I see Emily Thornberry is subbing for JC at PMQs today.Anyone who took the 28-1-currently into 16-1-in the next Labour leader contest will be interested in what sort of form she's in as to whether they arb out and take a profit-no sin in my eyes-but for those in for the long-term it is encouraging Mr Corbyn sees her as a no 2.Anyone looking for an "if JC falls under a bus"candidate, perhaps whilst riding his bike,she is also available at 50-1 at Corals in the next PM betting. Those on Damian Green,as advised by this site,is currently best-priced at 28-1 with WH for next PM, and best -priced at Betway at 25-1 for next Con leader- which still looks good value to me-will be looking at his performance in the blue camp,bearing in mind the abject paucity of apparent leadership qualities in the Tory party,a choice of evils if ever there was one.25-1 is too big.
Great betting post. Worth a pint on both of them at those prices if they are going to gain profile as PMQs deputies.
Its probably slightly higher, an Electrician now for a standard week is earning around £45,000 per year without overtime or any private jobs on a weekend. This reflects just how incredibly buoyant the economy is and its why the nonsense wriiten on here about the Tories economic incompetence grates so much. Does anyone really think if JC got into power and implemented his crazy policies that unemployment would fall and wages will rise?
I'm starting to believe we have a very 2 tier economy - a lot of people on minimum wage up to £16k a year, the rest on £40k plus a year and nothing in between...
that data should be available, no?
(anecdotally - yeah, tempted to agree but would need to see some numbers)
Yesterday, there was a discussion about what might halt Brexit. I see three things that could delay it, potentially indefinitely. In ascending order of probability:
1. An external security threat so serious that Brexit is put on hold. So, were Russia to invade the Baltics (for example), I think we would find ourselves more concerned with the security of Europe (in general, rather than the EU in particular), and Article 50 would be postponed. This would be akin to the First World War interrupting Irish independence. I'd give this a low probability (say 0.5%).
2. A very serious recession that resulted in sharply rising unemployment and which causes Brexit to become suddenly very unpopular. I would add that Brexit would probably not be the cause of the recession (that would be the fundamentally unbalanced UK economy), but it would likely get the blame. I would assign this a medium probability (5%).
3. Most likely is that Theresa May's government is brought down over the inability to pass a Brexit Bill. (Now, in theory this causes us to crash out to WTO. In reality, I think it would cause the EU to agree to an extension while the UK dithered.) Why would the government be unable to pass a Brexit Bill? Because Mr Corbyn would see it as an opportunity to bring down the government, the DUP would demand a frictionless border with the Republic, and there are enough awkward Conservative Party MPs. I would rate this as an approximately 15% possibility.
There is some overlap between 2 and 3, so I estimate the probability that the UK does not exit in April 2019 (or shortly thereafter) is between 15 and 20%.
Since we're talking delaying not just halting, I think there's also a non-trivial probability that both sides will realise they genuinely need more time to work out the details. I mean, everybody knows the deadline is too tight, no?
I know it needs unaninimity on the EU side and they've been firm on this to date, but it's unusual for the EU to see a can and not kick it.
Macron making concerted effort to get the £70 billion financial services business from London in a speech yesterday. As someone from the financial services industry he believes Paris are in an ideal position.
There are 2.2 million financial and related services jobs in the UK. Your article suggests a few hundred are being considered. I'm not sure that quite adds up to either the "all" or the "going" in your conclusion.
One might note the Catholic Church will cease to be anything other than abhorrent if it doesn't stop sodomizing little boys In other news, why is Ashley Giles on a state visit to the UK?!
It is true though. Fantasy and postures are not policies - a lesson Boris, Davies, Fox, et al need to learn and very quickly.
As Katya Adler notes in her last article, "the Europeans want a deal with the UK" and "need a deal". Both sides mention they won't do one at any price, but there is a deal to be had. It also mentions it will be tailor made, as May initially wanted.
The question is how Remainers react when the deal they said couldn't be done (an expansive, unique trade deal that controls immigration for a much lower fee) is done.
Speaking purely for myself, I would love to see a successful Brexit deal. I do not want the UK to Brexit, but if Brexit happens I would far, far rather that is was as minimally damaging to the UK as possible.
In spite of the accusations levelled at me by the more vituperative Leavers on here, I do not want the UK to become a failed state or a damaged economy, nor do I wish it ill.
A good outcome would be wonderful, I just do not see how we get it whilst our politicians play at politics instead of doing politics.
I think this is the right line for Lab to take. What does No Deal look like? It isn't saying they are pro- or anti-Brexit they just want to know how the govt is going to manage it.
Green deflects, of course, because he, like everyone else, hasn't a clue.
Its probably slightly higher, an Electrician now for a standard week is earning around £45,000 per year without overtime or any private jobs on a weekend. This reflects just how incredibly buoyant the economy is and its why the nonsense wriiten on here about the Tories economic incompetence grates so much. Does anyone really think if JC got into power and implemented his crazy policies that unemployment would fall and wages will rise?
I'm starting to believe we have a very 2 tier economy - a lot of people on minimum wage up to £16k a year, the rest on £40k plus a year and nothing in between...
We advertised a office admin job for £16k to £24k per annum, not a lot of skills required, just basic Microsoft Office experience. We had no applications.
It is true though. Fantasy and postures are not policies - a lesson Boris, Davies, Fox, et al need to learn and very quickly.
As Katya Adler notes in her last article, "the Europeans want a deal with the UK" and "need a deal". Both sides mention they won't do one at any price, but there is a deal to be had. It also mentions it will be tailor made, as May initially wanted.
The question is how Remainers react when the deal they said couldn't be done (an expansive, unique trade deal that controls immigration for a much lower fee) is done.
