Howdy, Stranger!

It looks like you're new here. Sign in or register to get started.

Options

politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Corbyn is a survivor: back him to last until 2019 at least

13

Comments

  • Options
    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 117,278
    rcs1000 said:

    @Charles and @HYUFD, my understanding is that treaties requires the assent of two thirds of the Senate,

    I think that is correct but with only 1/3 of the Senate up next November the midterms will not make much difference either way
  • Options
    GIN1138GIN1138 Posts: 20,953

    GIN1138 said:



    Had one bout with The Big C 6 years ago, was operated on and, aftrer five years of surveillance, had a ‘clearance’ letter last May. A month later my GP said that she thought I might well have it somewhere else.. And, after tests and explorations, one of which went very wrong, yes I have. So I’m about to start nine weeks of radiotherapy. However the consulatnt says my chances of seeing my nineties will be significantly enhanced, so hey ho, off we go.

    So, whatever you do, Mr T, stay positive. Waiting is difficult but the NHS is very good, and, IME, the staff very supportive and encouraging.

    That's very unlucky. Is the new "C" a recurrence from the original "C"? Or something entirely separate?

    I've heard stories of people who go 15-20 years and then get recurrence from their original bout of Cancer. How/why those cancerous cells hide from the immune system and original treatment, go dormant and then re-activate years or even decades later is a real mystery.

    Good luck with your treatment. Hope all goes well for you. :)
    I am always heartened by my brother in law's mother. She has had non hodgekins lymphoma since the late 1980s. She had had regular secondaries which needed various types of treatment and in spite of it all is still with us and enjoying life 30 years later.
    That is indeed excellent. :)
  • Options
    rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 54,287
    Thinking more about the proposed US-UK FTA, the biggest positive about it is that (finally) the UK government is beginning to get real about establishing other trading relationships.

    We voted more than a year ago to leave the EU, and it feels like - until today - we have made absolutely no progress towards improving our relations with other countries, and even beginning to replace the agreements the EU had.

    Now, we're a long way away from being able to say that we have a comprehensive set of agreements with other countries on trade standards and the like. But we have at least taken the first few steps.

    For what it's worth, I think the US is a difficult country to come to an agreement with, especially given the proposed BTA. Were I in Dr Fox's shoes, I would be looking first to make sure I had agreements in place with the EFTA countries, Canada, Israel, South Korea and those places that already have deals in place with the EU. And I would be looking to simply bring treaties across, as much as possible, with a simple "search and replace" (yes, I know it won't be that simple, but others with to minimise disruption too.)

    Even if deals had been only agreed, rather than signed, this would allow the government to put its stake in the ground and demonstrate some progress and a sense of purpose.

    Still, as I said, at least we're moving (slowly) in the right direction.
  • Options
    OldKingColeOldKingCole Posts: 32,148



    Thanks Mr T; however if I’m still here shortly after my 99th birthday.........

    We will be sat around gping on about how it is nowhere near as good as it was back in the olden days. :)
    I wonder how accurate polling will be? And will we still have AV threads!
    One thing we can be sure of is TSE's music and dress tastes will not have improved. :)
    It’s wicked to mock the afflicted!
  • Options
    FF43FF43 Posts: 15,858

    GIN1138 said:

    malcolmg said:

    Morning folks.

    Not read the comments yet but I am amazed at how small 'c' conservative David is being in the thread header. I really can't see of any way barring incapacity or a black swan that Corbyn will not fight the next election. Even if his poll ratings plummet he and his supporters will be able to point to the polls before 2017 GE and then show how he performed far in excess of what they predicted. He has the support base at the grass roots and he has control of the party hierarchy.

    I think he is as certain as any politician possibly could be to be fighting the next GE.

    morning Richard, have you had all clear yet
    Unfortunately not. In the words of Emperor Hirohito, the situation has developed not necessarily to my advantage. Now on the "2 week wait" for some rather more personal inspections.

    I find myself surprisingly calm about it. There is absolutely nothing I can do except go through the process and see how the dice roll so I see no point in getting in a state about it. I am still hoping that it will turn out to be something minor but if not I will deal with it as it comes. To be honest it is not quite the reaction I expected to have.
    Hope everything works out OK.

    I went through it a few years ago. The worst thing is the waiting around for appointments, tests and results.

    In the end it turned out I didn't have the "C" but I did have to receive treatment to make sure the lesion didn't develop into the "C". That was four years ago and so far all has been well.

    Main advice I can give you is whatever you do, no matter what the temptation is, do not, under no circumstances seek out the advice of Dr Google.

    Be advised by your doctors and come to PB whenever your tempted to have a Google.

    Hope it turns out to be something entirely benign (mostly it often is)

    Keep us informed.

    Good luck.
    Had one bout with The Big C 6 years ago, was operated on and, aftrer five years of surveillance, had a ‘clearance’ letter last May. A month later my GP said that she thought I might well have it somewhere else.. And, after tests and explorations, one of which went very wrong, yes I have. So I’m about to start nine weeks of radiotherapy. However the consulatnt says my chances of seeing my nineties will be significantly enhanced, so hey ho, off we go.

    So, whatever you do, Mr T, stay positive. Waiting is difficult but the NHS is very good, and, IME, the staff very supportive and encouraging.
    Cheers Mr Cole. Hope all goes well for you and definitely hope we are both still here debating in 20 years time.
    +2
  • Options
    DavidLDavidL Posts: 51,552
    rcs1000 said:

    Thinking more about the proposed US-UK FTA, the biggest positive about it is that (finally) the UK government is beginning to get real about establishing other trading relationships.

    We voted more than a year ago to leave the EU, and it feels like - until today - we have made absolutely no progress towards improving our relations with other countries, and even beginning to replace the agreements the EU had.

    Now, we're a long way away from being able to say that we have a comprehensive set of agreements with other countries on trade standards and the like. But we have at least taken the first few steps.

    For what it's worth, I think the US is a difficult country to come to an agreement with, especially given the proposed BTA. Were I in Dr Fox's shoes, I would be looking first to make sure I had agreements in place with the EFTA countries, Canada, Israel, South Korea and those places that already have deals in place with the EU. And I would be looking to simply bring treaties across, as much as possible, with a simple "search and replace" (yes, I know it won't be that simple, but others with to minimise disruption too.)

    Even if deals had been only agreed, rather than signed, this would allow the government to put its stake in the ground and demonstrate some progress and a sense of purpose.

    Still, as I said, at least we're moving (slowly) in the right direction.

    Yes it is the usual story. Pick the low hanging fruit first (easily done even without EU migrant workers) and that gives you the confidence to deal with some of the trickier customers. I agree that the US is likely to be one of these whatever Trump is saying today.
  • Options
    DavidLDavidL Posts: 51,552
    All the best to Richard by the way. And OKC. It's scary how much we take our health for granted until we can't.
  • Options
    foxinsoxukfoxinsoxuk Posts: 23,548
    GIN1138 said:



    It is never too late too late to look after your health, but there are many false positives in the 2 week wait has a lot of false positives, so room for optimism.

    Best wishes so we can spar politically for many years to come!

    I was completely unconcerned when I was put on the two week referral by my dentist (I had a large white patch in the mouth) as I thought it was totally trivial not being a smoker and not much of a drinker.

    The appointment with the specialist soon bucked my ideas up as the first thing he did was start examining my neck for possible metastasis to lymph nodes and booked me in for an urgent biopsy

    The worst part of the whole experience I found was between biopsy and receiving a letter from the hospital some four weeks further on telling me I had to go back to discuss the results and treatment options in another six weeks.

    I knew then that I didn't have the "C" as they wouldn't leave someone for weeks and weeks with cancer... But for those four weeks from biopsy to the letter coming I had no idea what was happening at all.

    Definitely thought the communication could have been better... Though my actual treatment and care right up to removal of the lesion and regular follow-up appointments was excellent.
    Pathology reporting of biopsies is variable in speed as a national shortage exists. A lot retired after Alder Hey and recruiting is a real problem.

    As I have mentioned in the past, staff recruitment and retention is the health services biggest challenge, particularly with the demographic challenges. Most OECD countries are big importers of staff, and it is a worldwide challenge.
  • Options
    another_richardanother_richard Posts: 25,158
    DavidL said:

    All the best to Richard by the way. And OKC. It's scary how much we take our health for granted until we can't.

    +1
  • Options
    nunuonenunuone Posts: 1,138
    "If May (or successor) wants to have any chance then she needs to get building houses on a Macmillan scale."

    This. A million times this. Not least because the Tories have been in power for 7 years now and by the time of the next election the public will expect actual tangible results from them.
  • Options
    rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 54,287
    DavidL said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Thinking more about the proposed US-UK FTA, the biggest positive about it is that (finally) the UK government is beginning to get real about establishing other trading relationships.

    We voted more than a year ago to leave the EU, and it feels like - until today - we have made absolutely no progress towards improving our relations with other countries, and even beginning to replace the agreements the EU had.

    Now, we're a long way away from being able to say that we have a comprehensive set of agreements with other countries on trade standards and the like. But we have at least taken the first few steps.

    For what it's worth, I think the US is a difficult country to come to an agreement with, especially given the proposed BTA. Were I in Dr Fox's shoes, I would be looking first to make sure I had agreements in place with the EFTA countries, Canada, Israel, South Korea and those places that already have deals in place with the EU. And I would be looking to simply bring treaties across, as much as possible, with a simple "search and replace" (yes, I know it won't be that simple, but others with to minimise disruption too.)

    Even if deals had been only agreed, rather than signed, this would allow the government to put its stake in the ground and demonstrate some progress and a sense of purpose.

    Still, as I said, at least we're moving (slowly) in the right direction.

    Yes it is the usual story. Pick the low hanging fruit first (easily done even without EU migrant workers) and that gives you the confidence to deal with some of the trickier customers. I agree that the US is likely to be one of these whatever Trump is saying today.
    Taking a pessimistic view, the devil is always in the details. Some of our existing regulation will act as NTBs to US products so the US will require its repeal as part of the process - which means that the treaty will require the assent of parliament. And then someone like Zac will pipe up and say it doesn't fit with his Green Brexit views, and some rural MPs will worry about the effect of US competition on their farming constituents. The Labour Party should be in favour, of course, because lower food prices would benefit the poorest in society. But instead they will wish to inflict a defeat on the government...
  • Options
    stevefstevef Posts: 1,044
    Corbyn remains the best thing to happen to the Tory party -but not in the way that was at first thought. A Corbyn government would be so disastrous, that the Tories would be using it in their PPBs long after Corbyn is gone. And I am a non Blairite Labour supporter. To campaign with poetry to crowds of chanting adulaters is one thing, but when the prose crashes and burns is another.
  • Options
    CornishJohnCornishJohn Posts: 304
    nunuone said:

    "If May (or successor) wants to have any chance then she needs to get building houses on a Macmillan scale."

    This. A million times this. Not least because the Tories have been in power for 7 years now and by the time of the next election the public will expect actual tangible results from them.

    A third vote from me. People over 35 really do not appreciate how much the breaking of the aspiration to have your own home, fit for raising a family, is destroying the Tory vote among the young. We need to both build houses on a Macmillan scale as mentioned and cut demand by limiting immigration that doesn't contribute much to the economy.
  • Options
    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 117,278

    nunuone said:

    "If May (or successor) wants to have any chance then she needs to get building houses on a Macmillan scale."

    This. A million times this. Not least because the Tories have been in power for 7 years now and by the time of the next election the public will expect actual tangible results from them.

