Howdy, Stranger!

It looks like you're new here. Sign in or register to get started.

politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Induction Technique. Comparing and combining betting markets

2456

Comments

  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 48,733
    TGOHF said:

    malcolmg said:

    Foxy said:

    TGOHF said:

    Chris said:

    No-deal Brexit game plan: turn a blind eye at Border

    One senior European Commission figure has privately acknowledged in discussions with companies that it may be necessary for authorities to "turn a blind eye" with some sectors in the weeks after a hard Brexit, with the likes of mechanics, engineers and plumbers mentioned.

    A third source cautioned a no-deal Brexit would be an "emergency" whereby the legal order on the island of Ireland will change as the UK becomes a third country. They added: "Ireland is not going to be given a hospital pass. Work with the Commission is not concluded, it's ongoing."

    https://m.independent.ie/business/brexit/nodeal-brexit-game-plan-turn-a-blind-eye-at-border-38452852.html

    I always believed this is the Alexander Johnson game plan. Nothing is going to change overnight. Even the HMRC has told us that no lorries coming in to the UK from the EU will be stopped. ...
    These lorries that will come into the UK without being checked - what happens when they want to go back again?
    95 % of containers exported fro the ROI either go to or through the Uk. Hold up trade at Dover and the French stuff the Irish.
    No, as they originate in the EU, ROI cargos do not need customs documents or approval at French ports. They can be fast tracked past any queue.
    LOL, the idiots will stuff UK trade and help ROI sail through, you could not make it up.
    Is there a Zil lane for Irish lorries through Kent ? That is news..
    Hauliers will not set off until documents are complete. The queues and lorry parks will be at depots, not so much in Kent, certainly after the first few days.

    Boarding Ferries and shuttles requires documents for entry to France. Empty lorries and Irish goods in transit will be their best and most reliable customers.
  • Foxy said:

    TGOHF said:

    Chris said:

    No-deal Brexit game plan: turn a blind eye at Border

    One senior European Commission figure has privately acknowledged in discussions with companies that it may be necessary for authorities to "turn a blind eye" with some sectors in the weeks after a hard Brexit, with the likes of mechanics, engineers and plumbers mentioned.

    A third source cautioned a no-deal Brexit would be an "emergency" whereby the legal order on the island of Ireland will change as the UK becomes a third country. They added: "Ireland is not going to be given a hospital pass. Work with the Commission is not concluded, it's ongoing."

    https://m.independent.ie/business/brexit/nodeal-brexit-game-plan-turn-a-blind-eye-at-border-38452852.html

    I always believed this is the Alexander Johnson game plan. Nothing is going to change overnight. Even the HMRC has told us that no lorries coming in to the UK from the EU will be stopped. ...
    These lorries that will come into the UK without being checked - what happens when they want to go back again?
    95 % of containers exported fro the ROI either go to or through the Uk. Hold up trade at Dover and the French stuff the Irish.
    No, as they originate in the EU, ROI cargos do not need customs documents or approval at French ports. They can be fast tracked past any queue.
    Not if we decide not to let them.
    Ah - good idea! Let's blockade Irish traffic.

    Tyndall diplomacy at work - thank goodness you're not in a position of power.
    If they choose to do it first at our ports then we should respond in kind. Why help facilitate EU trade through our ports if they are holding up our trade?
  • On a GONU how could it be supported by the public if it consists only of remainers

    Whilst I would like it to happen it should not be called a GONU, it is clearly anything but. National unity is not possible for at least the next few years, mainly thanks to Brexit.
    Nope. Mainly thanks to those who refused to accept Brexit
    There are not many at all who refuse to accept Brexit. The 48% just want to have some input into what Brexit is delivered.
    With respect I do not agree. There are a vast number who want to stop brexit
  • GardenwalkerGardenwalker Posts: 21,298
    edited September 2019
    eek said:

    Dura_Ace said:

    "It's a coastal town they forgot to close down," as Morrissey said/sang.
    Hartlepool is screwed, under pretty much any economic dispensation outside full-bodied Communism, and probably even then.

    It has no reason to exist anymore; and like many towns in the UK it is simply propped up via social spending to support a lumpen proletariat.

    As unlikely as it sounds, It should concentrate on being a commuter resort for Newcastle, which is where real productivity may feasibly be developed.

    Brexit fucks even that idea, given the outsized hit expected to the North East economy.
    When I was walking around Redcar last Friday night I really was thinking on the 45 minute drive home what on earth you could do there.
    I have a slight personal obsession with economic geography.

    There seems almost a conspiracy to keep much of Britain poor, due to a toxic combination of gross over centralisation, short-term thinking, knee-jerk provincialism, and lazy, antiquated thinking from the 1980s.

    Neither left nor right have a fucking clue what to do about the DOZENS of Hartlepools around the country.

    It’s a miserable waste of human capital, ie people’s LIVES.
  • nichomarnichomar Posts: 7,483

    Foxy said:

    TGOHF said:

    Chris said:

    No-deal Brexit game plan: turn a blind eye at Border

    One senior European Commission figure has privately acknowledged in discussions with companies that it may be necessary for authorities to "turn a blind eye" with some sectors in the weeks after a hard Brexit, with the likes of mechanics, engineers and plumbers mentioned.

    A third source cautioned a no-deal Brexit would be an "emergency" whereby the legal order on the island of Ireland will change as the UK becomes a third country. They added: "Ireland is not going to be given a hospital pass. Work with the Commission is not concluded, it's ongoing."

    https://m.independent.ie/business/brexit/nodeal-brexit-game-plan-turn-a-blind-eye-at-border-38452852.html

    I always believed this is the Alexander Johnson game plan. Nothing is going to change overnight. Even the HMRC has told us that no lorries coming in to the UK from the EU will be stopped. ...
    These lorries that will come into the UK without being checked - what happens when they want to go back again?
    95 % of containers exported fro the ROI either go to or through the Uk. Hold up trade at Dover and the French stuff the Irish.
    No, as they originate in the EU, ROI cargos do not need customs documents or approval at French ports. They can be fast tracked past any queue.
    Not if we decide not to let them.
    Ah - good idea! Let's blockade Irish traffic.

    Tyndall diplomacy at work - thank goodness you're not in a position of power.
    He might be!
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 34,698

    Foxy said:

    TGOHF said:

    Chris said:

    No-deal Brexit game plan: turn a blind eye at Border

    One senior European Commission figure has privately acknowledged in discussions with companies that it may be necessary for authorities to "turn a blind eye" with some sectors in the weeks after a hard Brexit, with the likes of mechanics, engineers and plumbers mentioned.

    A third source cautioned a no-deal Brexit would be an "emergency" whereby the legal order on the island of Ireland will change as the UK becomes a third country. They added: "Ireland is not going to be given a hospital pass. Work with the Commission is not concluded, it's ongoing."

    https://m.independent.ie/business/brexit/nodeal-brexit-game-plan-turn-a-blind-eye-at-border-38452852.html

    I always believed this is the Alexander Johnson game plan. Nothing is going to change overnight. Even the HMRC has told us that no lorries coming in to the UK from the EU will be stopped. ...
    These lorries that will come into the UK without being checked - what happens when they want to go back again?
    95 % of containers exported fro the ROI either go to or through the Uk. Hold up trade at Dover and the French stuff the Irish.
    No, as they originate in the EU, ROI cargos do not need customs documents or approval at French ports. They can be fast tracked past any queue.
    Not if we decide not to let them.
    Ah - good idea! Let's blockade Irish traffic.

    Tyndall diplomacy at work - thank goodness you're not in a position of power.
    If they choose to do it first at our ports then we should respond in kind. Why help facilitate EU trade through our ports if they are holding up our trade?
    The difference of course being, we would have chosen to make ourselves a 3rd country, thus providing the EU with a legitimate reason to apply full checks.

    As it happens, I think it's a moot point, as Irish traffic would likely get held up anyway in the general queuing at our ports.
  • GardenwalkerGardenwalker Posts: 21,298
    edited September 2019

    On a GONU how could it be supported by the public if it consists only of remainers

    Whilst I would like it to happen it should not be called a GONU, it is clearly anything but. National unity is not possible for at least the next few years, mainly thanks to Brexit.
    Nope. Mainly thanks to those who refused to accept Brexit
    There are not many at all who refuse to accept Brexit. The 48% just want to have some input into what Brexit is delivered.
    With respect I do not agree. There are a vast number who want to stop brexit
    According to polling, a majority what to get on with Brexit, but a Deal is preferred to No Deal.

    As far as I can tell, that’s pretty much reflected in the House. The problem is the Deal could not sustain a majority due to:

    1. Theresa May
    2. Jeremy Corbyn
    3. The ERG and their accomplices ie Boris Johnson.
  • nichomarnichomar Posts: 7,483

    eek said:

    nichomar said:

    Looks like labour will support a motion for a GE 17th October here we come

    Link / Source?
    Have I missed something? Has anyone associated with the government suggested a 17th October GE?
    No and McDonnell did not suggest a date

    No I did I forgot that Johnson gets to set the date I just assumed a five week run in
  • On top of that, rain's possible, albeit apparently unlikely (my faith in the BBC weather forecast has never been lower).

    You can find the forecast the BBC are too skint/tight to pay for by using the Met Office website.

    Met Office forecasts have been consistently rated better than the US forecasts (that the BBC now uses) for decades.
    It is a crazy situation that the met office, which is mostly government funded, is not expected to provide the UK public with weather via the most easy to access platform, which is the BBC.

    Presumably the BBC would be happy paying them whatever they are paying for the private forecasts, so the met office are effectively keeping the publicly funded data private.

    Quangos gone wrong.
    The Met Office get all of their funding through contracts (though many of their contracts are with government departments or quangos). If they negotiate a cut-price contract with one customer all the other customers will want the same improved deal.

    In the US the system is different. The basic model forecast is funded directly and given away for free. That's why the Met Office can be undercut - its competitors aren't paying for the model output.

    Before you rush to embrace the US system reflect that direct funding has led to under-funding and therefore lower quality forecasts. The Met Office has competed by providing better quality.
    The BBC's forecasts have been very poor since they switched from the Met Office. A great example of how market forces don't always work for the poplulation at large.
    How would anybody know?

    For years I've been an advocate of Forecasters publishing their results, preferable together with the next forecast. Why not? Racing tipsters publish theirs and even Tipping Lines normally 'proof' their suggestions to the Racing Post before the off.

    What use is any forecasting outfit that doesn't make results readily available? Without them they have all the credibility of Astrologers.
  • Dura_AceDura_Ace Posts: 13,677
    edited September 2019

    Dura_Ace said:

    "It's a coastal town they forgot to close down," as Morrissey said/sang.
    Hartlepool is screwed, under pretty much any economic dispensation outside full-bodied Communism, and probably even then.

