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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Theresa May was right, this election should be about Brexit

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  • Options
    Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 61,028
    Mr. Sandpit, just one more reason not to go to Monaco...

  • Options
    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 117,214
    Pulpstar said:

    RobD said:
    Michael Fallon is 'disappointed' with the US.
    That's "utterly and completely furious" for anyone who needs the translation from British English.
    More accurately he is 'disappointed' with the Hillary backing New York Times which did the leaking
  • Options
    kle4kle4 Posts: 92,087

    ydoethur said:



    It was an error. A stupid and avoidable error that around half the population were opposed to. An error that could and should have been foreseen. An error that has had terrible consequences.

    But to try and atone for it by electing Corbyn as leader is the equivalent of Stalin making amends for the Ukrainian famine of 1931 by shooting all the coal miners in the Donbass, blowing up every steel factory with the workers inside and ordering Moscow burned to the ground.

    There is failure - and there is compounding the failure.

    No-one even tries to defend the Iraq War anymore (or if they do it is some pussy-footing, like the War was right but we lost the Aftermath).

    But, the concomitant of Theresa being lucky is that Jeremy has been unlucky.

    First, the Labour centre-left refused to accept his election. Second, Brexit delivered to Labour an almost unplayable hand. And third, terrorism has now forced the election onto the worst arena of all for him.

    After all that, I kind of feel amazed that Jeremy has kept going.

    I won’t be voting for him, but I would buy his home-made jam.

    Corbyn believes in his own invincibility. He will still be directing his "armies" long after the war has been lost. His bunker has been prepared. They will have to smoke him out. He aint quitting evah..
    If he gets more votes than ed m, as it quite possible, why should he?
  • Options
    RobDRobD Posts: 59,022
    kle4 said:

    ydoethur said:



    It was an error. A stupid and avoidable error that around half the population were opposed to. An error that could and should have been foreseen. An error that has had terrible consequences.

    But to try and atone for it by electing Corbyn as leader is the equivalent of Stalin making amends for the Ukrainian famine of 1931 by shooting all the coal miners in the Donbass, blowing up every steel factory with the workers inside and ordering Moscow burned to the ground.

    There is failure - and there is compounding the failure.

    No-one even tries to defend the Iraq War anymore (or if they do it is some pussy-footing, like the War was right but we lost the Aftermath).

    But, the concomitant of Theresa being lucky is that Jeremy has been unlucky.

    First, the Labour centre-left refused to accept his election. Second, Brexit delivered to Labour an almost unplayable hand. And third, terrorism has now forced the election onto the worst arena of all for him.

    After all that, I kind of feel amazed that Jeremy has kept going.

    I won’t be voting for him, but I would buy his home-made jam.

    Corbyn believes in his own invincibility. He will still be directing his "armies" long after the war has been lost. His bunker has been prepared. They will have to smoke him out. He aint quitting evah..
    If he gets more votes than ed m, as it quite possible, why should he?
    Votes don't mean jack in our system. :D
  • Options
    LadyBucketLadyBucket Posts: 590
    RobD said:

    Blue_rog said:

    RobD said:

    Blue_rog said:

    RobD said:
    'm generally not a conspiracy nut but these leaks may be of benefit to the traditional politicians in the US. I find it difficult to believe that changing one or two people at the top of the intelligence tree means the whole edifice suddenly leaks like a sieve.

    I'm wondering if this is a play on depicting the Trump administration as untrustworthy and the leaks are part of a bigger domestic game.
    Except it's not coming from the White House, according to the BBC. Trump could easily say that this is a perfect example of how leaky the US intelligence service is.
    That's what I meant. The leaks being orchestrated from Capital Hill
    If they wanted to discredit Trump, surely they should make it look like the leaks are coming from there?

    While the cat's away, the mice will play.

    Unfortunately, this is very dangerous. As the PM would say, "this is not a game".

    I'm sure terrorists, all over the world, are delighted to hear Manchester Police have stopped sharing intelligence with the US. It was a very bad mistake to put this out there in the media and counter-productive.

  • Options
    BromptonautBromptonaut Posts: 1,113
    IanB2 said:

    FPT

    I'm very concerned about the sort of country we're becoming if people are worried that shopkeepers are growing beards, that sounds flippant but its a serious point. I said on here yesterday that reprisals are inevitable, I might be wrong but its unlikely that Sean T will take direct action, in 1 or 2 places I wouldn't be so sure.

    We are in troubled times and there will be people who say Brexit is the catalyst to violence against foreigners when it is not connected in any way. There will be dozens of reports of "racist" attacks which I find abhorrent, but if Islamists choose to murder children and nothing is "seen" to be done, there will be problems.

    BNP, Britain First etc will be whipping people up into a frenzy, it is unconnected to Brexit in every way.

    Ah, you are falling into the trap that our "Betters" live in - that we are 30 seconds away from a pogrom, complete with pitchforks and torches.

    I think events in the last few years have demonstrated a ridiculous high bar for such a thing to happen.
    No, I'm saying that there will be a rise in attacks on foreign people and that Remainers will blame it on Brexit. It has nothing to do with Brexit, its to do with foreigners blowing up concerts.

    *foreigners* ?
    Brown people.
  • Options
    CarlottaVanceCarlottaVance Posts: 59,844
    edited May 2017

    Can't blame Manchester police for ceasing to share information. The leaks are totally unacceptable.

    Mr. Rog, it might be that sort of game-playing, but it's so short-sighted and stupid it's deeply disappointing.

    You've also got to wonder at the NYT publishing photos of blood splattered debris before all the victims have been identified let alone buried. What are we to read next - autopsy reports detailing injuries & cause of death?
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    midwintermidwinter Posts: 1,112
    DavidL said:

    Scott_P said:

    This is what it is to live in a democracy under attack. We disagree on the extent of the danger and what should be done, but we are all on the same side.

    Or are we? This brings us to the rank unsuitability of Jeremy Corbyn to be prime minister and the fact that a once great party like Labour can seriously propose him as the person who could, in a matter of weeks, be chairing meetings of the government’s Cobra emergency committee.

    Almost without fail, Corbyn has expressed support for this country’s enemies, opposed British military deployments overseas, or sided with assorted fringe elements who say we deserve what we get. The man is by no reasonable definition a patriot. He is quite simply unfit to hold office.


    https://www.thetimes.co.uk/edition/comment/it-s-time-we-talked-about-corbyn-s-patriotism-2f2xwzcnn

    That wording seems weirdly familiar. This huge deficiency in the twice elected leader of the Labour Party will now move centre stage. But I don't share Alastair's frustration about Brexit not being discussed. The key for Brexit is who do we trust to negotiate the best possible deal on our behalf? Since the idea of trusting Corbyn about anything is pretty risible there is only one answer to that.
    True about Corbyn but I can't say what Mrs May has done so far lends me to believe she'd be much better.
    Foolishly I imagined a Brexit election might lead to us getting some idea as to her plans. Silly me.
    Seems to me we're expected to vote for her with absolutely no idea of why.
    It's not good enough and against anyone else she would've been exposed more than she has.
  • Options
    RobDRobD Posts: 59,022

    RobD said:

    Blue_rog said:

    RobD said:

    Blue_rog said:

    RobD said:
    'm generally not a conspiracy nut but these leaks may be of benefit to the traditional politicians in the US. I find it difficult to believe that changing one or two people at the top of the intelligence tree means the whole edifice suddenly leaks like a sieve.

    I'm wondering if this is a play on depicting the Trump administration as untrustworthy and the leaks are part of a bigger domestic game.
    Except it's not coming from the White House, according to the BBC. Trump could easily say that this is a perfect example of how leaky the US intelligence service is.
    That's what I meant. The leaks being orchestrated from Capital Hill
    If they wanted to discredit Trump, surely they should make it look like the leaks are coming from there?

    While the cat's away, the mice will play.

    Unfortunately, this is very dangerous. As the PM would say, "this is not a game".

    I'm sure terrorists, all over the world, are delighted to hear Manchester Police have stopped sharing intelligence with the US. It was a very bad mistake to put this out there in the media and counter-productive.

    Well, it's a temporary measure, and only relating to this one issue.
  • Options
    RobDRobD Posts: 59,022

    IanB2 said:

    FPT

    I'm very concerned about the sort of country we're becoming if people are worried that shopkeepers are growing beards, that sounds flippant but its a serious point. I said on here yesterday that reprisals are inevitable, I might be wrong but its unlikely that Sean T will take direct action, in 1 or 2 places I wouldn't be so sure.