    A third vote from me. People over 35 really do not appreciate how much the breaking of the aspiration to have your own home, fit for raising a family, is destroying the Tory vote among the young. We need to both build houses on a Macmillan scale as mentioned and cut demand by limiting immigration that doesn't contribute much to the economy.
    Agreed if we do not want home ownership to be largely determined by your parents' net worth as discussed yesterday and as is the case now for all but the biggest earners. The latest Halifax figures for June though do show a fall in house prices
    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-40529560
  • Options
    CornishJohnCornishJohn Posts: 304

    619 said:

    Tom Gordon:

    Surely the PM’s authority will soon be underwater and an election upon us? I’d have agreed just after the election, but now I think she might be more durable. No viable alternative leader has emerged for a start. There’s no lack of wannabes, but the timing is off. If Brexit is a car crash, do Mrs May’s rivals want to be at the wheel in 2019? Far better to let her take the blame Take over now and there might be irresistible pressure for an election. But wait until later, and that pressure will have eased off. So the thinking at Westminster is that Mrs May will be allowed to stay until Brexit, thanked for her services, and duly dumped.


    http://www.heraldscotland.com/opinion/15398498.Tom_Gordon__How_the_SNP_is_helping_May_sharpen_her_poker_game/

    That interesting snippet is most remarkable for the complete absence of any concern for the welfare of the Country.
    Yup. But then thats the Tories MO at the moment, with the referendum last year and this years election after ART 50 notification, which has lost us 2 months plus negotiation time
    All of our political parties seem hell bent on destroying the country. The most stupid justification for Brexit is "You asked for it so it must be done even if it destroys lives, jobs and businesses. We have no choice."

    As somebody said on here the other day, just because you have the gun against your head does not mean you are obliged to pull the trigger.
    There is no gun, there is no trigger. As we have seen from the tremendous performance May is putting in at G20, there are vast opportunities out there on the global stage for the UK. The US President has committed to a fast and expansive trade deal. China is heralding a golden era in UK-Chinese relations. Japan is keen on starting discussions before we even leave the EU. The EU has returned to growth for now but they still have not fixed their fundamental currency union problems. When the next Greece or Italy inspired crash happens, our decision will be looking better than ever.
  • Options
    DecrepitJohnLDecrepitJohnL Posts: 13,300
    rcs1000 said:

    DavidL said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Thinking more about the proposed US-UK FTA, the biggest positive about it is that (finally) the UK government is beginning to get real about establishing other trading relationships.

    We voted more than a year ago to leave the EU, and it feels like - until today - we have made absolutely no progress towards improving our relations with other countries, and even beginning to replace the agreements the EU had.

    Now, we're a long way away from being able to say that we have a comprehensive set of agreements with other countries on trade standards and the like. But we have at least taken the first few steps.

    For what it's worth, I think the US is a difficult country to come to an agreement with, especially given the proposed BTA. Were I in Dr Fox's shoes, I would be looking first to make sure I had agreements in place with the EFTA countries, Canada, Israel, South Korea and those places that already have deals in place with the EU. And I would be looking to simply bring treaties across, as much as possible, with a simple "search and replace" (yes, I know it won't be that simple, but others with to minimise disruption too.)

    Even if deals had been only agreed, rather than signed, this would allow the government to put its stake in the ground and demonstrate some progress and a sense of purpose.

    Still, as I said, at least we're moving (slowly) in the right direction.

    Yes it is the usual story. Pick the low hanging fruit first (easily done even without EU migrant workers) and that gives you the confidence to deal with some of the trickier customers. I agree that the US is likely to be one of these whatever Trump is saying today.
    Taking a pessimistic view, the devil is always in the details. Some of our existing regulation will act as NTBs to US products so the US will require its repeal as part of the process - which means that the treaty will require the assent of parliament. And then someone like Zac will pipe up and say it doesn't fit with his Green Brexit views, and some rural MPs will worry about the effect of US competition on their farming constituents. The Labour Party should be in favour, of course, because lower food prices would benefit the poorest in society. But instead they will wish to inflict a defeat on the government...
    There is another political problem for the sovereignty wing of the Brexit party. We are hardly "taking back control" if we immediately kowtow to American regulations and tribunals.
  • Options
    619619 Posts: 1,784
    stevef said:

    Corbyn remains the best thing to happen to the Tory party -but not in the way that was at first thought. A Corbyn government would be so disastrous, that the Tories would be using it in their PPBs long after Corbyn is gone. And I am a non Blairite Labour supporter. To campaign with poetry to crowds of chanting adulaters is one thing, but when the prose crashes and burns is another.

    hmm thats a brave opinion given what happenend a month ago
  • Options
    another_richardanother_richard Posts: 25,158
    nunuone said:

    "If May (or successor) wants to have any chance then she needs to get building houses on a Macmillan scale."

    This. A million times this. Not least because the Tories have been in power for 7 years now and by the time of the next election the public will expect actual tangible results from them.

    Under Cameron and Osborne the Conservatives forgot they should be the party of aspiration and instead became the party of stasis and privilege.

    Ever increasing numbers of pensioners with ever increasing triple lock pensions living in houses with ever increasing prices and voting Conservative in ever increasing numbers.
  • Options
    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 117,278
    stevef said:

    Corbyn remains the best thing to happen to the Tory party -but not in the way that was at first thought. A Corbyn government would be so disastrous, that the Tories would be using it in their PPBs long after Corbyn is gone. And I am a non Blairite Labour supporter. To campaign with poetry to crowds of chanting adulaters is one thing, but when the prose crashes and burns is another.

    Indeed. There is a case to be made that it would be in the Tories' best interests for Corbyn to win the next general election, mess up the economy and then for them to be in contention at the subsequent election rather than for the Tories to narrowly win next time then a moderate like Umunna wins the following general election by a landslide and the Tories are then out of power for a decade or more. There is no doubt that it is in the country's best interests to keep Corbyn out though
  • Options
    Beverley_CBeverley_C Posts: 6,256
    edited July 2017

    619 said:


    That interesting snippet is most remarkable for the complete absence of any concern for the welfare of the Country.

    Yup. But then thats the Tories MO at the moment, with the referendum last year and this years election after ART 50 notification, which has lost us 2 months plus negotiation time
    All of our political parties seem hell bent on destroying the country. The most stupid justification for Brexit is "You asked for it so it must be done even if it destroys lives, jobs and businesses. We have no choice."

    As somebody said on here the other day, just because you have the gun against your head does not mean you are obliged to pull the trigger.
    There is no gun, there is no trigger. As we have seen from the tremendous performance May is putting in at G20, there are vast opportunities out there on the global stage for the UK.
    Yes, I have heard all this supposition before. If I am wrong about Brexit then the UK will do well. If you are wrong about Brexit then the UK is in for a bad time. My position carries less risk than yours

    The US President has committed to a fast and expansive trade deal.

    Yes. The Americans are desperate to export food over here because they lost the European & UK market many years ago when their farm produce was judged to be substandard. I can make a good guess what will be in the USA FTA.

    China is heralding a golden era in UK-Chinese relations.

    China has written us off now that we are out of the EU and the Hinkley Point debacle is not enhancing UK-China relations.

    Japan is keen on starting discussions before we even leave the EU.

    This would be the same EU that has just concluded an FTA with Japan from which we are about to exclude ourselves so we can negotiate one exactly the same but different?


    The EU has returned to growth for now but they still have not fixed their fundamental currency union problems. When the next Greece or Italy inspired crash happens, our decision will be looking better than ever.

    We are not fixing our own problems either and our growth is already faltering.

  • Options
    another_richardanother_richard Posts: 25,158

    nunuone said:

    "If May (or successor) wants to have any chance then she needs to get building houses on a Macmillan scale."

    This. A million times this. Not least because the Tories have been in power for 7 years now and by the time of the next election the public will expect actual tangible results from them.

    Under Cameron and Osborne the Conservatives forgot they should be the party of aspiration and instead became the party of stasis and privilege.

    Ever increasing numbers of pensioners with ever increasing triple lock pensions living in houses with ever increasing prices and voting Conservative in ever increasing numbers.
    It would be interesting to see how home ownership levels have changed in comparison to electoral changes.

    Things like this have killed the Conservatives in urban areas:

    ' Home ownership among 25-year-olds has fallen by more than half in the last two decades, new research shows.

    Twenty years ago, some 46 per cent of all 25-year-olds owned their home, according to the Local Government Association (LGA).

    Today, this proportion has fallen to 20 per cent.

    The research, carried out by state agent Savills, found private renters pay 34 per cent of their total household income on rent, while social and affordable renters pay 29 per cent.

    In comparison, homeowners pay an average 18 per cent of their total household income on their mortgage, or pay no housing costs because they own outright. '

    http://www.cityam.com/256077/generational-home-ownership-gap-exposed-proportion-25-year

    It really does seem mad that the Conservatives thought that people who couldn't become homeowners were going to be won over by an increase in overseas aid or by the hugging of some huskies.
  • Options
    RobDRobD Posts: 59,029
    @Beverley_C China has written the UK off? Hm, that isn't really consistent with their presidents recent remarks
  • Options
    JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 39,258

    nunuone said:

    "If May (or successor) wants to have any chance then she needs to get building houses on a Macmillan scale."

    This. A million times this. Not least because the Tories have been in power for 7 years now and by the time of the next election the public will expect actual tangible results from them.

    A third vote from me. People over 35 really do not appreciate how much the breaking of the aspiration to have your own home, fit for raising a family, is destroying the Tory vote among the young. We need to both build houses on a Macmillan scale as mentioned and cut demand by limiting immigration that doesn't contribute much to the economy.
    The Grenfell Tower disaster shows us that the quality of the homes we build needs to count as much as the numbers. And in many cases we're not building quality homes.
  • Options
    nunuonenunuone Posts: 1,138

    nunuone said:

    "If May (or successor) wants to have any chance then she needs to get building houses on a Macmillan scale."

    This. A million times this. Not least because the Tories have been in power for 7 years now and by the time of the next election the public will expect actual tangible results from them.

    Under Cameron and Osborne the Conservatives forgot they should be the party of aspiration and instead became the party of stasis and privilege.

    Ever increasing numbers of pensioners with ever increasing triple lock pensions living in houses with ever increasing prices and voting Conservative in ever increasing numbers.
    Building that many homes will be hard and expensive. But Corbyn needs a tiny swing to be PM, which would be much much more expensive.

    They need to go for broke and build build build, especially in London and the south, but in the big northern cities as well and everywhere else that needs it.

    Social housing, private housing, homes for rent, homes for first timers, family homes but most of all good quality safe homes.
  • Options
    Beverley_CBeverley_C Posts: 6,256
    RobD said:

    @Beverley_C China has written the UK off? Hm, that isn't really consistent with their presidents recent remarks

    When top officials start calling us a "Declining Empire" that is not a good sign. The only real thing we can offer them is our services and finanicial sector because the EU is rubbish at it, but all the other stuff will be going to the EU.

    https://www.chathamhouse.org/publication/brexit-implications-eu-china-relations
  • Options
    BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 31,928
    edited July 2017
    HYUFD said:

    stevef said:

    Corbyn remains the best thing to happen to the Tory party -but not in the way that was at first thought. A Corbyn government would be so disastrous, that the Tories would be using it in their PPBs long after Corbyn is gone. And I am a non Blairite Labour supporter. To campaign with poetry to crowds of chanting adulaters is one thing, but when the prose crashes and burns is another.

