There is a risk at the moment when calling a VONC that the Tory parties retort with let's have an election then....
While calling one is the sensible thing to do and essential it really needs to be delayed until Parliament returns after the Party Conferences when the chance of an election before October 31st has past...
I've never really understood this theory of Labour as a weak opposition. They have successfully frustrated the government on its main policy, denied the govt a majority (in the face of a remarkable polling deficit) and forced the resignation of god knows how many ministers from Theresa May's cabinet.
I've never really understood this theory of Labour as a weak opposition. They have successfully frustrated the government on its main policy, denied the govt a majority (in the face of a remarkable polling deficit) and forced the resignation of god knows how many ministers from Theresa May's cabinet.
That is simply opposition for opposition's sake and it is more the fact the Tories are divided than Labour being smart.
The Tories were divided in Major's day. Didn't let Smith, Blair etc off the hook from providing strong opposition. Which was not just opposing everything for opposing's sake.
I've never really understood this theory of Labour as a weak opposition. They have successfully frustrated the government on its main policy, denied the govt a majority (in the face of a remarkable polling deficit) and forced the resignation of god knows how many ministers from Theresa May's cabinet.
Sadly I think that shows how bad the Government has been rather than how good the opposition is. If May was facing Cooper / Benn or anyone else half the rubbish with her deal would have been put to bed immediately. Heck, there wouldn't have been a 2017 election as she wouldn't have had a lead in the polls.
On the other hand with another leader the ERG wouldn't have rebelled so much so the chances are we would have left the EU on the 31st March so things aren't all bad...
Slightly OT, but any sign of that much-trailed VONC?
See my first comment - it looks like a good idea but it's actually not. You really want it in October so you don't get a "let's have an election" response...
I've never really understood this theory of Labour as a weak opposition. They have successfully frustrated the government on its main policy, denied the govt a majority (in the face of a remarkable polling deficit) and forced the resignation of god knows how many ministers from Theresa May's cabinet.
That is simply opposition for opposition's sake and it is more the fact the Tories are divided than Labour being smart.
The Tories were divided in Major's day. Didn't let Smith, Blair etc off the hook from providing strong opposition. Which was not just opposing everything for opposing's sake.
Labour proposed their own Brexit options and indeed backed ones initiated by conservative MPs (Boles, Clarke). That alone shows that they weren't opposing everything blindly.
Slightly OT, but any sign of that much-trailed VONC?
See my first comment - it looks like a good idea but you really want it in October so you don't get a let's have an election response...
Yeah, although the optics of a government no confidencing itself will be.. interesting
Its happened in continental nations to get around fixed term Parliament's there. I seem to recall Schroeder did that in Germany from memory, or he won on the back of one like that.
I've never really understood this theory of Labour as a weak opposition. They have successfully frustrated the government on its main policy, denied the govt a majority (in the face of a remarkable polling deficit) and forced the resignation of god knows how many ministers from Theresa May's cabinet.
Sadly I think that shows how bad the Government has been rather than how good the opposition is. If May was facing Cooper / Benn or anyone else half the rubbish with her deal would have been put to bed immediately. Heck, there wouldn't have been a 2017 election as she wouldn't have had a lead in the polls.
On the other hand with another leader the ERG wouldn't have rebelled so much so the chances are we would have left the EU on the 31st March so things aren't all bad...
Largely agree. It may just be that govt is weak, which makes the opposition strong. From where I'm sitting though, Labour have sharpened up considerably since the early Corbyn days.
The Opposition in my view is just as much to blame as the government with this Brexit mess.
How so? It wasn't their idea.
No it wasn’t their idea. But Tory and Labour Remain supporting politicians are all responsible for the campaign during the referendum which did not sell EU membership well at all, hence the Leave result. And since the referendum Labour’s main aim has been to force a referendum rather than come together to solve the Brexit mess. The government did not engage properly in coming together to get an agreed position on a deal either.
Soames says he is "full of fear and dread" on C4 News.
“Like one, that on a lonesome road Doth walk in fear and dread, And having once turned round walks on, And turns no more his head; Because he knows, a frightful fiend Doth close behind him tread.”