    We are in troubled times and there will be people who say Brexit is the catalyst to violence against foreigners when it is not connected in any way. There will be dozens of reports of "racist" attacks which I find abhorrent, but if Islamists choose to murder children and nothing is "seen" to be done, there will be problems.

    BNP, Britain First etc will be whipping people up into a frenzy, it is unconnected to Brexit in every way.

    Ah, you are falling into the trap that our "Betters" live in - that we are 30 seconds away from a pogrom, complete with pitchforks and torches.

    I think events in the last few years have demonstrated a ridiculous high bar for such a thing to happen.
    No, I'm saying that there will be a rise in attacks on foreign people and that Remainers will blame it on Brexit. It has nothing to do with Brexit, its to do with foreigners blowing up concerts.

    *foreigners* ?
    Brown people.
    Well, I doubt he considered himself British. :p
  • Options
    bobajobPBbobajobPB Posts: 1,042
    Lady Bucket

    There was a point in recent history when we ceased to be a pragmatic, rational nation and became a pious bunch who loved making a drama out of a crisis. Probably around Lady Diana's death. Of course the 24 news media should leave Manchester in peace, but they won't for a day or so yet.
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    PatrickPatrick Posts: 225
    edited May 2017
    Freetochoose is right that I support Corbyn's policies. I also like him and his political style very much, something I wouldn't say of everyone on the left. .

    You present as a nice man. A decent man. But you are clearly a useful idiot for profoundly not nice and evil men. You like Corbyn's accommodation with terrorism. You like his Stop The West coalition. You like his deficit apocalypse. You approve of Diane Abbot becoming Home Sec. You approve of McMao becoming chancellor. It is a very good thing that you are not a candidate. It is a very good thing that the far left is going to fail badly on June 8th. You are the epitome of why Labour is in such a deep crisis.
  • Options
    LadyBucketLadyBucket Posts: 590
    I think the PM can close down this debate about police numbers before Labour really get going, by just saying there is going to be a "review" after the election.
  • Options
    IanB2IanB2 Posts: 47,574
    Ishmael_Z said:

    IanB2 said:

    RobD said:

    RobD said:

    A very good article by Mr Meeks. It should be about Brexit, but I cannot see it being so. The Manchester outrage will be on our TV;s for some while with the aftermath .The Tories will undoubtedly hammer home the Labour leadership as security risks, after all its not as tho it isn't true.

    Yep - so the fact that Theresa May cut police numbers, and the number of armed police by 10%, goes under-reported and undebated. That's what having no opposition does. We are all wose off as a result.

    Higher numbers didn't seem to make much difference in 2005. If anything, more needs to be spent on the intelligence services - more eyes to keep an eye on their watchlist.

    Crimes will always be committed. Reducing the numbers of those tasked with preventing and solving them may not be the best move. We need the debate. But with no opposition we won't get it. No-one serious believes Diane Abbott or Jeremy Corbyn have anything sensible to say about security.

    Hasn't crime been on a downward trend though?
    Not all crimes:

    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-39215668
    It's non-violent crime that has taken the big fall - burglarly, car theft etc. - thanks to technology (cars that are harder to start and easier to track, DNA testing, cctv, internet cams) - it's been happening across the world since the mid-90s so not really tied to any domestic change in policing or spending. There is also a view that technology has 'diverted' some criminals into online crime, which isn't so easily measured.

    Tis also that stuff doesn't cost anything anymore. 1983 vhs recorder £3500 nominal, 2017 Sony dvd recorder £50 or if you want second hand, £30 on ebay, so who would buy one off a bloke in the pub?
    I don't really buy that. The other side of technology is that it has multiplied the number of attractive portable things to steal.
  • Options
    bobajobPBbobajobPB Posts: 1,042
    RobD said:

    kle4 said:

    ydoethur said:



    It was an error. A stupid and avoidable error that around half the population were opposed to. An error that could and should have been foreseen. An error that has had terrible consequences.

    But to try and atone for it by electing Corbyn as leader is the equivalent of Stalin making amends for the Ukrainian famine of 1931 by shooting all the coal miners in the Donbass, blowing up every steel factory with the workers inside and ordering Moscow burned to the ground.

    There is failure - and there is compounding the failure.

    No-one even tries to defend the Iraq War anymore (or if they do it is some pussy-footing, like the War was right but we lost the Aftermath).

    But, the concomitant of Theresa being lucky is that Jeremy has been unlucky.

    First, the Labour centre-left refused to accept his election. Second, Brexit delivered to Labour an almost unplayable hand. And third, terrorism has now forced the election onto the worst arena of all for him.

    After all that, I kind of feel amazed that Jeremy has kept going.

    I won’t be voting for him, but I would buy his home-made jam.

    Corbyn believes in his own invincibility. He will still be directing his "armies" long after the war has been lost. His bunker has been prepared. They will have to smoke him out. He aint quitting evah..
    If he gets more votes than ed m, as it quite possible, why should he?
    Votes don't mean jack in our system. :D
    Indeed. If Jezza lands more votes but fewer seats he will simply have confirmed he and his merry band are strategically inept, piling up votes in their metropolitan comfort zone where they are surplus to requirements.
  • Options
    SandpitSandpit Posts: 50,019

    IanB2 said:

    RobD said:

    RobD said:

    A very good article by Mr Meeks. It should be about Brexit, but I cannot see it being so. The Manchester outrage will be on our TV;s for some while with the aftermath .The Tories will undoubtedly hammer home the Labour leadership as security risks, after all its not as tho it isn't true.

    Yep - so the fact that Theresa May cut police numbers, and the number of armed police by 10%, goes under-reported and undebated. That's what having no opposition does. We are all wose off as a result.

    Higher numbers didn't seem to make much difference in 2005. If anything, more needs to be spent on the intelligence services - more eyes to keep an eye on their watchlist.

    Crimes will always be committed. Reducing the numbers of those tasked with preventing and solving them may not be the best move. We need the debate. But with no opposition we won't get it. No-one serious believes Diane Abbott or Jeremy Corbyn have anything sensible to say about security.

    Hasn't crime been on a downward trend though?
    Not all crimes:

    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-39215668
    It's non-violent crime that has taken the big fall - burglarly, car theft etc. - thanks to technology (cars that are harder to start and easier to track, DNA testing, cctv, internet cams) - it's been happening across the world since the mid-90s so not really tied to any domestic change in policing or spending. There is also a view that technology has 'diverted' some criminals into online crime, which isn't so easily measured.
    One law I'd like to be brought in is that any public institution (e.g. councils, hospitals etc) or publicly-traded company (e.g. banks) need to disclose every year an estimate of how much money has been lost to cybercrime - either directly or indirectly.

    Rumours are that the figures for banks alone are shocking. And given the stupidity banks show (e.g. Barclays' voice biometric verification), it's not surprise.
    As a technology consultant to businesses, I wholeheartedly support your fantastic suggestion :)
  • Options
    JackWJackW Posts: 14,787
    Ishmael_Z said:

    Tis also that stuff doesn't cost anything anymore. 1983 vhs recorder £3500 nominal, 2017 Sony dvd recorder £50 or if you want second hand, £30 on ebay, so who would buy one off a bloke in the pub?

    Trigger ....
  • Options
    freetochoosefreetochoose Posts: 1,107
    IanB2 said:

    FPT

    I'm very concerned about the sort of country we're becoming if people are worried that shopkeepers are growing beards, that sounds flippant but its a serious point. I said on here yesterday that reprisals are inevitable, I might be wrong but its unlikely that Sean T will take direct action, in 1 or 2 places I wouldn't be so sure.

    We are in troubled times and there will be people who say Brexit is the catalyst to violence against foreigners when it is not connected in any way. There will be dozens of reports of "racist" attacks which I find abhorrent, but if Islamists choose to murder children and nothing is "seen" to be done, there will be problems.

    BNP, Britain First etc will be whipping people up into a frenzy, it is unconnected to Brexit in every way.

    Ah, you are falling into the trap that our "Betters" live in - that we are 30 seconds away from a pogrom, complete with pitchforks and torches.

    I think events in the last few years have demonstrated a ridiculous high bar for such a thing to happen.
    No, I'm saying that there will be a rise in attacks on foreign people and that Remainers will blame it on Brexit. It has nothing to do with Brexit, its to do with foreigners blowing up concerts.

    *foreigners* ?
    Perception is important. Keep wringing your hands and go into a pub on a council estate, you'll soon get my point.
  • Options
    SouthamObserverSouthamObserver Posts: 38,986
    HYUFD said:

    Pulpstar said:

    RobD said:
    Michael Fallon is 'disappointed' with the US.
    That's "utterly and completely furious" for anyone who needs the translation from British English.
    More accurately he is 'disappointed' with the Hillary backing New York Times which did the leaking

    The NYT reported what it was told. If it hadn't been told it could not have reported.

