Howdy, Stranger!

It looks like you're new here. Sign in or register to get started.

Options

politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The final poll puts BRX on 35% with the LDs in second place 5%

135

Comments

  • Options
    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 75,929
    > @JosiasJessop said:
    > Off-topic:
    >
    > In other news, Tesla's share price is currently trading at 186 dollars, about half its peak from last year, about the time he (ahem) wanted to buy back the shares at $420 a share ...

    I think it will succeed long term, but is also overvalued now.
  • Options
    ralphmalphralphmalph Posts: 2,201
    > @El_Capitano said:
    > Just popped round to the polling station for a chat with one of the tellers, and it's looking like a very good turnout in our (strongly Remain-inclined) town.

    Should the additional question be asked as well "Is it old or young people turning out?"
  • Options
    kjhkjh Posts: 10,646
    Probably already been mentioned but I see you are on the Executive of Waverley Council Nick.

    Congratulations.
  • Options
    ah009ah009 Posts: 436
    > @williamglenn said:
    > "The winds of destruction"
    >
    > https://twitter.com/andrew_lilico/status/1131471340014325761

    Arson -> Convection -> Wind
  • Options
    isamisam Posts: 40,931
  • Options
    CiceroCicero Posts: 2,230
    > @DoubleD said:
    > > @Richard_Tyndall said:
    > > > @RobD said:
    > > > > @Nigel_Foremain said:
    > > > > > @HYUFD said:
    > > > > > https://twitter.com/KTHopkins/status/1131415869605777409?s=20
    > > > >
    > > > > Hilarious how some idiots think voting for a party that is fascist in all but name is a vote for democracy.
    > > >
    > > > Brexit party is a fascist party?
    > >
    > > Nigel gives the impression he thinks any party which isn't fanatically Europhile is by definition fascist.
    >
    > fascists were socailists/ German Socilaists. Mussolini, a Socialist.

    Why is she standing in front of the Norwegian Storting?
  • Options
    Richard_TyndallRichard_Tyndall Posts: 30,963
    > @Nigelb said:
    > > @Carolus_Rex said:
    >
    > > > @Nigelb said:
    >
    > > > > @isam said:
    >
    > > > > https://twitter.com/jarvisdupont/status/1131508759124160515
    >
    >
    >
    > > > >
    >
    > > > >
    >
    > > > >
    >
    > > > > https://twitter.com/jarvisdupont/status/1131509750938722304
    >
    >
    >
    > > >
    >
    > > > This is, presumably, satire ?
    >
    > > > Albeit of a debased kind.
    >
    > > >
    >
    > > >
    >
    > >
    >
    > > Yes it is. The bastard love child of Titania McGrath and Godfrey Elfwick, or something like that,
    >
    >
    >
    > It is extremely clever...
    >
    > In the same way Trump is a genius, and Johnson a shining wit ?

    Anything that is done well enough to take in both the left wing snowflakes it is satirising and their idiotic right wing targets deserves some congratulations.
  • Options
    El_CapitanoEl_Capitano Posts: 3,870

    > @El_Capitano said:

    > Just popped round to the polling station for a chat with one of the tellers, and it's looking like a very good turnout in our (strongly Remain-inclined) town.



    Should the additional question be asked as well "Is it old or young people turning out?"

    About what I'd expect for early afternoon - mostly older people but a fair smattering of work-at-home 30/40-somethings. But the older people here tend to be pretty progressive too.

    Just heard that the election officers have actually phoned the District Council to ask for more ballot boxes! (Who've said no, you don't need any more, just stuff the papers in a bit harder...)
  • Options
    NigelbNigelb Posts: 62,648
    > @isam said:
    > CCTV at the local Co-op could get to the bottom of this mystery
    >
    > https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-7062321/Yob-pelts-Brexit-Party-supporting-army-veteran-MILKSHAKE.html

    A considerably more credible account.
  • Options
    RobDRobD Posts: 58,969

    > @El_Capitano said:

    > Just popped round to the polling station for a chat with one of the tellers, and it's looking like a very good turnout in our (strongly Remain-inclined) town.



    Should the additional question be asked as well "Is it old or young people turning out?"

    About what I'd expect for early afternoon - mostly older people but a fair smattering of work-at-home 30/40-somethings. But the older people here tend to be pretty progressive too.

    Just heard that the election officers have actually phoned the District Council to ask for more ballot boxes! (Who've said no, you don't need any more, just stuff the papers in a bit harder...)
    They must be using tiny ballot boxes? Or too few polling places...
  • Options
    rural_voterrural_voter Posts: 2,038
    > @Recidivist said:
    > > @Pulpstar said:
    >
    > > Electoral calculus @ 24% each
    >
    > > Lab 237, Con 195, Brexit 80, Lib Dem 62
    >
    > Crumbs. That's even more deadlocked than right now.
    >
    > Hyfud had it right. The voters are trolling the politicians.
    ___________________

    A.k.a. a parliament that's been hung by the neck until it's nearly dead. However, it seems that Lab-LD-SNP would have 350 seats. (The SNP also does well on seats if larger parties fall back to <30%.)

    Hint to small parties, take negotiating lessons from Arlene Foster.

    If LDs and SNP are able to force the introduction of PR, it would put the two main parties out of their misery and they could split into smaller, more logical units.

    P.S. I've tried to edit this to remove the blank lines.
  • Options
    nico67nico67 Posts: 4,502
    edited May 2019
    > @Morris_Dancer said:
    > Good afternoon, everyone.
    >
    > If that's the case, Lib Dems 5pts ahead of Lab, does that suggest a yellow London?

    It could actually be close between the Lib Dems and the Brexit Party .

    I shudder at the thought of the BP topping London but the split Remain vote could cause that . It might be very close between Lab , Lib Dems and the BP .

    Although some cross breaks show the Lib Dems well ahead of Labour I’m a bit dubious .