    Indeed. There is a case to be made that it would be in the Tories' best interests for Corbyn to win the next general election, mess up the economy and then for them to be in contention at the subsequent election rather than for the Tories to narrowly win next time then a moderate like Umunna wins the following general election by a landslide and the Tories are then out of power for a decade or more. There is no doubt that it is in the country's best interests to keep Corbyn out though
    Clearly no doubt in your mind... but many (>40% from the latest polls) clearly do not believe that blythe assumption. As many, if not more, believe that brexit will mess up the economy before Corbyn gets a chance.
  • Options
    RobDRobD Posts: 59,029

    RobD said:

    @Beverley_C China has written the UK off? Hm, that isn't really consistent with their presidents recent remarks

    When top officials start calling us a "Declining Empire" that is not a good sign. The only real thing we can offer them is our services and finanicial sector because the EU is rubbish at it, but all the other stuff will be going to the EU.

    https://www.chathamhouse.org/publication/brexit-implications-eu-china-relations
    Isn't that just a statement of fact? :p
  • Options
    David_EvershedDavid_Evershed Posts: 6,506

    nunuone said:

    "If May (or successor) wants to have any chance then she needs to get building houses on a Macmillan scale."

    This. A million times this. Not least because the Tories have been in power for 7 years now and by the time of the next election the public will expect actual tangible results from them.

    A third vote from me. People over 35 really do not appreciate how much the breaking of the aspiration to have your own home, fit for raising a family, is destroying the Tory vote among the young. We need to both build houses on a Macmillan scale as mentioned and cut demand by limiting immigration that doesn't contribute much to the economy.
    The Grenfell Tower disaster shows us that the quality of the homes we build needs to count as much as the numbers. And in many cases we're not building quality homes.
    It seems it was the refurbishment was the problem not the original build.
  • Options
    Beverley_CBeverley_C Posts: 6,256
    RobD said:

    RobD said:

    @Beverley_C China has written the UK off? Hm, that isn't really consistent with their presidents recent remarks

    When top officials start calling us a "Declining Empire" that is not a good sign. The only real thing we can offer them is our services and finanicial sector because the EU is rubbish at it, but all the other stuff will be going to the EU.

    https://www.chathamhouse.org/publication/brexit-implications-eu-china-relations
    Isn't that just a statement of fact? :p
    That is what I say about Brexit being a disaster.

    Anyway... time to go (again) :)
  • Options
    David_EvershedDavid_Evershed Posts: 6,506

    RobD said:

    @Beverley_C China has written the UK off? Hm, that isn't really consistent with their presidents recent remarks

    When top officials start calling us a "Declining Empire" that is not a good sign. The only real thing we can offer them is our services and finanicial sector because the EU is rubbish at it, but all the other stuff will be going to the EU.

    https://www.chathamhouse.org/publication/brexit-implications-eu-china-relations

    If you look at the Olympic medals table we are not a declining empire.
  • Options
    GIN1138GIN1138 Posts: 20,953

    GIN1138 said:



    It is never too late too late to look after your health, but there are many false positives in the 2 week wait has a lot of false positives, so room for optimism.

    Best wishes so we can spar politically for many years to come!

    I was completely unconcerned when I was put on the two week referral by my dentist (I had a large white patch in the mouth) as I thought it was totally trivial not being a smoker and not much of a drinker.

    The appointment with the specialist soon bucked my ideas up as the first thing he did was start examining my neck for possible metastasis to lymph nodes and booked me in for an urgent biopsy

    The worst part of the whole experience I found was between biopsy and receiving a letter from the hospital some four weeks further on telling me I had to go back to discuss the results and treatment options in another six weeks.

    I knew then that I didn't have the "C" as they wouldn't leave someone for weeks and weeks with cancer... But for those four weeks from biopsy to the letter coming I had no idea what was happening at all.

    Definitely thought the communication could have been better... Though my actual treatment and care right up to removal of the lesion and regular follow-up appointments was excellent.
    Pathology reporting of biopsies is variable in speed as a national shortage exists. A lot retired after Alder Hey and recruiting is a real problem.

    As I have mentioned in the past, staff recruitment and retention is the health services biggest challenge, particularly with the demographic challenges. Most OECD countries are big importers of staff, and it is a worldwide challenge.
    Thanks for explaining Fox In Sox. :D
  • Options
    tysontyson Posts: 6,052
    o/t

    I was out with a group urbane Italian friends last night... not one, I repeat not one knew the name of our PM. Not one.

    We have been reduced to one of those inconsequential countries where no one knows or cares of our political leadership.

    We are the country led by Auntie Mabel from Maidenhead hoping for someone, however odious dropping some crumbs because they feel sorry for us.

    From 2008 when Brown showed the rest how to save the world banking system to 2017 when we are a diminished and fast diminishing country. And people have the fucking cheek to say Brexit is patriotic.

  • Options
    JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 39,258
    nunuone said:

    nunuone said:

    "If May (or successor) wants to have any chance then she needs to get building houses on a Macmillan scale."

    This. A million times this. Not least because the Tories have been in power for 7 years now and by the time of the next election the public will expect actual tangible results from them.

    Under Cameron and Osborne the Conservatives forgot they should be the party of aspiration and instead became the party of stasis and privilege.

    Ever increasing numbers of pensioners with ever increasing triple lock pensions living in houses with ever increasing prices and voting Conservative in ever increasing numbers.
    Building that many homes will be hard and expensive. But Corbyn needs a tiny swing to be PM, which would be much much more expensive.

    They need to go for broke and build build build, especially in London and the south, but in the big northern cities as well and everywhere else that needs it.

    Social housing, private housing, homes for rent, homes for first timers, family homes but most of all good quality safe homes.
    How do we build mass numbers of quality, safe homes of the sort people want to live in, at a price they can afford? And this question leaves out all the other issues, such as the environmental regulations for new houses that push up construction prices.

    I'm far from sure that it's possible to meet all the requirements. We may be able to have cheap homes, but they may not be quality. We may be able to build quality homes, but not of the sort people ideally want to live in. We may build large numbers of quality homes of the sort people want to buy in, but have them unaffordable.

    We've had a couple of decades of people trying to build 'cheap' homes (e.g. homes or £100,000 or less), and the schemes never really seem to take off. Remember Prescott's disastrous Pathfinder scheme?
  • Options
    JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 39,258

    nunuone said:

    "If May (or successor) wants to have any chance then she needs to get building houses on a Macmillan scale."

    This. A million times this. Not least because the Tories have been in power for 7 years now and by the time of the next election the public will expect actual tangible results from them.

    A third vote from me. People over 35 really do not appreciate how much the breaking of the aspiration to have your own home, fit for raising a family, is destroying the Tory vote among the young. We need to both build houses on a Macmillan scale as mentioned and cut demand by limiting immigration that doesn't contribute much to the economy.
    The Grenfell Tower disaster shows us that the quality of the homes we build needs to count as much as the numbers. And in many cases we're not building quality homes.
    It seems it was the refurbishment was the problem not the original build.
    Yes, but the refurbishment was to modern construction standards and methods, which is sort of the point. ;)
  • Options
    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 117,278

    HYUFD said:

    stevef said:

    Corbyn remains the best thing to happen to the Tory party -but not in the way that was at first thought. A Corbyn government would be so disastrous, that the Tories would be using it in their PPBs long after Corbyn is gone. And I am a non Blairite Labour supporter. To campaign with poetry to crowds of chanting adulaters is one thing, but when the prose crashes and burns is another.

    Indeed. There is a case to be made that it would be in the Tories' best interests for Corbyn to win the next general election, mess up the economy and then for them to be in contention at the subsequent election rather than for the Tories to narrowly win next time then a moderate like Umunna wins the following general election by a landslide and the Tories are then out of power for a decade or more. There is no doubt that it is in the country's best interests to keep Corbyn out though
    Clearly no doubt in your mind... but many (>40% from the latest polls) clearly do not believe that blythe assumption. As many, if not more, believe that brexit will mess up the economy before Corbyn gets a chance.
    42% still voted to keep Corbyn out, with Corbyn you get hard Brexit plus socialism on top
  • Options
    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 117,278

    RobD said:

    @Beverley_C China has written the UK off? Hm, that isn't really consistent with their presidents recent remarks

    When top officials start calling us a "Declining Empire" that is not a good sign. The only real thing we can offer them is our services and finanicial sector because the EU is rubbish at it, but all the other stuff will be going to the EU.

    https://www.chathamhouse.org/publication/brexit-implications-eu-china-relations
    I think China may begin to wish we had kept some of our Empire given the problems Hong Kong is starting to cause them!
  • Options
    David_EvershedDavid_Evershed Posts: 6,506

    nunuone said:

    "If May (or successor) wants to have any chance then she needs to get building houses on a Macmillan scale."

    This. A million times this. Not least because the Tories have been in power for 7 years now and by the time of the next election the public will expect actual tangible results from them.

    Under Cameron and Osborne the Conservatives forgot they should be the party of aspiration and instead became the party of stasis and privilege.

    Ever increasing numbers of pensioners with ever increasing triple lock pensions living in houses with ever increasing prices and voting Conservative in ever increasing numbers.
    It would be interesting to see how home ownership levels have changed in comparison to electoral changes.

    Things like this have killed the Conservatives in urban areas:

    ' Home ownership among 25-year-olds has fallen by more than half in the last two decades, new research shows.

    Twenty years ago, some 46 per cent of all 25-year-olds owned their home, according to the Local Government Association (LGA).

    Today, this proportion has fallen to 20 per cent.

    The research, carried out by state agent Savills, found private renters pay 34 per cent of their total household income on rent, while social and affordable renters pay 29 per cent.

    In comparison, homeowners pay an average 18 per cent of their total household income on their mortgage, or pay no housing costs because they own outright. '

    http://www.cityam.com/256077/generational-home-ownership-gap-exposed-proportion-25-year

    It really does seem mad that the Conservatives thought that people who couldn't become homeowners were going to be won over by an increase in overseas aid or by the hugging of some huskies.
    Thatcher's plan for council houses to be bought up bt their occupants was intended to be good for the occupants wealth but also a way for people to have a greater stake in the economy and thus vote for the political party most able to perpetuate a smooth economy rather than try to disrupt it.
  • Options
    SandyRentoolSandyRentool Posts: 20,796

    nunuone said:

    "If May (or successor) wants to have any chance then she needs to get building houses on a Macmillan scale."

    This. A million times this. Not least because the Tories have been in power for 7 years now and by the time of the next election the public will expect actual tangible results from them.

    A third vote from me. People over 35 really do not appreciate how much the breaking of the aspiration to have your own home, fit for raising a family, is destroying the Tory vote among the young. We need to both build houses on a Macmillan scale as mentioned and cut demand by limiting immigration that doesn't contribute much to the economy.
    The Grenfell Tower disaster shows us that the quality of the homes we build needs to count as much as the numbers. And in many cases we're not building quality homes.
    It seems it was the refurbishment was the problem not the original build.
    The poor construction of tower blocks with regard to their lack of insulation has resulted in the need to retrofit external cladding. However, that does not mean that fire resistance needed to be compromised.
  • Options
    foxinsoxukfoxinsoxuk Posts: 23,548
    nunuone said:

    nunuone said:

    "If May (or successor) wants to have any chance then she needs to get building houses on a Macmillan scale."

    This. A million times this. Not least because the Tories have been in power for 7 years now and by the time of the next election the public will expect actual tangible results from them.

    Under Cameron and Osborne the Conservatives forgot they should be the party of aspiration and instead became the party of stasis and privilege.

    Ever increasing numbers of pensioners with ever increasing triple lock pensions living in houses with ever increasing prices and voting Conservative in ever increasing numbers.
    Building that many homes will be hard and expensive. But Corbyn needs a tiny swing to be PM, which would be much much more expensive.

    They need to go for broke and build build build, especially in London and the south, but in the big northern cities as well and everywhere else that needs it.

