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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » If the S Mirror’s right about TMay’s exit date then the 2/1 on
politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » If the S Mirror’s right about TMay’s exit date then the 2/1 on Betfair is a great punt
TMay planning to quit as PM on Aug 30 2019 that is if there's not a move against her earlier as there could https://t.co/h1gfWAmLKN
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Off topic, they finally got through the undercard in Vegas, and now they’re delaying the big fight because of TV subscription services being down. A long night for those staying up in the UK, about two hours later than scheduled.
I've bitten.
I don't know anything about boxing, but I don't think I'll regret that bet even if he loses.
The interesting question, for me, is how far away the betting markets are from fair value.
We'll see.
Tabiti was sublime, Jack was immense, Davis was inspired.
Enjoy!
I’m on Mayweather to win in fewer than six rounds, but am only in for £50 or so - fight sports can occasionally throw up a surprise result.
Oh dear......
As the Americans say, fifty and oh.
It's a "sport" I don't understand.
He had a smile on his face from Rd 2.
I'm not regretting my straight win bet of ~240 on Floyd. Could well have been a wide decision with another referee
I just lost a few quid though. I reckon Mayweather's team had their cash on 9 and 10.
Edit: hat-tip to @Pulpstar for crediting @Freetochoose
It was the feeling that mortals get when they compete and lose/don't win and are so happy they have forced themselves to compete - win lose the elation is that you have put yourself up to try.
The hindsight narratives (that Floyd was *just toying* with Connor, etc etc) don't persuade me I got the value I thought I was getting when I took the 1.29.
It looks to me like the market wasn't far off.
Still, winningz are winningz
The spin will be that Labour is playing games while Brexit is the most vital issue facing Britain since 1940 -- so important that everyone's gone on holiday for three months.
I had a bit on at 1.25 and some on the stoppage, but outweighed by a few small bets on the early rounds. £50 on and £30 back, but didn’t have to pay for the PPV so was a good morning’s entertainment for £20.
The last time I had a grand on something at 1.25 it was the Tory majority!
Goodnight/morning
Respect.
McGregor’s seen the huge payday that a boxing match can get him, he’d be mad not to want to do it again even if it seems like a freak show to boxing aficionados.
Has the potential for some very bad headlines though, if for example they don’t pair someone with Nick Boles who’s suffering from cancer and frequently in hospital.
I can imagine some informal pairings too, perhaps Anna Soubry and Kate Hoey might pair up to avoid voting against their whip.
For every other Tory MP though, the next 18 months are going to be spent in Westminster from Monday morning until Friday night, and as you say there will be plans worked out for anyone out of town to get back quickly if required. It’s going to be a real pain for ministers in the foreign office, brexit department, international trade and overseas aid departments to have to plan their travel very carefully. Wouldn’t want to be a Tory whip right now.
All the talk of 1 vs 2 year transitions hinges on a deal being signed off by both parties, the default is no transition, just hard Brexit on day 1. No deal means no transition.
https://www.welt.de/debatte/kommentare/article168012325/Mit-dem-Top-Gun-Auftritt-hat-es-Himmelsstuermer-Macron-uebertrieben.html
hope he got his make-up right
Thanks to Mr. Choose for his Mayweather tip to win by KO TKO or DSQ.
http://www.faz.net/aktuell/politik/inland/f-a-z-wahlbarometer-so-wollen-die-deutschen-waehlen-14406977.html
not much movement, Merkel still in front, SPD going nowhere, commntators expecting AfD to come a distant third
Labour would seek a transitional deal that maintains the same basic terms that we currently enjoy with the EU. That means we would seek to remain in a customs union with the EU and within the single market during this period. It means we would abide by the common rules of both.
https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2017/aug/26/keir-starmer-no-constructive-ambiguity-brexit-cliff-edge-labour-will-avoid-transitional-deal
One drawback of a Prime Minister preannouncing their departure date is usually reckoned to be a severe loss of authority. Evdiently that isn't a consideration this time round.
It would not provide a durable or acceptable long-term settlement for Britain or the EU. It would not provide certainty for either party. It leaves unresolved some of the central issues the referendum exposed – in particular the need for more effective management of migration, which Labour recognise must be addressed in the final deal.