  • Options
    RobDRobD Posts: 59,022
    edited May 2017

    HYUFD said:

    Pulpstar said:

    RobD said:
    Michael Fallon is 'disappointed' with the US.
    That's "utterly and completely furious" for anyone who needs the translation from British English.
    More accurately he is 'disappointed' with the Hillary backing New York Times which did the leaking

    The NYT reported what it was told. If it hadn't been told it could not have reported.

    It doesn't have to report on everything it is told, at least not immediately!
  • Options
    bobajobPBbobajobPB Posts: 1,042
    Any update on the length of Sean's dry cleaner's beard? Long enough to shop him to the authorities yet?
  • Options
    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 117,214

    I think the PM can close down this debate about police numbers before Labour really get going, by just saying there is going to be a "review" after the election.

    Osborne froze the police budget in 2015 and there will be a real terms increase by 2018-19
  • Options
    DavidLDavidL Posts: 51,503
    midwinter said:

    DavidL said:

    Scott_P said:

    This is what it is to live in a democracy under attack. We disagree on the extent of the danger and what should be done, but we are all on the same side.

    Or are we? This brings us to the rank unsuitability of Jeremy Corbyn to be prime minister and the fact that a once great party like Labour can seriously propose him as the person who could, in a matter of weeks, be chairing meetings of the government’s Cobra emergency committee.

    Almost without fail, Corbyn has expressed support for this country’s enemies, opposed British military deployments overseas, or sided with assorted fringe elements who say we deserve what we get. The man is by no reasonable definition a patriot. He is quite simply unfit to hold office.


    https://www.thetimes.co.uk/edition/comment/it-s-time-we-talked-about-corbyn-s-patriotism-2f2xwzcnn

    That wording seems weirdly familiar. This huge deficiency in the twice elected leader of the Labour Party will now move centre stage. But I don't share Alastair's frustration about Brexit not being discussed. The key for Brexit is who do we trust to negotiate the best possible deal on our behalf? Since the idea of trusting Corbyn about anything is pretty risible there is only one answer to that.
    True about Corbyn but I can't say what Mrs May has done so far lends me to believe she'd be much better.
    Foolishly I imagined a Brexit election might lead to us getting some idea as to her plans. Silly me.
    Seems to me we're expected to vote for her with absolutely no idea of why.
    It's not good enough and against anyone else she would've been exposed more than she has.
    Oh she will be better. Much better. Not great, indeed seriously flawed unless she can learn from her mistakes, but much better. That in a nutshell is the problem.
  • Options
    SouthamObserverSouthamObserver Posts: 38,986
    Security is now off the table as a Brexit negotiating tool. Though, to be fair, only deluded anti-European right wingers ever thought otherwise.
  • Options
    dyedwooliedyedwoolie Posts: 7,786
    Morning all.
    Very pleased to see information is no longer being shared with the US. Wouldn't be a bad policy generally, the states are a busted flush, cooperation with China and the East is the way forward. Unshackle from the yee haw boys and a lot of the hatred dissipates. I hope America soon elects an isolationist and disappears up its own backside. The world would instantly be a safer place.
  • Options
    Dura_AceDura_Ace Posts: 13,076

    Can't blame Manchester police for ceasing to share information. The leaks are totally unacceptable.

    Mr. Rog, it might be that sort of game-playing, but it's so short-sighted and stupid it's deeply disappointing.

    You've also got to wonder at the NYT publishing photos of blood splattered debris before all the victims have been identified let alone buried. What are we to read next - autopsy reports detailing injuries & cause of death?
    Nobody who didn't want to had to read it. Why shouldn't we know what's being done to us?
  • Options
    BromptonautBromptonaut Posts: 1,113

    IanB2 said:

    FPT

    I'm very concerned about the sort of country we're becoming if people are worried that shopkeepers are growing beards, that sounds flippant but its a serious point. I said on here yesterday that reprisals are inevitable, I might be wrong but its unlikely that Sean T will take direct action, in 1 or 2 places I wouldn't be so sure.

    We are in troubled times and there will be people who say Brexit is the catalyst to violence against foreigners when it is not connected in any way. There will be dozens of reports of "racist" attacks which I find abhorrent, but if Islamists choose to murder children and nothing is "seen" to be done, there will be problems.

    BNP, Britain First etc will be whipping people up into a frenzy, it is unconnected to Brexit in every way.

    Ah, you are falling into the trap that our "Betters" live in - that we are 30 seconds away from a pogrom, complete with pitchforks and torches.

    I think events in the last few years have demonstrated a ridiculous high bar for such a thing to happen.
    No, I'm saying that there will be a rise in attacks on foreign people and that Remainers will blame it on Brexit. It has nothing to do with Brexit, its to do with foreigners blowing up concerts.

    *foreigners* ?
    Perception is important. Keep wringing your hands and go into a pub on a council estate, you'll soon get my point.
    If you have brown skin you'll never be perceived as British, is that what you're saying? Just want to be clear on this
  • Options
    bobajobPBbobajobPB Posts: 1,042

    I won't pursue the personal debate further as I can't imagine it's of general interest, but it's certainly true that lots of Labour members who are not always left-wing will not vote to replace Corbyn after a possible election defeat unless someone offers an attractive alternative. To write all of us off as deluded zealots misses the point and is self-defeating for centrists.
    Anyway, we have an election to fight now: time to worry about what happens next thereafter.

    In the meantime, there's an interesting discussion here of the challenges faced by voters and MPs in our electronic age:

    https://www.demos.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2017/05/Signal-and-Noise-Demos.pdf

    At first skim, I think they're right about the problem, but I don't instantly see that their dashboards etc. solve it. But perhaps I've not studied it enough?

    It certainly is of general interest, Nick. Can you explain to me why Jezza should remain in post if - as is likely - he presides over a defeat and a reduction in Labour seats? Is there even a precedent for such behaviour?
  • Options
    YBarddCwscYBarddCwsc Posts: 7,172
    edited May 2017

    I think the PM can close down this debate about police numbers before Labour really get going, by just saying there is going to be a "review" after the election.

    I am not sure the PM should close it down.

    It looks like a huge mistake by Labour to me, tantamount to trying to “blame” Theresa for the attack.

    Labour need to get the focus off police & security asap, and onto anything else.
  • Options
    swing_voterswing_voter Posts: 1,437
    And of course, we used to cooperate with Gadaffi's Libya and Assad's Syria throughout the early part of the 21st century by rendering "suspects" to the US who then handed them to the respective secret police in those countries.......the whole issue of intelligence sharing with the US et al.. has never looked good in daylight.
  • Options
    JackWJackW Posts: 14,787
    bobajobPB said:

    Any update on the length of Sean's dry cleaner's beard? Long enough to shop him to the authorities yet?

    Any update on the length of Nick Palmer's party leaders beard? Long enough to shave 50 MP's off their pre-election total ?
  • Options
    PongPong Posts: 4,693
    edited May 2017

    RobD said:

    Blue_rog said:

    RobD said:

    Blue_rog said:

    RobD said:
    'm generally not a conspiracy nut but these leaks may be of benefit to the traditional politicians in the US. I find it difficult to believe that changing one or two people at the top of the intelligence tree means the whole edifice suddenly leaks like a sieve.

    I'm wondering if this is a play on depicting the Trump administration as untrustworthy and the leaks are part of a bigger domestic game.
    Except it's not coming from the White House, according to the BBC. Trump could easily say that this is a perfect example of how leaky the US intelligence service is.
    That's what I meant. The leaks being orchestrated from Capital Hill
    If they wanted to discredit Trump, surely they should make it look like the leaks are coming from there?

    While the cat's away, the mice will play.

    Unfortunately, this is very dangerous. As the PM would say, "this is not a game".

    I'm sure terrorists, all over the world, are delighted to hear Manchester Police have stopped sharing intelligence with the US. It was a very bad mistake to put this out there in the media and counter-productive.

    What else can GMP do?

    The immediate security of the people they are responsible for protecting is being undermined by the people they're sharing their intel with.

    The solution is to immediately stop sharing. If this isn't being done at a national level, it has to be done at a local police level. They have no other option.

    Hopefully this can be resolved within 24 hrs - a public commitment from trump to identify and extradite the leakers will probably be enough to regain GMP's confidence.
  • Options
    Sean_FSean_F Posts: 36,013
    bobajobPB said:

    Any update on the length of Sean's dry cleaner's beard? Long enough to shop him to the authorities yet?

