposes of this discussion, unlawful means a referendum without a Section 30 order.
I think that they will split both ways giving leave the majority.
Thanks.
I did read somewhere last year (cannot find the link now) that logistically it is nigh on impossible for the SNP to hold a unlawful referendum because they don't control every council in Scotland so cannot compel them to conduct the referendum which means large swathes of Scots will not be able to take part in it.
All they have to do is design their own counting areas, book the halls, and rent the staff. It will be a bit rough-and-ready but it's doable.
Whether they have the balls to do it, mind, is a different point...
This is a hostile act and all part of their move to punish the UK for leaving, and encourage others not to do the same.
They will wrap it up in language around defending the interests of member states only, and being neutral on potential new accession member states.
Boris should say he’ll immediately guillotine all talks if they encourage - tacitly or otherwise - dismemberment of the UK.
Why would Boris do that? He has made a great start at breaking up the UK with his non-border border in the Irish Sea.
Yep. Boris has opened up a route to a united Ireland.
Not that it was of course anything that a British Prime Minister could agree to.
Good. A United Ireland will save the Exchequer how many billions each year?
Perhaps you would feel happier if you dug a 100 mile diameter moat around your house? The country contains poor areas. That's no reason to amputate bits.
I don't want to amputate poor bits.
If those poor bits want to amputate themselves and stop suckling off us though, then that's their choice and I respect it and welcome it.
This may come as a shock to you but I genuinely believe in the power of self-reliance. I think the poor nations, if they go separately will be forced to grow up and will be better off for it. I don't believe that infantilising people with welfare makes them any better off.
I think NI politics is incredibly infantilised and that some cold water of no longer being given our money will make them stop bickering like children and start working for a living and they'd be safer, healthier, happier and less violent for it.
The Saj has seriously underperformed to date. Being so precipitate on HS2 was unwise unless he had cover from No 10. His Autumn statement was just embarrassing. A lot depends on his budget. He really has to seize the moment and epitomise the Boris revolution.
Sajid is the most uncharismatic, untelegenic politician ever. He makes Teresa May look like a young, more compelling Marlon Brando.
It’s a shame cause I think he’s smart and he has a great and inspiring backstory. He’s an impressive dude CV-wise. But he’s so wooden he may get the chop, daboomtish
The Tories need more persuasive voices, and he doesn’t cut it.
Since becoming Chancellor , he has come across as surprisingly dim - Javid does not look the part at all and has little natural authority.With hindsight, I am finding it difficult to understand why Stephen Crabbe supported him for the leadership.
Compared with labour leadership and deputy leadership candidates he looks a fine statesman
I strongly disagree - Starmer has far more gravitas - and even beats him in terms of charisma.
Starmer, the knighted millionaire human rights lawyer from London....
The Saj has seriously underperformed to date. Being so precipitate on HS2 was unwise unless he had cover from No 10. His Autumn statement was just embarrassing. A lot depends on his budget. He really has to seize the moment and epitomise the Boris revolution.
Sajid is the most uncharismatic, untelegenic politician ever. He makes Teresa May look like a young, more compelling Marlon Brando.
It’s a shame cause I think he’s smart and he has a great and inspiring backstory. He’s an impressive dude CV-wise. But he’s so wooden he may get the chop, daboomtish
The Tories need more persuasive voices, and he doesn’t cut it.
Since becoming Chancellor , he has come across as surprisingly dim - Javid does not look the part at all and has little natural authority.With hindsight, I am finding it difficult to understand why Stephen Crabbe supported him for the leadership.
Compared with labour leadership and deputy leadership candidates he looks a fine statesman
I strongly disagree - Starmer has far more gravitas - and even beats him in terms of charisma.
Starmer, the knighted millionaire human rights lawyer from London who did nothing on anti semitism while sitting alongside Corbyn in cabinet
Starmer is bland, has no charisma at all, and it says a lot at how bankrupt labour are when he is their best hope
He has far more gravitas than Johnson - though lacks his charisma and lags him badly in terms of moral turpitude.
The Saj has seriously underperformed to date. Being so precipitate on HS2 was unwise unless he had cover from No 10. His Autumn statement was just embarrassing. A lot depends on his budget. He really has to seize the moment and epitomise the Boris revolution.
Sajid is the most uncharismatic, untelegenic politician ever. He makes Teresa May look like a young, more compelling Marlon Brando.
It’s a shame cause I think he’s smart and he has a great and inspiring backstory. He’s an impressive dude CV-wise. But he’s so wooden he may get the chop, daboomtish
The Tories need more persuasive voices, and he doesn’t cut it.
Since becoming Chancellor , he has come across as surprisingly dim - Javid does not look the part at all and has little natural authority.With hindsight, I am finding it difficult to understand why Stephen Crabbe supported him for the leadership.
Compared with labour leadership and deputy leadership candidates he looks a fine statesman
I strongly disagree - Starmer has far more gravitas - and even beats him in terms of charisma.
Starmer, the knighted millionaire human rights lawyer from London who did nothing on anti semitism while sitting alongside Corbyn in cabinet
Starmer is bland, has no charisma at all, and it says a lot at how bankrupt labour are when he is their best hope
He has far more gravitas than Johnson - though lacks his charisma and lags him badly in terms of moral turpitude.
Remember Mrs May's Lancaster House speech or any of Boris Johnson's speeches on Brexit, their rhetoric met reality.
I am not at all sure the EU will win this.
