Can’t see there being an election before the spring - now with Jezza in the basement polling wiseZ
How do they stop an election when they vote down the Queens Speech though?
We've not had a government lose a vote on a QS since 1924 and at that point the pressure to disolve Parliament and have an election will be overwhelming IMO.
But Labour would struggle to find the numbers to vote down the QS unless the rebel Tories vote against it. They would need the support of all the independents and also their own rebels such as Hoey and Mann who will probably not want to see the Tories ousted.
I would expect Grieve , Bebb - and possibly Greening, Sandbach & now Stewart - to vote against the Queens Speech. Lady Hermon might well join them.
LibDems taken a big hit after adopting revoking Art 50.
I think it's just the LD bounce unwinding tbh. I'd also be wary of the Tory bounce. Let's wait until everything is calm and nothing special is going on.
It is quite incredible the range of numbers the pollsters are getting for the Tories.
This will probably get me removed from the Opinium mailing list but at the last GE overestimated the Tory lead by a factor of nearly 3.
"factor"? Did you mean "margin"?
A factor of 3 (almost). They gave the Tories a 7% lead in their last poll. The actual result was a 2.4% lead for the Tories.
To be fair to Opinium, until circa late August this pollster was not producing big Tory leads - or obviously out of line with other pollsters. I am not aware of any methodological changes but they are certainly now competing with Yougov for the biggest Tory leads - though on higher vote shares.
LibDems taken a big hit after adopting revoking Art 50.
I think it's just the LD bounce unwinding tbh. I'd also be wary of the Tory bounce. Let's wait until everything is calm and nothing special is going on.
Er...
Remind us how big the Labour bounce was...
Labour's conference was overshadowed by the Supremes.
Who was it on here trying to find odds on Liverpool winning all their games til Christmas? Hope you took my advice and steered clear!
Ahem.....
Well that was bound to happen
Next you'll be telling us to steer clear of Boris getting a deal then a thumping majority....
I should add that I stand wholeheartedly by my advice that betting on Liverpool winning all their games before Christmas is best avoided. Obviously today was one of the trickier home matches, and they've squeaked over this hurdle, but I still have an extremely good chance of being shown to be right. Just... not today.
That was me. I followed someone's advice in manually betting on a game and re-investing the winnings in the following game. Was very squeaky bum time today that's for sure!
My accumulator after today is now in three-digits already. What I originally bet was a tiny sum and continuing this to Christmas if it wins would pay for a deposit on buying our own home, but I don't think I will have the willpower to keep this going until Christmas.
I still think its very possble, nearly halfway to Christmas already. Man Utd away next game is the final "big 6" away game, Leicester today was a potential banana skin - Man City and Spurs and Merseyside Derby coming up are all at Anfield.
Can’t see there being an election before the spring - now with Jezza in the basement polling wiseZ
How do they stop an election when they vote down the Queens Speech though?
We've not had a government lose a vote on a QS since 1924 and at that point the pressure to disolve Parliament and have an election will be overwhelming IMO.
Voting down the Queen’s Speech doesn’t trigger an election before 2022. Only a motion in one of the forms set out in the FTPA can do that. That’s the genius of the Act. The Queen’s Speech being voted down will have serious consequences. It’s just no one knows what they are yet.
Voting down the Queen’s Speech doesn’t trigger an election before 2022. Only a motion in one of the forms set out in the FTPA can do that. That’s the genius of the Act. The Queen’s Speech being voted down will have serious consequences. It’s just no one knows what they are yet.
Voting down the QS and then refusing an election would be too stupid even for Corbyn.
Just 2 minutes thinking of the absurdity of it would lead him to the conclusion there has to be a GE.
Voting down the Queen’s Speech doesn’t trigger an election before 2022. Only a motion in one of the forms set out in the FTPA can do that. That’s the genius of the Act. The Queen’s Speech being voted down will have serious consequences. It’s just no one knows what they are yet.
Voting down the QS and then refusing an election would be too stupid even for Corbyn.
Just 2 minutes thinking of the absurdity of it would lead him to the conclusion there has to be a GE.
