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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » At least one of the final polls, surely, will have got GE2017

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  • Options
    nunununu Posts: 6,024
    welshowl said:

    Polling station Cardiff 9.45

    Queue: none
    Voters: one (me)
    Weather: raining stairods.

    cardiff central?
  • Options
    RobCRobC Posts: 398

    Jonathan said:

    Jonathan said:

    kle4 said:

    Ishmael_Z said:

    kle4 said:

    What problem does voting online solve? It's not hard to get to a polling station, and if it is for some reason, we have postal votes and proxy votes.

    d result is immaterial to me. If someone chooses to be lazy that is their choice, we have seen young people can and do turnout when they want to, and they used to, so the method of voting is demonstrably not the problem. It's people not wanting to vote. That's what needs addressing, making young people want to vote. Corbyn may well show that can be addressed.

    If the publishing industry sells fewer books, publishers would be laughed out of town if they suggested making buying books compulsory. They would rightly be told to make the product more attractive.
    Voting isn't buying.
    No. No one would pay money for the shit product on offer.
    Abstentions are submission to the will of others. They get to choose.
    Going through my choices:

    1) Conservatives - no, can't vote for car crash Brexit, the most damaging decision of my lifetime.

    2) Labour - no, can't vote for the dishonest and treacherous cretin.

    3) UKIP - are you kidding me?

    4) Green - no, not this time. Both irrelevant and far too sympathetic to this version of Labour (see 2 above)

    5) Lib Dems - a socially conservative, left wing economic leader is my polar opposite. And their policy on Brexit is stupid. They're irrelevant anyway.

    If that's the choice I'm offered, others can get to choose. They're all shit.
    Despite your doubts (and mine) about the leader surely The Lib Dems are still your best bet in this election. They are the only party the vast majority of whose membership are essentially on the same page as you regarding Brexit.
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    old_labourold_labour Posts: 3,238
    104 years ago to the day, Emily Davison died after throwing herself under the King's horse at Epsom Derby.
  • Options
    dyedwooliedyedwoolie Posts: 7,786
    Oh God someone I respect on Facebook just posted to tell everyone to take a pen with them. Urgh
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    AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    "Iain Dale‏Verified account @IainDale 42m42 minutes ago

    Polling Day Seen Through The Eyes of A Losing Candidate - Me (And How to Lose Gracefully) http://dlvr.it/PKgKc6"
  • Options
    Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 55,335
    Jonathan said:

    Jonathan said:

    Jonathan said:

    kle4 said:

    Ishmael_Z said:

    kle4 said:

    What problem does voting online solve? It's not hard to get to a polling station, and if it is for some reason, we have postal votes and proxy votes.

    Did a yougov poll a few weeks back asking about it, and how much more likely to vote I would be if I could do it online. Since I'd vote anyway I said no more likely, but even some say they would be more likely, as I say it's not hard now.

    Counting would be quicker, but is the speed of the count a problem that needs solving?

    Assuming it would be secure, usher current system so insecure it needs ditching?

    I am pretty certain it wroups - i.e. the young would vote. You can say (if you are happy with the end result which is bwalk for 5 minutes in the rain they don't deserve a vote, but that's hard to justify - universal suffrage is what it says it is, and laziness is no more a disqualification than is being white working class with no degree (despite the secret view of the Remainers).
    The end result is immaterial to me. If someone chooses to be lazy that is their choice, we have seen young people can and do turnout when they want to, and they used to, so the method of voting is demonstrably not the problem. It's people not wanting to vote. That's what needs addressing, making young people want to vote. Corbyn may well show that can be addressed.
    If the publishing industry sells fewer books, publishers would be laughed out of town if they suggested making buying books compulsory. They would rightly be told to make the product more attractive.
    Voting isn't buying.
    No. No one would pay money for the shit product on offer.
    Abstentions are submission to the will of others. They get to choose.
    Going through my choices:

    1) Conservatives - no, can't vote for car crash Brexit, the most damaging decision of my lifetime.

    2) Labour - no, can't vote for the dishonest and treacherous cretin.

    3) UKIP - are you kidding me?

    4) Green - no, not this time. Both irrelevant and far too sympathetic to this version of Labour (see 2 above)

    5) Lib Dems - a socially conservative, left wing economic leader is my polar opposite. .
    Trouble is that a government Will be formed, none of the above is not an option. For me it came down to Brexit. May's narrow approach coupled with her clear lack of ability represents a real risk. I had to vote against that.
    Drat. I thought we almost had you won over.
  • Options
    ChrisChris Posts: 11,124

    Chris said:

    Cyclefree said:


    The big disappointment for me has been the Lib Dems. What on earth happened there?

    Tim Farron. Who'd have thought he would be quite so bad?
    Just about everybody
    I've never been particularly impressed by him, but I had expected him to be more effective than he has been. He seemed to have positioned himself very shrewdly during the Clegg years, as the natural successor when it all went wrong. But the floundering over the religious questions - which were bound to arise, as they had two years ago - and that terrible interview with Andrew Neil make him seem absolutely clueless.
  • Options
    isamisam Posts: 40,930
    "The politically engaged are a tiny, but enthusiastic, percentage of the population. The difficulty for opinion pollsters is that they are not representative of the public. They follow politicians and political journalists on twitter, they post about politics on forums, they watch Newsnight and the Daily Politics, digest the info and answer polls. They like to show off their understanding and want everyone/anyone to know that A GREAT DEAL OF THOUGHT HAS GONE INTO THIS. As most men in the pub discuss football, they are online discussing politics. While the man in the pub will generally quite bluntly say who he (always) votes for when asked, the politically engaged find such partisan loyalty an affront to critical thinking - being seen to be "undecided" is a badge of honour, it shows they are a serious person. They admire intellectual reasoning and put a high price on their vote, so when the chance comes to answer questions on how they think and why, it's like giving someone a big line of cocaine and asking them to talk about themselves. Political obsessives are the material of opinion polls, but not the fabric of the nation. It could be that in showing off about doing their homework, giving the "clever" answer rather than what they actually intend to do, they are making the polls less accurate."
    http://aboutasfarasdelgados.blogspot.co.uk/
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    nigel4englandnigel4england Posts: 4,800
    My bets, not many as I am not as confident political betting as most one here:

    Sold Lib Dem seats at 34 with Spreadex when the market first went up, looks like a classic bit of aftertiming as I was not on the site at the time, but I did email both Robert and isam and asked them to post it on here.

    Sold Labour seats a couple of days ago at 204, bit risky but just can't be having Corbyn.

    Backed over 7.5 Conservative seats in Scotland at 1.91, biggish bet for me.
  • Options
    AlistairAlistair Posts: 23,670

    I'm abstaining, I refuse to endorse any of the candidates.

    They're all inadequate but it's your democratic duty to choose the least inadequate. You've let yourself and democracy down.
    I think you'll find they are free to choose.
  • Options
    Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 55,335

    Jonathan said:

    Jonathan said:

    kle4 said:

    Ishmael_Z said:

    kle4 said:

    What problem does voting online solve? It's not hard to get to a polling station, and if it is for some reason, we have postal votes and proxy votes.