Not really. it's all turned into a nonsense argument. PB Remainers would love any EU country over Oz, and any PB Brexiter would love Oz over any EU country. You'll not got much sense out of any of them now. I've long said that Brexit has made most people on here, on both sides, insane.
I've never really understood this theory of Labour as a weak opposition. They have successfully frustrated the government on its main policy, denied the govt a majority (in the face of a remarkable polling deficit) and forced the resignation of god knows how many ministers from Theresa May's cabinet.
Their weakness is having not translated that into a widespread view that they are offering a solution.
And most of the above is blue-on-blue violence... sure, Labour has voted against Tory legislation (with some rebellions of their own) and called for people to resign, but there is little feeling of them making rather than merely enjoying the weather.
To go for a vonc now a Tory MP has to effectively say it doesn't matter what Boris does from here whilst theoretically there are still plenty of routes left open. Which might give them pause.
If you really want to stop Boris the best way s to force him to commit to a route and come up against his October deadline.
When no deal is no longer something that can be defended as something we have to say to get a good deal but the actual explicit plan then Tory MPs who oppose no deal will have a choice to make.
Much like the early failed 2nd ref motion designed to attack Labour it will provide a propaganda victory to the side they apparently are against.
Soames says he is "full of fear and dread" on C4 News.
Fantastic!
Now we just need Varadkar, Barnier and Juncker [when he sobers up] to feel the same and we can get somewhere.
FFS - I might be an imbecile but you are so dense light bends round you, Barnier’s team has been broken up and gone home now it’s task is complete, Juncker’s replacement has already been elected, and Varadkar is only one of 27. You’re fighting a war that’s been lost. They’ve packed up and gone home secure in the knowledge BoZo was appointed prime minister merely as a result of winning the Tory Party leadership contest, that no majority appears to exists in parliament for a no-deal Brexit, and that the Tories would struggle to win a national election if one were called, and while a disorderly exit would hurt the EU it would devastate us.
Either we remain or the UK ends and they deal with the weakened rump English state as they feel fit until we are trusted to join as a new state. You’ve lost. You just don’t realise it yet.
Great piece Cycle free. I'm making the exact same argument on a Labour Facebook group. Thanks much anger of course - apparently the "Thatcherite" Swinson is trying to "wreck Labours Election chances"
The Opposition in my view is just as much to blame as the government with this Brexit mess.
How so? It wasn't their idea.
No it wasn’t their idea. But Tory and Labour Remain supporting politicians are all responsible for the campaign during the referendum which did not sell EU membership well at all, hence the Leave result. And since the referendum Labour’s main aim has been to force a referendum rather than come together to solve the Brexit mess. The government did not engage properly in coming together to get an agreed position on a deal either.
Sorry Brexit is 100% a Tory enterprise. If it works out to the good as Johnson seems to think it will, the Conservative Party deserve all the plaudits. The Labour Party deserve none.
If on the other extreme it turns out to be a disaster the Conservatives and Johnson will carry the can and so they should.
The Opposition in my view is just as much to blame as the government with this Brexit mess.
How so? It wasn't their idea.
No it wasn’t their idea. But Tory and Labour Remain supporting politicians are all responsible for the campaign during the referendum which did not sell EU membership well at all, hence the Leave result. And since the referendum Labour’s main aim has been to force a referendum rather than come together to solve the Brexit mess. The government did not engage properly in coming together to get an agreed position on a deal either.
Labour got their voters going remain at similar percentages to Lib Dems and SNP. Also until recently Labour had been open to and voted for Brexit options which didn't include a referendum.
Only recently has our policy gone to 2nd referendum for any brexit.
Latest rumour - and I for one believe it - is that if we do get a snap election Labour are going to make a radical move on immigration. A Romanian style points system - seen as a potential silver bullet to this enormously difficult and sensitive policy area.
What exactly is it? I don't know, silly to speculate, but watch this space.
The Opposition in my view is just as much to blame as the government with this Brexit mess.
Nonsense. This Brexit is 100% a Tory Brexit. A complete guddle.
Spoken like a true labourite Stuart D.
FFIW I agree with Chloe, Labour's unwillingness to embrace the referendum result has ended up with parliament getting a bit messy.
Yes, I think Chloe is right up to a point although in the end the Government always bears the greater responsibility.