    I've never been but I served with a Bootie who was of that ilk. He was famous for spewing up into his underpants in a seedy hotel in Bahrain. (Same night I got put in jail.)
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 34,698
    nichomar said:

    Foxy said:

    TGOHF said:

    Chris said:

    No-deal Brexit game plan: turn a blind eye at Border

    One senior European Commission figure has privately acknowledged in discussions with companies that it may be necessary for authorities to "turn a blind eye" with some sectors in the weeks after a hard Brexit, with the likes of mechanics, engineers and plumbers mentioned.

    A third source cautioned a no-deal Brexit would be an "emergency" whereby the legal order on the island of Ireland will change as the UK becomes a third country. They added: "Ireland is not going to be given a hospital pass. Work with the Commission is not concluded, it's ongoing."

    https://m.independent.ie/business/brexit/nodeal-brexit-game-plan-turn-a-blind-eye-at-border-38452852.html

    I always believed this is the Alexander Johnson game plan. Nothing is going to change overnight. Even the HMRC has told us that no lorries coming in to the UK from the EU will be stopped. ...
    These lorries that will come into the UK without being checked - what happens when they want to go back again?
    95 % of containers exported fro the ROI either go to or through the Uk. Hold up trade at Dover and the French stuff the Irish.
    No, as they originate in the EU, ROI cargos do not need customs documents or approval at French ports. They can be fast tracked past any queue.
    Not if we decide not to let them.
    Ah - good idea! Let's blockade Irish traffic.

    Tyndall diplomacy at work - thank goodness you're not in a position of power.
    He might be!
    Nah, we'd be at war with the EU by now if he was :wink:
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 48,733

    Foxy said:

    TGOHF said:

    Chris said:

    No-deal Brexit game plan: turn a blind eye at Border

    One senior European Commission figure has privately acknowledged in discussions with companies that it may be necessary for authorities to "turn a blind eye" with some sectors in the weeks after a hard Brexit, with the likes of mechanics, engineers and plumbers mentioned.

    A third source cautioned a no-deal Brexit would be an "emergency" whereby the legal order on the island of Ireland will change as the UK becomes a third country. They added: "Ireland is not going to be given a hospital pass. Work with the Commission is not concluded, it's ongoing."

    https://m.independent.ie/business/brexit/nodeal-brexit-game-plan-turn-a-blind-eye-at-border-38452852.html

    I always believed this is the Alexander Johnson game plan. Nothing is going to change overnight. Even the HMRC has told us that no lorries coming in to the UK from the EU will be stopped. ...
    These lorries that will come into the UK without being checked - what happens when they want to go back again?
    95 % of containers exported fro the ROI either go to or through the Uk. Hold up trade at Dover and the French stuff the Irish.
    No, as they originate in the EU, ROI cargos do not need customs documents or approval at French ports. They can be fast tracked past any queue.
    Not if we decide not to let them.
    Ah - good idea! Let's blockade Irish traffic.

    Tyndall diplomacy at work - thank goodness you're not in a position of power.
    If they choose to do it first at our ports then we should respond in kind. Why help facilitate EU trade through our ports if they are holding up our trade?
    Are you suggesting that we apply these customs at Holyhead, or introduce customs at departure?

    Sealed Irish cargos in transit, simply don't need customs approval at either end.

    It is not the EU that are applying these barriers, it is the British No Dealers.
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 52,617
    eek said:

    Dura_Ace said:

    "It's a coastal town they forgot to close down," as Morrissey said/sang.
    Hartlepool is screwed, under pretty much any economic dispensation outside full-bodied Communism, and probably even then.

    It has no reason to exist anymore; and like many towns in the UK it is simply propped up via social spending to support a lumpen proletariat.

    As unlikely as it sounds, It should concentrate on being a commuter resort for Newcastle, which is where real productivity may feasibly be developed.

    Brexit fucks even that idea, given the outsized hit expected to the North East economy.
    When I was walking around Redcar last Friday night I really was thinking after the 45 minute drive there what on earth you could do there.
    The birdwatchinng is good.....
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 34,698

    On top of that, rain's possible, albeit apparently unlikely (my faith in the BBC weather forecast has never been lower).

    You can find the forecast the BBC are too skint/tight to pay for by using the Met Office website.

    Met Office forecasts have been consistently rated better than the US forecasts (that the BBC now uses) for decades.
    It is a crazy situation that the met office, which is mostly government funded, is not expected to provide the UK public with weather via the most easy to access platform, which is the BBC.

    Presumably the BBC would be happy paying them whatever they are paying for the private forecasts, so the met office are effectively keeping the publicly funded data private.

    Quangos gone wrong.
    The Met Office get all of their funding through contracts (though many of their contracts are with government departments or quangos). If they negotiate a cut-price contract with one customer all the other customers will want the same improved deal.

    In the US the system is different. The basic model forecast is funded directly and given away for free. That's why the Met Office can be undercut - its competitors aren't paying for the model output.

    Before you rush to embrace the US system reflect that direct funding has led to under-funding and therefore lower quality forecasts. The Met Office has competed by providing better quality.
    The BBC's forecasts have been very poor since they switched from the Met Office. A great example of how market forces don't always work for the poplulation at large.
    How would anybody know?

    For years I've been an advocate of Forecasters publishing their results, preferable together with the next forecast. Why not? Racing tipsters publish theirs and even Tipping Lines normally 'proof' their suggestions to the Racing Post before the off.

    What use is any forecasting outfit that doesn't make results readily available? Without them they have all the credibility of Astrologers.
    Don't be silly - where's the profit and therefore wealth creation accumulation in that?
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 52,617

    On a GONU how could it be supported by the public if it consists only of remainers

    Whilst I would like it to happen it should not be called a GONU, it is clearly anything but. National unity is not possible for at least the next few years, mainly thanks to Brexit.
    Nope. Mainly thanks to those who refused to accept Brexit
    There are not many at all who refuse to accept Brexit. The 48% just want to have some input into what Brexit is delivered.
    Not in the House of Commons they don't. They want to block it. End of.
  • On a GONU how could it be supported by the public if it consists only of remainers

    The choice is between No Dealers and everyone else.

    Boris Johnson’s No Deal government has only a debatable majority in the HoC, that House in the past has voted AGAINST No Deal.

    Johnson does not hold the absolute majority of opinion in the country, either.
    Of course but a GONU made up of remainers is not a GONU
    Is Corbyn a Remainer?

    You are basically making Boris’s category error except in his case it is deliberate attempt to divide the country into “us” and “them”. Not sure what your excuse is.
    Corbyn will not head a GONU
    So what?
    He would have to be inside one, wouldn’t he?
    There would be many “Brexit but not No Deal Brexiters” inside any feasible GONU.
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 34,698

    On a GONU how could it be supported by the public if it consists only of remainers

    Whilst I would like it to happen it should not be called a GONU, it is clearly anything but. National unity is not possible for at least the next few years, mainly thanks to Brexit.
    Nope. Mainly thanks to those who refused to accept Brexit
    There are not many at all who refuse to accept Brexit. The 48% just want to have some input into what Brexit is delivered.
    Not in the House of Commons they don't. They want to block it. End of.
    Patently untrue.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,163
    Seems like wishful thinking to me. Giving the Spartans what they want is more popular with the tory base, and with an election likely imminent thsr means pursuing what they want is the best course from a party perspective.
  • eek said:

    Dura_Ace said:

    "It's a coastal town they forgot to close down," as Morrissey said/sang.
    Hartlepool is screwed, under pretty much any economic dispensation outside full-bodied Communism, and probably even then.

    It has no reason to exist anymore; and like many towns in the UK it is simply propped up via social spending to support a lumpen proletariat.

    As unlikely as it sounds, It should concentrate on being a commuter resort for Newcastle, which is where real productivity may feasibly be developed.

    Brexit fucks even that idea, given the outsized hit expected to the North East economy.
    When I was walking around Redcar last Friday night I really was thinking on the 45 minute drive home what on earth you could do there.
    I have a slight personal obsession with economic geography.

    There seems almost a conspiracy to keep much of Britain poor, due to a toxic combination of gross over centralisation, short-term thinking, knee-jerk provincialism, and lazy, antiquated thinking from the 1980s.

    Neither left nor right have a fucking clue what to do about the DOZENS of Hartlepools around the country.

    It’s a miserable waste of human capital, ie people’s LIVES.
    If you've ever been to Jaywick, you can understand why people there might vote UKIP, or anything but Labour & Conservative.
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 48,733

    eek said:

    Dura_Ace said:

    "It's a coastal town they forgot to close down," as Morrissey said/sang.
    Hartlepool is screwed, under pretty much any economic dispensation outside full-bodied Communism, and probably even then.

    It has no reason to exist anymore; and like many towns in the UK it is simply propped up via social spending to support a lumpen proletariat.

    As unlikely as it sounds, It should concentrate on being a commuter resort for Newcastle, which is where real productivity may feasibly be developed.

    Brexit fucks even that idea, given the outsized hit expected to the North East economy.
    When I was walking around Redcar last Friday night I really was thinking on the 45 minute drive home what on earth you could do there.
    I have a slight personal obsession with economic geography.

    There seems almost a conspiracy to keep much of Britain poor, due to a toxic combination of gross over centralisation, short-term thinking, knee-jerk provincialism, and lazy, antiquated thinking from the 1980s.

    Neither left nor right have a fucking clue what to do about the DOZENS of Hartlepools around the country.

    It’s a miserable waste of human capital, ie people’s LIVES.
    Historically, a lot of these post industrial towns would have become ghost towns, unless they reinvented themselves with new industries.

    The combination of low value jobs, welfare dependency, obesity, smoking and drugs is why Hartlepool and similar towns have reducing prospects and life expectancy.
  • nichomarnichomar Posts: 7,483
    Have we ever had a thread header from someone actually in the import/export business across a number of sectors to tell us what is potentially going to happen. Of course they may be too busy to write it at the moment.
  • ...Quangos gone wrong.

    The Met Office get all of their funding through contracts (though many of their contracts are with government departments or quangos). If they negotiate a cut-price contract with one customer all the other customers will want the same improved deal.

    In the US the system is different. The basic model forecast is funded directly and given away for free. That's why the Met Office can be undercut - its competitors aren't paying for the model output.

    Before you rush to embrace the US system reflect that direct funding has led to under-funding and therefore lower quality forecasts. The Met Office has competed by providing better quality.
    Am I missing something?