Speaking purely for myself, I would love to see a successful Brexit deal. I do not want the UK to Brexit, but if Brexit happens I would far, far rather that is was as minimally damaging to the UK as possible.
In spite of the accusations levelled at me by the more vituperative Leavers on here, I do not want the UK to become a failed state or a damaged economy, nor do I wish it ill.
A good outcome would be wonderful, I just do not see how we get it whilst our politicians play at politics instead of doing politics.
She's rough and a novice at it but I think as she becomes more polished she will become an effective performer. Not a bad betting proposition as has been stated.
Are there any odds on David Gauke for next Tory leader, potential Major type figure to sneak up on the rails.
John Major held two of the great offices of state -- Chancellor and Foreign Secretary -- so was not really a dark horse. Theresa May is too weak to reshuffle the Cabinet or even the junior ministers so the runners and riders are probably known.
After today's PMQs, perhaps Damian Green is hiding in plain sight as Deputy PM.
Even the Tory party has come to the same conclusion as I have, though I think Maybots on here will keep on defending her like a Japanese soldier in the jungle fighting WW2 in the 1970s
Are there any odds on David Gauke for next Tory leader, potential Major type figure to sneak up on the rails.
John Major held two of the great offices of state -- Chancellor and Foreign Secretary -- so was not really a dark horse. Theresa May is too weak to reshuffle the Cabinet or even the junior ministers so the runners and riders are probably known.
After today's PMQs, perhaps Damian Green is hiding in plain sight as Deputy PM.
Very impressed with him today but unlikely to stand for leader
Even the Tory party has come to the same conclusion as I have, though I think Maybots on here will keep on defending her like a Japanese soldier in the jungle fighting WW2 in the 1970s
Green just pointed out that Euratom status does not affect import of medical isotopes and cancer patients have been needlessly worried by scaremongering....
Green just pointed out that Euratom status does not affect import of medical isotopes and cancer patients have been needlessly worried by scaremongering....
Are there any odds on David Gauke for next Tory leader, potential Major type figure to sneak up on the rails.
John Major held two of the great offices of state -- Chancellor and Foreign Secretary -- so was not really a dark horse. Theresa May is too weak to reshuffle the Cabinet or even the junior ministers so the runners and riders are probably known.
After today's PMQs, perhaps Damian Green is hiding in plain sight as Deputy PM.
Very impressed with him today but unlikely to stand for leader
After last time, when Boris was a slam dunk but Theresa May won, I'm expecting a very large field for the next leadership election. There will not be many ministers who do not think they can do a better job than the current prime minister.
I'm starting to believe we have a very 2 tier economy - a lot of people on minimum wage up to £16k a year, the rest on £40k plus a year and nothing in between...
Here's UK pre-tax income percentiles from 14/15, latest I have:
Green just pointed out that Euratom status does not affect import of medical isotopes and cancer patients have been needlessly worried by scaremongering....
My understanding is that medical isotopes are produced in three plants in France, Belgium and the Netherlands. There was a shortage of these isotopes, which have a shelf life of only a few hours, in 2008-2010. Euratom was given the job of managing the supply to demand.
The issue therefore isn't that we wouldn't have access to medical isotopes if we were out of Euratom. It's that we wouldn't have equal consideration of needs. Euratom members will be serviced first and anything left over would be released to us.
Even the Tory party has come to the same conclusion as I have, though I think Maybots on here will keep on defending her like a Japanese soldier in the jungle fighting WW2 in the 1970s
I wonder how often Sophy Ridge has been inside a tower block for anything other than professional reasons?
Pathetic.
Is this some new test of worthiness? Whether one has been in a tower block or not? I never have and hope never to. I assume they are squalid rookeries of glue sniffing leavers.
I've lived in two tower blocks. In the first yer of Uni I was near the top of a uni residential block in South Woodford (floor 9 from memory), and a few years later I stayed in a room in Skenfrith House off the Old Kent Road.
The latter was possibly an indication of the problem. the owners had recently renovated the flat and it was very nice internally; however you stepped outside into a lift that frequently stank of worriesome bodiy fluids, and the communal area at the bottom was also often unpleasant.
It doesn't matter how much you spend on your flat if one or two families, or even individuals, make the communal areas unpleasant.
The former were all demolished some years back.
You are right that the biggest problem with high rise living is that, without employing someone living on site to be responsible, the communal areas are difficult to look after.
Even the Tory party has come to the same conclusion as I have, though I think Maybots on here will keep on defending her like a Japanese soldier in the jungle fighting WW2 in the 1970s
Yesterday, there was a discussion about what might halt Brexit. I see three things that could delay it, potentially indefinitely. In ascending order of probability:
...
There is some overlap between 2 and 3, so I estimate the probability that the UK does not exit in April 2019 (or shortly thereafter) is between 15 and 20%.
Since we're talking delaying not just halting, I think there's also a non-trivial probability that both sides will realise they genuinely need more time to work out the details. I mean, everybody knows the deadline is too tight, no?
I know it needs unaninimity on the EU side and they've been firm on this to date, but it's unusual for the EU to see a can and not kick it.
Macron making concerted effort to get the £70 billion financial services business from London in a speech yesterday. As someone from the financial services industry he believes Paris are in an ideal position.
There are 2.2 million financial and related services jobs in the UK. Your article suggests a few hundred are being considered. I'm not sure that quite adds up to either the "all" or the "going" in your conclusion.
Did you deliberately miss the point ? It was a rhetorical way of pointing out that there are other options than Paris - which are already being taken by some.
Not even the most pessimistic forecasters are suggesting that the city is going to disappear, but the incremental eating away of bits of its business has already started (note also, for example, the number of British corporate lawyers who have recently registered in Dublin).
It will take some time, but with each move, it's likely that the financial networks and infrastructure in the competing capitals will improve, which will make subsequent moves that much easier.