    However if Labour can’t win London they’re likely going to have a horror show UK wide .
  • Options
    ah009ah009 Posts: 436
    > @DoubleD said:
    > fascists were socailists

    I can't take anybody seriously after they've said that.
    And no, I'm neither a fascist or a socialist. I don't mind either being associated with the other for any other reason that the fact that it's the most deeply ignorant thing you can ever hear in the whole of the political spectrum.
  • Options
    GIN1138GIN1138 Posts: 20,825
    edited May 2019
  • Options
    Richard_TyndallRichard_Tyndall Posts: 30,963
    > @Pulpstar said:
    > > @justin124 said:
    > > > @IanB2 said:
    > > > > @justin124 said:
    > > > > I voted at 1.30 . There appeared to be a steady flow and I passed a couple of voters heading in the direction of the polling station as I walked away. The polling staff advised that turnout was similar to the Local Elections three weeks ago - if anything a shade higher.This is in a strong Labour polling district where the Greens usually are second.
    > > > > On my walk home, I passed another polling station from the same ward - electorally more mixed between Labour and the Tories - so I popped in to ask about turnout. I was told again that turnout was similar to 2nd May - though much lighter than for a GE or the Referendum.
    > > > > Overall makes me think turnout more likely to be circa 40% than 30%.
    > > >
    > > > I reckon 40-50%
    > >
    > > That is quite likely. What may depress turnout in some wards is the absence of a party battle taking place.Here in Norwich there were several wards which saw a keen contest between Labour and the Greens on 2nd May - and another saw a LibDem /Tory tussle. - with turnout well over 50% in some districts. The lack of political activity locally is likely to see that fall back a fair bit.
    >
    > Weird how that might affect turnout given the green vote in Norwich is competing against say the 3rd Brexit party seat which will come about as a result of say Grantham turnout.

    Without detracting from your point which is a good one, Norwich and Grantham are in separate EU electoral regions.
  • Options
    El_CapitanoEl_Capitano Posts: 3,870
    RobD said:

    > @El_Capitano said:

    > Just popped round to the polling station for a chat with one of the tellers, and it's looking like a very good turnout in our (strongly Remain-inclined) town.



    Should the additional question be asked as well "Is it old or young people turning out?"

    About what I'd expect for early afternoon - mostly older people but a fair smattering of work-at-home 30/40-somethings. But the older people here tend to be pretty progressive too.

    Just heard that the election officers have actually phoned the District Council to ask for more ballot boxes! (Who've said no, you don't need any more, just stuff the papers in a bit harder...)
    They must be using tiny ballot boxes? Or too few polling places...
    Same as usual - just one polling station for the town, ballot boxes looked to be the same size as they were at the locals.
  • Options
    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 75,929
    > @Richard_Tyndall said:
    > > @Pulpstar said:
    > > > @justin124 said:
    > > > > @IanB2 said:
    > > > > > @justin124 said:
    > > > > > I voted at 1.30 . There appeared to be a steady flow and I passed a couple of voters heading in the direction of the polling station as I walked away. The polling staff advised that turnout was similar to the Local Elections three weeks ago - if anything a shade higher.This is in a strong Labour polling district where the Greens usually are second.
    > > > > > On my walk home, I passed another polling station from the same ward - electorally more mixed between Labour and the Tories - so I popped in to ask about turnout. I was told again that turnout was similar to 2nd May - though much lighter than for a GE or the Referendum.
    > > > > > Overall makes me think turnout more likely to be circa 40% than 30%.
    > > > >
    > > > > I reckon 40-50%
    > > >
    > > > That is quite likely. What may depress turnout in some wards is the absence of a party battle taking place.Here in Norwich there were several wards which saw a keen contest between Labour and the Greens on 2nd May - and another saw a LibDem /Tory tussle. - with turnout well over 50% in some districts. The lack of political activity locally is likely to see that fall back a fair bit.
    > >
    > > Weird how that might affect turnout given the green vote in Norwich is competing against say the 3rd Brexit party seat which will come about as a result of say Grantham turnout.
    >
    > Without detracting from your point which is a good one, Norwich and Grantham are in separate EU electoral regions.

    I know I know, can't remember where the eastern/East Midlands administritive for the Euro election boundary is :(
  • Options
    kjhkjh Posts: 10,646
    I asked at our polling station in Surrey and was told polling was busy (although only myself and my daughter there at the time).

    Re the overseas postal voters not getting their ballot papers in time, I find the excuse of 'we complied with the rules' really, really aggravating. I get really bugged by people who feel meeting the rules is the requirement and not the ends that the rules are there for. It is a real 'jobs worth' attitude that is all to common.
  • Options
    RobDRobD Posts: 58,969
    Pulpstar said:

    > @Richard_Tyndall said:

    > > @Pulpstar said:

    > > > @justin124 said:

    > > > > @IanB2 said:

    > > > > > @justin124 said:

    > > > > > I voted at 1.30 . There appeared to be a steady flow and I passed a couple of voters heading in the direction of the polling station as I walked away. The polling staff advised that turnout was similar to the Local Elections three weeks ago - if anything a shade higher.This is in a strong Labour polling district where the Greens usually are second.

    > > > > > On my walk home, I passed another polling station from the same ward - electorally more mixed between Labour and the Tories - so I popped in to ask about turnout. I was told again that turnout was similar to 2nd May - though much lighter than for a GE or the Referendum.

    > > > > > Overall makes me think turnout more likely to be circa 40% than 30%.

    > > > >

    > > > > I reckon 40-50%

    > > >

    > > > That is quite likely. What may depress turnout in some wards is the absence of a party battle taking place.Here in Norwich there were several wards which saw a keen contest between Labour and the Greens on 2nd May - and another saw a LibDem /Tory tussle. - with turnout well over 50% in some districts. The lack of political activity locally is likely to see that fall back a fair bit.

    > >

    > > Weird how that might affect turnout given the green vote in Norwich is competing against say the 3rd Brexit party seat which will come about as a result of say Grantham turnout.

    >

    > Without detracting from your point which is a good one, Norwich and Grantham are in separate EU electoral regions.



    I know I know, can't remember where the eastern/East Midlands administritive for the Euro election boundary is :(

    Should you even show your face here after admitting that? :o
  • Options
    RecidivistRecidivist Posts: 4,679
    Nigelb said:

    > @isam said:

    > CCTV at the local Co-op could get to the bottom of this mystery

    >

    > https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-7062321/Yob-pelts-Brexit-Party-supporting-army-veteran-MILKSHAKE.html



    A considerably more credible account.

