politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » BoJo – the betting favourite with a record of disappointing punters
In what became the Conservative Leadership 2016, Boris Johnson was not, as we know, the winning outcome. Indeed he did not put his name forward as a candidate. The highest Betfair Exchange odds were 55% on the day after the Brexit referendum.
Having observed SCOTUS quite closely in my little area for the last 15 years, the role that the justice’s clerks play in selecting and then deciding cases should not be underestimated.
Not to mention that all those in the running for the current nomination have clerked for on or other of the conservative justices.
The Supreme Court has been, almost since its inception, a political institution, and although it is habit for justices to pay lip service to judicial impartiality, the only decisions which are not nakedly political in controversial cases are those where there is not a clear cut majority.
That Trump might be able to cement a conservative majority in the court, potentially for decades, having been elected on a minority of the popular vote, and confirmed by a Republican Senate which represents an even smaller percentage of the electorate, is going to be subject of furious controversy for the foreseeable future.
Only among the losers, buddy. The winners won’t care.
Republicans shouldn’t complain about a polarised political culture then, like with the Sanders incident, for instance.
Totally OT...are any nations better than their 2014 versions? Brazil? France? And...even if they are marginally better would have have stood a chance against Germany etc of 4 years ago?
Totally OT...are any nations better than their 2014 versions? Brazil? France? And...even if they are marginally better would have have stood a chance against Germany etc of 4 years ago?
Totally OT...are any nations better than their 2014 versions? Brazil? France? And...even if they are marginally better would have have stood a chance against Germany etc of 4 years ago?
Belgium, England (hopefully), Spain, Portugal, Uruguay, Switzerland, Japan.
Totally OT...are any nations better than their 2014 versions? Brazil? France? And...even if they are marginally better would have have stood a chance against Germany etc of 4 years ago?
Not many are, with Brazil I still think it’s up in the air. Given they got beat 7-1 last time, Brazil more than anyone will be hoping that this team is better than the one in 2014.
Totally OT...are any nations better than their 2014 versions? Brazil? France? And...even if they are marginally better would have have stood a chance against Germany etc of 4 years ago?
Belgium, England (hopefully), Spain, Portugal, Uruguay, Switzerland, Japan.
I don’t think Portugal are, nor Belgium. Ronaldo is past his prime (albeit still brilliant) and Portugal are totally a one man team. Belgium are weaker in defence with the likes of kompany past it.
Totally OT...are any nations better than their 2014 versions? Brazil? France? And...even if they are marginally better would have have stood a chance against Germany etc of 4 years ago?
England? Spain? both teams went out in the group stage.
Cracking Di Maria goal! as good as his goal that I witnessed in the 5:3 LCFC vs MUFC.
Having observed SCOTUS quite closely in my little area for the last 15 years, the role that the justice’s clerks play in selecting and then deciding cases should not be underestimated.
Not to mention that all those in the running for the current nomination have clerked for on or other of the conservative justices.
The Supreme Court has been, almost since its inception, a political institution, and although it is habit for justices to pay lip service to judicial impartiality, the only decisions which are not nakedly political in controversial cases are those where there is not a clear cut majority.
That Trump might be able to cement a conservative majority in the court, potentially for decades, having been elected on a minority of the popular vote, and confirmed by a Republican Senate which represents an even smaller percentage of the electorate, is going to be subject of furious controversy for the foreseeable future.
Only among the losers, buddy. The winners won’t care.
Republicans shouldn’t complain about a polarised political culture then, like with the Sanders incident, for instance.
I don’t believe in telling people what they should or shouldn’t complain about.
I was just observing that it’s usually the losers that complain
Totally OT...are any nations better than their 2014 versions? Brazil? France? And...even if they are marginally better would have have stood a chance against Germany etc of 4 years ago?
England? Spain? both teams went out in the group stage.
Cracking Di Maria goal! as good as his goal that I witnessed in the 5:3 LCFC vs MUFC.
England are better organized that's for certain and playing a system to maximize our limited ability (which is massive credit to Southgate and the players). I don't known if the squad is as talented though.
Totally OT...are any nations better than their 2014 versions? Brazil? France? And...even if they are marginally better would have have stood a chance against Germany etc of 4 years ago?
