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  • MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 28,391

    The remarkable fact in all this is that the Lib Dems, SNP and Greens have been true to their principles and are rapidly gaining popularity. They are also strong revoke parties and the pendulum is swinging strongly their way

    It is evidenced in the huge gains the Lib Dems are making in local elections and predictions coming out of Scotland of a complete wipe out for the conservatives and labour

    Unless Boris can achieve a deal it is highly likely the momentum to revoke will overwhelm brexit, and that is especially true in a no deal situation where revoke will become the force de jure

    As an ardent Remainer, I would love to revoke. However in many ways, and I agree with HY here, it is politically the most unacceptable option. A deal that looks anything like acceptable to the majority of the Consetvative Party or urban former-Labour voters looks highly unlikely. No deal is fast becoming the only game in town. Stock up, liquidate to cash, it could be a bumpy ride.
  • another_richardanother_richard Posts: 26,624

    Quite pleased about my decision to sell my London flat last year:

    https://twitter.com/ONS/status/1151412204543074304

    Good job I bought a house in the North East of England last summer... 👀
    Weren't you complaining that you can't afford a holiday ?
  • Nigel_ForemainNigel_Foremain Posts: 14,313

    nico67 said:

    nichomar said:

    Completely fing bonkers and even more stupid expecting to win an election amongst the chaos
    Agreed it’s demented . You’d go to the country with the background of no deal .
    Cameron left Downing Street with an elephant sized turd on the doorstep.

    Johnson is going to leave Downing Street with a putrefying whale carcass on the doorstep.

    Why do Tory PMs expect everyone else to clean up their mess?
    Politicians of all stripes do it. How large do you rate the pile that has been left by Wee Eck for Nicola?
  • StuartDicksonStuartDickson Posts: 12,146
    OllyT said:

    @HYUFD represents a substantial strand of Conservative party thinking. I disagree with it strongly, but piling on him doesn't show the site in a good light.

    The Jezziah represents a substantial strand of Labour thinking bout I don't see anyone criticising the criticism he gets, which is considerably worse than anything HYUFD gets.
    Well quite. And the systematic banning of SNP PBers a few years ago hardly showed the site in a good light either.
  • StuartDicksonStuartDickson Posts: 12,146

    The remarkable fact in all this is that the Lib Dems, SNP and Greens have been true to their principles and are rapidly gaining popularity. They are also strong revoke parties and the pendulum is swinging strongly their way

    It is evidenced in the huge gains the Lib Dems are making in local elections and predictions coming out of Scotland of a complete wipe out for the conservatives and labour

    Unless Boris can achieve a deal it is highly likely the momentum to revoke will overwhelm brexit, and that is especially true in a no deal situation where revoke will become the force de jure

    As an ardent Remainer, I would love to revoke. However in many ways, and I agree with HY here, it is politically the most unacceptable option. A deal that looks anything like acceptable to the majority of the Consetvative Party or urban former-Labour voters looks highly unlikely. No deal is fast becoming the only game in town. Stock up, liquidate to cash, it could be a bumpy ride.
    I’m on gold.
  • noneoftheabovenoneoftheabove Posts: 22,847

    @HYUFD represents a substantial strand of Conservative party thinking. I disagree with it strongly, but piling on him doesn't show the site in a good light.

    When someone supports a coup they must be challenged. When someone extrapolates and spins unreliable data into certainty months ahead during a time of great chaos they must be challenged. If they keep posting nonsense repeatedly they will get challenged, whether it is mainstream in the bluekip party or not.
  • ydoethur said:

    Roger said:

    ydoethur said:

    You mean, the false stories about him donating to Deir Yassin Remembered, or laying a wreath on a mass murderer's grave and lying about it, or saying the Jews don't get irony, or calling Hamas and Hezbollah his friends, or protesting about a mural being taken down just because it was a piece of Nazi propaganda?

    Oh, hold in, those are true, aren't they?

    The real issue with Corbyn and Labour more generally is not what their enemies are saying about them, it's what they're actually saying and doing.

    Are those the strongest claims of anti semitism against corbyn? There is a reasonable case to be made that the only anti semitism in that list is 'Jews don't get irony'. A stereotype and a completely innacurate onre to boot. The rest are all Israel related.

    There is nothing anti semitic about calling Hezbollah friends. I know many very sane Lebanese Christians who would say exactly the same. They have done more for the poor in Lebanon than any other organisation over the last twenty five years. Their crime is that they defended their country from an Israel invasion relatively successfully. As for laying wreaths,,,for God's sake Thathcher had Pinochet home for tea. People dead or alive are multi faceted. If you haven't been you should visit Lebanon. An intelligent population which might give you a mre rounded view of Middle Eastern politics
    So you do concede he is antisemitic? Well, it's a start.

    And calling any organisation that denies the Holocaust a friend, or worse, giving money to it, is also clearly antisemitic.

    As was that mural, which was based on Nazi propaganda, and your feeble attempt to ignore it has not gone unnoticed.

    Corbyn may not think he is a racist but his excuses for behaviour which in all any non-Labour politician he would rightly roundly condemn border on the asinine.

    And as for the whataboutery with regard to Pinochet - are you really saying he's OK because he's done some things that are comparable to Thatcher? That strikes me as a dangerous argument...
    Recognising the mural, which purported to show real bankers, at least two of them not Jewish, as based on Nazi propaganda, surely depends on a knowledge of Nazi propaganda. It seems entirely plausible that Corbyn did not see the connection.
    He's a senior politician, not a Love Island contestant. The defence that he lacked even the most basic knowledge of Nazi propaganda tropes is incredible.
  • DecrepitJohnLDecrepitJohnL Posts: 13,300

    OllyT said:

    @HYUFD represents a substantial strand of Conservative party thinking. I disagree with it strongly, but piling on him doesn't show the site in a good light.

    The Jezziah represents a substantial strand of Labour thinking bout I don't see anyone criticising the criticism he gets, which is considerably worse than anything HYUFD gets.
    Perhaps because HYUFD isn't a standard-bearer for anti-semitism?
    Boris is hardly clean on race.
  • SouthamObserverSouthamObserver Posts: 39,653
    1. There’ll be a No Deal Brexit
    2. The Tories will win the next GE
    3. Jeremy Corbyn will remain leader even after Labour lose
    4. Boris Johnson will be the last Tory PM in my lifetime
    5. If I live my three score & 10 I’ll see the UK break-up
    6. It’s bleak
    7. Flee, you fools
  • Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 63,133
    edited July 2019
    JackW said:

    @HYUFD represents a substantial strand of Conservative party thinking. I disagree with it strongly, but piling on him doesn't show the site in a good light.

    You are correct that @HYUFD represents a substantial strand of BREXIT thinking within the Conservative party.

    However the site is certainly strong enough to withstand robust debate on his views. Certainly he is not backward in coming forward to espouse them and counter argue the many who disagree with him.

    PB is not snowflake central as you have certainly realized from the concerted efforts to rubbish your ideas and your hardly pusillanimous responses.
    While I disagree with much HYUFD says recently, particularly the way he dismisses fellow conservatives and tells them they should join the Lib Dems, he does have an extensive knowledge of politics and tries to justify his recent conversion to the brexit cause, though I doubt he realises that he really is more suited to TBP
  • nichomarnichomar Posts: 7,483
    JackW said:

    @HYUFD represents a substantial strand of Conservative party thinking. I disagree with it strongly, but piling on him doesn't show the site in a good light.

    You are correct that @HYUFD represents a substantial strand of BREXIT thinking within the Conservative party.

    However the site is certainly strong enough to withstand robust debate on his views. Certainly he is not backward in coming forward to espouse them and counter argue the many who disagree with him.

    PB is not snowflake central as you have certainly realized from the concerted efforts to rubbish your ideas and your hardly pusillanimous responses.
    I’d just like him to stop to breath occasionally
  • GallowgateGallowgate Posts: 19,468

    Quite pleased about my decision to sell my London flat last year:

    https://twitter.com/ONS/status/1151412204543074304

    Good job I bought a house in the North East of England last summer... 👀
    Weren't you complaining that you can't afford a holiday ?
    Yes? What has that got to do with my living arrangements?
  • StuartDicksonStuartDickson Posts: 12,146

    TOPPING said:

    Roger said:

    ydoethur said:

    If we leave aside the 2015 revelation that Corbyn was a friend and supporter of Paul Eisen, this has now been a constant running sore for over a year.

