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  • nico67nico67 Posts: 4,502
    Revoke will only happen if May goes for no deal and panic breaks out with the pound imploding. Panic buying and an air of utter chaos might push MPs to agree .

    The no dealers either seem to think everything will turn out okay or are so idealogically obsessed with Brexit they don’t care what happens .

    I have serious problems with no dealers as opposed to Leavers who want an orderly exit . To be blunt I utterly despise those pushing for no deal , they are a disgrace to the country and are acting against the national interest.

  • RecidivistRecidivist Posts: 4,679

    kle4 said:

    Mortimer said:

    So, Gauke is pushing the (IMHO minority) view that May will be forced to accept a customs union if somehow it goes support this week (I’m doubtful myself).

    I suspect 11 of these would resign if that happened: https://www.gov.uk/government/ministers

    Maybe but Gauke may not be wrong, sadly. There is one report in today’s papers that if May’s deal doesn’t pass, she’ll go for a soft Brexit which will satisfy absolutely no one
    It will satisfy many and possibly the majority in the HOC

    I do not agree with it but I accept the reality
    I’d rather see the manifesto on which the Tories were elected honoured.
    Sometimes manifestoes cannot be honoured, sometimes u-turns are justified and/or necessary. If they simply cannot get their manifesto committment honoured something else should take it's place. Governments roll with the punches, they don't have to collapse, even on a big issue, if they cannot get their manifesto committments through.

    Most of the outcomes now are not what many people will have wanted. Well, half the country wasn't going to get what it wanted anyway (although they might, if we remain), and neither will many others.
    I seem to recall the greatest peacetime PM we’ve ever had once saying,in a different context “U turn if you want to, the lady is not for turning”. Gender aside, I feel pretty much the same about Brexit. May should have stuck to her Lancaster House speech and the manifesto. A trade deal would have been ideal but having spurned the chance to go for a Canada type deal, then no deal works.

    If she can’t deliver on her manifesto she should resign. If another leader gets elected on a different manifesto commitment then that is democracy.
    As John Congreve put it

    "Pause Lady if you may while I recount,
    What obstacles you must surmount."

    The polls have turned against leave. There have been a million people waving EU flags on the streets of London. A petition calling for article 50 to be revoked has pulled in over 6 million votes. The Conservative Party is in turmoil with even pro-leave cabinet ministers being threatened with deselection. The whips writ barely runs in the whips office itself. Brexit has already been cancelled once, and there is no clear plan for how to get it back on course. To do so may be impossible.

    May can't deliver on her manifesto. No other potential leader can deliver the manifesto. Gandalf the fucking wizard couldn't deliver it.
  • Scott_P said:

    I’d rather see the manifesto on which the Tories were elected honoured.

    It didn't win a majority.

    Why not the DUP manifesto?
    Because the gains were made by Labour who also campaigned on a Leave platform and its the Tories who are in power albeit courtesy of the DUP who are more supportive of the Tory manifesto on Brexit than many Tories.
    The DUP have said they now want to remain or Common Market 2

    ERG and DUP now brexit polar opposites

    You could not make it up
    I haven’t seen that myself but I’ll take your word for it. Last I heard the DUP wanted a long extension before Brexit kicked in rather than the WA. Can’t blame them for that.
    Position has changed in the last few days. In truth they would prefer to remain but have not said so officially

    However, in any vonc I expect they would support the government
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,218
    AKP wins Instanbul by 0.06%.
  • FF43FF43 Posts: 17,208

    Scott_P said:

    I’d rather see the manifesto on which the Tories were elected honoured.

    It didn't win a majority.

    Why not the DUP manifesto?
    Because the gains were made by Labour who also campaigned on a Leave platform and its the Tories who are in power albeit courtesy of the DUP who are more supportive of the Tory manifesto on Brexit than many Tories.
    The DUP have said they now want to remain or Common Market 2

    ERG and DUP now brexit polar opposites

    You could not make it up
    The DUP made a mistake in supporting Leave when the status quo was their friend. They compounded that mistake by throwing their lot in with Tory Brexiteers who don't share their unionist interests.

    Credit where it's due, the DUP have been principled throughout (whether you agree with those principles or not). Unlike at least half of the Tory MPs who rejected May's Deal as vassalage, and still think it is, but voted for it for tactical reasons.
  • DougSealDougSeal Posts: 12,541

    Scott_P said:

    Because the gains were made by Labour

    You want the Tory manifesto because they lost seats to Labour...

    Do you understand how elections work?

    I want the Tory manifesto because the Tories are in Gov so your question is one for you to answer.
    Manifestos require legislative action. The people who published the manifesto do not command a majority in the legislature. As a result they cannot pass all the legislation required to fulfil the manifesto and therefore need to find alternatives. Is that so hard to understand?
  • nielhnielh Posts: 1,307
    MaxPB said:

    TOPPING said:

    MaxPB said:

    TOPPING said:

    MaxPB said:

    TOPPING said:

    IanB2 said:

    The MPs seem to want to make this unnecessarily complicated. d be it?

    'A' permanent customs union will destroy a significant proportion of our non EU trade overnight.
    Presumably during the two years of our transition we would negotiate the requisite FTAs with those non EU trade partners.

    Go Liam.
    Why would they in "a" customs union they have access to our market anyway. The only way this works is if we're in "the" customs union
    It is asymmetric if it is "a" customs union. Unless we have the accompanying FTAs. Otherwise we have to let goods in tariff free but our goods are subject to tariffs.
    Well that's the point, if we signal that we intend to be in "a" customs union permanently with the EU which non-EU country that currently trades with the EU would bother signing a trade deal with us?

    That's why this is a disaster idea and MPs are being complete fucking idiots about it.
    Maybe but, in the immortal phrase, we are where we are. It is the option that is getting the largest cross party support. We need to come up with a solution and short of CM1.0 which the voters rejected in 2016 I don't see an alternative, pragmatically.
    It's getting the most cross party support because MPs are complete idiots. The WA keeps us in all the EU trade deals for two years anyway, but unless our objective is to stay in "the" customs union we'd basically be in the worst trading position of all OECD countries.

    It's something that Labour have latched on to as a stick with which to beat the government, but I'm reality we're being led up the garden path by a bunch of know nothings. Honestly, it's stuff like this that makes me want to run for office but then I remember I loathe politiciansand in the end, the suit becomes the man.
    The reason why the customs union is popular is because it honours the referendum result, whilst avoiding a BINO and a hard border in Northern Ireland. The fact that we would be in a poor trading position amongst OECD countries is a matter of no interest to most voters. No one cares what experts think anyway, particularly bankers, as we established in 2016. Politicians understand that this is not an objective exercise in deciding what the best option is. Politicians in a democracy are not for the most part idiots, they are heavily constrained by public opinion.
  • AmpfieldAndyAmpfieldAndy Posts: 1,445

    kle4 said:

    Mortimer said:

    So, Gauke is pushing the (IMHO minority) view that May will be forced to accept a customs union if somehow it goes support this week (I’m doubtful myself).

    I suspect 11 of these would resign if that happened: https://www.gov.uk/government/ministers

    Maybe but Gauke may not be wrong, sadly. There is one report in today’s papers that if May’s deal doesn’t pass, she’ll go for a soft Brexit which will satisfy absolutely no one
    It will satisfy many and possibly the majority in the HOC

    I do not agree with it but I accept the reality
    I’d rather see the manifesto on which the Tories were elected honoured.
    Sometimes manifestoes cannot be honoured, sometimes u-turns are justified and/or necessary. If they simply cannot get their manifesto committment honoured something else should take it's place. Governments roll with the punches, they don't have to collapse, even on a big issue, if they cannot get their manifesto committments through.

    Most of the outcomes now are not what many people will have wanted. Well, half the country wasn't going to get what it wanted anyway (although they might, if we remain), and neither will many others.
    I seem to recall the greatest peacetime PM we’ve ever had once saying,in a different context “U turn if you want to, the lady is not for turning”. Gender aside, I feel pretty much the same about Brexit. May should have stuck to her Lancaster House speech and the manifesto. A trade deal would have been ideal but having spurned the chance to go for a Canada type deal, then no deal works.

    If she can’t deliver on her manifesto she should resign. If another leader gets elected on a different manifesto commitment then that is democracy.
    As John Congreve put it

    "Pause Lady if you may while I recount,
    What obstacles you must surmount."

    The polls have turned against leave. There have been a million people waving EU flags on the streets of London. A petition calling for article 50 to be revoked has pulled in over 6 million votes. The Conservative Party is in turmoil with even pro-leave cabinet ministers being threatened with deselection. The whips writ barely runs in the whips office itself. Brexit has already been cancelled once, and there is no clear plan for how to get it back on course. To do so may be impossible.

    May can't deliver on her manifesto. No other potential leader can deliver the manifesto. Gandalf the fucking wizard couldn't deliver it.
    Polls are not how Gov’s are decided and if May can’t deliver she should step down now.
  • eekeek Posts: 28,406
    Pulpstar said:

    AKP wins Instanbul by 0.06%.

    Are you sure?

    https://twitter.com/4rj1n/status/1112454535572844545
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 48,741

    kle4 said:

    kle4 said:

    Mortimer said:

    So, Gauke is pushing the (IMHO minority) view that May will be forced to accept a customs union if somehow it goes support this week (I’m doubtful myself).

    I suspect 11 of these would resign if that happened: https://www.gov.uk/government/ministers

    Maybe but Gauke may not be wrong, sadly. There is one report in today’s papers that if May’s deal doesn’t pass, she’ll go for a soft Brexit which will satisfy absolutely no one
    It will satisfy many and possibly the majority in the HOC

    I do not agree with it but I accept the reality
    I’d rather see the manifesto on which the Tories were elected honoured.
    Sometimes manifestoes cannot be honoured, sometimes u-turns are justified and/or necessary

    Most of the outcomes now are not what many people will have wanted. Well, half the country wasn't going to get what it wanted anyway (although they might, if we remain), and neither will many others.
    I seem to recall the greatest peacetime PM we’ve ever had once saying,in a different context “U turn if you want to, the lady is not for turning”. .
    Yes, and that's a pretty stupid quote, no matter how great a PM they were. You cannot always get what you promised - sometimes you don't even want to as what you promised may, completely innocently, not be as good an idea as you thought or things may have changed - and you don't resign every time you cannot get a manifesto committment through, I bet she had u-turns in her 11 years in office.

    Something this big? Sure, maybe. But Thatcher's quip about not turning is just that, a quip and nothing more. People who refuse to even contemplate changing position are recklessly inflexible, it's why Corbyn's touted 'consistency' of views over decades is so worrying.
    Rawnesley's characteristically sharp piece in the Observer today cited exactly that feature as one of the reasons why May is likely to go down as one of the worst PM's in the last hundred years.

