He permanently has the demeanour of a tradesman who's about to tell you that what you thought was a small job actually means rebuilding most of the house.
I truly am surprised by Black Panther. It's not even the best of the Marvel movies, it's well acted but the plot is very 'meh'. Not sure what so many people see it in to be honest, there was a lot of talk of how it wasn't just another Marvel movie, but it really was.
.
Completely disagree. Really enjoyed black panther and thought it was far more interesting than other marvel movies. Showed a complexity of morality that superhero tales don't normally have.
You would have to threaten me with a Hawaiian Pizza before I went to see The Favourite.
Really? I rather enjoyed it, despite the odd ending.
Rachel Weisz for Best Supporting Actress IMO. I think Glen Close will get Best Actress.
You should see some of the "contender" films that didn't make the list. Sheeesh....
That said, I loved Leave No Trace, that got nothing by way of noms - but has a 100% rating on Rotten Tomoatoes, only behind Paddington 2 (also 100% but more reviews). One of those little movies that stays with you.
I seem to remember a short time ago an article in the press claiming that even if TMay's deal was agreed we could not now leave by 29/03/2019 as we would need to pass several pieces of legislation first, and there would not be time to do so. If any other PBers also remember that article, and are betting on the exit by the 29th market, they may be interested in the interview with Robert Buckland MP (Solicitor General) on PM on BBC Radio 4. In it he says that, in fact, only one piece of legislation would need to be passed before Brexit if Tmay's deal was agreed.
He permanently has the demeanour of a tradesman who's about to tell you that what you thought was a small job actually means rebuilding most of the house.
Green Book is another of those "Civil Rights as entertainment" movies, along the lines of the enjoyable Hidden Figures. Enjoyable enough, when you get ove the casting of Strider as some Noo Yoik heavy (in all senses).
BlackkKlansman I really enjoyed, as it is such a bizarre true story, despite some very obvious "This is a right-on Spike Lee movie" moments. It really packs its punch though in the last few minutes.
Buster Scruggs is a series of half a dozen episodes, the first one of which is fabulous Cohn Bros. at their best. After that - not so much.
Vice - people here will love it more than the general population, but much of the material has been done to death by Michael Moore. Combine with a very similar visual style to The Big Short (although, some much darker fast edit moments than in that movie) and it just doesn't seem as fresh. Some great performances though - loved Steve Carell as Rumsfeld and Sam Rockwell's Dubya is brilliant, but acting honours go to Christian Bale for ageing fifty years. Make-up and Hair Oscar nailed on.
I loved every single bit of Buster Scruggs. The Tom Waits segment was a perfect gem of a story.
He is meant to be impartial but then his record shows his remain credentials and now he is leaving Sky and joining the BBC he will have even more support from his employers
What a tremendous waste of time. Can any of these idiots say with a straight face that if they have not agreed up until now they will be able to come to an agreement on something in 3 months, 6 months or 9 months? It's such a 'clever' little idea to disguise its intent.
I don't care, the way I feel at the moment, at least I will get my wife's meds in April.
I doubt the EU would agree and there may even be legal challenges
*Just realised that was thoughtless of me and of course your good lady's medicines top everything. I am sorry
No worries Big_G!
These are difficult times for us all, often torn between knowing what is right for the country and just wanting the whole bloody thing sorted now.
Charles is wrong. A second referendum is a more democratic option than a parliamentary hack. This chaos was unforeseen. Remain is a viable route out, as such we shouldn’t rule it out.
Charles famously thought the European Medicines Agency was nothing to do with the EU and that it would be unaffected by Brexit, so I think it's right for him to be given another vote.
No. That’s not accurate but I will put it down to false recall on your part not a deliberate lie.
I said that the sensible outcome would be for the U.K. to remain part of the EMA. (And I still believe that is the sensible outcome).
However - which I didn’t realise - was that you have to be a member of the EU to be a member of the EMA. I think that’s a stupid rule, but if that’s a rule that’s important to them we’ll just have to beef up the MHRA instead.
It's pretty accurate, but I will put your denial down to repressed memory syndrome.
Honestly the most fun I had at the cinema was Spiderman: Into the Spiderverse. Never really enjoyed a spiderman film before, but was in hysterics throughout, a thoroughly great time. I like the cheesier stuff like A Simple Favour, Crazy Rich Asians. Of the 'serious' movies I really liked A Star is Born.
I seem to remember a short time ago an article in the press claiming that even if TMay's deal was agreed we could not now leave by 29/03/2019 as we would need to pass several pieces of legislation first, and there would not be time to do so. If any other PBers also remember that article, and are betting on the exit by the 29th market, they may be interested in the interview with Robert Buckland MP (Solicitor General) on PM on BBC Radio 4. In it he says that, in fact, only one piece of legislation would need to be passed before Brexit if Tmay's deal was agreed.
Interesting to hear. I had rather assumed at this point that even if it were agreed we'd ask for at least a delay until May to get everything through.
What a tremendous waste of time. Can any of these idiots say with a straight face that if they have not agreed up until now they will be able to come to an agreement on something in 3 months, 6 months or 9 months? It's such a 'clever' little idea to disguise its intent.
I don't care, the way I feel at the moment, at least I will get my wife's meds in April.
I doubt the EU would agree and there may even be legal challenges
*Just realised that was thoughtless of me and of course your good lady's medicines top everything. I am sorry
No worries Big_G!
These are difficult times for us all, often torn between knowing what is right for the country and just wanting the whole bloody thing sorted now.
My good lady and myself both depend on medicines and it is a very important issue.
I seem to remember a short time ago an article in the press claiming that even if TMay's deal was agreed we could not now leave by 29/03/2019 as we would need to pass several pieces of legislation first, and there would not be time to do so. If any other PBers also remember that article, and are betting on the exit by the 29th market, they may be interested in the interview with Robert Buckland MP (Solicitor General) on PM on BBC Radio 4. In it he says that, in fact, only one piece of legislation would need to be passed before Brexit if Tmay's deal was agreed.
Interesting to hear. I had rather assumed at this point that even if it were agreed we'd ask for at least a delay until May to get everything through.
It's one of the interesting sub-plots at the moment. May will probably need an extension to get the legislation for her deal through even if MPs approve it in a repeat of the meaningful vote, but she can't admit that yet because if she opens the door to an extension, she will lose control and other options will come to the fore.
Books....who has books these days? I have more tvs than books in my house.
What's a TV?
Who was it who said many moons ago that soon the only difference between your computer and your TV will be what room it's in.
There is still a big difference between a high end monitor and a tv. I wouldn’t want to code on my tv (despite it being 4K etc).
I coded on my TV back in the early 1980s (BBC Basic). Mind you it had the advantage of teletext fonts. (It was incredible how well a 32K OS worked on a 1MHz processor).