    Well it does fill in some of the things that bothered me. I wondered where a milkshake could be obtained at that time in the morning. And the bicycle explains how he could have got away without being clocked, and why he didn't pour it over the head which would have been much more spectacular.
  • Options
    ah009ah009 Posts: 436
    > @justin124 said:
    > > @RobD said:
    > > > @MikeL said:
    > >
    > > > Important question facing Johnson / Raab / Leadsom / any leadership contender from that side of Brexit debate:
    > >
    > > >
    > >
    > > > I'm sure they'll say they'll renegotiate with the EU but will they stick to 31 October as Exit Date come what may?
    > >
    > > >
    > >
    > > > We don't yet know leadership election timetable but it's likely that they won't become PM till late July at the earliest and possibly later. Even if it's late July as far as Parliament is concerned that only leaves a very short sitting in early Sept + the month of Oct.
    > >
    > > >
    > >
    > > > So will they cast iron promise to renegotiate and put all legislation through Parliament by 31 Oct or will they let Exit Date slip?
    > >
    > > >
    > >
    > > > This looks like a very big decision that could swing the election - because if anyone says they may let date slip then worry will be it'll be back to a repeat of the last few months. But if they cast iron promise 31 Oct then they are going to have very little time.
    > >
    > > >
    > >
    > > > Finally if they go for 31 Oct and get blocked in Parliament in late Oct then we are looking at a late Nov / early Dec GE which would be completely unprecedented in modern times.
    > >
    > >
    > >
    > > We did have November elections in 1922 and 1935. December elections were held in 1910, 1918 and 1923.
    > >
    > > ... unprecedented in modern times!
    >
    > Many people do associate 1935 with modern times!

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Modern_Times_(film)
    1936
  • Options
    rkrkrkrkrkrk Posts: 7,908
    Williamson (aka fireplace salesman/alleged security risk) backs Boris for next leader.
    My book is very disappointed he isn't going to run himself.
  • Options
    Richard_TyndallRichard_Tyndall Posts: 30,963
    > @kjh said:
    > I asked at our polling station in Surrey and was told polling was busy (although only myself and my daughter there at the time).
    >
    > Re the overseas postal voters not getting their ballot papers in time, I find the excuse of 'we complied with the rules' really, really aggravating. I get really bugged by people who feel meeting the rules is the requirement and not the ends that the rules are there for. It is a real 'jobs worth' attitude that is all to common.

    It is a bit bloody ridiculous. I got my EU polling card and my Locals polling card within a day of each other - that would be probably 4 or 5 weeks ago at least. Why on earth can't the local council prioritise sending out polling cards to those most likely to have delays in obtaining them, such as those living overseas and then send the cards out to the rest of us a week later.

    I don't care if every single one of those overseas voters was going to vote for Remain parties. They still have as much right to vote as the rest of us.
  • Options
    mattmatt Posts: 3,789

    If this poll is correct 35% of people in this country are happy to self harm ourselves. Weird. Still, it does say that the rest are not convinced by No Deal Brexit = no mandate.

    Harm other people. Pension benefits won’t be reduced.
  • Options
    OnlyLivingBoyOnlyLivingBoy Posts: 15,122
    > @matt said:
    > If this poll is correct 35% of people in this country are happy to self harm ourselves. Weird. Still, it does say that the rest are not convinced by No Deal Brexit = no mandate.
    >
    > Harm other people. Pension benefits won’t be reduced.

    I dunno, I'm sure that can be arranged.
  • Options
    FloaterFloater Posts: 14,195
    > @Richard_Tyndall said:
    > > @kjh said:
    > > I asked at our polling station in Surrey and was told polling was busy (although only myself and my daughter there at the time).
    > >
    > > Re the overseas postal voters not getting their ballot papers in time, I find the excuse of 'we complied with the rules' really, really aggravating. I get really bugged by people who feel meeting the rules is the requirement and not the ends that the rules are there for. It is a real 'jobs worth' attitude that is all to common.
    >
    > It is a bit bloody ridiculous. I got my EU polling card and my Locals polling card within a day of each other - that would be probably 4 or 5 weeks ago at least. Why on earth can't the local council prioritise sending out polling cards to those most likely to have delays in obtaining them, such as those living overseas and then send the cards out to the rest of us a week later.
    >
    > I don't care if every single one of those overseas voters was going to vote for Remain parties. They still have as much right to vote as the rest of us.

    We never even got voting cards here in Colchester
  • Options
    rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 58,260
    rkrkrk said:

    Williamson (aka fireplace salesman/alleged security risk) backs Boris for next leader.

    My book is very disappointed he isn't going to run himself.

    Hmm. Former Chief Whip backs Boris? Looks like the wind is blowing the ex-mayors way.
  • Options
    NigelbNigelb Posts: 62,648
    The writer of Deadwood has Alzheimer's.

    And the movie of the series coming out shortly -
    https://www.newyorker.com/magazine/2019/05/27/david-milchs-third-act

    Remarkable guy.
  • Options
    Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 60,988
    edited May 2019
    EDited to add more than the link: Iraq's Christians face being wiped out.

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-middle-east-48333923
  • Options
    TGOHFTGOHF Posts: 21,633
    What are the rules on posting exit polls or turnout % between now and Sunday night ?
  • Options
    RobDRobD Posts: 58,969
    TGOHF said:

    What are the rules on posting exit polls or turnout % between now and Sunday night ?

    Summary execution.
  • Options
    logical_songlogical_song Posts: 9,721
    > @nico67 said:
    > > @Morris_Dancer said:
    > > Good afternoon, everyone.
    > >
    > > If that's the case, Lib Dems 5pts ahead of Lab, does that suggest a yellow London?
    >
    > It could actually be close between the Lib Dems and the Brexit Party .
    >
    > I shudder at the thought of the BP topping London but the split Remain vote could cause that . It might be very close between Lab , Lib Dems and the BP .
    >
    > Although some cross breaks show the Lib Dems well ahead of Labour I’m a bit dubious .
    >
    > However if Labour can’t win London they’re likely going to have a horror show UK wide .

    I don't suppose that there is any chance of Corbyn being forced out no matter how badly Labour do.
  • Options
    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 75,929
    The next Tory leader will 'win' if we're out of the EU come next GE polling day.
  • Options
    williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 48,079
    Scottish Tories are always desperate to send a message to Nicola Sturgeon. Does the postal service not work up there?

    https://twitter.com/John2Win/status/1131466877694353408
  • Options
    ah009ah009 Posts: 436
    I've just been GOTVed. Labour activist wanting to encourage me out to vote. That's the first time I've ever had someone knock on my door on election day.

    Whatever the result today, at least someone is out and about asking for my vote, even if they ain't getting it. I told him I'd voted for [XXX REDACTED - NOT LABOUR - XXX]. Amusingly, he said he hoped I could "come back to the fold" next time. I then had to explain that, though I'm a floating voter, I've *never* voted Labour.

    Still, a nice chap on the doorstep, and a good opportunity to give my feedback on the reasons for me avoiding Labour currently (Brexit) and previously (Iraq). Interestingly, it's Corbyn that's made the difference in both directions: his apology over Iraq was welcome, but his Brexitiness is not.
  • Options
    Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 60,988
    Mr. Song, the Supreme Leader will not be swayed by the tormented mewling of the bourgeois capitalist Blairites!