    From https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/about-us/what/pws

    "Funding
    The PWSCG is mainly funded by the Department for Business, Energy and Industrial Strategy (BEIS) on behalf of Government. In addition, the Civil Aviation Authority pays towards the service to underpin its services for UK and global aviation. Some research and development projects receive additional funding from other sources, including the EU. The current total PWSCG funding is approximately £83 million p.a."
    It's a contract. The money is handed over in return for specific services delivered. Any increase/decrease in funding is tied to a change in services provided.
    In which case the govt should make it a requirement of those contracts that the public have easy access to met office data via either BBC or media channels with equivalent reach.
    It's the trading fund model that the government have chosen. The idea is that the Met Office make a profit on services delivered to private/non-central government customers and this profit subsidises the infrastructure and development work, so reducing the cost to the Exchequer of the Met Office.

    A clause like you suggest destroys the funding model. (Though there are a variety of requirements for public data access and public reach of forecasts in the PWS contract, they don't extend to giving the BBC forecasts at below cost price).
  • On a GONU how could it be supported by the public if it consists only of remainers

    Whilst I would like it to happen it should not be called a GONU, it is clearly anything but. National unity is not possible for at least the next few years, mainly thanks to Brexit.
    Nope. Mainly thanks to those who refused to accept Brexit
    There are not many at all who refuse to accept Brexit. The 48% just want to have some input into what Brexit is delivered.
    Not in the House of Commons they don't. They want to block it. End of.
    Boris does, by forcing others to arrange another extension for him to save face with the Daily Express, yes that is true.

    If a govt went for either soft Brexit or a 2nd referendum parliament would be fine with it.
  • eekeek Posts: 28,406
    edited September 2019

    eek said:

    Dura_Ace said:

    "It's a coastal town they forgot to close down," as Morrissey said/sang.
    Hartlepool is screwed, under pretty much any economic dispensation outside full-bodied Communism, and probably even then.

    It has no reason to exist anymore; and like many towns in the UK it is simply propped up via social spending to support a lumpen proletariat.

    As unlikely as it sounds, It should concentrate on being a commuter resort for Newcastle, which is where real productivity may feasibly be developed.

    Brexit fucks even that idea, given the outsized hit expected to the North East economy.
    When I was walking around Redcar last Friday night I really was thinking after the 45 minute drive there what on earth you could do there.
    The birdwatchinng is good.....
    Bird watching doesn't provide many jobs though. Also it's better to head to Saltholme / Seal Sands where the gaps between the inlet pipes provide larger green spaces..
  • Foxy said:

    TGOHF said:

    Chris said:

    No-deal Brexit game plan: turn a blind eye at Border

    One senior European Commission figure has privately acknowledged in discussions with companies that it may be necessary for authorities to "turn a blind eye" with some sectors in the weeks after a hard Brexit, with the likes of mechanics, engineers and plumbers mentioned.

    A third source cautioned a no-deal Brexit would be an "emergency" whereby the legal order on the island of Ireland will change as the UK becomes a third country. They added: "Ireland is not going to be given a hospital pass. Work with the Commission is not concluded, it's ongoing."

    https://m.independent.ie/business/brexit/nodeal-brexit-game-plan-turn-a-blind-eye-at-border-38452852.html

    I always believed this is the Alexander Johnson game plan. Nothing is going to change overnight. Even the HMRC has told us that no lorries coming in to the UK from the EU will be stopped. ...
    These lorries that will come into the UK without being checked - what happens when they want to go back again?
    95 % of containers exported fro the ROI either go to or through the Uk. Hold up trade at Dover and the French stuff the Irish.
    No, as they originate in the EU, ROI cargos do not need customs documents or approval at French ports. They can be fast tracked past any queue.
    Not if we decide not to let them.
    Ah - good idea! Let's blockade Irish traffic.

    Tyndall diplomacy at work - thank goodness you're not in a position of power.
    If they choose to do it first at our ports then we should respond in kind. Why help facilitate EU trade through our ports if they are holding up our trade?
    The difference of course being, we would have chosen to make ourselves a 3rd country, thus providing the EU with a legitimate reason to apply full checks.

    As it happens, I think it's a moot point, as Irish traffic would likely get held up anyway in the general queuing at our ports.
    Sorry Ben but you seem desperate to excuse any behaviour by the EU and attack any by the UK. You are as fanatical in your attitudes as the ERG. Acceptance of sealed containers crossing UK territory is based upon trade and other intergovernmental agreements. If the EU wishes to treat the UK as a third country then they cannot expect us to continue to oblige them in those areas that help them whilst penalizing us in others.
  • GardenwalkerGardenwalker Posts: 21,298
    edited September 2019

    eek said:

    Dura_Ace said:

    "It's a coastal town they forgot to close down," as Morrissey said/sang.
    Hartlepool is screwed, under pretty much any economic dispensation outside full-bodied Communism, and probably even then.

    It has no reason to exist anymore; and like many towns in the UK it is simply propped up via social spending to support a lumpen proletariat.

    As unlikely as it sounds, It should concentrate on being a commuter resort for Newcastle, which is where real productivity may feasibly be developed.

    Brexit fucks even that idea, given the outsized hit expected to the North East economy.
    When I was walking around Redcar last Friday night I really was thinking on the 45 minute drive home what on earth you could do there.
    I have a slight personal obsession with economic geography.

    There seems almost a conspiracy to keep much of Britain poor, due to a toxic combination of gross over centralisation, short-term thinking, knee-jerk provincialism, and lazy, antiquated thinking from the 1980s.

    Neither left nor right have a fucking clue what to do about the DOZENS of Hartlepools around the country.

    It’s a miserable waste of human capital, ie people’s LIVES.
    If you've ever been to Jaywick, you can understand why people there might vote UKIP, or anything but Labour & Conservative.
    Absolutely. Neither have any opinion on or interest in Jaywick whatsoever.

    (I haven’t been).
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,163

    On a GONU how could it be supported by the public if it consists only of remainers

    Whilst I would like it to happen it should not be called a GONU, it is clearly anything but. National unity is not possible for at least the next few years, mainly thanks to Brexit.
    Nope. Mainly thanks to those who refused to accept Brexit
    There are not many at all who refuse to accept Brexit. The 48% just want to have some input into what Brexit is delivered.
    Not in the House of Commons they don't. They want to block it. End of.
    Patently untrue.
    The Commons so far has shown it wants unicorns and nothing else. They're not all stupid, the majority of them must know they cannot keep delaying and saying no to everything, so the question is push come to shove what option do we think they would go for? If it is a referendum nearly all who backed it would do so so they could stop Brexit. If it was a. GE theoretically the Commons might Brexit except many in Labour acknowledge theyd vote against their own exit deal if they got one.

    So in short, until such time as they approve an exit of some description, it doesnt seem unreasonable to conclude all other options from the Commons seek to remain.
  • On top of that, rain's possible, albeit apparently unlikely (my faith in the BBC weather forecast has never been lower).

    You can find the forecast the BBC are too skint/tight to pay for by using the Met Office website.

    Met Office forecasts have been consistently rated better than the US forecasts (that the BBC now uses) for decades.
    It is a crazy situation that the met office, which is mostly government funded, is not expected to provide the UK public with weather via the most easy to access platform, which is the BBC.

    Presumably the BBC would be happy paying them whatever they are paying for the private forecasts, so the met office are effectively keeping the publicly funded data private.

    Quangos gone wrong.
    The Met Office get all of their funding through contracts (though many of their contracts are with government departments or quangos). If they negotiate a cut-price contract with one customer all the other customers will want the same improved deal.

    In the US the system is different. The basic model forecast is funded directly and given away for free. That's why the Met Office can be undercut - its competitors aren't paying for the model output.

    Before you rush to embrace the US system reflect that direct funding has led to under-funding and therefore lower quality forecasts. The Met Office has competed by providing better quality.
    The BBC's forecasts have been very poor since they switched from the Met Office. A great example of how market forces don't always work for the poplulation at large.
    How would anybody know?

    For years I've been an advocate of Forecasters publishing their results, preferable together with the next forecast. Why not? Racing tipsters publish theirs and even Tipping Lines normally 'proof' their suggestions to the Racing Post before the off.

    What use is any forecasting outfit that doesn't make results readily available? Without them they have all the credibility of Astrologers.
    There is loads of information about forecast accuracy.
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 52,617
    eek said:

    eek said:

    Dura_Ace said:

    "It's a coastal town they forgot to close down," as Morrissey said/sang.
    Hartlepool is screwed, under pretty much any economic dispensation outside full-bodied Communism, and probably even then.

    It has no reason to exist anymore; and like many towns in the UK it is simply propped up via social spending to support a lumpen proletariat.

    As unlikely as it sounds, It should concentrate on being a commuter resort for Newcastle, which is where real productivity may feasibly be developed.

    Brexit fucks even that idea, given the outsized hit expected to the North East economy.
    When I was walking around Redcar last Friday night I really was thinking after the 45 minute drive there what on earth you could do there.
    The birdwatchinng is good.....
    Bird watching doesn't provide many jobs though. Also it's better to head to Saltholme / Seal Sands where the gaps between the inlet pipes provide larger green spaces..
    Nah, the Doctor's Garden in Hartlepool. And around the bowling green. Hartlepool Headland is a real migrant trap.

    Seal Sands has its moments, but easy to hide a flock of thousands out there.
  • On a GONU how could it be supported by the public if it consists only of remainers

    Whilst I would like it to happen it should not be called a GONU, it is clearly anything but. National unity is not possible for at least the next few years, mainly thanks to Brexit.
    Nope. Mainly thanks to those who refused to accept Brexit
    There are not many at all who refuse to accept Brexit. The 48% just want to have some input into what Brexit is delivered.
    With respect I do not agree. There are a vast number who want to stop brexit
    https://whatukthinks.org/eu/questions/which-of-the-following-options-would-you-prefer-if-no-new-brexit-deal-is-agreed-by-the-31st-october/

    Support for revoke (as a preference) is around 20-25%. Of those preferences many must be open to alternatives beyond their first preference.

    I think people strongly against any Brext at all is probably in the 10-15% range.
  • eekeek Posts: 28,406
    nichomar said:

    Have we ever had a thread header from someone actually in the import/export business across a number of sectors to tell us what is potentially going to happen. Of course they may be too busy to write it at the moment.

    Why do you need a header - enough people within articles have posted things.

    In my case my plan for the next month is to open up separate US and (probably) Irish companies to continue selling software outside the UK - operations may be kept here but I could always move somewhere summer if needs be.
  • GardenwalkerGardenwalker Posts: 21,298
    edited September 2019
    Foxy said:

    eek said:

    Dura_Ace said:

    "It's a coastal town they forgot to close down," as Morrissey said/sang.
    Hartlepool is screwed, under pretty much any economic dispensation outside full-bodied Communism, and probably even then.

