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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » 64 LAB peers pay for Guardian ad to tell Corbyn that he fails
politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » 64 LAB peers pay for Guardian ad to tell Corbyn that he fails the test of leadership
The wording of the ad above is powerful and will get a lot of attention but the question is how will it impact on the future of the Labour leader who won the job convincingly in the 2015 leadership election and retained it a year later.
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When Mike says she is his favourite, I’m not sure he means he’s a fan of hers....
I think that is all.
As to my views I was simply reporting the fact that she is the betting favourite.
Is she viewed as a malleable Corbynite whom Seumas can continue to control?
I can't remember what level of MP support is needed to get onto the membership ballot.
Quite the move. I wonder if the far left will react in kind, or simply embark upon a purge of soon-to-be non-persons.
Reaction will, I assume, be a load of Tory Blairites
Enjoy Tatton today.
The problem is that the hardliners in the membership heard all this “Corbyn will be a disaster for Labour in a GE” before. And as it turns out, his GE performance wasn’t a disaster. So it’s very easy to explain away all this complaining as more of the same.
Of course, he didn’t win the GE. And I strongly doubt he’d win a GE held tomorrow. But he needs another loss before people will seriously consider getting rid of him IMHO.
There are people on the Labour front bench who would probably do better than her (Starmer, Rayner, Thornberry, for example), but RLB is from the Corbyn gang which gives her a huge head start with the membership.
The key question is whether she'd keep Milne and Corbyn's other Trot and Tankie mates in place. If so, the benefit to Labour would be limited. But even if she did, she at least doesn't have a personal history of, to put it kindly, borderline antisemitic remarks.
Does she have any independent views or is she a creature of the 4Ms?
Boris Johnson has been accused of repeatedly ignoring expert advice on the viability of his so-called vanity projects as London mayor, leaving taxpayers with a bill of nearly £1bn and rising.
Some of those who worked closely with Johnson as mayor, including fellow Conservatives, told the Guardian that he defied senior officials over a string of profligate projects and resisted being held to account for their ballooning costs.
https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2019/jul/16/boris-johnson-accused-of-costing-taxpayers-1bn-on-london-mayor-projects
“He could be incredibly profligate for the country. He’s great on rhetoric but lousy on delivery.” (says fellow Tory)
After all, they kept telling us to lay favourite Boris.....
Garden Bridge (that never happened) = £52 million
New Routemaster bus = £321 million
Cable Car to nowhere = £24 million
Useless water cannon = £0.3 million
Bike Scheme subsidy = £225 million (supposed to make a profit, as does Paris)
Island Airport study = £5 million
Olympic Stadium conversion = £305 million
Stratford Helter-skelter = £6 million
However I'm not well plugged into Momentum so could be missing something.
FOR THE MANY NOT THE JEW
I must confess the one Labour MP I really don't get is Keir Starmer. He looks and sounds like a Blairite and is clearly at odds with the Trots. Why does he stay?
That said, Corbyn is not going anywhere for a very long time. I'd expect him to stay on even when Labour loses the next election.
If you don't do such studies, you're more likely to build the wrong thing, or not build what you need.
I'm amazed the bike scheme cost so much, though.
What does that lingo mean?
Which brings us to the most important question of the Tory leadership election, who will win Love Island?
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=io1NxnU08CU
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WNc--_jIkQc
OT. Last night at Nice airport I was in a passport queue which took well over an hour. There was ONE person checking the passports of 150 people.
I have no idea whether it was deliberate but it felt like it. He checked every passport thoroughly. When I loudly suggested this was to be our bright new future with Boris there were a lot of murmers of agreement.
https://twitter.com/CraigCaplan/status/1151221245628821504?s=19
I'm pretty sure he stays because he thinks he can drag the party into a sensible Brexit position and possibly save the country from economic hardship in the process. So far he's doing pretty well, given that Labour started out with most MPs wanting to triangulate an electorally popular position rather than oppose hard Brexit on principle.
It's scarily plausible though...
How else without his comments are we to know how we and the 60 Labour peers have got it wrong?
Routemaster cost - looks like the cost of 1000 routemaster buses, we still have those so the fairer number would be the difference between 1000 routemasters or 1000 other buses which might be closer to £100m, and routemaster presumably has environmental benefits over those.