We live in strange times . The absurd is now normal .
Can’t see there being an election before the spring - now with Jezza in the basement polling wiseZ
How do they stop an election when they vote down the Queens Speech though?
We've not had a government lose a vote on a QS since 1924 and at that point the pressure to disolve Parliament and have an election will be overwhelming IMO.
Voting down the Queen’s Speech doesn’t trigger an election before 2022. Only a motion in one of the forms set out in the FTPA can do that. That’s the genius of the Act. The Queen’s Speech being voted down will have serious consequences. It’s just no one knows what they are yet.
That’s the point I’m making. Simply voting down the Queen’s Speech won’t do it. And that would be a bill, requiring the Lords to pass it, rather than a simple Commons motion.
Voting down the Queen’s Speech doesn’t trigger an election before 2022. Only a motion in one of the forms set out in the FTPA can do that. That’s the genius of the Act. The Queen’s Speech being voted down will have serious consequences. It’s just no one knows what they are yet.
Voting down the QS and then refusing an election would be too stupid even for Corbyn.
Just 2 minutes thinking of the absurdity of it would lead him to the conclusion there has to be a GE.
It’s the FTPA that’s absurd. These are uncharted waters.
Can’t see there being an election before the spring - now with Jezza in the basement polling wiseZ
How do they stop an election when they vote down the Queens Speech though?
We've not had a government lose a vote on a QS since 1924 and at that point the pressure to disolve Parliament and have an election will be overwhelming IMO.
Voting down the Queen’s Speech doesn’t trigger an election before 2022. Only a motion in one of the forms set out in the FTPA can do that. That’s the genius of the Act. The Queen’s Speech being voted down will have serious consequences. It’s just no one knows what they are yet.
I'm aware FTPA means a QS isn't technically a confidence matter... But seriousy if the government loses a QS for the first time in 95 years do you seriously think the demand for an election can be ignored?
Can’t see there being an election before the spring - now with Jezza in the basement polling wiseZ
How do they stop an election when they vote down the Queens Speech though?
We've not had a government lose a vote on a QS since 1924 and at that point the pressure to disolve Parliament and have an election will be overwhelming IMO.
Voting down the Queen’s Speech doesn’t trigger an election before 2022. Only a motion in one of the forms set out in the FTPA can do that. That’s the genius of the Act. The Queen’s Speech being voted down will have serious consequences. It’s just no one knows what they are yet.
I'm aware FTPA means a QS isn't not a confidence matter... But seriousy if the government loses a QS for the first time in 95 years do you seriously think the demand for an election can be ignored?
LibDems taken a big hit after adopting revoking Art 50.
I think it's just the LD bounce unwinding tbh. I'd also be wary of the Tory bounce. Let's wait until everything is calm and nothing special is going on.
Er...
Remind us how big the Labour bounce was...
Labour's conference was overshadowed by the Supremes.
Can’t see there being an election before the spring - now with Jezza in the basement polling wiseZ
How do they stop an election when they vote down the Queens Speech though?
We've not had a government lose a vote on a QS since 1924 and at that point the pressure to disolve Parliament and have an election will be overwhelming IMO.
Voting down the Queen’s Speech doesn’t trigger an election before 2022. Only a motion in one of the forms set out in the FTPA can do that. That’s the genius of the Act. The Queen’s Speech being voted down will have serious consequences. It’s just no one knows what they are yet.
This parliament has seen the government suffer multiple defeats on its flagship policy, namely Brexit. But it remains in office as it has not yet lost a VONC in the manner prescribed by the FTPA. If it loses a vote on the Queens Speech it will carry on as before.
Can’t see there being an election before the spring - now with Jezza in the basement polling wiseZ
How do they stop an election when they vote down the Queens Speech though?
We've not had a government lose a vote on a QS since 1924 and at that point the pressure to disolve Parliament and have an election will be overwhelming IMO.
Voting down the Queen’s Speech doesn’t trigger an election before 2022. Only a motion in one of the forms set out in the FTPA can do that. That’s the genius of the Act. The Queen’s Speech being voted down will have serious consequences. It’s just no one knows what they are yet.
