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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Tonight’s polls range from ComRes 12% CON lead to Survation’s

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    jonny83jonny83 Posts: 1,261
    isam said:

    Sorry if this is crass but Corbyn is drifting like a barge as next PM and Con maj shortening 6 ticks

    With the election next week it could have an impact especially if you are against shoot to kill.
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    MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 37,607
    On the Mumbai/Bombay discussion, we all call it Bombay at home, my family in India all call it Bombay and most of my Indian friends call it Bombay. Mumbai is almost exclusively used by white people not wishing to offend Indians, most of whom don't care.
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    FloaterFloater Posts: 14,195
    isam said:

    Sorry if this is crass but Corbyn is drifting like a barge as next PM and Con maj shortening 6 ticks

    Well - that probably goes without saying
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    RobDRobD Posts: 58,969
    MaxPB said:

    On the Mumbai/Bombay discussion, we all call it Bombay at home, my family in India all call it Bombay and most of my Indian friends call it Bombay. Mumbai is almost exclusively used by white people not wishing to offend Indians, most of whom don't care.

    Is Bombay mix still called Bombay mix?
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    tlg86tlg86 Posts: 25,190

    tlg86 said:

    Quincel said:

    We'll know in the cold light of dawn, but it isn't clear to me that any official or police source has said the attackers have guns. References to 'shots fired', but possibly all by police. Hopefully just stabbings, which are horrific but generally less fatal to less people.

    Yes, it's starting to sound like stabbings only. Horrible, but it would continue to suggest that getting guns without being caught is still quite difficult.
    Yup, after Dunblane it is very difficult to get a guns/rifles in this country.

    Being an island also helps.
    To be honest it was not that easy to get them beforehand. And it is still legal and possible to buy rifles as well of course as shotguns. The difference being we do have a pretty effective licencing system for them. But I do fear a terrorist attack using a shotgun because of the consequences it might have for all the legal, law abiding owners.
    There was that bloke in Cumbria a few years ago, but thankfully such incidents in this country are few and far between.
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    KentRisingKentRising Posts: 2,850
    HYUFD said:

    Chameleon said:

    TMay now one Churchillian speech away from a landside..

    Au contraire. People could think that her approach has failed.
    I doubt it will make much difference other than maybe seeing a slight shift of any white working class voters who have moved from the Tories to Labour back to the Tories and maybe boost UKIP's score a little. However clearly we need a tougher response, whether tagging all known extremists, a travel ban to and from Libya and Syria without special permission etc
    A travel ban is a no-brainer but look at the uproar when Trump tried to implement one. Liberals still set the agenda.
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    alex.alex. Posts: 4,658
    Nobody seems to have any info about Vauxhall
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    FloaterFloater Posts: 14,195
    Blueberry said:

    Floater said:

    SeanT said:
    We are told we have to live with this, why?
    “Part and parcel of living in a big city.” Apparently.
    I think the root cause isn't a city
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    The_ApocalypseThe_Apocalypse Posts: 7,830
    This Bombay/Mumbai discussion is just weird. Then again thinking about upsetting the left during a time like this is odd too.
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    Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 49,318
    Got home safely from Depeche Mode's excellent concert at the Stratford Olympic Park. Nothing untoward apart from heavy security and that it took ages to walk to Stratford station.
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    ChameleonChameleon Posts: 3,886
    edited June 2017
    Bank & Vauxhall stations re-openned. Looks like the Vauxhall stuff wasn't linked majorly, or has been contained.
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    RobDRobD Posts: 58,969
    alex. said:

    Nobody seems to have any info about Vauxhall

    So either it isn't a big deal, or it's utterly horrific?
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    CookieCookie Posts: 11,449
    isam said:

    Sorry if this is crass but Corbyn is drifting like a barge as next PM and Con maj shortening 6 ticks

    I don't see why. Manchester didn't appear to put people off him. After the initial revulsion, the response will be 'we stand united' and 'love conquers hate' and so forth. All grist to Corbyn's mill.
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    TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 41,313

    TOPPING said:

    Cyan said:

    Fucking hell, let's hope this isn't as big as Mumbai. At least 7 people stabbed, 3 with throats cut according to one witness at London Bridge. Source: Daily Mail.

    Calm the fuck down it's some guys with knives. Horrific but a million miles away from Mumbai. Do you have any idea of the Mumbai MO?
    Yes but Bombay is not here. Here is here. On balance I would rather terrible stuff happened there than marginally less bad stuff happens here. Internationalists may disagree
    Of course. But we haven't banned cars yet and thousands of people die every year in or because of them (not counting vehicle weapon attacks).

    Look at knife crime at the moment and Op Trident. It doesn't affect most people so most people don't care, but it is a thing and it kills a lot of us.
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    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 75,929

    Pulpstar said:

    EveryOne says we need to do *something* but no suggestions are forthcoming as to what we should actually do.

    Well we do often get some very sensible starting points from the likes of Quillim foundation people, but they get shouted down and ignored.
    Ye they have people in there who know the game so to speak.
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    GallowgateGallowgate Posts: 19,081

    Got home safely from Depeche Mode's excellent concert at the Stratford Olympic Park. Nothing untoward apart from heavy security and that it took ages to walk to Stratford station.

    Good to hear. Hope the gig was good.
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    RobDRobD Posts: 58,969
    Chameleon said:

    Bank & Vauxhall stations re-openned. Looks like the Vauxhall stuff wasn't liked majorly, or has been contained.

    Oh, that's good!
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    GeoffMGeoffM Posts: 6,071
    RobD said:

    MaxPB said:

    On the Mumbai/Bombay discussion, we all call it Bombay at home, my family in India all call it Bombay and most of my Indian friends call it Bombay. Mumbai is almost exclusively used by white people not wishing to offend Indians, most of whom don't care.