    Did a yougov poll a few weeks back asking about it, and how much more likely to vote I would be if I could do it online. Since I'd vote anyway I said no more likely, but even some say they would be more likely, as I say it's not hard now.

    Counting would be quicker, but is the speed of the count a problem that needs solving?

    Assuming it would be secure, usher current system so insecure it needs ditching?

    I am pretty certain it would bring turnout into line across all age groups - i.e. the young would vote. You can say (if you are happy with the end result which is bad for Lab/good for con) that if they can't be arsed to walk for 5 minutes in the rain they don't deserve a vote, but that's hard to justify - universal suffrage is what it says it is, and laziness is no more a disqualification than is being white working class with no degree (despite the secret view of the Remainers).
    The end result is immaterial to me. If someone chooses to be lazy that is their choice, we have seen young people can and do turnout when they want to, and they used to, so the method of voting is demonstrably not the problem. It's people not wanting to vote. That's what needs addressing, making young people want to vote. Corbyn may well show that can be addressed.
    If the publishing industry sells fewer books, publishers would be laughed out of town if they suggested making buying books compulsory. They would rightly be told to make the product more attractive.
    Voting isn't buying.
    No. No one would pay money for the shit product on offer.
    Abstentions are submission to the will of others. They get to choose.
    Going through my choices:

    1) Conservatives - no, can't vote for car crash Brexit, the most damaging decision of my lifetime.

    2) Labour - no, can't vote for the dishonest and treacherous cretin.

    3) UKIP - are you kidding me?

    4) Green - no, not this time. Both irrelevant and far too sympathetic to this version of Labour (see 2 above)

    5) Lib Dems - a socially conservative, left wing economic leader is my polar opposite. And their policy on Brexit is stupid. They're irrelevant anyway.

    If that's the choice I'm offered, others can get to choose. They're all shit.
    Did you draw a cock and balls?
  • Options
    MarkSeniorMarkSenior Posts: 4,699

    Charles said:

    kle4 said:

    Charles said:

    My vote-swap vote is being cast in Twickenham CON-LD marginal. My actual vote in Bedford CON-LAB marginal.

    What's a vote-swap vote?
    A despicable attempt to foist an MP on another constituency that they haven't voted for
    People can vote for whatever reason they choose, and many of them will be stupid. Convinced by a PEB? Very stupid to be swayed by a 3 minute propaganda video. Convinced by a gaffe from a senior politician? Very stupid as they're not even your MP and what about the overall message. Convinced because 30 years ago they opposed teaching of homosexuality in schools?stupid as maybe they've done a 180 and are now a fearsome equality advocate. Didn't like the candidate's accent, they're not local, didn't work a proper job, stabbed brother in the back, they support a policy you dislike (but really they don't), you misunderstand what's being offered.

    Any number of silly reasons peopke choose to vote. Doing so at behest of sone some bloke in Bedford is no different as it is still you Voting in your constituency as you Choose, so still a local voting as they decide.
    The intention is quite different: it's basically saying "My voice is more important than anyone else's"

    The rules are simple: local people should choose an MP to represent their local area.

    In this case a bloke in Bedford wants more LibDem MPs in the national parliament, He thinks that's more important than people in Twickenham getting to select a Tory MP if that's that they want to do (and vice versa for his counterpart). He is prioritizing himself above other citizens.

    @freetochoose It's legal, but subverting the very nature of our democracy. If people don't like the rules of the game they should persuade a majority to MPs to change them
    It's worse than that - there's some woman from Maidenhead who wants more Tories in Parliament. She seems to think it's more important than people in Oxford and Abingdon getting to select a Lib Dem MP if that's what they want to do. She's been sending leaflets to voters in Oxford and Abingdon telling them how to vote, and for resons very divergent to just local MP reasons.

    It's horrifying in its subversion of our democracy. She even turned up in person a few weeks back and wandered around Abingdon market trying to tell people how to vote.
    LOL
  • Options
    MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 50,125
    edited June 2017
    Cyclefree said:

    So, anyone here having doubts about a Con majority?

    Yes - me, as I said a few days ago, even before the estimable Mr Herdson's post.

    I do not like Mr Corbyn and what he stands for but there is no doubt that he has run a much more effective campaign than anyone expected. Whether it is effective in terms of winning seats / votes we shall see.

    The big disappointment for me has been the Lib Dems. What on earth happened there?
    I have been saying for ages that the Tory Remainers would not depart to Farron. The dog that did not bark this election - and was never going to. A Basenji of a strategy.

    And the timing of the election was awful for the LibDems. A leader who has not connected with the electorate, with no discernible policies other than "Stop Brexit!!!" An election in 2020 would have given them time to get some policies - and possibly a new leader.
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    AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395

    AndyJS said:

    voting where I live v v slow .about as slow as usual. I think 12 had voted by 9am.. its a tory stronghold maj 30k ish

    Not many seats have a majority that large. Must be somewhere like North East Hampshire.
    That's me. Turnout seemed just the same as always to me.
    Could the Tories go over 70% this time? Or perhaps Mrs May won't prove as popular as David Cameron in this type of seat.
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    nichomarnichomar Posts: 7,483
    Many people (may be afew?) voted last year to kick the establishment in the nuts having not apparently suffered from it might just like to have another go and take a risk free shot and it'll wipe the smirk off their faces. Now who are they going to vote for when they find the nice mr farage isnt standing? Well I doubt it will be for May.
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    AlastairMeeksAlastairMeeks Posts: 30,340


    Did you draw a cock and balls?

    No, a line through all the boxes and I wrote "ABSTAIN IN PERSON" in a box on the rest of the ballot paper.

    I'm not going to pretend I didn't think about it.
  • Options

    Charles said:

    kle4 said:

    Charles said:

    My vote-swap vote is being cast in Twickenham CON-LD marginal. My actual vote in Bedford CON-LAB marginal.

    What's a vote-swap vote?
    A despicable attempt to foist an MP on another constituency that they haven't voted for
    People can vote for whatever reason they choose, and many of them will be stupid. Convinced by a PEB? Very stupid to be swayed by a 3 minute propaganda video. Convinced by a gaffe from a senior politician? Very stupid as they're not even your MP and what about the overall message. Convinced because 30 years ago they opposed teaching of homosexuality in schools?stupid as maybe they've done a 180 and are now a fearsome equality advocate. Didn't like the candidate's accent, they're not local, didn't work a proper job, stabbed brother in the back, they support a policy you dislike (but really they don't), you misunderstand what's being offered.

    Any number of silly reasons peopke choose to vote. Doing so at behest of sone some bloke in Bedford is no different as it is still you Voting in your constituency as you Choose, so still a local voting as they decide.
    The intention is quite different: it's basically saying "My voice is more important than anyone else's"

    The rules are simple: local people should choose an MP to represent their local area.

    In this case a bloke in Bedford wants more LibDem MPs in the national parliament, He thinks that's more important than people in Twickenham getting to select a Tory MP if that's that they want to do (and vice versa for his counterpart). He is prioritizing himself above other citizens.