    It has no reason to exist anymore; and like many towns in the UK it is simply propped up via social spending to support a lumpen proletariat.

    As unlikely as it sounds, It should concentrate on being a commuter resort for Newcastle, which is where real productivity may feasibly be developed.

    Brexit fucks even that idea, given the outsized hit expected to the North East economy.
    When I was walking around Redcar last Friday night I really was thinking on the 45 minute drive home what on earth you could do there.
    I have a slight personal obsession with economic geography.

    There seems almost a conspiracy to keep much of Britain poor, due to a toxic combination of gross over centralisation, short-term thinking, knee-jerk provincialism, and lazy, antiquated thinking from the 1980s.

    Neither left nor right have a fucking clue what to do about the DOZENS of Hartlepools around the country.

    It’s a miserable waste of human capital, ie people’s LIVES.
    Historically, a lot of these post industrial towns would have become ghost towns, unless they reinvented themselves with new industries.

    The combination of low value jobs, welfare dependency, obesity, smoking and drugs is why Hartlepool and similar towns have reducing prospects and life expectancy.
    Yep. A one and half year drop in life expectancy in less than ten years ought to shock the shit out of any liberal democracy. But it won’t, because: Hartlepool.

    The left will blame austerity.
    The right will say Hartlepool just needs to “get on its bike”, and more deregulation.
  • Foxy said:

    Foxy said:

    TGOHF said:

    Chris said:

    No-deal Brexit game plan: turn a blind eye at Border

    One senior European Commission figure has privately acknowledged in discussions with companies that it may be necessary for authorities to "turn a blind eye" with some sectors in the weeks after a hard Brexit, with the likes of mechanics, engineers and plumbers mentioned.

    A third source cautioned a no-deal Brexit would be an "emergency" whereby the legal order on the island of Ireland will change as the UK becomes a third country. They added: "Ireland is not going to be given a hospital pass. Work with the Commission is not concluded, it's ongoing."

    https://m.independent.ie/business/brexit/nodeal-brexit-game-plan-turn-a-blind-eye-at-border-38452852.html

    I always believed this is the Alexander Johnson game plan. Nothing is going to change overnight. Even the HMRC has told us that no lorries coming in to the UK from the EU will be stopped. ...
    These lorries that will come into the UK without being checked - what happens when they want to go back again?
    95 % of containers exported fro the ROI either go to or through the Uk. Hold up trade at Dover and the French stuff the Irish.
    No, as they originate in the EU, ROI cargos do not need customs documents or approval at French ports. They can be fast tracked past any queue.
    Not if we decide not to let them.
    Ah - good idea! Let's blockade Irish traffic.

    Tyndall diplomacy at work - thank goodness you're not in a position of power.
    If they choose to do it first at our ports then we should respond in kind. Why help facilitate EU trade through our ports if they are holding up our trade?
    Are you suggesting that we apply these customs at Holyhead, or introduce customs at departure?

    Sealed Irish cargos in transit, simply don't need customs approval at either end.

    It is not the EU that are applying these barriers, it is the British No Dealers.
    Wrong as I pointed out to Ben.
  • TGOHFTGOHF Posts: 21,633
    If there is a GONU without Jezza at the top he’s finished - hence why he won’t back such a plan.
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 52,617

    On a GONU how could it be supported by the public if it consists only of remainers

    Whilst I would like it to happen it should not be called a GONU, it is clearly anything but. National unity is not possible for at least the next few years, mainly thanks to Brexit.
    Nope. Mainly thanks to those who refused to accept Brexit
    There are not many at all who refuse to accept Brexit. The 48% just want to have some input into what Brexit is delivered.
    Not in the House of Commons they don't. They want to block it. End of.
    Boris does, by forcing others to arrange another extension for him to save face with the Daily Express, yes that is true.

    If a govt went for either soft Brexit or a 2nd referendum parliament would be fine with it.
    It didn't come much softer than May's Brexit. And that got voted down three times.....
  • Foxy said:

    eek said:

    Dura_Ace said:

    "It's a coastal town they forgot to close down," as Morrissey said/sang.
    Hartlepool is screwed, under pretty much any economic dispensation outside full-bodied Communism, and probably even then.

    It has no reason to exist anymore; and like many towns in the UK it is simply propped up via social spending to support a lumpen proletariat.

    As unlikely as it sounds, It should concentrate on being a commuter resort for Newcastle, which is where real productivity may feasibly be developed.

    Brexit fucks even that idea, given the outsized hit expected to the North East economy.
    When I was walking around Redcar last Friday night I really was thinking on the 45 minute drive home what on earth you could do there.
    I have a slight personal obsession with economic geography.

    There seems almost a conspiracy to keep much of Britain poor, due to a toxic combination of gross over centralisation, short-term thinking, knee-jerk provincialism, and lazy, antiquated thinking from the 1980s.

    Neither left nor right have a fucking clue what to do about the DOZENS of Hartlepools around the country.

    It’s a miserable waste of human capital, ie people’s LIVES.
    Historically, a lot of these post industrial towns would have become ghost towns, unless they reinvented themselves with new industries.

    The combination of low value jobs, welfare dependency, obesity, smoking and drugs is why Hartlepool and similar towns have reducing prospects and life expectancy.
    The BBC filmed a documentary about Hartlepool's decline in 1963:

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/iplayer/episode/p053r2q1/waiting-for-work
  • GallowgateGallowgate Posts: 19,468
    Hartlepool IS reinventing itself. It just takes a long time and a lot of people suffer.

    The regeneration around the marina is lovely.
  • justin124justin124 Posts: 11,527
    nichomar said:

    eek said:

    nichomar said:

    Looks like labour will support a motion for a GE 17th October here we come

    Link / Source?
    Have I missed something? Has anyone associated with the government suggested a 17th October GE?
    No and McDonnell did not suggest a date

    No I did I forgot that Johnson gets to set the date I just assumed a five week run in
    I would be surprised if Corbyn agreed to an election on 31st October - or later - without having first proceeded down the legislative route followed by a VNOC - if necessary. The VNOC could then be followed by a serious attempt to remove Johnson.
  • TGOHFTGOHF Posts: 21,633
  • On a GONU how could it be supported by the public if it consists only of remainers

    Whilst I would like it to happen it should not be called a GONU, it is clearly anything but. National unity is not possible for at least the next few years, mainly thanks to Brexit.
    Nope. Mainly thanks to those who refused to accept Brexit
    There are not many at all who refuse to accept Brexit. The 48% just want to have some input into what Brexit is delivered.
    Not in the House of Commons they don't. They want to block it. End of.
    Boris does, by forcing others to arrange another extension for him to save face with the Daily Express, yes that is true.

    If a govt went for either soft Brexit or a 2nd referendum parliament would be fine with it.
    It didn't come much softer than May's Brexit. And that got voted down three times.....
    The sales person along with the ERG was to blame for that as you well know.

    I think it is fair to call the transition period of May's Brexit soft, but the future relationship was sold as hard Brexit, hence the lack of support from other parties.
  • TGOHF said:
    Is he just running his own policy these days? He said he'd campaign against a Corbyn Brexit deal the other day.
  • TGOHF said:
    He’s quite right.

    It’s clear that the way to beat the tyrant Johnson is to keep him in power and force him to delay Brexit.

    Theresify him.
  • Dura_Ace said:

    "It's a coastal town they forgot to close down," as Morrissey said/sang.
    Hartlepool is screwed, under pretty much any economic dispensation outside full-bodied Communism, and probably even then.

    It has no reason to exist anymore; and like many towns in the UK it is simply propped up via social spending to support a lumpen proletariat.

    As unlikely as it sounds, It should concentrate on being a commuter resort for Newcastle, which is where real productivity may feasibly be developed.

    Brexit fucks even that idea, given the outsized hit expected to the North East economy.
    How many 'commuter resorts' do you think Newcastle needs ?

    Not that Newcastle itself lacks for run down shithole estates.
  • justin124justin124 Posts: 11,527

    Foxy said:

    eek said:

    Dura_Ace said:

    "It's a coastal town they forgot to close down," as Morrissey said/sang.
    Hartlepool is screwed, under pretty much any economic dispensation outside full-bodied Communism, and probably even then.

    It has no reason to exist anymore; and like many towns in the UK it is simply propped up via social spending to support a lumpen proletariat.

    As unlikely as it sounds, It should concentrate on being a commuter resort for Newcastle, which is where real productivity may feasibly be developed.

    Brexit fucks even that idea, given the outsized hit expected to the North East economy.
    When I was walking around Redcar last Friday night I really was thinking on the 45 minute drive home what on earth you could do there.
    I have a slight personal obsession with economic geography.

    There seems almost a conspiracy to keep much of Britain poor, due to a toxic combination of gross over centralisation, short-term thinking, knee-jerk provincialism, and lazy, antiquated thinking from the 1980s.

    Neither left nor right have a fucking clue what to do about the DOZENS of Hartlepools around the country.

    It’s a miserable waste of human capital, ie people’s LIVES.
    Historically, a lot of these post industrial towns would have become ghost towns, unless they reinvented themselves with new industries.

    The combination of low value jobs, welfare dependency, obesity, smoking and drugs is why Hartlepool and similar towns have reducing prospects and life expectancy.
    The BBC filmed a documentary about Hartlepool's decline in 1963:

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/iplayer/episode/p053r2q1/waiting-for-work
    At that time , Hartlepool had a Tory MP!
  • TGOHFTGOHF Posts: 21,633

    Hartlepool IS reinventing itself. It just takes a long time and a lot of people suffer.

    The regeneration around the marina is lovely.

    The Americans have the right idea - just leave it to become a ghost town.
  • nichomarnichomar Posts: 7,483

    Foxy said:

    eek said:

    Dura_Ace said:

    "It's a coastal town they forgot to close down," as Morrissey said/sang.
    Hartlepool is screwed, under pretty much any economic dispensation outside full-bodied Communism, and probably even then.

    It has no reason to exist anymore; and like many towns in the UK it is simply propped up via social spending to support a lumpen proletariat.

    As unlikely as it sounds, It should concentrate on being a commuter resort for Newcastle, which is where real productivity may feasibly be developed.

    Brexit fucks even that idea, given the outsized hit expected to the North East economy.
    When I was walking around Redcar last Friday night I really was thinking on the 45 minute drive home what on earth you could do there.
    I have a slight personal obsession with economic geography.

    There seems almost a conspiracy to keep much of Britain poor, due to a toxic combination of gross over centralisation, short-term thinking, knee-jerk provincialism, and lazy, antiquated thinking from the 1980s.

