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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Betting on Mrs May outdistancing Mrs Thatcher’s tenure as Prim
politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Betting on Mrs May outdistancing Mrs Thatcher’s tenure as Prime Minister
William Hill have a market on whether Mrs May being Prime Minister for longer than the country’s first Prime Minister. To be honest I’m not enthused by either option. To win the 10/1, you’d be tying up your money for the next eleven years, I can think of better things to do with my money than given William Hill an interest free loan for eleven years.
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it's kind like the daily mail and immigration stories here eg the adults as kids, set off a load of fake news on Twitter about was the daily mail photographing an interpreter (when it was Getty and one of the "child" migrants)...but people were willing to believe Twitter vs mail.
Also this latest outburst has buried the Obama care repel stuff.
First.
- Sean Spicer
Given her age and potential health problems, I would guess that her stepping down before the 2025 election (assuming, of course, that a snap election in the next twelve months doesn't muck up the electoral timeframe) is the most likely outcome.
Not a market I like. The long odds take a damned long time to collect, and the odds aren't worth it. The short odds are likelier but could take a decade to come in and the return is very low.
Better to take the (no longer available) 26 for Bottas to win the title this year (each way).
She won't.
https://www.google.co.uk/amp/s/amp.theaustralian.com.au/news/world/kgbs-oxford-spy-recruiter-unmasked/news-story/eab1d3dd134f2528b036dff98da1f4a3
Major was the quiet, dark horse candidate. I got 20-1 on him - it was back when I allowed myself to bet.
Every time Trump pretends he's a snowflake and "upset" over something, the reporters fall in glee over it and make fun of him. Meanwhile real scrutiny doesn't happen.
https://twitter.com/realdonaldtrump/status/823174199036542980
Also, it's each way, so Bottas only needs to be top 3.
https://twitter.com/BillKristol/status/823169825577037826
Eventually the media and his opponents will learn, although they seem very slow on the uptake. Trump's Twitter game is very strong!
Good afternoon, everybody.
Eric 'Otter' Stratton: Greg, look at my thumb.
[Gregg looks at Otter's thumb. Otter punches Gregg in the face]
Eric 'Otter' Stratton: Gee, you're dumb.
Tolerant of opposing views? Check.
Reasonably clearly & elegantly expressed? Check
No spelling mistakes? Check.
Written by Trump? Hmm.
https://sports.ladbrokes.com/en-gb/betting/politics/british/specials/theresa-may-specials/222643274/
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I am not locking money up for over 11 yrs to get 10/1, and 1/25 is too short for the alternative.
Bottas is currently 5. If the car is dominant, that's still value each way, but only just. Not interested myself, given how things currently stand.
https://twitter.com/ClaireHammond/status/823100058304397312?t=1&cn=ZmxleGlibGVfcmVjc18y&refsrc=email&iid=6800828b63e84791ae8915f52c0838d7&uid=1476790076&nid=244+272699392
Apologies if this has already appeared on a prev. thread.
The powerlessness of truth against ignorance is the basis of my favorite Eddie Izzard sketch - Darth Vader at the Deathstar canteen:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Sv5iEK-IEzw
They had to put a further sign on it saying "Please do not put bread in the above slot."
1. First step taken in dismantling Obamacare
2. Son-in-law approved to take a key role in the Administration
3. 7 year rule waived for General to serve as Secretary of Defense
4. First two cabinet picks approved are both Generals
https://twitter.com/fordm/status/823170241442226176
As someone upthread said, Events, dear girl, events!
Highly unlikely to be fatal of course, unless someone can show she misled the HoC. Actually that should probably be 'seriously misled'.
Not good news for May either, but I wonder how much will ultimately come out about all this.
The US is huge. Would they mind losing Florida?
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0RMwjaZouNY
At the risk of introducing facts.. as far as I can tell, since the beginning of the TRident II program, there have been 157 successful flight tests and 6 failures (including partial successes).
The classic method for estimating the maximum probability of failure is a very simple equation :
failures / total flights
See https://ntrs.nasa.gov/archive/nasa/casi.ntrs.nasa.gov/20120013705.pdf
which gives us :
6/163 = 0.0368 = 3.6% maximum chance of failure.
This is considered a harsh maximum estimate, since most of the failures occurred in the early days of the program - which then conformed to the classic "bathtub" curve of early failures followed by massive increase in reliability.
This enables us to say that Trident II is reliable at delivering it's warheads to target as a *lower bound* (i.e. it is almost certainly better than this) of 96.3%
Which in historical terms makes it one of the most reliable weapons in human history....
https://twitter.com/cara_hilton/status/823104415187996672
Why has Trump such a thin skin, why does he lie when it's obvious he's lying?
Presumably they would have warned the US, Russia, and China. Wouldn't want to have started WW3 by mistake.
We have Donald Trump for that.
I have not even applied for mine yet and unlikely to do so as I hardly ever use one and my wife will not use at all. On the few occasions I do use on I am usually about the only person paying.
65 is well early enough to be getting free travel and in fact at worst it should be linked to state pension.
https://twitter.com/s2gray/status/823162258154995712
I have wondered about an early general election, I think spring 2019 is the likely date. My reasoning is several important factors come into play. First of all the boundary changes should have been implemented. Secondly and most importantly A50 will be running up toward it's expiry. Thirdly, austerity should give way to a more generous budget / giveaway, which means social security claimants/ public sector employees and the like experience growth in their income. Indeed I do wonder if the Tories have stalled on Brexit and A50 so they can get a mandate at the end of the two years after A50 has been triggered for the above reasons.