Who knows how far the process will go ? I certainly don't. But to pretend that Brexit won't have a deleterious effect on London is foolish.
The pope is Bishop of Rome, Vicar of Jesus Christ, Successor of the Prince of the Apostles, Supreme Pontiff of the Universal Church, Primate of Italy, Archbishop and Metropolitan of the Roman Province, Sovereign of the State of Vatican City, Servant of the Servants of God.
The pope is Bishop of Rome, Vicar of Jesus Christ, Successor of the Prince of the Apostles, Supreme Pontiff of the Universal Church, Primate of Italy, Archbishop and Metropolitan of the Roman Province, Sovereign of the State of Vatican City, Servant of the Servants of God.
The pope is Bishop of Rome, Vicar of Jesus Christ, Successor of the Prince of the Apostles, Supreme Pontiff of the Universal Church, Primate of Italy, Archbishop and Metropolitan of the Roman Province, Sovereign of the State of Vatican City, Servant of the Servants of God.
Surely Whore of Babylon and Antichrist too?
As the DUP might say...
No wonder they want to leave the Roman Customs Union.
Even the Tory party has come to the same conclusion as I have, though I think Maybots on here will keep on defending her like a Japanese soldier in the jungle fighting WW2 in the 1970s
That's a 2015 story but the same thing does keep coming up regarding interns. Can anyone confirm the legal basis on which interns don't have to be paid the minimum wage?
I've a relative who's come across this issue and can't afford to work in London for the whole summer for less than his train fare.
I wonder how often Sophy Ridge has been inside a tower block for anything other than professional reasons?
Pathetic.
Is this some new test of worthiness? Whether one has been in a tower block or not? I never have and hope never to. I assume they are squalid rookeries of glue sniffing leavers.
I've lived in two tower blocks. In the first yer of Uni I was near the top of a uni residential block in South Woodford (floor 9 from memory), and a few years later I stayed in a room in Skenfrith House off the Old Kent Road.
The latter was possibly an indication of the problem. the owners had recently renovated the flat and it was very nice internally; however you stepped outside into a lift that frequently stank of worriesome bodiy fluids, and the communal area at the bottom was also often unpleasant.
It doesn't matter how much you spend on your flat if one or two families, or even individuals, make the communal areas unpleasant.
The former were all demolished some years back.
(Snip)
Yeah, I drive down that way occasionally; I think they went ten or so years ago. Being me, I do wonder how they demolished them.
One of the three blocks was called 'the leaning tower of South Woodford). Only a narrow tarmac strip separated it from the North Circular road, and the tower leaned slightly towards the road. Allegedly the tower shifted slightly when the road was widened.
The top floor was uninhabitable (something to do with water supply, or so I was told), but if you went up to the floor below and looked down, you were looking directly at the roofs of cars on the North Circular ...
Green just pointed out that Euratom status does not affect import of medical isotopes and cancer patients have been needlessly worried by scaremongering....
My understanding is that medical isotopes are produced in three plants in France, Belgium and the Netherlands. There was a shortage of these isotopes, which have a shelf life of only a few hours, in 2008-2010. Euratom was given the job of managing the supply to demand.
The issue therefore isn't that we wouldn't have access to medical isotopes if we were out of Euratom. It's that we wouldn't have equal consideration of needs. Euratom members will be serviced first and anything left over would be released to us.
Only a few nuclear reactors around the world provide global supplies of technetium (and other key isotopes); these reactors are over forty years old and are therefore vulnerable to supply outages (due to maintenance works) that disrupt the supply of isotopes. Supplies from the Chalk River (Canada) and the Petten reactors (Netherlands) will end in 2018 and 2022 respectively, when the reactors will be decommissioned.
The UK has no reactors producing these isotopes and so imports them from overseas. A 2012 report commissioned by the Department of Health recommended investing in upgrades to existing reactors, building new research reactors to produce medical isotopes and investing additional funds in cyclotrons (which can produce some but not all medical isotopes). The cyclotron production process involves neither nuclear reactors nor uranium.
Even the Tory party has come to the same conclusion as I have, though I think Maybots on here will keep on defending her like a Japanese soldier in the jungle fighting WW2 in the 1970s
Perhaps he is planning on saying he will respect the Treaty of Utrecht.
We don't want him to do that! Well, not the bit about no Jews allowed to live inside the City walls. I'd like that bit quietly forgotten about; ta all the same.
He's just got to respect the other bits!
Hmmm. And the bit that specifies the value of slaves. He can gloss over that part too.
Mr. Glenn, there's nothing Roman about the EU. The Romans had a staggeringly small bureaucracy and didn't interfere much. So long as provinces paid their taxes and didn't kick off, the Romans weren't too fussed.
BBC - Trump 'didn't know about son's Russia meeting'. I think the game plan is now clear. Jr. is the fall guy, Sr pardons him as final act in 3 years time.
That relies on Donald Sr not falling in the next 3 weeks years
"as when Ford pardoned Nixon, the pardoned person need not yet have been convicted or even formally charged with a crime." wikip.
That's one hell of a Get Out Of Jail card to hold....
Are there any limitations to pardoning? A president could pardon a serial killer and they would just be let out with their record clean? Hard to see why this presidential pardon should exist at all
The potential for clemency creates hope of redemption and an incentive to reform
Perhaps he is planning on saying he will respect the Treaty of Utrecht.
We don't want him to do that! Well, not the bit about no Jews allowed to live inside the City walls. I'd like that bit quietly forgotten about; ta all the same.
He's just got to respect the other bits!
Hmmm. And the bit that specifies the value of slaves. He can gloss over that part too.
And the British monopoly on selling slaves to Spanish colonies for 30 years...
the Council authorises the Commission to open the negotiations for an agreement with the United Kingdom setting out the arrangements for its withdrawal from the European Union and from the European Atomic Energy Community
Green just pointed out that Euratom status does not affect import of medical isotopes and cancer patients have been needlessly worried by scaremongering....
