I’ve just had a bet at 23/10 with Ladbrokes that the Conservatives will hold on to Barnet in the local elections on May 3rd. My reason is an assessment by long standing PB contributor, Sean Fear, that this is a 50-50 chance and in such cases the betting option that’s longer than evens is the value bet.
Comments
Wandsworth may now be more vulnerable to Labour than Barnet
But you can imagine the soap dodgers of Stop the War mob trying to take legal action to stop war.
https://twitter.com/MarkDiStef/status/986221643658874880
Oh my part II
https://twitter.com/MarkDiStef/status/986223191415820288
Sums her up to a tee.
Answer - because Corbyn is a wassock
I'm so confused now.
Stewart McDonald MP
Verified account @StewartMcDonald
Stewart McDonald MP Retweeted Nick Eardley
Several sources have told me that the Prime Minister’s National Security Adviser has given Labour MPs intelligence & security briefings on Syria, not on the basis that they are Privy Councillors - and therefore security cleared - but instead to those who support air strikes.
https://twitter.com/StewartMcDonald/status/986212403510734848
Are you also confuzed?
(I think 'wassock' is some Midland dialect... and autocorrect tries to change it to cassock.)
For this reason, I'm going to disagree with OGH: I think Childs Hill will go from two Conservative councillors to zero - whether the beneficiary will be the LibDems or the Labour Party is another matter altogether.
In France there is no legislative restraint on the power of the President to launch military action in his role as Head of the French armed forces
Answer - because Corbyn is a wassock / wazzock
Dan Johnson used the words in 2014 in reply to a text message from the head of media at South Yorkshire Police after the raid, the High Court heard.
http://www.bbc.com/news/uk-43796826
Dan Johnson has certainly had some interesting things to say.
** Rant mode ON **
I really hate this sort of cod-diagnosis. Being not v good with people or very interested in a particular topic is not a mental illness and this tendency to label quirks and eccentricities as a disease does a disservice to those who really do suffer from such mental illnesses. (The same can be said of fussy eaters claiming to have an "allergy" when the reality is they just don't like a particular food.)
As the mother of a child with OCD it really bugs me - and him - when people say they are a "little bit OCD" just because they like to tidy their books alphabetically or whatever. OCD is not about excessive tidiness. It's a horrible condition which causes real pain - think of someone banging their head against a wall - literally - for hours at a time to try and banish dark thoughts or self-harming to the point of attempting suicide. It can be managed. But provision for it - certainly in the NHS - is poor and if not treated it has a high mortality rate. People who like lining up their mugs in a particular way have no fucking idea what being OCD is like!
Being interested in politics more than the normal person makes one intelligent not weird. Not being very good with strangers makes one shy and reserved not mentally ill. Not everyone can be a Princess Diana and politics needs all sorts of skills. Mrs May has some and not others. That just means that she is human and is, IMO, over-promoted. Sometimes she can be very good; at other times she has a tin ear for the human side. She is much like many people in positions of leadership in both the private and public sectors.
I can't comment on PB'ers other than those I've met. And I'm not going to. But they seem to cover a range of interesting opinions and experiences (which makes this website one of the best there is) and some seem to be both fun and kind.
** Rant mode off now (and apologies for the intemperate language) **
I see this as a means for elements within Parliament and campaign groups to stop all military activity short of national boundary defence. How else would a precursor to action debate go?
Government: We need to carry out military action.
Parliament: Where exactly?
Government: Can't tell you that or the other side can move the target.
Parliament: When exactly?
Government: We can't tell you that either because we hope the other side will be asleep.
Parliament: How?
Government: We can't tell you that either because we don't want the other side to be ready.
Parliament: Well then the answer is no.
We'd be a laughing stock.
No true Englishman/Brit would ever use the French as a good role model for our nation.
We have higher standards than the French.
Begone back to St Petersburg.
A former Home Office employee said the records, stored in the basement of a government tower block, were a vital resource for case workers when they were asked to find information about someone’s arrival date in the UK from the West Indies – usually when the individual was struggling to resolve immigration status problems.