    @freetochoose It's legal, but subverting the very nature of our democracy. If people don't like the rules of the game they should persuade a majority to MPs to change them
    It's worse than that - there's some woman from Maidenhead who wants more Tories in Parliament. She seems to think it's more important than people in Oxford and Abingdon getting to select a Lib Dem MP if that's what they want to do. She's been sending leaflets to voters in Oxford and Abingdon telling them how to vote, and for resons very divergent to just local MP reasons.

    It's horrifying in its subversion of our democracy. She even turned up in person a few weeks back and wandered around Abingdon market trying to tell people how to vote.
    LOL
    The OxWAb market place visit went well for her, as I recall.
  • Options
    isamisam Posts: 40,930

    104 years ago to the day, Emily Davison died after throwing herself under the King's horse at Epsom Derby.

    27 years ago today Claudio Caniggia almost died after Benjamin Massing flattened him in the opening match of Italia 90
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    calumcalum Posts: 3,046
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    freetochoosefreetochoose Posts: 1,107

    I voted tactically at this election.

    I vote swapped with someone in a Lab/Con marginal, so my vote is being used to maximise the chances of a Tory gain.

    I simply could not vote to endorse the hard Brexit, Milibandesque policies of Mrs May.

    Nor did I want anything that would make Nick Timothy that his campaign was a success.

    Plus whilst Labour are led by Corbyn, we need strong opposition forces, and Nick Clegg would do that.

    Had I lived in Don Valley or any other marginal Con/Lab seat with another decent Tory I would have voted Tory.

    Are you a Conservative Party member?
    Yes for over 20 years.

    Not really an issue in Hallam, I know several Tory members who voted tactically for Clegg in 2015.
    A bit odd that you support them financially but vote against them.
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    DecrepitJohnLDecrepitJohnL Posts: 13,300

    Charles said:

    kle4 said:

    Charles said:

    My vote-swap vote is being cast in Twickenham CON-LD marginal. My actual vote in Bedford CON-LAB marginal.

    What's a vote-swap vote?
    A despicable attempt to foist an MP on another constituency that they haven't voted for
    People can vote for whatever reason they choose, and many of them will be stupid. Convinced by a PEB? Very stupid to be swayed by a 3 minute propaganda video. Convinced by a gaffe from a senior politician? Very stupid as they're not even your MP and what about the overall message. Convinced because 30 years ago they opposed teaching of homosexuality in schools?stupid as maybe they've done a 180 and are now a fearsome equality advocate. Didn't like the candidate's accent, they're not local, didn't work a proper job, stabbed brother in the back, they support a policy you dislike (but really they don't), you misunderstand what's being offered.

    Any number of silly reasons peopke choose to vote. Doing so at behest of sone some bloke in Bedford is no different as it is still you Voting in your constituency as you Choose, so still a local voting as they decide.
    The intention is quite different: it's basically saying "My voice is more important than anyone else's"

    The rules are simple: local people should choose an MP to represent their local area.

    In this case a bloke in Bedford wants more LibDem MPs in the national parliament, He thinks that's more important than people in Twickenham getting to select a Tory MP if that's that they want to do (and vice versa for his counterpart). He is prioritizing himself above other citizens.

    @freetochoose It's legal, but subverting the very nature of our democracy. If people don't like the rules of the game they should persuade a majority to MPs to change them
    It's worse than that - there's some woman from Maidenhead who wants more Tories in Parliament. She seems to think it's more important than people in Oxford and Abingdon getting to select a Lib Dem MP if that's what they want to do. She's been sending leaflets to voters in Oxford and Abingdon telling them how to vote, and for resons very divergent to just local MP reasons.

    It's horrifying in its subversion of our democracy. She even turned up in person a few weeks back and wandered around Abingdon market trying to tell people how to vote.
    To be fair to the woman from Maidenhead, she's mainly been telling Tory activists how to vote.
  • Options
    MonikerDiCanioMonikerDiCanio Posts: 5,792
    Alistair said:

    I'm abstaining, I refuse to endorse any of the candidates.

    They're all inadequate but it's your democratic duty to choose the least inadequate. You've let yourself and democracy down.
    I think you'll find they are free to choose.
    He didn't choose. He sat on his arse.
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    Beverley_CBeverley_C Posts: 6,256
    It is going to be an interesting evening. My bottle of wine is chilling and the munchies are at the ready.

    I must remember to pop over to the Polling Station.
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    TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 114,444


    Did you draw a cock and balls?

    No, a line through all the boxes and I wrote "ABSTAIN IN PERSON" in a box on the rest of the ballot paper.

    I'm not going to pretend I didn't think about it.
    I had you down as someone who would have gone for Vi Coactus or V.C. instead.
  • Options
    MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 50,125

    Charles said:

    kle4 said:

    Charles said:

    My vote-swap vote is being cast in Twickenham CON-LD marginal. My actual vote in Bedford CON-LAB marginal.

    What's a vote-swap vote?
    A despicable attempt to foist an MP on another constituency that they haven't voted for
    People can vote for whatever reason they choose, and many of them will be stupid. Convinced by a PEB? Very stupid to be swayed by a 3 minute propaganda video. Convinced by a gaffe from a senior politician? Very stupid as they're not even your MP and what about the overall message. Convinced because 30 years ago they opposed teaching of homosexuality in schools?stupid as maybe they've done a 180 and are now a fearsome equality advocate. Didn't like the candidate's accent, they're not local, didn't work a proper job, stabbed brother in the back, they support a policy you dislike (but really they don't), you misunderstand what's being offered.

    Any number of silly reasons peopke choose to vote. Doing so at behest of sone some bloke in Bedford is no different as it is still you Voting in your constituency as you Choose, so still a local voting as they decide.
    The intention is quite different: it's basically saying "My voice is more important than anyone else's"

    The rules are simple: local people should choose an MP to represent their local area.

    In this case a bloke in Bedford wants more LibDem MPs in the national parliament, He thinks that's more important than people in Twickenham getting to select a Tory MP if that's that they want to do (and vice versa for his counterpart). He is prioritizing himself above other citizens.

    @freetochoose It's legal, but subverting the very nature of our democracy. If people don't like the rules of the game they should persuade a majority to MPs to change them
    It's worse than that - there's some woman from Maidenhead who wants more Tories in Parliament. She seems to think it's more important than people in Oxford and Abingdon getting to select a Lib Dem MP if that's what they want to do. She's been sending leaflets to voters in Oxford and Abingdon telling them how to vote, and for resons very divergent to just local MP reasons.

    It's horrifying in its subversion of our democracy. She even turned up in person a few weeks back and wandered around Abingdon market trying to tell people how to vote.
    Fear not - she has a nemesis. A bald man who keeps in the shadows, but who also sends out leaflets to voters, gently steering people where to vote tactically (so that his bets might come in, suggest some less than generous souls....)
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    Mrs Fleet is hoping for a less eventful day in the polling station than at the locals, when a voter in a mobility scooter ran amok after pressing the joystick in the wrong direction and pinned the table, polling equipment, Presiding officer and Polling clerks to the wall.
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    AlastairMeeksAlastairMeeks Posts: 30,340


    Did you draw a cock and balls?

    No, a line through all the boxes and I wrote "ABSTAIN IN PERSON" in a box on the rest of the ballot paper.