    Alas.
  • Options
    TGOHFTGOHF Posts: 21,633
    > @Pulpstar said:
    > The next Tory leader will 'win' if we're out of the EU come next GE polling day.

    Well the first step to achieving that is ensuring there is a next leader - by prising Mrs May out of her bunker.
  • Options
    OblitusSumMeOblitusSumMe Posts: 9,143
    > @williamglenn said:
    > Scottish Tories are always desperate to send a message to Nicola Sturgeon. Does the postal service not work up there?
    >
    They're the Night's Watch, fighting a never-ending war against the SNP.
  • Options
    ah009ah009 Posts: 436
    > @williamglenn said:
    > Scottish Tories are always desperate to send a message to Nicola Sturgeon. Does the postal service not work up there?
    >
    > https://twitter.com/John2Win/status/1131466877694353408

    They unionist right wing in Scotland would do so much better if the Conservatives and Ruth's Team were to form a single party.
  • Options
    TGOHFTGOHF Posts: 21,633
    > @rottenborough said:
    > https://twitter.com/PaulBrandITV/status/1131568519521406976

    Do they have to man the barricades to prevent her being dragged out ?
  • Options
    rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 58,260
    And for our next car crash:

    EU elections in UK declared invalid after widespread problems with EU-nationals being able to vote. Could happen by sounds of things?
  • Options
    RobDRobD Posts: 58,969
    > @rottenborough said:
    > And for our next car crash:
    >
    > EU elections in UK declared invalid after widespread problems with EU-nationals being able to vote. Could happen by sounds of things?
    >

    Widespread problems? Isn't the issue that they aren't following procedure and getting registered in time? There isn't a conspiracy to deny them the vote.
  • Options
    MysticroseMysticrose Posts: 4,688
    > @RobD said:

    > Widespread problems? Isn't the issue that they aren't following procedure and getting registered in time? There isn't a conspiracy to deny them the vote.

    No that's not the problem. It's a massive cock-up and pretty outrageous tbh. Have a look at #DeniedMyVote which is No.1 trend on twitter.
  • Options
    TheWhiteRabbitTheWhiteRabbit Posts: 12,388
    > @Pulpstar said:
    > The next Tory leader will 'win' if we're out of the EU come next GE polling day.

    What odds?
  • Options
    RobDRobD Posts: 58,969
    edited May 2019
    > @Mysticrose said:
    > > @RobD said:
    >
    > > Widespread problems? Isn't the issue that they aren't following procedure and getting registered in time? There isn't a conspiracy to deny them the vote.
    >
    > No that's not the problem. It's a massive cock-up and pretty outrageous tbh. Have a look at #DeniedMyVote which is No.1 trend on twitter.

    From the Evening Standard article it looks as though most haven't completed the process to register properly.
  • Options
    MysticroseMysticrose Posts: 4,688
    > @Richard_Tyndall said:

    > I don't care if every single one of those overseas voters was going to vote for Remain parties. They still have as much right to vote as the rest of us.

    Well said that man
  • Options
    brokenwheelbrokenwheel Posts: 3,352
    edited May 2019

    > @RobD said:



    > Widespread problems? Isn't the issue that they aren't following procedure and getting registered in time? There isn't a conspiracy to deny them the vote.



    No that's not the problem. It's a massive cock-up and pretty outrageous tbh. Have a look at #DeniedMyVote which is No.1 trend on twitter.

    Let me stop you right there...

  • Options
    rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 58,260
    RobD said:

    > @rottenborough said:

    > And for our next car crash:

    >

    > EU elections in UK declared invalid after widespread problems with EU-nationals being able to vote. Could happen by sounds of things?

    >



    Widespread problems? Isn't the issue that they aren't following procedure and getting registered in time? There isn't a conspiracy to deny them the vote.

    https://twitter.com/the3million/status/1131568390383054854
  • Options
    RecidivistRecidivist Posts: 4,679
    RobD said:

    > @rottenborough said:

    > And for our next car crash:

    >

    > EU elections in UK declared invalid after widespread problems with EU-nationals being able to vote. Could happen by sounds of things?

    >



    Widespread problems? Isn't the issue that they aren't following procedure and getting registered in time? There isn't a conspiracy to deny them the vote.

    It is in the nature of conspiracies that you don't know about them.
  • Options
    bigjohnowlsbigjohnowls Posts: 21,873
    > @eek said:
    > > @RobD said:
    > > > @Nigel_Foremain said:
    > >
    > > > > @GIN1138 said:
    > >
    > > > > > @FrancisUrquhart said:
    > >
    > > > > > I see there are reports of some old bloke acting as a teller getting attacked with a milkshake now. Not even a bloody politician.
    > >
    > > > >
    > >
    > > > > https://twitter.com/piersmorgan/status/1131513167975256064
    > >
    > >
    > >
    > > >
    > >
    > > > It is disgraceful, but let us get this straight. As a member of the Brexit Party he is not advocating honouring the result of the referendum. He wants a much more extreme version of that result.
    > >
    > >
    > >
    > > Confusing . Surely you can’t have people manning polling stations who have a party logo.
    > >
    > >
    > >
    > > I think the whole things been staged to dupe the plebs . Fake news !!!
    > >
    > > Who knows. But the incident was supposed to have taken place at 8:00 am in Aldershot - I am about 40 miles away and was up then. It was a bit parky to be just wearing a shirt. So if genuine, we have to suppose that this guy was telling quite early in the morning. His assailant would have had to have either been carrying a milkshake opportunistically in the hope that a suitable rosette wearing victim was there. Or he would have had to have clocked him, found a local source of ammunition and then returned. They must then have legged it pretty sharpish as the observer with the camera didn't have the chance to get his picture.
    > >
    > > So an odd thing to have happened especially at the time it did. And as it happens, extraordinarily lucky for the Brexit Party machine to have a fresh story like this emerging right at the beginning of polling day. It is certainly being retweeted enthusiastically by their representatives.
    > >
    > > So not impossible, but an unusual set of circumstances.
    > >
    > > Or he took off his jacket after it got covered?
    >
    > I don't think that's plausible given where he got splatted. Equally he looks almost happy about it...
    >
    > So I'm going for a put up job and fake news but it's probably done it's job...