    My neighbours are fervent Corbyn supporters. I'll be reporting them.
  • Options
    camelcamel Posts: 815

    I think the PM can close down this debate about police numbers before Labour really get going, by just saying there is going to be a "review" after the election.

    I am not sure the PM should close it down.

    It looks like a huge mistake by Labour to me, tantamount to trying to “blame” Theresa for the attack.

    Labour need to get the focus off police & security asap, and onto anything else.
    Not least that they would have to wheel out Diane "in hiding" Abbott to do so.
  • Options
    YBarddCwscYBarddCwsc Posts: 7,172
    bobajobPB said:

    I won't pursue the personal debate further as I can't imagine it's of general interest, but it's certainly true that lots of Labour members who are not always left-wing will not vote to replace Corbyn after a possible election defeat unless someone offers an attractive alternative. To write all of us off as deluded zealots misses the point and is self-defeating for centrists.
    Anyway, we have an election to fight now: time to worry about what happens next thereafter.

    In the meantime, there's an interesting discussion here of the challenges faced by voters and MPs in our electronic age:

    https://www.demos.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2017/05/Signal-and-Noise-Demos.pdf

    At first skim, I think they're right about the problem, but I don't instantly see that their dashboards etc. solve it. But perhaps I've not studied it enough?

    It certainly is of general interest, Nick. Can you explain to me why Jezza should remain in post if - as is likely - he presides over a defeat and a reduction in Labour seats? Is there even a precedent for such behaviour?
    Nick doesn’t deserve this ferocious interrogation by all and sundry.
  • Options
    IanB2IanB2 Posts: 47,574

    I won't pursue the personal debate further as I can't imagine it's of general interest, but it's certainly true that lots of Labour members who are not always left-wing will not vote to replace Corbyn after a possible election defeat unless someone offers an attractive alternative. To write all of us off as deluded zealots misses the point and is self-defeating for centrists.
    Anyway, we have an election to fight now: time to worry about what happens next thereafter.

    In the meantime, there's an interesting discussion here of the challenges faced by voters and MPs in our electronic age:

    https://www.demos.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2017/05/Signal-and-Noise-Demos.pdf

    At first skim, I think they're right about the problem, but I don't instantly see that their dashboards etc. solve it. But perhaps I've not studied it enough?

    Labour's biggest mistake of all was breaking its promise to change to voting system. The party clings to the current one yet refuses its lessons.

    I do however agree with Nick on one thing - it is hard to see that Smith, Cooper or Argclu would be doing any better. Indeed last week Corbyn was exceeding expectations (which for many on this site started at low-20%s. Labour is nothing without its ground campaign and this does depend heavily upon having a large enthused membership,
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    DecrepitJohnLDecrepitJohnL Posts: 13,300

    Can't blame Manchester police for ceasing to share information. The leaks are totally unacceptable.

    Mr. Rog, it might be that sort of game-playing, but it's so short-sighted and stupid it's deeply disappointing.

    The leaked photos might be annoying or even distasteful but if throwing GMP's toys out of the pram means they cut themselves off from American expertise and intelligence, who wins?
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    RobDRobD Posts: 59,022

    Security is now off the table as a Brexit negotiating tool. Though, to be fair, only deluded anti-European right wingers ever thought otherwise.

    If there is no deal, all bets are off!
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    dyedwooliedyedwoolie Posts: 7,786
    edited May 2017
    bobajobPB said:

    I won't pursue the personal debate further as I can't imagine it's of general interest, but it's certainly true that lots of Labour members who are not always left-wing will not vote to replace Corbyn after a possible election defeat unless someone offers an attractive alternative. To write all of us off as deluded zealots misses the point and is self-defeating for centrists.
    Anyway, we have an election to fight now: time to worry about what happens next thereafter.

    In the meantime, there's an interesting discussion here of the challenges faced by voters and MPs in our electronic age:

    https://www.demos.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2017/05/Signal-and-Noise-Demos.pdf

    At first skim, I think they're right about the problem, but I don't instantly see that their dashboards etc. solve it. But perhaps I've not studied it enough?

    It certainly is of general interest, Nick. Can you explain to me why Jezza should remain in post if - as is likely - he presides over a defeat and a reduction in Labour seats? Is there even a precedent for such behaviour?
    The closest comparison would be Callaghan who stayed on to reform the way the leader was elected before resigning. Corbyn would probably like to do that to assist the hard left.
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    RobDRobD Posts: 59,022
    camel said:

    I think the PM can close down this debate about police numbers before Labour really get going, by just saying there is going to be a "review" after the election.

    I am not sure the PM should close it down.

    It looks like a huge mistake by Labour to me, tantamount to trying to “blame” Theresa for the attack.

    Labour need to get the focus off police & security asap, and onto anything else.
    Not least that they would have to wheel out Diane "in hiding" Abbott to do so.
    Have we even heard from Abbott yet?
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    Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 61,028
    Mr. Observer, no, it isn't.

    Disregarding the point (you may not have seen) I made earlier about most intelligence being nothing to do with imminent threats and the cessation of info-sharing with the Germans because it kept falling into nefarious hands, many organisations through which co-operation is co-ordinated are ones which we're members of due to being in the EU.

    Rejoining said organisations will therefore form part of the deal that is negotiated when we leave the EU.

    Furthermore, the leaks from the US (earlier ones from France also) show that co-operation is not risk free.
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    RobDRobD Posts: 59,022

    Can't blame Manchester police for ceasing to share information. The leaks are totally unacceptable.

    Mr. Rog, it might be that sort of game-playing, but it's so short-sighted and stupid it's deeply disappointing.

    The leaked photos might be annoying or even distasteful but if throwing GMP's toys out of the pram means they cut themselves off from American expertise and intelligence, who wins?
    It's all about them throwing their toys out of the pram. Normal service will probably resume asap, with hopefully fewer leaks from the US.
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    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 117,214

    bobajobPB said:

    I won't pursue the personal debate further as I can't imagine it's of general interest, but it's certainly true that lots of Labour members who are not always left-wing will not vote to replace Corbyn after a possible election defeat unless someone offers an attractive alternative. To write all of us off as deluded zealots misses the point and is self-defeating for centrists.
    Anyway, we have an election to fight now: time to worry about what happens next thereafter.

    In the meantime, there's an interesting discussion here of the challenges faced by voters and MPs in our electronic age:

    https://www.demos.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2017/05/Signal-and-Noise-Demos.pdf

    At first skim, I think they're right about the problem, but I don't instantly see that their dashboards etc. solve it. But perhaps I've not studied it enough?

    It certainly is of general interest, Nick. Can you explain to me why Jezza should remain in post if - as is likely - he presides over a defeat and a reduction in Labour seats? Is there even a precedent for such behaviour?
    The closest comparison would be Callaghan who stayed on to reform the way the leader was elected before resigning. Corbyn would probably like to do that to assist the hard left.
    Heath 1966
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    kle4kle4 Posts: 92,087
    RobD said:

    HYUFD said:

    Pulpstar said:

    RobD said:
    Michael Fallon is 'disappointed' with the US.
    That's "utterly and completely furious" for anyone who needs the translation from British English.
    More accurately he is 'disappointed' with the Hillary backing New York Times which did the leaking

    The NYT reported what it was told. If it hadn't been told it could not have reported.

    It doesn't have to report on everything it is told, at least not immediately!
    No, but they should not have had the option, so the principle fault lies with those who gave it to them - we can hardly blame, too much, a news organisation deciding to break some news.
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    Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 61,028
    Mr. L, the investigation is live. If sharing info means terrorists learn what we know that could make it easier for them to evade justice.

    GMP are not throwing their toys out of the pram, they're trying to crack a terrorist network and are not aided by having secret intelligence information leaked to the media.
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    kle4kle4 Posts: 92,087

    bobajobPB said:

    I won't pursue the personal debate further as I can't imagine it's of general interest, but it's certainly true that lots of Labour members who are not always left-wing will not vote to replace Corbyn after a possible election defeat unless someone offers an attractive alternative. To write all of us off as deluded zealots misses the point and is self-defeating for centrists.
    Anyway, we have an election to fight now: time to worry about what happens next thereafter.

    In the meantime, there's an interesting discussion here of the challenges faced by voters and MPs in our electronic age:

    https://www.demos.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2017/05/Signal-and-Noise-Demos.pdf

    At first skim, I think they're right about the problem, but I don't instantly see that their dashboards etc. solve it. But perhaps I've not studied it enough?