Boris seems set on taking them on and in his speech today he made an excellent case on how the UK standards are higher, that France and Germany have broken state aid rules on dozens of occasions, and we lead on environment issues
Reading the threads since friday the same stale arguments drift backward and forward between both sides unfortunately still entrenched, but things are very different now and Boris has an 80 seat majority to call the EU's bluff
One thing is certain it is going to be a fascinating year
Are you actually praising the vacuous speech Boris gave today? Now is the time for detail not bravado.
Up front is absolutely not the time for detail in any negotiation. Detail comes last.
Tell that to the EU who are far better negotiators than the idiots on ‘our’ side.
Different team, different majority - you should have noticed. Can you please enlighten me on the detail the EU offering.
Do you mean apart from all their public presentations on their negotiating objectives and the 33 page document released today?
This is a hostile act and all part of their move to punish the UK for leaving, and encourage others not to do the same.
They will wrap it up in language around defending the interests of member states only, and being neutral on potential new accession member states.
Boris should say he’ll immediately guillotine all talks if they encourage - tacitly or otherwise - dismemberment of the UK.
Why would Boris do that? He has made a great start at breaking up the UK with his non-border border in the Irish Sea.
Yep. Boris has opened up a route to a united Ireland.
Not that it was of course anything that a British Prime Minister could agree to.
Good. A United Ireland will save the Exchequer how many billions each year?
Perhaps you would feel happier if you dug a 100 mile diameter moat around your house? The country contains poor areas. That's no reason to amputate bits.
I don't want to amputate poor bits.
If those poor bits want to amputate themselves and stop suckling off us though, then that's their choice and I respect it and welcome it.
This may come as a shock to you but I genuinely believe in the power of self-reliance. I think the poor nations, if they go separately will be forced to grow up and will be better off for it. I don't believe that infantilising people with welfare makes them any better off.
I think NI politics is incredibly infantilised and that some cold water of no longer being given our money will make them stop bickering like children and start working for a living and they'd be safer, healthier, happier and less violent for it.
Do you think the main cause of the violence in the 1970s and 1980s was a lack of British occupation?
The Saj has seriously underperformed to date. Being so precipitate on HS2 was unwise unless he had cover from No 10. His Autumn statement was just embarrassing. A lot depends on his budget. He really has to seize the moment and epitomise the Boris revolution.
Sajid is the most uncharismatic, untelegenic politician ever. He makes Teresa May look like a young, more compelling Marlon Brando.
It’s a shame cause I think he’s smart and he has a great and inspiring backstory. He’s an impressive dude CV-wise. But he’s so wooden he may get the chop, daboomtish
The Tories need more persuasive voices, and he doesn’t cut it.
Since becoming Chancellor , he has come across as surprisingly dim - Javid does not look the part at all and has little natural authority.With hindsight, I am finding it difficult to understand why Stephen Crabbe supported him for the leadership.
Compared with labour leadership and deputy leadership candidates he looks a fine statesman
I strongly disagree - Starmer has far more gravitas - and even beats him in terms of charisma.
LOL. You're funny.
Though to give you credit you didn't drink the Corbyn kool aid even during the election did you? Unlike some of our Labour posters.
This is a hostile act and all part of their move to punish the UK for leaving, and encourage others not to do the same.
They will wrap it up in language around defending the interests of member states only, and being neutral on potential new accession member states.
Boris should say he’ll immediately guillotine all talks if they encourage - tacitly or otherwise - dismemberment of the UK.
Why would Boris do that? He has made a great start at breaking up the UK with his non-border border in the Irish Sea.
Yep. Boris has opened up a route to a united Ireland.
Not that it was of course anything that a British Prime Minister could agree to.
Good. A United Ireland will save the Exchequer how many billions each year?
Perhaps you would feel happier if you dug a 100 mile diameter moat around your house? The country contains poor areas. That's no reason to amputate bits.
I don't want to amputate poor bits.
If those poor bits want to amputate themselves and stop suckling off us though, then that's their choice and I respect it and welcome it.
This may come as a shock to you but I genuinely believe in the power of self-reliance. I think the poor nations, if they go separately will be forced to grow up and will be better off for it. I don't believe that infantilising people with welfare makes them any better off.
I think NI politics is incredibly infantilised and that some cold water of no longer being given our money will make them stop bickering like children and start working for a living and they'd be safer, healthier, happier and less violent for it.
Do you think the main cause of the violence in the 1970s and 1980s was a lack of British occupation?
No. And I'm not sure how you read that from my post.
I do think a main cause of violence in the 70s and 80s was too much religion and violence and not enough working for a living. People with a steady job who need it to pay the bills don't often turn to violence.
Imagine suggesting that being a human rights lawyer is something to be ashamed of.
Read my comment. He is a human rights lawyer who sat in Corbyn's cabinet and took no action to condemn the anti semitism in labour
Then why mention his profession?
We’ll see how or if he solves the anti-semitism issue if elected. I agree he could have done much more as part of Corbyn’s shadow cabinet but if he eradicates it as leader then I can forgive that.
Remember Mrs May's Lancaster House speech or any of Boris Johnson's speeches on Brexit, their rhetoric met reality.
May wasn't prepared to walk away nor would Parliament let Johnson do so. If it comes to it then whoever is prepared to walk away is in the stronger position. This time Parliament will be on the UK's side.
I don't think Ireland will want the talks to collapse.
Ireland may well elect a government that includes the party that was planting plastic explosives in British streets twenty-five years ago. I think maximising cheese exports will not be their main motive.