Although the home secretary, Amber Rudd, has promised to make it easier for Windrush-generation residents to regularise their status, the destruction of the database is likely to make the process harder, even with the support of the new taskforce announced this week.
The former employee (who has asked for his name not to be printed) said it was decided in 2010 to destroy the disembarkation cards, which dated back to the 1950s and 60s, when the Home Office’s Whitgift Centre in Croydon was closed and the staff were moved to another site. Employees in his department told their managers it was a bad idea, because these papers were often the last remaining record of a person’s arrival date, in the event of uncertainty or lost documents.
The files were destroyed in October that year, when Theresa May was Home Secretary
https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2018/apr/17/home-office-destroyed-windrush-landing-cards-says-ex-staffer?CMP=Share_iOSApp_Other
https://twitter.com/LadPolitics/status/986234885823016960
Alexander van Terheyden went to a far-right rally and has defended the crusades
https://twitter.com/j_bloodworth/status/986234589294161920?s=21
Surely Rudd could have told the officials to apply an element of common sense?
https://twitter.com/JournoStephen/status/986219593134993409?s=20
Fair - and brutal.
Given the fact she's PM and has many other important things on your plate, I think your comment is the ungallant one.
Still, anything to divert from the ungallant fool that is Labour's leader, and the coterie of absolute sh*ts he has surrounded himself with.
This is like the Westboro Church protesting at military funerals
https://twitter.com/chrisshipitv/status/986236513582178311?s=21
The problem is not just immigration, bureaucrats not caring about people and just ticking boxes is a wide problem across society.
It's not necessarily the bureaucrats fault, as if they do show some common sense, they can then be penalised themselves.
It's a mess. And people get hurt.
It's that sentiment that secured Brexit, with a campaign of xenophobic lies, and reinforced this behaviour by the government who could act against poor, marginalised people without consequence. The yelps from some Leavers are crocodile tears: they played a large part in contributing to this problem.
There will be no ministerial resignations. Conservatives simply don't care enough about this to force one, when it comes down to it.
This is getting into a stupid blamefest.
If there is an alternate explanation as to why I am all ears
This is staggering. The current PM's fingerprints all over it.
We must hope the Conservatives hold Barnet.
F1: nice article by Palmer on Hamilton and the season so far:
https://www.bbc.co.uk/sport/formula1/43778200
Would be pretty disappointing from a Labour poi t of view though.
Just wondering, as that's what seems to be expected of party leaders nowadays if a random member, let alone a candidate, says or does something dodgy.
Some bright MP might wish to raise this point. This - potentially - goes wider than just Windrush records.
The civil servant in charge of the UK Border Agency at the time was Brodie Clark, who was required to cope with "an £85m running cost reduction" imposed by the Home Office.
Brodie Clark resigned in 2011 expressly citing May's interference and lack of support. ("With the home secretary announcing and repeating her view that I am at fault, I cannot see how any process conducted by the Home Office, or under its auspices, can be fair and balanced." https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2011/nov/08/brodie-clark-resigns-theresa-may )
The buck stops at the top. If May survives this unscathed, she truly is made of Teflon. (Or Labour is utterly incapable of capitalising on her weakness, which I fear is largely true.)
Just past the Duke of York pub
Me duck.
This Windrush disgrace is the kind of thing that would have me wondering about voting for a different party at the next GE, perhaps Labour. But I cannot even contemplate doing that whilst the far left has a stranglehold on the party's leadership.
It's a wretched thing when a PM that's lacklustre at best remains far preferable to the Opposition, led as it is by a man whose number two praised bombs when used against innocent British civilians, and who himself condemns bombs when used to destroy chemical weapons facilities shortly after they were used on civilians.
And that's before we get onto Corbyn's desire for Russia to have a veto on British foreign policy. The man's a fool. At best.
The years of official indifference to reports of such problems is equally offensive.
And isn't that what impact assessments are supposed to be about ?