    I'm not going to pretend I didn't think about it.
    I had you down as someone who would have gone for Vi Coactus or V.C. instead.
    That sounds like the name of a Green candidate.
  • Options
    freetochoosefreetochoose Posts: 1,107
    Chris said:

    Chris said:

    Cyclefree said:


    The big disappointment for me has been the Lib Dems. What on earth happened there?

    Tim Farron. Who'd have thought he would be quite so bad?
    Just about everybody
    I've never been particularly impressed by him, but I had expected him to be more effective than he has been. He seemed to have positioned himself very shrewdly during the Clegg years, as the natural successor when it all went wrong. But the floundering over the religious questions - which were bound to arise, as they had two years ago - and that terrible interview with Andrew Neil make him seem absolutely clueless.
    It's like Nuttall, I like him and his interview with Neil was very good, but all the wider electorate hear about is Hillsborough etc. Farron wants to reverse the result of a referendum, the general public doesn't like that sort of thing.
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    AlistairAlistair Posts: 23,670

    Alistair said:

    I'm abstaining, I refuse to endorse any of the candidates.

    They're all inadequate but it's your democratic duty to choose the least inadequate. You've let yourself and democracy down.
    I think you'll find they are free to choose.
    He didn't choose. He sat on his arse.
    I was doing a joke.
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    kle4kle4 Posts: 91,750

    Charles said:

    kle4 said:

    Charles said:

    My vote-swap vote is being cast in Twickenham CON-LD marginal. My actual vote in Bedford CON-LAB marginal.

    What's a vote-swap vote?
    A despicable attempt to foist an MP on another constituency that they haven't voted for
    People can vote for whatever reason they choose, and many of them will be stupid. Convinced by a PEB? Very stupid to be swayed by a 3 minute propaganda video. Convinced by a gaffe from a senior politician? Very stupid as they're not even your MP and what about the overall message. Convinced because 30 years ago they opposed teaching of homosexuality in schools?stupid as maybe they've done a 180 and are now a fearsome equality advocate. Didn't like the candidate's accent, they're not local, didn't work a proper job, stabbed brother in the back, they support a policy you dislike (but really they don't), you misunderstand what's being offered.

    Any number of silly reasons peopke choose to vote. Doing so at behest of sone some bloke in Bedford is no different as it is still you Voting in your constituency as you Choose, so still a local voting as they decide.
    The intention is quite different: it's basically saying "My voice is more important than anyone else's"

    The rules are simple: local people should choose an MP to represent their local area.

    In this case a bloke in Bedford wants more LibDem MPs in the national parliament, He thinks that's more important than people in Twickenham getting to select a Tory MP if that's that they want to do (and vice versa for his counterpart). He is prioritizing himself above other citizens.

    @freetochoose It's legal, but subverting the very nature of our democracy. If people don't like the rules of the game they should persuade a majority to MPs to change them
    It's worse than that - there's some woman from Maidenhead who wants more Tories in Parliament. She seems to think it's more important than people in Oxford and Abingdon getting to select a Lib Dem MP if that's what they want to do. She's been sending leaflets to voters in Oxford and Abingdon telling them how to vote, and for resons very divergent to just local MP reasons.

    It's horrifying in its subversion of our democracy. She even turned up in person a few weeks back and wandered around Abingdon market trying to tell people how to vote.
    LOL
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    Second email this morning from Nicola just now asking for GOTV help in OxWAb.... ominous for the blues I'd have thought.
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    kle4kle4 Posts: 91,750

    I voted tactically at this election.

    I vote swapped with someone in a Lab/Con marginal, so my vote is being used to maximise the chances of a Tory gain.

    I simply could not vote to endorse the hard Brexit, Milibandesque policies of Mrs May.

    Nor did I want anything that would make Nick Timothy that his campaign was a success.

    Plus whilst Labour are led by Corbyn, we need strong opposition forces, and Nick Clegg would do that.

    Had I lived in Don Valley or any other marginal Con/Lab seat with another decent Tory I would have voted Tory.

    Are you a Conservative Party member?
    Yes for over 20 years.

    Not really an issue in Hallam, I know several Tory members who voted tactically for Clegg in 2015.
    The Mail has advised them to do so again, and with 4 other LD seats/targets. I think it would be hilarious if all five return LDs.
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    NorthofStokeNorthofStoke Posts: 1,758
    The LD campaign suffered partly from the leader's shortcomings but the fundamental problem was terrible stategic decisions. The Brexit line and emphasis is one. The biggest mistake was not to go all guns blazing after Corbyn and by implilication be the sensible non-Tory option. I think they will pick up some last minute crosses from anti-Corbyn centre left voters who can't bring themselves to vote Tory.
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    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 75,929


    Did you draw a cock and balls?

    No, a line through all the boxes and I wrote "ABSTAIN IN PERSON" in a box on the rest of the ballot paper.

    I'm not going to pretend I didn't think about it.
    I had you down as someone who would have gone for Vi Coactus or V.C. instead.
    :)
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    madasafishmadasafish Posts: 659
    nunu said:

    welshowl said:

    Polling station Cardiff 9.45

    Queue: none
    Voters: one (me)
    Weather: raining stairods.

    cardiff central?
    Polling Station Staffordshire Moorlands
    Weather: overcast and damp.
    Voters: eight arrive with my wife and myself, another six or so leave as we walk up the path, and another four pass us on the way out of the station ...
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    Blue_rogBlue_rog Posts: 2,019
    I don't agree with vote swapping. Effectively it means that you have feelings and beliefs in a party but are willing to traduced them by voting for another party in the hope that a stranger will do the same. So you're expecting two traitors to act honourably-weird.

    Dante had a large circle especially reserved for traitors.
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    Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 55,335


    Did you draw a cock and balls?

    No, a line through all the boxes and I wrote "ABSTAIN IN PERSON" in a box on the rest of the ballot paper.

    I'm not going to pretend I didn't think about it.
    Fair enough!
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    FloaterFloater Posts: 14,195
    voted and gone home for a cuppa before trying trains again

    saw this

    https://order-order.com/2017/06/08/100-times-jeremy-corbyn-sided-terrorists/

    Seriously, Labour leaners, you are happy to support this vile excuse of a human being?
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    Andy_CookeAndy_Cooke Posts: 4,818

    Charles said:

    kle4 said:

    Charles said:

    My vote-swap vote is being cast in Twickenham CON-LD marginal. My actual vote in Bedford CON-LAB marginal.

    What's a vote-swap vote?
    A despicable attempt to foist an MP on another constituency that they haven't voted for
    People can vote for whatever reason they choose, and many of them will be stupid. Convinced by a PEB? Very stupid to be swayed by a 3 minute propaganda video. Convinced by a gaffe from a senior politician? Very stupid as they're not even your MP and what about the overall message. Convinced because 30 years ago they opposed teaching of homosexuality in schools?stupid as maybe they've done a 180 and are now a fearsome equality advocate. Didn't like the candidate's accent, they're not local, didn't work a proper job, stabbed brother in the back, they support a policy you dislike (but really they don't), you misunderstand what's being offered.