I'm aware FTPA means a QS isn't technically a confidence matter... But seriousy if the government loses a QS for the first time in 95 years do you seriously think the demand for an election can be ignored?
Certainly. The opposition are not going to give Johnson an election until after 31 October. Quite a long time after IMHO.
Can’t see there being an election before the spring - now with Jezza in the basement polling wiseZ
How do they stop an election when they vote down the Queens Speech though?
We've not had a government lose a vote on a QS since 1924 and at that point the pressure to disolve Parliament and have an election will be overwhelming IMO.
Voting down the Queen’s Speech doesn’t trigger an election before 2022. Only a motion in one of the forms set out in the FTPA can do that. That’s the genius of the Act. The Queen’s Speech being voted down will have serious consequences. It’s just no one knows what they are yet.
This parliament has seen the government suffer multiple defeats on its flagship policy, namely Brexit. But it remains in office as it has not yet lost a VONC in the manner prescribed by the FTPA. If it loses a vote on the Queens Speech it will carry on as before.
The FTPA must be one of the least thought-out pieces of legislation ever put on the statute book. I mean, would people REALLY have voted it through if they had considered just for a moment it could lead to the current shambles?
That’s the point I’m making. Simply voting down the Queen’s Speech won’t do it. And that would be a bill, requiring the Lords to pass it, rather than a simple Commons motion.
I think we can all agree that the HoL desperately needs reforming.
It would be unfortunate if they gave both main parties the ammunition for something more 'root and branch' with their actions in the lead up to a GE.
Not sure what’s caused that Lib Dem drop. The revoke policy hasn’t really been in the news . I wonder whether it’s some Tory Remainers moving back seeing as Bozo has finally put a proposal forward .
Can’t see there being an election before the spring - now with Jezza in the basement polling wiseZ
How do they stop an election when they vote down the Queens Speech though?
We've not had a government lose a vote on a QS since 1924 and at that point the pressure to disolve Parliament and have an election will be overwhelming IMO.
Voting down the Queen’s Speech doesn’t trigger an election before 2022. Only a motion in one of the forms set out in the FTPA can do that. That’s the genius of the Act. The Queen’s Speech being voted down will have serious consequences. It’s just no one knows what they are yet.
This parliament has seen the government suffer multiple defeats on its flagship policy, namely Brexit. But it remains in office as it has not yet lost a VONC in the manner prescribed by the FTPA. If it loses a vote on the Queens Speech it will carry on as before.
The FTPA must be one of the least thought-out pieces of legislation ever put on the statute book. I mean, would people REALLY have voted it through if they had considered just for a moment it could lead to the current shambles?
LOL I think the May and Johnson Tory governments have led to the current shambles. Still, if you want to blame it on an Act passed under another Tory PM, go for it.
Not sure what’s caused that Lib Dem drop. The revoke policy hasn’t really been in the news . I wonder whether it’s some Tory Remainers moving back seeing as Bozo has finally put a proposal forward .
Certainly. The opposition are not going to give Johnson an election until after 31 October. Quite a long time after IMHO.
The last thing the opposition want is to face the electorate so I agree an extension would be used up with more posturing and virtue signalling but little much else.
It is why the government should resign once the QS and the deal is voted down.
Drag Corbyn kicking and screaming to the ballot box to face judgement.
Not sure what’s caused that Lib Dem drop. The revoke policy hasn’t really been in the news . I wonder whether it’s some Tory Remainers moving back seeing as Bozo has finally put a proposal forward .
It's all just noise at this point.
Lab to Con movement over Conference and Labour being more useless than usual, but masked a bit by a Lib to Lab movement as Liberals get closer and closer to ex-Tory remainers, if I had to come up with a theory.
The FTPA must be one of the least thought-out pieces of legislation ever put on the statute book. I mean, would people REALLY have voted it through if they had considered just for a moment it could lead to the current shambles?
If they'd known it would have the effect of preventing a future government from making the UK leave all its trading arrangements overnight against the express opposition of parliament, by scheduling an election over the time it would happen, I guess it would have gone through pretty much unanimously.