Belgium, England (hopefully), Spain, Portugal, Uruguay, Switzerland, Japan.
I don’t think Portugal are, nor Belgium. Ronaldo is past his prime (albeit still brilliant) and Portugal are totally a one man team. Belgium are weaker in defence with the likes of kompany past it.
Totally OT...are any nations better than their 2014 versions? Brazil? France? And...even if they are marginally better would have have stood a chance against Germany etc of 4 years ago?
Not many are, with Brazil I still think it’s up in the air. Given they got beat 7-1 last time, Brazil more than anyone will be hoping that this team is better than the one in 2014.
Brazil in 2014 had Fred upfront! They had no strikers other than neymar that got injured. They now have neymar, cortinho, William and forminho all playing well. They defence is rubbish though.
Having observed SCOTUS quite closely in my little area for the last 15 years, the role that the justice’s clerks play in selecting and then deciding cases should not be underestimated.
Not to mention that all those in the running for the current nomination have clerked for on or other of the conservative justices.
The Supreme Court has been, almost since its inception, a political institution, and although it is habit for justices to pay lip service to judicial impartiality, the only decisions which are not nakedly political in controversial cases are those where there is not a clear cut majority.
That Trump might be able to cement a conservative majority in the court, potentially for decades, having been elected on a minority of the popular vote, and confirmed by a Republican Senate which represents an even smaller percentage of the electorate, is going to be subject of furious controversy for the foreseeable future.
Only among the losers, buddy. The winners won’t care.
Republicans shouldn’t complain about a polarised political culture then, like with the Sanders incident, for instance.
I don’t believe in telling people what they should or shouldn’t complain about.
I was just observing that it’s usually the losers that complain
And I was just observing how Republicans expect to do things that are controversial to ‘only the losers’ but then get upset when they face any blowback from that.
Totally OT...are any nations better than their 2014 versions? Brazil? France? And...even if they are marginally better would have have stood a chance against Germany etc of 4 years ago?
Belgium, England (hopefully), Spain, Portugal, Uruguay, Switzerland, Japan.
I don’t think Portugal are, nor Belgium. Ronaldo is past his prime (albeit still brilliant) and Portugal are totally a one man team. Belgium are weaker in defence with the likes of kompany past it.
Belgium have a decent manager this time.
I think like England the manager is doing better with what they have.
Totally OT...are any nations better than their 2014 versions? Brazil? France? And...even if they are marginally better would have have stood a chance against Germany etc of 4 years ago?
Not many are, with Brazil I still think it’s up in the air. Given they got beat 7-1 last time, Brazil more than anyone will be hoping that this team is better than the one in 2014.
Brazil in 2014 had Fred upfront! They had no strikers other than neymar that got injured. They now have neymar, cortinho, William and forminho all playing well. They defence is rubbish though.
I forgot that they had Fred upfront. Neymar has been a bit underwhelming so far at this WC though.
FPT: Mr. B, Grosjean's generally a very good driver. He's had bad luck this year and made the odd cock up too. His qualifying performance was very impressive.
At the moment the current favourite to succeed May as Tory leader and PM is Gove. However Boris has more charisma than Gove and polls better with the public while having few ideological differences with him so do not count him out yet. Boris as PM with Gove as Chancellor still seems to me more likely than Gove as PM
Having observed SCOTUS quite closely in my little area for the last 15 years, the role that the justice’s clerks play in selecting and then deciding cases should not be underestimated.
Not to mention that all those in the running for the current nomination have clerked for on or other of the conservative justices.
The Supreme Court has been, almost since its inception, a political institution, and although it is habit for justices to pay lip service to judicial impartiality, the only decisions which are not nakedly political in controversial cases are those where there is not a clear cut majority.
That Trump might be able to cement a conservative majority in the court, potentially for decades, having been elected on a minority of the popular vote, and confirmed by a Republican Senate which represents an even smaller percentage of the electorate, is going to be subject of furious controversy for the foreseeable future.
Only among the losers, buddy. The winners won’t care.
Republicans shouldn’t complain about a polarised political culture then, like with the Sanders incident, for instance.
I don’t believe in telling people what they should or shouldn’t complain about.