My understanding is that medical isotopes are produced in three plants in France, Belgium and the Netherlands. There was a shortage of these isotopes, which have a shelf life of only a few hours, in 2008-2010. Euratom was given the job of managing the supply to demand.
The issue therefore isn't that we wouldn't have access to medical isotopes if we were out of Euratom. It's that we wouldn't have equal consideration of needs. Euratom members will be serviced first and anything left over would be released to us.
the Council authorises the Commission to open the negotiations for an agreement with the United Kingdom setting out the arrangements for its withdrawal from the European Union and from the European Atomic Energy Community
I wonder how often Sophy Ridge has been inside a tower block for anything other than professional reasons?
Pathetic.
Is this some new test of worthiness? Whether one has been in a tower block or not? I never have and hope never to. I assume they are squalid rookeries of glue sniffing leavers.
I've lived in two tower blocks. In the first yer of Uni I was near the top of a uni residential block in South Woodford (floor 9 from memory), and a few years later I stayed in a room in Skenfrith House off the Old Kent Road.
The latter was possibly an indication of the problem. the owners had recently renovated the flat and it was very nice internally; however you stepped outside into a lift that frequently stank of worriesome bodiy fluids, and the communal area at the bottom was also often unpleasant.
It doesn't matter how much you spend on your flat if one or two families, or even individuals, make the communal areas unpleasant.
The former were all demolished some years back.
You are right that the biggest problem with high rise living is that, without employing someone living on site to be responsible, the communal areas are difficult to look after.
Yes. Most old tower blocks in the UK were designed as poor social housing and rely on the residents to keep the place clean and tidy.
It's also relevant to fire safety too, a centralised alarm in a building needs 24h monitoring. If I burn my toast in the morning I'll very quickly get a knock on the door from the building security guard to say hello, before the whole building gets an unscheduled alarm call and a trip down the stairs. He only has 3 or 4 minutes to switch the alarm off.
One MP close to the leadership confessed to me: “If there was another election this year I’d only be confident of winning three seats – Ian Blackford’s in Skye and two in Dundee. We could be looking at Dundee becoming a sort of nationalist Hong Kong.”
Another admits that that the result in June could’ve been worse. “If the election had taken place on the Friday rather than the Thursday, I’d have lost my seat. It was one-way traffic to Labour.”
Thanks to the Cambridge-educated boffins at Bletchley Park, we could tell the Russians where the German tanks were (possibly with some help from equally well-educated Russian spies).
Green just pointed out that Euratom status does not affect import of medical isotopes and cancer patients have been needlessly worried by scaremongering....
The RCR says that medical isotopes are imported from "Europe and further afield".
In rough order of importance, our medical isotopes come from Canada, Canada, Canada, Australia, Poland, Canada and the Netherlands (historically but now IBA is toast I'm not sure it will be any more).
Seems to be an element of a cover up in the Tamim Iqbal case. The incident didn't take place in Essex anyway
"Bangladesh batsman Tamim Iqbal and Essex have determinedly played down the reasons for his abruptly abandoning a stint with the county, after allegations emerged that his wife was the victim of a racially-motivated incident in Stratford in east London.
Tamim's family was uneasy about the environment in London even before his arrival in England. Essex put his family up in a luxury apartment in Stratford at his own request - some 35 miles from their Chelmsford headquarters - after agreeing to an eight-match deal."
One MP close to the leadership confessed to me: “If there was another election this year I’d only be confident of winning three seats – Ian Blackford’s in Skye and two in Dundee. We could be looking at Dundee becoming a sort of nationalist Hong Kong.”
Another admits that that the result in June could’ve been worse. “If the election had taken place on the Friday rather than the Thursday, I’d have lost my seat. It was one-way traffic to Labour.”
What caused yesterdays drop in pound to a six month low against the euro?
As I have discussed several times in last few months down at the coal face there is a real problem with the UK economy. High quality investment is sparse and the country is being overrun with sandwich shops etc. Was speaking with ex colleague who is in the venture capital industry last week. The main game in town is buying up the last valuable assets left in the country and selling them off to the foreigners. I had 2 offers for my company in the last couple of weeks.
Sounds about right. We need a judge-led enquiry into why British entrepreneurs tend to sell out to foreigners rather than let their companies grow, and also take a closer look at what the Americans do with hidden subsidies and protectionism to nurture their industries.
Why the judge? Where there are issues of law or justice fine. Where it's a commission there's no need.
The fact you are calling for a "judge led enquiry" makes me think it's s political game not a serious demand
"British entrepreneurs tend to sell out to foreigners rather than let their companies grow" because if they do the latter, they become prosperous and therefore hated by all but one major party.
They are much better off cashing in and decamping to the Cayman Islands. The economic returns on further effort diminish and they are loathed by those who milk them.
It's what Kipling would have called the Rich Man's Burden.
Seems to be an element of a cover up in the Tamim Iqbal case. The incident didn't take place in Essex anyway
"Bangladesh batsman Tamim Iqbal and Essex have determinedly played down the reasons for his abruptly abandoning a stint with the county, after allegations emerged that his wife was the victim of a racially-motivated incident in Stratford in east London.
Tamim's family was uneasy about the environment in London even before his arrival in England. Essex put his family up in a luxury apartment in Stratford at his own request - some 35 miles from their Chelmsford headquarters - after agreeing to an eight-match deal."
One MP close to the leadership confessed to me: “If there was another election this year I’d only be confident of winning three seats – Ian Blackford’s in Skye and two in Dundee. We could be looking at Dundee becoming a sort of nationalist Hong Kong.”