I truly am surprised by Black Panther. It's not even the best of the Marvel movies, it's well acted but the plot is very 'meh'. Not sure what so many people see it in to be honest, there was a lot of talk of how it wasn't just another Marvel movie, but it really was.
.
Completely disagree. Really enjoyed black panther and thought it was far more interesting than other marvel movies. Showed a complexity of morality that superhero tales don't normally have.
You would have to threaten me with a Hawaiian Pizza before I went to see The Favourite.
Really? I rather enjoyed it, despite the odd ending.
Rachel Weisz for Best Supporting Actress IMO. I think Glen Close will get Best Actress.
Spike Lee for best Director too.
I watched The Wife tonight and agree. It's really a part to get your teeth into - and she really does.
Best Supporting Actress is probably going to Regina King for If Beale Street Could Talk.
Best Supporting Actor probably between Sam Rockwell in Vice and Mahershala Ali in Green Book (although, he is on screen almost as much as Viggo Mortensen). Mahershala Ali to edge it.
Good to see Richard E. Grant getting a nod too in the very enjoyable Can You Ever Forgive Me? (a true story about a forger of collectable letters of the great and the good).
Books....who has books these days? I have more tvs than books in my house.
What's a TV?
Who was it who said many moons ago that soon the only difference between your computer and your TV will be what room it's in.
There is still a big difference between a high end monitor and a tv. I wouldn’t want to code on my tv (despite it being 4K etc).
I coded on my TV back in the early 1980s (BBC Basic). Mind you it had the advantage of teletext fonts. (It was incredible how well a 32K OS worked on a 1MHz processor).
Dunno if it's classed as coding, but I well remember spending a weekend inputting commands into a ZX Spectrum that made a crappy, blocky looking spider drop down a web and scuttle offstage right. Put me off computing for life. Made me the man I am today, unfortunately!
I truly am surprised by Black Panther. It's not even the best of the Marvel movies, it's well acted but the plot is very 'meh'. Not sure what so many people see it in to be honest, there was a lot of talk of how it wasn't just another Marvel movie, but it really was.
.
Completely disagree. Really enjoyed black panther and thought it was far more interesting than other marvel movies. Showed a complexity of morality that superhero tales don't normally have.
You would have to threaten me with a Hawaiian Pizza before I went to see The Favourite.
I'm going to see it tomorrow. There's a scene where Olivia Colman put a wet sponge between her legs and freaked out Emma Stone in real life.
I truly am surprised by Black Panther. It's not even the best of the Marvel movies, it's well acted but the plot is very 'meh'. Not sure what so many people see it in to be honest, there was a lot of talk of how it wasn't just another Marvel movie, but it really was.
.
Completely disagree. Really enjoyed black panther and thought it was far more interesting than other marvel movies. Showed a complexity of morality that superhero tales don't normally have.
You would have to threaten me with a Hawaiian Pizza before I went to see The Favourite.
Really? I rather enjoyed it, despite the odd ending.
Rachel Weisz for Best Supporting Actress IMO. I think Glen Close will get Best Actress.
Spike Lee for best Director too.
I watched The Wife tonight and agree. It's really a part to get your teeth into - and she really does.
Best Supporting Actress is probably going to Regina King for If Beale Street Could Talk.
Best Supporting Actor probably between Sam Rockwell in Vice and Mahershala Ali in Green Book (although, he is on screen almost as much as Viggo Mortensen). Mahershala Ali to edge it.
Good to see Richard E. Grant getting a nod too in the very enjoyable Can You Ever Forgive Me? (a true story about a forger of collectable letters of the great and the good).
I truly am surprised by Black Panther. It's not even the best of the Marvel movies, it's well acted but the plot is very 'meh'. Not sure what so many people see it in to be honest, there was a lot of talk of how it wasn't just another Marvel movie, but it really was.
.
Completely disagree. Really enjoyed black panther and thought it was far more interesting than other marvel movies. Showed a complexity of morality that superhero tales don't normally have.
You would have to threaten me with a Hawaiian Pizza before I went to see The Favourite.
Really? I rather enjoyed it, despite the odd ending.
Rachel Weisz for Best Supporting Actress IMO. I think Glen Close will get Best Actress.
Spike Lee for best Director too.
I watched The Wife tonight and agree. It's really a part to get your teeth into - and she really does.
Best Supporting Actress is probably going to Regina King for If Beale Street Could Talk.
Best Supporting Actor probably between Sam Rockwell in Vice and Mahershala Ali in Green Book (although, he is on screen almost as much as Viggo Mortensen). Mahershala Ali to edge it.
Good to see Richard E. Grant getting a nod too in the very enjoyable Can You Ever Forgive Me? (a true story about a forger of collectable letters of the great and the good).
Nothing for dots favourite film of past year The Square 😕
Could Roma, Buster Scruggs, Favourite be on there to ‘encourage the market’? Do you know what I mean? Imagine it were energy suppliers and there were new kids on the block, and powers that be like to encourage competition.
Best original song looks competitive this year, could that be where betting value is?
I genuinely have bugger all books. Piles of academic papers, yes, books, i read / listen to them iPad and kindle.
I don't like you any more. In fact that is worse than saying you have switched to Remain. You 're an evil man.
For the record I have something over 8,000 books in my house. I aim to read at least 150 a year.
I have never got the Kindle thing. It makes a decent stab at paper and ink, but it’s still yet another bloody device. On the all too rare times I actually drop the electronics and spend a few hours in a book, I feel unshackled. The interesting thing is that all these technologies haven’t done much to damage the book market - it’s in rude health.
I seem to remember a short time ago an article in the press claiming that even if TMay's deal was agreed we could not now leave by 29/03/2019 as we would need to pass several pieces of legislation first, and there would not be time to do so. If any other PBers also remember that article, and are betting on the exit by the 29th market, they may be interested in the interview with Robert Buckland MP (Solicitor General) on PM on BBC Radio 4. In it he says that, in fact, only one piece of legislation would need to be passed before Brexit if Tmay's deal was agreed.
I think you might have got the wrong end of the stick. It is an extension that he talks about just needing a one-off vote in the commons.
"PARLIAMENT would only need to hold a simple vote to put off the date of Brexit, the Government’s legal adviser has said. Britain is due to leave the EU on March 29 next year – but it is believed this would have to be delayed if there is a decision to hold a second referendum. To do this, the UK would have to extend Article 50, the official mechanism for leaving the EU. But Solicitor General Robert Buckland said extension would not require fresh legislation, just a one- off vote in the Commons.