I was just observing that it’s usually the losers that complain
And I was merely observing that the losers at this point constitute the majority of the US electorate, buddy.
When they next control Congress and the presidency, there will be consequences.
Having observed SCOTUS quite closely in my little area for the last 15 years, the role that the justice’s clerks play in selecting and then deciding cases should not be underestimated.
Not to mention that all those in the running for the current nomination have clerked for on or other of the conservative justices.
The Supreme Court has been, almost since its inception, a political institution, and although it is habit for justices to pay lip service to judicial impartiality, the only decisions which are not nakedly political in controversial cases are those where there is not a clear cut majority.
That Trump might be able to cement a conservative majority in the court, potentially for decades, having been elected on a minority of the popular vote, and confirmed by a Republican Senate which represents an even smaller percentage of the electorate, is going to be subject of furious controversy for the foreseeable future.
Only among the losers, buddy. The winners won’t care.
Republicans shouldn’t complain about a polarised political culture then, like with the Sanders incident, for instance.
I don’t believe in telling people what they should or shouldn’t complain about.
I was just observing that it’s usually the losers that complain
And I was merely observing that the losers at this point constitute the majority of the US electorate, buddy.
When they next control Congress and the presidency, there will be consequences.
I don't really follow US politics that closely, but surely the Democrats should have made these old liberal justices stand down in 2015.
Having observed SCOTUS quite closely in my little area for the last 15 years, the role that the justice’s clerks play in selecting and then deciding cases should not be underestimated.
Not to mention that all those in the running for the current nomination have clerked for on or other of the conservative justices.
The Supreme Court has been, almost since its inception, a political institution, and although it is habit for justices to pay lip service to judicial impartiality, the only decisions which are not nakedly political in controversial cases are those where there is not a clear cut majority.
That Trump might be able to cement a conservative majority in the court, potentially for decades, having been elected on a minority of the popular vote, and confirmed by a Republican Senate which represents an even smaller percentage of the electorate, is going to be subject of furious controversy for the foreseeable future.
Only among the losers, buddy. The winners won’t care.
Republicans shouldn’t complain about a polarised political culture then, like with the Sanders incident, for instance.
I don’t believe in telling people what they should or shouldn’t complain about.
I was just observing that it’s usually the losers that complain
And I was merely observing that the losers at this point constitute the majority of the US electorate, buddy.
When they next control Congress and the presidency, there will be consequences.
I don't really follow US politics that closely, but surely the Democrats should have made these old liberal justices stand down in 2015.
You can’t make a justice stand down if they don’t want to... short of impeachment. (And Kennedy was not a liberal.)
Having observed SCOTUS quite closely in my little area for the last 15 years, the role that the justice’s clerks play in selecting and then deciding cases should not be underestimated.
Not to mention that all those in the running for the current nomination have clerked for on or other of the conservative justices.
The Supreme Court has been, almost since its inception, a political institution, and although it is habit for justices to pay lip service to judicial impartiality, the only decisions which are not nakedly political in controversial cases are those where there is not a clear cut majority.
That Trump might be able to cement a conservative majority in the court, potentially for decades, having been elected on a minority of the popular vote, and confirmed by a Republican Senate which represents an even smaller percentage of the electorate, is going to be subject of furious controversy for the foreseeable future.
Only among the losers, buddy. The winners won’t care.
Republicans shouldn’t complain about a polarised political culture then, like with the Sanders incident, for instance.
I don’t believe in telling people what they should or shouldn’t complain about.
I was just observing that it’s usually the losers that complain
And I was merely observing that the losers at this point constitute the majority of the US electorate, buddy.
When they next control Congress and the presidency, there will be consequences.
I don't really follow US politics that closely, but surely the Democrats should have made these old liberal justices stand down in 2015.
You can’t make a justice stand down if they don’t want to... short of impeachment. (And Kennedy was not a liberal.)
I know the decision rests with them, but they clearly care more about themselves than their cause. Though I guess they claim to be impartial.
Having observed SCOTUS quite closely in my little area for the last 15 years, the role that the justice’s clerks play in selecting and then deciding cases should not be underestimated.