    It certainly is of general interest, Nick. Can you explain to me why Jezza should remain in post if - as is likely - he presides over a defeat and a reduction in Labour seats? Is there even a precedent for such behaviour?
    Nick doesn’t deserve this ferocious interrogation by all and sundry.
    Agreed. The positionis well established. Don't forget and move on, but it doesn't need a forensic inquiry.
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    RobDRobD Posts: 59,022
    kle4 said:

    RobD said:

    HYUFD said:

    Pulpstar said:

    RobD said:
    Michael Fallon is 'disappointed' with the US.
    That's "utterly and completely furious" for anyone who needs the translation from British English.
    More accurately he is 'disappointed' with the Hillary backing New York Times which did the leaking

    The NYT reported what it was told. If it hadn't been told it could not have reported.

    It doesn't have to report on everything it is told, at least not immediately!
    No, but they should not have had the option, so the principle fault lies with those who gave it to them - we can hardly blame, too much, a news organisation deciding to break some news.
    Irresponsible to leak, but the paper knew what they were doing when they published the name so soon after the attack. That's unacceptable.
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    IanB2IanB2 Posts: 47,574
    edited May 2017
    RobD said:

    Can't blame Manchester police for ceasing to share information. The leaks are totally unacceptable.

    Mr. Rog, it might be that sort of game-playing, but it's so short-sighted and stupid it's deeply disappointing.

    The leaked photos might be annoying or even distasteful but if throwing GMP's toys out of the pram means they cut themselves off from American expertise and intelligence, who wins?
    It's all about them throwing their toys out of the pram. Normal service will probably resume asap, with hopefully fewer leaks from the US.
    Here is the CNN perspective on the matter. Reported in a low-key factual way; article ends with the words probably not going to change intelligence-sharing arrangements all that much.

    http://edition.cnn.com/2017/05/24/europe/manchester-us-leaks-investigation/index.html
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    Dura_AceDura_Ace Posts: 13,076

    Can't blame Manchester police for ceasing to share information. The leaks are totally unacceptable.

    Mr. Rog, it might be that sort of game-playing, but it's so short-sighted and stupid it's deeply disappointing.

    The leaked photos might be annoying or even distasteful but if throwing GMP's toys out of the pram means they cut themselves off from American expertise and intelligence, who wins?
    The NSA, CIA and FBI will be livid at losing visibility of 10 quid dope deals in Hulme.
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    SimonStClareSimonStClare Posts: 7,976
    RobD said:

    camel said:

    I think the PM can close down this debate about police numbers before Labour really get going, by just saying there is going to be a "review" after the election.

    I am not sure the PM should close it down.

    It looks like a huge mistake by Labour to me, tantamount to trying to “blame” Theresa for the attack.

    Labour need to get the focus off police & security asap, and onto anything else.
    Not least that they would have to wheel out Diane "in hiding" Abbott to do so.
    Have we even heard from Abbott yet?
    Don't think so, Shabi Chakrabarti has been doing the rounds instead of Diane Abbott recently.
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    RobDRobD Posts: 59,022

    Mr. L, the investigation is live. If sharing info means terrorists learn what we know that could make it easier for them to evade justice.

    GMP are not throwing their toys out of the pram, they're trying to crack a terrorist network and are not aided by having secret intelligence information leaked to the media.

    On your second point, I think they are doing it with this level of publicity to show just how miffed they are.
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    kle4kle4 Posts: 92,087

    IanB2 said:

    FPT

    I'm very concerned about the sort of country we're becoming if people are worried that shopkeepers are growing beards, that sounds flippant but its a serious point. I said on here yesterday that reprisals are inevitable, I might be wrong but its unlikely that Sean T will take direct action, in 1 or 2 places I wouldn't be so sure.

    We are in troubled times and there will be people who say Brexit is the catalyst to violence against foreigners when it is not connected in any way. There will be dozens of reports of "racist" attacks which I find abhorrent, but if Islamists choose to murder children and nothing is "seen" to be done, there will be problems.

    BNP, Britain First etc will be whipping people up into a frenzy, it is unconnected to Brexit in every way.

    Ah, you are falling into the trap that our "Betters" live in - that we are 30 seconds away from a pogrom, complete with pitchforks and torches.

    I think events in the last few years have demonstrated a ridiculous high bar for such a thing to happen.
    No, I'm saying that there will be a rise in attacks on foreign people and that Remainers will blame it on Brexit. It has nothing to do with Brexit, its to do with foreigners blowing up concerts.

    *foreigners* ?
    Perception is important. Keep wringing your hands and go into a pub on a council estate, you'll soon get my point.
    If you have brown skin you'll never be perceived as British, is that what you're saying? Just want to be clear on this
    Free to choose says offensive things from time to time, but I feel you are searching for reasons to be offended more than necessary.
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    ParistondaParistonda Posts: 1,819
    I would expect Trump to turn fire against the NYT and the intelligence services. I expect some tweets about it soon. May would probably berate him in private over it though, and rightly so. He is the president, the buck stops with him.
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    dyedwooliedyedwoolie Posts: 7,786
    There's an elephant in every front room in Britain wearing a Michael Howard mask and whispering 'are you thinking what we're thinking'
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    JackWJackW Posts: 14,787
    edited May 2017
    RobD said:

    Have we even heard from Abbott yet?

    Only students in lecture halls as she has been appointed The Turing Professor of Mathematics at Pyongyang University (Twinned with Hackney).
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    kle4kle4 Posts: 92,087
    bobajobPB said:

    Any update on the length of Sean's dry cleaner's beard? Long enough to shop him to the authorities yet?

    The sarcasm is noted, and no one would be comfortable doing so nor did many say they would, but in a world where 'they changed their habits significantly, why did no one notice anything was up' is a real thing, the suggestion was not inexplicable or entirely irrational, even if one fell on the side of it being disproportionate and unpleasant.
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    bobajobPBbobajobPB Posts: 1,042

    bobajobPB said:

    I won't pursue the personal debate further as I can't imagine it's of general interest, but it's certainly true that lots of Labour members who are not always left-wing will not vote to replace Corbyn after a possible election defeat unless someone offers an attractive alternative. To write all of us off as deluded zealots misses the point and is self-defeating for centrists.
    Anyway, we have an election to fight now: time to worry about what happens next thereafter.

    In the meantime, there's an interesting discussion here of the challenges faced by voters and MPs in our electronic age:

    https://www.demos.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2017/05/Signal-and-Noise-Demos.pdf

    At first skim, I think they're right about the problem, but I don't instantly see that their dashboards etc. solve it. But perhaps I've not studied it enough?

    It certainly is of general interest, Nick. Can you explain to me why Jezza should remain in post if - as is likely - he presides over a defeat and a reduction in Labour seats? Is there even a precedent for such behaviour?
    Nick doesn’t deserve this ferocious interrogation by all and sundry.
    I asked a perfectly reasonable question. Since when was debate 'interrogation'? You are treading the same line as ThreeQuidder who accused me of bullying Moniker by asking him to forecast an election result instead of dog whistling.
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    Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 61,028
    Mr. D, perhaps. What matters is that the leaking is unacceptable, and has to stop.
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    prh47bridgeprh47bridge Posts: 441
    bobajobPB said:

    I won't pursue the personal debate further as I can't imagine it's of general interest, but it's certainly true that lots of Labour members who are not always left-wing will not vote to replace Corbyn after a possible election defeat unless someone offers an attractive alternative. To write all of us off as deluded zealots misses the point and is self-defeating for centrists.
    Anyway, we have an election to fight now: time to worry about what happens next thereafter.

    In the meantime, there's an interesting discussion here of the challenges faced by voters and MPs in our electronic age:

    https://www.demos.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2017/05/Signal-and-Noise-Demos.pdf

    At first skim, I think they're right about the problem, but I don't instantly see that their dashboards etc. solve it. But perhaps I've not studied it enough?

    It certainly is of general interest, Nick. Can you explain to me why Jezza should remain in post if - as is likely - he presides over a defeat and a reduction in Labour seats? Is there even a precedent for such behaviour?
    I think Corbyn should go but there is a precedent. Harold Wilson lost 76 seats and saw Labour's vote share reduced by 4.9% in 1970. He remained leader and went on to regain power in 1974.
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    DecrepitJohnLDecrepitJohnL Posts: 13,300

    I think the PM can close down this debate about police numbers before Labour really get going, by just saying there is going to be a "review" after the election.

    I am not sure the PM should close it down.

    It looks like a huge mistake by Labour to me, tantamount to trying to “blame” Theresa for the attack.

