politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Failed CON leadership contender, Rory Stewart, to fight for the London Mayoralty as an independent
There has been a big shake up in the betting for the 2020 London Mayoral race following the announcement this morning that the former Tory cabinet minister and failed leadership contender, Rory Stewart, has decided to enter the race.
Re legal case, arent we overlooking that boris could still resign.
If push and shove arrive this is precisely what he should do. But it looks like he's simply going to sign the letter, probably enjoys the trappings of No 10 too much to let go.
Everyone's second preference and no-one's first? A real vote of no confidence in Shaun Bailey though who seems be making Zac Goldsmith look high profile.
Re legal case, arent we overlooking that boris could still resign.
If push and shove arrive this is precisely what he should do. But it looks like he's simply going to sign the letter, probably enjoys the trappings of No 10 too much to let go.
Can he resign? If he resigns he has to suggest a PM . Can he suggest anyone who can hold the confidence of the Commons? I don't really think he can.
Stewart would have made an ideal candidate for the conservatives. The lack of the mark will do for him. I don't even think it's guaranteed he'll get second as is.
Re legal case, arent we overlooking that boris could still resign.
If push and shove arrive this is precisely what he should do. But it looks like he's simply going to sign the letter, probably enjoys the trappings of No 10 too much to let go.
I thought immediately that he would resign rather than send the letter. Would he have to do that today for the two weeks period of FTPA to get him out by 19th? Or could he try to negotiate a deal? My other question is whether there is some piece of arcane law that he will drag up like the Speaker?
Re legal case, arent we overlooking that boris could still resign.
If push and shove arrive this is precisely what he should do. But it looks like he's simply going to sign the letter, probably enjoys the trappings of No 10 too much to let go.
Can he resign? If he resigns he has to suggest a PM . Can he suggest anyone who can hold the confidence of the Commons? I don't really think he can.
I think whoever he nominated would not have the confidence of the house tested till they've sent the letter in question - or if a vote was forced by the Tories it'd lose so they'd have the confidence of the house on the 19th.
I dont understand rory's thinking, unless he has got high on his own supply of all the media pumping over his leadership bid. Despite all the positive media coverage, he was still never really in the running.
He would be much better doing a david miliband and doing the international aid thing and then perhaps come back when things have moved on.
Rory Stewart might get the media following that propels him forward. Mayor of London has lets remember elected Red Ken, though, I would be first to admit the dynamics for an Independent Tory are some what different in a Labour city like London. I think he will probably fail but in these political febrile times anything can happen...
Sorry for being so off-topic and behind in my reading-
"Some civil servants have an unofficial test for their briefing documents. The object is to make them so clear that even the dimmest of ministers can grasp the essential points by the third time of reading. For a while it was dubbed "the Amber Rudd test" in honour of one slow learner , but when Rudd became Home Secretary, it was decided that she deserved more respect. So the name was changed - to "the Priti Patel test". Now, thanks to Patel's unexpected promotion to same position, yet another name is under discussion."
Sorry for being so off-topic and behind in my reading-
"Some civil servants have an unofficial test for their briefing documents. The object is to make them so clear that even the dimmest of ministers can grasp the essential points by the third time of reading. For a while it was dubbed "the Amber Rudd test" in honour of one slow learner , but when Rudd became Home Secretary, it was decided that she deserved more respect. So the name was changed - to "the Priti Patel test". Now, thanks to Patel's unexpected promotion to same position, yet another name is under discussion."
I think Johnson will simply sign the letter and have some ridiculous hope that he can stay as PM till Brexit is 'delivered'. Except it won't be, the opposition will simply leave him twisting in the wind for a bit and then VONC him anyway (They have the numbers, just, I expect in this scenario). At which point he might as well have resigned.
Likely Hungary will veto further extension hence Hungary's Foreign Secretary at Cabinet in Downing Street yesterday rendering the Benn Act irrelevant
So 'taking back control', and all that talk of how we just needed to shout at Jonny Foreigner a bit louder and he'd cave in, reduces to our PM being dependent on the whim of Viktor Mihály Orbán.
Diehard Remainers have been relying on Macron and Varadkar
"Hey babe, I negotiate million dollar deals for breakfast. I think I can handle this Eurotrash!"
Sorry for being so off-topic and behind in my reading-
"Some civil servants have an unofficial test for their briefing documents. The object is to make them so clear that even the dimmest of ministers can grasp the essential points by the third time of reading. For a while it was dubbed "the Amber Rudd test" in honour of one slow learner , but when Rudd became Home Secretary, it was decided that she deserved more respect. So the name was changed - to "the Priti Patel test". Now, thanks to Patel's unexpected promotion to same position, yet another name is under discussion."