    Neither left nor right have a fucking clue what to do about the DOZENS of Hartlepools around the country.

    It’s a miserable waste of human capital, ie people’s LIVES.
    Historically, a lot of these post industrial towns would have become ghost towns, unless they reinvented themselves with new industries.

    The combination of low value jobs, welfare dependency, obesity, smoking and drugs is why Hartlepool and similar towns have reducing prospects and life expectancy.
    Yep. A one and half year drop in life expectancy in less than ten years ought to shock the shit out of any liberal democracy. But it won’t, because: Hartlepool.

    The left will blame austerity.
    The right will say Hartlepool just needs to “get on its bike”, and more deregulation.
    And hartlepool will blame east European gipsies
  • Hartlepool IS reinventing itself. It just takes a long time and a lot of people suffer.

    The regeneration around the marina is lovely.

    Improved public spaces are great, but they don't often herald a big change in economic fortunes.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,163
    TGOHF said:
    What's funny about that? It would scupper Boris' plan since they could very quickly prevent no deal while making clear theyd vote for an election the next day, so accusations of being frit would not stick. If Boris thinks hed win he can bring it on even when no deal is not happening.
  • Dura_Ace said:

    "It's a coastal town they forgot to close down," as Morrissey said/sang.
    Hartlepool is screwed, under pretty much any economic dispensation outside full-bodied Communism, and probably even then.

    It has no reason to exist anymore; and like many towns in the UK it is simply propped up via social spending to support a lumpen proletariat.

    As unlikely as it sounds, It should concentrate on being a commuter resort for Newcastle, which is where real productivity may feasibly be developed.

    Brexit fucks even that idea, given the outsized hit expected to the North East economy.
    How many 'commuter resorts' do you think Newcastle needs ?

    Not that Newcastle itself lacks for run down shithole estates.
    Sure.
    It’s not ideal.
    The North East is the poorest region in England, I think.

    But Newcastle (and Durham) are the only two feasible hubs for real productive growth.
  • eekeek Posts: 28,406

    TGOHF said:
    Is he just running his own policy these days? He said he'd campaign against a Corbyn Brexit deal the other day.
    Nope it's policy.

    1) A minimum of an extension or No No Deal to ensure Boris can't claim we are leaving on October 31st.
    2) A second referendum where all MPs can campaign for either Revoke / Remain or Labours Brexit plan. Those 2 options being the only things on offer.
  • On top of that, rain's possible, albeit apparently unlikely (my faith in the BBC weather forecast has never been lower).

    You can find the forecast the BBC are too skint/tight to pay for by using the Met Office website.

    Met Office forecasts have been consistently rated better than the US forecasts (that the BBC now uses) for decades.
    It is a crazy situation that the met office, which is mostly government funded, is not expected to provide the UK public with weather via the most easy to access platform, which is the BBC.

    Presumably the BBC would be happy paying them whatever they are paying for the private forecasts, so the met office are effectively keeping the publicly funded data private.

    Quangos gone wrong.
    The Met Office get all of their funding through contracts (though many of their contracts are with government departments or quangos). If they negotiate a cut-price contract with one customer all the other customers will want the same improved deal.

    In the US the system is different. The basic model forecast is funded directly and given away for free. That's why the Met Office can be undercut - its competitors aren't paying for the model output.

    Before you rush to embrace the US system reflect that direct funding has led to under-funding and therefore lower quality forecasts. The Met Office has competed by providing better quality.
    Am I missing something?

    From https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/about-us/what/pws

    "Funding
    The PWSCG is mainly funded by the Department for Business, Energy and Industrial Strategy (BEIS) on behalf of Government. In addition, the Civil Aviation Authority pays towards the service to underpin its services for UK and global aviation. Some research and development projects receive additional funding from other sources, including the EU. The current total PWSCG funding is approximately £83 million p.a."



    Indeed to the point that USAF and US army use UKmet products in preference to local varieties
  • Hartlepool IS reinventing itself. It just takes a long time and a lot of people suffer.

    The regeneration around the marina is lovely.

    Improved public spaces are great, but they don't often herald a big change in economic fortunes.
    Quite right.
    At worst it’s displacement activity.

    But local authorities don’t have the power to do much. The very least they should do is to make sure their public spaces are attractive, welcoming guests and safe. Most local authorities even fail at that.
  • Foxy said:

    eek said:

    Dura_Ace said:

    "It's a coastal town they forgot to close down," as Morrissey said/sang.
    Hartlepool is screwed, under pretty much any economic dispensation outside full-bodied Communism, and probably even then.

    It has no reason to exist anymore; and like many towns in the UK it is simply propped up via social spending to support a lumpen proletariat.

    As unlikely as it sounds, It should concentrate on being a commuter resort for Newcastle, which is where real productivity may feasibly be developed.

    Brexit fucks even that idea, given the outsized hit expected to the North East economy.
    When I was walking around Redcar last Friday night I really was thinking on the 45 minute drive home what on earth you could do there.
    I have a slight personal obsession with economic geography.

    There seems almost a conspiracy to keep much of Britain poor, due to a toxic combination of gross over centralisation, short-term thinking, knee-jerk provincialism, and lazy, antiquated thinking from the 1980s.

    Neither left nor right have a fucking clue what to do about the DOZENS of Hartlepools around the country.

    It’s a miserable waste of human capital, ie people’s LIVES.
    Historically, a lot of these post industrial towns would have become ghost towns, unless they reinvented themselves with new industries.

    The combination of low value jobs, welfare dependency, obesity, smoking and drugs is why Hartlepool and similar towns have reducing prospects and life expectancy.
    The unfortunate fact is that there is always going to be people in socioeconomic groups D and E with low levels of ability, skills and education.

    And being a high paying country with a non-contributory welfare system means we are importing even more such people.
  • Foxy said:

    Foxy said:

    TGOHF said:

    Chris said:

    No-deal Brexit game plan: turn a blind eye at Border

    One senior European Commission figure has privately acknowledged in discussions with companies that it may be necessary for authorities to "turn a blind eye" with some sectors in the weeks after a hard Brexit, with the likes of mechanics, engineers and plumbers mentioned.

    A third source cautioned a no-deal Brexit would be an "emergency" whereby the legal order on the island of Ireland will change as the UK becomes a third country. They added: "Ireland is not going to be given a hospital pass. Work with the Commission is not concluded, it's ongoing."

    https://m.independent.ie/business/brexit/nodeal-brexit-game-plan-turn-a-blind-eye-at-border-38452852.html

    I always believed this is the Alexander Johnson game plan. Nothing is going to change overnight. Even the HMRC has told us that no lorries coming in to the UK from the EU will be stopped. ...
    These lorries that will come into the UK without being checked - what happens when they want to go back again?
    95 % of containers exported fro the ROI either go to or through the Uk. Hold up trade at Dover and the French stuff the Irish.
    No, as they originate in the EU, ROI cargos do not need customs documents or approval at French ports. They can be fast tracked past any queue.
    Not if we decide not to let them.
    Ah - good idea! Let's blockade Irish traffic.

    Tyndall diplomacy at work - thank goodness you're not in a position of power.
    If they choose to do it first at our ports then we should respond in kind. Why help facilitate EU trade through our ports if they are holding up our trade?
    Are you suggesting that we apply these customs at Holyhead, or introduce customs at departure?

    Sealed Irish cargos in transit, simply don't need customs approval at either end.

    It is not the EU that are applying these barriers, it is the British No Dealers.
    It will just be a first come first served queue. Irish and British trucks mixed up.
  • kle4 said:

    TGOHF said:
    What's funny about that? It would scupper Boris' plan since they could very quickly prevent no deal while making clear theyd vote for an election the next day, so accusations of being frit would not stick. If Boris thinks hed win he can bring it on even when no deal is not happening.
    It is precisely what Boris wants them to do. He is desperate for the extension but cannot ask for it himself, that is the whole point of the halfway prorogation.

    For the country, asking for an extension before an election is the right thing for the remain alliance.

    For Labour, it would be better to have the only way to stop no deal being by voting in Labour.

    Corbyn has been as utterly cynical as Johnson, so may actually prefer the GE without an extension, although I would expect the likes of Starmer and Thornberry to be furious if that is the path he chooses.
  • GallowgateGallowgate Posts: 19,468

    Hartlepool IS reinventing itself. It just takes a long time and a lot of people suffer.

    The regeneration around the marina is lovely.

    Improved public spaces are great, but they don't often herald a big change in economic fortunes.
    Of course not but they do provide jobs, they do encourage visitors, and they encourage people like doctors and business owners to actually live in the town.
  • TGOHFTGOHF Posts: 21,633
    kle4 said:

    TGOHF said:
    What's funny about that? It would scupper Boris' plan since they could very quickly prevent no deal while making clear theyd vote for an election the next day, so accusations of being frit would not stick. If Boris thinks hed win he can bring it on even when no deal is not happening.
    Not what JMcD was saying 30 mins ago..
  • eekeek Posts: 28,406
    edited September 2019

    Dura_Ace said:

    "It's a coastal town they forgot to close down," as Morrissey said/sang.
    Hartlepool is screwed, under pretty much any economic dispensation outside full-bodied Communism, and probably even then.

    It has no reason to exist anymore; and like many towns in the UK it is simply propped up via social spending to support a lumpen proletariat.

    As unlikely as it sounds, It should concentrate on being a commuter resort for Newcastle, which is where real productivity may feasibly be developed.

    Brexit fucks even that idea, given the outsized hit expected to the North East economy.
    How many 'commuter resorts' do you think Newcastle needs ?

    Not that Newcastle itself lacks for run down shithole estates.
    Sure.
    It’s not ideal.
    The North East is the poorest region in England, I think.

    But Newcastle (and Durham) are the only two feasible hubs for real productive growth.
    Hang we are talking about Tees Valley areas here where Newcastle is over an hour away (a lot more in rush hour) and Leeds is almost as close.

    And the North East is not just one of the poorest areas in England it's one of the poorest in Western Europe.
  • TGOHF said:
    So bloody obvious, I’ve been saying this ever since Boris Johnson became Prime Minister.
  • GallowgateGallowgate Posts: 19,468
    eek said:

    Dura_Ace said:

    "It's a coastal town they forgot to close down," as Morrissey said/sang.
    Hartlepool is screwed, under pretty much any economic dispensation outside full-bodied Communism, and probably even then.

    It has no reason to exist anymore; and like many towns in the UK it is simply propped up via social spending to support a lumpen proletariat.

    As unlikely as it sounds, It should concentrate on being a commuter resort for Newcastle, which is where real productivity may feasibly be developed.