Think back to Blair and the Iraq war. The opposition was more gung ho than the Labour Party and so should have borne some of the blame, but most of it was down to Blair and the government because they call the shots.
Soames says he is "full of fear and dread" on C4 News.
Fantastic!
Now we just need Varadkar, Barnier and Juncker [when he sobers up] to feel the same and we can get somewhere.
FFS - I might be an imbecile but you are so dense light bends round you, Barnier’s team has been broken up and gone home now it’s task is complete, Juncker’s replacement has already been elected, and Varadkar is only one of 27. You’re fighting a war that’s been lost. They’ve packed up and gone home secure in the knowledge BoZo was appointed prime minister merely as a result of winning the Tory Party leadership contest, that no majority appears to exists in parliament for a no-deal Brexit, and that the Tories would struggle to win a national election if one were called, and while a disorderly exit would hurt the EU it would devastate us.
Either we remain or the UK ends and they deal with the weakened rump English state as they feel fit until we are trusted to join as a new state. You’ve lost. You just don’t realise it yet.
The Opposition in my view is just as much to blame as the government with this Brexit mess.
How so? It wasn't their idea.
No it wasn’t their idea. But Tory and Labour Remain supporting politicians are all responsible for the campaign during the referendum which did not sell EU membership well at all, hence the Leave result. And since the referendum Labour’s main aim has been to force a referendum rather than come together to solve the Brexit mess. The government did not engage properly in coming together to get an agreed position on a deal either.
Sorry Brexit is 100% a Tory enterprise. If it works out to the good as Johnson seems to think it will, the Conservative Party deserve all the plaudits. The Labour Party deserve none.
If on the other extreme it turns out to be a disaster the Conservatives and Johnson will carry the can and so they should.
Sorry, but Brexit is a 100% voter enterprise.
Probably the most effective grouping in the Referendum campaign was Labour Leave.
Soames says he is "full of fear and dread" on C4 News.
Fantastic!
Now we just need Varadkar, Barnier and Juncker [when he sobers up] to feel the same and we can get somewhere.
FFS - I might be an imbecile but you are so dense light bends round you, Barnier’s team has been broken up and gone home now it’s task is complete, Juncker’s replacement has already been elected, and Varadkar is only one of 27. You’re fighting a war that’s been lost. They’ve packed up and gone home secure in the knowledge BoZo was appointed prime minister merely as a result of winning the Tory Party leadership contest, that no majority appears to exists in parliament for a no-deal Brexit, and that the Tories would struggle to win a national election if one were called, and while a disorderly exit would hurt the EU it would devastate us.
Either we remain or the UK ends and they deal with the weakened rump English state as they feel fit until we are trusted to join as a new state. You’ve lost. You just don’t realise it yet.
How does Parliament stop no deal?
That has been explained on here many times. Were you as dopey and inattentive at School, Charles?
Soames says he is "full of fear and dread" on C4 News.
Fantastic!
Now we just need Varadkar, Barnier and Juncker [when he sobers up] to feel the same and we can get somewhere.
FFS - I might be an imbecile but you are so dense light bends round you, Barnier’s team has been broken up and gone home now it’s task is complete, Juncker’s replacement has already been elected, and Varadkar is only one of 27. You’re fighting a war that’s been lost. They’ve packed up and gone home secure in the knowledge BoZo was appointed prime minister merely as a result of winning the Tory Party leadership contest, that no majority appears to exists in parliament for a no-deal Brexit, and that the Tories would struggle to win a national election if one were called, and while a disorderly exit would hurt the EU it would devastate us.
Either we remain or the UK ends and they deal with the weakened rump English state as they feel fit until we are trusted to join as a new state. You’ve lost. You just don’t realise it yet.
LOL you're so dense you can't even read Barnier's statement today. In which he specifically said he would "remain available throughout the summer for talks with the UK".
Varadkar is one of 27 but he is the one that matters. If he blinks, the 27 blink, since this who thing is them standing in solidarity with Ireland. If Ireland says "we have an alternative we would prefer" then then other 26 aren't going to veto that.
We are no more going to be a new state of the EU than Pakistan is going to be a new state of India, or Alberta a new state of the USA. You're delusional.
Soames says he is "full of fear and dread" on C4 News.
Fantastic!
