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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » A no deal Brexit on March 29th move from a 12% chance to 22% i

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  • RecidivistRecidivist Posts: 4,679
    The numbers are still shooting up like Mark François’ blood sugar levels after a wine gum binge.

    https://petition.parliament.uk/petitions/241584
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 48,741
    TOPPING said:

    OK so May has shown herself unfit to be PM but not for the reasons popularly stated.

    Given all the mistakes she made (and there were many) the deal she negotiated was just about the best possible. She is right that it is MPs who have refused to pursue the least bad, most pragmatic. Her deal is just about the only sensible way forward.

    It is how she has handled its passage including notably last night that marks her out as manifestly not up to the job.

    It was always going to be the EU27 Deal or No Deal, so I do not blame May for that.

    She is culpable for her complete inability to gather support, even amongst her closest colleagues for it, and her management of the Meaningful Votes just shows how little understanding of other people she has. Even now her tone is threatening and bullying.
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 60,503

    And the rate of signing on the Revoke Article 50 petition is back up to the 1,000+ per minute it was managing yesterday. At this rate it will hit a million sometime this evening.

    So what?
    It's a part of the public discussion of Brexit, and is pretty strong evidence that a lot more people find revoking appealing than no deal. It may be too late, and I think it probably is, but ultimately that has to factor into MPs voting behaviour. But if revocation doesn't happen it will certainly be very encouraging for the rejoin campaign which will no doubt be forming once we leave.
    That’s a masterclass in confirmation bias.

    You want to revoke and, if we do Leave, rejoin in prompt order.

    There’s certainly a large constituency for that but don’t fall into a trap of thinking it’s where the centre of gravity of public opinion is.
    I don't know where the centre of gravity in public opinion is. But confirmation bias aside, we both know which direction it is travelling in.
    Leavers and Remainers are both firming up on the extremes.

    I’d say Remain had an advantage but far from a decisive or inevitable one.
  • CarlottaVanceCarlottaVance Posts: 60,216

    We are at the point where in other countries the military would be taking over or the people would be in the streets or both. We are a failing state bereft of leadership with no coherent, credible alternative available. The deceptions and delusions of Brexit have destroyed us.

    Im surprised youre still living here :-)
    He's a brave little soldier......who might benefit from a lie down and no more caffeine...
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 62,772

    Scott_P said:
    That's angry, but when does it convert into actual resignation.
    I've never heard so many month of angry briefings, but she's still in place. Maybe last night was the last straw for them, but we'll have to see.
    I know Lord Adonis is unpopular on this forum, but he has been warning for months that one day there will be an Iraq-style public inquiry, and MPs and leaders should be mindful of how they will appear in that final report.
  • TheuniondivvieTheuniondivvie Posts: 42,008
    Foxy said:

    bunnco said:


    Leaders have to be comfortable in their own skin and do well on TV. You need to view all leadership candidates through that prism.

    That's right. But that's not enough in itself. It's about the Person & Personality but it has to be about the Politics/Political Vision and the Proposition.

    And in a crowded field, a successful candidate needs a distinctive proposition, a USP - Unique Selling Proposition. Which the print media can understand and get behind.

    My comments below re 'The Sun Says' refer. A proposition that isn't 'virtue signalling and hectoring us over what we eat or throw away' can give the comfort in their own skin and do well on TV.

    The punters want substance as well as media performability.

    Bunnco - Your Man on the Spot
    Greetings Bunnco! long time no hear.

    The flaw is that Truss is a gaffe prone half wit, though that would still be a step up from May.
    Harshly fair. Would calling her the Tories' Burgon be damning her with faint opprobrium?
  • kjhkjh Posts: 11,815
    Charles said:

    Foxy said:

    Sean_F said:

    We are at the point where in other countries the military would be taking over or the people would be in the streets or both. We are a failing state bereft of leadership with no coherent, credible alternative available. The deceptions and delusions of Brexit have destroyed us.

    The fact that neither the army nor people are in the streets shows that we are not a failing state.
    The people will be on the streets on Saturday.

    The army is merely on standby:

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-46910535
    You do realise that just because Gavin Williamson says something it doesn’t actually happen?
    Thank goodness for that.
  • Cicero said:

    Charles said:

    HYUFD said:
    I’d be interested in a transcript of that discussion

    It seems unlikely - I suspect she may be making it up / exaggerating for effect

    Why does it seem unlikely? If she has made it up her Tweet would be actionable.