    At what point would a sensible person have got a grip?
    If we lived somewhere where Boris's favourite love Island contestant wasn't front page news it would be possible for Corbyn and co to start asking sensible questions whether it is desirable for Israel to describe itslf as a Jewish State' and to question Mark Regev- ex Israeli propaganda chief current Israeli Ambassador to London-'s part in the continuous stories-real and false-about Corbyn's so called 'anti semitism'.
    Would you call England a Christian State?
    It's not a state of any kind (except in the sense of being in 'a bit of a')
    Boris Johnson disagrees: England has its own legislature, judiciary and jurisdiction, ergo it is state.

    https://www.google.se/amp/s/www.dailyrecord.co.uk/news/politics/boris-johnson-avoids-scotland-brands-17280784.amp
  • MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 28,391

    The remarkable fact in all this is that the Lib Dems, SNP and Greens have been true to their principles and are rapidly gaining popularity. They are also strong revoke parties and the pendulum is swinging strongly their way

    It is evidenced in the huge gains the Lib Dems are making in local elections and predictions coming out of Scotland of a complete wipe out for the conservatives and labour

    Unless Boris can achieve a deal it is highly likely the momentum to revoke will overwhelm brexit, and that is especially true in a no deal situation where revoke will become the force de jure

    As an ardent Remainer, I would love to revoke. However in many ways, and I agree with HY here, it is politically the most unacceptable option. A deal that looks anything like acceptable to the majority of the Consetvative Party or urban former-Labour voters looks highly unlikely. No deal is fast becoming the only game in town. Stock up, liquidate to cash, it could be a bumpy ride.
    I’m on gold.
    So is my wife.
  • eekeek Posts: 28,406

    The remarkable fact in all this is that the Lib Dems, SNP and Greens have been true to their principles and are rapidly gaining popularity. They are also strong revoke parties and the pendulum is swinging strongly their way

    It is evidenced in the huge gains the Lib Dems are making in local elections and predictions coming out of Scotland of a complete wipe out for the conservatives and labour

    Unless Boris can achieve a deal it is highly likely the momentum to revoke will overwhelm brexit, and that is especially true in a no deal situation where revoke will become the force de jure

    As an ardent Remainer, I would love to revoke. However in many ways, and I agree with HY here, it is politically the most unacceptable option. A deal that looks anything like acceptable to the majority of the Consetvative Party or urban former-Labour voters looks highly unlikely. No deal is fast becoming the only game in town. Stock up, liquidate to cash, it could be a bumpy ride.
    To Sterling cash, really?
  • DecrepitJohnLDecrepitJohnL Posts: 13,300


    Recognising the mural, which purported to show real bankers, at least two of them not Jewish, as based on Nazi propaganda, surely depends on a knowledge of Nazi propaganda. It seems entirely plausible that Corbyn did not see the connection.

    He's a senior politician, not a Love Island contestant. The defence that he lacked even the most basic knowledge of Nazi propaganda tropes is incredible.
    You do know we had a Brexit Secretary who did not know about Dover, and a Northern Ireland Secretary who did not know the distinction between Loyalists and Nationalists?

    And while anyone under 40 may have taken the "Tudors and Nazis" history syllabus, older people will not have done.

    So yes, it is entirely plausible Corbyn did not recognise it as such.
  • noneoftheabovenoneoftheabove Posts: 22,847


    Recognising the mural, which purported to show real bankers, at least two of them not Jewish, as based on Nazi propaganda, surely depends on a knowledge of Nazi propaganda. It seems entirely plausible that Corbyn did not see the connection.

    He's a senior politician, not a Love Island contestant. The defence that he lacked even the most basic knowledge of Nazi propaganda tropes is incredible.
    You do know we had a Brexit Secretary who did not know about Dover, and a Northern Ireland Secretary who did not know the distinction between Loyalists and Nationalists?

    And while anyone under 40 may have taken the "Tudors and Nazis" history syllabus, older people will not have done.

    So yes, it is entirely plausible Corbyn did not recognise it as such.
    So if he cannot recognise anti semitism, how can he claim Labour is not anti semitic?
  • MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 28,391

    1. There’ll be a No Deal Brexit
    2. The Tories will win the next GE
    3. Jeremy Corbyn will remain leader even after Labour lose
    4. Boris Johnson will be the last Tory PM in my lifetime
    5. If I live my three score & 10 I’ll see the UK break-up
    6. It’s bleak
    7. Flee, you fools

    Do you need a full house to win? I believe you have number 4 wrong.
  • TabmanTabman Posts: 1,046

    Quite pleased about my decision to sell my London flat last year:

    https://twitter.com/ONS/status/1151412204543074304

    Good job I bought a house in the North East of England last summer... 👀
    Weren't you complaining that you can't afford a holiday ?
    Yes? What has that got to do with my living arrangements?
    A house in the north east is cheaper than a holiday 🙂
  • MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 28,391
    eek said:

    The remarkable fact in all this is that the Lib Dems, SNP and Greens have been true to their principles and are rapidly gaining popularity. They are also strong revoke parties and the pendulum is swinging strongly their way

    It is evidenced in the huge gains the Lib Dems are making in local elections and predictions coming out of Scotland of a complete wipe out for the conservatives and labour

    Unless Boris can achieve a deal it is highly likely the momentum to revoke will overwhelm brexit, and that is especially true in a no deal situation where revoke will become the force de jure

    As an ardent Remainer, I would love to revoke. However in many ways, and I agree with HY here, it is politically the most unacceptable option. A deal that looks anything like acceptable to the majority of the Consetvative Party or urban former-Labour voters looks highly unlikely. No deal is fast becoming the only game in town. Stock up, liquidate to cash, it could be a bumpy ride.
    To Sterling cash, really?
    To clarify, USD or dare I mention it Euros.
  • GallowgateGallowgate Posts: 19,468
    Tabman said:

    Quite pleased about my decision to sell my London flat last year:

    https://twitter.com/ONS/status/1151412204543074304

    Good job I bought a house in the North East of England last summer... 👀
    Weren't you complaining that you can't afford a holiday ?
    Yes? What has that got to do with my living arrangements?
    A house in the north east is cheaper than a holiday 🙂
    Definitely cheaper than one of SeanT’s holidays!
  • Harris_TweedHarris_Tweed Posts: 1,337

    nico67 said:

    nichomar said:

    Completely fing bonkers and even more stupid expecting to win an election amongst the chaos
    Agreed it’s demented . You’d go to the country with the background of no deal .
    Cameron left Downing Street with an elephant sized turd on the doorstep.

    Johnson is going to leave Downing Street with a putrefying whale carcass on the doorstep.

    Why do Tory PMs expect everyone else to clean up their mess?
    I think in those circumstances, BJ would lose a *substantial* chunk of the 35pc of Tory voters who voted remain in 2016 (whom we were discussing yesterday). He'll quickly find out that a fervently passionate 20 per cent of the electorate who think he should become a saint don't get some sort of golden vote. He'll be in the same boat as Corbyn.. a hard core of extremely keen people who give each other the horn with their fervour, only to find the rest of the country shrugging and scratching their heads.

    As someone who (I think) has voted for 4 parties in various elections over the years, I'm not all that bothered if the Tories die. But it must be depressing for remain/one nation/moderate/left-wing Tories.
  • noneoftheabovenoneoftheabove Posts: 22,847
    eek said:

    The remarkable fact in all this is that the Lib Dems, SNP and Greens have been true to their principles and are rapidly gaining popularity. They are also strong revoke parties and the pendulum is swinging strongly their way

    It is evidenced in the huge gains the Lib Dems are making in local elections and predictions coming out of Scotland of a complete wipe out for the conservatives and labour

    Unless Boris can achieve a deal it is highly likely the momentum to revoke will overwhelm brexit, and that is especially true in a no deal situation where revoke will become the force de jure

    As an ardent Remainer, I would love to revoke. However in many ways, and I agree with HY here, it is politically the most unacceptable option. A deal that looks anything like acceptable to the majority of the Consetvative Party or urban former-Labour voters looks highly unlikely. No deal is fast becoming the only game in town. Stock up, liquidate to cash, it could be a bumpy ride.
    To Sterling cash, really?
    What do the wise investment heads of pb think are the best options for maintaining value/hedging against disaster during the next few months?
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 48,733
    I see a flaw in this cunning election plan!

    Remainers will be highly motivated for revenge.

    Democrats will be appalled at how No Deal is forced through.

    BXP Leavers will be ungrateful, as no Brexit will appease them.

    Labour Leavers will be free to vote Corbyn, as Brexit will have happened.

    Boris is doomed if that is his plan, even if he can push it through.

  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 52,617

    1. There’ll be a No Deal Brexit
    2. The Tories will win the next GE
    3. Jeremy Corbyn will remain leader even after Labour lose
    4. Boris Johnson will be the last Tory PM in my lifetime
    5. If I live my three score & 10 I’ll see the UK break-up
    6. It’s bleak
    7. Flee, you fools

    If the Tories win the next election, they will have squared the Brexit circle. 4 looks to be wrong in that case.
  • nico67nico67 Posts: 4,502
    Quite astonishing .

    The government admitting there will have to be a large scale slaughter of sheep in a no deal but hey no problem they will be compensated.

    As with other sectors , the Sunny Uplands has been replaced by tax payers stumping up money to compensate them .

    And this is all self inflicted. It confirms the lunacy that’s overtaken the country .
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 71,238
    Nigelb said:
    As recognised even in Texas:

    https://thehill.com/blogs/blog-briefing-room/news/453434-former-texas-judge-leaves-gop-over-trump
    Elsa Alcala, a former Republican judge who once sat on the Texas Court of Criminal Appeals, said Monday that she has decided to leave the Republican Party after decades, citing President Trump’s “racism,” the Austin American-Statesman reports.

