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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Even though TMay slumped to her worst ever Ipsos-MORI PM ratin
politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Even though TMay slumped to her worst ever Ipsos-MORI PM ratings & Corbyn has the second worst Opposition leader rating
Just out today is the latest Ipsos-MORI political monitor whicht has the Tories taking a lead of 4% over labour. Last time the two main parties were level pegging.
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I think No Deal won't be disastrous because I have trust in business and individuals abilities to shield themselves.
Consider it a laissez-faire Brexit.
Still no sign of communique as leaders are now going backwards and forwards discussing ideas with TM and it may be hours yet
The whole brexit is crazy
There were reports a couple of days ago that he is tired and fed up. Perhaps McDonnell can persuade him to go for the good of the party and the project.
Have we had the SoS phase yet, or is that to come?
Anyone else (almost) in Labour would poll better than Corbyn
Would it not be more in their interests to just say an extension to 11 April to decide what we want? It's not like it is being kind to May to pretend the deal might get approved before then.
On the other matter I simply don't believe polls showing Tory leads. If there's a GE that proves me wrong, fine, but this is not a matter of really wanting them to suffer, it's not like I care at all for Corbyn's Labour, but I simply cannot believe a government like this could lead in the polls.
They have made their choice and Dublin seems to be on side with it. In fact when UK crash out without a deal the pubs in Dublin will be bouncing. Maybe economically they don’t have much to celebrate, though anticipate their powerful EU friend bending backwards to help them, but Dublin pubs celebrating is key actually. the delight not just in Dublin but around the world as Britain burns hundreds of years of being strong and stable and having the upper hand. it doesn’t matter if you don’t see it that way, only that they do.
This crisis in Britain now has been a growing shadow across these lands for the last 25 years at least. Preferring Blair as PM over Hague and Howard masked what was really happening, masked that Labour had no answer to the negative impacts of globalisation, de industrialisation, no government then or since will tackle looming social care and NHS time bombs, and the only answer to British unease over immigration to UK in EU single market has been brexit.
So lets be honest and see the role nationalism and identity has played in this brexit outcome, right from the start in the 97 GE as Maastricht sank into the English mindfulness. there were two union jacks behind Theresa May as she addressed the nation this week, yet she is oblivious to how this crisis challenges them, threatening to make them relics from a bygone age, if those union jacks are weaker today than ever it proves what this whole process has underlined, its not the British parliament anymore is it? Its not a British Brexit, it’s the English who have done this.
It’s the ego of a Captain of this world that wore the pips for hundreds of years, and couldn’t face going back into the ranks when the inevitable time came.
Unless you actually believe such times may never come?
And remember as I continually repeat the only game in town here, is who else can I blame and here the EU is passing the buck back to someone else.
One thing is certain, leadership election rules are not fit for purpose for electing a PM during a crisis.
No, I don't think so either.
But she'd still have to stay on as acting PM and if she refuses to delay A50 we still leave a week tomorrow...
Actually, judging by that poll I just put up, I really doubt that Remain would win a 2nd vote "easily". I was beginning to think it myself, but hmm.
If we had a revote there would be a very strong possibility the Brits would say Fuck You all over again, and with added vehemence, because they weren't heard the first time.
Also, what would the Remainer campaign say? What would be their slogan?
The Leave campaign would be simple and brutally effective. TELL THEM AGAIN.
I guess the only reason the EU included the wording about the deal is so that May has to bring it to the vote really - she has to at least try to get it passed, not just sit on her heels for 2 and a half weeks. Nope, still do not get it. This is a government in, for once, genuine actual crisis. It's paralysed, its incompetent, there's no unanimity of purpose, no authority. Corbyn's bad, but 4 pts behind the Tories bad? No way.
Good night all. Another 3 weeks of this crap, my gods. 1 day, that's all it should take, 1 day! Vote after vote after vote.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1997_Winchester_by-election
I seem to recall you being pleased she won in December. How does that feel now?
Will the lofty, up-their-own-arses Told You So Remainers be able to restrain themselves over a whole campaign? Tricky.
FACT
CON heading for overall majority GE2019 then smooth Brexit
FACT
FACT
Feels pretty good...
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I could be wrong ofcourse, and they could be about to break the habit of a Conservative lifetime - but it would be shocking.
As for an example just look at the TSB migration and our preparation for No Deal is far less than TSBs.
Peak banter would be if it hit 17,410,743 at 11pm on the 29th.
Maybe explains why Theresa's relaxed about it?
Remember, this is choosing the PM, not the leader of the opposition.
What if they aren't acceptable to DUP? GE.
It is fourteen, count 'em,14 years since a Conservative leader was selected by the membership. What do they pay their subs for?
The only way the Tory party gets out of Brexit alive is to make a success of no deal. I have no idea if that is possible.
National Interest
Even then Boris on the ballot would be enough for me to debate who I should vote for.