    Actually I have seen recent several occasions where hardliner Leavers completely lose it. Unfortunately it rings all too true.
    There would almost certainly have been witnesses, technicians and other staff most likely. They would be reluctant to testify no doubt but their presence would make it unlikely anyone would risk a libel.
  • Dura_AceDura_Ace Posts: 13,677
    Charles said:



    You do realise that just because Gavin Williamson says something it doesn’t actually happen?

    Displaying his typical anguine cunning The Fireplace Salesman gauged yesterday was a good to bury bad news and cancelled the RAF's ASDOT program.
  • TheuniondivvieTheuniondivvie Posts: 42,008
    TOPPING said:

    Charles said:

    Foxy said:

    Elite neoliberal biscuits, if you must know.
    Thank God - I thought they might be crackers, masquerading under a posh name......
    Brie reasonable! May is stuck between a Roquefort and a hard place.
    Edam right.
    Don’t Gouda him. I cammerbert any more of these puns.
    May for some extraordinary reason thinks victory for her deal is stilton.
    Manchegottago.
  • CharlesCharles Posts: 35,758

    Cicero said:

    Charles said:

    HYUFD said:
    I’d be interested in a transcript of that discussion

    It seems unlikely - I suspect she may be making it up / exaggerating for effect

    Why does it seem unlikely? If she has made it up her Tweet would be actionable.

    Actually I have seen recent several occasions where hardliner Leavers completely lose it. Unfortunately it rings all too true.
    There would almost certainly have been witnesses, technicians and other staff most likely. They would be reluctant to testify no doubt but their presence would make it unlikely anyone would risk a libel.
    No one’s going to sue for that tweet

  • CharlesCharles Posts: 35,758
    Dura_Ace said:

    Charles said:



    You do realise that just because Gavin Williamson says something it doesn’t actually happen?

    Displaying his typical anguine cunning The Fireplace Salesman gauged yesterday was a good to bury bad news and cancelled the RAF's ASDOT program.
    As cunning as Professor Fox
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 60,503

    We are at the point where in other countries the military would be taking over or the people would be in the streets or both. We are a failing state bereft of leadership with no coherent, credible alternative available. The deceptions and delusions of Brexit have destroyed us.

    Calm down.

    I am very calm.

    Your posts suggest you are anything but.
  • FF43FF43 Posts: 17,208

    FF43 said:

    Scott_P said:
    There was one noteworthy thing from May's speech - apart from how dishonest and, literally irresponsible it was: she mentioned No Deal but didn't argue against it, unlike extension or referendum.
    The maybot has gone rogue?
    According to her minders, who don't seem to be doing a good job of controlling her, this was supposedly a pitch to Labour MPs to get on with the job of approving her policy. Don't see it working at that level. Or any level really.

    If Labour MPs do abstain enough to pass the deal, it will be because they felt trapped by an incompetent and dishonest PM, much as many of her own MPs will feel. It will store up resentment for the future negotiations where real hard decisions need to be made.
  • Chris said:

    And the rate of signing on the Revoke Article 50 petition is back up to the 1,000+ per minute it was managing yesterday. At this rate it will hit a million sometime this evening.

    Until recently, although I voted Remain and thought leaving was a stupid decision, I always thought it was right to honour the result of the referendum, provided we didn't leave without a deal.

    But what's happening now is plain ridiculous, so I've signed it.
    I think that's a pretty common journey. In my case I was arguing for May's deal at a dinner party last November, and going on the march on Saturday with the people I was arguing against. When the history books get to be written I think the story that will emerge will be of a potential consensus for leaving being thrown away.
    Yes, my own journey has been similar. As a reluctant Remainer I couldn't see why we would not accept May's deal, with all its imperfections. Now I am very happy to see it go down and calm at the prospect of No Deal if that's where it takes us.

    Planning to be there Saturday.
  • CarlottaVanceCarlottaVance Posts: 60,216

    We are at the point where in other countries the military would be taking over or the people would be in the streets or both.

    And yet we are not.

    Full employment (slowly) rising wages and a good deal more sang froid than some are displaying this morning could be factors....
  • We are at the point where in other countries the military would be taking over or the people would be in the streets or both.

    And yet we are not.