    Is Bombay mix still called Bombay mix?
    Neither the Duck nor the Stock Exchange got the 'rename' memo either,
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    FloaterFloater Posts: 14,195
    ab195 said:

    I've had enough. It's time to stop this.

    You cant even talk about it let alone stop it
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    numbertwelvenumbertwelve Posts: 5,463
    MaxPB said:

    On the Mumbai/Bombay discussion, we all call it Bombay at home, my family in India all call it Bombay and most of my Indian friends call it Bombay. Mumbai is almost exclusively used by white people not wishing to offend Indians, most of whom don't care.

    Forgive me if I'm wrong, but was it not changed for political reasons by the Shiv Sena who wanted to reassert some kind of Marathi identity?
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    The_ApocalypseThe_Apocalypse Posts: 7,830

    Got home safely from Depeche Mode's excellent concert at the Stratford Olympic Park. Nothing untoward apart from heavy security and that it took ages to walk to Stratford station.

    Glad you got home safe Sunil.
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    ChameleonChameleon Posts: 3,886
    alex. said:

    Nobody seems to have any info about Vauxhall

    But Vauxhall station reopened. Looks like that's over.
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    BigIanBigIan Posts: 198
    isam said:

    Sorry if this is crass but Corbyn is drifting like a barge as next PM and Con maj shortening 6 ticks

    Betting post on a betting site.
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    Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 55,382
    AndyJS said:

    Pulpstar said:

    EveryOne says we need to do *something* but no suggestions are forthcoming as to what we should actually do.

    There's nothing we can do if someone decides to get in a vehicle and deliberately drive into pedestrians.
    Tackle attitudes in families, communities, schools and religious communities, and monitor and watch is pretty much it. Mixing backgrounds and communities would also help.

    Strengthen British values, and be far more discriminating in who we admit.

    I wouldn't re-admit a single soul who'd been to Syria, and heavily quiz and watch anyone who had.

    We probably do need to give the Government, or GCHQ/MI5, the power to monitor WhatsApp etc. unfortunately.
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    GeoffMGeoffM Posts: 6,071

    MaxPB said:

    On the Mumbai/Bombay discussion, we all call it Bombay at home, my family in India all call it Bombay and most of my Indian friends call it Bombay. Mumbai is almost exclusively used by white people not wishing to offend Indians, most of whom don't care.

    Forgive me if I'm wrong, but was it not changed for political reasons by the Shiv Sena who wanted to reassert some kind of Marathi identity?
    Exactly.
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    ChameleonChameleon Posts: 3,886
    RobD said:

    alex. said:

    Nobody seems to have any info about Vauxhall

    So either it isn't a big deal, or it's utterly horrific?
    Not a big deal by the looks of it.
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    MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 37,607
    RobD said:

    MaxPB said:

    On the Mumbai/Bombay discussion, we all call it Bombay at home, my family in India all call it Bombay and most of my Indian friends call it Bombay. Mumbai is almost exclusively used by white people not wishing to offend Indians, most of whom don't care.

    Is Bombay mix still called Bombay mix?
    Yes, of course.
  • Options
    FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 76,285
    edited June 2017
    Pulpstar said:

    Pulpstar said:

    EveryOne says we need to do *something* but no suggestions are forthcoming as to what we should actually do.

    Well we do often get some very sensible starting points from the likes of Quillim foundation people, but they get shouted down and ignored.
    Ye they have people in there who know the game so to speak.
    We were talking about good Lib Dems who lost their seats. Of course Maajid Nawaz is somebody who I would have liked to have got a seat, but then some in his own party wanted him excluded because he dared to say a cartoon didn't personally offend him.

    His 3hr interview with Dave Rubin is absolute fascinating. Honest about his back story and honest about how he thinks Islam needs to change to the modern world.
  • Options
    alex.alex. Posts: 4,658
    GeoffM said:

    RobD said:

    MaxPB said:

    On the Mumbai/Bombay discussion, we all call it Bombay at home, my family in India all call it Bombay and most of my Indian friends call it Bombay. Mumbai is almost exclusively used by white people not wishing to offend Indians, most of whom don't care.

    Is Bombay mix still called Bombay mix?
    Neither the Duck nor the Stock Exchange got the 'rename' memo either,
    Or the potatoes!
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    AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    Floater said:

    SeanT said:
    We are told we have to live with this, why?
    Was that what Sadiq Khan said?
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    Ave_itAve_it Posts: 2,411

    Got home safely from Depeche Mode's excellent concert at the Stratford Olympic Park. Nothing untoward apart from heavy security and that it took ages to walk to Stratford station.

    Sunil we left before the encore so no delays. We were aware of an 'incident' as the jubilee didn't stop at London Bridge
  • Options
    RobDRobD Posts: 58,969
    MaxPB said:

    RobD said:

    MaxPB said:

    On the Mumbai/Bombay discussion, we all call it Bombay at home, my family in India all call it Bombay and most of my Indian friends call it Bombay. Mumbai is almost exclusively used by white people not wishing to offend Indians, most of whom don't care.

    Is Bombay mix still called Bombay mix?
    Yes, of course.
    Bombay Saphire, too.

    Hm, now I want a G&T.
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    TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 41,313
    Chameleon said:

    I don't get why people were evacuated from hotels and offices?

    Because the aim is to remove people from the known area of danger.
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    kle4kle4 Posts: 91,797

    This Bombay/Mumbai discussion is just weird. Then again thinking about upsetting the left during a time like this is odd too.

    It's a welcome distraction, and only 2 people made it a left right issue. Fact is people assume a lot of things about the Bombay Mumbai name situation, sometimes due to politics, but as we see it is more complicated than that.
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    Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 55,382

    Got home safely from Depeche Mode's excellent concert at the Stratford Olympic Park. Nothing untoward apart from heavy security and that it took ages to walk to Stratford station.