Not to mention that all those in the running for the current nomination have clerked for on or other of the conservative justices.
The Supreme Court has been, almost since its inception, a political institution, and although it is habit for justices to pay lip service to judicial impartiality, the only decisions which are not nakedly political in controversial cases are those where there is not a clear cut majority.
That Trump might be able to cement a conservative majority in the court, potentially for decades, having been elected on a minority of the popular vote, and confirmed by a Republican Senate which represents an even smaller percentage of the electorate, is going to be subject of furious controversy for the foreseeable future.
Only among the losers, buddy. The winners won’t care.
Republicans shouldn’t complain about a polarised political culture then, like with the Sanders incident, for instance.
I don’t believe in telling people what they should or shouldn’t complain about.
I was just observing that it’s usually the losers that complain
And I was merely observing that the losers at this point constitute the majority of the US electorate, buddy.
When they next control Congress and the presidency, there will be consequences.
I don't really follow US politics that closely, but surely the Democrats should have made these old liberal justices stand down in 2015.
You can’t make a justice stand down if they don’t want to... short of impeachment. (And Kennedy was not a liberal.)
I know the decision rests with them, but they clearly care more about themselves than their cause. Though I guess they claim to be impartial.
I think it’s pretty common for justices to feel themselves above partisan politics (however ridiculous that might be objectively), and they tend to have very large egos. The fact that so many continue into their 80s is pretty firm evidence that planned retirement isn’t much of a thing with them. (Note Senators display similar tendencies.)
The trouble with Boris is that he has too many skeletons in his cupboard and even his own Sister got so sick of him that she left the Tories and joined the Lib/Dems.
For example a tape exists where Boris then a journalist is heard agreeing to give a friend of his (who later turned out to be a fraudster) another journalist's home address so the friend could have him beaten up.
Boris says that he never actually gave him the address in the end and nothing happened to the journalist, but it sounds bad and you can bet the tape will aired again if he's a leadership contender.
He has also had many affairs outside marriage, he has fathered a daughter with one of his mistresses and tried to get a court order against this being made public, the judge dismissed his application calling his behaviour 'reckless'
in his journalistic career he wrote articles insulting Africans, Buddhists, Jews, Scots and people from Liverpool amongst others. All these articles are bound to be re-published if he tries to become PM.
Boris who is actually very intelligent gets away with a lot by playing the lovable buffoon, but that act won't get him anywhere near Downing Street.
The trouble with Boris is that he has too many skeletons in his cupboard and even his own Sister got so sick of him that she left the Tories and joined the Lib/Dems.
For example a tape exists where Boris then a journalist is heard agreeing to give a friend of his (who later turned out to be a fraudster) another journalist's home address so the friend could have him beaten up.
Boris says that he never actually gave him the address in the end and nothing happened to the journalist, but it sounds bad and you can bet the tape will aired again if he's a leadership contender.
He has also had many affairs outside marriage, he has fathered a daughter with one of his mistresses and tried to get a court order against this being made public, the judge dismissed his application calling his behaviour 'reckless'
in his journalistic career he wrote articles insulting Africans, Buddhists, Jews, Scots and people from Liverpool amongst others. All these articles are bound to be re-published if he tries to become PM.
Boris who is actually very intelligent gets away with a lot by playing the lovable buffoon, but that act won't get him anywhere near Downing Street.
Skeletons are not necessarily an obstacle to the top job if you are charismatic, see JFK, Berlusconi, Bill Clinton and Donald Trump
I'm cheering for France because they helped us with the Falklands, plus I want to see Maradona cry.
Plus I still feel guilty about the events at Mers-el-Kébir.
..by helping Argentina by selling them Exocets?
They didn't. At least not once the invasion had happened. France were great help to the British during the Falklands including giving us all the information we needed to neutralise the threat of the Exocets. And that comes from a man who should certainly should know and who called them our greatest ally in the war.
The trouble with Boris is that he has too many skeletons in his cupboard and even his own Sister got so sick of him that she left the Tories and joined the Lib/Dems.
For example a tape exists where Boris then a journalist is heard agreeing to give a friend of his (who later turned out to be a fraudster) another journalist's home address so the friend could have him beaten up.