I am bored of these stories in newspapers about Boris Johnson, which, are designed to boost his and the Tories standing. They keep trying to sell the turd and no matter how much they polish it. The shit is still underneath...
Re legal case, arent we overlooking that boris could still resign.
If push and shove arrive this is precisely what he should do. But it looks like he's simply going to sign the letter, probably enjoys the trappings of No 10 too much to let go.
Power corrupts the best of us, if even Boris Johnson is susceptible then what hope for us mere mortals.
Sorry for being so off-topic and behind in my reading-
"Some civil servants have an unofficial test for their briefing documents. The object is to make them so clear that even the dimmest of ministers can grasp the essential points by the third time of reading. For a while it was dubbed "the Amber Rudd test" in honour of one slow learner , but when Rudd became Home Secretary, it was decided that she deserved more respect. So the name was changed - to "the Priti Patel test". Now, thanks to Patel's unexpected promotion to same position, yet another name is under discussion."
The government seem to be moving towards reluctantly extending. That is a massive strategic mistake and repeats May's collapse. Boris should resign with a fiery speech castigating his opponents as fighting democracy.
On topic Fox hunting fan. In London. Avoid with betting $$$
I don't expect his programme will include setting up meets in Kensington Gardens, although to be fair anything which helped reduce the nuisance of foxes on London streets should be quite popular.
The government seem to be moving towards reluctantly extending. That is a massive strategic mistake and repeats May's collapse. Boris should resign with a fiery speech castigating his opponents as fighting democracy.
If Johnson extends it will be the end of him and in all probability the end of Brexit altogether.
I dont understand rory's thinking, unless he has got high on his own supply of all the media pumping over his leadership bid.
He would be much better doing a david miliband and doing the international aid thing and then perhaps come back when things have moved on.
Stewart has a good chance of coming second I imagine. That might be an interesting result as an independent candidate not backed by a party.
Actually the main win for Stewart may be that his candidature keeps him in the political eye for the next six months. Khan and Stewart will be the only mayoral candidates people will be interested in or have heard of
On topic Fox hunting fan. In London. Avoid with betting $$$
I don't expect his programme will include setting up meets in Kensington Gardens, although to be fair anything which helped reduce the nuisance of foxes on London streets should be quite popular.
No, but it will be hammered at by Khan. The Tory manifesto bilge of a foxy free vote was part of the 2017 debacle. Rory attends (legal) hunt meetings and is a keen pro hunter. It will go down in metropolitan luvvie millenial London like a cup of cold sick
The government seem to be moving towards reluctantly extending. That is a massive strategic mistake and repeats May's collapse. Boris should resign with a fiery speech castigating his opponents as fighting democracy.
Vain liar prefers going back on his word than becoming the shortest serving PM shocker.
Sorry for being so off-topic and behind in my reading-
"Some civil servants have an unofficial test for their briefing documents. The object is to make them so clear that even the dimmest of ministers can grasp the essential points by the third time of reading. For a while it was dubbed "the Amber Rudd test" in honour of one slow learner , but when Rudd became Home Secretary, it was decided that she deserved more respect. So the name was changed - to "the Priti Patel test". Now, thanks to Patel's unexpected promotion to same position, yet another name is under discussion."
Amber Rudd has a degree from Queen's College and passed the high interview bar to get into JP Morgan. Priti Patel didn't do quite as well but has a Masters from Essex, which is one of the best government departments in the country. I suspect this is civil servants revealing their own prejudices.
Rory Stewart might get the media following that propels him forward. Mayor of London has lets remember elected Red Ken, though, I would be first to admit the dynamics for an Independent Tory are some what different in a Labour city like London. I think he will probably fail but in these political febrile times anything can happen...
London’s reputation as a Labour stronghold is overstated. The Conservatives used to win the old GLC during its 20 year existence. Inner London, the Old LCC, maybe but not Greater London as a whole. It’s Ken being in charge when the GLC was abolished and then becoming the first mayor in 2000 that gives the rep.
The Tories must have got into their heads that having Corbyn in No 10 for a short while is more politically toxic than signing this letter. I think that's absolutely laughable and the polls in time will show this.
Re legal case, arent we overlooking that boris could still resign.
If push and shove arrive this is precisely what he should do. But it looks like he's simply going to sign the letter, probably enjoys the trappings of No 10 too much to let go.
I thought immediately that he would resign rather than send the letter. Would he have to do that today for the two weeks period of FTPA to get him out by 19th? Or could he try to negotiate a deal? My other question is whether there is some piece of arcane law that he will drag up like the Speaker?