    In a post shared from the retired judge’s Facebook page that has been gaining traction online, Alcala wrote, “It has taken me years to say this publicly but here I go. President Trump is the worst president in the history of this country.”

    “Even accepting that Trump has had some successes — and I believe these are few — at his core, his ideology is racism. To me, nothing positive about him could absolve him of his rotten core,” the post continued.

    In a follow-up interview with the Austin American-Statesman released on Tuesday, Alcala said that recent tweets from Trump, in which he told four lawmakers to “go back” to their countries, played a role in her decision, telling the paper that she believes Trump is working to exclude “people who look like me.”

    “Every day with the Republican Party seemed worse than the day before. Trump speaks about brown people like me as lesser beings,” Alcala, who is a Latina, said. “It’s cliche to say, but the Republican Party left me.”

    “I thought that maybe Texas state politics at the Legislature might be better than the national Republican politics, but it was more of the same,” she also said, referring to the support Trump has enjoyed throughout his term in office from the national Republican Party and local chapters...
  • Philip_ThompsonPhilip_Thompson Posts: 65,826
    TOPPING said:

    Roger said:

    ydoethur said:

    If we leave aside the 2015 revelation that Corbyn was a friend and supporter of Paul Eisen, this has now been a constant running sore for over a year.

    At what point would a sensible person have got a grip?
    If we lived somewhere where Boris's favourite love Island contestant wasn't front page news it would be possible for Corbyn and co to start asking sensible questions whether it is desirable for Israel to describe itslf as a Jewish State' and to question Mark Regev- ex Israeli propaganda chief current Israeli Ambassador to London-'s part in the continuous stories-real and false-about Corbyn's so called 'anti semitism'.
    Would you call England a Christian State?
    Considering the Church of England is the State religion and in the legislature, sadly yes.

    I would also call Iran and Saudi Arabia Islamic states. I wonder whether Corbyn finds it racist for Iran to refer to itself as an Islamic state?
  • noneoftheabovenoneoftheabove Posts: 22,847
    Scott_P said:
    To tory no dealers I know you will disagree with Hammond, and perhaps think little of him, but does him being "terrified" and he doesnt seem one for unnecessary strong language, especially blue on blue, not make you think perhaps it is okay to slow down and think this through a bit more before jumping off the cliff?
  • Stark_DawningStark_Dawning Posts: 9,683
    Scott_P said:
    I'm amazed Rees-Mogg is still a thing. That awful book he bought out rather exposed him as a pseudo-intellectual and a bit of a twit. Simon Heffer, for example, said it read as if it was written by a baboon.
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 48,733

    eek said:

    The remarkable fact in all this is that the Lib Dems, SNP and Greens have been true to their principles and are rapidly gaining popularity. They are also strong revoke parties and the pendulum is swinging strongly their way

    It is evidenced in the huge gains the Lib Dems are making in local elections and predictions coming out of Scotland of a complete wipe out for the conservatives and labour

    Unless Boris can achieve a deal it is highly likely the momentum to revoke will overwhelm brexit, and that is especially true in a no deal situation where revoke will become the force de jure

    As an ardent Remainer, I would love to revoke. However in many ways, and I agree with HY here, it is politically the most unacceptable option. A deal that looks anything like acceptable to the majority of the Consetvative Party or urban former-Labour voters looks highly unlikely. No deal is fast becoming the only game in town. Stock up, liquidate to cash, it could be a bumpy ride.
    To Sterling cash, really?
    What do the wise investment heads of pb think are the best options for maintaining value/hedging against disaster during the next few months?
    My money has been put the overseas funds, or in defensive and British equities earning Forex.

    But surely most have hedged this way already? I think domestic stocks may well have been oversold, but likely to go cheaper after Brexit, at which point there could be some bargains.

    This strategy worked well after the 2016 vote.
  • noneoftheabovenoneoftheabove Posts: 22,847
    nico67 said:

    Quite astonishing .

    The government admitting there will have to be a large scale slaughter of sheep in a no deal but hey no problem they will be compensated.

    As with other sectors , the Sunny Uplands has been replaced by tax payers stumping up money to compensate them .

    And this is all self inflicted. It confirms the lunacy that’s overtaken the country .

    And why do they get compensated? Farmers voted for Brexit, they should own it warts and all, not get state subsidies, typical tory socialists.
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 71,238
    Scott_P said:
    The idea of a hecatomb in honour of the Brexit gods might perhaps appeal to our next PM.
  • noneoftheabovenoneoftheabove Posts: 22,847
    Foxy said:

    eek said:

    The remarkable fact in all this is that the Lib Dems, SNP and Greens have been true to their principles and are rapidly gaining popularity. They are also strong revoke parties and the pendulum is swinging strongly their way

    It is evidenced in the huge gains the Lib Dems are making in local elections and predictions coming out of Scotland of a complete wipe out for the conservatives and labour

    Unless Boris can achieve a deal it is highly likely the momentum to revoke will overwhelm brexit, and that is especially true in a no deal situation where revoke will become the force de jure

    As an ardent Remainer, I would love to revoke. However in many ways, and I agree with HY here, it is politically the most unacceptable option. A deal that looks anything like acceptable to the majority of the Consetvative Party or urban former-Labour voters looks highly unlikely. No deal is fast becoming the only game in town. Stock up, liquidate to cash, it could be a bumpy ride.
    To Sterling cash, really?
    What do the wise investment heads of pb think are the best options for maintaining value/hedging against disaster during the next few months?
    My money has been put the overseas funds, or in defensive and British equities earning Forex.

    But surely most have hedged this way already? I think domestic stocks may well have been oversold, but likely to go cheaper after Brexit, at which point there could be some bargains.

    This strategy worked well after the 2016 vote.
    Thanks I didnt think no deal was plausible in the spring so didnt change much, still think it far more unlikely than the betting markets but definitely possible this time around.
  • geoffwgeoffw Posts: 8,722
    Foxy said:

    eek said:

    The remarkable fact in all this is that the Lib Dems, SNP and Greens have been true to their principles and are rapidly gaining popularity. They are also strong revoke parties and the pendulum is swinging strongly their way

    It is evidenced in the huge gains the Lib Dems are making in local elections and predictions coming out of Scotland of a complete wipe out for the conservatives and labour

    Unless Boris can achieve a deal it is highly likely the momentum to revoke will overwhelm brexit, and that is especially true in a no deal situation where revoke will become the force de jure

    As an ardent Remainer, I would love to revoke. However in many ways, and I agree with HY here, it is politically the most unacceptable option. A deal that looks anything like acceptable to the majority of the Consetvative Party or urban former-Labour voters looks highly unlikely. No deal is fast becoming the only game in town. Stock up, liquidate to cash, it could be a bumpy ride.
    To Sterling cash, really?
    What do the wise investment heads of pb think are the best options for maintaining value/hedging against disaster during the next few months?
    My money has been put the overseas funds, or in defensive and British equities earning Forex.

    But surely most have hedged this way already? I think domestic stocks may well have been oversold, but likely to go cheaper after Brexit, at which point there could be some bargains.

    This strategy worked well after the 2016 vote.
    the past is no guide ...
  • Philip_ThompsonPhilip_Thompson Posts: 65,826

    Scott_P said:
    To tory no dealers I know you will disagree with Hammond, and perhaps think little of him, but does him being "terrified" and he doesnt seem one for unnecessary strong language, especially blue on blue, not make you think perhaps it is okay to slow down and think this through a bit more before jumping off the cliff?
    Not for a second. This was the debate that was held before the referendum and since then Nothing Has Changed. Leaving the Single Market and Leaving the Customs Union was officially what the Treasury and others said would happen if we voted to Leave the EU. Since he represents the Treasury, what has changed since then from the Treasuries pre-referendum comments?

    If that's his opinion it just shows he was the completely wrong person to take charge of the Exchequer after the referendum result and no wonder we're in this mess. Sooner he's on the backbenches or gone completely the better.
  • david_herdsondavid_herdson Posts: 17,744
    On topic, I agree with Mike that 29% is just about value on Corbyn going, given that there are several routes to this happening.

    One he doesn't mention (I assume it has been downthread but haven't had time to read), is the high possibility of a GE and the consequent risk of Lab losing and Corbyn resigning.

    Add in the chances of him either being pushed out, throwing the towel in, or going on health grounds and I think there's a little value there (though not much).
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 71,238

    nico67 said:

    Quite astonishing .

    The government admitting there will have to be a large scale slaughter of sheep in a no deal but hey no problem they will be compensated.

    As with other sectors , the Sunny Uplands has been replaced by tax payers stumping up money to compensate them .

    And this is all self inflicted. It confirms the lunacy that’s overtaken the country .

    And why do they get compensated? Farmers voted for Brexit, they should own it warts and all, not get state subsidies, typical tory socialists.
    Because they voted for it, perhaps.

    A nice demonstration that Leave central doesn't really give much of a damn about the rest of us.
  • TheuniondivvieTheuniondivvie Posts: 42,005

    TOPPING said:

    Roger said:

    ydoethur said:

    If we leave aside the 2015 revelation that Corbyn was a friend and supporter of Paul Eisen, this has now been a constant running sore for over a year.