Can’t see there being an election before the spring - now with Jezza in the basement polling wiseZ
How do they stop an election when they vote down the Queens Speech though?
We've not had a government lose a vote on a QS since 1924 and at that point the pressure to disolve Parliament and have an election will be overwhelming IMO.
Voting down the Queen’s Speech doesn’t trigger an election before 2022. Only a motion in one of the forms set out in the FTPA can do that. That’s the genius of the Act. The Queen’s Speech being voted down will have serious consequences. It’s just no one knows what they are yet.
This parliament has seen the government suffer multiple defeats on its flagship policy, namely Brexit. But it remains in office as it has not yet lost a VONC in the manner prescribed by the FTPA. If it loses a vote on the Queens Speech it will carry on as before.
The FTPA must be one of the least thought-out pieces of legislation ever put on the statute book. I mean, would people REALLY have voted it through if they had considered just for a moment it could lead to the current shambles?
The current situation is karma for May and Corbyn for breaking the spirit of the FTPA in 2017.
Not sure what’s caused that Lib Dem drop. The revoke policy hasn’t really been in the news . I wonder whether it’s some Tory Remainers moving back seeing as Bozo has finally put a proposal forward .
It's all just noise at this point.
The poll is actually mildly encouraging for Labour to the extent that it shows a clear over the LDs. It could make it easier to win back Remain voters with the message - 'A LibDem vote is a vote for a Johnson Govt'.
Certainly. The opposition are not going to give Johnson an election until after 31 October. Quite a long time after IMHO.
The last thing the opposition want is to face the electorate so I agree and extension would be used up with more posturing and virtue signalling but little much else.
It is why the government should resign once the QS and the deal is voted down.
Drag Corbyn kicking and screaming to the ballot box to face judgement.
Again, the genius of the FTPA means that if the Government resigns, there is no automatic election, and Corbyn probably gets asked to form a minority Government. Like it or not the opposition is not going to agree to an election with the current polling. They are going to leave it as long as possible.
Again, the genius of the FTPA means that if the Government resigns, there is no automatic election, and Corbyn probably gets asked to form a minority Government. Like it or not the opposition is not going to agree to an election with the current polling. They are going to leave it as long as possible.
Certainly. The opposition are not going to give Johnson an election until after 31 October. Quite a long time after IMHO.
The last thing the opposition want is to face the electorate so I agree and extension would be used up with more posturing and virtue signalling but little much else.
It is why the government should resign once the QS and the deal is voted down.
Drag Corbyn kicking and screaming to the ballot box to face judgement.
Again, the genius of the FTPA means that if the Government resigns, there is no automatic election, and Corbyn probably gets asked to form a minority Government. Like it or not the opposition is not going to agree to an election with the current polling. They are going to leave it as long as possible.
The longer the opposition hides from the electorate the more damage it will do to them.
Certainly. The opposition are not going to give Johnson an election until after 31 October. Quite a long time after IMHO.
The last thing the opposition want is to face the electorate so I agree and extension would be used up with more posturing and virtue signalling but little much else.
It is why the government should resign once the QS and the deal is voted down.
Drag Corbyn kicking and screaming to the ballot box to face judgement.
Again, the genius of the FTPA means that if the Government resigns, there is no automatic election, and Corbyn probably gets asked to form a minority Government. Like it or not the opposition is not going to agree to an election with the current polling. They are going to leave it as long as possible.
I suspect that if Corbyn did become PM , he would get an initial significant bounce in the polls - and that may well explain part of the LD reluctance to support him.
Not sure what’s caused that Lib Dem drop. The revoke policy hasn’t really been in the news . I wonder whether it’s some Tory Remainers moving back seeing as Bozo has finally put a proposal forward .
It's all just noise at this point.
The poll is actually mildly encouraging for Labour to the extent that it shows a clear over the LDs. It could make it easier to win back Remain voters with the message - 'A LibDem vote is a vote for a Johnson Govt'.
That may be one possible interpretation. You'll forgive me for mentioning clutching at straws?