    Full employment (slowly) rising wages and a good deal more sang froid than some are displaying this morning could be factors....
    ..all with the help of EU membership.
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 62,772
    FF43 said:

    FF43 said:

    Scott_P said:
    There was one noteworthy thing from May's speech - apart from how dishonest and, literally irresponsible it was: she mentioned No Deal but didn't argue against it, unlike extension or referendum.
    The maybot has gone rogue?
    According to her minders, who don't seem to be doing a good job of controlling her, this was supposedly a pitch to Labour MPs to get on with the job of approving her policy. Don't see it working at that level. Or any level really.

    If Labour MPs do abstain enough to pass the deal, it will be because they felt trapped by an incompetent and dishonest PM, much as many of her own MPs will feel. It will store up resentment for the future negotiations where real hard decisions need to be made.
    Your latter point is well made. In all this madness, pretty much nobody seems to have noticed that the WA is just an minor exit agreement compared to the full monty of the two year trade discussions. God help us.
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 71,268
    TOPPING said:

    OK so May has shown herself unfit to be PM but not for the reasons popularly stated.

    Given all the mistakes she made (and there were many) the deal she negotiated was just about the best possible. She is right that it is MPs who have refused to pursue the least bad, most pragmatic. Her deal is just about the only sensible way forward.

    It is how she has handled its passage including notably last night that marks her out as manifestly not up to the job.

    We can argue about the merits of the deal, but the fact remains that it is not supported by Parliament, and also not supported by the public May tendentiously claims to be speaking for, from the evidence of pretty well all polling on the issue.

    What is quite extraordinary is how May, in conjunction with the EU, has engineered this latest cliff edge - applying for the three month extension without any pretence of consulting her cabinet.

    I’ll be very interested to see how Ken Clarke reacts to this.

  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 60,503

    Scott_P said:
    That's angry, but when does it convert into actual resignation.
    I've never heard so many month of angry briefings, but she's still in place. Maybe last night was the last straw for them, but we'll have to see.
    I know Lord Adonis is unpopular on this forum, but he has been warning for months that one day there will be an Iraq-style public inquiry, and MPs and leaders should be mindful of how they will appear in that final report.
    Yes, but he also calls the BBC the Brexit Broadcasting Corporation.

    The man is unhinged.
  • CharlesCharles Posts: 35,758

    Chris said:

    And the rate of signing on the Revoke Article 50 petition is back up to the 1,000+ per minute it was managing yesterday. At this rate it will hit a million sometime this evening.

    Until recently, although I voted Remain and thought leaving was a stupid decision, I always thought it was right to honour the result of the referendum, provided we didn't leave without a deal.

    But what's happening now is plain ridiculous, so I've signed it.
    I think that's a pretty common journey. In my case I was arguing for May's deal at a dinner party last November, and going on the march on Saturday with the people I was arguing against. When the history books get to be written I think the story that will emerge will be of a potential consensus for leaving being thrown away.
    Yes, my own journey has been similar. As a reluctant Remainer I couldn't see why we would not accept May's deal, with all its imperfections. Now I am very happy to see it go down and calm at the prospect of No Deal if that's where it takes us.

    Planning to be there Saturday.
    I’m fine with May’s deal. It’s not great but it’s ok. But if it falls no deal, disruptive as it will be, is the rightful consequence.
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 60,503

    The numbers are still shooting up like Mark François’ blood sugar levels after a wine gum binge.

    https://petition.parliament.uk/petitions/241584

    I’m not sure your enthusiasm for posting updates on this petition on here every 15 minutes is widely shared.

    Go and have a lie down.
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 60,503

    Sean_F said:

    We are at the point where in other countries the military would be taking over or the people would be in the streets or both. We are a failing state bereft of leadership with no coherent, credible alternative available. The deceptions and delusions of Brexit have destroyed us.

    The fact that neither the army nor people are in the streets shows that we are not a failing state.

    I disagree. Failure comes in many forms. Ceasing to exist as a consequence of an inability to build consensus is one measure, for example; as are deliberate self-harm, international humiliation and the ceding of all control to foreign powers.

    The hyperbole from you today is extreme.

