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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Why Chief Justice Roberts could hold the key to Trump’s wall
SCOTUS with Roberts front row centre
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My money would be on no.....
Overall CNN has voters opposing building a border wall with Mexico by 56% to 39% and ABC by 54% to 42% so while most Republicans back funding for the Wall most Americans as a whole oppose it, a similar divide to UK polls on No Deal
https://www.upi.com/Top_News/US/2019/01/13/Polls-Majority-oppose-border-wall-blame-Trump-for-shutdown/3141547389844/
Would that have caused any problems?
That has very wide-ranging implications, beyond the question of how to prevent illegal immigration into the US (I’m not clear as to whether Democrats oppose any attempt to control illegal immigration or only this particular way of doing so).
For instance, if the Supreme Court were to find that Trump has not abused Presidential powers in this case, then that leaves the way open for a Democrat President to take executive action on the basis of a national emergency to control guns.
So the question at issue may end up cutting across party lines in surprising ways. After all, Democrats have in the past been quite keen on Presidents expanding their powers - FDR anyone? Thoughtful Republicans might worry about a ruling which extends Presidential executive powers, something the US system has always been designed to keep in check.
Whilst drugs were such a problem throughout every community in the UK, and the wall sold as an answer to tackling the drug menace, UK voters would show a clear majority for the UK border wall.
Conclusion:US voters have a more libertarian and cosmopolitan dna than British voters.
It occurs to me - seeing how Trump presented his decision yesterday - that he may be seeking to make 2 points to his voters, if he wins: Not just “I built the wall as I promised” but “I’ve changed the SCOTUS”.
If he loses, what effect might this have on his chances of re-election and, indeed, his desire to seek re-election?
“Generally speaking , governments and parliaments are able to ratify to ratify international treaties. The fact that the UK is stuck and is unable to ratify this agreement creates huge difficulties for them, not just now but into also the future because part of the case for Brexit was that the UK would be able to strike trade deals with countries all over the world.
“But countries are looking at the UK and wondering is this a country that is going to be able to make agreements, ratify them and stick to them.”
By the Taoiseach, Varadkar.
If he had really wanted it he would have got it funded while Republicans held both houses. Of course the trouble for him is keeping his supporters on side despite the fact he's blatantly stalling.
https://slate.com/news-and-politics/2019/02/nancy-pelosi-trump-emergency-wall-fail.html
Congress could have tied Trump’s hands a little more tightly perhaps.
Giving him rope ?
But as wrong as it is, it's the logical conclusion of the Rhodes Must Fall nonsense and all the other revisionist nonsense peddled by the hard left. The tactics of the hard left being used against them. Excuse me while I play a sad tune on this, the world's smallest violin.
Its a lot easier for politicians to oppose something than support something.
Regarding seats at the UN: Not only did Russia inherit the former USSR seat, but Ukraine and Belarus also inherited theirs from the Ukrainian SSR and the Byelorussian SSR respectively. Both were UN members in their own right in 1945.
Legally a bit more complicated.
About a quarter of the way through the third Stormlight Archives book. Rather liking it, though I was a bit late acquiring it.
My colleague was looking for it in the 1970s and failing to find it asked the graveyard attendant - "Ah, the trombone player"
Brandon Sanderson is annoyingly fast as a writer, but if you're concerned about delays you could always try the Mistborn trilogy (there's a trilogy and three stand-alones, I think, set in the same world).
That said, if people asked me for one fantasy recommendation I might well go for The First Law trilogy by Joe Abercrombie. On a related note, I blogged about some great fantasy samples I reviewed recently, which could give you some ideas, if you're after any:
http://thaddeusthesixth.blogspot.com/2019/02/snapshots-pick-of-bunch.html
Or buy The Bloody Crown Trilogy, by me, which has the third instalment likely out late March/April.
Pineapple on pizza?
Or was that a 2018 cultural war issue?
I guess it is sort of like no true Scotsman....
For a thinking, minimal state conservative, letting this pass would be a disaster. Trump has invented the concept of a non-emergency emergency, but a future big state liberal will get the real mileage out of it. It would not for one moment surprise me if Kavanaugh ironically kills this.