    Enjoy the silence.

    I'm sure some great reward will be coming your way.
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    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 75,929
    alex. said:

    Nobody seems to have any info about Vauxhall

    LAB Hold
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    tlg86tlg86 Posts: 25,190
    Well this is bizarre. Civilians walking with their hands on their heads. This suggests someone is still at large.
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    dixiedeandixiedean Posts: 27,977


    Bit too much post-colonial guilt there. And plenty of Bombay residents are annoyed it was renamed too.

    The Bombay/Mumbai thing was pure politics by the Indian Nationalists. As is

    There was a similar one in Bombay too.

    Are you drunk?

    In defence of GeoffM, that annoys me too.

    We don't call Lisbon, "Lisboa", Cologne, "Koln", or Rome, "Roma", do we?

    Bit too much post-colonial guilt there. And plenty of Bombay residents are annoyed it was renamed too.

    The Bombay/Mumbai thing was pure politics by the Indian Nationalists. As is entirely their right of course but the funny thing is of the 4 Indian friends I have who live in Bombay they all call it Bombay and take the piss out of me if I call it Mumbai.

    It is a source of constant argument within the city itself with the split being along political and some social lines. It is not the same as Bejing where all the locals actually call it that.

    Beijing is not the same case. It is merely how you transliterate the Chinese characters into English. It always has been bay_jing... Just how we choose to spell it.


    Peking?

    dixiedean said:

    MaxPB said:

    GeoffM said:

    This sounds like a Mumbai style attack.

    There was a similar one in Bombay too.
    Are you drunk?
    In defence of GeoffM, that annoys me too.

    We don't call Lisbon, "Lisboa", Cologne, "Koln", or Rome, "Roma", do we?

    Bit too much post-colonial guilt there. And plenty of Bombay residents are annoyed it was renamed too.
    The Bombay/Mumbai thing was pure politics by the Indian Nationalists. As is entirely their right of course but the funny thing is of the 4 Indian friends I have who live in Bombay they all call it Bombay and take the piss out of me if I call it Mumbai.

    It is a source of constant argument within the city itself with the split being along political and some social lines. It is not the same as Bejing where all the locals actually call it that.
    Beijing is not the same case. It is merely how you transliterate the Chinese characters into English. It always has been bay_jing... Just how we choose to spell it.
    Peking?
    Yes. That was how a French linguist chose to spell it. He was trying to write Bay-Jing. The 2 Chinese characters and their Chinese pronunciation has never changed.
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    ChameleonChameleon Posts: 3,886
    People walking out of London bridge area with hands on head.
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    SaltireSaltire Posts: 525
    Pulpstar said:

    EveryOne says we need to do *something* but no suggestions are forthcoming as to what we should actually do.

    This is very true, indeed trying stop people using vehicles as weapons seems pretty much impossible.
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    RobDRobD Posts: 58,969
    Pulpstar said:

    alex. said:

    Nobody seems to have any info about Vauxhall

    LAB Hold
    Hoey will be pleased. :smiley:
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    QuincelQuincel Posts: 3,949
    Chameleon said:

    People walking out of London bridge area with hands on head.

    Though the BBC is showing them dropping their hands back to their sides as they leave the cordon, looks like the police are just evacuating another building from within it.
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    RobinWiggsRobinWiggs Posts: 621

    ab195 said:

    I've had enough. It's time to stop this.

    Text from a usually liberal mate: "Time to lock the fucking borders and kick in doors."
    That's not the answer. It meets terror with indiscriminate fear and oppression. We need an answer for sure, the current one isn't working, but it needs to be more measured thank kicking in doors.

    If I was TMay I would be on the steps of No10 in the morning saying:

    a) COBRA, we will not be beaten, etc as usual.
    b) Additional police officers, and pay, - heroes and we'll find the money come what may.
    c) Non-partisan commission on what the f*** we do next to counter it.

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    AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    BBC: footage of pedestrians being led down a street with their hands on their heads, like a scene out of Star Wars.
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    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 117,019
    kle4 said:

    Best cure for any bedwetting.

    Stop reading the interwebz and posting on forums, and go and knock on doors in a key marginal.

    Worked for me in 2015. This time it feels a bit like the circus has moved on to the next town (Plymouth in this case!)
    The Corbyn surge is real, but it is confined to London, major metropolitan cities, and areas with strong student/young populations, I think.

    And, bizarrely, Wales, which I thought would go strongly Tory this time.
    Yes, Wales seemed to be getting more Tory, bit by bit, but the instant it looked like the Tories might win a majority, it surges back to labour, helped by the good campaign no doubt.
    All the subsamples tonight show the Tories up in Wales and 2 have the Tories ahead in the Principality
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    TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 41,313
    Chameleon said:

    People walking out of London bridge area with hands on head.

    No one ie the police knows who is who.
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    MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 37,607
    RobD said:

    MaxPB said:

    RobD said:

    MaxPB said:

    On the Mumbai/Bombay discussion, we all call it Bombay at home, my family in India all call it Bombay and most of my Indian friends call it Bombay. Mumbai is almost exclusively used by white people not wishing to offend Indians, most of whom don't care.

    Is Bombay mix still called Bombay mix?
    Yes, of course.
    Bombay Saphire, too.

    Hm, now I want a G&T.
    I think I could do with one too. I'll see if my gf wants one.
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    ChameleonChameleon Posts: 3,886
    TOPPING said:

    Chameleon said:

    I don't get why people were evacuated from hotels and offices?

    Because the aim is to remove people from the known area of danger.
    But if attackers are still at large then surely people barricaded inside > people walking on streets while in a panic.
  • Options
    FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 76,285
    edited June 2017

    ab195 said:

    I've had enough. It's time to stop this.