    Try and stay off the booze for the next 10 days, for your own health.
  • CharlesCharles Posts: 35,758

    FF43 said:

    FF43 said:

    Scott_P said:
    There was one noteworthy thing from May's speech - apart from how dishonest and, literally irresponsible it was: she mentioned No Deal but didn't argue against it, unlike extension or referendum.
    The maybot has gone rogue?
    According to her minders, who don't seem to be doing a good job of controlling her, this was supposedly a pitch to Labour MPs to get on with the job of approving her policy. Don't see it working at that level. Or any level really.

    If Labour MPs do abstain enough to pass the deal, it will be because they felt trapped by an incompetent and dishonest PM, much as many of her own MPs will feel. It will store up resentment for the future negotiations where real hard decisions need to be made.
    Your latter point is well made. In all this madness, pretty much nobody seems to have noticed that the WA is just an minor exit agreement compared to the full monty of the two year trade discussions. God help us.
    I think you are overworried about that

    This matters because it’s when Brexit becomes real - for both sides it’s existential.

    Trade deals are trade deals
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 52,622

    FF43 said:

    FF43 said:

    Scott_P said:
    There was one noteworthy thing from May's speech - apart from how dishonest and, literally irresponsible it was: she mentioned No Deal but didn't argue against it, unlike extension or referendum.
    The maybot has gone rogue?
    According to her minders, who don't seem to be doing a good job of controlling her, this was supposedly a pitch to Labour MPs to get on with the job of approving her policy. Don't see it working at that level. Or any level really.

    If Labour MPs do abstain enough to pass the deal, it will be because they felt trapped by an incompetent and dishonest PM, much as many of her own MPs will feel. It will store up resentment for the future negotiations where real hard decisions need to be made.
    Your latter point is well made. In all this madness, pretty much nobody seems to have noticed that the WA is just an minor exit agreement compared to the full monty of the two year trade discussions. God help us.
    But I think we can all agree now - May will not be part of that process.
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 62,772

    FF43 said:

    FF43 said:

    Scott_P said:
    There was one noteworthy thing from May's speech - apart from how dishonest and, literally irresponsible it was: she mentioned No Deal but didn't argue against it, unlike extension or referendum.
    The maybot has gone rogue?
    According to her minders, who don't seem to be doing a good job of controlling her, this was supposedly a pitch to Labour MPs to get on with the job of approving her policy. Don't see it working at that level. Or any level really.

    If Labour MPs do abstain enough to pass the deal, it will be because they felt trapped by an incompetent and dishonest PM, much as many of her own MPs will feel. It will store up resentment for the future negotiations where real hard decisions need to be made.
    Your latter point is well made. In all this madness, pretty much nobody seems to have noticed that the WA is just an minor exit agreement compared to the full monty of the two year trade discussions. God help us.
    But I think we can all agree now - May will not be part of that process.
    Let's hope not.
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 60,503
    Sean_F said:

    matt said:

    To borrow from Alastair Meeks, have MPs reached the panic point or do they all still consider themselves the cleverest people the the room?

    There’s a fair amount more space for panicking yet. The weekend should be full of it.
    I think we're still at the stage where most MP's believe total victory is achievable.
    And, if not, they think the aftermath of their unpreferred outcome will grant it to them eventually anyway.
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 51,726
    Charles said:

    Chris said:

    And the rate of signing on the Revoke Article 50 petition is back up to the 1,000+ per minute it was managing yesterday. At this rate it will hit a million sometime this evening.

    Until recently, although I voted Remain and thought leaving was a stupid decision, I always thought it was right to honour the result of the referendum, provided we didn't leave without a deal.

    But what's happening now is plain ridiculous, so I've signed it.
    I think that's a pretty common journey. In my case I was arguing for May's deal at a dinner party last November, and going on the march on Saturday with the people I was arguing against. When the history books get to be written I think the story that will emerge will be of a potential consensus for leaving being thrown away.
    Yes, my own journey has been similar. As a reluctant Remainer I couldn't see why we would not accept May's deal, with all its imperfections. Now I am very happy to see it go down and calm at the prospect of No Deal if that's where it takes us.

    Planning to be there Saturday.
    I’m fine with May’s deal. It’s not great but it’s ok. But if it falls no deal, disruptive as it will be, is the rightful consequence.
    Where would the democratic legitimacy come from? It's not what anyone voted for.

    https://twitter.com/vote_leave/status/744138949384278016
  • CharlesCharles Posts: 35,758

    Charles said:

    Chris said:

    And the rate of signing on the Revoke Article 50 petition is back up to the 1,000+ per minute it was managing yesterday. At this rate it will hit a million sometime this evening.