    Interestingly he gave as the four worst to date Ramsay McDonald, Chamberlain, Eden and Cameron. Not sure of I agree with that last one, and personally I'd have Baldwin in my worst four, but am sure PBers will have plenty of opinions on the matter!
    Why Baldwin? He strikes me as OK. He brought the Tory party into the modern age, and won elections with a quadrupled electorate. He also appointed Chamberlain as CoE, a job that he did rather well at.
  • _Anazina_ said:

    Pulpstar said:

    _Anazina_ said:

    tlg86 said:

    _Anazina_ said:

    The big question is whether Utd will roll over on derby day to stop Liverpool winning the title. I think they might. A title for Liverpool is a living nightmare for Utd supporters. They can live with City winning it.

    Yes, it's not like Man Utd need the points, is it?
    Plus United fans do not want the treble equalled/superseded.
    Still think they’d trade that to avoid a Scouser title.
    Wouldn't we all :D

    People say that, and I know what you mean (we’d never hear the end of it!). But City buying the league sticks in the craw and the pseudo-Scousers on here, who have no discernible connection with Merseyside, are clearly decent folk - Eagles, KLE4
    I never quite understand why TSE, a proud Yorkshireman would want anything to do with a team from LANCASHIRE!!!!!
    They play in Lancashire, from Lancashire is not so
  • Scott_P said:

    Because the gains were made by Labour

    You want the Tory manifesto because they lost seats to Labour...

    Do you understand how elections work?

    I want the Tory manifesto because the Tories are in Gov so your question is one for you to answer.
    Yes, but a Manifesto is a sort of wish list. Once in Government, a Party has to govern on behalf of the whole country, not just the bits that voted for it.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,163

    kle4 said:

    _Anazina_ said:

    I

    Mortimer said:

    _Anazina_ said:

    _Anazina_ said:

    geoffw said:

    Fascinating article on how the EU and Ireland will manage the border if UK leaves without a deal.

    . . . It is rising concern that a ‘no deal’ might sooner or later become unavoidable that leads Eurket. . . .

    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2019/03/30/leo-varadkar-hold-talks-angela-merkel-emmanuel-macron-reality/

    No deal ain’t happening.

    If you think No Deal is the outcome when a majority of MPs, the public, and the EU oppose it, I have a bridge to sell you.
    for it if it came with a confirmatory vote, and the other half would only support it if it doesn't.
    The players in the game will find a way to avoid their most disliked outcome - No Deal.
    Revoke and extend beyond May are both more disliked than no deal.

    Anyone who has ever been to a Tory members meeting understands that.
    It isn’t about the Tory party anymore.
    That’s why Brexit is failing. It’s been treated throughout as if it were a private matter for the Conservative party instead of the future of the entire country.
    If Brexit ends up devouring the Conservative party it will be the purest moment of political karma in British history. Their arrogance in foisting this disaster on the country in pursuit of their own interests has been breathtaking.
    Precisely. Never has so much been lost by so many to benefit so few.
    A silly way of looking at it, a comforting deception even. Whatever the motivation behind it the thing being 'foisted' was requested by 17 million people, which is well more than some Tory only issue.
    Brexit has diminished the UK economically, politically and socially. You may think that is what people voted for but I beg to differ.
    That's not what I said at all. Whatever people wanted we were all warned it would do all of those things, the decision was not foistered on anyone, that's why it is a comforting deception to blame the political actors in all this for the decision. The people made the choice, having been told the very best and very worst that could happen, we cannot get away from that. I cannot blame my vote on the Tories, nor should I be allowed to. Some blame? Sure. But talk of it being foisted on people is simply untrue.
  • AmpfieldAndyAmpfieldAndy Posts: 1,445
    edited March 2019
    Sean_F said:

    Sean_F said:

    Mortimer said:

    So, Gauke is pushing the (IMHO minority) view that May will be forced to accept a customs union if somehow it goes support this week (I’m doubtful myself).

    I suspect 11 of these would resign if that happened: https://www.gov.uk/government/ministers

    Maybe but Gauke may not be wrong, sadly. There is one report in today’s papers that if May’s deal doesn’t pass, she’ll go for a soft Brexit which will satisfy absolutely no one
    It will satisfy many and possibly the majority in the HOC

    I do not agree with it but I accept the reality
    I’d rather see the manifesto on which the Tories were elected honoured.
    So would I, but the Conservatives fell just short of a majority, so they need to adjust accordingly.
    With DUP support - not really.
    The DUP do not support the government over Brexit.

    They don’t support the WA but then who can blame them. The manifesto said zilch about a backstop.
  • Richard_TyndallRichard_Tyndall Posts: 32,580
    DougSeal said:

    Scott_P said:

    I’d rather see the manifesto on which the Tories were elected honoured.

    It didn't win a majority.

    Why not the DUP manifesto?
    Because the gains were made by Labour who also campaigned on a Leave platform and its the Tories who are in power albeit courtesy of the DUP who are more supportive of the Tory manifesto on Brexit than many Tories.
    How does that work? Because Labour gained seats then that means the Tory manifesto should be honoured? They’re a minority government and minority governments don’t get to do everything in their manifesto.
    Ignoring the fact that abiding by the referendum was also one of Labour's manifesto pledges.

    Indeed the one UK wide party that supported reversing the referendum result actually managed to lose votes compared to the previous election.
  • RecidivistRecidivist Posts: 4,679

    kle4 said:

    Mortimer said:

    So, Gauke is pushing the (IMHO minority) view that May will be forced to accept a customs union if somehow it goes support this week (I’m doubtful myself).

    Iened: https://www.gov.uk/government/ministers

    Maybe but Gauke may not be wrong, sadly. There is one report in today’s papers that if May’s deal doesn’t pass, she’ll go for a soft Brexit which will satisfy absolutely no one
    It will satisfy many and possibly the majority in the HOC

    I do not agree with it but I accept the reality
    I’d rather see the manifesto on which the Tories were elected honoured.
    Sometimes manifestoes cannot be honoured, sometimes u-turns are justified and/or necessary. If they simply cannot get their manifesto committment honoured something else should take it's place. Governments roll with the punches, they don't have to collapse, even on a big issue, if they cannot get their manifesto committments through.

    Most of the outcomes now are not what many people will have wanted. Well, half the country wasn't going to get what it wanted anyway (although they might, if we remain), and neither will many others.
    I seem to recall the greatest peacetime PM we’ve ever had once saying,in a different context “U turn if you want to, the lady is not for turning”. Gender aside, I feel pretty much the same about Brexit. May should have stuck to her Lancaster House speech and the manifesto. A trade deal would have been ideal but having spurned the chance to go for a Canada type deal, then no deal works.

    If she can’t deliver on her manifesto she should resign. If another leader gets elected on a different manifesto commitment then that is democracy.
    As John Congreve put it

    "Pause Lady if you may while I recount,
    What obstacles you must surmount."

    The polls have turned against leave. There have been a million people waving EU flags on the streets of London. A petition calling for article 50 to be revoked has pulled in over 6 million votes. The Conservative Party is in turmoil with even pro-leave cabinet ministers being threatened with deselection. The whips writ barely runs in the whips office itself. Brexit has already been cancelled once, and there is no clear plan for how to get it back on course. To do so may be impossible.

    May can't deliver on her manifesto. No other potential leader can deliver the manifesto. Gandalf the fucking wizard couldn't deliver it.
    Polls are not how Gov’s are decided and if May can’t deliver she should step down now.
    And then what?
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 119,687
    edited March 2019

    _Anazina_ said:

    Pulpstar said:

    _Anazina_ said:

    tlg86 said:

    _Anazina_ said:

    The big question is whether Utd will roll over on derby day to stop Liverpool winning the title. I think they might. A title for Liverpool is a living nightmare for Utd supporters. They can live with City winning it.

    Yes, it's not like Man Utd need the points, is it?
    Plus United fans do not want the treble equalled/superseded.
    Still think they’d trade that to avoid a Scouser title.
    Wouldn't we all :D

    People say that, and I know what you mean (we’d never hear the end of it!). But City buying the league sticks in the craw and the pseudo-Scousers on here, who have no discernible connection with Merseyside, are clearly decent folk - Eagles, KLE4
    I never quite understand why TSE, a proud Yorkshireman would want anything to do with a team from LANCASHIRE!!!!!
    It is the product of being a child in the 80s.

    Football wasn't safe in general or welcoming for non whites in the 80s so I wasn't allowed to go to football matches.

    There weren't many games on telly and Liverpool were the only side that appeared a lot so they became my team. Plus my father liked them, so one of my earliest Christmas presents was a Liverpool shirt.

    Plus in my lifetime Liverpool hasn't been in Lancashire.

    Mind you neither has Manchester.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,163
    edited March 2019

    kle4 said:

    Which government ministers will be resigning if May is forced to adopt a Customs Union?

    Any who signed the no deal letter for a start. Isn't that meant to be Hunt and Javid?
    I have not seen the No Deal letter, nor the signatories. Has it been made public?
    I don't think it has (which is really odd considering we can live updates from Cabinet and Tory whatsapp groups), although if that many signed it I think it highly doubful some members of the Cabinet did not back it.
  • Which government ministers will be resigning if May is forced to adopt a Customs Union?

    Ben - I have given up caring

    Hold fast there Big_G - it can't go on for too much longer, it really can't*.

    (*He says, more in hope than expectation.)
    12th April is high noon and no deal beckons

    The mps have to take a plausable way to stop it and there are few options due to legal constraints

    Why thy do not pass the WDA is beyond me, but ERG are beyond redemption in my party and for me
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,218
    eek said:

    Pulpstar said:

    AKP wins Instanbul by 0.06%.

    Are you sure?

    https://twitter.com/4rj1n/status/1112454535572844545
    Went off this tweet, sorry

    https://twitter.com/SonOfAlashia/status/1112453480885694471
  • AmpfieldAndyAmpfieldAndy Posts: 1,445

    Scott_P said:

    Because the gains were made by Labour

    You want the Tory manifesto because they lost seats to Labour...

    Do you understand how elections work?

    I want the Tory manifesto because the Tories are in Gov so your question is one for you to answer.
    Yes, but a Manifesto is a sort of wish list. Once in Government, a Party has to govern on behalf of the whole country, not just the bits that voted for it.
    Sure - but that doesn’t mean the manifesto is abandoned. It means that Gov’s are more broadly based than a single issue - usually.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,163
    edited March 2019
    DougSeal said:

    Scott_P said:

    Because the gains were made by Labour

    You want the Tory manifesto because they lost seats to Labour...

    Do you understand how elections work?

    I want the Tory manifesto because the Tories are in Gov so your question is one for you to answer.
    Manifestos require legislative action. The people who published the manifesto do not command a majority in the legislature. As a result they cannot pass all the legislation required to fulfil the manifesto and therefore need to find alternatives. Is that so hard to understand?
    You'd think not. As much as any manifesto can be considered a mandate the Tories receive more backing for theirs than anyone else did, but simply fact is you pass what you can and don't call new elections every time you cannot. Presumably the manifesto didn't say anything about a billion more for Northern Ireland, but the money was found nonetheless.
  • Sean_FSean_F Posts: 37,387

    Sean_F said:

    Sean_F said:

    Mortimer said:

    So, Gauke is pushing the (IMHO minority) view that May will be forced to accept a customs union if somehow it goes support this week (I’m doubtful myself).