Interesting poll. Con plus BXP at 50% and LD's down 5%. Will any other polls tonight show the same direction?
It will be interesting to see whether 2017 Leave voters are less shy in their sample, or if the Con+BXP share comes from upweighting from those who still admit to voting Leave.
Certainly. The opposition are not going to give Johnson an election until after 31 October. Quite a long time after IMHO.
The last thing the opposition want is to face the electorate so I agree and extension would be used up with more posturing and virtue signalling but little much else.
It is why the government should resign once the QS and the deal is voted down.
Drag Corbyn kicking and screaming to the ballot box to face judgement.
Again, the genius of the FTPA means that if the Government resigns, there is no automatic election, and Corbyn probably gets asked to form a minority Government. Like it or not the opposition is not going to agree to an election with the current polling. They are going to leave it as long as possible.
The longer the opposition hides from the electorate the more damage it will do to them.
Not sure what’s caused that Lib Dem drop. The revoke policy hasn’t really been in the news . I wonder whether it’s some Tory Remainers moving back seeing as Bozo has finally put a proposal forward .
That would be my guess, plus a bit of noise and the LDs dropping out of the news.
The interesting upshot is that if getting a deal is popular, the voters wouldn't blame Boris for extending, and the EU are responding to his proposal in the tone of "this doesn't completely solve the problem, let's talk some more" instead of "a DUP veto on continued peace, 3 borders and a vast surveillance dystopia, this is the most ridiculous diplomatic proposal since Kushner tried to bring peace in the middle east", maybe what happens next it... nothing. Boris asks for an extension to continue discussions, the EU grant it, the voters don't mind too much, Labour continue failing and everybody forgets about politics for a few months.
Can’t see there being an election before the spring - now with Jezza in the basement polling wiseZ
How do they stop an election when they vote down the Queens Speech though?
We've not had a government lose a vote on a QS since 1924 and at that point the pressure to disolve Parliament and have an election will be overwhelming IMO.
Voting down the Queen’s Speech doesn’t trigger an election before 2022. Only a motion in one of the forms set out in the FTPA can do that. That’s the genius of the Act. The Queen’s Speech being voted down will have serious consequences. It’s just no one knows what they are yet.
This parliament has seen the government suffer multiple defeats on its flagship policy, namely Brexit. But it remains in office as it has not yet lost a VONC in the manner prescribed by the FTPA. If it loses a vote on the Queens Speech it will carry on as before.
The FTPA must be one of the least thought-out pieces of legislation ever put on the statute book. I mean, would people REALLY have voted it through if they had considered just for a moment it could lead to the current shambles?
LOL I think the May and Johnson Tory governments have led to the current shambles. Still, if you want to blame it on an Act passed under another Tory PM, go for it.
I think many of our current political difficulties are down to two pieces of shite drafting: Article 50 and the FTPA.
Can’t see there being an election before the spring - now with Jezza in the basement polling wiseZ
How do they stop an election when they vote down the Queens Speech though?
We've not had a government lose a vote on a QS since 1924 and at that point the pressure to disolve Parliament and have an election will be overwhelming IMO.
Voting down the Queen’s Speech doesn’t trigger an election before 2022. Only a motion in one of the forms set out in the FTPA can do that. That’s the genius of the Act. The Queen’s Speech being voted down will have serious consequences. It’s just no one knows what they are yet.
This parliament has seen the government suffer multiple defeats on its flagship policy, namely Brexit. But it remains in office as it has not yet lost a VONC in the manner prescribed by the FTPA. If it loses a vote on the Queens Speech it will carry on as before.
The FTPA must be one of the least thought-out pieces of legislation ever put on the statute book. I mean, would people REALLY have voted it through if they had considered just for a moment it could lead to the current shambles?
LOL I think the May and Johnson Tory governments have led to the current shambles. Still, if you want to blame it on an Act passed under another Tory PM, go for it.
I think many of our current political difficulties are down to two pieces of shite drafting: Article 50 and the FTPA.
Let's not forget the European Union Referendum Act 2015.
Whether you are a Leaver or Remainer, this act has shafted you royally.