    Text from a usually liberal mate: "Time to lock the fucking borders and kick in doors."
    That's not the answer. It meets terror with indiscriminate fear and oppression. We need an answer for sure, the current one isn't working, but it needs to be more measured thank kicking in doors.

    If I was TMay I would be on the steps of No10 in the morning saying:

    a) COBRA, we will not be beaten, etc as usual.
    b) Additional police officers, and pay, - heroes and we'll find the money come what may.
    c) Non-partisan commission on what the f*** we do next to counter it.

    Rory the Tory and Majjid Nawaz on that commission for starters. Two people who have a good idea about Islamism.
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    OUTOUT Posts: 569
    TOPPING said:

    Chameleon said:

    People walking out of London bridge area with hands on head.

    No one ie the police knows who is who.
    Been kept in the pubs and clubs, searched and released and told to walk to the cordon.
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    MimusMimus Posts: 56
    RobD said:

    TMay now one Churchillian speech away from a landside..

    She does these moments well, but it didn't budge the polls last time, so doubt it will this time.
    She looked absolutely livid after Manchester. She will want to react, but might leave the substance until after the election.
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    RobDRobD Posts: 58,969
    SeanT said:

    Floater said:

    ab195 said:

    I've had enough. It's time to stop this.

    You cant even talk about it let alone stop it
    Nuttall actually got BOOED on the Leaders' Debate for merely mentioning that Manchester was a result of "Islamist Extremism".

    He didn't say "Islam", he said "Islamist Extremism", and that basic and irrefutable fact was deemed unacceptable by the vile, hectoring lefty audience

    Scum.
    Yeah, and he was actually quite clear in saying it was an absolutely tiny minority.
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    MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 50,125
    Chameleon said:

    TMay now one Churchillian speech away from a landside..

    Au contraire. People could think that her approach has failed.
    She had a good record on keeping the lid on terrorism as Home Secretary.

    People are naturally going to think: when an incident like this happens, who do I want on that podium in Downing Street? Former Home Secretary Theresa May - or a guy with a troubling history of meeting terrorists, who does not support shoot-to-kill, who feels we should not take out our enemies abroad with drone strikes, who thought the death of bin Laden was "a tragedy".... and who would not have nuclear weapons in our nuclear weapon subs.

    How can this not hurt Corbyn, on some subliminal level, as people vote?
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    alex.alex. Posts: 4,658
    Looks as if the police think they're in the area and they're just gradually expanding the cordon.
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    GeoffMGeoffM Posts: 6,071
    RobD said:

    MaxPB said:

    RobD said:

    MaxPB said:

    On the Mumbai/Bombay discussion, we all call it Bombay at home, my family in India all call it Bombay and most of my Indian friends call it Bombay. Mumbai is almost exclusively used by white people not wishing to offend Indians, most of whom don't care.

    Is Bombay mix still called Bombay mix?
    Yes, of course.
    Bombay Sapphire, too.

    Hm, now I want a G&T.
    As a fellow G&T drinker you will remember that June 14th is World Cucumber Day

    An excellent excuse, if one were required, to indulge in gin with all the trimmings.
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    CyanCyan Posts: 1,262
    edited June 2017
    dixiedean said:

    MaxPB said:

    GeoffM said:

    This sounds like a Mumbai style attack.

    There was a similar one in Bombay too.
    Are you drunk?
    In defence of GeoffM, that annoys me too.

    We don't call Lisbon, "Lisboa", Cologne, "Koln", or Rome, "Roma", do we?

    Bit too much post-colonial guilt there. And plenty of Bombay residents are annoyed it was renamed too.
    The Bombay/Mumbai thing was pure politics by the Indian Nationalists. As is entirely their right of course but the funny thing is of the 4 Indian friends I have who live in Bombay they all call it Bombay and take the piss out of me if I call it Mumbai.

    It is a source of constant argument within the city itself with the split being along political and some social lines. It is not the same as Bejing where all the locals actually call it that.
    Beijing is not the same case. It is merely how you transliterate the Chinese characters into English. It always has been bay_jing... Just how we choose to spell it.
    I never heard anyone pronounce the spelling "Peking" as "Bay-jing". Was the English spelling brought into line with a set of transliteration rules? Then "Москва" should be transliterated as "Moskva" (which most non-Russian speakers would probably pronounce horribly), and Tchaikovsky would lose the T" at the beginning, etc.
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    ChameleonChameleon Posts: 3,886
    Cordon being pushed again. People in pink/purple suits with bags and yellow things being briefed? Medical examiners? Anyone have any idea?
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    TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 41,313
    Chameleon said:

    TOPPING said:

    Chameleon said:

    I don't get why people were evacuated from hotels and offices?

    Because the aim is to remove people from the known area of danger.
    But if attackers are still at large then surely people barricaded inside > people walking on streets while in a panic.
    Yes it's a difficult decision to make. Barricading inside is an option but for command and control you want a sterile area and if you know you have civilians here and there then that complicates things. Better to manage people out of the area.
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    QuincelQuincel Posts: 3,949
    TOPPING said:

    Chameleon said:

    People walking out of London bridge area with hands on head.

    No one ie the police knows who is who.
    But if they think the attackers might be with these people why let them leave the cordon? I suspect it was just some kind of safety protocol - but I'm just speculating.
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    Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 49,318

    Got home safely from Depeche Mode's excellent concert at the Stratford Olympic Park. Nothing untoward apart from heavy security and that it took ages to walk to Stratford station.

    Glad you got home safe Sunil.
    Thanks! But sorry to hear about the incidents in Central London, I overheard people on their phones as I was leaving.