    I suspect 11 of these would resign if that happened: https://www.gov.uk/government/ministers

    Maybe but Gauke may not be wrong, sadly. There is one report in today’s papers that if May’s deal doesn’t pass, she’ll go for a soft Brexit which will satisfy absolutely no one
    It will satisfy many and possibly the majority in the HOC

    I do not agree with it but I accept the reality
    I’d rather see the manifesto on which the Tories were elected honoured.
    So would I, but the Conservatives fell just short of a majority, so they need to adjust accordingly.
    With DUP support - not really.
    The DUP do not support the government over Brexit.

    Then don’t support the WA but then who can blame them. The manifesto said zilch about a backstop.
    Well, we don't get Brexit without it. I'd rather get Brexit with the backstop, than have no Brexit.
  • MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 38,868
    nielh said:

    The reason why the customs union is popular is because it honours the referendum result, whilst avoiding a BINO and a hard border in Northern Ireland. The fact that we would be in a poor trading position amongst OECD countries is a matter of no interest to most voters. No one cares what experts think anyway, particularly bankers, as we established in 2016. Politicians understand that this is not an objective exercise in deciding what the best option is. Politicians in a democracy are not for the most part idiots, they are heavily constrained by public opinion.

    No, that's just stupid. Just pass the WA, avoid no deal and then see what the EU will accomodate on customs in a longer term situation after it has passed. Put it in the Labour manifesto for all I care. Just pass the bloody WA and get the no deal off the table.

    Labour MPs are either cynical or stupid. Maybe both. Whatever happens we need to pass the WA and the government just offered it with no strings attached and Labour still voted it down. They are more idiotic than the Tories who voted against it.
  • DougSeal said:

    Scott_P said:

    I’d rather see the manifesto on which the Tories were elected honoured.

    It didn't win a majority.

    Why not the DUP manifesto?
    Because the gains were made by Labour who also campaigned on a Leave platform and its the Tories who are in power albeit courtesy of the DUP who are more supportive of the Tory manifesto on Brexit than many Tories.
    How does that work? Because Labour gained seats then that means the Tory manifesto should be honoured? They’re a minority government and minority governments don’t get to do everything in their manifesto.
    Ignoring the fact that abiding by the referendum was also one of Labour's manifesto pledges.

    Indeed the one UK wide party that supported reversing the referendum result actually managed to lose votes compared to the previous election.
    Labour's manifesto also rejected a No Deal Brexit.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,163

    kle4 said:

    Mortimer said:

    So, Gauke is pushing the (IMHO minority) view that May will be forced to accept a customs union if somehow it goes support this week (I’m doubtful myself).

    Iened: https://www.gov.uk/government/ministers

    Maybe but Gauke may not be wrong, sadly. There is one report in today’s papers that if May’s deal doesn’t pass, she’ll go for a soft Brexit which will satisfy absolutely no one
    It will satisfy many and possibly the majority in the HOC

    I do not agree with it but I accept the reality
    I’d rather see the manifesto on which the Tories were elected honoured.
    Sometimes manifestoes cannot be honoured, sometimes u-turns are justified and/or necessary. If they simply cannot get their manifesto committment honoured something else should take it's place. Governments roll with the punches, they don't have to collapse, even on a big issue, if they cannot get their manifesto committments through.

    Most of the outcomes now are not what many people will have wanted. Well, half the country wasn't going to get what it wanted anyway (although they might, if we remain), and neither will many others.
    I seem to recall the greatest peacetime PM we’ve ever had once saying,in a different context “U turn if you want to, the lady is not for turning”. Gender aside, I feel pretty much the same about Brexit. May should have stuck to her Lancaster House speech and the manifesto. A trade deal would have been ideal but having spurned the chance to go for a Canada type deal, then no deal works.

    If she can’t deliver on her manifesto she should resign. If another leader gets elected on a different manifesto commitment then that is democracy.
    As John Congreve put it

    "Pause Lady if you may while I recount,
    What obstacles you must surmount."

    The polls have tur

    May can't deliver on her manifesto. No other potential leader can deliver the manifesto. Gandalf the fucking wizard couldn't deliver it.
    Polls are not how Gov’s are decided and if May can’t deliver she should step down now.
    And then what?
    Magically the manifesto will be delivered, because she alone is the obstacle to that.
  • nico67 said:

    Revoke will only happen if May goes for no deal and panic breaks out with the pound imploding. Panic buying and an air of utter chaos might push MPs to agree .

    The no dealers either seem to think everything will turn out okay or are so idealogically obsessed with Brexit they don’t care what happens .

    I have serious problems with no dealers as opposed to Leavers who want an orderly exit . To be blunt I utterly despise those pushing for no deal , they are a disgrace to the country and are acting against the national interest.

    I agree but revoke itself requires the HOC consent for the EU elections and frankly, I do not see the political space
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 51,725

    DougSeal said:

    Scott_P said:

    I’d rather see the manifesto on which the Tories were elected honoured.

    It didn't win a majority.

    Why not the DUP manifesto?
    Because the gains were made by Labour who also campaigned on a Leave platform and its the Tories who are in power albeit courtesy of the DUP who are more supportive of the Tory manifesto on Brexit than many Tories.
    How does that work? Because Labour gained seats then that means the Tory manifesto should be honoured? They’re a minority government and minority governments don’t get to do everything in their manifesto.
    Ignoring the fact that abiding by the referendum was also one of Labour's manifesto pledges.

    Indeed the one UK wide party that supported reversing the referendum result actually managed to lose votes compared to the previous election.
    The manifesto said what a Labour government would do, not what a Labour opposition would do.
  • eekeek Posts: 28,406
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,163

    Scott_P said:

    Because the gains were made by Labour

    You want the Tory manifesto because they lost seats to Labour...

    Do you understand how elections work?

    I want the Tory manifesto because the Tories are in Gov so your question is one for you to answer.
    Yes, but a Manifesto is a sort of wish list. Once in Government, a Party has to govern on behalf of the whole country, not just the bits that voted for it.
    There's good reasons why manifesto's are not legally binding, because no one wants something pulled together at often short notice by a small group to lock them into positions forevermore. It just means there is a political cost to not doing it. Sometimes the cost is worth paying, sometimes it has to be paid. When you don't win a majority you even have a good excuse for having to pay that price.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,163

    Which government ministers will be resigning if May is forced to adopt a Customs Union?

    Ben - I have given up caring

    Hold fast there Big_G - it can't go on for too much longer, it really can't*.

    (*He says, more in hope than expectation.)
    12th April is high noon and no deal beckons

    The mps have to take a plausable way to stop it and there are few options due to legal constraints

    Why thy do not pass the WDA is beyond me, but ERG are beyond redemption in my party and for me
    Well maybe a few more Labour MPs will back a WA they have no real objection to and....sorry, couldn't finish that one with a straight face.
  • Foxy said:

    kle4 said:

    kle4 said:

    Mortimer said:

    So, Gauke is pushing the (IMHO minority) view that May will be forced to accept a customs union if somehow it goes support this week (I’m doubtful myself).

    I suspect 11 of these would resign if that happened: https://www.gov.uk/government/ministers

    Maybe but Gauke may not be wrong, sadly. There is one report in today’s papers that if May’s deal doesn’t pass, she’ll go for a soft Brexit which will satisfy absolutely no one
    It will satisfy many and possibly the majority in the HOC

    I do not agree with it but I accept the reality
    I’d rather see the manifesto on which the Tories were elected honoured.
    Sometimes manifestoes cannot be honoured, sometimes u-turns are justified and/or necessary

    Most of the outcomes now are not what many people will have wanted. Well, half the country wasn't going to get what it wanted anyway (although they might, if we remain), and neither will many others.
    I seem to recall the greatest peacetime PM we’ve ever had once saying,in a different context “U turn if you want to, the lady is not for turning”. .
    Yes, and that's a pretty stupid quote, no matter how great a PM they were. You cannot always geuse to even contemplate changing position are recklessly inflexible, it's why Corbyn's touted 'consistency' of views over decades is so worrying.
    Rawnesley's characteristically sharp piece in the Observer today cited exactly that feature as one of the reasons why May is likely to go down as one of the worst PM's in the last hundred years.

    Interestingly he gave as the four worst to date Ramsay McDonald, Chamberlain, Eden and Cameron. Not sure of I agree with that last one, and personally I'd have Baldwin in my worst four, but am sure PBers will have plenty of opinions on the matter!
    Why Baldwin? He strikes me as OK. He brought the Tory party into the modern age, and won elections with a quadrupled electorate. He also appointed Chamberlain as CoE, a job that he did rather well at.
    He was generally a sort of 'go with the flow' politician, bland but pragmatic enough. Unfortunately it was period when active management was necessary, mainly to combat unemployment and the rise of fascism. He complacency in respect of latter made him one of the 'Guilty Men' responsible from Britain's vulnerability at the start of the second world war.
  • hamiltonacehamiltonace Posts: 660
    The Tory manifesto in Scotland was different to the one in England and much more successful. It focussed on the union and not brexit. There is no mandate for Scottish toriy mps to support a hard brexit. With Ruth Davidson back next month their attention will come back to following their true mandate
  • nico67 said:

    Revoke will only happen if May goes for no deal and panic breaks out with the pound imploding. Panic buying and an air of utter chaos might push MPs to agree .

    The no dealers either seem to think everything will turn out okay or are so idealogically obsessed with Brexit they don’t care what happens .

    I have serious problems with no dealers as opposed to Leavers who want an orderly exit . To be blunt I utterly despise those pushing for no deal , they are a disgrace to the country and are acting against the national interest.

    I agree but revoke itself requires the HOC consent for the EU elections and frankly, I do not see the political space
    I agree too but face the prospect of No Deal with greater equanimity than Nico. Sometimes a Nation just has to go through these traumas.
  • nielhnielh Posts: 1,307
    MaxPB said:

    nielh said:

    The reason why the customs union is popular is because it honours the referendum result, whilst avoiding a BINO and a hard border in Northern Ireland. The fact that we would be in a poor trading position amongst OECD countries is a matter of no interest to most voters. No one cares what experts think anyway, particularly bankers, as we established in 2016. Politicians understand that this is not an objective exercise in deciding what the best option is. Politicians in a democracy are not for the most part idiots, they are heavily constrained by public opinion.

    No, that's just stupid. Just pass the WA, avoid no deal and then see what the EU will accomodate on customs in a longer term situation after it has passed. Put it in the Labour manifesto for all I care. Just pass the bloody WA and get the no deal off the table.

