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  • JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 42,728

    TOPPING said:

    Utter utter shambolic shitshow.

    We cannot, CANNOT go on like this.

    Now people begin to realise why Dave couldn't have "made preparations" for a Leave vote. Just to game the various scenarios of leave would have taken more than the four years of his remaining government's term.

    His failing? He genuinely didn't expect that there were enough idiots in the country to vote Leave or that they would then be lead by morons in their cabinet in their attempt to do so.
    No, it shows exactly why Cameron should have set up a commission, stuffed with Brexiteers of various shades, to establish a version of Brexit to be put to the referendum, and why Theresa May should have done the same before triggering Article 50.
    But as I keep on pointing out, such a Commission would not have worked.

    Firstly, it was not in the interests of the hardcore Brexiteers to serve on it, as that would legitimise it and make it harder to argue against.

    Secondly, Brexit was won by offering many different visions of Brexit. Hate immigrants? Brexit'll stop them. Want to stop the ECJ rulings? Vote Brexit. Want to go into EEA or EFTA? Vote Brexit. Slightly miffed at the world in general? Stick one to the man and vote Brexit.

    There is no way leavers would have coalesced behind one image of Brexit as produced by a commission, as it would narrow Brexit's appeal and cause them to lose the vote. Worse, it would have caused them to argue amongst themselves.

    Thirdly, it would give Brexiteers yet another thing to argue against. It would be called an establishment stitch-up, run by people who weren't *real* Brexiteers (mirroring the stupid arguments we've seen on here recently), who want an image of Brexit that isn't Brexit.

    Fourthly, it would just be called a delaying tactic. Cast your mind back four or five years, and remember the howls of disgust shown by Brexiteers towards Cameron for not calling a referendum as PM (and even the stupid calls for him to have one on the already-signed Lisbon Treaty). There's no way Brexiteers would have wanted the delay.

    And most of all, Brexiteers could have done this years before the referendum and agreed their position. But they didn't. Because they could never agree a position, as we're seeing today.
  • grabcocquegrabcocque Posts: 4,234
    Mortimer said:

    Doesn't there need to be a vote to pull the vote, now?

    Frankly, I'm not sure the Govt win that vote...

    Yes, Mrs Leadsom is now faced with the unenviable task of trying to get a programme motion through the house.
  • MortimerMortimer Posts: 14,127

    We'd need to check our bets to see which ones were tied specifically to Tuesday.
    Oh blinking heck.

    I've only ever had two bets with PBers.

    The first with Alastair had to be voided, because it was based on Gisella Stuart standing again in Edgbaston.

    The second, with HYUFD, looks like its going to go the same way...

    Politics, spoiling my PB fun!
  • When does Bercow announce which amendments are going to be voted on?
  • What price Spurs and Brexit vote both through to next round by close tomorrow night?

    I'm going out on a limb to say I'd want slightly better than evens to back the double!

    That's hilarious. Can't resist accommodating you, my fine fellow.

    You can have 6/4. ;-)
    Sorely tempted PtP but the time value of money means I couldn't possibly tie the £ up for some 36 hours....
    Why not? The £ will be virtually worthless by then.

    You can have 7/4 if you promise to pay in a hard currency.
  • KentRisingKentRising Posts: 2,917
    The second statement leaves the door open for a new deal. Nothing the EU says means much.
  • grabcocquegrabcocque Posts: 4,234
    Of course, that simply means that the Benn amendment will now become a proxy for the MV. Mr Speaker will surely allow that to come to a vote?
  • But Magic Grandpa will get us a totally different and better deal in a few months?
  • Vote pulled
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,220

    Vote pulled

    How ?!
  • Sky confirmed vote delayed
  • grabcocquegrabcocque Posts: 4,234
    Mrs Leadsom is to lay a programme motion after the PM's statement.

    That's gonna be one fun vote...
  • But Magic Grandpa will get us a totally different and better deal in a few months?
    If anyone can locate hidden unicorns it is 'Magic' Grandpa.
  • TOPPING said:

    Utter utter shambolic shitshow.