    Social housing, private housing, homes for rent, homes for first timers, family homes but most of all good quality safe homes.
    Several problems with that starting with Tory voting Nimbus, passing via shortage of building workers (apart from immigrants) but ending with house price deflation, negative equity and a renewed banking crisis.

    There is no easy way out for the Tories.
  • Options
    JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 39,258
    As an example of new house building: houses with chimneys sell for more than houses without chimneys. Hence the more expensive houses being built around our way have brick chimneys sticking out of the roof.

    Except chimneys are also massive holes that let heat escape and cold air in, and cost money to properly build. Therefore they are faux-chimneys: they are built into the roof trusses at ground level and lifted up on the trusses. Hence you see brick chimneys on a roof that are physically unconnected to anything (although in some cases they run a flue from a gas boiler up to them). They are certainly not chimneys for fires.

    Another one I've heard of (though not around here) is a 'proper' chimney being built, but leaving the interior flue unlined. Which can have rather deleterious effects on the house if they set a fire.
  • Options
    RobDRobD Posts: 59,029
    tyson said:

    o/t

    I was out with a group urbane Italian friends last night... not one, I repeat not one knew the name of our PM. Not one.

    We have been reduced to one of those inconsequential countries where no one knows or cares of our political leadership.

    We are the country led by Auntie Mabel from Maidenhead hoping for someone, however odious dropping some crumbs because they feel sorry for us.

    From 2008 when Brown showed the rest how to save the world banking system to 2017 when we are a diminished and fast diminishing country. And people have the fucking cheek to say Brexit is patriotic.

    But we haven't left yet. :p
  • Options
    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 117,278
    edited July 2017
    tyson said:

    o/t

    I was out with a group urbane Italian friends last night... not one, I repeat not one knew the name of our PM. Not one.

    We have been reduced to one of those inconsequential countries where no one knows or cares of our political leadership.

    We are the country led by Auntie Mabel from Maidenhead hoping for someone, however odious dropping some crumbs because they feel sorry for us.

    From 2008 when Brown showed the rest how to save the world banking system to 2017 when we are a diminished and fast diminishing country. And people have the fucking cheek to say Brexit is patriotic.

    I bet a few more Italians know May's name than Brits know the name of the current technocrat who is PM of Italy. With one of the main Italian opposition leaders a comedian, no wonder even Berlusconi has a shot at returning to power next year

    It was also Brown setting the way for bailing out most of the banks which paved the way for the revival of the populist left we are now seeing
  • Options
    SandyRentoolSandyRentool Posts: 20,796
    tyson said:

    o/t

    I was out with a group urbane Italian friends last night... not one, I repeat not one knew the name of our PM. Not one.

    We have been reduced to one of those inconsequential countries where no one knows or cares of our political leadership.

    We are the country led by Auntie Mabel from Maidenhead hoping for someone, however odious dropping some crumbs because they feel sorry for us.

    From 2008 when Brown showed the rest how to save the world banking system to 2017 when we are a diminished and fast diminishing country. And people have the fucking cheek to say Brexit is patriotic.

    And how many Brits could name the Italian PM? Or the Spanish? Or the Dutch? How many could name the French president?
  • Options
    justin124justin124 Posts: 11,527
    rcs1000 said:

    Mortimer said:

    FPT:

    rcs1000 said:

    Why have neither Mortimer nor Essexit taken their MAs yet?

    A good question - almost no one from my cohort bothered and the alumni department don't push it much either (as it clogs up graduation ceremonies).
    For the record, I haven't taken mine yet. But I think I'm pretty much the only person in my year not to have bothered. As I'm off to the US in less than three weeks (and MAs matter more there), I've finally asked the alumni relations office what I need to do.
    But surely people there are not so ignorant as to view them as genuine MAs?
  • Options
    nigel4englandnigel4england Posts: 4,800

    RobD said:

    @Beverley_C China has written the UK off? Hm, that isn't really consistent with their presidents recent remarks

    When top officials start calling us a "Declining Empire" that is not a good sign. The only real thing we can offer them is our services and finanicial sector because the EU is rubbish at it, but all the other stuff will be going to the EU.

    https://www.chathamhouse.org/publication/brexit-implications-eu-china-relations
    Are these 'top officials' rabid remainers by any chance?
  • Options
    nigel4englandnigel4england Posts: 4,800

    tyson said:

    o/t

    I was out with a group urbane Italian friends last night... not one, I repeat not one knew the name of our PM. Not one.

    We have been reduced to one of those inconsequential countries where no one knows or cares of our political leadership.

    We are the country led by Auntie Mabel from Maidenhead hoping for someone, however odious dropping some crumbs because they feel sorry for us.

    From 2008 when Brown showed the rest how to save the world banking system to 2017 when we are a diminished and fast diminishing country. And people have the fucking cheek to say Brexit is patriotic.

    And how many Brits could name the Italian PM? Or the Spanish? Or the Dutch? How many could name the French president?
    Italy is the next big challenge for the EU
  • Options
    tysontyson Posts: 6,052
    @SandyRentool and@hyufd

    You make my point perfectly.. though Sandy everyone knew Macron.......

    The British PM should be one of the most influential and recognised world figures. We are now one of the also rans who no one even remotely considers.

  • Options
    SandyRentoolSandyRentool Posts: 20,796

    tyson said:

    o/t

    I was out with a group urbane Italian friends last night... not one, I repeat not one knew the name of our PM. Not one.

    We have been reduced to one of those inconsequential countries where no one knows or cares of our political leadership.

    We are the country led by Auntie Mabel from Maidenhead hoping for someone, however odious dropping some crumbs because they feel sorry for us.

    From 2008 when Brown showed the rest how to save the world banking system to 2017 when we are a diminished and fast diminishing country. And people have the fucking cheek to say Brexit is patriotic.

    And how many Brits could name the Italian PM? Or the Spanish? Or the Dutch? How many could name the French president?
    Italy is the next big challenge for the EU
    Do you mean by economic collapse, by wanting to leave or both?
  • Options
    another_richardanother_richard Posts: 25,158

    nunuone said:

    nunuone said:

    "If May (or successor) wants to have any chance then she needs to get building houses on a Macmillan scale."

    This. A million times this. Not least because the Tories have been in power for 7 years now and by the time of the next election the public will expect actual tangible results from them.

    Under Cameron and Osborne the Conservatives forgot they should be the party of aspiration and instead became the party of stasis and privilege.

    Ever increasing numbers of pensioners with ever increasing triple lock pensions living in houses with ever increasing prices and voting Conservative in ever increasing numbers.
    Building that many homes will be hard and expensive. But Corbyn needs a tiny swing to be PM, which would be much much more expensive.

    They need to go for broke and build build build, especially in London and the south, but in the big northern cities as well and everywhere else that needs it.

    Social housing, private housing, homes for rent, homes for first timers, family homes but most of all good quality safe homes.
    Several problems with that starting with Tory voting Nimbus, passing via shortage of building workers (apart from immigrants) but ending with house price deflation, negative equity and a renewed banking crisis.

    There is no easy way out for the Tories.
    Britain is a country which wants to buy cheap houses and inherit expensive houses.

    And will blame the government if that isn't possible.
  • Options
    rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 54,287

    RobD said:

    @Beverley_C China has written the UK off? Hm, that isn't really consistent with their presidents recent remarks

    When top officials start calling us a "Declining Empire" that is not a good sign. The only real thing we can offer them is our services and finanicial sector because the EU is rubbish at it, but all the other stuff will be going to the EU.

    https://www.chathamhouse.org/publication/brexit-implications-eu-china-relations

    If you look at the Olympic medals table we are not a declining empire.
    Hmmmm. Not sure that's such a great measure. East Germany and the USSR did well in the Olympic tables just before they ceased to exist.
  • Options
    David_EvershedDavid_Evershed Posts: 6,506
    HYUFD said:

    tyson said:

    o/t

    I was out with a group urbane Italian friends last night... not one, I repeat not one knew the name of our PM. Not one.

    We have been reduced to one of those inconsequential countries where no one knows or cares of our political leadership.

    We are the country led by Auntie Mabel from Maidenhead hoping for someone, however odious dropping some crumbs because they feel sorry for us.

    From 2008 when Brown showed the rest how to save the world banking system to 2017 when we are a diminished and fast diminishing country. And people have the fucking cheek to say Brexit is patriotic.

    I bet a few more Italians know May's name than Brits know the name of the current technocrat who is PM of Italy. With one of the main Italian opposition leaders a comedian, no wonder even Berlusconi has a shot at returning to power next year

    It was also Brown setting the way for bailing out most of the banks which paved the way for the revival of the populist left we are now seeing
    And before that Brown moved bank regulation away from the Bank of England to a a new body, the FSA, which failed to stop banks lend too much money at interest rates which were too low for the risk - even though it had the regulatory tools to do so.

    That's why Brown/Labour was responsible for the 2007/2008 recession in the UK.
  • Options
    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 117,278

    nunuone said:

    nunuone said:

    "If May (or successor) wants to have any chance then she needs to get building houses on a Macmillan scale."

    This. A million times this. Not least because the Tories have been in power for 7 years now and by the time of the next election the public will expect actual tangible results from them.

    Under Cameron and Osborne the Conservatives forgot they should be the party of aspiration and instead became the party of stasis and privilege.

    Ever increasing numbers of pensioners with ever increasing triple lock pensions living in houses with ever increasing prices and voting Conservative in ever increasing numbers.
    Building that many homes will be hard and expensive. But Corbyn needs a tiny swing to be PM, which would be much much more expensive.

    They need to go for broke and build build build, especially in London and the south, but in the big northern cities as well and everywhere else that needs it.

    Social housing, private housing, homes for rent, homes for first timers, family homes but most of all good quality safe homes.
    Several problems with that starting with Tory voting Nimbus, passing via shortage of building workers (apart from immigrants) but ending with house price deflation, negative equity and a renewed banking crisis.

    There is no easy way out for the Tories.
    Britain is a country which wants to buy cheap houses and inherit expensive houses.

    And will blame the government if that isn't possible.
    Got it in one, neither the Tories nor Labour can solve that one!
  • Options
    rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 54,287

    tyson said:

    o/t

    I was out with a group urbane Italian friends last night... not one, I repeat not one knew the name of our PM. Not one.

    We have been reduced to one of those inconsequential countries where no one knows or cares of our political leadership.

    We are the country led by Auntie Mabel from Maidenhead hoping for someone, however odious dropping some crumbs because they feel sorry for us.

    From 2008 when Brown showed the rest how to save the world banking system to 2017 when we are a diminished and fast diminishing country. And people have the fucking cheek to say Brexit is patriotic.

    And how many Brits could name the Italian PM? Or the Spanish? Or the Dutch? How many could name the French president?
    Well, assuming that pb is representative of the country as a whole, all of them. :Smile:
  • Options

    malcolmg said:

    Morning folks.

    Not read the comments yet but I am amazed at how small 'c' conservative David is being in the thread header. I really can't see of any way barring incapacity or a black swan that Corbyn will not fight the next election. Even if his poll ratings plummet he and his supporters will be able to point to the polls before 2017 GE and then show how he performed far in excess of what they predicted. He has the support base at the grass roots and he has control of the party hierarchy.

    I think he is as certain as any politician possibly could be to be fighting the next GE.

    morning Richard, have you had all clear yet
    Unfortunately not. In the words of Emperor Hirohito, the situation has developed not necessarily to my advantage. Now on the "2 week wait" for some rather more personal inspections.