    Labour need to get the focus off police & security asap, and onto anything else.
    Disagree. I'm with Karl Rove (G W Bush's election guru) on this one. Labour needs to attack Tories' and specifically Theresa May's perceived strengths, and particularly here as May's roles as Prime Minister and Home Secretary are directly relevant. This means the cuts to police numbers, the failure to stop Abedi after multiple warnings from different sources, failure to monitor travel to and return from terrorist hotspots, threats to stop sharing intelligence as part of Brexit, and yes, failure to control non-EU immigration.

    In short, Labour needs to attack and destroy any impression that Theresa May and a Conservative government make Britain safe.
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    bobajobPBbobajobPB Posts: 1,042
    SeanF

    I can only presume their beards have passed the 5 inch threshold.
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    midwintermidwinter Posts: 1,112
    DavidL said:

    midwinter said:

    DavidL said:

    Scott_P said:

    This is what it is to live in a democracy under attack. We disagree on the extent of the danger and what should be done, but we are all on the same side.

    Or are we? This brings us to the rank unsuitability of Jeremy Corbyn to be prime minister and the fact that a once great party like Labour can seriously propose him as the person who could, in a matter of weeks, be chairing meetings of the government’s Cobra emergency committee.

    Almost without fail, Corbyn has expressed support for this country’s enemies, opposed British military deployments overseas, or sided with assorted fringe elements who say we deserve what we get. The man is by no reasonable definition a patriot. He is quite simply unfit to hold office.


    https://www.thetimes.co.uk/edition/comment/it-s-time-we-talked-about-corbyn-s-patriotism-2f2xwzcnn

    That wording seems weirdly familiar. This huge deficiency in the twice elected leader of the Labour Party will now move centre stage. But I don't share Alastair's frustration about Brexit not being discussed. The key for Brexit is who do we trust to negotiate the best possible deal on our behalf? Since the idea of trusting Corbyn about anything is pretty risible there is only one answer to that.
    True about Corbyn but I can't say what Mrs May has done so far lends me to believe she'd be much better.
    Foolishly I imagined a Brexit election might lead to us getting some idea as to her plans. Silly me.
    Seems to me we're expected to vote for her with absolutely no idea of why.
    It's not good enough and against anyone else she would've been exposed more than she has.
    Oh she will be better. Much better. Not great, indeed seriously flawed unless she can learn from her mistakes, but much better. That in a nutshell is the problem.
    Yep. It would be nice to be able to vote Conservative for positive reasons rather than because Mrs May is probably the least atrocious option though.
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    RobDRobD Posts: 59,022

    I think the PM can close down this debate about police numbers before Labour really get going, by just saying there is going to be a "review" after the election.

    I am not sure the PM should close it down.

    It looks like a huge mistake by Labour to me, tantamount to trying to “blame” Theresa for the attack.

    Labour need to get the focus off police & security asap, and onto anything else.
    Disagree. I'm with Karl Rove (G W Bush's election guru) on this one. Labour needs to attack Tories' and specifically Theresa May's perceived strengths, and particularly here as May's roles as Prime Minister and Home Secretary are directly relevant. This means the cuts to police numbers, the failure to stop Abedi after multiple warnings from different sources, failure to monitor travel to and return from terrorist hotspots, threats to stop sharing intelligence as part of Brexit, and yes, failure to control non-EU immigration.

    In short, Labour needs to attack and destroy any impression that Theresa May and a Conservative government make Britain safe.
    Trouble is even if they did that, the alternative (them) are about a million times less trusted on the issue.
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    SandpitSandpit Posts: 50,019
    Monaco: Whoops, I got the time an hour out - P1 starting now.
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    bobajobPBbobajobPB Posts: 1,042
    Dyed

    Unlikely the McDonnell amendment gets past conference, especially in the wake of a huge defeat for the far left.
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    camelcamel Posts: 815
    Lots of big events this weekend; having 1000 troops on the streets to support the police at this exceptional time seems sensible. To suggest this means that the police are underfunded is ill-times mischief-making, not least by the police trade union.

    As an aside, it's Monaco time. There must be security worries, especially after Nice. Does the principality organise its own security, or does France take over?
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    timmotimmo Posts: 1,469
    Off topic..
    I presume polls have been held back over the last few days. Are we ezpecting any today?
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    dyedwooliedyedwoolie Posts: 7,786
    bobajobPB said:

    Dyed

    Unlikely the McDonnell amendment gets past conference, especially in the wake of a huge defeat for the far left.

    Indeed, but I'll bet that's his game plan. They are desperate to keep labour left.
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    bobajobPBbobajobPB Posts: 1,042
    JackW

    Good question. Perhaps Jesmondo should be shopped to MI6 for crimes against a properly functioning democracy
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    camelcamel Posts: 815

    RobD said:

    camel said:

    I think the PM can close down this debate about police numbers before Labour really get going, by just saying there is going to be a "review" after the election.

    I am not sure the PM should close it down.

    It looks like a huge mistake by Labour to me, tantamount to trying to “blame” Theresa for the attack.

    Labour need to get the focus off police & security asap, and onto anything else.
    Not least that they would have to wheel out Diane "in hiding" Abbott to do so.
    Have we even heard from Abbott yet?
    Don't think so, Shabi Chakrabarti has been doing the rounds instead of Diane Abbott recently.
    Do they have anyone vaguely agreeable on the front bench?
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    bobajobPBbobajobPB Posts: 1,042
    DuraAce

    Chortle.
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    RobDRobD Posts: 59,022
    edited May 2017
    bobajobPB said:

    SeanF

    I can only presume their beards have passed the 5 inch threshold.

    Ridiculous as it sounds, unexpected beard growth (common cure: a shaver) is a warning sign of radicalisation. Probably not sufficient for detention on its own though :p
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    IanB2IanB2 Posts: 47,574
    edited May 2017

    IanB2 said:

    FPT

    I'm very concerned about the sort of country we're becoming if people are worried that shopkeepers are growing beards, that sounds flippant but its a serious point. I said on here yesterday that reprisals are inevitable, I might be wrong but its unlikely that Sean T will take direct action, in 1 or 2 places I wouldn't be so sure.

    We are in troubled times and there will be people who say Brexit is the catalyst to violence against foreigners when it is not connected in any way. There will be dozens of reports of "racist" attacks which I find abhorrent, but if Islamists choose to murder children and nothing is "seen" to be done, there will be problems.

    BNP, Britain First etc will be whipping people up into a frenzy, it is unconnected to Brexit in every way.

    Ah, you are falling into the trap that our "Betters" live in - that we are 30 seconds away from a pogrom, complete with pitchforks and torches.

    I think events in the last few years have demonstrated a ridiculous high bar for such a thing to happen.
    No, I'm saying that there will be a rise in attacks on foreign people and that Remainers will blame it on Brexit. It has nothing to do with Brexit, its to do with foreigners blowing up concerts.

    *foreigners* ?
    Perception is important. Keep wringing your hands and go into a pub on a council estate, you'll soon get my point.
    I didn't miss the point.

    Nevertheless taking 'revenge', even verbal, on a large group of people for the crimes of a tiny handful is a sure-fire way to make things worse. And there is no time-machine available to travel back and undo whatever mistakes you might argue were made in the past, anyway.
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    another_richardanother_richard Posts: 25,154


    It's no surprise folk like me think Brexit is going to be a disaster. Though with 11 months hard evidence rather than opinion I feel that more strongly than I did on June 23rd last year.

    Hard evidence ?

    Eleven months ago people were posting here that the economy was certain to go into immediate recession, that the stock market was collapsing and that there were attacks on foreigners all over the country.

    Perhaps we should compare the hard evidence of what has actually happened during the last eleven months with what we were told was going to happen.

    I wonder if the people who pedalled all those fake news and scare stories have felt any sense of shame since.
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    Sean_FSean_F Posts: 36,013

    I think the PM can close down this debate about police numbers before Labour really get going, by just saying there is going to be a "review" after the election.

    I am not sure the PM should close it down.

    It looks like a huge mistake by Labour to me, tantamount to trying to “blame” Theresa for the attack.

    Labour need to get the focus off police & security asap, and onto anything else.
    Disagree. I'm with Karl Rove (G W Bush's election guru) on this one. Labour needs to attack Tories' and specifically Theresa May's perceived strengths, and particularly here as May's roles as Prime Minister and Home Secretary are directly relevant. This means the cuts to police numbers, the failure to stop Abedi after multiple warnings from different sources, failure to monitor travel to and return from terrorist hotspots, threats to stop sharing intelligence as part of Brexit, and yes, failure to control non-EU immigration.