    And there were times we were stop/started by the stewards and it was pretty heavy crowds. Anything that might have caused a panic and I'm sure a stampede would have ensued!
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    The_ApocalypseThe_Apocalypse Posts: 7,830
    kle4 said:

    This Bombay/Mumbai discussion is just weird. Then again thinking about upsetting the left during a time like this is odd too.

    It's a welcome distraction, and only 2 people made it a left right issue. Fact is people assume a lot of things about the Bombay Mumbai name situation, sometimes due to politics, but as we see it is more complicated than that.
    I've actually never actually given the name change considerable thought, apparently as leftie I was supposed to have!

    Ah, I dunno anymore. This situation is depressing and there doesn't seem to be an end in sight.
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    FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 76,285
    edited June 2017
    SeanT said:

    Floater said:

    ab195 said:

    I've had enough. It's time to stop this.

    You cant even talk about it let alone stop it
    Nuttall actually got BOOED on the Leaders' Debate for merely mentioning that Manchester was a result of "Islamist Extremism".

    He didn't say "Islam", he said "Islamist Extremism", and that basic and irrefutable fact was deemed unacceptable by the vile, hectoring lefty audience

    Scum.
    Remember a particular Muslim faction in the Lib Dem party wanted Majjid Nawaz kicked out for saying a cartoon didn't offend him and he now has to live with round the clock security because of death threats due to simply stating the truth about Islamism.
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    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 75,929

    ab195 said:

    I've had enough. It's time to stop this.

    Text from a usually liberal mate: "Time to lock the fucking borders and kick in doors."
    That's not the answer. It meets terror with indiscriminate fear and oppression. We need an answer for sure, the current one isn't working, but it needs to be more measured thank kicking in doors.

    If I was TMay I would be on the steps of No10 in the morning saying:

    a) COBRA, we will not be beaten, etc as usual.
    b) Additional police officers, and pay, - heroes and we'll find the money come what may.
    c) Non-partisan commission on what the f*** we do next to counter it.

    Needs to be careful it doesn't look like electioneering
  • Options
    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 117,019
    edited June 2017
    Mimus said:

    RobD said:

    TMay now one Churchillian speech away from a landside..

    She does these moments well, but it didn't budge the polls last time, so doubt it will this time.
    She looked absolutely livid after Manchester. She will want to react, but might leave the substance until after the election.
    We need action not words, people want a tough crackdown, they certainly won't get it from Corbyn but they want to get it from May but haven't yet, it was telling that the only applause for Nuttall in last week's debate was when he said passports should be confiscated from those travelling to Libya and Syria, polls show strong support for that
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    AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    "Frank Gardner‏Verified account @FrankRGardner 4m4 minutes ago

    Met Police reissue 'Run Hide Tell' advice to anyone caught up in the 3 serious incidents in Ldn tnite. Situation still not under control."
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    RobDRobD Posts: 58,969
    Pulpstar said:

    ab195 said:

    I've had enough. It's time to stop this.

    Text from a usually liberal mate: "Time to lock the fucking borders and kick in doors."
    That's not the answer. It meets terror with indiscriminate fear and oppression. We need an answer for sure, the current one isn't working, but it needs to be more measured thank kicking in doors.

    If I was TMay I would be on the steps of No10 in the morning saying:

    a) COBRA, we will not be beaten, etc as usual.
    b) Additional police officers, and pay, - heroes and we'll find the money come what may.
    c) Non-partisan commission on what the f*** we do next to counter it.

    Needs to be careful it doesn't look like electioneering
    Yeah, that's why b won't happen, as it will raise the question "why only now"
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    isamisam Posts: 40,930
    SeanT said:

    Floater said:

    ab195 said:

    I've had enough. It's time to stop this.

    You cant even talk about it let alone stop it
    Nuttall actually got BOOED on the Leaders' Debate for merely mentioning that Manchester was a result of "Islamist Extremism".

    He didn't say "Islam", he said "Islamist Extremism", and that basic and irrefutable fact was deemed unacceptable by the vile, hectoring lefty audience

    Scum.
    This is the modern world
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    ChameleonChameleon Posts: 3,886
    AndyJS said:

    "Frank Gardner‏Verified account @FrankRGardner 4m4 minutes ago

    Met Police reissue 'Run Hide Tell' advice to anyone caught up in the 3 serious incidents in Ldn tnite. Situation still not under control."

    The rate at which they were pushing the cordon earlier suggests that they thoughts that they may have lost someone, however you could see someone being arrested.
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    AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    edited June 2017
    Cyan said:

    dixiedean said:

    MaxPB said:

    GeoffM said:

    This sounds like a Mumbai style attack.

    There was a similar one in Bombay too.
    Are you drunk?
    In defence of GeoffM, that annoys me too.

    We don't call Lisbon, "Lisboa", Cologne, "Koln", or Rome, "Roma", do we?

    Bit too much post-colonial guilt there. And plenty of Bombay residents are annoyed it was renamed too.
    The Bombay/Mumbai thing was pure politics by the Indian Nationalists. As is entirely their right of course but the funny thing is of the 4 Indian friends I have who live in Bombay they all call it Bombay and take the piss out of me if I call it Mumbai.

    It is a source of constant argument within the city itself with the split being along political and some social lines. It is not the same as Bejing where all the locals actually call it that.
    Beijing is not the same case. It is merely how you transliterate the Chinese characters into English. It always has been bay_jing... Just how we choose to spell it.
    I never heard anyone pronounce the spelling "Peking" as "Bay-jing". Was the English spelling brought into line with a set of transliteration rules? Then "Москва" should be transliterated as "Moskva" (which most non-Russian speakers would probably pronounce horribly), and Tchaikovsky would lose the T" at the beginning, etc.
    I think the "p" and "b" sounds are the same in Chinese. The sound they use is mid-way between the sounds we use. I once asked a Chinese speaker whether the p in Taipei was the same sound as the B in Beijing and they said it was.
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    Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 55,382
    AndyJS said:

    "Frank Gardner‏Verified account @FrankRGardner 4m4 minutes ago

    Met Police reissue 'Run Hide Tell' advice to anyone caught up in the 3 serious incidents in Ldn tnite. Situation still not under control."