If he resigns the Queen will invite corbyn to form government which will remain until it loses a confidence motion the FTPA kicks in
On topic Fox hunting fan. In London. Avoid with betting $$$
I don't expect his programme will include setting up meets in Kensington Gardens, although to be fair anything which helped reduce the nuisance of foxes on London streets should be quite popular.
No, but it will be hammered at by Khan. The Tory manifesto bilge of a foxy free vote was part of the 2017 debacle. Rory attends (legal) hunt meetings and is a keen pro hunter. It will go down in metropolitan luvvie millenial London like a cup of cold sick
I really don't think it will make the slightest difference. Not everyone is obsessed with this minor issue, it is of zero relevance to London, Khan won't waste campaigning bandwidth on it, and those that are obsessed with it were never going to vote for Rory or any other Tory or ex-Tory in the first place.
The government seem to be moving towards reluctantly extending. That is a massive strategic mistake and repeats May's collapse. Boris should resign with a fiery speech castigating his opponents as fighting democracy.
Vain liar prefers going back on his word than becoming the shortest serving PM shocker.
Boris was sacked twice for telling porkies:
In 1988, he was fired from The Times for making up quotations by historian Colin Lucas (his own Godfather!).
In 2004, he was fired from the Tory Shadow Front Bench for lying about his affair with Petronella Wyatt (the so-called "Pyramid of Piffle).
The government seem to be moving towards reluctantly extending. That is a massive strategic mistake and repeats May's collapse. Boris should resign with a fiery speech castigating his opponents as fighting democracy.
If Johnson extends it will be the end of him and in all probability the end of Brexit altogether.
It will be the end of him but I think Brexit is inevitable now. It just might take ten years. British independence from the EU is now as much a part of the Tory vote as Scottish independence from the UK is for the SNP. I can't see any Conservative manifesto having a Remain platform for 30 years. They will surely get a majority sooner or later.
Sorry for being so off-topic and behind in my reading-
"Some civil servants have an unofficial test for their briefing documents. The object is to make them so clear that even the dimmest of ministers can grasp the essential points by the third time of reading. For a while it was dubbed "the Amber Rudd test" in honour of one slow learner , but when Rudd became Home Secretary, it was decided that she deserved more respect. So the name was changed - to "the Priti Patel test". Now, thanks to Patel's unexpected promotion to same position, yet another name is under discussion."
Amber Rudd has a degree from Queen's College and passed the high interview bar to get into JP Morgan. Priti Patel didn't do quite as well but has a Masters from Essex, which is one of the best government departments in the country. I suspect this is civil servants revealing their own prejudices.
On topic Fox hunting fan. In London. Avoid with betting $$$
I don't expect his programme will include setting up meets in Kensington Gardens, although to be fair anything which helped reduce the nuisance of foxes on London streets should be quite popular.
No, but it will be hammered at by Khan. The Tory manifesto bilge of a foxy free vote was part of the 2017 debacle. Rory attends (legal) hunt meetings and is a keen pro hunter. It will go down in metropolitan luvvie millenial London like a cup of cold sick
I really don't think it will make the slightest difference. Not everyone is obsessed with this minor issue, it is of zero relevance to London, Khan won't waste campaigning bandwidth on it, and those that are obsessed with it were never going to vote for Rory or any other Tory or ex-Tory in the first place.
It might not make much difference for a Tory, but it will be a top three thing voters know about the independent. It will be part of him being a rural toff, unlike Khan being brought up in Sarf London.
Sorry for being so off-topic and behind in my reading-
"Some civil servants have an unofficial test for their briefing documents. The object is to make them so clear that even the dimmest of ministers can grasp the essential points by the third time of reading. For a while it was dubbed "the Amber Rudd test" in honour of one slow learner , but when Rudd became Home Secretary, it was decided that she deserved more respect. So the name was changed - to "the Priti Patel test". Now, thanks to Patel's unexpected promotion to same position, yet another name is under discussion."
Amber Rudd has a degree from Queen's College and passed the high interview bar to get into JP Morgan. Priti Patel didn't do quite as well but has a Masters from Essex, which is one of the best government departments in the country. I suspect this is civil servants revealing their own prejudices.
Perhaps putting bright opinionated people in charge of ministries they have never worked in before is not a good model for running a country. They bring their outsider thoughts in which may make sense at a basic level but dont take account of complexities and knock on effects they are unaware of. I imagine it is that dynamic that civil servants get repeatedly frustrated by, not that they think senior ministers are as dim as the article suggests.
Could he introduce a bill stating the government passes authorisation to request an extension on the 19th October to the Speaker due to the conflict between its policy and the Benn Act? Let Hobbit take the hit?
On topic Fox hunting fan. In London. Avoid with betting $$$
I don't expect his programme will include setting up meets in Kensington Gardens, although to be fair anything which helped reduce the nuisance of foxes on London streets should be quite popular.