That suggests that they ain't gonna be in any hurry to join Labour in any Westminster vote which might bring down the government. The situation may be more stable than it looks.
Green just pointed out that Euratom status does not affect import of medical isotopes and cancer patients have been needlessly worried by scaremongering....
My understanding is that medical isotopes are produced in three plants in France, Belgium and the Netherlands. There was a shortage of these isotopes, which have a shelf life of only a few hours, in 2008-2010. Euratom was given the job of managing the supply to demand.
The issue therefore isn't that we wouldn't have access to medical isotopes if we were out of Euratom. It's that we wouldn't have equal consideration of needs. Euratom members will be serviced first and anything left over would be released to us.
Only a few nuclear reactors around the world provide global supplies of technetium (and other key isotopes); these reactors are over forty years old and are therefore vulnerable to supply outages (due to maintenance works) that disrupt the supply of isotopes. Supplies from the Chalk River (Canada) and the Petten reactors (Netherlands) will end in 2018 and 2022 respectively, when the reactors will be decommissioned.
The UK has no reactors producing these isotopes and so imports them from overseas. A 2012 report commissioned by the Department of Health recommended investing in upgrades to existing reactors, building new research reactors to produce medical isotopes and investing additional funds in cyclotrons (which can produce some but not all medical isotopes). The cyclotron production process involves neither nuclear reactors nor uranium.
Yes, we mostly used technetium-99 for scanning when I worked in NucMed.
We gave it to patients and scanned how it moved through their body - Nuclear Medicine is all about function, not form. The scanning doesn't work if you're dead unlike the way that for example XRays will still produce images of a corpse.
One of my random responsibilities was the dail;y Geiger counter check of the department. The most radioactive place in the area wasn't the scanning rooms, or the lab as you might expect. As the technetium 99 made its way through the body in the usual way, the most clicks came from the toilet bowls. No problem for patients because their exposure was so brief - and in theory no problem for us either despite long term exposure of our bits and pieces.
But we weren't quite convinced so all staff quickly got into the habit of strolling next door (to the gynecology ward!) when we needed a leak!
One MP close to the leadership confessed to me: “If there was another election this year I’d only be confident of winning three seats – Ian Blackford’s in Skye and two in Dundee. We could be looking at Dundee becoming a sort of nationalist Hong Kong.”
That suggests that they ain't gonna be in any hurry to join Labour in any Westminster vote which might bring down the government. The situation may be more stable than it looks.
The SNP have experience of bringing down governments and suffering as a consequence.....
One MP close to the leadership confessed to me: “If there was another election this year I’d only be confident of winning three seats – Ian Blackford’s in Skye and two in Dundee. We could be looking at Dundee becoming a sort of nationalist Hong Kong.”
That suggests that they ain't gonna be in any hurry to join Labour in any Westminster vote which might bring down the government. The situation may be more stable than it looks.
That's a good point. If the SNP could be relied on to abstain a confidence vote then that gives the government a buffer. Not sure any Tories would trust the SNP to give them the time though.
One MP close to the leadership confessed to me: “If there was another election this year I’d only be confident of winning three seats – Ian Blackford’s in Skye and two in Dundee. We could be looking at Dundee becoming a sort of nationalist Hong Kong.”
That suggests that they ain't gonna be in any hurry to join Labour in any Westminster vote which might bring down the government. The situation may be more stable than it looks.
That's a good point. If the SNP could be relied on to abstain a confidence vote then that gives the government a buffer. Not sure any Tories would trust the SNP to give them the time though.
The Conservatives can treat the SNP as reliable enemies for now. While the SNP's current MPs look so vulnerable to a pincer movement between Labour and the Conservatives, they're going to work very hard to avoid bringing forward an election.
Thanks to the Cambridge-educated boffins at Bletchley Park, we could tell the Russians where the German tanks were (possibly with some help from equally well-educated Russian spies).
The Germans were pretty good code breakers themselves and captured possibly 30 Enigma machines and possibly the higher level Fish system a few months earlier at Stalingrad.
Prokhorovka was a slaughter of the Soviet tanks, and because the Germans controlled the battlefield they could recover many of their damaged vehicles for repair. It may well be that the Citadel plan was abolished for other reasons, notably the defeat of the Northern Pincer by Soviet Counter offensives, and the Allied landings in Italy.
There are some very interesting insights into these and related issues in this book using recent Soviet sources:
You are right that the biggest problem with high rise living is that, without employing someone living on site to be responsible, the communal areas are difficult to look after.
Agreed. In both the (very pleasant) Danish tower blocks that I lived in, there was a porter in residence - only one for 100 or so families, but proved enough. In a four-storey council development in London that I lived in for a while, they had a big square configuration, with a porter at each corner, which was wonderful - there was someone on call 24*7.
It's not rocket science - if you only have one family in a building, they can normally look after themselves and their building. If you have 100, you need higher standards of inspection and service, but the cost-effectiveness is still much higher. Ideally you also have district heating, so you have one big boiler instead of 100 small ones, saving space and efficiency and the hot water never runs out no matter how many baths your family takes...
One MP close to the leadership confessed to me: “If there was another election this year I’d only be confident of winning three seats – Ian Blackford’s in Skye and two in Dundee. We could be looking at Dundee becoming a sort of nationalist Hong Kong.”
That suggests that they ain't gonna be in any hurry to join Labour in any Westminster vote which might bring down the government. The situation may be more stable than it looks.
That's a good point. If the SNP could be relied on to abstain a confidence vote then that gives the government a buffer. Not sure any Tories would trust the SNP to give them the time though.
The Conservatives can treat the SNP as reliable enemies for now. While the SNP's current MPs look so vulnerable to a pincer movement between Labour and the Conservatives, they're going to work very hard to avoid bringing forward an election.