Northern Ireland already has that party in government...
Does a pre-announced Boris veto seriously reduce the cost to the SNP of passing a referendum bill and acting within UK law if he says no?
Do you mean ‘outside UK law?’
I mean acting within UK law, i.e. voting in some way to call for a referendum, but not holding a referendum.
I think if she acts like that, she will look like a posturing twit. But that, admittedly, didn’t do Johnson much harm over the Benn Act.
The risk is perhaps looking like a single issue party when there are so many other things they need to be addressing. But equally, the lack of a serious rival makes that less of an issue.
Remember Mrs May's Lancaster House speech or any of Boris Johnson's speeches on Brexit, their rhetoric met reality.
I am not at all sure the EU will win this.
Boris seems set on taking them on and in his speech today he made an excellent case on how the UK standards are higher, that France and Germany have broken state aid rules on dozens of occasions, and we lead on environment issues
Reading the threads since friday the same stale arguments drift backward and forward between both sides unfortunately still entrenched, but things are very different now and Boris has an 80 seat majority to call the EU's bluff
One thing is certain it is going to be a fascinating year
Are you actually praising the vacuous speech Boris gave today? Now is the time for detail not bravado.
Up front is absolutely not the time for detail in any negotiation. Detail comes last.
Tell that to the EU who are far better negotiators than the idiots on ‘our’ side.
Longing for one's own country to be defeated is such a yucky look.
I am enormously heartened by Boris's uncompromising stance at present, but he needs, before the end, to find a way for everyone to win. The EU won't take a deal where they are seen as vanquished and humiliated - they would sooner the EU economy suffers. I am not sure what Boris can offer the EU in he way of 'wins', but he needs to display imagination in doing so.
On fishing, Britain must have sovereignty over its own waters. However, people who have said we don't have fishing fleet to fish all the waters now are correct. Fishing can be phased back year by year to give fleets time to build up and hopefully to make the process less jarring for the EU industry. The debate will be over how long.
Maybe we could give them one of those useless plane-less aircraft carriers. They always did seem to have been purchased with the putative EU army in mind anyway. They'd like that.
It's things from the left field, that Boris often has a talent for. It would be foolish to bet against him getting a great deal.
In which case the big Tory majority in the Commons would ensure Boris imposed direct rule on Scotland and suspended Holyrood, Sturgeon should then count herself lucky she would not be arrested for sedition as Catalan nationalists in the Catalan government were by the conservative PP Spanish government when they declared UDI and held an illegal indyref (the Spanish also imposing direct rule on Catalonia)
We’ve been through this. Boris cannot suspend Holyrood without primary legislation so good luck with that. I doubt the Lords would be cooperative. You’d have to wait at least a year.
Boris is already starting to pack the Lords with more sympathetic supporters and the Lords can only delay legislation not block it, so Westminster would still legislate over Scotland before imposing full direct rule once the Parliament Act kicked in
I think that I spent more time and effort campaigning for the Union in 2014 than anyone else on this site I am aware of. Certain things are indisputable: (1) the decision as to whether or not to be an independent country is a decision for the Scots alone, even although it affects others. (2) it is because we are fortunate enough to live in a country that recognises that that the majority of us wanted to remain in this great country. Spain is a good example of the alternative and it is not attractive. (3) the logic of (1) is that it is the Scottish people who decide when we have another referendum, if we do, not the SNP and not Nicola Sturgeon. (4) if Scots vote by a majority for parties committed to holding that referendum within the next term of the Scottish Parliament that is their democratic choice. (5) an attempt by non Scots to defy that choice will destroy the unionist cause in Scotland. The union would be doomed.
It really is as simple and stark as that.
Were that to happen on a turnout of 65% - 70% , I would tend to agree. However, the more typical Holyrood turnout of circa 50% might not be sufficient to negate the 2014 Referendum result obtained on circa 85%.
This is a good point. The pressure on Boris to agree indyref2 will depend very much on the strength of the SNP result in 2021
If sturgeon gets an absolute majority of seats then Boris’ position is very difficult (tho for reasons adduced I think he might still say No). But the SNP would be able to stoke grievance here and might win the day.
But an overall Nat maj is unlikely.
More likely she will get a coalition with the Greens and then Boris can rightly say there is no coherent position, status quo ante. And I reckon that would work
Look at Catalunya. The Madrid government has (scandalously, to my mind) actually jailed secessionist leaders and violently repressed dissent. And the result? Support for independence has at best flatlined, or even fallen.
I don’t agree with HYUFD that London would go so far as troops or cops, but there is evidence that a firm line from a capital city can work. Especially when London can say Look we already gave you a vote a few years ago, you lost, shut up.
It all depends on the details of the Holyrood election. Turnout will also be crucial.
What would be great is for the SNP to be voted out of office. That has to be the goal, however tough it may seem.
Remember Mrs May's Lancaster House speech or any of Boris Johnson's speeches on Brexit, their rhetoric met reality.
I am not at all sure the EU will win this.
Boris seems set on taking them on and in his speech today he made an excellent case on how the UK standards are higher, that France and Germany have broken state aid rules on dozens of occasions, and we lead on environment issues
Reading the threads since friday the same stale arguments drift backward and forward between both sides unfortunately still entrenched, but things are very different now and Boris has an 80 seat majority to call the EU's bluff
One thing is certain it is going to be a fascinating year
Are you actually praising the vacuous speech Boris gave today? Now is the time for detail not bravado.