    People should probably just try and go home, to be honest.
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    jonny83jonny83 Posts: 1,261
    edited June 2017
    No updates from the police so got to assume suspects are still on the run.
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    Stark_DawningStark_Dawning Posts: 9,307
    AndyJS said:

    Floater said:

    SeanT said:
    We are told we have to live with this, why?
    Was that what Sadiq Khan said?
    Here's the context so judge for yourself whether his words have been twisted. (Donald Trump Jr was the one to first make a big deal of it.)

    http://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/home-news/sadiq-khan-london-mayor-terrorism-attacks-part-and-parcel-major-cities-new-york-bombing-a7322846.html
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    RobDRobD Posts: 58,969

    SeanT said:

    Floater said:

    ab195 said:

    I've had enough. It's time to stop this.

    You cant even talk about it let alone stop it
    Nuttall actually got BOOED on the Leaders' Debate for merely mentioning that Manchester was a result of "Islamist Extremism".

    He didn't say "Islam", he said "Islamist Extremism", and that basic and irrefutable fact was deemed unacceptable by the vile, hectoring lefty audience

    Scum.
    Remember a particular Muslim faction in the Lib Dem party wanted Majjid Nawaz kicked out for saying a cartoon didn't offend him and he now has to live with round the clock security because of death threats due to simply stating the truth about Islamism.
    He does a lot of work in anti-radicalisation, right? Not sure why he isn't sitting as a crossbencher and contributing to legislation/debate on this issue.
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    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 75,929
    No polls till the day now I reckon..*Late swing* excuse incoming
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    KentRisingKentRising Posts: 2,850
    edited June 2017
    HYUFD said:

    Mimus said:

    RobD said:

    TMay now one Churchillian speech away from a landside..

    She does these moments well, but it didn't budge the polls last time, so doubt it will this time.
    She looked absolutely livid after Manchester. She will want to react, but might leave the substance until after the election.
    We need action not words, people want a tough crackdown, they certainly won't get it from Corbyn but they want to get it from May but haven't yet, it was telling that the only applause for Nuttall in last week's debate was when he said passports should be confiscated from those travelling to Libya and Syria, polls show strong support for that
    It's just BASICS such as this. It's the very LEAST that can be done, but it will get shouted down by the hectoring, brainwashed liberal minority.
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    alex.alex. Posts: 4,658
    TOPPING said:

    Chameleon said:

    TOPPING said:

    Chameleon said:

    I don't get why people were evacuated from hotels and offices?

    Because the aim is to remove people from the known area of danger.
    But if attackers are still at large then surely people barricaded inside > people walking on streets while in a panic.
    Yes it's a difficult decision to make. Barricading inside is an option but for command and control you want a sterile area and if you know you have civilians here and there then that complicates things. Better to manage people out of the area.
    Presumably they are fairly confident that the suspects don't have guns. Safe to move people.
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    TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 41,313
    Quincel said:

    TOPPING said:

    Chameleon said:

    People walking out of London bridge area with hands on head.

    No one ie the police knows who is who.
    But if they think the attackers might be with these people why let them leave the cordon? I suspect it was just some kind of safety protocol - but I'm just speculating.
    Another good point. But it takes balls the size of cannonballs to just merge in to punters, having stabbed anyone and everyone: profiling would be happening at a rudimentary level. If you evacuate a location then it is a tough call to let people out but if you do then you profile them as they leave (you would hope).
  • Options
    This seems odd. From outside appearance it appears a lull or de-escalation, but maybe in fact a lot of information is simply not being released.
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    ChameleonChameleon Posts: 3,886
    Quincel said:

    TOPPING said:

    Chameleon said:

    People walking out of London bridge area with hands on head.

    No one ie the police knows who is who.
    But if they think the attackers might be with these people why let them leave the cordon? I suspect it was just some kind of safety protocol - but I'm just speculating.
    Likely that all pubs were told to shut doors, those that they could verify had no late entrants were allowed to clear I suspect.
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    kle4kle4 Posts: 91,797
    edited June 2017

    kle4 said:

    This Bombay/Mumbai discussion is just weird. Then again thinking about upsetting the left during a time like this is odd too.

    It's a welcome distraction, and only 2 people made it a left right issue. Fact is people assume a lot of things about the Bombay Mumbai name situation, sometimes due to politics, but as we see it is more complicated than that.
    I've actually never actually given the name change considerable thought, apparently as leftie I was supposed to have!

    You don't have to have whether you are left or right - it's just an interesting example of a recent name change that people get confused by and assume offensiveness when none may be taken, given the situation us complex. I only know about parts of it because I did a course which involved he city. Did you know it used to have a reasonably sizeable zororastrian population apparently?

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    kle4kle4 Posts: 91,797
    edited June 2017

    Chameleon said:

    TMay now one Churchillian speech away from a landside..

    Au contraire. People could think that her approach has failed.
    She had a good record on keeping the lid on terrorism as Home Secretary.

    People are naturally going to think: when an incident like this happens, who do I want on that podium in Downing Street? Former Home Secretary Theresa May - or a guy with a troubling history of meeting terrorists, who does not support shoot-to-kill, who feels we should not take out our enemies abroad with drone strikes, who thought the death of bin Laden was "a tragedy".... and who would not have nuclear weapons in our nuclear weapon subs.

    How can this not hurt Corbyn, on some subliminal level, as people vote?
    It hasnt before. Why would it now?