    At what point would a sensible person have got a grip?
    If we lived somewhere where Boris's favourite love Island contestant wasn't front page news it would be possible for Corbyn and co to start asking sensible questions whether it is desirable for Israel to describe itslf as a Jewish State' and to question Mark Regev- ex Israeli propaganda chief current Israeli Ambassador to London-'s part in the continuous stories-real and false-about Corbyn's so called 'anti semitism'.
    Would you call England a Christian State?
    It's not a state of any kind (except in the sense of being in 'a bit of a')
    Boris Johnson disagrees: England has its own legislature, judiciary and jurisdiction, ergo it is state.

    https://www.google.se/amp/s/www.dailyrecord.co.uk/news/politics/boris-johnson-avoids-scotland-brands-17280784.amp
    Aye, but Boris can believe six impossible things before breakfast (or more specifically persuade his credulous followers to do so).
  • noneoftheabovenoneoftheabove Posts: 22,847

    Scott_P said:
    To tory no dealers I know you will disagree with Hammond, and perhaps think little of him, but does him being "terrified" and he doesnt seem one for unnecessary strong language, especially blue on blue, not make you think perhaps it is okay to slow down and think this through a bit more before jumping off the cliff?
    Not for a second. This was the debate that was held before the referendum and since then Nothing Has Changed. Leaving the Single Market and Leaving the Customs Union was officially what the Treasury and others said would happen if we voted to Leave the EU. Since he represents the Treasury, what has changed since then from the Treasuries pre-referendum comments?

    If that's his opinion it just shows he was the completely wrong person to take charge of the Exchequer after the referendum result and no wonder we're in this mess. Sooner he's on the backbenches or gone completely the better.
    The debate at the referendum was leaving with a deal. Hammond is in favour of leaving with a deal.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 71,426


    Recognising the mural, which purported to show real bankers, at least two of them not Jewish, as based on Nazi propaganda, surely depends on a knowledge of Nazi propaganda. It seems entirely plausible that Corbyn did not see the connection.

    He's a senior politician, not a Love Island contestant. The defence that he lacked even the most basic knowledge of Nazi propaganda tropes is incredible.
    You do know we had a Brexit Secretary who did not know about Dover, and a Northern Ireland Secretary who did not know the distinction between Loyalists and Nationalists?

    And while anyone under 40 may have taken the "Tudors and Nazis" history syllabus, older people will not have done.

    So yes, it is entirely plausible Corbyn did not recognise it as such.
    Even Lutfur Rahman, hardly an apologist for Israel, said instantly that that mural was antisemitic. That's why he had it removed.

    The rest of your post is whataboutery again. Raab is thick and Brady is pig ignorant, therefore it doesn't matter that Corbyn is so dim he can't recognise racism?
  • SouthamObserverSouthamObserver Posts: 39,653

    On topic, I agree with Mike that 29% is just about value on Corbyn going, given that there are several routes to this happening.

    One he doesn't mention (I assume it has been downthread but haven't had time to read), is the high possibility of a GE and the consequent risk of Lab losing and Corbyn resigning.

    Add in the chances of him either being pushed out, throwing the towel in, or going on health grounds and I think there's a little value there (though not much).

    Corbyn will not resign if Labour lose the next election. He will stay until there is a far left alternative to him that can be confident of winning a leadership election.

  • Sean_FSean_F Posts: 37,381

    ydoethur said:

    Roger said:

    ydoethur said:

    You mean, the false stories about him donating to Deir Yassin Remembered, or laying a wreath on a mass murderer's grave and lying about it, or saying the Jews don't get irony, or calling Hamas and Hezbollah his friends, or protesting about a mural being taken down just because it was a piece of Nazi propaganda?

    Oh, hold in, those are true, aren't they?

    The real issue with Corbyn and Labour more generally is not what their enemies are saying about them, it's what they're actually saying and doing.

    Are those the strongest claims of anti semitism against corbyn? There is a reasonable case to be made that the ons
    So you do concede he is antisemitic? Well, it's a start.

    And calling any organisation that denies the Holocaust a friend, or worse, giving money to it, is also clearly antisemitic.

    As was that mural, which was based on Nazi propaganda, and your feeble attempt to ignore it has not gone unnoticed.

    Corbyn may not think he is a racist but his excuses for behaviour which in all any non-Labour politician he would rightly roundly condemn border on the asinine.

    And as for the whataboutery with regard to Pinochet - are you really saying he's OK because he's done some things that are comparable to Thatcher? That strikes me as a dangerous argument...
    Recognising the mural, which purported to show real bankers, at least two of them not Jewish, as based on Nazi propaganda, surely depends on a knowledge of Nazi propaganda. It seems entirely plausible that Corbyn did not see the connection.
    That's a really poor excuse. The following puts it well:
    https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2018/mar/28/antisemitism-open-your-eyes-jeremy-corbyn-labour

    If Corbyn didn't recognise the tropes within the mural and think "danger, danger!", then frankly he's utterly clueless.

    Worse, he's so clueless that he's in no position to comment on anti-Semitism by anyone - including himself.
    Initially, I thought it was anti-masonic (albeit, anti-semites see freemasonry as part of the worldwide conspiracy) but I think you'd have to be a freemason to see it as such.

    But, the artist helpfully clarified that it was anti-Semitic.
  • Nigel_ForemainNigel_Foremain Posts: 14,313
    Foxy said:

    eek said:

    The remarkable fact in all this is that the Lib Dems, SNP and Greens have been true to their principles and are rapidly gaining popularity. They are also strong revoke parties and the pendulum is swinging strongly their way

    It is evidenced in the huge gains the Lib Dems are making in local elections and predictions coming out of Scotland of a complete wipe out for the conservatives and labour

    Unless Boris can achieve a deal it is highly likely the momentum to revoke will overwhelm brexit, and that is especially true in a no deal situation where revoke will become the force de jure

    As an ardent Remainer, I would love to revoke. However in many ways, and I agree with HY here, it is politically the most unacceptable option. A deal that looks anything like acceptable to the majority of the Consetvative Party or urban former-Labour voters looks highly unlikely. No deal is fast becoming the only game in town. Stock up, liquidate to cash, it could be a bumpy ride.
    To Sterling cash, really?
    What do the wise investment heads of pb think are the best options for maintaining value/hedging against disaster during the next few months?
    My money has been put the overseas funds, or in defensive and British equities earning Forex.

    But surely most have hedged this way already? I think domestic stocks may well have been oversold, but likely to go cheaper after Brexit, at which point there could be some bargains.

    This strategy worked well after the 2016 vote.
    What evidence do you have that "farmers voted Brexit"?
  • SouthamObserverSouthamObserver Posts: 39,653

    Scott_P said:
    To tory no dealers I know you will disagree with Hammond, and perhaps think little of him, but does him being "terrified" and he doesnt seem one for unnecessary strong language, especially blue on blue, not make you think perhaps it is okay to slow down and think this through a bit more before jumping off the cliff?
    Not for a second. This was the debate that was held before the referendum and since then Nothing Has Changed. Leaving the Single Market and Leaving the Customs Union was officially what the Treasury and others said would happen if we voted to Leave the EU. Since he represents the Treasury, what has changed since then from the Treasuries pre-referendum comments?

    If that's his opinion it just shows he was the completely wrong person to take charge of the Exchequer after the referendum result and no wonder we're in this mess. Sooner he's on the backbenches or gone completely the better.

    For those of us at the back who are slow on the uptake, can you explain how making it harder and more expensive to trade with our biggest export market helps the UK?

  • TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 42,992

    @HYUFD represents a substantial strand of Conservative party thinking. I disagree with it strongly, but piling on him doesn't show the site in a good light.

    I don't "pile on him". I like and respect his views. I only ever respond to him in that fashion when he starts to tell other people what they think or are or where their political home should be. So I do exactly the same thing to him.
  • Sean_FSean_F Posts: 37,381
    About one third of the population are both right wing and pro-Brexit, so I'd say that HYUFD is representative of a lot of voters.

    Right wing and anti-Brexit is the unusual position.
  • TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 42,992

    TOPPING said:

    Roger said:

    ydoethur said:

    If we leave aside the 2015 revelation that Corbyn was a friend and supporter of Paul Eisen, this has now been a constant running sore for over a year.

    At what point would a sensible person have got a grip?
    If we lived somewhere where Boris's favourite love Island contestant wasn't front page news it would be possible for Corbyn and co to start asking sensible questions whether it is desirable for Israel to describe itslf as a Jewish State' and to question Mark Regev- ex Israeli propaganda chief current Israeli Ambassador to London-'s part in the continuous stories-real and false-about Corbyn's so called 'anti semitism'.
    Would you call England a Christian State?
    Considering the Church of England is the State religion and in the legislature, sadly yes.