Up front is absolutely not the time for detail in any negotiation. Detail comes last.
Tell that to the EU who are far better negotiators than the idiots on ‘our’ side.
Different team, different majority - you should have noticed. Can you please enlighten me on the detail the EU offering.
Do you mean apart from all their public presentations on their negotiating objectives and the 33 page document released today?
Err... I thought it all had to be sorted by July, or at least know by July that it could be signed by December or else it was No Deal on 1st Jan 2021?
Nothing needs to be signed by July.
An extension needs to be requested by July but since the government has said its not requesting an extension that's moot.
The whole July thing is a crock, because the UK and the EU could agree a codicil to the Withdrawal Agreement that changed the asking for an extension deadline to 31 December if they so chose.
Remember Mrs May's Lancaster House speech or any of Boris Johnson's speeches on Brexit, their rhetoric met reality.
I am not at all sure the EU will win this.
Boris seems set on taking them on and in his speech today he made an excellent case on how the UK standards are higher, that France and Germany have broken state aid rules on dozens of occasions, and we lead on environment issues
Reading the threads since friday the same stale arguments drift backward and forward between both sides unfortunately still entrenched, but things are very different now and Boris has an 80 seat majority to call the EU's bluff
One thing is certain it is going to be a fascinating year
Are you actually praising the vacuous speech Boris gave today? Now is the time for detail not bravado.
Up front is absolutely not the time for detail in any negotiation. Detail comes last.
Tell that to the EU who are far better negotiators than the idiots on ‘our’ side.
Different team, different majority - you should have noticed. Can you please enlighten me on the detail the EU offering.
Do you mean apart from all their public presentations on their negotiating objectives and the 33 page document released today?
Err... I thought it all had to be sorted by July, or at least know by July that it could be signed by December or else it was No Deal on 1st Jan 2021?
Nothing needs to be signed by July.
An extension needs to be requested by July but since the government has said its not requesting an extension that's moot.
The whole July thing is a crock, because the UK and the EU could agree a codicil to the Withdrawal Agreement that changed the asking for an extension deadline to 31 December if they so chose.
Indeed, it has about as much meaning as Theresa May writing 29 March 2019 into law had meaning. Its one of those things that if it needs to be changed, it will be changed, and if there's no will to change it, it won't be anyway.
Remember Mrs May's Lancaster House speech or any of Boris Johnson's speeches on Brexit, their rhetoric met reality.
I am not at all sure the EU will win this.
Boris seems set on taking them on and in his speech today he made an excellent case on how the UK standards are higher, that France and Germany have broken state aid rules on dozens of occasions, and we lead on environment issues
Reading the threads since friday the same stale arguments drift backward and forward between both sides unfortunately still entrenched, but things are very different now and Boris has an 80 seat majority to call the EU's bluff
One thing is certain it is going to be a fascinating year
Are you actually praising the vacuous speech Boris gave today? Now is the time for detail not bravado.
Up front is absolutely not the time for detail in any negotiation. Detail comes last.
Tell that to the EU who are far better negotiators than the idiots on ‘our’ side.
Different team, different majority - you should have noticed. Can you please enlighten me on the detail the EU offering.
Do you mean apart from all their public presentations on their negotiating objectives and the 33 page document released today?
Err... I thought it all had to be sorted by July, or at least know by July that it could be signed by December or else it was No Deal on 1st Jan 2021?
Nothing needs to be signed by July.
An extension needs to be requested by July but since the government has said its not requesting an extension that's moot.
The whole July thing is a crock, because the UK and the EU could agree a codicil to the Withdrawal Agreement that changed the asking for an extension deadline to 31 December if they so chose.
The EU came up with a lengthy list of demands in the space of weeks. There is no justification for further delay. They need to get their finger out.
I think that I spent more time and effort campaigning for the Union in 2014 than anyone else on this site I am aware of. Certain things are indisputable: (1) the decision as to whether or not to be an independent country is a decision for the Scots alone, even although it affects others. (2) it is because we are fortunate enough to live in a country that recognises that that the majority of us wanted to remain in this great country. Spain is a good example of the alternative and it is not attractive. (3) the logic of (1) is that it is the Scottish people who decide when we have another referendum, if we do, not the SNP and not Nicola Sturgeon. (4) if Scots vote by a majority for parties committed to holding that referendum within the next term of the Scottish Parliament that is their democratic choice. (5) an attempt by non Scots to defy that choice will destroy the unionist cause in Scotland. The union would be doomed.
It really is as simple and stark as that.
Were that to happen on a turnout of 65% - 70% , I would tend to agree. However, the more typical Holyrood turnout of circa 50% might not be sufficient to negate the 2014 Referendum result obtained on circa 85%.
This is a good point. The pressure on Boris to agree indyref2 will depend very much on the strength of the SNP result in 2021
If sturgeon gets an absolute majority of seats then Boris’ position is very difficult (tho for reasons adduced I think he might still say No). But the SNP would be able to stoke grievance here and might win the day.
But an overall Nat maj is unlikely.
More likely she will get a coalition with the Greens and then Boris can rightly say there is no coherent position, status quo ante. And I reckon that would work
Look at Catalunya. The Madrid government has (scandalously, to my mind) actually jailed secessionist leaders and violently repressed dissent. And the result? Support for independence has at best flatlined, or even fallen.
I don’t agree with HYUFD that London would go so far as troops or cops, but there is evidence that a firm line from a capital city can work. Especially when London can say Look we already gave you a vote a few years ago, you lost, shut up.