No, but it will be hammered at by Khan. The Tory manifesto bilge of a foxy free vote was part of the 2017 debacle. Rory attends (legal) hunt meetings and is a keen pro hunter. It will go down in metropolitan luvvie millenial London like a cup of cold sick
I really don't think it will make the slightest difference. Not everyone is obsessed with this minor issue, it is of zero relevance to London, Khan won't waste campaigning bandwidth on it, and those that are obsessed with it were never going to vote for Rory or any other Tory or ex-Tory in the first place.
It might not make much difference for a Tory, but it will be a top three thing voters know about the independent. It will be part of him being a rural toff, unlike Khan being brought up in Sarf London.
Precisely. Those who are driven by prejudice against 'rural toffs' wouldn't vote for him anyway, fox-hunting or no fox-hunting.
On topic Fox hunting fan. In London. Avoid with betting $$$
I don't expect his programme will include setting up meets in Kensington Gardens, although to be fair anything which helped reduce the nuisance of foxes on London streets should be quite popular.
No, but it will be hammered at by Khan. The Tory manifesto bilge of a foxy free vote was part of the 2017 debacle. Rory attends (legal) hunt meetings and is a keen pro hunter. It will go down in metropolitan luvvie millenial London like a cup of cold sick
I really don't think it will make the slightest difference. Not everyone is obsessed with this minor issue, it is of zero relevance to London, Khan won't waste campaigning bandwidth on it, and those that are obsessed with it were never going to vote for Rory or any other Tory or ex-Tory in the first place.
I think that's almost correct but not quite. There'll be a good few centrist Dad types who may well be completely repulsed if the hunting narrative is pushed (I'm sure the LD campaign for instance might mention this). Remember Big G didn't vote for Hunt in the Tory leadership election due to this issue. It's not a huge intersection but I'd argue it exists and he needs every last vote.
I dont understand rory's thinking, unless he has got high on his own supply of all the media pumping over his leadership bid. Despite all the positive media coverage, he was still never really in the running.
He would be much better doing a david miliband and doing the international aid thing and then perhaps come back when things have moved on.
Agree; plenty of 'high profile' people have found that without some on-the-ground support it's difficult to make an electoral break-though.
Might be easier in the age of social media, but I don't think it'll make that much difference.
The answer to 4) is that the EU will extend even if Johnson isn't very enthusiastic about it. It's the EU, if Cummings doesn't think they'll kick a mahoosive can down the road he must be thick.
The answer to 4) is that the EU will extend even if Johnson isn't very enthusiastic about it. It's the EU, if Cummings doesn't think they'll kick a mahoosive can down the road he must be thick.
The answer to 4) is that the EU will extend even if Johnson isn't very enthusiastic about it. It's the EU, if Cummings doesn't think they'll kick a mahoosive can down the road he must be thick.
Depends if theres anything hes threatening to wreck in the period of the extension. Extend and I'll veto your arses into stalemate etc etc
The answer to 4) is that the EU will extend even if Johnson isn't very enthusiastic about it. It's the EU, if Cummings doesn't think they'll kick a mahoosive can down the road he must be thick.
Yes, I'm sure that is right. They will (not unreasonably) cover it by saying that there is no settled position in the UK government/parliament and that therefore more time needs to be given to us so we can sort out what we want.
The answer to 4) is that the EU will extend even if Johnson isn't very enthusiastic about it. It's the EU, if Cummings doesn't think they'll kick a mahoosive can down the road he must be thick.
Yes, I'm sure that is right. They will (not unreasonably) cover it by saying that there is no settled position in the UK government/parliament and that therefore more time needs to be given to us to sort out what we want.
What if Boris intimates that we will not be paying in any more money ?
The answer to 4) is that the EU will extend even if Johnson isn't very enthusiastic about it. It's the EU, if Cummings doesn't think they'll kick a mahoosive can down the road he must be thick.
Yes, I'm sure that is right. They will (not unreasonably) cover it by saying that there is no settled position in the UK government/parliament and that therefore more time needs to be given to us to sort out what we want.
What if Boris intimates that we will not be paying in any more money ?
Would the EU let us stay for free ?
We'd be in breach of treaty obligations in that case, they know they'd get their money sooner or later, probably sooner.
I dont understand rory's thinking, unless he has got high on his own supply of all the media pumping over his leadership bid. Despite all the positive media coverage, he was still never really in the running.
He would be much better doing a david miliband and doing the international aid thing and then perhaps come back when things have moved on.
Agree; plenty of 'high profile' people have found that without some on-the-ground support it's difficult to make an electoral break-though.
Might be easier in the age of social media, but I don't think it'll make that much difference.