    I find myself surprisingly calm about it. There is absolutely nothing I can do except go through the process and see how the dice roll so I see no point in getting in a state about it. I am still hoping that it will turn out to be something minor but if not I will deal with it as it comes. To be honest it is not quite the reaction I expected to have.
    Richard, I've been on the 2 week thingy recently for throat and stomach problems. Luckily for me, after having a camera shoved in both ends ( it wasn't the same camera- I hope!) It turns out I have a hiatus hernia and possibly IBS. I felt much the same way as you, just roll the dice, see what turns up.
    Nowt to do do but let the docs do their stuff. Hopefully, you'll get the all clear soon!
  • Options
    foxinsoxukfoxinsoxuk Posts: 23,548
    tyson said:

    @SandyRentool and@hyufd

    You make my point perfectly.. though Sandy everyone knew Macron.......

    The British PM should be one of the most influential and recognised world figures. We are now one of the also rans who no one even remotely considers.

    To be fair, having May slip under the radar is a good thing.The less we are associated with her the better!
  • Options
    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 117,278
    edited July 2017
    tyson said:

    @SandyRentool and@hyufd

    You make my point perfectly.. though Sandy everyone knew Macron.......

    The British PM should be one of the most influential and recognised world figures. We are now one of the also rans who no one even remotely considers.

    Why? The only world leaders most people in the world can name are Trump, Putin and maybe Macron or Merkel (most would not have heard of Hollande). I bet most people couldn't even name the Chinese President outside China. We are a medium sized power who occasionally produces top rank PMs ie Thatcher, Blair and Churchill beyond those most citizens of the world will not have a clue who the UK PM is in or out of the EU
  • Options
    rural_voterrural_voter Posts: 2,038

    nunuone said:

    "If May (or successor) wants to have any chance then she needs to get building houses on a Macmillan scale."

    This. A million times this. Not least because the Tories have been in power for 7 years now and by the time of the next election the public will expect actual tangible results from them.

    A third vote from me. People over 35 really do not appreciate how much the breaking of the aspiration to have your own home, fit for raising a family, is destroying the Tory vote among the young. We need to both build houses on a Macmillan scale as mentioned and cut demand by limiting immigration that doesn't contribute much to the economy.
    The Grenfell Tower disaster shows us that the quality of the homes we build needs to count as much as the numbers. And in many cases we're not building quality homes.
    It seems it was the refurbishment was the problem not the original build.
    The poor construction of tower blocks with regard to their lack of insulation has resulted in the need to retrofit external cladding. However, that does not mean that fire resistance needed to be compromised.
    Grenfell Tower was very strongly-built from a reinforced concrete frames and walls. Otherwise it would have collapsed, like the WTC and Ronan Point (partly) did.

    A four-storey timber-frame block in Croydon was destroyed in a fire in I think 2010 but we aren't silly enough to build timber high-rise. Er, um ... https://www.dezeen.com/2016/04/08/plp-architecture-cambridge-university-london-first-wooden-skyscraper-barbican/

    The Ronan Point-type blocks were built in the middle of the tower block boom to save money and speed up construction. I'm not sure if any are left but they'd collapse in a severe fire house of cards-style. Sam Webb, the architect who investigated the Ronan Point collapse, organised a fire test after the tenants had vacated the block.
  • Options
    SandyRentoolSandyRentool Posts: 20,796
    HYUFD said:

    tyson said:

    @SandyRentool and@hyufd

    You make my point perfectly.. though Sandy everyone knew Macron.......

    The British PM should be one of the most influential and recognised world figures. We are now one of the also rans who no one even remotely considers.

    Why? The only world leaders most people in the world can name are Trump, Putin and maybe Macron or Merkel. I bet most people couldn't even name the Chinese President outside China. We are a medium sized power who occasionally produces top rank PMs ie Thatcher, Blair and Churchill beyond those most citizens of the world will not have a clue who the UK PM is in or out of the EU
    Surely Juncker and Tusk would top the list of global political colossi?
  • Options
    another_richardanother_richard Posts: 25,158
    tyson said:

    @SandyRentool and@hyufd

    You make my point perfectly.. though Sandy everyone knew Macron.......

    The British PM should be one of the most influential and recognised world figures. We are now one of the also rans who no one even remotely considers.

    That's good if it stops the posturing by British governments with its consequent war-mongering and showering endless billions around.

    And BTW Gordon Brown was considered a joke on the world stage - the PM who was given a few DVDs as a present by Obama.
  • Options
    foxinsoxukfoxinsoxuk Posts: 23,548
    HYUFD said:

    nunuone said:

    nunuone said:

    "If May (or successor) wants to have any chance then she needs to get building houses on a Macmillan scale."

    This. A million times this. Not least because the Tories have been in power for 7 years now and by the time of the next election the public will expect actual tangible results from them.

    Under Cameron and Osborne the Conservatives forgot they should be the party of aspiration and instead became the party of stasis and privilege.

    Ever increasing numbers of pensioners with ever increasing triple lock pensions living in houses with ever increasing prices and voting Conservative in ever increasing numbers.
    Building that many homes will be hard and expensive. But Corbyn needs a tiny swing to be PM, which would be much much more expensive.

    They need to go for broke and build build build, especially in London and the south, but in the big northern cities as well and everywhere else that needs it.

    Social housing, private housing, homes for rent, homes for first timers, family homes but most of all good quality safe homes.
    Several problems with that starting with Tory voting Nimbus, passing via shortage of building workers (apart from immigrants) but ending with house price deflation, negative equity and a renewed banking crisis.

    There is no easy way out for the Tories.
    Britain is a country which wants to buy cheap houses and inherit expensive houses.

    And will blame the government if that isn't possible.
    Got it in one, neither the Tories nor Labour can solve that one!
    The only way to bring down high real terms house prices (and personal debt) without negative equity is to let inflation rip. A dose of printing money and payrises for all should do the trick. Corbyns can do this, though there may be a few side effects.
  • Options
    another_richardanother_richard Posts: 25,158

    HYUFD said:

    nunuone said:

    nunuone said:

    "If May (or successor) wants to have any chance then she needs to get building houses on a Macmillan scale."

    This. A million times this. Not least because the Tories have been in power for 7 years now and by the time of the next election the public will expect actual tangible results from them.

    Under Cameron and Osborne the Conservatives forgot they should be the party of aspiration and instead became the party of stasis and privilege.

    Ever increasing numbers of pensioners with ever increasing triple lock pensions living in houses with ever increasing prices and voting Conservative in ever increasing numbers.
    Building that many homes will be hard and expensive. But Corbyn needs a tiny swing to be PM, which would be much much more expensive.

    They need to go for broke and build build build, especially in London and the south, but in the big northern cities as well and everywhere else that needs it.

    Social housing, private housing, homes for rent, homes for first timers, family homes but most of all good quality safe homes.
    Several problems with that starting with Tory voting Nimbus, passing via shortage of building workers (apart from immigrants) but ending with house price deflation, negative equity and a renewed banking crisis.

    There is no easy way out for the Tories.
    Britain is a country which wants to buy cheap houses and inherit expensive houses.

    And will blame the government if that isn't possible.
    Got it in one, neither the Tories nor Labour can solve that one!
    The only way to bring down high real terms house prices (and personal debt) without negative equity is to let inflation rip. A dose of printing money and payrises for all should do the trick. Corbyns can do this, though there may be a few side effects.
    Inflation without interest rate rises will lead to the banks being emptied.

    Which might be good for the price of gold, stock market values and consumer spending but less so for financial stability.
  • Options
    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 117,278

    HYUFD said:

    tyson said:

    @SandyRentool and@hyufd

    You make my point perfectly.. though Sandy everyone knew Macron.......

    The British PM should be one of the most influential and recognised world figures. We are now one of the also rans who no one even remotely considers.

    Why? The only world leaders most people in the world can name are Trump, Putin and maybe Macron or Merkel. I bet most people couldn't even name the Chinese President outside China. We are a medium sized power who occasionally produces top rank PMs ie Thatcher, Blair and Churchill beyond those most citizens of the world will not have a clue who the UK PM is in or out of the EU
    Surely Juncker and Tusk would top the list of global political colossi?
    I think most non Europeans probably think Merkel is President of the EU, which just about sums it up!
  • Options
    DavidLDavidL Posts: 51,552
    tyson said:

    o/t

    I was out with a group urbane Italian friends last night... not one, I repeat not one knew the name of our PM. Not one.

    We have been reduced to one of those inconsequential countries where no one knows or cares of our political leadership.

    We are the country led by Auntie Mabel from Maidenhead hoping for someone, however odious dropping some crumbs because they feel sorry for us.

    From 2008 when Brown showed the rest how to save the world banking system to 2017 when we are a diminished and fast diminishing country. And people have the fucking cheek to say Brexit is patriotic.

    I wouldn't know the PM of Italy without googling it either. Not sure what that proves.
  • Options
    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 117,278

    HYUFD said:

    tyson said:

    o/t

    I was out with a group urbane Italian friends last night... not one, I repeat not one knew the name of our PM. Not one.

    We have been reduced to one of those inconsequential countries where no one knows or cares of our political leadership.

    We are the country led by Auntie Mabel from Maidenhead hoping for someone, however odious dropping some crumbs because they feel sorry for us.

    From 2008 when Brown showed the rest how to save the world banking system to 2017 when we are a diminished and fast diminishing country. And people have the fucking cheek to say Brexit is patriotic.

    I bet a few more Italians know May's name than Brits know the name of the current technocrat who is PM of Italy. With one of the main Italian opposition leaders a comedian, no wonder even Berlusconi has a shot at returning to power next year

    It was also Brown setting the way for bailing out most of the banks which paved the way for the revival of the populist left we are now seeing
    And before that Brown moved bank regulation away from the Bank of England to a a new body, the FSA, which failed to stop banks lend too much money at interest rates which were too low for the risk - even though it had the regulatory tools to do so.

    That's why Brown/Labour was responsible for the 2007/2008 recession in the UK.
    Correct
  • Options
    foxinsoxukfoxinsoxuk Posts: 23,548

    HYUFD said:

    nunuone said:

    nunuone said:

    "If May (or successor) wants to have any chance then she needs to get building houses on a Macmillan scale."

    This. A million times this. Not least because the Tories have been in power for 7 years now and by the time of the next election the public will expect actual tangible results from them.

    Under Cameron and Osborne the Conservatives forgot they should be the party of aspiration and instead became the party of stasis and privilege.

    Ever increasing numbers of pensioners with ever increasing triple lock pensions living in houses with ever increasing prices and voting Conservative in ever increasing numbers.
    Building that many homes will be hard and expensive. But Corbyn needs a tiny swing to be PM, which would be much much more expensive.

    They need to go for broke and build build build, especially in London and the south, but in the big northern cities as well and everywhere else that needs it.

    Social housing, private housing, homes for rent, homes for first timers, family homes but most of all good quality safe homes.
    Several problems with that starting with Tory voting Nimbus, passing via shortage of building workers (apart from immigrants) but ending with house price deflation, negative equity and a renewed banking crisis.

    There is no easy way out for the Tories.
    Britain is a country which wants to buy cheap houses and inherit expensive houses.

    And will blame the government if that isn't possible.
    Got it in one, neither the Tories nor Labour can solve that one!
    The only way to bring down high real terms house prices (and personal debt) without negative equity is to let inflation rip. A dose of printing money and payrises for all should do the trick. Corbyns can do this, though there may be a few side effects.
    Inflation without interest rate rises will lead to the banks being emptied.

    Which might be good for the price of gold, stock market values and consumer spending but less so for financial stability.
    I can see a government dabbling with inflation as a mechanism though, indeed we already see it to a degree.
  • Options
    MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 44,872

    HYUFD said:

    nunuone said:

    nunuone said:

    "If May (or successor) wants to have any chance then she needs to get building houses on a Macmillan scale."