It would, however, need to be agreed by all EU member states. But scrapping Article 50 altogether would require new legislation, Mr Buckland told Radio 4’s Westminster Hour. He said: ‘Revocation is one thing, but delaying Article 50 is another matter that can be done by a minister laying a statutory instrument to vary exit day – it’s there as part of a power.’ "
I genuinely have bugger all books. Piles of academic papers, yes, books, i read / listen to them iPad and kindle.
I don't like you any more. In fact that is worse than saying you have switched to Remain. You 're an evil man.
For the record I have something over 8,000 books in my house. I aim to read at least 150 a year.
I have never got the Kindle thing. It makes a decent stab at paper and ink, but it’s still yet another bloody device. On the all too rare times I actually drop the electronics and spend a few hours in a book, I feel unshackled. The interesting thing is that all these technologies haven’t done much to damage the book market - it’s in rude health.
He permanently has the demeanour of a tradesman who's about to tell you that what you thought was a small job actually means rebuilding most of the house.
and if you argue with him he will break your kneecaps
I genuinely have bugger all books. Piles of academic papers, yes, books, i read / listen to them iPad and kindle.
I don't like you any more. In fact that is worse than saying you have switched to Remain. You 're an evil man.
For the record I have something over 8,000 books in my house. I aim to read at least 150 a year.
I have never got the Kindle thing. It makes a decent stab at paper and ink, but it’s still yet another bloody device. On the all too rare times I actually drop the electronics and spend a few hours in a book, I feel unshackled. The interesting thing is that all these technologies haven’t done much to damage the book market - it’s in rude health.
Good news for us booksellers!
Indeed so, and good luck to you! I’m not a collector of books, although I do own a (worthless) paperback of The French Lieutenant’s Woman that, I discovered the other day, contained a handwritten message from a wronged lover to her beau.
I seem to remember a short time ago an article in the press claiming that even if TMay's deal was agreed we could not now leave by 29/03/2019 as we would need to pass several pieces of legislation first, and there would not be time to do so. If any other PBers also remember that article, and are betting on the exit by the 29th market, they may be interested in the interview with Robert Buckland MP (Solicitor General) on PM on BBC Radio 4. In it he says that, in fact, only one piece of legislation would need to be passed before Brexit if Tmay's deal was agreed.
I think you might have got the wrong end of the stick. It is an extension that he talks about just needing a one-off vote in the commons.
"PARLIAMENT would only need to hold a simple vote to put off the date of Brexit, the Government’s legal adviser has said. Britain is due to leave the EU on March 29 next year – but it is believed this would have to be delayed if there is a decision to hold a second referendum. To do this, the UK would have to extend Article 50, the official mechanism for leaving the EU. But Solicitor General Robert Buckland said extension would not require fresh legislation, just a one- off vote in the Commons.
It would, however, need to be agreed by all EU member states. But scrapping Article 50 altogether would require new legislation, Mr Buckland told Radio 4’s Westminster Hour. He said: ‘Revocation is one thing, but delaying Article 50 is another matter that can be done by a minister laying a statutory instrument to vary exit day – it’s there as part of a power.’ "
The interview I was talking about was on the "PM" program broadcast 22/01/2019. The article you quoted was talking about a "The Westminster Hour" program broadcast in 2018.
I genuinely have bugger all books. Piles of academic papers, yes, books, i read / listen to them iPad and kindle.
I don't like you any more. In fact that is worse than saying you have switched to Remain. You 're an evil man.
For the record I have something over 8,000 books in my house. I aim to read at least 150 a year.
I have never got the Kindle thing. It makes a decent stab at paper and ink, but it’s still yet another bloody device. On the all too rare times I actually drop the electronics and spend a few hours in a book, I feel unshackled. The interesting thing is that all these technologies haven’t done much to damage the book market - it’s in rude health.
You can place a kindle down on the table while eating lunch and read without occupying either hand. That alone makes it a hell of a lot more convenient. Other benefits: it's a great space-saver (especially for a situation where you want access to multiple books- e.g. when going on holiday), you can instantly get a definition for any word, and e-books are cheaper.
I seem to remember a short time ago an article in the press claiming that even if TMay's deal was agreed we could not now leave by 29/03/2019 as we would need to pass several pieces of legislation first, and there would not be time to do so. If any other PBers also remember that article, and are betting on the exit by the 29th market, they may be interested in the interview with Robert Buckland MP (Solicitor General) on PM on BBC Radio 4. In it he says that, in fact, only one piece of legislation would need to be passed before Brexit if Tmay's deal was agreed.
I think you might have got the wrong end of the stick. It is an extension that he talks about just needing a one-off vote in the commons.
"PARLIAMENT would only need to hold a simple vote to put off the date of Brexit, the Government’s legal adviser has said. Britain is due to leave the EU on March 29 next year – but it is believed this would have to be delayed if there is a decision to hold a second referendum. To do this, the UK would have to extend Article 50, the official mechanism for leaving the EU. But Solicitor General Robert Buckland said extension would not require fresh legislation, just a one- off vote in the Commons.
It would, however, need to be agreed by all EU member states. But scrapping Article 50 altogether would require new legislation, Mr Buckland told Radio 4’s Westminster Hour. He said: ‘Revocation is one thing, but delaying Article 50 is another matter that can be done by a minister laying a statutory instrument to vary exit day – it’s there as part of a power.’ "
The interview I was talking about was on the "PM" program broadcast 22/01/2019. The article you quoted was talking about a "The Westminster Hour" program broadcast in 2018.
Ahh.. apologies. Is it available online do you know?
I genuinely have bugger all books. Piles of academic papers, yes, books, i read / listen to them iPad and kindle.
I don't like you any more. In fact that is worse than saying you have switched to Remain. You 're an evil man.
For the record I have something over 8,000 books in my house. I aim to read at least 150 a year.
I have never got the Kindle thing. It makes a decent stab at paper and ink, but it’s still yet another bloody device. On the all too rare times I actually drop the electronics and spend a few hours in a book, I feel unshackled. The interesting thing is that all these technologies haven’t done much to damage the book market - it’s in rude health.
You can place a kindle down on the table while eating lunch and read without occupying either hand. That alone makes it a hell of a lot more convenient. Other benefits: it's a great space-saver (especially for a situation where you want access to multiple books- e.g. when going on holiday), you can instantly get a definition for any word, and e-books are cheaper.
Yes, it certainly has its uses. I still like to get physical copies of books I really enjoy though, and of course complete the collection of series' of books. There's something very pleasing about several shelves of nothing but Pratchett.
Green Book is another of those "Civil Rights as entertainment" movies, along the lines of the enjoyable Hidden Figures. Enjoyable enough, when you get ove the casting of Strider as some Noo Yoik heavy (in all senses).
BlackkKlansman I really enjoyed, as it is such a bizarre true story, despite some very obvious "This is a right-on Spike Lee movie" moments. It really packs its punch though in the last few minutes.