    Any number of silly reasons peopke choose to vote. Doing so at behest of sone some bloke in Bedford is no different as it is still you Voting in your constituency as you Choose, so still a local voting as they decide.
    The intention is quite different: it's basically saying "My voice is more important than anyone else's"

    The rules are simple: local people should choose an MP to represent their local area.

    In this case a bloke in Bedford wants more LibDem MPs in the national parliament, He thinks that's more important than people in Twickenham getting to select a Tory MP if that's that they want to do (and vice versa for his counterpart). He is prioritizing himself above other citizens.

    @freetochoose It's legal, but subverting the very nature of our democracy. If people don't like the rules of the game they should persuade a majority to MPs to change them
    It's worse than that - there's some woman from Maidenhead who wants more Tories in Parliament. She seems to think it's more important than people in Oxford and Abingdon getting to select a Lib Dem MP if that's what they want to do. She's been sending leaflets to voters in Oxford and Abingdon telling them how to vote, and for resons very divergent to just local MP reasons.

    It's horrifying in its subversion of our democracy. She even turned up in person a few weeks back and wandered around Abingdon market trying to tell people how to vote.
    LOL
    The OxWAb market place visit went well for her, as I recall.
    One of our locals gave her a piece of her mind on TV, yes.
    The Maidenhead woman hasn't been back since.
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    nigel4englandnigel4england Posts: 4,800

    It is going to be an interesting evening. My bottle of wine is chilling and the munchies are at the ready.

    I must remember to pop over to the Polling Station.

    My missus is going out for a meal with a couple of her mates this evening, so I will order a curry from my favourite Indian Restautant (Maliks in Gerrards Cross), have a couple of beers before starting on the red wine.
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    TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 114,444
    kle4 said:

    I voted tactically at this election.

    I vote swapped with someone in a Lab/Con marginal, so my vote is being used to maximise the chances of a Tory gain.

    I simply could not vote to endorse the hard Brexit, Milibandesque policies of Mrs May.

    Nor did I want anything that would make Nick Timothy that his campaign was a success.

    Plus whilst Labour are led by Corbyn, we need strong opposition forces, and Nick Clegg would do that.

    Had I lived in Don Valley or any other marginal Con/Lab seat with another decent Tory I would have voted Tory.

    Are you a Conservative Party member?
    Yes for over 20 years.

    Not really an issue in Hallam, I know several Tory members who voted tactically for Clegg in 2015.
    The Mail has advised them to do so again, and with 4 other LD seats/targets. I think it would be hilarious if all five return LDs.
    Have they? That's awesome.

    See, I voted the way The Daily Mail wanted Tories to do so.
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    MonikerDiCanioMonikerDiCanio Posts: 5,792
    Alistair said:

    Alistair said:

    I'm abstaining, I refuse to endorse any of the candidates.

    They're all inadequate but it's your democratic duty to choose the least inadequate. You've let yourself and democracy down.
    I think you'll find they are free to choose.
    He didn't choose. He sat on his arse.
    I was doing a joke.
    You were trying to make a joke. I've never heard of anyone doing a joke.
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    ChameleonChameleon Posts: 3,886
    edited June 2017

    Second email this morning from Nicola just now asking for GOTV help in OxWAb.... ominous for the blues I'd have thought.

    Same, just driven through Abingdon, turnout is looking relatively high judging by people walking in/out. The town itself should go heavily LD based on the council elections.
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    kle4kle4 Posts: 91,750

    I voted tactically at this election.

    I vote swapped with someone in a Lab/Con marginal, so my vote is being used to maximise the chances of a Tory gain.

    I simply could not vote to endorse the hard Brexit, Milibandesque policies of Mrs May.

    Nor did I want anything that would make Nick Timothy that his campaign was a success.

    Plus whilst Labour are led by Corbyn, we need strong opposition forces, and Nick Clegg would do that.

    Had I lived in Don Valley or any other marginal Con/Lab seat with another decent Tory I would have voted Tory.

    Are you a Conservative Party member?
    Yes for over 20 years.

    Not really an issue in Hallam, I know several Tory members who voted tactically for Clegg in 2015.
    A bit odd that you support them financially but vote against them.
    Via his vote swap he secured a better chance of a Tory gain than voting Tory in Hallam will!
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    Beverley_CBeverley_C Posts: 6,256


    Did you draw a cock and balls?

    No, a line through all the boxes and I wrote "ABSTAIN IN PERSON" in a box on the rest of the ballot paper.

    I'm not going to pretend I didn't think about it.
    I feel like doing the same, especially as here they do not need to count the Tory vote - just measure the thickness of the pile with a ruler marked in feet usually does the trick :)
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    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 75,929
    Blue_rog said:

    I don't agree with vote swapping. Effectively it means that you have feelings and beliefs in a party but are willing to traduced them by voting for another party in the hope that a stranger will do the same. So you're expecting two traitors to act honourably-weird.

    Dante had a large circle especially reserved for traitors.

    Sometimes you have to channel your inner Peter Mandelson though.
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    DearPBDearPB Posts: 439

    Second email this morning from Nicola just now asking for GOTV help in OxWAb.... ominous for the blues I'd have thought.

    They'll be pre-scheduled emails; I've been asked to help GOTV in a seat with a 30K Tory majority. Tory activity online and by email shouldn't be seen as worry - it should be seen as effective e-marketing.
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    TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 114,444
    edited June 2017


    Did you draw a cock and balls?

    No, a line through all the boxes and I wrote "ABSTAIN IN PERSON" in a box on the rest of the ballot paper.

    I'm not going to pretend I didn't think about it.
    I had you down as someone who would have gone for Vi Coactus or V.C. instead.
    That sounds like the name of a Green candidate.
    It does.

    Just remembered Vi Coactus is a very Kipperish thing to do, ugh.

    https://inews.co.uk/essentials/news/politics/resignation-reluctant-ukip-leader-diane-james-paves-way-new-ballot-fresh-infighting/
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    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 75,929
    kle4 said:

    I voted tactically at this election.

    I vote swapped with someone in a Lab/Con marginal, so my vote is being used to maximise the chances of a Tory gain.

    I simply could not vote to endorse the hard Brexit, Milibandesque policies of Mrs May.

    Nor did I want anything that would make Nick Timothy that his campaign was a success.

    Plus whilst Labour are led by Corbyn, we need strong opposition forces, and Nick Clegg would do that.

    Had I lived in Don Valley or any other marginal Con/Lab seat with another decent Tory I would have voted Tory.

    Are you a Conservative Party member?
    Yes for over 20 years.

    Not really an issue in Hallam, I know several Tory members who voted tactically for Clegg in 2015.
    A bit odd that you support them financially but vote against them.
    Via his vote swap he secured a better chance of a Tory gain than voting Tory in Hallam will!
    I think I've improved Clegg's chances - Britain Elect has the seat going Labour.
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    ChrisChris Posts: 11,124

    Charles said:

    kle4 said:

    Charles said:

    My vote-swap vote is being cast in Twickenham CON-LD marginal. My actual vote in Bedford CON-LAB marginal.

