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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Two local by-elections tonight – both LAB defences

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    RobDRobD Posts: 59,018
    There's a new thread!
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    MTimTMTimT Posts: 7,034

    MTimT said:

    Dadge said:

    Surreal on TW just now - Chuka as nonplussed as the rest of them!

    Damn, I've been in the States too long. Automatically read nonplussed in the US sense (unimpressed), rather than the British one, rendering your comment nonplussing (UK sense).
    There's only one meaning - perplexed, bewildered:

    https://en.wiktionary.org/wiki/nonplus
    non·plussed
    nänˈpləst/Submit
    adjective
    1.
    (of a person) surprised and confused so much that they are unsure how to react.
    "he would be completely nonplussed and embarrassed at the idea"
    2.
    NORTH AMERICANinformal
    (of a person) not disconcerted; unperturbed.
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    Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 55,691

    isam said:

    So betfair have the LibDems at 28.5 o/u seats but 7/4 to win Bath ?

    Are they expecting 15 LibDem gains from Labour ?

    They bet Burnley 8/13, Lib dem 5/4 labour
    I prefer Bath for the LibDems.
    I think Bath is a steal.
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    theakestheakes Posts: 842
    Harry Hayfield keeps expecting the Lib Dem to have a high reasonable vote, despite evidence to the contrary. Last night Blacon 2.7%. From what I can see Lib Dems are vastly over optimistic at the moment, I would be suprised if they got 15 MP's, amazed at 20, I would bet on 12-13. Their main gain from the election may well be getting back into a reasonable second place in a lot of seats where they fell back in 2015.
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    kle4kle4 Posts: 92,079
    theakes said:

    Harry Hayfield keeps expecting the Lib Dem to have a high reasonable vote, despite evidence to the contrary. Last night Blacon 2.7%. From what I can see Lib Dems are vastly over optimistic at the moment, I would be suprised if they got 15 MP's, amazed at 20, I would bet on 12-13. Their main gain from the election may well be getting back into a reasonable second place in a lot of seats where they fell back in 2015.

    I think it's just guessing since occasionally they cone from nowhere to win, so worth a hit.
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    CyanCyan Posts: 1,262
    edited April 2017
    (moved to new thread)
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    theakestheakes Posts: 842
    Kenton East Lib Dem vote 2.1% not 21%, if I was Harry I would stop predicting . Conservatives walked it, the omens for June 8th look sensational for them.
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