And my point was those who aren't terribly unhappy about his grave being vandalised or talk about it being tactics used against people wouldn't feel similarly about the same to Smith's grave.
It isn't worth getting wound up about though and I suspect that was the idea behind it.
Doesn't justify this.
I was worried it wasn't based on any kind of logic.
I believe he is trying to communicate but not quite getting there.
Justifiably, too, IMHO.
Next book I'll probably get will be volumes 1-3 of the Black Gate Chronicles. Really enjoyed the sample, which was something daft like 40,000 words.
Brexit: Macron backs legally binding concessions to Irish backstop
Senior European diplomats said that the government would be given enough in the way of legal assurances to persuade Geoffrey Cox, the attorney-general, to change his legal advice. He has previously warned that the backstop could be used trap Britain in a customs union. “There will be sufficient changes to allow Mr Cox to give a pass to the agreement,” said a veteran European ambassador, who said France now supported possible new concessions.
https://www.thetimes.co.uk/edition/news/brexit-macron-backs-legally-binding-concessions-to-irish-backstop-3c0snmnqk
I might not be forced to drink boxed wine after all.
I feel like I missed a meeting.
BTW, have you seen that crazy new wing design on the Alfa F1 car?
Doesn't fit the"we're all going TO DIE!!!" narrative, it seems.
And no, I haven't.
*goes to have a quick look*
Hmm. Is it drastically dissimilar to other front wings?
Mr. L, that reminds me an Ann Swinfen book, The Secret World of Christoval Alvarez, which I bought for... er... someone.
The Elizabethan setting seem quite popular for alternate history. Anne Lyle's Alchemist of Souls was set then, but Elizabeth had two sons, and there were some non-humans about in London.
'International Jews
In violent opposition to all this sphere of Jewish effort rise the schemes of the International Jews. The adherents of this sinister confederacy are mostly men reared up among the unhappy populations of countries where Jews are persecuted on account of their race. Most, if not all, of them have forsaken the faith of their forefathers, and divorced from their minds all spiritual hopes of the next world. This movement among the Jews is not new. From the days of Spartacus-Weishaupt to those of Karl Marx, and down to Trotsky (Russia), Bela Kun (Hungary), Rosa Luxembourg (Germany), and Emma Goldman (United States), this world-wide conspiracy for the overthrow of civilization and for the reconstitution of society on the basis of arrested development, of envious malevolence, and impossible equality, has been steadily growing. It played, as a modern writer, Mrs. Webster, has so ably shown, a definitely recognizable part in the tragedy of the French Revolution. It has been the mainspring of every subversive movement during the Nineteenth Century; and now at last this band of extraordinary personalities from the underworld of the great cities of Europe and America have gripped the Russian people by the hair of their heads and have become practically the undisputed masters of that enormous empire.'
If one didn't know better, one might think that could have come from the pen of another ambitious thrusting young politician of 1920.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nicholas_Mosley_(mayor)
Do you mean David Hume's?
http://www.royal-mile.com/interest/statue-adamsmith.html
https://www.marxists.org/archive/marx/works/1848/11/06.htm
It justifies the actions of the likes of Stalin about as much as Smith justifies the slave trade.
https://www.motorsport.com/f1/news/formula-one-alfa-romeo-wing-explained-video/4337903/
https://www.theepochtimes.com/aclu-files-lawsuit-against-president-trump-for-illegal-national-emergency_2802997.html?fbclid=IwAR3DHAn4JHJAzVrYh9AraOxSwF_6uA7q2r7PgmA5hLOVbY96SSMMBVMy66I
My guess, for what it's worth, is that the four liberals would vote against the legality of the Executive Order, while there would be a separately written opposition from Roberts and Gorusch.
But.
And, I think this is really important, Trump wants to be stopped on this. This is like abortion, only reversed. Nothing would be better for Trump's electoral chances than the forces of the establishment conspiring to use the courts to thwart the peoples' will.
(Conversely, conservatives should fear the effective repeal of Roe vs Wade. Nothing would increase liberal turnout more than a requirement to go to the ballot boxes for abortion rights.)