    His milkshake attracts all the boys to the polls
  • Options
    DecrepitJohnLDecrepitJohnL Posts: 13,300
    > @RobD said:
    > > @rottenborough said:
    > > And for our next car crash:
    > >
    > > EU elections in UK declared invalid after widespread problems with EU-nationals being able to vote. Could happen by sounds of things?
    > >
    >
    > Widespread problems? Isn't the issue that they aren't following procedure and getting registered in time? There isn't a conspiracy to deny them the vote.

    Certainly a massive cock-up if it is not a conspiracy.
  • Options
    TGOHFTGOHF Posts: 21,633
    People think you can just turn up and vote without being on the electoral roll ?

    Er no.
  • Options
    RobDRobD Posts: 58,969
    > @TGOHF said:
    > People think you can just turn up and vote without being on the electoral roll ?
    >
    > Er no.
    >
    >

    Next thing they'll want is to be able to vote in referendums without being citizens.
  • Options
    TGOHFTGOHF Posts: 21,633
    > @DecrepitJohnL said:
    > > @RobD said:
    > > > @rottenborough said:
    > > > And for our next car crash:
    > > >
    > > > EU elections in UK declared invalid after widespread problems with EU-nationals being able to vote. Could happen by sounds of things?
    > > >
    > >
    > > Widespread problems? Isn't the issue that they aren't following procedure and getting registered in time? There isn't a conspiracy to deny them the vote.
    >
    > Certainly a massive cock-up if it is not a conspiracy.

    Faux outrage meets lazyness meets not informing themselves of the situation.

    Entitled twerps.
  • Options
    williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 48,079
    > @TGOHF said:
    > People think you can just turn up and vote without being on the electoral roll ?
    >
    > Er no.
    >
    >

    That's not the issue. These people are on the electoral roll, but there is a separate process to make people confirm they won't vote in another EU member state, and the administration of it has been shockingly badly handled.
  • Options
    TudorRoseTudorRose Posts: 1,662
    > @TGOHF said:
    >
    > > @DecrepitJohnL said:
    > > > @RobD said:
    > > > > @rottenborough said:
    > > > > And for our next car crash:
    >
    > > > > EU elections in UK declared invalid after widespread problems with EU-nationals being able to vote. Could happen by sounds of things?

    > > > Widespread problems? Isn't the issue that they aren't following procedure and getting registered in time? There isn't a conspiracy to deny them the vote.

    > > Certainly a massive cock-up if it is not a conspiracy.
    >
    > Faux outrage meets lazyness meets not informing themselves of the situation.
    >
    > Entitled twerps.
    --------------------
    Is Dan Snow involved?
  • Options
    RobDRobD Posts: 58,969
    > @williamglenn said:
    >
    >
    > > @TGOHF said:
    > > People think you can just turn up and vote without being on the electoral roll ?
    > >
    > > Er no.
    > >
    > >
    >
    > That's not the issue. These people are on the electoral roll, but there is a separate process to make people confirm they won't vote in another EU member state, and the administration of it has been shockingly badly handled.

    The process is the same as the last set of EU elections, if I am reading this correctly.
  • Options
    AlistairAlistair Posts: 23,670
    ah009 said:

    > @williamglenn said:

    > Scottish Tories are always desperate to send a message to Nicola Sturgeon. Does the postal service not work up there?

    >

    >





    They unionist right wing in Scotland would do so much better if the Conservatives and Ruth's Team were to form a single party.
    This is an underrated post.
  • Options
    TGOHFTGOHF Posts: 21,633
    > @williamglenn said:
    > the administration of it has been shockingly badly handled.

    These rules are required to prevent people voting in 28 different countries.

    Very little sympathy - ignorance is no defence.

    Still will give the snowflake remainers something to whine about - should imagine Carol Catwoman is already crying into her cortado.
  • Options
    isamisam Posts: 40,931
    Nigelb said:

    > @isam said:

    > CCTV at the local Co-op could get to the bottom of this mystery

    >

    > https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-7062321/Yob-pelts-Brexit-Party-supporting-army-veteran-MILKSHAKE.html



    A considerably more credible account.

    I'm getting visions of you, OGH, Recidivist and a dog chasing the old man through Aldershot Town Centre, ripping off his rubber mask to reveal he was Godfrey Bloom all along!
  • Options
    bigjohnowlsbigjohnowls Posts: 21,873
    Heidi


    Quitter wants to quit the party she joined when she quit her party to stop us from quitting the thing we voted to quit, after she stood on a manifesto promising to quit.
  • Options
    FloaterFloater Posts: 14,195
    > @bigjohnowls said:
    > Heidi
    >
    >
    > Quitter wants to quit the party she joined when she quit her party to stop us from quitting the thing we voted to quit, after she stood on a manifesto promising to quit.

    Nicely done sir!
  • Options
    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 75,929
    How much journalism is just twitter repitition with a few words added these days ?

    https://twitter.com/arbie_jones/status/1131571336013406209
  • Options
    rpjsrpjs Posts: 3,787
    > @williamglenn said:
    >
    >
    > > @TGOHF said:
    > > People think you can just turn up and vote without being on the electoral roll ?
    > >
    > > Er no.
    > >
    > >
    >
    > That's not the issue. These people are on the electoral roll, but there is a separate process to make people confirm they won't vote in another EU member state, and the administration of it has been shockingly badly handled.

    Allegedly, there are multiple cases where EU citizens have submitted the relevant paper work, in time, but the local ERO has failed to process it in time. The Grauniad reports some German citizens who submitted the forms in person before the deadlines, and then when they didn't receive a poll card called the council to be told that their forms hadn't been received by the relevant people in the ERO until over a week past the deadline. I hope they will complain to their embassy and the embassy makes a formal protest to HMG about their citizens being denied their rights.

    Weirdly though, EU citizens from Ireland, Cyprus and Malta, who have the right to vote in the UK under the Ireland Act or Commonwealth citizenship, are not required to submit this paperwork. I'm surprised the other EU countries haven't complained about this discrimination against their citizens in the UK.
  • Options
    StereotomyStereotomy Posts: 4,092
    > @TGOHF said:
    > > @williamglenn said:
    > > the administration of it has been shockingly badly handled.
    >
    > These rules are required to prevent people voting in 28 different countries.
    >
    > Very little sympathy - ignorance is no defence.
    >
    > Still will give the snowflake remainers something to whine about - should imagine Carol Catwoman is already crying into her cortado.

    “I went there in person with the forms on 2 May in the rain because we didn’t trust the post would get there by the 7 May deadline. We didn’t receive a receipt, they didn’t stamp the letters, the woman said she was going to put them in a box with the other letters,” said Sellner.

    Three days ago an increasingly anxious Valero phoned and was told they were not registered “because they only received the forms on the 16th”.