    Until recently, although I voted Remain and thought leaving was a stupid decision, I always thought it was right to honour the result of the referendum, provided we didn't leave without a deal.

    But what's happening now is plain ridiculous, so I've signed it.
    I think that's a pretty common journey. In my case I was arguing for May's deal at a dinner party last November, and going on the march on Saturday with the people I was arguing against. When the history books get to be written I think the story that will emerge will be of a potential consensus for leaving being thrown away.
    Yes, my own journey has been similar. As a reluctant Remainer I couldn't see why we would not accept May's deal, with all its imperfections. Now I am very happy to see it go down and calm at the prospect of No Deal if that's where it takes us.

    Planning to be there Saturday.
    I’m fine with May’s deal. It’s not great but it’s ok. But if it falls no deal, disruptive as it will be, is the rightful consequence.
    Where would the democratic legitimacy come from? It's not what anyone voted for.

    https://twitter.com/vote_leave/status/744138949384278016
    People voted to leave the EU

    That was the question on the ballot paper

    Everything else is extrapolation
  • tottenhamWCtottenhamWC Posts: 352
    Charles said:

    Chris said:

    And the rate of signing on the Revoke Article 50 petition is back up to the 1,000+ per minute it was managing yesterday. At this rate it will hit a million sometime this evening.

    Until recently, although I voted Remain and thought leaving was a stupid decision, I always thought it was right to honour the result of the referendum, provided we didn't leave without a deal.

    But what's happening now is plain ridiculous, so I've signed it.
    I think that's a pretty common journey. In my case I was arguing for May's deal at a dinner party last November, and going on the march on Saturday with the people I was arguing against. When the history books get to be written I think the story that will emerge will be of a potential consensus for leaving being thrown away.
    Yes, my own journey has been similar. As a reluctant Remainer I couldn't see why we would not accept May's deal, with all its imperfections. Now I am very happy to see it go down and calm at the prospect of No Deal if that's where it takes us.

    Planning to be there Saturday.
    I’m fine with May’s deal. It’s not great but it’s ok. But if it falls no deal, disruptive as it will be, is the rightful consequence.
    In your opinion....
  • CarlottaVanceCarlottaVance Posts: 60,216

    We are at the point where in other countries the military would be taking over or the people would be in the streets or both.

    And yet we are not.

    Full employment (slowly) rising wages and a good deal more sang froid than some are displaying this morning could be factors....
    ..all with the help of EU membership.
    If 'EU membership' is such a key variable, how do you account for our relative performance:

    UK: 4.0% (actually now 3.9%, but same basis as other countries)
    France: 8.8%
    Italy: 10.5%
    Spain: 14.1%

    Only Germany (3.2%) beats us among the big EU countries.

    https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/statistics-explained/index.php/Unemployment_statistics
  • El_CapitanoEl_Capitano Posts: 4,239

    The numbers are still shooting up like Mark François’ blood sugar levels after a wine gum binge.

    https://petition.parliament.uk/petitions/241584

    I’m not sure your enthusiasm for posting updates on this petition on here every 15 minutes is widely shared.

    Go and have a lie down.
    500 000.
  • tottenhamWCtottenhamWC Posts: 352
    Charles said:

    Charles said:

    Chris said:

    And the rate of signing on the Revoke Article 50 petition is back up to the 1,000+ per minute it was managing yesterday. At this rate it will hit a million sometime this evening.

    Until recently, although I voted Remain and thought leaving was a stupid decision, I always thought it was right to honour the result of the referendum, provided we didn't leave without a deal.

    But what's happening now is plain ridiculous, so I've signed it.
    I think that's a pretty common journey. In my case I was arguing for May's deal at a dinner party last November, and going on the march on Saturday with the people I was arguing against. When the history books get to be written I think the story that will emerge will be of a potential consensus for leaving being thrown away.
    Yes, my own journey has been similar. As a reluctant Remainer I couldn't see why we would not accept May's deal, with all its imperfections. Now I am very happy to see it go down and calm at the prospect of No Deal if that's where it takes us.