Now we just need Varadkar, Barnier and Juncker [when he sobers up] to feel the same and we can get somewhere.
FFS - I might be an imbecile but you are so dense light bends round you, Barnier’s team has been broken up and gone home now it’s task is complete, Juncker’s replacement has already been elected, and Varadkar is only one of 27. You’re fighting a war that’s been lost. They’ve packed up and gone home secure in the knowledge BoZo was appointed prime minister merely as a result of winning the Tory Party leadership contest, that no majority appears to exists in parliament for a no-deal Brexit, and that the Tories would struggle to win a national election if one were called, and while a disorderly exit would hurt the EU it would devastate us.
Either we remain or the UK ends and they deal with the weakened rump English state as they feel fit until we are trusted to join as a new state. You’ve lost. You just don’t realise it yet.
How does Parliament stop no deal?
By far the easiest way would have been a vote of confidence in the government today!
I’m sure Grieve and Bercow will be spending a few hours of their summer holiday coming up with a plan.
The Opposition in my view is just as much to blame as the government with this Brexit mess.
How so? It wasn't their idea.
No it wasn’t their idea. But Tory and Labour Remain supporting politicians are all responsible for the campaign during the referendum which did not sell EU membership well at all, hence the Leave result. And since the referendum Labour’s main aim has been to force a referendum rather than come together to solve the Brexit mess. The government did not engage properly in coming together to get an agreed position on a deal either.
Sorry Brexit is 100% a Tory enterprise. If it works out to the good as Johnson seems to think it will, the Conservative Party deserve all the plaudits. The Labour Party deserve none.
If on the other extreme it turns out to be a disaster the Conservatives and Johnson will carry the can and so they should.
Sorry, but Brexit is a 100% voter enterprise.
Probably the most effective grouping in the Referendum campaign was Labour Leave.
You have to start at the top, Mark, with the EU. Then work your way down.
You pretty soon come the Government of course, and then the Official Oppsition.
Voters are quite a long way down, but not blameless.
The Opposition in my view is just as much to blame as the government with this Brexit mess.
How so? It wasn't their idea.
No it wasn’t their idea. But Tory and Labour Remain supporting politicians are all responsible for the campaign during the referendum which did not sell EU membership well at all, hence the Leave result. And since the referendum Labour’s main aim has been to force a referendum rather than come together to solve the Brexit mess. The government did not engage properly in coming together to get an agreed position on a deal either.
Sorry Brexit is 100% a Tory enterprise. If it works out to the good as Johnson seems to think it will, the Conservative Party deserve all the plaudits. The Labour Party deserve none.
If on the other extreme it turns out to be a disaster the Conservatives and Johnson will carry the can and so they should.
Sorry, but Brexit is a 100% voter enterprise.
Probably the most effective grouping in the Referendum campaign was Labour Leave.
You have to start at the top, Mark, with the EU. Then work your way down.
You pretty soon come the Government of course, and then the Official Oppsition.
Voters are quite a long way down, but not blameless.
"Blameless"? That's rather perjorative. There's no blame that needs apportioning to voters, they made a perfectly legitimate choice.
It would be ultimately ironic if the ERG are his undoing...
Well Boris's new right hand man Dominic Cummings did say that the ERG "should be treated like a metastasising tumour and excised from the UK body politic".
It would be ultimately ironic if the ERG are his undoing...
Well Boris's new right hand man Dominic Cummings did say that the ERG "should be treated like a metastasising tumour and excised from the UK body politic".
Labour did not agree with the VONC because Corbyn supports Leave and everything he has done during his career and present post is to achieve that state.
Labour did not agree with the VONC because Corbyn supports Leave and everything he has done during his career and present post is to achieve that state.
Corbyn's ideal date in his mind for a VONC to be held is 1 November.
It would be ultimately ironic if the ERG are his undoing...
But if he is surrounded by pro brexiteers he can tell Baker and Francois and other ERG members to get back in their box. I heard today that Cummings thinks they are a bunch of tosspots...