    We cannot, CANNOT go on like this.

    Now people begin to realise why Dave couldn't have "made preparations" for a Leave vote. Just to game the various scenarios of leave would have taken more than the four years of his remaining government's term.

    His failing? He genuinely didn't expect that there were enough idiots in the country to vote Leave or that they would then be lead by morons in their cabinet in their attempt to do so.
    No, it shows exactly why Cameron should have set up a commission, stuffed with Brexiteers of various shades, to establish a version of Brexit to be put to the referendum, and why Theresa May should have done the same before triggering Article 50.
    But as I keep on pointing out, such a Commission would not have worked.

    Firstly, it was not in the interests of the hardcore Brexiteers to serve on it, as that would legitimise it and make it harder to argue against.

    Secondly, Brexit was won by offering many different visions of Brexit. Hate immigrants? Brexit'll stop them. Want to stop the ECJ rulings? Vote Brexit. Want to go into EEA or EFTA? Vote Brexit. Slightly miffed at the world in general? Stick one to the man and vote Brexit.

    There is no way leavers would have coalesced behind one image of Brexit as produced by a commission, as it would narrow Brexit's appeal and cause them to lose the vote. Worse, it would have caused them to argue amongst themselves.

    Thirdly, it would give Brexiteers yet another thing to argue against. It would be called an establishment stitch-up, run by people who weren't *real* Brexiteers (mirroring the stupid arguments we've seen on here recently), who want an image of Brexit that isn't Brexit.

    Fourthly, it would just be called a delaying tactic. Cast your mind back four or five years, and remember the howls of disgust shown by Brexiteers towards Cameron for not calling a referendum as PM (and even the stupid calls for him to have one on the already-signed Lisbon Treaty). There's no way Brexiteers would have wanted the delay.

    And most of all, Brexiteers could have done this years before the referendum and agreed their position. But they didn't. Because they could never agree a position, as we're seeing today.
    Exactly, there is no agreed Brexit vision -- not even now, not even from the ERG or Ukip.

    But Cameron should still have proceeded on that basis. The carrot for Brexiteers would be the referendum (and gongs, baubles and ermine if needs be). Remember that George Osborne opposed calling the referendum so let us not fall for the revisionist line that it was inevitable or somehow Gordon Brown's fault.
  • I suspect that the vote is being delayed to give time for the PM to ask for something at this week's summit.
  • grabcocquegrabcocque Posts: 4,234
    Actually Leadsom seems to be under the impression the House won't push her programme motion to a vote?!

    I find the chances of that almost zero.
  • This was all so predictable and has been for days.
  • JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 42,728

    TOPPING said:

    Utter utter shambolic shitshow.

    We cannot, CANNOT go on like this.

    Now people begin to realise why Dave couldn't have "made preparations" for a Leave vote. Just to game the various scenarios of leave would have taken more than the four years of his remaining government's term.

    His failing? He genuinely didn't expect that there were enough idiots in the country to vote Leave or that they would then be lead by morons in their cabinet in their attempt to do so.
    getting cameroons to accept Dave fked up is even harder than getting Labourites to accept they screwed the economy.
    Getting leavers to admit they fked up is harder than both of the above.

    Thanks to the loony ERGers and their ilk, it might just be that they've lost Brexit. And sadly that means nothing good for the fabric of our society.
  • I suspect that the vote is being delayed to give time for the PM to ask for something at this week's summit.

    That is one of the funniest comments ever on PB.

    Probably unintentionally :lol:
  • grabcocquegrabcocque Posts: 4,234

    I suspect that the vote is being delayed to give time for the PM to ask for something at this week's summit.

    can kick can kick can kick can kick

    FOR THE LOVE OF GOD WOMAN, JUST GO
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 82,137
    edited December 2018

    I suspect that the vote is being delayed to give time for the PM to ask for something at this week's summit.