    In short, Labour needs to attack and destroy any impression that Theresa May and a Conservative government make Britain safe.
    If Labour were led by Attlee, Gaitskell, Wilson or Callaghan, that might be a profitable line of attack.

    But, when they're led by people like Corbyn, McDonnell, Abbot, it certainly isn't.
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    NickPalmerNickPalmer Posts: 21,380

    bobajobPB said:



    It certainly is of general interest, Nick. Can you explain to me why Jezza should remain in post if - as is likely - he presides over a defeat and a reduction in Labour seats? Is there even a precedent for such behaviour?

    Nick doesn’t deserve this ferocious interrogation by all and sundry.
    Thanks, YBard! I don't think my personal views matter much at this point except insofar as they explify the sort of party members whom centrists should be trying to win over. We haven't lost yet, but should we do so, I'll need to be convinced that someone else would have done better and, more important, that they'll do bett next time. And by "do better" I mean not just win, but make us feel it's worth winning.
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    IanB2IanB2 Posts: 47,574
    RobD said:

    bobajobPB said:

    SeanF

    I can only presume their beards have passed the 5 inch threshold.

    Ridiculous as it sounds, unexpected beard growth (common cure: a shaver) is a warning sign of radicalisation. Probably not sufficient for detention on its own though :p
    Nuttall has some way to go; he is barely beyond the stubble stage,
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    bobajobPBbobajobPB Posts: 1,042
    Kle4

    Actually lots of PBers said that the bearded one should be grassed up. Obviously that included a lot of the hard-right semi racists, but also several people who do not fall into such a category. The odd thing about the exchange was that SeanT himself came across as relatively liberal.
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    JonathanDJonathanD Posts: 2,400

    Can't blame Manchester police for ceasing to share information. The leaks are totally unacceptable.

    Mr. Rog, it might be that sort of game-playing, but it's so short-sighted and stupid it's deeply disappointing.

    The leaked photos might be annoying or even distasteful but if throwing GMP's toys out of the pram means they cut themselves off from American expertise and intelligence, who wins?
    Quite, this is simply the nature of being the junior partner in a relationship - one we are about to find out in our Brexit negotiations.

    And the more cynical might suggest that given most of the leaks relate to how many flags the terrorist had triggered, the UK government might be more concerned about reputational damage than actual damage to the investigation.
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    YBarddCwscYBarddCwsc Posts: 7,172

    I think the PM can close down this debate about police numbers before Labour really get going, by just saying there is going to be a "review" after the election.

    I am not sure the PM should close it down.

    It looks like a huge mistake by Labour to me, tantamount to trying to “blame” Theresa for the attack.

    Labour need to get the focus off police & security asap, and onto anything else.
    Disagree. I'm with Karl Rove (G W Bush's election guru) on this one. Labour needs to attack Tories' and specifically Theresa May's perceived strengths, and particularly here as May's roles as Prime Minister and Home Secretary are directly relevant. This means the cuts to police numbers, the failure to stop Abedi after multiple warnings from different sources, failure to monitor travel to and return from terrorist hotspots, threats to stop sharing intelligence as part of Brexit, and yes, failure to control non-EU immigration.

    In short, Labour needs to attack and destroy any impression that Theresa May and a Conservative government make Britain safe.
    I guess we’ll see. It looks like a God-awful mistake.

    Just because someone says to a reporter that they know that some neighbours reported Abedi does not constitute strong evidence. Or indeed, any evidence.

    Do we really know that there were “multiple warnings from different sources”?

    And even if there were, trying to stick that on Theresa looks like a smear.

    In fact the mistake looks very like Healey’s “glorifying in the Falklands War” comment which caused the 83 election to be fought in exactly the wrong arena for Labour.
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    SimonStClareSimonStClare Posts: 7,976
    camel said:

    RobD said:

    camel said:

    I think the PM can close down this debate about police numbers before Labour really get going, by just saying there is going to be a "review" after the election.

    I am not sure the PM should close it down.

    It looks like a huge mistake by Labour to me, tantamount to trying to “blame” Theresa for the attack.

    Labour need to get the focus off police & security asap, and onto anything else.
    Not least that they would have to wheel out Diane "in hiding" Abbott to do so.
    Have we even heard from Abbott yet?
    Don't think so, Shabi Chakrabarti has been doing the rounds instead of Diane Abbott recently.
    Do they have anyone vaguely agreeable on the front bench?
    Hmm, I think Emily, the patron saint of white van drivers is quite popular…
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    CD13CD13 Posts: 6,352
    Mr F,

    You can double the number of armed police but with Jezza in number 10, they'd be armed with sticks of Blackpool rock. An exaggeration perhaps, but it makes it a problematic area for Labour.
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    Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 61,028
    Anyway, must be off. Play nicely, children.
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    dyedwooliedyedwoolie Posts: 7,786
    RobD said:

    bobajobPB said:

    SeanF

    I can only presume their beards have passed the 5 inch threshold.

    Ridiculous as it sounds, unexpected beard growth (common cure: a shaver) is a warning sign of radicalisation. Probably not sufficient for detention on its own though :p
    Lock up the hipsters
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    bobajobPBbobajobPB Posts: 1,042
    RobD

    That Moeen Ali was sporting a particularly handsome beard, at Headingley yesterday. His use of a cricket bat like a scimitar to smash several boundaries and put South Africa to the sword will worry some.
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    DecrepitJohnLDecrepitJohnL Posts: 13,300

    Mr. L, the investigation is live. If sharing info means terrorists learn what we know that could make it easier for them to evade justice.

    GMP are not throwing their toys out of the pram, they're trying to crack a terrorist network and are not aided by having secret intelligence information leaked to the media.

    Associates of Abedi will already have known his name, and any international terrorist with a room temperature IQ, just like any member of the public, would realise Abedi would be quickly identified and that bomb parts would be recovered.

    You know what would be reduced though? GMP and MI5 embarrassment that people who had previously reported their suspicions are now telling the papers. If a few red faces in officialdom is the price to pay for preventing the next outrage, let the NYT publish and be damned.

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    RobDRobD Posts: 59,022
    edited May 2017
    bobajobPB said:

    RobD

    That Moeen Ali was sporting a particularly handsome beard, at Headingley yesterday. His use of a cricket bat like a scimitar to smash several boundaries and put South Africa to the sword will worry some.

    But have you ever seen him without one? :smiley::p
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    BromptonautBromptonaut Posts: 1,113
    kle4 said:

    IanB2 said:

    FPT

    I'm very concerned about the sort of country we're becoming if people are worried that shopkeepers are growing beards, that sounds flippant but its a serious point. I said on here yesterday that reprisals are inevitable, I might be wrong but its unlikely that Sean T will take direct action, in 1 or 2 places I wouldn't be so sure.

    We are in troubled times and there will be people who say Brexit is the catalyst to violence against foreigners when it is not connected in any way. There will be dozens of reports of "racist" attacks which I find abhorrent, but if Islamists choose to murder children and nothing is "seen" to be done, there will be problems.

    BNP, Britain First etc will be whipping people up into a frenzy, it is unconnected to Brexit in every way.

    Ah, you are falling into the trap that our "Betters" live in - that we are 30 seconds away from a pogrom, complete with pitchforks and torches.

    I think events in the last few years have demonstrated a ridiculous high bar for such a thing to happen.
    No, I'm saying that there will be a rise in attacks on foreign people and that Remainers will blame it on Brexit. It has nothing to do with Brexit, its to do with foreigners blowing up concerts.

    *foreigners* ?
    Perception is important. Keep wringing your hands and go into a pub on a council estate, you'll soon get my point.
    If you have brown skin you'll never be perceived as British, is that what you're saying? Just want to be clear on this
    Free to choose says offensive things from time to time, but I feel you are searching for reasons to be offended more than necessary.
    Not at all. Simply giving him an opportunity to clarify his views. Isn't that why he's here?
  • Options
    RobDRobD Posts: 59,022

    Mr. L, the investigation is live. If sharing info means terrorists learn what we know that could make it easier for them to evade justice.

    GMP are not throwing their toys out of the pram, they're trying to crack a terrorist network and are not aided by having secret intelligence information leaked to the media.

    Associates of Abedi will already have known his name, and any international terrorist with a room temperature IQ, just like any member of the public, would realise Abedi would be quickly identified and that bomb parts would be recovered.

    You know what would be reduced though? GMP and MI5 embarrassment that people who had previously reported their suspicions are now telling the papers. If a few red faces in officialdom is the price to pay for preventing the next outrage, let the NYT publish and be damned.