    I would also call Iran and Saudi Arabia Islamic states. I wonder whether Corbyn finds it racist for Iran to refer to itself as an Islamic state?
    Indeed and I wonder whether our very own Roger thinks the British state is racist.
  • felixfelix Posts: 15,164

    Quite pleased about my decision to sell my London flat last year:

    https://twitter.com/ONS/status/1151412204543074304

    That has to be good news. Housing costs in the capital are long overdue some deflation.
  • felixfelix Posts: 15,164

    OllyT said:

    @HYUFD represents a substantial strand of Conservative party thinking. I disagree with it strongly, but piling on him doesn't show the site in a good light.

    The Jezziah represents a substantial strand of Labour thinking bout I don't see anyone criticising the criticism he gets, which is considerably worse than anything HYUFD gets.
    Well quite. And the systematic banning of SNP PBers a few years ago hardly showed the site in a good light either.
    Oh I don't know - it was a blessed relief and long overdue a re-run.
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 51,720
    Sean_F said:

    About one third of the population are both right wing and pro-Brexit, so I'd say that HYUFD is representative of a lot of voters.

    Right wing and anti-Brexit is the unusual position.

    But like left-wing and pro-Brexit in 2016, it's the position that will make the crucial difference.
  • Nigel_ForemainNigel_Foremain Posts: 14,313

    nico67 said:

    Quite astonishing .

    The government admitting there will have to be a large scale slaughter of sheep in a no deal but hey no problem they will be compensated.

    As with other sectors , the Sunny Uplands has been replaced by tax payers stumping up money to compensate them .

    And this is all self inflicted. It confirms the lunacy that’s overtaken the country .

    And why do they get compensated? Farmers voted for Brexit, they should own it warts and all, not get state subsidies, typical tory socialists.
    Sorry I meant to respond to this comment. Here is some evidence on the farming community view of Brexit: https://www.nfuonline.com/news/brexit-news/eu-referendum-news/nfu-survey-of-members-on-eu-referendum/

    Looks like 52% of them have brains, much like 48% of the rest of the population
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 48,733

    Foxy said:

    eek said:

    The remarkable fact in all this is that the Lib Dems, SNP and Greens have been true to their principles and are rapidly gaining popularity. They are also strong revoke parties and the pendulum is swinging strongly their way

    It is evidenced in the huge gains the Lib Dems are making in local elections and predictions coming out of Scotland of a complete wipe out for the conservatives and labour

    Unless Boris can achieve a deal it is highly likely the momentum to revoke will overwhelm brexit, and that is especially true in a no deal situation where revoke will become the force de jure

    As an ardent Remainer, I would love to revoke. However in many ways, and I agree with HY here, it is politically the most unacceptable option. A deal that looks anything like acceptable to the majority of the Consetvative Party or urban former-Labour voters looks highly unlikely. No deal is fast becoming the only game in town. Stock up, liquidate to cash, it could be a bumpy ride.
    To Sterling cash, really?
    What do the wise investment heads of pb think are the best options for maintaining value/hedging against disaster during the next few months?
    My money has been put the overseas funds, or in defensive and British equities earning Forex.

    But surely most have hedged this way already? I think domestic stocks may well have been oversold, but likely to go cheaper after Brexit, at which point there could be some bargains.

    This strategy worked well after the 2016 vote.
    What evidence do you have that "farmers voted Brexit"?
    I don't think that I have said that, as I recall it was a fairly 50/50 split for farmers.

    I have no problem with them being compensated for transitional economic shocks, the nature of farming is annual planning.
  • StuartDicksonStuartDickson Posts: 12,146
    felix said:

    OllyT said:

    @HYUFD represents a substantial strand of Conservative party thinking. I disagree with it strongly, but piling on him doesn't show the site in a good light.

    The Jezziah represents a substantial strand of Labour thinking bout I don't see anyone criticising the criticism he gets, which is considerably worse than anything HYUFD gets.
    Well quite. And the systematic banning of SNP PBers a few years ago hardly showed the site in a good light either.
    Oh I don't know - it was a blessed relief and long overdue a re-run.
    Proroguing parliament, silencing opponents; you’ll be burning books and demolishing the Tate Modern next.
  • SouthamObserverSouthamObserver Posts: 39,653
    felix said:

    Quite pleased about my decision to sell my London flat last year:

    https://twitter.com/ONS/status/1151412204543074304

    That has to be good news. Housing costs in the capital are long overdue some deflation.

    They need to come down massively for it to make any real difference. And that means a very big public housing programme. More likely, though, is that events in Hong Kong will lead to prices ticking up once more.

  • felixfelix Posts: 15,164

    felix said:

    OllyT said:

    @HYUFD represents a substantial strand of Conservative party thinking. I disagree with it strongly, but piling on him doesn't show the site in a good light.

    The Jezziah represents a substantial strand of Labour thinking bout I don't see anyone criticising the criticism he gets, which is considerably worse than anything HYUFD gets.
    Well quite. And the systematic banning of SNP PBers a few years ago hardly showed the site in a good light either.
    Oh I don't know - it was a blessed relief and long overdue a re-run.
    Proroguing parliament, silencing opponents; you’ll be burning books and demolishing the Tate Modern next.
    As a remain voting moderate Conservative I think you've muddled me with someone else. As for banning people if you have concerns feel free to take it up with OGH. Nowt to do with me.
  • nico67nico67 Posts: 4,502
    The Lords are debating the NI Bill today .

    Lord Hailsham has tabled an amendment which makes suspending parliament more difficult .

    The real interest comes tomorrow when the Bill comes back to the Commons ,further amendments can be made to this .

    So it’s possible we’ll see some ping pong , given the total ditching of the backstop by Bozo and Hunt the maths might be a little different as some Tories might now vote for a more substantial amendment .
  • felixfelix Posts: 15,164

    felix said:

    Quite pleased about my decision to sell my London flat last year:

    https://twitter.com/ONS/status/1151412204543074304

    That has to be good news. Housing costs in the capital are long overdue some deflation.

    They need to come down massively for it to make any real difference. And that means a very big public housing programme. More likely, though, is that events in Hong Kong will lead to prices ticking up once more.

    London is at times too resilient but surely a No Deal Brexit storm will keep things damped down for a while.
  • RogerRoger Posts: 19,914
    TOPPING said:

    Roger said:

    ydoethur said:

    If we leave aside the 2015 revelation that Corbyn was a friend and supporter of Paul Eisen, this has now been a constant running sore for over a year.

    At what point would a sensible person have got a grip?
    If we lived somewhere where Boris's favourite love Island contestant wasn't front page news it would be possible for Corbyn and co to start asking sensible questions whether it is desirable for Israel to describe itslf as a Jewish State' and to question Mark Regev- ex Israeli propaganda chief current Israeli Ambassador to London-'s part in the continuous stories-real and false-about Corbyn's so called 'anti semitism'.
    Would you call England a Christian State?
    No! Would you?
  • StuartDicksonStuartDickson Posts: 12,146
    felix said:

    felix said:

    OllyT said:

    @HYUFD represents a substantial strand of Conservative party thinking. I disagree with it strongly, but piling on him doesn't show the site in a good light.

    The Jezziah represents a substantial strand of Labour thinking bout I don't see anyone criticising the criticism he gets, which is considerably worse than anything HYUFD gets.
    Well quite. And the systematic banning of SNP PBers a few years ago hardly showed the site in a good light either.
    Oh I don't know - it was a blessed relief and long overdue a re-run.
    Proroguing parliament, silencing opponents; you’ll be burning books and demolishing the Tate Modern next.
    As a remain voting moderate Conservative I think you've muddled me with someone else. As for banning people if you have concerns feel free to take it up with OGH. Nowt to do with me.
    Well, in fairness, it is a little bit to do with you, as you just advocated that OGH return to old practices.
  • Nigel_ForemainNigel_Foremain Posts: 14,313
    Sean_F said:

    About one third of the population are both right wing and pro-Brexit, so I'd say that HYUFD is representative of a lot of voters.

    Right wing and anti-Brexit is the unusual position.

    Depends on the degree of right-wingery. Most moderates tend to be pro-business and anti-self harm. Brexit zealots tend to be made up of a very small number of bright people who have justified the pain because they have convinced themselves it is the right thing to do, and a very large number of swivel-eyed idiots who are xenophobes and spent too much of their childhood reading war comics, and then a small number of people like Boris Johnson who are not natural right wingers, but are so manipulative that they pretend to be pro-Brexit to gain the support of the afore mentioned groups
  • DecrepitJohnLDecrepitJohnL Posts: 13,300
    ydoethur said:


    Recognising the mural, which purported to show real bankers, at least two of them not Jewish, as based on Nazi propaganda, surely depends on a knowledge of Nazi propaganda. It seems entirely plausible that Corbyn did not see the connection.

    He's a senior politician, not a Love Island contestant. The defence that he lacked even the most basic knowledge of Nazi propaganda tropes is incredible.
    You do know we had a Brexit Secretary who did not know about Dover, and a Northern Ireland Secretary who did not know the distinction between Loyalists and Nationalists?

    And while anyone under 40 may have taken the "Tudors and Nazis" history syllabus, older people will not have done.