The answer to 4) is that the EU will extend even if Johnson isn't very enthusiastic about it. It's the EU, if Cummings doesn't think they'll kick a mahoosive can down the road he must be thick.
Depends if theres anything hes threatening to wreck in the period of the extension. Extend and I'll veto your arses into stalemate etc etc
If he's not going to resign he's not going to suddenly threaten to withhold all our payments whilst we're in the EU. We have to negotiate with the EU whether we leave with or without a deal or just remain after all. His credibility (Hah yes I know I know) would be shot.
Sorry for being so off-topic and behind in my reading-
"Some civil servants have an unofficial test for their briefing documents. The object is to make them so clear that even the dimmest of ministers can grasp the essential points by the third time of reading. For a while it was dubbed "the Amber Rudd test" in honour of one slow learner , but when Rudd became Home Secretary, it was decided that she deserved more respect. So the name was changed - to "the Priti Patel test". Now, thanks to Patel's unexpected promotion to same position, yet another name is under discussion."
Amber Rudd has a degree from Queen's College and passed the high interview bar to get into JP Morgan. Priti Patel didn't do quite as well but has a Masters from Essex, which is one of the best government departments in the country. I suspect this is civil servants revealing their own prejudices.
I know and she was once my glorious overlord (All Hail Coffey) - I'm so thick I got kicked out of the OU.
Sorry for being so off-topic and behind in my reading-
"Some civil servants have an unofficial test for their briefing documents. The object is to make them so clear that even the dimmest of ministers can grasp the essential points by the third time of reading. For a while it was dubbed "the Amber Rudd test" in honour of one slow learner , but when Rudd became Home Secretary, it was decided that she deserved more respect. So the name was changed - to "the Priti Patel test". Now, thanks to Patel's unexpected promotion to same position, yet another name is under discussion."
Amber Rudd has a degree from Queen's College and passed the high interview bar to get into JP Morgan. Priti Patel didn't do quite as well but has a Masters from Essex, which is one of the best government departments in the country. I suspect this is civil servants revealing their own prejudices.
Apologies if duplicated but this has just come up on the Gardian website. Jennifer Arcuri's lawyer saying the the British Press; 'Get in the queue — if you want her services, you have to pay for it.'
He meant her story of course, but it brought to mind the late Mandy Rice-Davies.
Sorry for being so off-topic and behind in my reading-
"Some civil servants have an unofficial test for their briefing documents. The object is to make them so clear that even the dimmest of ministers can grasp the essential points by the third time of reading. For a while it was dubbed "the Amber Rudd test" in honour of one slow learner , but when Rudd became Home Secretary, it was decided that she deserved more respect. So the name was changed - to "the Priti Patel test". Now, thanks to Patel's unexpected promotion to same position, yet another name is under discussion."
Amber Rudd has a degree from Queen's College and passed the high interview bar to get into JP Morgan. Priti Patel didn't do quite as well but has a Masters from Essex, which is one of the best government departments in the country. I suspect this is civil servants revealing their own prejudices.
If it's true, yes.
Actually Amber is very bright.
shockingly poor judgement
TBF I'll sure AA Gill wouldn't have had much time for a thicko if that's any indicator.
I dont understand rory's thinking, unless he has got high on his own supply of all the media pumping over his leadership bid. Despite all the positive media coverage, he was still never really in the running.
He would be much better doing a david miliband and doing the international aid thing and then perhaps come back when things have moved on.
Agree; plenty of 'high profile' people have found that without some on-the-ground support it's difficult to make an electoral break-though.
Might be easier in the age of social media, but I don't think it'll make that much difference.
How does George Galloway manage to do it? cf. Farage
The man's an electoral genius (and afaia currently well compensated on a weekly basis for his current day job)
Sorry for being so off-topic and behind in my reading-
"Some civil servants have an unofficial test for their briefing documents. The object is to make them so clear that even the dimmest of ministers can grasp the essential points by the third time of reading. For a while it was dubbed "the Amber Rudd test" in honour of one slow learner , but when Rudd became Home Secretary, it was decided that she deserved more respect. So the name was changed - to "the Priti Patel test". Now, thanks to Patel's unexpected promotion to same position, yet another name is under discussion."
Amber Rudd has a degree from Queen's College and passed the high interview bar to get into JP Morgan. Priti Patel didn't do quite as well but has a Masters from Essex, which is one of the best government departments in the country. I suspect this is civil servants revealing their own prejudices.
If it's true, yes.
Actually Amber is very bright.
shockingly poor judgement
TBF I'll sure AA Gill wouldn't have had much time for a thicko if that's any indicator.
She's bright but has associated with some very dodgy people in her chequered career
She also gave tacit approval to her brother treating their brother-in-law extremely badly.