    This. A million times this. Not least because the Tories have been in power for 7 years now and by the time of the next election the public will expect actual tangible results from them.

    :
    Building that many homes will be hard and expensive. But Corbyn needs a tiny swing to be PM, which would be much much more expensive.

    They need to go for broke and build build build, especially in London and the south, but in the big northern cities as well and everywhere else that needs it.

    Social housing, private housing, homes for rent, homes for first timers, family homes but most of all good quality safe homes.
    Several problems with that starting with Tory voting Nimbus, passing via shortage of building workers (apart from immigrants) but ending with house price deflation, negative equity and a renewed banking crisis.

    There is no easy way out for the Tories.
    Britain is a country which wants to buy cheap houses and inherit expensive houses.

    And will blame the government if that isn't possible.
    Got it in one, neither the Tories nor Labour can solve that one!
    The only way to bring down high real terms house prices (and personal debt) without negative equity is to let inflation rip. A dose of printing money and payrises for all should do the trick. Corbyns can do this, though there may be a few side effects.
    Except that high inflation benefits the richer, in general. Hugo Stinnes and all that...

    The only way to really bring house prices down is to increase the supply of houses or reduce demand.

    If people start wittering about "brownfield", "land banking" etc. - they are lying liars who lie. To begin to deal with the housing shortage we need to build new towns. Each year. Whole towns.

    The witterings about secret, simple fixes for housing are spoken because of anti-humanist religion - people and all their works are bad. Racist - for all races. This means that those who are most enthusiastic about the wonders of unlimited immigration are most opposed to building the facilities for the said migrants to live in.

    So, any time people tell you that you can't build on the sacred land tell 'em they are racists who like burning poor brown people in tower blocks. For that is the effective result of their policies.
  • Options
    PongPong Posts: 4,693
    edited July 2017

    nunuone said:

    nunuone said:

    "If May (or successor) wants to have any chance then she needs to get building houses on a Macmillan scale."

    This. A million times this. Not least because the Tories have been in power for 7 years now and by the time of the next election the public will expect actual tangible results from them.

    Under Cameron and Osborne the Conservatives forgot they should be the party of aspiration and instead became the party of stasis and privilege.

    Ever increasing numbers of pensioners with ever increasing triple lock pensions living in houses with ever increasing prices and voting Conservative in ever increasing numbers.
    Building that many homes will be hard and expensive. But Corbyn needs a tiny swing to be PM, which would be much much more expensive.

    They need to go for broke and build build build, especially in London and the south, but in the big northern cities as well and everywhere else that needs it.

    Social housing, private housing, homes for rent, homes for first timers, family homes but most of all good quality safe homes.
    Several problems with that starting with Tory voting Nimbus, passing via shortage of building workers (apart from immigrants) but ending with house price deflation, negative equity and a renewed banking crisis.

    There is no easy way out for the Tories.
    Britain is a country which wants to buy cheap houses and inherit expensive houses.

    And will blame the government if that isn't possible.
    I do wonder what would happen if we just 100% capital gains taxed all property.

    Lots of fraud, probably.

    ;)
  • Options
    ParistondaParistonda Posts: 1,819
    edited July 2017

    tyson said:

    @SandyRentool and@hyufd

    You make my point perfectly.. though Sandy everyone knew Macron.......

    The British PM should be one of the most influential and recognised world figures. We are now one of the also rans who no one even remotely considers.

    That's good if it stops the posturing by British governments with its consequent war-mongering and showering endless billions around.

    And BTW Gordon Brown was considered a joke on the world stage - the PM who was given a few DVDs as a present by Obama.
    I think we've probably only had 3 world famous (in the West) PMs since the end of war; Churchill, Thatcher, and Blair. I think today the average Jose would be able to name you those three.

    I think most brits will remember Merkel in years to come, and other than that not sure how many German chancellors, maybe Kohl?

    For French Presidents it would be De Gaulle and Mitterand I think, too early to say for Macron.
  • Options
    CarlottaVanceCarlottaVance Posts: 59,876

    RobD said:

    @Beverley_C China has written the UK off? Hm, that isn't really consistent with their presidents recent remarks

    When top officials start calling us a "Declining Empire" that is not a good sign. The only real thing we can offer them is our services and finanicial sector because the EU is rubbish at it, but all the other stuff will be going to the EU.

    https://www.chathamhouse.org/publication/brexit-implications-eu-china-relations
    In an airplane the most valuable parts are the engines. After that, the wings. Which (current) EU country dominates European supply of both and has the only global top 3 engine maker?
  • Options
    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 117,278

    HYUFD said:

    nunuone said:

    nunuone said:

    "If May (or successor) wants to have any chance then she needs to get building houses on a Macmillan scale."

    This. A million times this. Not least because the Tories have been in power for 7 years now and by the time of the next election the public will expect actual tangible results from them.

    Under Cameron and Osborne the Conservatives forgot they should be the party of aspiration and instead became the party of stasis and privilege.

    Ever increasing numbers of pensioners with ever increasing triple lock pensions living in houses with ever increasing prices and voting Conservative in ever increasing numbers.
    Building that many homes will be hard and expensive. But Corbyn needs a tiny swing to be PM, which would be much much more expensive.

    They need to go for broke and build build build, especially in London and the south, but in the big northern cities as well and everywhere else that needs it.

    Social housing, private housing, homes for rent, homes for first timers, family homes but most of all good quality safe homes.
    Several problems with that starting with Tory voting Nimbus, passing via shortage of building workers (apart from immigrants) but ending with house price deflation, negative equity and a renewed banking crisis.

    There is no easy way out for the Tories.
    Britain is a country which wants to buy cheap houses and inherit expensive houses.

    And will blame the government if that isn't possible.
    Got it in one, neither the Tories nor Labour can solve that one!
    The only way to bring down high real terms house prices (and personal debt) without negative equity is to let inflation rip. A dose of printing money and payrises for all should do the trick. Corbyns can do this, though there may be a few side effects.
    Indeed, it was inflation during the 1974 to 1979 Labour government which helped bring Thatcher to power
  • Options
    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 117,278

    tyson said:

    @SandyRentool and@hyufd

    You make my point perfectly.. though Sandy everyone knew Macron.......

    The British PM should be one of the most influential and recognised world figures. We are now one of the also rans who no one even remotely considers.

    That's good if it stops the posturing by British governments with its consequent war-mongering and showering endless billions around.

    And BTW Gordon Brown was considered a joke on the world stage - the PM who was given a few DVDs as a present by Obama.
    I think we've probably only had 2 world famous (in the West) PMs since the end of war; Churchill, Thatcher, and Blair. I think today the average Jose would be able to name you those three.

    I think most brits will remember Merkel in years to come, and other than that not sure how many German chancellors, maybe Kohl?

    For French Presidents it would be De Gaulle and Mitterand I think, too early to say for Macron.
    Chirac too of French Presidents possibly but no more than that
  • Options
    foxinsoxukfoxinsoxuk Posts: 23,548

    HYUFD said:

    nunuone said:

    nunuone said:

    "If May (or successor) wants to have any chance then she needs to get building houses on a Macmillan scale."

    This. A million times this. Not least because the Tories have been in power for 7 years now and by the time of the next election the public will expect actual tangible results from them.

    :
    Building that many homes will be hard and expensive. But Corbyn needs a tiny swing to be PM, which would be much much more expensive.

    They need to go for broke and build build build, especially in London and the south, but in the big northern cities as well and everywhere else that needs it.

    Social housing, private housing, homes for rent, homes for first timers, family homes but most of all good quality safe homes.
    Several problems

    There is no easy way out for the Tories.
    Britain is a country which wants to buy cheap houses and inherit expensive houses.

    And will blame the government if that isn't possible.
    Got it in one, neither the Tories nor Labour can solve that one!
    The only way to bring down high real terms house prices (an.
    Except that high inflation benefits the richer, in general. Hugo Stinnes and all that...

    The only way to really bring house prices down is to increase the supply of houses or reduce demand.

    If people start wittering about "brownfield", "land banking" etc. - they are lying liars who lie. To begin to deal with the housing shortage we need to build new towns. Each year. Whole towns.

    The witterings about secret, simple fixes for housing are spoken because of anti-humanist religion - people and all their works are bad. Racist - for all races. This means that those who are most enthusiastic about the wonders of unlimited immigration are most opposed to building the facilities for the said migrants to live in.

    So, any time people tell you that you can't build on the sacred land tell 'em they are racists who like burning poor brown people in tower blocks. For that is the effective result of their policies.
    I am all in favour of building on greenfield sites, but as Greenfield's are mostly in Tory constituencies, they annoy existing Tory voters while importing younger Labour voters.

    @Another_Richard was right. People want to buy cheap houses and inherit expensive ones. People without houses want falling prices while those with houses want appreciating ones. The latter are core Tory voters.
  • Options
    SandpitSandpit Posts: 50,071

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    rcs1000 said:

    HYUFD said:

    rcs1000 said:


    In some ways this actually puts us in a good position: if we were the ones under the gun from a time perspective, we would be the ones needing to make all the concessions. (And concessions, by the way, means restrictions on our ability to have product - particularly agricultural - standards that restrict US imports.)

    It's also worth remembering that the US has a trade deficit with the UK. A key priority of this deal will be Donald Trump being able to say that he has signed a deal that reduces the imbalance. To my mind, that means principally means food.

    Final point: it remains to be seen what will happen with the Border Tax Adjustment. If we are exempted from it, then it's good for us, but probably bad for the world, as it signals the US's departure from the WTO. If we're not, then there's a real question about how much benefit will accrue, given the c. 15% cost added to all imports through their non tax-deductability.

    The devil, as always, is in the details.

    Although the Democrats may well take the House, the GOP should hold the Senate and since it is the Senate which is really the chamber which approves a trade deal, the midterms should not impact too much on a US UK trade deal
    Do you have a source for that?
    If I remember from my A level politics it is the Senate which has to approve all US foreign treaties the President signs, which I think is what Charles also alluded to
    One of the proposals made by Hannan and Carswell in 'The Plan' was that we should move closer to the US system as far as approving both treaties and our overseas representatives was concerned. So all treaties would have to be voted on in Parliament and all new ambassadors would have to be approved by Parliamentary committee. Basically removing the Royal Prerogative in all areas. Take power from the executive and give it to the legislature.
    Sounds sensible and would improve their legitimacy. Best wishes on the medical front too!
    I have just reread 'The Plan again a couple of weeks ago and there is a huge amount in it that I think would benefit the UK along with some stuff that had already been introduced. Open Primaries and Recall are two more points I think are worth pursuing. Also tighter limits on the Government payroll.
    Yes, it is a very good book, well esearched and looking at good aspects of systems elsewhere. Some of it was in the 2010 manifesto but didn't make it through the coalition.

    And good luck with the quacks, as others have said.
  • Options
    justin124justin124 Posts: 11,527
    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    nunuone said:

    nunuone said:

    "If May (or successor) wants to have any chance then she needs to get building houses on a Macmillan scale."

    This. A million times this. Not least because the Tories have been in power for 7 years now and by the time of the next election the public will expect actual tangible results from them.

    Under Cameron and Osborne the Conservatives forgot they should be the party of aspiration and instead became the party of stasis and privilege.

    Ever increasing numbers of pensioners with ever increasing triple lock pensions living in houses with ever increasing prices and voting Conservative in ever increasing numbers.
    Building that many homes will be hard and expensive. But Corbyn needs a tiny swing to be PM, which would be much much more expensive.

    They need to go for broke and build build build, especially in London and the south, but in the big northern cities as well and everywhere else that needs it.