Buster Scruggs is a series of half a dozen episodes, the first one of which is fabulous Cohn Bros. at their best. After that - not so much.
Vice - people here will love it more than the general population, but much of the material has been done to death by Michael Moore. Combine with a very similar visual style to The Big Short (although, some much darker fast edit moments than in that movie) and it just doesn't seem as fresh. Some great performances though - loved Steve Carell as Rumsfeld and Sam Rockwell's Dubya is brilliant, but acting honours go to Christian Bale for ageing fifty years. Make-up and Hair Oscar nailed on.
I loved every single bit of Buster Scruggs. The Tom Waits segment was a perfect gem of a story.
That's the only one on that list I have not even heard of. When did it come out?
I understand it’s Netflix but must have had some kind of theatre release to be allowed on the list, unless rules changed since The Last Seduction.
He is meant to be impartial but then his record shows his remain credentials and now he is leaving Sky and joining the BBC he will have even more support from his employers
And of course research has shown that some supporters of a second referendum think it will be between May's Deal and WTO Deal. Any second referendum poll has to be clear about the question which will be asked but some arn't clear.
I seem to remember a short time ago an article in the press claiming that even if TMay's deal was agreed we could not now leave by 29/03/2019 as we would need to pass several pieces of legislation first, and there would not be time to do so. If any other PBers also remember that article, and are betting on the exit by the 29th market, they may be interested in the interview with Robert Buckland MP (Solicitor General) on PM on BBC Radio 4. In it he says that, in fact, only one piece of legislation would need to be passed before Brexit if Tmay's deal was agreed.
I think you might have got the wrong end of the stick. It is an extension that he talks about just needing a one-off vote in the commons.
"PARLIAMENT would only need to hold a simple vote to put off the date of Brexit, the Government’s legal adviser has said. Britain is due to leave the EU on March 29 next year – but it is believed this would have to be delayed if there is a decision to hold a second referendum. To do this, the UK would have to extend Article 50, the official mechanism for leaving the EU. But Solicitor General Robert Buckland said extension would not require fresh legislation, just a one- off vote in the Commons.
It would, however, need to be agreed by all EU member states. But scrapping Article 50 altogether would require new legislation, Mr Buckland told Radio 4’s Westminster Hour. He said: ‘Revocation is one thing, but delaying Article 50 is another matter that can be done by a minister laying a statutory instrument to vary exit day – it’s there as part of a power.’ "
The interview I was talking about was on the "PM" program broadcast 22/01/2019. The article you quoted was talking about a "The Westminster Hour" program broadcast in 2018.
Ahh.. apologies. Is it available online do you know?
I genuinely have bugger all books. Piles of academic papers, yes, books, i read / listen to them iPad and kindle.
I don't like you any more. In fact that is worse than saying you have switched to Remain. You 're an evil man.
For the record I have something over 8,000 books in my house. I aim to read at least 150 a year.
I have never got the Kindle thing. It makes a decent stab at paper and ink, but it’s still yet another bloody device. On the all too rare times I actually drop the electronics and spend a few hours in a book, I feel unshackled. The interesting thing is that all these technologies haven’t done much to damage the book market - it’s in rude health.
You can place a kindle down on the table while eating lunch and read without occupying either hand. That alone makes it a hell of a lot more convenient. Other benefits: it's a great space-saver (especially for a situation where you want access to multiple books- e.g. when going on holiday), you can instantly get a definition for any word, and e-books are cheaper.
I seem to remember a short time ago an article in the press claiming that even if TMay's deal was agreed we could not now leave by 29/03/2019 as we would need to pass several pieces of legislation first, and there would not be time to do so. If any other PBers also remember that article, and are betting on the exit by the 29th market, they may be interested in the interview with Robert Buckland MP (Solicitor General) on PM on BBC Radio 4. In it he says that, in fact, only one piece of legislation would need to be passed before Brexit if Tmay's deal was agreed.
I think you might have got the wrong end of the stick. It is an extension that he talks about just needing a one-off vote in the commons.
"PARLIAMENT would only need to hold a simple vote to put off the date of Brexit, the Government’s legal adviser has said. Britain is due to leave the EU on March 29 next year – but it is believed this would have to be delayed if there is a decision to hold a second referendum. To do this, the UK would have to extend Article 50, the official mechanism for leaving the EU. But Solicitor General Robert Buckland said extension would not require fresh legislation, just a one- off vote in the Commons.
It would, however, need to be agreed by all EU member states. But scrapping Article 50 altogether would require new legislation, Mr Buckland told Radio 4’s Westminster Hour. He said: ‘Revocation is one thing, but delaying Article 50 is another matter that can be done by a minister laying a statutory instrument to vary exit day – it’s there as part of a power.’ "
The interview I was talking about was on the "PM" program broadcast 22/01/2019. The article you quoted was talking about a "The Westminster Hour" program broadcast in 2018.
Ahh.. apologies. Is it available online do you know?
Both Biden and Sanders have appeal to bluecollar voters in the rustbelt the Democrats will need if they are to win back the Midwest swing states and win the EC.
Point also to note, the only candidate to beat an incumbent president after only 1 term of his party in the White House since WW2, Ronald Reagan, was 69 when he beat President Carter in 1980
Both Biden and Sanders have appeal to bluecollar voters in the rustbelt the Democrats will need if they are to win back the Midwest swing states and win the EC.
Point also to note, the only candidate to beat an incumbent president after only 1 term of his party in the White House since WW2, Ronald Reagan, was 69 when he beat President Carter in 1980
Paradoxically, I think older people (like Mike and me) tend to underestimate the potential of older candidates, as we grew up in times when elderly candidates were quite rare (Reagan being an exception) and the fashion was all for dynamic young sparks. Nowadays older people are more healthy and vigorous than they used to be, and add an element of reassurance.
Specifically on Sanders, I'll be surprised if he doesn't run. What's he got to lose? - if it doesn't go wonderfully, he can endorse someone else then, and in the meantime he'll pull all the candidates leftwards.
I've been saying for months here the only sensible solution where all parties win is to get the deal agreed without the backstop. Hopefully this morning's insistence by the EU that no deal = hard border in Ireland will be the wake-up call needed in Ireland to get Varadkar back to the table and ultimately solve this dilemma once and for all.
Both Biden and Sanders have appeal to bluecollar voters in the rustbelt the Democrats will need if they are to win back the Midwest swing states and win the EC.
Point also to note, the only candidate to beat an incumbent president after only 1 term of his party in the White House since WW2, Ronald Reagan, was 69 when he beat President Carter in 1980
Paradoxically, I think older people (like Mike and me) tend to underestimate the potential of older candidates, as we grew up in times when elderly candidates were quite rare (Reagan being an exception) and the fashion was all for dynamic young sparks. Nowadays older people are more healthy and vigorous than they used to be, and add an element of reassurance.