Whether it's against God depends on what you believe. It's not against nature in any way, but those capsules are a waste of good whisky. Much of the enjoyment lies in being able to smell the stuff.
Pathetic. I suggest the OODA loopers consider Article 17 of the Treaty of the European Union.
Just looked it up at your prompting, thanks:
"The members of the Commission shall be chosen on the ground of their general competence and European commitment from persons whose independence is beyond doubt..."
"...A member of the Commission shall resign if the President so requests."
Pathetic. I suggest the OODA loopers consider Article 17 of the Treaty of the European Union.
Just looked it up at your prompting, thanks:
"The members of the Commission shall be chosen on the ground of their general competence and European commitment from persons whose independence is beyond doubt..."
"...A member of the Commission shall resign if the President so requests."
Doesn’t sound very democratic to me. Why shouldn’t a eurosceptic be able to have a position in a powerful organ of the EU?
I don't think any politicians will want to hold a GE in December or January. So if it doesn't get called for November it'll be put off to February at the earliest.
1. No deal negotiated with the EU (Benn Act made this certain) 2. Boris resigns at last possible moment 3. Corbyn fails to form a government 4. Remainer faction forms a government 5. Remainer factions extends 6. Corbyn withdraws confidence, Remainer faction falls 7. General Election called 8. Tories campaign on deal or no deal manifesto 9. Bunch of Tory deselections 10. Tories win 11. EU has backed itself into corner and can't compromise any further. 12. No deal
I think the sequence of events is much more likely to be
1 Extension agreed 2 Parliament legislates for second referendum 3 Referendum held in the first half of 2020
4 Remain wins after excluding a big chunk of Leave options 5 Leavers do not accept result as legitimate due to rigged question 6 Tories go into next election on Leave manifesto 7 Tories win majority 8 Brexit
10 Sun turns red giant and engulfs the Earth 11 HYUFD predicts Tory landslide.
I don't think any politicians will want to hold a GE in December or January. So if it doesn't get called for November it'll be put off to February at the earliest.
Pathetic. I suggest the OODA loopers consider Article 17 of the Treaty of the European Union.
Just looked it up at your prompting, thanks:
"The members of the Commission shall be chosen on the ground of their general competence and European commitment from persons whose independence is beyond doubt..."
"...A member of the Commission shall resign if the President so requests."
Doesn’t sound very democratic to me. Why shouldn’t a eurosceptic be able to have a position in a powerful organ of the EU?
So that idiots can’t play silly buggers in just the sort of way contemplated here.
I wondered how he was going to dig himself out of the hole of having to extend.
If Cameron's flounce was worth 5 points on his polling this will be dynamite.
Have you thought this thru? He extends and throws a strop, and...
1. Will this damage the EU? No. It gets problematic in June next year because of the budget, but even after that its more delay than destroy 2. Will nominating an awkward EU Commissioner damage the EU? No, because the role of each commissioner is decided by the EU, so he could well end up as "Commissioner for paperclips" (if you think that's a joke, look at the other ones.)
But if you genuinely feel that staying in and mocking the EU is the way to go, then please, please don't let me stop you. If you want to have a really long bit of really severe mocking (just so you can fully vent), please feel free to extend for many, many years. Knock yourself out. Stay in and mock them up until, ooh, 2022? That way he can get a really good strop on...
I don't think any politicians will want to hold a GE in December or January. So if it doesn't get called for November it'll be put off to February at the earliest.
Agreed.
But who will be PM through those months?
Boris, shorely? He obviously wants to be PM, hence... everything he's done. Some of the voters will be narked off at him for taking an extension but he'll survive... maybe his 15-point lead collapses to 10...
"The members of the Commission shall be chosen on the ground of their general competence and European commitment from persons whose independence is beyond doubt..."
"...A member of the Commission shall resign if the President so requests."
I don't think any politicians will want to hold a GE in December or January. So if it doesn't get called for November it'll be put off to February at the earliest.
"The members of the Commission shall be chosen on the ground of their general competence and European commitment from persons whose independence is beyond doubt..."
"...A member of the Commission shall resign if the President so requests."