Boris says that he never actually gave him the address in the end and nothing happened to the journalist, but it sounds bad and you can bet the tape will aired again if he's a leadership contender.
He has also had many affairs outside marriage, he has fathered a daughter with one of his mistresses and tried to get a court order against this being made public, the judge dismissed his application calling his behaviour 'reckless'
in his journalistic career he wrote articles insulting Africans, Buddhists, Jews, Scots and people from Liverpool amongst others. All these articles are bound to be re-published if he tries to become PM.
Boris who is actually very intelligent gets away with a lot by playing the lovable buffoon, but that act won't get him anywhere near Downing Street.
The trouble with Boris is that he has too many skeletons in his cupboard and even his own Sister got so sick of him that she left the Tories and joined the Lib/Dems.
For example a tape exists where Boris then a journalist is heard agreeing to give a friend of his (who later turned out to be a fraudster) another journalist's home address so the friend could have him beaten up.
Boris says that he never actually gave him the address in the end and nothing happened to the journalist, but it sounds bad and you can bet the tape will aired again if he's a leadership contender.
He has also had many affairs outside marriage, he has fathered a daughter with one of his mistresses and tried to get a court order against this being made public, the judge dismissed his application calling his behaviour 'reckless'
in his journalistic career he wrote articles insulting Africans, Buddhists, Jews, Scots and people from Liverpool amongst others. All these articles are bound to be re-published if he tries to become PM.
Boris who is actually very intelligent gets away with a lot by playing the lovable buffoon, but that act won't get him anywhere near Downing Street.
Skeletons are not necessarily an obstacle to the top job if you are charismatic, see JFK, Berlusconi, Bill Clinton and Donald Trump
Clinton was clean until after he got elected, we didn't find out about JFK's behaviour until after his death, Trump yes but we don't have open primaries where anyone can turn up and try to win a major party nomination. Berlusconi yeah but Italy is a funny sort of place.
The trouble with Boris is that he has too many skeletons in his cupboard and even his own Sister got so sick of him that she left the Tories and joined the Lib/Dems.
For example a tape exists where Boris then a journalist is heard agreeing to give a friend of his (who later turned out to be a fraudster) another journalist's home address so the friend could have him beaten up.
Boris says that he never actually gave him the address in the end and nothing happened to the journalist, but it sounds bad and you can bet the tape will aired again if he's a leadership contender.
He has also had many affairs outside marriage, he has fathered a daughter with one of his mistresses and tried to get a court order against this being made public, the judge dismissed his application calling his behaviour 'reckless'
in his journalistic career he wrote articles insulting Africans, Buddhists, Jews, Scots and people from Liverpool amongst others. All these articles are bound to be re-published if he tries to become PM.
Boris who is actually very intelligent gets away with a lot by playing the lovable buffoon, but that act won't get him anywhere near Downing Street.
Skeletons are not necessarily an obstacle to the top job if you are charismatic, see JFK, Berlusconi, Bill Clinton and Donald Trump
Clinton was clean until after he got elected, we didn't find out about JFK's behaviour until after his death, Trump yes but we don't have open primaries where anyone can turn up and try to win a major party nomination. Berlusconi yeah but Italy is a funny sort of place.
I thought there was a scandal around Clinton before he won in 1992?
EDIT: I'm thinking of him dodging the draft, though I think that showed he wasn't a complete idiot!
The trouble with Boris is that he has too many skeletons in his cupboard and even his own Sister got so sick of him that she left the Tories and joined the Lib/Dems.
For example a tape exists where Boris then a journalist is heard agreeing to give a friend of his (who later turned out to be a fraudster) another journalist's home address so the friend could have him beaten up.
Boris says that he never actually gave him the address in the end and nothing happened to the journalist, but it sounds bad and you can bet the tape will aired again if he's a leadership contender.
He has also had many affairs outside marriage, he has fathered a daughter with one of his mistresses and tried to get a court order against this being made public, the judge dismissed his application calling his behaviour 'reckless'
in his journalistic career he wrote articles insulting Africans, Buddhists, Jews, Scots and people from Liverpool amongst others. All these articles are bound to be re-published if he tries to become PM.