    What's a vote-swap vote?
    A despicable attempt to foist an MP on another constituency that they haven't voted for
    People can vote for whatever reason they choose, and many of them will be stupid. Convinced by a PEB? Very stupid to be swayed by a 3 minute propaganda video. Convinced by a gaffe from a senior politician? Very stupid as they're not even your MP and what about the overall message. Convinced because 30 years ago they opposed teaching of homosexuality in schools?stupid as maybe they've done a 180 and are now a fearsome equality advocate. Didn't like the candidate's accent, they're not local, didn't work a proper job, stabbed brother in the back, they support a policy you dislike (but really they don't), you misunderstand what's being offered.

    Any number of silly reasons peopke choose to vote. Doing so at behest of sone some bloke in Bedford is no different as it is still you Voting in your constituency as you Choose, so still a local voting as they decide.
    The intention is quite different: it's basically saying "My voice is more important than anyone else's"

    The rules are simple: local people should choose an MP to represent their local area.

    In this case a bloke in Bedford wants more LibDem MPs in the national parliament, He thinks that's more important than people in Twickenham getting to select a Tory MP if that's that they want to do (and vice versa for his counterpart). He is prioritizing himself above other citizens.

    @freetochoose It's legal, but subverting the very nature of our democracy. If people don't like the rules of the game they should persuade a majority to MPs to change them
    It's worse than that - there's some woman from Maidenhead who wants more Tories in Parliament. She seems to think it's more important than people in Oxford and Abingdon getting to select a Lib Dem MP if that's what they want to do. She's been sending leaflets to voters in Oxford and Abingdon telling them how to vote, and for resons very divergent to just local MP reasons.

    It's horrifying in its subversion of our democracy. She even turned up in person a few weeks back and wandered around Abingdon market trying to tell people how to vote.
    Fear not - she has a nemesis. A bald man who keeps in the shadows ...
    Doctor Evil?
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    FloaterFloater Posts: 14,195
    A prediction from a tory blog

    http://www.conservativewoman.co.uk/cerberuss-election-prediction-overall-conservative-majority-76/

    Seems high on SNP turnips - I mean seats
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    kle4kle4 Posts: 91,750
    Pulpstar said:

    kle4 said:

    I voted tactically at this election.

    I vote swapped with someone in a Lab/Con marginal, so my vote is being used to maximise the chances of a Tory gain.

    I simply could not vote to endorse the hard Brexit, Milibandesque policies of Mrs May.

    Nor did I want anything that would make Nick Timothy that his campaign was a success.

    Plus whilst Labour are led by Corbyn, we need strong opposition forces, and Nick Clegg would do that.

    Had I lived in Don Valley or any other marginal Con/Lab seat with another decent Tory I would have voted Tory.

    Are you a Conservative Party member?
    Yes for over 20 years.

    Not really an issue in Hallam, I know several Tory members who voted tactically for Clegg in 2015.
    A bit odd that you support them financially but vote against them.
    Via his vote swap he secured a better chance of a Tory gain than voting Tory in Hallam will!
    I think I've improved Clegg's chances - Britain Elect has the seat going Labour.
    I like Clegg, I hope he survives.
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    glwglw Posts: 9,549
    Floater said:

    voted and gone home for a cuppa before trying trains again

    saw this

    https://order-order.com/2017/06/08/100-times-jeremy-corbyn-sided-terrorists/

    Seriously, Labour leaners, you are happy to support this vile excuse of a human being?

    The good thing is that in the future when some tedious leftie starts banging on about some trivial thing someone on the right has said, we will be able to throw Corbyn the terrorist sympathiser back in their face.
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    Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    calum said:
    Morning Calum

    I gather you are feeling confident about our bet then?

    But I am in a generous mood. You can cash out for £30 any time before the polls close if you want :smile:
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    williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 48,067
    Pulpstar said:

    Blue_rog said:

    I don't agree with vote swapping. Effectively it means that you have feelings and beliefs in a party but are willing to traduced them by voting for another party in the hope that a stranger will do the same. So you're expecting two traitors to act honourably-weird.

    Dante had a large circle especially reserved for traitors.

    Sometimes you have to channel your inner Peter Mandelson though.
    Is that a coalition of chaos in your avatar? That woman from Maidenhead was warning about that sort of thing.
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    ChameleonChameleon Posts: 3,886
    Pulpstar said:

    kle4 said:

    I voted tactically at this election.

    I vote swapped with someone in a Lab/Con marginal, so my vote is being used to maximise the chances of a Tory gain.

    I simply could not vote to endorse the hard Brexit, Milibandesque policies of Mrs May.

    Nor did I want anything that would make Nick Timothy that his campaign was a success.

    Plus whilst Labour are led by Corbyn, we need strong opposition forces, and Nick Clegg would do that.

    Had I lived in Don Valley or any other marginal Con/Lab seat with another decent Tory I would have voted Tory.

    Are you a Conservative Party member?
    Yes for over 20 years.

    Not really an issue in Hallam, I know several Tory members who voted tactically for Clegg in 2015.
    A bit odd that you support them financially but vote against them.
    Via his vote swap he secured a better chance of a Tory gain than voting Tory in Hallam will!
    I think I've improved Clegg's chances - Britain Elect has the seat going Labour.
    It would be a massive shame if Clegg lost his seat.
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    Blue_rogBlue_rog Posts: 2,019
    edited June 2017
    Pulpstar said:

    Blue_rog said:

    I don't agree with vote swapping. Effectively it means that you have feelings and beliefs in a party but are willing to traduced them by voting for another party in the hope that a stranger will do the same. So you're expecting two traitors to act honourably-weird.

    Dante had a large circle especially reserved for traitors.

    Sometimes you have to channel your inner Peter Mandelson though.
    If people are so concerned they can move to a marginal constituency. It seems a bit rich living in a pleasant part of the world in a safe seat but wanting someone in a less fortunate part of the world to vote against their beliefs. Not everyone regards a GE as a game. It decides the direction of the country for the next 5 years
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    I don’t currently bet and I’m not nearly as interested in the details of politics as many of the people on this site. Nonetheless, I occasionally visit because comments here are often more astute than most paid media political columnists can manage. Also funnier.

    So I’ve been surprised that, as far as I can see, no one has spelled out in so many words what Corbyn’s Labour may really be about (if someone has already done this and I’ve missed it, I apologise). It seems obvious that Labour’s manifesto can never be put into practice and that it was never intended that it would be. Should Labour come to government, it’s inevitable that there’ll be an immediate and acute financial crisis, followed soon afterwards by a crippling economic crisis. Government won’t have enough money for current spending, let alone the extravagant promises in Labour’s manifesto. Despite this, the media (and the Conservatives) has discussed the proposals as though they were plausible...

    “So Mr Corbyn, you plan to build a star-ship and fly to Alpha Centauri in 20 minutes. How will you get there so quickly?” “Oh, we’ll bend space and time using black holes, dark energy and warp drives, sort out those pesky time-travel paradoxes and for the first time provide faster-than-light travel for the proletariat”. “Well Mr Corbyn, I’m sure that’s all very well – quite beyond me - but I really must press you on the important question to which people want answers... will we get sandwiches?” (I imagine John Humphrys as the interviewer but it could be almost any one of them).