One MP close to the leadership confessed to me: “If there was another election this year I’d only be confident of winning three seats – Ian Blackford’s in Skye and two in Dundee. We could be looking at Dundee becoming a sort of nationalist Hong Kong.”
That suggests that they ain't gonna be in any hurry to join Labour in any Westminster vote which might bring down the government. The situation may be more stable than it looks.
That's a good point. If the SNP could be relied on to abstain a confidence vote then that gives the government a buffer. Not sure any Tories would trust the SNP to give them the time though.
The Conservatives can treat the SNP as reliable enemies for now. While the SNP's current MPs look so vulnerable to a pincer movement between Labour and the Conservatives, they're going to work very hard to avoid bringing forward an election.
Yeah, but then they would be slaughtered by their own followers if they look like they are keeping a Troy govt in power to save their own skins.
One MP close to the leadership confessed to me: “If there was another election this year I’d only be confident of winning three seats – Ian Blackford’s in Skye and two in Dundee. We could be looking at Dundee becoming a sort of nationalist Hong Kong.”
That suggests that they ain't gonna be in any hurry to join Labour in any Westminster vote which might bring down the government. The situation may be more stable than it looks.
That's a good point. If the SNP could be relied on to abstain a confidence vote then that gives the government a buffer. Not sure any Tories would trust the SNP to give them the time though.
From a psychological point of view SNP MPs have just seen a swathe of colleagues lose their jobs, I doubt they are keen to re-visit that any time soon. The next group with 'survivor guilt' are the Tories.....
One MP close to the leadership confessed to me: “If there was another election this year I’d only be confident of winning three seats – Ian Blackford’s in Skye and two in Dundee. We could be looking at Dundee becoming a sort of nationalist Hong Kong.”
That suggests that they ain't gonna be in any hurry to join Labour in any Westminster vote which might bring down the government. The situation may be more stable than it looks.
That's a good point. If the SNP could be relied on to abstain a confidence vote then that gives the government a buffer. Not sure any Tories would trust the SNP to give them the time though.
The Conservatives can treat the SNP as reliable enemies for now. While the SNP's current MPs look so vulnerable to a pincer movement between Labour and the Conservatives, they're going to work very hard to avoid bringing forward an election.
One MP close to the leadership confessed to me: “If there was another election this year I’d only be confident of winning three seats – Ian Blackford’s in Skye and two in Dundee. We could be looking at Dundee becoming a sort of nationalist Hong Kong.”
That suggests that they ain't gonna be in any hurry to join Labour in any Westminster vote which might bring down the government. The situation may be more stable than it looks.
That's a good point. If the SNP could be relied on to abstain a confidence vote then that gives the government a buffer. Not sure any Tories would trust the SNP to give them the time though.
The Conservatives can treat the SNP as reliable enemies for now. While the SNP's current MPs look so vulnerable to a pincer movement between Labour and the Conservatives, they're going to work very hard to avoid bringing forward an election.
Yeah, but then they would be slaughtered by their own followers if they look like they are keeping a Troy govt in power to save their own skins.
On topic, it's looking as though May will hang on - we're now just one week to recess, and I can't see an insurrection happening during the summer break. The last danger point is probably when people gather for the Tory conference, but I can't see rebels wanting to wreck that. Otherwise, the Tories look set to try to hang on to the end of Brexit.
That does cast a sidelight on the other point in thethread. Will May want an extension past the next election.
Labour's objective, meanwhile, is not necessarily to seize responsibility for Brexit and the oncoming ecenomic mess, although we'll obviously take an opportunity if it arises. It's to be a strong and stable government in waiting if things fall apart, so the priority is to be confident without being shrill.
There is nothing strong or stable about what Corbyn's Labour has to offer.
What we'll get is economic vandalism.
As Mrs T observed 'That's the trouble with Socialists, they run out of other people's money'....
When is the last time a Tory Government handed over a Budget Surplus to its successor?
On topic, it's looking as though May will hang on - we're now just one week to recess, and I can't see an insurrection happening during the summer break. The last danger point is probably when people gather for the Tory conference, but I can't see rebels wanting to wreck that. Otherwise, the Tories look set to try to hang on to the end of Brexit.
That does cast a sidelight on the other point in thethread. Will May want an extension past the next election.
Labour's objective, meanwhile, is not necessarily to seize responsibility for Brexit and the oncoming ecenomic mess, although we'll obviously take an opportunity if it arises. It's to be a strong and stable government in waiting if things fall apart, so the priority is to be confident without being shrill.
There is nothing strong or stable about what Corbyn's Labour has to offer.
What we'll get is economic vandalism.
As Mrs T observed 'That's the trouble with Socialists, they run out of other people's money'....
As @rcs1000 observes above, it's quite likely we'll enter the next recession with the public finances still not fully recovered from the last one nearly a decade ago.
We should be well into the stage in the economic cycle where debt is being paid down and the rainy day fund topped up by now, but the £165bn annual black hole left behind by Brown and his merry men in 2010 has meant we're not there yet.
Corbyn thinks the £165bn deficit was obviously okay, as he'd have us go straight back there, even without accounting (as he didn't in the manifesto) for considerable behavioural changes from those he expects to cough up.
The Debt to GDP ratio today at circa 85% is no higher than in the mid 1960s - twenty years after World War 2. It is actually a fair bit lower than at the end of the 1950s when we were told 'we had never had it so good'. At neither of the 1959 nor the 1964 elections was the burden of National Debt an issue. A Budget deficit at the current level of 2.8% is not unmanageable in the context of an economy growing at 2% - 3% per annum. Many academic economists remain convinced that Osborne's policies post the 2010 election effectively aborted the recovery already underway and delayed the reduction in the Budget Deficit related to the economic cycle.