FFS - I might be an imbecile but you are so dense light bends round you, Barnier’s team has been broken up and gone home now it’s task is complete, Juncker’s replacement has already been elected, and Varadkar is only one of 27. You’re fighting a war that’s been lost. They’ve packed up and gone home secure in the knowledge BoZo was appointed prime minister merely as a result of winning the Tory Party leadership contest, that no majority appears to exists in parliament for a no-deal Brexit, and that the Tories would struggle to win a national election if one were called, and while a disorderly exit would hurt the EU it would devastate us.
Either we remain or the UK ends and they deal with the weakened rump English state as they feel fit until we are trusted to join as a new state. You’ve lost. You just don’t realise it yet.
That is hellish doomy and gloomy.
And it would mean we are NOT about to enter a new Golden Age.
Don't know who to believe now - you or Boris Johnson.
I have recently returned from a trip to Canada. From my experience staying with Wor Lass's family I can confirm that they speak the same language over there as over here. Punjabi.
That post has been up 11mins Mr TSE! Surely your alert priority one team have fallen short. I could understand such a lag if a mere world crisis was involved, but a priority one!?
That post has been up 11mins Mr TSE! Surely your alert priority one team have fallen short. I could understand such a lag if a mere world crisis was involved, but a priority one!?
Latest rumour - and I for one believe it - is that if we do get a snap election Labour are going to make a radical move on immigration. A Romanian style points system - seen as a potential silver bullet to this enormously difficult and sensitive policy area.
What exactly is it? I don't know, silly to speculate, but watch this space.
Great piece Cycle free. I'm making the exact same argument on a Labour Facebook group. Thanks much anger of course - apparently the "Thatcherite" Swinson is trying to "wreck Labours Election chances"
Agreed. I see Cyclefree’s article is not particularly popular with either Borisites or Corbynites, but is seems a fair assessment to me.
The spectacle of Corbyn sitting on his hands for three years as far as Brexit is concerned has not been an edifying one.
Latest rumour - and I for one believe it - is that if we do get a snap election Labour are going to make a radical move on immigration. A Romanian style points system - seen as a potential silver bullet to this enormously difficult and sensitive policy area.
What exactly is it? I don't know, silly to speculate, but watch this space.
That post has been up 11mins Mr TSE! Surely your alert priority one team have fallen short. I could understand such a lag if a mere world crisis was involved, but a priority one!?
I’m on holiday.
There’s pisspoor mobile coverage.
I'll be shocked if you tell me you don't have a team in an office somewhere who's sole task is to police this 24x7!
(Whole thing is really quite funny. Enjoy your holiday though rather than worrying about pizza.)
edit: sorry can't use meme - a good word, but not one to be used 'thing'
Too soon to comment on how Boris will do against Corbyn, we've seen so many honeymoons burn up quickly. A lot of Boris' campaign seems to be relying on splitting the remain vote while uniting the leave vote but I really doubt they polling numbers we see will lead to a 1983 style split opposition. Labour won't be punished for their useless brexit stance in seats where they remain the best bet of stopping Boris. Where they do lose seats it will be largely to SNP and Lib Dems. Tories may pick up most or even all of the BXP vote but they risk unwinding a lot of the post-coalition LD gains in doing so.
If I was going to guess at a snap election result I would imagine something similar to now, but with a few less tories and Labour net, and a few more lib dems and SNP net.
In other news, it is so hot in Paris that even the wind is hot and doesn't cool you down. It's unbearable.
Comments
While calling one is the sensible thing to do and essential it really needs to be delayed until Parliament returns after the Party Conferences when the chance of an election before October 31st has past...
Chikhura Sachkhere 1 - Aberdeen 1
15 mins left or so
The Tories were divided in Major's day. Didn't let Smith, Blair etc off the hook from providing strong opposition. Which was not just opposing everything for opposing's sake.
Heck, there wouldn't have been a 2017 election as she wouldn't have had a lead in the polls.
On the other hand with another leader the ERG wouldn't have rebelled so much so the chances are we would have left the EU on the 31st March so things aren't all bad...
Now we just need Varadkar, Barnier and Juncker [when he sobers up] to feel the same and we can get somewhere.
Boris is currently screwed if we don't leave on October 31st - and the time to do that via an election has probably already passed...
And you don't have to wait long. Parliament is only back for (I think) 3 days in the time frame that provides an October election...
https://caitlingreen.org/2015/05/medieval-new-england-black-sea.html
https://live.staticflickr.com/1912/30317279467_e6fd1cf3cd_b.jpg
From where I'm sitting though, Labour have sharpened up considerably since the early Corbyn days.