Specifically on Sanders, I'll be surprised if he doesn't run. What's he got to lose? - if it doesn't go wonderfully, he can endorse someone else then, and in the meantime he'll pull all the candidates leftwards.
I agree, if you are going to beat an incumbent President, particularly one whose party has not been in that long, having someone with stature and experience is not necessarily a bad thing. Plus I agree, Sanders will run and aim to ensure his agenda remains centre stage in the Democratic Party. Reagan too of course was the runner up in the 1976 GOP primaries
He is meant to be impartial but then his record shows his remain credentials and now he is leaving Sky and joining the BBC he will have even more support from his employers
And of course research has shown that some supporters of a second referendum think it will be between May's Deal and WTO Deal. Any second referendum poll has to be clear about the question which will be asked but some arn't clear.
I absolutely agree with you David.
I have a theory “dots theory” that the first wasn’t clear, leave deliberately stitched up.
Remain part was very clear. But leave has come to mean an encyclopaedia of things. Correct me where I am wrong, hours after leave won Cameron is in Europe asking for a leave as close as possible to remain.
If there is another vote, to be fair to leave voters stitched up last time, the leave option has to be indisputable what it is, a very clear destination. For example
Remain, on current terms Leave to a Free Trade Arrangement (similar to Canada’s FTA with EU)
The irony imo is leavers dying in a ditch to avoid another vote. Newspaper headlines like “no second vote, they are trying to steal your brexit”. But the deed may well have been done with the first vote!
Anyone else coming round to this theory? If you join me you are joining the dots.
Specifically on Sanders, I'll be surprised if he doesn't run. What's he got to lose? - if it doesn't go wonderfully, he can endorse someone else then, and in the meantime he'll pull all the candidates leftwards.
Downsides would be:
1) If his performance is embarrassingly flat, as it probably would be, he loses stature; Currently he can act like he speaks for the whole of the left, but if he shows up in Iowa and his vote goes from 49.5% to 15%, he looks like a has-been.
2) Because the field is so crowded, it's the early races where endorsements really matter. If he wants Candidate X to win, it's much better to stump for Candidate X in Iowa and have them come out with a healthy score there, rather than splitting their vote so the left goes from 1st or 2nd to say 4th and 5th, then endorsing them only after he's proved he doesn't matter any more.
Both Biden and Sanders have appeal to bluecollar voters in the rustbelt the Democrats will need if they are to win back the Midwest swing states and win the EC.
Point also to note, the only candidate to beat an incumbent president after only 1 term of his party in the White House since WW2, Ronald Reagan, was 69 when he beat President Carter in 1980
Paradoxically, I think older people (like Mike and me) tend to underestimate the potential of older candidates, as we grew up in times when elderly candidates were quite rare (Reagan being an exception) and the fashion was all for dynamic young sparks. Nowadays older people are more healthy and vigorous than they used to be, and add an element of reassurance.
Specifically on Sanders, I'll be surprised if he doesn't run. What's he got to lose? - if it doesn't go wonderfully, he can endorse someone else then, and in the meantime he'll pull all the candidates leftwards.
A culture thing in each different country? When I was younger it seemed you needed to be 92 in Israel just to make it on the ballot.
I've been saying for months here the only sensible solution where all parties win is to get the deal agreed without the backstop. Hopefully this morning's insistence by the EU that no deal = hard border in Ireland will be the wake-up call needed in Ireland to get Varadkar back to the table and ultimately solve this dilemma once and for all.
May cancelled her trip to Dublin when ERG were trying to oust her. She really does need to spend a day over there?
Hamas, Hezbollah the IRA .... those sort of friends
With friends one should never be so crass as to insist on preconditions..... with hated class enemies .... well a different story indeed
Well at least that explains the Tories with the likes of Orban, Netanyahu and MBS...
Tories speak to everyone, we're even prepared to speak to Jezbollah, but left wanting for that it seems.
What was thought would happen is exactly what did happen. There was no point as evidenced by those who did go. May wasn't planning on doing anything.
That's garbage. Those who did go were unable to provide an alternative and lack the MPs to reach a majority anyway, so May's only option (as it should be her priority) is to bring her own party back on board.
But had Jezbollah gone and had he been able to provide a plausible alternative and say "we will back the deal with this change" then he might have been able to extract said change. If Labour put a three line whip on backing rather than opposing the deal that would be sufficient to win a majority and they could have claimed credit as the ones who put the national interest first. No deal could have been taken off the table and we could move on.
Green Book is another of those "Civil Rights as entertainment" movies, along the lines of the enjoyable Hidden Figures. Enjoyable enough, when you get ove the casting of Strider as some Noo Yoik heavy (in all senses).
BlackkKlansman I really enjoyed, as it is such a bizarre true story, despite some very obvious "This is a right-on Spike Lee movie" moments. It really packs its punch though in the last few minutes.
Buster Scruggs is a series of half a dozen episodes, the first one of which is fabulous Cohn Bros. at their best. After that - not so much.
Vice - people here will love it more than the general population, but much of the material has been done to death by Michael Moore. Combine with a very similar visual style to The Big Short (although, some much darker fast edit moments than in that movie) and it just doesn't seem as fresh. Some great performances though - loved Steve Carell as Rumsfeld and Sam Rockwell's Dubya is brilliant, but acting honours go to Christian Bale for ageing fifty years. Make-up and Hair Oscar nailed on.
I loved every single bit of Buster Scruggs. The Tom Waits segment was a perfect gem of a story.
Really? Even the wagon train one with the dog?
Yep it was great in that bitter sweet way you so rarely see in films these days.
In 2017 over 80% of voters chose candidates standing for parties who supported Brexit. Faisal Islam is just plain wrong - not surprising given how biased he is. Easily the worst political correspondent on our TVs.
Hamas, Hezbollah the IRA .... those sort of friends
With friends one should never be so crass as to insist on preconditions..... with hated class enemies .... well a different story indeed
Well at least that explains the Tories with the likes of Orban, Netanyahu and MBS...
Tories speak to everyone, we're even prepared to speak to Jezbollah, but left wanting for that it seems.
What was thought would happen is exactly what did happen. There was no point as evidenced by those who did go. May wasn't planning on doing anything.
That's garbage. Those who did go were unable to provide an alternative and lack the MPs to reach a majority anyway, so May's only option (as it should be her priority) is to bring her own party back on board.
But had Jezbollah gone and had he been able to provide a plausible alternative and say "we will back the deal with this change" then he might have been able to extract said change. If Labour put a three line whip on backing rather than opposing the deal that would be sufficient to win a majority and they could have claimed credit as the ones who put the national interest first. No deal could have been taken off the table and we could move on.