I dont understand rory's thinking, unless he has got high on his own supply of all the media pumping over his leadership bid. Despite all the positive media coverage, he was still never really in the running.
He would be much better doing a david miliband and doing the international aid thing and then perhaps come back when things have moved on.
Agree; plenty of 'high profile' people have found that without some on-the-ground support it's difficult to make an electoral break-though.
Might be easier in the age of social media, but I don't think it'll make that much difference.
How does George Galloway manage to do it? cf. Farage
The man's an electoral genius (and afaia currently well compensated on a weekly basis for his current day job)
Both Galloway and Farage find themselves some sort of OTG organisation fairly quickly. And the word I used was 'difficult'; remind me of how many general elections Farage, in particular has been successful in.
I dont understand rory's thinking, unless he has got high on his own supply of all the media pumping over his leadership bid. Despite all the positive media coverage, he was still never really in the running.
He would be much better doing a david miliband and doing the international aid thing and then perhaps come back when things have moved on.
Agree; plenty of 'high profile' people have found that without some on-the-ground support it's difficult to make an electoral break-though.
Might be easier in the age of social media, but I don't think it'll make that much difference.
How does George Galloway manage to do it? cf. Farage
The man's an electoral genius (and afaia currently well compensated on a weekly basis for his current day job)
Both Galloway and Farage find themselves some sort of OTG organisation fairly quickly. And the word I used was 'difficult'; remind me of how many general elections Farage, in particular has been successful in.
Re legal case, arent we overlooking that boris could still resign.
If push and shove arrive this is precisely what he should do. But it looks like he's simply going to sign the letter, probably enjoys the trappings of No 10 too much to let go.
Sorry for being so off-topic and behind in my reading-
"Some civil servants have an unofficial test for their briefing documents. The object is to make them so clear that even the dimmest of ministers can grasp the essential points by the third time of reading. For a while it was dubbed "the Amber Rudd test" in honour of one slow learner , but when Rudd became Home Secretary, it was decided that she deserved more respect. So the name was changed - to "the Priti Patel test". Now, thanks to Patel's unexpected promotion to same position, yet another name is under discussion."
Amber Rudd has a degree from Queen's College and passed the high interview bar to get into JP Morgan. Priti Patel didn't do quite as well but has a Masters from Essex, which is one of the best government departments in the country. I suspect this is civil servants revealing their own prejudices.
If it's true, yes.
Actually Amber is very bright.
shockingly poor judgement
Are her and Kwasi still together? (I've not seen him since i moved to the US)
I dont understand rory's thinking, unless he has got high on his own supply of all the media pumping over his leadership bid. Despite all the positive media coverage, he was still never really in the running.
He would be much better doing a david miliband and doing the international aid thing and then perhaps come back when things have moved on.
Agree; plenty of 'high profile' people have found that without some on-the-ground support it's difficult to make an electoral break-though.
Might be easier in the age of social media, but I don't think it'll make that much difference.
How does George Galloway manage to do it? cf. Farage
The man's an electoral genius (and afaia currently well compensated on a weekly basis for his current day job)
Both Galloway and Farage find themselves some sort of OTG organisation fairly quickly. And the word I used was 'difficult'; remind me of how many general elections Farage, in particular has been successful in.
cf. means Compare With in abbreviated latin
I suspect Galloway only stands where there's something a reasonably supportive TU or similar organisation.
So gov has made it clear they will do what the Benn Act says, but courts may still write an injunction telling them they have to because the government isn't really trustworthy. Interesting.
Also, in before people calling him out as a remainer:
I dont understand rory's thinking, unless he has got high on his own supply of all the media pumping over his leadership bid. Despite all the positive media coverage, he was still never really in the running.
He would be much better doing a david miliband and doing the international aid thing and then perhaps come back when things have moved on.
Agree; plenty of 'high profile' people have found that without some on-the-ground support it's difficult to make an electoral break-though.
Might be easier in the age of social media, but I don't think it'll make that much difference.
How does George Galloway manage to do it? cf. Farage
The man's an electoral genius (and afaia currently well compensated on a weekly basis for his current day job)
Both Galloway and Farage find themselves some sort of OTG organisation fairly quickly. And the word I used was 'difficult'; remind me of how many general elections Farage, in particular has been successful in.
cf. means Compare With in abbreviated latin
I suspect Galloway only stands where there's something a reasonably supportive TU or similar organisation.
I don't know how he does it - but as I say he's a bit of an Electoral Genius. He always manages to get the Muslims on side I know that much.
On topic Fox hunting fan. In London. Avoid with betting $$$
I don't expect his programme will include setting up meets in Kensington Gardens, although to be fair anything which helped reduce the nuisance of foxes on London streets should be quite popular.