Pathetic. I suggest the OODA loopers consider Article 17 of the Treaty of the European Union.
Just looked it up at your prompting, thanks:
"The members of the Commission shall be chosen on the ground of their general competence and European commitment from persons whose independence is beyond doubt..."
"...A member of the Commission shall resign if the President so requests."
Doesn’t sound very democratic to me. Why shouldn’t a eurosceptic be able to have a position in a powerful organ of the EU?
Commissioners are there to support the EU not work against it. Would you support an MP in the Commons actively working to bring it down . I’ve never understood why Farage and the rest want to be MEPs , if they hate the place so much then why be part of it.
The last election was two years ago. Just why are Leavers in such a rush to rerun one, but not another, democratic process?
Because one result was implemented and the other wasn't.
You had your chance. An exit deal was negotiated. Leavers spurned it.
So the country moves on.
Indeed. If we do not leave on 31 October we never will. And leavers will spend the rest of their lives blaming each other for snatching defeat from the jaws of victory.
I wondered how he was going to dig himself out of the hole of having to extend.
If Cameron's flounce was worth 5 points on his polling this will be dynamite.
Have you thought this thru? He extends and throws a strop, and...
1. Will this damage the EU? No. It gets problematic in June next year because of the budget, but even after that its more delay than destroy 2. Will nominating an awkward EU Commissioner damage the EU? No, because the role of each commissioner is decided by the EU, so he could well end up as "Commissioner for paperclips" (if you think that's a joke, look at the other ones.)
But if you genuinely feel that staying in and mocking the EU is the way to go, then please, please don't let me stop you. If you want to have a really long bit of really severe mocking (just so you can fully vent), please feel free to extend for many, many years. Knock yourself out. Stay in and mock them up until, ooh, 2022? That way he can get a really good strop on...
That's the point though, isn't it? Leavers feel like their guy is fighting for them, the EU isn't damaged in any material way, everybody wins... Just like Cameron's flounce, where he got a pretty decent polling boost and the rest of the EU just carried on and did what they'd been doing in the first place.
Have you thought this thru? He extends and throws a strop, and...
1. Will this damage the EU? No. It gets problematic in June next year because of the budget, but even after that its more delay than destroy 2. Will nominating an awkward EU Commissioner damage the EU? No, because the role of each commissioner is decided by the EU, so he could well end up as "Commissioner for paperclips" (if you think that's a joke, look at the other ones.)
But if you genuinely feel that staying in and mocking the EU is the way to go, then please, please don't let me stop you. If you want to have a really long bit of really severe mocking (just so you can fully vent), please feel free to extend for many, many years. Knock yourself out. Stay in and mock them up until, ooh, 2022? That way he can get a really good strop on...
This would a tactical rather than strategic move.
Its only purpose would be to mitigate the damage of extending.
I don't think any politicians will want to hold a GE in December or January. So if it doesn't get called for November it'll be put off to February at the earliest.
Agreed.
But who will be PM through those months?
Boris, shorely? He obviously wants to be PM, hence... everything he's done. Some of the voters will be narked off at him for taking an extension but he'll survive... maybe his 15-point lead collapses to 10...
Boris shorely? But will his premiership run aground?
Actually, I think you may be right. Farage will have a field day though.
Pathetic. I suggest the OODA loopers consider Article 17 of the Treaty of the European Union.
Just looked it up at your prompting, thanks:
"The members of the Commission shall be chosen on the ground of their general competence and European commitment from persons whose independence is beyond doubt..."
"...A member of the Commission shall resign if the President so requests."
Doesn’t sound very democratic to me. Why shouldn’t a eurosceptic be able to have a position in a powerful organ of the EU?
So that idiots can’t play silly buggers in just the sort of way contemplated here.
I don’t think that’s a good enough excuse to block people with a legitimate viewpoint from being appointed.
Have you thought this thru? He extends and throws a strop, and...
1. Will this damage the EU? No. It gets problematic in June next year because of the budget, but even after that its more delay than destroy 2. Will nominating an awkward EU Commissioner damage the EU? No, because the role of each commissioner is decided by the EU, so he could well end up as "Commissioner for paperclips" (if you think that's a joke, look at the other ones.)