    Brexit fucks even that idea, given the outsized hit expected to the North East economy.
    How many 'commuter resorts' do you think Newcastle needs ?

    Not that Newcastle itself lacks for run down shithole estates.
    Sure.
    It’s not ideal.
    The North East is the poorest region in England, I think.

    But Newcastle (and Durham) are the only two feasible hubs for real productive growth.
    Hang we are talking about Tees Valley areas there where Newcastle is over an hour away and Leeds is almost as close.

    And the North East is not just one of the poorest areas in England it's one of the poorest in Western Europe.
    My mate's fiancée commutes from Gateshead to Stockton!
  • TGOHF said:
    Imagine Corbyn had shut down parliament to try to ram through something it was opposed to, Hodges would totally be saying the same thing, right?
  • Ishmael_ZIshmael_Z Posts: 8,981

    On top of that, rain's possible, albeit apparently unlikely (my faith in the BBC weather forecast has never been lower).

    You can find the forecast the BBC are too skint/tight to pay for by using the Met Office website.

    Met Office forecasts have been consistently rated better than the US forecasts (that the BBC now uses) for decades.
    It is a crazy situation that the met office, which is mostly government funded, is not expected to provide the UK public with weather via the most easy to access platform, which is the BBC.

    Presumably the BBC would be happy paying them whatever they are paying for the private forecasts, so the met office are effectively keeping the publicly funded data private.

    Quangos gone wrong.
    The Met Office get all of their funding through contracts (though many of their contracts are with government departments or quangos). If they negotiate a cut-price contract with one customer all the other customers will want the same improved deal.

    In the US the system is different. The basic model forecast is funded directly and given away for free. That's why the Met Office can be undercut - its competitors aren't paying for the model output.

    Before you rush to embrace the US system reflect that direct funding has led to under-funding and therefore lower quality forecasts. The Met Office has competed by providing better quality.
    The BBC's forecasts have been very poor since they switched from the Met Office. A great example of how market forces don't always work for the poplulation at large.
    How would anybody know?

    For years I've been an advocate of Forecasters publishing their results, preferable together with the next forecast. Why not? Racing tipsters publish theirs and even Tipping Lines normally 'proof' their suggestions to the Racing Post before the off.

    What use is any forecasting outfit that doesn't make results readily available? Without them they have all the credibility of Astrologers.
    Don't be silly - where's the profit and therefore wealth creation accumulation in that?
    Moaning and amnesiac minnies, all of you. The three greatest improvements of life in the UK in my lifetime have been (in this order) decriminalising gays, the massive reduction in smoking and the huge increase in the accuracy of weather forecasting.
  • eekeek Posts: 28,406
    TGOHF said:

    kle4 said:

    TGOHF said:
    What's funny about that? It would scupper Boris' plan since they could very quickly prevent no deal while making clear theyd vote for an election the next day, so accusations of being frit would not stick. If Boris thinks hed win he can bring it on even when no deal is not happening.
    Not what JMcD was saying 30 mins ago..
    Think back to what JMcD actually side - he said "Bring It On" which could mean bring the request on so that things can finally start.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,163
    eek said:

    TGOHF said:
    Is he just running his own policy these days? He said he'd campaign against a Corbyn Brexit deal the other day.
    Nope it's policy.

    1) A minimum of an extension or No No Deal to ensure Boris can't claim we are leaving on October 31st.
    2) A second referendum where all MPs can campaign for either Revoke / Remain or Labours Brexit plan. Those 2 options being the only things on offer.
    He could at least wait to see the amazing Brexit deal Corbyn will secure before making his decision, whilst still saying hes minded to back remain.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,163
    TGOHF said:

    kle4 said:

    TGOHF said:
    What's funny about that? It would scupper Boris' plan since they could very quickly prevent no deal while making clear theyd vote for an election the next day, so accusations of being frit would not stick. If Boris thinks hed win he can bring it on even when no deal is not happening.
    Not what JMcD was saying 30 mins ago..
    Yes but when they bring it on doesnt matter.
  • malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 43,362
    I see the coup is progressing unchecked.

    SCOTTISH civil servants are furious after Brexit Secretary Stephen Barclay ruled they would no longer go to meetings in Brussels from next week to discuss fishing, agriculture and other devolved issues, The National has learnt.

    Barclay made the decision without consulting or informing the Scottish Government, leaving its officials learning of the development through press reports, according to Edinburgh insiders.
  • Dura_Ace said:

    "It's a coastal town they forgot to close down," as Morrissey said/sang.
    Hartlepool is screwed, under pretty much any economic dispensation outside full-bodied Communism, and probably even then.

    It has no reason to exist anymore; and like many towns in the UK it is simply propped up via social spending to support a lumpen proletariat.

    As unlikely as it sounds, It should concentrate on being a commuter resort for Newcastle, which is where real productivity may feasibly be developed.

    Brexit fucks even that idea, given the outsized hit expected to the North East economy.
    How many 'commuter resorts' do you think Newcastle needs ?

    Not that Newcastle itself lacks for run down shithole estates.
    Sure.
    It’s not ideal.
    The North East is the poorest region in England, I think.

    But Newcastle (and Durham) are the only two feasible hubs for real productive growth.
    Real productive growth in what ?

    Red brick universities and posho restaurants perhaps ?

    We need an economy which allows people to contribute and create wealth throughout the socioeconomic scale.
  • eekeek Posts: 28,406

    Hartlepool IS reinventing itself. It just takes a long time and a lot of people suffer.

    The regeneration around the marina is lovely.

    Improved public spaces are great, but they don't often herald a big change in economic fortunes.
    Of course not but they do provide jobs, they do encourage visitors, and they encourage people like doctors and business owners to actually live in the town.
    One part of Hartlepool's weakness is that Wynyard is right next door and given that and a Sainsburys delivery service you don't need to visit Hartlepool ever

    (I say Sainsburys as Ocado don't deliver in the North East and the nearest Waitrose is in Newcastle City Centre).
  • malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 43,362

    On a GONU how could it be supported by the public if it consists only of remainers

    The choice is between No Dealers and everyone else.

    Boris Johnson’s No Deal government has only a debatable majority in the HoC, that House in the past has voted AGAINST No Deal.

    Johnson does not hold the absolute majority of opinion in the country, either.
    Of course but a GONU made up of remainers is not a GONU
    Is Corbyn a Remainer?

    You are basically making Boris’s category error except in his case it is deliberate attempt to divide the country into “us” and “them”. Not sure what your excuse is.
    Corbyn will not head a GONU
    It will be No Deal and then a Labour minority government led by Corbyn G. We do not want a Pinochet/Franco government here.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,163
    edited September 2019
    malcolmg said:

    I see the coup is progressing unchecked.

    SCOTTISH civil servants are furious after Brexit Secretary Stephen Barclay ruled they would no longer go to meetings in Brussels from next week to discuss fishing, agriculture and other devolved issues, The National has learnt.

    Barclay made the decision without consulting or informing the Scottish Government, leaving its officials learning of the development through press reports, according to Edinburgh insiders.

    Its shitty behaviour not a coup, it just makes it easy for BoJo and co to dismiss accusations by calling it so. Those obsessed with calling it a coup are helping Johnson get off the hook. Congratulations for helping him.
  • GallowgateGallowgate Posts: 19,468

    Dura_Ace said:

    "It's a coastal town they forgot to close down," as Morrissey said/sang.
    Hartlepool is screwed, under pretty much any economic dispensation outside full-bodied Communism, and probably even then.

    It has no reason to exist anymore; and like many towns in the UK it is simply propped up via social spending to support a lumpen proletariat.

    As unlikely as it sounds, It should concentrate on being a commuter resort for Newcastle, which is where real productivity may feasibly be developed.

    Brexit fucks even that idea, given the outsized hit expected to the North East economy.
    How many 'commuter resorts' do you think Newcastle needs ?

    Not that Newcastle itself lacks for run down shithole estates.
    Sure.
    It’s not ideal.
    The North East is the poorest region in England, I think.

    But Newcastle (and Durham) are the only two feasible hubs for real productive growth.
    Real productive growth in what ?

    Red brick universities and posho restaurants perhaps ?

    We need an economy which allows people to contribute and create wealth throughout the socioeconomic scale.
    Do you know anything about the North East? Newcastle and Durham are far from just red brick universities and posho restaurants. In fact Newcastle has only 1 Michelin Star restaurant.

    Greater Newcastle and Greater Durham have a huge chunk of all the area's manufacturing, R&D, warehousing and shopping infrastructure as well as all of the area's art, culture and music scene.
  • GallowgateGallowgate Posts: 19,468
    eek said:

    Hartlepool IS reinventing itself. It just takes a long time and a lot of people suffer.

    The regeneration around the marina is lovely.

    Improved public spaces are great, but they don't often herald a big change in economic fortunes.
    Of course not but they do provide jobs, they do encourage visitors, and they encourage people like doctors and business owners to actually live in the town.
    One part of Hartlepool's weakness is that Wynyard is right next door and given that and a Sainsburys delivery service you don't need to visit Hartlepool ever

    (I say Sainsburys as Ocado don't deliver in the North East and the nearest Waitrose is in Newcastle City Centre).
    The humanity!
  • eekeek Posts: 28,406
    kle4 said:

    eek said:

    TGOHF said:
    Is he just running his own policy these days? He said he'd campaign against a Corbyn Brexit deal the other day.
    Nope it's policy.

    1) A minimum of an extension or No No Deal to ensure Boris can't claim we are leaving on October 31st.
    2) A second referendum where all MPs can campaign for either Revoke / Remain or Labours Brexit plan. Those 2 options being the only things on offer.
    He could at least wait to see the amazing Brexit deal Corbyn will secure before making his decision, whilst still saying hes minded to back remain.
    Labour need to focus on 2 things at once, keeping Remain seats in London happy and not upsetting Leave seats up North too much.

    Keir having a safe London seat can focus on attracting remain voters. Others will focus on the other side of the equation.
  • malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 43,362

    eek said:

    Dura_Ace said:

    "It's a coastal town they forgot to close down," as Morrissey said/sang.
    Hartlepool is screwed, under pretty much any economic dispensation outside full-bodied Communism, and probably even then.

    It has no reason to exist anymore; and like many towns in the UK it is simply propped up via social spending to support a lumpen proletariat.

    As unlikely as it sounds, It should concentrate on being a commuter resort for Newcastle, which is where real productivity may feasibly be developed.

    Brexit fucks even that idea, given the outsized hit expected to the North East economy.
    When I was walking around Redcar last Friday night I really was thinking on the 45 minute drive home what on earth you could do there.
    I have a slight personal obsession with economic geography.