It all depends on the details of the Holyrood election. Turnout will also be crucial.
What would be great is for the SNP to be voted out of office. That has to be the goal, however tough it may seem.
And the best chance of that is if they commit themselves to another referendum within the term if Scotland really doesn’t want that.
I think that I spent more time and effort campaigning for the Union in 2014 than anyone else on this site I am aware of. Certain things are indisputable: (1) the decision as to whether or not to be an independent country is a decision for the Scots alone, even although it affects others. (2) it is because we are fortunate enough to live in a country that recognises that that the majority of us wanted to remain in this great country. Spain is a good example of the alternative and it is not attractive. (3) the logic of (1) is that it is the Scottish people who decide when we have another referendum, if we do, not the SNP and not Nicola Sturgeon. (4) if Scots vote by a majority for parties committed to holding that referendum within the next term of the Scottish Parliament that is their democratic choice. (5) an attempt by non Scots to defy that choice will destroy the unionist cause in Scotland. The union would be doomed.
It really is as simple and stark as that.
Were that to happen on a turnout of 65% - 70% , I would tend to agree. However, the more typical Holyrood turnout of circa 50% might not be sufficient to negate the 2014 Referendum result obtained on circa 85%.
This is a good point. The pressure on Boris to agree indyref2 will depend very much on the strength of the SNP result in 2021
If sturgeon gets an absolute majority of seats then Boris’ position is very difficult (tho for reasons adduced I think he might still say No). But the SNP would be able to stoke grievance here and might win the day.
But an overall Nat maj is unlikely.
More likely she will get a coalition with the Greens and then Boris can rightly say there is no coherent position, status quo ante. And I reckon that would work
Look at Catalunya. The Madrid government has (scandalously, to my mind) actually jailed secessionist leaders and violently repressed dissent. And the result? Support for independence has at best flatlined, or even fallen.
I don’t agree with HYUFD that London would go so far as troops or cops, but there is evidence that a firm line from a capital city can work. Especially when London can say Look we already gave you a vote a few years ago, you lost, shut up.
It all depends on the details of the Holyrood election. Turnout will also be crucial.
What would be great is for the SNP to be voted out of office. That has to be the goal, however tough it may seem.
And the best chance of that is if they commit themselves to another referendum within the term if Scotland really doesn’t want that.
I think that I spent more time and effort campaigning for the Union in 2014 than anyone else on this site I am aware of. Certain things are indisputable: (1) the decision as to whether or not to be an independent country is a decision for the Scots alone, even although it affects others. (2) it is because we are fortunate enough to live in a country that recognises that that the majority of us wanted to remain in this great country. Spain is a good example of the alternative and it is not attractive. (3) the logic of (1) is that it is the Scottish people who decide when we have another referendum, if we do, not the SNP and not Nicola Sturgeon. (4) if Scots vote by a majority for parties committed to holding that referendum within the next term of the Scottish Parliament that is their democratic choice. (5) an attempt by non Scots to defy that choice will destroy the unionist cause in Scotland. The union would be doomed.
It really is as simple and stark as that.
Were that to happen on a turnout of 65% - 70% , I would tend to agree. However, the more typical Holyrood turnout of circa 50% might not be sufficient to negate the 2014 Referendum result obtained on circa 85%.
This is a good point. The pressure on Boris to agree indyref2 will depend very much on the strength of the SNP result in 2021
If sturgeon gets an absolute majority of seats then Boris’ position is very difficult (tho for reasons adduced I think he might still say No). But the SNP would be able to stoke grievance here and might win the day.
But an overall Nat maj is unlikely.
More likely she will get a coalition with the Greens and then Boris can rightly say there is no coherent position, status quo ante. And I reckon that would work
Look at Catalunya. The Madrid government has (scandalously, to my mind) actually jailed secessionist leaders and violently repressed dissent. And the result? Support for independence has at best flatlined, or even fallen.
I don’t agree with HYUFD that London would go so far as troops or cops, but there is evidence that a firm line from a capital city can work. Especially when London can say Look we already gave you a vote a few years ago, you lost, shut up.
It all depends on the details of the Holyrood election. Turnout will also be crucial.
What would be great is for the SNP to be voted out of office. That has to be the goal, however tough it may seem.
And the best chance of that is if they commit themselves to another referendum within the term if Scotland really doesn’t want that.
Longing for one's own country to be defeated is such a yucky look.
I am enormously heartened by Boris's uncompromising stance at present, but he needs, before the end, to find a way for everyone to win. The EU won't take a deal where they are seen as vanquished and humiliated - they would sooner the EU economy suffers. I am not sure what Boris can offer the EU in he way of 'wins', but he needs to display imagination in doing so.
On fishing, Britain must have sovereignty over its own waters. However, people who have said we don't have fishing fleet to fish all the waters now are correct. Fishing can be phased back year by year to give fleets time to build up and hopefully to make the process less jarring for the EU industry. The debate will be over how long.
Maybe we could give them one of those useless plane-less aircraft carriers. They always did seem to have been purchased with the putative EU army in mind anyway. They'd like that.
It's things from the left field, that Boris often has a talent for. It would be foolish to bet against him getting a great deal.
On fishing, imagine you're an entrepreneur on the West Coast of Scotland.
You bid for some fishing licenses, which are valid for three years. You win them.
Do you:
(a) wet lease a fishing vessel from a Norwegian, Spanish, Chilean or Canadian firm? or (b) buy a fishing vessel, and then train staff?