On topic, it's looking as though May will hang on - we're now just one week to recess, and I can't see an insurrection happening during the summer break. The last danger point is probably when people gather for the Tory conference, but I can't see rebels wanting to wreck that. Otherwise, the Tories look set to try to hang on to the end of Brexit.
That does cast a sidelight on the other point in thethread. Will May want an extension past the next election.
Labour's objective, meanwhile, is not necessarily to seize responsibility for Brexit and the oncoming ecenomic mess, although we'll obviously take an opportunity if it arises. It's to be a strong and stable government in waiting if things fall apart, so the priority is to be confident without being shrill.
There is nothing strong or stable about what Corbyn's Labour has to offer.
What we'll get is economic vandalism.
As Mrs T observed 'That's the trouble with Socialists, they run out of other people's money'....
As @rcs1000 observes above, it's quite likely we'll enter the next recession with the public finances still not fully recovered from the last one nearly a decade ago.
We should be well into the stage in the economic cycle where debt is being paid down and the rainy day fund topped up by now, but the £165bn annual black hole left behind by Brown and his merry men in 2010 has meant we're not there yet.
Corbyn thinks the £165bn deficit was obviously okay, as he'd have us go straight back there, even without accounting (as he didn't in the manifesto) for considerable behavioural changes from those he expects to cough up.
The Debt to GDP ratio today at circa 85% is no higher than in the mid 1960s - twenty years after World War 2. It is actually a fair bit lower than at the end of the 1950s when we were told 'we had never had it so good'. At neither of the 1959 nor the 1964 elections was the burden of National Debt an issue. A Budget deficit at the current level of 2.8% is not unmanageable in the context of an economy growing at 2% - 3% per annum. Many academic economists remain convinced that Osborne's policies post the 2010 election effectively aborted the recovery already underway and delayed the reduction in the Budget Deficit related to the economic cycle.
A deficit of 2.8% with average economic growth of 2.5% will eventually end in tears. The state should live within its means, covering expenditure from taxation.
On topic, it's looking as though May will hang on - we're now just one week to recess, and I can't see an insurrection happening during the summer break. The last danger point is probably when people gather for the Tory conference, but I can't see rebels wanting to wreck that. Otherwise, the Tories look set to try to hang on to the end of Brexit.
That does cast a sidelight on the other point in thethread. Will May want an extension past the next election.
Labour's objective, meanwhile, is not necessarily to seize responsibility for Brexit and the oncoming ecenomic mess, although we'll obviously take an opportunity if it arises. It's to be a strong and stable government in waiting if things fall apart, so the priority is to be confident without being shrill.
There is nothing strong or stable about what Corbyn's Labour has to offer.
What we'll get is economic vandalism.
As Mrs T observed 'That's the trouble with Socialists, they run out of other people's money'....
When is the last time a Tory Government handed over a Budget Surplus to its successor?
Hint : not in your lifetime.
Other questions: How many years since WW2 have we had a budget surplus ?
How many countries [ except oil rich countries ] actually have a budget surplus ?
It isn't as big a deal as it is made out to be. In 1948 [ albeit post-war ] the debt to GDP ratio was over 200%. In 1959, it was just over 100%. Yet, we had our greatest post war boom in that time.
Japan today has a debt to GDP ratio of around 250%. It hasn't collapsed. Part of the reason it is so high is because its growth has been so anaemic. If only they let in a few immigrants....
I know. Buzzfeed. But this article about Euratom gets good marks from the lawyers on Twitter. Practically, we can't stay in Euratom but we can't leave either without negotiating a replacement, which will take several years and goodwill on both sides.
Comments
(anecdotally - yeah, tempted to agree but would need to see some numbers)
In other news, why is Ashley Giles on a state visit to the UK?!
Green deflects, of course, because he, like everyone else, hasn't a clue.
Mr. Royale, but we won't survive without the Catholic Church! The Anglican Church is clearly a flash in the pan.
No, not applying!
Thank you.
Not sure The Mogg will like that.
Thank you. I hope you are feeling a bit better. You seemed a bit off form the other day.
After today's PMQs, perhaps Damian Green is hiding in plain sight as Deputy PM.
https://twitter.com/joncstone/status/885100076196126720
My problem of course but I lash out when I'm at my worst.
Please accept my apologies.
https://twitter.com/patmcfaddenmp/status/885103210830192641
http://imgur.com/mKKCftz
(click to zoom)
The issue therefore isn't that we wouldn't have access to medical isotopes if we were out of Euratom. It's that we wouldn't have equal consideration of needs. Euratom members will be serviced first and anything left over would be released to us.
https://www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/brexit-explained/euratom
https://twitter.com/tellmamauk/status/885098917574135808
You are right that the biggest problem with high rise living is that, without employing someone living on site to be responsible, the communal areas are difficult to look after.
http://www.express.co.uk/news/uk/571824/Labour-MP-pays-interns-four-pound-day
It was a rhetorical way of pointing out that there are other options than Paris - which are already being taken by some.
Not even the most pessimistic forecasters are suggesting that the city is going to disappear, but the incremental eating away of bits of its business has already started (note also, for example, the number of British corporate lawyers who have recently registered in Dublin).
It will take some time, but with each move, it's likely that the financial networks and infrastructure in the competing capitals will improve, which will make subsequent moves that much easier.
Who knows how far the process will go ? I certainly don't.
But to pretend that Brexit won't have a deleterious effect on London is foolish.
As the DUP might say...
I've a relative who's come across this issue and can't afford to work in London for the whole summer for less than his train fare.
One of the three blocks was called 'the leaning tower of South Woodford). Only a narrow tarmac strip separated it from the North Circular road, and the tower leaned slightly towards the road. Allegedly the tower shifted slightly when the road was widened.
The top floor was uninhabitable (something to do with water supply, or so I was told), but if you went up to the floor below and looked down, you were looking directly at the roofs of cars on the North Circular ...