    Planning to be there Saturday.
    I’m fine with May’s deal. It’s not great but it’s ok. But if it falls no deal, disruptive as it will be, is the rightful consequence.
    Where would the democratic legitimacy come from? It's not what anyone voted for.

    https://twitter.com/vote_leave/status/744138949384278016
    People voted to leave the EU

    That was the question on the ballot paper

    Everything else is extrapolation
    If only there was some way to test this extrapolation. Hang on a minute....
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 51,726
    Charles said:

    Charles said:

    Chris said:

    And the rate of signing on the Revoke Article 50 petition is back up to the 1,000+ per minute it was managing yesterday. At this rate it will hit a million sometime this evening.

    Until recently, although I voted Remain and thought leaving was a stupid decision, I always thought it was right to honour the result of the referendum, provided we didn't leave without a deal.

    But what's happening now is plain ridiculous, so I've signed it.
    I think that's a pretty common journey. In my case I was arguing for May's deal at a dinner party last November, and going on the march on Saturday with the people I was arguing against. When the history books get to be written I think the story that will emerge will be of a potential consensus for leaving being thrown away.
    Yes, my own journey has been similar. As a reluctant Remainer I couldn't see why we would not accept May's deal, with all its imperfections. Now I am very happy to see it go down and calm at the prospect of No Deal if that's where it takes us.

    Planning to be there Saturday.
    I’m fine with May’s deal. It’s not great but it’s ok. But if it falls no deal, disruptive as it will be, is the rightful consequence.
    Where would the democratic legitimacy come from? It's not what anyone voted for.

    https://twitter.com/vote_leave/status/744138949384278016
    People voted to leave the EU

    That was the question on the ballot paper

    Everything else is extrapolation
    There was no deadline on the ballot paper.
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 71,268

    Chris said:

    And the rate of signing on the Revoke Article 50 petition is back up to the 1,000+ per minute it was managing yesterday. At this rate it will hit a million sometime this evening.

    Until recently, although I voted Remain and thought leaving was a stupid decision, I always thought it was right to honour the result of the referendum, provided we didn't leave without a deal.

    But what's happening now is plain ridiculous, so I've signed it.
    I think that's a pretty common journey. In my case I was arguing for May's deal at a dinner party last November, and going on the march on Saturday with the people I was arguing against. When the history books get to be written I think the story that will emerge will be of a potential consensus for leaving being thrown away.
    Yes, my own journey has been similar. As a reluctant Remainer I couldn't see why we would not accept May's deal, with all its imperfections. Now I am very happy to see it go down and calm at the prospect of No Deal if that's where it takes us.

    Planning to be there Saturday.
    Close to my position, too, though I am far from sanguine about the prospect of No Deal.

    As pointed out just now, the WA is far from a conclusion of the issue, as May pretended in her utterly dishonest speech last night. And if it is reluctantly passed by an arm-twisted Parliament (which anyway looks unlikely) the legacy of bitterness will last long beyond the two years of wrangling which are programmed to follow.

  • RecidivistRecidivist Posts: 4,679

    The numbers are still shooting up like Mark François’ blood sugar levels after a wine gum binge.

    https://petition.parliament.uk/petitions/241584

    I’m not sure your enthusiasm for posting updates on this petition on here every 15 minutes is widely shared.

    Go and have a lie down.
    I need to earn a living so I will give it a rest. But if you change your mind and want an update, revoke article 50 is the top trending item on Twitter so there will be plenty of people talking about it on there. And the next milestone is getting to be the most signed current petition - just behind by a nose right now.


  • WhisperingOracleWhisperingOracle Posts: 9,167
    edited March 2019

    We are at the point where in other countries the military would be taking over or the people would be in the streets or both.

    And yet we are not.

    Full employment (slowly) rising wages and a good deal more sang froid than some are displaying this morning could be factors....
    ..all with the help of EU membership.
    If 'EU membership' is such a key variable, how do you account for our relative performance:

    UK: 4.0% (actually now 3.9%, but same basis as other countries)
    France: 8.8%
    Italy: 10.5%
    Spain: 14.1%

    Only Germany (3.2%) beats us among the big EU countries.

    https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/statistics-explained/index.php/Unemployment_statistics
    Look at the kind of jobs offered in Britain, and the levels of income and security they offer. That will help explain why indicators such as child poverty can be so high, with such apparent high employment compared to several Continental countries.
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 48,741

    The numbers are still shooting up like Mark François’ blood sugar levels after a wine gum binge.

    https://petition.parliament.uk/petitions/241584

    I’m not sure your enthusiasm for posting updates on this petition on here every 15 minutes is widely shared.