    Labour MPs are either cynical or stupid. Maybe both. Whatever happens we need to pass the WA and the government just offered it with no strings attached and Labour still voted it down. They are more idiotic than the Tories who voted against it.
    I wouldn't say that Labour MP's are idiots for voting against the deal. Labour has an interest in a no deal Brexit, because it could lead them to power. The reality is that they have no interest in helping May's deal over the line.
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,218
    kle4 said:

    Which government ministers will be resigning if May is forced to adopt a Customs Union?

    Ben - I have given up caring

    Hold fast there Big_G - it can't go on for too much longer, it really can't*.

    (*He says, more in hope than expectation.)
    12th April is high noon and no deal beckons

    The mps have to take a plausable way to stop it and there are few options due to legal constraints

    Why thy do not pass the WDA is beyond me, but ERG are beyond redemption in my party and for me
    Well maybe a few more Labour MPs will back a WA they have no real objection to and....sorry, couldn't finish that one with a straight face.
    Ultimately May has found herself in a poker game with Corbyn, Barnier and Foster. And she's not very good.
  • nico67nico67 Posts: 4,502

    nico67 said:

    Revoke will only happen if May goes for no deal and panic breaks out with the pound imploding. Panic buying and an air of utter chaos might push MPs to agree .

    The no dealers either seem to think everything will turn out okay or are so idealogically obsessed with Brexit they don’t care what happens .

    I have serious problems with no dealers as opposed to Leavers who want an orderly exit . To be blunt I utterly despise those pushing for no deal , they are a disgrace to the country and are acting against the national interest.

    I agree but revoke itself requires the HOC consent for the EU elections and frankly, I do not see the political space
    I agree too but face the prospect of No Deal with greater equanimity than Nico. Sometimes a Nation just has to go through these traumas.
    Why it’s not a war . No nation should self inflict harm against itself .
  • NeilVWNeilVW Posts: 732
    edited March 2019

    kle4 said:

    Which government ministers will be resigning if May is forced to adopt a Customs Union?

    Any who signed the no deal letter for a start. Isn't that meant to be Hunt and Javid?
    I have not seen the No Deal letter, nor the signatories. Has it been made public?
    Here’s the story:

    https://www.google.co.uk/amp/s/www.thesun.co.uk/news/8755181/tory-mps-revolt-demanding-theresa-may-rejects-long-brexit/amp/

    Andrew Bridgen has confirmed to LBC that he signed it, in unsurprising news.
  • Danny565Danny565 Posts: 8,091
    edited March 2019

    DougSeal said:

    Scott_P said:

    I’d rather see the manifesto on which the Tories were elected honoured.

    It didn't win a majority.

    Why not the DUP manifesto?
    Because the gains were made by Labour who also campaigned on a Leave platform and its the Tories who are in power albeit courtesy of the DUP who are more supportive of the Tory manifesto on Brexit than many Tories.
    How does that work? Because Labour gained seats then that means the Tory manifesto should be honoured? They’re a minority government and minority governments don’t get to do everything in their manifesto.
    Ignoring the fact that abiding by the referendum was also one of Labour's manifesto pledges.

    Indeed the one UK wide party that supported reversing the referendum result actually managed to lose votes compared to the previous election.
    Labour's manifesto also rejected a No Deal Brexit.
    The Labour manifesto also made no mention of 29th March 2019 being the unchangeable exit day; and it explicitly reserved the right to vote against May's deal (if it failed their "six tests").

    People can say Labour's positions on rejecting May's deal / delaying Brexit are wrong, or contradictory, or that the "six tests" were impossible to meet, or whatever - but they can't say that Labour's voters in 2017 didn't give them a mandate for those positions.

    The only case where Labour's arguably been in breach of their 2017 manifesto in relation to Brexit was in voting for a second referendum last week (the manifesto itself didn't rule that out, but Corbyn did say a few times in interviews during the election campaign that he opposed one).
  • MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 38,868
    nielh said:

    MaxPB said:

    nielh said:

    The reason why the customs union is popular is because it honours the referendum result, whilst avoiding a BINO and a hard border in Northern Ireland. The fact that we would be in a poor trading position amongst OECD countries is a matter of no interest to most voters. No one cares what experts think anyway, particularly bankers, as we established in 2016. Politicians understand that this is not an objective exercise in deciding what the best option is. Politicians in a democracy are not for the most part idiots, they are heavily constrained by public opinion.

    No, that's just stupid. Just pass the WA, avoid no deal and then see what the EU will accomodate on customs in a longer term situation after it has passed. Put it in the Labour manifesto for all I care. Just pass the bloody WA and get the no deal off the table.

    Labour MPs are either cynical or stupid. Maybe both. Whatever happens we need to pass the WA and the government just offered it with no strings attached and Labour still voted it down. They are more idiotic than the Tories who voted against it.
    I wouldn't say that Labour MP's are idiots for voting against the deal. Labour has an interest in a no deal Brexit, because it could lead them to power. The reality is that they have no interest in helping May's deal over the line.
    Cynical, then.
  • eekeek Posts: 28,406
    eek said:
    Also probably worth adding

    https://twitter.com/TurkishMinuteTM/status/1112455840634687491

    I will await the morning to see the final result
  • The_TaxmanThe_Taxman Posts: 2,979
    edited March 2019
    Pulpstar said:

    kle4 said:

    Which government ministers will be resigning if May is forced to adopt a Customs Union?

    Ben - I have given up caring

    Hold fast there Big_G - it can't go on for too much longer, it really can't*.

    (*He says, more in hope than expectation.)
    12th April is high noon and no deal beckons

    The mps have to take a plausable way to stop it and there are few options due to legal constraints

    Why thy do not pass the WDA is beyond me, but ERG are beyond redemption in my party and for me
    Well maybe a few more Labour MPs will back a WA they have no real objection to and....sorry, couldn't finish that one with a straight face.
    Ultimately May has found herself in a poker game with Corbyn, Barnier and Foster. And she's not very good.
    May said she was a tough negotiator! lol

    I cannot understand how someone so inadequate and completely out of their depth has survived as long as she has. She is really very bad. Embarrassingly bad!

  • viewcodeviewcode Posts: 22,136

    kle4 said:

    kle4 said:

    Mortimer said:

    So, Gauke is pushing the (IMHO minority) view that May will be forced to accept a customs union if somehow it goes support this week (I’m doubtful myself).

    I suspect 11 of these would resign if that happened: https://www.gov.uk/government/ministers

    Maybe but Gauke may not be wrong, sadly. There is one report in today’s papers that if May’s deal doesn’t pass, she’ll go for a soft Brexit which will satisfy absolutely no one
    It will satisfy many and possibly the majority in the HOC

    I do not agree with it but I accept the reality
    I’d rather see the manifesto on which the Tories were elected honoured.
    Sometimes manifestoes cannot be honoured, sometimes u-turns are justified and/or necessary

    Most of the outcomes now are not what many people will have wanted. Well, half the country wasn't going to get what it wanted anyway (although they might, if we remain), and neither will many others.
    I seem to recall the greatest peacetime PM we’ve ever had once saying,in a different context “U turn if you want to, the lady is not for turning”. .
    Yes, and that's a pretty stupid quote, no matter how great a PM they were. You cannot always get what you promised - sometimes you don't even want to as what you promised may, completely innocently, not be as good an idea as you thought or things may have changed - and you don't resign every time you cannot get a manifesto committment through, I bet she had u-turns in her 11 years in office.

    Something this big? Sure, maybe. But Thatcher's quip about not turning is just that, a quip and nothing more. People who refuse to even contemplate changing position are recklessly inflexible, it's why Corbyn's touted 'consistency' of views over decades is so worrying.
    Rawnesley's characteristically sharp piece in the Observer today cited exactly that feature as one of the reasons why May is likely to go down as one of the worst PM's in the last hundred years.

    Interestingly he gave as the four worst to date Ramsay McDonald, Chamberlain, Eden and Cameron. Not sure of I agree with that last one, and personally I'd have Baldwin in my worst four, but am sure PBers will have plenty of opinions on the matter!
    Asquith?

  • The_TaxmanThe_Taxman Posts: 2,979
    edited March 2019
    Duplicate post.
  • nielhnielh Posts: 1,307
    MaxPB said:

    nielh said:

    MaxPB said:

    nielh said:

    The reason why the customs union is popular is because it honours the referendum result, whilst avoiding a BINO and a hard border in Northern Ireland. The fact that we would be in a poor trading position amongst OECD countries is a matter of no interest to most voters. No one cares what experts think anyway, particularly bankers, as we established in 2016. Politicians understand that this is not an objective exercise in deciding what the best option is. Politicians in a democracy are not for the most part idiots, they are heavily constrained by public opinion.

    No, that's just stupid. Just pass the WA, avoid no deal and then see what the EU will accomodate on customs in a longer term situation after it has passed. Put it in the Labour manifesto for all I care. Just pass the bloody WA and get the no deal off the table.

    Labour MPs are either cynical or stupid. Maybe both. Whatever happens we need to pass the WA and the government just offered it with no strings attached and Labour still voted it down. They are more idiotic than the Tories who voted against it.
    I wouldn't say that Labour MP's are idiots for voting against the deal. Labour has an interest in a no deal Brexit, because it could lead them to power. The reality is that they have no interest in helping May's deal over the line.
    Cynical, then.
    But everything about this is cynical. Calling the referendum, trying to fix the result for remain, project fear, brexit means brexit, no deal is better than a bad deal, crushing the saboteurs. Why should anything change now?
  • viewcode said:

    kle4 said:

    kle4 said:

    Mortimer said:

    So, Gauke is pushing the (IMHO minority) view that May will be forced to accept a customs union if somehow it goes support this week (I’m doubtful myself).

    I suspect 11 of these would resign if that happened: https://www.gov.uk/government/ministers

    Maybe but Gauke may not be wrong, sadly. There is one report in today’s papers that if May’s deal doesn’t pass, she’ll go for a soft Brexit which will satisfy absolutely no one
    It will satisfy many and possibly the majority in the HOC

    I do not agree with it but I accept the reality
    I’d rather see the manifesto on which the Tories were elected honoured.
    Sometimes manifestoes cannot be honoured, sometimes u-turns are justified and/or necessary

    Most of the outcomes now are not what many people will have wanted. Well, half the country wasn't going to get what it wanted anyway (although they might, if we remain), and neither will many others.
    I seem to recall the greatest peacetime PM we’ve ever had once saying,in a different context “U turn if you want to, the lady is not for turning”. .
    Yes, and that's a pretty stupid quote, no matter how great a PM they were. You cannot always get what you promised - sometimes you don't even want to as what you promised may, completely innocently, not be as good an idea as you thought or things may have changed - and you don't resign every time you cannot get a manifesto committment through, I bet she had u-turns in her 11 years in office.