But that doesn't suit Jezbollah now does it?
Yeah everyone she met with was talking garbage May is sooo open to discussing things with people and taking their ideas on board, what the hell was I thinking.
You don't like Jezza I get it but talking to a brick wall would have achieved much the same affect TBH, probably less irritating.
In 2017 over 80% of voters chose candidates standing for parties who supported Brexit. Faisal Islam is just plain wrong - not surprising given how biased he is. Easily the worst political correspondent on our TVs.
The Labour manifesto didn't "support" Brexit. It rejected May's approach, rejected 'no deal' and called to retain the benefits of the customs union and single market.
I genuinely have bugger all books. Piles of academic papers, yes, books, i read / listen to them iPad and kindle.
Can you play TikTok videos on one of these 'books' ?
I am more likely to join maomentum than download the tiktok app.
You wouldn't get in Comrade.
Guido lovers are not welcome
Misogynist haters only eh Big John
TBH hating misogynists like Guido isn't actually a requirement but it probably helps...
I don't recall guido posting anything misogonystic, but momentum supporters on other hand.....
What did happen to that gentler kinder politics?
I'm sure there are a great many things you do and don't recall that depend entirely on who your political opponents are. Momentum probably has similar number of woman members to the Conservative party (but less men, a closer to equal ratio) and a tiny fraction of the misogyny of those like Guido. I don't think you really care about that at all though momentum left wing = baddies and Guido right wing = goodies is probably about as advanced as the thinking gets.
Specifically on Sanders, I'll be surprised if he doesn't run. What's he got to lose? - if it doesn't go wonderfully, he can endorse someone else then, and in the meantime he'll pull all the candidates leftwards.
Downsides would be:
1) If his performance is embarrassingly flat, as it probably would be, he loses stature; Currently he can act like he speaks for the whole of the left, but if he shows up in Iowa and his vote goes from 49.5% to 15%, he looks like a has-been.
2) Because the field is so crowded, it's the early races where endorsements really matter. If he wants Candidate X to win, it's much better to stump for Candidate X in Iowa and have them come out with a healthy score there, rather than splitting their vote so the left goes from 1st or 2nd to say 4th and 5th, then endorsing them only after he's proved he doesn't matter any more.
The only candidate likely to run left enough for Sanders to endorse would be Warren but he polls better than she does so there is no point him dropping out to endorse a weaker candidate
In 2017 over 80% of voters chose candidates standing for parties who supported Brexit. Faisal Islam is just plain wrong - not surprising given how biased he is. Easily the worst political correspondent on our TVs.
The Labour manifesto didn't "support" Brexit. It rejected May's approach, rejected 'no deal' and called to retain the benefits of the customs union and single market.
It explicitly committed to us leaving the EU. There is no way you can get around that one no matter how much you try to avoid it.
In 2017 over 80% of voters chose candidates standing for parties who supported Brexit. Faisal Islam is just plain wrong - not surprising given how biased he is. Easily the worst political correspondent on our TVs.
The Labour manifesto didn't "support" Brexit. It rejected May's approach, rejected 'no deal' and called to retain the benefits of the customs union and single market.
It explicitly committed to us leaving the EU. There is no way you can get around that one no matter how much you try to avoid it.
Many Remainers voted Labour to stymie Brexit in parliament and so far it's working as intended.
I genuinely have bugger all books. Piles of academic papers, yes, books, i read / listen to them iPad and kindle.
I don't like you any more. In fact that is worse than saying you have switched to Remain. You 're an evil man.
For the record I have something over 8,000 books in my house. I aim to read at least 150 a year.
I have never got the Kindle thing. It makes a decent stab at paper and ink, but it’s still yet another bloody device. On the all too rare times I actually drop the electronics and spend a few hours in a book, I feel unshackled. The interesting thing is that all these technologies haven’t done much to damage the book market - it’s in rude health.
You clearly don’t fly or travel. The kindle comes into its own then.
I genuinely have bugger all books. Piles of academic papers, yes, books, i read / listen to them iPad and kindle.
I don't like you any more. In fact that is worse than saying you have switched to Remain. You 're an evil man.
For the record I have something over 8,000 books in my house. I aim to read at least 150 a year.
I have never got the Kindle thing. It makes a decent stab at paper and ink, but it’s still yet another bloody device. On the all too rare times I actually drop the electronics and spend a few hours in a book, I feel unshackled. The interesting thing is that all these technologies haven’t done much to damage the book market - it’s in rude health.
You clearly don’t fly or travel. The kindle comes into its own then.
I still prefer hard copy, even on flights. Particularly for books where you might want to flip back and forth between pages to cross reference things.
The only candidate likely to run left enough for Sanders to endorse would be Warren but he polls better than she does so there is no point him dropping out to endorse a weaker candidate
I don't think the evidence is suggesting that Warren is a weaker candidate than Sanders. I know other people are always telling you that you can't read early polling directly as the eternal truth and that won't stop you doing it but they both have quite weak numbers considering their name recognition. Worse, Sanders has *exceptionally* weak numbers for his situation: If you got maybe 40% of the vote last time, and you're polling 15% now against a bunch of competitors the voters haven't heard of yet, you're not on a good trajectory.
It's just name recognition fluff at this stage. Good time to lay some early favourites.
Generational change will be the name of the game in 2020 O'Rourke can beat Trump. Not convinced about any of the others, Harris maybe but perhaps too Californian.
A factor in whether Biden will run or not is his mental son - banging his dead brother's wife, thrown out of the Navy Reserve for being a coke fiend, Manafort style Ukranian connections, etc. JB may not to wish to have him exposed to the inevitable scrutiny.
A factor in whether Biden will run or not is his mental son - banging his dead brother's wife, thrown out of the Navy Reserve for being a coke fiend, Manafort style Ukranian connections, etc. JB may not to wish to have him exposed to the inevitable scrutiny.
That's some Henry VIII level dysfunctional stuff. Makes the Trump kids sound normal.
I don't think Sanders is going anywhere even if he runs, last time he had only terrible opposition and now even Dems who supported him last time don't want to relive 2016.
If Biden runs I think he wins. There are like 45 liberal women in the race splitting their support, and if he looks like he can put up a spirited effort against Trump's malarky then nothing else matters, not even the creepy pictures. But I don't think he'll run.
Biden was an insipid and uninspiring performer last time he ran back in '08. He's now twelve years older, and let's be honest, he wouldn't be in the top 100 candidates if he hadn't been Obama's VP.
There’s no constitutional limit on the number of times you can be VP is there? So theoretically Biden could be someone’s Veep choice, perhaps to a youngster like Beto?