    Sellner protested again to Tower Hamlets and was told the forms were only “stamped” on 16 May, two weeks after they handed them to the council and one week after the deadline for registering.

    Similar stories are being told up and down the country. The Guardian received more than 300 emails in the space of a few hours from EU citizens, including one Irish family in Liverpool who said they were denied the right to vote even though Irish citizens are treated like British citizens and can vote in all elections without any special forms.

    https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2019/may/23/eu-citizens-denied-vote-european-election-polling-booths-admin-errors


    Ah yes, ignorance
  • Options
    StereotomyStereotomy Posts: 4,092
    > @TGOHF said:
    > People think you can just turn up and vote without being on the electoral roll ?
    >
    > Er no.
    >
    >

    What was your excuse for this comment, other than ignorance?
  • Options
    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 75,929
    edited May 2019
    Not EU citizen related, but I applied for a postal vote a few years back and it never showed up. Was only for the police commissioner post though so didn't bother to chase it up.

    It'll be incompetence.
  • Options
    AlanbrookeAlanbrooke Posts: 23,758
    > @Stereotomy said:
    > > @TGOHF said:
    > > > @williamglenn said:
    > > > the administration of it has been shockingly badly handled.
    > >
    > > These rules are required to prevent people voting in 28 different countries.
    > >
    > > Very little sympathy - ignorance is no defence.
    > >
    > > Still will give the snowflake remainers something to whine about - should imagine Carol Catwoman is already crying into her cortado.
    >
    > “I went there in person with the forms on 2 May in the rain because we didn’t trust the post would get there by the 7 May deadline. We didn’t receive a receipt, they didn’t stamp the letters, the woman said she was going to put them in a box with the other letters,” said Sellner.
    >
    > Three days ago an increasingly anxious Valero phoned and was told they were not registered “because they only received the forms on the 16th”.
    >
    > Sellner protested again to Tower Hamlets and was told the forms were only “stamped” on 16 May, two weeks after they handed them to the council and one week after the deadline for registering.
    >
    > Similar stories are being told up and down the country. The Guardian received more than 300 emails in the space of a few hours from EU citizens, including one Irish family in Liverpool who said they were denied the right to vote even though Irish citizens are treated like British citizens and can vote in all elections without any special forms.
    >
    > https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2019/may/23/eu-citizens-denied-vote-european-election-polling-booths-admin-errors
    >
    >
    > Ah yes, ignorance

    see , remainer administrations, bloody useless.
  • Options
    isamisam Posts: 40,931
    Just voted and there were 21 (Twenty one) candidates to choose from!

    Between The Brexit Party and UKIP were The UK EU Party, who I almost voted for by mistake. I also nearly voted UKIP by mistake too, I reckon a lot of people will be confused by it all
  • Options
    kjhkjh Posts: 10,646
    > @TGOHF said:
    > > @williamglenn said:
    > > the administration of it has been shockingly badly handled.
    >
    > These rules are required to prevent people voting in 28 different countries.
    >
    > Very little sympathy - ignorance is no defence.
    >
    > Still will give the snowflake remainers something to whine about - should imagine Carol Catwoman is already crying into her cortado.

    Ignorance is no defence? if you have done what is requested of you, do you then go and check afterwards? That is what they did. Did you check you were allowed to vote before you did or did you assume it? I think most people carry out the procedure required and assume it is being processed properly and don't check whether it has.
  • Options
    FloaterFloater Posts: 14,195
    > @Alanbrooke said:
    > > @Stereotomy said:
    > > > @TGOHF said:
    > > > > @williamglenn said:
    > > > > the administration of it has been shockingly badly handled.
    > > >
    > > > These rules are required to prevent people voting in 28 different countries.
    > > >
    > > > Very little sympathy - ignorance is no defence.
    > > >
    > > > Still will give the snowflake remainers something to whine about - should imagine Carol Catwoman is already crying into her cortado.
    > >
    > > “I went there in person with the forms on 2 May in the rain because we didn’t trust the post would get there by the 7 May deadline. We didn’t receive a receipt, they didn’t stamp the letters, the woman said she was going to put them in a box with the other letters,” said Sellner.
    > >
    > > Three days ago an increasingly anxious Valero phoned and was told they were not registered “because they only received the forms on the 16th”.
    > >
    > > Sellner protested again to Tower Hamlets and was told the forms were only “stamped” on 16 May, two weeks after they handed them to the council and one week after the deadline for registering.
    > >
    > > Similar stories are being told up and down the country. The Guardian received more than 300 emails in the space of a few hours from EU citizens, including one Irish family in Liverpool who said they were denied the right to vote even though Irish citizens are treated like British citizens and can vote in all elections without any special forms.
    > >
    > > https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2019/may/23/eu-citizens-denied-vote-european-election-polling-booths-admin-errors
    > >
    > >
    > > Ah yes, ignorance
    >
    > see , remainer administrations, bloody useless.

    I was thinking Labour......
  • Options
    rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 54,007
    @isam said:
    Just voted and there were 21 (Twenty one) candidates to choose from!

    Between The Brexit Party and UKIP were The UK EU Party, who I almost voted for by mistake. I also nearly voted UKIP by mistake too, I reckon a lot of people will be confused by it all

    ++++++++

    I think UKIP will slightly outperform expectations on the basis that some people will still see them as Farage's lot.

    I wouldn't be surprised to see them get 5% or even a smidgen more, keeping BXP to 30-31%.
  • Options
    RobDRobD Posts: 58,969
    > @kjh said:
    > > @TGOHF said:
    > > > @williamglenn said:
    > > > the administration of it has been shockingly badly handled.
    > >
    > > These rules are required to prevent people voting in 28 different countries.
    > >
    > > Very little sympathy - ignorance is no defence.
    > >
    > > Still will give the snowflake remainers something to whine about - should imagine Carol Catwoman is already crying into her cortado.
    >
    > Ignorance is no defence? if you have done what is requested of you, do you then go and check afterwards? That is what they did. Did you check you were allowed to vote before you did or did you assume it? I think most people carry out the procedure required and assume it is being processed properly and don't check whether it has.

    Yes, if people who had followed the procedures have been denied the vote that's outrageous. The trouble is the sheer amount of chaff from people who haven't followed the procedure, similar to a number of Home Office scandals.
  • Options
    NigelbNigelb Posts: 62,648
    isam said:

    Nigelb said:

    > @isam said:

    > CCTV at the local Co-op could get to the bottom of this mystery

    >

    > https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-7062321/Yob-pelts-Brexit-Party-supporting-army-veteran-MILKSHAKE.html



    A considerably more credible account.