Only a few nuclear reactors around the world provide global supplies of technetium (and other key isotopes); these reactors are over forty years old and are therefore vulnerable to supply outages (due to maintenance works) that disrupt the supply of isotopes. Supplies from the Chalk River (Canada) and the Petten reactors (Netherlands) will end in 2018 and 2022 respectively, when the reactors will be decommissioned.
The UK has no reactors producing these isotopes and so imports them from overseas. A 2012 report commissioned by the Department of Health recommended investing in upgrades to existing reactors, building new research reactors to produce medical isotopes and investing additional funds in cyclotrons (which can produce some but not all medical isotopes). The cyclotron production process involves neither nuclear reactors nor uranium.
https://www.parliament.uk/mps-lords-and-offices/offices/bicameral/post/work-programme/biology-and-health/security-of-supply-of-medical-radioisotopes/
The Glorious 12th
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Battle_of_Prokhorovka
Your golden boy is neither an MP, nor ever will he be PM.
He's just got to respect the other bits!
Hmmm. And the bit that specifies the value of slaves. He can gloss over that part too.
Not a problematic document at all!
the Council authorises the Commission to open the negotiations for an agreement with the United Kingdom setting out the arrangements for its withdrawal from the European Union and from the European Atomic Energy Community
http://eur-lex.europa.eu/resource.html?uri=cellar:d053963b-3013-11e7-9412-01aa75ed71a1.0007.02/DOC_1&format=PDF
well, it was what MPs voted for and Labour had a 3 line whip on.....
Which i believe is the LEAVE position
It's also relevant to fire safety too, a centralised alarm in a building needs 24h monitoring. If I burn my toast in the morning I'll very quickly get a knock on the door from the building security guard to say hello, before the whole building gets an unscheduled alarm call and a trip down the stairs. He only has 3 or 4 minutes to switch the alarm off.
Another admits that that the result in June could’ve been worse. “If the election had taken place on the Friday rather than the Thursday, I’d have lost my seat. It was one-way traffic to Labour.”
http://www.newstatesman.com/politics/staggers/2017/07/snp-mps-fear-another-snap-election-it-was-one-way-traffic-labour
In rough order of importance, our medical isotopes come from Canada, Canada, Canada, Australia, Poland, Canada and the Netherlands (historically but now IBA is toast I'm not sure it will be any more).
So the RCR is accurate but misleading
"Bangladesh batsman Tamim Iqbal and Essex have determinedly played down the reasons for his abruptly abandoning a stint with the county, after allegations emerged that his wife was the victim of a racially-motivated incident in Stratford in east London.
Tamim's family was uneasy about the environment in London even before his arrival in England. Essex put his family up in a luxury apartment in Stratford at his own request - some 35 miles from their Chelmsford headquarters - after agreeing to an eight-match deal."
http://www.espncricinfo.com/bangladesh/content/story/1110632.html?CMP=OTC-RSS&utm_source=dlvr.it&utm_medium=twitter
They are much better off cashing in and decamping to the Cayman Islands. The economic returns on further effort diminish and they are loathed by those who milk them.
It's what Kipling would have called the Rich Man's Burden.
We gave it to patients and scanned how it moved through their body - Nuclear Medicine is all about function, not form. The scanning doesn't work if you're dead unlike the way that for example XRays will still produce images of a corpse.
One of my random responsibilities was the dail;y Geiger counter check of the department. The most radioactive place in the area wasn't the scanning rooms, or the lab as you might expect. As the technetium 99 made its way through the body in the usual way, the most clicks came from the toilet bowls. No problem for patients because their exposure was so brief - and in theory no problem for us either despite long term exposure of our bits and pieces.
But we weren't quite convinced so all staff quickly got into the habit of strolling next door (to the gynecology ward!) when we needed a leak!
Oh wait, it didn't, both went up on his watch unlike on Mrs May's watch.
Prokhorovka was a slaughter of the Soviet tanks, and because the Germans controlled the battlefield they could recover many of their damaged vehicles for repair. It may well be that the Citadel plan was abolished for other reasons, notably the defeat of the Northern Pincer by Soviet Counter offensives, and the Allied landings in Italy.
There are some very interesting insights into these and related issues in this book using recent Soviet sources:
https://www.amazon.co.uk/gp/aw/d/B007B2JD1W/ref=cm_cr_srp_mb_bdcrb_top?ie=UTF8
Stick that in your pipe and smoke it.
NEW THREAD
It's not rocket science - if you only have one family in a building, they can normally look after themselves and their building. If you have 100, you need higher standards of inspection and service, but the cost-effectiveness is still much higher. Ideally you also have district heating, so you have one big boiler instead of 100 small ones, saving space and efficiency and the hot water never runs out no matter how many baths your family takes...
however having to be substituted before half time doesnt look so clever
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Glorious_Twelfth
Oh, wait....
Hint : not in your lifetime.
A Budget deficit at the current level of 2.8% is not unmanageable in the context of an economy growing at 2% - 3% per annum. Many academic economists remain convinced that Osborne's policies post the 2010 election effectively aborted the recovery already underway and delayed the reduction in the Budget Deficit related to the economic cycle.
If Germany manages it, why can't we?
How many countries [ except oil rich countries ] actually have a budget surplus ?
It isn't as big a deal as it is made out to be. In 1948 [ albeit post-war ] the debt to GDP ratio was over 200%. In 1959, it was just over 100%. Yet, we had our greatest post war boom in that time.
Japan today has a debt to GDP ratio of around 250%. It hasn't collapsed. Part of the reason it is so high is because its growth has been so anaemic. If only they let in a few immigrants....
https://www.buzzfeed.com/amphtml/tomchivers/heres-why-were-probably-going-to-have-to-leave-euratom