    So yes, it is entirely plausible Corbyn did not recognise it as such.
    Even Lutfur Rahman, hardly an apologist for Israel, said instantly that that mural was antisemitic. That's why he had it removed.

    The rest of your post is whataboutery again. Raab is thick and Brady is pig ignorant, therefore it doesn't matter that Corbyn is so dim he can't recognise racism?
    I'm not saying it does not matter; I am saying it is unsurprising, both in the context of ministers not knowing what most of us would regard as "common knowledge" (or even common sense) but also in the context that you might recognise as a history teacher. These days, Nazi propaganda is taught in schools; in Corbyn's day (and in my day) it was not.
  • david_herdsondavid_herdson Posts: 17,744

    On topic, I agree with Mike that 29% is just about value on Corbyn going, given that there are several routes to this happening.

    One he doesn't mention (I assume it has been downthread but haven't had time to read), is the high possibility of a GE and the consequent risk of Lab losing and Corbyn resigning.

    Add in the chances of him either being pushed out, throwing the towel in, or going on health grounds and I think there's a little value there (though not much).

    Corbyn will not resign if Labour lose the next election. He will stay until there is a far left alternative to him that can be confident of winning a leadership election.

    Until recently, I'd assumed that too but his standing has surely been hit within the Party by his Brexit stance and would be tarnished still further if Labour lost again. I get that for the likes of McClusky and Milne, controlling the Party machine matters more than winning an election but wouldn't by that point it be safer for the far left to dump their failure on Corbyn personally and risk an election with a candidate of their choice, than face another challenge from the centre which they might lose against Corbyn?

    And I do think he's beginning to look old. Is he really up for another 5+ years?
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 51,720

    felix said:

    OllyT said:

    @HYUFD represents a substantial strand of Conservative party thinking. I disagree with it strongly, but piling on him doesn't show the site in a good light.

    The Jezziah represents a substantial strand of Labour thinking bout I don't see anyone criticising the criticism he gets, which is considerably worse than anything HYUFD gets.
    Well quite. And the systematic banning of SNP PBers a few years ago hardly showed the site in a good light either.
    Oh I don't know - it was a blessed relief and long overdue a re-run.
    Proroguing parliament, silencing opponents; you’ll be burning books and demolishing the Tate Modern next.
    "The demolition of the Tate Modern" would be a shoo-in for the Turner Prize.
  • TheuniondivvieTheuniondivvie Posts: 42,005

    felix said:

    felix said:

    OllyT said:

    @HYUFD represents a substantial strand of Conservative party thinking. I disagree with it strongly, but piling on him doesn't show the site in a good light.

    The Jezziah represents a substantial strand of Labour thinking bout I don't see anyone criticising the criticism he gets, which is considerably worse than anything HYUFD gets.
    Well quite. And the systematic banning of SNP PBers a few years ago hardly showed the site in a good light either.
    Oh I don't know - it was a blessed relief and long overdue a re-run.
    Proroguing parliament, silencing opponents; you’ll be burning books and demolishing the Tate Modern next.
    As a remain voting moderate Conservative I think you've muddled me with someone else. As for banning people if you have concerns feel free to take it up with OGH. Nowt to do with me.
    Well, in fairness, it is a little bit to do with you, as you just advocated that OGH return to old practices.
    'I'm in favour of something but it'll be nothing to do with me if it happens.'

    A fine example of the type of courageous principle so prevalent in today's politics.
  • TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 42,992
    Roger said:

    TOPPING said:

    Roger said:

    ydoethur said:

    If we leave aside the 2015 revelation that Corbyn was a friend and supporter of Paul Eisen, this has now been a constant running sore for over a year.

    At what point would a sensible person have got a grip?
    If we lived somewhere where Boris's favourite love Island contestant wasn't front page news it would be possible for Corbyn and co to start asking sensible questions whether it is desirable for Israel to describe itslf as a Jewish State' and to question Mark Regev- ex Israeli propaganda chief current Israeli Ambassador to London-'s part in the continuous stories-real and false-about Corbyn's so called 'anti semitism'.
    Would you call England a Christian State?
    No! Would you?
    Yes of course I would you big banana because that's what it is. The Church of England (there is a hint in there) is the STATE church and only a protestant can become king or queen.

    What would you call it?
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 62,772

    On topic, I agree with Mike that 29% is just about value on Corbyn going, given that there are several routes to this happening.

    One he doesn't mention (I assume it has been downthread but haven't had time to read), is the high possibility of a GE and the consequent risk of Lab losing and Corbyn resigning.

    Add in the chances of him either being pushed out, throwing the towel in, or going on health grounds and I think there's a little value there (though not much).

    Corbyn will not resign if Labour lose the next election. He will stay until there is a far left alternative to him that can be confident of winning a leadership election.

    Until recently, I'd assumed that too but his standing has surely been hit within the Party by his Brexit stance and would be tarnished still further if Labour lost again. I get that for the likes of McClusky and Milne, controlling the Party machine matters more than winning an election but wouldn't by that point it be safer for the far left to dump their failure on Corbyn personally and risk an election with a candidate of their choice, than face another challenge from the centre which they might lose against Corbyn?

    And I do think he's beginning to look old. Is he really up for another 5+ years?
    No.
  • CyclefreeCyclefree Posts: 25,318

    philiph said:

    Good morning, everyone.

    Quite the move. I wonder if the far left will react in kind, or simply embark upon a purge of soon-to-be non-persons.

    It is hard to see HOL surviving a Corbyn administration.
    Reaction will, I assume, be a load of Tory Blairites
    It's sufficiently broad-based not to be seen as that. But I think it and even more the letter from the 200 miscellaneous members a few days ago make the mistake of turning the issue into a leadership challenge. The mainstream position of members IMO is (1) There's a problem and the party has been too slow to tackle it, in particular the ridiculously slow disciplinary procedures (2) Attacking people with serious health issues is wrong (whether the staff member who considered suicide or Jennie Formby with cancer) (3) Actually encountering any anti-semitism is extremely rare at local meetings (I never have, in nearly 50 years), and not every complaint is reasonable, so due process is needed (4) The issue is being exaggerated by the media and people whose real agenda is getting a leadership change.

    There is a majority who want a clear break with practice to restore confidence in the disciplinary procedures, and also a majority who don't want a leadership change. Peers or others who want the former are making a mistake in trying to turn it into the latter.
    That would all make perfect sense save that it ignores the key question. Why is it that this problem has arisen and become worse and persistent since Corbyn became leader? If the leader is part of the problem then it is going to be mighty hard to resolve the problem without a change of leadership or a change of mind in the leadership. And there is little sign of the latter.
  • Nigel_ForemainNigel_Foremain Posts: 14,313

    felix said:

    OllyT said:

    @HYUFD represents a substantial strand of Conservative party thinking. I disagree with it strongly, but piling on him doesn't show the site in a good light.

    The Jezziah represents a substantial strand of Labour thinking bout I don't see anyone criticising the criticism he gets, which is considerably worse than anything HYUFD gets.
    Well quite. And the systematic banning of SNP PBers a few years ago hardly showed the site in a good light either.
    Oh I don't know - it was a blessed relief and long overdue a re-run.
    Proroguing parliament, silencing opponents; you’ll be burning books and demolishing the Tate Modern next.
    "The demolition of the Tate Modern" would be a shoo-in for the Turner Prize.
    Haha, very good. It could be the latest work by Tracy Emin
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 71,426

    ydoethur said:


    Recognising the mural, which purported to show real bankers, at least two of them not Jewish, as based on Nazi propaganda, surely depends on a knowledge of Nazi propaganda. It seems entirely plausible that Corbyn did not see the connection.

    He's a senior politician, not a Love Island contestant. The defence that he lacked even the most basic knowledge of Nazi propaganda tropes is incredible.
    You do know we had a Brexit Secretary who did not know about Dover, and a Northern Ireland Secretary who did not know the distinction between Loyalists and Nationalists?

    And while anyone under 40 may have taken the "Tudors and Nazis" history syllabus, older people will not have done.

    So yes, it is entirely plausible Corbyn did not recognise it as such.
    Even Lutfur Rahman, hardly an apologist for Israel, said instantly that that mural was antisemitic. That's why he had it removed.

    The rest of your post is whataboutery again. Raab is thick and Brady is pig ignorant, therefore it doesn't matter that Corbyn is so dim he can't recognise racism?
    I'm not saying it does not matter; I am saying it is unsurprising, both in the context of ministers not knowing what most of us would regard as "common knowledge" (or even common sense) but also in the context that you might recognise as a history teacher. These days, Nazi propaganda is taught in schools; in Corbyn's day (and in my day) it was not.
    OK, clarification accepted.

    Can I just make one point? We do not TEACH Nazi propaganda, we teach ABOUT it.
  • TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 42,992

    felix said:

    OllyT said:

    @HYUFD represents a substantial strand of Conservative party thinking. I disagree with it strongly, but piling on him doesn't show the site in a good light.