    I'm getting visions of you, OGH, Recidivist and a dog chasing the old man through Aldershot Town Centre, ripping off his rubber mask to reveal he was Godfrey Bloom all along!
    Lay off the hallucinogens. :smile:
  • Options
    kamskikamski Posts: 4,257
    > @RobD said:
    > > @williamglenn said:
    > >
    > >
    > > > @TGOHF said:
    > > > People think you can just turn up and vote without being on the electoral roll ?
    > > >
    > > > Er no.
    > > >
    > > >
    > >
    > > That's not the issue. These people are on the electoral roll, but there is a separate process to make people confirm they won't vote in another EU member state, and the administration of it has been shockingly badly handled.
    >
    > The process is the same as the last set of EU elections, if I am reading this correctly.

    That's correct, and I believe you only have to fill in the form once and you can then vote in future elections (at least that is what the German form that I didn't fill in was telling me - I guess it works the same way in the UK). I think the issue is that plenty of EU citizens in the UK who at previous EU elections either voted in their country of origin (or didn't vote) were understandably keen to have their vote counted this time around in the UK. It seems that lots of these people did complete the paperwork on time, but because of councils being slow to process have been denied a vote. Others weren't informed of what they needed to do in order to vote in these elections.

    I chose to vote in the UK rather than here in Germany, my postal vote only arrived a week ago so I'm not 100% sure if it got back on time. Should probably have arranged a proxy.
  • Options
    MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 50,125
    > @williamglenn said:
    >
    >
    > > @TGOHF said:
    > > People think you can just turn up and vote without being on the electoral roll ?
    > >
    > > Er no.
    > >
    > >
    >
    > That's not the issue. These people are on the electoral roll, but there is a separate process to make people confirm they won't vote in another EU member state, and the administration of it has been shockingly badly handled.

    I blame all these new LibDem councillors.

    Things worked fine before they got elected. But hey, they'll soon be able to complain to their new LibDemEP......
  • Options
    sarissasarissa Posts: 1,785

    > @eek said:

    > > @RobD said:

    > > > @Nigel_Foremain said:

    > >

    > > > > @GIN1138 said:

    > >

    > > > > > @FrancisUrquhart said:

    > >

    > > > > > I see there are reports of some old bloke acting as a teller getting attacked with a milkshake now. Not even a bloody politician.

    > >

    > > > >

    > >

    > > > >



    > >

    > >

    > >

    > > >

    > >

    > > Or he took off his jacket after it got covered?

    >

    > I don't think that's plausible given where he got splatted. Equally he looks almost happy about it...

    >

    > So I'm going for a put up job and fake news but it's probably done it's job...



    His milkshake attracts all the boys to the polls
    re the Daily Mail story
    - why was he "setting up a stall" when tellers are only allowed to wear a rosette?

    Don MacNaughton told SurreyLive he was “making a presence” for the Brexit Party
    Tellers must not:
    • be able to see or hear what is happening inside the polling station
    • impede, obstruct or intimidate voters on their way in or out of the polling station
    • demand any information relating to a voter’s elector number, name or address (i.e only a polite request)
    • ask voters to re-enter the polling station to ascertain their elector number
    • have discussions with voters that may give rise to allegations of undue infuence (e.g. voting intentions, party affliations or party campaigns)
    • display any campaign material in support of or against any particular political party or candidate other than a rosette or badge
  • Options
    ah009ah009 Posts: 436
    > @isam said:
    I also nearly voted UKIP by mistake too,

    I can confirm that would have been a mistake
  • Options
    RobDRobD Posts: 58,969
    > @sarissa said:
    > > @eek said:
    >
    > > > @RobD said:
    >
    > > > > @Nigel_Foremain said:
    >
    > > >
    >
    > > > > > @GIN1138 said:
    >
    > > >
    >
    > > > > > > @FrancisUrquhart said:
    >
    > > >
    >
    > > > > > > I see there are reports of some old bloke acting as a teller getting attacked with a milkshake now. Not even a bloody politician.
    >
    > > >
    >
    > > > > >
    >
    > > >
    >
    > > > > > https://twitter.com/piersmorgan/status/1131513167975256064
    >
    >
    >
    > > >
    >
    > > >
    >
    > > >
    >
    > > > >
    >
    > > >
    >
    > > > Or he took off his jacket after it got covered?
    >
    > >
    >
    > > I don't think that's plausible given where he got splatted. Equally he looks almost happy about it...
    >
    > >
    >
    > > So I'm going for a put up job and fake news but it's probably done it's job...
    >
    >
    >
    > His milkshake attracts all the boys to the polls
    >
    > re the Daily Mail story
    > - why was he "setting up a stall" when tellers are only allowed to wear a rosette?
    >
    > Don MacNaughton told SurreyLive he was “making a presence” for the Brexit Party
    > Tellers must not:
    > • be able to see or hear what is happening inside the polling station
    > • impede, obstruct or intimidate voters on their way in or out of the polling station
    > • demand any information relating to a voter’s elector number, name or address (i.e only a polite request)
    > • ask voters to re-enter the polling station to ascertain their elector number
    > • have discussions with voters that may give rise to allegations of undue infuence (e.g. voting intentions, party affliations or party campaigns)
    > • display any campaign material in support of or against any particular political party or candidate other than a rosette or badge

    His stall seems to be a chair. And is there any suggestion he was doing any of those?
  • Options
    RecidivistRecidivist Posts: 4,679
    isam said:

    Nigelb said:

    > @isam said:

    > CCTV at the local Co-op could get to the bottom of this mystery

    >

    > https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-7062321/Yob-pelts-Brexit-Party-supporting-army-veteran-MILKSHAKE.html



    A considerably more credible account.

    I'm getting visions of you, OGH, Recidivist and a dog chasing the old man through Aldershot Town Centre, ripping off his rubber mask to reveal he was Godfrey Bloom all along!
    That would be quite funny.
  • Options
    kinabalukinabalu Posts: 39,234
    Voted, Hampstead, asked about turnout, "very low" they said. Yet I've had reports of MASSIVE turnout in parts of Essex. Looking great for Leave. I think they will beat their previous 52% comfortably.

    Bottom line - people who really want to leave the EU really really want to leave it more than the people who really want to remain really really want to remain.