Boris who is actually very intelligent gets away with a lot by playing the lovable buffoon, but that act won't get him anywhere near Downing Street.
What does he have against Buddhists?
The insulting poem at the Shwedegon pagoda in Yangon.
The trouble with Boris is that he has too many skeletons in his cupboard and even his own Sister got so sick of him that she left the Tories and joined the Lib/Dems.
For example a tape exists where Boris then a journalist is heard agreeing to give a friend of his (who later turned out to be a fraudster) another journalist's home address so the friend could have him beaten up.
Boris says that he never actually gave him the address in the end and nothing happened to the journalist, but it sounds bad and you can bet the tape will aired again if he's a leadership contender.
He has also had many affairs outside marriage, he has fathered a daughter with one of his mistresses and tried to get a court order against this being made public, the judge dismissed his application calling his behaviour 'reckless'
in his journalistic career he wrote articles insulting Africans, Buddhists, Jews, Scots and people from Liverpool amongst others. All these articles are bound to be re-published if he tries to become PM.
Boris who is actually very intelligent gets away with a lot by playing the lovable buffoon, but that act won't get him anywhere near Downing Street.
Skeletons are not necessarily an obstacle to the top job if you are charismatic, see JFK, Berlusconi, Bill Clinton and Donald Trump
Clinton was clean until after he got elected, we didn't find out about JFK's behaviour until after his death, Trump yes but we don't have open primaries where anyone can turn up and try to win a major party nomination. Berlusconi yeah but Italy is a funny sort of place.
There were plenty of scandals around Clinton even before he was first elected, remember Gennifer Flowers, dodging the draft, smoking pot but not inhaling? Whitewater was already in the media before he was re elected.
The Tory Party lets the membership choose their leader so is not a million miles away from a closed primary in the USA, so even if Boris did not win the MPs vote if he got to the final two and won the membership vote he would become leader.
Also good to see loads of overtaking and a number of different tyre strategies working in the F2 race. Hopefully a good omen for the big boys tomorrow.
Comments
Cracking Di Maria goal! as good as his goal that I witnessed in the 5:3 LCFC vs MUFC.
I was just observing that it’s usually the losers that complain
Wow, Argentina takes the lead.
https://twitter.com/alstewitn/status/1013066284572008449
When they next control Congress and the presidency, there will be consequences.
Not to mention it would be a great moral wrong to besmirch the grand and rare occasion of me getting lucky with an F1 bet with bickering.
Curiously quaint to hear the C4 team apologising for his ‘language’.
I can’t imagine more than 0.5% of the population being much offended.
F1: about half the markets up.
(And Kennedy was not a liberal.)
The Thread Header ought to read as...
BoJo, the betting favourite with a history of disappointing blunders.
Plus I still feel guilty about the events at Mers-el-Kébir.
The fact that so many continue into their 80s is pretty firm evidence that planned retirement isn’t much of a thing with them. (Note Senators display similar tendencies.)
He's a Fortnum & Mason Jason Lee.
For example a tape exists where Boris then a journalist is heard agreeing to give a friend of his (who later turned out to be a fraudster) another journalist's home address so the friend could have him beaten up.
Boris says that he never actually gave him the address in the end and nothing happened to the journalist, but it sounds bad and you can bet the tape will aired again if he's a leadership contender.
He has also had many affairs outside marriage, he has fathered a daughter with one of his mistresses and tried to get a court order against this being made public, the judge dismissed his application calling his behaviour 'reckless'
in his journalistic career he wrote articles insulting Africans, Buddhists, Jews, Scots and people from Liverpool amongst others. All these articles are bound to be re-published if he tries to become PM.
Boris who is actually very intelligent gets away with a lot by playing the lovable buffoon, but that act won't get him anywhere near Downing Street.
I'll probably trade out soon though.
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/uknews/1387576/How-France-helped-us-win-Falklands-war-by-John-Nott.html
Berlusconi yeah but Italy is a funny sort of place.
EDIT: I'm thinking of him dodging the draft, though I think that showed he wasn't a complete idiot!
The Tory Party lets the membership choose their leader so is not a million miles away from a closed primary in the USA, so even if Boris did not win the MPs vote if he got to the final two and won the membership vote he would become leader.