I can't see the people who go down the (b) route being able to compete in terms of what they'll pay for licenses compared to (a). Indeed, unless fishing licenses are perpetual*, then who the hell is going to sink capital into buying ships and training fishermen?
This is not an EU or non-EU point. It's simply that the nature of fishing licenses (i.e. short term permission to fish) encourages people with them to enter into flexible agreements with people who have boats and trained crews.
* Perpetual fishing licenses open a whole other can of worms
I do think a main cause of violence in the 70s and 80s was too much religion and violence and not enough working for a living. People with a steady job who need it to pay the bills don't often turn to violence.
Rubbish!
The cause for violence was the long held grievances of part of the population being rated as 2nd class citizens with worse housing and worse opportunities because of their religion. It also did not help that the police and govt were largely run by a cabal intent on making sure that they stayed at the top of the power pyramid.
It all started from a religious / social difference that got out of control when the mobsters realised that they had a them/us division that they could exploit.
The Northern Ireland Troubles were just a miniature version of earlier repressions since Cromwell's time.
Longing for one's own country to be defeated is such a yucky look.
I am enormously heartened by Boris's uncompromising stance at present, but he needs, before the end, to find a way for everyone to win. The EU won't take a deal where they are seen as vanquished and humiliated - they would sooner the EU economy suffers. I am not sure what Boris can offer the EU in he way of 'wins', but he needs to display imagination in doing so.
On fishing, Britain must have sovereignty over its own waters. However, people who have said we don't have fishing fleet to fish all the waters now are correct. Fishing can be phased back year by year to give fleets time to build up and hopefully to make the process less jarring for the EU industry. The debate will be over how long.
Maybe we could give them one of those useless plane-less aircraft carriers. They always did seem to have been purchased with the putative EU army in mind anyway. They'd like that.
It's things from the left field, that Boris often has a talent for. It would be foolish to bet against him getting a great deal.
On fishing, imagine you're an entrepreneur on the West Coast of Scotland.
You bid for some fishing licenses, which are valid for three years. You win them.
Do you:
(a) wet lease a fishing vessel from a Norwegian, Spanish, Chilean or Canadian firm? or (b) buy a fishing vessel, and then train staff?
I can't see the people who go down the (b) route being able to compete in terms of what they'll pay for licenses compared to (a). Indeed, unless fishing licenses are perpetual*, then who the hell is going to sink capital into buying ships and training fishermen?
This is not an EU or non-EU point. It's simply that the nature of fishing licenses (i.e. short term permission to fish) encourages people with them to enter into flexible agreements with people who have boats and trained crews.
* Perpetual fishing licenses open a whole other can of worms
What we really need to do with fishing is require more of the catch to be landed and processed in the UK. That would do far more for fishing communities than giving more licenses to rich buggers to sell once again just like they did the last time. There are far more jobs onshore than on the boats and damn few of them left in north east Scotland.
I just watched that Boris speech. It’s one of the best English language political speeches, I’ve seen, since Obama’s speech on race in Philadelphia (which for me is the benchmark of great modern English language Political speeches)
Witty, clever, firm when necessary, candid, interesting, and occasionally inspiring. Bit dull on eu law versus Uk law, but that was necessary in the circumstances.
Boris is growing into the role. This won’t please his haters, who will never see good in him, but he is gaining in stature.
I have a special interest in political speeches and your recommendation listened to Johnson's speech. I tried to give him the benefit of a big doubt, maybe not entirely successfully. I agree Johnson is a good speechmaker, he's fluent and he knows how to engage an audience. A total contrast to Theresa May.
The speech was let down in my view by the emptiness and dishonesty at its heart. Johnson appears to be ignorant about lots of things, which is perhaps surprising for someone who projects a persona of intelligence and cleverness. As a stump speech where you don't say anything much, except trying to get an audience on your side, maybe it was fine. The overall effect was of peevishness, which as far as I know isn't Johnson's normal style.
Probably the pressure for a border poll becomes inevitable.
The DUP really did shit the bed when they backed Brexit.
Surely that’s if they win in Northern Ireland? The South isn’t the determining factor or Northern Ireland would have been part of the Free State in the time of Collins.
I don't think it will much if it is just Salmond. There is a lot of Scotland shame inherent in Scottish nationalism. Salmond turning out to be a perv just increases that bloody minded sort of angry hurt feeling. If it brings Sturgeon down that's a different matter. That's the team losing its star striker.
Probably the pressure for a border poll becomes inevitable.
The DUP really did shit the bed when they backed Brexit.
No, it won’t. Jesus Remainers have lost the plot. Even sensible ones like you.
The Irish are about to put the political wing of the IRA into government, if you don't think that will have an impact in Ireland then you really are naive.
A clever bettor could now make a fortune betting against the predictions of Remainers. Defeat has unhinged them and their poignant hopes have become firm expectations.
Betting against Remainers is now like betting against England fans during promising World Cups
Have you let us know how you voted in the EU referendum, just so we can get more of a handle on this exciting new entrant to the PB bear pit?
I just watched that Boris speech. It’s one of the best English language political speeches, I’ve seen, since Obama’s speech on race in Philadelphia (which for me is the benchmark of great modern English language Political speeches)
Witty, clever, firm when necessary, candid, interesting, and occasionally inspiring. Bit dull on eu law versus Uk law, but that was necessary in the circumstances.
Boris is growing into the role. This won’t please his haters, who will never see good in him, but he is gaining in stature.