    Which brings up the obvious question – the Mrs Merton question: “So Jeremy Corbyn (admirer of Lenin and Trotsky), John McDonnell (Marxist) and Seamus Milne (Stalinist), why would you put forward a manifesto filled with bribes to get as many people as possible to vote for you which you’ll never have a chance to put into practice because you’ll have no money, the economy will be in ruins, leading to civil disorder and a state of emergency in which the government will assume draconian powers, future elections will be cancelled and opposition will be outlawed, leaving you in power indefinitely? No, no don’t tell me...I’ll get it in a minute...um...oh...ah...now I get it...damn”

    Many people will vote Labour with good intentions. But I’m struggling to find a metaphor in which someone shoots themselves and their family and friends in the head with good intentions. Corbyn et al have made clear their intentions throughout their political careers. Over the years I’ve voted Tory, Labour and none-of-the above. Usually I’ve thought it didn’t matter a great deal one way or another. This time it does. If you vote Labour and Corbyn forms a government, there’s a good chance you’ll regret it. “Maybe not today, maybe not tomorrow. But soon. And for the rest of your life”.
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    TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 114,444
    Scott_P said:
    A bit like the time I created the constituency of Rochester and Stroud (thanks to an auto-correct)
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    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 75,929
    Blue_rog said:

    It decides the direction of the country for the next 5 years

    Of course it does, that is why I'm doing what I'm doing - there is no way on God's green earth Corbyn is getting in on my watch. No chance, no chance at all.
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    TheuniondivvieTheuniondivvie Posts: 40,109
    edited June 2017

    104 years ago to the day, Emily Davison died after throwing herself under the King's horse at Epsom Derby.

    Let's hope no one chucks themself under a horse at Sandown this evening due to the paucity of talent & principle for which they can vote.
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    nichomarnichomar Posts: 7,483
    Lib Dems avoid oblivion "it was themail that did it" the next headline
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    Blue_rogBlue_rog Posts: 2,019
    @Cassandra2017

    Welcome and a very good first post
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    MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 50,125
    DearPB said:

    Second email this morning from Nicola just now asking for GOTV help in OxWAb.... ominous for the blues I'd have thought.

    They'll be pre-scheduled emails; I've been asked to help GOTV in a seat with a 30K Tory majority. Tory activity online and by email shouldn't be seen as worry - it should be seen as effective e-marketing.
    Dr Sarah Wollaston has been doing the same in the last couple of days with her (last time) 18k majority.....over UKIP. Just good organisation.
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    AlastairMeeksAlastairMeeks Posts: 30,340
    https://twitter.com/simonjhix/status/872724388768092160

    Only two forecasts have the Lib Dems in double figures. Meanwhile, you can still back them for 3.2 under 10 seats on Betfair.
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    FloaterFloater Posts: 14,195
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    jonny83jonny83 Posts: 1,261
    Morning all, any signs of this youth tsunami yet for those that have voted this morning? I guess it is still pretty early so they could still be in bed.
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    FloaterFloater Posts: 14,195
    jonny83 said:

    Morning all, any signs of this youth tsunami yet for those that have voted this morning? I guess it is still pretty early so they could still be in bed.

    My 2 lads who still live at home are not bothering

    Even the one who hates Corbyn
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    TheuniondivvieTheuniondivvie Posts: 40,109
    https://twitter.com/RuthDavidsonMSP/status/872571726613405696

    'Smash tomorrow'? At last, an honest Tory.

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    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 75,929
    Floater said:
    I think that piece is spot on.
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    I am pleased to report that my contact in a polling station in a tiny, hugely exclusive rural hamlet just outside Faringdon in Oxfordshire tells us that around 20% of his electors have already voted, mostly utilising zimmer frames, and there is nary a corbynista to be seen. Also some sparrows are behaving in a lewd fashion in the village hall bird bath and a B1 bomber just flew overhead on the way to Fairford. Hope this helps.
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    brokenwheelbrokenwheel Posts: 3,352
    edited June 2017
    jonny83 said:

    Morning all, any signs of this youth tsunami yet for those that have voted this morning? I guess it is still pretty early so they could still be in bed.

    I suspect you'd only see signs at lunch/in the evening.

    Steady to brisk at my polling station it appears, only the oldies though. I'll be voting later.
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    Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 49,311

    https://twitter.com/simonjhix/status/872724388768092160

    Only two forecasts have the Lib Dems in double figures. Meanwhile, you can still back them for 3.2 under 10 seats on Betfair.

    YG sticking out like a sore ELBOW :lol:
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    MonikerDiCanioMonikerDiCanio Posts: 5,792

    104 years ago to the day, Emily Davison died after throwing herself under the King's horse at Epsom Derby.

    The poor traumatized jockey later committed suicide.
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    dyedwooliedyedwoolie Posts: 7,786
    Anecdote time. My parents have had 5 pieces of communication from the blues, they are in the suburban bit of Norwich South. Also had a visit from the Tory candidate who they say is a lovely woman who reported vandalism to her placards etc.
    Consequently I am of the impression there is a much much stronger shy Tory vote than I had assumed. The antagonistic approach from momentumers is driving, I think, numbers quietly for blue.
    Not me, I might add. I'm immune to such things ;)
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    MarkSeniorMarkSenior Posts: 4,699

    https://twitter.com/simonjhix/status/872724388768092160

    Only two forecasts have the Lib Dems in double figures. Meanwhile, you can still back them for 3.2 under 10 seats on Betfair.

    Think Yougov have still to update their forecast with yesterday's polls
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    volcanopetevolcanopete Posts: 2,078
    The Green party is optimistic of a gain in the Isle of Wight having mobilized the anti-Tory vote.Both Tory MP and Tory party highly unpopular.16-1 best priced Bet365.12-1 WH.Andrew Turner would be an excellent Tory scalp.
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    AlastairMeeksAlastairMeeks Posts: 30,340
    Pulpstar said:

    Floater said:
    I think that piece is spot on.
    In rushing from Scylla, he doesn't notice Charybdis.
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    RobinWiggsRobinWiggs Posts: 621
    Did the pirate thing and marked the spot with an X.

    "Turnout up on normal for this time of day" in the Llanfynydd ward of Alyn & Deeside constituency.

    I saw no yoof though.
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    RobinWiggsRobinWiggs Posts: 621
    Did the pirate thing and marked the spot with an X.

    "Turnout up on normal for this time of day" in the Llanfynydd ward of Alyn & Deeside constituency.

    I saw no yoof though.
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    https://twitter.com/simonjhix/status/872724388768092160

    Only two forecasts have the Lib Dems in double figures. Meanwhile, you can still back them for 3.2 under 10 seats on Betfair.

    I'd like some of what Iain Dale and Election Data are on.
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    104 years ago to the day, Emily Davison died after throwing herself under the King's horse at Epsom Derby.

    Let's hope no one chucks themself under a horse at Sandown this evening due to the paucity of talent & principle for which they can vote.
    I very much hope they don't too.

    But should anyone be thinking of it, heaven forbid, would you mind doing so under Splash Around in the 6.30? It's just that I have a tenner on Utopian Dream, and it would do me a tremendous favour. Thanks.
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    Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 55,335

    I don’t currently bet and I’m not nearly as interested in the details of politics as many of the people on this site. Nonetheless, I occasionally visit because comments here are often more astute than most paid media political columnists can manage. Also funnier.