    Something this big? Sure, maybe. But Thatcher's quip about not turning is just that, a quip and nothing more. People who refuse to even contemplate changing position are recklessly inflexible, it's why Corbyn's touted 'consistency' of views over decades is so worrying.
    Rawnesley's characteristically sharp piece in the Observer today cited exactly that feature as one of the reasons why May is likely to go down as one of the worst PM's in the last hundred years.

    Interestingly he gave as the four worst to date Ramsay McDonald, Chamberlain, Eden and Cameron. Not sure of I agree with that last one, and personally I'd have Baldwin in my worst four, but am sure PBers will have plenty of opinions on the matter!
    Asquith?

    Not sure he was reaching back that far, but yes, Asquith is for me one of the worst.
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 52,617
    NeilVW said:

    kle4 said:

    Which government ministers will be resigning if May is forced to adopt a Customs Union?

    Any who signed the no deal letter for a start. Isn't that meant to be Hunt and Javid?
    I have not seen the No Deal letter, nor the signatories. Has it been made public?
    Here’s the story:

    https://www.google.co.uk/amp/s/www.thesun.co.uk/news/8755181/tory-mps-revolt-demanding-theresa-may-rejects-long-brexit/amp/

    Andrew Bridgen has confirmed to LBC that he signed it, in unsurprising news.
    I don't think it's been signed by 170 ministers.......
  • viewcodeviewcode Posts: 22,136

    Pulpstar said:

    kle4 said:

    Which government ministers will be resigning if May is forced to adopt a Customs Union?

    Ben - I have given up caring

    Hold fast there Big_G - it can't go on for too much longer, it really can't*.

    (*He says, more in hope than expectation.)
    12th April is high noon and no deal beckons

    The mps have to take a plausable way to stop it and there are few options due to legal constraints

    Why thy do not pass the WDA is beyond me, but ERG are beyond redemption in my party and for me
    Well maybe a few more Labour MPs will back a WA they have no real objection to and....sorry, couldn't finish that one with a straight face.
    Ultimately May has found herself in a poker game with Corbyn, Barnier and Foster. And she's not very good.
    May said she was a tough negotiator! lol

    I cannot understand how someone so inadequate and completely out of their depth has survived as long as she has. She is really very bad. Embarrassingly bad!

    Nobody had the balls or moral fibre to do so. All of them thought they'd let her take the blame and they'd rule over the rubble. It's good for them and if it fucks us up, well, we're only the voters... :(
  • The_TaxmanThe_Taxman Posts: 2,979
    viewcode said:

    kle4 said:

    kle4 said:

    Mortimer said:

    So, Gauke is pushing the (IMHO minority) view that May will be forced to accept a customs union if somehow it goes support this week (I’m doubtful myself).

    I suspect 11 of these would resign if that happened: https://www.gov.uk/government/ministers

    Maybe but Gauke may not be wrong, sadly. There is one report in today’s papers that if May’s deal doesn’t pass, she’ll go for a soft Brexit which will satisfy absolutely no one
    It will satisfy many and possibly the majority in the HOC

    I do not agree with it but I accept the reality
    I’d rather see the manifesto on which the Tories were elected honoured.
    Sometimes manifestoes cannot be honoured, sometimes u-turns are justified and/or necessary

    Most of the outcomes now are not what many people will have wanted. Well, half the country wasn't going to get what it wanted anyway (although they might, if we remain), and neither will many others.
    I seem to recall the greatest peacetime PM we’ve ever had once saying,in a different context “U turn if you want to, the lady is not for turning”. .
    Yes, and that's a pretty stupid quote, no matter how great a PM they were. You cannot always get what you promised - sometimes you don't even want to as what you promised may, completely innocently, not be as good an idea as you thought or things may have changed - and you don't resign every time you cannot get a manifesto committment through, I bet she had u-turns in her 11 years in office.

    Something this big? Sure, maybe. But Thatcher's quip about not turning is just that, a quip and nothing more. People who refuse to even contemplate changing position are recklessly inflexible, it's why Corbyn's touted 'consistency' of views over decades is so worrying.
    Rawnesley's characteristically sharp piece in the Observer today cited exactly that feature as one of the reasons why May is likely to go down as one of the worst PM's in the last hundred years.

    Interestingly he gave as the four worst to date Ramsay McDonald, Chamberlain, Eden and Cameron. Not sure of I agree with that last one, and personally I'd have Baldwin in my worst four, but am sure PBers will have plenty of opinions on the matter!
    Asquith?

    Gordon Brown was very bad. He deliberately made a bad situation even worse through profligate spending, embarrassing obsession with Barack Obama and complete inability to communicate to the country.
  • nielhnielh Posts: 1,307
    viewcode said:

    kle4 said:

    kle4 said:

    Mortimer said:

    So, Gauke is pushing the (IMHO minority) view that May will be forced to accept a customs union if somehow it goes support this week (I’m doubtful myself).

    I suspect 11 of these would resign if that happened: https://www.gov.uk/government/ministers

    Maybe but Gauke may not be wrong, sadly. There is one report in today’s papers that if May’s deal doesn’t pass, she’ll go for a soft Brexit which will satisfy absolutely no one
    It will satisfy many and possibly the majority in the HOC

    I do not agree with it but I accept the reality
    I’d rather see the manifesto on which the Tories were elected honoured.
    Sometimes manifestoes cannot be honoured, sometimes u-turns are justified and/or necessary

    Most of the outcomes now are not what many people will have wanted. Well, half the country wasn't going to get what it wanted anyway (although they might, if we remain), and neither will many others.
    I seem to recall the greatest peacetime PM we’ve ever had once saying,in a different context “U turn if you want to, the lady is not for turning”. .
    Yes, and that's a pretty stupid quote, no matter how great a PM they were. You cannot always get what you promised - sometimes you don't even want to as what you promised may, completely innocently, not be as good an idea as you thought or things may have changed - and you don't resign every time you cannot get a manifesto committment through, I bet she had u-turns in her 11 years in office.

    Something this big? Sure, maybe. But Thatcher's quip about not turning is just that, a quip and nothing more. People who refuse to even contemplate changing position are recklessly inflexible, it's why Corbyn's touted 'consistency' of views over decades is so worrying.
    Rawnesley's characteristically sharp piece in the Observer today cited exactly that feature as one of the reasons why May is likely to go down as one of the worst PM's in the last hundred years.

    Interestingly he gave as the four worst to date Ramsay McDonald, Chamberlain, Eden and Cameron. Not sure of I agree with that last one, and personally I'd have Baldwin in my worst four, but am sure PBers will have plenty of opinions on the matter!
    Asquith?

    It is way to early to judge either Cameron or May.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 123,186
    If English MPs alone had voted on May's Deal last week it would have passed 266 for, 254 against and we would now be ready to Leave the EU on the basis of the WA


    ENGLAND: 266 MPs for, 256 MPs against (51%-49%)
    SCOTLAND: 13 for, 45 against (22%-78%)
    WALES: 6 for, 33 against (15%-85%)
    NORTHERN IRELAND: 1 for, 10 against (9%-91%)



    https://wingsoverscotland.com/independence-for-england-now/
  • viewcodeviewcode Posts: 22,136
    Pulpstar said:
    [ Ranty post deleted ]
  • NeilVWNeilVW Posts: 732
    The Telegraph reckons 13 no-dealers in the Cabinet and 10 customs union supporters (4 undecided).
  • PClippPClipp Posts: 2,138
    DougSeal said:

    Scott_P said:

    Because the gains were made by Labour

    You want the Tory manifesto because they lost seats to Labour...
    Do you understand how elections work?

    I want the Tory manifesto because the Tories are in Gov so your question is one for you to answer.
    Manifestos require legislative action. The people who published the manifesto do not command a majority in the legislature. As a result they cannot pass all the legislation required to fulfil the manifesto and therefore need to find alternatives. Is that so hard to understand?
    You mean the Conservative manifesto was just a list of unrealistic aspirations which had no hope of being implemented. That was not very honest of the Conservatives, was it? But they have too many charlatans and downright liars among their leaders, so we should not be surprised.
  • Scott_P said:
    I expect TM will accept remainer resignations with regret. She will back the brexiteers
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,163
    edited March 2019
    nico67 said:

    nico67 said:

    Revoke will only happen if May goes for no deal and panic breaks out with the pound imploding. Panic buying and an air of utter chaos might push MPs to agree .

    The no dealers either seem to think everything will turn out okay or are so idealogically obsessed with Brexit they don’t care what happens .

    I have serious problems with no dealers as opposed to Leavers who want an orderly exit . To be blunt I utterly despise those pushing for no deal , they are a disgrace to the country and are acting against the national interest.

    I agree but revoke itself requires the HOC consent for the EU elections and frankly, I do not see the political space
    I agree too but face the prospect of No Deal with greater equanimity than Nico. Sometimes a Nation just has to go through these traumas.
    Why it’s not a war . No nation should self inflict harm against itself .
    Political trauma can be necessary. And it is tough and embarrassing while it happens. And nation's inflict self harm against themselves all the time. In FPTP countries people probably think it happens every time, given a majority don't usually vote for whoever ends up running the country.

    Obviously the extent of the current divide and assessment of harm is somewhat exceptional, but nation's make choices others within and without it think are harmful all the time.
  • The_TaxmanThe_Taxman Posts: 2,979
    viewcode said:

    Pulpstar said:

    kle4 said:

    Which government ministers will be resigning if May is forced to adopt a Customs Union?

    Ben - I have given up caring

    Hold fast there Big_G - it can't go on for too much longer, it really can't*.

    (*He says, more in hope than expectation.)
    12th April is high noon and no deal beckons

    The mps have to take a plausable way to stop it and there are few options due to legal constraints

    Why thy do not pass the WDA is beyond me, but ERG are beyond redemption in my party and for me
    Well maybe a few more Labour MPs will back a WA they have no real objection to and....sorry, couldn't finish that one with a straight face.
    Ultimately May has found herself in a poker game with Corbyn, Barnier and Foster. And she's not very good.
    May said she was a tough negotiator! lol

    I cannot understand how someone so inadequate and completely out of their depth has survived as long as she has. She is really very bad. Embarrassingly bad!

    Nobody had the balls or moral fibre to do so. All of them thought they'd let her take the blame and they'd rule over the rubble. It's good for them and if it fucks us up, well, we're only the voters... :(
    The Tories are in real trouble over Brexit. The people I have talked to over the last few days who usually support the Tories are starting to get really angry that Brexit is going ahead despite the likely implications of a No Deal Brexit. May has to act in the national interest and revoke article 50. If she sides with the hard Brexit crowd it is not unfeasible that the Tories could suffer a Canadian 1990s style Wipeout.
  • nielh said:

    viewcode said:

    kle4 said:

    kle4 said:

    Mortimer said:

    So, Gauke is pushing the (IMHO minority) view that May will be forced to accept a customs union if somehow it goes support this week (I’m doubtful myself).

