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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » If the CON race continues to be about character them it might
politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » If the CON race continues to be about character them it might be a lot closer than anybody thought
When at the launch of the Boris campaign a fortnight ago the Sky journalist, Beth Rigby, sought to raise the question of character she got loudly booed by many of those attending. It was the same yesterday at the the first hustings in Birmingham when Iain Dale sought to raise the issue that’s been dominating the news with Johnson. This didn’t come over well on TV.
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If the Mirror story is right that Boris is trying to get back with Marina, then that makes his domestic life more complicated and perhaps more likely Boris might need to pull out, but there does not seem to be much in the other papers to support it.
And Boris's natural instinct, his style, is evasive. Look at almost any old interview and most questions, however innocuous, are deflected with bluster and anecdote.
Friends of Mr Johnson, who claim he is pining for his ex-wife, fear that could be behind his row with lover Carrie. The 55-year-old PM hopeful is said to be finding his split from Marina Wheeler extremely painful.
Pals even claim he was agonising over whether she could attempt a reconciliation, despite her starting divorce proceedings last year over his cheating. But they also said Marina, his wife of 25 years and mum of four of his children, is still furious with him and would never take him back. One said: “This is a classic example of Boris wanting to have his cake and eat it.”
It comes as an expert warned Mr Johnson’s “erratic” personal life could leave him open to the threat of blackmail, making him a security risk in No10.
https://www.mirror.co.uk/news/politics/boris-johnson-wants-wife-back-16939178
With "pals" like these, who needs enemies?
https://twitter.com/MattCartoonist/status/1141036409194721281
Anyway we're talking about Tory party members here and I can assure you that they really couldn't give a damn what political opponents say or do.
A few of their MPs who voted for Boris might start having second thoughts though.
From the first flush of love to rows with his girlfriend after browsing two-for-one wine offers in his local Tesco Express: JANE FRYER asks if crumpled, unstatesmanlike Boris is feeling the strain during his bid to be PM
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-7173013/JANE-FRYER-asks-crumpled-unstatesmanlike-Boris-feeling-strain-bid-PM.html
I thought yesterday that Boris looked deeply unhappy. In fact, I wondered if he might be about to throw in the towel. The spotlight is (rightly) on him like never before, and he doesn't like it. If he continues like this he may be heading for a breakdown, like his mother.
It seems to me that he needs help. Escaping into high office at a time like this isn't going to be healing for him, or the country.
The contest should be between Jeremy Hunt and Michael Gove.
If Mrs May makes the motion amendable, it enables a number of potentisl candidates for PM to test the confidence of the House with their own manifesto.
This would be the first time that party members have chosen a PM. it would be good for democracy that a precedent is set that this choice is automatically tested by a vote of confidence by the House.
Still very unlikely Hunt will win.
#HasToBeHunt
On the debates Boris did the BBC debate last month and will do more TV debates head to head with Hunt next month as well as all the husting they are both taking part in across the country
How soon until MPs can send their letters to the 1922 to get rid of him?
Had it just been MPs who made the final decision as it was until 2001 then most of Gove's backers would have gone to Hunt and Hunt might have won.
https://twitter.com/solamiga/status/1142913019661471744?s=21
I shall be interested to see how her vote goes.
Boris led Hunt 61% to 39% in a Comres Tory councillors poll at the weekend
I reckon the ERG will call a confidence vote in him in late October.
'Knell!
"I hope she makes him comb his hair before they do it." Fucking LOL.
Incidentally, browsing 2 for 1 offers in a Tesco express does seem a little thirsty. Perhaps the Camberwell flat is normally a dry zone.
A General Election would consume half that time even in the unlikely event of a Conservative victory.
Boris will also ask to remove the backstop or make it temporary, the EU will refuse so he will let NI decide in a referendum which the EU won't refuse
There may be a short extension for a confirmatory referendum in NI on the backstop only
But other than that he's a good bet.
This isn't just any unicorn, it is a unicorn that pays golden eggs!
They are supported by the DUP who are implacably opposed to anything that treats NI differently to the mainland. If you think that a referendum will make MPs fall in line behind the winning position, then I suggest you recap the last few years of British politics.
https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/jeremy-hunt-i-would-be-pm-most-feared-by-nicola-sturgeon-qvq9nskc6
That’s true, but it’s nothing to do with his tedious, standard repetition of rejecting Scottish popular sovereignty. It’s much simpler than that: Hunt doesn’t come across as a complete weirdo.
Scots won’t warm to Hunt, but they won’t immediately detest the man from Day 1.
a bit too exciting according to the neighbours
It's insane that the dichotomy that's developed is between departure not worth doing (customs union) and leaving with no deal at all, when those are practically the two most extreme varieties of leaving and there's a huge spectrum in between.
Combination of May's ill thought out rhetoric, and negotiation, and the unwillingness of MPs to bite the bullet and back something. *sighs*
However if they don't and Varadkar and the EU want to enforce a hard border so be it
Johnson has no managerial skills, no diplomatic skills and is lazier than David Davis. "Oh but he has charisma, and believes in Brexit" says HYUFD with blind loyalty. The latter is highly unlikely and the former is largely irrelevant if he has none of the other skills. If you want Brexit to die a death, vote Boris. Hmm, maybe I should just abstain!
Sensible Boris tactic that said - dissemble and bluster until it's all over. Definite shades of TMay's 2017 campaign. We shall see if it's successful this time round.