    Yeah, but was it really necessary to announce it less than 24 hours after the attack?
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    ChrisChris Posts: 11,150
    All I can say is it's a good job Jeremy Corbyn has had his beard for a long time.
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    bobajobPBbobajobPB Posts: 1,042

    RobD said:

    bobajobPB said:

    SeanF

    I can only presume their beards have passed the 5 inch threshold.

    Ridiculous as it sounds, unexpected beard growth (common cure: a shaver) is a warning sign of radicalisation. Probably not sufficient for detention on its own though :p
    Lock up the hipsters
    Barry "Mad Bazza" Gardiner is dangerously close to radicalisation, judging by his shaving regime.
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    TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 41,520
    Jezza had a chance, upon election, to transform the Labour Party well short of becoming Tory-lite

    Renounce and apologise for perviously held extreme views (he is now head of a mainstream party), promise an ethical approach to government, and declare himself willing to govern for everyone,

    But then of course that wouldn't have been Jeremy.
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    AlastairMeeksAlastairMeeks Posts: 30,340

    RobD said:

    bobajobPB said:

    SeanF

    I can only presume their beards have passed the 5 inch threshold.

    Ridiculous as it sounds, unexpected beard growth (common cure: a shaver) is a warning sign of radicalisation. Probably not sufficient for detention on its own though :p
    Lock up the hipsters
    That's a policy we can all get behind.
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    bobajobPBbobajobPB Posts: 1,042
    Chris said:

    All I can say is it's a good job Jeremy Corbyn has had his beard for a long time.

    It can always grow Chris. Keep an eye on it.
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    eekeek Posts: 25,085
    CD13 said:

    Mr F,

    You can double the number of armed police but with Jezza in number 10, they'd be armed with sticks of Blackpool rock. An exaggeration perhaps, but it makes it a problematic area for Labour.

    It would just mean the buy British Campaign has restarted....
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    IanB2IanB2 Posts: 47,574

    I think the PM can close down this debate about police numbers before Labour really get going, by just saying there is going to be a "review" after the election.

    I am not sure the PM should close it down.

    It looks like a huge mistake by Labour to me, tantamount to trying to “blame” Theresa for the attack.

    Labour need to get the focus off police & security asap, and onto anything else.
    Disagree. I'm with Karl Rove (G W Bush's election guru) on this one. Labour needs to attack Tories' and specifically Theresa May's perceived strengths, and particularly here as May's roles as Prime Minister and Home Secretary are directly relevant. This means the cuts to police numbers, the failure to stop Abedi after multiple warnings from different sources, failure to monitor travel to and return from terrorist hotspots, threats to stop sharing intelligence as part of Brexit, and yes, failure to control non-EU immigration.

    In short, Labour needs to attack and destroy any impression that Theresa May and a Conservative government make Britain safe.
    I guess we’ll see. It looks like a God-awful mistake.

    Just because someone says to a reporter that they know that some neighbours reported Abedi does not constitute strong evidence. Or indeed, any evidence.

    Do we really know that there were “multiple warnings from different sources”?

    And even if there were, trying to stick that on Theresa looks like a smear.

    In fact the mistake looks very like Healey’s “glorifying in the Falklands War” comment which caused the 83 election to be fought in exactly the wrong arena for Labour.
    Whatever the truth behind the story, I agree it's a mistake. First law of politics is to try and fight on the issues that favour your own side. Barring a memo having passed across a Tory politician's desk about this particular individual, trying to make something of it is doomed to fail.
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    bobajobPBbobajobPB Posts: 1,042

    kle4 said:

    IanB2 said:

    FPT

    I'm very concerned about the sort of country we're becoming if people are worried that shopkeepers are growing beards, that sounds flippant but its a serious point. I said on here yesterday that reprisals are inevitable, I might be wrong but its unlikely that Sean T will take direct action, in 1 or 2 places I wouldn't be so sure.

    We are in troubled times and there will be people who say Brexit is the catalyst to violence against foreigners when it is not connected in any way. There will be dozens of reports of "racist" attacks which I find abhorrent, but if Islamists choose to murder children and nothing is "seen" to be done, there will be problems.

    BNP, Britain First etc will be whipping people up into a frenzy, it is unconnected to Brexit in every way.

    Ah, you are falling into the trap that our "Betters" live in - that we are 30 seconds away from a pogrom, complete with pitchforks and torches.

    I think events in the last few years have demonstrated a ridiculous high bar for such a thing to happen.
    No, I'm saying that there will be a rise in attacks on foreign people and that Remainers will blame it on Brexit. It has nothing to do with Brexit, its to do with foreigners blowing up concerts.

    *foreigners* ?
    Perception is important. Keep wringing your hands and go into a pub on a council estate, you'll soon get my point.
    If you have brown skin you'll never be perceived as British, is that what you're saying? Just want to be clear on this
    Free to choose says offensive things from time to time, but I feel you are searching for reasons to be offended more than necessary.
    Not at all. Simply giving him an opportunity to clarify his views. Isn't that why he's here?
    Careful, ThreeQuidder will pop up shortly and accuse you of bullying FreeToChoose, vulnerable snowflake that he is.
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    Dura_AceDura_Ace Posts: 13,076

    I think the PM can close down this debate about police numbers before Labour really get going, by just saying there is going to be a "review" after the election.

    I am not sure the PM should close it down.

    It looks like a huge mistake by Labour to me, tantamount to trying to “blame” Theresa for the attack.

    Labour need to get the focus off police & security asap, and onto anything else.
    Disagree. I'm with Karl Rove (G W Bush's election guru) on this one. Labour needs to attack Tories' and specifically Theresa May's perceived strengths, and particularly here as May's roles as Prime Minister and Home Secretary are directly relevant. This means the cuts to police numbers, the failure to stop Abedi after multiple warnings from different sources, failure to monitor travel to and return from terrorist hotspots, threats to stop sharing intelligence as part of Brexit, and yes, failure to control non-EU immigration.

    In short, Labour needs to attack and destroy any impression that Theresa May and a Conservative government make Britain safe.
    I guess we’ll see. It looks like a God-awful mistake.

    Just because someone says to a reporter that they know that some neighbours reported Abedi does not constitute strong evidence. Or indeed, any evidence.

    Do we really know that there were “multiple warnings from different sources”?

    And even if there were, trying to stick that on Theresa looks like a smear.

    In fact the mistake looks very like Healey’s “glorifying in the Falklands War” comment which caused the 83 election to be fought in exactly the wrong arena for Labour.
    It wasn't that long ago that the Brexiteers on here were rimming themselves over how the UK's peerless intelligence and counter terrorism expertise would be a massive bargaining chip in the Brexit negotiations. Now its seems we can't stop a istishhadi half wit who's ALREADY KNOWN to the security services from blowing up an Ariane Grande concert in Britain's third worst city.
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    camelcamel Posts: 815
    RobD said:

    bobajobPB said:

    RobD

    That Moeen Ali was sporting a particularly handsome beard, at Headingley yesterday. His use of a cricket bat like a scimitar to smash several boundaries and put South Africa to the sword will worry some.

    But have you ever seen him without one? :smiley::p
    He definitley used to have a baldy chin, when he started his career. Like Samson, though, hairiness has improved his game.

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    DecrepitJohnLDecrepitJohnL Posts: 13,300
    Sean_F said:

    I think the PM can close down this debate about police numbers before Labour really get going, by just saying there is going to be a "review" after the election.

    I am not sure the PM should close it down.

    It looks like a huge mistake by Labour to me, tantamount to trying to “blame” Theresa for the attack.

    Labour need to get the focus off police & security asap, and onto anything else.
    Disagree. I'm with Karl Rove (G W Bush's election guru) on this one. Labour needs to attack Tories' and specifically Theresa May's perceived strengths, and particularly here as May's roles as Prime Minister and Home Secretary are directly relevant. This means the cuts to police numbers, the failure to stop Abedi after multiple warnings from different sources, failure to monitor travel to and return from terrorist hotspots, threats to stop sharing intelligence as part of Brexit, and yes, failure to control non-EU immigration.

    In short, Labour needs to attack and destroy any impression that Theresa May and a Conservative government make Britain safe.
    If Labour were led by Attlee, Gaitskell, Wilson or Callaghan, that might be a profitable line of attack.

    But, when they're led by people like Corbyn, McDonnell, Abbot, it certainly isn't.
    Given Conservative anxiety this week to pin Corbyn as a danger to security, I'd reckon CCHQ think I'm right and that the government is vulnerable to attack on its record and on this issue.
This discussion has been closed.