    The Jezziah represents a substantial strand of Labour thinking bout I don't see anyone criticising the criticism he gets, which is considerably worse than anything HYUFD gets.
    Well quite. And the systematic banning of SNP PBers a few years ago hardly showed the site in a good light either.
    Oh I don't know - it was a blessed relief and long overdue a re-run.
    Proroguing parliament, silencing opponents; you’ll be burning books and demolishing the Tate Modern next.
    "The demolition of the Tate Modern" would be a shoo-in for the Turner Prize.
    Couldn't come soon enough, frankly. Preferably done at the same time as the Serpentine, ideally during the summer party there.
  • Nigel_ForemainNigel_Foremain Posts: 14,313

    ydoethur said:


    Recognising the mural, which purported to show real bankers, at least two of them not Jewish, as based on Nazi propaganda, surely depends on a knowledge of Nazi propaganda. It seems entirely plausible that Corbyn did not see the connection.

    He's a senior politician, not a Love Island contestant. The defence that he lacked even the most basic knowledge of Nazi propaganda tropes is incredible.
    You do know we had a Brexit Secretary who did not know about Dover, and a Northern Ireland Secretary who did not know the distinction between Loyalists and Nationalists?

    And while anyone under 40 may have taken the "Tudors and Nazis" history syllabus, older people will not have done.

    So yes, it is entirely plausible Corbyn did not recognise it as such.
    Even Lutfur Rahman, hardly an apologist for Israel, said instantly that that mural was antisemitic. That's why he had it removed.

    The rest of your post is whataboutery again. Raab is thick and Brady is pig ignorant, therefore it doesn't matter that Corbyn is so dim he can't recognise racism?
    I'm not saying it does not matter; I am saying it is unsurprising, both in the context of ministers not knowing what most of us would regard as "common knowledge" (or even common sense) but also in the context that you might recognise as a history teacher. These days, Nazi propaganda is taught in schools; in Corbyn's day (and in my day) it was not.
    I think it is very simple. he is thick as pig shit, but not so thick to realise it was anti-Semitic.
  • TheuniondivvieTheuniondivvie Posts: 42,005
    TOPPING said:

    Roger said:

    TOPPING said:

    Roger said:

    ydoethur said:

    If we leave aside the 2015 revelation that Corbyn was a friend and supporter of Paul Eisen, this has now been a constant running sore for over a year.

    At what point would a sensible person have got a grip?
    If we lived somewhere where Boris's favourite love Island contestant wasn't front page news it would be possible for Corbyn and co to start asking sensible questions whether it is desirable for Israel to describe itslf as a Jewish State' and to question Mark Regev- ex Israeli propaganda chief current Israeli Ambassador to London-'s part in the continuous stories-real and false-about Corbyn's so called 'anti semitism'.
    Would you call England a Christian State?
    No! Would you?
    Yes of course I would you big banana because that's what it is. The Church of England (there is a hint in there) is the STATE church and only a protestant can become king or queen.

    What would you call it?
    I see you've skipped from the idea of the English state to the British state and back again.
    I love these quaint old English..er..British traditions.
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 62,772
    Mogg at the Treasury, in some capacity, is going to be a hoot.
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 51,720

    TOPPING said:

    Roger said:

    TOPPING said:

    Roger said:

    ydoethur said:

    If we leave aside the 2015 revelation that Corbyn was a friend and supporter of Paul Eisen, this has now been a constant running sore for over a year.

    At what point would a sensible person have got a grip?
    If we lived somewhere where Boris's favourite love Island contestant wasn't front page news it would be possible for Corbyn and co to start asking sensible questions whether it is desirable for Israel to describe itslf as a Jewish State' and to question Mark Regev- ex Israeli propaganda chief current Israeli Ambassador to London-'s part in the continuous stories-real and false-about Corbyn's so called 'anti semitism'.
    Would you call England a Christian State?
    No! Would you?
    Yes of course I would you big banana because that's what it is. The Church of England (there is a hint in there) is the STATE church and only a protestant can become king or queen.

    What would you call it?
    I see you've skipped from the idea of the English state to the British state and back again.
    I love these quaint old English..er..British traditions.
    As BoJo put it:

    Take Scotland away from England and you are losing a critical part of our political nomenclature. There was no British government before the union with Scotland; there was no British electorate; there were no British interests. There was England and Wales, and there was Scotland. Take away Scotland, and we destroy Britain.

    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/uknews/scotland/11080893/Scottish-independence-Decapitate-Britain-and-we-kill-off-the-greatest-political-union-ever.html
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 71,426

    TOPPING said:

    Roger said:

    TOPPING said:

    Roger said:

    ydoethur said:

    If we leave aside the 2015 revelation that Corbyn was a friend and supporter of Paul Eisen, this has now been a constant running sore for over a year.

    At what point would a sensible person have got a grip?
    If we lived somewhere where Boris's favourite love Island contestant wasn't front page news it would be possible for Corbyn and co to start asking sensible questions whether it is desirable for Israel to describe itslf as a Jewish State' and to question Mark Regev- ex Israeli propaganda chief current Israeli Ambassador to London-'s part in the continuous stories-real and false-about Corbyn's so called 'anti semitism'.
    Would you call England a Christian State?
    No! Would you?
    Yes of course I would you big banana because that's what it is. The Church of England (there is a hint in there) is the STATE church and only a protestant can become king or queen.

    What would you call it?
    I see you've skipped from the idea of the English state to the British state and back again.
    I love these quaint old English..er..British traditions.
    Scotland has an established church as well.
  • TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 42,992

    TOPPING said:

    Roger said:

    TOPPING said:

    Roger said:

    ydoethur said:

    If we leave aside the 2015 revelation that Corbyn was a friend and supporter of Paul Eisen, this has now been a constant running sore for over a year.

    At what point would a sensible person have got a grip?
    If we lived somewhere where Boris's favourite love Island contestant wasn't front page news it would be possible for Corbyn and co to start asking sensible questions whether it is desirable for Israel to describe itslf as a Jewish State' and to question Mark Regev- ex Israeli propaganda chief current Israeli Ambassador to London-'s part in the continuous stories-real and false-about Corbyn's so called 'anti semitism'.
    Would you call England a Christian State?
    No! Would you?
    Yes of course I would you big banana because that's what it is. The Church of England (there is a hint in there) is the STATE church and only a protestant can become king or queen.

    What would you call it?
    I see you've skipped from the idea of the English state to the British state and back again.
    I love these quaint old English..er..British traditions.
    As the man from wiki puts it:

    While the United Kingdom as a whole has no official religion, the Church of England remains the state church of its largest constituent country, England. The Monarch of the United Kingdom is the Supreme Governor of the Church, and accordingly, only a Protestant may inherit the British throne.
  • SouthamObserverSouthamObserver Posts: 39,653

    On topic, I agree with Mike that 29% is just about value on Corbyn going, given that there are several routes to this happening.

    One he doesn't mention (I assume it has been downthread but haven't had time to read), is the high possibility of a GE and the consequent risk of Lab losing and Corbyn resigning.

    Add in the chances of him either being pushed out, throwing the towel in, or going on health grounds and I think there's a little value there (though not much).

    Corbyn will not resign if Labour lose the next election. He will stay until there is a far left alternative to him that can be confident of winning a leadership election.

    Until recently, I'd assumed that too but his standing has surely been hit within the Party by his Brexit stance and would be tarnished still further if Labour lost again. I get that for the likes of McClusky and Milne, controlling the Party machine matters more than winning an election but wouldn't by that point it be safer for the far left to dump their failure on Corbyn personally and risk an election with a candidate of their choice, than face another challenge from the centre which they might lose against Corbyn?

    And I do think he's beginning to look old. Is he really up for another 5+ years?

    There are significant splits at the top, though. Corbyn is what is keeping it all together. That will remain the case. Nick Palmer is an entirely representative Labour member - he will stand with Corbyn until the very end no matter what, but his vote in the next leadership election cannot be taken for granted. Until it can be, there will be no leadership election. The far left has waited so long to gain control of Labour that it will do nothing to risk losing it. That's why Corbyn will carry on regardless, whatever the costs to his health, and why there will never be independent oversight of anti-Semitism complaints (or any other kind).

  • nico67nico67 Posts: 4,502
    So if no deal is nothing to worry about why the need for compensation .

    Just more Leave hypocrisy .
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 62,772
    If true, then perhaps finally left Lab learning the lessons that Brown taught them about bomb proofing policy.

    https://twitter.com/jessicaelgot/status/1151422401864974336

  • TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 42,992
    ydoethur said:

    ydoethur said:


    Recognising the mural, which purported to show real bankers, at least two of them not Jewish, as based on Nazi propaganda, surely depends on a knowledge of Nazi propaganda. It seems entirely plausible that Corbyn did not see the connection.

    He's a senior politician, not a Love Island contestant. The defence that he lacked even the most basic knowledge of Nazi propaganda tropes is incredible.
    You do know we had a Brexit Secretary who did not know about Dover, and a Northern Ireland Secretary who did not know the distinction between Loyalists and Nationalists?

    And while anyone under 40 may have taken the "Tudors and Nazis" history syllabus, older people will not have done.

    So yes, it is entirely plausible Corbyn did not recognise it as such.
    Even Lutfur Rahman, hardly an apologist for Israel, said instantly that that mural was antisemitic. That's why he had it removed.