    More to the point we will never know - the polls are all over the place, any movement could be happening anyway, and the end result might have been the situation all along.
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    Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 49,318
    edited June 2017
    Ave_it said:

    Got home safely from Depeche Mode's excellent concert at the Stratford Olympic Park. Nothing untoward apart from heavy security and that it took ages to walk to Stratford station.

    Sunil we left before the encore so no delays. We were aware of an 'incident' as the jubilee didn't stop at London Bridge
    Glad you got back safe too! Where were you sitting? Standing? I was in block 237, row 58, so about two thirds of the way up.

    Dave sang his cover of "Heroes", so you should ahve stayed! "Heroes" has special meaning for Depeche Mode, the other members overheard Dave sing along to a cover version, before they became famous, and he became front-man without needing an audition!
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    FloaterFloater Posts: 14,195
    AndyJS said:

    Floater said:

    SeanT said:
    We are told we have to live with this, why?
    Was that what Sadiq Khan said?
    Yep, but others in other countries affected by Islamic terrorism have said the same
  • Options
    FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 76,285
    edited June 2017
    RobD said:

    SeanT said:

    Floater said:

    ab195 said:

    I've had enough. It's time to stop this.

    You cant even talk about it let alone stop it
    Nuttall actually got BOOED on the Leaders' Debate for merely mentioning that Manchester was a result of "Islamist Extremism".

    He didn't say "Islam", he said "Islamist Extremism", and that basic and irrefutable fact was deemed unacceptable by the vile, hectoring lefty audience

    Scum.
    Remember a particular Muslim faction in the Lib Dem party wanted Majjid Nawaz kicked out for saying a cartoon didn't offend him and he now has to live with round the clock security because of death threats due to simply stating the truth about Islamism.
    He does a lot of work in anti-radicalisation, right? Not sure why he isn't sitting as a crossbencher and contributing to legislation/debate on this issue.
    As I said down thread, his 3hrs interview with Dave Rubin was absolutely fascinating. He talked openly about his time as a Islamist, his time in jail, and now how he seems the world, in particular the Muslim world.
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    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 117,019

    HYUFD said:

    Chameleon said:

    TMay now one Churchillian speech away from a landside..

    Au contraire. People could think that her approach has failed.
    I doubt it will make much difference other than maybe seeing a slight shift of any white working class voters who have moved from the Tories to Labour back to the Tories and maybe boost UKIP's score a little. However clearly we need a tougher response, whether tagging all known extremists, a travel ban to and from Libya and Syria without special permission etc
    A travel ban is a no-brainer but look at the uproar when Trump tried to implement one. Liberals still set the agenda.
    Yet the polls in the US actually showed support for the travel ban, it was just the NYC and LA and DC liberal elite which loathed it, Trump's ban was imposed too clumsily ie why Iran and Yemen but not Saudi? However he did include Syria and Libya and it should be focused on those nations
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    LucyJonesLucyJones Posts: 651

    Chameleon said:

    TMay now one Churchillian speech away from a landside..

    Au contraire. People could think that her approach has failed.
    She had a good record on keeping the lid on terrorism as Home Secretary.

    People are naturally going to think: when an incident like this happens, who do I want on that podium in Downing Street? Former Home Secretary Theresa May - or a guy with a troubling history of meeting terrorists, who does not support shoot-to-kill, who feels we should not take out our enemies abroad with drone strikes, who thought the death of bin Laden was "a tragedy".... and who would not have nuclear weapons in our nuclear weapon subs.

    How can this not hurt Corbyn, on some subliminal level, as people vote?
    Loads of people don't believe the terrorism stuff, in my experience.
    And loads of people seem to think the likes of the Manchester attack can be prevented by lighting tealights, releasing baloons and tweeting that "#loveisstrongerthanhate" (or whatever).

  • Options
    ChameleonChameleon Posts: 3,886

    This seems odd. From outside appearance it appears a lull or de-escalation, but maybe in fact a lot of information is simply not being released.

    Given how the cordon is ever expanding it is certainly not contained. Maybe they had secured the street, and wanted to clear out as many innocents as possible before the attackers resurfaced.
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    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 117,019
    BBC now showing coverage of customers down on the floor in a Borough market bar with police at the side
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    KentRisingKentRising Posts: 2,850

    ab195 said:

    I've had enough. It's time to stop this.

    Text from a usually liberal mate: "Time to lock the fucking borders and kick in doors."
    That's not the answer. It meets terror with indiscriminate fear and oppression. We need an answer for sure, the current one isn't working, but it needs to be more measured thank kicking in doors.

    If I was TMay I would be on the steps of No10 in the morning saying:

    a) COBRA, we will not be beaten, etc as usual.
    b) Additional police officers, and pay, - heroes and we'll find the money come what may.
    c) Non-partisan commission on what the f*** we do next to counter it.

    Still too tepid.
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    TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 41,313
    alex. said:

    TOPPING said:

    Chameleon said:

    TOPPING said:

    Chameleon said:

    I don't get why people were evacuated from hotels and offices?

    Because the aim is to remove people from the known area of danger.
    But if attackers are still at large then surely people barricaded inside > people walking on streets while in a panic.
    Yes it's a difficult decision to make. Barricading inside is an option but for command and control you want a sterile area and if you know you have civilians here and there then that complicates things. Better to manage people out of the area.
    Presumably they are fairly confident that the suspects don't have guns. Safe to move people.
    Police are leading this and they don't have the expertise of CT personnel but they are able to profile at a rudimentary level. Not having guns doesn't mean safe. Knives are unsafe, but it is a highly fluid situation so on balance they want people out of the area to sterilise where they know has been an issue.