Specifically on Sanders, I'll be surprised if he doesn't run. What's he got to lose? - if it doesn't go wonderfully, he can endorse someone else then, and in the meantime he'll pull all the candidates leftwards.
Downsides would be:
1) If his performance is embarrassingly flat, as it probably would be, he loses stature; Currently he can act like he speaks for the whole of the left, but if he shows up in Iowa and his vote goes from 49.5% to 15%, he looks like a has-been.
2) Because the field is so crowded, it's the early races where endorsements really matter. If he wants Candidate X to win, it's much better to stump for Candidate X in Iowa and have them come out with a healthy score there, rather than splitting their vote so the left goes from 1st or 2nd to say 4th and 5th, then endorsing them only after he's proved he doesn't matter any more.
The only candidate likely to run left enough for Sanders to endorse would be Warren but he polls better than she does so there is no point him dropping out to endorse a weaker candidate
As a leftie I can't say that any of the other candidates especially inspire me so far - Warren failed to support Sanders last time (retreating into pathetic "don't know" status) and is a bank-bashing populist rather than a leftist.
Edmund's points are interesting, as always, but Sanders doesn't strike me as a calculating man - I think he'll want to have a go. It's quite natural that he's on 15% with a zillion other candidates, vs 40% when he was the only alternative to Hillary.
Green Book is another of those "Civil Rights as entertainment" movies, along the lines of the enjoyable Hidden Figures. Enjoyable enough, when you get ove the casting of Strider as some Noo Yoik heavy (in all senses).
BlackkKlansman I really enjoyed, as it is such a bizarre true story, despite some very obvious "This is a right-on Spike Lee movie" moments. It really packs its punch though in the last few minutes.
Buster Scruggs is a series of half a dozen episodes, the first one of which is fabulous Cohn Bros. at their best. After that - not so much.
Vice - people here will love it more than the general population, but much of the material has been done to death by Michael Moore. Combine with a very similar visual style to The Big Short (although, some much darker fast edit moments than in that movie) and it just doesn't seem as fresh. Some great performances though - loved Steve Carell as Rumsfeld and Sam Rockwell's Dubya is brilliant, but acting honours go to Christian Bale for ageing fifty years. Make-up and Hair Oscar nailed on.
I loved every single bit of Buster Scruggs. The Tom Waits segment was a perfect gem of a story.
Really? Even the wagon train one with the dog?
Yep it was great in that bitter sweet way you so rarely see in films these days.
Well, the Buster Scruggs segment was so strong, IMHO it built up expectations that then weren't delivered. It should have been the one the film ended on.
The Dems are looking like making the mistake the Republicans made last time, and running 15 primary candidates. Until they’ve had their debates and started whittling down the numbers, I’ll be laying the favourite - with one exception, not laying Joe Biden if he goes favourite. If he stands I think he wins, and he’s got a better chance than most against Trump.
In 2017 over 80% of voters chose candidates standing for parties who supported Brexit. Faisal Islam is just plain wrong - not surprising given how biased he is. Easily the worst political correspondent on our TVs.
"80% of voters chose candidates standing for parties who supported Brexit." Well a lot of Labour MPs didn't and don't. How could a voter cast a vote against Brexit while realistically hoping to get rid of a Tory MP? By voting LibDem in a few places (and they went from 8 to 12) but mainly by voting Labour.
You clearly don’t fly or travel. The kindle comes into its own then.
Not convinced. I use my laptop on flights, with a lot more flexibility (complex games, for instance), and if I get bored with that I'll read a book.
Which is, perhaps, the common factor among those who disdain the Kindle - they just don’t read that many books. I prefer real books, but when travelling, a Kindle is invaluable. Tablets getting lighter will obsolete them in due course, but for now they are much more comfortable to hold for reading.
What sucks about paper books is that they're badly designed. If you want to read them lying down on your side, which is the only comfortable way to read them, you have to change position whenever you turn a page. If they want to compete with my Kobo they should print on the left-hand page until halfway through, then you get to the end and rotate and reverse direction and read the second half from back to front.
The Dems are looking like making the mistake the Republicans made last time, and running 15 primary candidates. Until they’ve had their debates and started whittling down the numbers, I’ll be laying the favourite - with one exception, not laying Joe Biden if he goes favourite. If he stands I think he wins, and he’s got a better chance than most against Trump.
I tend to agree. The markets have chosen to anoint Harris favourite, but it’s a year until the actual primaries, and it’s entirely possible her record as AG could be successfully used against her. Biden, on the other hand, is a known quantity, warts and all, so a stop Joe campaign is less likely to get traction. (FWIW, I have money on both at more favourable odds than currently offered.)
You clearly don’t fly or travel. The kindle comes into its own then.
Not convinced. I use my laptop on flights, with a lot more flexibility (complex games, for instance), and if I get bored with that I'll read a book.
Which is, perhaps, the common factor among those who disdain the Kindle - they just don’t read that many books. I prefer real books, but when travelling, a Kindle is invaluable. Tablets getting lighter will obsolete them in due course, but for now they are much more comfortable to hold for reading.
My travel kit consists of laptop, full size ipad (for movies) and a kindle for when flying and before sleeping.
The kindle is because it's a single purpose device without blue light which keeps me awake. And compared to the other items or a book it doesn't weigh anything.
I don't think Sanders is going anywhere even if he runs, last time he had only terrible opposition and now even Dems who supported him last time don't want to relive 2016.
If Biden runs I think he wins. There are like 45 liberal women in the race splitting their support, and if he looks like he can put up a spirited effort against Trump's malarky then nothing else matters, not even the creepy pictures. But I don't think he'll run.
Biden was an insipid and uninspiring performer last time he ran back in '08. He's now twelve years older, and let's be honest, he wouldn't be in the top 100 candidates if he hadn't been Obama's VP.
Says the man tipping Hickenlooper...
Biden surprised a lot of people with his success in a traditionally thankless role, and it is simply unrealistic to assess him on an ‘if he hadn’t been VP’ basis.
My guess is that he will run, but I agree with Mike that is far from certain.
What sucks about paper books is that they're badly designed. If you want to read them lying down on your side, which is the only comfortable way to read them, you have to change position whenever you turn a page. If they want to compete with my Kobo they should print on the left-hand page until halfway through, then you get to the end and rotate and reverse direction and read the second half from back to front.
For me, the smell and feel of the book is part of its pleasure.
I agree that hardbacks are more cumbersome in the way you describe.
Comments
Rachel Weisz for Best Supporting Actress IMO. I think Glen Close will get Best Actress.
Spike Lee for best Director too.
That said, I loved Leave No Trace, that got nothing by way of noms - but has a 100% rating on Rotten Tomoatoes, only behind Paddington 2 (also 100% but more reviews). One of those little movies that stays with you.