I have a special interest in political speeches and your recommendation listened to Johnson's speech. I tried to give him the benefit of a big doubt, maybe not entirely successfully. I agree Johnson is a good speechmaker, he's fluent and he knows how to engage an audience. A total contrast to Theresa May.
The speech was let down in my view by the emptiness and dishonesty at its heart. Johnson appears to be ignorant about lots of things, which is perhaps surprising for someone who projects a persona of intelligence and cleverness. As a stump speech where you don't say anything much, except trying to get an audience on your side, maybe it was fine. The overall effect was of peevishness, which as far as I know isn't Johnson's normal style.
I didn’t get that at all. Superficial in places, certainly. A certain lack of clarity on the specifics undoubtedly. But peevish? Just didn’t get that at all.
What we really need to do with fishing is require more of the catch to be landed and processed in the UK. That would do far more for fishing communities than giving more licenses to rich buggers to sell once again just like they did the last time. There are far more jobs onshore than on the boats and damn few of them left in north east Scotland.
Yes, that is by far the most important thing you can do.
Commercial fishing boats have got bigger and bigger over the last forty years. Those trawlers you imagine as making up the British fishing fleet are commercially unviable. Simply, you own one, and you'll be working all hours for three hundred days a year to earn (after expenses) £20,000. And it's dangerous. And it has extremely volatile income levels.
These days, some incredible proportion of fish from the sea come from 100 Gross Registered Tonnes vessels and up. We could ban them, of course, from fishing in British waters. But that wouldn't solve the problem that - given the prevailing price of fish thanks to fish farming - that fishing with smaller vessels is not economic.
A clever bettor could now make a fortune betting against the predictions of Remainers. Defeat has unhinged them and their poignant hopes have become firm expectations.
Betting against Remainers is now like betting against England fans during promising World Cups
You must have missed the PB Leaver that recently lost £1,000 on the UK not being in the EU at the end of 2019.
Even worse when he placed his bet he wanted £10,000.
Probably the pressure for a border poll becomes inevitable.
The DUP really did shit the bed when they backed Brexit.
No, it won’t. Jesus Remainers have lost the plot. Even sensible ones like you.
The Irish are about to put the political wing of the IRA into government, if you don't think that will have an impact in Ireland then you really are naive.
Ireland is St Augustine. Give me unity, Lord, but, ah, not quite yet. Ireland can’t afford Ulster, everyone is terrified of a return to violence, and Brexit needs to bed in for 5-10 years before anyone can make a sound judgement on the best options ahead.
Varadkar said this himself, and he’s right.
He's not going to be the Taoiseach for very much longer though.
Probably the pressure for a border poll becomes inevitable.
The DUP really did shit the bed when they backed Brexit.
No, it won’t. Jesus Remainers have lost the plot. Even sensible ones like you.
The Irish are about to put the political wing of the IRA into government, if you don't think that will have an impact in Ireland then you really are naive.
Ireland is St Augustine. Give me unity, Lord, but, ah, not quite yet. Ireland can’t afford Ulster, everyone is terrified of a return to violence, and Brexit needs to bed in for 5-10 years before anyone can make a sound judgement on the best options ahead.
Varadkar said this himself, and he’s right.
You could have said the same about West Germany taking on East Germany in 1988.
I just watched that Boris speech. It’s one of the best English language political speeches, I’ve seen, since Obama’s speech on race in Philadelphia (which for me is the benchmark of great modern English language Political speeches)
Witty, clever, firm when necessary, candid, interesting, and occasionally inspiring. Bit dull on eu law versus Uk law, but that was necessary in the circumstances.
Boris is growing into the role. This won’t please his haters, who will never see good in him, but he is gaining in stature.
I have a special interest in political speeches and your recommendation listened to Johnson's speech. I tried to give him the benefit of a big doubt, maybe not entirely successfully. I agree Johnson is a good speechmaker, he's fluent and he knows how to engage an audience. A total contrast to Theresa May.
The speech was let down in my view by the emptiness and dishonesty at its heart. Johnson appears to be ignorant about lots of things, which is perhaps surprising for someone who projects a persona of intelligence and cleverness. As a stump speech where you don't say anything much, except trying to get an audience on your side, maybe it was fine. The overall effect was of peevishness, which as far as I know isn't Johnson's normal style.
I didn’t get that at all. Superficial in places, certainly. A certain lack of clarity on the specifics undoubtedly. But peevish? Just didn’t get that at all.
He doesn't like the message. Anything that isn't completely slavishly pro-EU is never going to get a fair hearing with these remainers.
Comments
Comments like HYUFD's infuriate me as he has no intellect to see the damage his incendiary comments make to the future of the union which is so precious to many of us
The EU commission can publish a 10000 page document if they want to, but the political balance will not change before the end of 2020.
All the relevant governments will still be in place with the same majorities with the exception of the irish one.
However, delay by HMG would increase independence month by month and would be an idiotic political position to take
And it's not like either question is difficult. Of course Ireland should be united, if you think differently that is because your zoom level needs resetting. Scotland is more complicated but not to you or me it isn't because it is ENTIRELY up to the Scots, and excessive English concern in the matter is borderline creepy. It's like a middle aged man with an implausibly detailed knowledge of the dress requirements of the Girl Guide movement.