    I suspect 11 of these would resign if that happened: https://www.gov.uk/government/ministers

    Maybe but Gauke may not be wrong, sadly. There is one report in today’s papers that if May’s deal doesn’t pass, she’ll go for a soft Brexit which will satisfy absolutely no one
    It will satisfy many and possibly the majority in the HOC

    I do not agree with it but I accept the reality
    I’d rather see the manifesto on which the Tories were elected honoured.
    Sometimes manifestoes cannot be honoured, sometimes u-turns are justified and/or necessary

    Most of the outcomes now are not what many people will have wanted. Well, half the country wasn't going to get what it wanted anyway (although they might, if we remain), and neither will many others.
    I seem to recall the greatest peacetime PM we’ve ever had once saying,in a different context “U turn if you want to, the lady is not for turning”. .
    Yes, and that's a pretty stupid quote, no matter how great a PM they were. You cannot always get what you promised - sometimes you don't even want to as what you promised may, completely innocently, not be as good an idea as you thought or things may have changed - and you don't resign every time you cannot get a manifesto committment through, I bet she had u-turns in her 11 years in office.

    Something this big? Sure, maybe. But Thatcher's quip about not turning is just that, a quip and nothing more. People who refuse to even contemplate changing position are recklessly inflexible, it's why Corbyn's touted 'consistency' of views over decades is so worrying.
    Rawnesley's characteristically sharp piece in the Observer today cited exactly that feature as one of the reasons why May is likely to go down as one of the worst PM's in the last hundred years.

    Interestingly he gave as the four worst to date Ramsay McDonald, Chamberlain, Eden and Cameron. Not sure of I agree with that last one, and personally I'd have Baldwin in my worst four, but am sure PBers will have plenty of opinions on the matter!
    Asquith?

    It is way to early to judge either Cameron or May.
    Indeed - many months and even years need to pass to assess their success or failure
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 52,617

    viewcode said:

    Pulpstar said:

    kle4 said:

    Which government ministers will be resigning if May is forced to adopt a Customs Union?

    Ben - I have given up caring

    Hold fast there Big_G - it can't go on for too much longer, it really can't*.

    (*He says, more in hope than expectation.)
    12th April is high noon and no deal beckons

    The mps have to take a plausable way to stop it and there are few options due to legal constraints

    Why thy do not pass the WDA is beyond me, but ERG are beyond redemption in my party and for me
    Well maybe a few more Labour MPs will back a WA they have no real objection to and....sorry, couldn't finish that one with a straight face.
    Ultimately May has found herself in a poker game with Corbyn, Barnier and Foster. And she's not very good.
    May said she was a tough negotiator! lol

    I cannot understand how someone so inadequate and completely out of their depth has survived as long as she has. She is really very bad. Embarrassingly bad!

    Nobody had the balls or moral fibre to do so. All of them thought they'd let her take the blame and they'd rule over the rubble. It's good for them and if it fucks us up, well, we're only the voters... :(
    The Tories are in real trouble over Brexit. The people I have talked to over the last few days who usually support the Tories are starting to get really angry that Brexit is going ahead despite the likely implications of a No Deal Brexit. May has to act in the national interest and revoke article 50. If she sides with the hard Brexit crowd it is not unfeasible that the Tories could suffer a Canadian 1990s style Wipeout.
    You are talking to different Tories than me.....
  • Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453

    You are talking to different Tories than me.....

    Probably talking to voters, not members...
  • _Anazina__Anazina_ Posts: 1,810

    Mortimer said:

    So, Gauke is pushing the (IMHO minority) view that May will be forced to accept a customs union if somehow it goes support this week (I’m doubtful myself).

    I suspect 11 of these would resign if that happened: https://www.gov.uk/government/ministers

    Maybe but Gauke may not be wrong, sadly. There is one report in today’s papers that if May’s deal doesn’t pass, she’ll go for a soft Brexit which will satisfy absolutely no one
    It will satisfy many and possibly the majority in the HOC

    I do not agree with it but I accept the reality
    I’d rather see the manifesto on which the Tories were elected honoured.
    The one cooked up by a giant prick that was shat on by the electorate? That one?
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,163
    NeilVW said:

    The Telegraph reckons 13 no-dealers in the Cabinet and 10 customs union supporters (4 undecided).

    Unhelpful for May - she'll presumably side with the majority, and that's too close for comfort.

    Just go Customs Union I say. There's probably numbers for it in Parliament and it leaves only the option of a VONC in the government to prevent it. Trying to foster a no deal by default seems far more fraught.
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 34,705

    viewcode said:

    Pulpstar said:

    kle4 said:

    Which government ministers will be resigning if May is forced to adopt a Customs Union?

    Ben - I have given up caring

    Hold fast there Big_G - it can't go on for too much longer, it really can't*.

    (*He says, more in hope than expectation.)
    12th April is high noon and no deal beckons

    The mps have to take a plausable way to stop it and there are few options due to legal constraints

    Why thy do not pass the WDA is beyond me, but ERG are beyond redemption in my party and for me
    Well maybe a few more Labour MPs will back a WA they have no real objection to and....sorry, couldn't finish that one with a straight face.
    Ultimately May has found herself in a poker game with Corbyn, Barnier and Foster. And she's not very good.
    May said she was a tough negotiator! lol

    I cannot understand how someone so inadequate and completely out of their depth has survived as long as she has. She is really very bad. Embarrassingly bad!

    Nobody had the balls or moral fibre to do so. All of them thought they'd let her take the blame and they'd rule over the rubble. It's good for them and if it fucks us up, well, we're only the voters... :(
    The Tories are in real trouble over Brexit. The people I have talked to over the last few days who usually support the Tories are starting to get really angry that Brexit is going ahead despite the likely implications of a No Deal Brexit. May has to act in the national interest and revoke article 50. If she sides with the hard Brexit crowd it is not unfeasible that the Tories could suffer a Canadian 1990s style Wipeout.
    You are talking to different Tories than me.....
    To be fair I suspect there are many Tories taking many different views but I had a similar experience to Taxman - speaking to a Tory member who cannot understand why his party is putting business at risk and tearing themselves apart. Not all Tory members are rabid Leavers.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,163
    edited March 2019
    _Anazina_ said:

    Mortimer said:

    So, Gauke is pushing the (IMHO minority) view that May will be forced to accept a customs union if somehow it goes support this week (I’m doubtful myself).

    I suspect 11 of these would resign if that happened: https://www.gov.uk/government/ministers

    Maybe but Gauke may not be wrong, sadly. There is one report in today’s papers that if May’s deal doesn’t pass, she’ll go for a soft Brexit which will satisfy absolutely no one
    It will satisfy many and possibly the majority in the HOC

    I do not agree with it but I accept the reality
    I’d rather see the manifesto on which the Tories were elected honoured.
    The one cooked up by a giant prick that was shat on by the electorate? That one?
    The Tories, and by implication their policy platform, were the most popular at GE 2017. They and it was not shat upon by the electorate. Clearly neither it nor the party were blessed with a clear lead over other parties and policy platforms, and there is no mandate to bully through what was in it, but it is demonstrably untrue to say the manifesto was shat upon when those proposing it won the most votes. Same reasoning Corbyn, despite receiving less backing personally and politically, can truthfully claim the idea his manifesto was despised or clearly rejected is nonsense.
  • FF43FF43 Posts: 17,208



    Rawnesley's characteristically sharp piece in the Observer today cited exactly that feature as one of the reasons why May is likely to go down as one of the worst PM's in the last hundred years.

    Interestingly he gave as the four worst to date Ramsay McDonald, Chamberlain, Eden and Cameron. Not sure of I agree with that last one, and personally I'd have Baldwin in my worst four, but am sure PBers will have plenty of opinions on the matter!

    The worst leader since Charles 1, whom she resembles by being at the same time totally inflexible and utterly untrustworthy. A fatal combination for a leader, as King Charles found out to his cost. The compensation perhaps is that Theresa May might still be better than her successor.
  • viewcode said:

    Pulpstar said:

    kle4 said:

    Which government ministers will be resigning if May is forced to adopt a Customs Union?

    Ben - I have given up caring

    Hold fast there Big_G - it can't go on for too much longer, it really can't*.

    (*He says, more in hope than expectation.)
    12th April is high noon and no deal beckons

    The mps have to take a plausable way to stop it and there are few options due to legal constraints

    Why thy do not pass the WDA is beyond me, but ERG are beyond redemption in my party and for me
    Well maybe a few more Labour MPs will back a WA they have no real objection to and....sorry, couldn't finish that one with a straight face.
    Ultimately May has found herself in a poker game with Corbyn, Barnier and Foster. And she's not very good.
    May said she was a tough negotiator! lol

    I cannot understand how someone so inadequate and completely out of their depth has survived as long as she has. She is really very bad. Embarrassingly bad!

    Nobody had the balls or moral fibre to do so. All of them thought they'd let her take the blame and they'd rule over the rubble. It's good for them and if it fucks us up, well, we're only the voters... :(
    The Tories are in real trouble over Brexit. The people I have talked to over the last few days who usually support the Tories are starting to get really angry that Brexit is going ahead despite the likely implications of a No Deal Brexit. May has to act in the national interest and revoke article 50. If she sides with the hard Brexit crowd it is not unfeasible that the Tories could suffer a Canadian 1990s style Wipeout.
    You are talking to different Tories than me.....
    To be fair I suspect there are many Tories taking many different views but I had a similar experience to Taxman - speaking to a Tory member who cannot understand why his party is putting business at risk and tearing themselves apart. Not all Tory members are rabid Leavers.
    Talking about me again Ben !!!
  • nico67nico67 Posts: 4,502
    May will not push the button on no deal .

    She’ll resign and pass the decision on to someone else .
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 34,705
    NeilVW said:

    The Telegraph reckons 13 no-dealers in the Cabinet and 10 customs union supporters (4 undecided).

    I think that's wishful thinking on the Telegraph's part:

    Which of these are No Dealers?:

    Steve Barclay
    Karen Bradley
    James Brokenshire
    Alun Cairns
    Greg Clark
    Geoffrey Cox
    Leo Docherty
    Liam Fox
    David Gauke
    Michael Gove
    Chris Grayling
    Philip Hammond
    Matt Hancock
    Damian Hinds
    Jeremy Hunt
    Sajid Javid
    Eleanor Laing
    Andrea Leadsom
    Brandon Lewis
    David Lidington
    Theresa May
    Penny Mordaunt
    David Mundell
    Caroline Nokes
    Claire Perry
    Amber Rudd
    Julian Smith
    Liz Truss
    Gavin Williamson
    Jeremy Wright


    Fox, Leadsom, Mordaunt, Truss, Barclay, who else?
  • The_TaxmanThe_Taxman Posts: 2,979

    viewcode said:

    Pulpstar said:

    kle4 said:

    Which government ministers will be resigning if May is forced to adopt a Customs Union?

    Ben - I have given up caring

    Hold fast there Big_G - it can't go on for too much longer, it really can't*.