    Social housing, private housing, homes for rent, homes for first timers, family homes but most of all good quality safe homes.
    Several problems with that starting with Tory voting Nimbus, passing via shortage of building workers (apart from immigrants) but ending with house price deflation, negative equity and a renewed banking crisis.

    There is no easy way out for the Tories.
    Britain is a country which wants to buy cheap houses and inherit expensive houses.

    And will blame the government if that isn't possible.
    Got it in one, neither the Tories nor Labour can solve that one!
    The only way to bring down high real terms house prices (and personal debt) without negative equity is to let inflation rip. A dose of printing money and payrises for all should do the trick. Corbyns can do this, though there may be a few side effects.
    Indeed, it was inflation during the 1974 to 1979 Labour government which helped bring Thatcher to power
    Inflation was not actually that high when Thatcher took office. At just under 10% it was quite a bit lower than when Heath departed in March 1974. Thatcher's victory had much more to do with the industrial strife of Jan/Feb 79 - the Winter of Discontent. Had Callaghan called the election for Auumn 1978 Thatcher might well have lost - and never become PM.
  • Options
    SandyRentoolSandyRentool Posts: 20,796

    RobD said:

    @Beverley_C China has written the UK off? Hm, that isn't really consistent with their presidents recent remarks

    When top officials start calling us a "Declining Empire" that is not a good sign. The only real thing we can offer them is our services and finanicial sector because the EU is rubbish at it, but all the other stuff will be going to the EU.

    https://www.chathamhouse.org/publication/brexit-implications-eu-china-relations
    In an airplane the most valuable parts are the engines. After that, the wings. Which (current) EU country dominates European supply of both and has the only global top 3 engine maker?
    Airplane?!?

    Aeroplane!!!
  • Options
    David_EvershedDavid_Evershed Posts: 6,506

    HYUFD said:

    nunuone said:

    nunuone said:

    "If May (or successor) wants to have any chance then she needs to get building houses on a Macmillan scale."

    This. A million times this. Not least because the Tories have been in power for 7 years now and by the time of the next election the public will expect actual tangible results from them.

    :
    Building that many homes will be hard and expensive. But Corbyn needs a tiny swing to be PM, which would be much much more expensive.

    They need to go for broke and build build build, especially in London and the south, but in the big northern cities as well and everywhere else that needs it.

    Social housing, private housing, homes for rent, homes for first timers, family homes but most of all good quality safe homes.
    Several problems

    There is no easy way out for the Tories.
    Britain is a country which wants to buy cheap houses and inherit expensive houses.

    And will blame the government if that isn't possible.
    Got it in one, neither the Tories nor Labour can solve that one!
    The only way to bring down high real terms house prices (an.
    The witterings about secret, simple fixes for housing are spoken because of anti-humanist religion - people and all their works are bad. Racist - for all races. This means that those who are most enthusiastic about the wonders of unlimited immigration are most opposed to building the facilities for the said migrants to live in.

    So, any time people tell you that you can't build on the sacred land tell 'em they are racists who like burning poor brown people in tower blocks. For that is the effective result of their policies.
    I am all in favour of building on greenfield sites, but as Greenfield's are mostly in Tory constituencies, they annoy existing Tory voters while importing younger Labour voters.

    @Another_Richard was right. People want to buy cheap houses and inherit expensive ones. People without houses want falling prices while those with houses want appreciating ones. The latter are core Tory voters.
    People with houses who want to move to bigger houses or nearer to London do not want higher house prices.
  • Options
    David_EvershedDavid_Evershed Posts: 6,506

    RobD said:

    @Beverley_C China has written the UK off? Hm, that isn't really consistent with their presidents recent remarks

    When top officials start calling us a "Declining Empire" that is not a good sign. The only real thing we can offer them is our services and finanicial sector because the EU is rubbish at it, but all the other stuff will be going to the EU.

    https://www.chathamhouse.org/publication/brexit-implications-eu-china-relations
    In an airplane the most valuable parts are the engines. After that, the wings. Which (current) EU country dominates European supply of both and has the only global top 3 engine maker?
    Airplane?!?

    Aeroplane!!!
    Aero - yum yum.
  • Options
    MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 44,872
    edited July 2017

    HYUFD said:

    nunuone said:

    nunuone said:

    "If May (or successor) wants to have any chance then she needs to get building houses on a Macmillan scale."

    This. A million times this. Not least because the Tories have been in power for 7 years now and by the time of the next election the public will expect actual tangible results from them.

    :
    :

    Social housing, private housing, homes for rent, homes for first timers, family homes but most of all good quality safe homes.
    Several problems

    There is no easy way out for the Tories.
    Britain is a country which wants to buy cheap houses and inherit expensive houses.

    And will blame the government if that isn't possible.
    Got it in one, neither the Tories nor Labour can solve that one!
    The only way to bring down high real terms house prices (an.
    Except that high inflation benefits the richer, in general. Hugo Stinnes and all that...

    The only way to really bring house prices down is to increase the supply of houses or reduce demand.

    If people start wittering about "brownfield", "land banking" etc. - they are lying liars who lie. To begin to deal with the housing shortage we need to build new towns. Each year. Whole towns.

    The witterings about secret, simple fixes for housing are spoken because of anti-humanist religion - people and all their works are bad. Racist - for all races. This means that those who are most enthusiastic about the wonders of unlimited immigration are most opposed to building the facilities for the said migrants to live in.

    So, any time people tell you that you can't build on the sacred land tell 'em they are racists who like burning poor brown people in tower blocks. For that is the effective result of their policies.
    I am all in favour of building on greenfield sites, but as Greenfield's are mostly in Tory constituencies, they annoy existing Tory voters while importing younger Labour voters.

    @Another_Richard was right. People want to buy cheap houses and inherit expensive ones. People without houses want falling prices while those with houses want appreciating ones. The latter are core Tory voters.
    None so Tory as those who've bought their homes...

    In my experience the Nimby thing is being used as a fig leaf by planners who are obsessed with density. So you end up with attempts to build blocks of flats in the deep countryside - and "town houses"* to add to the fun...

    Which are definitely what the locals don't want.

    *House without a garden
  • Options
    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 117,278
    justin124 said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    nunuone said:

    nunuone said:

    "If May (or successor) wants to have any chance then she needs to get building houses on a Macmillan scale."

    This. A million times this. Not least because the Tories have been in power for 7 years now and by the time of the next election the public will expect actual tangible results from them.

    Under Cameron and Osborne the Conservatives forgot they should be the party of aspiration and instead became the party of stasis and privilege.

    Ever increasing numbers of pensioners with ever increasing triple lock pensions living in houses with ever increasing prices and voting Conservative in ever increasing numbers.
    Building that many homes will be hard and expensive. But Corbyn needs a tiny swing to be PM, which would be much much more expensive.

    They need to go for broke and build build build, especially in London and the south, but in the big northern cities as well and everywhere else that needs it.

    Social housing, private housing, homes for rent, homes for first timers, family homes but most of all good quality safe homes.
    Several problems with that starting with Tory voting Nimbus, passing via shortage of building workers (apart from immigrants) but ending with house price deflation, negative equity and a renewed banking crisis.

    There is no easy way out for the Tories.
    Britain is a country which wants to buy cheap houses and inherit expensive houses.

    And will blame the government if that isn't possible.
    Got it in one, neither the Tories nor Labour can solve that one!
    The only way to bring down high real terms house prices (and personal debt) without negative equity is to let inflation rip. A dose of printing money and payrises for all should do the trick. Corbyns can do this, though there may be a few side effects.
    Indeed, it was inflation during the 1974 to 1979 Labour government which helped bring Thatcher to power
    Inflation was not actually that high when Thatcher took office. At just under 10% it was quite a bit lower than when Heath departed in March 1974. Thatcher's victory had much more to do with the industrial strife of Jan/Feb 79 - the Winter of Discontent. Had Callaghan called the election for Auumn 1978 Thatcher might well have lost - and never become PM.
    It was a combination of both, of course Thatcher beat Heath first in 1975 then Callaghan in 1979
  • Options
    MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 44,872
    Pong said:

    nunuone said:

    nunuone said:

    "If May (or successor) wants to have any chance then she needs to get building houses on a Macmillan scale."

    This. A million times this. Not least because the Tories have been in power for 7 years now and by the time of the next election the public will expect actual tangible results from them.

    Under Cameron and Osborne the Conservatives forgot they should be the party of aspiration and instead became the party of stasis and privilege.

    Ever increasing numbers of pensioners with ever increasing triple lock pensions living in houses with ever increasing prices and voting Conservative in ever increasing numbers.
    Building that many homes will be hard and expensive. But Corbyn needs a tiny swing to be PM, which would be much much more expensive.

    They need to go for broke and build build build, especially in London and the south, but in the big northern cities as well and everywhere else that needs it.

    Social housing, private housing, homes for rent, homes for first timers, family homes but most of all good quality safe homes.
    Several problems with that starting with Tory voting Nimbus, passing via shortage of building workers (apart from immigrants) but ending with house price deflation, negative equity and a renewed banking crisis.

    There is no easy way out for the Tories.
    Britain is a country which wants to buy cheap houses and inherit expensive houses.

    And will blame the government if that isn't possible.
    I do wonder what would happen if we just 100% capital gains taxed all property.

    Lots of fraud, probably.

    ;)
    And suddenly house building drops to nothing.

    If you want cheaper housing, you need to supply 100+% of market demand. All the alternatives have been tried, round the world.

    Tell the anti-human lot to go to Dignitas.
  • Options
    rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 54,287
    justin124 said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    nunuone said:

    Under Cameron and Osborne the Conservatives forgot they should be the party of aspiration and instead became the party of stasis and privilege.

    Ever increasing numbers of pensioners with ever increasing triple lock pensions living in houses with ever increasing prices and voting Conservative in ever increasing numbers.

    Building that many homes will be hard and expensive. But Corbyn needs a tiny swing to be PM, which would be much much more expensive.

    They need to go for broke and build build build, especially in London and the south, but in the big northern cities as well and everywhere else that needs it.

    Social housing, private housing, homes for rent, homes for first timers, family homes but most of all good quality safe homes.
    Several problems with that starting with Tory voting Nimbus, passing via shortage of building workers (apart from immigrants) but ending with house price deflation, negative equity and a renewed banking crisis.

    There is no easy way out for the Tories.
    Britain is a country which wants to buy cheap houses and inherit expensive houses.

    And will blame the government if that isn't possible.
    Got it in one, neither the Tories nor Labour can solve that one!
    The only way to bring down high real terms house prices (and personal debt) without negative equity is to let inflation rip. A dose of printing money and payrises for all should do the trick. Corbyns can do this, though there may be a few side effects.
    Indeed, it was inflation during the 1974 to 1979 Labour government which helped bring Thatcher to power
    Inflation was not actually that high when Thatcher took office. At just under 10% it was quite a bit lower than when Heath departed in March 1974. Thatcher's victory had much more to do with the industrial strife of Jan/Feb 79 - the Winter of Discontent. Had Callaghan called the election for Auumn 1978 Thatcher might well have lost - and never become PM.
    That's right. Until the Winter of Discontent, Callaghan's government had been having a good run. Unemployment was falling and GDP was growing at close to 1% a quarter following the mid 70s post Barber boom bust and the oil crises.

    And then the Winter of Discontent happened.
  • Options
    rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 54,287
    As an aside, it ought not to be forgotten that the housing boom has created a very large number of people with big mortgages.

    Getting prices down (say) 40% to help with those not on the property "ladder" will be fairly disastrous for those on 90% mortgages. It will also have a negative impact on labour mobility, by putting large numbers of people into negative equity.
  • Options
    Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453

    The US President has committed to a fast and expansive trade deal.