No, but it will be hammered at by Khan. The Tory manifesto bilge of a foxy free vote was part of the 2017 debacle. Rory attends (legal) hunt meetings and is a keen pro hunter. It will go down in metropolitan luvvie millenial London like a cup of cold sick
This is a bit wood-for-the-trees, isn't it?
The fact "Rory supports hunting" is as naught in London compared to "Rory voted repeatedly for Theresa May's Brexit deal and still says he supports Brexit".
The Lib Dems are going to repeatedly hammer him on this.
Question for everyone. Whilst I have no doubt that O'Mara is not acting in the interests of ANY of his constituents, if the complaint is upheld, why wouldn't this apply to the seven Sinn Fein MPs, who also collect sacks of cash but do nothing for it?
So gov has made it clear they will do what the Benn Act says, but courts may still write an injunction telling them they have to because the government isn't really trustworthy. Interesting.
Also, in before people calling him out as a remainer:
So gov has made it clear they will do what the Benn Act says, but courts may still write an injunction telling them they have to because the government isn't really trustworthy. Interesting.
Also, in before people calling him out as a remainer:
One tweet saying he's not a hysterical remainer doesn't excuse his wild conspiracy theory back catalogue. Like so many twitter demigods we take his views with a hefty pinch of salt.
Sorry for being so off-topic and behind in my reading-
"Some civil servants have an unofficial test for their briefing documents. The object is to make them so clear that even the dimmest of ministers can grasp the essential points by the third time of reading. For a while it was dubbed "the Amber Rudd test" in honour of one slow learner , but when Rudd became Home Secretary, it was decided that she deserved more respect. So the name was changed - to "the Priti Patel test". Now, thanks to Patel's unexpected promotion to same position, yet another name is under discussion."
Amber Rudd has a degree from Queen's College and passed the high interview bar to get into JP Morgan. Priti Patel didn't do quite as well but has a Masters from Essex, which is one of the best government departments in the country. I suspect this is civil servants revealing their own prejudices.
If it's true, yes.
Actually Amber is very bright.
shockingly poor judgement
Are her and Kwasi still together? (I've not seen him since i moved to the US)
On topic Fox hunting fan. In London. Avoid with betting $$$
I don't expect his programme will include setting up meets in Kensington Gardens, although to be fair anything which helped reduce the nuisance of foxes on London streets should be quite popular.
No, but it will be hammered at by Khan. The Tory manifesto bilge of a foxy free vote was part of the 2017 debacle. Rory attends (legal) hunt meetings and is a keen pro hunter. It will go down in metropolitan luvvie millenial London like a cup of cold sick
This is a bit wood-for-the-trees, isn't it?
The fact "Rory supports hunting" is as naught in London compared to "Rory voted repeatedly for Theresa May's Brexit deal and still says he supports Brexit".
The Lib Dems are going to repeatedly hammer him on this.
Oh I dunno. 'This guy from Cumbria who likes hunting foxes......' it's a good dismissal for someone wanting to be mayor. Obviously they'll go hard in brexit/no grexit too but this is the icing. Fox hunting is really really unpopular outside the countryside
Yawn. Next Tweet from a bloke with an opinion please.
He's talking nonsense anyway. Boris needs to indicate that the Benn act will not stop us leaving, or (thanks to the pond life in the Commons) he will have no negotiating position at all. Therefore, clearly he needs to hint that there is a way, without laying it out in step by step instructions.
The answer to 4) is that the EU will extend even if Johnson isn't very enthusiastic about it. It's the EU, if Cummings doesn't think they'll kick a mahoosive can down the road he must be thick.
Yes, I'm sure that is right. They will (not unreasonably) cover it by saying that there is no settled position in the UK government/parliament and that therefore more time needs to be given to us to sort out what we want.
What if Boris intimates that we will not be paying in any more money ?
Would the EU let us stay for free ?
We'd be in breach of treaty obligations in that case, they know they'd get their money sooner or later, probably sooner.
Never stops the French from breaching their treay obligations.....
So gov has made it clear they will do what the Benn Act says, but courts may still write an injunction telling them they have to because the government isn't really trustworthy. Interesting.
....
As the lawyers for the other side have argued, that would be a reasonable thing for the court to decide because the undertaking given to the court seems to directly contradict what Boris has been saying to parliament and to the public.
I dont understand rory's thinking, unless he has got high on his own supply of all the media pumping over his leadership bid. Despite all the positive media coverage, he was still never really in the running.
He would be much better doing a david miliband and doing the international aid thing and then perhaps come back when things have moved on.
Agree; plenty of 'high profile' people have found that without some on-the-ground support it's difficult to make an electoral break-though.