    (*He says, more in hope than expectation.)
    12th April is high noon and no deal beckons

    The mps have to take a plausable way to stop it and there are few options due to legal constraints

    Why thy do not pass the WDA is beyond me, but ERG are beyond redemption in my party and for me
    Well maybe a few more Labour MPs will back a WA they have no real objection to and....sorry, couldn't finish that one with a straight face.
    Ultimately May has found herself in a poker game with Corbyn, Barnier and Foster. And she's not very good.
    May said she was a tough negotiator! lol

    I cannot understand how someone so inadequate and completely out of their depth has survived as long as she has. She is really very bad. Embarrassingly bad!

    Nobody had the balls or moral fibre to do so. All of them thought they'd let her take the blame and they'd rule over the rubble. It's good for them and if it fucks us up, well, we're only the voters... :(
    The Tories are in real trouble over Brexit. The people I have talked to over the last few days who usually support the Tories are starting to get really angry that Brexit is going ahead despite the likely implications of a No Deal Brexit. May has to act in the national interest and revoke article 50. If she sides with the hard Brexit crowd it is not unfeasible that the Tories could suffer a Canadian 1990s style Wipeout.
    You are talking to different Tories than me.....
    You probably mix with Brexiteers, I can understand some wanting to leave the EU because of immigration but I feel no advantage in swapping European immigrants for non- Europeans. A Pakistani or Indian on £1 a day will migrate to a country with a minimum wage over £7 per hour, it is a tremendous pull factor even if the rest of the economy is in the doldrums at best...

    I mix with centrists, one nation types. The Tories cannot win an election without us centrist/ one nation types just as they cannot without you!
  • RecidivistRecidivist Posts: 4,679

    viewcode said:

    Pulpstar said:

    kle4 said:

    Which government ministers will be resigning if May is forced to adopt a Customs Union?

    Ben - I have given up caring

    Hold fast there Big_G - it can't go on for too much longer, it really can't*.

    (*He says, more in hope than expectation.)
    12th April is high noon and no deal beckons

    The mps have to take a plausable way to stop it and there are few options due to legal constraints

    Why thy do not pass the WDA is beyond me, but ERG are beyond redemption in my party and for me
    Well maybe a few more Labour MPs will back a WA they have no real objection to and....sorry, couldn't finish that one with a straight face.
    Ultimately May has found herself in a poker game with Corbyn, Barnier and Foster. And she's not very good.
    May said she was a tough negotiator! lol

    I cannot understand how someone so inadequate and completely out of their depth has survived as long as she has. She is really very bad. Embarrassingly bad!

    Nobody had the balls or moral fibre to do so. All of them thought they'd let her take the blame and they'd rule over the rubble. It's good for them and if it fucks us up, well, we're only the voters... :(
    The Tories are in real trouble over Brexit. The people I have talked to over the last few days who usually support the Tories are starting to get really angry that Brexit is going ahead despite the likely implications of a No Deal Brexit. May has to act in the national interest and revoke article 50. If she sides with the hard Brexit crowd it is not unfeasible that the Tories could suffer a Canadian 1990s style Wipeout.
    You are talking to different Tories than me.....
    There were lots of people on the big march who looked and sounded a lot like the kinds of people you'd expect to be Tories. I didn't think the people protesting last Friday looked much like Tories at all.
  • RogerRoger Posts: 19,914
    kle4 said:

    Which government ministers will be resigning if May is forced to adopt a Customs Union?

    Any who signed the no deal letter for a start. Isn't that meant to be Hunt and Javid?
    Javid looks like a Vampire. Should we be worried?
  • DecrepitJohnLDecrepitJohnL Posts: 13,300


    Gordon Brown was very bad. He deliberately made a bad situation even worse through profligate spending, embarrassing obsession with Barack Obama and complete inability to communicate to the country.

    By "deliberately made a bad situation even worse" you mean Gordon Brown led and coordinated the international response to contain the global financial crisis?
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,218

    NeilVW said:

    The Telegraph reckons 13 no-dealers in the Cabinet and 10 customs union supporters (4 undecided).

    I think that's wishful thinking on the Telegraph's part:

    Which of these are No Dealers?:

    Steve Barclay
    Karen Bradley
    James Brokenshire
    Alun Cairns
    Greg Clark
    Geoffrey Cox
    Leo Docherty
    Liam Fox
    David Gauke
    Michael Gove
    Chris Grayling
    Philip Hammond
    Matt Hancock
    Damian Hinds
    Jeremy Hunt
    Sajid Javid
    Eleanor Laing
    Andrea Leadsom
    Brandon Lewis
    David Lidington
    Theresa May
    Penny Mordaunt
    David Mundell
    Caroline Nokes
    Claire Perry
    Amber Rudd
    Julian Smith
    Liz Truss
    Gavin Williamson
    Jeremy Wright


    Fox, Leadsom, Mordaunt, Truss, Barclay, who else?
    Leadsom, Hunt, "THE SAJ"
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 34,705

    viewcode said:

    Pulpstar said:

    kle4 said:

    Which government ministers will be resigning if May is forced to adopt a Customs Union?

    Ben - I have given up caring

    Hold fast there Big_G - it can't go on for too much longer, it really can't*.

    (*He says, more in hope than expectation.)
    12th April is high noon and no deal beckons

    The mps have to take a plausable way to stop it and there are few options due to legal constraints

    Why thy do not pass the WDA is beyond me, but ERG are beyond redemption in my party and for me
    Well maybe a few more Labour MPs will back a WA they have no real objection to and....sorry, couldn't finish that one with a straight face.
    Ultimately May has found herself in a poker game with Corbyn, Barnier and Foster. And she's not very good.
    May said she was a tough negotiator! lol

    I cannot understand how someone so inadequate and completely out of their depth has survived as long as she has. She is really very bad. Embarrassingly bad!

    Nobody had the balls or moral fibre to do so. All of them thought they'd let her take the blame and they'd rule over the rubble. It's good for them and if it fucks us up, well, we're only the voters... :(
    The Tories are in real trouble over Brexit. The people I have talked to over the last few days who usually support the Tories are starting to get really angry that Brexit is going ahead despite the likely implications of a No Deal Brexit. May has to act in the national interest and revoke article 50. If she sides with the hard Brexit crowd it is not unfeasible that the Tories could suffer a Canadian 1990s style Wipeout.
    You are talking to different Tories than me.....
    To be fair I suspect there are many Tories taking many different views but I had a similar experience to Taxman - speaking to a Tory member who cannot understand why his party is putting business at risk and tearing themselves apart. Not all Tory members are rabid Leavers.
    Talking about me again Ben !!!
    You're one of many Big_G - sensible Tories still exist but both Labour and the Tories seem to be being taken over by extremists.
  • FF43FF43 Posts: 17,208
    edited March 2019

    viewcode said:

    Pulpstar said:

    kle4 said:

    Which government ministers will be resigning if May is forced to adopt a Customs Union?

    Ben - I have given up caring

    Hold fast there Big_G - it can't go on for too much longer, it really can't*.

    (*He says, more in hope than expectation.)
    12th April is high noon and no deal beckons

    The mps have to take a plausable way to stop it and there are few options due to legal constraints

    Why thy do not pass the WDA is beyond me, but ERG are beyond redemption in my party and for me
    Well maybe a few more Labour MPs will back a WA they have no real objection to and....sorry, couldn't finish that one with a straight face.
    Ultimately May has found herself in a poker game with Corbyn, Barnier and Foster. And she's not very good.
    May said she was a tough negotiator! lol

    I cannot understand how someone so inadequate and completely out of their depth has survived as long as she has. She is really very bad. Embarrassingly bad!

    Nobody had the balls or moral fibre to do so. All of them thought they'd let her take the blame and they'd rule over the rubble. It's good for them and if it fucks us up, well, we're only the voters... :(
    The Tories are in real trouble over Brexit. The people I have talked to over the last few days who usually support the Tories are starting to get really angry that Brexit is going ahead despite the likely implications of a No Deal Brexit. May has to act in the national interest and revoke article 50. If she sides with the hard Brexit crowd it is not unfeasible that the Tories could suffer a Canadian 1990s style Wipeout.
    The Tories have become UKIP. If you were a Conservative of a couple of years ago, who opposed UKIP at the time you will be alienated by what the party has become.
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 34,705
    edited March 2019
    Pulpstar said:

    NeilVW said:

    The Telegraph reckons 13 no-dealers in the Cabinet and 10 customs union supporters (4 undecided).

    I think that's wishful thinking on the Telegraph's part:

    Which of these are No Dealers?:

    Steve Barclay
    Karen Bradley
    James Brokenshire
    Alun Cairns
    Greg Clark
    Geoffrey Cox
    Leo Docherty
    Liam Fox
    David Gauke
    Michael Gove
    Chris Grayling
    Philip Hammond
    Matt Hancock
    Damian Hinds
    Jeremy Hunt
    Sajid Javid
    Eleanor Laing
    Andrea Leadsom
    Brandon Lewis
    David Lidington
    Theresa May
    Penny Mordaunt
    David Mundell
    Caroline Nokes
    Claire Perry
    Amber Rudd
    Julian Smith
    Liz Truss
    Gavin Williamson
    Jeremy Wright


    Fox, Leadsom, Mordaunt, Truss, Barclay, who else?
    Leadsom, Hunt, "THE SAJ"
    Well there's only one Leadsom (thankfully) and I included her.

    Hunt and Javid - no; they may have played to the crowd a bit but no sign that when push comes to shove they'd support No Deal imho.
  • viewcodeviewcode Posts: 22,136
    Roger said:


    kle4 said:

    Which government ministers will be resigning if May is forced to adopt a Customs Union?

    Any who signed the no deal letter for a start. Isn't that meant to be Hunt and Javid?
    Javid looks like a Vampire. Should we be worried?
    In any other country, a vampire wielding supreme executive authority might seem strange. Here, it's just another Monday... :(
  • NeilVWNeilVW Posts: 732

    Pulpstar said:

    NeilVW said:

    The Telegraph reckons 13 no-dealers in the Cabinet and 10 customs union supporters (4 undecided).

    I think that's wishful thinking on the Telegraph's part:

    Which of these are No Dealers?:

    Steve Barclay
    Karen Bradley
    James Brokenshire
    Alun Cairns
    Greg Clark
    Geoffrey Cox
    Leo Docherty
    Liam Fox
    David Gauke
    Michael Gove
    Chris Grayling
    Philip Hammond
    Matt Hancock
    Damian Hinds
    Jeremy Hunt
    Sajid Javid
    Eleanor Laing
    Andrea Leadsom
    Brandon Lewis
    David Lidington
    Theresa May
    Penny Mordaunt
    David Mundell
    Caroline Nokes
    Claire Perry
    Amber Rudd
    Julian Smith
    Liz Truss
    Gavin Williamson
    Jeremy Wright


    Fox, Leadsom, Mordaunt, Truss, Barclay, who else?
    Leadsom, Hunt, "THE SAJ"
    ...
    Hunt and Javid - no; they may have played to the crowd a bit but no sign that when push comes to shove they'd support No Deal imho.
    They are both allegedly signatories to the letter.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 123,186

    viewcode said:

    Pulpstar said:

    kle4 said:

    Which government ministers will be resigning if May is forced to adopt a Customs Union?

