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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Johnson the big loser – Rees-Mogg the big winner in the CON le
politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Johnson the big loser – Rees-Mogg the big winner in the CON leadership betting since the election
Given that the loss of the CON overall majority at general election happened less than ten weeks it is quite extraordinary to look back at the change in TMay replacement betting since then.
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This Tory conference is going to be like The X Factor but with Andrea Leadsom, Boris Johnson, David Davis, Boris et al.
Somebody I trust implicitly in the world of Tory politics is convinced Hammond and Fox have done a deal, Fox will back Hammond in exchange for becoming Foreign Secretary.
I'm laying both Boris and The Papist.
Been wanting to do that for years, maybe getting out more would help?
AVe Maria thread combination to await then?
As a practising Catholic, Rees Mogg opposed gay marriage on the basis that on such matters he took his whip from the hierarchy of the Roman Catholic Church, not the Whip's Office.
Or do you mean 'get married to?'
Sorry, I am fuming at an idiot solicitor who has sent the wrong paperwork and is blustering to cover up their error.
The sensible thing to do, surely, would be to let Mrs May grapple with the Brexit situation and then install a fresh face who can disavow all the errors.
But if it seems sensible to me, it probably doesn't seem good politics to politicians.
Good afternoon, everybody.
Good afternoon, Miss JGP.
Without violating the space-time continuum not sure how you could achieve that?
OPTION 2: He is about to get sued into oblivion
The thinning of the ranks is genuinely interesting. Did Osborne cull anyone? I know he promoted/had promoted his supporters but I can't recall him driving people out as per Brown.
All these meme from all sides just bloody clog up my Twitter feed. If it's not trump / anti trump, it's bloody moamentumers.
I wouldn't hire anybody who left an online trail of squabbling with people.
I did wonder if he was just trolling, his actions over the last 24 hours have made me think it more likely that he could be having health problems.
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/magazine-40926963
Is it any wonder people feel the economy isn't working for them? We can afford it, although I'd rather not, but many others won't find it easy.
Edit.
Being completely new of course there are no second hand or hand me downs for the less well off.
Mr. Dean, that sounds a bit wretched of the school, quite frankly.
Trouble is that I've been laying everybody else too. It's one of those races when you think nobody is good enough to win, but somebody has to.
I'd be inclined to agree with Mike that TM will stay on, faute de mieux, but can't somehow see her credibly managing the Party Conference.
What's Ken Clarke doing these days?
More vitriol being poured over Mr Chapman it seems. Part of me wonders if the Conservatives are worried he will have some ex (as they will be) Tories with him on September 9th.
What a laugh that would be - 20 Democrat MPs, a new fourth party (after the SNP) and May's majority in tatters.
It won't happen of course but just the possibility it might has clearly rattled a few.
Although it’s all turned out OK he’s stil thinking about a formal complaint.
In between decorating!
Ball is now in their court.
And it certainly won't happen again as I will make sure I do not have dealings with them in future. Unfortunately they are not technically working for me.
However, the mere threat of a complaint to the Law Society was sufficient for it to be escalated very rapidly. I suspect it costs them a lot of time and effort to respond even if they're sure of the eventual outcome.
The Brexiteers were praising self-regulation on the previous thread...
Jacob Rees-Mogg looks like the clearest of lays. I'm not so sure about Boris Johnson. He might even represent value for the first time in many years.
Rees-Mogg mania is silly season stuff obviously, although that didn't stop Boris from getting within one Michael Gove backstab away from becoming PM. Granted, that took years of work to get to that point. Although Rees-Mogg's persona is more old school charm than affable rogue, so maybe that would cut the period down by a few years.
I am surprised to see Hammond's predicted chances rise though.
The next Tory leader market has always been a lay-the-favourite market, and usually lay the second favourite too. I see no reason to change that habit any time soon. Unless the party conspires to push Mrs May out at Conference of course, in which case anything could happen.
If JRM gets to the last 2 who could he win against. Who does he lose to?
I don't understand why they don't just move the whole conference season forward two weeks.
Soubry is in a more interesting place politically speaking as Broxtowe is ultra-marginal mind.
This seemed to both of us a ridiculous example of restrictive trade practices at the expense of low-income parents, but the various bodies who I approached all declined to intervene - a matter for the school, blah blah. The school clearly regarded it as a nice little earner. Perhaps this government might take an interest - free competition and all that?
I expect that in the coming months Jacob Rees-Mogg will say something that even the wildest headbangers will struggle to defend (people who are frequently quoted because they are quotable almost always do). The juggernaut will then come to a juddering halt.
I'm very happy with my position on this market. Right now I make money provided that the Conservatives don't choose Jacob Rees-Mogg as next Prime Minister and provided that the next Prime Minister isn't a current Conservative who fails to be next leader of the Conservatives. I expect that I'll get the opportunity to sort both of these holes out profitably in the coming months if I need to.
@isam nailed it
But whatever Chappers is up to, it means nothing if he's not got MPs behind him. A few metropolitan journalists and former politicians isn't going to cut the mustard.
How long does it take to write a book, have it edited and published?
Given we'll be leaving (well going to transition) in just over 18 months he'd better get on with it... We'll have left by the time it's published!