    The rest of your post is whataboutery again. Raab is thick and Brady is pig ignorant, therefore it doesn't matter that Corbyn is so dim he can't recognise racism?
    I'm not saying it does not matter; I am saying it is unsurprising, both in the context of ministers not knowing what most of us would regard as "common knowledge" (or even common sense) but also in the context that you might recognise as a history teacher. These days, Nazi propaganda is taught in schools; in Corbyn's day (and in my day) it was not.
    OK, clarification accepted.

    Can I just make one point? We do not TEACH Nazi propaganda, we teach ABOUT it.
    Just like when we say that @Cyclefree is a market abuse expert, what we actually mean is...
  • TheuniondivvieTheuniondivvie Posts: 42,005
    ydoethur said:

    TOPPING said:

    Roger said:

    TOPPING said:

    Roger said:

    ydoethur said:

    If we leave aside the 2015 revelation that Corbyn was a friend and supporter of Paul Eisen, this has now been a constant running sore for over a year.

    At what point would a sensible person have got a grip?
    If we lived somewhere where Boris's favourite love Island contestant wasn't front page news it would be possible for Corbyn and co to start asking sensible questions whether it is desirable for Israel to describe itslf as a Jewish State' and to question Mark Regev- ex Israeli propaganda chief current Israeli Ambassador to London-'s part in the continuous stories-real and false-about Corbyn's so called 'anti semitism'.
    Would you call England a Christian State?
    No! Would you?
    Yes of course I would you big banana because that's what it is. The Church of England (there is a hint in there) is the STATE church and only a protestant can become king or queen.

    What would you call it?
    I see you've skipped from the idea of the English state to the British state and back again.
    I love these quaint old English..er..British traditions.
    Scotland has an established church as well.
    But one with zero legislative or constitutional oversight.
  • NickPalmerNickPalmer Posts: 21,534
    Labour List is a good bellwether for Labour opinion not tied to any faction, and their self-selecting poll (albeit technically voodoo, i.e. not a balanced panel) are a good sign of the way the wind is blowing. Current one is here:

    https://labourlist.org/2019/07/labourlist-readers-back-full-selections-for-mps-in-latest-survey/
  • DecrepitJohnLDecrepitJohnL Posts: 13,300
    edited July 2019
    Cyclefree said:

    philiph said:

    Good morning, everyone.

    Quite the move. I wonder if the far left will react in kind, or simply embark upon a purge of soon-to-be non-persons.

    It is hard to see HOL surviving a Corbyn administration.
    Reaction will, I assume, be a load of Tory Blairites
    It's sufficiently broad-based not to be seen as that. But I think it and even more the letter from the 200 miscellaneous members a few days ago make the mistake of turning the issue into a leadership challenge. The mainstream position of members IMO is (1) There's a problem and the party has been too slow to tackle it, in particular the ridiculously slow disciplinary procedures (2) Attacking people with serious health issues is wrong (whether the staff member who considered suicide or Jennie Formby with cancer) (3) Actually encountering any anti-semitism is extremely rare at local meetings (I never have, in nearly 50 years), and not every complaint is reasonable, so due process is needed (4) The issue is being exaggerated by the media and people whose real agenda is getting a leadership change.

    There is a majority who want a clear break with practice to restore confidence in the disciplinary procedures, and also a majority who don't want a leadership change. Peers or others who want the former are making a mistake in trying to turn it into the latter.
    That would all make perfect sense save that it ignores the key question. Why is it that this problem has arisen and become worse and persistent since Corbyn became leader? If the leader is part of the problem then it is going to be mighty hard to resolve the problem without a change of leadership or a change of mind in the leadership. And there is little sign of the latter.
    There are three strands and Corbyn is a coincidence for two of them.
    1) An inexplicable fascination with Middle East geopolitics (and a failure to note Israel is the safe place to live if you are gay or a trades unionist or even if you just want to hold a banner saying the Prime Minister's a corrupt fool; and lately even if you are the "wrong sort" of muslim.)
    2) Militant and assorted tankies that Kinnock slung out rejoining, and aiui that is Ed Miliband's fault. This is where a lot of the abuse of (say) Luciana Berger came from. Their motivation is not antisemitic but anti anyone to the right of Joe Stalin.
    3) Public school communists like Seamus Milne running Corbyn like a puppet show.
  • CyclefreeCyclefree Posts: 25,318
    edited July 2019

    ydoethur said:

    Roger said:

    ydoethur said:



    The real issue with Corbyn and Labour more generally is not what their enemies are saying about them, it's what they're actually saying and doing.

    Are those the strongest claims of anti semitism against corbyn?

    There is nothing anti semitic about calling Hezbollah friends. I know many very sane Lebanese Christians who would say exactly the same. They have done more for the poor in Lebanon than any other organisation over the last twenty five years. Their crime is that they defended their country from an Israel invasion relatively successfully. As for laying wreaths,,,for God's sake Thathcher had Pinochet home for tea. People dead or alive are multi faceted. If you haven't been you should visit Lebanon. An intelligent population which might give you a mre rounded view of Middle Eastern politics
    So you do concede he is antisemitic? Well, it's a start.

    And calling any organisation that denies the Holocaust a friend, or worse, giving money to it, is also clearly antisemitic.

    As was that mural, which was based on Nazi propaganda, and your feeble attempt to ignore it has not gone unnoticed.

    Corbyn may not think he is a racist but his excuses for behaviour which in all any non-Labour politician he would rightly roundly condemn border on the asinine.

    And as for the whataboutery with regard to Pinochet - are you really saying he's OK because he's done some things that are comparable to Thatcher? That strikes me as a dangerous argument...
    Recognising the mural, which purported to show real bankers, at least two of them not Jewish, as based on Nazi propaganda, surely depends on a knowledge of Nazi propaganda. It seems entirely plausible that Corbyn did not see the connection.
    That's a really poor excuse. The following puts it well:
    https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2018/mar/28/antisemitism-open-your-eyes-jeremy-corbyn-labour

    If Corbyn didn't recognise the tropes within the mural and think "danger, danger!", then frankly he's utterly clueless.

    Worse, he's so clueless that he's in no position to comment on anti-Semitism by anyone - including himself.
    Nor does it fit with his oft-repeated claim that he has been a lifelong campaigner against racism. Despite asking several times I've never seen the evidence for it but someone who has fought racism all their life should be able to spot a pretty obvious anti-Semitic trope.

    Frankly, the wish on the part of some on here to disregard and diminish the very deeply held concerns of the Jewish community about what is happening in the main opposition party demeans them.
  • DecrepitJohnLDecrepitJohnL Posts: 13,300

    Labour List is a good bellwether for Labour opinion not tied to any faction, and their self-selecting poll (albeit technically voodoo, i.e. not a balanced panel) are a good sign of the way the wind is blowing. Current one is here:

    https://labourlist.org/2019/07/labourlist-readers-back-full-selections-for-mps-in-latest-survey/

    Great way to prevent Labour exploiting Tory splits at the election!
  • Sean_FSean_F Posts: 37,381

    felix said:

    OllyT said:

    @HYUFD represents a substantial strand of Conservative party thinking. I disagree with it strongly, but piling on him doesn't show the site in a good light.

    The Jezziah represents a substantial strand of Labour thinking bout I don't see anyone criticising the criticism he gets, which is considerably worse than anything HYUFD gets.
    Well quite. And the systematic banning of SNP PBers a few years ago hardly showed the site in a good light either.
    Oh I don't know - it was a blessed relief and long overdue a re-run.
    Proroguing parliament, silencing opponents; you’ll be burning books and demolishing the Tate Modern next.
    "The demolition of the Tate Modern" would be a shoo-in for the Turner Prize.
    Haha, very good. It could be the latest work by Tracy Emin
    Almost as great a day for British art as the day that Charles Saatchi's warehouse went up in flames.
  • felixfelix Posts: 15,164

    felix said:

    felix said:

    OllyT said:

    @HYUFD represents a substantial strand of Conservative party thinking. I disagree with it strongly, but piling on him doesn't show the site in a good light.

    The Jezziah represents a substantial strand of Labour thinking bout I don't see anyone criticising the criticism he gets, which is considerably worse than anything HYUFD gets.
    Well quite. And the systematic banning of SNP PBers a few years ago hardly showed the site in a good light either.
    Oh I don't know - it was a blessed relief and long overdue a re-run.
    Proroguing parliament, silencing opponents; you’ll be burning books and demolishing the Tate Modern next.
    As a remain voting moderate Conservative I think you've muddled me with someone else. As for banning people if you have concerns feel free to take it up with OGH. Nowt to do with me.
    Well, in fairness, it is a little bit to do with you, as you just advocated that OGH return to old practices.
    I suspect OGH has very good reasons for his banning decisions when they happen. In that sense you are right but I have no role in making them.
  • eekeek Posts: 28,406
    In other news whatever odds Newcastle are to be relegated are overly generous.

    https://twitter.com/GeneralBoles/status/1151442857070346241
This discussion has been closed.