    Ben - I have given up caring

    Hold fast there Big_G - it can't go on for too much longer, it really can't*.

    (*He says, more in hope than expectation.)
    12th April is high noon and no deal beckons

    The mps have to take a plausable way to stop it and there are few options due to legal constraints

    Why thy do not pass the WDA is beyond me, but ERG are beyond redemption in my party and for me
    Well maybe a few more Labour MPs will back a WA they have no real objection to and....sorry, couldn't finish that one with a straight face.
    Ultimately May has found herself in a poker game with Corbyn, Barnier and Foster. And she's not very good.
    May said she was a tough negotiator! lol

    I cannot understand how someone so inadequate and completely out of their depth has survived as long as she has. She is really very bad. Embarrassingly bad!

    Nobody had the balls or moral fibre to do so. All of them thought they'd let her take the blame and they'd rule over the rubble. It's good for them and if it fucks us up, well, we're only the voters... :(
    The Tories are in real trouble over Brexit. The people I have talked to over the last few days who usually support the Tories are starting to get really angry that Brexit is going ahead despite the likely implications of a No Deal Brexit. May has to act in the national interest and revoke article 50. If she sides with the hard Brexit crowd it is not unfeasible that the Tories could suffer a Canadian 1990s style Wipeout.
    Actually the reverse, Deltapoll today had Tory voters backing No Deal 57% to 36%, Tory voters rejected EUref2 61% to 29% and revoke 59% to 31% so the only way the Tories suffer a 1990s style Wipeout is by backing EUref2 or revoke as they would then likely be overtaken by Farage's new Brexit Party or UKIP much as the Progressive Tories in Canada were overtaken by the more rightwing Reform Party in 1993. The only other option on Brexit Tories supported was May's Deal plus CU 42% to 27% although that still got less Tory support than No Deal

    http://www.deltapoll.co.uk/polls/brexit-conservatives

    Indeed in Epping canvassing at the weekend I found on balance more voters complaining that we were still in the EU when we due to Leave last Friday than wanted to stop Brexit completely.

  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 34,705
    NeilVW said:

    Pulpstar said:

    NeilVW said:

    The Telegraph reckons 13 no-dealers in the Cabinet and 10 customs union supporters (4 undecided).

    I think that's wishful thinking on the Telegraph's part:

    Which of these are No Dealers?:

    Steve Barclay
    Karen Bradley
    James Brokenshire
    Alun Cairns
    Greg Clark
    Geoffrey Cox
    Leo Docherty
    Liam Fox
    David Gauke
    Michael Gove
    Chris Grayling
    Philip Hammond
    Matt Hancock
    Damian Hinds
    Jeremy Hunt
    Sajid Javid
    Eleanor Laing
    Andrea Leadsom
    Brandon Lewis
    David Lidington
    Theresa May
    Penny Mordaunt
    David Mundell
    Caroline Nokes
    Claire Perry
    Amber Rudd
    Julian Smith
    Liz Truss
    Gavin Williamson
    Jeremy Wright


    Fox, Leadsom, Mordaunt, Truss, Barclay, who else?
    Leadsom, Hunt, "THE SAJ"
    ...
    Hunt and Javid - no; they may have played to the crowd a bit but no sign that when push comes to shove they'd support No Deal imho.
    They are both allegedly signatories to the letter.
    I find it surprising the letter's not been leaked tbh.
  • The_TaxmanThe_Taxman Posts: 2,979
    edited March 2019

    nielh said:

    viewcode said:

    kle4 said:

    kle4 said:

    Mortimer said:

    So, Gauke is pushing the (IMHO minority) view that May will be forced to accept a customs union if somehow it goes support this week (I’m doubtful myself).

    I suspect 11 of these would resign if that happened: https://www.gov.uk/government/ministers

    Maybe but Gauke may not be wrong, sadly. There is one report in today’s papers that if May’s deal doesn’t pass, she’ll go for a soft Brexit which will satisfy absolutely no one
    It will satisfy many and possibly the majority in the HOC

    I do not agree with it but I accept the reality
    I’d rather see the manifesto on which the Tories were elected honoured.
    Sometimes manifestoes cannot be honoured, sometimes u-turns are justified and/or necessary

    Most of the outcomes now are not what many people will have wanted. Well, half the country wasn't going to get what it wanted anyway (although they might, if we remain), and neither will many others.

    Something this big?
    Rawnesley's characteristically sharp piece in the Observer today cited exactly that feature as one of the reasons why May is likely to go down as one of the worst PM's in the last hundred years.
    Asquith?

    It is way to early to judge either Cameron or May.
    Indeed - many months and even years need to pass to assess their success or failure
    John Major is seen as being better now than he was in the 1990s but he never did anything to screw up the long term ability of the economy to grow. I liked John Major, I remember seeing him in Westminster a few months after the 1997 Tory wipe out. People were enthusiastic toward him despite the Tories brand being as popular as the black death in those times I felt people were boyed by the experience of seeing an ex PM!

    I think the current PM has a fundamental flaw in that she has made some very poor decisions and is clearly utterly clueless. The DUP are never going to vote for her deal as it weakens the union. DUP are not interested in economics, they are principally only interested in saving the political union of UK and NI. If that means more poverty then so be it in their eyes. A bit like the Brexit fundamentalists who don't seem to care that tracts of the economy might close down.
  • WhisperingOracleWhisperingOracle Posts: 9,167
    edited March 2019
    April Fool's Day 2019 - the day that may decide both the future of Brexit and the Tory party.
  • nico67nico67 Posts: 4,502
    NeilVW said:

    Pulpstar said:

    NeilVW said:

    The Telegraph reckons 13 no-dealers in the Cabinet and 10 customs union supporters (4 undecided).

    I think that's wishful thinking on the Telegraph's part:

    Which of these are No Dealers?:

    Steve Barclay
    Karen Bradley
    James Brokenshire
    Alun Cairns
    Greg Clark
    Geoffrey Cox
    Leo Docherty
    Liam Fox
    David Gauke
    Michael Gove
    Chris Grayling
    Philip Hammond
    Matt Hancock
    Damian Hinds
    Jeremy Hunt
    Sajid Javid
    Eleanor Laing
    Andrea Leadsom
    Brandon Lewis
    David Lidington
    Theresa May
    Penny Mordaunt
    David Mundell
    Caroline Nokes
    Claire Perry
    Amber Rudd
    Julian Smith
    Liz Truss
    Gavin Williamson
    Jeremy Wright


    Fox, Leadsom, Mordaunt, Truss, Barclay, who else?
    Leadsom, Hunt, "THE SAJ"
    ...
    Hunt and Javid - no; they may have played to the crowd a bit but no sign that when push comes to shove they'd support No Deal imho.
    They are both allegedly signatories to the letter.
    Yes Hunt and Javid are both born again Leavers . Anyone with leadership ambitions has to prove themselves to the lunatic membership .
  • DecrepitJohnLDecrepitJohnL Posts: 13,300

    April Fool's Day 2019 - the day that decide both the future of Brexit and of the Tory party.

    and will give us the five day entries for the Grand National, which is more important.
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 49,871
    Perhaps this is the week the Tory Party will finally break. A division that has been predicted for much of my adult lifetime.
  • Danny565Danny565 Posts: 8,091
    IanB2 said:

    Perhaps this is the week the Tory Party will finally break. A division that has been predicted for much of my adult lifetime.

    Good chance Dominic Grieve is PM before 12 April, IMO.
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,218
    Hunt might be planning a bait and switch on No Dealers if he comes into power, but he's definitely in the hardline camp on Europe right now in the cabinet I think.
  • RoyalBlueRoyalBlue Posts: 3,223
    edited March 2019
    IanB2 said:

    Perhaps this is the week the Tory Party will finally break. A division that has been predicted for much of my adult lifetime.

    The Tories didn’t quite split over tariff reform, albeit they did suffer defections.

    The party will not split over no deal, but it will lose 10-20 MPs. On balance I think embracing the customs union makes a split more likely, so May won’t do it.
  • Danny565Danny565 Posts: 8,091
    Pulpstar said:

    Hunt might be planning a bait and switch on No Dealers if he comes into power, but he's definitely in the hardline camp on Europe right now in the cabinet I think.

    God, him and Sajid Javid are such idiots.

    Atleast the likes of Leadsom and Davis genuinely believe the nonsense they come out with.
  • RoyalBlueRoyalBlue Posts: 3,223
    Danny565 said:

    IanB2 said:

    Perhaps this is the week the Tory Party will finally break. A division that has been predicted for much of my adult lifetime.

    Good chance Dominic Grieve is PM before 12 April, IMO.
    There is zero chance. If we have a new PM by 12 April, it will be Jeremy Corbyn.
  • The_TaxmanThe_Taxman Posts: 2,979



    FF43 said:

    viewcode said:

    Pulpstar said:

    kle4 said:

    Which government ministers will be resigning if May is forced to adopt a Customs Union?

    Ben - I have given up caring

    Hold fast there Big_G - it can't go on for too much longer, it really can't*.

    (*He says, more in hope than expectation.)
    12th April is high noon and no deal beckons

    The mps have to take a plausable way to stop it and there are few options due to legal constraints

    Why thy do not pass the WDA is beyond me, but ERG are beyond redemption in my party and for me
    Well maybe a few more Labour MPs will back a WA they have no real objection to and....sorry, couldn't finish that one with a straight face.
    Ultimately May has found herself in a poker game with Corbyn, Barnier and Foster. And she's not very good.
    May said she was a tough negotiator! lol

    I cannot understand how someone so inadequate and completely out of their depth has survived as long as she has. She is really very bad. Embarrassingly bad!

    Nobody had the balls or moral fibre to do so. All of them thought they'd let her take the blame and they'd rule over the rubble. It's good for them and if it fucks us up, well, we're only the voters... :(
    The Tories are in real trouble over Brexit. The people I have talked to over the last few days who usually support the Tories are starting to get really angry that Brexit is going ahead despite the likely implications of a No Deal Brexit. May has to act in the national interest and revoke article 50. If she sides with the hard Brexit crowd it is not unfeasible that the Tories could suffer a Canadian 1990s style Wipeout.
    The Tories have become UKIP. If you were a Conservative of a couple of years ago, who opposed UKIP at the time you will be alienated by what the party has become.
    The type of Tories I meet have been lifelong supporters. The support structure for the party may have changed and this maybe why none of us are likely to vote for it again. Personally, I think the Tories made a mistake to ditch middle of the road Tories for fair weather Brexit supporters. I think I will support Change/ Independent group and failing that Lib Dems until Labour is taken back by the moderates.
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