    No news of anyone arrested yet so still ongoing is my thought but punters are punters and obviously so.
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    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 117,019
    edited June 2017
    May back at No 10 and to chair COBRA meeting tomorrow morning, quelle surprise!
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    RobDRobD Posts: 58,969
    BBC showed the "c*nts" clip without bleeping it. OMG.
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    ChameleonChameleon Posts: 3,886
    alex. said:

    TOPPING said:

    Chameleon said:

    TOPPING said:

    Chameleon said:

    I don't get why people were evacuated from hotels and offices?

    Because the aim is to remove people from the known area of danger.
    But if attackers are still at large then surely people barricaded inside > people walking on streets while in a panic.
    Yes it's a difficult decision to make. Barricading inside is an option but for command and control you want a sterile area and if you know you have civilians here and there then that complicates things. Better to manage people out of the area.
    Presumably they are fairly confident that the suspects don't have guns. Safe to move people.
    Or alternatively, at least in an open space people can run, if they broke into the bar where everyone was hiding, it would be fish in a barrel. They probably secured the street as well.
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    ThreeQuidderThreeQuidder Posts: 6,133

    RobD said:

    The election campaign just ended, really, didn't it?

    I was out with my wife and a bunch of friends at Tower Hill, maybe half a mile away. If we'd turned right and walked to London Bridge for the Jubilee line instead of getting the DLR, as I'd considered...

    Fuck.

    Stay safe
    Thanks. Home now. Waiting for news from one person from our group who left a little earlier, everyone else accounted for.
    Update: he's now accounted for.
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    RobDRobD Posts: 58,969

    RobD said:

    The election campaign just ended, really, didn't it?

    I was out with my wife and a bunch of friends at Tower Hill, maybe half a mile away. If we'd turned right and walked to London Bridge for the Jubilee line instead of getting the DLR, as I'd considered...

    Fuck.

    Stay safe
    Thanks. Home now. Waiting for news from one person from our group who left a little earlier, everyone else accounted for.
    Update: he's now accounted for.
    Good news!
  • Options
    TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 41,313
    RobD said:

    BBC showed the "c*nts" clip without bleeping it. OMG.

    And their apology lasted almost as long as their coverage of the incident...
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    Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 55,382
    LucyJones said:

    Chameleon said:

    TMay now one Churchillian speech away from a landside..

    Au contraire. People could think that her approach has failed.
    She had a good record on keeping the lid on terrorism as Home Secretary.

    People are naturally going to think: when an incident like this happens, who do I want on that podium in Downing Street? Former Home Secretary Theresa May - or a guy with a troubling history of meeting terrorists, who does not support shoot-to-kill, who feels we should not take out our enemies abroad with drone strikes, who thought the death of bin Laden was "a tragedy".... and who would not have nuclear weapons in our nuclear weapon subs.

    How can this not hurt Corbyn, on some subliminal level, as people vote?
    Loads of people don't believe the terrorism stuff, in my experience.
    And loads of people seem to think the likes of the Manchester attack can be prevented by lighting tealights, releasing baloons and tweeting that "#loveisstrongerthanhate" (or whatever).

    We will get all that again.
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    MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 37,607

    RobD said:

    The election campaign just ended, really, didn't it?

    I was out with my wife and a bunch of friends at Tower Hill, maybe half a mile away. If we'd turned right and walked to London Bridge for the Jubilee line instead of getting the DLR, as I'd considered...

    Fuck.

    Stay safe
    Thanks. Home now. Waiting for news from one person from our group who left a little earlier, everyone else accounted for.
    Update: he's now accounted for.
    Good news.
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    numbertwelvenumbertwelve Posts: 5,463
    SeanT said:

    Floater said:

    ab195 said:

    I've had enough. It's time to stop this.

    You cant even talk about it let alone stop it
    Nuttall actually got BOOED on the Leaders' Debate for merely mentioning that Manchester was a result of "Islamist Extremism".

    He didn't say "Islam", he said "Islamist Extremism", and that basic and irrefutable fact was deemed unacceptable by the vile, hectoring lefty audience

    Scum.
    I find it utterly bizarre that the left refute the use of the 'i' word in these situations. In fact, are apppalled when it is brought up.

    It IS Islamist. That in no way denigrates peaceful followers of Islam, which we know are the vast majority of practitioners in this country. But it is absolutely true that there is an extremist strain of this religion. That is beyond doubt, but it is not a smear on the wider Muslim community.

    I am depressed that we even need to be discussing those semantics.
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    dixiedeandixiedean Posts: 27,977
    Cyan said:

    dixiedean said:

    MaxPB said:

    GeoffM said:

    This sounds like a Mumbai style attack.

    There was a similar one in Bombay too.
    Are you drunk?
    In defence of GeoffM, that annoys me too.

    We don't call Lisbon, "Lisboa", Cologne, "Koln", or Rome, "Roma", do we?

    Bit too much post-colonial guilt there. And plenty of Bombay residents are annoyed it was renamed too.
    The Bombay/Mumbai thing was pure politics by the Indian Nationalists. As is entirely their right of course but the funny thing is of the 4 Indian friends I have who live in Bombay they all call it Bombay and take the piss out of me if I call it Mumbai.

    It is a source of constant argument within the city itself with the split being along political and some social lines. It is not the same as Bejing where all the locals actually call it that.
    Beijing is not the same case. It is merely how you transliterate the Chinese characters into English. It always has been bay_jing... Just how we choose to spell it.
    I never heard anyone pronounce the spelling "Peking" as "Bay-jing". Was the English spelling brought into line with a set of transliteration rules? Then "Москва" should be transliterated as "Moskva" (which most non-Russian speakers would probably pronounce horribly), and Tchaikovsky would lose the T" at the beginning, etc.
    No, but that is how it was intended to be pronounced. Try it in a French accent... The characters are bay [ie Northern] and Zhing [capital). Although it is difficult to transcribe the j/zh sound as we don't really have the letters. (We have only 26). It is not political correctness though, merely a better way of spelling stuff.
This discussion has been closed.