You won't be laughing if that ends up producing PM Farage, as it likely would based on today's YouGov.
Which parties do you anticipate entering into a coalition with Farage?
On today's YouGov the Brexit Party plus the rump Tories plus the DUP would have an overall majority in the Commons combined.
Er.....you don't think that the Tories and the Brexit party might be appealing to the same/similar voters, thus splitting their vote and letting goodness knows who in?
Once the Brexit Party come first in the polls, as they do with YouGov today, then FPTP really starts to help them.
Have the Brexit Party got candidates in place in all constituencies? Thoroughly vetted? The organisation on the ground to GOTV? There's a long way from 'a YouGov poll' to 'forming a government' - and you assume the Tories that survive the massacre would be amenable to propping up a Farage government. Or the DUP with Farage's Britain England First! message.
if Boris does not get it this time and the Tories do not deliver Brexit by the end of the year
By the end of the year? October 31 surely? Cast Iron, watertight, guaranteed. Or so Mr Mercer says (or something to that effect...).
The polling says 'Boris' is less important to the Tories than 'Brexit'.
If the latter isn't delivered, who is leader is of little relevance.
On that I agree, if Brexit is not delivered by October 31st as Yougov showed today the Brexit Party win most seats whether Boris or Hunt is leader with the LDs second.
Only minor difference is Yougov says the Tories would be 3rd with Boris tied with Labour but 4th with Hunt on just 17 seats (In the latter scenario May in Maidenhead and Surrey South West would be amongst the few survivors of the meltdown and the Brexit Party would win a majority of 38 with 344 seats).
Someone on ConHome is arguing that Hunt is the better choice for Brexit as he will lose more completely to the BXP, allowing Farage to get it done, whereas Johnson might hang on to enough support to split the vote. Stick that in your polls.....
Christ that tweet is pretty much the definition of wishful thinking. Boris looks about as set with the Tories as Trump is with the GOP base right now. The Gove chatter is about as likely as Nikki Hayley suddenly getting the GOP nomination.
Yes - the Swiss haven't said no, but they also haven't agreed. Here's the EU position - essentially they feel the Swiss are stalling until their October elections:
I'm calling bullshit on this domestic. Don't believe a word of it.
There may well have been an argument, but if some 'neighbours' deliberately called the police to ham it up more than it was to attack Johnson then that's a story.
Surely some mistake, I thought Scotland was a basket case dependent on London largesse ................... Hammond warns leader candidates that Scotland leaving the union "would deprive Britain's next leader of the money needed to end austerity". https://uk.mobile.reuters.com/article/amp/idUKKCN1TK324?__twitter_impression=true
Comments
The (after initial denial) Police confirmation?
I'm sure the police did attend - they have to - but that doesn't prove anything happened.
Boris looks about as set with the Tories as Trump is with the GOP base right now. The Gove chatter is about as likely as Nikki Hayley suddenly getting the GOP nomination.
https://files.newsnetz.ch/upload//2/3/238167.pdf
Hammond warns leader candidates that Scotland leaving the union "would deprive Britain's next leader of the money needed to end austerity".
https://uk.mobile.reuters.com/article/amp/idUKKCN1TK324?__twitter_impression=true