    The thing is it is all futile. The only thing that will break the logjam is no backstop or "time limited not a backstop" backstop, and the EU aren't going to agree to that.
  • Actually Leadsom seems to be under the impression the House won't push her programme motion to a vote?!

    I find the chances of that almost zero.
    I don't think there will be a problem if the reason given is to give a chance for talks with the EU this week.
  • Shares in popcorn supplier, Popcorn2U, have hit a seven year high on FTSE 350.
  • I suspect that the vote is being delayed to give time for the PM to ask for something at this week's summit.

    can kick can kick can kick can kick

    FOR THE LOVE OF GOD WOMAN, JUST GO
    You do mean the EU Council meeting next week don't you ??
  • KentRisingKentRising Posts: 2,917

    I suspect that the vote is being delayed to give time for the PM to ask for something at this week's summit.

    It has long been thought that she would be seeking "concessions" at this summit, the only difference now is there will be no vote before it. Mrs May lives to fight another day.
  • NEW Thread
  • FregglesFreggles Posts: 3,486
    What is Stephen Barclay going to say about Article 50? We're definely not withdrawing it under any circumstances, nudge nudge wink wink?
  • I suspect that the vote is being delayed to give time for the PM to ask for something at this week's summit.

    The thing is it is all futile. The only thing that will break the logjam is no backstop or "time limited not a backstop" backstop, and the EU aren't going to agree to that.
    You are probably right, but maybe there is some 'clarification' available. I doubt if it will work, but we shall see.
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,220
    May to survive to 2019 is the political equivalent of backing Many Clouds in the Jan 2017 Cotswold Chase.
  • Donny43Donny43 Posts: 634

    There is no way leavers would have coalesced behind one image of Brexit as produced by a commission, as it would narrow Brexit's appeal and cause them to lose the vote.

    I'm not sure that's true, as part of Project Fear was "you don't know what sort of Leave you will get".
  • JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 42,728
    Donny43 said:

    There is no way leavers would have coalesced behind one image of Brexit as produced by a commission, as it would narrow Brexit's appeal and cause them to lose the vote.

    I'm not sure that's true, as part of Project Fear was "you don't know what sort of Leave you will get".
    In which case, 'Project Fear' was correct, wasn't it? ;)
  • JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 42,728



    Exactly, there is no agreed Brexit vision -- not even now, not even from the ERG or Ukip.

    But Cameron should still have proceeded on that basis. The carrot for Brexiteers would be the referendum (and gongs, baubles and ermine if needs be). Remember that George Osborne opposed calling the referendum so let us not fall for the revisionist line that it was inevitable or somehow Gordon Brown's fault.

    It's not a 'revisionist' line. A referendum was inevitable - eventually. And there's a good argument to be made that the longer it was left, the harder it would be for remain to win.
  • justin124justin124 Posts: 11,527
    TOPPING said:

    eek said:

    Scott_P said:

    RoyalBlue said:

    I back May’s deal, but if it looks we’ll strongly Remain I’d be tempted to switch to help put the issue to bed.

    LOL

    If we leave, every problem for the next decade is going to be blamed on leaving.

    Brexit will haunt all of us to our graves
    Next decade? next half century more likely....
    Well Labour still blame Thatcher for most of the countries woes and the Tories will continue to blame Labour for "there's no money left" for the foreseeable future.
    Ahem and the winter of discontent - when't the half century anniversary of that? Not far off.
    Jan/Feb 2029.
  • Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 63,159
    edited December 2018
    Not turning out to be a great day following on from the death this morning of my dear business partner of 40 years we have just been informed of the death of a very special friend of 50 years

    Tempus fugit for us oldies
  • StereotomyStereotomy Posts: 4,092

    Not turning out to be a great day following on from the death this morning of my dear business partner of 40 years we have just been informed of the death of a very special friend of 50 years

    Tempus fugit for us oldies

    That's terrible. My condolences
This discussion has been closed.