    Happy to be proved wrong on Sunday.
  • Options
    brokenwheelbrokenwheel Posts: 3,352
    Are we really at the stage where people are making a conspiracy of an old bloke telling at a polling station?
  • Options
    DoubleDDoubleD Posts: 63
    > @nico67 said:
    > > @Morris_Dancer said:
    > > Good afternoon, everyone.
    > >
    > > If that's the case, Lib Dems 5pts ahead of Lab, does that suggest a yellow London?
    >
    > It could actually be close between the Lib Dems and the Brexit Party .
    >
    > I shudder at the thought of the BP topping London but the split Remain vote could cause that . It might be very close between Lab , Lib Dems and the BP .
    >
    > Although some cross breaks show the Lib Dems well ahead of Labour I’m a bit dubious .
    >
    > However if Labour can’t win London they’re likely going to have a horror show UK wide .

    Here's Hoping
  • Options
    NigelbNigelb Posts: 62,648
    sarissa said:



    re the Daily Mail story
    - why was he "setting up a stall" when tellers are only allowed to wear a rosette?

    Don MacNaughton told SurreyLive he was “making a presence” for the Brexit Party
    Tellers must not:
    • be able to see or hear what is happening inside the polling station
    • impede, obstruct or intimidate voters on their way in or out of the polling station
    • demand any information relating to a voter’s elector number, name or address (i.e only a polite request)
    • ask voters to re-enter the polling station to ascertain their elector number
    • have discussions with voters that may give rise to allegations of undue infuence (e.g. voting intentions, party affliations or party campaigns)
    • display any campaign material in support of or against any particular political party or candidate other than a rosette or badge

    This became yawn inducing a while back.

    It sounds as though he did get milkshaken; leave the poor guy alone.
  • Options
    AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    Why do Betfair punters think 40%+ for the Brexit Party is more likely than 25-30%? Very odd IMO.

    https://www.betfair.com/exchange/plus/politics/market/1.158459621
  • Options
    isamisam Posts: 40,931

    Are we really at the stage where people are making a conspiracy of an old bloke telling at a polling station?

    If he really IS an old bloke...
  • Options
    TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 41,318
    Postcard from Yurp.

    In Italy. The folks here were laughing (sympathetically, perhaps because I was present) at the UK. We never thought of the UK as being crazy.

    All those years accumulating respect and no small amount of admiration. Undone. Will take generations to regain.
  • Options
    FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 76,285
    edited May 2019
    > @Pulpstar said:
    > How much journalism is just twitter repitition with a few words added these days ?
    >
    > https://twitter.com/arbie_jones/status/1131571336013406209

    Tim Pool tells of (at least in the US) basically they are all in the same private WhatApps / Facebook groups, follow each other on twitter and that's exactly what happens. Somebody posts, they all read it and repeat it with their own small twist on it. Very little if any secondary fact checking going on.

    Its a giant game of telephone / Chinese whispers (if we are allowed to call it that these days).

    A lot of it is driven by habit they have formed, but also that the likes of the Guardian and Mail have to put out 100s of articles a day to generate enough clicks.
  • Options
    RobDRobD Posts: 58,969
    > @brokenwheel said:
    > Are we really at the stage where people are making a conspiracy of an old bloke telling at a polling station?

    Has anyone checked whether or not he has a Russian accent?
  • Options
    AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    > @kinabalu said:
    > Voted, Hampstead, asked about turnout, "very low" they said. Yet I've had reports of MASSIVE turnout in parts of Essex. Looking great for Leave. I think they will beat their previous 52% comfortably.
    >
    > Bottom line - people who really want to leave the EU really really want to leave it more than the people who really want to remain really really want to remain.
    >
    > Happy to be proved wrong on Sunday.

    Although the LDs did very well in many parts of Essex at the local elections.
  • Options
    isamisam Posts: 40,931
    rcs1000 said:

    @isam said:

    Just voted and there were 21 (Twenty one) candidates to choose from!



    Between The Brexit Party and UKIP were The UK EU Party, who I almost voted for by mistake. I also nearly voted UKIP by mistake too, I reckon a lot of people will be confused by it all



    ++++++++



    I think UKIP will slightly outperform expectations on the basis that some people will still see them as Farage's lot.



    I wouldn't be surprised to see them get 5% or even a smidgen more, keeping BXP to 30-31%.

    Yeah easy mistake to make. Especially as they are next to each other on some ballots.

    I am intrigued to know the turnout, will that be revealed tonight do you think?
  • Options
    bigjohnowlsbigjohnowls Posts: 21,873
    > @kinabalu said:
    > Voted, Hampstead, asked about turnout, "very low" they said. Yet I've had reports of MASSIVE turnout in parts of Essex. Looking great for Leave. I think they will beat their previous 52% comfortably.
    >
    > Bottom line - people who really want to leave the EU really really want to leave it more than the people who really want to remain really really want to remain.
    >
    > Happy to be proved wrong on Sunday.

    You are spot on Lab + Con less than 25% combined looks possible
  • Options
    isamisam Posts: 40,931
    RobD said:

    > @brokenwheel said:

    > Are we really at the stage where people are making a conspiracy of an old bloke telling at a polling station?



    Has anyone checked whether or not he has a Russian accent?

    Canadian novelist/soldier... I cant help thinking it is a put up job now!!
  • Options
    FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 76,285
    edited May 2019
    > @Floater said:
    > Derek Draper leaves Labour
    >
    > https://order-order.com/2019/05/23/labourlist-founding-editor-quits-labour-35-years/

    Not sure that is a great loss to the cause. Although I do remember when LabourList was worth reading (and Left Foot Forward)...now its all about the fake news crackpot conspiracy sites instead.
  • Options
    TheuniondivvieTheuniondivvie Posts: 40,141
    edited May 2019
    > @ah009 said:
    > > @DoubleD said:
    > > fascists were socailists
    >
    > I can't take anybody seriously after they've said that.
    > And no, I'm neither a fascist or a socialist. I don't mind either being associated with the other for any other reason that the fact that it's the most deeply ignorant thing you can ever hear in the whole of the political spectrum.
    >

    Yup.
    I'm sure we all have our favourite signifiers, but for me the 3 infallible signs of dumbassery are Hitler was a socialist, climate change is fake because it's snowing unseasonably in the tiny bit of the world where I live and why do the SNP want to leave the easygoing UK for the oppressive EU: THAT'S NOT REAL INDEPENDENCE!!!!

    The self satisfied, drop-the-mike way that these are usually delivered is just the icing on the stoopid cake.
  • Options
    Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 60,988
    Mr. Topping, almost as if the political class should've tried consulting the electorate once in 40 years...

    Hodges was right about May being a terrible PM, but Parliament also being terrible.
This discussion has been closed.