Results so far with probably 0.002% in:
Sanders 27 votes
Buttigieg 7
Warren 7
Biden 4
Klobuchar 2
Yang 1
It's going to be a very long night.
https://edition.cnn.com/specials/live-cnni-uk
Edit - If you have access to Sky then CNN on channel 506 will begin their live results how from 9pm
Starmer is bland, has no charisma at all, and it says a lot at how bankrupt labour are when he is their best hope
Whether they have the balls to do it, mind, is a different point...
Well played Liang.
If those poor bits want to amputate themselves and stop suckling off us though, then that's their choice and I respect it and welcome it.
This may come as a shock to you but I genuinely believe in the power of self-reliance. I think the poor nations, if they go separately will be forced to grow up and will be better off for it. I don't believe that infantilising people with welfare makes them any better off.
I think NI politics is incredibly infantilised and that some cold water of no longer being given our money will make them stop bickering like children and start working for a living and they'd be safer, healthier, happier and less violent for it.
I did also find the map here:
https://www.businessinsider.com/iowa-caucus-2020-live-results-vote-counts-updates-2020-2?r=US&IR=T
It's so far the result of satellite caucuses inside Iowa, not the ones out of Iowa yet.
Basically the people who can't participate in the night caucuses for a variety of reasons such as nightshifts.
https://www.dailyrecord.co.uk/news/scottish-news/rangers-star-alfredo-morelos-lamborghini-21412345
An extension needs to be requested by July but since the government has said its not requesting an extension that's moot.
Though to give you credit you didn't drink the Corbyn kool aid even during the election did you? Unlike some of our Labour posters.
I'd probably delete the post and hope people didn't notice, myself.
I do think a main cause of violence in the 70s and 80s was too much religion and violence and not enough working for a living. People with a steady job who need it to pay the bills don't often turn to violence.
We’ll see how or if he solves the anti-semitism issue if elected. I agree he could have done much more as part of Corbyn’s shadow cabinet but if he eradicates it as leader then I can forgive that.
The risk is perhaps looking like a single issue party when there are so many other things they need to be addressing. But equally, the lack of a serious rival makes that less of an issue.
I am enormously heartened by Boris's uncompromising stance at present, but he needs, before the end, to find a way for everyone to win. The EU won't take a deal where they are seen as vanquished and humiliated - they would sooner the EU economy suffers. I am not sure what Boris can offer the EU in he way of 'wins', but he needs to display imagination in doing so.
On fishing, Britain must have sovereignty over its own waters. However, people who have said we don't have fishing fleet to fish all the waters now are correct. Fishing can be phased back year by year to give fleets time to build up and hopefully to make the process less jarring for the EU industry. The debate will be over how long.
Maybe we could give them one of those useless plane-less aircraft carriers. They always did seem to have been purchased with the putative EU army in mind anyway. They'd like that.
It's things from the left field, that Boris often has a talent for. It would be foolish to bet against him getting a great deal.
Klobuchar 48
Buttigieg 38
Biden 33
Warren 12
Sanders 1
No votes for Bloomberg
JFDI.
https://twitter.com/newschambers/status/1224442974563524614
https://twitter.com/DarranMarshall/status/1224443835373084673
Klobuchar 48
Buttigieg 38
Biden 33
To redistribute:
Warren 12
Steyer 2
Sanders 1
Yang 1
You bid for some fishing licenses, which are valid for three years. You win them.
Do you:
(a) wet lease a fishing vessel from a Norwegian, Spanish, Chilean or Canadian firm?
or
(b) buy a fishing vessel, and then train staff?
I can't see the people who go down the (b) route being able to compete in terms of what they'll pay for licenses compared to (a). Indeed, unless fishing licenses are perpetual*, then who the hell is going to sink capital into buying ships and training fishermen?
This is not an EU or non-EU point. It's simply that the nature of fishing licenses (i.e. short term permission to fish) encourages people with them to enter into flexible agreements with people who have boats and trained crews.
* Perpetual fishing licenses open a whole other can of worms
The cause for violence was the long held grievances of part of the population being rated as 2nd class citizens with worse housing and worse opportunities because of their religion. It also did not help that the police and govt were largely run by a cabal intent on making sure that they stayed at the top of the power pyramid.
It all started from a religious / social difference that got out of control when the mobsters realised that they had a them/us division that they could exploit.
The Northern Ireland Troubles were just a miniature version of earlier repressions since Cromwell's time.
The DUP really did shit the bed when they backed Brexit.
https://twitter.com/clpnominations/status/1224445418588655617?s=21
The speech was let down in my view by the emptiness and dishonesty at its heart. Johnson appears to be ignorant about lots of things, which is perhaps surprising for someone who projects a persona of intelligence and cleverness. As a stump speech where you don't say anything much, except trying to get an audience on your side, maybe it was fine. The overall effect was of peevishness, which as far as I know isn't Johnson's normal style.
https://twitter.com/clpnominations/status/1224445829059973120?s=21
https://twitter.com/ScotNational/status/1224444976139890688?s=20
Commercial fishing boats have got bigger and bigger over the last forty years. Those trawlers you imagine as making up the British fishing fleet are commercially unviable. Simply, you own one, and you'll be working all hours for three hundred days a year to earn (after expenses) £20,000. And it's dangerous. And it has extremely volatile income levels.
These days, some incredible proportion of fish from the sea come from 100 Gross Registered Tonnes vessels and up. We could ban them, of course, from fishing in British waters. But that wouldn't solve the problem that - given the prevailing price of fish thanks to fish farming - that fishing with smaller vessels is not economic.
Even worse when he placed his bet he wanted £10,000.