    There seems almost a conspiracy to keep much of Britain poor, due to a toxic combination of gross over centralisation, short-term thinking, knee-jerk provincialism, and lazy, antiquated thinking from the 1980s.

    Neither left nor right have a fucking clue what to do about the DOZENS of Hartlepools around the country.

    It’s a miserable waste of human capital, ie people’s LIVES.
    For once we totally agree
  • TGOHFTGOHF Posts: 21,633
    malcolmg said:

    I see the coup is progressing unchecked.

    SCOTTISH civil servants are furious after Brexit Secretary Stephen Barclay ruled they would no longer go to meetings in Brussels from next week to discuss fishing, agriculture and other devolved issues, The National has learnt.

    Barclay made the decision without consulting or informing the Scottish Government, leaving its officials learning of the development through press reports, according to Edinburgh insiders.

    Well the SNP did go for a no deal devolution- a nice taste of their own medicine.
  • GallowgateGallowgate Posts: 19,468

    Dura_Ace said:

    "It's a coastal town they forgot to close down," as Morrissey said/sang.
    Hartlepool is screwed, under pretty much any economic dispensation outside full-bodied Communism, and probably even then.

    It has no reason to exist anymore; and like many towns in the UK it is simply propped up via social spending to support a lumpen proletariat.

    As unlikely as it sounds, It should concentrate on being a commuter resort for Newcastle, which is where real productivity may feasibly be developed.

    Brexit fucks even that idea, given the outsized hit expected to the North East economy.
    How many 'commuter resorts' do you think Newcastle needs ?

    Not that Newcastle itself lacks for run down shithole estates.
    Sure.
    It’s not ideal.
    The North East is the poorest region in England, I think.

    But Newcastle (and Durham) are the only two feasible hubs for real productive growth.
    Real productive growth in what ?

    Red brick universities and posho restaurants perhaps ?

    We need an economy which allows people to contribute and create wealth throughout the socioeconomic scale.
    Do you know anything about the North East? Newcastle and Durham are far from just red brick universities and posho restaurants. In fact Newcastle has only 1 Michelin Star restaurant.

    Greater Newcastle and Greater Durham have a huge chunk of all the area's manufacturing, R&D, warehousing and shopping infrastructure as well as all of the area's art, culture and music scene.
    Also forgetting that education is one of our key exports.
  • YorkcityYorkcity Posts: 4,382

    TGOHF said:
    So bloody obvious, I’ve been saying this ever since Boris Johnson became Prime Minister.
    Yes same here.
  • Ishmael_Z said:

    On top of that, rain's possible, albeit apparently unlikely (my faith in the BBC weather forecast has never been lower).

    You can find the forecast the BBC are too skint/tight to pay for by using the Met Office website.

    Met Office forecasts have been consistently rated better than the US forecasts (that the BBC now uses) for decades.
    It is a crazy situation that the met office, which is mostly government funded, is not expected to provide the UK public with weather via the most easy to access platform, which is the BBC.

    Presumably the BBC would be happy paying them whatever they are paying for the private forecasts, so the met office are effectively keeping the publicly funded data private.

    Quangos gone wrong.
    The Met Office get all of their funding through contracts (though many of their contracts are with government depctly and given away for free. That's why the Met Office can be undercut - its competitors aren't paying for the model output.

    Before you rush to embrace the US system reflect that direct funding has led to under-funding and therefore lower quality forecasts. The Met Office has competed by providing better quality.
    The BBC's forecasts have been very poor since they switched from the Met Office. A great example of how market forces don't always work for the poplulation at large.
    How would anybody know?

    For years I've been an advocate of Forecasters publishing their results, preferable together with the next forecast. Why not? Racing tipsters publish theirs and even Tipping Lines normally 'proof' their suggestions to the Racing Post before the off.

    What use is any forecasting outfit that doesn't make results readily available? Without them they have all the credibility of Astrologers.
    Don't be silly - where's the profit and therefore wealth creation accumulation in that?
    Moaning and amnesiac minnies, all of you. The three greatest improvements of life in the UK in my lifetime have been (in this order) decriminalising gays, the massive reduction in smoking and the huge increase in the accuracy of weather forecasting.
    Where do you get the weather bit from? I've tried to find hard data but with little success.

    What little information I have found suggests that forecasting has improved but not by a huge amount, and only fairly recently.

    Would appreciate a citation if you have one.

    Thanks.
  • malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 43,362
    kle4 said:

    malcolmg said:

    I see the coup is progressing unchecked.

    SCOTTISH civil servants are furious after Brexit Secretary Stephen Barclay ruled they would no longer go to meetings in Brussels from next week to discuss fishing, agriculture and other devolved issues, The National has learnt.

    Barclay made the decision without consulting or informing the Scottish Government, leaving its officials learning of the development through press reports, according to Edinburgh insiders.

    Its shitty behaviour not a coup, it just makes it easy for BoJo and co to dismiss accusations by calling it so. Those obsessed with calling it a coup are helping Johnson get off the hook. Congratulations for helping him.
    They have got rid of majority of devolution , it is whatever you want to term it , for me it is dictatorship/coup/whatever.
  • Hartlepool IS reinventing itself. It just takes a long time and a lot of people suffer.

    The regeneration around the marina is lovely.

    Improved public spaces are great, but they don't often herald a big change in economic fortunes.
    Of course not but they do provide jobs, they do encourage visitors, and they encourage people like doctors and business owners to actually live in the town.
    Traditionally deprived towns with their cheap housing can be a very good place to live if you have some money.

    Especially those which have seen a bit of regeneration and have good communications.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,163
    eek said:

    kle4 said:

    eek said:

    TGOHF said:
    Is he just running his own policy these days? He said he'd campaign against a Corbyn Brexit deal the other day.
    Nope it's policy.

    1) A minimum of an extension or No No Deal to ensure Boris can't claim we are leaving on October 31st.
    2) A second referendum where all MPs can campaign for either Revoke / Remain or Labours Brexit plan. Those 2 options being the only things on offer.
    He could at least wait to see the amazing Brexit deal Corbyn will secure before making his decision, whilst still saying hes minded to back remain.
    Labour need to focus on 2 things at once, keeping Remain seats in London happy and not upsetting Leave seats up North too much.

    Keir having a safe London seat can focus on attracting remain voters. Others will focus on the other side of the equation.
    Yes I know, and it makes tactical sense, but at the cost of their official policy technically making sense but not really when so many openly pre determine what theyd do, making the policy look tissue thin.
  • eekeek Posts: 28,406
    Yorkcity said:

    TGOHF said:
    So bloody obvious, I’ve been saying this ever since Boris Johnson became Prime Minister.
    Yes same here.
    and here - I really don't understand why anyone thinks MPs will vote for an election unless their party has the best chance of winning.
  • eek said:

    Hartlepool IS reinventing itself. It just takes a long time and a lot of people suffer.

    The regeneration around the marina is lovely.

    Improved public spaces are great, but they don't often herald a big change in economic fortunes.
    Of course not but they do provide jobs, they do encourage visitors, and they encourage people like doctors and business owners to actually live in the town.
    One part of Hartlepool's weakness is that Wynyard is right next door and given that and a Sainsburys delivery service you don't need to visit Hartlepool ever

    (I say Sainsburys as Ocado don't deliver in the North East and the nearest Waitrose is in Newcastle City Centre).
    The humanity!
    Ilford lost a Toys R Us about 18 months ago - and its replacement opened yesterday: a brand new B & M discount shop!!
  • malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 43,362
    TGOHF said:

    kle4 said:

    TGOHF said:
    What's funny about that? It would scupper Boris' plan since they could very quickly prevent no deal while making clear theyd vote for an election the next day, so accusations of being frit would not stick. If Boris thinks hed win he can bring it on even when no deal is not happening.
    Not what JMcD was saying 30 mins ago..
    Tweedledee and tweedledum seem to always float different options to see what focus groups think, pair of diddies will never make a decision.
  • eekeek Posts: 28,406

    Hartlepool IS reinventing itself. It just takes a long time and a lot of people suffer.

    The regeneration around the marina is lovely.

    Improved public spaces are great, but they don't often herald a big change in economic fortunes.
    Of course not but they do provide jobs, they do encourage visitors, and they encourage people like doctors and business owners to actually live in the town.
    Traditionally deprived towns with their cheap housing can be a very good place to live if you have some money.

    Especially those which have seen a bit of regeneration and have good communications.
    The issue for all Seaside towns is communications. While I can see how nice they are to live in, you are adding 40 minutes+ to each leg of a journey.
  • justin124justin124 Posts: 11,527
    eek said:

    Yorkcity said:

    TGOHF said:
    So bloody obvious, I’ve been saying this ever since Boris Johnson became Prime Minister.
    Yes same here.
    and here - I really don't understand why anyone thinks MPs will vote for an election unless their party has the best chance of winning.
    Well - to be fair - Corbyn did meekly go along with May's plans in April 2017 when he could - and should - have blocked her.
  • GardenwalkerGardenwalker Posts: 21,298
    edited September 2019

    Dura_Ace said:

    "It's a coastal town they forgot to close down," as Morrissey said/sang.
    Hartlepool is screwed, under pretty much any economic dispensation outside full-bodied Communism, and probably even then.

    It has no reason to exist anymore; and like many towns in the UK it is simply propped up via social spending to support a lumpen proletariat.

    As unlikely as it sounds, It should concentrate on being a commuter resort for Newcastle, which is where real productivity may feasibly be developed.

    Brexit fucks even that idea, given the outsized hit expected to the North East economy.
    How many 'commuter resorts' do you think Newcastle needs ?

    Not that Newcastle itself lacks for run down shithole estates.
    Sure.
    It’s not ideal.
    The North East is the poorest region in England, I think.

    But Newcastle (and Durham) are the only two feasible hubs for real productive growth.
    Real productive growth in what ?

    Red brick universities and posho restaurants perhaps ?

    We need an economy which allows people to contribute and create wealth throughout the socioeconomic scale.
    Of course we do, but in the modern post digital economy, growth is developed in knowledge clusters. We need to ensure those clusters can develop (in metros, and adjacent to research universities) AND find a way to spread the wealth across the socioeconomic scale.

    Britain is poor at both.

    But you need to create the wealth first.
  • TGOHF said:
    So bloody obvious, I’ve been saying this ever since Boris Johnson became Prime Minister.
    But how do they force it? Boris Just has to sit on his hands and wait until they VONC him. Then the date is in his gift. He’s never going to agree an extension.
  • Foxy said:

    eek said:

    Dura_Ace said:

    "It's a coastal town they forgot to close down," as Morrissey said/sang.
    Hartlepool is screwed, under pretty much any economic dispensation outside full-bodied Communism, and probably even then.