I seem to remember a short time ago an article in the press claiming that even if TMay's deal was agreed we could not now leave by 29/03/2019 as we would need to pass several pieces of legislation first, and there would not be time to do so. If any other PBers also remember that article, and are betting on the exit by the 29th market, they may be interested in the interview with Robert Buckland MP (Solicitor General) on PM on BBC Radio 4. In it he says that, in fact, only one piece of legislation would need to be passed before Brexit if Tmay's deal was agreed.
These are difficult times for us all, often torn between knowing what is right for the country and just wanting the whole bloody thing sorted now.
I don't know what I want,
but I know how to get it,
I want to destroy...
And I so agree with your comments
Best Supporting Actress is probably going to Regina King for If Beale Street Could Talk.
Best Supporting Actor probably between Sam Rockwell in Vice and Mahershala Ali in Green Book (although, he is on screen almost as much as Viggo Mortensen). Mahershala Ali to edge it.
Good to see Richard E. Grant getting a nod too in the very enjoyable Can You Ever Forgive Me? (a true story about a forger of collectable letters of the great and the good).
We can but dream!
Guido lovers are not welcome
Could Roma, Buster Scruggs, Favourite be on there to ‘encourage the market’? Do you know what I mean? Imagine it were energy suppliers and there were new kids on the block, and powers that be like to encourage competition.
Best original song looks competitive this year, could that be where betting value is?
"PARLIAMENT would only need to hold a simple vote to put off the date of Brexit, the Government’s legal adviser has said.
Britain is due to leave the EU on March 29 next year – but it is believed this would have to be delayed if there is a decision to hold a second referendum.
To do this, the UK would have to extend Article 50, the official mechanism for leaving the EU. But Solicitor General Robert Buckland said extension would not require fresh legislation, just a one- off vote in the Commons.
It would, however, need to be agreed by all EU member states.
But scrapping Article 50 altogether would require new legislation, Mr Buckland told Radio 4’s Westminster Hour.
He said: ‘Revocation is one thing, but delaying Article 50 is another matter that can be done by a minister laying a statutory instrument to vary exit day – it’s there as part of a power.’ "
https://www.pressreader.com/uk/daily-mail/20181218/281526522155351
He only talks to friends
Hamas, Hezbollah the IRA .... those sort of friends
With friends one should never be so crass as to insist on preconditions..... with hated class enemies .... well a different story indeed
A pale sun poked impudent marmalade fingers through the grizzled lattice glass, and sent the shadows scurrying, like convent girls menaced by a tramp.
I don't know what I want, Miss Havishambling but I want it NOW!
The interview I was talking about was on the "PM" program broadcast 22/01/2019. The article you quoted was talking about a "The Westminster Hour" program broadcast in 2018.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/sounds/play/m000256l
The preamble to the interview starts about 18 mins in.
But.
It’s still another bloody device.
Point also to note, the only candidate to beat an incumbent president after only 1 term of his party in the White House since WW2, Ronald Reagan, was 69 when he beat President Carter in 1980
Specifically on Sanders, I'll be surprised if he doesn't run. What's he got to lose? - if it doesn't go wonderfully, he can endorse someone else then, and in the meantime he'll pull all the candidates leftwards.
I've been saying for months here the only sensible solution where all parties win is to get the deal agreed without the backstop. Hopefully this morning's insistence by the EU that no deal = hard border in Ireland will be the wake-up call needed in Ireland to get Varadkar back to the table and ultimately solve this dilemma once and for all.
I have a theory “dots theory” that the first wasn’t clear, leave deliberately stitched up.
Remain part was very clear. But leave has come to mean an encyclopaedia of things. Correct me where I am wrong, hours after leave won Cameron is in Europe asking for a leave as close as possible to remain.
If there is another vote, to be fair to leave voters stitched up last time, the leave option has to be indisputable what it is, a very clear destination. For example
Remain, on current terms
Leave to a Free Trade Arrangement (similar to Canada’s FTA with EU)
The irony imo is leavers dying in a ditch to avoid another vote. Newspaper headlines like “no second vote, they are trying to steal your brexit”. But the deed may well have been done with the first vote!
Anyone else coming round to this theory? If you join me you are joining the dots.
1) If his performance is embarrassingly flat, as it probably would be, he loses stature; Currently he can act like he speaks for the whole of the left, but if he shows up in Iowa and his vote goes from 49.5% to 15%, he looks like a has-been.
2) Because the field is so crowded, it's the early races where endorsements really matter. If he wants Candidate X to win, it's much better to stump for Candidate X in Iowa and have them come out with a healthy score there, rather than splitting their vote so the left goes from 1st or 2nd to say 4th and 5th, then endorsing them only after he's proved he doesn't matter any more.
But had Jezbollah gone and had he been able to provide a plausible alternative and say "we will back the deal with this change" then he might have been able to extract said change. If Labour put a three line whip on backing rather than opposing the deal that would be sufficient to win a majority and they could have claimed credit as the ones who put the national interest first. No deal could have been taken off the table and we could move on.
But that doesn't suit Jezbollah now does it?
What did happen to that gentler kinder politics?
You don't like Jezza I get it but talking to a brick wall would have achieved much the same affect TBH, probably less irritating.
Generational change will be the name of the game in 2020 O'Rourke can beat Trump. Not convinced about any of the others, Harris maybe but perhaps too Californian.
Warren or Sanders would lose badly to Trump.
Edmund's points are interesting, as always, but Sanders doesn't strike me as a calculating man - I think he'll want to have a go. It's quite natural that he's on 15% with a zillion other candidates, vs 40% when he was the only alternative to Hillary.
Well a lot of Labour MPs didn't and don't. How could a voter cast a vote against Brexit while realistically hoping to get rid of a Tory MP? By voting LibDem in a few places (and they went from 8 to 12) but mainly by voting Labour.
I prefer real books, but when travelling, a Kindle is invaluable. Tablets getting lighter will obsolete them in due course, but for now they are much more comfortable to hold for reading.
Biden, on the other hand, is a known quantity, warts and all, so a stop Joe campaign is less likely to get traction.
(FWIW, I have money on both at more favourable odds than currently offered.)
The kindle is because it's a single purpose device without blue light which keeps me awake. And compared to the other items or a book it doesn't weigh anything.
https://www.faz.net/aktuell/politik/ausland/salvini-ueber-macron-ein-schrecklicher-praesident-16003370.html
Biden surprised a lot of people with his success in a traditionally thankless role, and it is simply unrealistic to assess him on an ‘if he hadn’t been VP’ basis.
My guess is that he will run, but I agree with Mike that is far from certain.
I agree that hardbacks are more cumbersome in the way you describe.
Have a good morning. Yesterday it took me 25 minutes to travel 1.7 miles. I'm hoping for at least a modest improvement today!