But if you genuinely feel that staying in and mocking the EU is the way to go, then please, please don't let me stop you. If you want to have a really long bit of really severe mocking (just so you can fully vent), please feel free to extend for many, many years. Knock yourself out. Stay in and mock them up until, ooh, 2022? That way he can get a really good strop on...
This would a tactical rather than strategic move.
Its only purpose would be to mitigate the damage of extending.
Having a hissy fit mitigates the 'damage' of extending?
Comments
Awaiting the full figures.
My accumulator after today is now in three-digits already. What I originally bet was a tiny sum and continuing this to Christmas if it wins would pay for a deposit on buying our own home, but I don't think I will have the willpower to keep this going until Christmas.
I still think its very possble, nearly halfway to Christmas already. Man Utd away next game is the final "big 6" away game, Leicester today was a potential banana skin - Man City and Spurs and Merseyside Derby coming up are all at Anfield.
https://www.newstatesman.com/politics/uk/2019/09/how-general-election-called
Just 2 minutes thinking of the absurdity of it would lead him to the conclusion there has to be a GE.
Getting very, very close now to the 40% Tory share I've consistently predicted will be hit by the end of October.
It’s the FTPA that’s absurd. These are uncharted waters.
The average of the most recent 6 polls, including this one, is Cons = 33.5%.
It would be unfortunate if they gave both main parties the ammunition for something more 'root and branch' with their actions in the lead up to a GE.
It is why the government should resign once the QS and the deal is voted down.
Drag Corbyn kicking and screaming to the ballot box to face judgement.
Bozo threatening to sabotage the EU and then in the same article going to be going round EU capitals to try and garner support for his deal .
But it could indeed be noise.
Let the opposition vote down the QS and the deal then resign the government.
https://twitter.com/hendopolis/status/1180585538622910465?s=20
If Cameron's flounce was worth 5 points on his polling this will be dynamite.
The interesting upshot is that if getting a deal is popular, the voters wouldn't blame Boris for extending, and the EU are responding to his proposal in the tone of "this doesn't completely solve the problem, let's talk some more" instead of "a DUP veto on continued peace, 3 borders and a vast surveillance dystopia, this is the most ridiculous diplomatic proposal since Kushner tried to bring peace in the middle east", maybe what happens next it... nothing. Boris asks for an extension to continue discussions, the EU grant it, the voters don't mind too much, Labour continue failing and everybody forgets about politics for a few months.
Threatening to sabotage the EU to get a deal isn’t going to work .
What next threatening to nuke Paris . The Tories don’t care what long term damage they do to relations , utterly despicable .
I
Whether you are a Leaver or Remainer, this act has shafted you royally.
And the icing on the cake is that they will misunderstand the British psyche such that they think 'giving it back' to the EU will be unpopular.
Regardless of the efficacy of the threat.
The government continues to shame the country. How do you expect to do a trade deal with the EU when Bozo and his cabinet are trashing relations .
Maybe I don’t understand the British psyche, but it’s the UK government which is making this seem like a war with the EU not the other way round .
"The members of the Commission shall be chosen on the ground of their general competence and European commitment from persons whose independence is beyond doubt..."
"...A member of the Commission shall resign if the President so requests."
But who will be PM through those months?
So the country moves on.
1. Will this damage the EU? No. It gets problematic in June next year because of the budget, but even after that its more delay than destroy
2. Will nominating an awkward EU Commissioner damage the EU? No, because the role of each commissioner is decided by the EU, so he could well end up as "Commissioner for paperclips" (if you think that's a joke, look at the other ones.)
But if you genuinely feel that staying in and mocking the EU is the way to go, then please, please don't let me stop you. If you want to have a really long bit of really severe mocking (just so you can fully vent), please feel free to extend for many, many years. Knock yourself out. Stay in and mock them up until, ooh, 2022? That way he can get a really good strop on...
Its only purpose would be to mitigate the damage of extending.
Actually, I think you may be right. Farage will have a field day though.