    Go and have a lie down.
    I need to earn a living so I will give it a rest. But if you change your mind and want an update, revoke article 50 is the top trending item on Twitter so there will be plenty of people talking about it on there. And the next milestone is getting to be the most signed current petition - just behind by a nose right now.


    A million signatures by teatime seems a reasonable target.
  • CarlottaVanceCarlottaVance Posts: 60,216
    You know how the Eurosceptic surge in Europe 'went away'.....

    https://twitter.com/Andrew_ComRes/status/1108637725995999232
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 52,622
    Prime Minister's Diary: 21st March 2019

    First Day of Spring. And, with a spring in my step, I danced into Brussels, delivered the line "Nobody puts Blighty in a corner" and danced back to Downing Street.

    Oh, the look on their faces! Priceless. Well, obviously, it cost me my job, but....
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 51,726

    You know how the Eurosceptic surge in Europe 'went away'.....

    https://twitter.com/Andrew_ComRes/status/1108637725995999232

    Geert Wilders going backwards...
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 52,622
    That's a great screen grab. It just screams "WTF are we going to do with this woman...."
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 52,622
    Foxy said:

    The numbers are still shooting up like Mark François’ blood sugar levels after a wine gum binge.

    https://petition.parliament.uk/petitions/241584

    I’m not sure your enthusiasm for posting updates on this petition on here every 15 minutes is widely shared.

    Go and have a lie down.
    I need to earn a living so I will give it a rest. But if you change your mind and want an update, revoke article 50 is the top trending item on Twitter so there will be plenty of people talking about it on there. And the next milestone is getting to be the most signed current petition - just behind by a nose right now.


    A million signatures by teatime seems a reasonable target.
    And a billion tears as we No Deal Brexit. They'll have the same effect.
  • OnlyLivingBoyOnlyLivingBoy Posts: 15,811
    Revocation petition added over 2,000 signatures in a minute just now. People are getting fed up with this BS.
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 48,741

    Foxy said:

    The numbers are still shooting up like Mark François’ blood sugar levels after a wine gum binge.

    https://petition.parliament.uk/petitions/241584

    I’m not sure your enthusiasm for posting updates on this petition on here every 15 minutes is widely shared.

    Go and have a lie down.
    I need to earn a living so I will give it a rest. But if you change your mind and want an update, revoke article 50 is the top trending item on Twitter so there will be plenty of people talking about it on there. And the next milestone is getting to be the most signed current petition - just behind by a nose right now.


    A million signatures by teatime seems a reasonable target.
    And a billion tears as we No Deal Brexit. They'll have the same effect.
    I am pretty relaxed about No Deal. It will be a short lived state.
  • viewcodeviewcode Posts: 22,136
    AndyJS said:

    Are 5,000 people an hour really signing an online petition in the middle of the night?

    https://petition.parliament.uk

    ...said @AndyJS at 3:44am in the morning... :)
  • El_CapitanoEl_Capitano Posts: 4,239
    edited March 2019
    Whoa. 50 000 signatures in under half an hour.

    I hope the person who created the petition doesn’t get an automated email every time someone new signs...
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 49,871
    New thread
  • CarlottaVanceCarlottaVance Posts: 60,216

    We are at the point where in other countries the military would be taking over or the people would be in the streets or both.

    And yet we are not.

    Full employment (slowly) rising wages and a good deal more sang froid than some are displaying this morning could be factors....
    ..all with the help of EU membership.
    If 'EU membership' is such a key variable, how do you account for our relative performance:

    UK: 4.0% (actually now 3.9%, but same basis as other countries)
    France: 8.8%
    Italy: 10.5%
    Spain: 14.1%

    Only Germany (3.2%) beats us among the big EU countries.

    https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/statistics-explained/index.php/Unemployment_statistics
    Look at the kind of jobs offered in Britain, and the levels of income and security they offer. That will help explain why indicators such as child poverty can be so high, with such apparent high employment compared to several Continental countries.
    UK and EU child poverty are not that dissimilar - UK 27.7 (same as in 2009) and EU 24.9. (at risk of poverty <18). Some big countries are worse (Italy 32.1, Spain 31.3) others better France (22.3).

    http://appsso.eurostat.ec.europa.eu/nui/submitViewTableAction.do

This discussion has been closed.