Bike Subsidy - that includes infrastructure cost of an expanding scheme (so ongoing benefits to come), the subsidy is similar to other tfl modes of transport as a proportion of cost per journey and obviously environmentally friendly.
Cable Car = £6m of the £24m came from EU! Not sure if that is a cost to London or not....also makes a small annual profit (few hundred thousand) so the remaining cost gradually coming down.
The garden bridge and stadium are the big mistakes presumably for opposite reasons, Boris being interested in the garden bridge so wasting money on it, and Boris having no interest in the minutiae of negotiating contracts for the Olympic stadium once the Olympics themselves were over.
American guest ' He said it to fire up his base'
Humphry's 'But couldn't he have just been saying it because his own supporters would approve of what he was saying?'
Since they took half his dosh off him he's definitely got worse
https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2017/aug/18/bridge-940m-bill-boris-johnsons-mayora-vanity-projects-garden-bridge-routemaster-bus
You are probably right that a couple of the figures are gross when they should be net, but it doesn't really alter a sorry picture.
There is a more subjective account of Boris's early days in office here:
https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2019/jul/16/total-chaos-boris-johnson-london-mayor
https://www.theatlantic.com/politics/archive/2019/07/pelosi-squad-and-fight-over-trump-house-floor/594169/
Among the authorities that govern House procedure in this regard is Thomas Jefferson’s Manual of Parliamentary Practice, published in 1801 and used by the House since the 1830s. It forbids language “which is personally offensive to the president”
Of course such a rule is rendered otiose by a president who regards anything other than slavish devotion as personally offensive.
One might also remark that a slaveowner who raped his female property is perhaps not the ideal authority to reference in this matter.
Night all.
A bit like the pleasure I had against BMW drivers in the SAAB at the traffic lights Grand Prix when I was young and foolish 🙂
http://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/d141701c-a7e1-11e9-b520-3fe5f5a3c989
What a guy, that’s the spirit of cricket right there.
Although I do agree with him he doesn't have a racist bone in his body. Allowing for the large lump of bone in his arse that masquerades as his brain, he has 207 of them.
https://twitter.com/magnitsky/status/1151384543192133632?s=21
https://twitter.com/magnitsky/status/1151384545813520384?s=21
However if Labour keeps Corbyn as leader and then follows him with a Corbynite like Laura Pidcock or Rebecca Long-Bailey or John McDonnell
or even Chris Williamson then serious questions must now be asked as to whether the LDs, whether with Swinson, Davey or Umunna now have more credible candidates for centre left voters to be PM to take on Boris and Farage than Labour do.
If so and Boris does deliver Brexit to remove the threat from the Brexit Party could it actually be Labour not the Tories under existential threat with a reversion to the 19th century battles between the Tories and Liberals as the 2 main parties rather than the Tories and Labour who dominated the 20th century and the first two decades of the 21st?
There is a majority who want a clear break with practice to restore confidence in the disciplinary procedures, and also a majority who don't want a leadership change. Peers or others who want the former are making a mistake in trying to turn it into the latter.
At what point would a sensible person have got a grip?
However for that to occur Boris has to achieve something and it's not clear how he will do it.
And there are several people in another organisation which shall be nameless who believe they are not racist when they clearly are (THAT mural was all the evidence needed).
But even if Trump were shrewd and sensible (he isn't) he doesn't get to say what is and isn't racism.
And I say again, since his tweets obviously only applied to selected first and second generation immigrants, those with non-white skins, he was clearly being racist.
However Brexit or No Brexit the LDs could soon replace Corbyn Labour as the main party of the centre left just leaving Labour with hard-core socialists and some inner city ethnic minorities
LD Rob Hopkins 1920 [55.3%; +18.9%]
Con 838 [24.1%; -11.9%]
Lab 560 [16.1%; -3.3%]
PC 152 [4.4% +4.4%]
Lib Dem Hold.
Percentage changes from 2017.
I have always thought that Jezza would need to get rid asap in order to enact some of his stuff. Either that or pack the place out with 100s of momentum activists. But after that advert his kitchen cabinet of aides will want vengeance.
I mean take out Brexit and he spoke a lot of good sense about a lot of domestic policies.
Not going to top up on him because I am in for a decent three figure win if he defies the odds (literally) but am happy I backed the right candidate.
Oh and as for Brexit, sadly he has tacked towards the membership as he continues to harden the rhetoric but, as with Lab/Con, all one has to do is look at the alternative.