    So I’ve been surprised that, as far as I can see, no one has spelled out in so many words what Corbyn’s Labour may really be about (if someone has already done this and I’ve missed it, I apologise). It seems obvious that Labour’s manifesto can never be put into practice and that it was never intended that it would be. Should Labour come to government, it’s inevitable that there’ll be an immediate and acute financial crisis, followed soon afterwards by a crippling economic crisis. Government won’t have enough money for current spending, let alone the extravagant promises in Labour’s manifesto. Despite this, the media (and the Conservatives) has discussed the proposals as though they were plausible...

    “So Mr Corbyn, you plan to build a star-ship and fly to Alpha Centauri in 20 minutes. How will you get there so quickly?” “Oh, we’ll bend space and time using black holes, dark energy and warp drives, sort out those pesky time-travel paradoxes and for the first time provide faster-than-light travel for the proletariat”. “Well Mr Corbyn, I’m sure that’s all very well – quite beyond me - but I really must press you on the important question to which people want answers... will we get sandwiches?” (I imagine John Humphrys as the interviewer but it could be almost any one of them).

    Which brings up the obvious question – the Mrs Merton question: “So Jeremy Corbyn (admirer of Lenin and Trotsky), John McDonnell (Marxist) and Seamus Milne (Stalinist), why would you put forward a manifesto filled with bribes to get as many people as possible to vote for you which you’ll never have a chance to put into practice because you’ll have no money, the economy will be in ruins, leading to civil disorder and a state of emergency in which the government will assume draconian powers, future elections will be cancelled and opposition will be outlawed, leaving you in power indefinitely? No, no don’t tell me...I’ll get it in a minute...um...oh...ah...now I get it...damn”

    Many people will vote Labour with good intentions. But I’m struggling to find a metaphor in which someone shoots themselves and their family and friends in the head with good intentions. Corbyn et al have made clear their intentions throughout their political careers. Over the years I’ve voted Tory, Labour and none-of-the above. Usually I’ve thought it didn’t matter a great deal one way or another. This time it does. If you vote Labour and Corbyn forms a government, there’s a good chance you’ll regret it. “Maybe not today, maybe not tomorrow. But soon. And for the rest of your life”.

    Excellent post.
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    FloaterFloater Posts: 14,195

    jonny83 said:

    Morning all, any signs of this youth tsunami yet for those that have voted this morning? I guess it is still pretty early so they could still be in bed.

    I suspect you'd only see signs at lunch/in the evening.

    Steady to brisk at my polling station it appears, only the oldies though. I'll be voting later.
    You mean those who really, really hate Corbyn
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    Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 49,311
    Ipsos MORI are to polling wot the USA were to WW1 AND WW2 :lol:
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    AlastairMeeksAlastairMeeks Posts: 30,340

    https://twitter.com/simonjhix/status/872724388768092160

    Only two forecasts have the Lib Dems in double figures. Meanwhile, you can still back them for 3.2 under 10 seats on Betfair.

    I'd like some of what Iain Dale and Election Data are on.
    My prediction is very close to Election Data's. It cheered me up no end when I saw that afterwards.
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    YorkcityYorkcity Posts: 4,382
    jonny83 said:

    Morning all, any signs of this youth tsunami yet for those that have voted this morning? I guess it is still pretty early so they could still be in bed.

    I live in York Outer a safe Conservative seat in this suburb , I have never seen a Labour poster as it always used to be Lib Dem. I think regarding the neighbours it must be their children who are now in their twenties.
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    Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 60,983
    Just voted, earlier than usual. Very few posters or suchlike on the way, far fewer than usual. Just a couple extra for Andrea Jenkyns. Polling station was busier than I've ever seen it, but the vast majority were on the elder side (out of 20, there was me and one other bloke who wouldn't qualify for a free bus pass).

    Unsure it means much, but thought I'd mention it. Higher turnout here might be due to the tightness of the seat, if turnout is actually on the up.
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    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 75,929
    edited June 2017

    The Green party is optimistic of a gain in the Isle of Wight having mobilized the anti-Tory vote.Both Tory MP and Tory party highly unpopular.16-1 best priced Bet365.12-1 WH.Andrew Turner would be an excellent Tory scalp.

    http://www.islandecho.co.uk/news/poll-puts-green-candidate-ahead-going-into-general-election

    Online newspaper poll.
    Andrew Turner isn't running anyway, Bob Seely will romp home.
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    TGOHFTGOHF Posts: 21,633
    calum said:
    I'm sure Ruth will be "devastated" if she finishes 3rd on votes but 2nd on seats..
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    BromBrom Posts: 3,760

    The Green party is optimistic of a gain in the Isle of Wight having mobilized the anti-Tory vote.Both Tory MP and Tory party highly unpopular.16-1 best priced Bet365.12-1 WH.Andrew Turner would be an excellent Tory scalp.

    Andrew Turner was ousted as Tory candidate, it was very high profile on the Island. Greens fighting for second but will be miles behind the Cons. Theresa May very popular in that neck of the woods.
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    MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 50,125

    I am pleased to report that my contact in a polling station in a tiny, hugely exclusive rural hamlet just outside Faringdon in Oxfordshire tells us that around 20% of his electors have already voted, mostly utilising zimmer frames, and there is nary a corbynista to be seen. Also some sparrows are behaving in a lewd fashion in the village hall bird bath and a B1 bomber just flew overhead on the way to Fairford. Hope this helps.

    The B1 is on standby, lest the Corbynistas venture out.
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    AlistairAlistair Posts: 23,670
    No election placards by anyone other than Tommy Sheppard by my polling place which probably shows how much effort everyone is putting in here.
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    FloaterFloater Posts: 14,195

    I am pleased to report that my contact in a polling station in a tiny, hugely exclusive rural hamlet just outside Faringdon in Oxfordshire tells us that around 20% of his electors have already voted, mostly utilising zimmer frames, and there is nary a corbynista to be seen. Also some sparrows are behaving in a lewd fashion in the village hall bird bath and a B1 bomber just flew overhead on the way to Fairford. Hope this helps.

    The B1 is on standby, lest the Corbynistas venture out.
    Sounds like a good plan
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    NemtynakhtNemtynakht Posts: 2,311
    Well in Thornbury and Yate I supported the libdems. If it had been close I would have considered lending my vote to the Tories as I cannot stand Corbyn. My primary reason for supporting the libdems is that I think we need to fund our public services better and that means we all need to be adult about it and to pay more in taxes to do the right thing. The labour fantasy that somehow 90% of people won't be affected by more taxes is something that I find deeply insulting and believe it would be counter productive.
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    I am pleased to report that my contact in a polling station in a tiny, hugely exclusive rural hamlet just outside Faringdon in Oxfordshire tells us that around 20% of his electors have already voted, mostly utilising zimmer frames, and there is nary a corbynista to be seen. Also some sparrows are behaving in a lewd fashion in the village hall bird bath and a B1 bomber just flew overhead on the way to Fairford. Hope this helps.

    The B1 is on standby, lest the Corbynistas venture out.
    Most reassuring.
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