I watched the Major/Blair PMQs in my teenage years. Major used to win all the time - the public cared not a jot.
Yet you say you wish fervently that Corbyn would shape up and bring this Tory government down.
This does not scan. Not without a convoluted insincere explanation anyway.
Doth walk in fear and dread,
And having once turned round walks on,
And turns no more his head;
Because he knows, a frightful fiend
Doth close behind him tread.”
I know the feeling.
I've long said that Brexit has made most people on here, on both sides, insane.
FFIW I agree with Chloe, Labour's unwillingness to embrace the referendum result has ended up with parliament getting a bit messy.
And most of the above is blue-on-blue violence... sure, Labour has voted against Tory legislation (with some rebellions of their own) and called for people to resign, but there is little feeling of them making rather than merely enjoying the weather.
If you really want to stop Boris the best way s to force him to commit to a route and come up against his October deadline.
When no deal is no longer something that can be defended as something we have to say to get a good deal but the actual explicit plan then Tory MPs who oppose no deal will have a choice to make.
Much like the early failed 2nd ref motion designed to attack Labour it will provide a propaganda victory to the side they apparently are against.
Either we remain or the UK ends and they deal with the weakened rump English state as they feel fit until we are trusted to join as a new state. You’ve lost. You just don’t realise it yet.
If on the other extreme it turns out to be a disaster the Conservatives and Johnson will carry the can and so they should.
Only recently has our policy gone to 2nd referendum for any brexit.
Europa League second qualifying round 1st leg
Chikhura Sachkhere 1 - Aberdeen 1
With that away goal I think I can now play the secret song-
https://youtu.be/yplpOHHKaC0
What exactly is it? I don't know, silly to speculate, but watch this space.
Think back to Blair and the Iraq war. The opposition was more gung ho than the Labour Party and so should have borne some of the blame, but most of it was down to Blair and the government because they call the shots.
Probably the most effective grouping in the Referendum campaign was Labour Leave.
Varadkar is one of 27 but he is the one that matters. If he blinks, the 27 blink, since this who thing is them standing in solidarity with Ireland. If Ireland says "we have an alternative we would prefer" then then other 26 aren't going to veto that.
We are no more going to be a new state of the EU than Pakistan is going to be a new state of India, or Alberta a new state of the USA. You're delusional.
I’m sure Grieve and Bercow will be spending a few hours of their summer holiday coming up with a plan.
You pretty soon come the Government of course, and then the Official Oppsition.
Voters are quite a long way down, but not blameless.
It would be ultimately ironic if the ERG are his undoing...
Presumably Boles as a recent Conservative will be delighted with this? Presumably he's not using Thatcherite as an insult?
Bozo would have won that and he would have been taking that as a mandate for his Brexit plan .
I like the Lib Dems and Swinson but her idea was grandstanding and self defeating .
I heard today that Cummings thinks they are a bunch of tosspots...
And it would mean we are NOT about to enter a new Golden Age.
Don't know who to believe now - you or Boris Johnson.
It matters not a whit of course if he gets the substantive stuff wrong, but there's a degree of comfort that he's up for the job.
Steve Baker is no loss as a minister. (Probably be no loss to sweeping-up either)
The press keep pushing this apparent mix of Remain or Leave to dupe the public . The cabinet is all signed up to no deal .
He needs to chill a bit . He is though quite a polite guy and doesn’t make we want to punch the tv like Francois .
There’s pisspoor mobile coverage.
I see Cyclefree’s article is not particularly popular with either Borisites or Corbynites, but is seems a fair assessment to me.
The spectacle of Corbyn sitting on his hands for three years as far as Brexit is concerned has not been an edifying one.
(Whole thing is really quite funny. Enjoy your holiday though rather than worrying about pizza.)
edit: sorry can't use meme - a good word, but not one to be used 'thing'
If I was going to guess at a snap election result I would imagine something similar to now, but with a few less tories and Labour net, and a few more lib dems and SNP net.
In other news, it is so hot in Paris that even the wind is hot and doesn't cool you down. It's unbearable.
Whereas he comes across as a particularly stroppy teenager.