    It has no reason to exist anymore; and like many towns in the UK it is simply propped up via social spending to support a lumpen proletariat.

    As unlikely as it sounds, It should concentrate on being a commuter resort for Newcastle, which is where real productivity may feasibly be developed.

    Brexit fucks even that idea, given the outsized hit expected to the North East economy.
    When I was walking around Redcar last Friday night I really was thinking on the 45 minute drive home what on earth you could do there.
    I have a slight personal obsession with economic geography.

    There seems almost a conspiracy to keep much of Britain poor, due to a toxic combination of gross over centralisation, short-term thinking, knee-jerk provincialism, and lazy, antiquated thinking from the 1980s.

    Neither left nor right have a fucking clue what to do about the DOZENS of Hartlepools around the country.

    It’s a miserable waste of human capital, ie people’s LIVES.
    Historically, a lot of these post industrial towns would have become ghost towns, unless they reinvented themselves with new industries.

    The combination of low value jobs, welfare dependency, obesity, smoking and drugs is why Hartlepool and similar towns have reducing prospects and life expectancy.
    The unfortunate fact is that there is always going to be people in socioeconomic groups D and E with low levels of ability, skills and education.

    And being a high paying country with a non-contributory welfare system means we are importing even more such people.
    I don't think either part of that is correct. There are many other countries in Europe with a far shorter tail of the unproductive and uneducated. The reasons why we are different are I suspect complex and tied into our history of industrialisation and deindustrialization, both of which were particularly brutal. I imagine with some effort we could do something about it.

    Also, I believe that the data tell us we are disproportionately importing the young, educated and productive from Europe. The kind of people who would be sitting on their arse in their equivalent of Hartlepool smoking tabs are probably still sitting on their arse in their equivalent of Hartlepool smoking tabs.
  • TGOHF said:
    Imagine Corbyn had shut down parliament to try to ram through something it was opposed to, Hodges would totally be saying the same thing, right?
    It's the kind of thing you expect from the Mail, but there are serious posters on here who haven't appreciated the risk that this Government's actions open the door for a Corbyn-led Government to do the same.

    No I don't think we're on the brink of a dictatorship, but I do have the slightly uncomfortable feeling of one standing close to a slippery slope.
  • ParistondaParistonda Posts: 1,843

    kle4 said:

    TGOHF said:
    What's funny about that? It would scupper Boris' plan since they could very quickly prevent no deal while making clear theyd vote for an election the next day, so accusations of being frit would not stick. If Boris thinks hed win he can bring it on even when no deal is not happening.
    It is precisely what Boris wants them to do. He is desperate for the extension but cannot ask for it himself, that is the whole point of the halfway prorogation.

    For the country, asking for an extension before an election is the right thing for the remain alliance.

    For Labour, it would be better to have the only way to stop no deal being by voting in Labour.

    Corbyn has been as utterly cynical as Johnson, so may actually prefer the GE without an extension, although I would expect the likes of Starmer and Thornberry to be furious if that is the path he chooses.
    Once Brexit is extended or anti no deal legislation is implemented, Farage has the excuse he needs to stand in every seat, portray Boris as letting no deal be stopped because he wasn't a true enough believer, and hoover up the most die-hard leave vote. It would destroy the tories's chance of a majority.
  • malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 43,362

    eek said:

    Dura_Ace said:

    "It's a coastal town they forgot to close down," as Morrissey said/sang.
    Hartlepool is screwed, under pretty much any economic dispensation outside full-bodied Communism, and probably even then.

    It has no reason to exist anymore; and like many towns in the UK it is simply propped up via social spending to support a lumpen proletariat.

    As unlikely as it sounds, It should concentrate on being a commuter resort for Newcastle, which is where real productivity may feasibly be developed.

    Brexit fucks even that idea, given the outsized hit expected to the North East economy.
    When I was walking around Redcar last Friday night I really was thinking after the 45 minute drive there what on earth you could do there.
    The birdwatchinng is good.....
    I presume the feathered kind unless you are partial to Viz birds
  • Dura_Ace said:

    "It's a coastal town they forgot to close down," as Morrissey said/sang.
    Hartlepool is screwed, under pretty much any economic dispensation outside full-bodied Communism, and probably even then.

    It has no reason to exist anymore; and like many towns in the UK it is simply propped up via social spending to support a lumpen proletariat.

    As unlikely as it sounds, It should concentrate on being a commuter resort for Newcastle, which is where real productivity may feasibly be developed.

    Brexit fucks even that idea, given the outsized hit expected to the North East economy.
    How many 'commuter resorts' do you think Newcastle needs ?

    Not that Newcastle itself lacks for run down shithole estates.
    Sure.
    It’s not ideal.
    The North East is the poorest region in England, I think.

    But Newcastle (and Durham) are the only two feasible hubs for real productive growth.
    Real productive growth in what ?

    Red brick universities and posho restaurants perhaps ?

    We need an economy which allows people to contribute and create wealth throughout the socioeconomic scale.
    Do you know anything about the North East? Newcastle and Durham are far from just red brick universities and posho restaurants. In fact Newcastle has only 1 Michelin Star restaurant.

    Greater Newcastle and Greater Durham have a huge chunk of all the area's manufacturing, R&D, warehousing and shopping infrastructure as well as all of the area's art, culture and music scene.
    And Durham is a big tourism centre as well.

    But how much can any of that be expanded and is it even a good idea to concentrate the regions economic activity even more, to turn all the other places into satellite towns and have even more people commute ?
  • eekeek Posts: 28,406
    justin124 said:

    eek said:

    Yorkcity said:

    TGOHF said:
    So bloody obvious, I’ve been saying this ever since Boris Johnson became Prime Minister.
    Yes same here.
    and here - I really don't understand why anyone thinks MPs will vote for an election unless their party has the best chance of winning.
    Well - to be fair - Corbyn did meekly go along with May's plans in April 2017 when he could - and should - have blocked her.
    Corbyn won seats in 2017 and could see even as the election was called how he could do so. That isn't true at the moment unless the landscape is changed and there is an obvious valid reason to ask for the landscape to be changed.
  • justin124justin124 Posts: 11,527

    TGOHF said:
    So bloody obvious, I’ve been saying this ever since Boris Johnson became Prime Minister.
    But how do they force it? Boris Just has to sit on his hands and wait until they VONC him. Then the date is in his gift. He’s never going to agree an extension.
    It is not in his gift if the Commons is willing to install an alternative PM.
  • TGOHF said:
    So bloody obvious, I’ve been saying this ever since Boris Johnson became Prime Minister.
    But how do they force it? Boris Just has to sit on his hands and wait until they VONC him. Then the date is in his gift. He’s never going to agree an extension.
    Control of the Order Paper? They have time, even if the EU doesn't unilaterally extend.
  • justin124 said:

    TGOHF said:
    So bloody obvious, I’ve been saying this ever since Boris Johnson became Prime Minister.
    But how do they force it? Boris Just has to sit on his hands and wait until they VONC him. Then the date is in his gift. He’s never going to agree an extension.
    It is not in his gift if the Commons is willing to install an alternative PM.
    That’s the only path open to them. Jeremy to lay the motion Tuesday?
  • malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 43,362
    Foxy said:

    eek said:

    Dura_Ace said:

    "It's a coastal town they forgot to close down," as Morrissey said/sang.
    Hartlepool is screwed, under pretty much any economic dispensation outside full-bodied Communism, and probably even then.

    It has no reason to exist anymore; and like many towns in the UK it is simply propped up via social spending to support a lumpen proletariat.

    As unlikely as it sounds, It should concentrate on being a commuter resort for Newcastle, which is where real productivity may feasibly be developed.

    Brexit fucks even that idea, given the outsized hit expected to the North East economy.
    When I was walking around Redcar last Friday night I really was thinking on the 45 minute drive home what on earth you could do there.
    I have a slight personal obsession with economic geography.

    There seems almost a conspiracy to keep much of Britain poor, due to a toxic combination of gross over centralisation, short-term thinking, knee-jerk provincialism, and lazy, antiquated thinking from the 1980s.

    Neither left nor right have a fucking clue what to do about the DOZENS of Hartlepools around the country.

    It’s a miserable waste of human capital, ie people’s LIVES.
    Historically, a lot of these post industrial towns would have become ghost towns, unless they reinvented themselves with new industries.

    The combination of low value jobs, welfare dependency, obesity, smoking and drugs is why Hartlepool and similar towns have reducing prospects and life expectancy.
    However the governments for many years concentrating everything around London and South East to the detriment of all these areas is the real cause.
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 48,733

    Foxy said:

    Foxy said:

    TGOHF said:

    Chris said:

    No-deal Brexit game plan: turn a blind eye at Border

    One senior European Commission figure has privately acknowledged in discussions with companies that it may be necessary for authorities to "turn a blind eye" with some sectors in the weeks after a hard Brexit, with the likes of mechanics, engineers and plumbers mentioned.

    A third source cautioned a no-deal Brexit would be an "emergency" whereby the legal order on the island of Ireland will change as the UK becomes a third country. They added: "Ireland is not going to be given a hospital pass. Work with the Commission is not concluded, it's ongoing."

    https://m.independent.ie/business/brexit/nodeal-brexit-game-plan-turn-a-blind-eye-at-border-38452852.html

    I always believed this is the Alexander Johnson game plan. Nothing is going to change overnight. Even the HMRC has told us that no lorries coming in to the UK from the EU will be stopped. ...
    These lorries that will come into the UK without being checked - what happens when they want to go back again?
    95 % of containers exported fro the ROI either go to or through the Uk. Hold up trade at Dover and the French stuff the Irish.
    No, as they originate in the EU, ROI cargos do not need customs documents or approval at French ports. They can be fast tracked past any queue.
    Not if we decide not to let them.
    Ah - good idea! Let's blockade Irish traffic.

    Tyndall diplomacy at work - thank goodness you're not in a position of power.
    If they choose to do it first at our ports then we should respond in kind. Why help facilitate EU trade through our ports if they are holding up our trade?
    Are you suggesting that we apply these customs at Holyhead, or introduce customs at departure?

    Sealed Irish cargos in transit, simply don't need customs approval at either end.

    It is not the EU that are applying these barriers, it is the British No Dealers.
    Wrong as I pointed out to Ben.
    The HMRC are going to not do import checks at Holyhead, as they have announced. There are no exit checks. French Customs can do as they please, but I suspect will be happy with sealed goods from ROI, so the ferry companies will be too.

    I am not clear where you intend to apply your checks.

    Later though, as church gathering.
This discussion has been closed.