    How many of his "commitments" have been realised, and how many have been dumped?
  • Options
    rkrkrkrkrkrk Posts: 7,929
    rcs1000 said:

    As an aside, it ought not to be forgotten that the housing boom has created a very large number of people with big mortgages.

    Getting prices down (say) 40% to help with those not on the property "ladder" will be fairly disastrous for those on 90% mortgages. It will also have a negative impact on labour mobility, by putting large numbers of people into negative equity.

    I wonder though. If it did happen... Would the government intervene in some way to help those in that situation?
  • Options
    Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453

    As an example of new house building: houses with chimneys sell for more than houses without chimneys. Hence the more expensive houses being built around our way have brick chimneys sticking out of the roof.

    Except chimneys are also massive holes that let heat escape and cold air in, and cost money to properly build. Therefore they are faux-chimneys: they are built into the roof trusses at ground level and lifted up on the trusses. Hence you see brick chimneys on a roof that are physically unconnected to anything (although in some cases they run a flue from a gas boiler up to them). They are certainly not chimneys for fires.

    Another one I've heard of (though not around here) is a 'proper' chimney being built, but leaving the interior flue unlined. Which can have rather deleterious effects on the house if they set a fire.

    My house, 20 years old, has a fake chimney, and a ridge tile outlet for the flue next to it.

    A couple of neighbours have replaced their gas fires with wood burners, which require an external steel column bolted onto the side of the house.
  • Options
    MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 44,872
    rkrkrk said:

    rcs1000 said:

    As an aside, it ought not to be forgotten that the housing boom has created a very large number of people with big mortgages.

    Getting prices down (say) 40% to help with those not on the property "ladder" will be fairly disastrous for those on 90% mortgages. It will also have a negative impact on labour mobility, by putting large numbers of people into negative equity.

    I wonder though. If it did happen... Would the government intervene in some way to help those in that situation?
    To build enough houses to cause a fall in house prices would take an unlikely amount of building in a very short time.

    A realistic scenario* would be a massive granting of planning permissions, leading to a steady gearing up in house building. Leading in turn to a decline in the extreme rates of growth in house prices.

    *Realistic is the sense of actually doing something, rather than more wibble. Not political realism.
  • Options
    FF43FF43 Posts: 15,858

    tyson said:

    @SandyRentool and@hyufd

    You make my point perfectly.. though Sandy everyone knew Macron.......

    The British PM should be one of the most influential and recognised world figures. We are now one of the also rans who no one even remotely considers.

    That's good if it stops the posturing by British governments with its consequent war-mongering and showering endless billions around.

    And BTW Gordon Brown was considered a joke on the world stage - the PM who was given a few DVDs as a present by Obama.
    I think we've probably only had 3 world famous (in the West) PMs since the end of war; Churchill, Thatcher, and Blair. I think today the average Jose would be able to name you those three.

    I think most brits will remember Merkel in years to come, and other than that not sure how many German chancellors, maybe Kohl?

    For French Presidents it would be De Gaulle and Mitterand I think, too early to say for Macron.
    We should remember Konrad Adenauer, who was the main driver behind the formation of the EU and the development of NATO into a powerful organisation. I don't think many have heard of him.
  • Options
    nunuonenunuone Posts: 1,138
    HYUFD said:

    tyson said:

    @SandyRentool and@hyufd

    You make my point perfectly.. though Sandy everyone knew Macron.......

    The British PM should be one of the most influential and recognised world figures. We are now one of the also rans who no one even remotely considers.

    That's good if it stops the posturing by British governments with its consequent war-mongering and showering endless billions around.

    And BTW Gordon Brown was considered a joke on the world stage - the PM who was given a few DVDs as a present by Obama.
    I think we've probably only had 2 world famous (in the West) PMs since the end of war; Churchill, Thatcher, and Blair. I think today the average Jose would be able to name you those three.

    I think most brits will remember Merkel in years to come, and other than that not sure how many German chancellors, maybe Kohl?

    For French Presidents it would be De Gaulle and Mitterand I think, too early to say for Macron.
    Chirac too of French Presidents possibly but no more than that
    No one will remember Hollande of course.
  • Options
    Dura_AceDura_Ace Posts: 13,096

    RobD said:

    @Beverley_C China has written the UK off? Hm, that isn't really consistent with their presidents recent remarks

    When top officials start calling us a "Declining Empire" that is not a good sign. The only real thing we can offer them is our services and finanicial sector because the EU is rubbish at it, but all the other stuff will be going to the EU.

    https://www.chathamhouse.org/publication/brexit-implications-eu-china-relations

    If you look at the Olympic medals table we are not a declining empire.
    Which is largely down to track cycling; a sport which one and a half countries take seriously (GB and AUS). It was cunningly indentified as the sport which would provide the most medals for the money invested.
  • Options
    RogerRoger Posts: 18,955
    edited July 2017
    OT. Just listened to an 'Any Questions'. Studio audiences and vox pops shouldn't be ignored. They're generally the most reliable measurement of the zeitgeist.

    It was a Laura Kuenssberg vox pop in a Preston Bingo Hall and a 'Question Time' with Nigel Lawson that first alerted me to the likelihood that 'Leave' would win.

    There was a palpable amount of anger about to day. This could well be a long hot summer.

  • Options
    foxinsoxukfoxinsoxuk Posts: 23,548
    Scott_P said:

    The US President has committed to a fast and expansive trade deal.

    How many of his "commitments" have been realised, and how many have been dumped?
    @CornishJohn has a touching faith in Trump being capable of delivering anything. Hasn't everyone realised yet that he is a charleton? Where is his Mexican wall, scrapping of NAFTA or "unbelievably great" healthcare reforms.

    Trump couldn't deliver a pizza let alone a trade deal.
  • Options
    nunuonenunuone Posts: 1,138
    DavidL said:

    tyson said:

    o/t

    I was out with a group urbane Italian friends last night... not one, I repeat not one knew the name of our PM. Not one.

    We have been reduced to one of those inconsequential countries where no one knows or cares of our political leadership.

    We are the country led by Auntie Mabel from Maidenhead hoping for someone, however odious dropping some crumbs because they feel sorry for us.

    From 2008 when Brown showed the rest how to save the world banking system to 2017 when we are a diminished and fast diminishing country. And people have the fucking cheek to say Brexit is patriotic.

    I wouldn't know the PM of Italy without googling it either. Not sure what that proves.
    We have become Italy...with the sunshine.....bloody hell I hate the heat!
  • Options
    calumcalum Posts: 3,046
    rcs1000 said:

    As an aside, it ought not to be forgotten that the housing boom has created a very large number of people with big mortgages.

    Getting prices down (say) 40% to help with those not on the property "ladder" will be fairly disastrous for those on 90% mortgages. It will also have a negative impact on labour mobility, by putting large numbers of people into negative equity.

    House prices in the London hotspots last fell by around 40-50% back in 1988/89 - negative equity had a brutal impact on many folks lives - particularly those working their way up the property ladder.

    The negative equity problem was further exacerbated by Nigel Lawson's £30k MIRAS per person initiative, resulting in many London 20 something professionals grouping together to buy family houses !!
  • Options
    FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 76,336
  • Options
    JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 39,258
    Scott_P said:

    As an example of new house building: houses with chimneys sell for more than houses without chimneys. Hence the more expensive houses being built around our way have brick chimneys sticking out of the roof.

    Except chimneys are also massive holes that let heat escape and cold air in, and cost money to properly build. Therefore they are faux-chimneys: they are built into the roof trusses at ground level and lifted up on the trusses. Hence you see brick chimneys on a roof that are physically unconnected to anything (although in some cases they run a flue from a gas boiler up to them). They are certainly not chimneys for fires.

    Another one I've heard of (though not around here) is a 'proper' chimney being built, but leaving the interior flue unlined. Which can have rather deleterious effects on the house if they set a fire.

    My house, 20 years old, has a fake chimney, and a ridge tile outlet for the flue next to it.

    A couple of neighbours have replaced their gas fires with wood burners, which require an external steel column bolted onto the side of the house.
    It's crazy. It's nonsensical. Yet housebuilders build them as people will pay more for houses with a chimney, even if they are useless and pointless.

    Chimneys appear to be status symbols.
  • Options
    GeoffMGeoffM Posts: 6,071

    Scott_P said:

    The US President has committed to a fast and expansive trade deal.

    How many of his "commitments" have been realised, and how many have been dumped?
    @CornishJohn has a touching faith in Trump being capable of delivering anything. Hasn't everyone realised yet that he is a charleton? Where is his Mexican wall, scrapping of NAFTA or "unbelievably great" healthcare reforms.

    Trump couldn't deliver a pizza let alone a trade deal.
    All of those things are on the way.
    Once you've drilled past the CNN Fake News there's actually a lot ow winning going on!
  • Options
    GeoffMGeoffM Posts: 6,071
    nunuone said:

    HYUFD said:

    tyson said:

    @SandyRentool and@hyufd

    You make my point perfectly.. though Sandy everyone knew Macron.......

    The British PM should be one of the most influential and recognised world figures. We are now one of the also rans who no one even remotely considers.

    That's good if it stops the posturing by British governments with its consequent war-mongering and showering endless billions around.

    And BTW Gordon Brown was considered a joke on the world stage - the PM who was given a few DVDs as a present by Obama.
    I think we've probably only had 2 world famous (in the West) PMs since the end of war; Churchill, Thatcher, and Blair. I think today the average Jose would be able to name you those three.

    I think most brits will remember Merkel in years to come, and other than that not sure how many German chancellors, maybe Kohl?

    For French Presidents it would be De Gaulle and Mitterand I think, too early to say for Macron.
    Chirac too of French Presidents possibly but no more than that
    No one will remember Hollande of course.
    It's a flat bit of ground near Belgium.
  • Options
    RogerRoger Posts: 18,955
    Once you open the ugly box of nationalism as the referendum has done it can sprout in all sorts of unexpected directions
  • Options
    SandyRentoolSandyRentool Posts: 20,796

    Scott_P said:

    As an example of new house building: houses with chimneys sell for more than houses without chimneys. Hence the more expensive houses being built around our way have brick chimneys sticking out of the roof.

    Except chimneys are also massive holes that let heat escape and cold air in, and cost money to properly build. Therefore they are faux-chimneys: they are built into the roof trusses at ground level and lifted up on the trusses. Hence you see brick chimneys on a roof that are physically unconnected to anything (although in some cases they run a flue from a gas boiler up to them). They are certainly not chimneys for fires.

    Another one I've heard of (though not around here) is a 'proper' chimney being built, but leaving the interior flue unlined. Which can have rather deleterious effects on the house if they set a fire.

    My house, 20 years old, has a fake chimney, and a ridge tile outlet for the flue next to it.

    A couple of neighbours have replaced their gas fires with wood burners, which require an external steel column bolted onto the side of the house.
    It's crazy. It's nonsensical. Yet housebuilders build them as people will pay more for houses with a chimney, even if they are useless and pointless.

    Chimneys appear to be status symbols.
    The chimney is a phallic symbol.
  • Options
    Ishmael_ZIshmael_Z Posts: 8,981
    Roger said:

    OT. Just listened to an 'Any Questions'. Studio audiences and vox pops shouldn't be ignored. They're generally the most reliable measurement of the zeitgeist.

    It was a Laura Kuenssberg vox pop in a Preston Bingo Hall and a 'Question Time' with Nigel Lawson that first alerted me to the likelihood that 'Leave' would win.

    There was a palpable amount of anger about to day. This could well be a long hot summer.

    What were they angry about?
This discussion has been closed.