Might be easier in the age of social media, but I don't think it'll make that much difference.
How does George Galloway manage to do it? cf. Farage
The man's an electoral genius (and afaia currently well compensated on a weekly basis for his current day job)
Both Galloway and Farage find themselves some sort of OTG organisation fairly quickly. And the word I used was 'difficult'; remind me of how many general elections Farage, in particular has been successful in.
cf. means Compare With in abbreviated latin
I suspect Galloway only stands where there's something a reasonably supportive TU or similar organisation.
I don't know how he does it - but as I say he's a bit of an Electoral Genius. He always manages to get the Muslims on side I know that much.
Significantly more likely to go to Friday prayers than Christians are to go to church on Sunday.
Question for everyone. Whilst I have no doubt that O'Mara is not acting in the interests of ANY of his constituents, if the complaint is upheld, why wouldn't this apply to the seven Sinn Fein MPs, who also collect sacks of cash but do nothing for it?
"In a letter to the Parliamentary Commissioner for Standards, a constituent alleges the MP has failed to act in the public interest and has used public money for his own benefit."
Sinn Fein MPs are not expected by anyone to take their seat is the difference. You vote Sinn Fein, you're voting abstention.
Comments
I don't even think it's guaranteed he'll get second as is.
https://twitter.com/tnewtondunn/status/1180099228422610946
Even Corbyn.
He would be much better doing a david miliband and doing the international aid thing and then perhaps come back when things have moved on.
[Bond theme plays]
"Some civil servants have an unofficial test for their briefing documents. The object is to make them so clear that even the dimmest of ministers can grasp the essential points by the third time of reading. For a while it was dubbed "the Amber Rudd test" in honour of one slow learner , but when Rudd became Home Secretary, it was decided that she deserved more respect. So the name was changed - to "the Priti Patel test". Now, thanks to Patel's unexpected promotion to same position, yet another name is under discussion."
https://www.theweek.co.uk/
Except it won't be, the opposition will simply leave him twisting in the wind for a bit and then VONC him anyway (They have the numbers, just, I expect in this scenario). At which point he might as well have resigned.
I expect Osborne will give him favourable coverage but it's not going to be enough.
Not a Rory fan but at least it makes the race more interesting.
Fox hunting fan. In London.
Avoid with betting $$$
I think that's absolutely laughable and the polls in time will show this.
In 1988, he was fired from The Times for making up quotations by historian Colin Lucas (his own Godfather!).
In 2004, he was fired from the Tory Shadow Front Bench for lying about his affair with Petronella Wyatt (the so-called "Pyramid of Piffle).
Actually Amber is very bright.
Thanks Boris.
Remember Big G didn't vote for Hunt in the Tory leadership election due to this issue.
It's not a huge intersection but I'd argue it exists and he needs every last vote.
https://twitter.com/bbclaurak/status/1180104680267014145
https://twitter.com/bbclaurak/status/1180105331432656904
https://twitter.com/bbclaurak/status/1180105536286707712
https://twitter.com/bbclaurak/status/1180106187460812800
Might be easier in the age of social media, but I don't think it'll make that much difference.
Would the EU let us stay for free ?
https://www.twitter.com/andrew_lilico/status/1180109207888171008
Good gossip though I'm sure you'll agree.
https://twitter.com/JolyonMaugham/status/1180079141087055872/photo/1
https://twitter.com/kelwell16/status/1180108698326388736
The Brexiteers (some) have faith in Johnson to stick to his word.
He meant her story of course, but it brought to mind the late Mandy Rice-Davies.
Edited for FFS.
The man's an electoral genius (and afaia currently well compensated on a weekly basis for his current day job)
She also gave tacit approval to her brother treating their brother-in-law extremely badly.
https://twitter.com/davidallengreen/status/1180115066898784258
https://twitter.com/davidallengreen/status/1180115919550504960
https://twitter.com/davidallengreen/status/1180116901114126336
So gov has made it clear they will do what the Benn Act says, but courts may still write an injunction telling them they have to because the government isn't really trustworthy. Interesting.
Also, in before people calling him out as a remainer:
https://twitter.com/davidallengreen/status/1167332510461833216
The fact "Rory supports hunting" is as naught in London compared to "Rory voted repeatedly for Theresa May's Brexit deal and still says he supports Brexit".
The Lib Dems are going to repeatedly hammer him on this.
Question for everyone.
Whilst I have no doubt that O'Mara is not acting in the interests of ANY of his constituents, if the complaint is upheld, why wouldn't this apply to the seven Sinn Fein MPs, who also collect sacks of cash but do nothing for it?
Sinn Fein MPs are not expected by anyone to take their seat is the difference. You vote Sinn Fein, you're voting abstention.