politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Will “Angie’s” third term be with the reds or the yellows?
politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Will “Angie’s” third term be with the reds or the yellows?
Unless the polls have been very wrong, Angela Merkel is heading for a third term as German Chancellor, a feat that only Adenauer and Kohl have managed since 1949 (and they both went on to win four elections).
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Gracie Samuels @GracieSamuels
@johnprescott Why are the @Conservatives being allowed to get away using public money & Treasury staff to make political points? #lab
Simon Walker, Director General of the Institute of Directors: "Several of Labour's proposals are completely removed from reality"
Electricity costs 30pc more than in the rest of Europe, and twice as much as in the US. Natural gas costs four times more than in the US as the shale revolution alters the global economic landscape at lightning speed, leaving parts of Germany’s chemical and plastic industry under mortal threat."
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/comment/10325512/A-victory-for-Merkel-will-only-mask-Germanys-long-term-economic-problems.html
e.g. it has been calculated that had the new system been in place in 2009, the basic size of the Bundestag (598) would have increased to 671 (a 12% bloating) due to 24 overhangs and 49 balance seats.
This shows what a crazy system MMP really is.
The other effect is that the (small) winner's bonus is almost entirely eliminated, thereby increasing the probability of an indecisive outcome...
BRICS creating their own international internet cable system following US spying revelations.
http://www.globalresearch.ca/the-brics-independent-internet-in-defiance-of-the-us-centric-internet/5350272
...and now a press release from the British Chambers of Commerce, calling it "an 'apprentice tax' on employers and job creation".
http://www.spiegel.de/international/europe/british-spy-agency-gchq-hacked-belgian-telecoms-firm-a-923406.html
http://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/home-news/uks-gchq-blamed-for-cyber-attack-on-belgian-telecoms-company-8830123.html
Personally, I'm amazed anyone's surprised that this sort of thing's going on...
'Simon Walker, Director General of the Institute of Directors: "Several of Labour's proposals are completely removed from reality"
3+ years of a blank piece of paper & then a Milishambles.
Seek help.
Every vote will count, couldn't be more exciting.
You'd think someone who loved the party would have fought tooth and nail to remove this cancer from its midst.
Of course, the problem is that would have meant removing the entire party leadership ...
CDU/CSU could potentially govern alone with a hairsbreadth majority...
RTL:
CDU/CSU 42.0%, SPD 25.5% SED 8.5% GRÜ 8.5%, FDP 5%, AFD 4.5%
You can't say we're satisfied
But Angie, I still love you, baby
Everywhere I look I see your eyes
There ain't a woman that comes close to you.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RcZn2-bGXqQ
I claim a small guessing prize - I said I was doubtful if the AfD would make it, thought the FDP was at risk, and thought the Left might outdo their polling rating - not sure about the last one though.
This "proportional" system could give Merkel an outright majority with about 42%.
Germany - seats based on FGW exit poll: CDU/CSU 302, SPD 189, LINKE 60, Greens 57 #btw13
http://www.google.com/elections/ed/de/districts?hl=de
Is that "sacked" or "in the sack"?
There are rumours circulating about McBride. a drunken dinner party and a Labour Minister.
Germany - Forsa exit poll: CDU/CSU 42%, SPD 25.5%, Greens 8.5%, LINKE 8.5%, FDP 5%, AfD 4.5% #btw13
http://conservativehome.blogs.com/international/2013/09/from-andrewimarshall-bundestagswahlen-for-beginners-.html
4 seat SPD/Grüne/Linke majority...
SPD/Grüne/Linke coalition
CDU/CSU-SPD grand coalition
CSD/CSU minority
CSD/CSU-Grüne coalition
Hmm...
As I think @tim has said before, and with which I'm largely inclined to agree, this group of people is not at all significant. But alas, both party leaders seem to want to pursue it now...
Firstly their Islamic friends misbehave again and now the German voters might not fall into line for the strategic mastermind.
Talk about Stockholm Syndrome...
In short, it's crap. Like Ed.
http://www.theguardian.com/world/2013/sep/22/germany-election-results-merkel-live-updates
http://wahltool.zdf.de/de/_html5/indexc.html?
Not many do, mind...
MMP=craptastic
Sven plays his only Joker...!
they've also moved AfD to 4.9% from 4,8%
FPT - if you use politicalbetting.vanillaforums.com without javascript I find that there are no problems.
Still, either outcome will expose Cameron's sham renegotiation with the EU before the "cast-iron" referendum in 2017.
Union: 42.5%
Combined left: 41.8%
http://www.theguardian.com/world/2013/sep/22/germany-election-results-merkel-live-updates
But should AfD make it in, she'll be 17 seats short.
However coalition with the AfD would produce a 34 seat majority...
Clear as mud?
Edited to add: Don't show this picture to anyone Godfrey Bloom would not rightly slap!
Anything less than a 6 or seven seat majority is probably insufficient, pointing to the Grand Coalition?