What is most astonishing about all this is how the BBC and the Remain establishmnet almost entirely fail to mention the U-Turn in this. This is after Boris saying €100bn is too high a fee on one occasion and saying we will pay a number above €0bn on another occasion was painted as a U-Turn. They have abandoned any pretense of consistency or impartiality in their efforts to oppose Brexit. Private media companies can of course do what they want but it's about time the national broadcaster got sanctioned for their overwhelming political bias.
Back to Brexit. We are now odds on to win Tokyo Central and the Chiba Prefecture !
Barnier could even tell Davis: "why am I talking to you ?"
Jupiter returns to the earth", then cheered French media with a mixture of relief and ridicule. The young President, who briefly flirted with the emperor's clothes, might be quite naked in the winter.
https://www.google.fr/amp/www.independent.co.uk/voices/hard-brexit-british-economy-study-trade-customs-union-single-market-europe-eu-ridiculous-a7906086.html?amp
I would bet 90% of voters couldn't tell you where Venezuela was. Maybe people around West Bromwich just about could.
https://www.economist.com/news/britain/21727080-combination-brexit-and-jeremy-corbyn-could-lead-dystopia-ayn-rand-predicted?fsrc=scn/fb/te/bl/ed/inbritainatlasisabouttoshrug
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2017/aug/26/emmanuel-macron-reform-france-labour-laws-challenge-unions
if Macron backs down on this Mrs May will be looking a strong stable leader with a united party by comparison
Surely it should be an economic model like East Germany.
FFS get a grip. What the Tories need are policies for the many not the few rather than the reverse.
Golden rule of Brexit is that the better Remainers think something is for them, the worse it plays for them in the country:
- Obama
- Osborne and his various predictions of doom
- Debates
- The actual vote
- Gina Miller's Legal challenge
- The GE
- Keir Starmer
You'd think they'd have learned by now...
the real negotiaions havent even started yet, theyre all waiting on the German elections
Barnier will do what Merkel tells him
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-39730326
That's an actual economic collapse, not the imaginary one Remain claimed would happen.
PB is just too hung up on Brexit and has lost the plot
As I say, Remainers get overexcited. They've forgotten how to reason about this issue.
People voted to leave, and leave we shall. Rejoice.
The untrustworthiness of Labour manifestos should also play part of the attack on Labour's middle class voters. They need to be told very clearly that Corbyn would go well beyond it to implement Socialism in the UK. Plus what that would mean for the functioning of markets and economic growth.
"“What there wouldn’t be is whole-scale importation of underpaid workers from central Europe in order to destroy conditions, particularly in the construction industries.”
Pressed on how his party would restrict immigration, Corbyn said: “You prevent agencies recruiting for jobs like that, you advertise for jobs in the locality first … It would be on the basis on the economic need and skills required. The need for nurses is huge … we have to be sensible about this.”" Corbin on Marr July 2017
https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2017/jul/23/labour-would-leave-single-market-jeremy-corbyn
Betting PostF1: backed both Force Indias to score at 2.2. It's Ladbrokes, but on the Exchange, under F1, then Belgian GP Specials. Wasn't there yesterday or I would've tipped that.
Methinks that not a very cunning plan...
If it is such a good idea, you should have another election soon.
Mayweather boxed as he always did and Mayweather boxes to go the distance. He gave up early rounds to let his opponent punch himself out and closed it out easily.
it hardly gets a mention
the 12 month remainer sulkathon will end in October when Germany gets a new government, after that things will move on
"I see Continuity Remain has got back from its villa in Umbria and is making every effort to get its narrative into the newspapers"
It is rather a curious sort of "victory".
More likely she will concentrate on Germany's economic boom.
Thank you for using the word Remainer rather than the taunting Remoaner word that so many of your less thoughtful fellow winners use to kick us while we are down. That one really vicious word, especially when used in the printed media and on TV, is quite high (in my opinion) on the list of reasons why the country is not showing any signs of uniting.
It seems one way and another we're getting them by default. In England we've had, counting the referendum, a national election every year for three years. In Scotland on a like-for-like basis they have managed a remarkable five in four.